- Cohen & Steers
Transcription
- Cohen & Steers
Market Pulse March 2015 U.S. REIT Valuations Are Attractive U.S. REIT valuations are at attractive levels relative to their four-year range, as seen in the first chart. In the second chart, we show that REIT prices are near the middle of the four-year range relative to cash flows, while the broader stock market’s prices relative to earnings are at their highest levels during this period. We believe this represents a compelling opportunity for REIT investors. Discount Premium Exhibit 1: U.S. REIT Sector Premium/Discount to Net Asset Value(a) 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% Four-Year Historical Range(b) Current(c) 23.9 8.1 2.0 Apartment Health Care 8.9 2.0 Hotel 12.3 5.5 -0.2 Industrial Office Regional Mall Self Storage Shopping Center 9.8 U.S. Total(d) Many U.S. REITs can currently be purchased at prices that are close to or below their underlying asset values compared with the higher premiums typically seen in the past four years. At February 28, 2015. Source: Cohen & Steers estimates based on proprietary qualitative and quantitative metrics. Only major REIT sectors are shown individually. Performance data quoted represents past performance. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Exhibit 2: U.S. REIT Sector Price-to-Funds from Operations(e) Four-Year Historical Range(b) Current(c) 30x 25x 20x 20.6 16.5 15x 19.6 19.6 19.6 18.6 19.6 14.3 13.4 10x 20.6 5x Apartment Health Care Hotel Industrial Office Regional Mall Self Storage Shopping Center Many U.S. REITs are priced at the middle-end of the four-year range versus earnings... broad stocks, represented by the S&P 500, are priced at historical highs. U.S. REIT S&P 500 Total(d) (price-to-earnings)(f) At February 28, 2015. Source: Cohen & Steers estimates based on proprietary qualitative and quantitative metrics. Only major REIT sectors are shown individually. Performance data quoted represents past performance. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The information presented above does not reflect the performance of any fund or account managed or serviced by Cohen & Steers, and there is no guarantee that investors will experience the type of performance reflected above. There is no guarantee that any historical trend illustrated above will be repeated in the future, and there is no way to predict precisely when such a trend might begin. (a) NAV (Net Asset Value) seeks to calculate the net market value of all of a company’s assets after subtracting liabilities. (b) (FFO) Funds from operations is the REIT industry’s key earnings metric. It is calculated as GAAP net income, plus real estate gains (minus real estate losses), plus GAAP real estate depreciation and amortization. (c) The 4-Year Historical Range begins on 3/31/11 and ends on 2/28/15. The range was calculated using Cohen & Steers’ valuation metrics and is based on the FTSE NAREIT Equity REIT Index at the end of each month. (d) Current numbers were calculated using Cohen & Steers’ valuation metrics and are based on securities that are in Cohen & Steers’ coverage universe which represents a 98% overlap with securities included in the FTSE NAREIT Equity REIT Index. Certain companies in sectors, such as infrastructure, are covered by Cohen & Steers but are not in the FTSE NAREIT Equity REIT Index. The FTSE NAREIT Equity REIT Index is an unmanaged, market-capitalization-weighted index of all publicly traded U.S. REITs that invest predominantly in the equity ownership of real estate, not including timber and infrastructure. An investor cannot invest directly in an index and index performance does not reflect the deduction of any fees, expenses or taxes. (e) U.S. Total represents the weighted average of all REIT sectors. (f) Price-to Earnings is a valuation ratio of a company’s current share price compared to its pershare earnings. It is calculated by dividing the current market value per share by the latest earnings per share. The S&P 500 price-to-book and price-to-earnings ratios 4-Year Historical range begins on 3/31/11 and ends on 2/28/15. The range as well as the current multiple was calculated by FactSet and represents the weighted average of all S&P 500 Index sectors. The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index of 500 large-capitalization, publicly traded U.S. stocks representing a variety of industries. cohenandsteers.com 800 330 7348 Market Pulse March 2015 The Added Value of Active Portfolio Management We believe that investing in U.S. REITs with an experienced active manager offers several important advantages over passively managed investments such as exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Here are a few reasons why: Different REITs are better suited for different phases of an economic cycle. Certain types of REITs tend to be more cyclical, while others have more “bond-like” cash flows. This depends largely on the duration of their leases, which can range from a single day (hotels) to a decade or more (hospitals). An active manager can adjust a portfolio’s allocation depending on their economic outlook in an effort to enhance absolute returns over full market cycles. Flexibility among market capitalizations. ETFs are typically weighted by market cap, meaning that large-cap REITs will dominate the portfolio’s holdings. By contrast, an active manager can increase allocations to select small-cap REITs that may offer greater growth potential. Finding opportunities through fundamental company analysis. An active manager may conduct extensive research of each company, evaluating its management team, its acquisition and development strategy, the quality of its properties, and the strength of its balance sheet, using these inputs to assess the stock’s value relative to its peers. Cohen & Steers’ actively managed U.S. REIT solutions Open-End Mutual Funds Cohen & Steers Realty Shares CSRSX—no load Cohen & Steers Real Estate Securities Fund CSEIX—Class A CSCIX—Class C CSDIX—Class I CIRRX—Class R CSZIX—Class Z Cohen & Steers Institutional Realty Shares CSRIX—Institutional Cohen & Steers open-end funds are distributed by Cohen & Steers Securities, LLC. Please consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of any Cohen & Steers fund carefully before investing. A summary prospectus and prospectus containing this and other information may be obtained by visiting cohenandsteers.com or by calling 800 330 7348. Please read the summary prospectus and prospectus carefully before investing. The mention of specific securities is not a recommendation or solicitation for any person to buy, hold or sell a particular security and should not be relied upon as investment advice. The views and opinions are as of the date of this publication and are subject to change without notice. Important Disclosures The views and opinions in the preceding commentary are as of the date of publication and are subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that any historical trend illustrated above will be repeated in the future, and there is no way to predict precisely when such a trend will begin. There is no guarantee that any market forecast made in this commentary will be realized. This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time, should not be relied upon as investment or tax advice and is not intended to predict or depict performance of any investment. We consider the information in this commentary to be accurate, but we do not represent that it is complete or should be relied upon as the sole source of suitability for investment. Investors should consult their own advisors with respect to their individual circumstances. This commentary must be accompanied by the most recent Cohen & Steers Realty Shares, Cohen & Steers Real Estate Securities Fund, or Cohen & Steers Institutional Realty Shares factsheet if used in conjunction with the sale of mutual fund shares. Risks of Investing in Real Estate Securities Risks of investing in real estate securities are similar to those associated with direct investments in real estate, including falling property values due to increasing vacancies or declining rents resulting from economic, legal, political or technological developments, lack of liquidity, limited diversification and sensitivity to certain economic factors such as interest rate changes and market recessions. Foreign securities involve special risks, including currency fluctuations, lower liquidity, political and economic uncertainties, and differences in accounting standards. Some international securities may represent small- and medium-sized companies, which may be more susceptible to price volatility and be less liquid than larger companies. Cohen & Steers Capital Management, Inc. (Cohen & Steers) is a registered investment advisory firm that provides investment management services to corporate retirement, public and union retirement plans, endowments, foundations and mutual funds. Copyright © 2015 Cohen & Steers, Inc. All rights reserved. cohenandsteers.com 800 330 7348 MP808_0315