FMosconi_Why Manufacturing Matters_2015
Transcription
FMosconi_Why Manufacturing Matters_2015
Why Manufacturing Matters: (The Case of Emilia Romagna) Franco Mosconi (Università di Parma) Lecture: “Economia Applicata” & ”Economia Industriale Internazionale” Seminar 18 March 2015 Keynote speech held by Prof. YULEK Agenda 1990s and first decade of 2000s: Finance dominated the economic and political agenda (“Washington Consensus”) TODAY: The good news, today, is the “revival” of manufacturing Agenda/2 «Today, I'm calling for all of us to come together- private sector industry, universities, and the government- to spark a renaissance in (…) manufacturing and help our manufacturers develop the cutting-edge tools they need to compete with anyone in the world... With these key investments, we can ensure that (…) remains a nation that 'invents it here and manufactures it here' and creates highquality, good paying jobs for (…) workers.» Agenda/3 Who said this? Agenda/4 President Obama, speaking at Carnegie-Mellon University on June 24, 2011 Agenda/5 Then, the Federal Government launched “The Advanced Manufacturing Partnership (AMP)” (http://manufacturing.gov/advanced _manufacturing.html) The Change in Direction This is (only) the beginning of a change in direction –the tip of the iceberg- after two decades that have been dominated by finance. Since 2010, quarterly journals, magazines (think of “The Economist”), think-tanks, and so on, have all published articles on “Why Manufacturing Matters” The Change in Direction/2 So, why? Where does the higher income come from? It has to come from productivity growth, which is faster in manufactuing (than in services). The Change in Direction/3 From the big picture to our city/region: how this narrative has been internalized in Parma/EmiliaRomagna? The Emilia Romagna (E-R) hasn’t lost its industrial tradition/base during the reign of the “Washington Consensus”. Emilia Romagna/1 As a matter of facts: [i] in E-R one-third of value added comes from INDUSTRY (MANUFACTURING + CONSTRUCTION) → similar to the level of the German Länder; → the breakdown by sector: Food Industry (many high-quality products), and food machinery Emilia Romagna/2 [ii] E-R exports a huge amount of goods and services (essentially, goods): €50 billion in 2014 this impressive amount, in turn, contributes to Italy’s highest commercial surplus on a regional basis Emilia Romagna/3 [iii] many “Industrial Districts” are localized in E-R … [iv] … as well as many “Medium-Sized Enterprises (MSEs)” have in our region their headquarter (570 out of Italy’s 4.000); Mediobanca and Unioncamere have built an index (“MSEs Oriented Regions”) >>> Emilia Romagna/4 >>> “MSEs Oriented Regions”: • Max score = 100 • 1st Veneto = 92.9 • 2nd E-R = 90.6 • (Lombardia is 4th with a score of 84.7; Piemonte 8th with 64.0) Emilia Romagna/5 We should continue to shed light on other performances and on their origins ... All in all the performance has been positive. But we should not sit on our laurels. The «Emilian Model» has gone through a «Metamorphosis». Why? Our research-project on ER The «Metamorphosis» The explanation is twofold: • Exogenous reasons (the emergence of the so-called BRICs, the technological revolution, etc.), which are the same in all the Western Industrialized countries; • Endogenous ones, which depend on how firms are changing. What does this mean? The «Metamorphosis»/2 UPSTREAM ACTIVITIES (E.g., R&D, design …) PRODUCTION PROCESS (more robots and computers in the assembly line) DOWNSTREAM ACTIVITIES (E.g., Brand building, customers assistance ...) The «Metamorphosis»/3 The competitive firms are shifting – in relative terms - from production to upstream and downstream activities. This means that workers are shifting from low-skilled jobs to high-skilled ones; i.e., from “blue collars” to “white collars”. The «Metamorphosis»/4 A successful city/region must not lose the headquarters of successful companies where much R&D, Innovation and Training is done. This is what is happening in E-R –to a certain degree. Industrial Policy: “Knowledge Investment” (R&D, human capital, Ict) Conclusion We are speaking about high-skilled workers, and jobs which require a high level of education in the workforce. So, there is - I think - a “moral to the story” after the fall of finance: in advanced manufacturing there will be room for your generation, here and in the U.S. So....Keep on studying! Conclusion/2 Let me finish with another quotation, once again from the U.S.: Professor Gary Pisano (‘HBS Weekly Newsletter’, March 28, 2011) Conclusion/3 «One of our key messages is to get students to appreciate that manufacturing involves a lot of knowledge work. There has almost been a whole generation of MBA students and managers who have been brought up on a false idea that manufacturing is kind of the brawn and not the brain, and that the country should focus on the brain.» Conclusion/4 The winds are changing: as this quote from the Harvard Business School shows. Let's hope it lasts. Looking back at ER, the main difference is: we have always thought that manufacturing involves brain work too. ‘Food for Thought’ ‘Food for Thought’-cont. Book edited by professor Murat Yülek (Springer, 2015) http://www.springer.com/economics/develo pment/book/978-3-319-06473-4 My own chapter: The New Industrial Policy in Europe a Decade After (2002-2012), pp. 207-38 Grazie! E-mail [email protected] Homepage www.cattedramonnetmosconi.it