Punching above its weight

Public Transportation│Singapore
November 13, 2014
3QFY14 RESULTS NOTE
ComfortDelGro
CD SP / CMDG.SI
Market Cap
Avg Daily Turnover
Free Float
US$4,345m
US$9.63m
59.0%
S$5,604m
S$12.25m
2,086 m shares
Current
S$2.62
Target
S$3.11
Prev. Target
Up/Downside
S$2.88
18.7%
Conviction|
|
Punching above its weight
CIMB Analyst(s)
—————————————————————————————————————————
Gary NG
T (65) 6210 8699
E [email protected]
CD’s 3Q14 and 9M14 results were slightly ahead of our expectations, with net
profits meeting 29% and 79%, respectively, of our FY14 forecast due to lower
minority interest leakages. We increase our FY14 EPS by 4% to reflect that,
and raise our DCF-based target price (6.5% WACC) in anticipation of better
earnings visibility beyond FY16. Catalysts include reduced capex and overall
improvements in CD’s cashflow profile and balance sheet allowing it to boost
its overseas growth to support progressively higher dividends. Reiterate Add.
Domestic operations progressing well
Share price info
Share price perf. (%)
1M
3M
12M
Relative
2.9
2.2
33.9
Absolute
6.1
2.3
Major shareholders
38.3
% held
Blackrock
Capital Group
Silchester Int'l Investors
6.7
6.4
4.9
Show Style "View Doc Map"
CD’s 3Q14 revenue rose by 6% yoy on broad-based growth. Overseas business
accounted for 40.3% of the group’s revenue and 46.4% of its operating profit.
This suggests that domestic operations are improving. CD’s operating costs
rose, mainly due to higher energy, repair and maintenance, and staff costs, as
well as the FX effect. The group's 3Q14 EBIT margin was largely unchanged at
11.9%. The rail segment posted an EBIT increase, but it was not reflective of its
NEL line’s improvements due to DTL 1’s operating losses. Management hinted
at a mid-2016 timeframe for DTL 1 to break even, once DTL 2 commences
operations. Otherwise, Singapore Bus is loss-making, if not for the advertising
income attached to SBS-Transit.
Looking beyond results
The UK operations were the main reasons for the spike in fuel costs (related to
fuel duty). Fuel hedging in Singapore has largely been taken care of, with 70%
of the fuel hedged for FY15 at a lower rate than in FY14. CD has also taken
advantage of the current lower fuel prices by hedging some of its FY16’s needs.
The Australia Region 4 bus routes are expected to step up in contribution over
time, while the group looks to revamp and update its own taxis’ booking apps
to stem leakages in taxi booking fees.
Assets disposal angle could unlock more value
The CIMB Stock Selection Tools (SST) are designed to
complement and enhance the investment decision making
process. The SST incorporate a range of analytical tools,
providing ready access to key company and market data,
valuation tools and charts. If you are interested in subscribing to
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manager.
Our DCF-based target price is pushed up largely due to the improving cashflow
CD is enjoying. Overseas ventures yield higher profit margins and this will, over
time, be a proportionately bigger contributor to the group. Funding for such
acquisitions is not an issue given CD’s balance sheet. Our forecast excludes the
c.S$1bn (or c.S$0.47/share) worth of bus asset disposals/transfers under the
eventual cost-plus bus contracting model.
Results Comparison
FYE Dec (S$ m)
Revenue
Operating costs
EBITDA
EBITDA margin (%)
Depn & amort.
EBIT
Interest expense
Interest & invt inc
Associates' contrib
Pretax profit
Tax
Tax rate (%)
Minority interests
Net profit
EPS (S cts)
Core EPS (cts)
3Q
FY14
1,037.3
(823.5)
213.8
20.6
(89.9)
123.9
(5.6)
3.9
0.3
122.5
(25.1)
20.5
(16.6)
80.8
3.8
3.8
3Q
FY13
978.4
(771.7)
206.7
21.1
(84.3)
122.4
(7.0)
4.1
0.2
119.7
(24.8)
20.7
(18.2)
76.7
3.6
3.6
yoy %
chg
6.0
6.7
3.4
6.6
1.2
(20.0)
(4.9)
50.0
2.3
1.2
(8.8)
5.3
4.7
12.2
qoq % 3QFY14 3QFY13
chg
cum
cum
2.1
3,004.4
2,757.6
1.9 (2,396.5) (2,175.5)
2.9
607.9
582.1
20.2
21.1
2.3
(262.6)
(251.2)
3.3
345.3
330.9
(5.1)
(17.4)
(21.1)
56.0
9.0
8.9
2.1
2.0
4.7
339.0
320.7
(0.8)
(72.5)
(68.5)
21.4
21.4
3.8
(46.7)
(48.9)
6.7
219.8
203.3
7.1
10.3
9.6
7.1
10.3
9.6
yoy %
Prev. Comments
chg
FY14F
8.9
3,909.9 In line, 40.3% of revenue from overseas in 3Q14
10.2 (3,092.7) Higher staff costs, fuel costs (fuel duty in UK bus)
4.4
817.2 In line, 3Q14 EBITDA 26% to our FY14 est.
20.9 Margins were stable and in line with expectations
4.5
(342.3) Newer bus fleet & COE for taxis replacement
4.4
474.9 Overseas ops 46.4% of EBIT in 3Q14
(17.5)
(40.4) UK/Ireland contributed 42.3% to overseas EBIT
1.1
7.8 Outperforming returns
5.0
7.8 Muted contributions from associates
5.7
450.1 In line with our forecasts
5.8
(94.5)
21.0
(4.5)
(78.2) Lesser M.I leakages resulted in results beat
8.1
277.4 PATMI +5.3% yoy in 3Q14 and 8.1% in 9M14
7.2
13.1 3Q14 met 29% of our FY14 est.
7.2
13.1 9M14 met 79% of our FY14 est.
SOURCE: CIMB, COMPANY REPORTS
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES, INCLUDING ANY REQUIRED RESEARCH CERTIFICATIONS, ARE PROVIDED AT THE END OF THIS REPORT.
Designed by Eight, Powered by EFA
ComfortDelGro│Singapore
November 13, 2014
Price Close
Financial Summary
Relative to FSSTI (RHS)
2.80
2.60
134.0
2.40
124.0
2.20
114.0
2.00
104.0
1.80
20
94.0
15
Vol m
10
5
Nov-13
Feb-14
May-14
Aug-14
Source: Bloomberg
52-week share price range
2.62
2.70
1.89
3.11
Current
Target
Revenue (S$m)
Operating EBITDA (S$m)
Net Profit (S$m)
Core EPS (S$)
Core EPS Growth
FD Core P/E (x)
DPS (S$)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x)
P/FCFE (x)
Net Gearing
P/BV (x)
ROE
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
CIMB/consensus EPS (x)
Dec-12A
3,545
735.3
248.9
0.12
5.65%
21.95
0.065
2.46%
8.29
23.45
0.3%
2.72
12.8%
Dec-13A
3,748
763.7
263.2
0.13
5.75%
20.76
0.071
2.72%
7.96
21.16
(0.8%)
2.54
12.6%
Dec-14F
3,910
817.2
289.1
0.14
9.85%
18.90
0.078
2.99%
7.45
26.58
(2.2%)
2.40
13.0%
4.23%
1.05
Dec-15F
4,024
853.2
296.5
0.14
2.56%
18.43
0.080
3.07%
7.03
16.18
(7.4%)
2.27
12.6%
0.00%
1.01
Dec-16F
4,190
884.2
314.8
0.15
6.17%
17.36
0.085
3.26%
6.50
10.96
(16.3%)
2.15
12.7%
0.00%
0.99
SOURCE: CIMB, COMPANY REPORTS
Figure 1: Segmental performance
Revenue
FYE Dec (S$'m)
3Q14
Bus
527.5
Rail
51.0
Taxi
327.1
Auto Eng / diesel sales
77.4
Others
54.3
Total
1,037.3
3Q13 yoy Chg
2Q14 qoq Chg Comments
502.6
5% 516.5
2% S'pore +3.1%, UK up through Metroline and FX; Australia down
42.0
21%
48.8
5% Ridership increase: NEL +7.1% yoy; LRTs +9.5%, DTL avg ridership 68K
303.1
8% 320.1
2% Broad base growth except Australia. Strong demand in S'pore & UK
78.0
-1%
77.7
0% Higher vehicle maintenance and servicing
52.7
3%
53.2
2%
978.4
6% 1,016.3
2% Overseas business 40.3% of group revenue in 3Q14
EBIT
FYE Dec (S$'m)
Bus
Rail
Taxi
Auto Eng / diesel sales
Others
Total
3Q14
45.4
2.2
43.0
16.1
17.2
123.9
3Q13 yoy Chg
51.0
-11%
0.0
NA
42.1
2%
13.1
23%
16.2
6%
122.4
1%
EBIT Margin
FYE Dec (%)
Bus
Rail
Taxi
Auto Eng / diesel sales
Others
Total
3Q14
8.6%
4.3%
13.1%
20.8%
31.7%
11.9%
3Q13 yoy Chg
10.1%
-1.5%
0.0%
4.3%
13.9%
-0.7%
16.8%
4.0%
30.7%
0.9%
12.5%
-0.6%
2Q14 qoq Chg
48.1
-6% Overseas bus business accounted for 86.8% of bus EBIT
2.5
-12% DTL1 still losing money despite rise in ridership, breakeven likely mid-16
41.2
4% Overseas taxi business accounted for 33.5% of taxi operating profit
11.4
41%
16.7
3%
119.9
3% Overseas business 46.4% of group EBIT in 3Q14
2Q14 qoq Chg
9.3%
-0.7%
5.1%
-0.8%
12.9%
0.3%
14.7%
6.1% Combination of volume and diesel prices resulted in better margins
31.4%
0.3%
11.8%
0.1%
SOURCES: CIMB, COMPANY REPORTS
Figure 2: Revenue guidance – largely positive tone
SOURCE: CIMB RESEARCH, COMPANY
2
ComfortDelGro│Singapore
November 13, 2014
Figure 3: Overseas contribution was 40.3% of group revenue and 46.4% of EBIT in 3Q14
SOURCE: CIMB RESEARCH, COMPANY
Figure 4: Peers Comparison
Recom.
Price
(lcl curr)
Target
Price
(lcl curr)
Market
Cap
(US$ m)
CD SP
MRT SP
Add
Add
2.62
1.59
3.11
1.82
4,345
1,871
18.9
30.5
24.7
Thailand
BTS Group
Simple average
BTS TB
Add
10.50
11.00
3,780
Indonesia
Express Transindo Utama Tbk PT
Simple average
TAXI IJ
NR
1,135
NA
66 HK
NR
31.10
NA
Bloomberg
Ticker
Singapore
ComfortDelGro
SMRT Corporation
Simple average
Company
Hong Kong
MTR Corp Ltd
Simple average
Simpler average (all co)
3-year EPS
CAGR (%)
P/BV (x)
CY2014
Recurring
ROE (%)
CY2014
Dividend
Yield (%)
CY2014
18.4
26.2
22.3
5.1%
19.8%
12.4%
2.40
2.87
2.63
13.2%
9.7%
11.5%
3.0%
1.4%
2.2%
54.9
54.9
49.0
49.0
13.7%
13.7%
2.19
2.19
4.1%
4.1%
5.9%
5.9%
200
16.7
16.7
14.0
14.0
19.7%
19.7%
2.69
2.69
15.7%
15.7%
1.1%
1.1%
23,353
17.4
17.4
16.1
16.1
-5.9%
-5.9%
1.14
1.14
6.9%
6.9%
3.1%
3.1%
28.4
25.3
10.0%
2.16
9.5%
3.1%
Core P/E (x)
CY2014 CY2015
SOURCES: CIMB, COMPANY REPORTS, BLOOMBERG
3
ComfortDelGro│Singapore
November 13, 2014
Balance Sheet
Profit & Loss
(S$m)
Total Net Revenues
Gross Profit
Operating EBITDA
Depreciation And Amortisation
Operating EBIT
Financial Income/(Expense)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI)
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit
Taxation
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit
Recurring Net Profit
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit
Dec-13A
3,748
1,091
764
(337)
426
(16)
4
0
414
0
414
(87)
Dec-14F
3,910
1,162
817
(342)
475
(33)
8
0
450
0
450
(95)
Dec-15F
4,024
1,206
853
(352)
502
(32)
8
0
477
0
477
(100)
Dec-16F
4,190
1,261
884
(356)
528
(32)
8
0
505
0
505
(106)
327
(64)
0
356
(66)
0
377
(80)
0
399
(84)
0
263
263
263
289
289
289
297
297
297
315
315
315
(S$m)
Total Cash And Equivalents
Total Debtors
Inventories
Total Other Current Assets
Total Current Assets
Fixed Assets
Total Investments
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets
Total Non-current Assets
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities
Shareholders' Equity
Minority Interests
Total Equity
Cash Flow
Dec-14F
873
339
78
5
1,295
2,865
78
687
310
3,941
218
Dec-15F
1,043
343
80
5
1,471
2,913
86
687
310
3,997
218
Dec-16F
1,363
348
84
5
1,800
2,828
95
687
310
3,919
218
665
179
1,063
590
586
217
1,022
590
604
222
1,044
590
629
228
1,075
590
146
735
493
2,290
2,155
640
2,795
146
735
493
2,249
2,280
706
2,987
146
735
493
2,272
2,409
787
3,196
146
735
493
2,303
2,546
871
3,417
Key Ratios
(S$m)
EBITDA
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid
Cashflow From Operations
Capex
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Financing
Total Cash Generated
Free Cashflow To Equity
Free Cashflow To Firm
Dec-13A
763.7
(4.0)
5.8
Dec-14F
817.2
(7.8)
(92.1)
Dec-15F
853.2
(8.0)
11.4
Dec-16F
884.2
(8.4)
16.6
(349.4)
359.7
(27.4)
(78.1)
670.3
(500.1)
(44.1)
0.0
12.4
(531.8)
119.7
0.0
0.0
(137.8)
(367.0)
382.7
(40.4)
(56.9)
635.6
(430.0)
0.0
0.0
0.0
(430.0)
0.0
0.0
0.0
(163.4)
(375.9)
392.0
(40.4)
(94.5)
737.7
(400.0)
0.0
0.0
0.0
(400.0)
0.0
0.0
0.0
(167.6)
(379.6)
396.3
(40.4)
(100.2)
768.5
(350.0)
80.0
0.0
0.0
(270.0)
0.0
0.0
0.0
(178.0)
7.2
(10.9)
127.6
258.2
165.9
0.0
(163.4)
42.1
205.6
246.0
0.0
(167.6)
170.1
337.7
378.1
0.0
(178.0)
320.6
498.5
538.9
Revenue Growth
Operating EBITDA Growth
Operating EBITDA Margin
Net Cash Per Share (S$)
BVPS (S$)
Gross Interest Cover
Effective Tax Rate
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days
Inventory Days
Accounts Payables Days
ROIC (%)
ROCE (%)
45.0
Avg fare/trip (%chg,main prod/serv)
Ridership grth (%,main prod/serv)
Avg fare/trip (%chg,2ndary prod/serv)
Ridership grth (%,2ndary prod/serv)
40.0
35.0
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
Jan-11
Jan-12
Dec-13A
5.71%
3.86%
20.4%
0.01
1.03
15.56
21.0%
56.5%
11.68
8.83
89.73
10.9%
11.0%
Dec-14F
4.33%
7.00%
20.9%
0.03
1.09
11.76
21.0%
56.5%
10.67
9.88
83.11
11.8%
11.5%
Dec-15F
2.93%
4.40%
21.2%
0.11
1.16
12.42
21.0%
56.5%
10.79
10.28
77.07
12.0%
11.6%
Dec-16F
4.13%
3.63%
21.1%
0.27
1.22
13.08
21.0%
56.5%
10.76
10.26
76.97
12.5%
11.6%
Dec-13A
N/A
8.2%
N/A
7.5%
Dec-14F
N/A
5.0%
N/A
13.0%
Dec-15F
N/A
3.0%
N/A
4.0%
Dec-16F
N/A
5.0%
N/A
8.0%
Key Drivers
12-month Forward Rolling FD P/E (x)
50.0
0.0
Jan-10
Dec-13A
831
334
71
5
1,240
2,777
71
687
310
3,845
218
Jan-13
Jan-14
BTS Group
ComfortDelGro
Express Transindo Utama
SMRT Corporation
4
ComfortDelGro│Singapore
November 13, 2014
#01
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(i) As of November 13, 2014 CIMB has a proprietary position in the securities (which may include but not limited to shares, warrants, call
warrants and/or any other derivatives) in the following company or companies covered or recommended in this report:
(a) BTS Group, ComfortDelGro, SMRT Corporation
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(a) The information contained in this research report is prepared from data believed to be correct and reliable at the time of issue of this report. CIMB
5
ComfortDelGro│Singapore
November 13, 2014
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ComfortDelGro│Singapore
November 13, 2014
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This publication is strictly confidential and is for private circulation only to clients of CIMBS. This publication is being supplied to you strictly on the
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of the following securities. Investors should carefully read and study the details of the derivative warrants in the prospectus before making
investment decisions.
AAV, ADVANC, AMATA, ANAN, AOT, AP, ASP, BANPU, BAY, BBL, BCH, BCP, BEC, BECL, BGH, BH, BIGC, BJC, BJCHI, BLA, BLAND, BMCL,
BTS, CENTEL, CK, CPALL, CPF, CPN, DCC, DELTA, DEMCO, DTAC, EARTH, EGCO, ERW, ESSO, GFPT, GLOBAL, GLOW, GUNKUL,
HEMRAJ, HMPRO, INTUCH, IRPC, ITD, IVL, JAS, KBANK, KCE, KKP, KTB, KTC, LH, LOXLEY, LPN, M, MAJOR, MC, MCOT, MEGA, MINT,
NOK, NYT, PS, PSL, PTT, PTTEP, PTTGC, QH, RATCH, ROBINS, RS, SAMART, SCB, SCC, SCCC, SIRI, SPALI, SPCG, SRICHA, STA, STEC,
STPI, SVI, TASCO, TCAP, TFD, THAI, THCOM, THRE, THREL, TICON, TISCO, TMB, TOP, TPIPL, TTA, TTCL, TTW, TUF, UMI, UV, VGI, TRUE,
WHA.
Corporate Governance Report:
The disclosure of the survey result of the Thai Institute of Directors Association (“IOD”) regarding corporate governance is made pursuant to the
policy of the Office of the Securities and Exchange Commission. The survey of the IOD is based on the information of a company listed on the
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investor. The result, therefore, is from the perspective of a third party. It is not an evaluation of operation and is not based on inside information.
The survey result is as of the date appearing in the Corporate Governance Report of Thai Listed Companies. As a result, the survey result may
be changed after that date. CIMBS does not confirm nor certify the accuracy of such survey result.
Score Range:
Description:
90 - 100
Excellent
80 - 89
Very Good
70 - 79
Good
Below 70 or
N/A
No Survey Result
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ComfortDelGro│Singapore
November 13, 2014
the original recipient and may not be reproduced or used for any other purpose. Further, the information contained in this report is not intended to
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Distribution of stock ratings and investment banking clients for quarter ended on 30 September 2014
1552 companies under coverage for quarter ended on 30 September 2014
Rating Distribution (%)
Add
54.9%
Hold
29.5%
Reduce
15.6%
Investment Banking clients (%)
5.0%
2.3%
1.0%
Spitzer Chart for stock being researched ( 2 year data )
ComfortDelGro (CD SP)
Price Close
2.40
2.88
2.38
2.59
2.22
2.18
2.18
Recommendations & Target Price
1.94
2.60
1.76
2.80
2.20
2.00
1.80
1.60
Add
1.40
Nov-12
Outperform
Mar-13
Hold
Neutral
Jul-13
Reduce
Underperform
Nov-13
CustomSpitzerKR_KRSpitzer
8
Trading Buy
Mar-14
Trading sell
Jul-14
Not Rated
ComfortDelGro│Singapore
November 13, 2014
Corporate Governance Report of Thai Listed Companies (CGR). CG Rating by the Thai Institute of Directors Association (Thai IOD) in 2014.
AAV – Very Good, ADVANC – Very Good, AEONTS – not available, AMATA - Good, ANAN – Very Good, AOT – Very Good, AP - Good, ASK – Very Good,
ASP – Very Good, BANPU – Very Good , BAY – Very Good , BBL – Very Good, BCH – not available, BCP - Excellent, BEAUTY – Good, BEC - Good, BECL –
Very Good, BGH - not available, BH - Good, BIGC - Very Good, BJC – Good, BLA – Very Good, BMCL - Very Good, BTS - Excellent, CCET – Good,
CENTEL – Very Good, CHG – not available, CK – Very Good, CPALL – not available, CPF – Very Good, CPN - Excellent, DELTA - Very Good, DEMCO – Good,
DTAC – Very Good, EA - Good, ECL – not available, EGCO - Excellent, GFPT - Very Good, GLOBAL - Good, GLOW - Good, GRAMMY - Excellent, HANA Excellent, HEMRAJ – Very Good, HMPRO - Very Good, ICHI - not available, INTUCH - Excellent, ITD – Good, IVL - Excellent, JAS – not available, JUBILE –
not available, KAMART – not available, KBANK - Excellent, KCE - Very Good, KGI – Good, KKP – Excellent, KTB - Excellent, KTC – Good, LH - Very Good,
LPN – Very Good, M - not available, MAJOR - Good, MAKRO – Good, MBKET – Good, MC – Very Good, MCOT – Very Good, MEGA – Good, MINT Excellent, OFM – Very Good, OISHI – Good, PS – Very Good, PSL - Excellent, PTT - Excellent, PTTEP - Excellent, PTTGC - Excellent, QH – Very Good,
RATCH – Very Good, ROBINS – Very Good, RS – Very Good, SAMART - Excellent, SAPPE - not available, SAT – Excellent, SAWAD – not available, SC –
Excellent, SCB - Excellent, SCBLIF – Good, SCC – Very Good, SCCC - Good, SIM - Excellent, SIRI - Good, SPALI - Excellent, STA – Very Good, STEC - Good,
SVI – Very Good, TASCO – Good, TCAP – Very Good, THAI – Very Good, THANI – Very Good, THCOM – Very Good, THRE – not available, THREL – Good,
TICON – Good, TISCO - Excellent, TK – Very Good, TMB - Excellent, TOP - Excellent, TRUE – Very Good, TTW – Very Good, TUF - Good, VGI – Very Good,
WORK – not available.
CIMB Recommendation Framework
Stock Ratings
Definition:
Add
The stock’s total return is expected to exceed 10% over the next 12 months.
Hold
The stock’s total return is expected to be between 0% and positive 10% over the next 12 months.
Reduce
The stock’s total return is expected to fall below 0% or more over the next 12 months.
The total expected return of a stock is defined as the sum of the: (i) percentage difference between the target price and the current price and (ii) the forward
net dividend yields of the stock. Stock price targets have an investment horizon of 12 months.
Sector Ratings
Overweight
Neutral
Underweight
Definition:
An Overweight rating means stocks in the sector have, on a market cap-weighted basis, a positive absolute recommendation.
A Neutral rating means stocks in the sector have, on a market cap-weighted basis, a neutral absolute recommendation.
An Underweight rating means stocks in the sector have, on a market cap-weighted basis, a negative absolute recommendation.
Country Ratings
Overweight
Neutral
Underweight
Definition:
An Overweight rating means investors should be positioned with an above-market weight in this country relative to benchmark.
A Neutral rating means investors should be positioned with a neutral weight in this country relative to benchmark.
An Underweight rating means investors should be positioned with a below-market weight in this country relative to benchmark.
*Prior to December 2013 CIMB recommendation framework for stocks listed on the Singapore Stock Exchange, Bursa Malaysia, Stock Exchange of Thailand,
Jakarta Stock Exchange, Australian Securities Exchange, Taiwan Stock Exchange and National Stock Exchange of India/Bombay Stock Exchange were
based on a stock’s total return relative to the relevant benchmarks total return. Outperform: expected to exceed by 5% or more over the next 12 months.
Neutral: expected to be within +/-5% over the next 12 months. Underperform: expected to be below by 5% or more over the next 12 months. Trading Buy:
expected to exceed by 3% or more over the next 3 months. Trading Sell: expected to be below by 3% or more over the next 3 months. For stocks listed on
Korea Exchange, Hong Kong Stock Exchange and China listings on the Singapore Stock Exchange. Outperform: Expected positive total returns of 10% or
more over the next 12 months. Neutral: Expected total returns of between -10% and +10% over the next 12 months. Underperform: Expected negative total
returns of 10% or more over the next 12 months. Trading Buy: Expected positive total returns of 10% or more over the next 3 months. Trading Sell: Expected
negative total returns of 10% or more over the next 3 months.
9