Hannover Re: the somewhat different reinsurer
Transcription
Hannover Re: the somewhat different reinsurer
Hannover Re: the somewhat different reinsurer January 2017 Content 01 – 18 | Overview 19 – 26 | Hannover Re Group 27 – 38 | Property & Casualty reinsurance 39 – 46 | Life & Health reinsurance 47 – 54 | Investment management 55 – 57 | Risk management 58 – 66 | Capital management 67 – 76 | Interim Results Q1-3/2016 77 – 81 | Outlook I – VI | Appendix Overview Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Key facts about Hannover Re Today Majority shareholder: 50.2% held by Talanx AG* 18 Feb 2004 Second Public Offering 30 Nov 1994 More than 100 subsidiaries, branches and representative offices worldwide Total staff of roughly 2,500 employees Initial Public Offering 1990 Life & Health reinsurance as a strategic growth segment 1966 Foundation by HDI as a subsidiary Property & Casualty reinsurance * Majority shareholder HDI V.a.G. 1 More than 5,000 insurance clients in about 150 countries Outlook Appendix Overview Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. From in-house reinsurer to global player >100 subsidiaries, branches/representative offices in ~20 countries 2009: Opening of an office in Shanghai, China 2007: Branches and representative offices in Brazil, Colombia, Korea and Shanghai 2006: Hannover Re Takaful B.S.C., Bahrain 2001: Hannover Re (Bermuda) Ltd., Bermuda 2000: Clarendon Insurance Group, USA 1997: Selected portfolios of Skandia International Insurance Company (France, Great Britain, Mexico, Sweden, Spain) 1996: E+S Rückversicherung AG, Germany 1996: Hannover Rück SE Malaysian Branch, Malaysia 1992: Hannover Reinsurance (Ireland) Ltd., Ireland 1990: Hamburger Internationale Rückversicherungs-AG 1990: Reassurance Company of Hannover, USA (today: Hannover Life Reassurance Company of America) 1981: Hollandia-Group; South Africa (today: Hannover Reinsurance Group Africa) 1980: Hannover Rück SE Canadian Branch, Canada 1979: International Insurance Company of Hannover, Great Britain 2 Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Overview Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Group structure supports our business model Majority owner, but operational and financial independence Talanx AG* 50.2% Free float 49.8% 64.8% >100 subsidiaries, branch/rep. offices in ~20 countries 8 German primary insurers Domestic business * Majority shareholder HDI V.a.G. 3 International business Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Overview Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Executive Board of Hannover Rück SE Ulrich Wallin Chairman Roland Vogel Finance and Accounting, Information Technology, Investment and Collateral Management, Facility Management Business Opportunity Management, Compliance, Controlling, Human Resources Management, Internal Auditing, Risk Management, Corporate Development, Corporate Communications Claude Chèvre Dr. Klaus Miller Dr. Michael Pickel Sven Althoff Jürgen Gräber Life & Health Reinsurance: Africa, Asia, Australia/New Zealand, Latin America, Western and Southern Europe, Longevity Solutions Life & Health Reinsurance: United Kingdom/ Ireland, North America, Northern, Eastern and Central Europe Group Legal Services, Run-Off Solutions, Target Markets in Property & Casualty Reinsurance: North America, Continental Europe Specialty Lines Worldwide: Marine, Aviation, Credit, Surety and Political Risks, United Kingdom, Ireland, London Market and Direct Business, Facultative Reinsurance Global Reinsurance: Worldwide Treaty Reinsurance, Cat XL, Structured Reinsurance and Insurance-Linked Securities, Coordination of Property & Casualty Business Group, Quotations, Retrocessions From left: Roland Vogel, Ulrich Wallin, Claude Chèvre, Dr. Klaus Miller, Sven Althoff, Dr. Michael Pickel, Jürgen Gräber 4 Overview Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix We are among the top reinsurers in the world Premium ranking 2015 in m. USD Rank Group 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Munich Re Swiss Re Hannover Re SCOR Lloyd's 2) Berkshire Hathaway Inc. RGA China Re Everest Re PartnerRe Korean Re Great West Lifeco Transatlantic Holdings General Insurance Corporation of India XL Group For further information please see A.M. Best “Best’s Special Report” (September 2016) 1) Net premium earned 2) Reinsurance only n.a. = not available at time of publication 5 Country DE CH DE FR UK US US CN BM BM KR CA US IN IE GWP NPW 36,976 32,249 18,651 14,665 12,740 12,236 9,371 8,283 5,876 5,548 5,443 4,173 3,662 2,786 2,583 35,2791) 30,442 15,9451) 13,228 10,237 12,236 n.a. 7,546 5,378 5,230 3,739 4,065 3,387 2,474 2,091 Overview Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Property & Casualty reinsurance in a global perspective Hannover Re outperforms the market Market size and concentration 2015 2011 2015 Δ CAGR Top 10 67 84 +17 +5.7% Top 11 - 50 39 41 +2 +1.5% Other 64 65 +1 +0.4% R/I market 170 190 +20 +2.8% Hannover Re 6.8 9.3 +2.5 +8.1% in bn. EUR Other 34% Top 10 44% Top 11 - 50 22% Source: Own research (global market size based on estimate of total ceded premiums by primary insurers) Top 10: Munich Re, Swiss Re, Lloyd’s, Hannover Re, Berkshire, SCOR, China Re, PartnerRe, Everest Re, KoreanRe Further increase of Top 10's share 6 Overview Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Life & Health reinsurance in a global perspective Development of Hannover Re in line with market development Market size and concentration 2015 Top 11 - 50 4% 2011 2015 Δ CAGR Top 5 37 50 +14 +8.3% Top 6 - 10 9 15 +6 +12.7% Top 11 - 50 3 3 +0 +0.0% R/I market 49 68 +19 +8.8% Hannover Re 5.3 7.7 +2.5 +10.1% in bn. EUR Top 6 - 50 26% TopTop 55 7574% % Top 10 96% Source: Own research Top 10: Munich Re, Swiss Re, RGA, Hannover Re, SCOR, Berkshire (incl. GenRe), Great West Lifeco, China Re, Korean Re, PartnerRe Concentration on the Top 5/Top 10 continues 7 Overview Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Continued growth of both business groups 2015: +18.8%; 5-year CAGR: +8.4% Gross written premium in m. EUR 17,069 13,774 11,429 45% 13,963 14,362 45% 12,096 44% 44% 45% 56% 56% 55% 2012 2013 2014 44% 55% 55% 56% 2010 2011 Property & Casualty reinsurance 8 Life & Health reinsurance 2015 Overview Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Well balanced international portfolio Gross written premium (Group) Africa 9,289 3% 4% 3% 6% 8,259 in m. EUR 8,121 10,275 11,429 12,096 13,774 13,963 14,362 Australia 17,069 3% 6% 5% 18% 17% 1) 15% 15% 2) Latin America Asia 8% Other European countries 15% 16% Germany 37% 30% United Kingdom North America 2006 1) Japan 1% 2) CEE and Russia 1% 9 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Overview Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Hannover Re is one of the most profitable reinsurers 2011 Company Hannover Re Peer 1, Switzerland, Composite Peer 5, Bermuda, Property & Casualty Peer 9, Bermuda, Property & Casualty Peer 2, Germany, Composite Peer 7, France, Composite Peer 4, US, Property & Casualty Peer 8, US, Life & Health Peer 6, Bermuda, Composite Peer 3, Canada, Property & Casualty 2012 2013 2015 2011 - 2015 RoE Rank RoE Rank RoE Rank RoE Rank RoE Rank avg. RoE Rank 12.8% 1 15.4% 3 15.0% 3 14.7% 4 14.7% 1 14.5% 1 9.6% 3 13.4% 5 13.7% 4 10.5% 8 13.7% 2 12.2% 2 (1.3%) 8 12.9% 6 18.4% 1 16.6% 2 13.0% 3 11.9% 3 (2.4%) 9 15.9% 2 18.0% 2 13.7% 5 9.5% 6 10.9% 4 3.1% 6 12.6% 7 12.5% 5 11.3% 6 10.2% 5 9.9% 5 7.5% 4 9.1% 9 11.2% 6 9.6% 9 10.7% 4 9.6% 6 4.9% 5 15.2% 4 9.4% 8 9.4% 10 7.5% 8 9.3% 7 10.1% 2 9.9% 8 6.5% 9 10.6% 7 7.6% 7 8.9% 8 (7.6%) 10 16.9% 1 9.7% 7 15.3% 3 1.5% 10 7.2% 9 0.5% 7 6.2% 10 (6.7%) 10 18.3% 1 5.7% 9 4.8% 10 Top 10 of the Global Reinsurance Index (GloRe) with more than 50% reinsurance business Data based on company data, own calculation 10 2014 Overview Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Reinsurance market conditions will improve ... ... when the RoE becomes sufficiently low 24% Development of return on equity and Guy Carpenter Global Property Cat RoL Index 350 20% 17.3 % 300 16% 14.4 % 13.2 % 12.2 % 11.9 % 10.9 % 12% 10.4 % 9.8 % 250 9.0 % 8% 200 4.0 % 4% * 2.2 % 0.4 % 0% 150 2005 2006 Return on equity 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 GC Global Property Cat RoL Index Source: Guy Carpenter Return on equity based on company data (Top 10 of the Global Reinsurance Index (GloRe) with more than 50% reinsurance business), own calculation * Preliminary figures for 2016 11 1H/2016 Overview Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix We maintained our competitive advantage on admin. expenses Administrative expense ratio* 3.0% 2.8% 2.8% 2.7% 2.6% 2011 2012 2013 Own calculation * Administrative expenses + other technical expenses (in % of net premium earned) 12 2014 2015 Overview Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Accelerated value creation since 2009 10-year CAGR: +12.6% Increase of book value and accumulated paid dividends in EUR 95.13 28.23 23.98 17.98 20.98 15.88 13.58 11.48 9.18 7.58 7.58 21.57 24.03 27.77 2005 2006 2007 Book value per share As at 31 December 13 11.48 23.47 2008 30.80 2009 37.39 41.22 2010 2011 Paid dividends (cumulative since 1994) 50.02 48.83 2012 2013 62.61 66.90 2014 2015 Overview Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Shareholders' equity up by 7% Higher dividend payment and decreasing OCI offset by strong earnings Policyholders' surplus in m. EUR 10,239 8,947 8,768 1,986 2,233 2,238 1,732 682 642 in m. EUR 10,267 1,490 709 7,338 Change in shareholders' equity 702 1,151 337 7,551 (513) 8,068 (457) 636 6,032 5,888 2012 2013 4,971 2011 Shareholders' equity 14 7,551 8,068 2014 2015 Non-controlling interests Hybrid Shareholders' equity 31.12.2014 Net income Dividend payment Change in unrealised gains/losses Currency translation and other Shareholders' equity 31.12.2015 Overview Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook A superior and highly profitable reinsurer ... Hannover Re's business model Top rating (S&P: AA-) ensures attractive new business Strong market positioning – one of the leading reinsurers worldwide Generates noticeably higher profitability on 5-year average in comparison with our peer competitors Lean structures which lead to the lowest administrative expense ratio compared to our peer group De-risking and diversification measures taken to lower earnings volatility aiming to consistently produce attractive dividends Effective cycle management, selective and disciplined underwriting in Property & Casualty reinsurance Increasing profitability of our countercyclical Life & Health business ... with a somewhat different approach 15 Appendix Overview Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Our strategy: long-term success in a competitive business Our overriding target: profit and value creation Profitable growth Profit and value creation Capital management Premium growth on a long-term basis above market average Minimum return on equity of at least 900 bps above “risk free” 1) Achieve a profit in excess of the cost of capital (IVC, based on our ECM 2)) Capital management in the light of distributable excess capital to achieve attractive RoE A sufficient equity buffer enables us to act on available and profitable business at all times Lower management expenses Cost leadership Shareholder value Competitive advantage compared to peers Deliver a profit that is above average for the sector Providing our clients with competitive terms Share price to outperform weighted Global Reinsurance Index (ISIN: DE 000 SLA 1GR 2) over a 3-year rolling period Consistently paying a dividend that is attractive to our shareholders 1) After tax; target: 900 bps above 5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds 2) Economic Capital Model 16 Overview Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Performance promise to our customers and shareholders Our value proposition to our customers Capital protection and capital management Earnings protection in all lines of business Supporting underwriting of new business opportunities Supporting product development and pricing Strong balance sheet and strong rating Long-term consistent approach of our underwriting policy Long-term relationship with clients Our profit targets to our shareholders Return on equity1) Return on investment ~ 2.9% Earnings per share growth ≥ 6.5% Value creation per share2) ≥ 7.5% 1) After tax; 5-year rolling average of 10-year German government-bond rate („risk-free”) 2) Growth in book value per share incl. paid dividend 17 900 bps above “risk free” Overview Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Sustainability at Hannover Re Our action fields and milestones Sustainability Strategy 2015 - 2017 Governance and Dialogue ► Responsible, transparent and value-based enterprise management ► Active, continuous dialogue with our stakeholders and rating agencies Product Responsibility Expanding the offering of sustainable insurance solutions related to economical, environmental and social risks Consideration of environmental, social and governance criteria in our asset management Employees Promotion of our employees‘ health, work / life balance and personal development Promotion of diversity of our staff Environment and Society Reduction of CO₂ emissions associated with our business activities Measuring our suppliers by environmental and social standards Promotion of projects in the areas of research, learning and art as well as support of the voluntary social engagement of our staff Hannover Re in FTSE4Good Index Prime rating of oekom research, participation in various sustainability ratings Annual publication of a sustainability report in accordance with GRI guidelines Environmental Management System, certified according to DIN EN ISO 14001 Implementation of a Sustainability Strategy of Hannover Re 2011 18 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Overview Hannover Hannover Re Group Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Present on all continents Europe The Americas Spain Madrid Ireland Dublin United Kingdom London France Paris Germany Hannover Italy Milan Sweden Stockholm Asia Bahrain Manama Canada Toronto South Korea Seoul USA Charlotte Chicago Denver New York Orlando Japan Tokyo Taiwan Taipei Bermuda Hamilton China Hong Kong Shanghai Mexico Mexico City India Mumbai Colombia Bogotá Brazil Rio de Janeiro Property & Casualty reinsurance 19 Africa Australia South Africa Johannesburg Australia Sydney Life & Health reinsurance Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Property & Casualty and Life & Health reinsurance Overview Hannover Hannover Re Group Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix HR share outperforms indices over a 3-year rolling period Performance vs. indices Performance comparison (incl. reinvested dividends) 240% 220% +106% 200% +93% 180% 160% +48% 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% Hannover Re 20 Global Reinsurance Index HDAX Overview Hannover Hannover Re Group Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix How do we calculate our return targets? Our pricing is based 900 bps above risk free Risk capital X Factor bps Equity Minorities ⇒ EBIT risk free X (900 + 110) ⇒ 838 / (1 - 0.24) ⇒ 1,103 700 X (900 + 110) ⇒ 71 / (1 - 0.24) ⇒ 93 / (1 - 0.0) ⇒ 71 1,500 Valuation adj. 2,600 X 470 13,100 MRC (EBIT / risk capital) Risk free Minimum Return on Capital (MRC) spread As at September 2015; risk capital, net income and EBIT: figures in m. EUR 21 (1 - tax) 8,300 Hybrid Total ⇒ Net income / 909 1,267 9.7% - 1.3% 8.4% Overview Hannover Hannover Re Group Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix How do we calculate the capital margin ... ... for our underwriters and our investment decisions? Risk X capital MRC / Admin. Total margin Capital margin NPE ⇒ above risk-free + and other = above risk-free expenses* (pre-tax) (pre-tax) 38.0% P&C reinsurance 4,990 X 8.6% / 8,000 ⇒ 5.4% + 3.7% = 9.1% L&H reinsurance 22.5% 2,950 X 7.9% / 6,100 ⇒ 3.8% + 4.3% = 8.1% 1.1% + 0.1% = 1.2% AuM Investment management 39.5% 5,185 X 8.6% / 40,100 ⇒ As at September 2015; risk capital and net premium earned: figures in m. EUR * E.g. expenses for the company as a whole 22 Overview Hannover Hannover Re Group Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Strong earnings track record since 2009 Record EPS in 2015 Operating profit (EBIT) in m. EUR 1,755 1,394 820 1,142 928 1,178 1,466 1,229 841 148 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Earnings per share (EPS) 2015 in EUR 9.54 5.98 6.08 6.21 23 2007 (1.05) 2008 2009 2010 7.43 2012 2013 8.17 5.02 4.27 2006 7.04 2011 2014 2015 Overview Hannover Hannover Re Group Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Increasing ordinary dividend reflects improved earnings power Payout: EUR 3.25 ordinary + EUR 1.50 special dividend per share Dividend per share Payout ratio: [38%] [38%] in EUR [-] [35%] [37%] [42%] [43%] [40%] [52%] [50%] 4.75 4.25 1.50 1.25 3.00 3.00 0.40 2.30 2.10 2.30 2.10 0.50 1.60 3.00 2.60 3.25 1.80 2006 2007 Dividend per share 24 2008 2009 Special dividend per share 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Overview Hannover Hannover Re Group Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Yearly Total Shareholder Return (TSR) of 13.2% Value creation since IPO +1,245% in m. EUR 2014 2015 Market capitalisation as of date 9,041 12,741 - Market capitalisation at IPO (Nov 1994) 1,084 1,084 + Dividend payments (cumulative) 3,162 3,735 811 811 10,308 14,581 - Capital increases (1996, 1997, 2001, 2003) Value creation since IPO 25 Overview Hannover Hannover Re Group Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Profit growth keeps pace with capital growth Stable RoE on a very attractive level Return on Equity: yearly Return on Equity: average 7,810 +16.2% 6,720 4,738 5,500 15.4% 12.8% 12.1% 2011 5,960 15.0% 11.5% 2012 14.7% 11.3% 2013 Actual 14.7% 11.2% 10.7% 2014 14.5% 12.0% 13.2% 12.5% 10.2% 2015 5-year Ø 2011 – 2015 Minimum target* Average shareholders' equity * After tax; target: 900 bps above 5-year rolling average of 10-year German government-bond rate ("risk free") 26 15.1% 10-year Ø 2006 – 2015 15-year Ø 2001 – 2015 Overview Hannover Re Group Property Property & Casualty CasualtyR/I R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix We are somewhat different Property & Casualty reinsurance Central underwriting with local talent is key to our success • Secures consistent underwriting decisions Central U/W Our Effective cycle management and focus on profitability • Selective growth: increase market share in “hard” markets only • No pressure to grow due to low administrative expense ratio • Above-average profitability due to stringent underwriting approach with Cycle mgmt. strategic focus on bottom line contribution from P&C Reserving Conservative reserve policy led to build-up of reserve redundancies over the last years • Further strengthening of the confidence level of our P&C reserves may be limited due to IFRS accounting constraints Positive effect on C/R Distribution Distribution channels • Flexible cost base due to relatively higher share of business written via brokers (~2/3) We are a preferred business partner 27 Overview Hannover Re Group Property Property & Casualty CasualtyR/I R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Strategy contribution of the P&C business group Be among world's most profitable R/I & steer volatility in line with our profit targets Our value proposition to our customers Tailor-made solutions • Comprehensive range of products which can be tailored to our customers’ needs Solution driven • Constant monitoring of markets to identify trends and classes of business that show specific potential for the future Flexible organisation • Utilisation of all distribution channels, i.e. direct as well as via intermediaries Fair and available • Short lines of communication towards customers enabling speedy delivery of solutions * xRoCA= eXcess Return on Capital Allocated 28 Our profit contribution xRoCA* ≥ 2% EBIT margin ≥ 10% Combined ratio ≤ 96% Overview Hannover Re Group Property Property & Casualty CasualtyR/I R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Our Property & Casualty reinsurance business divisions Target markets North America* GWP split 2015 Continental Europe* Specialty lines worldwide Marine Aviation Target markets 31% Global R/I 38% Credit, surety and political risks UK, Ireland, London market and direct Facultative R/I Global R/I Worldwide Treaty R/I* Cat XL Structured R/I and ILS * All lines of Property & Casualty reinsurance except those stated separately 29 Specialty lines worldwide 31% Overview Hannover Re Group Property Property & Casualty CasualtyR/I R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Roughly 2/3 of our business is written via brokers Breakdown of treaties by volume Breakdown of business written Direct business 34% Nonproportional 35% Proportional 65% GWP 2015: EUR 9,338 m. (2014: EUR 7,903 m.) 30 Broker business 66% Overview Hannover Re Group Property Property & Casualty CasualtyR/I R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Property & Casualty reinsurance: selective growth GWP split by line of business in m. EUR GWP split by regions 9,338 Structured R/I and ILS 7,717 5% Worldwide treaty* R/I 10% Marine Aviation UK, London market & direct Credit, surety and pol. risks Facultative R/I Continental Europe* 7,818 7,903 5% 8% 4% 18% 19% 4% 5% 8% 4% 5% 7% 12% 19% 14% 19% 3% 4% 6% 7% 3% 5% 5% 7% 11% 12% 18% 19% 18% 15% 15% 15% 16% 2012 2013 2014 2015 8% 10% 7% United Kingdom 10% North America 31% 4% 2% 7% 25% 13% Germany 12% 13% 12% 20% 16% 15% Other Europ. countries 18% Asia 17% North America* * All lines of Property & Casualty reinsurance except those stated separately 31 Australia Latin Africa 2% America 3% 7% 4% Cat XL 2014 2015 Overview Hannover Re Group Property Property & Casualty CasualtyR/I R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Strong underlying premium growth accelerated by f/x effects EBIT up by 12.6% and EBIT margin well above target Gross written premium in m. EUR CAGR: 8.1% 7,717 7,818 EBIT/EBIT margin 15.9 % 9,338 in m. EUR 15.5 % 17.0 % 1,341 10.1 % 7,903 16.6 % 1,191 6,826 1,091 1,061 2012 2013 599 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2011 EBIT 32 EBIT margin 2014 2015 Overview Hannover Re Group Property Property & Casualty CasualtyR/I R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Effective cycle management at work US casualty total inforce premium development 1,029 in m. USD 1,047 947 852 728 726 631 584 552 559 580 584 634 627 670 436 Jan 01 Jan 02 Jan 03 Jan 04 Jan 05 Jan 06 Jan 07 Jan 08 Jan 09 Jan 10 Jan 11 Jan 12 Jan 13 Jan 14 Jan 15 Jan 16 Inforce premium as at 1 January ≠ U/Y perspective 33 Overview Hannover Re Group Property Property & Casualty CasualtyR/I R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Ensuring the quality of our portfolio Our quotation process in Property & Casualty reinsurance Step 1: Step 2: Step 3: Calculation of the loss expectancy Cost estimation Calculation of the cost of capital Commissions Broker fees Internal administration Level of capital allocation determined by volatility of the business covered and contribution to diversification Expected return on equity Capital structure Historical loss and exposure analysis Future inflation Changes in the quality of underlying risks 34 Changes in the quantity of underlying risks Discounting of future cash flows Overview Hannover Re Group Property Property & Casualty CasualtyR/I R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix At an MtCR of ~96% we earn 900 bps above risk free NPE + Net premium earned + Economic revaluation - Capital margin Discount effect on P&C net loss reserves (% of NPE) - Capital margin above risk free (pre-tax) = MtCR = Maximum tolerable Combined Ratio 2016: 100% + 3.4% - 7.4% = 96.0% 2015: 100% + 3.8% - 7.6% = 96.3% 2014: 100% + 3.0% - 7.1% = 95.9% 2013: 100% + 3.6% - 7.5% = 96.1% As at March 2016 35 Overview Hannover Re Group Property Property & Casualty CasualtyR/I R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix MtCR varies substantially by line of business 2016 Net premium earned (100%) + North America* Continental Europe* Economic revaluation - Capital margin 6.9% 1.0% = MtCR 10.1% 96.9% 7.1% 93.8% 9.7% 93.3% Marine 2.9% Aviation 4.5% Credit, surety and political risks 1.9% 7.0% 94.9% UK, Ireland, London market and direct 4.5% 6.9% 97.6% Facultative R/I 3.0% 5.9% 97.2% Worldwide Treaty R/I* 2.8% 6.7% 96.1% Cat XL 2.7% 23.8% 79.0% 1.9% 98.9% Structured R/I and ILS Total Property & Casualty R/I 0.8% 3.4% As at March 2016 * All lines of Property & Casualty reinsurance except those stated separately 36 5.1% 7.4% 99.4% 96.0% Overview Hannover Re Group Property Property & Casualty CasualtyR/I R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Diversified portfolio outperforms the MtCR EBIT margin GWP growth 2015: Combined Ratio vs. MtCR North America* 99.6% 17.8% +23.1% Continental Europe* 98.4% 14.6% +1.8% Marine 60.0% 50.8% +5.9% Aviation 93.6% 21.3% +3.7% Credit, surety and political risks 98.9% 10.7% +14.0% UK, Ireland, London market and direct 86.6% 37.8% +17.6% Facultative R/I 94.1% 12.8% +17.0% Worldwide Treaty* R/I 95.7% 9.7% +22.3% Cat XL 50.2% 69.5% +20.9% Structured R/I and ILS 98.4% 6.1% +42.4% 94.4% 16.6% +18.2% Target markets Specialty lines worldwide Global R/I Total 0% Combined Ratio 40% MtCR = Maximum tolerable Combined Ratio * All lines of Property & Casualty reinsurance except those stated separately 37 20% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% Overview Hannover Re Group Property Property & Casualty CasualtyR/I R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Further increasing reserve redundancies* in 2015 7-year average impact on net loss ratio: 2.9% Year Redundancy in m. EUR Increase redundancy in m. EUR Effect on loss ratio P&C net premium earned in m. EUR 2009 867 276 5.3% 5,230 2010 956 89 1.6% 5,394 2011 1,117 162 2.7% 5,961 2012 1,308 190 2.8% 6,854 2013 1,517 209 3.1% 6,866 2014 1,546 29 0.4% 7,011 2015 1,887 341 4.2% 8,100 2009 - 2015 total 2009 - 2015 average 1,297 185 45,416 2.9% 6,488 * Redundancy of loss and loss adjustment expense reserve for P&C insurance business against held IFRS reserves, before tax and minority participations. Willis Towers Watson reviewed these estimates - more details shown in slide V (appendix) No change in reserving policy in 2015 38 Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life Life & Health Health R/I R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook We are somewhat different Life & Health reinsurance • Rapid decision-making processes • In-depth knowledge of local markets Responsive We are a highly flexible business partner • Tailor-made services and solutions • Ability to anticipate market and client demands Flexible Our We are committed to responsiveness and time to market strategic contribution from L&H • 900 experts in 24 offices on all continents • Highly empowered staff Efficient Undogmatic We foster an efficient organisational set-up We have an undogmatic approach • Entrepreneurial spirit • Appetite to innovate industry solutions We offer small company flexibility with a large company balance sheet 39 Appendix Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life Life & Health Health R/I R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Strategy contribution of the L&H business group We have ambitious profit and growth targets Our value proposition to our customers Financial solutions • Tailored reinsurance structures for efficient capital or liquidity management Our profit contribution VNB1) EBIT margins Risk solutions • Financial solutions/Longevity ≥ 2% • Competitive terms, capacity and reinsurance • Mortality/Morbidity ≥ 6% xRoCA2) ≥ 3% solutions for all types of technical risks Reinsurance services • Improvement of sales and underwriting processes 1) VNB target from 2016 onwards (until 2015 ≥ EUR 180 m.) 2) xRoCA= eXcess Return on Capital Allocated 40 ≥ EUR 220 m. Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life Life & Health Health R/I R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix We expand our presence by a strong focus Our current set of solutions Traditional life & health reinsurance Financing Longevity Regulatory & accounting optimisation 3 2 4 5 1 Reinsurance universe 41 Positive economic value expected Our focus 1 High growth markets 2 Companies in transition 3 Alternative distribution channels 4 Underserved consumers 5 Hard-to-quantify risks Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life Life & Health Health R/I R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix We are a decentralised, solution-oriented organisation ... ... with client-oriented offices Madrid Dublin London Paris Hannover Milan Stockholm Manama Toronto Seoul Charlotte Denver New York Orlando Tokyo Taipei Hong Kong Shanghai Hamilton Mumbai Mexico City Johannesburg Automated U/W systems R&D technology Financial solutions Risk assessment Expert networks 42 Sydney Health (re-) insurance Kuala Lumpur Biometric research Longevity solutions Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life Life & Health Health R/I R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix We have well defined reporting categories Financial solutions Profitability is less likely to be affected by the underlying biometric risks Transactions which include components to provide alternative means of accessing capital Risk solutions Profitability depends largely on the underlying biometric risks Mortality The risk of paying more death benefits than expected Morbidity The risk of experiencing a higher claims burden from traditional health, critical illness, long-term care, and disability covers Longevity The risk of paying annuities and pensions longer than expected 43 Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life Life & Health Health R/I R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Life & Health reinsurance: a well diversified portfolio GWP split by reporting categories in m. EUR GWP split by regions 7,731 18% Morbidity 6,459 6,058 6,145 13% 14% 18% Mortality Africa Latin Germany 3% 3% America 4% Other Europ. 4% 3% countries 4% 10% 46% Australia 11% 46% 30% 11% 46% 47% North America 28% 12% Longevity 14% 15% Financial solutions 44 15% 16% 22% 19% 25% 25% 20% 17% 2012 2013 2014 2015 United Kingdom 24% Asia 17% 2014 2015 Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life Life & Health Health R/I R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix We have a successful track record Gross written premium in m. EUR EBIT/EBIT margin in m. EUR 7,731 CAGR: 8.7% 6,459 6,058 6.2% 6,145 5.1% 4.9% 4.5% 405 5,270 2.8% 279 264 218 151 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2011 EBIT 45 2012 2013 EBIT margin 2014 2015 Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life Life & Health Health R/I R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Striking increase in Value of New Business Value of New Business development1) in m. EUR Target ≥ EUR 180 m. 581 543 448 314 309 2012 2013 241 2011 1) Based on the MCEV principles of the CFO forum 2) Change of cost of capital from 4.5.% to 6.0% (consistent with Solvceny II) 46 2014 2015 2015 2) Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment Investment mgmt. mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Strong cash flow driven by premium growth AuM +8.6%, despite decreasing valuation reserves and higher dividend payment Operating cash flow in m. EUR Assets under own management (AuM) in m. EUR 39,347 36,228 2,637 2,523 493 523 2,605 2,225 550 799 705 805 * 608 Q2 Q3 159 363 689 415 296 2013 2014 2015 2011 Q4 * Excluding approx. EUR 500 m. from financial solutions treaties, with an expected cash outflow in 2016 47 2013 718 737 Q1 2012 952 612 2012 28,341 554 822 2011 31,875 1,931 649 473 31,874 2014 2015 Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment Investment mgmt. mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Very pleasing net investment income Increase in total investments despite less valuation reserves and dividend payment Total investments in m. EUR 52,146 46,625 46,219 41,683 15,918 14,751 Investment income 53,337 13,990 14,343 13,342 355 339 28,341 2011 31,874 31,875 2013 Funds withheld and contract deposits Assets under own management 48 2014 1,412 1,472 357 376 1,054 1,096 2013 2014 395 39,347 1,300 1,046 2012 1,665 1,656 1,384 36,228 in m. EUR 2015 2011 2012 Income and expenses on funds withheld and contract deposits Net income from assets under own management 1,270 2015 Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment Investment mgmt. mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Ordinary income supported by asset classes with higher risk Diverging contribution to investment income from different asset classes Ordinary income split EUR 855 m. Short-term Others investments 1% & cash Real estate1) 1% Governments 14% 11% Private Equity 6% Semigovernments 15% Asset allocation Investment category Fixed-income securities 27 % - Semi-governments 18 % - Corporates 32 % Investment grade - Pfandbriefe, Covered Bonds, ABS Equities Pfandbriefe, Covered Bonds, ABS 11% Corporates 38% Economic view based on market values as at 30 September 2016 1) Before real estate-specific costs 2) Of which Pfandbriefe and Covered Bonds = 77.2% 49 86 % - Governments Non-investment grade Listed Equity 2% 30 Sep 16 28 % 4% 2) 9% 4% - Listed Equity 2% - Private Equity 2% Real estate/real estate funds 4% Others 1% Short-term investments & cash 5% Total market values in bn. EUR 41.2 Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment Investment mgmt. mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Largely unchanged asset allocation throughout third quarter Moderate increase in diversified listed equities Asset allocation 1) Investment category 2012 2013 2014 2015 92% 90% 90% 87% 86% - Governments 19% 19% 21% 26% 27% - Semi-governments 23% 20% 19% 17% 18% - Corporates 33% 36% 36% 34% 32% 30% 33% 33% 30% 28% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 17% 15% 14% 10% 9% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% <1% <1% <1 % 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% Real estate/real estate funds 2% 4% 4% 4% 4% Others3) 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Short-term investments & cash 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% Total market values in bn. EUR 32.5 32.2 36.8 39.8 41.2 Fixed-income securities Investment grade Non-investment grade3) - Pfandbriefe, Covered Bonds, ABS Equities - Listed Equity - Private Equity 30.09.2016 1) Economic view based on market values without outstanding commitments for Private Equity and Alternative Real Estate as well as fixed-income investments of EUR 983.2 m. (EUR 837.1 m.) as at 30 September 2016 2) Of which Pfandbriefe and Covered Bonds = 77.2% 3) Reallocation of High Yield Funds from “Others” to “Corporates – Non-investment grade” 50 2) Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment Investment mgmt. mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Fixed-income book well balanced Geographical allocation mainly in accordance with our business diversification Governments Semigovernments Corporates Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS 67.2% Short-term investments, cash - Total AAA 76.1% 65.2% 1.2% AA 11.6% 28.2% 13.6% 15.1% - 16.1% A 6.6% 2.5% 37.3% 5.3% - 16.8% BBB 4.4% 1.2% 40.0% 8.7% - 17.2% <BBB 1.3% 2.9% 8.0% 3.7% - 4.3% Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% - 100.0% Germany 9.4% 47.1% 4.2% 26.9% 44.9% 18.6% UK 5.5% 3.0% 8.2% 9.7% 4.1% 6.3% France 2.4% 2.3% 7.1% 5.9% 1.1% 4.3% GIIPS 1.3% 1.0% 5.0% 4.7% 0.0% 2.8% Rest of Europe 5.1% 17.3% 16.4% 25.1% 3.5% 13.2% 60.6% 5.1% 35.8% 4.3% 14.9% 33.2% Australia 2.8% 8.4% 7.1% 11.9% 6.5% 6.5% Asia 7.5% 4.4% 5.2% 0.0% 16.1% 5.8% Rest of World 5.4% 11.4% 11.2% 11.5% 8.9% 9.3% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 11,165 7,048 12,544 3,624 2,044 36,425 USA Total Total b/s values in m. EUR IFRS figures as at 30 September 2016 51 45.6% Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment Investment mgmt. mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Currency allocation matches liability profile of balance sheet Active asset liability management ensures durational match Currency split of investments AUD 5.3% CAD 2.9% Others 6.5% 5.3 EUR 30.5% 2.2 4.0 GBP 7.4% 7.2 Modified duration of portfolio 5.5 4.5 USD 47.4% Modified duration as at 30 September 2016: 4.8 52 Modified duration of fixedincome mainly congruent with liabilities GBP’s higher modified duration predominantly due to life business Modified duration 2015 4.4 2014 4.6 2013 4.4 2012 4.5 2011 4.2 Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment Investment mgmt. mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Active management of credit risk High level of diversification; Portion of banks stays stable below market average Corporate allocation in m. EUR 13,245 11,453 27% 10,584 13,489 13,270 24% 25% 26% 76% Non-Banks 2013 73% GBP 2014 2015 30.09.2016 Banks EUR 3,237 m. 4% <BBB 1 % Others 17% Tier II 13% RoW 24% BBB 24% Asia/ Australia 23% EUR by currency * Economic view based on market value as at 30 September 2016 53 9% 75% 73% 2012 16% Others 51% USD 27% 74% Total bank exposure* 51% A 20% US 83% Senior 21% AA by rating by seniority Rest of 18% Europe 6% GIIPS 10% FR UK 8% DE 1% by country Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment Investment mgmt. mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Stress tests on assets under own management Unchanged focus on spreads while relevance of equities rises Portfolio Scenario Change in market value in m. EUR Change in OCI before tax in m. EUR -10% -156 -156 -20% -312 -312 +50 bps -855 -767 +100 bps -1,667 -1,495 +50% -752 -722 Equity (listed and private equity) Fixed-income securities Credit spreads As at 30 September 2016 54 Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk Risk mgmt. mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Several levels of protection provide more NatCat capacity ... ... and thus create additional earnings at a defined risk appetite Agg. XL ~ EUR 120 m. Div. cat swaps max. ~ EUR 93 m. ~ EUR 2.7 bn. Whole Account ~ EUR 300 m. K-Cession securitisation ~ EUR 477 m. + expected premium Group EBIT EUR 1,755 m. Policyholders' surplus (shareholders' equity, non-controlling interest, hybrid capital) 2015: EUR 10,267 m. As at May 2016 55 Appendix Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk Risk mgmt. mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Equity Substitutes We pioneered securitisations (transfer of risks into capital markets) In 1994 Hannover Re pioneered the first securitisation of natural catastrophe risks (Kover) followed by further transactions (K2 to K6) Expired transactions In 1998 Hannover Re started with the first-ever transfer of acquisition costs from life reinsurance business to the capital market, referred to as "L" deals (L1 to L7) On-going transactions Extreme mortality cover (Q4/14) K-Cession (Q1/16) 1) Transfer of natural perils (P&C) 3) Portfolio-linked securitisation (P&C) 5) Credit-linked floating rate note 56 in m. Kover (Q1/94) USD 851) K2 (Q4/96) USD 1502) L1 (Q1/98) DEM 100 L2 (Q2/99) DEM 250 L3 (Q4/99) EUR 50 L4 (Q4/00) EUR 200 K3 (Q2/02) USD 2303) L5 (Q4/02) EUR 300 C1 (Q1/05) USD 2253) L6 (Q1/06) EUR 100 K5 (Q1/06) USD 5403) ~ USD 1776) Eurus I (Q3/06) USD 1503) USD 5173) Kepler (Q1/07) USD 2004) Merlin (Q1/07) EUR 955) L7 (Q1/09) EUR 100 K6 (Q1/09) USD 3353) Eurus II (Q3/09) EUR 1501) Eurus III (Q3/12) EUR 1001) in m. 2) Portfolio-linked swap (P&C) 4) Aggregate XL cover (P&C) 6) Indexed-linked swap (L&H) Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk Risk mgmt. mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix The risk is manageable Stress tests, after retrocessions for natural catastrophes Effect on forecast net income after tax in m. EUR Windstorm Europe Windstorm US Windstorm Japan Earthquake Japan Earthquake California Earthquake Australia in m. EUR 2014 2015 100-year loss (251.0) (123.5) 250-year loss (440.0) (281.2) 100-year loss (541.7) (733.7) 250-year loss (778.1) (1,031.7) 100-year loss (172.2) (153.6) 250-year loss (250.1) (199.4) 100-year loss (254.3) (200.6) 250-year loss (520.8) (477.8) 100-year loss (303.5) (349.6) 250-year loss (503.1) (746.1) 100-year loss (172.7) (136.8) 250-year loss (449.7) (378.8) Limit 2015 Threshold 2015 Actual utilisation (July 2015) 1,778 1,600 1,481 All natural catastrophe risks* 200-year aggregate annual loss * Loss relative to the underwriting result 57 Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital Capital mgmt. mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Our capital structure consists not only of equity Use of hybrids, securitisations etc. lowers cost of capital and levers RoE Equity capital is by far the most expensive Therefore, we make optimal use of equity substitutes, e.g. hybrid capital Type Nominal amount Issue date First call date Maturity Coupon rate Undated subordinated bond Format: PerpNC10,8 ISIN: XS1109836038 EUR 500 m. 2014-09-15 2025-06-26 Perpetual Until first call date: 3.375% p.a. and thereafter 3.25% p.a. above 3 months EURIBOR Dated subordinated bond Format: 30,6NC10,6 ISIN: XS0856556807 EUR 500 m. 2012-11-20 2023-06-30 2043-06-30 Until first call date: 5.00% p.a. and thereafter 4.30% p.a. above 3 months EURIBOR Dated subordinated bond Format: 30NC10 ISIN: XS0541620901 EUR 500 m. 2010-09-14 2020-09-14 2040-09-14 First 10 years: 5.75% p.a. and thereafter 4.235% p.a. above 3 months EURIBOR Conventional reinsurance/retrocession on an opportunistic basis (i.e. use of other reinsurers' capital) Securitisations, capital market transactions Competitive advantage through low cost of capital (WACC) 58 Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital Capital mgmt. mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Financial strength ratings Group S&P A.M. Best General Reinsurance Corp. AA+ A++ Hannover Re AA- A+ Munich Re AA- A+ Swiss Re AA- A+ SCOR AA- A* Everest Re A+ A+ Transatlantic Re A+ A+ Lloyd's A+ A XL Bermuda Ltd. A+* A PartnerRe A+ A As at 2 January 2017 * Positive outlook 59 Appendix Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital Capital mgmt. mgmt. Q1-3/2016 An above-average rating has numerous benefits ... ... although we might not (yet) get paid for it We have a better showing of business than the average player Access to all lines of business We enjoy a highly diversified, high quality book of business We are on virtually all broker lists, with cedents often demanding specific R/Is We get very high allocations when we quote for business >90% vs. some 50% for a Bermuda start-up We create lower capital charges for our cedents "AA" range S&P capital charge on reinsurance recoverables = 0.8% ("A" = 1.4%, BBB = 3.1%) As an above-average rated R/I, we "minimise" our cedents' cost of capital Our cost of financing in the capital markets is lower 60 Hybrid bonds trade at tighter spreads Better conditions for LoCs and credit lines Outlook Appendix Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital Capital mgmt. mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Solvency II: Internal capital model approved by BaFin Solvency II Pillar I Pillar II Pillar III Quantitative requirements Capital requirements (SCR/MCR*) Own funds (solvency balance sheet) Standard model and internal model Qualitative requirements Internal controls, risk management and key functions Internal risk assessment Supervisory review procedure Disclosure requirements to the regulator and the public with the goal of market transparency and market discipline Hannover Re Hannover Re has received approval for its partial internal capital model. Internal and external risk quantification is therefore largely consistent. Hannover Re has long had in place an internal control system, the necessary key functions and extensive risk management. Additional requirements arising out of Solvency II have been implemented progressively in recent years. * SCR = Solvency Capital Requirement; MCR = Minimum Capital Requirement 61 We support our clients in their preparations for Solvency II through the flexible design of our products and by sharing experiences. Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital Capital mgmt. mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Hannover Re Group maintains comfortable capital position Capital adequacy above target with substantial excess capital in m. EUR Internal Metrics Available Economic Capital / Own Funds Confidence Level Solvency II 12,609 11,983 99.97% 99.5% 99.5% Required Capital / Solvency Capital Requirements 9,773 5,166 5,433 Excess Capital 2,836 7,443 6,549 Capital Adequacy Ratio 129% 244% 221% Minimum Target Ratio (Limit) 100% 200% 180% Minimum Target Ratio (Threshold) 110% n/a 200% As at 31 December 2015 62 Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital Capital mgmt. mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Hannover Re Group is well capitalised under Solvency II From economic view to regulatory view Available Capital in m. EUR Internal Model at VaR1) 99.97% 12,609 Required Capital 9,773 CAR Economic view: internal target confidence level at 99.97%, full internal model, full transferability of capital Regulatory view: partial internal model with standard formula for operational risk, confidence level at 99.5%, transferability restrictions on minority interests 129% -4,607 Internal Model at VaR 99.5% Haircut for Minority Interests2) 12,609 244% -626 11,983 Add-On, Standard Formula OpRisk Regulatory View at VaR 99.5% 5,166 5,166 232% +267 11,983 5,433 221% As at 31 December 2015 1) Value at Risk 2) Non-available minority interests mostly consist of non-controlling interests in E+S Rückversicherung AG 63 Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital Capital mgmt. mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix High quality capital basis Own funds largely constituted by Tier 1 capital supplemented with hybrid capital Reconciliation (IFRS Shareholders’ Equity/Solvency II Own Funds) 3,894 in m. EUR 1,583 612 626 532 10,383 1,627 11,983 1,090 511 9% 4% 8,778 Unutilized Tier 2 capacity 87% Tier 2 capital Tier 1 hybrid capital Tier 1 unrestricted capital Shareholders' Adjustments Adjustments Adjustments Foreseeable equity incl. for assets for technical due to tax dividends 2) minorities under own provisions1) effects and management others Minority haircut Tier 1 Hybrid capital unrestricted capital Basic own funds As at 31 December 2015 1) Adjustments for technical provisions incl. risk margin 2) Foreseeable dividends and distributions refer to Hannover Rück SE dividend as well as dividends to minorities within Hannover Re Group 64 Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital Capital mgmt. mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Capital efficiency supported by high diversification Capital adequacy ratio: 244% Risk capital for the 99.5% VaR (according to economic capital model) Property & Casualty in m. EUR 3,442 Life & Health 2,132 Market 3,901 Counterparty default 337 Operational HR Group required capital before tax Deferred taxes 435 6,867 3,378 1,702 10,246 33% diversification Effective capital requirement HR Group required capital after tax HR Group available economic capital As at 31 December 2015 65 5,166 12,609 Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital Capital mgmt. mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Hannover Re is well diversified within each risk category... ..and has a well balanced risk profile Risk capital for the 99.5% VaR (according to economic capital model) Underwriting risk property and casualty Underwriting risk life and health Market risk Operational risk As at 31 December 2015 66 2,164 Premium (incl. catastrophe) Reserve Underwriting risk property and casualty 3,442 1,069 25% 2,346 4,530 1,639 Mortality (incl. catastrophe) Longevity Morbidity and disability Lapse Underwriting risk life and health 1,291 387 2,132 Credit and spread Interest rate Foreign exchange Equity Real estate Market risk 1,836 47% 651 3,950 2,786 806 918 3,901 according to Standard formula using Internal Model Capital requirement Diversification in m. EUR 2,132 35% 1,057 464 5,960 642 435 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Net income increases to EUR 790 m. Good basis to achieve full-year targets Group Gross written premium: Net premium earned: EBIT: Group net income: RoE: Book value per share: Shareholders’ equity: EUR 12,454 m. (-3.8%) EUR 10,767 m. (-0.6%) EUR 1,189 m. NPE f/x-adj. growth of +1.7% EBIT and net income benefitting from improved P&C underwriting result and increased earnings contribution from L&H RoE remains well above our minimum target Shareholders’ equity up by 8.8%, despite dividend payment in Q2/2016, driven by net income and increase in valuation reserves 12.5% EUR 72.81 EUR 8,781 m. Life & Health R/I EBIT: EBIT: EUR 893 m. Improved C/R (95.0%) fuelled by strong underwriting result Net major losses of EUR 393 m. (6.6% of NPE) well below expected level, driven by benign Q3/2016 Premium development in line with selective underwriting approach 67 GWP in line with expectations (f/x adjusted -1.7%) EUR 790 m. Property & Casualty R/I Investments EUR 290 m. EBIT increased significantly by +17.9% F/x-adj. GWP -2.0%; decreasing premium due to discontinuation of large-volume treaties in Australia and China, partly offset by attractive growth in UK Longevity NII: RoI from AuM: EUR 1,146 m. 3.0% RoI slightly above full-year target (2.9%) Ordinary investment income lower mainly due to positive one-off effect in L&H in previous year AuM increased by 3.4% Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Favourable earnings contribution from both business groups Strong profit in Q3/2016 Group figures in m. EUR Q3/2015 Q3/2016 Gross written premium 4,359 4,170 12,946 12,454 Net premium earned 3,811 3,600 10,830 10,767 (33) 47 (73) 44 63 121 220 294 426 402 1,225 1,146 330 327 932 897 95 74 293 250 8 (5) 38 (2) Operating profit/loss (EBIT) 401 444 1,190 1,189 Interest on hybrid capital (18) (18) (66) (54) Net income before taxes 383 426 1,124 1,135 (114) (112) (298) (307) 269 314 826 828 15 10 40 38 254 304 786 790 Retention 87.3% 89.4% 87.9% 89.6% EBIT margin (EBIT/Net premium earned) 10.5% 12.3% 11.0% 11.0% Tax ratio 29.7% 26.3% 26.5% 27.0% 2.11 2.52 6.52 6.55 Net underwriting result - Incl. funds withheld Net investment income - From assets under own mgmt. - From funds withheld Other income and expenses Taxes Net income - Non-controlling interests Group net income Earnings per share (in EUR) 68 Q1-3/2015 Q1-3/2016 YTD GWP f/x-adjusted growth of -1.7% NPE f/x-adjusted growth of +1.7% Satisfactory EBIT margin of 11.0% Decrease in outstanding hybrid leads to lower leverage and savings in interest Tax ratio within normal range Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Underwriting result increased by 9.6% Premium development in line with selective underwriting approach Property & Casualty R/I in m. EUR Q3/2015 Q3/2016 Gross written premium 2,347 2,493 7,319 7,121 Net premium earned 2,071 2,087 5,965 5,925 87 116 268 294 95.8% 94.4% 95.5% 95.0% 242 219 657 624 Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld Combined ratio incl. interest on funds withheld Net investment income from assets under own management Other income and expenses Q1-3/2015 Q1-3/2016 12 (25) 353 332 936 893 30.0% 25.8% 26.4% 27.4% Group net income 233 237 651 613 Earnings per share (in EUR) 1.93 1.97 5.40 5.09 69 GWP f/x adjusted -1.5%; growth mainly from US and structured R/I, reduced volume from China motor business and specialty lines NPE f/x adjusted +0.9% (4) Tax ratio 25 Operating profit/loss (EBIT) YTD Major losses of EUR 393 m. well below budget of EUR 621 m. for Q1-3/2016 Positive reserve run-off as expected, no extraordinary effects in Q3/2016 Satisfactory ordinary investment income Other income and expenses unremarkable, Q1-3/2015 benefitted from positive f/x effects EBIT margin of 15.1% (Q1-3/2015: 15.7%) well above 10%-target Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Major losses well below budget for Q1-3/2016 Remaining large loss budget (EUR 432 m.) provides comfortable cushion for Q4/16 Natural and man-made catastrophe losses1) in m. EUR 1,730 981 863 672 410 285 2007 724 478 578 714 559 573 538 426 458 393 291 240 121 107 2006 662 662 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1-3/2016 Natural and man-made catastrophe losses in % of Property & Casualty premium 2) 2% 8% 2% 13% 6% 5% 11% 14% 5% 25% 12% 16% 9% 9% 7% 8% 8% 7% 8% 6% 7% 7% 560 625 670 690 825 Expected large losses (net) in m. EUR 377 Gross 360 Net 428 450 500 530 Expected large losses (net) 1) Up to 2011 claims over EUR 5 m. gross, from 2012 onwards claims over EUR 10 m. gross 2) 2006 adjusted to new segmentation 70 Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Benign large loss experience in Q1-3/2016 ... ... driven by very moderate loss situation in Q3/2016 Catastrophe losses* in m. EUR Date Gross Earthquake, Taiwan 6 Feb 21.2 19.9 Earthquake, Japan 14 Apr 25.9 24.5 Earthquake, Ecuador 16 - 17 Apr 56.4 55.5 Wildfires, Canada 30 Apr - 5 May 186.2 125.3 Storm "Elvira", Germany, France 27 - 28 May 19.8 12.7 Storm / Flood, China 1 Jun - 31 Jul 13.0 13.0 Storm / Hail, Netherlands, Germany 22 - 23 Jun 15.7 7.7 338.1 258.6 3 Marine claims 96.7 50.2 3 Property claims 80.9 62.1 1 Credit claim 22.3 22.3 538.1 393.2 7 Natural catastrophes 14 Major losses * Natural catastrophes and other major losses in excess of EUR 10 m. gross 71 Net Appendix Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Significantly increased earnings contribution from L&H Net income increased by 17.9% Life and health R/I in m. EUR Q3/2015 Q3/2016 Gross written premium 2,012 1,677 5,627 5,333 Net premium earned 1,739 1,513 4,864 4,841 (24) 5 (48) 1 87 105 266 263 (17) 0 28 26 46 111 246 290 Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld Net investment income from assets under own management Other income and expenses Operating profit/loss (EBIT) EBIT margin Tax ratio Group net income Earnings per share (in EUR) 72 Q1-3/2015 Q1-3/2016 2.7% 7.4% 5.1% 6.0% 28.4% 28.8% 26.9% 26.9% 32 78 178 209 0.27 0.65 1.47 1.73 YTD GWP f/x-adj. -2.0%, reduced premium due to discontinued large-volume treaties in Australia & China partly offset by growth from UK Longevity NPE f/x-adjusted growth +2.8% Improved technical result in line with expectation Ordinary investment income in line with expectation (Q1/2015 affected by positive one-off of EUR 39 m.) Decreased impact from positive f/x effects EBIT margins: • Financial solutions: 19.7%, (target 2.0%) • Longevity: 2.4% (target 2.0%) • Mortality and Morbidity: 4.3% (target 6.0%) Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Investment income slightly above expectations RoI target achieved RoI YTD 855 2.8% 124 154 0.5% (13) (24) (61) -0.2% (8) 9 (9) 29 0.1% Investment expenses (28) (27) (80) (80) -0.3% Decrease in ordinary income due to challenging yield environment and last year´s one-off effect from L&H business; decreased contribution from fixed-income securities partly compensated by higher income from Private Equity and Real Estate NII from assets under own mgmt. 330 327 932 897 3.0% 95 74 293 250 426 402 1,225 1,146 Realised gains up mainly due to Private Equity and last year´s oneoff burden from inflation swaps Increasing impairments driven by Listed and Private Equities as well as regular depreciation on real estate Valuation reserves with remarkable increase compared to year-end levels as yields and credit spreads once again decrease significantly Q3/2015 Q3/2016 318 285 921 Realised gains/losses 58 74 Impairments/appreciations & depreciations (9) Change in fair value of financial instruments (through P&L) in m. EUR Ordinary investment income* NII from funds withheld Total net investment income Unrealised gains/losses of investments On Balance-sheet thereof Fixed income AFS Off Balance-sheet thereof Fixed income HTM, L&R Total * Incl. results from associated companies 73 Q1-3/2015 Q1-3/2016 31 Dec 15 30 Sep 16 1,146 2,087 636 1,593 497 557 411 456 1,643 2,644 Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Target Matrix 2016 Profit targets largely achieved Strategic targets for 2016 Business group Key figures Group Return on investment ≥2.9% 3.0% ≥10.0% 12.5% ≥6.5% 0.5% ≥7.5% n.a. 4) -1.5% 5) 95.0% ≥10% 15.1% ≥2% n.a. 8) -2.0% ≥ EUR 220 m. n.a. EBIT margin6) Financial solutions/Longevity ≥2% 9.4% EBIT margin6) Mortality/Morbidity ≥6% 4.3% xRoCA7) ≥3% n.a. 1) 2) Return on equity Earnings per share growth (y-o-y) Value creation per share Property & Casualty R/I 3) Gross premium growth 3% - 5% ≤96% Combined ratio 6) EBIT margin xRoCA Life & Health R/I 7) Gross premium growth 5% - 7% Value of New Business (VNB) 1) Excl. effects from ModCo derivatives 3) Growth in book value per share + paid dividend 5) Incl. expected net major losses of EUR 825 m. 7) Excess return on allocated economic capital 9) Based on a cost of capital of 6% (until 2014: 4.5%) 74 Q1-3/2016 9) 2) After tax; target: 900 bps above 5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds 4) On average throughout the R/I cycle; at unchanged f/x rates 6) EBIT/net premium earned 8) Organic growth only; annual average growth (5 years), at unchanged f/x rates Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Our strategic business groups at a glance Q1-3/2016 vs. Q1-3/2015 Property & Casualty R/I in m. EUR Q1-3/2015 Q1-3/2016 Δ Life & Health R/I Q1-3/2015 Q1-3/2016 Total Δ Q1-3/2015 Q1-3/2016 Δ Gross written premium 7,319 7,121 -2.7% 5,627 5,333 -5.2% 12,946 12,454 -3.8% Net premium earned 5,965 5,925 -0.7% 4,864 4,841 -0.5% 10,830 10,767 -0.6% 251 276 +9.6% (325) (231) -28.9% (73) 44 - 268 294 +9.9% (48) 1 - 220 294 +33.7% 673 642 -4.5% 543 495 -8.9% 1,225 1,146 -6.4% 657 624 -5.0% 266 263 +38.8% 932 897 -3.8% 16 19 +14.4% 277 231 -16.4% 293 250 -14.7% 12 (25) - 28 26 -5.3% 38 (2) - 936 893 246 290 +17.9% 1,190 1,189 -0.1% (0) 0 0 0 (66) (54) -18.9% 936 893 -4.6% 246 290 +17.9% 1,124 1,135 +1.0% (247) (244) -1.3% (66) (78) +18.0% (298) (307) +3.0% 689 649 -5.8% 180 212 +17.9% 826 828 +0.3% 38 35 -7.1% 2 3 +48.6% 40 38 -4.0% 651 613 -5.8% 178 209 +17.5% 786 790 +0.5% Retention 88.8% 88.3% 86.8% 91.5% 87.9% 89.6% Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) 95.5% 95.0% 101.0% 100.0% 98.0% 97.3% EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) 15.7% 15.1% 5.1% 6.0% 11.0% 11.0% Tax ratio Earnings per share (in EUR) 26.4% 27.4% 26.9% 26.9% 26.5% 27.0% 5.40 5.09 1.47 1.73 6.52 6.55 Net underwriting result Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld Net investment income From assets under own management From funds withheld Other income and expenses Operating profit/loss (EBIT) Interest on hybrid capital Net income before taxes Taxes Net income Non-controlling interest Group net income 75 -4.6% - - Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Our strategic business groups at a glance Q3 stand-alone Property & Casualty R/I Q3/2015 Q3/2016 Gross written premium 2,347 2,493 Net premium earned 2,071 Δ Life & Health R/I -16.6% 4,359 4,170 -4.3% 1,513 -13.0% 3,811 3,600 -5.5% (113) (62) -45.6% (33) 47 - +34.2% (24) 5 63 121 +94.1% 226 -8.6% 176 173 -2.1% 426 402 -5.7% 242 219 -9.2% 87 105 +21.1% 330 327 -1.0% 6 7 +15.2% 89 67 -24.8% 95 74 -22.2% 25 (4) -114.3% (17) 0 - 8 (5) -161.7% 353 332 -5.8% 46 111 +140.6% 401 444 +10.7% 0 (0) (0) (0) - (18) (18) -0.2% 353 332 -5.8% 46 111 +140.6% 383 426 +11.2% (106) (86) -19.1% (13) (32) +144.3% (114) (112) -1.4% 247 246 -0.2% 33 79 +139.2% 269 314 +16.6% 14 9 -35.7% 1 1 -1.6% 15 10 -33.5% 233 237 +2.0% 32 78 +143.5% 254 304 +19.6% Retention 87.3% 88.5% 87.2% 90.8% 87.3% 89.4% Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) 95.8% 94.4% 101.4% 99.6% 98.4% 96.6% EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) 17.0% 15.9% 2.7% 7.4% 10.5% 12.3% Tax ratio Earnings per share (in EUR) 30.0% 25.8% 28.4% 28.8% 29.7% 26.3% 1.93 1.97 0.27 0.65 2.11 2.52 Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld Net investment income From assets under own management From funds withheld Other income and expenses Operating profit/loss (EBIT) Interest on hybrid capital Net income before taxes Taxes Net income Non-controlling interest Group net income 76 +6.2% 2,012 1,677 2,087 +0.8% 1,739 80 109 +35.6% 87 116 248 Δ Q3/2016 Net underwriting result Q3/2016 Δ Q3/2015 in m. EUR Q3/2015 Total - - Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Outlook Appendix Guidance for 2016 Hannover Re Group Gross written premium1) stable to modest reduction Return on investment2) 3) ~2.9% Group net income2) Dividend payout ratio4) at least EUR 950 m. (If comfortable level of capitalisation remains unchanged, this ratio will increase through payment of another special dividend) 1) At unchanged f/x rates 2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses in 2016 not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 825 m. 3) Excluding effects from ModCo derivatives 4) Related to group net income according to IFRS 77 35% - 40% Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Outlook Appendix Overall profitability still above margin requirements Property & Casualty R/I: financial year 2016 Lines of business Target markets North America3) Continental Europe 3) Marine Specialty lines worldwide Aviation + +/- + +/+/+/- Facultative R/I Worldwide treaty3) R/I Cat XL Structured R/I and ILS 1) In EUR 2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC) 3) All lines of business except those stated separately 78 Profitability 2) Credit, surety and political risks UK, Ireland, London market and direct Global R/I Volume1) +/+/- Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Outlook Appendix Increasing normalised earnings expected Life & Health R/I: financial year 2016 Reporting categories Financial solutions Risk solutions Profitability2) ++ Financial solutions Longevity +/- Mortality +/- Morbidity 1) In EUR 2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC) 79 Volume1) +/- Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Outlook Appendix Increasing earnings in the medium term Short term stable earnings and payment of extraordinary dividends Property & Casualty reinsurance results Positioned to outperform soft market improving market Life & Health reinsurance results EUR 300 – 350 m. Investments Increasing profits in the medium term Improving underlying profitability masked by legacy US mortality business in the short term (2017/2018) Favourable trends from positive VNB (20112015: EUR 1.9 bn.) visible as IFRS results from 2019 onwards Stable absolute NII in low yield environment Continued low interest rates? 80 High confidence level of reserves supporting stable earnings despite soft market (C/R ≤96%) Strong market position and financial strength enable us to outgrow the market when market conditions improve Better conditions for our increased retro coverage Pressure from low interest rates and declining return on investments offset by … … increasing investment volume from further positive cash flow Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Outlook Appendix Guidance for 2017 Hannover Re Group Gross written premium1) stable to modest reduction Return on investment2) 3) ~2.7% Group net income2) Dividend payout ratio4) more than EUR 950 m. (If comfortable level of capitalisation remains unchanged, this ratio will increase through payment of another special dividend) 1) At unchanged f/x rates 2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses in 2017 not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 825 m. 3) Excluding effects from ModCo derivatives 4) Related to group net income according to IFRS 81 35% - 40% Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Appendix Financial calendar 2 February 2017 10 May 2017 19 October 2017 1 January P&C Treaty Renewals Annual General Meeting Investors’ Day 2017 Quarterly Statement as at 31 March 2017 9 March 2017 10 August 2017 8 November 2017 Annual Results Press and Analysts’ Conference Half-yearly Financial Report 2017 Quarterly Statement as at 30 September 2017 Subject to changes www.hannover-re.com/288212/calendar I Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Appendix Basic information on the Hannover Re share Basic information International Securities Identification Number (ISIN) DE 000 840 221 5 Ticker symbols - Bloomberg HNR1 - Thomson Reuters HNRGn - ADR HVRRY Exchange listings - Germany Xetra, Frankfurt, Munich, Stuttgart, Hamburg, Berlin, Düsseldorf, Hannover (official trading: Xetra, Frankfurt and Hannover) - USA American Depositary Receipts (Level 1 ADR programme; 2 ADR = 1 share) Market segment Prime Standard Index inclusion MDAX First listed 30 November 1994 Number of issued shares* 120,597,134 Common shares* EUR 120,597,134 Share class No-par-value registered shares As at 31 December 2015 II Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Appendix List of abbreviations A ABS ADR AFS AG AuM B BAT biz bn. bps b/s C CAGR Cat C/R D E EBIT ECM EPS ESG F G GIIPS GWP H HR HTM I IFRS ILS IPO ISIN IVC J, K L L&R LoC LPT M m. III Asset-Backed Securities American Depositary Receipts Available-For-Sale Aktiengesellschaft (public company) Assets under Management Block Assumption Transactions business billion basis points balance sheet Compound Annual Growth Rate catastrophe Combined Ratio Earnings Before Interest and Taxes Economic Capital Model Earnings per share Environmental, Social, Governance Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, Spain Gross Written Premium Hannover Re Held-To-Maturity International Financial Reporting Standards Insurance-Linked Securities Initial Public Offering International Securities Identification Number Intrinsic Value Creation Loans & Receivables Letter of Credit Loss Portfolio Transfer million MCEV MCR mgmt. ModCo MtCR N n.a. NC NII NPE O OCI P P&L p.a. Perp prop. Q R R/I RoE RoI S S&P SCR SE T U U/Y U/W V V.a.G. VaR VNB W WACC X XL xRoCA Y YTD y-o-y Z Market Consistent Embedded Value Minimum Capital Requirements management Modified Coinsurance Maximum tolerable Combined Ratio not available non-callable Net Investment Income Net Premium Earned Other Comprehensive Income profit and loss per annum perpetual proportional Reinsurance Return on Equity Return on Investment Standard & Poor's Solvency Capital Requirements Societas Europaea (European Company) underwriting year Underwriting Versicherungsverein auf Gegenseitigkeit (mutual insurance company) Value at Risk Value of New Business Weighted Average Cost of Capital eXcess of Loss eXcess Return on Capital Allocated Year To Date year-on-year Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Our Investor Relations team Karl Steinle General Manager Corporate Communications Julia Hartmann Senior IR Manager Corporate Communications Axel Bock IR Manager Corporate Communications Tel: +49 511 5604 - 1500 [email protected] Tel: +49 511 5604 - 1529 [email protected] Tel: +49 511 5604 - 1736 [email protected] Hannover Rück SE Karl-Wiechert-Allee 50 30625 Hannover Germany www.hannover-re.com IV Appendix Appendix Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Appendix Details on reserve review by Willis Towers Watson The scope of Willis Towers Watson’s work was to review certain parts of the held loss and loss adjustment expense reserve, net of outwards reinsurance, from Hannover Rück SE’s consolidated financial statements in accordance with IFRS as at each 31 December from 2009 to 2015, and the implicit redundancy margin, for the non-life business of Hannover Rück SE. Willis Towers Watson concludes that the reviewed loss and loss adjustment expense reserve, net of reinsurance, less the redundancy margin is reasonable in that it falls within Willis Towers Watson’s range of reasonable estimates. • Life reinsurance and health reinsurance business are excluded from the scope of this review. • Willis Towers Watson’s review of non-life reserves as at 31 December 2015 covered 98.2% / 98.1% of the gross and net held non-life reserves of €22.8 billion and € 21.8 billion respectively. Together with life reserves of gross €3.7 billion and net €3.4 billion, the total balance sheet reserves amount to €26.6 billion gross and €25.2 billion net. • The results shown in this presentation are based on a series of assumptions as to the future. It should be recognised that actual future claim experience is likely to deviate, perhaps materially, from Willis Towers Watson’s estimates. This is because the ultimate liability for claims will be affected by future external events; for example, the likelihood of claimants bringing suit, the size of judicial awards, changes in standards of liability, and the attitudes of claimants towards the settlement of their claims. • The results shown in Willis Towers Watson’s reports are not intended to represent an opinion of market value and should not be interpreted in that manner. The reports do not purport to encompass all of the many factors that may bear upon a market value. • Willis Towers Watson’s analysis was carried out based on data as at evaluation dates for each 31 December from 2009 to 2015. Willis Towers Watson’s analysis may not reflect development or information that became available after the valuation dates and Willis Towers Watson’s results, opinions and conclusions presented herein may be rendered inaccurate by developments after the valuation dates. • As is typical for reinsurance companies, the claims reporting can be delayed due to late notifications by some cedants. This increases the uncertainty in the estimates. • Hannover Rück SE has asbestos, environmental and other health hazard (APH) exposures which are subject to greater uncertainty than other general liability exposures. Willis Towers Watson’s analysis of the APH exposures assumes that the reporting and handling of APH claims is consistent with industry benchmarks. However, there is wide variation in estimates based on these benchmarks. Thus, although Hannover Rück SE’s held reserves show some redundancy compared to the indications, the actual losses could prove to be significantly different to both the held and indicated amounts. • Willis Towers Watson has not anticipated any extraordinary changes to the legal, social, inflationary or economic environment, or to the interpretation of policy language, that might affect the cost, frequency, or future reporting of claims. In addition, Willis Towers Watson’s estimates make no provision for potential future claims arising from causes not substantially recognised in the historical data (such as new types of mass torts or latent injuries, terrorist acts), except in so far as claims of these types are included incidentally in the reported claims and are implicitly developed. • In accordance with its scope Willis Towers Watson’s estimates are on the basis that all of Hannover Rück SE’s reinsurance protection will be valid and collectable. Further liability may exist for any reinsurance that proves to be irrecoverable. • Willis Towers Watson’s estimates are in Euros based on the exchange rates provided by Hannover Rück SE as at each 31 December evaluation date. However, a substantial proportion of the liabilities is denominated in foreign currencies. To the extent that the assets backing the reserves are not held in matching currencies, future changes in exchange rates may lead to significant exchange gains or losses. • Willis Towers Watson has not attempted to determine the quality of Hannover Rück SE’s current asset portfolio, nor has Willis Towers Watson reviewed the adequacy of the balance sheet provisions except as otherwise disclosed herein. In its review,Willis Towers Watson has relied on audited and unaudited data and financial information supplied by Hannover Rück SE and its subsidiaries, including information provided orally. Willis Towers Watson relied on the accuracy and completeness of this information without independent verification. Except for any agreed responsibilities Willis Towers Watson may have to Hannover Rück SE, Willis Towers Watson does not assume any responsibility and will not accept any liability to any person for any damages suffered by such person arising out of this commentary or references to Willis Towers Watson in this document. V Overview Hannover Re Group Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Investment mgmt. Risk mgmt. Capital mgmt. Q1-3/2016 Outlook Appendix Appendix Disclaimer This presentation does not address the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person or legal entity. Investors should seek independent professional advice and perform their own analysis regarding the appropriateness of investing in any of our securities. While Hannover Re has endeavoured to include in this presentation information it believes to be reliable, complete and up-to-date, the company does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or updated status of such information. Some of the statements in this presentation may be forward-looking statements or statements of future expectations based on currently available information. Such statements naturally are subject to risks and uncertainties. Factors such as the development of general economic conditions, future market conditions, unusual catastrophic loss events, changes in the capital markets and other circumstances may cause the actual events or results to be materially different from those anticipated by such statements. This presentation serves information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of an offer or solicitation to acquire, subscribe to or dispose of, any of the securities of Hannover Re. © Hannover Rück SE. All rights reserved. Hannover Re is the registered service mark of Hannover Rück SE. VI