Document 6562963
Transcription
Document 6562963
ALKYL AMINES CHEMICALS LIMITED Result Update (PARENT BASIS): Q1 FY15 BUY CMP 377.00 Target Price 434.00 OCTOBER 11th 2014 ISIN: INE150B01021 Index Details SYNOPSIS Stock Data Sector BSE Code Face Value 52wk. High / Low (Rs.) Volume (2wk. Avg. Q.) Market Cap (Rs. in mn.) Commodity Chemicals 506767 5.00 410.60/73.00 2045 7695.32 Alkyl Amines Chemicals Limited is a global supplier of amines and amine-based chemicals to the pharmaceutical, agrochemical, rubber chemical & water treatment industries, among others. Annual Estimated Results (A*: Actual / E*: Estimated) YEARS FY14A Net Sales EBITDA Net Profit EPS P/E 4461.01 866.06 428.81 42.02 8.97 FY15E In Q1 FY15, Net profit jumps to Rs. 124.37 million an increase of 40.17% against Rs. 88.73 million in the corresponding quarter of previous year. FY16E 5326.45 1073.06 550.40 26.96 13.98 6194.66 1266.80 667.20 32.69 11.53 The company’s net sales registered 21.98% increase and stood at a record Rs. 1269.04 million from Rs. 1040.35 million over the corresponding quarter of previous year. Shareholding Pattern (%) Operating profit is Rs. 239.58 millions as against Rs. 186.06 million in the corresponding period of the previous year. Profit before tax (PBT) at Rs. 183.92 million in Q1 FY15 compared to Rs. 130.73 million in Q1 FY14, registered a growth of 40.69%. 1 Year Comparative Graph The company has reported an EPS of Rs. 12.19 for the 1st quarter as against an EPS of Rs. 8.69 in the corresponding quarter of the previous year. Net Sales and PAT of the company are expected to grow at a CAGR of 19% and 41% over 2013 to 2016E respectively. ALKYL AMINES CHEMICALS LTD BSE SENSEX PEER GROUPS CMP MARKET CAP EPS P/E (X) P/BV(X) DIVIDEND Company Name (Rs.) Rs. in mn. (Rs.) Ratio Ratio (%) 377.00 384.15 278.10 610.00 7695.32 97864.60 2052.30 5957.2 42.02 19.83 24.51 46.86 8.97 19.37 11.35 13.02 2.74 1.72 1.13 1.10 80.00 100.00 35.00 160.00 Alkyl Amines Chemicals Ltd. Tata Chemicals Ltd. Sukhjit Starch & Chemicals Ltd Navin Fluorine International Ltd QUARTERLY HIGHLIGHTS (PARENT BASIS) Results updates- Q1 FY15, Rs. In million June-14 June-13 % Change Net Sales 1269.04 1040.35 21.98 PAT 124.37 88.73 40.17 EPS 12.19 8.69 40.17 EBITDA 239.58 186.06 28.76 The company has achieved a turnover of Rs. 1269.04 million for the 1st quarter of the current year 2014-15 as against Rs. 1040.35 millions in the corresponding quarter of the previous year. EBITDA of Rs. 239.58 million in Q1 FY15 an increase of 28.76% against the corresponding period of last year. In Q1 FY15, net profit of Rs. 124.37 million against Rs. 88.73 million in the corresponding quarter of the previous year. The company has reported an EPS of Rs. 12.19 for the 1st quarter as against an EPS of Rs. 8.69 in the corresponding quarter of the previous year. Break up of Expenditure During the quarter, total Expenditure rose by 19 per cent mainly on account of increased Employee benefits Expenses by 20%, other expenditure by 2%, Depreciation 4% and Consumption of Raw materials by 2% are the primary attribute for the growth of expenditure. Total expenditure in Q1 FY15 stood to Rs. 1059.71 million as against Rs. 887.43 million in Q1 FY14. Break up of Expenditure (Rs. In millions) Q1 FY15 Q1 FY14 % Change Consumption of Raw Materials 643.28 629.84 2 Depreciation 26.92 26.00 4 Employee Benefit Expenses 77.27 64.27 20 Other Expenditure 226.59 222.01 2 COMPANY PROFILE Alkyl Amines Chemicals Limited is a global supplier of amines and amine-based chemicals to the pharmaceutical, agrochemical, rubber chemical & water treatment industries, among others. Alkyl's commitment to customer satisfaction by delivering quality products and services has helped it to become one of the world's leading amine manufacturers. The Company is in the business of manufacturing and marketing various aliphatic amines, amine derivatives and other speciality chemicals. It has two manufacturing sites with 9 production plants and related utilities at Patalganga and Kurkumbh in Maharashtra. The company has an R&D centre at Hadapsar, Pune. Over the last decade, the company had added various new product processes which were developed in the R&D to expand its product range through in-house technology. The first plant was commissioned in 1982 at Patalganga to make ethylamines with technology from Leonard Process Company, USA. Subsequently, the capacity at the site was expanded to manufacture other amines with technical know-how of Acid Amines Technologies, USA, and now hosts 2 multipurpose amines plants with a capacity exceeding 25000 MT/annum. In 1995 it started on its Kurkumbh complex where various amines and amine derivatives are currently being manufactured in 7 production plants with a capacity exceeding 30000 MT/annum. In the last decade, the company has added various facilities to manufacture a wide range of speciality chemicals with its in-house developed technologies. AACL is a global supplier of amines and aminebased chemicals to the pharmaceutical, agrochemical, rubber chemical and water treatment industries, among others. It has established a leading position in the domestic market and presence in the international market with a reputation for reliable service and quality products. Products • Aliphatic Amines • Paint Additives • Amine Derivatives • PU Additives • Fine Chemicals • Care Chemicals • Release Agents • Primene Amines FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHT (PARENT BASIS) (A*- Actual, E* -Estimations & Rs. In Millions) Balance Sheet as at March 31, 2013 -2016E I. FY13A FY14A FY15E FY16E a) Share Capital 102.06 102.06 102.06 102.06 b) Reserves and Surplus 966.45 1299.80 1546.76 1794.24 Sub-Total-Net worth 1068.51 1401.86 1648.82 1896.30 a) Long-term borrowings 599.67 648.42 713.26 777.46 b) Deferred Tax Liabilities [Net] 182.77 210.02 239.42 270.55 c) Long Term Provisions 20.39 18.33 19.25 20.02 Sub-Total-Long term liabilities 802.83 876.77 971.93 1068.02 a) Short-term borrowings 734.72 705.65 684.48 670.79 b) Trade Payables 379.07 491.16 604.13 712.87 c) Other Current Liabilities 255.81 303.80 355.45 401.65 d) Short Term Provisions 78.38 104.89 125.87 146.01 1447.98 1605.50 1769.92 1931.32 3319.32 3884.13 4390.67 4895.64 1259.96 1536.90 1768.28 2007.00 EQUITY AND LIABILITIES: A. Shareholders’ Funds B. Non-Current Liabilities: C. Current Liabilities: Sub-Total-Current Liabilities TOTAL-EQUITY AND LIABILITIES (A+B+C) II. ASSETS: D. Non-Current Assets: Fixed Assets i. Tangible Assets ii. Intangible Assets 1.07 11.10 19.76 31.61 iii. Capital Work-in-Progress 73.21 16.93 7.79 4.28 iv. Intangible Asset Under Development 16.06 8.96 9.41 10.16 1350.30 1573.89 1805.24 2053.06 b) Other non-current assets 0.00 29.46 33.00 35.63 c) Non Current Investments 23.43 22.60 23.05 23.74 d) Long Term Loans and Advances 148.48 113.87 102.48 93.77 1522.21 1739.82 1963.77 2206.21 a) Inventories 726.86 827.18 909.90 982.69 b) Trade Receivables 759.65 897.98 1014.72 1117.22 c) Cash and Bank Balances 154.37 228.58 281.15 337.38 d) Short Term Loans and Advances 153.26 186.81 216.70 247.04 e) Other Current Assets 2.97 3.76 4.44 5.10 Sub-Total-Current Assets 1797.11 2144.31 2426.91 2689.43 3319.32 3884.13 4390.67 4895.64 a) Sub-Total-Fixed Assets Sub-Total-Non-Current Assets E. Current Assets: TOTAL-ASSETS (D+E) Annual Profit & Loss Statement for the period of 2013 to 2016E Value(Rs.in.mn) FY13A FY14A FY15E FY16E Description 12m 12m 12m 12m 3658.60 4461.01 5326.45 6194.66 Other Income 13.38 20.48 34.41 46.45 Total Income 3671.98 4481.49 5360.85 6241.11 Expenditure -3082.98 -3615.43 -4287.79 -4974.31 Operating Profit 589.00 866.06 1073.06 1266.80 Interest -129.38 -122.42 -129.77 -136.25 Gross profit 459.62 743.64 943.30 1130.54 Depreciation -100.34 -97.39 -116.87 -133.23 Profit Before Tax 359.28 646.25 826.43 997.31 Tax -119.96 -217.44 -276.03 -330.11 Net Profit 239.32 428.81 550.40 667.20 Equity capital 102.06 102.06 102.06 102.06 Reserves 1026.11 1299.80 1850.20 2517.40 Face value 10.00 10.00 5.00 5.00 EPS 23.45 42.02 26.96 32.69 Net Sales Quarterly Profit & Loss Statement for the period of 31 Dec, 2013 to 30 Sep, 2014E Value(Rs.in.mn) 31-Dec-13 31-Mar-14 30-Jun-14 30-Sep-14E Description 3m 3m 3m 3m 1042.50 1242.14 1269.04 1375.64 Other income 18.70 7.37 3.33 3.83 Total Income 1061.20 1249.51 1272.37 1379.47 Expenditure -836.15 -1003.25 -1032.79 -1107.39 Operating profit 225.05 246.26 239.58 272.08 Interest -28.36 -33.67 -28.74 -29.31 Gross profit 196.69 212.59 210.84 242.76 Depreciation -28.45 -29.13 -26.92 -28.16 Profit Before Tax 168.24 183.46 183.92 214.61 Tax -56.39 -63.68 -59.55 -72.11 Net Profit 111.85 119.78 124.37 142.50 Equity capital 102.06 102.06 102.06 102.06 Face value 10.00 10.00 10.00 5.00 EPS 10.96 11.74 12.19 6.98 Net sales Ratio Analysis Particulars FY13A FY14A FY15E FY16E EPS (Rs.) 23.45 42.02 26.96 32.69 EBITDA Margin (%) 16.10 19.41 20.15 20.45 PBT Margin (%) 9.82 14.49 15.52 16.10 PAT Margin (%) 6.54 9.61 10.33 10.77 P/E Ratio (x) 16.08 8.97 13.98 11.53 ROE (%) 21.21 30.59 28.19 25.47 ROCE (%) 27.99 34.96 35.52 34.42 Debt Equity Ratio 1.18 0.97 0.72 0.55 EV/EBITDA (x) 8.54 5.74 8.21 6.95 110.54 137.36 95.64 128.33 3.41 2.74 3.94 2.94 Book Value (Rs.) P/BV Charts OUTLOOK AND CONCLUSION At the current market price of Rs. 377.00, the stock P/E ratio is at 13.98 x FY15E and 11.53 x FY16E respectively. Earnings per share (EPS) of the company for the earnings for FY15E and FY16E are seen at Rs.26.96 and Rs.32.69 respectively. Net Sales and PAT of the company are expected to grow at a CAGR of 19% and 41% over 2013 to 2016E respectively. On the basis of EV/EBITDA, the stock trades at 8.21 x for FY15E and 6.95 x for FY16E. Price to Book Value of the stock is expected to be at 3.94 x and 2.94 x respectively for FY15E and FY16E. We expect that the company surplus scenario is likely to continue for the next three years, will keep its growth story in the coming quarters also. We recommend ‘BUY’ in this particular scrip with a target price of Rs.434.00 for Medium to Long term investment. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW The Chemical Industry is critical for the economic development of our country, providing products and enabling technical solutions in virtually all sectors of the economy. The Indian Chemical Council (ICC; Mumbai) and analysts say that demand for chemical products continues to rise in India. “Disposable surplus income is rising in India, and the increasing standard of living leads to growth in consumption of consumer goods, which results in greater demand for chemical products. Per capita consumption in India for products such as plastics and paints is still well below the global average. Despite that, the overall demand for chemicals in India will continue to remain strong in 2014. The Indian chemical industry has always grown 1–2% above the overall GDP growth rate in the country. This trend will continue, and the chemical industry in India will grow about 2% above the GDP growth rate in 2014. Certain specialty chemicals, such as personal-care ingredients, additives, active pharmaceutical ingredients, paints and coatings, construction chemicals, and water chemicals, are likely to grow strongly. “Also, there has been an increase in activities by Indian players in these segments with respect to expansions—both organic and inorganic.” Commodity and bulk chemicals are expected to slow in 2014 because of lower growth in end-user segments. Disclaimer: This document prepared by our research analysts does not constitute an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. The information contained herein is from publicly available data or other sources believed to be reliable but do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such. Firstcall India Equity Advisors Pvt. Ltd. or any of it’s affiliates shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. This document is provide for assistance only and is not intended to be and must not alone be taken as the basis for an investment decision. Firstcall India Equity Research: Email – [email protected] C.V.S.L.Kameswari Pharma U. Janaki Rao Capital Goods B. Anil Kumar Auto, IT & FMCG M. Vinayak Rao Diversified C. Bhagya Lakshmi Diversified B. Vasanthi Diversified Firstcall India also provides Firstcall India Equity Advisors Pvt.Ltd focuses on, IPO’s, QIP’s, F.P.O’s,Takeover Offers, Offer for Sale and Buy Back Offerings. Corporate Finance Offerings include Foreign Currency Loan Syndications, Placement of Equity / Debt with multilateral organizations, Short Term Funds Management Debt & Equity, Working Capital Limits, Equity & Debt Syndications and Structured Deals. Corporate Advisory Offerings include Mergers & Acquisitions(domestic and cross-border), divestitures, spin-offs, valuation of business, corporate restructuring-Capital and Debt, Turnkey Corporate Revival – Planning & Execution, Project Financing, Venture capital, Private Equity and Financial Joint Ventures Firstcall India also provides Financial Advisory services with respect to raising of capital through FCCBs, GDRs, ADRs and listing of the same on International Stock Exchanges namely AIMs, Luxembourg, Singapore Stock Exchanges and other international stock exchanges. For Further Details Contact: 3rd Floor,Sankalp,The Bureau,Dr.R.C.Marg,Chembur,Mumbai 400 071 Tel. : 022-2527 2510/2527 6077/25276089 Telefax : 022-25276089 E-mail: [email protected] www.firstcallindiaequity.com