M W
Transcription
M W
Policy and Promotion of Offshore Wind Power in Taiwan Thousand Wind Turbines Project Dr. Ssu-yuan Hu / Office Manager Thousand Wind Turbines Promotion Office operated by Industrial Technology Research Institute supervised by Bureau of Energy, MOEA All rights reserved. No part of this confidential report may be reproduced in any form or by any means without written permission from ITRI. Overview Wind Resource in Taiwan Promotion Targets & Strategies Marine Industrial Planning Focus of Cooperation © copyright 2015 ITRI 1 Taiwan Offshore Wind Potential Shallow Water (5-20 m) • Area: 1,779.2 km2 • Potential: 9 GW • Feasible: 1.2 GW Deep Water (20-50 m) • Area: 6,547 km2 • Potential: 48 GW • Feasible: 5 GW Deeper Water (> 50 m) • Potential: 90 GW • Feasible: 9 GW Pacific Ocean Simulated by NCAR WRF 3.0 model © copyright Ref. “Wind Resource Assessment Handbook,” ITRI, 2011 2015 ITRI 2 Current Status of Wind Development 金沙 4 MW (2x) Onshore (by the end of Aug 2015) • State-owned: 169 WTs / 294 MW • Private: 160 WTs / 350 MW • Total: 329 WTs / 644 MW (15.5 % of all RE) 觀園 大潭 30 MW (20x) 15.1 MW (8x) 石門 3.96 MW (6x) 新竹香山 12 MW (6x) 林口 6 MW (3x) 台中港 36 MW (18x) 觀威 43.7 MW (19x) 台中電廠 6 MW (3x) 桃威 4.6 MW (2x) 彰工 62 MW (31x) 豐威 11.5 MW (5x) 王功 23 MW (10x) 春風 1.75 MW (1x) 雲麥 46 MW (23x) 崎威 6.9 MW (3x) 中屯 4.8 MW (8x) 竹南 (苗栗) 7.8 MW (4x) 龍威 34 MW (16x) • 2014 Production: ≈ 1,500 GWh (15.2 % of all RE) Offshore 蘆竹 7.2 MW (8x) 大鵬 (苗栗) 42 MW (21x) 通威 23 MW (10x) 湖西 5.4 MW (6x) 中威 75.9 MW (33x) 四湖 28 MW (14x) 鹿威 96.6 MW (42x) 恆春 4.5 MW (3x) 麥寮 2.64 MW (4x) • No offshore wind turbine has been installed yet. State-owned Private © copyright Ref. Bureau of Energy, Ministry of Economic Affairs, TAIWAN 2015 ITRI 3 Targets for Wind Power Thousand Wind Turbines Project 千架海陸風力機計畫 • Short-term Target: 4 demonstration offshore wind turbines by 2016 • Mid-term Target: Offshore 520 MW, total 1,720 MW by 2020 • Long-term Target: Offshore 4,000 MW, total 5,200 MW by 2030 1,250 4,500 Installed Capacity Turbines 1,400 1,200 1,000 3,600 800 2,700 1,800 600 311 400 900 200 0 Year Onshore Offshore Total Turbines Installed Capacity (MW) 5,400 0 2013 MW WTs 614 311 0 0 614 311 2015 MW 737 0 737 2020 MW 1,200 520 1,720 2025 MW 1,200 2,000 3,200 2030 MW WTs 1,200 450 4,000 800 5,200 1,250 © copyright Ref. Bureau of Energy, Ministry of Economic Affairs, TAIWAN 2015 ITRI 4 Strategies for Offshore Wind Feed-in Tariff (FIT, 躉購電價): PPA guaranteed for 20 years • Option 1: NT$5.7405 (€15.9₵) /kWh for 20 years • Option 2: NT$7.1085 (€19.7₵) /kWh [Year 1-10] & NT$3.4586 (€9.6₵) /kWh [Year 11-20] Offshore Demonstration Incentive Program (DIP, 示範獎勵辦法) • 4 Demonstration Turbines by 2016, 3 Demonstration Wind Farms by 2020 • Government provides subsidy for both equipment & developing processes Offshore Zone Application for Planning (ZAP, 場址申請作業要點) • 36 Zones of Potential revealed for preparation in advance of Zonal Development • Applicants must acquire EIA consent by 2017 and Preparation Permit by 2019 Offshore Zonal Development (區塊開發) • To be announced by 2017 while SEA is currently in progress • Commercial scale for cost reduction (similar to Round 3 of UK) © copyright 2015 ITRI 5 Offshore Demonstration Incentive Program 3 Demonstration Wind Farms • Winners (Fuhai, Formosa & TPC) officially announced on 9th January 2013 • To subsidize 50 % cost of the Demonstration Turbines (FIT advances/interest-free loan) • To subsidize NT$250M (€6.9M) for preparatory (wind mast, EIA, etc.) expense • To confirm feasibility in terms of administration, technology and finance Demonstration Turbines commissioned (originally Dec. 2015, and has been adjusted to Dec. 2016) Demonstration Wind Farms commissioned (Dec. 2020) Formosa Fuhai TPC Plan initiation (Jul. 2012) Proposal review complete (Dec. 2012) Establishment Permit (Dec. 2014) Construction Permit (Dec. 2018) Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 (2012) (2013) (2014) (2015) (2016) (2017) (2018) (2019) (2020) (2021) (2022) 12 nm territory 5 m depth © copyright 2015 ITRI 6 Specifications & Requirement of DIP Met Mast 海氣象觀測塔 • Water depth: 10 m or more • Height: 70 m or more Demonstration Turbines 示範機組 Demonstration Wind Farm 示範風場 • Water depth: 5 m or more • Capacity: 100-200 MW each • Commissioned by 2020 • Capacity: at least 3 MW each • Commissioned by 2016 © copyright 2015 ITRI 7 Awarded Demonstration Projects Fuhai (福海) @Changhua • Capacity: 120 MW (30 turbines) • Distance from Shore: 8-12 km • Water Depth: 20-45 m Formosa (海洋) @Miaoli • Capacity: 128 MW (32 turbines) • Distance from Shore: 2-6 km • Water Depth: 15-35 m TPC (台電) @Changhua • Capacity: approx. 108 MW (22-36 turbines) • Distance from Shore: 5-8 km • Water Depth: 15-25 m © copyright 2015 ITRI 8 Potential Zones → ZAP → Zonal Development Siting for Zones of Potential (ZoP) • Within 50 m isobath of west coast • Excluding protected, restricted, planned or developed area • 36 ZoP: total 3,084.5 km2 (approx. 25 GW) Directions of ZAP (announced in July 2015) • Applicants should plan for the whole zone. • Total capacity of each case: > 100 MW • Capacity density: > 5 MW/km2 Zonal Development • SEA & inter-department negotiation will be conducted based on 36 ZoP. DIP Sites © copyright Ref. Bureau of Energy, Ministry of Economic Affairs, TAIWAN 2015 ITRI 9 Major Challenges Marine Spatial Planning • • • • Navigation: routes planning & safety concerns Fishery: fishing & aquaculture ECO: migrating birds & marine mammals Inter-department Negotiation: conflicts or ambiguities of existing regulations Infrastructure • Ports & Quays: to be negotiated with Taiwan International Ports Corporation, Ltd. • Industrial Park: layout & public facilities to be negotiated with potential users Self-sustaining Industry • O&M: lack of local supply chain and offshore wind experience • Marine Construction: lack of practical experience in deep water • Construction Vessels: lack of jackup vessels with deep-water capabilities Capital • Finance: local banks are unfamiliar with project finance of offshore wind • Insurance: local insurers are unfamiliar with risk management of offshore wind © copyright 2015 ITRI 10 Investment by Developers Offshore 4,000 MW by 2030 → NT$750B (€21B) investment Policy → Developers → Service Providers → Manufacturers 2013 NT$37.0B 2015 NT$44.4B 2020 NT$160.2B 2025 NT$410.6B 2030 NT$750.0B 新台幣十億元 MW 6,000 5,000 Annual Investment 800 700 2013-2015: NT$ 3.7 Billion/yr 2016-2020: NT$23.2 Billion/yr 2021-2030: NT$58.9 Billion/yr 600 500 410.6 400 3,000 2,000 Offshore (MW) 海域風力 MW 陸域風力 MW Onshore (MW) 累計投資額 Accumulated十億元 Investment 300 200 160.2 1,000 37.0 NT$ in billion 4,000 750.0 100 44.4 0 0 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030 © copyright 2015 ITRI 11 Supply Chain of Wind in Taiwan Service Manufacture Raw Material Components/Sub-system System Planning Operation TPC, Infravest, TGC, Formosa, Fuhai, TCCY Steel Electrical Sys. Tower Onshore CSC TECO, TATUNG, Fortune, SHIHLIN, Chung Hsin, Allis CSC, Lihkang TECO TPC, Infravest, TGC, Sinotech, Iy-Hsing, CECI Offshore Construction New Wind Power (TECO/CSC) Chung Hsin, Fortune, LUXE, Star Energy, Woen Jinn, Hwa Chi, AIDC, CSC Fiber Formosa Plastics, TaiwanGlass, CHUNG YEH, Drewloong Epoxy Swancor, Eternal Materials Blade HorizonYacht, China FRP Gearbox Control FHI TECO, AIDC, Advantech Cast/Forge YJF Casting, Yeong Guan, Yih Guang, Cheng Sheng, Cheng Feng, NAN LUNG, …` Developer Balance of Plant (BoP) Foundation Cable Maintenance Matured CSC, CSBC, Hung Hua, Woen Jinn, Chau-Hsen, Hwa Chi TAYA Solvent, KUANG-LEE, Vestech, CSC Capable Insufficient © copyright 2015 ITRI 12 Marine Industrial Planning Demonstration Turbines Quays Vessels Zonal DIP 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Demonstration Wind Farms 2020 … … 2030 Private 248 MW 4 Private Turbines State-owned 108 MW Zones of Potential Revealed Vessel Design by ICP ZAP Zonal Development - 4 GW SEA Fleet #1 by 2018 Coordination of Existing Vessels Adaptation of Existing Quays Fleet #2 by 2021 3-4 Heavy Load Quays 1-2 Heavy Load Quays © copyright 2015 ITRI 13 International Interactions of Offshore Wind Successful Experiences of Wind Farm Development • Strategy: demonstration project vs commercial scale • EIA Solutions: navigation, fishery, environmental activists • Onshore Infrastructure: design of onshore base for offshore wind farm industry • Marine Construction: vessels, equipment, HSQE regulations and licensing system • Finance & Insurance: project finance, export credit and risk management Taiwan: the Best Entrance into Asian Market of Offshore Wind • Resource: best offshore wind resource in the world • Developers’ Need: general consulting, project management and financial advice • Service Providers’ Need: marine construction and O&M • Manufacturers’ Need: typhoon-proof design technology © copyright 2015 ITRI 14 Thousand Wind Turbines Promotion Office http://www.twtpo.org.tw © copyright All rights reserved. No part of this confidential report may be reproduced 2015 ITRI in any form or by any means without written permission from ITRI.15