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Businessupdate Isle of Man Examiner OCTOBER 2004 focus OCTOBER The housing shor tage WHO’S TO BLAME? 26 14 Inside IT & I Your Share Books, Views and much more The rotary club Getting you all revved up INDEX PAGE 2 2 Businessupdate Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 COMMENT INDEX JOHN SHERROCKS FORUM [email protected] THE HOUSING SHORTAGE Comment The minister speaks Glut or a gutful? Forum thrashes it out Go urban PAGE 2 PAGE 3-4 PAGE 5 PAGE 6-10 PAGE 12,13 SPECIAL FEATURE Stalled on the starting grid We’re mad about motorsports, so what’s stopping us doing it? PAGES 14-16 REGULARS How they get their news PAGE 17 Business & Pleasure Picture special PAGE 18,19 Books The real Marr PAGE 20 Spotlight on So what’s next, coach? PAGE 21 Your Portfolio Equities and property Women doing it better PAGE 22 T his headline tells the story: ‘Housebuilders feel that they are being made scapegoats for the government’s failure to meet the housing demand.’ You won’t find it in this newspaper. It did, in fact, appear in the Financial Times last week. It does, however, serve to illustrate that the Isle of Man is not alone in suffering a housing shortage or in squabbling over who is to blame. In the UK, John Prescott is threatening to invite continental homebuilders to compete with British companies in a bid to speed up the provision of cheaper and better-built homes for first-time buyers. The deputy prime minister contends he could reduce the cost of some homes for first-time buyers by half if they were built on surplus public sector land. Ownership of the land itself would be retained by the government and held in trust, allowing first-time buyers to pay only for the bricks and mortar. Mr Prescott is concerned about a 63 per cent rise in construction costs since 1997 in the social sector and believes there is no reason why an affordable home could not be constructed for £50,000 to £60,000. Declaring UK housebuilders to be ‘risk averse’, he said their practices were tantamount to a cartel. John Rimington, the Manx Government minister in charge of housing, is certainly not suggesting that cartels are at work in the Island. He does, however, believe that the cost of housebuilding in the Island can be cut and has questioned whether regulating the housing industry would not help to bring down costs. In their defence, homebuilders in the Island argue that the government’s decision to become directly involved in the provision of housing, no matter how commendable the intention, has fuelled housing inflation. The developers can justifiably point out Have you been A9ed yet? Branding is all about making and keeping promises. PAGE 24 IoM LINE Our prosperous future PAGE 25 Motoring Join the club PAGE 26 Media Monitor PAGE 19 CONTACTS Editorial John Sherrocks, Editor 695622 [email protected] Nick Yates 695689 [email protected] Penny Kay [email protected] Advertising Sharon MacNamara 695688 [email protected] COVER Minister John Rimington Picture: MIKE WADE WHAT DO you THINK? Do you have anything to add to the housing debate? Or are there other issues which you feel need airing? If so let us know: e-mail [email protected] that increased regulation and red tape over the years has added to the cost of building houses. There is also the valid point that to get planning applications approved is a time-consuming process. One only has to fly into or out of the Island to realise that there is certainly no shortage of land. Nimbyism (Not in My Backyard) is, however, a very real problem. It is easy to suggest that the government should ride roughshod over planning objections in the overall interests of the Island. However, as I write this I am enjoying a view of green fields and the sea from the window of our modest terraced house. I suspect I would be sorely tempted to sign any petition opposing a first-time buyers housing estate abutting our backyard. The Island does not have a housing crisis. Homelessness is not a noticeable problem. Also, it is considerably easier to own a property in the Isle of Man than it is in Jersey. However, the young person unable to get a foot on the property ladder or the single mum forced to live in cramped conditions might well feel caught up in a crisis. It is said that the shortage of houses is a symptom of our economic success: young people now have expectations of owning a property at a far earlier age than previous generations. We are living longer, and there are more breakups of families — all of which increases the demand for housing. The price of housing is mainly driven by supply and demand but price is also ultimately influenced by what purchasers can afford. On the open market there are only a few apartments being offered at £100,000 to £120,000, and very few houses under £150,000. PAGE 23 IT & I Evil in the making Strategy’s delay is deplorable The average house price is now around £200,000. Only three or four years ago, a typical first-time buyer’s income would have enabled a property to be bought at between £50,000 and £100,000. This calculation is based on a 3.5 times income multiplier plus a deposit of 5 per cent. Even though mortgage lenders are now prepared to lend at a higher multiplier and offer subsidised mortgages for limited periods, first-time buyers can rarely find a property that they can afford. According to the Department of Local Government and the Environment (DoLGE), if house prices stagnate or fall slightly, it will take around 10 to 15 years for incomes to rise sufficiently (3% to 5% pa) to make home ownership affordable without government support. Mr Rimington appears to be genuinely sympathetic to the plight of those struggling to own a home or living in a public-sector-owned property that is urgently in need of refurbishment or even demolition. And he has pledged take action. The government’s first-time buyer purchase assistance scheme appears to have eased the situation and the government has provisions in place to assist key workers in buying or renting accommodation. There is little point in apportioning blame. Government and the private sector need to work together in search of solutions. That said, it is inexcusable that the Island is still awaiting an updated housing strategy — seven years after it was first mooted. It appears that a lack of manpower is one of the hurdles to bringing out this urgently needed strategic plan. If we can spend hundreds of thousands on a review of public sector broadcasting in the Island, it is difficult to fathom how extra money cannot be found to help speed up the provision of housing. MW040928-28 What is a brand? It’s a promise. When you fly Ryanair, you expect a low price and zero frills. When you buy a BMW, you assume superior engineering. Brands which break promises pay a heavy price, as Enron and Arthur Andersen discovered. FedEx and Tesco are strong brands because they usually deliver their promises. A brand without substance won’t survive. Some people wrongly think brands are about logos, pink ribbons and advertising. These are the visible bits, the symbols, of the promise. To deliver the substance is what really matters — things like high quality, excellent service, great IT systems, cost effectiveness, integrity and innovation. Most brand promises today are delivered by individuals. Thirty years ago, brands were mainly manufactured products. Today they are more likely to consist of services or advice, and depend on the training, values and motivation of 1 2 3 individuals. Think of banking, insurance, retailing, education and healthcare. Does branding just apply to companies? No — it’s relevant to every type of organisation, from schools to hospitals, from police forces to charities. Noble’s Hospital is a brand, so is Ballakermeen School. Their branding is the impression people have, based on personal experience and information from others. Save the Children and Greenpeace are strong brands. People can become brands too — look at David Beckham or Tiger Woods. Is branding mainly about trust? Yes, people respect brands which make and deliver promises. This creates trust and loyalty. Readers Digest does an annual survey of Europe’s most trusted brands. In the UK, winners in 2003 were Kellogg, Nescafé, Colgate and Nokia. Among institutions, the Armed Forces came top (86% of people said they had ‘a great deal’ or ‘a lot of’ confidence in them), and the EU came bottom. Can you brand countries? Yes. Like products and organisations, countries need to 4 5 6 SIX OF THE BEST develop a consistent promise and encourage people to deliver it. If they promise inward investors a skilled workforce and safe environment but fail to deliver, trust will dissipate together with investment. Ireland, Switzerland and New Zealand have been very successful in deciding what they wish to offer the world and consistently improving its substance and quality. This is the purpose of the ‘Marketing and Branding the Isle of Man’ project. The Isle of Man brand is what you find when you get off the plane at Ronaldsway, and it is delivered by 76,000 individuals. Hugh Davidson on branding Hugh Davidson was European president of Playtex, founder chairman of Oxford Strategic Marketing, and is now Visiting Professor of Marketing at Cranfield University School of Management Businessupdate ISSUE Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 3 focus HOUSING SHORTAGE OCTOBER Minister: Strategy by next autumn DoLGE Minister John Rimington has set himself a mission which has thwarted three of his predecessors: to get a new strategic plan for housing in the Island before Tynwald ... and within 12 months. JOHN SHERROCKS reports. J ohn Rimington, Minister of Local Government and the Environment, is determined to introduce the long-awaited housing strategy within the next 12 months. It is hoped that the strategy, which has been on the backburner for the last seven years, will help speed up the provision of housing within the Island. The former Minister for Agriculture and Fisheries, who took up his current post in the recent cabinet reshuffle, said in an interview with Business Update: ‘It is one of the department’s key performance indicators. Whatever I feel about it, the strategic plan has got to get out there for better or for worse. ‘We know that no one will agree with all of it so there’s no point in trying to please everyone — or to please myself. If I said I was unhappy with ‘A’, ‘B’ and ‘C’ they [the department] would pull it back and look at it again which just destroys the whole process,’ he said. Asked why the plan has been on the drawing board for so long, Mr Rimington said: ‘I don’t know. I guess one of the HIGH GOALS: Bricklayer Kevin Eastbury’s hard at it building homes, but he can’t solve the shortage single-handedly MW040928-8 reasons has been that every new administration or personnel feel that they need to look at it afresh. It has been a long time in coming and everyone is disappointed that it is not here.’ He expects the proposed strategy to be published next month. It will then go to a public inquiry, after which the inspector’s recommendations will be considered by the Council of Ministers before Tynwald rules on it. ‘If the inquiry is held at the beginning of the year [2005] ... it’s unlikely to get to the June or July Tynwald ... but it [the strategic plan] needs to be there for the autumn — TO PAGE 4 B & H Direct bridson-horrox Direct Full of fantastic offers and free gifts for the home and business. Buy local and SAVE MONEY! To receive your bi-monthly copy of Direct mailed to your home or business contact us via any of the options below. Print House Hills Meadow Douglas Isle of Man IM1 5EB Businessupdate ISSUE 4 Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 focus HOUSING SHORTAGE OCTOBER FROM PAGE 3 it’s got to be there,’ said Mr Rimington. The strategy will set policies and principles in a number of areas such as energy and environmental issues and will project the Island’s expected housing needs for the next decade or so. The strategic plan will provide the overall brief for the provision of housing within the Island’s four geographical areas. Until recently housing was divided between 17 areas — an unsatisfactory situation, according to Mr Rimington. ‘You can’t scale down the Island’s housing need and put it proportionately on each community.’ He said housing is a vital factor in the continued growth of the Manx economy, with the cost being a main determinant in whether employees relocate to the Island. ‘Key individuals, such as teachers, want to be able to buy a house here. We have lost people because of that.’ But while Mr Rimington is hopeful that having an up-to-date strategic plan will go a long way to speeding up reducing the housing backlog, he noted that delivery is still largely down to the developers. ‘The government is not a player in land generally ... it’s the private sector that is developing and they will not develop unless they see demand — with the right returns. In that sense, there is an ability for them to influence the marketplace by the rate of their development.’ Mr Rimington does not believe the Island is suffering a housing crisis. But he readily concedes there are ‘a lot of acute pinchpoints’. The key ones centre on the difficulty first-time buyers are having getting on to the property ladder and the shortage of public-sector housing. ‘The cost of a new house, whatever size, is very high, and doesn’t relate to their [firsttime buyers’] income. Also, whether it’s a good thing or a bad thing, there are increasing expectations among younger people that they should be able to buy a house — and that they should be able to get a house fairly rapidly. ‘The market appears to have stabilised but it has obviously stabilised at an inflated level. Whether it will stay at that inflated level and incomes will catch up or whether it will increase or there will be a drop in the market, which is always a possibility, who knows? ‘It may be that two or three years down the line there will be a change in the marketplace. There may be less immigration, a more stable population and perhaps prices might drop — unlikely, but ‘Deliver y is down to the developers’ you never know. That’s the difficult thing with house prices, in the big picture it’s better if they are lower but that doesn’t help the people who bought when they were higher.’ Mr Rimington said there was a backlog in the refurbishment of public-sector housing which had fallen below standard over the years. ‘That’s pretty key and there is an extensive programme under way to do that. I would be very upset if that was blown off course or pulled back in any dramatic fashion. ‘The idea is to continue building new housing stock in the public sector. There are still a large number of people out there who can’t get into public housing and are finding it very difficult to manage in the private sector ... whether that’s a single mother living with parents, or renting at very high cost. ‘Demographically, in the long term we are beginning to think that if we are going to build more public sector housing then there should be an increasing emphasis on the smaller units suitable for elderly people ... that in itself will relieve some of the larger housing stock. But we’re not in the game of telling people they have to move.’ On the question of public housing, Mr Rimington agreed that rentals needed to be reviewed if the deficit the government suffers is not to mushroom. Mr Rimington defended the government’s decision to develop housing for first-time buyers. The move has been criticised by private-sector developers. He said any government had to consider carefully whether its intervention would have an impact on the housing market in the medium to long term. ‘Sometimes a government might deliberately take action to affect the marketplace — it might be valid. At the moment we are reliant to an extent on the goodwill of developers, saying they will play ball with us by putting in so many [firsttime buyer properties] in the development. We’ve got to be grateful for that but to actually meet our targets we do need to do some more serious building ourselves. We’re doing that in Red Gap in Castletown.’ The government currently has two applications to build further first-time buyers’ housing in Johnny Watterson’s Lane and Ballanard Road. The applications are before a public inquiry. Mr Rimington said DoLGE intended to increase the number of planning officers. A manpower shortage has been identified as one of the reasons for the delay in delivery of the strategic plan and the processing of applications. A staff increase is linked to reforms to the planning system, due to be introduced in spring. Mr Rimington maintained that in the main the planning system was sound. ‘Most planning applications don’t even go to the planning committee. They go via the director of planning, because they are within the accepted guidelines, or there are no objections, or no objections from the department ... ‘One of my roles ... is as the appellate authority for planning appeals. That job has EXTRACT FROM FOCUS DEBATE McLOUGHLIN: When we and other developers build first-time buyer houses on behalf of government we build them at a subsidy to government. And we don’t mind, if that’s what it takes. There is no reluctance on our part to engage in providing first-time buyer houses. RIMINGTON: There’s less profit. McLOUGHLIN: That’s subsidy. We’re in business Mr Minister and like any business in the Isle of Man we must turn a profit otherwise we die. RIMINGTON: If there was regulation in the housing market and people were looking at acceptable profit margins I think the price of houses wouldn’t be anywhere near what they are. McLOUGHLIN: But what’s an acceptable profit margin and who’s going to determine it? RIMINGTON: The regulator. PAGES 6-10 opened my eyes to how the system works. Yes, people are making objections, but from my assessment, planning inspectors take on board people’s objections but balance them against what they believe is the overall interest and make judgments accordingly. ‘I think everyone’s dream is to have a more “enlightened” planning committee but that’s unfair on the planning committee because they can never win. It’s the same for the inspector and for my role as the final appeal. Whatever you sign off you are going to upset somebody. You’ve just got to look at the quality decisions that are coming through and try to achieve consistency and fairness. By and large, I think the planning system does that.’ Businessupdate ISSUE Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 5 focus HOUSING SHORTAGE OCTOBER Glut or a gutful? Is the bubble about to burst or is the high cost of housing in danger of causing a skills shortage? NICK YATES reports. T he double-digit growth in the Isle of Man economy in recent years has brought with it prosperity and improved public services. However, a downside for some has been the sharp increase in house prices that has accompanied the growth. It has left many prospective first-time buyers on lower salaries unable to secure a big enough mortgage to buy a home. Partly due to restricted supply, the average house price in the Island is higher than most parts of the UK and is more comparable with the South East of England. The question that now faces the Manx government is whether this level of inaccessibility is likely to damage the future growth of the economy: will it discourage businesses and individuals from relocating and what is the best way to mitigate the factors that led to such steep price increases? John Webster, a prominent Island economist, thinks the housing market is in danger of becoming oversupplied as house building continues apace while economic growth slows. He has questioned the quantity of flats being built and is sceptical about the government’s first-time buyer waiting list as an accurate indicator of real demand. ‘The finance industry is having to change and become more protective and By NICK YATES S everal Island-based businesses have chosen to tackle the problem of high house prices head-on by providing subsidies to staff to aid with accommodation. The biggest problems are faced by workers who move to the Isle of Man from the UK and abroad and are faced with relocation costs that are higher than expected, especially if they want to purchase their own property. One large financial institution in the Island provides subsidies to staff to help with rent and mortgage payments. The subsidies are based on a percentage of the employee’s salary and kick in a year after they have been with the company. A spokesman for the company said: ‘We only used to pay mortgage subsidies but then we felt there were a lot of our staff members that actually only rented. We brought in a policy where we subsidised rental costs as well and that went down really well with the staff.’ The package currently allows staff who have served for a year to claim 2 per cent of their salary as rental subsidy. This amount increases each year, with a maximum benefit of 2 per cent of four times their salary after four years’ service. John Hellowell, owner of Strand Cleaners, has bought a property to house staff that JOHN WEBSTER: Housing market is in danger of becoming oversupplied competitive, all of which is a threat to traditional income and employment opportunities. You can see examples of that now. Having said that, I’m more optimistic for the first time in several years. Government has recognised we need to change and there is a shift from an offshore finance centre to an offshore business centre. That is the key task over the next few years; we are recognising that in the economic strategy plan and the 2014 debate. ‘There is a lot of noise about first-time buyer housing being required and it reminds me of an old phrase “only dead fish go with the tide”. We are reaching a level of oversupply. Certainly I know for a fact that one of the leading estate agents would say that sales this August were half the volume of last August’s sales. If you look at the state of the market, there are houses hanging around much longer then they did and people are accepting less than the asking price, plus the supply of apartments is increasing dramatically.’ Mr Webster says more information about MIKE HENTHORN: Pricing out young people could cause a skills shortage the individuals on the first-time buyer list would yield answers on why there is such an apparent shortage of affordable housing. ‘The government says there are more than 1,000 people on the waiting list, but I would like to have some analysis of that. Undersupply is coming to an end and now our main concentration as a government priority should be to manage the economic change and safeguard jobs.’ However, Mike Henthorn, president of the Isle of Man Chamber of Commerce, takes a different view. He is worried the Manx economy could suffer in the long term if young people continue to be priced out of the market. He says the differential between salaries and house prices is now much greater than it was for young people 20 or 30 years ago. He also warned the difference in the price of equivalent housing in the UK was a potential barrier to people moving to the Island, creating possible skill shortages. ‘I do think that the chamber’s view would be that there is definitely an issue with the price of new housing and housing generally for the first-time buyer and potential newcomers to the Isle of Man. When people of my era were in our early twenties we were struggling to get on the property ladder, but the differential has got to the stage when people in their late twenties are struggling to have the wherewithall to buy a house, which is definitely a deal-breaker for companies who are trying to recruit staff to come and work here. ‘If we compare ourselves with the North West of England, Northern Ireland, the Borders and Scotland, the differential for affordable housing is big. Even if they are not first-time buyers they can sell a house for £70,000 in Warrington and the equivalent is £150,000 on the Isle of Man, so the finances just don’t work.’ He added: ‘In my early days a first house was probably about two or three times my salary; now it is likely to be five or six times. We [the Chamber of Commerce] are very keen that everybody has the opportunity to own their own home. If the Island is creating an environment where that is not possible, are we going to see an exodus on young people into other parts of the world where they can buy a house.’ Mr Henthorn also raised the possibility that an artificial housing stock may be developing in the Isle of Man. He said it was conceivable that foreign nationals in unstable countries could be buying up property in the Island which is viewed internationally as a safe and secure location with good transport links. The evidence suggests that a booming economy has left workers at the lower end of the pay scale out in the cold, as far as housing is concerned. Regardless of the importance placed on high-value, low-labour-intensive industry, no economy can function without its basic services, provided by lower-paid employees. Oversupply of the wrong type of housing may be an issue, but it could be an early sign of a net outflow from the Island. If emigration of young and lower-salaried Manx people is encouraged and immigration of the same people from outside is discouraged by housing costs, the Island’s future may be seriously compromised. Firms are having to help their homeless workers come from Europe to work for his firm. He said the initial cost of housing is prohibitive, especially for lower-paid workers such as cleaners. Many of his employees come from Spain and Portugal and he actively recruits in that region of Europe. In the past he has had to support up to 18 new workers in his companyowned property while they found their feet and saved enough money to afford rental or mortgage deposits. He said: ‘We employ 35 Spanish and Portuguese staff. They start off as cleaners and move through to supervisor level and beyond. Many have become permanent residents. We bought a guest house to put them in until they can establish themselves. The average wage in Portugal is £1.42 an hour, so you can see why they come, but a cleaner’s wage here still isn’t a lot.’ Housing cost is also a problem for professionally qualified people setting in the Island. Niall McGarrigle, of McGarrigle and Jackson Architects, said rental prices in the Island are 20-30 per cent more than those in Northern Ireland, where they also have a presence. He said his partner, Mike Jackson, felt obliged to allow a young architect on secondment from the other office to live in one of his own properties at a subsidised rate because of the significantly increased expense. ‘Because of the difference in rental prices in Northern Ireland we felt we should subsidise the rent. My partner could have rented the property out commercially but he allowed an architect on secondment from our Derry office to rent it out at a discounted rate because of the extra cost,’ he said. JOHN HELLOWELL: Bought a property to house staff Businessupdate ISSUE 6 Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 focus HOUSING SHORTAGE OCTOBER The government and private sector representatives taking part in the Business Update Forum agreed that the long overdue housing strategy will be key to tackling the Island's housing shortage. But there were many issues on which the two sides did not see eye to eye. JOHN SHERROCKS reports. IS THERE A SHORTAGE OF HOUSING IN THE ISLAND AND WHAT IS THE CAUSE? JOE McLOUGHLIN of Heritage Homes: During the 10 years ending in 2003 the number of new homes provided totalled 3,977. During the 10 years ending in 1993 it was even greater than that with 4,121 houses being provided. So in the last 10 years we’ve actually built 144 less houses than in the previous 10, even though the population has increased by about 18-19 per cent. The numbers on the waiting lists demonstrate the level of demand. KEITH KERRUISH of Chrystals: The nub of the problem is that DoLGE [Department of Local Government and the Environment] is working from a housing development plan that was written 22 years ago for 60,000 people. Mr Rimington’s predecessors — Quine, Gilbey and Crowe — all promised us a new strategic plan, next week. I’d be very pleased if the minister completed it by the end of next year, never mind next week. We have these massive housing needs and loads of land but we’ve got any amount of nimby (not in my backyard) behaviour throughout the Island. A classic example is Castletown. The town is bounded by the sea, the railway line and the 1982 development plan. Mr [Eddie] Lowey, MLC, says no one should cross into the parish of Malew, as if it was an independent nation. He strongly feels that there should be no development in Castletown. The 1982 plan says there should be no development in Castletown. ‘The upshot is that government comes along and says we must get some housing in Castletown, they must show how good they are at building houses. So they bid against the private sector and pay a record price for land in Red Gap (Ballalough or Y Vaany Yiarg). There was no need to pay such a high price for land. All that was needed was for more land to be freed up and that should be entirely in the hands of ‘DoLGE plan is 22 years out of date’ the minister. But the ’82 plan and all the paperwork of DoLGE means it’s a case of the tail wagging the dog. Tynwald can’t build any houses, Tynwald is absolutely useless, they can’t change the strategy of DoLGE. IAN McCAULEY, director of Planning and Building Control, DoLGE: You’re really good on hyperboles but short on fact. You say the ’82 plan doesn’t allow for any land for housing in Castletown. It does. There’s land available in Ramsey, there’s land available in Peel, there’s land available in Castletown and there’s a lot of land to be brought forward for development in Douglas. To say the ’82 plan is holding things up, I’m sorry, it’s just not correct. McLOUGHLIN: I’d have to agree with some of Keith’s points. The majority of the land in Castletown that has been available since 1982 is located in two areas: Knock Rushen and Red Gap. The land at Red Gap has never been available for development as far as I’m concerned and I’ve been in the Island since 1988. My company has made repeated efforts to have that land freed for development and the owners have said no. McCAULEY: I don’t mind you saying that land is available for development but there are constraints upon it — whether that’s an ownership constraint or an infrastructure constraint. That’s fine. But to say that land isn’t identified and planned for development is absolute nonsense. There are large areas of land identified in Ramsey. McLOUGHLIN: The problem with the land that has been zoned since 1982 is that the KEITH KERRUISH: Tynwald can’t build any houses, Tynwald is absolutely useless, they can’t change the strategy of DoLGE. good pieces have been cherry picked over the years. We’re now left with land that is zoned — about 368 acres or thereabouts — but most of it is in areas where people don’t want to live or there are constraints attached to it that prevent it from being developed. Douglas is where the majority of people wish to live and work; 75 per cent or thereabouts of the economic activity in the Island takes place in the capital. But there is no land available in Douglas for development. Currently your department is pursuing a planning application on two sites on the outskirts of Douglas, neither of which is zoned. The whole impediment to producing homes in any parts of the Island is a lack of suitably zoned land. The agent that produces the answer to these problems is the Department of Local Government and it would appear to be woefully slow in producing or forwarding new local plans for a variety of reasons. I suspect the principal reason is the lack of manpower within the department and I would urge the minister to have a look at this aspect. JOHN RIMINGTON, Minister of Local Government and the Environment: We are looking at this, it’s an issue which focuses our minds at this very moment. As you are well aware one [planning] officer left the Island and that in itself poses a workload requirement on just the volume of day-today applications that are coming in, let alone looking strategically and doing MW040921-46 forward planning. McCAULEY: The department is reviewing changes/modifications to the plan. We are hoping to get those published next month with a view to having an inquiry in the early part of next year, and, subject to Tynwald approval, getting the plans approved next year. I agree there are problems but the problems aren’t helped by people saying there isn’t any land available. You’ve only got to go around Douglas to see what you guys [developers] have been doing. You’ve been developing on sites that weren’t anticipated for development in the Douglas plan but they were in the urban area and as a result of a change of the land use they’ve come forward as apartments. That’s really good news. It’s meant we’ve got a lot of development in places where it needed to happen. If there had been more greenfields available for easy development then I know very well that a lot of the development in town wouldn’t have happened. THE PLIGHT OF FIRSTTIME HOMEBUYERS RICHARD SENIOR, director of Estates and Housing, DoLGE: Relatively speaking a lot of the properties that are being built at the moment are of a size and a standard that are suitable for first-time buyers but it’s the affordability issue that’s hitting people a lot at the moment. I think the department has done a lot of work in the last couple of years Businessupdate Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 focus HOUSING SHORTAGE OCTOBER ‘ In the last 10 years we’ve actually built 144 less houses than in the previous 10 years, even though the population has increased by about a gross 18-19 per cent. JOE MCLAUGHLIN to help with this problem of affordability. NIALL McGARRIGLE of McGarrigle & Jackson: Property is essentially a demand-driven commodity. But I think in the Island you also have the added disadvantage that property is often an investment. Some people see houses as something to live in, to value as your own dwelling, whereas others see them as an investment opportunity. It would be interesting to see how many of the houses [in an estate] are going to people who actually want to live in them and how many are being sold to investors in the buy-to-let market. BILL HENDERSON, Minister of Agriculture Fisheries and Forestry and outgoing chairman of the planning committee: There were some interesting comments made in Tynwald about that. Treasury produced some figures and I think Governor’s Hill was examined. Although it does cause a problem I don’t think it’s as big as some people perceive. Certainly with Governor’s Hill the survey showed that something like 10 per cent was ‘company owned’ as opposed to the perception that more than 50 per cent of the estate or tranches of streets are owned by a single individual. McLOUGHLIN: The phenomenon of the investor coming and buying property is generally a sign of an unhealthy economy; It means there’s a scarcity in the housing commodity ... if you’ve got housing running at 15-20 per cent per annum that’s a sure way of making money. I think that situation is dying down at the moment. The rental market is not as buoyant as it was 18 months, two years ago, and you’ll find that investors will no longer be interested ... they want a short-term return. ANNE CRAINE, DoLGE member responsible for Housing and Estates: There will always be a need for a rental market in the Island. McLOUGHLIN: Sure, but that’s catered for by the indigenous landlord as opposed to the multinationals that have been here, that have bought tracts of properties, cut their profits and gone again. The long-term rental market plays a vital role in providing housing for people in the Isle of Man. GRAHAM WILSON, of Cowley Groves: Supply has been a real problem over the last three or four years which has hiked up the price of properties. It has brought more investors to the market. But of late our company has about 35-38 per cent more available properties on the books than it had last year. So it’s starting to change a little bit. But we have less than 10 houses priced between £80,000 and £150,000. Having said that we don’t see nearly as many first-time buyers as we used to because presumably the government’s system is working, they’re on the first-time buyers’ register. SHOULD THE GOVERNMENT BE INVOLVED IN BUILDING HOUSING? SENIOR: Immigration has driven demand for housing over the last few years. Last year I think it was pretty stagnant in terms of people coming into the Island. My understanding is that over the first six months of this year there has been a slight increase in immigration. Also, more families are breaking up, which creates additional demand. But it still comes down to affordability. No matter how many houses you build if they’re selling at £250,000-£300,000 a lot of people cannot afford to buy them — people who could have afforded to get into the market five or six years ago. That’s the reason we bought Red Gap ... to build government-funded affordable housing. I’m not saying you [the developers] are wrong for charging the prices that you’re charging — you charge the price the market will take. All I am saying is you’re not meeting the demand of an important sector of the market. McLOUGHLIN: The impetus for that has now gone with the introduction of the buyers’ scheme that you’re putting forward. Prior to that developers were more prepared to accommodate first-time buyers. We as a company provided the best part of 1,000 first-time buyer houses over the period leading up to the buyers’ assistance scheme. And suddenly the whole scenario has changed, and in my opinion, not for the better. SENIOR: The reason we stuck at £90,000 [for the first-time buyers’ scheme] for people buying on the open market was because the £75,000 house that was being built became an £80,000 house, then a £90,000 house and then a £140,000 house. We did not want to keep chasing these prices by throwing more and more grants at them. It doesn’t build one more house, all it does is move money out of government into the developers’ pockets. McLOUGHLIN: I don’t think JOE MCLAUGHLIN government should be involved in the business of actually building houses. With Red Gap, in one foul swoop you substantially increased the price of developing in the Isle of Man. SENIOR: Absolute rubbish, I’m sorry. When we bought Red Gap just over two years ago land was fetching £300,000 to £350,000 an acre. We paid £400,000. You bid for it as well. McLOUGHLIN: Overnight, unwittingly I admit, you increased the price of land from say £250,000 to £400,000. We had several negotiations in the pipeline at the time which were stopped and renegotiated. HENDERSON: We need to get some perspective on this Joe. You’re giving it the hard-sell from the privatesector level. The point that Richard’s making is true to a certain extent. You have to admit there has been a first-time buyer shortage and there’s been huge public pressure on this government to perform with regard to providing for first-time buyers. And one of the ways is to move in the direction that we have been moving. I think some of the comments you’ve been making with regards to that are unfair. McLOUGHLIN: Not at all. Government really has little business being involved in building houses. The private sector is geared to do this. You will find that private sector development costs are a heck of a lot less than those that are developed by government. We are geared up to produce houses at a good standard, at a reasonable cost and in a good time. CRAINE: You’re saying we shouldn’t take land and build affordable housing and that we should leave it all to you. But then you’d have us over a barrel. We are finding it TO PAGE 8 MW040921-21 7 Businessupdate ISSUE 8 Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 focus HOUSING SHORTAGE OCTOBER The role FROM PAGE 7 IAN McCAULEY: I don’t mind you saying that land is available for development but there are constraints upon it — whether that’s an ownership constraint or an infrastructure constraint. That’s fine. But to say that land isn’t identified and planned for development is absolute nonsense. MW040921-29 difficult to persuade developers to do very much affordable housing. Yes, they will do a token figure on a development but there’s a reluctance to do much more. McLOUGHLIN: The role of government is to encourage and help those who are in a position to deliver housing at an affordable cost. And to date this is not something the government has pursued. CRAINE: We are in the position of trying to provide homes for people. We are not in the position of fuelling commercial enterprise. McLOUGHLIN: But you are fuelling commercial enterprise. Going back to Red Gap, that is one of the biggest factors in fuelling housing inflation. SENIOR: We actually easily broke even on Red Gap paying £400,000 an acre. You would have sold those houses at £40,000, £50,000, £60,000 more a property than we’re selling them at. We’ve never wanted to fuel inflation where the builders try to hang behind the market because we then drive prices up. But we did raise the maximum [on the firsttime buyers’ assistance scheme] to £145,000. That has stimulated some demand but the problem is still affordability. Most people still can’t afford to buy — they’re not earning enough. So unless the government keeps ploughing more and more money into it they won’t be able to purchase. Hence we are building our own new properties to try to increase the supply. McLOUGHLIN: When we and other developers build first-time buyer houses on behalf of government we build them at a subsidy to government. And we don’t mind, if that’s what it takes. There is no reluctance on our part to engage in providing first-time buyer houses. RIMINGTON: There’s less profit. McLOUGHLIN: That’s subsidy. We’re in business Mr Minister and like any business in the Isle of Man we must turn a profit otherwise we die. RIMINGTON: If there was regulation in the housing market and people were looking at acceptable profit margins I think the price of houses wouldn’t be anywhere near what they are. McLOUGHLIN: But what’s an acceptable profit margin and who’s going to determine it? RIMINGTON: The regulator. DIFFICULTY OF GETTING LAND McLOUGHLIN: There’s a lack of suitable developable land. That’s what pushes up prices. McCAULEY: Joe, your company has more land in the planning pipeline capable of being developed. The question is when you choose to bring it forward. McLOUGHLIN: No, the question is when the department is prepared to let it go by giving it planning approval. McCAULEY: You could put a planning application in tomorrow on a lot of the land you’ve got in ‘ McLOUGHLIN: The role of government is to encourage and help those who are in a position to deliver housing at an affordable cost. And to date this is not something the government has pursued. CRAINE: We are in the position of trying to provide homes for people. We are not in the position of fuelling commercial enterprise. McLOUGHLIN: But you are fuelling commercial enterprise. ANN CRAINE and JOHN RIMINGTON Peel. You operate a pipeline for how your sites come forward. McLOUGHLIN: This is a story that I keep hearing that emanates from the planning department, that we have got some form of stranglehold on developable land. That’s not true. McCAULEY: You only build to sell a certain number of houses because you’ve got a view as to what the market in Peel can take. You have control over a lot more land. But I don’t blame you. You control the land, therefore you don’t bring it forward. You could have sold half of that land off to another developer to develop that land. McLOUGHLIN: To use an analogy, should the Steam Packet sell off half of its routes to a rival company? McCAULEY: But you’re saying there’s a shortage of land. The Steam Packet’s not saying there’s a shortage of sea. CRAINE: There are areas where you’ve got planning permission and you’re not building. Poyll Dooey in Ramsey for example. McLOUGHLIN: We’ve got a planning application in Poyll Dooey, which I think is coming up for its fourth anniversary. McCAULEY: I have to agree with him on that one, which is why, Mrs Craine, I’m referring to Peel. Because there is a difference between the two. I accept there have been delays on Poyll Dooey. The land in Peel has far fewer constraints on it. MW040921-25 McLOUGHLIN: We’ve been developing in Peel for the last two years. McCAULEY: Poyll Dooey will come forward once the consultations and all the rest of it are finished. It will happen. QUESTION OF DEVELOPMENT IN DOUGLAS HENDERSON: Douglas has seen some massive developments and it’s probably outgrown its boundaries. We’ve seen the Governor’s Hill estate and the Cronk-y-Berry estate up in north Douglas. We’re talking over 1,200 new houses, 50 or 60 per cent firsttime buyers. We’ve seen massive development of private enterprise apartments up and down Douglas promenade. More going on at the minute. More going on in Lord Street. So it’s not correct just to say nothing’s happening in Douglas. Douglas is where everyone wants to live. Douglas has tried to respond as best it can and some rather massive developments have gone on to try to address that. RIMINGTON: Government might take a view that it might not want to allow Douglas and Onchan to keep mushrooming. In the interests of the Island as a whole you want the developments to be more balanced. Businessupdate Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 9 focus HOUSING SHORTAGE OCTOBER of government KERRUISH: But you are a democrat, voted in by the people, and the people want to live in Douglas. RIMINGTON: I have a slightly different view on democracy than most people have. My view of democracy is that I am not there as a civil servant to respond to the greedy needs of the population, because the population always has wants and desires. The job is actually to look at what is best for the Isle of Man for the long, long term. Not to respond necessarily to immediate issues. They will be addressed, but within the context of the bigger picture. MEET THE PANEL John Rimington, Minister of Local Government and the Environment (DoLGE) Bill Henderson, Minister of Agriculture Fisheries and Forestry and outgoing chairman of the planning committee Anne Craine, DoLGE member with responsibility for Estates and Housing Richard Senior, director of Estates and Housing, DoLGE Ian McCauley, director of Planning and Building Control, DoLGE Niall McGarrigle, McGarrigle & Jackson John Payne, McGarrigle & Jackson Joe McLoughlin, Heritage Homes Graham Wilson, Cowley Groves Keith Kerruish, Chrystals John Wilson, JG Kelly Homes THERE IS A PERCEPTION OF WIDESCALE ABUSE OF PUBLIC SECTOR HOUSING BY TENANTS WHO HAVE RELATIVELY HIGH INCOMES RIMINGTON: I think the number of people living in public sector housing who have got what you might call high incomes is probably a lot less than people believe. We’re going into quite an ambitious programme in terms of the rebuild and refurbishment of public-sector housing ... and where it is reasonable rentals should make their contribution [but] you couldn’t put a market rental on public-sector housing. HENDERSON: The Island has a good social care history with regard to public-sector housing and how it’s helped and assisted the tenants. In moving forward to free up publicsector housing you’ve got to be careful and caring with what you do. CRAINE: I think it’s very easy to target public-sector housing tenants. OK, you can argue that they are subsidised but then so too are private-sector purchasers, with grants and top-up loans. KERRUISH: We have a prosperous economy and yet we are forever on this treadmill of providing more public authority housing. I accept that there is old stock that has to be refurbished. I accept that much of the local authority stock is occupied by widows and single parents and I know the view is that if Mrs Kelly has stayed in a house for 40 years she should stay there until she dies. But I’m sorry, I have to disagree with that. I think the scheme in Andreas where they’ve made room in family-type houses by building more retirement-type bungalows is the way to go. I don’t think there should be one more unit of public sector housing built. SENIOR: I wonder whether we do need to be building more and more general public-sector houses. It’s department policy to have a bias towards building accommodation for elderly persons and encouraging people reaching retirement age to move into these, freeing up larger family houses. But only if they want to move. When [refurbishment] work on RICHARD SENIOR: I wonder whether we do need to be building more and more general public-sector houses. MW040921-20 lower Pulrose (Douglas), Lezayre (Ramsey) and Janet’s Corner (Castletown) is finished there will be a bit of a shake-out. There will be a lot more units actually in use. Pulrose has taken more than 100 properties out of circulation. THE PLANNING PROCESS AND THE QUALITY OF HOUSING ESTATES JOHN PAYNE of McGarrigle & Jackson: A lot of what you see being built is fairly soulless — it’s being built to achieve the greatest profit margin and it lacks some of the attractiveness that you find in some schemes in the UK. McLOUGHLIN: I have to take issue with John’s comments about soulless developments. You have to bear in mind for starters that the Isle of Man is a small Island and one cannot ... expect each area to have its own architecture. If you were to look at the older stock in the Island — the traditional housing — they’re all the same and yet they’re scattered throughout the Island. There is also the cost element. Some of the things I suspect John is referring to would simply be external decoration which does nothing to improve the standard of accommodation. What people want foremost is good-quality housing at a reasonable cost. And simply to start putting pastiche architecture on to a house to make it look like something that it’s not, I think is silly. PAYNE: I’ve been to see some mixed-use development schemes in the UK [where] ... housing TO PAGE 10 Businessupdate ISSUE 10 Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 focus HOUSING SHORTAGE OCTOBER ‘I don’t think there should be one more unit of public sector housing built’ — KEITH KERRUISH FROM PAGE 9 KEY POINTS association properties were mixed in with large private development properties. There was a much higher standard of amenity ... What I’m saying is that it’s not necessarily about what people can afford because house prices here are as dear as anywhere. It’s what developers are wanting to take out of schemes. McGARRIGLE: In Northern Ireland you have to put in a design concept in the form of a statement and in sketches [at an early stage]. McLOUGHLIN: That would not necessarily add to costs. It depends at what stage such requirements are made of a developer. If one knows from the start that certain criteria are required, it’s fine — you can build that into your costs. I think planning has taken a backward step over the last 10 years ... applicants were [once] permitted to put forward a sketch design for appraisal by the planning committee. For whatever reason that was dropped. The problem now is that the planning committee often sees a development for the first time on the boardroom table. They haven’t had a chance to consider it ... and very often because they don’t understand it, they will refuse or defer it. I think that system of presubmission should come back because I think it would make everyone’s lives a hell of a lot simpler. McGARRIGLE: There are some weaknesses in the system but everywhere, everyone complains about how slow it is to get plans through. I’ve worked in Spain and in Italy. The paperwork in Italy is unbelievable. McCAULEY: People value the environment they live in and actually they put more value on that environment the more disposable income they’ve got. What’s happened in a number of places around the Island is that people are buying more farmland to make sure that, notwithstanding what I do as a planner, they own the land, they control it, they’re not going to have any development on it. For the average homeowner, what happens very close to them is very dear to them. We’ve got an educated, articulate society and given the opportunity to comment they will comment. The planning process is not just evaluating the application but taking into account their comments. STATE OF THE PROPERTY MARKET WILSON: It has levelled off over the summer period. I would have thought you are looking at an average growth of 6-7 per cent. Whether that’s sustainable to the end ❐ More resources for the planners to help speed up the long-awaited Isle of Man Strategic and Local Area Plan. ❐ Less unreasonable ‘Nimbyism’ ❐ An ‘enlightened’ planning committee we’re pretty confident. So much so that ... we’re about to embark on a new corporate headquarters for ourselves at the business park. We do a lot of work in the UK now — notably London and Manchester and Edinburgh — and of course the Channel Islands, but we have nominated the Isle of Man to be our corporate headquarters. HOUSING STRATEGIC PLAN BILL HENDERSON: In moving forward to free up public-sector housing you’ve got to be careful and caring with what you do. MW040921-30 of the year remains to be seen. McLOUGHLIN: We would share that view. There has been a slight levelling off but in the last few months it has begun to rise again. As far as the long-term view is concerned from our company’s perspective McLOUGHLIN: One must bear in mind that this is possibly the seventh or eighth draft of the strategic plan. I think it started around ’96-97. It will make a significant difference. I suppose you could compare it to an amateur cook baking a dainty cake without a recipe. The strategic plan would be the recipe which will guide all of the other local plans. McCAULEY: We know there are problems in the system. I don’t disagree that it is taking us too long to produce the plans ... but having said that they are part of the democratic process and people have the right to be heard when decisions are being made about the strategic development of land. We’ve now said that we are going to produce four local area plans but it takes quite a long time to produce a plan because of the various stages that we have to go through. We’ve got grand plans in the wings at the moment but if it wasn’t for potential legal challenges we’d probably have the inspector’s report out before now and the proposed modifications sorted out. Those are the sort of problems that we are having to deal with. I accept that we have failed to deliver but there are good reasons. ‘I accept that we have failed to deliver but there are good reasons.’ — IAN McCAULEY Isle of Man Examiner, October D;2004 Businessupdate 11 Businessupdate ISSUE 12 focus HOUSING SHORTAGE OCTOBER Concept of sustainable urban living One way to address the housing shortage is for government to convince people that, despite its drawbacks, urban living has many attractive options. NICK YATES reports. Businessupdate JOIN THE MARKET LEADERS! For further details on how to best promote your Business. please contact Sharon MacNamara on 695668, 423368 or e-mail: [email protected] November Edition - Deadline October December Edition - Deadline November 24th Let us... help you... join the Market Leaders Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 O ne of the solutions to the pressing need for affordable housing in the Island is the concept of sustainable urban living. There has been an increase in suburban developments in recent years but there are many fine urban buildings that could be converted into stylish residential properties. For inspiration, the Isle of Man could look to big cities such as Manchester and Liverpool where many of the old mill and factory buildings are being renovated into apartment blocks and loft dwellings. The old industrial heritage of Douglas, Castletown, Peel and Ramsey has left some large well-constructed buildings in fantastic locations lying dormant. The challenge for the government is to convince people that urban living, although affording less privacy and space than suburban dwellings, does have many attractive options such as access to amenities, transport links and a sense of community. Hugh Logan, of Castletown-based Hugh Logan Architects, was heavily involved in the development of brownfield sites during his time as an architect with Dandara. Now he has set up his own practice and is committed to helping the Island to realise the potential of its urban areas. He also works extensively in Liverpool and believes that some of the projects to reinvigorate that city are transferable to the Isle of Man. ‘The Isle of Man is quite a curious place when it comes to brownfield sites, since it is the government’s policy to look at them, but there is no grant scheme — as there is in the UK and Ireland — to encourage building in these areas. Sustainable housing requires what you do to be socially and economically viable. Urban environments are denser and this creates problems of closeness and privacy, but that is where we come in as designers. ‘There is a lot of land in Douglas around the harbour which was historically built for industrial use. Those sites would be much better put to mixed residential use, with shops, restaurants and bars. The planning and development department is actively encouraging older industrial users to relocate from those areas.’ Mr Logan is also an advocate of infilling disused brownfield sites with newly constructed buildings. He believes that this is more efficient than building on greenfield sites. ‘Building in urban environments is a more efficient use of land. Sensitive design can be achieved that adheres to the conservation orders placed on the built fabric in places like Castletown. The Red Gap development is part of a government project to build public housing within the borders of towns. The development will help to solve the vicious circle of a self-sustaining community within the town.’ He believes that educating people about urban living is essential to stop the phenomenon of dormitory towns that the dominance of Douglas has created. ‘To my mind, the only way to stop suburban development is to create truly economically sustainable towns. People who live there don’t necessarily want more people in their towns and villages but they have to accept that re-using old buildings will result in more money being spent by a larger population.’ Businessupdate Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 13 focus HOUSING SHORTAGE OCTOBER ONE SOLUTION TO AFFORDABLE HOMES Educating people about urban living is essential to stop the phenomenon of dormitory towns that the dominance of Douglas has created. — architect HUGH LOGAN JM040828-35 Businessupdate TOPIC 14 Isle of Man Examin specialreport OCTOBER JURBY RACING POTENTIAL Most of us are motorspor t mad, but wouldn’t you just love to give it a tr y? M otorsports are a big part of the Isle of Man’s identity and attract thousands of visitors every year. Events such as the TT, Manx Grand Prix and Manx Rally are also very popular with Island residents, borne out by statistics that suggest one in every 10 owns a motorcycle. As the Isle of Man is so renowned for its love of the combustion engine, it is unusual that, until recently, there was no facility for members of the public to give racing a try and slip into competitive mode in a safe environment. Motorsport has led to a proliferation of racetracks around the UK offering track days in high-performance cars to the general public, but it has also led to the development of karting as a sensible, less dangerous way for ordinary people to experience some of the adrenalin rush of the professional racer. It took the cancellation of the TT and the Grand Prix in 2001, due to foot-and-mouth, to kickstart the government into looking at a different angle to attract motor racing enthusiasts to the Island. As a result of co-operation between the Department of Tourism and Tromode-based Duke Racing, the Jurby airfield is now the Island’s first venue of this type, and the benefits and potential have certainly exceeded initial expectations. Peter Duke, managing director of Duke Racing, is confident that Duke Track Days can be turned into a long-term viable proposition. ‘We rented the land from the Department of Transport (DoT) to build a 300 metre kart track. We Stalled on the start grid Duke Racing has ambitious plans for Jurby Airfield but everything depends on persuading the government to agree funding for a public-private partnership. NICK YATES reports ADRENALIN RUSH: ‘We are approaching 10,000 custom them a lunatic.’ — MD Peter Duke have invested a five-figure sum building the track and buying in karts and equipment. That part of our business is just about there and is starting to wash its own face and return a profit. We are approaching 10,000 customers through the straights and sits alongside the karting track. Its usage is managed by the Andreas Racing Association and Duke’s only have access to certain dates on the calendar. They have put together a package of bike, car and kart weekends with doors as a tourist amenity: if anyone had said we would achieve that three years ago, I would have called them a lunatic,’ said Mr Duke. The main Jurby track is 1.5 miles long with two 120mph-plus Magic Holidays, but Mr Duke said the potential for the site is enormous if they can secure the co-operation of the DoT and the Department of Local Government and the Environment (DoLGE). ‘The big question mark before we Businessupdate TOPIC 16 Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 specialreport OCTOBER JURBY RACING POTENTIAL Progress is slow on the future of the raceway FROM PAGE 15 metres but we have plans to build a 1,200 metre track that would be suitable to hold a round of the British Karting Championships. It would be the equivalent of a karting TT with machines travelling at 130mph.’ He would also like to provide a driver training facility at Jurby to teach new drivers crucial elements of road safety, including driving on busy dual carriageways and motorways, that are only a ferry ride away. The current track would require an extension to achieve this, which is yet another investment in a site that still has a question mark hanging over its future. The DoT, which owns the site, issued a strategy report in late 2002 that seemed encouraging, but Mr Duke is disappointed with the lack of progress since then. The report states: ‘There is one facility which, for a variety of reasons, mainly historical, has been subject to a lack of investment and management. In recent years the Department TEAM DUKE: Gavin Smith, Peter Duke and Phil Hawes pore over future plans of Tourism and Leisure has taken on the day-to-day running of leisure facilities at Jurby under an informal arrangement with the present owner, the Department of Transport. The overall philosophy has, due to both resourcing issues and lack of future certainty, been “make do and mend” and little has been done to market or maximise the facility.’ The report goes on to discuss the development of an international race circuit costing between £30-£50 million and acknowledges the massive public sector spending investment required. Its policy statement said: ‘Government should recognise that in order to meet the aspirations of its people it needs to underpin the provision of major leisure facilities, while at the same time establishing a climate which encourages private sector investment wherever possible.’ Mike Ball, director of leisure, said the department is still pursuing the strategy laid down two years ago: ‘Taking that recommendation forward is going to be a series of small steps rather than one big one. We plan to feed resources into Jurby, working with interested parties. Whether we will achieve it within 10 years in the current environment we don’t know, because it has to compete with many other priorities in the sports and arts sectors that require funding.’ He added that the recent track extension was a leap forward in providing a national UK standard circuit. Mr Duke said the new prison development on the Jurby site has also contributed to removing any chance of developing the site into an international level racetrack. ‘The prison should have been built elsewhere but the Nimbys (Not in My Back Yard) won that argument. It is being built at Jurby because there were too many clashes of interest. The reduced space available means that an international track is no longer possible, but it still has potential for national level competition with up to 4,0005,000 spectators. MP040920-15 Karting: a corporate perspective VICKY HEWISON marketing manager, HSBC K ALL SET: Vicky Hewison prepares for battle JM040919-75 ‘The racing at Jurby during TT week in 2003 certainly generated quite a bit of interest, but the investment required is a seven-figure sum.’ Mr Ball is adamant that the land used for the prison has made no difference to the ability of Jurby to be developed to an international standard. ‘Forgetting about the prison issue, the land in government ownership at Jurby is not big enough to develop an international race circuit . We would have had to purchase a substantial amount of land, so the prison isn’t going to be a significant problem.’ The TT lost its status as a round of the World Motorcycle GP in 1976 and, although it has maintained international recognition, it isn’t formally recognised by the world’s motorsport regulators. Peter Duke’s dream is to bring that prestige back to the Island, but unfortunately the Jurby track will never fulfill that role. With the right co-operation and investment it could still bring back national level competition to the Isle of Man in various motorsports and provide a first-class, safe, well regulated facility for its residents. A public-private partnership is a very feasible option, and, as Mr Duke said: ‘We have put our hands up and said yes we want to talk to somebody — it’s just when they want to talk to us.’ arting is excellent. It enables you to entertain a relatively small number of clients. The bank hosted a karting event for the first time last year and the feedback was fantastic. The staff enjoy it and they can build a rapport with clients so that when it’s time to negotiate they have already had quality time together. Some of our guests do terrific amounts of business with HSBC so it’s nice for them to get a little something else from their bank — to actually feel like a valued customer. We split it into five teams of three so there is always the opportunity to have a chat with a fellow team mate. Paintball and laser quest are good games, but you are usually all playing at once. With karting you have more of an opportunity for one-on-one interaction. We have four women, so it is not something that is just for the men: they get just as much out of it as the blokes. You cannot fail to be competitive but it’s a very well-run event and very safe. If I say to the managers, we have karting who wants to go, all 10 will be jostling for position. Karting: an individual point of view NICK YATES I t may sound a little bizarre but sitting in a six horse power kart in a boiler suit with a pair of 1970s goalie gloves really does feel good. Pulling on to the starting grid on a windswept airfield in Jurby might not sound inspiring, but it might as well be the Nurburgring judging from the determined faces of your fellow racers — is that Michael Schumacher under that helmet or the local bank manager? When the racing starts, it’s no holds barred and as the competitive streak takes over. Men never actually grow up. That’s not to say the women in my race weren’t able competitors but there is just something about competing against peers, especially office mates, in a physical way that brings out the little boy in every bloke. Businessupdate PEOPLE Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 PRINT/E-MEDIA: I read the Telegraph nearly every day, and often visit their website to update; the FT and BBC websites are also good. I make a point of reading the business section of The Sunday Times, which is usually interesting and informative (particularly the advice given to small businesses) and the Isle of Man Examiner to keep up with local news. In recent months I’ve also read several editions of The Newspaper which is aimed at a younger audience but provides a mature and balanced view of all major topical issues. MAGAZINES For pleasure I often read auto magazines, especially Car; Wanderlust, an excellent magazine aimed at travellers rather than tourists; magazines on France and French living; and occasionally the odd glance at Hello magazine when my wife leaves it lying around. On a more serious note, the Economist, Management Today and Financial World keep me up to date from a business perspective on most relevant issues. The Economist is particularly well written and a publication I’d recommend to anyone looking for objective, impartial reporting. BOOKS Recent favourites are autobiographies Into Thin Air by Jon Krakauer, High Exposure by David Breashears and Put Me Back on My Bike - In Search 17 HOW I GET MY NEWS DAVID BOULTER Area manager, Isle of Man, HSBC Bank which have great reporting and analysis. of Tom Simpson, by William Fotheringham, the great British cyclist. The first two include a description of the same climbing disaster on Mount Everest in 1996 but from different perspectives. The third is an amusing but ultimately tragic story of a great competitor driven to his limits to succeed. Recent fiction discoveries include Blackberry Wine and Five Quarters of the Orange by Joanne Harris which combine fact and fantasy in a unique and compelling manner — great to read on holiday. TV A great failing; I am an avid armchair sports viewer and can unintentionally spend several hours watching an action-packed sports programme. For news, I often watch Channel 4 News at 7 pm or Newsnight on BBC2, both of RADIO I usually listen to Radio 4’s Today programme on the way into work in the morning (the interviews by John Humphrys and James Naughtie are excellent) and Manx Radio at weekends. ADVERTS An all-time favourite was the Saatchi ‘Live Life with a Passion’ ad on TV when we lived in Hong Kong. I am also a big fan of our own HSBC worldwide ads which are fun and informative. Businessupdate SOCIALLY 18 Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 SO WHAT’S THE BIG OCCASION? Business &pleasure IT’S THE BUSINESS UPDATE BASH The popular Three Waiters entertained guests at Business Update’s official launch party which raised more than £19,000 for Hospice in the Isle of Man. ROYAL SKANDIA’S 25TH BIRTHDAY PARTY Staff of Island-based Royal Skandia celebrated the Skandia group’s 25th anniversary with a family-day bash at King William's College, attended by nearly 1,000 people. The event culminated in long-serving employee Aidan Moore winning a brand new silver Mini Cooper S. Pictured with Mr Moore is finance director John Hollis. Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 Businessupdate 19 MAKING A SPLASH More than 50 guests attended a function at which the star turn was the Aquada, the amphibian vehicle which Richard Branson used to smash the time record for crossing the Channel in a car. In James Bond style, guests got to drive around Castletown and down the slipway into the town’s harbour. Business &pleasure MEET AND GREET Recruitment company Search & Select threw a cocktail party for clients recently. Managing director Alan Burman chats to Gordon Lloyd-West and Keith Green. Search & Select staff Dee Bennett, Tina Fielding and Sally English. Businessupdate BOOKS 20 Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 ‘I got on ver y well with Stephen Byers but I ... suspect I hastened his going rather dramatically. Throughout my career I have had to badly let down people who hoped they were friends, and that is a moral dilemma.’ Andrew Marr, My Trade A short story of British journalism, published by Macmillan, priced £20.00, out now Review LINDESAY IRVINE Power is his trade S ome people lust after celebrity, ready to suffer any indignity in order to get on TV. Not Andrew Marr. The BBC’s political editor, whose cheerfully incisive reports reach millions, has a horror of becoming a star. Speaking in a rare free moment between delivering his Six O’Clock News report and catching his three children before bedtime, Andrew shudders at a recent description of himself as a ‘celebrity journalist’. ‘I don’t like it,’ he says. ‘I don’t think journalists are or should be celebrities, constantly in front of the public because of their clothes or their personal lives.’ He does seem wearily resigned to being a public figure, though, if not a “personality”. ‘If you’re on TV, yes, you’re going to get recognised a lot, and people are going to feel they know you, though they don’t, just because you’re there a lot of the time. I guess the important thing is not to play up to it.’ Certainly, however often he’s on TV, Andrew is not about to grow vain about his personal appearance. His distinctive, almost cartoonishly alert appearance, with FA Cup ears, receding hairline and chin vanishing beneath cheery jowls, has been ridiculed in the past, but he’s happy to join in. ‘I agree with that. I’m hideous! Completely hideous,’ he says. ‘The kids take the piss out of me the whole time about it. It’s quite amusing.’ For Andrew, what is fascinating about his job is the stories he finds, the people he meets, and their proximity to real power. He’s spent two decades in journalism, rising to become The Independent’s political correspondent while still in his twenties. At 36, he became — for a brief and traumatic period — a very young editor of the paper, before being sacked a couple of years later. Regrouping as a columnist, he went on to be appointed as the BBC’s political editor, where his friendly but penetrating despatches from the Westminster village have made him a firm favourite with viewers. After two decades on the political beat, his enthusiasm for the job is, if anything, keener than ever. ‘What the BBC political editor job gives you is this amazing range of things you can do. You can see almost anyone you want to in Government and Opposition, and talk to them publicly or privately. I feel genuinely privileged to be doing it.’ But if he’s enjoying himself, he’s also aware of some heavy question marks which hang over his chosen trade — and it’s this which has inspired him to write My Trade, a very personal and approachable history of journalism. ‘There aren’t any books for the general reader who just wants to know what we get up to, what we do and what it’s like. And so I really genuinely thought it would fill a hole.’ In characteristic fashion, the book trips along with almost puppyish enthusiasm, in a plain and approachable style, but also asks some searching questions. ‘I think everybody would accept that we live in a media culture in which journalism is enormously powerful, and yet because we journalists tend to set the terms of the debate, we very rarely talk about our power.’ At the moment, he says, there are some ‘severe problems’ — with public trust in journalism declining in tandem with circulations. ‘Probably the biggest problem we’ve got isn’t actually lack of privacy laws or corruption or FACTFILE Name: Andrew Marr Birth date: July 31, 1959 Significant other: Married to journalist Jackie Ashley Career high: Being appointed editor of The Independent Career low: Being sacked two years later Famous for: BBC politics reports Words of wisdom: ‘Producing a TV news bulletin is a very odd art. It’s sort of like a meal — there has to be a range of tastes and textures to keep people watching.’ anything like that. It’s actually that we’re too office-bound: we Google too much, we’re under too much pressure to be productive in a kind of banal way. And as a result, we are regurgitating too much, doing far too many stories which are simply secondhand.’ More happily, however, the history shows that many of what people consider recently acquired journalistic vices have actually been around since the printing press. ‘Absolutely everybody has always wanted to read sex stories. Journalists have always cheated, they’ve almost always been regarded as a bit shabby.’ And, although the Hutton Report’s damning verdict on the BBC’s reporting was, he says, ‘a wrenching and potentially devastating episode’, being in bother with government is hardly a novelty. ‘I think the BBC has mostly been at war with government one way or another, with rare intervals of armistice,’ he says. With his theoretical neutrality to remember, Andrew tries to be as diplomatic as he can about Lord Hutton’s conclusions over the controversial reports which preceded the apparent suicide of Iraqi weapons expert Dr David Kelly — but it’s clearly hard work. ‘How can I put this? All I can really say is that I was surprised by the language of his report. I’m not saying that he was got at or anything like that but like most people in the BBC I was pretty staggered. ‘I don’t think any of us had expected it to be, or to appear to be quite so one-sided.’ That said, he actually feels relations with politicians are improving from a few years ago. ‘I think we journalists became utterly contemptuous at times of Downing Street, and Downing Street behaved pretty appallingly at times to us. And I think both sides have realised that doesn’t do journalism any good and it certainly doesn’t do politics any good.’ This doesn’t mean a return to the more deferential style of interviewing that some have called for. ‘You’ve got to look at the history of all these things. Why does John Humphrys keep jabbing away at politicians? Answer, because they’ve all been taught how not to answer questions. ‘And they’ve been told it’s clever to say the same thing 97 times because that way it gets into the viewers’ minds, and never to answer the question because they’re told to say what YOU want to say. And if they carry on doing that then it drives interviewers, quite properly, nuts.’ So, he says, relations between politicians and journalists are always, and should be, ‘uneasy and edgy and difficult’. This edginess extends, in a very personal way, into Andrew’s own working life as a political journalist. Partly, this is a matter of resisting political pressure. He says it’s very important not to give way to pressure to deliver a certain angle. ‘You mustn’t show any sign of fear or of that being effective. Once you do that, you’ve had it.’ (He happily owns up to having been bawled out by Labour spin chief Alastair Campbell: ‘I bawled back.’) But it’s also a matter of not allowing personal friendships with politicians to compromise his reporting. ‘I got on very well with Stephen Byers, but I did a package which I suspect hastened his going rather dramatically. Throughout my career I have had to badly let down people who hoped they were friends, and that is a moral dilemma.’ But such scruples won’t put him off the job, and he dismisses rumours that he’s thinking of leaving. ‘I’ve never had a career plan. My only principle has been that as soon as you’re bored, you move on. And I’m not bored.’ Businessupdate SPOTLIGHT Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 21 Island companies A LOOK AT PROTOURS IoM What’s next, coach? Survival in the coach industry has required major changes in direction, as NICK YATES discovered when he talked to Protours chairman Roy Lightfoot. I n its tourist heyday the Isle of Man was a popular holiday destination for people all over the north of England. Many would come on foot via boat and the influx resulted in a flourishing Manx coach industry. However holidays abroad and a growing car culture has now meant coach companies, including the biggest in the Island, have had to differentiate to survive. Protours Isle Of Man started life in 1969 as Tours (Isle of Man) and grew rapidly on the back of the tourism industry, running 53 vehicles at its peak. With the reduction of that sector of business, the company has expanded into Island life and now has contracts with the Department of Education for school activities, the Department of Health for disabled transport, and even runs a late night weekend bus service between Douglas and Ramsey. The company became Protours in 2003 when it was bought out by a South African company. The newly branded firm is now controlled through Island-based Phoenix Securities, and is managed on a day-to-day basis by the chairman Roy Lightfoot, who has been with the company in its various incarnations since 1978. Mr Lightfoot is a Manxman with an affinity for the old days when coach tourism was a major way of life, but he has recognised that the company must grow and change with the times. ‘Our fleet dropped to 20 during the 80s so we began to diversify. We first took a party off the Island in 1982 and we now run 20 coach holidays throughout Europe, Ireland and the UK between May and December. We also do conference travel for the finance houses, we have a welfare arm that runs mini-buses for the disadvantaged and we do a lot of weddings and funerals. Seven or eight years ago we took the decision to fit seatbelts in all our coaches. This has paid dividends as we now also provide transport for school parties and school runs.’ He added: ‘In the early 80s commercial work had to fit in with our tourist requirements but by the late 80s it was our bread and butter. Until 1982 English coaches were not allowed into the Isle of Man, but the UK rail strike changed that. The strike together with the popularity of roll-on roll-off car ferries, created a problem for our business.’ Mr Lightfoot says that the Island’s economy has changed but he believes there are always opportunities for a coach company. He has started to cater for different types of tourists, such as golfers, and is working bus routes in partnership with the government. He has also found an opportunity to capitalise on the film industry. ‘We run an express bus service to Ramsey and the south and we like to think we complement the bus company. For example we run a bus service to Port Erin and Ramsey from Douglas at 5.40pm during ROY LIGHTFOOT: Recognised the company had to change with the times the week. I have also capitalised on the film industry. Some of the recent films shot in the Island have featured our old 1950s char-a-bancs — they hire them if they are shooting a period film.’ Protours has found that one new area of endeavour has not been as successful as hoped, considering the level of public support it received. The late-night bus between Ramsey and Douglas is a service that many Island residents had campaigned for, but Mr Lightfoot says the current uptake has been dissapointing. ‘Our late-night weekend bus service to Ramsey hasn’t worked despite all the vociferous noise there has been. The bus company doesn’t operate out of Douglas after 10.50pm so we provide a bus from Douglas to Ramsey at 12.30am and 02.15am and one from Ramsey at 12.20am, but the support for the service is so low that it just isn’t viable to continue.’ A focus on new markets has helped Protours to grow its fleet to 32 vehicles and produce a turnover of £1.5 million this year. Mr Lightfoot says that it remains profitable and he hopes it is set to increase following the purchase in April of a Wirral-based coach company, now called Protours UK Limited. The new company already runs 15 vehicles, and the recent investment of £500,000 in two new luxury coaches signifies its plans to expand further into the lucrative UK market. MW040922-2 Businessupdate YOUR PORTFOLIO 22 Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 PETER SHARKEY [email protected] EXAMINING THE P/Es A s autumn approaches, the objective observer, perusing the collection of weighted values that constitute the FTSE 100 index may conclude that, as it has traded within relatively narrow parameters since the beginning of the year, its constituent parts, i.e. share values, must have surely stagnated. Over the last 10 months, the index has occasionally threatened to either break loose and career upwards or else to plummet into the darkest recesses deep below the 3,500 mark. Neither scenario has transpired, yet while the index has traded within parameters less than 300 points apart, behind the scenes, share values have actually been getting progressively cheaper. This proves that trying to establish absolute truths from subjective measures (share values) is a tricky business because in the case of the stock market, the FTSE 100 index performance during 2004 reveals only half the story. As an alternative (some would say more reliable) indicator of company performance, many analysts prefer to use average price/earnings (p/e) ratios to determine whether a stock market is under or overvalued. Company earnings are actuals while share prices are subjective, determined Bigger picture is rosy UK shares are the cheapest in a long time by market sentiment. It follows that if a company share price is 100p and it reports earnings per share of 10p for the past year and anticipated earnings of 12.5p for the coming year, its p/e ratios are 10 for the past year and 8 for the coming one. As this ratio can be calculated for all quoted companies, the market average can also be established. Significantly, the average p/e ratio for FTSE 100 companies has been falling for over four years; at the peak of the dotcom boom, it stood at nearly 32, but by January 2004, it had fallen to 18.5. Today, it stands at less than 15 and projected earnings for the next 12 months suggest that by October 2005, the average p/e ratio of a FTSE 100 organisation will be 13. But what does this mean for the investor? One positive answer is to be found by taking a look at the ‘bigger picture’. As British p/e ratios have been falling, so too has the yield on US Treasury Bonds, to around 4.3 per cent, which in turn has resulted in a shift in international investor expectations. Because there has been a reduction in the returns investors may reasonably expect, suddenly, the apparently stagnant British stock market has begun to look full of value, particularly as average yields now exceed 3.3 per cent. It’s entirely possible that other factors are influencing the fall in p/e ratios, not least of which is the fact that some investors consider shares to be too risky and are simply prepared to pay less for them. Similarly, the increasing obligation companies have to underwrite pension liabilities is also a concern. These are important considerations, but as the income-generating capacity of an asset, in this case shares, is one of its major determinants of value, perhaps the pendulum has begun to swing in the investor’s favour. Average FTSE 100 companies are expected to deliver strong growth over the next 12 months, increasing earnings per share by a hefty 14 per cent. Granted, share buyback schemes tend to distort earnings in the positive sense, but they cannot fully account for what appears to be handsome growth prospects. Stock market investors who have stayed the equities course may not necessarily feel any better off this year, but they would have to conclude that today, UK shares are as cheap as they have been for some considerable time. THE PROPERTY MARKET P roperty investors have been listening to the siren calls of gloom and doom, those which consistently predict the forthcoming collapse of the property market on the jagged rocks of rising interest rates, for around 18 months now. The calls have become louder and increasingly doom-laden of late, particularly after one of Britain’s largest lenders, Halifax, announced that prices had fallen in August by 0.6 per cent. However, it’s important to differentiate between homeowners and property investors because such falls in value can have entirely different consequences. For the investor who wants to capitalise on his property gain, the obvious negative with which he now has to contend is liquidity, or rather a lack of it. Conversely, investors content with their yields and the cost of money will continue to benefit from changing demographics and the tendency of younger people to buy into the property market later than say, 15 years ago. Not a bad time to buy That buy-to-let could be good for 17 years if you aim for the right tenant Taking a long-term investment view of the property market has always been essential, but is even more so today as information regarding prices is right up to date and widely dispersed. It’s difficult to acquire a property in the UK for £50,000 less than it is worth and then quickly sell it on at a profit when the overwhelming majority of people know the value of their property to within £2.50. UK property values have risen in spectacular fashion over the past 50 years. In 1953, an average house cost £1,891; today, it is a shade over £153,000. Even taking account of inflation and running costs and assuming a reasonably constant yield, the real rate of return on property has been near to 7 per cent a year. Yet inevitably, property has not been a one-way bet. During the same 50-year period, there have been marked dips in property market performance. Prices fell between 1974 and 1977 and again between 1980 and 1982; more recently, when values began tumbling in 1989, they eventually fell by an average of 38 per cent. If property investors seek to realise profits in the current market, matters could prove a tad sticky due to a noticeable absence of liquidity, the immediate consequence of falling prices. Putting a property on the market with a 7 per cent yield could easily result in prospective purchasers, understandably anticipating a November rise in interest rates, making offers based on 8 per cent or even 9 per cent returns. This would reduce the selling price of the property by 12 per cent and 22 per cent respectively. However, property investors who have no need to sell will want to sit tight and may even come to see the falling market as an opportunity because, unlike previous occasions when prices have tumbled, demand for property, particularly new houses, is actually rising. According to the Office of the Deputy Prime Minister, the number of new households will increase at the rate of 189,000 a year, at least until 2021. Yet while planning regulations remain tight and housebuilders rein back plans to boost output as a consequence of the market downturn, it follows that one sector of the rental market, i.e. people aged between 22-34, should remain relatively buoyant. Ploughing money into buy-to-let properties is a complicated affair, especially when the market shows signs of falling, and the investor should have a clear view of the type of tenant who will want to rent his property. As more people are, out of necessity, renting for longer, this may not be a fantastic time to be selling property, but with estimated demand for property remaining fairly constant for the next 17 years, when interest rates next begin their downward move, it may not be a bad time to consider buying. Businessupdate SURVEY Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 23 Share dealing poll reveals some enlightening facts Investors' predictions of FTSE value in 6 months’ time: Women do it better FTSE Value Below 3,500 3,501 to 3,650 3,651 to 3,800 3,801 to 3,950 3,951 to 4,100 4,101 to 4,250 4,251 to 4,400 4,401 to 4,550 4,551 to 4,700 4,701 to 4,850 4,851 to 5,000 Above 5,000 When it comes to investing in shares, women have the edge over men ... and confidence in the FTSE remains strong. W omen are more successful at managing their share portfolios than men and older investors are more likely to make money on the stock market than younger groups, according to research conducted by Halifax Share Dealing. The poll of regular stockmarket players showed that confidence in the FTSE remains strong and investors are predicting month on month increases in value. As part of a new monthly survey into investors’ attitudes and predictions, the firm questioned more than 500 investors in August on their views of FTSE performance, investment trends and topical issues. According to the survey, 72 per cent of women’s portfolios stayed at the same value or rose, compared with 66 per cent of men’s portfolios. Overall, ‘grey haired investors’ were more successful than younger groups with 43 per cent of the 65-74 age group reporting their portfolios had risen in value compared with just 29 per cent of 25-34-year-olds. Investors were asked what value they thought the FTSE would reach in the future. Overall, confidence in the FTSE was strong with 85 per cent of investors predicting the value would stay the same or increase in six months’ time, when compared with the value of 4,306 on July 22, 2004. More than one third of respondents predicted a FTSE value of 4,401-4,551 would be reached in six months. When asked to make predictions over the next 12 months, the majority of investors (29%) thought the value would reach 4,400-4,550 points. Only 13 per cent of investors thought the value would fall in one year's time and 12 per cent predicted a value of 5,000-5,150 points would be reached. The research also asked investors what effect they thought the recent hike in oil prices would have on the value of the FTSE. Overall, 48 per cent of investors predicted the increases would have no effect on the value of the FTSE while 22 per cent predicted the value would increase and 30 per cent predicted the FTSE would fall in value. The 65-74 age group was the most optimistic with 29 per cent predicting the oil prices would make the FTSE go up compared with 18 per cent of 25-34-year-olds. Sue Concannon, managing director of Halifax Share Dealing, said: ‘This research is a fascinating view into investors’ predictions and attitudes of FTSE performance. ‘It is interesting that we are seeing women managing their portfolios better than men. The results suggest that women and older investors are generally more cautious which, in the current climate, seems to be a winning formula. It is encouraging that investors are optimistic in their predictions of the FTSE value and it will be interesting to see if their confidence will be proved right.’ Percentage 0.39% 0.00% 0.39% 1.17% 5.66% 6.84% 29.10% 35.94% 12.89% 3.71% 2.93% 0.98% Investors' predictions of FTSE value in one year's time: FTSE Value Below 4100 4,101 to 4,250 4,251 to 4,400 4,401 to 4,550 4,551 to 4,700 4,701 to 4,850 4,851 to 5,000 5,001 to 5,150 5,151 to 5,300 Above 5,300 Percentage 4.51% 2.35% 6.47% 29.02% 16.08% 19.80% 3.14% 11.57% 3.73% 3.33% Investors' predictions of FTSE value in five years’ time: FTSE Value Below 4,500 4,501 to 4,800 4,801 to 5,100 5,101 to 5,400 5,401 to 5,700 5,701 to 6,000 6,001 to 6,300 6,301 to 6,600 6,601 to 6,900 6,901 to 7,200 7,201 to 7,500 Above 7,500 Percentage 3.43% 9.88% 18.15% 6.65% 14.52% 21.77% 3.23% 8.47% 1.01% 6.65% 2.62% 3.63% Businessupdate IT & I 24 Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 Giles Turnbull takes a look at the new Amazon search machine and comes to the conclusion that, well — use it for a day instead of Google, and see what you think ... Have you A9ed anyone yet? browsing around ■ JK Rowling’s official website is full of fun www.jkrowling.com ■ Birdtrack is a new service for twitchers www.birdtrack.net ■ Learn some tricks from some trades www.tradetricks.org ■ Fading photographs from rural Romania www.nobodaddy.org ■ Giles Turnbull has a website at gorjuss.com W hen online bookseller Amazon announced a new search engine, a9.com, a few months ago, there was an initial flurry of excitement. This was something worth getting excited about: arguably the world’s best known internet retailer getting in on the search act. One of the few companies with the clout to threaten Google’s status as search site number one had actually gone ahead and created a search site. The initial excitement died down; few people took to using a9 instead of Google. People didn’t start talking about how they ‘a9ed’ a person or a thing, the way they talked about ‘Googling’ or ‘being Googled’. To be fair, the first announcement was of A9 as a development project. Just as Google did in its early days, it had ‘beta’ written large and clear on its front page, indicating in traditional geekspeak that what was on offer was not yet complete. Now, several months down the line, that’s all changed and a9.com has been officially declared open for business. The beta stage has been used to put the software through its paces and to create some innovative new features. But are they Googlebeaters? A9’s front page is Google-like in its simplicity, but hints at underlying depths. Visitors are asked to sign in for more features, and there are buttons on the right side of the window labelled ‘history’, ‘Bookmarks’, ‘Discover’ and ‘Diary’. What’s going on? Slap in a search term and the FIREFOX A BETTER BROWSER efficiency starts to emerge. If there are associated images, A9 loads them up in a column of their own. It turns out that each of the buttons on the right switches on (or off ) a particular sub-set of search results. Every search you make on A9 is remembered. You can flick back through past searches in the History section. You can add notes and annotations, and store thoughts about what you see in your A9 Diary. Years ago, there was talk of software migrating to the internet. People claimed that we’d all stop using traditional word processors and switch to web-based software that did the same job. Initial attempts to make such ‘webapps’ took the wrong approach — they tried to make the web page look like a application. If it looked like Word, people would be able to type in it. But these early efforts failed, because they were contained within a web browser window, and users had trouble understanding the idea of an app within an app. A9 is one of a new generation of webapps that takes the opposite route. It deliberately keeps the web page like a web page, because that’s what people browsing the web expect to see. The features it offers, and the interface it uses (involving lots of options for dragging things from one box to another), are very similar to the icons-and-windows approach used on millions of computers all over the world. People are well used to the idea of dragging something from one box to another, and are happy to do it within a web page. Trying to make that web page look like a normal program only confuses them. It remains to be seen if A9 can lure people away from the trusted arms of Google. Its close ties with Amazon will be seen as a blessing by some, and a cause for suspicion by others. The best thing for normal web users like you and I to do is give it a try. Use it for a day or so instead of Google, and see what you think. FIREFOX, the alternative web browser, has finally reached version 1.0 and is available for download from mozilla.org/projects/firefox. Why download it? It’s free, and it’s much better than your default browser, Internet Explorer, in many respects. It automatically blocks pop-up adverts, it lets you browse in multiple tabs (so you can have 10 websites loading in the background while you read another one in front), and is far more secure and safe to use. Do yourself and your computer a favour, and grab a copy today. GET OFFLINE AND TRY TALKING RELATE, the relationships charity, claims that the internet is partly to blame for increasing divorce rates. It’s all too easy for people to secretly contact old flames and make new friends online, without their spouses knowing, it says. A good excuse, perhaps, to switch off the PC as well as the TV, and sit down for a nice romantic meal. Businessupdate IoM LINE Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 25 ALISTAIR RAMSAY IoM Government press officer To a prosperous future T he Island has experienced unprecedented economic success over the past decade, with the annual gross domestic product more than doubling in real terms. GDP per head in the Isle of Man now exceeds that of the United Kingdom by 7 per cent and the average for the European Union (the EU 15) by 10 per cent. The period 1993-2000 saw economic growth accelerating before slowing in 2000/01. Since that year the economy has continued to grow at around 5 or 6 per cent per annum. In each of the last 20 years, therefore, the Isle of Man economy has recorded real growth — a remarkable achievement. This growth rate, one of the highest in Europe, has produced full employment and the revenue This month we look at government’s economic strategy, which might be summarised as taking a more focused approach to increasing the Isle of Man’s prosperity and standard of living. to modernise public services. However, the expansion has drawn in a considerable amount of imported labour, leading to concerns about rising population and pressures on the local infrastructure. The emphasis of the new economic strategy is to maximise productivity but minimise the requirement for large volumes of additional staff, while maintaining a flexible response to the fluctuating demands of the labour market. By and large the strategy incorporates policy priorities that already exist. At its core are the concepts of growth, diversification, low direct tax, and free markets and an awareness of the importance of external factors. The strategy would not alter the fiscal and monetary fundamentals of the economy, including the customs agreement, government’s statutory budget surplus, and the long-standing monetary union with the UK. One of the Island’s major assets, of course, is its people. A central plank of the strategy is the need to make the most of the community’s ‘human resources’ (to use that unattractive modern expression) in the form of the existing and potential workforce already resident here. Thus training and education are key themes, alongside measures to encourage more people to enter, or return to, the labour market. There may also be scope for more incentives to productivity, such as profit sharing. Market access — sustaining existing markets and exploring new ones — is a major consideration, as are initiatives in the direction of higher value and diversified activity. A strategic and co-ordinated approach to marketing is also identified as important. ‘Red tape’ is not the political hot topic in the Isle of Man that it is in the UK, but the effect of compliance on business competitiveness is a real issue. The formalisation of current legislative impact assessments may be one outcome of the strategy. When it comes to measuring success, the strategy sets such indicators as maintaining the Island’s GDP per head growth above the EU average and keeping unemployment below 2 per cent. Both of these are being achieved comfortably at present. The strategy reflects confidence that the Manx economy is now sufficiently robust and mature to allow a more targeted and selective approach to future development. It is a confidence based on the existing strengths and attractions of the Isle of Man, the ability of government and business to work together, and the Island’s reputation as a competitive but responsible centre for international business. Businessupdate MOTORING 26 Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 Ever yone’s flocking to buy the Mazda RX-8 Join the club The rotar y club Buyers are flocking to join the rotary club — and no wonder, writes PHIL VAUGHAN. Mazda’s long’n’low RX-8, with its unique rotary engine, is a world class coupe at a price that is as stunning as the sportster itself. At £22,100 for the more powerful of the two versions, a good deal simply becomes a steal ... M otoring magazine heavyweights such as Top Gear, What Car? and Auto Express have awarded the RX-8 their Coupe of the Year titles, no mean feat when you’re up against the likes of the excellent Audi TT, and the superlative Nissan 350Z. The rotary engine in the RX-8 is the Renesis development, which stands for rotary engine genesis. It’s a compact, lightweight unit, using twin rotors, each with a chamber capacity of 654cc, combining to form a powerful 1.3 litre unit. That might sound a small capacity, but the engine note emphasises the Mazda’s might. The RX-8 can punch in two big-hitter divisions, 228bhp and 189bhp. The maximum kick on the 228bhp six-speed manual transmission RX-8 is achieved at just over 8,000rpm — how many cars have you seen with a rev counter that registers 10,000rpm? — and it is capable of 146mph. The 0-62mph sprint is done in just 6.4 seconds, further testimony to the engine’s power efficiency, which, sadly, is not matched by fuel efficiency. Poor economy is one of the RX-8’s two drawbacks: the lowly 24.8 combined mpg figure is matched by the high 35 per cent tax rating, which comes on the back of the 284g per km emissions figure. But if the Inland Revenue holds no fears for you, then payback time comes out on the open road. The rear-drive RX-8 has the poise of a ballerina, and can burn through B-road bends without losing a millimetre of line, gripping tarmac like a limpet. Mazda has designed the RX-8's shape into a car of two halves. The two big front wheel arches frame a bonnet and grille that hints at a classic early Lotus look, giving it a very macho stance. That’s in complete contrast to the pert rear end, with gentler arches and more of a feminine look. Those reverse-opening doors become a sort of outsize B-pillar when closed, adding some solid back-up to the integral structural safety. What’s more, they provide easier access into the back seats, which themselves offer a far more comfortable alternative to other two-plus-two rivals. Given the unbeatable levels of safety and fitting-out, there’s just four optional extras for the RX-8: a £500 electric sunroof, leather upholstery at £1,500, a pack that provides both leather seating and a DVD satnav system for £3,000, and mica/metallic paint for £300. Standard RX-8 bumper to bumper Mazda RX-8 228bhp, £22,100. 189bhp version, £20,100. Bodyshell/drivetrain: 4.43m by 1.77m, 4-dr coupe; 654cc x 2 rotors (1.3 litre), 228bhp rotary engine, driving rear wheels through 6-speed manual gearbox. Company car tax liability: 284g per km C02 emissions (35% of cost of car when new, taxed). Performance/economy: top speed 146mph, 0-62mph in 6.4 seconds. Official fuel figures: city 17.9mpg, country 31.7mpg, combined 24.8mpg. Fuel tank: 61 litres. Insurance group: 16. Warranty: three years/60,000 miles. Website: www.mazda.co.uk 228bhp features are airbags all round, a BOSE audio system with six-disc autochanger, climate control, xenon headlights, 18-inch alloy wheels, anti-lock brakes with electronic force distribution, and a pretty, but unnecessary, alloy pedal set — no one ever sees them. There is, of course, an excellent range of bespoke accessories besides, including air dam skirts — and a special website, www.mazdarx8.co.uk, will provide a full list. With 25 international motoring awards under its belt so far, a strong foothold already on the race scene, and unbelievably reasonable pricing, the RX-8 is destined to eclipse the success of the RX-7, a million-plus seller between the 1978 and 2002 production years. Finally, if you’re thinking of steaming into your local Mazda showroom and demanding a discount, then forget it. They’re selling RX-8s as fast as they can get them on to garage forecourts, so it’ll be next year at least before the mania for this particular Mazda settles down enough for price-cut purposes. For trivia collectors: Mazda’s Wankel rotary engine first powered the Cosmo Sport 110S in 1967, and has since appeared in a total of 18 models, including coupés, saloons, a pickup, and even a bus — the Parkway Rotary 26. Businessupdate Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 27 Businessupdate professional services directory ACCOUNTANTS AIRLINES AND TRAVEL THE STEAM PACKET COMPANY. GOING YOUR WAY. For our latest fare offers and to book call 661 661, visit www.steam-packet.com or contact your travel agent. For freight enquiries call 645 620 BANKING AND FINANCE PRINT AND DESIGN Bank of Scotland Bridson and Horrox Limited International Prospect Hill, Douglas T 01624 644119 E johnmacnamara@ bankofscotlandint.iom PKF (Isle of Man) Limited PKF (Isle of Man) LLC Analyst House 20-26 Peel Road Douglas TEL: 652000 e-mail: [email protected] www.pkfiom.com PO Box 34, 12/13 Hill Street Douglas, Isle of Man IM99 1BW T 01624 637777 F 01624 637778/9 W www.bankofbermuda.com Alliance & Leicester 19/21 Prospect Hill, Douglas T 01624 663566 W www.alil.co.im T 01624 663311 F 01624 626345 E [email protected] W www.bridson-horrox.com RECRUITMENT BANKING AND FINANCE Bank of Bermuda (Isle of Man) Limited Print House, Hills Meadow, Douglas, Isle of Man IM1 5EB Lloyds TSB Hamblin Victory House, Prospect Hill, Hamblin House, Douglas 35 Victoria Street, Douglas, T 01624 638281 Isle of Man IM1 2LF E busbankingiom@ T 01624 620022 F 01624 677057 E [email protected] W www.hamblin.co.im lloydstsb-offshore.com BUSINESS OPPORTUNITY • Increase your profile • Target your audiance • Achieve results For details on how to best promote your Business please contact Sharon MacNamara on T 01624 695668 M 423368 Businessupdate BUSINESS SOLUTIONS Strengthen the Skills of your workforce For further details please call T 01624 696594/696572 E [email protected] GUEST HOUSE/ACCOMMODATION COMMUNICATIONS MOTORS Lansdowne Guest House Manx Telecom Limited Mylchreests Group Isle of Man Business Park, Cooil Road, Braddan, Isle of Man IM99 1HX Millmount, New Castletown Rd, Douglas, Isle of Man IM2 1HE • Conveniently located near finance sector and town centre • Very comfortable en-suite rooms with tea and coffee making facilities and TV For reservations please call us T (01624) 675947 102 Bucks Road Douglas T 01624 633633 F 01624 636011 W www.manx-telecom.com T 01624 623481 F 01624 661257 E [email protected] W www.mylchreests.com MEDIA Back page HOW THEY GET THEIR NEWS Page 17 businessupdate Isle of Man Examiner, October 2004 28 with: JOHN SHERROCKS Am I a grumpy old man who’s missing something or is reality TV plain voyeurism, mindless rubbish, or worse, as John Humphrys warns? R eality TV turns human beings into freaks for us to gawk at, according to John Humphrys. The erudite Today presenter believes Channel 4’s hit series Big Brother is ‘damaging’ and said the latest show had ‘bequested us a legacy; the way to get ratings is to get evil’. Humphrys told an audience of media executives at the Edinburgh TV festival that reality TV has ‘eroded the distinction between the public and private, which is a profoundly important aspect of our culture’. He expressed incredulity that programmes such as Your Face or Mine, The Pilot Show, Banzai and Nip/Tuck are considered quality TV. His address must have gone down like a thermometer in an Antarctic winter but the knowledge that I have something in common with the highly respected broadcaster left me feeling pretty chuffed. For my wife — an addict of the first Big Brother show — the shared opinion was merely confirmation that grumpy old men have closed minds. That sparked a rant from me about voyeurism and mindless rubbish, but it did nothing to dislodge the niggling doubt that I’m missing something. Reality TV has swept the world. Millions of Brits enjoy I’m a Celebrity Get Me out of Here or Wife Swap, a version of which debuted in the US last week to rave reviews. In Britain, viewing figures for the Big Brother 5 show peaked at nine million with total voting topping 14.7 million. When I started in newspapers I had it drummed into me that people like reading about people. Isn’t that what reality TV is all about? The popularity of reality TV is said to reflect changing audience expectations and new technologies; the Big Brother internet site gives followers the chance to customise their viewing — and to spy on cast Evil in the making members at any time of the day or night. The growth is also an indication just how far TV producers are willing to go to push up viewing figures. Gary Carter of Endemol, a key figure in the global distribution of Big Brother and Who Wants to be a Millionaire, believes viewers now want a degree of control over TV programmes and determining the final outcome of a show enables that. He attributes Big Brother’s huge success to this phenomenon. There’s also the ‘15 minutes of fame’ factor. The appearance of seemingly everyday people on TV makes us feel we are them and they are us. In a culture that showers so much attention and so many rewards on celebrities, the attraction is obvious. With reality TV, talent is a largely irrevelant factor. Then there’s the question of conversation around the water cooler. Knowing who got voted off Big Brother or was axed from I’m a Celebrity Get Me out of Here is essential pop-culture knowledge these days. According to some experts these programmes benefit us. The theory is that we learn from watching people overcome fears, strategise, assert themselves, acquire something they need and get people to co-operate with them. One of these proponents even likened reality TV to the ‘cinematherapy’ technique some psychologists use when they recommend certain films to patients: the movie’s message becomes more acceptable because it’s coded as entertainment. As for the question of voyeurism, Robert Thompson, head of the Centre for the Study of Popular Television at Syracuse University, maintains the tendency is nothing new. He said: ‘I’d argue ... there were cavemen peeking into the caves of others thousands of years ago.’ All that’s happened since is that technology has allowed us to perve far beyond our neighbour’s cave and society has a far more relaxed attitude. It is, however, interesting to note Thompson’s point that in America, Survivor, a more edited, cleaned-up programme, is the highest rated show, while Big Brother, which is ‘hard core’ as far as voyeurism is concerned, is struggling to keep an audience. ‘For most people, it seems, the closer we get to true voyeurism, the more bored we become. I know there are days in my life that not one thing I do in an entire 24 hour period would make anything close to compelling viewing,’ concludes Thompson. I know exactly how he feels. There’s also a claim that reality TV is helping to bridge political and cultural divides around the world. Last year Big Brother Africa — which featured contestants from a dozen African countries — united viewers across the continent. A Time magazine article noted that three decades after the concept of Pan-Africanism fizzled out, satellite TV is working where liberation philosophy did not: connecting and modernising Africa. ‘Shows like this may be superficial but they show Africans coming together in a way that’s often ahead of governments,’ David Mafabi, director of political affairs at the Uganda-based Secretariat of the Pan-African Movement, told Time. Some even argue that reality TV will help apathetic voters get to the ballot boxes. ITV is preparing to launch a new show next year called ‘Vote for Me’. The show will select 10 parliamentary hopefuls from auditions around the country before they are whittled down to a winner by a Pop Idol-style public vote. The TV station is claiming the show will ‘enrich’ democracy by getting people engaged in politics. The judging panel is to be chaired by former ITN political editor John Sergeant. Spin doctor Alastair Campbell believes the show will further undermine the public’s faith in the political system. He branded it’crass’ and ‘yet another crap reality TV show’. I couldn’t agree more. I also find the involvement of someone such as Sergeant will go a long way to blurring the gap between ‘news’ and ‘reality TV’. My wife would argue that we watch these shows purely for amusement and suspend disbelief just as we do when we go to the theatre. Having listened to the fans, I still remain convinced that these shows appeal to our baser instincts, including our perverse pleasure in seeing other people embarrass themselves. The evolution of reality TV has reinforced this belief. In America, the show Gana La Verda, features a 13-year-old Mexican girl swallowing 38 grams of live tequila worms. Her incentive was the promise of a Green Card. For other contestants the list of challenges has included munching live scorpions and lying in a sealed coffin with 500 rats. Bumfights is one of the most disgusting examples of TV, turning human suffering into so-called entertainment. The show features tramps brawling or engaging in bizarre stunts in exchange for food, alcohol and money. Humphrys believes TV is now a ‘battle between people who are concerned about society and those whose overwhelming interest is simply to make programmes that make money’. He believes there should be greater regulation of terrestrial TV and even possible government intervention to ensure standards are maintained. I feel that’s a step too far, preferring to take comfort from the fact that my wife’s interest in reality TV waned after the first show. Surely people will eventually get bored?