FRANCE - Transcrime
Transcription
FRANCE - Transcrime
THE FACTBOOK ON THE ILLICIT TRADE IN TOBACCO PRODUCTS Francesco Calderoni Monica Angelini Serena Favarin Marina Mancuso Martina Rotondi directed by: Ernesto U. Savona 8 FRANCE France Francesco Calderoni Monica Angelini Serena Favarin Marina Mancuso Martina Rotondi Series: The Factbook on the Illicit Trade in Tobacco Products Issue 8 Series editor: Ernesto U. Savona Transcrime – Research Centre on Transnational Crime Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore di Milano Largo Gemelli, 1 – 20123 Milano (Italy) Phone: +39 02 7234 3715 / 3716; Fax: +39 02 7234 3721 www.transcrime.it 2016 ISBN: 978-88-99719-02-9 Suggested Citation: Calderoni Francesco, Monica Angelini, Serena Favarin, Marina Mancuso and Martina Rotondi. France. The Factbook on the Illicit Trade in Tobacco Products 8. Transcrime, 2016 © 2016 Transcrime – Research Centre on Transnational Crime All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior written permission of the author. Credits: Giorgio Savona (cover and picture p.17), Chris Eisenbahner (picture p.45) creative commons license Graphic project: Ilaria Mastro – Transcrime TABLE OF CONTENTS Transcrime 1 The Factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products 3 Acknowledgments 5 Executive summary 7 Introduction Why focus on the ITTP in France? What can be found in this report? Chapter 1: The five drivers Society and economy Legal market Regulation Crime environment Enforcement Chapter 2: The four components The demand The supply The products Modus operandi and geographical distribution Chapter 3: Framing the components in the drivers Introduction: the four key factors Economic Accessibility Availability Profitability Risk 13 13 14 16 17 21 29 39 45 54 55 58 61 68 76 77 78 79 81 82 Conclusions 85 References 89 6 TRANSCRIME Transcrime is the Research Centre on Transnational The Centre also plays an important role in the support Crime of Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore of Milan. and development of educational activities at Università The Centre, directed by Ernesto U. Savona, Professor Cattolica del Sacro Cuore of Milan. Its principal aim is to of Criminology at Università Cattolica, represents the achieve close integration between scientific innovation multiannual union between experience and innovation in and academic education. In particular, since the the field of criminological research. academic year 2005/06, Transcrime has managed an MA programme dedicated to crime and security (until academic year 2012/13, the curriculum Crime&Tech: point of reference in the criminological field. The vision of Crime Sciences and Technologies for Security within the Centre is to increase knowledge in the criminological the MA in Applied Social Sciences; since the 2013/14 field and in the prevention of crimes, developing academic year curriculum POLISI: Policies for security innovative ideas and cutting-edge techniques. within the MA in Public Policy). In addition, the Centre has contributed to the development of the International Transcrime combines its experience in applied research Ph.D. programme in Criminology, coordinated by with the consolidated scientific tradition of Università Professor Francesco Calderoni (Università Cattolica del Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, mixing a practice-oriented Sacro Cuore), which is currently the only doctoral course approach with a profound understanding of criminal dedicated to Criminology in Italy. phenomena. Through this experience, it developed a solid network of relationships in the academic field, institutions, Transcrime is an independent academic centre. It international organisations and businesses. pursues an autonomous research agenda, which may be developed also through contracts and funding by private and public local, national and international institutions. The source of funding is always made public through Transcrime’s website. 1 The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products Transcrime aims at being a national and international FRANCE Official website: www.transcrime.it 2 THE FACTBOOK ON THE ILLICIT TRADE IN TOBACCO PRODUCTS This report is part of the project The Factbook on the The information gathered for this report originates Illicit Trade in Tobacco Products (henceforth, ITTP). from academic literature, grey literature, open sources, questionnaires and interviews with experts and The project has been developed by Transcrime after the stakeholders. The data-gathering phase of the project Round Table on Proofing EU Regulation against the Illicit encountered major difficulties due to the number of Trade in Tobacco Products hosted by Università Cattolica sources, institutions and stakeholders involved. del Sacro Cuore of Milan on 5 May 2011. During the Round Table, participants (researchers and policymakers The results of the report do not claim to be exhaustive or with experience in the field of the illicit trade in tobacco an accurate reflection of criminal practices. They provide products) agreed on a research agenda concerning the an initial assessment of the ITTP in France and a starting ITTP (Transcrime 2011). Items 3 and 6 of the research point for future research. agenda focused on the need for better analysis of the As a concerned stakeholder in the fight against the illicit legal and illicit part) and on how licit and illicit markets trade in tobacco products, Philip Morris International vary across different countries and regions. Given these (PMI) welcomed Transcrime’s initiative to develop the considerations, Transcrime has developed the Factbook Factbook on the ITTP with financial support and the on the ITTP, a multi-annual research plan providing provision of data. However, Transcrime retained full detailed analyses of the ITTP and of its relations with control and stands as guarantor for the independence of the legal market and other socio-economic and political the research and its results. Information and data for the factors in a number of countries around the world. study have been collected by Transcrime and have not been shared with PMI. The aim of the Factbook is to provide an innovative instrument to shed light on the complex mechanisms behind the ITTP in different countries. This report focuses on France. Tobacco consumption is undoubtedly a danger for human health, and governments should carefully regulate the tobacco market. Illicit tobacco avoids state regulation and taxation and may jeopardise tobacco control policies. The Factbook will contribute to raising awareness the strategies available to prevent it. The Factbook has been developed for a wide readership ranging from policymakers and academics to interested stakeholders, with the intention of providing support to develop knowledge-based debates and policies on the ITTP. FRANCE about the global importance of the ITTP and about 3 The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products tobacco market by taking account of its dual nature (i.e., 4 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 5 des Drogues et des Toxicomanies–OFDT), Jean–Paul Vaslin, Christine Valenta and Luc Cardet (Le Losange). The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products Special thanks go to Aurélie Lermenier (Observatoire Français FRANCE 6 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This report provides the French country profile of the project The Factbook on the Illicit Trade in Tobacco Products. In France, the illicit trade in tobacco products is a key issue due to its high penetration in the French tobacco market, reaching 14.7% of total consumption in 2014 (KPMG 2015). Tobacco control policies are at the top of the French policy agenda, and a national action plans against the ITTP was launched in 2011. Moreover, the recent ratification of the Protocol Against Illicit Trade in Tobacco Products (WHO FCTC), in November 2015, demonstrates France’s commitment to tackling the illicit trade. The growing attention of the French Customs to tobacco smuggling is evidenced by the increasing number of seizures. WHAT CAN BE FOUND IN THIS REPORT? This report is updated at December 2015. It is organised ••Chapter one deals with the five drivers of the ITTP: society and economy, the legal market, regulation, the crime environment and enforcement. The drivers are important areas whose structures may positively or negatively impact on the ITTP. To enable comparison with other country profiles, five key indicators have been selected for each driver. The data for the driver indicators come from comparable sources (latest available years). When possible, the report provides the most up-to-date data from national sources. of the ITTP: demand, products, supply, modus operandi and geographical distribution. ••Chapter three identifies the key factors of the ITTP in France and frames the drivers in the components, analysing how different elements of the drivers influence the components of the ITTP. country, highly developed, and with a low income inequality rate. Relative poverty among the French population is low in comparison with other highincome OECD members, and its GDP per capita has increased in the past decade. Nevertheless, the global recession and the economic crisis have hit the country severely. Unemployment rates grew until 2014 and then remained stable. France spends a large share of its GDP on education and health, and the life expectancy rate is one of the highest in the world. ••Legal market: The French tobacco market is one of the largest in Europe, the Middle East and North Africa, despite the decreasing trend in tobacco sales 7 in the last few years. France is a major European producer of tobacco products, but it is also a large importer of cigarettes. Tobacco consumption in France is high compared with the global average. The majority of smokers prefer cigarettes, but HRT is becoming increasingly common. The price of cigarettes has increased significantly in the past decade, and the proportion of French people buying tobacco products in neighbouring countries has increased. ••Regulation: Regulation of the tobacco market is high in France, and the country has one of the strongest anti-smoking lobbies in Europe. Overall, taxation on cigarettes is high and the country has invested a significant amount of resources in tobacco control policies. There is a high level of control on the supply chain as well as on tobacco consumption and sales. The control of tobacco marketing and promotion is medium-high. FRANCE ••Chapter two focuses on the four components ••Society and economy: France is a multicultural The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products into three chapters: THE FIVE DRIVERS Executive Summary ••Crime environment: France has low crime levels, ••Modus operandi and geographical distribution: low corruption, and a limited informal economy. The majority of tobacco seizures occur at the main Corsica and Marseille are specific cases within the French ports in Northern France. After arriving via French criminal panorama, owing to a historically sea routes, illicit tobacco products are transported more consolidated presence of criminal organisations. on motorways by cars and trucks. The Internet Drug use in the country is high and cannabis is the retailing of tobacco products is increasingly common most used drug. Criminal groups often operate within in France. Cross-border purchases may be unlawful the illicit drugs market. conduct if purchasers exceed the legal allowances. The ITTP prevalence (mn sticks per 100,000 ••Enforcement: France has efficient law enforcement with a medium-low number of police personnel, medium rates of judges, and a large prison population. Cooperation between public bodies and tobacco manufacturers is established by agreements with the European Commission and strengthened inhabitants) is higher in Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur, Nord-Pas-de-Calais and Languedoc-Roussillon. FRAMING THE COMPONENTS IN THE DRIVERS: THE FOUR KEY FACTORS OF THE ITTP through specific agreements between the French Customs and tobacco industry operators. The French The report identifies four key factors of the ITTP in France. government has signed specific partnerships with The key factors are the crucial elements through the European institutions in order to improve the fight which the five drivers influence the four components. against the unlawful importation of goods, including This chapter analyses how the interaction between the tobacco products. drivers and the components impact or may impact the THE FOUR COMPONENTS OF THE ITTP 8 ITTP through these four key factors (Figure 1, p. 9). •• Economic accessibility: The price of illicit tobacco ••The demand: The low price of illicit tobacco is the key factor in the demand for it. Indeed, a pack of illicit and particularly its relative price compared to the price of legal products. cigarettes is €2 cheaper than a legal one, increasing the accessibility of these products. In France, illicit • Given the dual nature of the tobacco market tobacco products can be found on the streets in composed of legal and illegal parts, the growth in specific metropolitan areas. the price differential between legal and illegal products increases the relative economic •• The supply: Illicit tobacco supply is mainly driven by accessibility of illicit tobacco and stimulates the the opportunity to make very high profits with relatively ITTP. In France, this occurred between 2002 and low risks. In France, diverse actors are involved in 2004, when the excise duty on tobacco was raised the supply chain of the ITTP, from individual criminals and cigarette prices rose significantly from €3.60 in and street sellers to more organised groups. Illicit 2002 to €5.00 in 2004. tobacco is mainly sold through grocery stores, private apartments, markets and the Internet. • In 2015, tax incidence in France is approximately 80.3% of the final retail price of the most popular brand. The •• The products: DGDDI argues that one among five country ranked 7th among 28 EU countries for cigarette cigarettes in France is bought outside the French taxation (European Commission 2015). A high tax legal retail network. DGDDI estimates that the overall incidence may create profit potentials for smugglers. penetration of the illicit market into the legal market is 5%. Further, some unofficial estimates are provided by • The unemployment rate in France reached 10.1% in private agencies. In 2014, Euromonitor International 2015 (Banque de France 2015). The global recession and KPMG assessed the ITTP penetration at and the economic crisis severely hit the country. 17.0% and 14.7%, respectively. The main illicit Worsened social conditions and high unemployment tobacco products are contraband & others and illicit rates may induce smokers to maintain their smoking whites. habits by switching to illicit, less expensive tobacco products. Executive Summary Figure 1. The main interactions between the drivers and the ITTP Source: Transcrime elaboration Increase of the ITTP society & economy Decrease of the ITTP unemployment Change of the ITTP street markets waterpipe bars legal market price differentials downtrading trend Increase of the ITTP regulation taxation supply chain controls plain packaging crime environment criminal networks Decrease of the ITTP smuggling routes low corruption 9 enforcement 2011 national action plan Change of the ITTP EU cooperation customs-industry MoUs • The French market is experiencing a downtrading • France’s geographical location in Western Europe and trend. Consumption of cigarettes and cigars is the presence of neighbouring countries with cheaper decreasing while HRT has increased. Indeed, from tobacco products, such as Andorra, Spain, Italy, 2009 to 2014, the change in the sales volume of HRT Belgium, Germany and Luxembourg, may increase (hand-rolling tobacco) was +11.1% (Euromonitor the availability of the ITTP in border regions. Indeed, International 2015a). cross-border purchasing, i.e., the practice of buying cheaper tobacco products in neighbouring countries, is commonplace in France. These purchases are smugglers and consumers can obtain illicit illegal whenever imported products exceed the tobacco products. amount allowed by the law or if they are used for resale even within limits. • The easier it is to find and buy illegal products, the greater the likelihood of their diffusion in a specific • The high incidence of non-domestic cigarettes area. In France, illicit tobacco products can be mainly at French ports suggests that international trade found in specific neighbourhoods of metropolitan areas practices favour the importation of illicit tobacco in Paris, Lyon, Toulouse and Marseille. products. FRANCE ••Availability: The relative ease with which both The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products existing penalties Executive Summary • The demand for specific tobacco products, such as • Penalties against illicit tobacco trafficking in waterpipe tobacco, may favour its availability on the France comprise several measures, depending on black market. the offences committed by the persons involved, i.e., intellectual property infringement, tobacco contraband, • Supply chain control measures (tracking and presence of a criminal organisation, tax evasion, tracing systems, customer identification and etc. The penalties imposable for these crimes (e.g., mandatory licensing for tobacco retailers and confiscations, fines or imprisonment) constitute manufacturers) impact the ITTP by decreasing the deterrents against the growth of the ITTP. availability of illicit tobacco products. • Law enforcement cooperation with EU institutions • The introduction of plain packaging from May 2016 could increase the availability of counterfeit tobacco can increase the risks for the smugglers involved in the ITTP. products on the black market. • The signings of several Memoranda of ••Profitability: The ability of the ITTP to generate profits that exceed its operational costs. Understanding between French Customs and the tobacco industry increase the risks for smugglers and impact the supply of illicit tobacco and the modus • The ITTP provides very high incomes because operandi of the traffickers. most illicit tobacco products pay no, or very limited, taxes. At the same time, cigarettes are the commodity 10 • The 2011 French national action plans against with the highest fiscal value per weight (Joossens cigarette smuggling may have reduced the supply of 1998, 149–150). In France, illicit cigarettes cost €2 illicit tobacco by increasing the risks for smugglers. less than legal ones. This leaves high margins for the A new action plan would be launched in next years, ITTP. according to the National Programme for reducing tobacco consumption (Axis 3). • Importing cheaper tobacco products from neighbouring countries is a consolidated practice • Supply chain control measures impact the ITTP by in France. In 2015, the OFDT and INHESJ estimated increasing the risk for smugglers. These measures that 17% of tobacco consumed in France arrived from include tracking and tracing systems, customer neighbouring countries (Lermenier-Jeannet 2015). identification and mandatory licensing for tobacco The low prices of tobacco products in neighbouring retailers and manufacturers. countries may also encourage bootlegging. • The low level of corruption in France impacts the • The drugs market is the largest illegal market in France (National Gendarmerie 2015). Consolidated supply side of the ITTP by increasing the risks for the actors involved. illicit routes used for drug trafficking may increase the opportunities for smugglers to traffic illicit tobacco and exploit scope economies among different goods. • Established smuggling routes may be used from criminal networks for transporting illicit cigarettes. This may boost the supply of the ITTP by diminishing the ••Risk: The threat of detection/accusation/ risks for criminals. conviction and the sanctions imposable on the actors involved in the ITTP. • The small structure and modus operandi of smuggling rings in France impact the supply of illicit tobacco by reducing the risks for the actors involved. Executive Summary Currently, the only official estimates on the size of the The evolution of the project has shown that countries have ITTP in France have been provided by the DGDDI for very different situations in relation to the available data on 2011 only. Some unofficial estimates are also available. the ITTP. In some cases, the quality of the available data Moreover, Transcrime has estimated the volume and is low and there are no official, regularly updated, data. prevalence (mn sticks per 100,000 inhabitants) of illicit Inevitably, this may affect the quality and reliability of the tobacco in France. Contraband & others are the most results. In these cases, institutions, businesses and other widespread illicit tobacco product, while the incidence of stakeholders concerned with the ITTP should consider counterfeits has decreased in the last years. Illicit whites, how to improve the data collection on illicit tobacco. This particularly the American Legend brand, have become will result in an improvement in the knowledge of the ITTP increasingly common in Southern France, especially in and, in turn, in better tobacco control policies, since quite the port basin of Marseille. DGDDI seizures suggest the often the impact of specific policy measures upon crime growing importance of illicit HRT and waterpipe tobacco. may be overlooked due to the lack of reliable data. Nevertheless, there is no actual official estimate on their incidence in the French market. Cross-border purchasing is a crucial issue for the analysis of the ITTP in France. France’s proximity to countries with cheaper tobacco products facilitates crossborder purchases of tobacco and, in some cases, the importing of quantities in excess of those allowed by the law or the re-sale the tobacco products. The results of this study demonstrate that more research and accurate data would allow a better assessment of the ITTP in France. Indeed, there are no publicly available 11 studies on the demand for illicit tobacco products. counterfeit and illicit whites is measurable from unofficial estimates, the shares of illicit HRT and waterpipe tobacco have not yet been calculated. The disparity between national consumption and national sales of these products and the rising number seizures in France suggest that this may be a growing trend within the ITTP. The ITTP is a complex problem, not limited to an issue of law enforcement and criminal justice policy alone. In France, the ITTP seems to have increased between 2006 and 2015. The government has reacted with various measures. Nevertheless, despite the launch of the 2011 such as a new national action plan or national public awareness campaigns, are necessary. Effective action against the ITTP requires comprehensive strategies including criminal law, administrative sanctions and other indirect measures aimed at reducing crime opportunities. FRANCE national action plan, additional preventative measures, The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products Furthermore, whilst the incidence of contraband, Nord Pas de Calais Picardie Haute Normandie Basse Normandie Île–de– France Brétagne Pays de la Loire Poitou– Charentes Centre Lorraine Champagne– Ardenne Bourgogne Alsace Franche– Comté Limousin Rhône-Alpes Auvergne Aquitaine Midi–Pyrénées Languedoc– Roussillon Provence– Alpes– Côte d'Azur Corse 12 Location: France is the largest country in Western Europe and the third-largest in Europe as a whole. The European territory of France covers 550,000 square kilometres. France shares borders with Spain, Andorra, Monaco, Italy, Switzerland, Germany, Luxembourg, and Belgium. Metropolitan France is formed by Corsica and the French mainland; overseas regions are Guadeloupe, Martinique, Réunion, and Mayotte. France is further subdivided into 27 administrative regions: 22 metropolitan regions and five overseas regions. The regions are divided into 96 metropolitan departments and five overseas departments. Source: The World Bank Population: 66,206,930 (2014) Male: 32,223,161 (48.7%) Female: 33,983,769 (51.3%) Growth Annual Rate: -0.4 (2014) Age Structure: (0–14) 18.5%; (15–64) 62.8%; (65+) 18.5% Fertility Rate: 2.0 children born/woman (2013) Life expectancy at birth (years): 82.0 (2013) GDP: US$2,829.19 billion (2014) GDP growth: 0.2% (2014) Inflation consumer price: 0.5% (2014) Income level: High INTRODUCTION WHY FOCUS ON THE ITTP IN FRANCE? The ITTP comprises different activities and products: There are several reasons for studying the ITTP in Smuggling (or contraband): the unlawful movement or France. transportation of tobacco products (genuine or counterfeit) First, France’s geographical position makes it a transit of applicable taxes or in breach of laws prohibiting their from one tax jurisdiction to another without the payment country for illicit tobacco flows mainly directed to the UK. Second, the country’s strong commitment to tobacco control policies in recent decades and the significant increases in taxation may have created opportunities for the illicit tobacco trade. Third, six among France’s seven bordering countries (Spain, Andorra, Italy, Switzerland, Germany, Belgium and Luxembourg) have cheaper cigarettes. In the past decade, cross-border purchases have become increasingly common. These may proxy the demand for cheap tobacco and this may reflect on illicit import or export (Joossens and Raw 2008). Counterfeiting: the illegal manufacturing of a product bearing or imitating a trademark without the owner’s consent. Illegally manufactured products can be sold in the source country or smuggled into another country (Joossens and Raw 2008). Bootlegging: the legal purchase of tobacco products in a low–tax country and the illegal resale of these products in a high–tax country. Bootlegging concerns individuals DGDDI (Direction générale des douanes et droits cigarettes, taking advantage of tax differentials, with the or small groups who smuggle smaller quantities of indirects) estimates that 1 among 5 cigarettes consumed in France has been purchased outside the legal network of French retailers. In particular, DGDDI assesses that 5% of the tobacco market in France is illicit (DGDDI 2011b). This estimate is lower than other unofficial estimates. Unofficial sources estimate the illicit market at around 20% of the French tobacco market in 2015 (Euromonitor International 2015a). aim of making extra income (Hornsby and Hobbs 2007). Unbranded tobacco: manufactured, semi–manufactured and even loose leaves of tobacco (also known as “chop– chop” (Geis 2005)), illegally sold by weight (e.g. in large plastic bags, also known as “baggies”), with no labelling or health warnings and consumed in roll-your-own cigarettes or in empty cigarette tubes (Walsh, Paul, and Stojanovski 2006). Tobacco is a dual market consisting of a legal and an illegal part (Figure 2). The two sides of the market are connected with each other: actions affecting one side of Cheap Whites or Illicit Whites: cigarettes produced legally in one country, but normally intended for smuggling into countries where there is no prior legal market for Figure 2. The dual tobacco market while they are avoided/evaded in destination countries them. Taxes in production countries are normally paid, (Allen 2011). legal market Illegal manufacturing: cigarettes manufactured overlap in demand for consumption, which are not declared to the tax authorities. These cigarettes are sold without tax and may illegal market be manufactured in approved factories or illegal covert operations (Joossens et al. 2010). FRANCE the market influence the other side as well. 13 The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products tobacco. Introduction In France, there are no official data on the prevalence, To enable comparison with other country profiles, demand for and consumption of illicit products. This each driver has five key indicators. The data for the entails that the actual dynamics of the illicit market and its drivers’ indicators come from different sources to ensure structure should be further researched. The main sources comparability among different countries to the last used for this study have been Customs research papers available years (e.g., World Bank, WHO and UN). When and seizures data, KMPG and Euromonitor International possible, the report provides the most up-to-date data data, empty pack surveys (EPSs) commissioned by the from national sources. For four indicators, Transcrime tobacco industry and media news. All non-official sources has elaborated composite indicators (see Regulation are treated with caution in order to minimise the impact of and Enforcement, pp. 27 and 41). Composite indicators their possible bias. assess the presence of specific policy measures in the WHAT CAN BE FOUND IN THIS REPORT? country and range from 0 (no measure is present) to 5 (all measures are present). A higher value on the composite indicators does not always imply a better situation. Their purpose is rather to assess the intensity of policy This report is updated at December 2015. It is organised measures in a specific field. The information used for the into three chapters. assessment is drawn from the literature, official sources (reports, websites and legislation) and experts. Chapter 1 is composed of five subsections analysing the five drivers of the ITTP: Chapter 2 analyses the illicit trade in France by dividing it into its four components of the ITTP: 1. Society and economy 14 2. Legal market 1. The demand 3. Regulation 2. The supply 4. Crime environment 3. The products 5. Enforcement 4. The modus operandi and geographical distribution The drivers are important areas whose structures may Chapter 3 combines the results of the two previous influence the ITTP positively or negatively. Transcrime chapters to identify the key factors behind the ITTP and selected the drivers based on a review of the literature on shows how the various elements of the drivers influence the ITTP and discussions with stakeholders and experts. the illicit trade. The four key factors are the following: Each subsection provides information on the key aspects of each driver. 1. Economic accessibility 2. Availability 3. Profitability 4. Risk These factors are pivotal for demonstrating how the various elements of each driver influence the illicit trade. 15 The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products FRANCE The five drivers 16 SOCIETY & ECONOMY 17 rance is a developed and modern society. Income inequality is low, and wealth has increased over the decades. Nevertheless, France has been severely affected by the global financial crisis. Public expenditure on education, health and social protection is high. The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products F FRANCE Society & Economy Adult Population 0.306 0.309 81.49% 81.54 81.53 81.50 81.49 81.49 High % 54 out of 225 countries Population aged 15+ Source: The World Bank (2014) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 6.7 Income 81.54 81.53 Inequality 81.50 81.49 81.49 6.5 6.1 6.1 10.27 Low % 0.306 0.306 0.309 2012 10.25 5.9 5.7 2011 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2005 High 2010 14 out of 32 countries GINI coefficient after taxes Source: OECD (2012) 10.3 10.3 81.54 81.53 81.50 9.8 81.49 81.49 9.1 9.3 2011 9.2 2012 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 32 0.306 34 0.309 31 28 7.4 6.7 6.5 6.1 6.1 5.7 10.27 10.25 5.9 Low 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2011 2006 2009 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Education System 6.7 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 18 9.2 2010 51,404 5.9% 47,466 0.306 44,950 7.4 2010 Migration 2005 0.309 2010 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: The World Bank 2010 2008 7.4 6.78 Unemployment 6.15 5.80 7.4 2008unemployment 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Total rate as % of labour force Source: OECD 2008 2010 2012 2014 54,797 54,108 51,404 47,466 54,108 578.5 2008 5.80 2010 6.15 2011 6.78 2012 7.76 2013 2013 2014 280.2 High % 80.3 80.4 79.9 80.4 2006 2009 10.272010 2014 10.25 2008 2010 2012 (2010) Tax % final retail price 2014 Tax per 1,000 PPP 2013 2010sticks/Int.$, 2011 2012 2014 2010 25 26 25 22 6.9 201080.4 10.3% 10.3 10.3 9.8 280.2 247.2 2013 2012 2014 9.1 9.3 9.2 2011 2010 233.1 2009 80.4 2010 2014 79.9 34 7.0 32 31 -27,7166.8 71* 71* 69* 70* 28 -28,297 -30,569 -31,854 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 6.9 7.0 6.8 High % -31,553 2010 2 Low % 23 22 25 24 23 2005 2008 2009 2010 201 Value 7 out of 34 countries 80.3 Value Rank 338.6 6.78 2012 2013 2014 6.15 20082010 2010 2011 2012 2014 5.80 Tax % final retail price 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1.3 1.2 sticks/Int.$, PPP per 1,000 1.1 Tax1.1 44,950 1.0 2009 338.6 2012 247.2 69 out of 213 countries 338.6 7.76 2008 2014 Low % 28 675.0 2006 2008 -28,297 51,404 54,108 2010 2012 2008 54,797 Last national available data (December 2015): 675.0 2010 2012 47,466 44,950 -27,716 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 34 2013 -28,297 32 31 -30,569 -31,553 28 -31,854 578.5 7.76 2011 31 -30,569 -31,854 34 10.27% 2011 233.1 2012 2014 2005 2010 54,797 10.3 2014 10.3 2011 2010 2012 2013 9.8 9.1 9.3 9.2 -31,553 32 6.7 6.1 2011 6.1 2012 20135.9 2008 6.5 2009 2010 2014 5.7 2010 0.306 -27,716 2014 2006 2009 2010 2014 7.4 7.76 10.27 2014 10.25 6.78 2010 2011 2012 2013 6.15 5.80 54,797 54,108 migrant stock International 51,404 47,466 44,950 as % of population 2013 2012 2014 (2013) 10.3 10.3 6.8% (INSEE 9.8 2015) 9.1 9.3 9.2 Last national available data (2014): 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 6.7 6.5 6.1 6.1 5.9 5.7 2011 2012 2011 2013 19 out of 182 countries 81.54 81.53 81.50 81.49 81.49 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 High % 10.27 2011 2012 10.25 2010 5.9 5.7 34 32 31 28 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 10.3 10.3 9.8 6.1 0.309 Source: The World Bank 9.3 6.1 54,797 2005 54,108 Education expenditure 81.53 81.50 81.49 81.49 as % 81.54 of GDP 9.1 6.5 2012 2010 2014 (2014) 233.1 2006 2009 8.6 80.4 2010 2008 280.2 247.2 2010 2014 8.4 80.4 25 24 23 2011 2012 2013 2010 2012 26 25 25 (Banque de France 2014 51,404 10.1% 232015) Tax % final retail price 47,466 22 22 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.6 44,950 -28,297 2010 -27,716 2011 2012 -30,569 -31,553 -31,854 71* 71* 69* 7.0 6.8 12.3 2010 2011 2012 2013338.6 2014 11.0 10.8 201110.8 2012 2013 280.2 2014 2010 9.9 Value Rank 675.0 247.2 233.1 578.5 80.3 79.9 26 25 2014 2014 22 22 Low % Tax per 1,000 sticks/Int.$, PPP World Drug 6.9 Report 2011 70* Opioids World Drug6.8 6.9 Report 2015 Cocaine 2008 25 7.0 71 Cannabis 26 2009 25 2010 2011 2012 22 Value 22Rank 2.45 2015 -27,716 -28,297 -30,569 -31,553 1.91-31,854 1.40 71 69 2013 23 25 24 23 2014 6.9 6.9 533 706 6.8 Chapter 1: The Five Drivers ••France is a highly developed country with a low • Per capita GDP has increased in the past decade. It decreased only in 2009, but in 2010 it started to rise income inequality rate. again reaching US$39,357 in 2014 (OECD 2015c). Nevertheless, growth of per capita GDP has been • According to the Human Development Report, France behind the OECD’s best performers (OECD 2015b). had a Human Development Index (HDI) of 0.888, ranking 22 out of 188 countries surveyed in 2014 nd (UNDP 2015). • With a Gini index of 0.31 in the 2012, France ranks ••France has an efficient welfare system. • As a share of GDP, France spends more on social 14 out of 32 countries in income inequality (OECD protection than other OECD countries (31.9% of GDP 2015f). According to the CIA World Factbook, in 2014 compared to an OECD average of 23.0%) comprising a larger number of countries, France (OECD 2015d). Indeed, France has one of the ranks 121st out of 144 countries (CIA 2015). lowest poverty rates in the OECD, with only 7.9% of th the population below half of median income in 2013 (OECD 2015e). • France has lower income inequality and lower relative poverty rates compared to the OECD average. France is one of the few OECD countries in which ••Household expenditure has increased in the past decade in France (Figure 3). income inequality has not increased over the past 25 years (OECD 2015b). Figure 3. Household final consumption expenditure, PPP (constant 2000 and 2007, tripling in value. Much of the pre-2007 rise was due to the appreciation of the euro against the US dollar (Keating et al. 2012).The country is recovering from the crisis; however, its wealth per adult is still under the 2007 pre-crisis data and the 2005 international $), 1999–2014 figure 3 Source: Transcrime calculations on World Bank (2015) data 25,000 19 • The unemployment rate in France reached 10.1% 15,000 10,000 in December 2015 (Banque de France 2015), recording an increasing trend in recent years. 5,000 Whilst unemployment concerned young people in 2008–2009, it now affects all age groups. In 2014 0 the unemployment rate was 10.3%. It was above 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 the OECD average (8.4%) and in line with the EU average (10.2%). It ranked 7th out of 34 countries • In 2013, the category with the highest household expenditure was ‘housing, heating and lighting’ (OECD 2015f). (20.3% of total expenditure). ‘Food and non-alcoholic beverages’ (10.2%) and ‘transport’ (9.9%) followed. figure 6 Expenditure on ‘tobacco and alcoholic beverages’ severely hit France. • French public debt, as a percentage of GDP, grew by approximately 23 p.p. between 2005 and 2015, rising from 75% to 98% of GDP (OECD 2015b). 100% was 2.7% in 2013 (INSEE 2014). 30,0 20,0 10,0 FRANCE ••The global recession and the economic crisis 40,0 The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products median wealth per adult is US$ 86,156 in 2015 (Stierli et al. 2015). 60,0 50,0 20,000 60,0 90% ••Public spending on education is high in France. 50,0 80% 70% • Between 2005 and 2013, expenditure on all levels 60% of education increased in France (The World Bank 50% 2015). 40% 40,0 mn sticks • Wealth per adult grew markedly in France between 30,0 20,0 30% 10,0 20% 10% 0% Other 2009 2010 Italy Germany 2011 2012 Luxembourg 2013 2014 Spain Belgium Society & Economy • Public spending on education in France has • Historically, the source countries for immigrants have decreased from 6.7% in 2008 to 5.9% of GDP in 2013. been Algeria, Italy, Morocco, Spain and Portugal. In Despite this decrease, France ranks 19th out of 182 recent years, Chinese and Turkish migrations have countries for spending on education (The World Bank increased (Bouvier 2012). 2015). According to INSEE (French National Statiques and Economic Studies Institute—Institut National de • Immigrants (43%) and immigrant descendants (32%) la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques), in 2014 are concentrated mainly in the Île-de-France region. education expenditure as a percentage of GDP was They have lower living standards and encounter more 6.8% (INSEE 2015). difficulties in entering the labour market than do the rest of the population. Indeed, the median standard ••Public spending on health is high in France. of living of immigrants and immigrant descendants is 30% lower than that of the general population. The • Public health expenditure accounted for 10.9% of GDP in 2013. It increased by approximately 1 p.p. poverty rate is almost 37% for immigrants and 20% for immigrant descendants (Bouvier 2012). between 2003 and 2013 (OECD 2015a). • France has one of the highest life expectancy in the world, with an average of 82.0 years (The World Bank 2015). In conclusion, France is a multicultural country, highly developed, and with a low income inequality ••France is a multicultural society. rate. Relative poverty among the French population is low in comparison with other high-income • The total French population in 2014 was 20 OECD members, and the GDP per capita has approximately 66 million people, with a growth rate increased in the past decade. France spends of 0.43% (The World Bank 2015). The proportion of a large share of GDP on education and health, people aged over 15 in 2014 was 81.5%. The country and the life expectancy rate is one of the highest ranks 54th out of 225 countries for adult population in the world. Nevertheless, the global recession (The World Bank 2015). and the economic crisis have severely hit France. Unemployment rates have grown until 2014 and • Despite the economic crisis, France is experiencing a boom in birth rates, the highest since the 1970s. Together with Ireland, France had the highest fertility rate in Europe in 2013, with an average of 2.01 children per woman (The World Bank 2015). • Among the French population, 93.9% are people born in France and 6.1% are foreigners (4.0 million) (Ministère de l’Intérieur 2015). In 2008, the proportion of immigrant descendants was among the highest in Europe, counting 6.7 million people and representing 11% of the population. The median standard of living of immigrants and immigrant descendants is lower than that of the general population (INSEE 2012). • The migration stock as a percentage of the total population was 10.27% in 2010 (in 2005 it was 10.25%). The country ranked 69th out of 213 countries (The World Bank 2012). then remained stable. LEGAL MARKET 21 FRANCE he French tobacco market is highly concentrated, being dominated by four multinational companies. In the past decade, both cigarette consumption and sales have decreased. Tax increases on tobacco products, which have led to a rise in the price of cigarettes, have made smokers more cost-conscious than before. Cross-border purchases of tobacco products have increased and smokers have shifted to less expensive HRT products, signalling a downtrading trend of tobacco consumption. The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products T 6.1 6.1 5.7 5.9 Legal Market 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2005 2010 Smokers 9.1 9.3 9.2 10.3 10.3 9.8 32 34 31 28% 28 7.4 Current smoking of any tobacco 2010 product (age–standardised rate) (2014) 6.7 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2006 6.1 6.1 6.5 2009 2010 5.7 5.9 2010 54,108 51,404 47,466 81.54 81.53 81.50 81.49 81.49 % of annual per capita income needed to buy 100 of the 9.1 2011 2012 packs 2013 2014 most sold cigarettes 7.4 Source: Transcrime elaboration 6.1 6.1 5.80 5.9 5.7 6.78 6.15 32 Euromonitor International 80.4 2010 7.4 2006 2008 2010 Balance of Trade 54,108 54,797 51,404 1.3 2010 9.8 2005 2013 (2014) 22 22 2014 71* 7.0 71* 2012 2013 5.80 2008 6.15 11.0 6.78 7.76 10.8 12.3 9.9 10.8 Price Price of a pack of the2012 most2014sold brand 2011 PPP) 2012 2013 2014 2015 (Int.$, 2010 Source: WHO 233.1 70* 2015 2006 233.1 2008 2010 Fund 2015) 2008 2010 11.0 10.8 2008 2013 Small 2012 2014 Rank Positive 2013 2014 2014 26 25 22 22 -28,297 -30,569 -31,553 -31,854 7.0 Negative 1.34 6.9 6.9 6.8 71* Int.$, PPP 7.76 1.40 25 24 23 71* 69* 70* 706 338.6 533280.2 247.2 2012 2013 2014 2015 High 2010 2011 233.1 388 407 Value Rank 317 2007 2011 8.6 2008 2009 2010 2008 2010 8.4 2012 2008 2009 2010 26 69* 23 12.3 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 10.8 9.9 Value Rank 2014 Tax % final retail price Tax per 1,000 sticks/Int.$, PPP 25 25 24 26 22 22 0.6 0.9 25 25 International World 2015, International Monetary Drug World Drug 7122 71 22 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.8 Report 2011 Report 2015 70* 0.5 0.6 Opioids 2008 2010 2011 69 80.3 80.4 countries 79.9 80.4 179 21 out of Int.$, PPP 8.452012(Euromonitor 2008 2009 2010 2011 578.5 2012 2012 25 1.25 22 71* 2010 71 80.3 79.9 2011 -27,716 1.0 71* 2009 71 23 Tax % final retail price 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 (2014) 1.2 Tax per 1,0001.1 sticks/Int.$, 1.1 2010 2012 PPP 2008 2014 6.8 675.0 7.0 28 -28,297 7.0 -30,569 6.9 6.8 22 280.2 247.2 2010 2014 2009 6.8 2014 22 22 Tax per 1,000 sticks/Int.$, PPP 1.3 25 26 25 (2014) 338.6 2.45 80.3 25 44Taxout of 47 countries % final retail price 44,950 7.76 1.91 2012 -31,854 2010 2012 2014 Cocaine 2013 Cannabis 79.9 25 Last available data (2015): 675.0 Large Value 338.6 2010 2008 23 578.5 2014 24 6.9 80.4 80.4 0.6 0.9 6.78 5.80 200880.4 201080.4 2013 34 -28,297 2014 280.2 247.2 6.15 High 2010 23 32 31 -27,716 -31,553 -28,297 World Drug -30,569 World Drug -31,553 Report 2011 Report 2015 -31,854 2011 2010 Opioids 675.0 578.5 2012 2008 8.4 0.5 0.6 -27,716 2014 2012 69* 2014 7.76 2010 54,797 54,108 2010 2012 2014 51,404 47,466 2008 2011 44,950 Source: Euromonitor International 2010 20082011 2009 2012 2010 2013 2011 2010 2014 26 25 25 10.3 10.3 8.6 47,466 1.2 44,950 1.1 1.1 Cigarette exports–imports 1.0 (mn sticks) 2010 2011 10.27 2010 2014 80.3 2011 2012 2013 2014 6.78 6.15 Value Rank 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 5.80 2012 23 28 9.1 9.3 9.2 2011 2012 2009 10.25 2009 2006 79.9 6.8 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2011 9 out of 47 countries 34 31 7.4 675.0 Low 280.2 2008 2010 2012 54,797 2010 54,108 2005 Tax % final retail price 51,404 47,466 2008 2009 2011 sticks/Int.$, 2012 2013 Tax 2010 per 1,000 PPP 44,950 9.8 0.306 2010 0.309 338.6 10.27 233.1 6.7 6.5 6.1 6.1 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20135.7 2014 5.9 Cigarette retail volume (mn sticks)10.3 10.3 578.5 2.1% 2005 (2015) 247.2 Market Size Low % 2014 34 countries 32 38 out of 31 60 28 10.25 7.76 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2008 2010 2012 2014 9.3 9.2 9.1 Source: 2013 10.3 10.3 -27,716 -28,297 9.8 9.3 2012 9.2 -30,569 -31,553 -31,854 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 80.4 22 2012 10.27 10.25 81.54 81.53 81.50 81.49 81.49 2010 2011 2012 2013 2011 2014 2010 6.5 2011 2014 0.306 44,950 0.309 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Affordability 6.7 High % 2011 of 125 2012 34 out countries 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: WHO–Country reports 54,797 0.306 0.309 81.54 81.53 81.50 81.49 81.49 2015 Cocaine 2009 2010 1.91 2010 69 Cannabis 2011 7.0 6.8 Value 2.45 6.9 2012 71* Rank 2013 71* 24 23 26 Low 23 69* 2014 2011 2012 2013 2014 1.40 1.34 Value Rank 1.25 6.9 70* 2008 2015 317 533 388 407 2009 706 Chapter 1: The Five Drivers TOBACCO MARKET ••France has a large cigarettes market. ••In France, cigarette imports exceed exports. • In 2014, the total value of sales of tobacco products was €18.1 bn. In volume, the size of the French National production does not absorb the national cigarette market was 44,950 mn sticks in the same demand for cigarettes. In recent years, production, year. The French market is one of the largest in imports and exports have decreased. Europe, Middle East and North Africa (9th out of 47 countries) (Euromonitor International 2015a). • Although France is not among the main tobacco manufacturers at global level, it is an important ••The French tobacco market is highly manufacturer at the European level, with two concentrated. production plants in the country and one in Corsica. In 2014, the country was the 11th producer of cigarettes among EU Member States, with an output of 13,437 • The French tobacco market has high barriers to entry and is highly concentrated. Indeed, domestic mn sticks (Euromonitor International 2015a). manufacturers and new players find it hard to establish themselves within the market (Euromonitor • France is a large importer of cigarettes, and its International 2015b). balance of trade (exports minus imports in volume) is among the lowest in the world, with a negative value of -28,297 mn sticks in 2014. The country ranks 44th • In 2014, the cigarette market was dominated by Philip Morris France SAS (one third of the market), out of 47 countries (Euromonitor International 2015a). followed by Seita-Imperial Tobacco Group, Japan Tobacco International and British American Tobacco • Tobacco growing is present in the country. In France, (Euromonitor International 2015a). 1,431 growers operated in 2012 (WHO FCTC 2014). Tobacco International lead the market in 2014. The cooperatives coordinated by the France-Tabac group. SAS, followed by Seita-Imperial Tobacco France of tobacco and give technical support to tobacco SA and British American Tobacco (Euromonitor farmers. They are: Nord & Loire TABAC; Poitou International 2015a). Tabac; Erigord Tabac; Tabac Garonne Adour; Alsa Tabac; Agri Tabac and Midi Tabac. The tobacco grown by farmers within each cooperative is then processed ••Four top multinational tobacco companies have subsidiaries in France. at the Sarlat tobacco plant (South-West France) (The France-Tabac Group 2016). • Philip Morris France SAS (based in Paris) is the Figure 4. National production, importation, exportation and sales of figure 4 cigarettes (mn sticks), 2009–2014 leading player in the French cigarette market. It has no tobacco manufacturing facilities in the country. figure 5 It buys tobacco in France and exports it in the Source: Transcrime calculations on Euromonitor International (2015a) data Netherlands where it becomes finished products to be90 9 80 7 70 the Imperial Tobacco Group, is located in Paris. It 6 60 5 present in all key tobacco categories, exports its is 50 4 products worldwide and is the only national producer 40 20,000 in 3 France. Its production facilities are based in Riom 30 10,000 (Euromonitor International 2015b). 2 20 1 10 50,000 mn sticks 40,000 30,000 0 Sales 2010 Import 2011 2012 Production 2013 2014 Export 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Tax rise 11 12 13 Cigarette sales (mn units) Cigarette prices (most sold) € • Seita-Imperial Tobacco France SA, a subsidiary of FRANCE sold in France (Euromonitor International 2015b). 8 60,000 2009 The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products second largest company was Philip Morris France The cooperatives supervise the regional production 14 23 • The HRT market exhibits a different pattern. Japan • French tobacco farmers are grouped into seven 14 00 Legal Market • Japan Tobacco International France SAS is located • Mid-tar cigarettes (10mg tar) are the most commonly in Boulogne Billancourt, Île-de-France region. It sold cigarettes in France, accounting for nearly 37.6 has no production facilities in France (Euromonitor bn sticks in 2014 and corresponding to 83.6% of total International 2015b). retail volume sales. The sale trend of low and ultralow tar cigarettes was increasing until 2010 and then • British American Tobacco France (BATF) is a wholly started decreasing (Euromonitor International 2015a). owned subsidiary of British American Tobacco Plc and is based in Boulogne Billancourt in the Île-de- • Marlboro was the most popular brand in 2014, with a France region. BATF has no production facilities in fifth of the cigarette market. The second most popular France and concentrates its production on cigarettes brand was Gauloises, followed by Philip Morris. (Euromonitor International 2015b). Nevertheless, sales of both Marlboro and Gauloises have decreased since 2009 (-31.7% and -29.6%, ••The main cigarette distribution channels are licensed tobacconists. • In addition, points of resale such as bars and 3.3% (Euromonitor International 2015a). • In the period 2010–2014 the share of premium, restaurants can purchase cigarettes from licensed mid-priced and economy brands remained relatively retailers and re-sell them to customers, without stable. Nevertheless, premium and economy brands’ displaying these products (Euromonitor International shares decreased from 47.6% of the total sales 2015b). to 45.4% and from 17.9% to 17.3%, respectively. TOBACCO CONSUMPTION 24 respectively), while Philip Morris has increased by ••Tobacco consumption is declining in France as Conversely, mid-priced brands increased from 34.5% to 37.3% (Euromonitor International 2015a). ••The price of cigarettes in France has increased significantly in the past decade (Figure 5, p. 25). are sales. • The age-standardised smoking rate was 28% in 2014. France ranked 34 out of 125 countries (WHO 2015a). th • The price of a pack of the most sold brand (Marlboro) is among the highest worldwide. Indeed, in 2014, it cost International $7.76, and France ranked 21st out of • According to the most recent survey on tobacco 179 countries (WHO 2015b). This price has increased consumption in France, conducted in 2014, there has by 33.8% from 2008 when it was International $5.80 been a decreased in smoking compared with 2010. Of (WHO 2015a). In 2015, the price of a pack of the the total population between 15 and 75, the proportion most sold brand is International $8.45 (European of daily smokers decreased by 1 p.p. between 2010 Commission 2015; IMF 2015). and 2014, from 29.1% to 28.2% (Guignard et al. 2015). • The average retail price of cigarettes in metropolitan • The decline in tobacco sales and consumption can be France is €6.74 (PMI 2015). attributed to intensified anti-smoking messages from the government and increasing health awareness campaigns (Euromonitor International 2012). • In 2015, the recommended selling price (RSP) for a 20-size pack of Marlboro is €7.00. The percentage of per capita GDP needed to purchase 100 packs • As a consequence of the decreased tobacco is 2.1%. For the cheapest brand this percentage is consumption among the French population, the 1.9%.1 France has relatively affordable Marlboro volume sales of tobacco has decreased in recent cigarettes in comparison with French per capita years and sales are expected to decline in the next income, ranking 38th out of 60 countries for cigarette five years (Figure 4, p. 23). Notwithstanding this affordability (PMI 2015). decreasing volume of sales, the value of tobacco sales has increased over the years because of price increases (Euromonitor International 2015a). 1. Transcrime elaboration on PMI data on Marlboro prices and International Monetary Fund data on GDP (IMF 2015; PMI 2015). 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 Chapter 1: The Five Drivers of labour (for median for all occupations) needed to 70% mn sticks brand, 2000–2014 figure 5 50% Source: Transcrime elaboration on European Commission (2015) data 40% 90 30% 8 80 20% 7 70 10% 6 60 5 50 4 40 3 30 2 20 toxicomanies) and INHESJ (Institut national des 1 10 hautes études de la Sécurité et de la Justice) 00 estimates that 77% of tobacco sales occur within 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Tax rise 11 12 13 14 10, 0% 2009 Other 2010 Italy 2011 Germany 2012 Luxembourg 2013 2014 Spain Belgium ••OFDT (Observatoire français des drogues et des the French figure 10 network of tobacconists, while 17% do so outside this network in neighbouring countries Cigarette sales (mn units) (and 1% in non-neighbouring countries) and 5% Cigarette prices (most sold) 45% through illegal channels (Lermenier-Jeannet 2015). ••Large cigarette price increases between 2002 and 2004 led to a rise in cross-border purchases of occurred within the French network of tobacconists, the size of cross-border purchases have been 25% 14.8% 82.6% consumed in France come from neighbouring foreign countries (DGDDI 2011b). led to a 30% fall in the volume of cigarette sales. French smokers started to buy tobacco products abroad, mainly from north-eastern neighbouring from southern countries like Spain, Andorra and Italy, where tobacco products are cheaper. Cigarettes (mn sticks) 15% • Between 2002 and 2010, per capita expenditure 10% on tobacco bought within the French network €235 per capita in 2002 to €217 in 2010. Instead, 0% 2005 2014 there was 2000 an increase in non-border 2010 regions, where the expenditure rose from €247 in 2002 to €293 in HRT (mn sticks equivalent) packs arriving from Belgium and Luxembourg increased (+83% and +318%, respectively), while the share of packs from Italy, Spain and Germany decreased (-31%, -18% and -7%, respectively) 70% 60% Less than highshool diploma Highschool diploma More than highshool diploma Indeed, during this decade, around 5,000 French tobacco retailers went out of business (Binetruy, Dumont, and Lazaro 2011). ••In September 2014, France changed the tobacco importation allowance from other EU countries. figure 13 2.0 1.8 1.6 80% No diploma 2010, with an increase of 18.60% (DGDDI 2011b). Cigars (mn units) • From 2009 to 2014, the share of legal non-domestic 90% 2011c). 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 FRANCE countries such as Belgium and Luxembourg, and figure 12 (DGDDI 20% 5% decreased by 7.7% in border regions, falling from • Tax increases on cigarettes between 2002 and 2004 (KPMG 2015) (Figure 6). while 20% did so outside this network in neighbouring countries (15%) and through illegal channels (5%) • It is estimated 2.5%that around one-fifth of the cigarettes mn sticks equivalent • 35% In 2011, DGDDI estimated that 80% of tobacco sales 30% made by scholars and public bodies. 25 40% figure 8 Several attempts to estimate tobacco products. 30, 20, 9 € mn sticks 40, 60% The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products ent) 50, 80% Figure 5. Cigarette sales in mn units and price of the most sold ,500 ,500 60, 90% 2015). ,000 ,000 100% country ranked 17th out of 47 countries (Eriksen et al. Export ,500 Source: Transcrime calculations on KPMG (2015) data purchase a pack of cigarettes were 34.13 and the 2014 ,000 figure 6 Figure 6. Non-domestic (legal) packs by origin, 2009–2014 • According to the Tobacco Atlas, in 2012, the minutes Legal Market Table 1. Sales of tobacco by category (volume), 2009–2014 Source: Transcrime calculations on Euromonitor International (2015a) data 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Cigarettes (mn sticks) 54,987 54,797 54,108 51,404 47,466 44,950 Cigars (mn units) 1,579 1,556 1,507 1,494 1,425 1,374 HRT (mn sticks) 7,258 7,598 7,976 8,487 8,597 8,064 ••7% of French smokers buy tobacco products in March 2013 established that France was failing to neighbouring countries (DGDDI 2011b). fulfil figure 3 its obligations under Council Directive 92/12/EEC and under Article 34 TFEU (Treaty on the Functioning 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 borders with Belgium, Luxembourg (North-East), 9 Spain and Andorra (South-West). Indeed, 30% of 8 60,000 restrictions on imports of tobacco. Indeed, prior to this sentence, cross-border customers could import smokers 50,000 into France up to 5 cartons of cigarettes from another in the north-western region and 17% in the 7 southern region report buying tobacco in neighbouring countries (DGDDI 2011b). des impôts). A larger quantity of tobacco could be 30,000 ••The French market is experiencing a downtrading the DSA—Document Simplifié d’Accompagnement 20,000 (Service-public.fr 2012). decreasing 10,000 while HRT is increasing (Table 1). 1 0 • Between 2013 and cigarettes declined 2009 2010 2014, 2011 2012 sales 2013 2014by of Justice, France raised the quantitative limits on the 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 5.3%, cigars by 3.6% and HRT by 6.2%. Considering importation of tobacco to 10 cartons of cigarettes. If a broader time span from 2009 to 2014, the change the holder of the cigarettes does not establish that in sales volume was -18.3% for cigarettes, -13.0% for they are intended solely for personal use, two options cigars and +11.1% for HRT (Figure 7). Sales Import Production Export are open: either he/she forfeits the cigarettes or he/ figurethose 6 already paid in the country of origin. Moreover, fees amount to €840 per 20 packs, together with fine 80% figure 7 Source: Transcrime calculations on Euromonitor International (2015a) data 60,000 • To avoid the illegal importation from EU countries, cartons the threshold at which the customs authorities 50% are empowered to verify if the tobacco transported by 40% a person from another EU country is intended solely 30% for personal use (DGDDI 2015a). 20% Other 7,500 20,000 Spain Andorra, in which case larger quantities are allowed: 300 cigarettes, 150 cigarillos, 75 cigars and 400 2012 2013 2014 HRT (mn sticks equivalent) • In 2014, sales of cigarettes account for 82.6% of the total market, HRT for 14.8% and cigars 2.5% (Figure 9, p. 27). figure 10 45% 2011 Belgium into France. Specific rules apply to importation from grams of HRT (DGDDI 2013). 2010 Cigarette (mn sticks) cigarillos, 50 cigars and up to 250 grams of HRT Luxembourg 6,500 2009 import a 2010 maximum2011 quantity of 200 2013 cigarettes, 100 2012 2014 Germany 7,000 0 2009 Italy 8,000 30,000 10,000 • Cross-border customers from non-EU countries can 0% 8,500 40,000 (issued 5th September 2014), that identified at 4 60% 9,000 50,000 in 2014, the French government adopted a circular 70% 10% sticks), 2009–2014 mn sticks equivalent 90% Figure 7. Sales of HRT (mn sticks equivalent) and cigarettes (mn of up to €2,500 (Service-public.fr 2015). 100% 4 2 • Complying with the judgement of the European Court she keeps them and pays French taxes in addition to 5 3 trend. Consumption of cigarettes and cigars is 5,000 0 6 40,000 EU country (art. 575 G–H of the CGI–Code général mn sticks 26 of the European Union) by setting quantitative imported only with specific authorisation from DGDDI, figure figure 4 • Buying habits are very different in areas close to the mn sticks • A judgement of the European Court of Justice of figure 11 40% 0 0 Chapter 1: The Five Drivers Figure 8. Smoking prevalence per region, 2014 Source: Transcrime calculations on Guignard et al. (2015) data 9 90 8 80 7 70 6 60 5 50 4 40 3 30 € mn sticks figure 5 20 2 0 Smoking prevalence 10 Low (140.1 - 192.1] 00 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 (309.2 08 09- 732.5] 10 11 12 13 14 Medium-high High (732.5 - 1,692.7] Tax rise Cigarette sales (mn units) Non-estimated areas Cigarette prices (most sold) Figure 9. Tobacco products (percentage of the total market), 2014 figure 8 Source: Transcrime calculations on Euromonitor International (2015a) data • The sales of electronic cigarettes increased until 2013, then remained stable. A number of French smokers have purchased electronic cigarettes to use 14.8% 82.6% on trains, planes and in places with smoking bans (Euromonitor International 2015b). 2.5% • Geography. Smoking prevalence is lower in mediumsized towns or rural areas than in larger cities. Furthermore, tobacco consumption is higher in areas with higher GDP per capita (Chaix, Guilbert, and Chauvin 2004). Cigarettes (mn sticks) Cigars (mn units) HRT (mn sticks equivalent) FRANCE ••Socio-demographic and economic variables The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products 1 27 20,000 Legal Market 30,000 % % 10,000 20,000 0 5,000 • In 2010 Other 2011 2012 2013 2014 in the following regions: Languedoc Roussillon (35%), Italy Germany Luxembourg Spain Belgium 0Provence-Alpes-Côte-d’ Azur and Franche-Comté 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 the increase was particularly large for those aged between 45 and 64 from 15.5% to 18.6%, and relatively small or non-existent for other age groups 80% 35% 70% 30% • Social groups. Smoking prevalence varies according 20% 15% 10% 5% Import Production figure 11 figure 7 40% 35% 60,000 9,000 50,000 8,500 10% workers have the lowest rate (18.9%), followed by 10% farmers (20.6%) (Guignard et al. 2015). 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2000 Other 2005 2010 Luxembourg2014 Spain Italy Germany educational level (Figure 10). People with No diplomaeducational 8,000 20% 30,000 15% Among employed persons, intellectual professions 7,500 20,000 2 5% 0% Belgium higher 4 7,000 10,000 0 2014 Export Source: Transcrime calculations on Baromètres Santé (Menard et al. 2007; Beck et al. 2011; Guignard et al. 2013; Guignard et al. 2015) data record the highest smoking prevalence (48.2%). 30% 0 2000–2014 to the occupational category. Unemployed people • Smoking prevalence also varies according to 28 2014 Figure 11. Smoking prevalence in the 15 to 75 age group by income, 40% 0% 0% Sales 50% 20% 1 lowest income quintile were daily smokers, while only 25% 40,000 60% 25% Cigarette (mn0sticks) (mn sticks equivalent) income groups. InHRT 2014, 36% of people in the 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 30% (Guignard et al. 2015). 4 2 2014 (Figure 11) (Guignard et al. 2015). aged 26–34 (from 47.7% to 43.8%). Among women, 90% 2013 Picardie (31%) (Figure 8, p. 27) (Guignard et al. 2015). figure 10 figurefrom 6 42.8% to 44.8%, while it declined among men 40% 2012 22.2% in the highest-income group were smokers among young men (20–25 years old) increased 100% 2011 • Lower-income groups smoke more than high- (33%), Aquitaine and Lower Normandy (32%) and • Age and gender. From 2010 to 2014, the prevalence 45% 10,000 2010 2009 5 3 6,500 mn sticks 2009 2010, the percentage of daily smokers was higher 6 7,000 10,000 % % 7,500 mn sticks 15,000 40,000 mn sticks equivalent % 30,000 mn sticks e mn st % 6,500 2009 2010 2011 2000 2005 Cigarette (mn sticks) High income 2012 2013 2014 2010 2014 HRT (mn sticks equivalent) Medium income Low income statusLess arethan less likelydiploma to smoke than are highshool educated Highschoolless diploma individuals (Guignard et al. 2015). More than highshool diploma • Ethnic groups. There is no evidence on the predominance of a specific ethnic group in smoking Figure 10. Smoking prevalence according to the educational level consumption. The fourth implementation report of (15–75 age group), 2000–2014 the WHO FCTC (April 2014) states that no data are figure 10 Source: Transcrime calculations on Baromètres Santé (Menard et al. 2007; Beck et al. 2011; Guignard et al. 2013; Guignard et al. 2015) data available on this issue in France figure 11 (WHO FCTC 2014). 40% 14 figure figure 1345% 35% 40% 2.0 10.0 30%in France tobacco sales have In conclusion, 35% 1.8 9.0 as well as consumption. Increasing decreased 25% 30% 1.6 taxation8.0and higher prices of tobacco products 25% 20% may be7.0 responsible for the downtrading trend in 20% the market. Indeed, HRT sales have significantly 6.0 15% 15% increased, 5.0 while sales of cigarettes, cigars and pipe 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 10% 0.6 5% 0.4 0% 10% tobacco4.0have decreased. 5% 3.0 2.0 2000 0.2 0.0 00 01 02 03 2005 No diploma 04 05 06 07 08 Highschool diploma figure 13 2010 09 2014 Less than highshool diploma 10 11 12 More than highshool diploma 1.0 0% 2000 2005 High income 2010 Medium income 0.0 World Drug report 2011 Opioids World Drug Report 2015 Cocaine figure 14 Cannabis 2014 Low income REGULATION 29 egulation of the tobacco market is high in France. Overall, taxation on tobacco products is high, both as tax incidence on the final retail price and as taxation per 1,000 sticks. The country has invested a significant amount of resources in tobacco-control policies. There is a high level of control on the supply chain and on tobacco consumption and sales and a medium-high level of control on tobacco advertising. The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products R FRANCE 54,797 54,108 51,404 51,404 47,466 47,466 44,950 44,950 Regulation 2011 2010 2012 2013 -27,716 2014 -31,553 2011-28,297 2010 2012 -30,569 -31,854 Taxation 7.76 5.80 6.78 6.15 Tax as % of the final retail price of the most sold brand Tax per 1,000 sticks in Int.$, PPP of the most sold brand 2008 2010 2012 2014 Source: WHO, EC 2015, IMF 2015 Last available data (2015): 80.4 80.4 2008 -30,569 -28,297 -31,854 280.2 247.2 233.1 14 out of 186 countries 80.4 80.4 Int.$, PPP 338.6 2008 Tax % final retail price Tax per 1,000 sticks/Int.$, PPP (2014) 80.3 79.9 2010 3 out of 28 countries Tax % final retail price 2010 2014 2012 2012 2014 2008 2010 -31,553 80.3% 80.3 79.9 -27,716 2014 High % 338.6 High 7.76 6.78 338.6 6.15 280.2 5.80 247.2 233.1 2013 2012 2014 Tax per 1,000 sticks/Int.$, PPP Low % Low 80.3% – Int.$, PPP 339.4 (European Commission 2015, International Monetary Fund262015) 25 25 25 Government Action 675.0 Government expenditure on tobacco control not including the2010 control on the ITTP per 2008 1,000 inhabitants (US$) 6.8 22 22 71* 71* 22 69* 22 6.9 71 7.0 6.8 70* 2009 2010 6.8 2011 Value 2015 2012 Rank 23 22 6.9 69 71* 71* 69* 70* 2008 2013 2014 2012 2013 2014 2015 Rank Value (last available year) 23 High 71 7.0 11 out of 106 countries 2010 2011 2008 2010 2012 2013 2014 2008 20112010 Value Rank 22 23 6.9 7.0 26 25 US$ 675.0 675.0 578.5 578.5 26 25 25 24 23 Source: WHO–Global Tobacco Epidemic 1.3 2008 30 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.3 8.6 2010 2011 2012 Composite indicator measuring the presence of specific policy 12.3country measures in the 11.0 10.8 Source: 1.2 8.4 1.1 1.0 Tobacco Supply Control* 2009 1.1 10.8 Transcrime 9.9 elaboration 2008 World Drug Report 2011 2009 2010 4.5 Drug World Report 4 2015 Cocaine 3 2011 10.8 22.45 1.91 1 Low 2012 Cannabis 11.0 Tobacco Consumption and Sale Control* 0.6 0.9 World Drug Report 2011 World Drug Report 2015 Opioids (2015) 533 1.34 388 407 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 4 5/5 points 3 (2015) Composite indicator measuring the presence of specific policy measures in the country 1 Tobacco Marketing and Promotion* 4 4/5 points 3 (2015) Source: Transcrime elaboration Composite indicator measuring the presence of specific policy measures in the country Source: Transcrime elaboration Cannabis 2.45 706 1.40 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 5 Cocaine 10.8 317 2012 2013 2014 2015 0.5 0.6 12.3 9.9 1.25 2011 8.4 4.5/5 points 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.6 Opioids 8.6 1.0 1.91 1.25 1.40 1.34 317 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2 2 1 * The indicator should not be interpreted as if a higher value is always better than a lower value. The objective is rather to synthetically assess the intensity of policy measures in a specific field. 388 2007 2008 2 Chapter 1: The Five Drivers ••France has regulated tobacco since the 1970s and the tobacco market is closely regulated. • The Veil Law, n° 76–616 of 9 July 1976, was the milestone in tobacco control in France. It banned tobacco advertising in the press on radio and television, and during sports events, as well as forbid the free distribution of tobacco samples. Furthermore, it introduced health warnings on cigarette packs. • The Evin Law, n° 91–32 of 10 January 1991, and later amendments extended the scope of the Veil Law by reinforcing restrictions on tobacco. The advertising of tobacco products, either direct or indirect, is allowed only at points of sale and must not be visible from outside. The only exception to the advertising ban concerned television broadcasts of motor sports events in countries other than France, as stated in art. L3511–5 of the French Code de la Santé Publique. • The Evin Law initially prohibited smoking on all public transport, in public or private educational establishments, and hospitals and healthcare institutions, as well as in all spaces dedicated to reception, training or child accommodations. In 2008, the ban was extended to hotels, restaurants, coffee (Décret n° 2006-1386 du 15 novembre 2006 fixant les conditions d’application de l’interdiction de fumer dans les lieux affectés à un usage collectif). Violators may receive a fine (up to €450 for smokers and up to €750 for operators of public spaces) (see box Tobacco control actions at the local level). • Waterpipe bars’ activity falls under public health law regulation on public smoking (art. L3511-7 Code de la Santé Publique). These bars cannot be exclusively smoking places, but reserve a specific smoking area under technical obligations established by the law (art. limits the expansion of these bars as some of them have to comply or close down.2 2. It is forbidden to smoke in places intended for public use, including schools and public transport, except in locations specifically intended for smoking. measures to reduce smoking prevalence in their cities. Paris, Nice and La Ciotat (Provence-AlpesCôte d’Azur) are among the first examples of local anti-tobacco regulations. Since smoking is no longer allowed in public spaces, the number of cigarette butts in streets has increased significantly. Indeed, in 2011, the Paris authorities decided to impose a €35 fine on smokers who discarded cigarette butts on the streets (The Telegraph 2011). Another initiative has been taken by seaside resorts, which have established non-smoking beaches. Indeed, the towns of La Ciotat, Nice and Cannes have created special beaches for non-smokers (Nice-Matin 2012). • In 2009, the ‘Bachelot’ Law (n° 2009–879 of 21 July 2009) was approved, and the legal smoking age was raised from 16 to 18 years old. In 2003, the Recours Law (n° 2003–715 of 31 July 2003) had already 31 restricted the sale of tobacco to minors, setting 16 years as the minimum legal age for the purchase of tobacco products. According to this law, retailers must request customers to produce some form of identification before selling tobacco products to them. Nevertheless, according to a survey conducted by the Institut d’enquêtes LH2, 62% of 430 tobacco retailers sold tobacco products without requesting any form of identification (CNCT 2011). • A Ministerial Order of 5 March 2003 prohibited the sale of cigarettes with a tar yield of more than 10mg (and/or more than 1mg of nicotine per cigarette and/ or more than 10mg of carbon monoxide per cigarette). The law has been implemented since 1 January 2004 for cigarettes imported from third countries into France, and since January 2005 for French tobacco products exported to third countries (CNCT 2013b). FRANCE R3511-2 Code de la Santé Publique). Such regulation French local authorities can decide to adopt The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products shops, bars, waterpipe bars, casinos and nightclubs TOBACCO CONTROL ACTIONS AT THE LOCAL LEVEL Regulation • It is forbidden in France to sell or purchase cigarettes • The ‘Tobacco Products Directive’ (2014/40/EU) through vending machines (Euromonitor International updates the 2001/37/EC Directive. It strengthens 2012). Moreover, the Internet retail of tobacco the rules on the manufacture, presentation and sale products is prohibited. Indeed, the legislation prohibits of tobacco products in the EU. It introduces limits the distance retailing of manufactured tobacco for characterising flavours in cigarettes, minimum products in both France and French overseas dimension for pictorial and text warnings, EU-wide departments and imposes, since 2014, stricter tracking and tracing system for the legal supply chain controls over the shipment of tobacco products by and visible and invisible security features. express freight companies (art. 568 ter Code Géneral des impôts). ••French regulation must comply with international treaty obligations. ••French regulations must comply with EU directives. • Since 27 February 2005, France has been a party to the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control • The ‘Television without Frontiers’ (TVWF) directive (FCTC), an international treaty establishing a number (Council Directive 89/552/EEC) banned the of obligations relating to smoking reduction and advertising of all tobacco products on television. tobacco control. ‘All television advertising promoting cigarettes and other tobacco products, including indirect forms of advertising, are prohibited’. • In November 2012, the Protocol to Eliminate the Illicit Trade in Tobacco Products was adopted in Seoul, South Korea. The protocol is part of the WHO FCTC • European Commission Directive n° 37 of 2001 32 convention and focuses specifically on the illicit trade established the maximum tar, nicotine and carbon in tobacco products. France signed the protocol monoxide yields of cigarettes; the health warnings to in January 2013 and ratified it in November 2015 appear on unit packs of tobacco products, and the (United Nations 2016). obligation for manufacturers to disclose the individual ingredients of tobacco products. The Directive requires manufacturers to rotate a selection of 14 ••France has one of the strongest anti-smoking lobbies in Europe. different health warnings to be displayed on tobacco products. • The Comité National Contre le Tabagisme (CNCT, The National Committee against Tobacco • European Commission Directive n° 33 of 2003 Consumption), founded in 1868, is the oldest established that all forms of advertising of tobacco association committed to preventing tobacco use in products, either in printed media or on radio and France. It collaborates with the French Ministry of television, are prohibited. Furthermore, tobacco Health and the National Cancer Institute in order to sponsorship events are prohibited, including the enhance anti-tobacco legislation and enforce tobacco distribution of free tobacco products. use prevention (CNCT 2013a). • Under new EU safety standards, all cigarettes placed • The Ligue Nationale Contre le Cancer (LNCC, The on the market after 17 November 2011 must be National League Against Cancer) created in 1918 RIP-compliant (i.e., Reduced Ignition Propensity) focuses on scientific research and the prevention of (European Commission Health and Consumer cancer-related diseases. It takes part in state anti- Directorate General 2010). Cigarettes must be cancer plans (Plan cancer: 2003–2007, 2009–2013, manufactured to be self-extinguishable in order 2015–2019) by aiding enactment of their measures to reduce the chance of their setting fire to other (Institut national du cancer 2014). combustible materials. 14.8% 0 Chapter 1: The Five Drivers 9,000 0 2.5% mn sticks equivalent 8,500 0 • The Droits des Non-Fumeurs (DNF, Non-Smokers 8,000 0 0 0 0 2010 • In 2014, tax incidence was approximately 80.3% of Rights) association was founded in 1973 with the the final retail price of the most sold brand and was aim of supporting non-smokers 7,500 against second-hand stable in comparison with the previous year. France smoke. Its goal is to improve and enact effective ranked 14th out of 186 countries for cigarette taxation 7,000 tobacco control legislation in both metropolitan France (WHO 2015a). In 2015, the tax incidence remains the and overseas departments (DNF 2013). same and the country ranks 7th out of 28 EU countries 2011 for cigarette taxation (European Commission 2015). 6,500 2009 82.6% 2012 2013 2014 • The Mission interministérielle de lutte contre la drogue Cigarette (mn sticks) HRT (mn sticks equivalent) et la toxicomanie (MILDT, Interministerial Mission in the Fight against Drugs and Drug Addiction) is • In 2014, the tax level expressed in monetary terms Cigarettes (mn sticks) Cigars (mn units) (total taxes for 1,000 sticks) amounted to International an official body created in 1982. It organises and HRT France (mn sticks equivalent) $ 338.6 and ranked 3rd out of 28 EU countries coordinates state action in the fight against drugs and (European Commission 2015; IMF 2015).In 2015, the drug addiction, including alcohol and tobacco. It works amount is International $ 339.4.3 closely with French ministry departments and remains vigilant on enactment of its decisions (MILDT 2013). figure 11 • Alliance Contre le Tabac (ACT, Anti-Tobacco Alliance) Figure 12. Cigarettes Tax incidence as a percentage of the Weighted figurePrice, 12 2004–2015 Average Source: Transcrime calculations on the European Commission (2015) data 40% was created in 1991 after approval of the Evin law. 35% It coordinates anti-tobacco lobbying associations in 90% France and collaborates with both the French Health 80% 30% Directorate General and the Institut National du 70% 25% Cancer—INCa (National Cancer Institute) to enforce 60% 20% tobacco control measures at both the national and 15% 10% 0% • The Institut National de Prévention et d’Education 50% 30% Pour la Santé (INPES, National Institute for 20% Prevention and Health Education) is an official body 10% created 2000 in 2002 for2014 implementing 2005 and is responsible 2010 policies on disease prevention and health education High income Medium income (INPES 2012). Low income • The Observatoire Français des Drogues et des Toxicomanies (OFDT, French Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction) is an official body created by a Ministerial Order in 1993 with the purpose of observing drug use, drug addiction and their consequences. In regard to tobacco, the OFDT 33 40% 0% 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 • Despite the harmonisation at EU level of excise duties on manufactured tobacco, Corsica has been granted an exception. Indeed, until 31 December 2015, it applied a rate of excise duty lower than the national rate. This has been done ‘in order to prevent damage to Corsica’s economic and social equilibrium’ (Council produces a monthly statistical report on tobacco and figure 14 Directive 2011/64/EU on the structure and rates of Tabac (OFDT 2016). National Assembly is discussing this disposition and figure 15 excise duty applied to manufactured tobacco). The 500 10.0 is evaluating the alignment of excise duty with the 9.0 ••Taxation on tobacco products is high, both as tax 450 national one (Le Monde du Tabac 2015a). 8.0 400 7.0 350 incidence on the final retail price and as total tax per 1,000 sticks (Figure 12). 300 6.0 • 5.0Taxation underwent a major increase in 2004, when 4.0 French tobacco excise reached 80.4% of the final retail 3.0selling price. Between 2004 and 2005, France was the 2.0European FRANCE tobacco addiction in France called Tableau de bord The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products 5% international level (Ligue Contre le Cancer 2013). country with the highest excise on cigarettes. 3. Transcrime calculations on the Excise Duty Tables 2015 of the 250 European Commission. Tax incidence as a percentage of the final 200 and taxation per 1,000 sticks (tax level expressed in retail price monetary terms) was calculated according to the WAP in 2015. 150 Euro prices were converted into International $ through the 100 International Monetary Fund conversion factor in 2015. 50 1.0 0 0.0 World Drug report 2011 Opioids World Drug Report 2015 Cocaine Cannabis 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 Regulation Table 2. Regulation on supply chain control in France Source: Transcrime elaboration Supply chain control indicator Value 1) The retail of tobacco products is subject to licensing 1 point 2) The manufacture of tobacco products is subject to licensing 1 point 3) There is a mandatory system of customer identification and verification applied to the supply chain of tobacco products 1 point 4) There is a tracking and tracing system for tobacco products 1 point 5) Absence of free – trade zones for tobacco products 0.5 points Note: the indicator should not be interpreted as if a higher value is always better than a lower value. Its purpose is rather to synthesise the intensity of policy measures in a specific field. ••France invests significant resources in tobacco control and smoking cessation policies. • In 2010, the French government spent US$675 per (4.5 points out of 5, Table 2). • The retailing of tobacco is subject to licensing 1,000 inhabitants on tobacco control. France is among in France. Tobacco retailers, in both Metropolitan the countries that spend most money on tobacco France and French Overseas Departments, must control. Indeed, it ranked 11 out of 106 countries for have a licence to sell tobacco products (art. 568 government expenditure in this regard (WHO 2011). Code Général des Impots). The licence regulation for th 34 ••France has a high level of supply chain control French Overseas Departments is recent; indeed, it • The government has run several awareness campaigns has been in force only since 2011 (Le Figaro 2011). to highlight the health risks associated with tobacco The monopoly on the retail of tobacco products is consumption (Euromonitor International 2015b). controlled by the DGDDI (Direction générale des Indeed, Nicotine Replacement Therapy (NRT) has douanes et droits indirects), which is responsible for recorded an increasing trend in last year, rising from 1.9 the implementation and management of the network mn patients in 2009 to 2.1 mn in 2010 (Alliance contre of French tobacconists (WHO FCTC 2004) (Point 1 in le tabac 2011). The French government offers a €50 Table 2). reimbursement on National Health Insurance to people who start therapy to stop smoking under medical • The manufacture of tobacco products is subject prescription. Since September 2011, the sum of €150 to licensing in France. Tobacco manufacturers must has been offered to pregnant women involved in quit have a license to manufacture tobacco products. attempts (WHO FCTC 2012, 21). They must officially communicate the number of industry establishments and permit all inspections by • Three cancer plans have been approved by the French government during the past decade. The first ‘National Strategy against Cancer’, also known as the ‘Cancer Plan 2003–2007’, was launched in 2003 to inform the French public about the health consequences of smoking cigarettes and with the intent of de-normalising tobacco consumption. The second plan covers the period 2009–2013, while the third plan covers 2014– 2019 (Institut national du cancer 2014). These plans support aggressive media campaigns through posters, radio messages and television films informing the public about the toxic components present in tobacco smoke (Dupont de Rivaltz 2006). law enforcement officers (art. 570 Code Général des Impots) (Point 2 in Table 2). Chapter 1: The Five Drivers • Customer identification and verification.4 There • France is involved in the European Movement and is a mandatory system of customer identification and Control System (EMCS) project that provides the verification applied to the supply chain of tobacco electronic monitoring of movements of excise goods products. This system has been established by the such as alcohol, alcoholic beverages, tobacco European Commission and European Anti-Fraud products and energy products within the European Office (OLAF) agreements. Specifically, the persons Union (SNDJ 2011). engaged in the supply chain of tobacco products must conduct due diligence before and during the course • The centre of expertise in tobacco (Pôle de of a business relationship, as well as monitor the compétence Tabac) is part of the Joint Service sale to customers, ensuring that the quantities sold Laboratories (SCL) of the DGDDI. It aims at identifying are commensurate to the market demand (art. 568, cigarette frauds and establishing a database of art. 570 Code Général des Impots and Article 2-1 of contraband cigarettes in order to map illicit networks of Annex 1 of Ministerial Decision of 8 July 2010) (Point tobacco trafficking (DGDDI 2011a, 31). 3 in Table 2, p. 34). • There are two free trade zones in France. • The supply chain in France is rather straightforward. The distribution of tobacco products is undertaken by • One free trade zone is in the port of Bordeaux, a sole distributor, Logista France, which supplies the and the second is in the port of the overseas retail network monopoly consisting of approximately department of French Guiana. In addition, there are 26,600 tobacconists (Logista France 2014). free warehouses located at the ports of Bordeaux, Dunkerque, Le Havre, Marseille, Rouen, Pointe- • Tracking and tracing. In its 2012 submission to à-Pitre, and Réunion. The island of Réunion, an Overseas Department, has been designated a free stated that it had developed a ‘practical tracking and trade zone receiving Chinese counterfeit products tracing regime concerning the distribution of tobacco bound for Western Europe. Given Réunion’s products’. In line with the requirements of the WHO geographical position, its importance as a major FCTC and its Protocol on Illicit Trade in Tobacco transit trading port should not be underestimated Products, France provides for a ‘unique, secure (BASCAP 2012). However, the EU Customs Code, and non-removable marking’ of all the packages of as well as the French Customs Code envisage strict tobacco products manufactured or imported (art. 569 controls over these zones, e.g., controls of the entry Code Général des Impots). France has complied and exit points, mandatory documentary records with marking regulations, which contain information for all the persons dealing with tobacco products, allowing determine the origin and the final destination sanctions for smuggling and seizures of counterfeited of tobacco products (WHO FCTC 2012). However, tobacco products (Art. 243, 244 Regulation 952/2013, the Conseil d’Etat has yet to publish a decree to Art. 417 Code des douanes, Art. L716-9 Code de la implement this tracking and tracing system and the propriété intellectuelle) (Point 5 in Table 2, p. 34). provisions of the Directive 2014/40/EU regarding the traceability will enter into force in 2019 (Point 4 in Table 2, p. 34). ••Tobacco consumption and sales are closely regulated in France (5 points out of 5, Table 3, p. 36). of the Evin Law in 1991, there has been an evolution in smoking bans in France. It was initially prohibited to smoke in public or private educational establishments, hospitals, healthcare institutions, and in all spaces dedicated to reception, training or child accommodation. Later, the Decree No. 2006-1386 extended the ban to all closed places open to the public and places of work (Points 1 and 2 in Table 3, p. 36). FRANCE • Smoking bans are in place. Since the approval 4. Customer identification and verification comprise a number of measures ensuring that tobacco manufacturers perform their activities with due diligence. This requires the industry to verify essential information about commercial partners and to avoid contact with dubious customers (Framework Convention Alliance 2010, 1). Tracking and tracing are systems (codes, markings or tax stamps) making it possible to track (i.e., monitor tobacco products in their route from the manufacturer to the retailer) and to trace (i.e., recreate the route of tobacco products in the supply chain) tobacco products, at least at the master case level or equivalent. 35 The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products the WHO on implementation of the FCTC, France Regulation Table 3. Regulation on tobacco consumption and sales in France Source: Transcrime elaboration Tobacco consumption and sales indicator Value 1) Ban on smoking in public places Yes, 1 point 2) Ban on smoking in workplaces Yes, 1 point 3) Ban on the sale of tobacco products from vending machines Yes, 1 point 4) Prohibition of tobacco sales to minors Yes, 1 point 5) Ban on smoking in bars, cafés and restaurants Yes, 1 point Note: the indicator should not be interpreted as if a higher value is always better than a lower value. Its purpose is rather to synthesise the intensity of policy measures in a specific field. • It is forbidden to sell cigarettes from vending • There is no ban on the display of tobacco machines (art. L3511–2 Code de la Santé Publique) products at points of sale in France. Tobacco (Point 3 in Table 3). advertising is allowed at points of sale but must not be visible from outside or during television broadcasts of • Prohibition of tobacco sales to minors. In July 2009, the ‘Bachelot’ Law raised the legal smoking age motor sports (Evin Law, n° 91–32, 10 January 1991) (Point 3 in Table 4, p. 37). from 16 to 18-year-olds (Douillard 2012). Retailers 36 must request customers to show an identification • The free distribution of tobacco samples is banned document before selling tobacco products to them in France. It is forbidden to organise events with the (Point 4 in Table 3). aim of sponsoring tobacco products and it is prohibited to distribute free tobacco products (Evin Law, n° • Smoking is banned in indoor pubs, cafés and 91–32, 10 January 1991). Indeed, delivering tobacco restaurants. According to Decree No. 2006-1386, it is gifts, such as free cigarette packs and lighters with forbidden to smoke in indoor pubs, cafés, restaurants brand logos, is not allowed in France (Euromonitor and discos. Nevertheless, these public places can International 2015b) (Point 4 in Table 4, p. 37). provide smokers with an ad hoc reserved zone complying with certain law provisions (art. R3511–2 Code de la Santé Publique) (Point 5 in Table 3). • In September 2003, the European Commission adopted rules for the use of pictorial health warnings on tobacco products (Decision ••Tobacco marketing and promotion is medium-high in France (4 points out of 5, Table 4, p. 37). 2003/641/EC). France envisaged mandatory graphic health warnings in 2010 and, since 2011, all cigarette packs carry such images, together with • All forms of direct and indirect tobacco the text warnings (Arrêté du 15 avril 2010 relatif advertising and sponsorship through billboards, aux modalités d’inscription des avertissements de TV, radio and printed media are prohibited (Veil caractère sanitaire sur les unités de conditionnement Law, n° 76–616, 9 July 1976) (Points 1 and 2 in des produits du tabac). The 2014 Tobacco Table 4, p. 37). Products Directive (2014/40/EU) introduced further requirements for pictorial and text health warnings (Point 5 in Table 4, p. 37). Chapter 1: The Five Drivers Table 4. Regulation on tobacco marketing and promotion in France Source: Transcrime elaboration Tobacco marketing and promotion indicator Value 1) Ban on tobacco sponsorship and advertising in radio and TV broadcasts and in print media Yes, 1 point 2) Ban on billboards and outdoor advertising Yes, 1 point 3) Ban on the display of tobacco products at points of sale No, 0 points 4) Ban on free distribution of tobacco samples Yes, 1 point 5) Mandatory pictorial health warnings Yes, 1 point Note: The indicator should not be interpreted as if a higher value is always better than a lower value. Its purpose is rather to synthesise the intensity of policy measures in a specific field. • The National Assembly approved on the 25th November 2015 the introduction of plain packaging In conclusion, the tobacco market in France of cigarettes from May 2016. The text provides for the is intensely regulated at both the national and establishment of neutral cigarette packets, all having European Union level. The taxation on tobacco the same shape, same size, same colour and the products is high, both as a share of the final retail same typography, without any logo (Le Monde.fr 2015). price and as taxation per 1,000 sticks. There is a The introduction of plain packaging can increase: the high level of control on the supply chain and on risk of counterfeiting of tobacco products, the risk of tobacco consumption and sales, and a medium-high decreased differentiation between legal and illegal level on tobacco marketing and promotion. The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products products, the risk of ITTP (Transcrime 2012, 26). 37 FRANCE 38 CRIME ENVIRONMENT 39 rance has low crime levels, few structured organised crime groups, low corruption and a limited informal economy. Drug use in the country is high, which may indicate that illicit distribution networks provide opportunities for illicit trafficking, from drugs to illicit tobacco. Criminal networks in France are diverse and operate in different illegal markets, although most of them engage in drug trafficking. The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products F FRANCE 233.1 6.7 80.4 2012 2014 2008 2010 6.1 6.1 5.9 7.765.7 80.3 6.78 Crime Environment 6.15 20052012 20102014 9.3 9.1 9.2 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 34 32 31 2010 2012 28 2008 2014 10.3 10.3 Corruption 7.4 25 Corruption Perception Index 75.0 26 25 22 9.3 7.4 71* 7.0 6.8 2006 2010 2010 71* 2009 69* 2010 1.2 1.1 54,108 51,404 47,466 44,950 70* 0.5 0.6 2011 2012 2013 2014 Homicide rate per World Drug Report 2011 100,000 inhabitants 9.9 12.3 6.15 5.80 10.8 6.78 Opioids (2015) 2009 2010 2011 2010 2012 2014 Organized Crime Index 1.1 0.9 0.6-27,716 51,404 47,466 1.2 1.1 World Drug-31,553 -31,854 Report 2015 Tax % final retail price Tax 1,000 2010per 2011 2012sticks/Int.$, 2013 2014PPP 2010 2008 2011 1.0 2012 7.0 6.8 2012 2008 706 533 2010 Value 2009 Cocaine 233.1 247.2 High Cannabis Low 280.2 2.45 706 1.91 80.4 80.4 2008 1.40 1.2580.3 79.9 2010 2012 25 24 533 1.34 2014 25 26 23 22 22 Tax % final retail price Tax per 1,000 sticks/Int.$, 2010 2011PPP 2012 2013 2014 9523out of 156 countries 26 69* 25 70* 2013 2014 2009 2011 Value 7.0 6.8 71 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 22 22 2012 2013 23 2014 6.9 Rank 71* 71* 1.3 1.2 Drugs 1.1 1.1 Annual prevalence of opioids, cocaine and cannabis use (15–64) 2008 2009 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.6 Source: 2010 2011 2012 UNODC–World Drug Report 10.8 12.3 9.9 World Drug Report 2011 2008 Cocaine 2009 Indicator of the presence of market–based activities that escape the official estimates of GDP 2010 Cannabis 2011 2.45 2012 1.91 11.0 10.8 1.40 1.25 12.3 9.9 10.8 opioids 0.6 cocaine 0.9 8.6 cannabis 8.4 Value 69* 70* 6.9 2013 2014 Rank High 6.8 Low 2009 2010 Va 2015 High High 8.4 opioids: 47 out of 130 countries cocaine: 34 out of 93 countries 0.9 0.6 cannabis: 18 out0.5of0.6187 countries World Drug 2011 (last available Report year) 706 World Drug Report 2015 Opioids Cocaine 533 1.34 12.3 317 388 407 Low Low Low opioids cocaine cannabis Cannabis 2.45 High 706 1.91 23 out of 31 2007 2008 2009 countries 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: Schneider (2015) 1.0 World Drug Report 2015 10.8 Shadow Economy 2011 1.2 0.6 0.9 1.1 Opioids 11.0 8.4 1.0 2011 2012 25 24 23 69 26 25 2010 2015 Rank 71 7.0 407 388 317 High 2008 2010 8.6 2 Valu 2014 338.6 2010 2008 2010 Low Rank 8.4 Opioids 407 27.0 2011 2012 2015 0.6 0.9 -28,297 -30,569 -31,553 World Drug World Drug -31,854 Report 2011 Report 2015 2008 675.0 2010 7. 6.8 0.5 0.6 (last available-27,716 year) 2014 2014 71* 6.9 70* 2013 2014 2013 8.6 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 71* 69* 2014 2011 2012 6.9 6.9 6.8 (last available year) 578.5 71* 178 out of 204 countries 2012 25 2013 25 2014 2015 22 22 Source: Van Dijk (2008), “The World of Crime” 2008 71* 6.8 2009 2010 44,950 1.0 -28,297 -30,569 23 22 2014 6.9 2011 25 24 23 26 Rank 2006 Cannabis 2011 2010 2012 2013 338.6 2008 2.45 2009 2010 2011 280.22012 247.2 233.1 Composite Organized Crime Index 675.0 578.5 2013 7.0 1.40 1.34 80.4 6.7879.9 7.76 80.3 80.4 1.25 388 12.3 6.15 317 11.0 10.8 5.80 10.8 9.9 2008 2010 2012 2014 012 2013 2014 2015 40 2012 Value 2015 Cocaine 7.76 28 69 71 22 2008 1.91 2008 71 7.0 6.8 2010 Source: UNODC 34 31 High Value 54,108 1.3 2014 23 out of 168 countries 25 25 6.9 1.0 2010 2011 2012 2012 26 2008 8.4 2010 8.6 Homicides 0.8 2010 2010 25 2010 54,797 2010 2005 2008 80.3 79.9 22 price 22 Tax % final retail Tax per 1,000 sticks/Int.$, PPP 2010 2009 2011 2012 2012 2013 2008 2010 2011 2013 2014 2014 54,797 80.4 32 6.9 2014 675.0 2011 578.52012 2013 2014 Value Rank 80.4 70.0* 10.3 10.3 9.8 9.2 25 24 23 23 22 9.1 Source: Transparency 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 International 338.6 280.2 247.2 233.1 Tax % final retail price Tax per 1,000 sticks/Int.$, PPP 9.8 10.27 10.25 6.5 79.9 5.80 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 0 80.4 1.25 1.40 533 1.34 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 317 388 407 (2015) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Low * Corruption perception index ranged from 0 to 10 until 2011. Since 2012, it ranges from 0 to 100. Highly corrupted countries occupy low positions in this rank. 40% 2005 35% 2000 2010 30% Highschool diploma 25% Chapter 1: The Drivers HighFive income 2014 2014 0% 04 Low income 25% More than highshool diploma CRIME TRENDS 20% DRUG CONSUMPTION AND MARKETS 15% 20% 15% ••Crime 10% 10% 40% 2005 2010 35% Medium income 30% 2000 Less than highshool diploma No diploma e 13 0 0% 45% ••Drug use 10%is high in France. is decreasing in France. 5% Figure 14. Prevalence of cannabis, cocaine and opioids use, 2011 • Some violent crimes, including robbery and homicide, 5% 0% have decreased overall since 2003. Conversely, andfigure 2015 sexual violence and assault increased in 2003–2013 Source: Transcrime calculations on UNODC (2015d) data 140% 2000 2005 High income 2010 figu 2014 10.0 Low income 500 Less than highshool diploma 9.0 450 • Homicides decreased in the last decade. In 2012, More than highshool diploma Highschool diploma 8.0 400 7.0 350 6.0 300 2000 and +34.3%, 2005 respectively) 2010 (UNODC2014 (+1.4% 2015a). No diploma the homicide rate was 1.0 per 100,000 inhabitants. According to UNODC data, France ranked 178th among 204 countries for its homicide rate (Figure 13) (UNODC 2015c). Figure 13. Homicide rate per 100,000 inhabitants, 2000–2012 figure 13 5.0 250 4.0 200 3.0 150 figure 14 2.0 Source: Transcrime calculations on UNODC (2013) data Medium income 100 50 1.0 2.0 01 02 03 1.8 04 1.6 0.0 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 8.0 Opioids World Drug Report 2015 Cocaine Cannabis 7.0 1.4 6.0 Western European countries • France is among the 1.2 5.0 with the highest opioids use prevalence rates. 1.0 respectively) (UNODC 2.0 2011, 51). The value of the 0.4 French heroin market 1.0 in 2011 was estimated at US$2 bn, ‘pocketed figure 18 0.0almost entirely by France-based 0.2 figure 19 report ranks 2011 distributors’ (UNODC 2011,World 83).Drug France 47th outWorld Drug Report 20 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 of 130 countries for opioids consumption (UNODC Opioids 2015c). 25% Cocaine Cannabis 30% • All property crimes, including motor vehicle theft, theft in general and burglary, have shown a general20% purchase of opium in Turkey, processed it into heroin • In 2014, crime rates were higher in Île de France, in laboratories operated by Corsicans in Marseille and 15% then smuggled the final product into the United States. Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur, Languedoc-Rousillon, Nord-Pas-De-Calais and Rhône-Alpes. Also the figure 16 rate (ONDRP 2014). e 20 the French Connection supplied a large amount of the figure 18 5% • With 0.88% prevalence in use, France ranks 34th out 06 of 07 0% 25% 9308 countries for 09 10 cocaine 11 12consumption 13 14 (UNODC 15 06 20% and France account for 80% of total European percentage since 2007 (Rizk 2015). cocaine consumption (UNODC 2011, 93). A peculiarity 10.0 07 2015c). The United Kingdom, Spain, Italy, Germany when outside their homes. This is the highest 12.0 10% heroin used in the United States (UNODC 2012, 67). 5% 18.0 0% 09 10 11 12 13 14 • 16.0 Notwithstanding the decrease in crime rates, nearly Euromonitor International KPMG 21.1% of French adults report that they feel unsafe 14.0 15% It is estimated that, during the 1960s and early 1970s, 10% 08 20% FRANCE Overseas Department of Guyane has a high crime 07 25% • The ‘French Connection’ of the 1930s organised the decrease since 2003 (UNODC 2015c). 06 The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products Kingdom and Italy3.0 (350,000 and 216,000 users, 0.6 0.0 41 4.0 With 190,000 estimated users, it follows the United 0.8 e 16 0 10.0 World Drug report 2011 9.0 of cocaine15% consumption in France is that 20% of consumers inject it instead of snorting it (UNODC 8.0 2011, 83).10% 6.0 figure 21 4.0 figure 5% 2.0 0.0 06 07 08 KPMG 09 10 11 12 13 14 Euromonitor International 3.2% 3.2% 0% 5.4% 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 50% Crime Environment • The annual prevalence of cannabis use in France is high (18th country out of 187 according to the 2015 World Drug Report (Figure 14, p. 41). Cannabis is the most commonly used drug in France, with a prevalence rate of 8.4% in the last World Drug Report. • The total amount of cannabis resin seized in Europe is larger than the total amount of cannabis herb seized in the same zone, although at the global level cannabis resin seizures amounted to about one-quarter of cannabis herb seizures in France in 1990–2009 (UNODC 2012, 73). Indeed, France is among the highest-ranking countries for cannabis resin seizures, with 70.9 tonnes of cannabis resin seized in 2013 (UNODC 2015c). ORGANISED CRIME AND CORRUPTION THE CRIME ENVIRONMENT IN MARSEILLE Marseille, the second-largest city in France, has long been dominated by the ‘French Connection’ dedicated to heroin trafficking. This city is an emblematic case of an urban area penetrated by organised crime (Montel 2008). Today, there are no large hierarchical criminal groups in the city, but rather fluid networks operating across different criminal markets. Traditional local crimes have been control over prostitution, gambling, money counterfeiting, kidnapping for ransom and the cross-border smuggling of goods ranging from drugs to cigarettes, firearms and other types of products (Alvarez 2003; Capdepon 2015). ••France has a relatively limited, but diversified, presence of organised crime activity, and corruption is low. • France ranks low on the composite organised 42 crime index, scoring 27 and occupying the 95th place among 156 countries. Low positions in this ranking are occupied by countries with a limited presence of organised crime (van Dijk 2008). • The term ‘organised crime’ has not gained wide acceptance in France because it only appeared for the first time in public debate in the early 1990s (Paoli, Fijnaut, and Lalam 2004). Instead, terms like ‘milieu’ (underworld) and ‘grand banditry’ are more commonly used to refer to indigenous French criminal organisations existing prior to World War II and engaged mainly in drug trafficking. The main part of this criminal elite is of low, working-class origin and resides predominantly in South-Eastern France and especially in Marseille, Toulon, Nice, Lyon, Grenoble and in the Corsica region (Gounev and Bezlov 2010). ••Corsica and Marseille are specific cases within the French criminal panorama (see boxes The crime environment in Marseille and The crime environment in the Corsica region). THE CRIME ENVIRONMENT IN THE CORSICA REGION The Corsica region, with a population of 320,200 and a historically violent independence movement, has a distinctive criminal landscape. Indeed, the boundaries between organised crime and clandestine independence groups are blurred because some nationalist fighters have converted themselves into organised criminals attempting to take over parts of the local economy through extortion or racketeering (Gounev and Bezlov 2010). Nevertheless, there also exist structured clans which control economic, political and administrative powers by using fluid clientelistic relationships; they include clans such as ‘Brise de Mer’ or ‘Du Valinco’. The influence of Corsican organised crime is not confined to the island itself, for it spreads to Marseille, Southern France and to Paris and other big cities (Follorou and Nouzille 2004). Criminal proceeds from activities on the mainland are often laundered in Corsica by criminals (Gounev and Bezlov 2010). Chapter 1: The Five Drivers • In some cases, marginalised immigrant communities contribute to the formation of criminal structures in ‘difficult suburbs’ of large cities across France (Gounev and Bezlov 2010). • Foreign criminal networks specialized in particular criminal activities include Russian groups, which mainly engage in money laundering, financial crimes and arms trafficking. Eastern European groups deal with prostitution, burglaries and car thefts, while In conclusion, in France criminal networks are diverse, and they operate in different markets. Most of them also engage in drug trafficking. The country has a low level of corruption, and the informal economy is very limited. Nevertheless, drug consumption is high. This may indicate that illicit distribution networks provide opportunities for illicit trafficking, from drugs to illicit tobacco. Chinese groups specialise in money laundering (National Gendarmerie 2015). ••Criminal groups often operate within the illicit drugs market. • With respect to the illegal drugs market, all criminal groups in France are ‘simultaneously involved, either working jointly or being involved in different aspects of this market’ (Gounev and Bezlov 2010). • After World War II, the main organised criminal activities included prostitution and human trafficking, bank robberies, kidnapping for ransom and other activities including forgery, racketeering and gaming 43 machines. The drug market gradually became the 2015). ••France registers a low level of corruption and shadow economy. • The country has low corruption, with a high score (70) on the Corruption Perceptions Index 2015 (23rd position out of 168 countries) (Transparency International 2015). • Corruption is more common in particular geographical areas: the Corsica region, large cities or specific energy, real estate or defence (Gounev and Bezlov 2010). • In 2015, the shadow economy is small (12.3% of the GDP). The country ranked 23th out of 31 countries (Schneider 2015). FRANCE economic areas such as public utilities contracts, The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products largest illegal market in France (National Gendarmerie 44 ENFORCEMENT 45 FRANCE rance has efficient law enforcement with a medium-low number of police personnel, medium rates of judges, and a large prison population. New enforcement actions aim at limiting the flows of illicit tobacco especially through Internet and postal delivery. European cooperation, together with customs collaboration with neighbouring countries, is acting to improve the fight against the unlawful exportation and importation of goods, including tobacco products. The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products F 2011 2010 6.78 6.15 5.80 2012 2013 -27,716 2014 -31,553 Enforcement 338.6 2012 80.4 280.2 247.2 233.1 Police 2014 personnel rate per 100,000 inhabitants 2010 -28,297 -31,854 7.76 Police 2008 -30,569 304.0 297.0 290.3 290.1 80.3 80.4 79.9 2008 2010 172.4 172.4 2014 2012 79 out of 91 countries Tax % final retail price Tax per 1,000 sticks/Int.$, PPP (2013) Source: UNODC 2009 2010 25 2011 25 2012 22 2013 26 7.0 71* 71* 69* 2008 1.3 2010 Judiciary 2010 9.2 2013 9.0 2014 20119.2 2012 Value Professional judges rate per 100,000 1.2 1.1 inhabitants 1.1 9.4 2010 2011 2012 8.4 46 2011 10.8 12.3 Products Tobacco 10.8 9.9 Seizures Quantity of seized tobacco in tonnes per 100,000 inhabitants Source: DGDDI 2012 2013 2014 2015 2011 2012 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 World Drug Report 2011 World Drug Report 2015 Opioids 11.0 6.9 6.8 2009 2010 9.0 2015 Rank 7.0 71 71 69 2012 2013 2014 2011 Value Rank Cocaine Low Cannabis Tob. 1.34 tn 2.45 706 1.91 1.25 1.40 533 1.34 317 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 388 (2015) 407 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 10 years of imprisonment Likely maximum penalty for an hypothetical serious case of ITTP Source: Transcrime elaboration 2/5 points Anti–ITTP Action* Source: Transcrime elaboration High 2013 Penalty for ITTP Composite indicator measuring the presence of specific policy measures in the country Low (last available year) 1.0 Source: UNODC 2009 22 48 out of 82 countries 8.6 2009 2010 2008 22 70* 2008 9.4 26 25 23 22 6.9 6.8 25 24 23 675.0 578.5 High (2015) 2 1 * The indicator should not be interpreted as if a higher value is always better than a lower value. The objective is rather to synthetically assess the intensity of policy measures in a specific field. Chapter 1: The Five Drivers LAW ENFORCEMENT IN FRANCE • The police personnel rate per 100,000 inhabitants in 2013 was 172.4. This is low compared to other European countries. The country ranks 79 out of th 91 countries for police personnel rate per 100,000 inhabitants (UNODC 2015b). • The police system includes The National Police (La Police Nationale Française) and the National Gendarmerie (La Gendarmerie Nationale). Both are under the jurisdiction of the Ministry of the Interior. • The rate of judges per 100,000 inhabitants in 2013 was 9.0. France ranks 48th out of 82 countries surveyed by UNODC. The rate has gradually decreased since 2006, when it was 13.1 (UNODC 2015b). • In 2013, the total number of persons held in prisons, penal institutions or correctional institutions per 100,000 inhabitants was 104.3, corresponding to a total amount of 67,075 detained persons. In 2013, France ranked 52nd out of 72 countries for prison population (UNODC 2015b). ••The main bodies involved in the fight against the ITTP are: • The DGDDI Directorate General of Customs and Indirect Taxes (Direction générale des douanes et droits indirects) is under the Directorate General of Customs and Indirect Taxes, part of the Ministry of the Budget, Public Accounts and Civil Service. It is in charge of detecting and tackling frauds, illicit trafficking, counterfeit products and tobacco trafficking • The National Judicial Customs (SNDJ—Service national de douane judiciaire) is authorized to conduct customs judicial investigations for all offences related to counterfeited products and to French domestic taxation regulations (SNDJ 2013). online fraud and the sale of counterfeited goods, including tobacco products. Since September 2012, with prior authorization by the prosecutor’s office (Procureur de la République), Cyber Customs analysts can participate in online transactions using pseudonyms in order to collect data on alleged traders of illicit products (Ministère de l’Économie, des Finances et de l’Industrie, n.d.). The aim of the Cyber Customs is to disable suspect websites and to discover other domain names of connected fraudulent websites (Binetruy, Dumont, and Lazaro 2011 p.82). • The National Police is in control of the internal security in the country. Further, through the Border Police Central Services (DCPAF—Direction centrale de la police aux frontiers), it is in charge of crossborder movements. This law enforcement agency deals with cross-border organised crime, financial crime, terrorism and drug trafficking. Furthermore, it coordinates and reinforces European customs and police cooperation among six countries: Germany, Belgium, Spain, Italy, Luxembourg and Switzerland through 10 cooperation centres (CCPD—Centre de 47 coopération policière et douanière) (Police Nationale 2011a). ••French police have a good level of cooperation with European institutions. • The French law enforcement agencies cooperate with European institutions through Europol, Schengen and Interpol. The Judicial Police Central Services of the National Police, and the subdivision for International Relations in particular, is responsible for international police cooperation (Police Nationale 2011b; Police Nationale 2011c). ••The Intellectual Property Code (Code de la Propriété Intellectuelle), the General Tax Law (Code général des impôts, CGI), Customs Code and the Penal Code are the main sources that regulate smuggling and counterfeiting (see box Hypothetical case, p. 48). • Low penalties applicable to serious cases of tobacco smuggling make this activity highly profitable, and with relatively low risks (Le Républicain-Lorrain 2012). FRANCE (Europol 2013). and part of the DGDDI, specialises in combating The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products THE FIGHT AGAINST THE ITTP IN FRANCE • The Cyber Customs (Cyberdouane), set up in 2009 Enforcement It is forbidden to buy and bring counterfeited goods of any kind, regardless of their monetary value, into France. French DGDDI has the power to seize goods and impose on offenders fines pondered on the value of the original non-counterfeited product (Département Communication de crise et communication territoriale de l’État 2013). HYPOTHETICAL CASE A criminal organisation composed of 11 members used a house in the periphery of a large city as an illicit factory for the production and distribution of tobacco products. For at least 16 months, with a clear division of tasks and functions among them, the members of the organisation illegally manufactured tobacco products (cigarettes and hand rolling tobacco); packed them in packaging bearing false trademarks of legitimate brands (produced by the same organisation); distributed the products to various wholesalers and retailers; and sold the illicit products through a network of bars and street sellers. No tax or duty was ever paid on these products. The law enforcement agencies seized a total of 10 tonnes of illegal tobacco products stocked inside the house. All the members of the organisation had previous records for fraud, forgery and illicit trade in tobacco products. The members could not justify their incomes through any form of employment, suggesting that the illicit business was their sole source of income. The applicable penalties in France There are several applicable offences, regulated by different French laws: 48 1. French Criminal Code (provisions and penalties) •Article 450–1 (Association de malfaiteurs). A criminal organization is any group established to prepare or commit one or more material actions, one or more crimes, or one or more offenses punishable with at least five years of imprisonment. Should the crimes or offenses committed be punishable with 10 years of imprisonment, the participation in a criminal association is punished with 10 years of imprisonment and a €150,000 fine. Should the crimes or offenses committed be punishable with five years of imprisonment, the participation in a criminal association is punished with five years of imprisonment and a €75,000 fine. •Article 131–21, the additional penalty of forfeiture is incurred for crimes and offenses punishable with imprisonment for a term exceeding one year, except for press offenses. If it is a crime or an offense punishable by at least five years of imprisonment, then confiscation can occur with the focus on the real or personal property belonging to the offender or to the owner in good faith. If they are not able to justify the goods’ origin, they can be ordered to be valued and forfeited. 2.General tax code provides the discipline for the manufacture, transport, distribution and sale of tobacco products. In particular, according to: • Article 575J, it is forbidden for anyone to have utensils, machinery or mechanical items such as mills, graters, grinders, impellers, mechanical to shreds, carrot and other presses in any form that can be suitable for the manufacture of tobacco. • Article 575K states that it is forbidden for anyone to conduct the professional manufacture of cigarettes for a profit, except when the manufacturing is done in the consumer’s home within the limits of his personal needs, by itself, by family members or people in their service. Any infringement of the provision of the general tax code relating to tobacco products is punished with a fine between €15 and €750, and an additional fine of up to three times the amount of the excise taxes that should have been paid (and a fine between € 500 and € 2,500 and an additional fine of up to five times the amount of the excise tax that should have been paid for the unlawful manufacture, possession, sale and transport of tobacco products) (Articles 1791 to 1791 ter). Chapter 1: The Five Drivers The illegal manufacture, possession with the aim of resale, sale, remote sale, transport, remote acquisition and import through distance selling of tobacco products are punished with imprisonment for up to one year and the confiscation of means of transportation, equipment, machinery, and any packaging materials (Article 1810). These people are considered and punished as illegal manufacturers: individuals possessing manufacturing machinery, tobacco leaves, raw tobacco or more than 10 kg of bulk tobacco without trademarks of the administration; those who profess to make it for others or accidentally manufacture it for a profit, using cigarette smoking tobacco; and warehouse keepers and traders of illegal manufactured tobacco (Article 1810). Moreover, the prison sentence is increased to five years for offenses committed by organised criminal groups (Article 1811). 3. Customs Code (provisions and penalties) Smuggling is any unlawful importation or exportation as well as any violation of laws or regulations relating to the detention and transportation of goods within the customs territory (Article 417 paragraph 1). Imports or exports of goods without a declaration through a customs office is assimilated into smuggling (Article 417 paragraph 3). Any act of contraband is a crime punished with three years of imprisonment, confiscation of the object of fraud, confiscation of means of transportation, confiscation of objects used to conceal the fraud, confiscation of property and assets that are the direct/indirect product of the offense, and a fine of between one and two times the value of the object of the fraud. The penalty shall be 10 year of imprisonment and up to five times the value of the objects when smuggling is committed within a criminal organization (Article 414). 4. Intellectual Property Code (provisions and penalties) • Article L716–9 states that any person, who, for the purpose of selling, supplying, offering for sale or lending goods under an infringing mark a) imports, under any customs regime, exports, re-exports or trans-ships goods presented under an infringing mark or b) reproduces industrially goods presented under an infringing mark, shall be liable to four years of imprisonment and a fine of €400.000. Where the offences provided for under this 49 article have been committed within an organised criminal group, the penalties will be increased to five years of • Article L716–10, a person who holds, imports, exports, sells goods presented under an infringing mark; reproduces, imitates, uses a mark in violation of its owner’s rights; delivers knowingly a product or provides a service other than that which is required of him under a registered mark shall be liable to a three-year imprisonment and a fine of €300.000. If the offences are committed by an organised criminal group, the penalties shall be increased to five years of imprisonment and a fine of €500,000. • Article L716–12: in the event of repetition of the offenses defined in Articles L716-9 to L716-11, or if the offender had contractual bonds with the aggrieved party, the penalties involved shall be doubled. • Article L716–13: any object used in the trademark infringing process, e.g., the machinery, will be destroyed. 5. Applicable penalties According to the French Criminal Code (Article 132-2), in the case of multiple applicable offences with penalties penalty would be as high as the highest penalty among those provided for the different offences, and if the applicable penalties are of a different nature, they may be applied jointly (e.g., imprisonment and a fine). Consequently, it seems likely that the maximum applicable penalties in the above-described case would be imprisonment for up to 10 years and a fine up to €500,000 (Article 414 of the Customs Code and Article 450–1 of the French criminal code, Article 716 of the IPC–Intellectual Property Code). Article 131–21 of the Penal Code allows for the confiscation of additional assets of the perpetrator and thus provides a further sanction. More importantly, in the case of extended assets forfeiture, it is for the defendant to prove that his/her assets were derived from legal sources, i.e., the burden of proof is reversed. Since the members of the criminal organisation did not have other sources of income, their assets could be forfeited as having been derived from unlawful sources of income. FRANCE of the same nature (e.g., different forms of deprivation of liberty or pecuniary penalties), the maximum applicable The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products imprisonment and a fine of €500,000. Enforcement Table 5. Measures against the ITTP in France Source: Transcrime elaboration Anti–ITTP action indicator Value 1) National Action Plan against the ITTP Yes, 0.5 points 2) Cooperation agreements between national public bodies and tobacco companies to prevent and control the ITTP Yes, 1 point 3) National public awareness campaign against the various forms of the ITTP No, 0 points 4) Legal duty for tobacco manufacturers not to facilitate smuggling Yes, 0.5 points 5) Official estimates of the size of the ITTP No, 0 points Note: the indicator should not be interpreted as if a higher value is always better than a lower value. Its purpose is rather to synthesise the intensity of policy measures in a specific field. ••Anti-ITTP action in France is medium-low, with 2.0 points out of 5 on this indicator (Table 5). •The establishment of joint investigation teams in sensitive areas, such as the Franco-Spanish and Franco- Belgian frontiers. • France has introduced specific policy actions against the ITTP. •Launching joint monitoring operations at the European level with the aim of monitoring the railway trafficking of illicit tobacco products. • In September 2011, the French Budget Minister, 50 Valérie Pécresse, presented a government action plan against cigarette smuggling. The plan involves several measures against the ITTP and aims at increasing illicit tobacco seizures by at least 15% compared with 2010. Several measures are detailed in the plan (Point 1 in Table 5): •Automatic licence plate recognition systems (LAPI-Lecteurs Automatisés de Plaques d’Immatriculation) and additional trained staff to fight cigarette smugglers transporting illicit tobacco on vehicles. •Improving identification of the origin of tobacco seized in order to track and trace the supply chain. •Set up a database and conduct laboratory analysis on seized tobacco. The new system, called ANATAB, should guarantee a better understanding of the origin of products, help in identifying supply channels, and keep records of seizures (Ministre du Budget, des Comptes Publics, et de la Réforme de l’Etat 2011). • In September 2014, the French Minister of Social Affairs, Health and Women’s Rights, Marisol Touraine, •Dismantling the online trafficking of illicit tobacco presented the ‘National Tobacco Reduction Program’ products through a specific taskforce of expert (PNRT), focused on fighting tobacco consumption. The analysts of the Cyber Customs (Cyberdouane). program is based on three axis, one of which focused •Specific measures for the hotspots of tobacco on strengthening the fight against the ITTP and the smuggling. A special provision concerns the illegal tobacco marketing via Internet (Axis 3) (Ministére outskirts of Marseille and Paris, where the number des Affaires sociales, de la Santé et des Droits des of law enforcement officers involved in anti-ITTP femmes 2014b). To achieve these goals, the Minister actions has been doubled due to high volumes of would present an interdepartmental plan against illicit tobacco smuggling. tobacco trade, involving DGDDI and DGCCRF (Direction •Inclusion of the fight against tobacco trafficking among the priorities of Regional Intervention Groups (GIR–Groupes d’Intervention Régionaux) coordinated by the Directorate Central of the Judicial Police. générale de la concurrence, de la consommation et de la répression des frauds). This plan would concentrate on reinforcing and improving the application of the sanctions against smugglers. In addition, the plan would increase international cooperation in the field of traffic (Ministére des Affaires sociales, de la Santé et des Droits des femmes 2014a). The specific action plan against the ITTP has not yet been presented. Chapter 1: The Five Drivers • Specific agreements between national public • The signature, in January 2013, and the recent bodies and tobacco companies to prevent and ratification, in November 2015, of the Protocol to control the ITTP. Eliminate Illicit Trade in Tobacco Products (WHOFCTC) further widens the commitment of the French • The European Commission has signed legally government to ‘protecting the health of their citizens, binding and enforceable agreements with tobacco particularly the young and vulnerable’ against all manufacturers. The four largest tobacco manufacturers forms of illicit trade in tobacco products, including have agreed to finance the EU and the countries smuggling and illegal manufacturing. This renewed participating in the agreement to prevent their products commitment may reduce the availability of tobacco from falling into the hands of illicit traffickers. Indeed, products by curbing the demand for illicit tobacco manufacturers must supply only the quantities of (Point 3 in Table 5, p. 50). tobacco required by the legitimate market and ensure that they sell only to legal clients by implementing a • In France, there is no legal duty for tobacco tracking system (European Commission 2004; 2007; manufacturers not to facilitate smuggling. 2010a; 2010b). However, the four major tobacco companies have signed agreements with the EC, represented by • A Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) between OLAF. The parties aim to eliminate the ITTP on the DGDDI and PMI International was signed on 12 EU’s territory and to assist the law enforcement October 2005, following PMI’s EU agreement with agencies (WHO 2009, 35; Sieber 2010, 90) (Point 4 OLAF. The main elements of the MoU were the in Table 5, p. 50). exchange of information, assistance in the fight against counterfeiting, the training of customs officers in identifying counterfeited products and joint • There are no yearly, publicly available estimates of the ITTP in France. communication (e.g., destruction of seizures). • The supply of illicit tobacco in France is not subject • In 2007, DGDDI signed another MoU with the to routine monitoring, but several studies have addressed this information gap and assessed the protocol was to define a framework for cooperation to size of the French parallel tobacco market in regard strengthen the fight against all forms of illicit trade in to both its legal (cross-border purchases) and illegal cigarettes, including the smuggling and counterfeiting parts (Lalam et al. 2012). of cigarette brands marketed by British American • The DGDDI annually discloses the number of seizures and the quantity of illicit tobacco products • In 2011, the DGDDI developed several partnerships with Internet sales operators. Two MoU were signed, first seized at French borders and last years’ data allow disaggregation between cigarettes and HRT seizures. with ‘Priceminister’ and then with ‘2xmoinscher.com’, in order to prevent the illicit trafficking of goods on the Internet (DGDDI 2012a) (Point 2 in Table 5, p. 50). • A study conducted by DGDDI of the French Budget Ministry estimated the share of illicit tobacco at 5% of the French market. This share would consist of legal campaigns against the ITTP. purchases through the network of French retailers (80%), cross-border purchases in neighbouring countries (15%) and tobacco purchases through illicit • There is no evidence of nationwide public opinion channels (5%) (Ministre du Budget, des Comptes campaigns on the dangers and risks associated with Publics, et de la Réforme de l’Etat 2011). In 2015, the consumption of illicit tobacco. Nevertheless, in OFDT and INHESJ estimate that 77% of tobacco 2010, the tobacco manufacturer British American sales occur within the French network of tobacconists, Tobacco launched an anti-smuggling campaign while 17% outside this network in neighbouring through the exposure of posters at tobacco points of countries (and 1% in non-neighbouring countries) sale in the city of Lille, Northern France (La Voix du and 5% through illegal channels (Lermenier-Jeannet Nord 2010). 2015) (Point 5 in Table 5, p. 50). FRANCE • There are no nationwide public awareness The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products British American Tobacco France. The aim of the Tobacco France (DGDDI 2007b). 51 90% Enforcement 80% 70% 60% 50% Table 6. Seizures of smuggled tobacco (tonnes), 2002–2014 Source: Transcrime calculations on DGDDI (2015a) data 40% 30% Year 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20% Tobacco 173 219 185 206 240 203 250 264 347 462 371 430 423 10% 0% 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 •• Seizures of smuggled tobacco have significantly increased in the past decade (Table 6 and Figure 15). • In January 2013, France signed the Protocol to Eliminate the Illicit Trade in Tobacco Products and ratified it in November 2015 (WHO FCTC 2013). • Tobacco seizures increased until 2011 when they reached 462 tonnes. In 2012, they decreased to 371 • The French government cooperates with European tonnes, but they increased again in the last two years institutions (Interpol, Europol and Schengen) in (+14.0%) (DGDDI 2015a). tackling illicit flows of goods within the European Union. This demonstrates France’s determination to limit the unintended consequences of cross-border Figure 15.15 Seizures of tobacco (tonnes), 2002–2014 figure flows of goods. Source: Transcrime calculations on DGDDI (2015a) data 500 450 In conclusion, France has an effective law 400 52 enforcement system, a medium-low number of 350 police personnel, a medium rate of judges and a 300 large prison population. Specific actions against 250 the ITTP are enforced, and innovative approaches, 200 such as the Cyberdouane, are taken in order to 150 limit the flows of illicit tobacco through Internet sale 100 channels. European cooperation, together with border customs collaboration, is enacted to improve 50 0 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 •• France is active at the international law level promoting actions on tobacco control and on the ITTP. • Since 27 February 2005, France has been a member of the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC). According to Article 15.1 of the Convention, ‘parties recognize that elimination figure 19 of all forms of illicit trade and development and implementation of related national law are essential components of tobacco control’, thus France ‘shall 30% promote and strengthen public awareness of tobacco control issues, using all available communication 25% tools’ (WHO 2003). Every two years, the French government reports to the Conference of the Parties 20% on progress in implementing the FCTC. 15% 10% 5% 0% 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 the fight against the cross-border exportation and importation of goods. 53 The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products FRANCE The four components 54 THE DEMAND 55 •• Low price is the main driver of the demand for • Cigarettes prices have increased during the past decade (from €3.20 in 2000 to €7.00 in 2015 for the France cost €2 less than legal cigarettes (Vidalie most sold brand) and this has boosted the demand 2015). for cheaper tobacco. This trend is evidenced, in particular, by the increase in cross-border purchases • The demand for illicit tobacco is mainly due to its both at the Belgium-Luxembourg and the Spanish- affordability, particularly compared with legal products Andorran borders. However, according to a study by sold in retailers. The lower the affordability of legal the French Customs, only a small proportion of cross- tobacco (expressed in price relative to income – % border purchases are illicit (15% of all cross-border of per capita GDP to buy 100 packs), the higher the purchases). In fact, fraudulent travellers may import incentives to trade down to illicit products. a quantity of tobacco exceeding the amount allowed by the law (see box Reasons why people buy illicit • The average price of a pack of illicit cigarettes in France is €5, which is €2 cheaper than in special average (Vidalie 2015). • Contraband cigarettes cartons are bought from containers at main ports, sold to intermediaries for around €30 per carton and then re-sold on the streets at an average price of €50 (Tellier 2015). FRANCE tobacconists, where 20 cigarettes cost around €7 on tobacco, p. 56) (DGDDI 2011b). The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products illicit tobacco. On average, illicit cigarettes in The four components REASONS WHY PEOPLE BUY ILLICIT TOBACCO A specialist tobacconist in Toulouse: ‘Customers who buy smuggled cigarettes can’t afford to buy cigarettes from tobacco specialists. When smugglers aren’t on the streets, their customers come to us and buy packs of cigarettes. Nevertheless, when they buy contraband cigarettes, they usually buy a whole carton instead of a single pack’ (Cardet 2012). A female purchaser in Paris: ‘They’re convenient because you buy several cartons at once, so you have them in the cupboard. For some people this may mean that they smoke more, but for me, I smoke the same amount, so it’s good that I have them there’ (Mery 2009, p.33). A male purchaser in Paris: ‘Sometimes you smoke these counterfeit cigarettes, or contraband ones, other times you buy from the tobacconist. It depends what you have, what is there, and of course the normal ones are kinder to your throat, you don’t cough so much’ (Mery 2009, p. 33). A female purchaser of illicit whites: ‘I was walking along the street where they’re sold. I’d never heard of the brand: the eagle, the pack, I didn’t know where they came from. But at that price…I bought a pack to try them’ (Hillairet and Mazoyer 2012, p. 20). A male purchaser of illicit whites: ‘A colleague told me about American Legend. It was the brand that he was smoking because he lives close to the street where they’re sold. He persuaded me try them, because I wasn’t really confident about them. Now, he buys them for me and the rest of the team’ (Hillairet and Mazoyer 2012, p. 19). 56 •• There is no apparent connection between the consumption of illicit tobacco and drug use. • Cross-border shoppers are significantly more numerous in North-Eastern and South-Western France. At the departmental level, they concentrate • Despite the habit among drug users of procuring illicit particularly in border areas (39% versus 12% in non- goods, the purchasing behaviour of tobacco smokers border departments). Smokers with average incomes, attending drug rehabilitation centres in Paris showed between €900 and €1500 per month, are twice as a prevalence of purchases at specialist tobacconists likely to resort to cross-border shopping than low- (81.4%). A small minority (14.0%) bought tobacco income smokers, whereas smokers with high incomes products on the streets (Lermienier 2011). occupy an intermediate position (Ben Lakhdar, Lermienier, and Vaillant 2011). •• The illicit tobacco consumer in France is predominately male and belongs to all occupational categories. • The average consumer has no particular occupation • There is no significant relationship between daily tobacco consumption and cross-border shopping, but in 2010 18% of regular smokers5 had bought their last pack of cigarettes in a neighbouring country, and is generally a man. Although there appears to compared with 13% of smokers with little or no be no correlation between deprived social conditions addiction. In fact, addicted smokers often use cross- and the consumption of illicit tobacco, street border shopping and the parallel market, and they smuggling is mainly concentrated in disadvantaged more often buy abroad and in larger quantities than neighbourhoods (Lalam et al. 2012). smokers with little or no addiction (Ben Lakhdar, Lermienier, and Vaillant 2011). •• The demand for cheaper tobacco and the incidence of cross-border purchases are higher in border regions and among average income groups. 5. In this investigation, conducted by BVA in 2010, tobacco dependence was calculated using a simplified version of the Fagerström test designed around two questions on the daily consumption of cigarettes and the delay between awakening and the first cigarette smoked. Chapter 2: The four components •• The demand for illicit tobacco is higher in specific neighbourhoods of metropolitan areas. • Consumers often use personal networks and acquaintances to buy illicit tobacco. In this regard, a consumer survey in Paris and Marseille highlighted • In Marseille, in the Place Noailles neighbourhood, the a difference between the two cities. Whilst Parisians illicit trade in tobacco products is a well-established over-report their tendency to purchase via personal practice (Lalam et al. 2012). In the 2011-2015 EPSs, networks, in Marseille the need to rely on personal Marseille recorded the highest percentage of illicit networks is limited. This may be due to a greater whites among French cities (from 52.7% of the non- availability of illicit tobacco (Mery 2009). domestic products found in Marseille in 2011 to 21.3% in 2015).6 • On-street selling in Paris is concentrated in popular neighbourhoods such as the Goutte d’Or or Barbès, close to the Paris railway stations (Lalam et al. 2012). Lorraine, Bourgogne and Alsace are crossing points for criminal organisations conveying millions of packs of cigarettes to Paris and to European countries with higher prices for tobacco products (L’Est Républicain 2012). • In Lyon, Rhône-Alpes region, evidence of the street trafficking of tobacco has been found in Place Gabriel Péri, commonly known as Place du Pont (L’Union 2013). • There is evidence of illicit tobacco trafficking in Toulouse, the fourth-largest metropolitan area in France after Paris, Lyon and Marseille. Square Toulouse version of Paris ‘Barbès’ (Cardet 2012). •• Another important element contributing to the demand is the availability of illicit tobacco. • Illicit tobacco is not difficult to find. Illicit products are sometimes available on the streets from black-market suppliers. The most frequent retail channels are street sellers, 24/7 grocery stores and, in some cases, private apartments (see box Supply and demand: the case of a French student) (Le Monde du Tabac 2012f). (Languedoc-Roussillon region) who used to buy illicit cigarettes in Berriac every month on the same day of the week before her illicit suppliers were arrested in June 2012. She paid between €3.5 and €4.0 for either a pack of Gauloises Blondes, Pall Mall, Camel or Marlboro. The illicit ‘tobacconists’ had set up their small business in an apartment kitchen and sold cigarettes and HRT of any brand. Notwithstanding a good and prompt supply service, in some cases Christine was told by the illicit sellers that if petrol prices went up in neighbouring countries, tobacco delivery by truck was not guaranteed. In June 2012, Investigation Clop11 led to the dismantling of this organisation. The head of the organisation was a young Serbian woman controlling a supply chain of transporters and retailers. The frequency of tobacco transport was once or twice a day, and the source country was Andorra. DGDDI officials estimated the organisation’s profit at around €300,000 in three months. Eight cars were seized together with €40,000 in cash and 1,000 cartons of cigarettes (LaDépêche.fr 2012). 57 FRANCE 6. The tobacco industry regularly conducts empty pack surveys (EPS) to estimate the number of non-domestic cigarette packs found in the main cities of France. Use of EPS data requires especial caution when investigating the ITTP. Firstly, the survey focuses on cigarettes and excludes HRT. Secondly, it analyses packs and excludes single butts. EPSs identify non-domestic products, which include legitimately purchased cigarettes (e.g., cross-border purchases). Furthermore, EPSs do not identify domestic contraband cigarettes. This may lead to underestimation of the real size of the illicit tobacco market. Notwithstanding these limitations, EPSs may provide data useful for analysing the illicit cigarettes market. Indeed, they provide estimates at the city level, which are hardly available from other sources. Christine is a student from Carcassonne The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products Arnaud Bernard is named ‘Le Barbès Toulousain’, the SUPPLY AND DEMAND: THE CASE OF A FRENCH STUDENT The four components THE SUPPLY 58 •• The supply of illicit tobacco is due to its • According to the literature on tobacco smuggling, profitability deriving from the evasion of the high most types of illicit trade in tobacco can be run taxation on tobacco products. by individuals without their having to belong to a structured and continuative organised group (Hobbs • The tax level expressed in monetary terms (total 2013). taxes per 1,000 cigarettes) may provide incentives for suppliers of illicit tobacco at the international level. • The street selling of illicit tobacco, referred to as This is most relevant to large smuggling (counterfeits ‘hidden tobacco retail’ (vente à la sauvette), is and illicit whites). The higher the taxes, the greater the fragmented and without a single leadership. In fact, profit potential for smugglers. street sellers exhibit a certain degree of independence from each other (Lalam et al. 2012). • The tax incidence (tax as a percentage of the final retail price) provides incentives for the suppliers • According to DGDDI and National Gendarmerie, illicit of illicit tobacco at the national level. This is most tobacco trafficking is managed by well-organised relevant to the illicit manufacturing and wholesale/ groups, especially Serbian groups. These groups retail distribution of illicit tobacco products within control the illegal importation of tobacco into France, national borders. its storage in clandestine places/apartments and the final distribution to on-street sellers (see box •• The suppliers of illicit tobacco in France range from private individuals and street sellers to organised groups. Examples of organised groups involved in the ITTP, p. 59) (DGDDI 2010; National Gendarmerie 2015). Chapter 2: The four components EXAMPLES OF ORGANISED GROUPS INVOLVED IN THE ITTP • The organised criminal group used both a cyber cafe and a grocery to cover its illicit sales of tobacco. Between 50 and 80 packs of cigarettes were sold every day, with prices ranging from €4.5 to €5.0 per pack. Tobacco was stored in an apartment in Nîmes (Languedoc-Roussillon region) and was discovered by the Police in December 2012, together with €40,000 in cash and two weapons. The tobacco seized originated from Spain and from Eastern Europe (Le Monde du Tabac 2012i). • Organised groups purchase cigarettes in Andorra, • The recent use of techniques commonly employed by drug traffickers suggests that tobacco smugglers may be involved in other criminal activities for which they use their expertise in tobacco smuggling. The ‘Go fast’ technique is used by traffickers to avoid police controls when transporting illicit tobacco to distribution destinations. In this technique, a group of cars lures police controls by forcing police checkpoints at high speed, while another car takes the tobacco to its final destination (Le Monde du Tabac 2012g). • The Andorran-French connection in tobacco smuggling involves criminal organisations. It appears that Georgian and Chechen criminal groups are involved in tobacco smuggling along this route (Le Monde du Tabac 2012g). store them in Spain, and then transport them into France on commercial trucks. At the French- • Local crime networks in Marseille engage in several Andorran border, illicit circuits are well structured types of crime: prostitution, gambling, money (Lalam et al. 2012). counterfeiting, kidnapping for ransom, and cross- • Nine traffickers of Moroccan, Algerian, Georgian and French nationality were arrested following the seizure of 250 kilos of tobacco in April 2011. A thorough investigation dismantled the criminal network, which purchased counterfeit cigarettes from ship containers coming from intermediaries in Aubervilliers. The latter supplied street sellers in Paris (Le Monde du Tabac 2013a). • In July 2014, the DGDDI arrested four people during the seizure of 10.5 tonnes of contraband cigarettes in Vitrolles, in the Marseille region. This is one of the largest catches of cigarettes made in recent years in this region (DGDDI Office of Information and Communication 2014). (Alvarez 2003). •• Illicit tobacco is sold through various channels: street sellers, grocery stores, private apartments, markets and the Internet. • French press releases and law enforcement documents show that Internet cafés, 24/7 grocery stores, and international call shops may be used for illicit tobacco trafficking (Le Monde du Tabac 2012f). Nevertheless, DGDDI considers French tobacco retailers to be reliable, with a maximum of five cases of proven fraudulent retailers per year (Binetruy, Dumont, and Lazaro 2011, 70). • Internet sales of tobacco products are an emerging trend. They accounted for nearly 10% of total tobacco seizures in 2012 (Direction générale des douanes et droits indirects 2011a). organised crime groups engaged in illicit tobacco trafficking are also engaged in other criminal activities. • Sellers of illicit tobacco may also commercialise other types of goods. For instance, Polish tobacco street sellers in Paris distribute alcoholic beverages, such as vodka and beer, in addition to discounted Polish cigarettes (Le Monde du Tabac 2012h). FRANCE •• According to law enforcement agencies, 59 The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products China in Antwerp (Belgium) and re-sold them to border smuggling of drugs, cigarettes and other goods The four components •• At the retail level, the illicit tobacco market consists mainly of small sellers, who vary by sex and ethnicity. • It is not possible to identify specific ethnic groups involved in the ITTP supply chain. There is no single tobacco smuggler profile. Indeed, diverse nationalities—Polish, Chinese, Georgian, and North African—are mentioned in reports on law enforcement investigations. • However, in some instances, recent immigrants from Maghreb engage in tobacco smuggling. They do not have legal documents and do not speak fluent French. Street selling generally leads to relatively modest tobacco seizures by law enforcement officers (Lalam et al. 2012). • Women may be involved in tobacco smuggling as well as men, and according to the ‘Clop 11’ investigation of June 2012, women may also occupy leadership positions (LaDépêche.fr 2012). 60 •• Retail practices may be influenced by enforcement countermeasures. • According to Article 1825 of Code général des impôts (CGI), shops selling tobacco products evading tax may be sanctioned with administrative closure for up to eight days. In December 2012, discussed and approved by the French Senate was a 2012 Supplementary Budget Bill (Projet de loi de finances rectificative pour 2012) that proposed a longer closure time of three months (Sénat 2012; Vie Publique- Au coeur du débat publique 2012). • In Marseille, owing to the higher level of street crime and a greater police presence, transactions are rapid and lack the social dimension of transactions in Paris. Whereas in Paris people often purchase regularly from the same sellers and develop relationships with them, in Marseille consumers tend to vary sellers, owing to greater availability, and they conduct briefer transactions, restricting the opportunity for relationships to develop (Mery 2009). Chapter 2: The four components THE PRODUCTS 61 •• In 2011, DGDDI provided an official estimate • Euromonitor International estimates the volume of illicit cigarettes as a share of the total cigarette market.7 various estimates have been produced by private The ITTP grew between 2001 and 2014, rising from agencies and scholars. 2.7% in 2001 to 17.0% in 2014. The growth rate for the period 2006–2014 shows an increase of around • DGDDI estimates that one among five cigarettes in France is purchased outside the legal network of 54.5%. Forecasting data for 2015 shows that the ITTP reaches 22.7% (Euromonitor International 2015a). French retailers, either in foreign countries or through illicit channels (DGDDI 2011b). • KPMG estimates that around 15% of the cigarettes consumed in France in 2014 were either counterfeit • The lack of yearly estimates of the illicit tobacco market in France makes it difficult to assess the extent or contraband. The amount increased by 3 p.p. since 2006, when it was around 12% (KPMG 2015).8 and the evolution of the ITTP. Nevertheless there are a few unofficial estimates available (Table 7 and FRANCE Figure 16, p. 62). The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products of the size of the ITTP in France. Furthermore, 7. Euromonitor sources for estimating the illicit trade include the trade press, customs offices, interviews with manufacturers and retailers, as well as local knowledge of the market; for example how porous borders are, how high unit prices are, whether a market is a conduit for cigarettes versus actual consumption. 8. KPMG analyses many different sources, including tobacco sales data, consumer surveys and EPSs. 1.2 1.0 The four components 0.8 0.6 0.4 Table 7. Estimates of the size of the French illicit cigarette market. Percentage 0.2 of the total market, 2006–2014 Source: Transcrime elaboration on Euromonitor international (2015a) and KPMG (2015) data 0.0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 Source 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Euromonitor International 11.0 11.6 12.3 12.4 12.8 13.3 14.2 15.7 17.0 KPMG 11.9 14.6 16.7 13.8 13.7 15.8 15.7 15.4 14.7 Euromonitor estimates refer to the cigarette market only. • In 2007, a study estimated the size of smuggling and cross-border purchases. It used three different approaches: firstly, it made a simulation on cigarette sales in France to simulate what cigarette sales would have been if cross-border purchases or other forms Source: Transcrime elaboration on Euromonitor International (2015a) and KPMG (2015b) data 18.0 of tobacco smuggling had not taken place; secondly, 16.0 it made a comparison between cigarette sales in 14.0 France and the reported cigarette consumption by 12.0 French citizens; thirdly, it relied on the collection 10.0 of empty cigarette packs from a waste collection centre to assess the non-domestic cigarettes share 62 Figure 16. Estimates of the size of the French illicit cigarette market. Percentage figure 16 of the total market, 2006–2014 8.0 among all discarded packs. Notwithstanding the 6.0 difficulty of quantifying smuggling and cross-border 4.0 purchases, the study confirmed the existence of a 2.0 disparity between tobacco sales in bordering regions 0.0 06 and central regions, and between total sales and 07 reported consumption. According to the first approach, 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 Euromonitor International KPMG smuggling and cross-border purchases were between 14%–17% of total annual cigarette sales (2004–2006). According to the second approach, they corresponded to approximately 20% of legal sales. According to the third approach, 18.6% of the packs collected were of foreign origin (Lakhdar 2008). • A study on the ITTP conducted in 2012 on 18 countries in Europe, estimated that 2.1% of the French tobacco market is illicit. Nevertheless, the study may have possible limitations as it relies on selfreported data provided by approximately 300 smokers (Joossens et al. 2012). Contraband & others9 •• The structure of the illicit tobacco market in France shows a prevalence of contraband & figure 20 others in 2015, according to Transcrime estimates (Figure 17, p. 63).10 100% 90% • The illicit tobacco market in France consists mainly 80% of contraband & others. In 2015, they accounted for 70% 86.5% of the illicit cigarettes market. 60% • 50% In 2015, these products have the highest 40% concentration in Alsace (97.2% of the illicit market), 30% Lorraine (96.5%) and Haute-Normandie (95.0%). 20% The first two border with Belgium, Germany and 10% Luxembourg, where cigarettes are cheaper compared 0% to France. 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 9. Contraband & Free others include Duty Spain contraband, Algeria bootlegged Belgium and illegally manufactured cigarettes. Luxembourg Romania Other 10. For the methodology, see the Methodological Annex of the European Outlook (Transcrime 2015b). Chapter 2: The four components Figure 17. Products share in French regions, 2015 Source: Transcrime estimates Products share (2015) 63 • In 2015, contraband & others arrived mainly from • Compared with Euromonitor and KPMG estimates, the DGDDI study estimated a lower penetration of illicit (12.5%) and Spain (11.0%). Algeria has strong tobacco into the French tobacco market. The share connection with France and has a low cigarettes price of the ITTP in total tobacco consumption consisted of (€0.7 for the cheapest brand in 2015). Belgium and illicit cross-border purchases (2.43%); Internet sales Spain border with France and have a lower cigarettes (0.1%), street selling (1%), personal networks (0.8%) price (in 2015 €4.9 and €4.0, respectively, for the and illicit retailers (0.87%) (DGDDI 2011b). Although cheapest brand, compared with €6.3 in France). DGDDI’s study adopted a detailed methodology for assessment of illegal cross-border purchases, it • In 2011, DGDDI conducted a study on illicit tobacco in relied on a consumer survey. This method is likely France, with the focus on cross-border purchases from to underestimate the importance of illicit distribution Belgium, Luxembourg and Spain. According to this study, channels.11 FRANCE Algeria (26.3% of contraband & others), Belgium The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products Counterfeits Illicit whites Other illicit cigarettes Non-estimated areas illegal sales of tobacco accounted for nearly 5% of the tobacco market (between 4.5% and 5.9%). Legal crossborder purchases represented 15% of the market, while the French network of tobacco retailers accounted for the bulk of sales, 80% of the market (Ministre du Budget, des Comptes Publics, et de la Réforme de l’Etat 2011). 11. The BVA survey was conducted between February and April 2011 to investigate purchasing behaviours by tobacco smokers in central French regions and in regions close to the borders with Belgium, Luxembourg, Spain and Andorra. 1.0 4.0 0.8 The four components 0.6 3.0 2.0 0.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 00 01 Illicit whites 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 World Drug report 2011 World Drug Report 2015 • The average price of a carton of American Legend is between €40 and €50, cheaper than the price of Opioids Cannabis 2015; Vidalie 2015). The price can be bargained from of illicit product (Figure 18).12 one place to another and from one seller to another. According to a consumer survey conducted in 2009, • The incidence of illicit whites products passed from this gave respondents a perception of extra freedom 22.1% in 2009 to 12.2% in 2015. According to KPMG (Hillairet and Mazoyer 2012). estimates, the inflows of illicit whites in France figure 16 Cocaine a carton of other brands of legal cigarettes (Tellier •• Illicit whites are the second most important type decreased by 54% between 2009 and 2014 (KPMG figure 18whites incidence in France, 2006–2015 Figure 18. Illicit 2015). fi Source: Transcrime estimates • Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur (26.4%) and Rhône- 18.0 Alpes (16.0%) register the highest share in 2015. 30% 25% 16.0 14.0 • The port of Marseille, a crucial junction for illicit 12.0 cigarettes arriving from Algeria, is located in 10.0 Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur. Rhône-Alpes borders with Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur and with Italy and 8.0 Switzerland. 6.0 20% 15% 15% 10% 10% 4.0 • In 2015, illicit whites arriving in France mainly originate from Greece (73.3% of the illicit whites), 2.0 0.0 64 25% 20% 06 Spain (7.3%) and Luxembourg (7.2%). 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 Euromonitor of International KPMGis no official estimate •• There the consumption of 5% 5% 0% 0% 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 illicit whites among the French population (Lalam et al. 2012). Nevertheless, American Legend is the illicit white brand most frequently sold in France. figure 20 • In 2014, illicit white volumes increased to 37.4% of total EU counterfeit and contraband flows, exceeding 21 bn cigarettes. General flows of American Legend in France represent 1.8 bn cigarettes. This was 8.5% •• American Legend incidence is higher in the city of Marseille. • According to EPSs, the incidence of American Legend figure 21 in Marseille is the highest among all French cities. Indeed, 38.0% of all the American Legend cigarettes 60% in 2015 were found in Marseille, in the ProvenceAlpes-Côte D’Azur 5.4% region. The prevalence was the 3.2% highest 3.2% in 2011, with 74.5% of all American Legend cigarettes found in that city. 34.4% 9.7% 50% •• The market penetration of illicit whites may create 100% of the total European illicit white volume. American 90% Legend declined by 450 mn cigarettes in 2009 to 240 80% mn in 2014 (KPMG 2015). 70% demand among consumers and favour the future 40% penetration of illicit white brands into the legal 30% market (Lalam et al. 2012, 10). 11.8% 20% 10% 0% • Testimonies from tobacco retailers in Southern 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 12. Illicit whites are cigarettes produced by manufacturers that do not supply legal market in a given country (Allen Dutynormally Free Spain to the Algeria Belgium 2011; Joossens and Raw 2012). Luxembourg Romania Other France show that in some cases tobacco smokers ask tobacconists for packs of American Legend in the belief that they are legal products (Husson 2012). 32.3% Car Truck Postal Service Container & Ships Airplain Other Van 70% 60% Chapter 2: The four components 50% 40% 30% Table 8. Seizures of HRT and waterpipe tobacco (tonnes), 2010–2014 20% Source: Transcrime calculations on DGDDI (2015b) data 10% 2010 Year 0% ome 04 HRT 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14.6 14 15 2011 2012 2013 2014 19.5 60.1 39.1 36.8 Waterpipe tobacco 28.3 33.4 38.8 59.6 75.0 Tobacco 347.4 462.1 371.2 430.0 422.7 HRT share (%) 4.2% 4.2% 16.2% 9.1% 8.7% Waterpipe tobacco share (%) Tobacco (HRT + Cigarettes) 59.6% 57.6% 36.0% 40.0% 62.8% figure 15 Counterfeit cigarettes Illicit Tobacco • Counterfeits have decreased in recent years. They 500 ••HRT and waterpipe tobacco are emerging issues strongly 450 decreased from 2008 when they were 16.5% for French Customs. of the illegal market to 2015 when they reached 1.3% 400 (Figure 19). • Since 2005, DGDDI has highlighted the emergence 350 of illicit HRT as a new concern for French Customs. 300 • The regions with the highest concentration of Indeed, prior to that year, cigarettes were almost the 250 counterfeits are located in Auvergne (4.5% of the illicit only smuggled tobacco product seized in France market), Lower Normandy (4.4%) and Limousin (3.5%). (DGDDI 2007a). 200 150 100 • Consumers of counterfeit cigarettes are not certain of • DGDDI reports the total amount of illicit tobacco 50 the origin of the products. Smokers in Marseilles think 0 Paris believe that they come from Eastern Europe or 13 14 available data on the share of illicit HRT in total tobacco seized (DGDDI 2015b) (Table 8). Asia (Mery 2009). s • According to a study conducted by INHESJ and • In April 2013, 7.84 million counterfeit cigarettes were OFDT in 2011, the amount of HRT bought outside the burnt at the incineration plant in Bellegarde-sur- French network of tobacconists is significant. Indeed, Valserine, in Haute Savoie region. The counterfeit on comparing the consumption of HRT by French cigarettes, bearing Marlboro trademark, were seized people with the volume of sales in 2010, it appears by the DGDDI in Chamonix in August 2012 (Le Monde that almost twice the amount of HRT consumed in du Tabac 2013b). France is bought outside the official network of French figure 19 tobacco retailers. Indeed, 49% of the total estimated Figure 19. Counterfeit incidence, 2006–2015 consumption of 14,974 tonnes in 2010 may have Source: Transcrime estimates derived either from cross-border duty-free purchases 30% or from illicit channels (Internet, contraband or street whether this HRT is purchased illicitly or purchased 25% legally in neighbouring countries (Lalam et al. 2012). 20% • Applying the same proportion of illegal cross-border 15% purchases of cigarettes (15% according to DGDDI), the amount of illicit HRT would be around 5,000 10% tonnes, almost 34% of total HRT consumption (Lalam et al. 2012, 22). 5% 0% 15 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 FRANCE selling). Nevertheless, it is difficult to determine 65 The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products that the products North while in 02 03 are 04 from 05 06 07 Africa, 08 09 10 those 11 12 Report 2015 seized per year. In the last years, it also specifies Opioids Cocaine Cannabis The four components • In France, there have been also cases of illicit • Other source countries for French illicit cigarettes importation of waterpipe tobacco mainly directed to are Eastern European countries (Poland, Romania, waterpipe bars in the Paris region (Négroni 2012). Russia and Ukraine), Maghreb countries (Morocco This signalling that the ITTP also supplies specific and Tunisia) and the UAE (Transcrime 2015a). figure 16 figure 18 products from foreign countries. Indeed, the seizures of these 18.0 products increased by 165% between 2010 and 2014 (DGDDI 2015b). 16.0 • French press releases identify other source countries 25% for illicit tobacco, such as: Andorra, China, Singapore and South-East Asia (see box ITTP in France and 14.0 Price and origin of illegal tobacco 12.0 products 20% source countries). 10.0 •• 15% 8.0 The illegal market offers tobacco products at low prices that make them particularly attractive 6.0 to 4.0 consumers. Indeed, the cost of contraband cigarettes is €2 less than that of original ones. 2.0 0.0 • According to investigations 06 07 media 08 releases 09 10on police 11 12 13 14 and consumer testimonies, the price of a pack of illicit Euromonitor International KPMG cigarettes is €5.0 on average. ITTP IN10%FRANCE AND SOURCE COUNTRIES 5% • A network of cigarette dealers was dismantled in the nineteenth arrondissement of Paris. 0% Counterfeited cigarettes shipped 06 07 were 08 being 09 10 11 from 12 13 14 China and sold on the streets by members of the Paris Chinese community (Le Monde du Tabac 2012a). •• There are several countries of origin for • Discovered among the thousands of containers contraband cigarettes in France (Figure 20). unloaded in Le Havre were 800 boxes containing 66 figure Figure 20. 20 Contraband cigarettes by country of origin, 2009–2014 Source: Transcrime calculations on KPMG (2015) data packs of different brands: ‘Mac’, ‘Premier Gold’ and ‘Palace’. The container came from Singapore 100% (DGDDI 2012b). 5.4% 3.2%operation conducted • In May 2012, an international 3.2% with Spanish Customs by DGDDI in collaboration 90% 80% 70% led to the seizure of more than 12 tonnes of 9.7% cigarettes aboard a yacht from Morocco. Four 60% 50% 34.4% Lithuanians were arrested (DGDDI 2012c). 40% • In October 2015, customs officers seized 14 mn 30% cigarettes in Le Havre. The cigarettes were illicit 11.8% 20% whites, branded Jin Ling. They were hidden in 10% 0% contraband cigarettes, the21 equivalent of 400,000 figure two containers, originating from Malaysia and 2009 2010 2011 2012 Duty Free Spain Algeria Luxembourg Romania 2013 2014 Belgium loaded on a ship in Singapore (Le Monde du Tabac 2015b). 32.3% Other Car • KPMG data show the increasing importance of Algeria and Belgium as source countries for contraband cigarettes and the stable involvement of Spain and Luxembourg (KPMG 2015). Truck Postal Service Container & Ships Airplain Other Van 15 Chapter 2: The four components 67 The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products FRANCE 1.0 4.0 0.8 3.0 The four components 0.6 2.0 0.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 World Drug report 2011 0.0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 World Drug Report 2015 12 Opioids figure 16 Cocaine Cannabis figure 18 18.0 fi 30% 25% 16.0 14.0 25% 20% 12.0 20% 10.0 15% 15% 8.0 10% MODUS OPERANDI AND GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION 6.0 4.0 5% 2.0 0.0 68 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 Euromonitor International KPMG The modus operandi trade varies according to the type of trade, the destination, the availability of figure 20 09 10 11 12 13 and ships were a used mean of transport (11.8%) (Transcrime 2015a) (Figure 21). figure 21 3.2% 3.2% 5.4% 34.4% 9.7% (DGDDI 2014; 2015a). • The largest seizures often occur during the dismantlement of major international criminal 10% 11.8% organisations, especially when the target is seaborne 2009 freight. majority2013 of seizures 2010 In 2010, 2011 the2012 2014(86%) occurred on trucks (50%) and containers (36%) Duty Free Spain Algeria Belgium (DGDDI 2011c). Indeed, criminal groups smuggle Luxembourg Romania 15 32.3% of the seizures, respectively). Also containers Source: Transcrime elaboration with online purchases represented 4.2% of seizures 40% 14 Figure 21. Cigarettes seizures per transportation means, 2006-2013 purchases (+6.3%). In 2014, seizures connected 50% 08 • Transcrime estimates that in 2006–2013 cigarettes seizures, with an increase in seizures related to online 60% 0% 07 land-based seizures represented 49% of the total 70% 30% 0% 06 • Data on seizures made by DGDDI show that in 2013 80% 20% 0% transport connections and the need to evade countermeasures. 90% 5% were mainly smuggled via cars and trucks (34.4% and •• The modus operandi of the illicit tobacco 100% 10% 32.3% Other cigarettes mainly via sea and street routes (GEOS Business Intelligence 2015). Car Truck Postal Service Container & Ships Airplain Other Van Chapter 2: The four components Figure 22. Retail selling price differences in Europe in October 2015 Source: Transcrime calculations on PMI (2015) data Low [€0.88 - €2.0] Medium-low (€2.0 - €3.3] Medium (€3.3 - €5.0] Medium-high (€5.0 - €7.0] High (€7.0 - €12.9] FI 6.3 NO 1 2.9 SE 6.8 RU 1 .4 EE 3.6 LV 3.4 LT 3.1 DK 5.9 IE 1 0.5 UK 1 1 .8 PL 3.6 NL 6.2 BE 5.8 GG JE DE 5.6 LU 5.1 CZ 3.5 UA 0.9 SK 3.5 AT 4.9 LI CH 7 FR 7 MD 0.9 HU 3.6 RO 3.4 SI HR 3.9 3.4 BA 2.6 SM MC IT 5.2 VA AD 3.8 PT 4.7 BY 1 .1 RS 2.5 ME KO 3.2 2.4 BG 2.7 MK AL 2.2 2.6 EL 4 ES 4.9 69 DZ 1 .7 TN 2.7 • In 2009, 63% of tobacco seizures were made in MT 5.3 EG • KPMG shows an increasing percentage of contraband Northern France, at Dunkirk, Le Havre, Bretagne and & counterfeit cigarettes in France, from 13.8% in close to Paris, in the Roissy region (DGDDI 2010). 2010 to 14.7% in 2014 (KPMG 2015). Cross-border purchases, i.e., buying less expensive cigarettes • Street connections are often used by traffickers to beyond the French border and bringing them into France, has an impact on data on non-domestic products seized in 2009 (25% of seizures). Smuggling cigarettes. In 2015, according to EPSs, the highest through maritime and air connections account non-domestic incidence was found at the borders respectively for 50.8 tonnes (19.2% of seizures) and with Belgium (e.g., the city of Wattrelos, 54.9%), 38.6 tonnes (14% of seizures) of tobacco confiscated Luxembourg (e.g., Thionville-38.3%) and Spain (e.g., in 2009 (DGDDI 2010). Perpignan-52.0%) where cross-border shopping is at its highest peaks (Figure 23, p. 70). •• Cross-border purchasers of tobacco may exceed the amount allowed by the law. FRANCE transport illicit tobacco: 65.8 tonnes of illicit tobacco The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products CY 4.7 GI MA 3.1 TR 3.1 The four components figure 21 figure 23 • The price of cigarettes is higher in France than in neighbouring countries. This encourages cross- 9.7% border purchases of tobacco products (Figure 22, 5.4% p. 3.2% 69 and Figure 23). 3.2% 34.4% • Notwithstanding the legal limits on the importation of 11.8% 50% 45% 40% 35% to assess the exact amount of illegal cross-border 30% purchases. This is one of the main challenges for 25% French researchers (Lalam et al. 2012, 36). 20% market is made up of illicit cross-border purchases, i.e., those made by people who import tobacco in excess of the amount allowed by the law (DGDDI 32.3% 2011b). In 2015, the OFDT and INHESJ estimate that 17% of tobacco in France arrives from neighbouring Truck Container & Ships Van countries (and 1% in non-neighbouring countries) Postal Service Airplain Other (Lermenier-Jeannet 2015). • According to EPSs, the share of products originating from neighbouring countries increased in the last years, passing from 30.9% of the non- 70 Source: Transcrime calculations on EPSs (2006-2015) data tobacco from EU and non-EU countries, it is difficult • DGDDI estimates that 14.5% of the French tobacco Car Figure 23. Incidence of non-domestic cigarettes purchased from neighbouring countries, 2006–2015 domestic cigarettes in 2006 to 33.5% in 2015 (Figure 23). The share of cigarettes originating from the Spanish-Andorran border remained stable in this period (13.3%), while products from the BelgianLuxembourgian border increased (from 8.1% to 17.0%). In many cases, bootleggers smuggle illicit cigarettes from neighbouring countries (GEOS Business Intelligence 2015). • Operation ‘Tabac Légal’, conducted in 2009 by DGDDI in regions bordering on Andorra, Spain, Italy, Luxembourg and Belgium, showed that the FrancoSpanish border is particularly sensitive in terms of traffic in illicit cigarettes. This operation allowed to Customs to seize in a single week 1.2 tons of cigarettes and 270 kg of tobacco, of which 60% on the Franco-Spanish border area. Nevertheless, the Belgium-Luxembourg border is also particularly important for individual cross-border purchases in terms of volume. This may attract also criminal organisations (DGDDI 2011c). 15% 10% 5% 0% 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 •• France is a transit country for illicit tobacco directed to Northern Europe, especially to the UK. • According to the DGDDI, the Eastern French region of Lorraine is a transit region for trucks containing illicit tobacco and headed for the UK and the Netherlands. Illicit cigarettes enter the EU either through Greece, or East European countries and then follow different routes to the final consumption markets. Generally, they transit through Italy and Germany before being directed to Northern Europe (Le Pays 2012; GEOS Business Intelligence 2015). • France is a country of transit for trafficked cigarettes, including traffic bound for the UK market. The quantities of cigarettes seized are most important in large cities on the coastline of the English Channel (Le Havre in particular) and in the south of France (Bouche-du-Rhône region and bordering region on Spain and Andorra). Cigarettes are transported to the UK mainly by ferry, train and trucks (DGDDI 2011c). •• A number of important French ports are crucial junctions for the ITTP. Chapter 2: The four components Table 9. French ports, main source countries of non-domestic cigarettes, 2010–2015 Source: Transcrime calculations on EPSs data French ports 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Bayonne Spain no data Spain Spain Spain Spain Bordeaux Spain Spain Spain Spain Spain Spain Boulogne– sur–Mer no data no data Belgium Belgium Belgium Belgium Brest Spain Spain Spain Duty Free Belgium Spain Canary Islands Caen Spain Duty Free labelling Duty Free labelling Belgium Romania Luxembourg Calais no data no data Duty Free labelling Belgium Belgium Algeria Dunkerque no data no data Belgium Belgium Belgium Luxembourg Le Havre Czech Republic Duty Free labelling France Belgium France Duty Free labelling Belgium Lorient no data no data Duty Free labelling Romania Spain Algeria Marseille Greece Greece Greece Algeria Algeria Greece Nantes Greece Spain Duty Free labelling Algeria Spain Spain Nice Spain Russia Duty Free labelling Algeria Italy Italy Rouen Spain Spain Belgium Belgium Belgium Russia Duty Free labelling Toulon Spain Duty Free labelling Spain Algeria Algeria Spain • The main source countries for trade exports to France infrastructures and close to the largest markets are are Andorra, Belgium, Luxembourg and Spain. This likely to be used to import illicit tobacco products. demonstrates that many illicit products come from Indeed, seizures occur especially in large commercial cross-purchases with bordering countries due to the ports such as Le Havre, Marseille and Dunkirk, where price differential. Other origin countries are Eastern illicit tobacco is concealed among licit goods in large European countries (Poland, Romania, Russia and containers (see box Seizures at French main ports, p. Ukraine), Maghreb countries (Algeria, Morocco and 72) (Lalam et al. 2012). Other seizures take place in Tunisia) and the UAE (Transcrime 2015a). France the ports of Calais, Cherbourg and Dieppe on motor is also an ending point for illicit whites produced in vehicles embarking on ferries to Ireland and the UK Greece (KPMG 2014) (Table 9). (GEOS Business Intelligence 2015; Transcrime 2015a). • According to DGDDI Director, Vincent Guivarch, de la Seyne-Brégaillon. Nevertheless, Corsica and Maghreb are also frequent source countries owing to their lower-priced tobacco products (Var-Matin 2012). FRANCE goods vessels from Turkey typically dock in Port The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products • Ports with good connections with other transport 71 The four components SEIZURES AT FRENCH MAIN PORTS • In August 2012, the Brigade Anti-Crime (BAC) of North Marseille seized 6,850 cartons (1,370,000 sticks) of American Legend. The cigarettes were hidden in a car parked near the port of Marseille (Le Monde du Tabac 2012c). • Nearly eight tonnes of contraband cigarettes • Transcrime has surveyed a number of French press releases concerning assaults on trucks transporting tobacco to legal retailers. In particular, Altadis Distribution France’s trucks were assaulted several times in 2012 (Le Monde du Tabac 2012b). In 2014, Logista declared that the number of assaults of its trucks was still increasing (Le Monde du Tabac 2014). In 2015, there are different cases of assaults to trucks transporting cigarettes (Le Parisien 2015; FranceSoir.fr 2015). This (400,000 packs, valued at €1.8 mn) were seized may indicate that tobacco products are stolen and at Le Havre port in August 2012. The illicit then re-sold on the illicit market, evading taxes. tobacco was concealed among licit goods inside a commercial container shipped from Singapore (Le Monde du Tabac 2012d). • In August 2014, the DGDDI seized 1.7 tonnes of contraband cigarettes at the port of Calais. Cigarettes were concealed among other products in a truck registered in Hungary, waiting to be boarded on a ferry to the UK (France 3 2014). •• On-street selling: Barbès (Paris), Noailles (Marseille), Place Arnaud Bernard (Toulouse). • On-street selling (vente à la sauvette) occurs in some city districts in particular, mainly Goutte d’Or and Barbès in Paris, Place Noailles in Marseille, and Place Arnaud Bernard in Toulouse (Lalam et al. 2012, 15). • Tobacco smugglers engage in outdoor trafficking. In •• Illicit tobacco products smuggled via sea routes 72 are transported along motorways by trucks and cars. • Motorways are frequently used by tobacco traffickers as crucial links between ports and final consumption markets. In particular, the A1 motorway connecting Lille to Paris and the A6 connecting Paris to Lyon are used to transport tobacco to Southern France. Media releases report a prevalence of seizures at service stations on the A1 and A6, indicating that these are specific routes for tobacco smuggling (France 3 2012; GEOS Business Intelligence 2015). • There is evidence of increasing use of air transport to import illegal tobacco into France. In November 2013, the DGDDI made the record seizures of 815 cartons of cigarettes at Roissy airport carried by passengers (DGDDI 2014). Nevertheless, this is still the least used means for transporting tobacco (DGDDI 2010). •• Assaults on trucks transporting cigarettes and robberies of large retailers are frequent in France. Place Arnaud Bernard, they wait at street corners and offer cigarettes to passers-by (Cardet 2012). Similarly, in Boulevard Barbès—Paris’s ‘Marlboro street’—and in the Goutte d’Or district, smugglers offer cheap cigarettes and stash the cartons in rubbish bins. They thus carry only a small quantity of illicit tobacco on their persons, and their risk of detection diminishes as a consequence (Nébias and Heriot 2008). •• The Internet retail of tobacco products is illegal in France. Nevertheless, this practice is increasing (Binetruy, Dumont, and Lazaro 2011, 79). • The expansion of fraud through postal deliveries is linked to the rise of tobacco retail online. There are around 30 different countries of origin for the tobacco delivered in France through this channel (DGDDI 2009). • DGDDI declares that in 2014 4.2% of the cigarettes seized were ordered via Internet (DGDDI 2015a). Between 2008 and 2010, there was a 51% increase in seizures of tobacco products purchased from online websites. Indeed, in 2010 DGDDI seized 36.1 tonnes of tobacco compared with the 23.9 tonnes seized in 2008 (DGDDI 2011b). According to industry sources, in 2012, 30 among 327 tonnes of contraband tobacco seized by DGDDI, derived from Internet sales and were sent by post. Chapter 2: The four components Figure 24. ITTP volumes per region, 2015 Source: Transcrime estimates 73 Low [111.9 - 140.1] Medium-low (140.1 - 192.1] Medium (192.1 - 309.2] Medium-high (309.2 - 732.5] High (732.5 - 1,692.7] Non-estimated areas • In the city of Le Mans, in north-western France, Internet websites are advertised by leaflets distributed tobacco retailer, based in Belgium, were 25% lower than French prices (Le Monde du Tabac 2012e; Le Monde du Tabac 2015c). •• Transcrime estimates the volume of the ITTP at regional level in France (Figure 24). • In 2015, Île de France, Provence-Alpes-Cote d’Azur and Rhône-Alpes registered the highest ITTP volumes (1,692.7 mn sticks, 1,416.0 mn and 732.5 mn, respectively). These regions have the highest population density in France. FRANCE on the streets. The prices charged by the online The geographical distribution The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products ITTP Volume The four components Figure 25. ITTP prevalence in French regions, 2010–2015 Source: Transcrime estimates ITTP prevalence (2010-2015) 20 74 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ITTP prevalence 2015 Low [9.1 - 9.3] Medium-low (9.3 - 13.0] Medium (13.0 - 16.0] Medium-high (16.0 - 19.6] High (19.6 - 34.5] Non-estimated areas •• The ITTP prevalence (mn illicit cigarettes per • The highest increase in the prevalence between 100,000 inhabitants) varies across French regions 2006 and 2015 is registered by Provence-Alpes-Côte (Figure 25). d’Azur (+113%), Basse-Normandie (+50%) and Île de France (+40%). • In 2015, Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur, Nord-Pasde-Calais and Languedoc-Roussillon registered the highest prevalence. All these three areas are bordering regions and comprise important ports. Indeed, Marseille is the main city of Provence-AlpesCôte d’Azur (34.4 mn sticks). Its port is a crucial junction for the national ITTP (Transcrime 2015a). Nord-Pas-de-Calais (19.6 mn sticks) borders Belgium and comprises Calais, one of the main arrival points for illicit cigarettes. Languedoc-Roussillon, with 19.3 mn sticks, borders Spain and Andorra. Chapter 2: The four components 75 The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products FRANCE Framing the components in the drivers 76 4 Key factors THE FOUR KEY FACTORS OF THE ITTP 77 •• Availability: The ease with which both smugglers This chapter draws on the results of the previous •• Profitability: The ability of the ITTP to generate analyses and identifies the key factors of the ITTP. They constitute the opportunities that can affect the ITTP. As any other market, also the tobacco market may create illegal opportunities. The key factors are the link between the drivers and the components and consumers to obtain illicit tobacco products. profits that exceed its operational costs. •• Risk: The threat of detection/accusation/ conviction and the sanctions imposable to the actors involved in the ITTP. of the ITTP: the drivers impact or may impact the different components of the ITTP through four key Hereafter, four subsections analyse how the various factors. Therefore, it is necessary to identify the possible elements of the drivers influence the demand, supply, interactions between drivers and components to remove products, modus operandi and geographical distribution possible opportunities/vulnerabilities which may ease of the ITTP. tobacco products. The four key factors of the ITTP are: •• Economic accessibility: The price of illicit tobacco and particularly its relative price compared to the price of legal products. FRANCE the action of criminal players and shape the illicit trade in The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products INTRODUCTION: THE FOUR KEY FACTORS Framing the components in the drivers Figure 26. Framing the components in the drivers through the economic accessibility Source: Transcrime elaboration ECONOMIC ACCESSIBILITY society and economy Increased unemployment legal market Worsened social conditions Downtrading regulation crime environment enforcement Increasing taxation and prices 78 demand Drivers supply Components Increase of the ITTP ECONOMIC ACCESSIBILITY products modus operandi & geographical distribution Decrease of the ITTP Change of the ITTP • Given the dual nature of the tobacco market (it is (Figure 26) composed of a legal and an illegal part; see above •• High level of taxation and high prices make illicit in the price differential between legal and illegal cigarettes more economically accessible to consumers. • Taxation is a key factor in determining the accessibility of tobacco products because it is one of the main reasons for the growing prices of tobacco products (see Regulation, p. 29). Higher taxation on legal tobacco inevitably increases the relative accessibility of illicit tobacco and boosts the demand for it. The overall taxation on cigarettes is high. Why focus on the ITTP in France? p. 13), the growth products increases the relative economic accessibility of illicit tobacco and stimulates the ITTP. In France, this occurred between 2002 and 2004, when excise duty on tobacco was raised and cigarette prices rose significantly, from €3.60 in 2002 to €5.00 in 2004. •• High unemployment rates and worsened social conditions may amplify the demand for illicit tobacco, a more economically accessible product. Chapter 3: Framing the components in the drivers • The unemployment rate in France reached 10.1% • France is a transit point for illicit tobacco bound for the in 2015 (Banque de France 2015) and the global UK market. This impacts the geographical distribution recession and the economic crisis severely hit France. of the illicit trade in France. Indeed, the quantities Worsened social conditions and high unemployment of cigarettes seized are most substantial in large rates may induce smokers to maintain their smoking cities on the coastline of the English Channel and in habits by switching to illicit less expensive tobacco Southern France on the Mediterranean Sea (DGDDI products. 2011c; Transcrime 2015a). • In 2008, the proportion of immigrant descendants • The high incidence of non-domestic cigarettes in France was among the highest in Europe, at French ports suggests that international trade counting 6.7 million people and representing 11% practices favour the importation of illicit tobacco of the population. The median standard of living of products. The largest seizures occur during immigrants and immigrant descendants is lower the dismantling of major international criminal than that of the general population. The increased organisations, especially when targeting seaborne accessibility of illicit tobacco may encourage the freight. In fact, seizures occur especially in large demand for illicit tobacco among economically commercial ports, such as Le Havre, Marseille, disadvantaged groups (INSEE 2012). Dunkirk, Calais, Cherbourg and Dieppe, where illicit tobacco is concealed among licit goods in large •• Preferences and downtrading trends may increase the demand for cheaper illicit tobacco through its economic accessibility. containers (Lalam et al. 2012; Transcrime 2015a). •• The availability of illicit tobacco in street markets increases the demand for illicit tobacco through • The French market is experiencing a downtrading the relative easiness of finding them. trend. Consumption of cigarettes and cigars is decreasing while HRT has increased (Euromonitor • The easier it is to find and buy illegal products, the greater the likelihood of their diffusion in a specific change in sales volume of HRT sales was +11.1%. area. In France, illicit tobacco products can be found AVAILABILITY (Figure 27, p.80) especially in specific neighbourhoods of metropolitan areas in Paris, Lyon, Toulouse and Marseille. Illicit products are available on the streets from blackmarket suppliers. The availability of illicit tobacco is an •• The proximity of France to countries with cheaper tobacco products affects the availability of foreign important factor in its demand (Le Monde du Tabac 2012f). cheaper tobacco within French borders. • Areas of the informal economy, such as street • France’s geographical location in Western Europe markets, may facilitate the availability and distribution of illicit tobacco products. Smugglers may sell illicit cheaper tobacco products, such as Andorra, Spain, tobacco together with other smuggled products. Polish Italy, Belgium, Germany and Luxembourg, may tobacco street sellers in Paris distribute alcoholic increase the availability of the ITTP in border regions. beverages, such as vodka and beer, in addition to Indeed, tobacco products can be legally imported from discounted Polish cigarettes (Le Monde du Tabac neighbouring countries at cheaper prices and, in some 2012h). instances, in excess of the quantities allowed by the law. •• The demand for specific tobacco products, such as waterpipe tobacco, may favour its availability •• Being at the centre of important East-West routes may increase the supply of illicit products by increasing the availability of illicit tobacco products. on the black market. FRANCE and the presence of neighbouring countries with The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products International 2015a). Indeed, from 2009 to 2014, the 79 Framing the components in the drivers Figure 27. Framing the components in the drivers through the availability Source: Transcrime elaboration AVAILABILITY society and economy Street markets Waterpipe bars legal market Lower prices in neighbouring countries regulation Supply chain control Plain packaging crime environment enforcement Criminal routes 80 supply demand Drivers Components Increase of the ITTP • The increase of waterpipe tobacco seizures (+165% between 2010 and 2014) in France signal that the products modus operandi & geographical distribution Decrease of the ITTP Change of the ITTP •• The introduction of plain packaging could increase the availability of illicit products. ITTP also supplies specific products from foreign countries. Waterpipe tobacco is mainly directed to • The National Assembly approved on the 25th waterpipe bars in the Paris region (Négroni 2012; November 2015 the introduction of plain packaging DGDDI 2015b). of cigarettes from May 2016. This could simplify the •• Supply chain control measures impact on the ITTP by decreasing the availability of illicit tobacco products. • Supply chain control measures, such as tracking and tracing systems, mandatory licensing for tobacco retailers and manufacturers, and customer identification, decrease the availability of illicit tobacco within French borders. production of counterfeit products, increasing their availability on the illicit market (Transcrime 2012, 26). Chapter 3: Framing the components in the drivers Figure 28. Framing the components in the drivers through the profitability Source: Transcrime elaboration PROFITABILITY society and economy legal market Lower prices in neighbouring countries regulation High tax incidence crime environment enforcement Criminal networks, smuggling routes 81 Drivers supply Components Increase of the ITTP PROFITABILITY products modus operandi & geographical distribution Decrease of the ITTP Change of the ITTP • The ITTP provides very high incomes because most (Figure 28) illicit tobacco products pay no, or very limited, taxes. •• Taxes account for a large share of the final retail with the highest fiscal value per weight (Joossens price of tobacco, making it a highly profitable product to smuggle (Merriman, Yurekli, and 1998, 149–150). According to experts, cigarette counterfeiting may yield a return on investment amounting to more than 40 times the capital invested (Van Heuckelom 2010 and Gutauskas 2011, 72). Nevertheless, according to EPSs, counterfeiting is not a primary concern in the French illicit tobacco market, with an incidence of 1.3% among non-domestic cigarettes in 2015. FRANCE Chaloupka 2000). At the same time, cigarettes are the commodity The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products demand Framing the components in the drivers • In 2015, tax incidence in France was approximately 80.3% of the final retail price of the most popular brand. The country ranked 7th out of 28 EU countries for cigarette taxation (European Commission 2015). A high tax incidence may create profit potentials for smugglers. •• The lower retail prices of tobacco products in neighbouring countries stimulate bootlegging and smuggling through its profitability. • Illegal cigarettes in France cost generally €2 less than legal ones. This leaves high margins for the ITTP. • Smugglers exploit cross-border tax differentials. The price of cigarettes in France is higher than in neighbouring countries, and this may increase the supply of illicit tobacco and the profitability of the ITTP. • Importing cheaper tobacco products from neighbouring countries is a consolidated practice in France. French people, especially those living in border departments, frequently purchase cheaper 82 cigarettes abroad. In 2015, the OFDT and INHESJ estimate that 17% of tobacco in France arrives from neighbouring countries (and 1% in non-neighbouring countries) (Lermenier-Jeannet 2015). The low prices of tobacco products in neighbouring countries may also encourage bootlegging. •• The presence of organised criminal groups and consolidated smuggling routes may favour the ITTP and increase the profitability of this activity. Indeed, OC groups may exploit scope economies among different goods. • The drug market is the largest French illegal market (National Gendarmerie 2015). Consolidated illicit routes used for drug trafficking increase the opportunities for smugglers to traffic illicit tobacco. RISK (Figure 29, p. 83) •• Law enforcement cooperation, or lack of cooperation, in the fight against illicit tobacco may have a significant impact on the ITTP, by increasing or decreasing the risks for the actors involved. • Large seizures of illicit tobacco induce smugglers to reduce the size of their loads. They transport small batches of cigarettes so as not to lose the entire load and to reduce damage in the case of detection and confiscation (Melzer 2010). • France’s participation in the European Excise Movement and Control System (EMCS) project, which provides the electronic monitoring of movements of excise goods, including tobacco, may increase the risks for tobacco smugglers. • The establishment in February 2009 of the Cyber Customs (Cyberdouane), aimed at dismantling the online trafficking of illicit tobacco, and the imposition of stricter controls over the shipment of tobacco products by express freight companies (art. 568 ter Code Géneral des impôts, modified in 2014), may curb the demand for illicit tobacco by increasing the risks for purchasers of tobacco products through online channels. •• The signing of several MoUs between French Customs and the tobacco industry increases the risks for smugglers and impacts the supply of illicit tobacco and the modus operandi of traffickers. • In the past decade, several MoUs have been signed between DGDDI and tobacco manufacturers to combat the illicit tobacco trade and cigarette counterfeiting and to share intelligence information. In 2005 and 2007, Philip Morris International and British American Tobacco France signed agreements with French DGDDI in this regard. In 2011, because of the growing importance of Internet retail for tobacco products, DGDDI signed two MoUs with Internet sales operators. Chapter 3: Framing the components in the drivers Figure 29. Framing the components in the drivers through the risk Source: Transcrime elaboration RISK society and economy legal market regulation Supply chain control crime environment Established smuggling routes enforcement Customsindustry MoUs Low corruption Existing penalties 2011 national action plan Small smuggling rings EU cooperation 83 Drivers Components Increase of the ITTP •• The French national action plan against cigarette products modus operandi & geographical distribution Decrease of the ITTP Change of the ITTP •• Established smuggling routes may boost the smuggling may reduce the supply of illicit supply of the ITTP by diminishing the risks for tobacco by increasing the risks for smugglers. criminals. • The geographical features of France may reduce against the ITTP. The action plan against cigarette the risks for cross-border smugglers. France is smuggling may increase the risks for smugglers and surrounded by countries with cheaper tobacco reduce the availability of illicit tobacco. It intends to products and, considering the high number of French increase illicit tobacco seizures by at least 15%. The people crossing the north-eastern and south-western plan aims at dismantling online trafficking, targeting borders, the risk of detection for smugglers decreases hotspots of tobacco smuggling and improving accordingly. identification of the origin of seized tobacco through laboratory analysis and the creation of a specific database on seized tobacco. FRANCE • France introduced in 2011 specific policy actions The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products supply demand Framing the components in the drivers •• Existing penalties against tobacco smuggling in • Proximity to lower-price markets has fostered cross- France impact the supply and modus operandi of border purchases of tobacco. The use of personal the ITTP by increasing the risks for the players. networks for purchases reduces the risks for the actors involved. • Penalties against illicit tobacco trafficking in France comprise several measures, depending on the offences committed by the persons involved, i.e., •• Supply chain control measures impact the ITTP by increasing the risks for smugglers. intellectual property infringement, tobacco contraband, presence of a criminal association, tax evasion, • Supply chain control measures include tracking etc. The likely penalties for these crimes, either and tracing systems, mandatory licensing for confiscations, fines or imprisonment, constitute tobacco retailers and manufacturers, and customer deterrents against the growth of the ITTP (see box identification during tobacco sales transactions. They Hypothetical case, in Enforcement, p. 48). may increase the risks for smugglers. • Under the General Tax Law, art. 1791 ter: ‘in the case of manufacture, possession, sale or transportation of illicit tobacco, a fine corresponding to one to five times the amount of duty evaded is imposed on offenders’. Nevertheless, according to a consumer survey of 2009, the penalties are too high for purchasers and tend to apply to sellers alone. Hence, consumers feel they will never be sanctioned for buying illicit tobacco (Mery 2009). 84 •• A low level of corruption impacts the supply side of the ITTP by increasing the risks for the actors involved in the ITTP. • Low levels of corruption increase the likelihood of detection/accusation/conviction. The low level of corruption recorded in France, together with a relatively limited presence of organised crime activity (see Crime Environment, p. 39), deters smugglers by increasing the likelihood of detection/accusation/ conviction. •• The small structure and modus operandi of smuggling rings in France impacts the supply of illicit tobacco by reducing the risks for the actors involved. • Street sellers of illicit tobacco show a certain degree of independence from each other (Lalam et al. 2012). This autonomy and fragmentation may augment the supply of illicit tobacco by reducing the risk of detection for smugglers. CONCLUSIONS This report provides the French country profile •• Legal market: The French tobacco market is one of the project The Factbook on the Illicit Trade in of the largest in Europe, Middle East and North Tobacco Products. The ITTP is a complex phenomenon Africa, despite the decreasing trend in tobacco sales. comprising a variety of activities, products and actors. Whereas France is an important European producer The analysis of the illicit trade must take account of a of tobacco leaf, its market is mainly based on imports. number of factors that may significantly influence it. Tobacco consumption in France is high in comparison with the global average. The price of cigarettes has increased significantly in the past decade. As ITTP in France. The information gathered originates from a consequence, an increasing number of smokers academic literature, grey literature (official reports, studies buy tobacco products in neighbouring countries or and papers), open sources and contact with experts and downtrade to HRT. stakeholders. THE FIVE DRIVERS •• Regulation: The regulation of the tobacco market is high in France, with a high control on the supply chain and on tobacco consumption, and a medium- Chapter 1 (The five drivers) analysed in detail the five high control on tobacco advertising. The country has drivers of the ITTP: society and economy, regulation, one of the strongest anti-smoking lobbies in Europe. legal market, crime environment and enforcement. The Overall taxation on cigarettes is high, and the country five drivers are areas whose structures positively or has invested a significant amount of resources in negatively affect the various components of the ITTP. tobacco control policies. •• Society and economy: France is a multicultural •• Crime environment: France has low levels of crime, corruption and shadow economy. Criminal inequality rate. Relative poverty among the French organisations are mainly established in Corsica and population is low compared with other high-income Marseille and they often operate in the drug market. OECD members, and the GDP per capita has Drug use in the country is high and cannabis is the increased in the past decade. Nevertheless, the most used drug. unemployment rates have grown until 2014. France spends a large share of GDP on education and health. FRANCE country, highly developed and with a low income 85 The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products This report has analysed the multiple facets of the Conclusions •• Enforcement: France has efficient law enforcement with a medium-low number of police personnel, Tobacco seizures mainly occur at ports in Northern medium rates of judges, and a large prison France. Illicit tobacco products are then transported population. Cooperation between public bodies on motorways by cars and trucks. The Internet retail and tobacco manufacturers is strengthened by of tobacco products is increasing in France, with agreements between the European Commission and growing seizures by French Customs. Cross-border the main tobacco companies operating in France. purchasing, the practice of buying cheaper tobacco Moreover, specific agreements in the form of MoUs products beyond the border, may be an unlawful have been signed by the French Customs and the conduct if purchasers exceed the amount allowed by tobacco industry to tackle tobacco smuggling. There the law. The ITTP prevalence (mn sticks per 100,000 are partnerships also with European institutions to inhabitants) is higher in Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur, improve the fight against the unlawful importation of Nord-Pas-de-Calais and Languedoc-Roussillon. goods, including tobacco products. 86 •• Modus operandi and geographical distribution: THE FOUR COMPONENTS OF THE ITTP FRAMING THE COMPONENTS IN THE DRIVERS Chapter 2 (The four components of the ITTP) discussed Chapter 3 (Framing the components in the drivers) the characteristics of the ITTP in France by breaking addressed the interactions between the drivers and the the illicit tobacco market down into its four components: components of the ITTP. The analysis identified five key demand, supply, products and modus operandi and factors with a fundamental role in shaping the illicit market geographical distribution. (economic accessibility, availability, profitability and risk). •• The demand: Low price is the key factor of the •• Economic accessibility: The growth in the price demand for illicit tobacco. Avoiding taxes and buying differential between legal and illegal products has tobacco products for €2 less than legal price increases increased the relative economic accessibility of illicit the accessibility of these products, and represents tobacco and stimulated the ITTP. In France, this an opportunity for tobacco consumers. In France, occurred between 2002 and 2004, when excise duty illicit tobacco products can be found on the streets in on tobacco was raised and cigarette prices increased specific metropolitan areas. significantly. •• The supply: The supply of illicit tobacco is mainly •• Availability: The easier it is to find and buy illegal driven by the opportunity to make very high profits products, the greater the likelihood of their diffusion with relatively low risks. In France diverse actors in a specific area. In France, illicit tobacco products are involved in the ITTP supply chain, from private are easily available in the metropolitan areas of individuals and street sellers to more organised Paris, Lyon, Toulouse and Marseille. Moreover, groups. Illicit tobacco is mainly sold through grocery France’s geographical position in Western Europe, stores, private apartments, markets and the Internet. the presence of consolidated smuggling routes and neighbouring countries with cheaper tobacco products •• The products: DGDDI provided the only official may increase the availability of ITTP in border regions. estimate of the illicit tobacco market in 2011. However, Further, the introduction of plain packaging from May there are unofficial estimates provided by Euromonitor 2016 could increase the availability of counterfeit International and KPMG (17.0% and 14.7%, tobacco products. Conversely, the existence of supply respectively). The main illicit tobacco products are chain control measures can decrease the availability other illicit cigarettes and illicit whites. of illicit tobacco. Conclusions Figure 30. Main interactions between the drivers and the ITTP in France Source: Transcrime elaboration Increase of the ITTP society & economy Decrease of the ITTP unemployment Change of the ITTP street markets waterpipe bars legal market price differentials downtrading trend Increase of the ITTP regulation taxation supply chain controls plain packaging crime environment criminal networks Decrease of the ITTP smuggling routes low corruption 87 enforcement existing penalties Change of the ITTP EU cooperation customs-industry MoUs •• Profitability: In 2015, tax incidence in France was Socio-economic conditions in France shape the approximately 80.3% of the final retail price of the dimension of the ITTP. Indeed, high unemployment and most popular brand and the country ranked 7 out of economic difficulties may induce smokers to maintain their 28 EU countries for cigarette taxation. High taxation smoking habits by switching to less expensive tobacco yields high profits for illicit tobacco traders and products. Moreover, illicit tobacco products are easy to increases the profitability of the ITTP. find, they are available on the streets from black-market th suppliers. The increase in the demand for waterpipe tobacco and HRT may also have an impact on its supply ITTP in France, a low level of corruption, supply chain on the black market. Notably, these aspects impact control measures and European cooperation against mainly on demand and supply through economic the ITTP, all increase the risks for the actors involved accessibility and availability. in tobacco smuggling. As pointed out, the ITTP is a complex phenomenon with several determinants. After close analysis on the ITTP in France, there follow the main findings of the Factbook (Figure 30). FRANCE •• Risk: Increasing law enforcement actions against the The factbook on the illicit trade in tobacco products 2011 national action plan Conclusions The French legal tobacco market, whose prices are higher than in the neighbouring countries, is crucial in determining the extent of the ITTP and the demand for cheaper tobacco products among French people. Indeed, the French tobacco market is experiencing a downtrading trend with more and more French people switching to less expensive tobacco products, such as HRT. Lower price of legal cigarettes in neighbouring countries also favours the smuggling and bootlegging of genuine products into France. Notably, these characteristics mainly impact demand through economic accessibility and supply through profitability and availability. Regulatory interventions, such as plans to raise taxation on cigarettes, affect the relative price of illegal products when compared to legal ones. In France, overall taxation on tobacco products is high, both as tax incidence on the final retail price and as taxation per 1,000 sticks. These aspects mainly impact demand and supply through economic accessibility and profitability of illicit tobacco products. The presence of tobacco supply chain control measures and customer identification systems have a negative impact on the ITTP 88 by increasing the risks for those who wish to engage in tobacco smuggling. The features of French ‘Crime Environment’, characterised by a low level of corruption, the presence of criminal networks with consolidated smuggling routes and illicit street selling of tobacco (in certain French cities) shape the extent and dimension of the ITTP. Notably, these features affect mainly the supply and modus operandi of the ITTP by increasing or reducing the risk of engaging in the ITTP. The ‘Law enforcement’ driver has a significant impact on the dimension and geographical distribution of the ITTP in France. Indeed, existing penalties against tobacco smuggling increase considerably the risks for those involved in this activity. Moreover, the recent adoption of a national action plan against the ITTP (2011), the presence of European law enforcement cooperation and the MoUs signed between the tobacco industry and French Customs, all widen the anti-ITTP commitment of France. Notably, these characteristics mainly impact the modus operandi and supply of the ITTP by increasing the risk of taking part in the ITTP. RECOMMENDATIONS FOR FURTHER RESEARCH Considering the relative lack of data, the results of this study are provisional. They offer a first analysis of the ITTP in France and show that more research and data are needed in this field. •• The importance of illicit HRT requires further exploration and attention. Indeed, the disparity between national consumption and sales of HRT, and the rising number of HRT seizures in France, suggest that the consumption of illicit HRT may be an increasing trend. •• There are no public surveys or studies on the demand for illicit tobacco products. Identifying the socio-economic characteristics of consumers and the reasons for illicit purchasing is fundamental for building effective strategies, preventing illicit behaviours and reducing the demand for illicit tobacco. •• The French government has increased its efforts against the ITTP by launching a national action plan against the ITTP in 2011. Assessment of the impact of this action plans on the various components of the ITTP may provide information crucial for improving future national strategies. •• A better assessment of non-domestic legal and illegal cigarettes would furnish better understanding of the dynamics of cross-border purchases. In conclusion, the results of the study have shown that the ITTP is a complex and multifaceted phenomenon. Individual factors, such as socio-demographic status and income, but also structural conditions—for example, France’s proximity to countries with lower-priced tobacco products—should be considered when developing anti-ITTP policies. Given the complexity and the multitude of factors involved, it is necessary to develop effective law enforcement and criminal justice policies. In addition, it is necessary also to adopt non-criminal measures to prevent illicit consumption and to reduce smuggling. 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