Joint initiatives and common protocols in extreme events
Transcription
Joint initiatives and common protocols in extreme events
ClimMani ClimMani integrated WG1-4 workshops on Joint initiatives and common protocols in extreme events ecology, experiments and modelling Will be held 24-26 March 2015 University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark Many climate change manipulation experiments have been carried out in recent decades. However, several challenges remain or have emerged, which limit our understanding of ecosystem functioning under future climate change. These include inadequate representation of biomes, artifacts, incomparable experiments, poor representation of relevant scenarios, in particular extreme events, lack of research communication sharing of results and lack of good data for modeling. This Action will develop a network for the experimental climate change research community bringing experimentalists and modelers together in order to provide solutions to these recurrent challenges. The Action will organize workshops addressing key challenges in climate change experiments and modeling, support research exchange, educate young scientists and facilitate better sharing and access to experimental data. The Action will be organized within four Working Groups to address: Experimental best practice, Natural climate gradients as experimental proxies, Data sharing, and Data-model interaction. The Action will provide added value to European climate change research by linking high level national research groups and projects to a supra-national level and provide strong links and interactions with the global research community. Key scientific questions to be addressed at the workshop: What are the current model weaknesses and how do we best inform models through manipulation experiments? How do we optimize the use of experimental plots when creating complex response surfaces? How do we optimize gradient studies to maximize usability as response surfaces? How do we more efficiently take advantage of natural droughts in experiments? How do we achieve a better integration of models and observed data across transects? 1 Please note that the first day will be devoted to developing already existing manuscript ideas. If you are going to participate in the Manuscript Activities (MA) on March 24, you are encouraged to contact the lead author of the MA you are most interested to participate in, which will help them in organizing their respective MA. We also urge the MA leaders to keep the groups at an efficient number of participants. The MAs are: Manuscript Activity 1: Emerging challenges in climate change experiments: making the best use of a constrained number of experimental units. This paper aims to explore and optimize tradeoffs between number of plots, number of response levels and number of treatments in relation to statistical power. Manuscript leader: Klaus S. Larsen ([email protected]). Manuscript Activity 2: Opinion paper on meta-analyses. The aim of this paper is to address issues for experimentalists, synthesizers and modelers with respect to performing reasonable interpretations of meta-analyses, dealing with caveats, etc. Manuscript leader: Michael Bahn ([email protected]). Manuscript Activity 3: Experiments by nature – the value of gradient studies. The aim of this paper will be to review recent learnings from gradient studies and discuss the pros and cons of climate change experiments by using natural gradients. Manuscript leaders: Marcelo Sternberg ([email protected]) and Thomas Wohlgemuth ([email protected]). Manuscript Activity 4: Frontiers in coordinated distributed experiments and surveys along gradients. The aim of this paper is to provide a first overview of newly existing coordinated experiments and surveys addressing major advances and challenges. It will then focus on the potential in this emerging field of experimental biogeography in answering a new set of research questions across larger gradients. Manuscript leaders: Johannes Ransijn ([email protected]) and Anke Jentsch ([email protected]). Manuscript Activity 5: Defining ‘short term’ vs ‘long term’ responses of biomass production to climate change manipulation across different experiments (FACE, warming, drought, fertilization). The aim is to identify and analyze datasets from multi-year climate change manipulation experiments where biomass production has been estimated (harvest or pin-point) yearly, and discuss how the ‘short term’ response differs from the ‘long term’ response. Manuscript leader: Louise Andresen ([email protected]). Manuscript Activity 6: Experiments underestimate ecosystem responses to drought (working hypothesis, potential title). The aim of this activity is to compare results from studies on natural droughts with results from experimentally imposed droughts in terms of ecosystem responses (cover, biomass, NPP, mortality). Manuscript leader: György Kröel-Dulay ([email protected]) 2 If you are not directly involved in the current Manuscript Activities you can plan you travel for participating during the second and/or third day(s), which will be devoted to cross-cutting sessions covering six themes: Session A (WGs 1,2,4): Extreme events - experiments and modelling. This session will focus on drought as an extreme event. How may new information be gathered in the best way using manipulation and gradient studies? Current weaknesses in models are explored based on this information. Session leader: Claus Beier. Session B (WGs 1,2,3): Combining response surface experiments and natural gradient observations (including disturbance). The main questions to be addressed are: How do we optimize the use of experimental plots when creating artificial response surfaces? How do we optimize gradient studies to maximize usability as response surfaces? How do we more efficiently take advantage of natural droughts in experiments? Session leader: Klaus S. Larsen. Session C (WGs 1,2): Developing standardized, reference metrics for ecological experiments. Even when variables are measured in the same way across experimental sites, local differences in climate, soil and vegetation complicates cross-site comparison. This calls for developing common metrics that can be used to quantify differences in, for example, water or nutrient availability between sites, experiments and treatments. This session aims to describe such metrics, including a prototype ‘phytosensor’ and a plan for its application across sites during 2015. Other standardized metrics (e.g. the ‘tea-bag’, ‘nutrient sticks’ and other potential methods) will also be discussed and plans for follow up will be shaped. Session leaders: Johannes Ransijn and Philipp von Gillhausen for Anke Jentsch. Session D (WGs 1,2,3): Gathering and developing common protocols. Comparing similar data across different experiments still poses a major challenge due to lack of common protocols. This session aims to generate a detailed working plan for how to gather existing protocols from previous network activities as well as initiate the development of new protocols where needed. Session leader: Hans de Boeck and Vigdis Vandvik. Session E (WGs 2,4): Modelling transects. This session will attempt to identify transects where data from gradient studies could be used by modellers towards a better integration of model and data. Session leader: Louis Francois. Session F (WGs1,2): Evidence of carbon limitation in ecosystem research. It became an almost unquestioned assumption that C is the prime limiting resource in plant life. At least this is the starting point of most models and why people discuss CO2 fertilization. This session will aim at revisiting this assumption and discuss situations where this assumption may be valid and where not. Session leader: Christian Körner. Each day will start with a morning session of talks serving to set the stage of the discussions during the cross-cutting sessions. Furthermore, we have allocated time and rooms for other scientific interactions (smaller meetings and discussions) during both days – if some groups should have the need for this. All oral presenters: Please prepare 25 minute presentations – leaving 5 minutes for questions. Please note that we have now added one more theme since the SurveyMonkey where you gave your preferences with respect to session attendance. We will therefore start in the morning on 25 March with making the final plan of who attends which sessions – some of you may want to change sessions – and we may want to push towards having a more balanced number of participants to each session. 3 ClimMani workshop Programme Copenhagen 24-26 March 2015 University of Copenhagen, Rolighedsvej 23, New Building (2nd row from the street), 1958 Frederiksberg Tuesday 24th March 08:30-09:00 09:00-10:30 10:30-12:00 12:00-13:00 13:00-14:30 14:30-16:00 16:00-17:00 19:00- Arrival and registration Parallel manuscript sessions for manuscripts 1, 2, and 6. Coffee served ad hoc Parallel manuscript sessions for manuscripts 3 and 5. Coffee served ad hoc Lunch (will be provided) Parallel manuscript sessions for manuscripts 1, 5 and 6. Coffee served ad hoc Parallel manuscript sessions for manuscripts 2, 3 and 4. Coffee served ad hoc Additional manuscript sessions as needed (e.g. manuscript 4 would like input from other sessions. Details will follow) Self-organized dinner Wednesday 25th March 08:30-09:00 09:00-09:10 09:10-09:20 09:20-09:50 09:50-10:20 10:20-10:50 10:50-11:20 11:20-11:50 11:50-12:00 12:00-13:00 13:00-15:00 15:00-16:00 16:00-17:00 17:00-18:00 19:00 Arrivals and registration Welcome by Klaus Steenberg Larsen and Claus Beier Organizing who goes to which sessions Talk by Andrew Friend: Analysing extreme events in (existing) model intercomparison experiments Talk by Sara Vicca: Developing a common metric of nutrient availability Coffee Talk by Andreas Schweiger: Optimizing sampling approaches along gradients Talk by Nuno Carvalhais: Exploring the role of model-data-fusion in constraining the long term predictability of ecosystem carbon fluxes. (Co-author: Mirco Migliavacca) Wrap-up of mornings talks Lunch Parallel cross-cutting sessions A, B and C (and other scientific interactions are possible in parallel) Coffee and “Scientific free-time” for other scientific interactions Parallel cross-cutting sessions A, B and C continued Plenum presentations of session outcomes and further planned work Buffet dinner at venue 4 Thursday 26th March 09:00-09:10 09:10-09:40 09:40-10:10 10:10-10:40 10:40-11.10 11:10-11:40 11:40-12:10 12:10-13:00 13:00-15:00 15:00-15:30 15:30-16:30 16:30 Good morning and welcome back by Klaus Steenberg Larsen Talk by Roberto Ranzi: Impact of climatic and forested area changes on long-term runoff data in the Southern Alps. Talk by Michael Bahn: Combining response surface experiments and natural gradient observations – including disturbance Coffee Talk by Håkan Walander: Fungal ingrowth mesh bags - a way to monitor ectomycorrhizal growth and turnover in the field. Talk by Louise Andresen: Determining short term vs long term effects in a common way Talk by Christian Körner: Evidence of carbon limitation in ecosystem research Lunch Parallel cross-cutting sessions D, E and F (and other scientific interactions in parallel if necessary) Coffee Plenum presentations of session outcomes and further planned work Departure Meeting venue, hotels and transport from the airport Participants are asked to book their own hotel and arrange their local transport from the airport to the hotel and from hotel and meeting venue. Hotels will be reimbursed by a flat rate of 120 EUR/night. Local Organizers and Contact Info: Klaus Steenberg Larsen +45 2132 4964 Inger Kappel Schmidt +45 2245 8976 Meeting Venue: The venue will be University of Copenhagen, Rolighedsvej 23 (new building in second row from the street), 1958 Frederiksberg C in Copenhagen. 5 Parking Entrance new building Bus 2A Green cycleway Metro station - Forum How to get from the Airport to our department, Rolighedsvej 23: http://www.copenhagenpictures.dk/getting-from-cph-to-copenhagen-copenhagen-pictures.html Please take the Metro (going towards Vanløse) to the metro station: FORUM (You need a 3 zone ticket). When you leave the metro station, it is 10 minute walk to Rolighedsvej 23: http://goo.gl/maps/qe4Ng At Rolighedsvej 23, please pass the front yellow building and follow the asphalt road/lane down to the new building, which is situated behind the front building. Here you will find the reception. More info about transportation in Copenhagen: http://www.scandinaviastandard.com/public-transport-incopenhagen/ 6 Metro map: 7 HOTELS close to Forest & Landscape: CABINN SCANDINAVIA Hotel *** (12 minutes to Rolighedsvej 23) Vodroffsvej 55 DK-1900 Frederiksberg Phone: +45 3536 1111 [email protected] www.cabinn.com Online: https://www.cabinn.com/en/cheap-hotels-frederiksberg Find your way to the university: http://goo.gl/maps/VqDpw Hotel CABINN Express ** (7 minutes to Rolighedsvej 23: http://goo.gl/maps/JIEM9 ) Danasvej 32 DK-1910 Frederiksberg C Phone: 45 3321 0400 [email protected] www.cabinn.com AVENUE HOTEL *** (11 minutes to Rolighedsvej 23) Åboulevard 29 DK-1960 Frederiksberg Phone: +45 3537 3111 [email protected] www.avenuehotel.dk Find your way to the university: http://goo.gl/maps/VykEx HOTEL SCT. THOMAS *** (21 minutes to Rolighedsvej 23) Frederiksberg Allé 7 1621 København V Phone: +45 3321 6464 www.hotelsctthomas.dk Find your way to the university: http://goo.gl/maps/3IN8p 8 How to register – and what will be reimbursed? You have all accepted the electronic eCOST invitation: Sender was: "[email protected]" Title was: "[COST] Action ES1308 Meeting invitation: ...." You were then directed to a page where you should enter your travel times and travel costs. You can first just enter the info you have at hand and press "Save" at the bottom of the page to finish the registration. Please save the link given in the invitation e-mail where you find it again, because you will have to go back to this page after the meeting to submit and print-out the final travel claim. Since this is the last activity of our budget year we need quickly to get information from you about the time of arrival and departure and cost of your air tickets (or train tickets, etc. to get to the meeting). Please book those as soon as possible and send the information about travel cost and times by e-mail to the Grant Holder ([email protected]). AFTER THE MEETING you go back to this page and register all your travel costs for your reimbursement claim, press submit, print it out and send it together with copies of your travel expenses and flight tickets to the Grant Holder for reimbursement, within 30 days after the meeting has ended. Regarding the travel reimbursement rules then please note the following: * Hotel costs will be reimbursed by a flat rate of 120 EUR/night. *Food costs will be reimbursed by a flat rate of 20 EUR/meal (2 meals = full day). The Local organizer will charge you directly for the meals that he offers (80 EUR, if you stay for the whole meeting), but you will get that reimbursed after the meeting from COST, together with the other meals. * Actual long distance transport costs will be reimbursed, in accordance to the COST rules. But please note restrictions that apply for e.g. only using the lowest available economy airfares up to a maximum of 1200 EUR. Business class air tickets will not be reimbursed. The long distance transport can be with plane, train or car. For the first two you need to submit a copy of the receipt with the travel claim after the meeting, but car travel is reimbursed by 0.2 EUR/km (0.3 EUR/km if more than one participant shares the car; max 2000 km). You then need to submit a GoogleMap figure showing the route and the distance with the travel claim. * Participants staying for the whole three-day meeting can at maximum get four hotel nights reimbursed. I.e. it is allowed to stay one extra day, if participants can show that they can’t arrive in time for a MA or cross-cutting session they are registered to, or can’t reach their home during the same day as the last such activity ends. * Local travel costs (usually meaning from home to airport and from airport to/from venue and between venue and hotel during meeting) is either reimbursed with a flat rate of 25 EUR (then no receipts are needed) or from copies of actual receipts that are submitted with the travel claim. According to COST rules taxi costs are only reimbursed if flight arrivals/departures are later than 22:00 or earlier than 7:00, and then only as 80 EUR at maximum. * The following restriction about travel costs was accepted by the Organizing Committee (Core Group of ClimMani): The Grant Holder will request that all participants to send him mail before the meeting with the time of start/end of travel and TOTAL COST of main travel to and from Copenhagen. The amount given there will be the maximum amount that will be reimbursed if we will have budget constraints after the meeting. Local travel (from/to airport/train station to hotel; from/to hotel to meeting venue in Copenhagen) will only be refunded by 25 EUR flat rate, if we will have budget constraints after the meeting. * Further info about COST reimbursement rules can be found at the COST homepage. 9