Market Briefing: Global Markets
Transcription
Market Briefing: Global Markets
Market Briefing: Global Markets Yardeni Research, Inc. October 26, 2016 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 [email protected] Mali Quintana 480-664-1333 [email protected] Please visit our sites at www.yardeni.com blog.yardeni.com thinking outside the box Table Of Contents Table Of Contents US Stock Indexes MSCI Indexes Stock Markets: USA Stock Markets: Americas Stock Markets: Europe Stock Markets: Asia Stock Markets: Eastern Europe, Middle East, Africa US$ Forex Rates: Europe US$ Forex Rates: Asia US$ Forex Rates: Americas Trade-Weighted Dollar 10-Year Government Yields Commodity Indexes Commodity Prices: Energy Commodity Prices: Basic Materials Commodity Prices: Precious Metals Commodity Prices: Agriculture October 26, 2016 / Market Briefing: Global Markets 1 2-5 6 7 8-9 10-11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com US Stock Indexes Figure 1. 2200 2200 S&P 500 INDEX 10/26 2000 2000 1800 1800 1600 1600 1400 1400 1200 1200 1000 1000 800 800 yardeni.com 600 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 600 2017 200-day moving average Source: Standard & Poor’s Corporation. Figure 2. 19500 19500 DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS AVERAGE 18600 10/26 18600 17700 17700 16800 16800 15900 15900 15000 15000 14100 14100 13200 13200 12300 12300 11400 11400 10500 10500 9600 9600 8700 8700 7800 7800 6900 6900 yardeni.com 6000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 6000 2017 200-day moving average Source: The Wall Street Journal. Page 1 / October 26, 2016 / Market Briefing: Global Markets Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com MSCI Indexes Figure 3. 1900 1800 1700 1600 1500 1400 1300 1200 1100 1000 900 800 700 600 500 SHARE PRICE INDEXES (US dollars) 10/26 World 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1900 1800 1700 1600 1500 1400 1300 1200 1100 1000 900 800 700 600 500 2017 2400 2400 2200 2200 2000 2000 Europe 1800 1800 1600 1600 10/26 1400 1400 1200 1200 1000 1000 800 800 2006 2007 2008 2600 2400 2200 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2600 2400 2200 EAFE* 2000 2000 1800 1800 10/26 1600 1600 1400 1400 1200 1200 1000 1000 yardeni.com 800 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 800 2017 200-day moving average * The following countries are included: Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom, Israel, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Hong Kong, and Japan. Source: Morgan Stanley Capital International. Page 2 / October 26, 2016 / Market Briefing: Global Markets Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com MSCI Indexes Figure 4. 2100 1900 2100 SHARE PRICE INDEXES (US dollars) 1900 World 1700 10/26 US 1500 1700 1500 1300 1300 1100 1100 900 900 700 700 500 500 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2500 2500 2300 2300 2100 2100 World EAFE* 1900 1900 10/26 1700 1700 1500 1500 1300 1300 1100 1100 900 900 700 700 500 500 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2000 2000 1800 10/26 1800 1600 1600 1400 1400 1200 1200 1000 1000 800 800 World 600 600 Emerging Markets 400 400 200 200 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 *Europe, Austrailia, and Far East. Source: Morgan Stanley Capital International. Page 3 / October 26, 2016 / Market Briefing: Global Markets Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com MSCI Indexes Figure 5. 4000 4000 SHARE PRICE INDEXES (US dollars) World Japan 3000 3000 2000 2000 10/26 1000 1000 0 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1900 1900 World 1700 10/26 1700 United Kingdom 1500 1500 1300 1300 1100 1100 900 900 700 700 500 500 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2000 300 1800 10/26 250 1600 200 1400 1200 150 World 1000 100 800 EMU 600 50 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Source: Morgan Stanley Capital International. Page 4 / October 26, 2016 / Market Briefing: Global Markets Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com MSCI Indexes Figure 6. 1600 1400 1600 SHARE PRICE INDEXES (ratio scale, US dollars) 1400 1200 1200 1000 1000 10/26 800 800 Emerging Markets 600 600 400 400 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 700 650 600 550 500 450 2017 10/26 700 650 600 550 500 450 400 400 350 350 300 300 250 250 Emerging Markets: Asia 200 200 150 150 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 6500 6500 5500 5500 4500 4500 3500 3500 Emerging Markets: Latin America 2500 10/26 yardeni.com 1500 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2500 1500 2017 200-day moving average Source: Morgan Stanley Capital International. Page 5 / October 26, 2016 / Market Briefing: Global Markets Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com Stock Markets: USA Figure 7. 19100 DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10/26 NASDAQ 10/26 17100 15100 13100 11100 9100 7100 5100 06 2300 2100 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 S&P 500 17 10/26 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 RUSSELL 2000 17 10/25 1900 1700 1500 1300 1100 900 700 500 06 24000 22000 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 WILSHIRE 5000 17 10/25 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 10/26 18000 16000 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 06 12000 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 675 625 575 525 475 425 375 325 275 225 175 125 17 300 S&P 500 UTILITIES 11000 1325 1250 1175 1100 1025 950 875 800 725 650 575 500 425 350 275 17 S&P 500 TRANSPORTATION 20000 5600 5200 4800 4400 4000 3600 3200 2800 2400 2000 1600 1200 800 10/26 10/26 10000 9000 250 200 8000 150 7000 6000 100 5000 yardeni.com 4000 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 50 17 200-day moving average Source: Reuters America, Inc and Standard and Poor’s Corporation. Page 6 / October 26, 2016 / Market Briefing: Global Markets Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com Stock Markets: Americas Figure 8. 2500 UNITED STATES MSCI 5000 ARGENTINA MSCI (all indexes in US dollars) 4000 10/26 2000 10/26 3000 1500 2000 1000 1000 500 0 06 2500 2300 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 CANADA MSCI 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 3000 CHILE MSCI 2100 1900 2000 1700 10/26 1500 10/26 1300 1000 1100 900 700 500 0 06 8000 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 MEXICO MSCI 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 2000 PERU MSCI 6000 10/26 10/26 4000 1000 2000 yardeni.com 0 06 5000 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 0 17 200-day moving average Source: Morgan Stanley Capital International and Haver Analytics. BRAZIL MSCI 4000 3000 2000 10/26 1000 0 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 200-day moving average Source: Reuters America, Inc and Standard and Poor’s Corporation. Page 7 / October 26, 2016 / Market Briefing: Global Markets Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com Stock Markets: Europe Figure 9. 2600 2400 2200 EUROPE MSCI 800 IRELAND MSCI (all indexes in US dollars) 700 600 2000 500 1800 400 1600 10/26 1400 300 1200 10/26 1000 100 800 600 0 06 2500 200 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 FRANCE MSCI 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 900 ITALY MSCI 2000 700 10/26 1500 500 1000 300 10/26 500 100 06 2800 2600 2400 2200 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 GERMANY MSCI 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 3500 NETHERLANDS MSCI 3000 10/26 10/26 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 06 1500 07 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 GREECE MSCI 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 1000 SPAIN MSCI 800 1000 600 500 10/26 0 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 10/26 17 yardeni.com 06 07 08 400 200 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 200-day moving average. Source: Morgan Stanley Capital International and Haver Analytics. Page 8 / October 26, 2016 / Market Briefing: Global Markets Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com Stock Markets: Europe Figure 10. 10000 10000 SWEDEN MSCI (all indexes in US dollars) 8000 8000 10/26 6000 6000 4000 4000 2000 2000 2006 6000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 6000 SWITZERLAND MSCI 5000 5000 10/26 4000 4000 3000 3000 2000 2000 1000 1000 2006 2000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2000 UNITED KINGDOM MSCI STOCK PRICE INDEX 1500 1500 10/26 1000 yardeni.com 500 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1000 500 2017 200-day moving average. Source: Morgan Stanley Capital International and Haver Analytics. Page 9 / October 26, 2016 / Market Briefing: Global Markets Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com Stock Markets: Asia Figure 11. 1400 1200 AUSTRALIA MSCI STOCK PRICE INDEX 120 CHINA MSCI (all indexes in US dollars) 100 1000 80 10/26 800 10/26 60 600 40 400 20 200 0 06 4000 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 06 JAPAN MSCI 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 12000 HONG KONG MSCI 10/26 3500 3000 10/26 10000 8000 2500 6000 2000 4000 1500 1000 2000 06 600 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 06 SOUTH KOREA MSCI 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 350 TAIWAN MSCI 10/26 300 10/26 400 250 200 200 150 yardeni.com 0 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 100 17 700 SINGAPORE MSCI 600 500 10/26 400 300 200 100 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 200-day moving average Source: Morgan Stanley Capital International and Haver Analytics. Page 10 / October 26, 2016 / Market Briefing: Global Markets Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com Stock Markets: Asia Figure 12. 1200 INDONESIA MSCI 700 THE PHILIPPINES MSCI (US$) 600 1000 10/26 500 10/26 800 400 600 300 400 200 200 100 0 0 06 600 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 MALAYSIA MSCI 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 800 INDIA MSCI 500 600 10/26 400 10/26 400 300 200 200 100 0 06 500 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 THAILAND MSCI 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 250 PAKISTAN MSCI 400 200 10/26 300 150 10/26 200 100 100 50 yardeni.com 0 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 0 17 200-day moving average Source: Morgan Stanley Capital International and Haver Analytics. Page 11 / October 26, 2016 / Market Briefing: Global Markets Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com Stock Markets: Eastern Europe, Middle East, Africa Figure 13. 2000 RUSSIA MSCI 400 ISRAEL MSCI (US$) 1500 300 10/26 1000 10/26 500 100 0 0 06 2000 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 POLAND MSCI 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 800 TURKEY MSCI 1500 600 1000 10/26 10/26 500 400 200 0 0 06 1500 200 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 HUNGARY MSCI 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 1500 EGYPT MSCI 1000 1000 10/26 10/26 500 500 yardeni.com 0 06 1100 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 CZECH REPUBLIC MSCI 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 0 17 700 SOUTH AFRICA MSCI 600 10/26 500 400 300 10/26 200 100 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 200-day moving average Source: Morgan Stanley Capital International and Haver Analytics. Page 12 / October 26, 2016 / Market Briefing: Global Markets Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com US$ Forex Rates: Europe Figure 14. 1.7 1.6 1.7 EUROPE 1.6 ($/Euro) 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 10/26 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 .9 .9 .8 .8 2006 2.3 2.1 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2.3 UNITED KINGDOM ($/Pound) 2.1 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.3 10/26 1.1 1.1 2006 4.5 5.5 1.3 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 4.5 SWEDEN (Krona/$) 5.5 6.5 6.5 7.5 7.5 8.5 10/26 8.5 9.5 9.5 10.5 10.5 11.5 11.5 2006 .4 .6 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 .4 SWITZERLAND (Swiss Franc/$) .6 .8 .8 10/26 1.0 1.2 1.0 1.2 yardeni.com 1.4 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1.4 2017 200-day moving average Source: Haver Analytics. Page 13 / October 26, 2016 / Market Briefing: Global Markets Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com US$ Forex Rates: Asia Figure 15. 60 JAPAN 5.6 CHINA (Yen/$) (Yuan/$) 6.0 80 6.4 10/21 100 10/26 6.8 7.2 7.6 120 8.0 140 8.4 06 .6 .8 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AUSTRALIA 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 2.5 MALAYSIA (inverted scale, A$/US$) (Ringgit/$) 3.0 1.0 3.5 1.2 10/26 4.0 10/21 1.4 4.5 1.6 1.8 5.0 06 600 800 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 SOUTH KOREA 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 6000 INDONESIA (Won/$) (Rupiah/$) 8000 1000 10000 10/21 1200 12000 10/26 1400 14000 1600 16000 06 25 35 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 INDIA 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 25 THAILAND (Rupee/$, inverted scale) (Baht/$) 30 45 10/26 35 55 40 65 10/26 yardeni.com 75 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 45 17 200-day moving average Source: Haver Analytics. Page 14 / October 26, 2016 / Market Briefing: Global Markets Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com US$ Forex Rates: Americas Figure 16. .8 .9 CANADA 6 MEXICO (C$/US$) (Peso/$) 8 1.0 10 1.1 12 1.2 14 1.3 10/26 16 1.4 10/26 1.5 20 1.6 1.7 22 06 .1 .6 18 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 BRAZIL 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 -5 ARGENTINA (Real/$) (Peso/$) 0 1.1 1.6 5 2.1 2.6 10 10/26 3.1 3.6 10/26 15 4.1 4.6 20 06 300 350 400 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 CHILE 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 VENEZUELA (Peso/$) 17 10/21 (Bolivar Fuerte/$) 450 500 550 600 10/26 650 700 750 800 06 800 1200 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 COLOMBIA 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 2.2 PERU (Peso/$) 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 (New Sol/$) 2.4 2.6 1600 2.8 2000 3.0 2400 3.2 2800 10/26 10/26 3200 3.4 3.6 yardeni.com 3600 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 3.8 17 200-day moving average Source: Morgan Stanley Capital International. Page 15 / October 26, 2016 / Market Briefing: Global Markets Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com Trade-Weighted Dollar Figure 17. 135 130 135 JP MORGAN TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX* (2000=100, daily) 130 125 125 JP Morgan Nominal Broad Effective Exchange Rate (120.15) 10/26 120 120 115 115 110 110 105 105 100 100 95 95 90 90 yardeni.com 85 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 85 18 * Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Bulgaria, Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, Croatia, Czech Rep., Denmark, Ecuador, Egypt, Hong Kong, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Israel, Japan, Korea, Kuwait, Malaysia, Mexico, Morocco, New Zealand, Nigeria, Norway, Pakistan, Panama, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Romania, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, South Africa, Sweden, Switzerland, Taiwan, Thailand, Turkey, Ukraine, UK, Uruguay, US, Venezuela, Vietnam, & Euro Area. Source: JP Morgan. Figure 18. 160 155 150 160 FED’S TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEXES 155 (daily) 150 Major* (3/73=100) 145 140 145 140 Broad** (1/97=100) 135 130 135 130 125 125 10/21 120 120 115 115 110 110 105 105 100 100 95 95 10/21 90 90 85 85 80 80 75 75 70 70 65 60 65 yardeni.com 73 75 77 60 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 * Major index is a weighted average of the foreign exchange rates of the US dollar against the Euro Area, Australia, Canada, Japan, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom, ** Broad index is a weighted average of the foreign exchange rates of the US dollar against the Euro Area, Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Ireland, Israel, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, Mexico, Philippines, Russia, Singapore, Spain, Saudi Arabia, Sweden, Switzerland, Taiwan, Thailand, United Kingdom, and Venezuela. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Page 16 / October 26, 2016 / Market Briefing: Global Markets Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com 10-Year Government Yields Figure 19. 6.0 UNITED STATES 6.0 GERMANY 5.5 5.5 5.0 5.0 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.0 3.5 2.5 3.0 2.0 2.5 1.5 1.0 2.0 10/26 .5 1.5 10/25 1.0 -.5 06 7.5 .0 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 CANADA 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 6.5 SWEDEN 6.0 6.5 5.5 5.0 5.5 4.5 4.0 4.5 3.5 3.0 3.5 2.5 2.0 2.5 1.5 1.0 1.5 .5 10/25 10/25 .5 -.5 06 6.5 6.0 .0 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 UNITED KINGDOM 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 2.5 JAPAN 5.5 2.0 5.0 4.5 1.5 4.0 3.5 1.0 3.0 2.5 .5 2.0 1.5 10/25 10/26 1.0 yardeni.com .5 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 06 07 08 .0 -.5 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 200 day moving average Source: MMS International and Haver Analytics. Page 17 / October 26, 2016 / Market Briefing: Global Markets Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com Commodity Indexes Figure 20. 525 525 CRB FUTURES PRICE INDEX (1967=100) 475 475 425 425 375 375 325 325 275 275 225 225 10/26 175 125 175 yardeni.com 95 96 97 125 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 200-day moving average Source: Haver Analytics. Figure 21. 1150 1050 1150 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS SPOT PRICE INDEXES (1967=100) 1050 950 950 850 850 750 750 10/25 Raw Industrials (460.8) 650 650 Metals Component (701.6) 550 550 10/25 450 450 350 350 250 250 150 yardeni.com 95 96 97 150 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Source: Haver Analytics. Page 18 / October 26, 2016 / Market Briefing: Global Markets Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com Commodity Prices: Energy Figure 22. 190 170 WEST TEXAS INTERMEDIATE CRUDE OIL PRICE 150 (dollars per barrel) HEATING OIL FUTURES PRICE* (dollar per gallon) 130 110 90 70 10/25 10/25 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 50 30 10 160 140 BRENT CRUDE OIL FUTURES PRICE* 19 NATURAL GAS FUTURES PRICE* (dollars per barrel) 5.0 4.6 4.2 3.8 3.4 3.0 2.6 2.2 1.8 1.4 1.0 .6 17 (dollar per MMBTU) 15 120 13 100 11 9 80 7 60 5 10/25 40 10/25 20 1 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 * Nearby futures price. 4.5 3.9 3 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 GASOLINE FUTURES PRICE* (dollars per gallon) 3.3 2.7 2.1 10/25 1.5 .9 yardeni.com .3 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 200-day moving average * Nearby contract. Source: Haver Analytics. Page 19 / October 26, 2016 / Market Briefing: Global Markets Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com Commodity Prices: Basic Materials Figure 23. 1300 1100 CRB SPOT PRICE INDEX: METALS (daily, 1967=100) ***** Chart Not Available ***** 900 700 Includes copper scrap, lead scrap, steel scrap, tin, and zinc 500 10/25 Task: MMSTEEL 300 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 500 COPPER FUTURES PRICE* KEEP Error: Working storage empty 10-26-2016 - 00:51:42 (dollars per pound) 400 ***** Chart Not Available ***** 300 200 10/25 100 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Task: MMCRBTIN KEEP Error: Working storage empty 10-26-2016 - 00:51:32 ***** Chart Not Available ***** ***** Chart Not Available ***** Task: MMCRBLEAD Task: MMCRBZINC KEEP Error: Working storage empty KEEP Error: Working storage empty 10-26-2016 - 00:51:30 10-26-2016 - 00:51:33 Page 20 / October 26, 2016 / Market Briefing: Global Markets Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com Commodity Prices: Precious Metals Figure 24. 1975 1800 1625 1975 GOLD FUTURES PRICE* 1800 (dollars per troy ounce) 1625 1450 1450 10/25 1275 1275 1100 1100 925 925 750 750 575 575 400 400 225 225 2006 52 48 44 40 36 32 28 24 20 16 12 8 4 2400 2200 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 SILVER FUTURES PRICE* (dollars per troy ounce) 10/25 2006 2600 2007 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 52 48 44 40 36 32 28 24 20 16 12 8 4 2017 2600 PLATINUM FUTURES PRICE* 2400 (dollars per troy ounce) 2200 2000 2000 1800 1800 1600 1600 1400 1400 1200 1200 1000 10/25 800 800 600 600 2006 1000 800 1000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1000 PALLADIUM SPOT PRICE ($/troy oz) 800 10/25 600 600 400 400 200 200 0 yardeni.com 2006 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 200-day moving average * Nearby contract. Source: Haver Analytics. Page 21 / October 26, 2016 / Market Briefing: Global Markets Yardeni Research, Inc. www.yardeni.com Commodity Prices: Agriculture Figure 25. 850 750 850 CORN FUTURES PRICE* (cents per bushel) 750 650 650 550 550 450 450 10/25 350 250 250 150 150 2006 1950 1750 350 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1950 SOYBEANS FUTURES PRICE* (cents per bushel) 1750 1550 1550 1350 1350 1150 1150 10/25 950 950 750 750 550 550 350 350 2006 1400 1300 1200 1100 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 200 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 WHEAT FUTURES PRICE* (cents per bushel) 10/25 2006 250 2007 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1400 1300 1200 1100 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 2017 250 COTTON FUTURES PRICE* ($/pound) 200 150 150 100 100 10/25 50 0 50 yardeni.com 2006 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 200-day moving average * Nearby contract, closing price. Source: Haver Analytics. 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