Global Niche
Transcription
Global Niche
www.FocusReports.net GlobalNiche Player South Africa is in the driver’s seat thanks to top quality and proven small and flexi-run production capabilities. bservers were pleased but a bit sceptical when Nelson Mandela’s ANC received an overwhelming mandate to rule post-apartheid South Africa in 1994. The world had witnessed a political miracle, but an economic miracle of equal stature would be needed to propel this country at the southernmost tip of Africa into the global economy. The new government would have to pull out all the stops for the world to commit to new investments in South Africa as it shifted away from its former inward-looking existence. August 2006 The automotive industry would not normally find a geographically isolated market of a few million consumers an attractive location to expand production. Nonetheless, stakeholders banded together and set the stage for the industry to become South Africa’s leading manufacturing base and the third largest sector in the economy behind mining and financial services. Today, with economic growth exceeding 5% in real terms and 28 consecutive quarters of positive growth, automotive stands at South Africa’s economic forefront and is credited as the only manufacturing industry not to lose jobs as its contribution to GDP has increased from 5.4% to 7.4% in the last decade. Unfortunately the “Mandela Factor” which helped bring a 0.7% share of the global automotive economy and Top 20 position to South Africa will not be enough to take the country to the next level. Within the global reality of overcapacity, South Africa must brand itself as an attractive production hub for niche vehicle platforms, be it entrylevel, luxury, pickups, or crossover vehicles. In doing so, all stakeholders will need to hit the road to entice potential investors to discover the real South Africa, a place of Western culture with A Sponsored Supplement Produced by Focus Reports a European time zone and a motivated and low-cost labor force (all-inclusive cost of $1.50$2.00/operator man hour). The country also can tout cheap industrial land, even cheaper electricity, stable macroeconomic policies, proactive management, immense natural resources, expertise in process engineering and niche innovation, unparalleled production flexibility, and ISO certifications. These positive factors outweigh the current challenges of a strong commodity-fueled Rand, poor local infrastructure characterized by a lack of coordination between national, provincial and local governments and little input from the 23 www.FocusReports.net automotive industry. Brain drain, lack of tooling capabilities as the industry recovers from the shift away from the weight-based incentives of the 1980s, and geographic dispersion of the local industry between four provinces in a country the size of the whole of Western Europe also are concerns. Even so, the fact BMW South Africa has been awarded Best European Plant by J.D. Power and Associates is proof the country can host truly worldclass automotive activity. Combined with proven small and flexi-run production capabilities, South Africa is ready to brand itself as a competent global niche player. The automotive sector has grown at a breakneck pace, reaching nearly $7 billion in exports in 2005. Norman Lamprecht, Executive Manager at the National Association of Automobile Manufacturers of South Africa (NAAMSA), and guardian of the Automotive Industry Export Council, explains: “Exported autos increased from 110,000 in 2004 to over 140,000 in 2005. Next year, thanks to new models coming into production – Toyota’s Hilux, BMW’s 3-Series, Mercedes’ C-Class and GM’s Hummer H3 – we should export more than 200,000 vehicles.” South Africa’s clear and uniformly applied set of policies is bearing fruit that insiders believe will support sustainable double-digit growth in both production and exports for years to come. In fact, Dr. Johan van Zyl, president of NAAMSA and chief executive officer of Toyota SA Motors, expects “capital investment in the vehicle manufacturing industry to increase by a massive 135% in 2006 to a record $1.4 billion, compared to about 24 Nelson Mandela. $600 million in 2005.” This is a massive increase from the cumulative spend to date of just over $3 billion since the start of the Motor Industry Development Programme (MIDP), according to Mkhululi Mlota, Director – Automotive Customized Sector Program of the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI), and is absolutely critical if the industry is to reach the volumes that will make South Africa truly globally competitive. The DTI’s crystallization of the MIDP in September 1995 set the stage for this miracle. “The industry was too small, too fragmented and overtraded to provide a viable future for the 7 major vehicle manufacturers at the time,” says Nico Vermeulen, executive director of NAAMSA. Mlota elaborates: “The key original objectives were to improve international competitiveness and domestic vehicle affordability, encourage domestic growth, reduce complexity in supply through rationalization, convince manufacturers to focus on longer production runs and modernization, create sustainable employment, create a better balance in foreign exchange, and particularly to achieve growth in exports.” In tackling such a multifaceted agenda, the MIDP has continued the methodical process of bringing down custom barriers which began in the late 1980s with the reduction of import tariffs as high as 115%, and created for the first time, based on the previous Australian model, powerful new measures such as ImportExport Complementation and Productive Asset Allowances to spur a renaissance in the local industry. With import duties on cars at 32% and falling by 2% each year until they reach 25% in 2012, the environment certainly has contributed to improved domestic sales volumes, improved affordability, broad- A Sponsored Supplement Produced by Focus Reports er consumer choices, improved quality, increased employment, as well as enhanced competitiveness and prospects for the industry. On the back of all-time record production of 530,000 vehicles and sales of 617,000 vehicles, increases of 16.5% and 25.7% respectively, South Africa was the world’s fastest growing domestic vehicle market in 2005. Clearly, this status has been the driving force behind new players like India’s Tata and the Koreans taking on the South African incumbents head on with their value-proposition imports. It is abundantly clear that even though South Africa is a Top 10 global market for both Daimler Chrysler and BMW, the country is quickly growing beyond its traditional prestige market and brands. Today, the South African marketplace is already home to over 1,100 models and variants, an amazing ratio of offerings per capita, and economic forecasts of 6% real growth going forward should ensure a fantastic cascading effect as the industry counts down to the One Million Vehicle Sales mark. Furthermore, a clearly drawn out agenda of Broad Based Black Economic Empowerment (BBBEE), should support a rapid increase in the country’s active consumer base of less than 20% of South Africa’s population of 45 million strong. There is no doubt this pent up potential coupled with the kind of sound economic policy that has produced low and stable inflation levels and record low interest rates over the last few years will fuel the kind of continued expansion that Mlota says will “grow the South African market for vehicles to double its current size by 2012.” August 2006 www.FocusReports.net The emergence of a black middle class is not just rhetoric. According to a SA Advertising and Research Foundation 2005 survey, the black middle class has grown by 421,000 adults – or 30% – over the previous 12 months. This eye-opening statistic has prompted OEMs to identify Nissan Revival, our position as the top exporter to Africa with our locally-manufactured Hardbody, and amazing brand recognition as Synovate’s Top Brand in Customer Satisfaction, we are in a great place to introduce new entry level, B-Segment and C-Segment Hatchback offerings that black middle class. However, according to Roel de Vries, director – marketing and sales at Nissan South Africa, “Even though we plan to increase our offerings to cover over 80% of the overall segmentation by 2010 with the emerging black market as Nissan’s primary consideration, com- “Even though we plan to increase our offerings to cover over 80% of the overall segmentation by 2010 with the emerging black market as Nissan’s primary consideration, companies must not go overboard in defining differences because South Africa has 11 different official languages, dozens of ethnicities and colours, and multiple religions. While people try to tear through statistics to identify key differences, emotions and perceptions of brand awareness and prestige are universal.” the group as a primary growth area in South Africa that warrants a specific strategy. Julio Panama, Nissan South Africa’s managing director, adds: “The combination of the new level of corporate support and global integration brought on by the directly cater to South Africa’s rising black middle class.” Panama is confident his organization will increase overall market share from 8% to 10% in 2006. That is a powerful tribute to South Africa’s emerging panies must not go overboard in defining differences because South Africa has 11 different official languages, dozens of ethnicities and colours, and multiple religions. While people try to tear through statistics to identify key differences, emotions and perceptions of brand awareness and prestige are universal.” Today, a current MIDP revision process is set to put in motion a recalibrated plan by the end of 2006. Despite the rosy outlook for vehicle volumes, local suppliers face some daunting challenges since, according to Mlota, “The Productive Asset Allowance may favour car assemblers while not benefiting component suppliers. The revised MIDP may introduce certain benefits that offer the level of benefits that OEMs enjoy to our supplier base.” It seems the voice of NAACAM has been heard. Roger Pitot, executive director at the National Association of Automotive Component and Allied Manufacturers (NAACAM), makes the situation out to be cut and dried: “South Africa must find niche markets around the world and forge a fixed position. The government should refocus the MIDP in favour of a combination of investment assistance in the range of 30-40%, regional production allowance, training schemes, and support for R & D expenditure.” In addition, Pitot anxiously awaits the outcome of high-profile negotiations between raw materials suppliers; the DTI and South Africa’s Competition Commission that he hopes will yield more opportunities for local benefits. Pitot emphatically concludes: “As an efficient industry with many producers that are globally competitive, only these issues require medium to long-term governmental support in order for us to achieve necessary export volumes for further global growth.” Entering the Global Environment Having established itself in 26 A Sponsored Supplement Produced by Focus Reports August 2006 www.FocusReports.net less than a decade as a reliable automotive production hub not only for Africa but also the major global markets, the South African automotive industry is much closer to charting a clear course. When General Motors Corp. was the last of the OEMs to take the full post-apartheid plunge by purchasing back Delta’s 51% stake in 2004, GM South Africa (GMSA) was immediately asked to identify the best suitable vehicle export program for South Africa. Considering that GM’s entire global Hummer H3 requirement was coming off the lines of its Shreveport plant and the longstanding success of producing truck applications in South Africa, GMSA was a natural fit to supply the global non-North American requirement. According to Robert Socia, president and managing director at GMSA, “winning the Hummer H3 contract is a testament to how General Motors views us as a can-do organization with a lot of accomplishments to its name in just a short period of time.” He may be referring to his organization’s gain in overall market share of 1.5 points in 2005 alone to reach 13.6% while posting a blistering 40% increase. This performance was enabled in part by the rolling out of the Chevy brand, including the Spark: No.1 in the entry segment, and the Aveo, No. 2 in the small hatchback segment, for quality per J.D. Power and Synovate. The Isuzu KB and Opel Corsa Utility, which carries the top ranking for quality by both syndicated surveys, now account for 24% of local LCV sales. GM has clearly upped the ante in South Africa by investing about $330 million including nearly $100 million August 2006 in setting up the Hummer program which will swing into production in September 2006 and eventually include lefthand drive and diesel variants en route to volumes that may reach 18,000 annually. In its expansion, GMSA has been emblematic of the opportunity to generate a profit while uplifting local communities. “We are at the forefront of involvement and service to our community,” says Socia. The industry-wide HIV/AIDS infection rate of 1/6 is a major challenge that cannot be avoided in South Africa, but there are many more social challenges that do not have a direct and immediate correlation to worker productivity. The GM South Africa Foundation puts to work various innovative models designed to help the local government face its housing challenge with better build and efficiency. The Foundation has written textbooks, trained principals, and educated 2,000 children of its Eastern Cape employees. While most companies find it out of scope, GMSA provides in-house comprehensive medical coverage for retirees. According to Socia, “We design, fund and manage our own programs instead of simply handing over money blindly. This is a different and more real approach to social responsibility.” Such grassroots efforts to help communities are not confined to car manufacturers who have a brand image to uphold. Stewart Lang, vice president and general manager at Johnson Controls Automotive, explains: “The future of South Africa depends on educating the masses.” Since in-house training courses at Johnson Controls have repeatedly uncovered lower levels of English than expected, the company has created a long-term game plan to meet the challenge. The company recently distributed 40 tons (36.3 t) of books to six schools where the children of their employees are schooled and has dedicated a person to ensure teachers incorporate the material into lesson plans. In another program, each of Johnson Control’s plants – Pretoria, Port Elizabeth and East London - supports an orphanage with daily deliveries of e’pap, a highly nutritious food. Such a commitment makes MAN Truck & Bus Germany’s MAN Truck & Bus, the only European commercial vehicle company to grow South African market share in 2005 – in a market of low 20% import duties on commercial vehicles – has its own strategy to protect growth from the plethora of rapidly emerging Indian, Brazilian, and Chinese offerings that have captivated first-time buyers. According to Geoff du Plessis, chief executive officer of the company, with a global commodities run and the ramp up to meet the transportation requirements of the World Cup 2010, “We anticipate quite a restructuring of the market in which a distinct premium segment will develop for the first time.” As market leader with more than 40% share in the underdeveloped local bus market, MAN has planned in advance to ensure a positioning both as a Top Three player in the premium segment and as a meaningful participant in the mass segment. The plan is to leverage the capabilities of MAN’s South African Global Centre of Excellence for front-engine buses and the company’s status as South Africa’s sole inhouse bus production facility to secure a premium positioning. In 2007, MAN will start to import value-priced Indian-made product to complement its premium offerings under a single brand strategy. ■ A Sponsored Supplement Produced by Focus Reports 27 www.FocusReports.net BMW Plant Rosslyn South Africa. sense considering the conservatively estimated 12% future market growth rate and “the country’s stability and reliable workforce compared to many low labour cost countries,” says Lang. Stewart Lang. Having taken full ownership of its South African operation in 2003, Johnson Controls quickly realized as the market leader in outsourced complete seat assemblies that further institutional growth might be difficult. For this reason, according to Lang, “We are focusing on doing our part in expanding the local car market as more and more new vehicles are being assembled here.” When the first Hummer H3 rolls off the line, it will have Johnson Controls seats. Also, according to Lang, “another exciting new prospect is the entry of Tata into South Africa as a manufacturer.” Having been part of a joint 28 Market Fired on all Cylinders: Increase in purchasing power of black South Africans a key impetus SA Advertising and Research Foundation : 2005 Survey ■ Black middle class has grown by 421,000 adults over last 12 months (+30%). ■ An additional 18,000 black adults have moved into LSM10 high income category (>US$850-900/week) in 2005 (+18%) Bureau for Market Research Unisa : 2005 Survey ■ Black middle class increased by 4 million between 1998 and 2003. ■ Black adults in LSM10 doubled between 1998 and 2003. ■ Total of 440,000 blacks now in upper middle income and high income groups (growth of 368% over past 6 years). Dramatic change in our socio economic composition is taking place! venture with Tata to set up Johnson Controls first Indian plant years back, it only makes sense the collaboration will spread to South Africa once Tata finalizes a plant location within the next few months for a planned capacity of 60,000 vehicles. Lang continues: “Since their seating is based on European designs, the best-case scenario would be to commonize some parts with other vehicles to gain the benefits of scale since the real difference here is that the high degree of complexity drives cost with lower volumes for recovery, so the challenge is to minimize the investment.” Even though this approach leads Johnson Controls to outsource more components to South African licensees, the company still keeps no assemblies in inventory and delivers any of 500 seat sets or cockpits to South African OEMs with as little as 45 minutes notice. Roger Pitot. In this way, Johnson Controls is emblematic of the local-multinational fusion that characterizes the local industry. Since the lifting of trade barriers, Roger Pitot, executive director at the National Association of Automotive Component and Allied Manufacturers (NAACAM), explains: “About 10% of South African component suppliers have gone out of business. Today, South Africa’s base of 400+ automotive sup- A Sponsored Supplement Produced by Focus Reports pliers is comprised of a 50/50 mix of global to local suppliers, many of which have acquired technology from abroad.” A handful of South African companies have taken their activities to the next level by establishing a sustainable global footprint by incorporating activity in competing automotive economies into their fold and thus, making them an asset rather than a threat. Eddie Keizan, former racer and national hero come founder and executive chairman at ATS, indulged his passion and established his TSW brand of alloy wheels as the global trend setter in both premium OEM vehicles and aftermarket segments. Younger companies like Venture draw on his example. The specialist in moulded and painted plastic parts entered the market with great force through Detroit-based financial muscle to acquire 21 under performing manufacturing sites that have been rationalized into four solid South African sites as well as operations in India, China, Australia. The growth strategy has been simple, according to Mark Walker, chief executive officer at Venture: “Venture is special because not only do we have access to the best short-run technologies, but we attract the best people and train them on our technological platform.” His company is the only South African company with August 2006 www.FocusReports.net WWW.FOCUSREPORTS.NET water-borne paint lines at almost $16 million each, and is also one of the very few with large-volume robotic molding machines. Walker also is “proud to be one of the first South African entities to receive a TS 16949 rating.” The company can justify just about any tooling expense for minimum volumes of 10,000 units annually for at least five years. Perhaps this is why all eight local OEMs work with Venture. But this would not be possible, according to Walker, were it not for his company’s ability to “leverage our global footprint to maximize the specialized contribution of each Venture operation. “While making the whole company competitive internationally; our Chinese tool shop produces all tooling; 650 engineers in India redesign customer components to produce cost savings; Australian operations share expertise in automotive interiors; South African operations serve as the ‘nerve centre’ and share IT and lean manufacturing techniques.” With such a strong global footprint that maximizes the potential of the low-cost developing world, the company now has its sights on setting up next to OEMs in the developed world to supply larger, higher value modules in sequence. Such a strategy is indicative of the unique First WorldThird World market dynamic which has confirmed South Africa as a truly seasoned training ground for the most upwardly mobile leaders within the automotive industry. Vermeulen explains: “Working here is a tough experience which affords senior executives the opportunity to take a comparatively broad focus in confronting challenges, virtually all of which can be found elsewhere in the world.” Or maybe leaders draw strength from frequent bosberaads or lekgotlas, week-long business retreats to game reserves. Whatever the case, Jurgen Schrempp, former CEO and President of DaimlerChrysler, started his career here as Technical Manager at what was then Mercedes-Benz South Africa. Bernd Pischetsrieder spent numerous years as Technical Director at BMW South Africa before becoming CEO of Volkswagen; Ian Robertson, former MD of BMW South Africa and NAAMSA President from 2001-2005, became Chairman and CEO of Rolls-Royce Motor Cars in 2005. The proof is in the pudding – or in the South African pap – traditional Bantu smooth-boiled corn meal. New policies pave the way According to Mkhululi Mlota, Director – Automotive Customized Sector Program, of the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI), “Today, at least 110,000 people are directly employed on the automotive manufacturing side and an additional 200,000 plus work on the retail side. Clearly the industry is very important to South Africa – for this very reason the DTI is currently creating a whole bouquet of relevant and WTO-compliant policies and initiatives to ensure the future prosperity of the car industry once import duties reach 25% on CBUs and 20% on components.” The industry might be mindful of the implications of August 2006 A Sponsored Supplement Produced by Focus Reports 29 www.FocusReports.net Robots at GM Plant, Port Elizabeth. losing value-added activities by choosing to enter a catfight with the likes of China in purely volume-driven activities. South Africa might do well do continue to draw inspiration from the niche competency driven Australian blueprint. With a broad base of engineering skills that is available at only one-third the cost of developed economies and a “world in one country” climate, perhaps more companies should follow the lead of DaimlerChrysler, which tests its trucks and buses here. Beyond product testing, South Africa could take a leading role in the development of hydrogen powered fuel cell powertrains that require rare earth elements found only in South Africa and China. As the local industry waits with baited breath for the unveiling of the revised MIDP, if everybody delivers on their promises and continues to display extraordinary foresight, the right timing for an enhanced commitment may soon be at hand. But the MIDP is not the only external factor of import. The strong Rand is a source of great frustration for companies in South Africa as they defend their local contracts and look for business abroad. But according to the man commonly referred to in automotive circles as “Expert on the Rand” Tony Twine, director – economic consulting at Econometrics, “when taking into consideration the Trade Weighted Index of South Africa’s Top 15 Trade Partners, the Rand is currently indexed at a value of 103.” It has been indexed as high as 150 and hasn’t changed much in value over the last 11 years despite all the positive change. But the industry should draw some consolation in Twine’s prediction that “the Rand should be at 1 USD = 7 Rand by the end of 2006 and 1 USD = 7.25-7.30 Rand by the end of 2007.” Regardless of temporary shifts in exchange rates, DTI’s Mlota is crystal clear on the intent of the MIDP: “It does not intend to target any specific components or support a sector that does not make business sense. Today, we see great benefit to diversifying our basket of automotive South African OEM Production & Exports Manufacturer Fiat Nissan BMW DaimlerChrysler Ford General Motors VW Toyota Totals 30 Exports 2005 Production 2005 0 4966 5527 40322 29057 43356 29728 51129 13112 61468 1049 61804 40043 113690 20648 120338 139164 497073 A Sponsored Supplement Produced by Focus Reports Exports 2004 Production 2004 4 5949 6158 40923 33512 44187 31691 51534 339 37925 804 46010 27192 85460 10791 111569 110491 423557 August 2006 www.FocusReports.net exports which are dominated by just two product categories, catalytic converters and stitched automotive leather, which account for over 50% of exports.” Another imbalance lies in the 70% of exports destined for the European Union. But Mlota explains: “Of particular interest is MERCOSUR where we have pending preferential trade agreements to increase bilateral trade and open doors especially to our component manufacturers. While Brazil’s automotive industry is three times that of South Africa, the trade balance is 10 or 20 to 1 in Brazil’s favour.” Another under-explored opportunity is the U.S.’s unilateral African Growth Opportunity Act (AGOA) which offers complete duty exemptions on almost every automotive Complete Build-up Unit (CBU) and component. While BMW seems to have caught on in sending the bulk of its 3-Series exports to the US, very few other OEMs and even fewer local suppliers have availed themselves of the potential. Baisch Engineering is an exception to that rule. The company developed proprietary “V” pulley technology in 1985, and has since built up development, design, testing, tooling and launching capabilities. With a 1-2% share of the world pulley market, the company currently exports 95% of its pulleys to Europe, where they go into plants that produce items like engines, crankshafts, power steering, and water pumps. But according to Hennie Venter, managing director at Baisch, “There is so much untapped potential beyond Europe and Baisch now has its sites clearly set on the USA. We are confident in our expansion plan because, quite simply, Baisch pulleys are better than any other pulley in the world.” But quality does not have to come at a higher price. Venter explains that “We place very high importance on making our equipment ‘sweat.’ Over the last year we’ve been able to increase overall efficiency by 15-20% with exactly the same equipment and people in place.” As for the USA, Venter beams: “We have quoted competitively on a few different products into several OEMs and expect to see our product accepted within 12 to 18 months.” Through such efforts, blistering growth rates of 22% per annum over the last three August 2006 years should increase to 25%, while current production of 2 million units should conservatively reach 3 million in 2006 and then double quickly to 6 million with exports to the USA. Once the company reaches 10 million pulleys, Mr. Venter will command 5% of the world market. No wonder Baisch was awarded as Finalist in the President’s Award for Export. While Baisch’s pulleys may be an example of successful export diversification, A Sponsored Supplement Produced by Focus Reports there are other product categories that are poised to pop. Johan Cloete, MIDP Review Project Leader for Blueprint International, the lead consultant on the DTI’s current review process which will culminate in a revised program that carries through 2012, forecasts changes to the MIDP that will result in more FDI. “Since we have such cheap labor and energy costs – No.2 cheapest globally – any foundry-based product should be a win- 31 www.FocusReports.net Vehicle ownership in South Africa : Some key statistics China World average South Africa Europe USA 14 130 135 380 777 Vehicles per 1000 of population. ner. More engine and engine component manufacturing capacity should spring up and result in technology transfer and higher value exports.” This should be music to the ears of Edwin Hewitt, executive director at Murray & Roberts Foundries, “The biggest supplier in terms of value to both Ford’s RoCam and Volkswagen’s LT2 and LT3 engine export program, for which we supply the engine block, head and inlet manifold. For Volkswagen to award a single contract to cast, machine and assemble cylinder heads for export to Europe is not a small feat.” 32 Edwin Hewitt. When Hewitt entered the company in 2002, he had already turned around two companies and was expected to bring discipline, focus and profitability back to Murray & Roberts Foundries. He immediately commissioned an in-depth AT Kearney global benchmarking study that revealed Murray & Roberts’ scrap rate was running as high as 28% compared to the global benchmark on iron blocks of less than 10%. By creating what Hewitt calls “A performance culture defined by a deep succession within each position and a culture of brutal honesty in which no politics is tolerated,” the company positioned itself confidently to execute a 100% turnaround. That included a near $60 million investment to upgrade the company’s existing foundries and build its “Greenfield Alucast aluminium facility which boasts one of the few local ISO 14001 environmental accreditations and “where you can eat off the floors.” With the backing of VAW (Hydro Aluminium) Tridem gravity casting aluminum cylinder head technology, an ongoing partnership with A Sponsored Supplement Produced by Focus Reports Holland’s Gemco on the heavy technical issues associated with upgrades, and a co-investment with their raw material supplier in a world-class aluminium alloy producing facility which converts scrap into billet which is then consumed all within the confines of Alucast, Hewitt claims: “We run to equivalent European levels in scrap, efficiency, and throughput, and we do so with South African people.” With increased production levels of 1,800 blocks per day over all four company foundries, and a confidence the company can be globally competitive, Hewitt now looks to sustain his truly world-class business through a massive drive toward direct exports. It doesn’t hurt that his entire marketing and technical staffs are fluent in both English and German. August 2006 www.FocusReports.net Despite its successes, some say South Africa suffers from Dutch Elm Disease, meaning that while a commodities boom has lifted the Rand, the country is pushed back to its origins as a Third World supplying nation which derives no benefits from value-added activities. The country has lost nearly 60% of its manufacturing employment over the last decade, including 65,000 manufacturing jobs lost in 2005. Today, the automotive sector may be the only substantial manufacturing base left in an economy where unemployment easily exceeds 30%. Because of this, any fears that the MIDP or a similar investment scheme beyond 2012 might not be present are unfounded. New export platforms and the suppliers behind them While prior to 1995 many OEMs had majority local ownership, today, all OEMs in South Africa are majority foreign owned. This structural shift has enabled manufacturing changes in favor of fewer models with much higher volumes through exports. According to Dr. Johan van Zyl, president of NAAMSA and chief executive officer of Toyota SA Motors, “The number of base model cars and Light Commercial Vehicles (LCVs) made locally has dropped from 42 to 22 models, while average volumes per model have gone up from 8,515 to 22,609, thereby increasing efficiencies. This has resulted in high-volume production models (more than 40,000 units) increasing from zero to five, while models produced at a rate of at least 20,000 per year have jumped from five to twelve.” When Toyota, the only Japanese OEM manufacturing August 2006 in South Africa, took its majority stake in 2002, the company had already established itself as the clear overall market leader with a steady target market share over 25% for 26 consecutive years. Dr. Johan van Zyl. A new priority was placed on the integration into the global supply chain that created, according to van Zyl, “A fairly ambitious program to produce over 200,000 vehicles in our Durban plant, half for export. The Hilux Innovative International Multi-purpose Vehicle (IMV) was meant to transform Toyota SA Motors into a global company with economies of scale. Henry Pretorius, senior vice president – product development & purchasing, elaborates: “We first earned the right to export the Corolla to Australia; when we met Japanese quality levels, Toyota Motor Company included us in the Hilux project. We changed the supplier base by importing from all over the world rather than just Japan, began to import on a part-by-part basis, gave a new level of sophistication to our logistics systems, invested heavily to update our facilities and processes to meet higher quality standards, and we began exporting to the European Union.” Even though the Hilux projA Sponsored Supplement Produced by Focus Reports 33 www.FocusReports.net 34 New Vehicle Sales Evolution and Forecast to 2010 3ALES ect was extremely challenging, and the benefit of being located near the Port of Durban, Africa’s busiest port, may have turned into a disadvantage due to frequent delays, Toyota SA Motors is quickly ramping up to production of 120,000 units annually. This could not have been accomplished had the company not committed massive investment to local supplier development. According to Dr. van Zyl, “One element of our supplier development program is to work with local suppliers to find viable options for joint ventures or technical agreements with our leading global suppliers. In the future, local suppliers without global links will find it very difficult to do business with vehicle manufacturers.” Pretorius adds, “More than 50% of local companies couldn’t cope with Toyota standards, so we had to globalize the supplier base from 2003 to 2005. Today, 82% of our suppliers have global content through relationships with Japanese or European global suppliers, up from 30% a few years ago.” A local partnership makes perfect sense from the perspective of a global supplier as well since the risk component associated with doing business in Africa and the smaller volumes do not always make a full-fledged commitment the best option. Toyota SA Motors has played a leading role in promoting very strongly the establishment of at least ten global suppliers like Boshoku and Yazaki in South Africa and when Toyota finalizes its planned supplier park next to the Durban Airport – following the success of clusters near Pretoria (to serve BMW, Ford and Nissan) and Port Elizabeth (to serve VW and GM) – many more global suppliers may take the plunge. Smiths Manufacturing SA, a leading local air-conditioning supplier, found a logical match in Denso in order to accommodate expected growth – but the process was no “walk in the park.” Leon Coetzee, managing director, approached Denso in 1998 and returned to Japan every year until Denso bought a 25% equity stake in Smiths in 2005. From the perspective of South Africa’s quick-acting business culture, Coetzee had to exercise extraordinary patience, but in the end, “Although considerable time elapsed before Denso, in typical Japanese manner, agreed to go ahead, the implementation was extremely quick because everybody already knew exactly what had to be done and how to react to any potential problems that might arise.” Another supplier that has taken on major international partnerships to meet OE needs is Feltex Automotive, one of South Africa’s most diversified suppliers. Today, as the company tries to morph its DNA from that of a traditional manufacturing entity to plan more strategically, Ugo Frigerio, managing director of Feltex Automotive, says it draws on “Toyota’s fearlessness and willingness to teach suppliers how to use the tools of lean manufacturing.” Although Frigerio is the Chairman of the Toyota SA Supplier Association, Feltex leverages its position under the realm of the German entrepreneur Class Daun, the top single foreign investor in South Africa, and also juggles multiple joint ventures and technology agreements with American, European and Japanese partners, to have operations on the doorstep of all eight South African OEMs. Frigerio explains, “Fehrer and Johnson Controls compete head to head in the European molded seat market, and on the automotive trim side, we have seven technology partners, all of which compete against each other in Europe but are able to coexist within a South African context by providing Feltex Automotive their technology.” Frigerio credits his company’s integrity as the enabling force behind this integration of a diverse and competing set of technologies. In light of market trends toward matching Mexican, Thai, Indian and Chinese pricing, Frigerio credits A Sponsored Supplement Produced by Focus Reports “our ability to be successful at lower volumes as a key Feltex advantage. Because we cannot count on a local investment in petrochemicals to give us an advantage in raw materials, and since we face additional challenges in transport and inventory costs, Feltex remains focused on outperforming in process efficiencies, VAVEs, and continuous improvements, the central focus in our growth strategy.” While companies like Feltex have created strategies to mitigate the inherent conflict of interest posed by managing joint ventures with competing partners, there are other challenges to be taken seriously. While almost all industry stakeholders recognize the mutual benefit of localmultinational partnerships, Bill Cooper, chief executive of Dorbyl, another diversified South African player, walked into a situation when joining the company in 1994 in which “the company was actively engaged in a large number of technical agreements and joint ventures which grew quite dramatically in the early years, but once our partners became familiar with the market, some chose to go it alone in South Africa.” August 2006 www.FocusReports.net This realization as well as the rapid appreciation of the South African Rand from 13.86 to today’s 6.25 to the USD within the last several years forced the company to shed a significant part of its export business – 0% of turnover at the time – and cut 800 jobs. But today, the rationalized company hasn’t turned its back entirely on alliances. Dorbyl has sunk massive investments into its 50/50 joint venture to become one of only three factories in the GKN world with access to state-of-the art constant velocity joint technology. Cooper credits this relationship with opening doors at Toyota SA Motors, which in turn matched Dorbyl with a technology partner in a $9 million steel wheel plant which supplies the Hilux and Corolla. Says Cooper: “This relationship is going exceptionally well due to a high level of communication between us, Henry Pretorius, and our Japanese partners which may even chose to invest in Dorbyl.” But by no means is Dorbyl solely reliant on foreign technologies. As the owner of one of the bigger automotive foundries in the Southern Hemisphere, Dorbyl handles all aspects of metrology, design and patents and is competitive in both local and export markets. In supplying Bosch 1.5 million of a single component annually Cooper beams with pride as he shares that “Over the last three years our quality reject rate has been exactly zero. When we picked up 34 components from Toyota, their world-best class reject level was at 23%, and we are supplying them at .5%. When SKF in the USA faced a cracking issue on a hub with a bearing system and ABS assembly rolled into it, we stepped in to bring rejects down to nearly zero. On forging we are as world-class as anybody in our specific areas of expertise.” According to Dr Paulo Fernandes, managing director of the AIDC (Automotive Industry Development Centre), an influential PPP which links the automotive industry, government departments, and provincial governments “If local suppliers 36 A Sponsored Supplement Produced by Focus Reports can establish themselves as being globally competitive, the current local content in CBUs that ranges from 40% to over 60% could be boosted by a further 10-15%.” A continued OEM commitment to highvolume global platforms will surely help the cause. Volkswagen of South Africa’s MIDP mastery Import-Export complementation has been the cornerstone of the MIDP in achieving the integration of South African operations into procurement chains of global automotive companies. Provided a company exports components or motor vehicles, it can use the credits generated to import requirements free of duties. In effect, this allows companies to bring in a greater range of products and offset the negative cost factor of geographic dislocation. Volkswagen of South Africa (VWSA) experienced growth even greater than the overall market in 2005 by utilizing this provision perhaps better than any other OEM. According to Andreas Tostmann, managing director of VWSA, “since 2004, our growth has exceeded even that of the general market growth as we have introduced a wide array of new products such as the Polo facelift, the Golf 5, the all new 5th generation Jetta, the Touran, the Touareg, the Caddy Life and the T5 Caravelle/ Kombi, into both the passenger and commercial segments. In the Audi product range, we added the newly designed A3, A4 and A6. In such a very competitive environment, the key is to grow ahead of the market, and as VW of South Africa, representing the VW, VW Commercial and Audi brands, we managed to grow all three at an epic rate.” Such good fortune has been coupled by VWSA’s investment of around $1 billion in new models, a new paint shop and a new truck and bus assembly plant between 2000 and 2008. Although it’s very unlikely that a revised MIDP will require a certain minimum level of local content, VWSA is finding that maximizing local content makes quite a bit of sense. According to Tostmann, “every OEM has an objective to maximize local content partly in order to overcome the disadvantage of our distance to overseas markets; however, considerAugust 2006 www.FocusReports.net ation must be given to the relatively small volumes produced here. To overcome this, we first combine export and domestic volumes to increase the units being produced. Then we look for synergies between our different models. Common parts in our Polo and Golf make it easier for our suppliers to invest in the required technology, having afterwards to cope with the investment related to the specific design or to the needs of the product itself. This division of the supplier’s investment into technology and design is a unique approach that we are taking in South Africa.” Andreas Tostmann. Today, as a growing operation within a growing market that has been fully integrated into the VW global network, the company is anything but stagnant. According to Tostmann, “we have a clear commitment to South Africa with a longterm strategy for producing modern vehicles like the Golf GTI. While we will continue to produce the ever so popular 30 + year-old Citi Golf, our ‘South African Beetle’, our primary growth will be in producing the latest models for both local and export markets. Now we are prepared to take this further, by adding the Bus and Truck August 2006 segment.” Strong growth in South Africa’s truck and bus segment has prompted an equally strong influx of product offerings making for intensified competition, but VWSA has a very specific strategy to become a relevant player in this segment. VW has chosen to import its experience as market leaders in several key Brazilian bus & heavy trucks categories to South Africa. According to Tostmann, “we have learned through launching our Brazilian products in Mexico, the first export market for that line, that the product can be a hit overseas.” This commercial decision is not just an issue of moving from strength to strength but also of taking a pioneering role by taking on a ‘real’ Black Empowerment partner, Mzantsi Truck & Bus, to operate the local operations. As from early 2007 Mzantsi will assemble city buses, luxury coaches and 5-50 ton trucks from Brazilian components. Tostmann explains: “The company’s 27 shareholders, all VWSA employees, won the tender based on merit and no financial assistance from VWSA. Rather than turning to black-owned investment funds, we chose this very grassroots approach which is what the government really intended in promoting black ownership.” VWSA sees its unique commercial structure of ‘real’ black empowerment as a critical element that will combine with VW’s Brazilian product range and experience, local product, dominant position and strong brand image to achieve 8-10% market share within just a few years. But it would not have been possible to import such a breadth of VW’s passenger and commercial product range had it not been for contracts to export the Polo and Golf 5 globally. Tostmann explains VWSA’s concentrations on industrial strategy: “We have a global demand for these two models despite the fact that both are also being produced in European and Mexican plants. This internal VW competition to service foreign markets has helped us to improve our efficiencies and achieve VW international standards.” When benchmarking the Uitenhage plant against product from other Volkswagen plants internationally, Tostmann is clear that “there is only one producing standard for us, and it’s VW’s.” Tostmann gleams with pride as he explains the monumental accomplishment: “there is no technology gap that prevents us from establishing a successful engine operation in South Africa. It is more of an issue of justifying the investment. We already had an engine plant for our local Citi Golf production, so the question was how to use a relatively small sum of money to upgrade and produce the modern 5 cylinder TDI engine for export to Germany. Our heavy investment in skills development has been a particular success within our engine export program” South Africa’s supply base broadens its horizons While the MIDP may be more geared toward OEMs as drivers of the industry, a handful of suppliers have stepped up to take advantage of its provisions. According to Ted We are an “art to part” engineering, tooling and plastic supplier to the automotive industry. We have a global footprint in the developing world with plants in South Africa, India, China and Australia. We serve our clients through “Just-In-Time” delivery of integrated interior and exterior systems. “Having fun being the best.” Components from Asia/Africa Engineering from India IP Skins from China Tools from China & Australia Contact us: South Africa: +27 12 365 8760 Australia: +61 3 9230 0271 A Sponsored Supplement Produced by Focus Reports China: +86 21 3892 4509 India: +91 40 278 15456 37 www.FocusReports.net Waldburger, managing director of Behr South Africa, “Behr can be considered an MIDP case study in that significant investments have been made resulting in the transfer of world-class technology, employment creation, high local added value and beneficiation of local raw materials, and a contribution toward more affordable vehicles.” With its roots in a small local company, T & N Holdings, that revolutionized radiator manufacturing by replacing the conventional “sandwich” with a single layer of aluminium foil, Waldburger credits Germany’s Behr with taking the right approach in integrating the operation into its fold by leaving the company alone for the first several years to allow for a natural process. Since integration began four years go, South African operations have doubled turnover to surpass the $180 million mark while adding 300 new employees in 2005 alone to bring headcount to 1,500. Active participation in the Behr global strategy of twinning high technology, high-cost European and North American plants with lower cost manufacturing units in emerging countries was absolutely critical in seeding South African operations with global responsibilities and global volumes. But Waldburger firmly believes that “without the support of the MIDP to offset the logistics disadvantage (that average 10%) for global projects with fixed annual prices, we probably wouldn’t be here.” South Africa now supplies the entire Behr global requirement for charger cooler tubes, manufactures Exhaust Gas Recirculation (EGR) coolers for a new device to limit gas emissions, and plays a support role in niche OEM and spare parts business for high-cost Behr plants that were formerly gummed up with extremely low volumes. According to Waldburger, “Since our local market has always been that way, we offer them a very competitive solution. We are very comfortable using our semiautomatic innovative flair to supply such volumes. This company is a testament to the ability of a South African company to achieve global success.” Such success might not have been possible had it not been for the presence of vital inputs from Hulett Aluminium, Africa’s leader in the supply of aluminium rolled products. While Southern Africa is one of the world’s largest producers of primary aluminium and boasts significant recycling capacity, less than one-quarter of local aluminium is beneficiated. Although Hulett is more than 50 years old, the company only entered the automotive segment seven years ago and since has grown the business to account for 10% of its volume en route to the 23% global average. Alan Fourie, managing director of the company, emphatically states: “Automotive FDI which is linked directly to our capability to supply material exceeds $130 million. It is unlikely that companies like Behr, Carcoustics, Rieter Feltex, Alltube and OttoFuchs would have entered this market had they not been able to secure a sustainable supply of semi-fabricated aluminium material at the right quality and price.” With almost $1 billion invested in robust hardware and a quadrupling of rolled product capacity to 173,000 t.p.a., capital employed has skyrocketed from less than $100 million to almost $1 billion. This campaign, says Fourie, has “enabled Hulett to move away from easily produced and readily available products in favor of a focus on custom-made products that fit stringent, specific requirements for a variety of pressing, forming or stamping activities at the upper end of product profitability and complexity curves.” Today, while Hulett sends 70% of its production to all corners of the world, the local automotive industry has become a top priority. The company might use its stellar relationship with its largest automotive customer, Behr, as a model. Fourie sites a “demonstrated ability stay ahead of trends in alloys and in working closely with Behr on new product development” as a core reason that Behr has initiated dialogue on the idea of Hulett supplying other plants abroad. The case for partnering with Hulett may be bolstered when they unveil niche innovations in new alloy development and truck and tanker design at Auto Africa 2006 this October, which for this first time will be included in the International Organization of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers (OICA) calendar. ■ Texts and Research: Nicholaos Kostas Voutsinas Project coordination and advertising: Agostina Da Cunha Project assistant: Ines Nandin For exclusive interviews and more info on South Africa log on www.focusreports.net or email to [email protected] 38 A Sponsored Supplement Produced by Focus Reports August 2006