METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE, JAMAICA

METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE, JAMAICA Working Group
BRIEF ASSESSMENT ACTIVITIES, PROGRAMS AND PRODUCTS Glenroy Brown 5th December 2013 Data Handling •  All climate ac<vi<es, including research and applica<ons, are primarily based on observa<ons of the state of the atmosphere or weather” 1. INSTRUMENTATION (Observa<ons) 2. DATA 3. ANALYSIS 4. PRODUCTS & SERVICES 1
. INSTRUMENTATION Loca<ons of Standard Gauges Loca<ons of Climate Sta<ons Sangster Smithfield Frome Discovery Bay Montpelier Hampshire SheLlewood Mason River Appleton Worthy Pk. Guys Hill Orange River CASE Tulloch HWT Ebony Pk. Hounslow Sam MoLa Bodles Bernard Lodge Manley Monymusk Duckenfield AUTOMATIC WEATHER STATION LOCATIONS Sangster Ocho Rios Montpelier Maldon Crescent Bunkers Hill Negril Point Guys Hill Orange River SMBE Barton Isles Tulloch Mandeville Worthy Pk. Woodford Coopers Hill CASE Spring Gdn Penlyne Folly Berrydale Fair Prospect Millbank Happy Grove Ebony Pk. Manley Lionel Town Belvedere Morant Pt. NuLs River Johns Town CURRENT NETWORK OF STATIONS 2
. CURRENT DATA & GAPS •  Archive of monthly climate data going back to the 1900s •  More recent daily records (1992-­‐ present) •  Lost our data 1992, due to fire. •  Currently developing climate database CURRENT PRACTICES & PRODUCTS •  Seasonal 3 Month Rainfall Outlook (Monthly) StaRon Below (B) % Normal (N) % Above (A) % Jamaica 44 31 25 How do we verify the forecast We use the area
beneath the curve
gives us the probability,
so that we can
successfully
discriminate a
“drought” event from a
non-drought event.
CURRENT PRACTICES & PRODUCTS •  Monthly Rainfall Summary Parish Mean Rainfall for October 2013
OCT
(Rainfall in mm)
OCT
OCT
2013
2012
% OF 30 YR NORMAL
30 YR NORMAL (1971-­‐2000)
2013
2013
2013
AUG
SEP
OCT
Parishes
KEY
Hanover
HAN
228
175
300
91
121
76
Westmoreland
WES
192
166
254
97
103
76
Manchester
MAN
228
189
257
119
83
89
St. Elizabeth
STE
195
152
263
101
69
74
Clarendon
CLA
62
189
209
134
119
30
St. Catherine
STC
191
130
188
211
93
102
Trelawny
TRE
212
215
160
137
196
132
St. James
STJ
163
93
200
120
79
82
St. Ann
STA
117
223
169
99
190
69
St. Mary
STM
56
161
170
73
58
33
Portland
POR
240
481
361
121
103
67
St. Thomas
STT
109
286
287
103
74
38
Kgn. & St. And.
KSA
175
208
241
117
96
73
167
205
235
113
101
71
Jamaica
JAM
CURRENT PRACTICES & PRODUCTS CURRENT PRACTICES & PRODUCTS Drought Maps CURRENT PRACTICES & PRODUCTS •  Monthly Farmers Bulle<ns CURRENT PRACTICES & PRODUCTS •  Monthly Drought Observa<on (Oct 2013-­‐SPI ) CURRENT PRACTICES & PRODUCTS •  24 Hours Real Time Weather Forecast Desired Products •  Drought Atlas Showing Rainfall Return Periods •  Seasonal Temperature Forecast •  Pest and Disease Forecast (Beet Armyworm) Forecast Related Products (FIRST JAMAICA/REGION) 1 • SPI Drought Forecast 3 Month SPI Drought Forecast (JANUARY 2014 FORECAST) Forecast Related Products (FIRST JAMAICA/REGION) 2 • Real Time Weather Forecast Real <me Weather Forecast (Done for any loca<on across the island) Accessing our Products •  Mailing List (Email) •  Web Portals: hfp://metservice.gov.jm hfp://agrilinksja.com hfp://jamaicaclimate.net METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE, JAMAICA Climate Services Working Group
THANK YOU [email protected]