Cape Breton Island Airport Proposal
Transcription
Cape Breton Island Airport Proposal
Cape Breton Island Airport Proposal Cabot Trail, North East Margaree, Inverness County, Nova Scotia December 15, 2014 Submitted to: Nova Scotia Department of Municipal Affairs Submitted by: The Municipality of the County of Inverness Joe O’Connor, CAO The Municipality of the County of Inverness 375 Main Street, Port Hood, NS B0E 2W0 Ph: (902) 787-3500 Email: [email protected] Website: www.invernesscounty.ca TABLE OF CONTENTS 1.0 Executive Summary………………………………………………………………………………………………………… Pg. 3 2.0 Introduction …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… Pg. 4 3.0 Proposal…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… Pg. 6 4.0 Economy at a Glance………………………………………………………………………………………………………. Pg. 7 5.0 Strategic Alignment…………………………………………………………………………………………………………. Pg. 8 6.0 Market Opportunity……………………………………………………………………………………………………….. Pg. 12 7.0 Best Practices / Case Studies………………………………………………………………………………………….. Pg. 17 8.0 Expanded Opportunities & Alternative Uses…………………………………………………………………… Pg. 20 9.0 Airfield Technical Feasibility Study………………………………………………………………………………….. Pg. 23 10.0 Economic Impact…………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. Pg. 24 11.0 Cape Breton Airport Business Concept………………………………………………………………………….. Pg. 29 12.0 Financials……………..………………………………………………………………………………………………………. Pg. 34 13.0 Next Steps/Project Time Line...……………………………………………………………………………………… Pg. 37 APPENDICES Appendix A – Cape Breton/Airport Map Appendix B - General Aviation Demand Forecast Assumptions Appendix C – Charter Flight Demand Forecast Assumptions Appendix D – Airport Fees & Refueling Forecast Assumptions Appendix E – Cape Breton Airport, Margaree Airport Expansion Technical Feasibility Report Appendix F – WPS Correspondence re: Airport Alignment Appendix G – WPS Pre-design Work Proposal Appendix H – Letters of Support: Halifax Stanfield International Airport Authority Destination Cape Breton Association Nova Scotia Transportation & Infrastructure Renewal The Municipality of the County of Richmond The Cape Breton Island Partnership The Cape Breton Prosperity Framework Chair Adam Rogers, Strait Area Chamber of Commerce CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 1.0 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Cape Breton Island’s reputation as a world class destination is growing. With a 5% increase in room nights sold in 2013 vs. 2012, it is bucking the trend of a ten year decline for the province as a whole. Tourism is a vital part of Cape Breton Island’s economic future. Worldwide growth in the tourism sector is being fuelled by rapid expansion in air travel, and competition is fierce. Destinations which offer the most convenient options for access from major population centres will enjoy the most success. The Municipality of the County of Inverness (Inverness Municipality) is proposing to enhance an airstrip which it owns and operates at Margaree, to create the ‘Cape Breton Island Airport’ (CBIA). Located adjacent to the world renowned Cabot Trail, the CBIA will help Cape Breton be more competitive. It supports the collective interest of all Cape Breton municipalities to maximize the economic impact of Cape Breton Island’s tourism opportunity. Cape Breton Island has already proven that the right investment can attract new incremental business to the province. Inverness County is a case in point, where an exciting new development has attracted 39% of its visitation from the US and 25% from Ontario. Most impressive is that 90% of the American visitors, and 50% of the Ontarian visitors were first time visitors to Nova Scotia, with the majority arriving by air. This mix of tourism business, and in particular, the attraction of new international visitors, creates sustainable jobs and healthier communities. While new investment has been proven to attract new visitors, the reverse is also true. A recent report by the Tourism Industry Association of Canada ‘Gateway to Growth – Creating Investment Opportunity in the Canadian Hotel Industry notes that growth in international visitors is essential to attracting new investment to Canada’s tourism sector. As global air travel expands, Canada’s tourism opportunity will increasingly come from travelers who fly here. Improved direct access to Margaree will accommodate increasing numbers of visitors drawn to world class golf, fishing, touring and Celtic music. Their expenditures will drive economic growth, and the benefits will spread across the Island. The natural and cultural advantages of the Cabot Trail region – warm sandy beaches, world class touring, authentic culture, spectacular coastline – combined with direct air access and available labour force, will position the entire area for new investment. The airport will become a critical tool for investment promotion and business attraction – in the tourism sector and beyond. The development of CBIA constitutes a strong step forward in addressing a critical challenge laid out in the recent Ivany Report (The OneNS “Now or Never” Report) of the need to keep pace with our competitive environment. The report notes the need for greatly improved performance in the areas of productivity, trade, innovation and value added production, as these will be the drivers for renewal and expansion across all industry sectors and business types, whether small, medium or large. The noted performance drivers are particularly important in the traditional rural industries – fisheries, agriculture, forestry and tourism – where too many enterprises have not kept pace with their competitive environments. 2 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 The most significant impediment for Northern Cape Breton in keeping pace with the competitive environment is the lack of convenient air access. The proposed CBIA responds to the need for convenient access, and for new economic prospects. The CBI Airport aligns seamlessly with Destination Cape Breton, municipal, provincial, and federal tourism strategies. The iconic Cape Breton tourism reputation coupled with new US and Canadian markets drawn by world class golf builds a solid business case for the investment of the CBI Airport. The CBIA can be operational in 2016 with an approximate $9.4 million investment for runway expansion, operational infrastructure and a modest terminal structure. Annual operating expenses (including management, fixed and variable expenses and capital reserve) are estimated to be $130,000 to start, with operational revenues in the same range and growing to $190,000 in 5-year span. The business case is built upon a fee for service model that will contribute to 100% of operational costs. Inverness Municipality is seeking a partnership with provincial and federal departments to financially contribute to the capital investment. Inverness County and Cape Breton Island will witness immediate and long-term economic and social benefits of the airport service. It is estimated that in a first year of operation, the airport would facilitate travel by 6,000 incremental visitors, generating $5.26 million direct revenues and an estimated 65 new direct jobs and another 27 jobs through spin-off employment impacts. By year 5, visitors would increase to 9000, generating $7.9 million in incremental revenue and estimated new direct jobs number grows to 97 and jobs through spin-off employment would grow to 40.1 The Cape Breton Island Airport will deliver a strong return on investment, and will help Cape Breton attract other new tourism developments and new businesses. The CBIA supports the collective interest of all Cape Breton municipalities and First Nations for economic growth resulting in broad public benefits, healthier tax bases and stronger communities. 1 Potential Impacts of the Cape Breton Island Airport, Group ATN Consulting, 2014 3 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 2.0 INTRODUCTION Inverness Municipality, located on the western side of Cape Breton, is moving forward on the concept of expanding an existing airstrip and repositioning the proposed airstrip as a regional airport providing domestic charter and scheduled air service to Inverness County and Cape Breton. This document outlines the business concept and proposed funding partnership among three levels of government to realize the concept plan. As an appendix to this document a Technical Feasibility Report was conducted of the proposed airstrip by Genivar Inc. in March of 2012 forming the basis of the business concept. In addition, Michele McKenzie of McKenzie Strategies has contributed to the tourism market opportunity and strategic alignment sections and Thomas McGuire of Group ATN Consulting Inc. has conducted further economic impact analysis, incorporated into this document. Inverness County is comprised of the entire western coastline of Cape Breton and reaches inland to partially border on the Bras d’Or Lakes. The county stretches from the Strait of Canso, 245 km along the windings of the coast, northeastwardly, to Cheticamp, Pleasant Bay and Meat Cove and in width 78 km from Port Hood to Marble Mountain. Inverness County has a population of 18,000 (2011 Census) of which 19 percent are bilingual, speaking both English and French. The Municipality of the County of Inverness administration office is based in Port Hood. Inverness Municipality provides services under the five departments - Administration, Finance & Taxation, Public Works, Tourism & Recreation and Community Development. See our website at www.invernesscounty.ca Inverness is a village in Inverness County, Cape Breton and located on the west coast of Cape Breton Island fronting a three kilometer sandy beach on the Gulf of St. Lawrence. The village is three and a half kilometers in length and is approximately two and a half kilometers in width. The population of Inverness is 2,186 (2011 Census). The village serves as a regional service centre and has over 35 main street businesses. Found central in the community is a regional hospital, a raceway, a visitor information center, several accommodations, restaurants and pubs. The Inverness Raceway was established in 1926, and harness races are held twice weekly between May and October. 4 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 Inverness sits astride a small coal seam which was mined from the late 19th century to the mid-late 20th century. Several more mines opened in and near Inverness during the early 20th century, but many closed following World War II with the last one closing in the early 1990s following a fire. The community was established in 1904. It experienced economic hardship since large scale industrial coal mining ended; the local economy is now based mainly on fishing and tourism. Cabot Links is a 200-acre, 18 hole, Par 70 ocean-side Links golf course developed on the site of the former coal mine in Inverness, opened in 2012. This is Canada’s only authentic links, where the holes ‘link’ the village of Inverness to the sea. Five of Cabot Links’ holes play directly adjacent to the beach and every hole offers an ocean view. The facility is critically acclaimed by those who know golf architecture and the sport. Thousands of golfers are coming here from all corners of the world to play what has already been christened Canada’s True Links2. Cabot Links is also a resort and features a 48-unit luxury boutique hotel with all rooms having an ocean view. The Cabot Links Resort has redefined tourism opportunities in Inverness County and Cape Breton. The resort has attracted golfers and high-yield travelers primarily from Ontario and the United States. Golf Digest lists Cabot Links in the Top 10 golf courses in Canada and Cabot Links #42 in the world. There were an approximate 5,000 rooms sold in 2013. See website www.cabotlinks.com The Cabot Links’ season is longer than other nearby golf courses. It’s goal is to be opened from mid-April through to mid-November; no doubt catering to the Links’ lovers who savor a truly rugged and challenging round of play. In keeping with the traditions of Links courses, there are no power carts at the Cabot Links. Cabot Links’ owners maintained that if 20,000 rounds of golf were played on their Links in 2012, they would begin construction of a second phase seaside course at nearby Broad Cove. A few kilometers away is the location of the new Cabot Cliffs development, a second links course and high-end lodging (50 rooms) is due to open in 2015. With Cabot Links almost touching the edges of Cabot Cliffs, the twin developments have already captivated the golf world even before the second course is ready. The Margarees is a collection of several rural communities located in Inverness County on the Cabot Trail, on the western side of Cape Breton Island. North East Margaree has an airstrip that was developed in the early 1960’s. The Municipality of the County of Inverness acquired this airstrip at about the same time. Over this period of time and currently the airstrip is used by private planes and flying clubs however the facility is underutilized. The Margarees is an active farming-fishing community. Margaree citizens also work in forestry, lumbering, cultural industries or provide business services in the network of Margaree villages. Margaree is known for its Celtic music, authentic cultural events, scenery, superb crafters, splendid outdoor activities (hiking, skiing, snowmobiling), and fly fishing for salmon or trout on the Margaree River. Margaree is also noted for the Margaree Salmon Museum and an historic Fish Hatchery (the oldest in Nova Scotia). North East Margaree is 25 minutes from Inverness, a community service centre, and a 30 minute drive in the opposite direction is Cheticamp also considered a regional service centre with a population base of 3,500 (2011 Census). 2 Final Report: Economic Impact of Golf on Cape Breton for Golf Cape Breton, Solutions Inc. (2012) 5 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 3.0 PROPOSAL Inverness Municipality is pursuing partnerships to upgrade an existing Municipal Airport central to Cape Breton’s finest attractions. The expansion is about bringing new incremental business to Cape Breton Island – business we are not attracting with our current infrastructure. The focus of the airport will be tourism. We know that tourism needs to be a vital part of Cape Breton’s economic future. We also know that our growth will come from air travelers – not road travelers as we have seen in the past. Rapid growth of air travel is a world-wide phenomenon, and this trend will continue. We know that the high value visitor, which Cape Breton has the potential to attract in much higher numbers, demands convenient and direct access to destinations. Our objective is to provide visitors direct access to the Cabot Trail and world class tourism offerings of Western and Northern Cape Breton. Currently Inverness Municipality owns and operates an airstrip in Margaree, central to Northern Cape Breton, adjacent to the world renowned Cabot Trail. The airstrip is within a 30 minute drive of Cabot Links Golf Course, and other major tourism attractions of Inverness, Cheticamp, Baddeck and Cape Breton Highlands National Park. The development and expansion of the Margaree airstrip will, for the rest of this document, be referred to as the Cape Breton Island Airport (CBIA). Research is being done to determine the appropriate name sake of the airport. The plan is to upgrade and lengthen the runway and reposition it as a regional airport, to allow for more flights – and more visitors to access Cape Breton Island. We are seeking new, incremental domestic charter and scheduled air service that would otherwise not come to Inverness County and Cape Breton. It is the right infrastructure to grow tourism in Inverness County and for all of Cape Breton Island. Inverness Municipality is responding to the opportunity presented. The lack of ease of access to the Cape Breton Highlands is a major impediment to the full development of tourism for Inverness County and by extension for Cape Breton. Short excursions (2 to 4 days) are discouraged by long drives from Halifax and Sydney airport. Presently, the nearest private airport is the Port Hawkesbury Airport, approximately 1 hour and 15 minutes (95 kms) drive away. There has been no desire or business case for a commercial scheduled aviation operation at the Port Hawkesbury location. A quality airport facility and fly-in service would raise the level of product sophistication for Cape Breton as an in-demand travel destination. The facility would improve the time and access challenges associated with travel from both Halifax and Sydney to this area of Nova Scotia. By extension, for major markets to travel to Cape Breton Island and the associated traffic, there is potential impact of reducing the effective cost of travel to the destination. The business case is built on tourist demand. There is a huge population within a three hour flight of the airport – this is our target. As scheduled service comes on stream, our residents will also benefit from the increased access. The development of the airport will raise individuals’ travel frequency to Cape Breton and by extension, their potential for and interest in seasonal property ownership/occupancy. 6 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 4.0 THE ECONOMY AT A GLANCE 4.1 Work Force Natural resources and tourism form the basis of the Inverness County economy. Inverness County has a labour market of approximately 8,800 workers with a significant concentration of employment in natural resources and tourism-related industries. Inverness County has a significant tourism related workforce. There are 740 persons working in tourismrelated industries across Inverness County including entertainment, recreation, accommodation and food services. Because of the tourism sector, there are more than twice as many people employed in accommodation services in Inverness County compared to the national labour market. There are 13 hotels and motels and over 20 bed & breakfast or cottage providers in the county.3 4.2 Employment Inverness County has an employment rate of 43.8% - well below the national level of 61 percent – indicating potential for considerable workforce expansion among the current adult population. The unemployment rate in 2013 was 16.3%. Over the period of 2006-2011, the number of Inverness County businesses has declined from 1,399 to 999 (29%).4 4.3 Population Decline & Projections The population base of Atlantic Canada is declining and aging. Since 1971, Inverness County and Cape Breton saw a persistent trend of net out-migration as skilled workers and better educated young people were drawn away to attractive career opportunities in Canada. Over a ten year period (2001 – 2011) the region has experienced a net population decline. Inverness County, excluding the Town of Port Hawkesbury, has a population of 13,513, which is 10.0% lower than in 2001.5 In terms of overall demographic size, Cape Breton Island is projected to shrink and Inverness County would have a comparable experience barring major events such as the opening of a proposed container terminal and the rapid expansion and creation of firms that find a new market niche such as the Cabot Links golf resort. 4.4 Inverness The community of Inverness is showing better trends even before the opening of Cabot Links. Inverness had a population of 1,464 in 2006. By 2011, the community’s population was 1,387, a decrease of 5.3%. Immigrants view Inverness as a desirable place to live. The town’s proportion of immigration citizenry is comparable to Nova Scotia total of 5%. Between 1996 and 2006 employment rates in Inverness increased. The cost of living in Inverness is affected by the relatively recent 111.3% increase in the market value of local housing. Expectations for Inverness’s demographics are growth and expansion.6 3 Cape Breton Island – Mulgrave Workforce Advantage, 2014 Cape Breton Island – Mulgrave Business Establishment Review, 2014 5 Nova Scotia Community Counts website 6 Economic Impact of Golf on Cape Breton for Golf Cape Breton, Solutions Inc, 2012 4 7 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 5.0 STRATEGIC ALIGNMENT The plan for CBIA is aligned with other important strategies to grow the economy: 5.1 2014 Inverness County Strategic Planning Inverness Municipality has entered into internal and external planning initiatives focused on determining strengths and prioritization of efforts to ensure healthy and growing communities. Included are: Integrated Community Sustainability Plan - ICSP (2010) Community Development Strategic Plan (Jan 2014) Investment & Business Attraction Readiness Plan (Partnering with Cape Breton Partnership, Nova Scotia Business Inc. and Enterprise Cape Breton ) (Mar 2014) Destination Inverness County Tourism Plan (Apr 2014) The Inverness Municipality has recently embarked on the development of a Prosperity and Repopulation strategy. Preliminary planning has focused on the importance of residential and business attraction and retention strategies to stabilize and repopulate our communities. The Cabot Links Resort combined with the Cape Breton Island Airport concept supports the growth of residential and business attraction to the Inverness region by: 1. 2. 3. 4. Creating employment for local residents; Attracting newcomers to come and live and work here; Luring high-yield visitors into the region to stay and spend on local services; and Providing new opportunities for business growth and new businesses. The CBI airport opens up the region for further investment and business growth opportunities. The airport is 30 minutes from several key areas well suited for coastal, high end tourism ventures in areas such as Cheticamp, West Mabou, Collindale Road and Margaree (salmon fishing lodge). 5.2 2014 Destination Inverness County Tourism Plan The Destination Inverness County Tourism Plan, completed in spring 2014, calls for the branding of Inverness County as ‘Canada’s Musical Coast’. The primary message is that Inverness County offers coastal/musical experiences unlike anywhere else in Canada. The secondary message is that Inverness County offers an abundance of quality adventure, culture/heritage, culinary and retail experiences. This plan presents a coherent framework to build awareness of Inverness County as a destination; however, access issues must be addressed if the plan is to be successful in helping to drive incremental business. Destination Inverness County Tourism Plan addresses the collection of primary travel motivators which emerge from an extensive research undertaken with specific regard to consumers’ potential interest in travel to Atlantic Canada. These Primary Travel Motivators (noted on the following page) are meshed into the strategies of Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency and the Province of Nova Scotia. Inverness County has significant product in five out of the seven listed and with implementing Inverness County’s Destination Tourism Strategy has potential of delivering strong experiences in all seven. 8 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 Atlantic Canada Primary Travel Motivators: 4.3 Coastal Experiences Sightseeing and Tours Culture, Entertainment and Heritage Culinary Experiences Outdoor Activities Major and International Events; and Experiential Accommodations Destination Cape Breton 2014 Strategic Plan Destination Cape Breton Association (DCBA) is the island wide tourism association. The mission of DCBA is to ‘Utilize our iconic, quality, market ready travel motivators to improve Cape Breton Island tourism through increasing the Island’s visitation numbers, accommodations occupancy, as well as the length of stay of our visitors, and in turn the economic impact of the tourism industry to the Cape Breton economy’. DCBA takes the lead for Cape Breton in the key areas of marketing, product development and visitor services. DCBA focuses development efforts around the primary motivators of travel to Nova Scotia and Atlantic Canada as identified in Nova Scotia Tourism Agency’s (NSTA) Tourism Strategy, as well as the integrated tourism strategy for Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency (ACOA), led by Tourism Atlantic. The DCBA plan states that a special emphasis should be placed on the following travel motivators: Coastal Experiences Sightseeing and Touring Culture and Heritage Outdoor Experiences, and Golf DCBA has identified two primary Explorer Quotient® types, as per the Canadian Tourism Commission’s Explorer Quotient® profiles. These two traveler types include: Cultural Explorers and Authentic Experiencers. This approach aligns DCBA directly with the international tourism marketing efforts of the Canadian Tourism Commission. In alignment with Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency’s (ACOA) growth strategy for tourism, over the past four years, Cape Breton Island’s tourism industry has raised its level of product market readiness. DCBA is now prepared to take the lead on an experiential packaging program working with interested tour operators, airlines and wholesalers to coordinate, promote and sell Cape Breton product as packaged experiences.7 DCBA recognizes the growth of golf as a niche market and houses Golf Cape Breton, a tiered marketing organization with a Director of Golf Marketing position. This organization incorporates government partners (Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency and Nova Scotia Tourism Agency) as well as five golf courses, accommodation providers and auxiliary (experiential) partners. Golf Cape Breton has 7 Destination Cape Breton Association Business Plan, 2014 9 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 established a concierge service – a full time staff person that responds to the travel needs of golfers, providing itinerary planning and booking services. See www.golfcapebreton.com Golf Cape Breton’s strategy targets golfers who travel. As of July 31, 2014, bookings were up 43% over 2013.8 Golfers are a niche tourism market for Cape Breton with six anchor golf course offerings. 5.4 Le Portage Golf Club, Cheticamp Highlands Links, Ingonish Bell Bay Golf Club, Baddeck The Lakes Golf Club, Ben Eion Cabot Links, Inverness Dundee Resort and Golf Club, West Bay/St. Peter’s Nova Scotia Tourism Agency Tourism Strategy for Nova Scotia The goal of the Nova Scotia Tourism Strategy is to attract more first-time visitors who spend more and stay longer. Included as priorities is the need to: Develop Nova Scotia’s most competitive and distinctive tourism assets to ensure a high-quality experience that appeals to the target high-yield market, and Improve access to Nova Scotia and throughout the province. The plan to improve access to Cape Breton Island is completely aligned with these objectives. Cape Breton is a distinct, competitive destination within Nova Scotia with quality, market ready product that will attract a high yield market. The Island also has a destination marketing organization that is prepared to lead the development and promotion of this product. Additional access to one of Nova Scotia’s strongest tourism regions will only serve to bring more new visitors to the province. The plan recognizes that for Nova Scotia - tourism growth will come from air travelers - not from other transportation modes. 5.5 Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency Tourism Strategy The Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency (ACOA) works to create opportunities for economic growth in Atlantic Canada by helping businesses become more competitive, innovative and productive, by working with diverse communities to develop and diversify local economies, and by championing the strengths of Atlantic Canada. ACOA puts special emphasis on initiatives that foster global competiveness. ACOA’s Tourism Strategy focuses on the primary motivators of travel to the Atlantic Canada (as stated previously) and focuses attention on the provision of basic visitor needs including the integration of transportation framework (air/marine/rail/road),quality tourism services, outfitting services and tour operator services. ACOA’s programs support focused investments on developing new and increasing the experiential capacity of existing tourism products and experiences. ACOA is a proponent of strategic product development stating “The right new products will drive new demands”. 8 Golf Cape Breton 10 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 5.6 Canada’s International Tourism Strategy The Canadian Tourism Commission (CTC) leads Canada’s international tourism marketing. The brand ‘Canada Keep Exploring’ focuses on experiences rather than geographic areas within the country. The strategy is to pursue markets with the highest potential return on investment and where the Canada brand leads to a new market. A number of platforms are presented for the participation of destinations across Canada. Opportunities range from media relations, trade shows, familiarization tours, sales missions, and the promotion of Canada as a destination for business events. The CBI Airport will be aligned with this strategy through the participation of stakeholders in CTC programs – directly or through representation by DCBA. The CTC has also created the Canadian Signature Experiences (CSE) collection– once-in-a-lifetime travel experiences found in Canada. The CSE collection helps eligible tourism businesses promote their products internationally. It also makes it easier for the travel trade to sell more Canada, while making more profit. Media can utilize the Collection to find a rich array of story ideas, media collateral and other resources. The collection currently includes Skyline Sunset Hike in Cape Breton Highlands National Park, the White Glove Tour at Alexander Graham Bell National Historic Site, and Power Your Way Around Cape Breton 7 Day Multisport Tour. The Inverness Tourism Plan targets the development of three additional Canada Signature Experiences as an objective. Examples would be Glenora Distillery and the Celtic Music Interpretive Centre. This effort alone will significantly enhance the number of stories being told about the destination in international markets and help grow demand. 5.6 Conclusion The CBIA aligns favorable with the Inverness County municipal plans, Destination Cape Breton Strategic Plan, Nova Scotia Tourism Agency Tourism Strategy, Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency Tourism Strategy and the Canada International Tourism Strategy; while supporting global trends for fly-in visitation and Airlines / Charter services to more fully leverage the Cape Breton Island and Cabot Trail destination and brand appeal. 11 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 6.0 MARKET OPPORTUNITY Cape Breton Island has a strong tourism reputation and consistently gathers significant accolades. Cape Breton is renowned for the Cabot Trail, considered as one of the World’s Most Scenic Destination Areas. 6.1 A Sample of Cape Breton Accolades9 ‘US Today’s Reader Choice for Best Motorcycle Trip’- June 2014 ‘Mail On line’s World Most Awe-inspiring Roads’ – July 2014 ‘Golf Digest lists Highlands Links and Cabot Links in the list of Top 10 golf courses in Canada, with Cabot Links #42 in the world, and the Cabot Trail is consistently chosen as one of the world’s top routes to travel’. ‘MSN Travel’s 10 Most Underrated Attractions’ – July 2014 National Geographic Traveler named Cape Breton Island ‘One of 20 Must See Places for 2013’ ‘Readers Choice for Best Motorcycle Trip’ – USA Today, 2013 ‘Most Romantic Place in Canada’ – vacay.ca, 2012 ‘Top Ten Dare to Go Places’ – CNN.com, 2012 ‘One of the 49 Journeys that will Change Your Life’ – CNN.com, 2012 ‘Cycling the Cabot Trail is rated as one of the Top 20 Outdoor Adventures in Canada’ - Outdoor Magazine and Bicycling Magazine 6.2 Cape Breton Markets/Potential A significant market for the region is the US. Destination Cape Breton Travel Intentions Survey indicates in 2013, of the 393,000 room nights sold, 20% were from the US: approximately 38,000 US visitors, compared to 8% for the province as a whole. The top five US states that have visited CBIsland.com thus far in 2014 (Jan to July) include Massachusetts, New York, Florida, California and Pennsylvania. Virginia, Maine, Texas, New Jersey and North Carolina round out the top 10. The largest growth in visits over 2013 are from Florida (49% growth) and California (14% growth). The opportunity for future growth is tremendous. Cape Breton Island has the kind of experiences that travelers around the world are seeking – the opportunity to experience a beautiful natural setting while being immersed in an authentic culture. Competition for these travelers is fierce, and ease of access plays an important role in how they make destination decisions. Increasingly these visitors are travelling by air, and are seeking convenient point to point air services which allow them to maximize their vacation time. The air industry throughout the world has expanded rapidly to meet this market 9 Destination Cape Breton website 12 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 demand. Destinations across Canada have also responded with increased investment as they have recognized the incremental value of the air traveler versus the traditional drive market. According to the United Nations World Tourism Organization (UNWTO), international tourism arrivals grew by 5% in 2013 continuing a strong upward trend since 2009. Emerging markets are outcompeting traditional markets for this growth and it is expected that by 2030 a full 57% of international arrivals will go to emerging market economies. Facilitation of air travelers has now become a top priority of the UNWTO. While Canada lags behind world tourism growth rates, Nova Scotia is even further behind the rest of Canada in terms of tourism performance. In 2013, visitation to Nova Scotia dropped by 3% compared to an increase of 2% for the country as a whole. An exception is Cape Breton Island, which experienced a 5% increase in room nights sold in 2013 vs. 2012, bucking the trend of a ten year decline for the province as a whole. While growth from emerging markets has future potential, the most significant opportunity for Cape Breton Island remains in North America where there is a good product market match, and there exists massive untapped potential. Travel motivators such as the Cabot Trail, Fortress Louisbourg National Historic Site, and Cape Breton Highlands National Park are key assets. New private sector investment at Cabot Links is drawing unprecedented media attention, and proving that Cape Breton can compete on the North American stage. Cape Breton Island will not compete in this market based on price, but it must be able to compete on the access front. Success will be achieved because Cape Breton is unique and offers value for money, if the destination is seen as convenient to access. In order for Cape Breton Island to fully maximize growth opportunities in tourism, improved direct access from North America gateway airports must be a top priority. The proposed CBIA meets this need. The Airport is situated adjacent to the world famous Cabot Trail, and within three minute drive you can start an excursion on the iconic Cabot Trail and experience spectacular destinations including the Alexander Graham Bell Museum and the Cape Breton Highlands National Park. Airport customers will have convenient access for touring the Cabot Trail, exploring Canada’s Musical Coast, experiencing unique cultural experiences, exceptional fishing and world class golf. 13 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 6.3 Tourism Icons & Product within approximately One Hour of CBIA The Cabot Trail Scenic Drive The Ceilidh Trail Scenic Drive Celtic Colours International Festival (numerous venues) Canada’s Musical Coast Cape Breton Highlands National Park The Skyline Trail Alexander Graham Bell Museum, Baddeck UNESCO Biosphere Bras d’Or Lake Bell Bay Golf Course, Baddeck The Celtic Shores Coastal Trail (a leg of the TransCanada Trail) Cabot Links & Cabot Cliffs, Inverness Cheticamp & Acadian Region Le Portage Golf Club, Cheticamp La Centre de la Micareme, Grand Etang The Whale Interpretive Centre, Pleasant Bay Buddhist Shambhala Gampo Abbey, Pleasant Bay Glenora Distillery - North America’s only single malt Whisky Distillery The Margaree Heritage River (Salmon Fishing) The Celtic Music Interpretive Centre, Judique The Gaelic College, St. Anne Cape Mabou Trail System, Cape Mabou Home of the Rankin Family & The Red Shoe Pub, Mabou Eileim Breagha Winery, Marble Mountain Multitude of warm accessible beaches: Baxter Cove Beach Little Judique Harbour Lawrence’s Beach Boardwalk Park Beach Marble Mountain Beach Courthouse Beach West Mabou Beach Mabou Coal Mines Beach Inverness Beach Chimney Corner Beach Whale Cove Beach Margaree Harbour Beach Belle Cote Beach Grand Etang Harbour Beach Plage St. Pierre Beach Pleasant Bay Harbour *Not an inclusive list 14 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 6.6 Cabot Links Market Cabot Links is poised to become a true golfing mecca for those players in Canada and abroad who aspire to play one of the world’s premier Links and the only true links course in Canada. Cabot Links will become the benchmark against which all other courses in the province are measured. The development of Cabot Links Golf Course has been game changing. Since its opening in 2012, it has driven new incremental demand for travel to Cape Breton. In 2013, its first full season of operation, 72% of its visitors came from outside Atlantic Canada, with 25% coming from Ontario and 39% coming from the United States. The 2015 Cabot Cliffs expansion will ensure this demand continues to grow. From a tourism perspective Cabot Links and Cabot Cliffs will become the main driver for activity at the airport. Cabot continues to innovate and add to a globally attractive high-end and accessible golf product, has become a catalyst for re-charging the well-known experiential travel opportunities across Cape Breton, but specifically western Cape Breton, and more broadly, Cabot infuses the region with opportunities to alter provincial, regional, national and international perceptions about travel to Cape Breton Island as well as Nova Scotia (e.g. leverage/earned media). 6.7 Creative Economy The creative economy is the fastest growing business in the world. New ideas are the source of success today and the greatest source of personal satisfaction. The creative economy is revitalising manufacturing, services, retailing and entertainment industries. It is changing where people want to live, work and learn – where they think, invent and produce. 10 This region has a wealth of creative minds – musicians, writers and artisans. The depth and wealth of music and creative industries is most notable. Fiddling, music and dance is an authentic experience to this region where tourists can find local fiddle music everywhere – from local square dances halls, ceilidhs and entertainment in pubs and restaurants. The region could be known as the “land of a thousand fiddles” and can tout a long list of accomplished musicians such as Buddy MacMaster, Natalie MacMaster, Ashley MacIsaac and the Rankins. Newcomers come to the region to be entrenched in the music and culture with interest in taking programs at the Gaelic College and the Celtic Music Interpretive Music Centre; attending the annual Celtic Colours International Music Festival and local music venues; and choosing to reside and work here taking part of the creative economy. 10 The Creative Economy – John Howkins, 2013 15 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 6.8 Outdoor Enthusiast Western and Northern Cape Breton has an incredible backdrop for outdoor enthusiasts with miles of accessible coastline, dozens of warm sandy beaches, the Cape Breton Highlands National Park with incredible trails like the Skyline Trail, a network of coastal and interior trails, dozens of fishing harbours and Canada’s Inland Sea - the Bras d’Or Lake. One can find numerous whale watching and sailing tours, outfitters (for cycling, kayaking, fishing and hunting) and lots of opportunities for individual touring and exploration of Cape Breton. This region is becoming a destination for fishing and outdoor adventure – whether lobster fishing on the coast, or fly fishing for the Atlantic Salmon in the Margaree River, or trout and small mouth bass fishing in Lake Ainslie (Nova Scotia’s largest freshwater lake), or deep sea fishing for Bluefin tuna, cod, mackerel or shark in the Northumberland Strait and the Gulf of St. Lawrence – Inverness County provides great sea coast and interior lake fishing experiences. In Nova Scotia, anglers spend over 93 million dollars annually to support their outdoor passion creating jobs in tourism, transportation, retail goods, boating and more.11 Hike /Bike the Cabot Trail The Cape Breton Highlands National Park has many trails, ranging from short family walks to spectacular hiking expeditions like the Skyline Trail, Pollett's Cove trail or Roberts Mountain. There are dozens more within and around the communities; beach walks are common as well. 6.9 CBIA Market Targets Given these strengths, CBIA will focus on the following market segments: 1. Golfers and fly fishers on general aviation private planes 2. Golfers, fishers, and touring visitors (focus on creative, cultural and outdoor enthusiasts) on potential charters from Montreal, Toronto, and New York (with expansion potential to Massachusetts and Florida) 3. Tourists and residents on potential scheduled service from Toronto – new incremental visitors plus visitors and residents who are attracted to the convenience of the service. 7.0 Conclusion The opportunity exists for additional businesses to build on the success of Cabot Links. In the tourism sector alone, the natural and cultural advantages of Inverness County – warm sandy beaches, world class touring, authentic culture, spectacular coastline – combined with direct air access and available labour force, will position the entire area for new investment. The airport will become a critical tool for investment promotion and business attraction – in the tourism sector and beyond. 11 Sport Fishing and Game Hunting in Canada 2012, CTC Research & Evaluation, 2012 16 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 7.0 BEST PRACTICES / CASE STUDY In 2010 Genivar Inc., an engineering firm based out of Ontario, was hired to conduct a technical study and report on the viability of expanding the Margaree Airstrip. In 2012, Genivar was retained to update the technical report and provide socio-economic benefits of the proposed expansion of the Margaree airstrip. The Genivar Report highlights the Southwest Regional Airport, Oregon and the Basin Airport, Vermont to quantify the economic impact involving relationships between airport activities and tourism resort areas that include golfing facilities. The following are two airports whose success has been directly related to ease of access to high end niche/experiential tourism. 7.1 Bandon Dunes Golf Resort – Southwest Regional Airport Bandon Dunes in Oregon, currently judged to be the best golf resort in the world, opened in 1999 with its first 18-hole course, meeting with great success such that in the following years three more 18-hole courses were added. It is now the finest in America, and has become an important employer and contributor to the state economy. Mike Keizer, avid golfer and developer and owner of Bandon Dunes has become involved with a string of high-profile golf projects across the globe including Cabot Links and Cabot Cliffs. He is noted for developing successful links courses at a time when golf is struggling. A links is the oldest style of golf course, first developed in Scotland. Links courses tend to be on, or at least very near to, a coast, and the term is typically associated with coastal courses, often amid dunes, with few water hazards and few if any trees. This reflects both the nature of the scenery where the sport happened to originate, and the fact that only limited resources were available to golf course architects at the time, and any earth moving had to be done by hand, so it was kept to a minimum. Even today, some links courses do not employ a greens staff and are walking only courses. The Southwest Regional Airport is the gateway airport that serves the golf complex and region. It is the only commercial airport on the Oregon Coast and is served by "United Airlines" (Skywest) and SeaPort Airlines. The airport is seeing more private jets carrying golfers to Bandon Dunes Golf Resort a 20 minute drive from the airport. In 2010 there was an approximate 25,000 passengers landing at Brandon. 7.2 Mont-Tremblant International Airport The Mont-Tremblant International Airport is an additional case study that speaks to the kind of destination airport model in mind for the Cabot Trail. Mont-Tremblant is located in La Macaza, Quebec. The facility is a single runway airport located in the township of La Macaza. It is approximately 46 km north of Mont-Tremblant, in the 17 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 Laurentian Mountains, a city of about 9,500 people and one famous for its ski resorts. Mount Tremblant is increasingly known for hiking, cycling, canoeing, golfing, among other outdoor activities. In 1939, the Mont Tremblant Lodge and the mountain’s first chairlift opened, the initial steps towards transforming the sleepy northern hamlet into a major winterland resort. Travelers and ski enthusiasts did take notice, but it wasn’t until the resort was purchased 1991 that Mont Tremblant began to fully realize it’s potential. With the construction of the pedestrian village and its world-class shops, restaurants and airport, the destination was fully realized—for the past 8 years, Mont Tremblant has been recognized as the #1 ski resort in eastern North America, and has blossomed into a first-class yearround tourist destination. The airport was originally completed in 1962 as an RCAF facility to provide an emergency landing field, with a runway of just under 6,000 ft. It was also home to 447 SAM Squadron. After 1968, the station became CFB La Macaza and the base was finally closed in 1972. The region of Mont-Tremblant is more accessible than ever since the grand opening of the MontTremblant International Airport (YTM), in Rivière-Rouge. Located only 35 kilometeres (22 miles) from Tremblant Resort, the Mont-Tremblant International Airport (YTM) offers direct flights to and from New York and Toronto. The nearest airport is Montreal airport an hour and 20 minute drive away (127 km). Today the airport is classified as an airport of entry by NAV CANADA and is staffed by the Canada Border Services Agency. The airport consists of a small chalet style terminal building alongside of the runway. Starting out the terminal building was modest and has been expanded twice since the early 2000’s. The airport is served during the ski season and summer months by Porter Airlines. In 2009 MontTremblant Airport officials announced a $4.5M expansion plan, citing the planned development of the Mont Tremblant Casio, as well as increased traffic associated with winter and summer activities. 18 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 The plan calls for an increase to 25,000 square meters of runway space, from 5,000, and the expansion of the airport terminal facilities. Within this plan, the airport will extend the runway to 8,202 ft to allow larger jets to land, a larger terminal, and the addition of an aerodrome with a waterside terminal for floatplanes. The most interesting feature of the airport traffic is that, while the scheduled services was originally targeting ski season, the operating period was expanded as spring and summer outdoor activities and related services developed. From an economic development perspective, this generated a range of opportunities for small operators in low-cost of entry businesses, in equipment rentals, guiding, among other goods and service areas related to spring and summer outdoor activities. Mont Tremblant has year-round activities which take advantage of the surrounding environment (mountains, forest, lakes and rivers); most are set up on daily schedules and usually take the form of tours in small groups and are accessible to families; most are run by independent operators or specialized guides. Summer activities include airplane tours, all-terrain vehicle tours, croisieres, boating, caleche rides, canoeing trips, cycling, dune buggy tours, fishing tours, golf, helicopter tours, hiking, horseback riding, lake cruises, mountain biking, paintball games, rafting, rock climbing school, spas, via-ferratta, waterskiing and wakeboarding, white-water rafting and zip-lines. Winter activities include cross-country skiing, dogsledding, downhill skiing and ski schools, helicopter tours, horseback riding, ice-climbing, ice fishing, ice skating, paintball, sleigh rides, snowmobiling, snowshoeing, tubing and spas. 7.3 Conclusion The airports serving Bandon Dunes, Oregon and Mont Tremblant, Quebec are significant examples of the right mix of vision, high end tourism product investment and the investment into air access. Investment has paid off in creating lucrative operations and generating opportunities for independent operators and employment. There are lessons to be taken from both cases and best practice missions are planned to visit each site. 19 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 8.0 EXPANDED OPPORTUNITIES & ALTERNATIVE USES The Genivar Study illustrates projected charter and general aviation uses of the airport facility. This section includes related uses and activities leveraged from airport facility operations. While the tourism impact of the enabling infrastructure will likely be the main driver of the planned development of the CBIA, supporting the bulk of the business and economic case for the investment, there are several other tourism and economic related opportunities that should be highlighted or could be explored. The potential of these related opportunities is increased by having a modern airstrip, with IFR (instrument flight rules) capacity, as well as improved terminal facilities. 8.1 Conference Centre The development of the airport, the growth and profile of Cabot Links, and the investment in Cabot Cliffs provides a variety of co-marketing and co-packaging opportunities. With expanded capacity Cabot Links and the new Cabot Cliffs facility will have the capacity in 2015 to leverage new business for meetings and conferences for the area, extend the operating season of the facility, independent of golf demand and provide business opportunities for ground transport providers and other service industries. 8.2 Fly-In Residential Community Fly-in residential communities often develop with airport accessibility. Fly-in residential opportunities include: o Runway Fronting Hanger Homes, o Community Home Lots/ Cottage Lots, o Aircraft and Hangar Services, o Shared Aircraft Ownership Program, and o Communal Hangars. Considering the location of the airstrip, prime fly-in residential opportunities/targets for the Margaree River and area would be fly-fishing, outdoor and snowmobile enthusiasts. Fly-fishing – Current trends support this concept with general aviation arriving in Margaree from New England and Atlantic Canada purposefully for fishing salmon. The Margaree River (part of the Canadian Heritage River System) is the largest river system in Cape Breton with a total length of 120 kms. It is considered the best Atlantic salmon River in Atlantic Canada. The Margaree River passes handy to the airstrip and is easily walkable. Snowmobiling – Current snowmobiling trends support this concept with good numbers coming from Atlantic Canada for short stints for snowmobiling in the highlands. The Cape Breton Highlands snowmobile trails are one of Nova Scotia’s premiere snow belts with thousands of kilometres of trails encompassing the region and connectivity and access to accommodations, food, fuel and repairs. As part of the Group ATN Consulting work, a local cycle tour operator and a company that has offered ATV/snowmobile tours in the Inverness area were contacted. Interest in the potential of the CBIA and its expansion is high, with operators seeing positive impacts on their operations. 20 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 8.3 Outfitters/SME’s Land made available bordering airports draw and accommodate commercial operators in transportation, logistics, touring, outfitting and other sectors that are well suited. Mount-Tremblant, in particular, stands out as an example of potential expanded opportunities. With scheduled service aimed at the ski season, gradually the scheduled service was expanded into the spring and summer as the popularity of non-ski related outdoor activities developed. From an economic development perspective, this illustrates the potential of the CBIA as a tool to generate a range of opportunities for businesses and small operators. There are opportunities for operations that provide goods and services related to touring and outfitting (hiking, biking, kayaking, guiding, fishing, camping, hunting, snowmobiling and vehicle rentals) based at or near the airport facility. 8.4 Aviation related technology-park There are opportunities to attract and/or develop companies who are engaged in maintenance for structures work on aircraft. There is an interest expressed from an aviation mechanic to establish a service on site. 8.5 Clubs The Margaree Airstrip had an organized Skydiving club in the 1980’s. The existing hanger on site is a result of this period. The rejuvenation of a flying/diving club would support the community ownership and stewardship of the facilities when established. 8.6 Flying-Related Events The Margaree Airstrip has a history of hosting annual events around aviation attracting flyers and aircrafts from many different areas. The Margaree Fun Fly organized by the Cape Breton Radio Control Modelers is an annual event that has been held for 30 plus years. The event averages 60 modelers and over 100 aircrafts. The majority of participants come from Shearwater, Enfield and Annapolis Valley attracting good number of spectators. 8.7 Firefighting/Forestry Management /Search and Rescue Center/Training/Coordination The expansion of the facility and its accessibility throughout the year will improve its role in firefighting and forestry management, as well; the expansion will enhance the facilities competitiveness to host search and rescue/safety-related training. In the last 10 years, the military has occasionally used the facility for SAR technician training operations. 8.9 Cadet Summer Training Centre The CBI Airport will provide opportunity for cadet ground schools in this region. 8.10 Conclusion The CBI Airport can impact small businesses and enterprises (SME’s) operations, existing and new, on the front lines of generating “see and do“product. Lessons from Mount-Tremblant International Airport and its trajectory suggest strong potential for development of non-golf related activities which could become complimentary to golf and other Cabot Trail and indeed Cape Breton tourism product. SMEs that are impacted by a new access point / entry point into the Cabot Trail and barriers to entry and 21 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 business expansion are relatively low, from both a capital investment perspective as well as a business infrastructure perspective. Other expanded and alternative uses of the CBIA that can emerge include residential fly-in communities, touring and outfitter operations, aviation maintenance and service, and expanded season tourism product development. 22 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 9.0 AIRF IELD T ECHNICAL F EASIBLIT Y ST UDY In 2010, Genivar Engineering Consultants conducted an initial development concept and preliminary costs estimates of the Margaree Airstrip. Over the past three year we have undertaken further work to update technical studies and provide social-economic benefits. After weighing several potential site locations, Inverness Municipality and the consultant technical team have recommended the Margaree site. The technical document provides project description, site inspections, airfield technical feasibility and an airport development marketing analysis. The Margaree Airstrip is owned and operated by Inverness Municipality. The site was selected for in-depth analysis due to its proximity to the community of Inverness and the fact that the expansion of an existing airport site is generally more technically feasible than developing a new site. The study explores the expansion of the existing Margaree Airport 2,500 foot runway to a runway length of 5,000 feet and double the width. An inspection of the proposed Margaree site was conducted by Genivar Inc. in March 2012. The intent of the site inspection was to perform a review of the existing site conditions, to obtain preliminary topographic and geotechnical (soils) information along the proposed runway expansion and to verify preliminary analysis. The feasibility study concluded that the runway 01 - 19 was technically feasible for expansion. Factors that influenced the feasibility include: Average Usability Factors Based On Winds 80.16 % OLS Terrain Obstructions Runway Length Impacts Land Acquisition Requirements Capital Costs / m2 Terrain Obstructions Mitigated 5000 ft. Length Maintained Land Reportedly Available for Development $148.63 Other factors that contributed to a favorable site: As the Margaree site is an existing airport, there is less perceived potential for public objection to the airport expansion as opposed to the development of a new airport at an underdeveloped site. There is minimal residential development. The native subgrade material appears to be suitable for sub-base and will reduce the estimated costs. There is an existing gravel pit located on the proposed lands to be acquired. The proximity of the gravel source would reduce the estimated construction costs for the project. The Airfield Technical Feasibility Study concluded that it is technically feasible to expand the existing runway at the Margaree Airport to a TP312 compliant Code 3C, Instrument, Non-Precision runway. Inverness Municipality has recently purchased Lidair and wind rose data from Leading Edge Geomatics for the next phase of geotechnical study. See attached – WPS correspondence re: alignment & predesign work. Note that Genivar Inc. has merged into a new company called WPS. 23 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 10.0 ECONOMIC IMPACT The Genivar report provided estimated traffic flow and revenue for the CBIA. The report provided estimates for visitation, by trip purpose, as well as direct spending. The categories of visitation that were considered, based on case studies of three comparable facilities, are noted in bullet format and in the following chart. General Aviation, achieving nearly 4,200 passengers by 2021 and direct revenue generation, accruing to the region through visitor related spending, of $1,800,200 per year by 2021. Charter Flights, based on assuming a three-day minimum stay per visitor, and average spending per day of $200, would generate direct annual revenues to the local economy of $1.428 million in 2016, and $2.52 million per year by 2021. Other Flight Impacts, based on an average direct spending of $300 per passenger gives direct revenues to the region of $135,000 in 2016 and $172,000 per year by 2021. Cape Breton Island Airport - Estimated Traffic Flow and Revenues (Source: Genivar Report, 2012) Type of Client General Aviation Charter Flights Other Itinerants Total 2016 Arriving Passengers 3,255 2,380 450 6,085 2016 Local Revenues $1,410,500 $1,428,000 $135,000 $2,973,500 2021 Arriving Passengers 4,200 4,200 575 8,975 2021 Local Revenues $1,800,200 $2,520,00 $172,000 $4,492,000 The cumulative potential clientele could reach over 6,000/year in 2016 and almost 9,000/year by the year 2021. Direct revenues from the expanded airport could reach about $3 million per year in 2016, and almost $5 million in 2021. This equates to a per-person direct spending/revenue of $470 in 2016 to $499 by 2021. 10.1 Further Economic Impact Analysis In 2014, Group ATN Consulting was hired to do further work in estimating the indirect and induced impacts associated with the spending. Group ATN Consulting used the Genivar Report document as a base providing estimates for visitation; however their research found that Genivar’s estimates on direct spending were low. Using the most current industry Fact Sheet from the NSTA and their values Group ATN Consulting were able to develop new tables calculating per visitor impacts associated with visitation projections associated with the CBI Airport expansion. Combined, the general aviation, charter flights, and other flight impacts outlined in the Genivar report spend an average of $299 per day during their trip, staying for an average of 1.7 days, for a total per trip expenditure of just over $500. 24 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 10.2 Big Spenders Segment By comparison, the average non-NS per person spending per day is $170 for the overall average tourist and just over $525 per person, per day for the so called “Big Spenders” market segment. Economic and Rural Development and Tourism had developed a series of visitor profiles, including one for the “Big Spender Segment”. Big Spenders staying 1 night spend $817 per party, not including air, and the average party size is 1.9). The average per night expenditure of $525.53, per person, for those staying two nights. The report is located at the NSTA’s website: http://novascotiatourismagency.ca/sites/default/files/page_documents/big_spenders.pdf. 10.3 Findings: Impact of 6,000 Visitors By 2016 If the 6,000 visitors had spending characteristics more like the “Big spenders” market segment, total direct revenues would be in the order of $5.26 million by 2021, as shown in the following table (all figures are in millions, except for employment, which reports the number of jobs). Table 1 – Tourism Impact of 6,000 Passengers to CBIA, Estimated based “Big Spender” Per Diems and NSTA Reported Tourism Impacts, by 2016 Effects Impact of Impact of NonTotal Impact Golf Related Golf Related Air of Air Travel Air Travel Travel Total Revenues $3.94 $1.31 $5.25 Tax Revenues Direct Provincial Revenues $0.27 $0.09 $0.36 Spin-off Provincial $0.10 $0.03 $0.14 Revenues Total Provincial Revenues $0.37 $0.12 $0.50 Direct Federal Revenues $0.23 $0.08 $0.30 Spin-off Federal Revenues $0.10 $0.03 $0.13 Total Federal Revenues $0.33 $0.11 $0.44 Overall Tax Total Revenues $0.70 $0.23 $0.94 Direct GDP $1.40 $0.47 $1.87 Employment Direct Employment 48.51 16.17 64.68 Spin-off Employment 20.14 6.71 26.85 Total Employment 68.65 22.88 91.53 Household Income Direct Household Income $1.03 $0.34 $1.37 Spin-off Household Income $0.69 $0.23 $0.92 Total Household Income $1.72 $0.57 $2.30 Visitors 6750 2250 9000 25 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 The $5.25 million in direct revenue would have the following impacts: $0.50 million in provincial revenues and $0.44 million in federal revenues, for a combined $0.94 million in overall tax revenues through direct and spin-off impacts; $1.87 million in total contributions to Gross Domestic Product; 91.5 jobs through the combination of an estimated 64.7 direct employment positions and 26.9 jobs through spin-off employment impacts; and $1.37 million in direct household income and $0.92 million in spin-off household income, for a combined $2.3 million in household income through direct and spin-off impacts. 10.4 Findings: Impact of 9,000 Visitors By 2021 If the 9,000 visitors had spending characteristics more like the “Big Spenders” market segment, total direct revenues would be on the order of $7.9 million by 2021, as shown in the following table (all figures are in millions, except for employment, which reports the number of jobs). Effects Effects Total Revenues (Millions) Tax Revenues (Millions) Direct Provincial Revenues Spin-off Provincial Revenues Total Provincial Revenues Direct Federal Revenues Spin-off Federal Revenues Total Federal Revenues Overall Tax Total Revenues (Millions) Direct GDP (Millions) Employment (Number of Jobs) Direct Employment Spin-off Employment Total Employment Household Income (Millions) Direct Household Income Spin-off Household Income Total Household Income Impact of Golf Related Air Travel $5.91 Impact of NonGolf Related Air Travel $1.97 Total Impact of Air Travel $0.41 $0.15 $0.14 $0.05 $0.55 $0.20 $0.56 $0.19 $0.75 $0.34 $0.15 $0.49 $1.05 $0.11 $0.05 $0.16 $0.35 $0.45 $0.20 $0.65 $1.40 $2.10 $0.70 $2.80 72.77 24.26 97.02 30.21 102.98 10.07 34.33 40.28 137.30 $1.54 $0.51 $2.06 $1.04 $2.58 6,750 $0.35 $0.86 2,250 $1.39 $3.44 9,000 $7.88 26 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 The $7.9 million in direct revenue would have the following impacts: $0.75 million in provincial revenues and $0.65 million in federal revenues, for a combined $1.4 million in overall tax revenues through direct and spin-off impacts; $2.8 million in total contributions to Gross Domestic Product; 137.3 jobs through the combination of an estimated 97 direct employment positions and 40 jobs through spin-off employment impacts; and $2.06 million in direct household income and $1.39 million in spin-off household income, for a combined $3.44 million in household income through direct and spin-off impacts. Given the cost of green fees, accommodations, food and beverages, ground transportation, and air travel, it is difficult to imagine a per person per diem of less than $525, suggesting the Genivar direct spending estimates may be conservative. For example, estimating the cost of a return flight from Toronto to CBIA, and including a per day provision for accommodations ($150), green fees ($130), ground transportation ($50), meals and beverages ($80), and air ($750) for an overnight stay, yields a per person expenditure of nearly $560 per day.12 10.5 Cape Breton Golf A study completed by Golf Cape Breton in 2012, concluded the combination of the six Cape Breton golf courses had an impact of 403 direct and spinoff jobs, $7.47 million in household income, $9.21 million in GDP and $1.72 million in taxes. Golf Cape Breton is well positioned to cross market and package Cape Breton golf experiences. 10.6 Tourism Economic Vitality Tourism, of course, impacts communities and the people of Cape Breton Island in many ways. Tourism accounts for those employees using their wages to purchase goods and services, including housing, transportation, food, clothing, healthcare and entertainment. The money invested into our local economy by tourists circulates throughout our economy several times over, providing ongoing economic impact that would disappear entirely without tourism. Tourists also pay taxes. Transaction taxes collected from tourists include sales tax, hospitality fees, fuel tax, accommodations tax and education tax. Some tourists decide to relocate here and purchase a home. Other tourists invest in investment properties and/or second homes. In short, tourism is one of the strongest contributors – and one of the few truly renewable resources - that Cape Breton has. The impact of private sector investment in the development and opening of Cabot Links on the community of Inverness is a good case in point. Workers and entrepreneurs have been attracted to the community. At a time when rural communities across Nova Scotia are in financial crisis, tax revenues have increased by 82% over the past ten years (compared with an increase of 55% Cheticamp) and the tax rate has remained stable. Businesses are investing in façade improvements supporting a program 12 Potential Impacts of the Cape Breton Island Airport, Group ATN Consulting, 2014 27 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 (2014-15) with twenty-five businesses participating to improve the main street of Inverness. Population in the Inverness elementary school is increasing, and in 2013/14 the primary class had to be split due to an increase in size. 10.6 Conclusion Airports offer increased accessibility, which in turn fuels the tourism sector. With an increase in the number of visitors and airport users, more money flows into the local economy. With increased economic activity and employment, consumer behaviors change, raising the standard of living of the people in the region. It is estimated that in a first year of operation, the airport would facilitate travel by 6,000 incremental visitors, generating $5.26 million direct revenues and an estimated 65 new direct jobs and another 27 jobs through spin-off employment impacts. By year 5, visitors would increase to 9000, generating $7.9 million in incremental revenue and estimated new direct jobs number grows to 97 and jobs through spin-off employment would grow to 40. 28 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 11.0 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT BUSINESS CONCEPT 11.1 Cape Breton Island Airport Inverness Municipality’s objective is to invest in the enhancement of airport infrastructure that will produce broad public benefits, and contribute to economic growth, a clean environment and stronger communities. This section describes project timeline, management structure, infrastructure requirements and related plans and projections (capital and operations) for the Cape Breton Island Airport. The aerodrome facility will be developed to meet safety standards and in accordance to national standards. Upon developing partnerships the business concept will be further developed with a full business plan and operational plan. 11.2 Targeted Project Timeline Funding Commitment Phase Planning Phase Building Phase Airport Operations Dec 2014 – February 2015 Mar – Sep 2015 Oct 2015 – Apr 2016 May 2016 11.3 Mission The Cape Breton Island Airport mission is to be: 1) the tourism gateway to western and northern Cape Breton, 2) a base for charter aircraft operation and general aviation activities and support, and 3) a potential base for specialized aircraft overhaul and maintenance. The CBI airport’s main strength will be located closer to tourism product amenities reducing the transit time of clients seeking 1 – 4 day excursions. 11.4 Target Markets & Approach Our business case is built on demand from tourists. We know there is a huge population within three flying hours of the airport – this will be our target. The primary markets for the airport are charter aircraft operations and general aviation flying in to Cabot Links and Cabot Cliffs from the US and Canada (within a three flying hours) and secondary markets are all other tourism destinations throughout the Cabot Trail region and broader. Inverness Municipality will work with Cabot Links to entice/motivate airlines such as West Jet, Provincial Airlines and Porter to provide direct flights from Toronto and direct flights from Northeast USA (Boston, Newark or other) to Halifax (clearing customs) and a flight on to Cape Breton Island Airport. 11.5 Management Structure The Municipality of the County of Inverness will be the proponent to own, develop and manage the Cape Breton Island Airport. A Community Advisory Board has been struck bringing together local stakeholders with mutual interest (including Cabot Links) in airport development and to facilitate co- 29 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 marketing activities. A Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) between the Advisory Board and the municipality will be developed to identify clear roles and responsibilities. A general manager will be hired reporting to the Municipal Advisory Committee. The general manager will be responsible for general operations. The Municipality will oversee airport accounting and reporting system. The Municipality of Inverness is open to exploring contracting/leasing arrangements for operating airport business. 11.6 Service The CBIA will initially operate seven months of the year, starting in April and ceasing operations in November until an expanded service model is warranted. The CBIA business concept is based on the Mont Tremblent Airport model. CBI Airport is projecting: 2 flights per week from Toronto and from Northeast USA (Boston, Newark or other) starting in first year of operations (2016) and growing to 4 flights per week by 2019 An average 50-seat aircraft. General aviation from Canada and the USA The design of aircraft anticipated for the proposed airfield are the Bombardier Dash 8-300, Dash 8 Q400 and the future C-Series, based on the typical aircraft types anticipated to be used by scheduled air carriers to service the site. A number of general aviation (GA) aircraft are also anticipated, ranging from the Cessna Skyhawk to the King Air 200 and as large as Cessna Citation Bravo and the Learjet 45X. In the case of general aviation landings from the US, Custom Services would be called out of Sydney. There is a requirement for more traffic before seeking more permanent Custom Services. 11.7 Infrastructure The technical study reinforces that the runway infrastructure and investment in place at the current Margaree airstrip would be equivalent to about $2.85 million (2010 dollars) and will decrease the costs of building a new airstrip by that amount. The runway expansion plan is to increase the length of the existing runway from 2,500 ft. to 5,000 ft. long and increased width from 75 ft.to 100 ft. wide. The airport plan includes a navigation system to locate the aerodrome and to assist in poor weather landing procedures; airport lighting, an associated apron and taxiway, a fuel dispensing system; and airfield equipment. Cost estimates are based on 2014 estimates. For future growth potential, Inverness Municipality will prepare a modest commercial development lot and establish a land reserve for the ultimate development of a public terminal when passenger demand becomes well established. 30 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 Two additional parcels of land must be acquired to meet the recommended land (165 hectares) required to accommodate the airstrip expansion. The municipality has budgeted $300,000 for the land acquisition and has started the process of acquiring land and will resort to expropriation of the land if necessary. 11.8 Portable Building The Technical Feasibility Study proposed an Air Terminal Building (1,256 m2) to serve corporate/general aviation needs as well as accommodate commercial air service estimated to be $4.7 million. There will be a five year period before needing a full sized building to handle projected volume. As an appropriate solution for the onset Inverness Municipality plans to purchase a mobile building 24’ x 46’ (1,104 ft. sq.) as a fixed base operator facility providing a gateway experience for tourism market clientele. Passenger and baggage screening would be conducted through Sydney & Halifax Airports. The following is an estimate of functional space. Portable Building Functional Space Feet sq. Public Waiting Check-In Washrooms Coffee Bar Car Rental Concession Baggage Claim Area Administration Office Pilots Rest Area Flight Planning Area Storage Mechanical/Electric Janitorial Sub-total 300 50 75 20 20 200 50 50 20 35 35 20 875 Circulation / Structure @ 25% Total 218 1,093 11.10 Aerodrome Operations Manual and Related Plans The aviation community, and especially the corporate, business and high-end tourism markets will normally assume that the airport meets safety standards. Consequently in addition to ensuring that the facility is developed in accordance with national standard, management will ensure as a minimum that the following are developed: A formal organization for operational management of the airport. A Safety Management System (SMS) with an “accountable executive”. The development of an Aerodrome Operations Manual (AOM). An Emergency Plan (coordinated with local resources). 31 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 A Wildlife Plan. 11.11 Preliminary Work With the agreement of funding partners to support the Cape Breton Airport concept in principle, the project will proceed to the next steps which include: 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) A detailed geo-technical investigation A detailed topical survey A detailed obstruction survey An environmental assessment A primary airfield design Updated construction costs estimates 11.12 Airport Business & Marketing Plan Upon receiving updated construction cost estimates, a formal Airport Business/Marketing Plan will be developed, followed by the development of marketing materials. The plan would include as a minimum: Value Proposition Mission and Objectives Mission Statement Market Segments and Business Opportunities Targeted Market Segments Marketing Objectives Positioning Statement Target Firms Promotional Planning and Strategy Messaging Themes Pricing Strategy Operational Plan Capital and Operational Projections Cash Flow Projections Implementation Action Plan and Budget 11.13 Airport Capital Estimates The Genivar Study and recent aviation studies and airport operational financials have been reviewed to put together an estimate of capital costs and operational projections for the Cape Breton Island Airport. Inverness Municipality estimates that capital costs will be an approximate $9.4 million. See section 12.0 Financial Projections – Capital Cost Estimate, Page 34. 11.14 Airport Operations Inverness Municipality has representation on the Port Hawkesbury Regional Airport Management Committee. The Port Hawkesbury Airport, located minutes from the Canso Causeway, has experienced increased business due to Cabot Links attracting golfers arriving by general aviation. Operational revenue has increased by $80,000 annually in airport fees and fuel sales within two years Cabot Links has been in operation (2012 – 2014). This increased revenue is exclusively golfer generated. The $80,000 in revenues is transferable with the opening of CBIA securing well over 50% of operations for the new facility. 32 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 Port Hawkesbury Airport operational revenue and expenses were factored in for CBIA financial projections. Operational costs are estimated to be an approximate $130,000 (2014) growing to $190,000 (2021) with operational revenue in the same range. See section 12.2 Operational Projections, Page 35. and Appendix D - Airport Fees Forecast Assumptions and Appendix E - Airport Refueling Forecast Assumptions. Inverness Municipality is committed to support an operational short-fall. 33 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 12.0 FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS 12.1 Cape Breton Island Airport - Capital Costs Estimates # Runway Expansion Description Estimate 1 2 3 Pre-Design Work Fee Land Acquisition Costs Runway Expansion Cost (01 – 19) Subtotal Geo-technical, survey, design 165 hectares (includes items - see below) $44,0000 $300,000 $6,542,500 $6,886,500 One runway end installation $360,000 $150,000 $330,000 $840,000 4 5 6 Airport Operational Infrastructure NAVAID – ODALS Approach Lighting System NAVAIDS Airfield Security Fencing Sub-total 7 8 9 10 11 Terminal Building ATCO Portable Building & Site Prep Electrical Septic Disposal System Well (drilled) & water system Building equipment & furniture Sub-total 12 13 14 Support Infrastructure AVGAS Compound & fuel dispensing system Overhead lighting User passenger parking lot Sub-total 17 18 Engineering, Design, Plans & Contingency (9 %) HST (4.286% payable portion) TOTAL Notes: $100 /metre 24’ x 46’ Office setup, counters, seating $116,000 $5,000 $25,000 $15,000 $20,000 $181,000 Self-serve, above ground $250,000 $75,000 $20,000 $345,000 Includes plans /inspection/contract administration on $8,995,225 $742,725 $385,535 $9,380,760 1–3 Capital Estimates derived from 2012 Genivar Geo-technical Study & Pre-Design Work Proposal 3 Includes electrical, airfield edge lighting, taxiway and ramp area, NAVAID – PAPI and airfield signage 4–6 Cost estimates acquired from Port Hawkesbuy Airport Feasibility Study, CBCL - 2014 7 Quote provided for ATCO building 8 – 11 Cost estimates provided by Inverness Municipality – Public Works 12 – 14 Cost estimates acquired form Port Hawkesbury Airport Feasibility Study, CBC - 2014 17 Engineering, Design & Contingency previously incorporated in Genivar Runway Expansion Costs at $457,500. Full project calculated at 9%. 34 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 12.2 Cape Breton Island Airport - Operational Projections Revenue 21 22 23 24 25 26 Landing/ Parking Fees GA Fuel Sales (profit) Charter Fuel Sales Land Rental Fees Municipal ACOA / Province 2015 2016 $50,000 $19,725 $87,000 $3,750 $2,000 $14,525 2017 $24,920 $91,350 $8,500 $2,000 $18,530 2018 2019 2020 2021 $31,035 $38,990 $43,495 $48,000 $95,700 $100,050 $104,400 $108,750 $14,250 $22,000 $26,000 $30,000 $2,000 $2,500 $2,500 $2,500 $20,515 $10,660 $5,605 $1,850 $50,000 $127,000 $145,300 $163,500 $174,200 $182,000 $191,100 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 Expenses Accounting & Legal $5,000 $2,500 $2,500 $2,500 $3,000 $3,000 $3,500 Advertising $5,000 $6,500 $8,000 $9,500 $10,000 $10,500 Insurance 7,500 $7,800 $8,000 $8,200 $8,400 $8,600 Light & Heat 5,000 $5,200 $5,400 $5,600 5,800 $6,000 Materials & Supplies 5,000 $5,200 $5,400 $5,600 $5,800 $6,000 Management $40,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $62,000 $63,000 $64,000 Assistant $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 $30,000 $35,000 $40,000 Supplies/Miscellaneous $3,000 $3,000 $3,500 $4,000 $4,500 $5,000 $5,500 Telephone $2,000 $2,000 $2,100 $2,200 $2,300 $2,400 $2,500 Equipment & Repairs $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 $3,500 $4,000 $4,500 Capital Reserve $40,000 $40,000 $40,000 $40,000 $40,000 $40,000 Total $50,000 $127,000 $145,300 $163,500 $174,200 $182,000 $191,100 38 Income 39 Capital Replacement Accumulative 0 0 $40,000 0 0 0 0 0 $80,000 $120,000 $160,000 $200,000 $240,000 Notes: 21 See Appendix B & C for assumptions 22 GA Fuel Sales based on increased business at P.H. Airport associated to Cabot Links and increased 5% annually 24 Assumption of some rental fees for land (maintenance & repair) 25 Municipal contribution based on operational shortfall 27 – 36 Expenses based on P.H. Airport operations 26 Government funding for planning assistance (75 %) 32 Manager wage or contract @ 8 months x $5,000/mo. Wages increase in following years for part-time assistance 33 Wage for assistant predominately during flight arrivals and departures 35 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 12.3 Cape Breton Island Airport - Proposed Funding Formula Inverness Municipality is prepared to invest its share into the capital costs of an airport. The following chart shows potential funding partners over a two fiscal year period (2015/16 and 2016/17) for the purpose of discussion. Total eligible costs for Build Canada Fund is $9,080,760 (does not include $300,000 for land acquisition). Government Level Funding Partner Contribution Municipal The Municipality of the County of Inverness $3,026,920 (33.3%) Provincial NS Municipal Service & Relations Dept of Transportation Economic Development $3,026,920 (33.3%) Federal Build Canada Fund $3,026,920 (33.3%) $9,080,760 (100%) TOTAL 12.4 Equity / Cost-Savings There is an approximate $3,000,000 of stakeholder equity in the Cape Breton Island Airport concept to date. This amount includes the Technical Feasibility Report, acquisition of LiDAR Survey and the estimated value of the Margaree airstrip reducing the overall project cost (as noted in the Technical Feasibility Report). Item Description Existing Airfield Technical Feasibility Report LiDAR Survey Total Developed base and runway Genivar Data Acquisition & Procession (25 km2 Area) Estimated Costs $2,850,000 $70,000 $20,500 $2,940,500 36 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 13.0 NEXT STEPS The following are considered to be the next crucial steps: Project Timeline Project Activity Immediate Community Advisory Committee Meeting Municipal Council Planning Session Stakeholder Letters of Support Informal Meetings with Stakeholders Short-Term Application & Proposal Submitted Geo-Technical Work Description Timeline Review Business Concept & Strategy Review proposal/ endorsement of plan Proposal Executive Summary Jun 20, 2014 Draft Proposal with letters of support Jun - Aug 2014 Build Canada Fund NS Transportation & Infrastructure Renewal (NST&IR) Nov 2014 Update Capital Costs Nov 2014 Jun 23, 2014 Jul- Sep 2014 Pending Funding Approval Architectural Drawings Environmental Assessment Building Permits Business Plan/ Marketing Strategy / Operational Plan completed Operations Manual & Related Plans Environmental Assessments MOU with Community Advisory Committee Airstrip Expansion & Infrastructure Implementation Request for construction bids Contractors awarded work General Manager hired Building & Equipment Marketing Materials Mar 2015 – Sep 2015 Oct 2015 – May 2015 37 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 Appendix A Cape Breton Airport on the Cabot Trail ____________________________________________________________________________________ 38 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 Appendix B General Aviation Demand Forecast Assumptions (Genivar Report) ____________________________________________________________________________________ General Aviation Forecast Assumptions The golf courses and other tourist facilities will be open 7 months of the year (April to November), i.e.217 days per year or 31 weeks; General aviation visitors from Nova Scotia within a 1 hour flight time: 2 per day during weekdays and 5 during weekends days (Saturday and Sunday); General aviation visitors from outside Nova Scotia or more than one hour flight: 5 per week end day; Average number of passengers per aircraft = 3.5 Average duration of stay: same day for flights less than one hour and 2 days for other visitors. Based on the examples from Basin Harbour and Southwest Regional Airport, it is expected that general aviation aircraft will be as detailed in Table 5-6. Summary of General Aviation Assumptions (7 month season) General Aviation Projections Week Days Weekends Totals # of flights/wk Number of Days per Year # of flights / year Aircraft Arrivals – One Hour Flight Aircraft Arrivals – More than One Hour Flight Sub-total Passengers (3.5/arrival) Duration of Stay (days) The number of days Spend per Day per Person Total Spending 5 155 4 62 310 0 310 1,085 1 1,085 $100 $108,500 310 310 620 2,170 2 4,340 $300 $1,302,000 9 217 270 310 310 930 3,255 5,425 $1,410,500 39 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 Appendix C Charter Flight Demand Forecast Assumptions ____________________________________________________________________________________ Charter Flight Assumptions (made in Genivar Report) Charter flight organized on a periodic basis from Toronto and New York/Boston provided an aggressive and original marketing strategy offering a Fly-in package including, for example: o Air travel to and from destination o A minimum of 3 days stay at a beach or golf resort, including fees, accommodations, meals and amenities, o Possible additional activities such as an air or land tour of the Cabot Trail, etc; o Average 50-seat aircraft The proposed assumptions for this niche market are the following: o A 2 flight per week schedule from Toronto and from New York/Boston with a 50 seater aircraft, minimum 70% occupancy (35 passengers) during a 4 month period starting in 2016 and increasing gradually to 7 month period in year 5 (2021) o Given these assumptions, the potential clientele could reach a weekly capacity of 200 passenger arrivals (includes 2 flights from Toronto and 2 flights New York/Boston) within a 3-year horizon of opening the airport. Summary of Charter Flight Assumptions (7 month season) Charter Flight Projections 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Flights/week Scheduled – 50 seat capacity # of months/week 1 2 3 4 4 4 3.5 mo 15 wks. 15 60% 30 30 450 2 days $560 4 mo. 17 wks. 34 70% 35 70 1,190 3 days $560 4.5 mo. 19 wks. 57 70% 35 105 1,995 3 days $560 5 mo. 22 wks 88 70% 35 140 3,080 3 days $560 6 mo. 26 wks. 104 70% 35 140 3,640 3 days $560 7 mo. 30 wks 120 70% 35 140 4,200 3 days $560 $504,000 $1,000,200 $3,351,600 $5,174,400 $6,115,200 $7,056,000 # of flights/ season % of occupancy # of pass/flight # pass/wk. Total pass/year Average stay Aver spending/day Annual Revenue Note: The above chart shows a two-year ramp-up period before getting to the projected 4 flights/year (Genivar Report). This chart was used for operation projections. 40 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 Appendix D Airport Fees Forecast Assumptions ____________________________________________________________________________________ Projected Landing & Overnight Fees Projected landing and overnight fees generated from General Aviation flights and Charter flights are based on flight numbers as project in Appendix A and B. The fee structures for landings are estimated at $75 for smaller aircraft and $200 for charter aircraft. The fee structures for overnights are estimated at $75 for smaller aircraft and $200 for charter aircraft. Operation revenue generated from landing and overnight fees is estimated to be $19,725 in first year of operations and increasing to $48,000 in 2021. Airport Fees / Revenue 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 # of General Aviation Flights (1 – 9 seat) # of General Aviation Flights (over 10 seats) Landing Fees (GA) - $75/aircraft # of Charters Landing Fees (Charters)- $200 # of Overnight (15%) Overnight Fees $75 (GA) or $200 (Charters) Total 200 17 210 18 220 19 230 20 240 21 250 22 $16,275 15 $3,000 $17,100 34 $6,800 $17,925 $18,750 $19,575 57 88 104 $11,400 $17,600 $20,800 $20,400 120 $24,000 $450 $1,020 $1,710 $3,600 $19,725 $24,920 $31,035 $38,990 $43,495 $2,640 $3,120 $48,000 41 CAPE BRETON ISLAND AIRPORT PROPOSAL – November 2014 Appendix E Airport Refueling Forecast Assumptions ____________________________________________________________________________________ Baseline Data for Fuel Sales – General Aviation The Cape Breton Island Airport has assumed that the increase in General Aviation and fuel sales at the Port Hawkesbury Airport associated with Cabot Links visitations is transferable to the new airport. Revenue sources increased proportionally with increased air traffic associated with Cabot Links starting in 2013. Base line data derived from the difference between 2014 and 2012. P.H. Airport 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jet Fuel Profit User Fees $20,839 $6,543 $24,259 $10,535 $19,823 $14,571 $73,440 $15,976 $107,690 $19,428 Jet Fuel for General Aviation is likely to be sold at a markup of $0.65. Projections for Charter Fuel Sales Charter Flight Projections 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 # of flights/ season 50% 2,500 li @.$0.20 15 7.5 $3,750 34 17 $8,500 57 28.5 $14,250 88 44 $22,000 104 52 $26,000 120 60 $30,000 Assumptions made: Aircraft such as the Dash 8 200, 300 or 400 size will require will refuel purchasing the amount of fuel to get them to the next destination plus alternate and 45 minutes. It is reasonable to estimate that each aircraft departing of this category would uplift 2,000 to 3,000 litres of jet A1 (Average 2,500 litres) $0.15 to $0.30 mark-up on fuel (Used and average of $0.20) 50% of flights are factored for refueling 42