Fast Forward

Transcription

Fast Forward

Fast Forward
A Portfolio of Leading Powertrain Technology
Engine
68% / SALES
Drivetrain
32% / SALES
Turbo Systems
Emissions Systems
Transmission Systems
 Wastegate
 Exhaust Gas Recirculation
(EGR) Valves
 EGR Coolers & EGR tubes
 Integrated EGR Modules
 Secondary Air Systems
 Actuators
 Glow Plugs
 Instant Start System
 Pressure Sensor Glow Plugs
 Gasoline Ignition Technology
 Sensor Technology
 PTC Cabin Heaters
 Thermostats
 Coolant Control Valves
 DualTronic® Systems for Dual  AWD Couplings
Clutch Transmissions
 Transfer Cases
 ECO-LaunchTM Stop/Start
 eGearDrive® Electric
Accumulator Solenoid Valves
Drive Transmissions
 Solenoids & solenoid blocks
 eAWD Torque Vectoring
 One-way Clutches and
 AWD Electronic Controls
Modules
and Systems Integration
 Friction and Steel Plates
 Variable Turbine Geometry
(VTG)
 Regulated 2-stage (R2S™)
Thermal Systems
 Thermal Management
 Components and Systems
 Visctronic® Systems
 Fans/Fan Drives
Morse TEC
 Engine Valve Timing Systems
 Timing Chain
 Variable Cam Timing
 Oil Pressure Actuated
 Torsional Assist
 Cam Torque Actuated
 HY-VO® Transmission Chain
 Transmission/Transfer case chain
Copyright © 2014 BorgWarner Inc.
Morse TEC
Thermal
Systems
TorqTransfer Systems
Transmission
Systems
TorqTransfer
Systems
Turbo
Systems
Emissions
Systems
2
The BorgWarner Strategic Difference
 Technology Leadership
 Customer and Geographic Diversity
 Financial Strength and Discipline
3
Global Macro Trends
Pace of Innovation
Connected Living
Autonomous and
Connected Vehicles
Improved Efficiency
Big Data
Resource
Scarcity &
Environment
Global
Rebalancing of
Economic
Power
Demographic Shifts
Urbanization
Increased
Vehicle
Population
4
Stringent Regulations—A Resilient Secular Trend
Korea Proposed
MPG Equivalent (CAFE/Local Test Cycle) for
Passenger Cars
60
E.U. Enacted
U.S. Enacted
55
China Proposed
50
45
Korea Enacted
40
35
China Enacted
30
25
20
2005
2010
2015
Year
2020
2025
Source: International Council on Clean Transportation, November 2014
5
Fuel Economy Drives Growth for BorgWarner
LV Transmissions
LV Turbocharged Systems
103.8
103.8
89.6
89.6
Manual Transmissions
10.8
6.4
32.8
32.4
2.0
9.4
3.7
2015E
Non-Turbocharged
DCT (11%)*
Step ATs (1%)*
CVT (7%)*
AMTs and EVTs (13%)*
28.5
(13%)* Gasoline
(3%)*Diesel
13.0
2020E
15.6
19.3
22.1
2015E
2020E
LV VCT Systems
LV EGR Systems
103.8
103.8
89.6
89.6
Fuel Economy
Non-EGR
Non-VCT
(6%)* VCT Systems
15.9
3.6
17.6
21.2
2015E
2020E
Gasoline (35%)*
Diesel (4%)*
72.4
53.5
2015E
2020E
Global light vehicle industry volumes; units in millions (January 2015)
* CAGRs are shown in parentheses
6
Powertrain Trends
Electrification
Downspeeding
Stop/Start
Light-weighting
48 Volts
Cost Reduction
Thermal Management
Downsizing
and boosting
Fuel Diversification
Emissions
Reduction
7
Expanding Our Reach Across the Powertrain
Variable
valvetrain
VCT
ePhaser
Timing system
Timing chain
EGR cooler
Fans/fan drive
Solenoid
Friction
Transfer case
Exhaust heat
recovery system
Eco-LaunchTM
solenoid valve
Control module
Wet clutch for
manual
transmissions
Clutch module
AWD coupling
Permanently
Engaged Starter
FXD
Turbocharger
eBOOSTER®
turbocharger
R2S
turbocharger
Diesel cold start
Gasoline ignition
coils
Cabin heater for
EVs
EcoFlash® high
frequency ignition
8
Customer and Geographic Diversity
2015 Sales Outlook*
VW/Audi 11%
Daimler
Ford
Renault
6%
6%
Toyota
4%
Nissan
1%
Honda
1%
China
13%
Other
5%
4%
3%
3%
BMW
2%
Fiat
1%
PSA
1%
GM
Commercial
Vehicles 2%
Other
11%
*
**
Hyundai/Kia
NSK-Warner included
NSK-Warner excluded
Ford
Chrysler
GM
Asian OEMs
8%
5%
3%
2%
Commercial
Vehicles 4%
Other 5%
Americas
Asia
Europe
~27%* 29%**
~30%* 26%**
~43%* 45%**
9
10% to 12% Organic* CAGR thru 2017
$2.85 Billion — $3.35 Billion of Net New Business 2015 thru 2017
Americas**: ~30%
Europe: ~15%
Asia***: ~55%
Domestic OEMs (Chrysler, Ford, GM)
• All-wheel drive
• Engine timing and VCT
• EGR coolers and valves
• Transmission solenoids
• Turbochargers
Domestic OEMs (Fiat, JLR, PSA,
Renault/Nissan, VW/Audi)
•All-wheel drive
•EGR coolers and valves
•Engine timing
•Ignition systems
•Turbochargers
China (BYD, Chang’an, Chery,
CNHDTC, Cummins, FAW, Ford,
Geely, Great Wall, Honda, JAC,
Navistar, PSA, SAIC, S-GM, S-VW,
Volvo, Weichai)
•All-wheel drive
•DCT components
•Engine timing and VCT
•Ignition systems
•Thermal systems
•Thermostats
•Transmission solenoids
•Turbochargers
Commercial Vehicles (Cummins,
Daimler)
• EGR valves
• Turbochargers
Non-Domestic OEMs (Fiat,
Renault/Nissan, Subaru, VW/Audi)
• Engine timing
• EGR coolers
• Turbochargers
Non-Domestic OEMs (Tata Motors,
Great Wall)
•Turbochargers
Commercial Vehicles (Deutz, MAN)
•Thermal systems
•Turbochargers
* Organic growth includes the change in sales due to net new business and excludes the impact
of base business growth or shrink, changes in product pricing, acquisitions, divestitures and
foreign currencies
** Net new business with GM, Ford and Chrysler in North America is 25% of total net new
business
*** Net new business in China and Korea is ~38% and ~14% of total net new business,
respectively
Korea (Hyundai/Kia, Ford, GM,
Renault/Nissan, SsangYong)
•All-wheel drive
•Transmission components
•Turbochargers
India
10
10% to 12% Organic* CAGR thru 2017
$2.85 Billion — $3.35 Billion of Net New Business 2015 thru 2017
Engine
Drivetrain
Ignition Systems
1%
Thermal Systems
And Thermostats 5%
Traditional Transmission
Components
7%
All-Wheel Drive
14%
Emissions Systems
10%
DCT Modules
8%
Engine Timing
and VCT
16%
Diesel Turbochargers
15%
Gas Turbochargers
23%
* Organic growth includes the change in sales due to net new business and excludes the impact of base business growth or shrink, changes
in product pricing, acquisitions, divestitures and foreign currencies
11
Growth in Asia Leading to Geographic Balance
2015E
46%
2019E
26%
28%
~40%
~30%
~30%
Americas
Asia
Europe
12
2015 Expectations
BorgWarner Outlook
Sales Growth
2% - 6%
Sales Growth—Excluding Currency
9.5% - 12%
EPS Guidance
$3.35 - $3.55
EPS Guidance—Excluding Currency
$3.60 - $3.75
Free Cash Flow
$350-$400 million
R&D Spending
> 4.0% of sales
Tax Rate
~ 29%
Return on Invested Capital
> 20%
$ / Euro Exchange Rate
~ 1.20 at midpoint
As of January 14, 2015
13
2015 Guidance—Sales Guidance Range
Low End
High End
Net new business
10.3%
11.5%
Changes in product pricing
-2.0%
-2.0%
1.2%
2.6%
-7.5%
-6.0%
2.0%
6.0%
Base business growth
Foreign currencies
Total
As of January 14, 2015
14
$15 Billion in Revenue by 2020
$ in Billions
~15
8.8 7.1
7.2
7.4
2011
2012
2013
8.3
8.5
2014
2015E
5.7
2010
2020E
 Net New Business implies double digit organic growth in
2016 and 2017
 M&A would provide incremental growth
 On pace to $15 billion by 2020
15
Operating Income Margins* On the Rise
Mid‐Teens
11.1%
11.7%
12.4%
2011
2012
2013
12.9%
>13%
2014
2015E
9.3%
2010
2020E
 Expect operating income margins to improve in 2015
 Would be the sixth straight year-over-year improvement
 Expect mid-teens incremental margins for the foreseeable
future
* Excludes special items.
16
Attractive Business Model, Difficult to Replicate
New Entrant
New Entrant
New Entrant
New Entrant
17
Financial Discipline
Strong Returns on Invested Capital = Economic Value Creation
>20%
21.7%
20.0%
20.7%
19.4%
16.7%
Return on Invested Capital*
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015E
* Rolling four quarters. Invested capital excludes residual goodwill related to $4.8 billion leveraged buyout of BorgWarner Corp. in 1987. If
included, this goodwill would have a negative impact on return on invested capital of 1 to 2 percentage points, on average, each period.
18
Strong Capital Structure
A Strong Balance Sheet = The Flexibility to Take Advantage of
Strategic Opportunities
As of December 31, 2014
$ in millions
Cash
Total debt
Net debt
$798
1,340
542
Total equity
Total net capital
3,691
4,233
Net debt to net capital
Net debt to TTM EBITDA
12.8%
0.4x
19
Putting Our Cash Flow to Work
$ in millions
204 57 165 277 2010*
226 296 140 106 115 394 407 418 2011*
2012
2013
563 2014
2015E
* $358 million and $326 million was spent on share repurchases in 2010 and 2011,
respectively, primarily to settle obligations related to convertible debt that matured in
April 2012.
2020E
Available for M&A and Share Repurchases
Dividends
M&A Activity
Share Repurchases
Capital Expenditures
20
Thank You for Your Attention
Our Vision

A Clean, Energy-Efficient World
Our Mission

Deliver Innovative Powertrain Solutions that Improve
Fuel Economy, Emissions & Performance
Fuel Economy
Emissions
Performance
21
Forward-Looking Statements
Statements contained in this presentation may contain forward-looking
statements as contemplated by the 1995 Private Securities Litigation
Reform Act that are based on management’s current outlook, expectations,
estimates and projections. Words such as "anticipates," "believes,"
“continues,” “could,” “designed,” “effect,” "estimates”, “evaluates,”
“expects,” “forecasts,” “goal,” “initiative,” "intends," “outlook,” "plans,"
“potential,” “project,” “pursue,” “seek,” “should,” “target,” “when,”
“would,” variations of such words and similar expressions are intended to
identify such forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are
subject to risks and uncertainties, many of which are difficult to predict and
generally beyond our control, that could cause actual results to differ
materially from those expressed, projected or implied in or by the forwardlooking statements. Such risks and uncertainties include: fluctuations in
domestic or foreign vehicle production, the continued use by original
equipment manufacturers of outside suppliers, fluctuations in demand for
vehicles containing our products, changes in general economic conditions,
as well as other risks noted reports that we file with the Securities and
Exchange Commission, including the Risk Factors identified in our most
recently filed Annual Report on Form 10-K. We do not undertake any
obligation to update or announce publicly any updates to or revision to any
of the forward-looking statements.
22
Providing Value Across Markets
Medium & Heavy Duty
7%
Agricultural, Off-Highway
and Other
6%
Light Vehicles
83%
Aftermarket
4%
23
LV Turbocharged Systems Growth by Market
Gasoline Turbocharged Systems
~83% growth from 2015 to 2020
Diesel Turbocharged Systems
~15% growth from 2015 to 2020
30.0
25.0
2.2
20.0
1.8
15.0
4.2
3.0
2.5
2.4
0.6
0.6
10.0
5.0
12.7
11.5
0.0
2015E
2020E
China (3%)*
India/Thailand (7%)*
Japan/Korea (1%)*
Americas (0%)*
Europe (2%)*
*CAGRs are shown in parentheses.
Source: IHS Automotive, LMC, BorgWarner forecasts (January 2015)
Millions of Turbocharged Systems
Millions of Turbocharged Systems
30.0
7.5
25.0
0.3
20.0
3.0
15.0
7.2
4.3
1.5
10.0
2.0
5.0
0.0
10.5
7.8
2015E
2020E
China (12%)*
India/Thailand (43%)*
Japan/Korea (15%)*
Americas (29%)*
Europe (6%)*
24
Transmissions in China
Millions of Transmissions
30.0
5.3
25.0
20.0
15.0
1.7
3.1
1.5
5.0
4.0
0.3
0.2
10.0
14.6
13.0
5.0
0.0
2015E
2020E
Dual Clutch (25%)*
Continuously Variable (16%)*
Step Automatics (5%)*
Source: IHS Automotive, BorgWarner forecasts (January 2015)
*CAGRs are shown in parentheses
Automated Manuals (8%)*
Manuals (2%)*
25
Transmissions in Europe
By Technology Type
Millions of Transmissions
25.0
0.2
0.3
20.0
2.8
15.0
2.9
0.2
4.4
3.4
0.4
0.5
4.5
0.0
4.6
0.4
0.4
10.0
16.5
16.0
13.0
14.0
2015E
2020E
5.0
0.0
2000
2005
Dual Clutch (5%)*
Continuously Variable (-100%)*
Step Automatics (1%)*
*CAGRs are shown in parentheses
Automated Manuals (0%)*
Manuals (2%)*
26
Hybrid and Electric Vehicle Segments
INCREASING ELECTRIFICATION
Internal Combustion Engine (ICE)
+ Electrification
ENHANCED ICE
HYBRID ELECTRIC “HEV”
Stop/Start
Mild HEV
Parallel
Full HEV
Parallel/Series
BMW 328i
Buick Regal eAssist
Toyota Prius
% of Total LV
2020 ~2%
2025 ~9%
% of Total LV
2020 ~5%
2025 ~6%
% of Total LV
2020 ~47%
2025 ~50%
Electric Motor
+ ICE
Electric Motor
Only
ELECTRIC DRIVE
Range Extended
Electric Vehicle
GM Chevy Volt
Battery
Electric Vehicle
Nissan Leaf
% of Total LV
2020 ~1%
2025 ~2%
27
Downsizing >> Downspeeding >> More Gears
28
EPS Reconciliation
Actual Results
Earnings per diluted share
U.S. GAAP
2006
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
$0.92
$1.23
($0.16)
$0.12
$1.54
$2.23
$2.09
$2.70
$2.86
0.22
(0.10)
0.01
(0.02)
1.14
0.05
0.09
(0.02)
0.02
0.08
(0.09)
(0.07)
(0.03)
0.14
0.08
0.25
(0.05)
0.39
(0.02)
0.10
0.19
$1.51
$2.23
$2.49
$2.89
$3.25
Non-U.S. GAAP adjustments:
Non-recurring charges and restructurings
Adjustments to tax accounts
Derivatives
(Gain)/loss from divestitures/acquisitions
(0.02)
Non-U.S. GAAP including FAS 123(R)
$1.02
2007
$1.22
$1.04
$0.20
29

Fast Forward

Transcription

Similar documents

Ford Powerstroke 6.4L - BorgWarner Turbo Systems

BW supplies AWD technology for Lamborghini Huracán

Latest Investor Presentation

TurboDriven - BorgWarner Turbo Systems

BorgWarner eAWD

PP BorgWarner OEM 2012_GB_FIN.indd

Application and Design of the eBooster

Turbiography - BorgWarner Turbo Systems

TurboNews 01/2011