Georgian Hospitality Sector Overview
Transcription
Georgian Hospitality Sector Overview
Georgian Hospitality Sector Overview January 2015 Contents Country profile 4 Sector highlights 5 Upcoming events and projects 10 Tbilisi Branch of KPMG CIS Limited, a branch incorporated under the Laws of Georgia, a subsidiary of KPMG Europe LLP, and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Basis of preparation The material presented in this publication is based on information acquired by KPMG from primary and secondary sources at that time. The purpose of the overview is to obtain primary information about the hotel industry in Georgia, including the factors driving changes in demand and supply of hotel rooms, customer base, and common services provided by hotels. Tbilisi Branch of KPMG CIS Limited, a branch incorporated under the Laws of Georgia, a subsidiary of KPMG Europe LLP, and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. 3 Country profile DRAFT Georgia is a country located in the Caucasus region, at the crossroads of Western Asia and Eastern Europe, it is bounded to the west by the Black Sea, to the north by Russia, to the south by Turkey and Armenia, and to the southeast by Azerbaijan. The unique culture, delicious cusine and hospitality attracts visitors from all over the world. One can enjoy skiing down the hills of Caucasus mountains and sunbathe in just 3 hours time at the coastline of the Black Sea. Country facts Capital Tbilisi Population, 2014 (beginning of the year) 4,490,500 Currency Georgian Lari (GEL) HORECA share in total GDP (2014*) Source: National Statistics Office of Georgia Nominal GDP contribution (HORECA) 2% Key economic indicators 20.0 15% 15.8 14.4 15.0 USD billion 16.1 12.8 10.8 10.2 10.0 12.0 11.6 10% 5% 7.8 6.4 5.0 0% - Nominal GDP (except HORECA) 98% -5% 2005 2006 2007 Nominal GDP 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014* GDP real growth (right-hand axis) Source: National Statistics Office of Georgia * Data for 2014 is based on the first three quarters of the year Source: National Statistics Office of Georgia Data for 2014 is based on the first three quarters of the year HORECA – Hotel/Restaurant/Catering KPMG Georgia LLC, a company incorporated under the Laws of Georgia, a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. 4 Sector highlights DRAFT Incoming travelers 6,000,000 Number of travelers Tourism is amongst the fastest growing industries of the Georgian economy, which has a substantial potential for further development. In the course of the past few years the number of visitors to Georgia increased significantly adding to the growth of other tourism-related sectors. The hotel industry, in particular, has been growing with an increase of foreign investments and an increase of foreign visitors to the country. To facilitate the development of the tourism sector the Government of Georgia invests heavily in the development of transportation and basic infrastructure, renovation and development of tourism destinations, which is a stimulus for private investment generation. 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 - International Arrivals Incoming travelers for the year The number of international arrivals in Georgia amounted to 4,187,595 for the first three quarters 2014, which is a 2.14% increase from the same period last year. An average annual growth rate for the last 10 years (2005-2014) was 30%, with the highest growth rate seen in 2012, when the number of international arrivals increased by 56.9%. Incoming travelers for the first 3 Q of the year The graph shows the comparison of growth rates of international arrivals globally and in Georgia from 2006 to 2012, and indicates the higher growth for Georgia over the past years. As of 2014 the growth of international arrivals in Georgia has reduced down to the global rate. Comparison of international arrivals World vs Georgia 60% 57% 50% 40% Growth A comparison of global growth rates and that of Georgia showed that during the last five years international arrivals in Georgia increased considerably faster than in the rest of the world. The number of tourists traveling internationally throughout the world was growing at a steady rate during recent years. Source: Georgian National Tourism Agency * Data for 2014 is based on the first three quarters of the year 36% 38% 30% 35% 23% 22% 16% 20% 10% 6% - 39% 7% 2% (4%) 7% 4% 6% 5% 2% 1% (10%) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014* Georgia The World Source: UNWTO, Georgian National Tourism Agency * Data for the world for 2014 is not final KPMG Georgia LLC, a company incorporated under the Laws of Georgia, a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. 5 Sector highlights According to the Georgian National Tourism Agency, 65% of foreign visitors to Georgia in 2014 were from a Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), 32% from the European Region (including Turkey, excluding the CIS countries) and 3% from other countries. The visitors from the CIS countries were predominantly from Armenia (22%), Azerbaijan (23%), and the Russian Federation (15%) and most of the visitors from the European region came from Turkey (27%). The statistics for the past years also demonstrate that the most popular season among international travelers is summer, while the busiest months are July, August and September. During this period, in 2014, the number of international arrivals equaled 1,944,233 (July: 670,256; August: 772,216; September: 501,761), which is a 2.21% increase from the same period last year. International arrivals by countries, 2014* Iran 1% Israel 1% Germany 1% Other 6% Poland 1% Turkey 27% Ukraine 3% Russia 15% Azerbaijan 23% Armenia 22% Main Purpose of Visit - International Visitors International visits were mostly undertaken for holiday, leisure or recreation purposes (37%). Other frequently observed purposes included visiting friends or relatives (26%), transit (17%), shopping (9%) and business/professional trips (4%). Only 7% of visits were for other purposes (Education or training, health and medical care, etc). . DRAFT Source: Georgian National Tourism Agency * Data for 2014 is based on the first three quarters of the year Breakdown of international arrivals, 2014* Middle East 1% Europe 97% Other 1% Other 3% East Asia and the Pacific 1% Source: Georgian National Tourism Agency * Data for 2014 is based on the first three quarters of the year KPMG Georgia LLC, a company incorporated under the Laws of Georgia, a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. 6 Sector highlights DRAFT Accommodation, International Visitors Room Availability In 2013, the most commonly used type of accommodation for the foreigners visiting Georgia was Hotels (43%). More than a third of tourists (34%) resided at a private home of a friend or a relative, 10% stayed in a hostel, 7% rented an apartment. Less common types of accommodation were private home (5%) and campsite or trailer park (3%), and other (6%). As of September 2014 there are 1,146 accommodation units, with a bed capacity of 39,341 beds in Georgia. The highest concentration of accommodation units lies in the Adjara region were Georgia’s main sea resorts (Batumi, Anaklia, Kobuleti, etc) are located. Adjara is followed by the capital, Tbilisi, which maintains its leadership with the highest number of international arrivals in Georgia (including transit and overnight travelers). Main Purpose of travel - Georgian Residential Population Accommodation capacity (Q lll 2014) According to the data provided by GNTA, in 2013 domestic travelers’ most frequent reasons for travel within Georgia were visiting friends or relatives (45%), followed by holiday, leisure and recreation trips (15%). Less common visiting purposes included shopping (12%), health and medical care (9%), business trips (3%), visiting a second home (4%), and other (12%). Region Number of accommodation units Bed capacity Bed capacity's percentage to regions Ajara 251 10,380 26.4% Tbilisi 148 6,916 17.6% Samtskhe-Javakheti 161 6,224 15.8% .Imereti 129 3,922 10.0% Guria 55 2,818 7.2% Mtskheta-Mtianeti 86 2,791 7.1% Accommodation - Georgian Residential Population Kakheti 151 2,720 6.9% Samegrelo-Zemo Svaneti 106 2,140 5.4% 85% of domestic travelers stayed in private homes owned either by them or by friends or relatives. Only 10% have stayed in either guesthouse (4%), hotel (3%), or rented rooms (3%). 5% used other types of accommodations. Racha-Lechkumi 30 723 1.8% Kvemo Kartli 18 539 1.4% Shida Kartli 11 168 0.4% 1,146 39,341 100.0% Total Source: Georgian National Tourism Agency, 2014, excluding IV Q) . KPMG Georgia LLC, a company incorporated under the Laws of Georgia, a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. 7 Sector highlights . Factors affecting demand for Tbilisi hotels Location 4.00 Cleanliness of rooms DRAFT We identified the top six most important factors that influence the guests decision. Based on the survey performed, hotel location ranks number one while choosing the hotel. It is followed by cleanliness of rooms and staff friendliness. Availability of fitness and leisure facilities is the least influential factor. 3.86 Friendliness of staff 3.57 Internationally recognized name 3.50 Price In addition, we determined the seven economic indicators to have the greatest impact on the flow of visitors to Tbilisi. Business spending and GDP take the first two places respectively, while exchange rate has the least influence on the visitors. 2.86 Availability of fitness/ leisure facilities All the hotels participating in the KPMG survey offer the following facilities to the guests: 2.33 - 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 Restaurant Level of importance * Ratings scale based on the level of importance (4-high, 3-moderate, 2-low, 1-none) Source: KPMG Analysis, Q 4 2014 Car service Laundry Free Wi-Fi Economic indicators Business spending 24 hour security Refrigerator/ mini bar 3.00 GDP 2.67 24-hour front desk FDI 2.67 TV with local and international channels Government spending 2.50 Interest rate 2.50 CPI 2.50 Exchange rate The average occupancy rates of the hotels within the survey are presented in the table below: 2.00 - 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 Level of Influence * Ratings scale based on the level of importance (4-high, 3-moderate, 2-low, 1-none) Source: KPMG Analysis, Q 4 2014 Average occupancy rate, 2014 Peak season 85.0% Shoulder season 71.0% Low season 56.7% Source: KPMG Analysis, October 2014 KPMG Georgia LLC, a company incorporated under the Laws of Georgia, a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. 8 Sector highlights Government policy towards tourism development DRAFT The hotel sector together with tourism is further facilitated by supportive programs and financing from the government of Georgia. Tourism development is one of the top priorities (third out of twelve state budget priorities and programs for 2015) for the Georgian government as seen in its state budget for 2015. For 2015 the funds assigned in the state budget to the Ministry of economy for the upcoming years are as followed (in GEL): 2015 – 126 million 2016 – 128 million 2017 – 128 million 2018 – 134 million The main capital projects on which the budget will be utilized are in the fields of regional development, infrastructure and tourism: periodic maintenance and rehabilitation of roads, coastline protection works, transit highways, water infrastructure, sewage systems, cultural heritage protection program, rehabilitation of irrigation systems and equipment purchase, etc. KPMG Georgia LLC, a company incorporated under the Laws of Georgia, a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. 9 Upcoming events and projects European Youth Olympic Festival 2015 In 2015 Georgia will be hosting the Youth Olympic Festival 2015, summer edition, in Tbilisi. The number of athletes participating from 49 European countries is expected to exceed 4,000. Together with spectators the city of Tbilisi is expected to host more than 10,000 visitors. Considering the fact that there are only 6,916 bed-places in Tbilisi (including guest houses and family home stays), there is an immediate need for new hotel investment to fill the gap in supply. DRAFT Opening of the season will not rely on the weather anymore, which will increase the number of the tourists and boost the resort’s revenues. The project budget is up to GEL 25 million, out of which GEL 9 million will be spent during 2014. According to the Deputy Head of Gudauri Development Agency, Sandro Onoprishvili, the project will result in a 20-25% increase in the number of tourists who visit Georgia’s winter resorts annually. Furthermore, the state budget will benefit from the increased revenues generated by the hotels and local residents whose main source of income is generated from hospitality services offered to international and domestic tourists. UEFA Super Cup 2015 In August 2015, Mikheil Meskhi Stadium (Dinamo Arena) in Tbilisi will host a mega sport event, the UEFA Super Cup. The UEFA Super Cup is an annual football match between the winners of the Champions League and the Europa League. The event is expected to gather football fans from all over the world. The attendance for the prior UEFA Super Cup events in Prague, Czech Republic (2013) and in Cardiff, UK (2014) was 17,686 and 30,854 respectively. EBRD Annual Conference The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) plans to hold its 24th Annual Meeting of the Board of Governors and Business Forum in Tbilisi on 14-15 May 2015. During this event the Bank Officials make key decisions about Bank’s strategic development. Euro 2016 Qualifying Matches Artificial snow on Georgian winter resorts On August 30, 2014 a contract for the production of the artificial snow was signed between Gudauri Development Agency and DEMAKLENKO. According to the contract, geological, geodetic and mapping works will be carried out on the resorts, as well as projection of the artificial water reservoirs and snowing of the first skiing tracks of Gudauri and Didveli. For the Euro 2016 qualifying matches Georgia will host UEFA Group D members, including Germany, Republic of Ireland, Poland, Scotland, Georgia, and Gibraltar. KPMG Georgia LLC, a company incorporated under the Laws of Georgia, a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. 10 Upcoming events and projects Recent events Increased room capacity Best Western Tbilisi and Rooms Hotel Tbilisi with 48 and 141 room capacity were opened during 2014. Both hotels are managed by Adjara Group. Temporary closure of Sheraton Sheraton Metekhi Palace was closed for 1 year in December, 2014. As per Management of “Ras Al Khaima Investment Authority Georgia” the hotel will be fully reconstructed, the capacity will be increased by 80 rooms. Also, it will be upgraded to 5 star hotel. Hilton Garden Inn DRAFT Hilton Hotels & Resorts, together with local partners, are planning to open two hotels in Georgia starting from 2016. The Project is financed by the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) with the issuance of $18.7 million loan to the Georgian real estate group Redix. The first property, the Hilton Garden Inn Tbilisi Chavchavadze, a fourteen story building, will have a capacity of 165 rooms. The second 247-room Hilton Batumi includes plans for retail shopping, a casino and a health club. InterContinental Hotels Group InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG) announced the opening of the InterContinental Tbilisi in 2016. The 200-room hotel will operate under a management agreement with the existing owner-partner Adjara Group, a Tbilisi-based hospitality company. Pipeline & forecasts Information about upcoming hotel projects in Georgia is often difficult to obtain and even harder to verify. The information below has been obtained from various media and other sources and may not be completely reliable. The Radisson Blu Resort Tsinandali The Radisson Blu Resort Tsinandali, located in the wine region of Kakheti, will welcome its first guests in the first half of 2016. Millennium The construction of the hotel is funded by the UAE Abu Dhabi Group, with a total investment of USD 40 million. The opening of the hotel is scheduled for 2016. Park Inn The mid-market hotel, located on Rustaveli Avenue, operated by Rezidor, featurs 200 rooms scheduled to open in Q3 2015. Besides guest rooms, the hotel will comprise all-day-dining restaurants, a lobby bar and surface car parking. Rixos Residence The luxury 5 star Rixos Residence Hotel will be constructed on Gudiashvili Street. The hotel will consist of 60 apartments and about 40 shops of famous brands 5 Star Hotel on Rustaveli Avenue In 2017 the opening of 5 star hotel located in the former building of the Ministry of Justice is expected. The initial investment amounts to USD 60 million. The brand name is not declared yet. KPMG Georgia LLC, a company incorporated under the Laws of Georgia, a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. 11 The information contained herein is of a general nature and is not intended to address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Although we endeavor to provide accurate and timely information, there can be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the future. No one should act on such information without appropriate professional advice after a thorough examination of the particular situation. KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International) is a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm.