It`s all about being connected and resilient networks
Transcription
It`s all about being connected and resilient networks
The world according to GaWC: “It’s all about being connected and resilient networks” – On cross-border mobility and global commodity chains Professor Frank Witlox, PhD Professor of Economic Geography, Ghent University Director of the Doctoral School of Natural Sciences, Ghent University Associate Director of Globalization and World Cities research group (GaWC), Loughborough University Visiting professor of Warehouse and Hinterland Distribution Management, University of Antwerp (ITMMA) email: [email protected] Let’s start with a quote… “The most important cities are those that connect the global with the local in that they operate as places in which daily activity patterns, trade in goods and services, information and communication networks and corporate-control networks come together” (Burger, 2011, p. 96) In other words, it is about… Connections, relationships, linkages, flows, … (demographic) Size, (economic) Role, (geographic) Reach & (cultural) Diversity Between ‘important’ cities (not states) Global and Local (‘glocal’) Production & Consumption Infrastructure approach vs. Institutional approach Measuring, explaining, modelling, … In other words, it is about… Connections, relationships, linkages, flows, … (demographic) Size, (economic) Role, (geographic) Reach & (cultural) Diversity Between ‘important’ cities (not states) Global and Local (‘glocal’) Production & Consumption Infrastructure approach vs. Institutional approach Measuring, explaining, modelling, … GaWC : www.lboro.ac.uk/gawc Objective • Aim of this presentation: overview of GaWC research on inter-city relations in the global economy • GaWC: think-tank on globalization/cities-nexus, a collaborative venture between researchers at Loughborough (UK), Ghent (BE) and Virginia Tech (USA) Universities and the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS) • More I. II. III. IV. specific objective: GaWC research on : Cities and infrastructure networks Cities as post-industrial production sites Trying to explain what goes on Looking for clues … http://www.lboro.ac.uk/gawc GaWC methodology (1) • Rationale: world cities are based on what flows through them (information, knowledge, money, people, goods) rather than what is contained in them plea for ‘relational data’ • Conceptual starting point : Manuel Castells’ The Rise of the Network Society (1996, 2001) and its focus on ‘space of flows’ (>< ‘space of places’) • cities are places: specific locations in space that provide an anchor • cities are a process by which centers are connected in a global network • GaWC focus: analyzing connections and connectivity in city networks through transportation network flows (airline data, internet data, container flows, ...) -> ‘first vs. second nature of cities’ (P.J. Taylor, 2004) • internal differentiation within a city • inter-city relations, dependencies, and interdependencies between cities Using attribute data within empirical world cities research • Attribute (‘stock’) data “how do we become a global/world city ?” – – – – – – – Airports, ports Skycrapers Hotels Monuments Olympic games, FIFA Concerts, Arts, Exhibitions, … … • State-istics vs. city-istics Using attribute data within empirical world cities research Using attribute data within empirical world cities research • Hierarchy of cities “how do we become a first tier // core global/world city ?” Friedmann, 1986 Using attribute data within empirical world cities research • Hierarchy of cities “how do we become a first tier // core global/world city ?” Beaverstock et al., 1999 Using relational data within empirical world cities research • Relational (‘flow’) data “how do we become a global/world city ?” – Infrastructure networks • • • • • • Airports IATA; AEA; ICAO; OAG; Boeing/Airbus; MIDT; Sabre, … Ports Global container flow data (Alphaliner) Rail networks Telephone calls and Internet data (Telegeography) Pipelines Trade data, global commodity chains (between cities) – Corporate structures • Multinationals (transnational) entreprises • Intra-firms networks, inter-firm networks (GaWC) – Miscellaneous • Flow of waste • Money flow, credit card transactions • Drug traffic Using relational data within empirical world cities research • Relational (‘flow’) data [A]. Infrastructural approach, measuring insertion in global infrastructure networks (airline networks) [B]. Institutional, corporate organizational approach, measuring insertion in office networks of global ‘advanced’ producer services firms (banking/finance, law, accountancy, auditing, management consultancy, and advertising) [A] Cities and infrastructure networks 1. It’s all about being connected … Infrastructure networks and global cities Global cities as ‘accessible’ nodes in infrastructure networks Seaport Information and (tele)communication hub, submarine cables Airport, port, train station … Flows of commodities Flows of information/knowledge -container movement flows (1970-2007) -world air traffic (24hrs) Flows of people & commodities Mapping the global city network economy 25 cities with the largest incoming & outgoing airline flows Derudder, B. & Witlox, F. (2005) ‘An appraisal of the use of airline data in assessing the world city network: a research note of data’. Urban Studies. 42(13), 2371-2388. Mapping the global city network economy intra-firm ownership, based on the global Fortune 100 (2005) and their many worldwide subsidiaries Wall et al. (2011) ‘The geography of global corporate networks: the poor, the rich and the happy few countries’. Environment and Plannng A. 43, 904-927. Mapping the global city network economy Global container transport flows Tavasszy et al. (2011) ‘A strategic network choice model for global container flows: specification, estimation and application’. Journal of Transport Geography. 19, p. 1169. Mapping the global city network economy 50 most important cities in terms of google search “global environmental score” (GES) Devriendt et al. (2011) ‘Searching for Cyberspace: The Position of Major Cities in the Information Age’. Journal of Urban Technology. 18 (1), p. 84 [B] Cities as post-industrial production sites 2. It’s all about being connected … World city network Global cities as ‘postindustrial production sites’ for advanced producer services Politics, trade, communication, finance, education, culture, technology Cosmopolitan characteristics & multinational corporate economy Role of MNC New (spatial) international division of labour Command and control centers of capital Role of international institutions, business service sector, TNC Internationalization, concentration, intensity of producer services Knowledge-rich environment, specialist markets Role of advanced producer services (APS) GaWC methodology (2) • Rationale: commonsense notion ‘cities in the global economy’ is poorly understood in the social sciences, both in conceptual and empirical terms. Globalization -> key cities cannot be understood in a ‘national’ or even a ‘regional’ framework • Conceptual starting point : Saskia Sassen’s The Global City and its focus on ‘advanced producer services’ (APS) Global Cities = ‘strategic places’ • GaWC focus: transnational spatial relations between cities, adding up to a ‘world city network’ (WCN), cf. ‘NY-LON-KONG’ • Specific type of network: interlocking network formed at the sub-nodal level, where APS firms (i.e. accountancy, advertising, banking/finance, insurance, law and management consulting) are the ‘interlockers’ • Many APS firms have ‘gone global’, and their locational strategies are thereby heavily influenced by agglomeration economies in important cities → office network covering major cities in the world economy (to be active in at least 15 cities) Saskia Sassen: ‘The Global City’ ‘capitals’ Deloitte advertisement @ Amsterdam Airport Baker & McKenzie’s city-centred office network Specification of the WCN • Service value vij: measure of the importance of the office of firm j in city i Importance can be standardized between 0 and 5: • • • • • • 5= 4= 3= 2= 1= 0= global HQ regional HQ national HQ or ‘large’ office typical office local partner no office • Inter-city relation rai,j: measure of the importance of the flows between offices in cities a and i < heuristic // spatial interaction tradition: r ai , j = v aj .v ij • Global network connectivity GNCa: measure of the importance of a city’s flows to all other cities i across all firms j: GNC a = ∑r i, j ai , j The GaWC approach: specification Global Network Connectivity of city a (GNCa) ≠ summing service values Rather, an assessment of how a city is connected in office networks < heuristic // ‘spatial interaction modeling’: GNC a = ∑v aj .v ij i, j For instance: o relation between city with global HQ (5) and city with regional HQ (4) o relation between two cities with ‘typical offices’ (2) o relation between city with national HQ (3) and city with no office (0) = 5x4 = 2x2 = 3x0 = 20 = 4 = 0 Credible when a large number of firms (175) and cities (526) are used GNC is expressed as a proportion of the largest GNC value to make the values independent from the number of firms/cities in the dataset The GaWC approach: sample dataset Amsterdam Accra Atlanta Bangkok Barcelona Brisbane … KPMG 3 0 3 1 1 2 … PWC 3 1 2 2 2 2 … AA 2 3 0 1 4 0 … D&T 4 2 2 3 0 2 … … … … … … … … … The GaWC approach: example Amsterdam KPMG 3 Price Water House Coopers 3 Arthur Andersen 1 Atlanta Bangkok Barcelona 3 1 1 2 2 2 0 1 … … … 4 … 3*2+3*2+3*2=18 1*0+1*1+1*4=5 ∑v aj .v ij 3*3+3*1+3*1=15 i GNCa = ∑ v aj.vij i, j 15+18+5=38 … … … … … … The GaWC approach: data Required data < specification = info on the importance of the presence of key APS firms in key cities (‘service values’) Data gatherings have been carried out in 2000, 2004, 2008, 2010 New data gathering has been carried out in 2012 o Selection of cities: all cities > 1,5 million inhabitants + all cities with key economic importance (based on literature review) => 526 cities o Selection of firms: for each sector rankings based on turnover or combined indices such as Forbes => 175 firms o For each of the 175 firms: analysis of corporate websites to assess importance of presence in each of the 526 cities => 92050 service values Viewpoint from the city City E&Y AAA MSI AGN BDO GTI HOI KPM SBT ... Amsterdam 2 2 3 2 2 2 5 5 0 ... Atlanta 3 3 0 2 0 1 2 3 0 ... Bangkok 0 0 0 1 2 2 3 3 0 ... Barcelona 2 2 2 2 0 0 2 2 0 ... Peking 0 2 3 0 1 2 2 2 0 ... Berlijn 0 2 2 2 0 0 3 3 0 ... Boston 3 2 0 0 0 1 0 3 2 ... Brussel 2 2 2 2 5 2 3 2 0 ... Boedapest 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 3 0 ... Buenos Aires 2 2 0 2 4 2 3 2 0 ... Caracas 0 2 0 1 2 2 2 2 0 ... Chicago 2 5 0 2 2 5 2 3 2 ... Dallas 0 2 2 0 0 2 2 3 0 ... Düsseldorf 0 2 3 3 0 0 0 2 0 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 2008 Rank City GNC 1 London 1 2 New York 0,98 3 Hong Kong 0,71 4 Paris 0,70 5 Tokyo 0,69 6 Singapore 0,65 7 Chicago 0,62 8 Milan 0,60 9 Los Angeles 0,60 10 Toronto 0,59 11 Madrid 0,59 12 Amsterdam 0,59 13 Sydney 0,58 14 Frankfurt 0,57 15 Brussels 0,56 16 Sao Paulo 0,54 17 San Francisco 0,51 18 Mexico City 0,49 19 Zurich 0,48 20 Taipei 0,48 Hinterworld How the world changes… 2000 2008 Data gathering(s) • 2000: – – • 2008 – – • 315 cities, 100 ‘leading’ service firms in banking, insurance, management consultancy, accountancy, law & advertising Different number of firms and selection criterion for each sector 526 cities, 175 ‘leading’ service firms in finance (previously banking & insurance) (75), management consultancy (25), accountancy (25), law (25) & advertising (25) Uniform selection of criterion for each sector: corporate size as given by the Forbes composite index, a measure that combines rankings for sales, profits, assets and market value formation 2000 & 2008: assignment of service values based on corporate websites Making measures compatible... • Only for cities that feature in 2000 and 2008 • GNC is expressed as a proportion of the largest GNC value to make the values independent from the number of firms/cities in the dataset • Specialization implies that some cities do relatively well in a particular sector (e.g. NY in finance and Chicago in law): use of sectoral distribution of 2008 (75/25/25/25/25) to recalculate connectivities for 2000 • Cartograms only focus on cities that have a GNC > 20% GNCmax (London) in either 2000 or 2008 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 London New York Hong Kong Tokyo Paris Singapore Chicago Milan Los Angeles Madrid Toronto Sydney Amsterdam Frankfurt Brussels Sao Paulo San Francisco Taipei Zurich Jakarta 2000 100,00 97,26 72,47 70,87 70,16 66,26 61,49 60,47 59,87 59,74 58,25 58,03 57,66 57,50 56,19 54,74 51,38 48,77 48,49 48,47 22 23 26 28 30 32 34 39 Mumbai Buenos Aires Kuala Lumpur Shanghai Beijing Seoul Warsaw Moscow 47,52 46,92 44,56 44,27 43,01 42,20 42,08 41,17 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 New York London Hong Kong Paris Singapore Tokyo Sydney Shanghai Beijing Milan Madrid Seoul Moscow Brussels Toronto Buenos Aires Mumbai Kuala Lumpur Warsaw Sao Paulo 2008 100,00 98,96 81,44 76,83 73,36 72,18 71,90 69,74 69,16 67,56 66,01 63,50 63,44 63,30 62,69 61,19 60,86 59,72 56,40 56,19 21 23 25 26 30 32 42 50 Zurich Taipei Amsterdam Jakarta Chicago Frankfurt Los Angeles San Francisco 56,01 55,37 55,09 54,96 52,71 51,16 42,92 40,83 Major negative changes Major positive changes Los Angeles -2,52 Shanghai 2,76 Miami -2,31 Beijing 2,64 San Francisco -1,91 Moscow 2,62 Cologne -1,76 Seoul 2,12 St Louis -1,74 Rome 1.89 Montreal -1,73 Tel Aviv 1,84 Nassau -1,68 Bucharest 1,44 Hamilton -1,63 Riyadh 1,39 Düsseldorf -1,63 Kuwait 1,38 Frankfurt -1,48 Kuala Lumpur 1,37 Globalism vs Localism Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 City Frankfurt Munich Cologne Düsseldorf Hamburg Berlin Stuttgart Nuremberg Dresden Bremen Leipzig Essen Dortmund Hannover Globalism 1,29 0,90 0,49 0,48 0,12 -0,12 -0,24 -0,45 -0,66 -0,69 -0,75 -0,78 -0,82 -0,84 Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 City Dortmund Cologne Nuremberg Leipzig Dresden Essen Hannover Bremen Hamburg Düsseldorf Munich Stuttgart Berlin Frankfurt Localism 1,87 1,38 1,35 1,33 1,32 1,29 1,07 1,00 0,89 0,84 0,75 0,67 0,65 -0,05 Geography of standardized connectivity change (2000-2008) [C] Trying to explain what goes on: Cross-border mobility and global commodity chains Location/scale matters … link between commodity flows and APS Commodity flows recent changes in the structure and functioning of the global economy: lower transportation costs emergence of ICT increasing international competition search for cheap production factors ... ↓ production and consumption of commodities and services obtains worldwide character: internationalization vs globalization made in China? Commodity flows consequence: difficulties in establishment of theories production obtains a transnational dimension ↕ traditional theories depart from a national frame of reference ↓ necessity of a new frame of reference ’90s – early 2000s: three new approaches global commodity chain approach (Gereffi, 1994) global value chain approach (Gereffi et al., 2005) global production network approach (Henderson et al., 2002) basic assumption: production as a trans-border, networked process [D] Looking for clues… Let’s retake our quote, and add another quote… “The most important cities are those that connect the global with the local in that they operate as places in which daily activity patterns, trade in goods and services, information and communication networks and corporate-control networks come together” (Burger, 2011, p. 96) -> “What is needed in order to become ‘a most important city’?” “Problems associated with urban agglomerations have usually been solved by means of creativity, human capital, cooperation (sometimes bargaining) among relevant stakeholders, bright scientific ideas: in a nutshell, ‘smart’ solutions (Caragliu et al., 2009, p. 46) The ‘smart’ (‘intelligent’) city solution … 1. utilization of networked infrastructure to improve economic and political efficiency and enable social, cultural and urban development (i.e., ‘the wired city’ = business services, housing, leisure and lifestyle services, ICTs (mobile and fixed phones, satellite TVs, computer networks, e-commerce, internet services). 2. underlying emphasis on business-led urban developments. 3. social inclusion of various urban residents in public services (equitable urban growth). 4. crucial role of high-tech and creative industries in long-run urban growth (R. Florida). (i.e., soft infrastructure: knowledge networks, voluntary organizations, crime-free environments) 5. attention to the role of social and relational capital in urban development: learn to learn, adapt and innovate. 6. social and environmental sustainability as a major strategic component. The ‘smart’ (‘intelligent’) city solution … 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. smart economy (regional competitiveness) smart mobility (transport and ICT economics) smart environment (natural resources) smart people (human and social capital) smart living (quality of life) smart governance (participation of societies) In sum: “a city is smart when investments in human and social capital and traditional (transport) and modern (ICT) communication infrastructure fuels sustainable economic growth and a high quality of life, with a wise management of natural resources, through participatory governance” (Caragliu et al., 2011) Measuring ‘smartness’ Measuring ‘smartness’ Measuring ‘smartness’ Measuring ‘smartness’ What SEG/GaWC can do ? 1) Market analysis I: detailed, systematic and sensible analysis of trends in urban economic markets 2) Market analysis II: evolving trends in relation to other urban markets 3) Market analysis III: holes in corporate structure 4) Policy advice: detailed appraisal of where city ‘is’ for city governments Market analysis II Market analysis: evolving trends in relation to other urban markets GaWC focuses on a specific segment of urban economies, but ‘indicator species’ analogy Extensive (core periphery) vs intensive (core core) globalization Links with other globalized urban markets, e.g. airlines, Internet service provision, … have been explored in previous research Market analysis III Market analysis: revealing ‘holes’ in corporate structure GNC can be broken down by sector and firm co-location firms sectors Looking for obvious ‘missing links’ in office network versus urban service markets in general and other firms in the same sectors in particular Example: most-connected cities in which Accenture is absent are Auckland, Dubai, Riyadh, Cairo & Jeddah Similar assessments can be made vis-à-vis specific firms, specific groups of firms, specific sectors, etc. Policy advice Policy advice: detailed appraisal of where city ‘is’ for city governments and planning agencies London and Madrid: development agencies dubbed GaWC analyses as the most relevant and detailed E.g., Dublin City Council (DCC): detailed appraisal of where Dublin’s ‘peer cities’ are in terms of network connectivity, sectoral mix, geography of connections,… => basis for detailed monitoring scheme of comparable cities E.g., Abu Dhabi Council for Economic Development (ADCED): large-scale awareness program for business leaders and government officials Want to know/read more? More ? – contact us via: www.geoweb.ugent.be/seg www.lboro.ac.uk/gawc – email: [email protected] [email protected]