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DOURO Mortgages No. 2 € [1,500] million Securitisation of Prime Portuguese Residential Mortgage Loans originated by Banco BPI September 2006 STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Disclaimer This Presentation has been prepared for information purposes only and is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security or instrument. Although the information in this Presentation has been obtained from sources which each of ABN AMRO, Banco BPI, S.A., La Caixa, and Societe Generale Corporate & Investment Banking (the Joint Lead Managers) believe to be reliable, the Joint Lead Managers do not represent or warrant its accuracy, and such information may be incomplete or condensed. This Presentation is an advertisement and does not constitute a prospectus for the purposes of EU Directive 2003/71/EC and/or any other relevant implementing measures. Potential investors should not subscribe for any securities referred to in this Presentation except on the basis of the information contained in the final prospectus. When available, the final prospectus will be made available to the public in accordance with EU Directive 2003/71/EC and/or any other relevant implementing measures. Investors may obtain a copy of the final prospectus via the relevant stock exchange’s chosen publication system. All estimates and opinions included in this Presentation constitute the Joint Lead Manager’s judgement as of the date of the Presentation and may be subject to change without notice. Changes to assumptions may have a material impact on any recommendations made herein. Each of the Joint Lead Managers or any of its affiliates may, from time to time, have a position or make a market in the securities mentioned in this Presentation, or in derivative instruments based thereon, may solicit, perform or have performed investment banking, underwriting or other services (including acting as adviser, manager or lender) for any company, institution or person referred to in this Presentation and may, to the extent permitted by law, have used the information herein contained, or the research or analysis upon which it is based, before its publication. The Joint Lead Managers will not be responsible for the consequences of reliance upon any opinion or statement contained herein or for any omission. This Presentation is confidential and is being submitted to selected recipients only. It may not be reproduced (in whole or in part) to any other person without the prior written permission of the Joint Lead Managers. The information contained herein is not for publication or distribution to persons in the United States, and these materials do not constitute an offer of securities for sale in the United States. The securities referred to herein have not been and will not be registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and may not be offered or sold without registration thereunder or pursuant to an available exemption therefrom. No public offering of securities will be made in the United States. ABN AMRO is authorised by the Dutch Central Bank and the Financial Services Authority; regulated by the Financial Services Authority for the conduct of its UK business. BPI is regulated by the Banco de Portugal. La Caixa is regulated by the Banco de Espana. Societe Generale is authorized by the Banque de France and the Financial Services Authority. 2 STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Contents I Executive Summary 4 II Transaction Structure 11 III Banco BPI 20 IV Banco BPI Mortgage Business 26 IV Portfolio Performance Analysis 39 Appendix I The Douro Programme 43 II Portuguese Mortgage & Housing Market 46 III Provisional Portfolio Stratification 54 IV Comparables 61 V Contact List 63 3 STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL I) Executive Summary 4 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Transaction Overview Issuer Sagres - Sociedade de Titularização de Creditos, a limited liability company incorporated under Portuguese securitisation law. Transaction Type Prime RMBS Transaction Name Douro Mortgages No. 2 Aggregate Principal Amount €[1,500] million Collateral Portfolio of first lien mortgages originated in Portugal by BPI in its ordinary course of business Settlement Date September [●], 2006 Legal Final Maturity April, 2059 Payment Dates [January, April, July, October] First Payment Date January [●], 2007 Step-up Date October [●], 2015 Optional Redemption Date 9 year Call and 10% Clean-up Call Listing Ireland Minimum Denominations €[50,000] with additional increments of €[1,000] Swap Counterparty ABN AMRO Governing Law Portuguese Law Arranger ABN AMRO Joint-Lead Managers ABN AMRO / BPI / La Caixa / Société Générale Bookrunners ABN AMRO / La Caixa / Société Générale 5 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Transaction Highlights Banco BPI is the fourth largest private financial group in Portugal with a long-term rating of A-/A2/A+ by S&P, Moody’s and Fitch Ratings respectively. BPI has net total assets of €32.2 billion and a current market capitalization of €4.5 billion (June 2006) BPI provides commercial banking services to a client base of about 1.4 million people in Portugal. Out of a total loan portfolio of €20.5 billion, BPI has an outstanding mortgage book of €9.3 billion Douro Mortgages No.2 is the second RMBS of the BPI Group. The main objectives of the transaction for BPI are to release regulatory capital and diversify funding sources Douro Mortgages No.2 will be issued on the Irish Stock Exchange by Sagres STC, a Portuguese Securitisation company owned by Citigroup that can be used for multiple issuances and is also used for Douro Mortgages No.1 and Douro SME Series 1 Douro Mortgages No.2 benefits from different sources of credit support and liquidity including subordination, excess spread, cash reserve, principal draws to cover interest shortfalls and a contingent liquidity facility agreement (entered into if the short-term unsecured debt obligations of the Servicer cease to be rated at least P-1 by Moody's) The notes will be backed by a €[1.5] billion pool of first and consecutive ranking prime Portuguese residential mortgages originated by Banco BPI Superior historical performance of BPI’s mortgage book is indicative of the group’s sophisticated and conservative underwriting policy. BPI’s performance is considerably superior to its peers Low LTVs, with a WA CLTV of [63.14%] and WA Seasoning of [3.65] years, the Douro No.2 portfolio is of high quality when compared to other recent Portuguese RMBS transactions [21.5]% of the portfolio comprises subsidised mortgages, which have historically performed as well if not better than standard mortgages Originator Douro Programme Collateral 6 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Transaction Structure Swap Counterparty Borrowers ABN AMRO Interest and principal repayments Class A1 Notes Interest and principal repayments Purchase Price Banco BPI, S.A. SAGRES STC, S.A. (“Originator and Servicer”) (“Issuer”) Class A2 Notes Class B Notes Issue Proceeds Mortgage Class C Notes Class D Notes Assets Class E Notes Contingent Liquidity Facility Cash Reserve Account The Class E Notes will fund the Cash Reserve in full at closing and some upfront expenses 7 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Tranching and Credit Enhancement at Closing No te Descr ip tio n Cla ss A 1 No tes [ O ffer ed ] Cla ss A 2 No tes [ O ffer ed ] Cla ss B No tes [ O ffer ed } Cla ss C No tes [ O ffer ed } Cla ss D No tes [ O ffer ed } Cla ss E No tes [ No t O ffer ed } A mo u n t in Eu r o s [ 315] millio n [ 1,125] millio n [ 27.75] millio n [ 18] millio n [ 14.25] millio n [ 9] millio n Cr ed it En h a n cemen t [ 4.8] % [ 4.8] % [ 2.95] % [ 1.75] % [ 0.80] % N/A Ex p ected R a tin g (Fitch / M o o d y's / S&P ) [ A A A / A a a / A A A ] [ A A A / A a a / A A A ] [ A A / A a 3 / A A ] [ A / A 2 / A - ] [ BBB+ / Ba a 2 / BBB] [ NR ] P a ymen t Fr eq u en cy Q u a r ter ly Q u a r ter ly Q u a r ter ly Q u a r ter ly Q u a r ter ly Q u a r ter ly Fin a l Leg a l M a tu r ity A p r il, 2059 A p r il, 2059 A p r il, 2059 A p r il, 2059 A p r il, 2059 A p r il, 2059 Step - u p Da te O cto b er , 2015 O cto b er , 2015 O cto b er , 2015 O cto b er , 2015 O cto b er , 2015 O cto b er , 2015 Ex p ected Ca ll Da te O cto b er , 2015 O cto b er , 2015 O cto b er , 2015 O cto b er , 2015 O cto b er , 2015 O cto b er , 2015 R ep a ymen t Seq u en tia l u n til [ 25] % Seq u en tia l u n til [ 25] % Seq u en tia l u n til [ 25] % Seq u en tia l u n til [ 25] % Seq u en tia l u n til [ 25] % [ Seq u en tia l with a r a p id o f th e Cla ss A No tes o f th e Cla ss A No tes o f th e Cla ss A No tes o f th e Cla ss A No tes o f th e Cla ss A No tes a mo r tiza tio n sch ed u le h a ve b een r ep a id ; P r o - h a ve b een r ep a id ; P r o - h a ve b een r ep a id ; P r o - h a ve b een r ep a id ; P r o - h a ve b een r ep a id ; P r o u n til a ll p r in cip a l is r a ta th er ea fter r a ta th er ea fter r a ta th er ea fter r a ta th er ea fter r a ta th er ea fter r ep a id ] Estima ted Weig h ted A ver a g e Life [ 1.51] [ 7.51] [ 7.58] [ 7.58] [ 7.58] N/A I n ter est Flo a tin g - A ct / 360 Flo a tin g - A ct / 360 Flo a tin g - A ct / 360 Flo a tin g - A ct / 360 Flo a tin g - A ct / 360 R esid u a l I n ter est 3m EUR I BO R + [ ●] b p s 3m EUR I BO R + [ ●] b p s 3m EUR I BO R + [ ●] b p s 3m EUR I BO R + [ ●] b p s 3m EUR I BO R + [ ●] b p s Step - Up I n ter est Flo a tin g - A ct / 360 Flo a tin g - A ct / 360 Flo a tin g - A ct / 360 Flo a tin g - A ct / 360 Flo a tin g - A ct / 360 3m EUR I BO R + [ ●] b p s 3m EUR I BO R + [ ●] b p s 3m EUR I BO R + [ ●] b p s 3m EUR I BO R + [ ●] b p s 3m EUR I BO R + [ ●] b p s 8 R esid u a l I n ter est EXECUTIVE SUMMARY STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Key Investment Considerations Banco BPI is the fourth largest private financial group in Portugal with total assets of €37 billion and a market capitalization of €4.5 billion (June 2006). BPI is rated A-/A2/A+ by S&P, Moody’s and Fitch Ratings respectively BPI is an experienced underwriter and servicer. BPI has previous experience acting as Originator and Servicer for the Douro Mortgages No.1 and Douro SME Series 1 (the first SME loan cash securitisation in Portugal) transactions, both of which were very well received in the market As with BPI’s previous securitisation transactions, Douro Mortgages No.2 will utilise Sagres STC, a Securitisation company owned by Citigroup set up under Portuguese law exclusively to issue ABS In comparison to its peers, BPI’s superior mortgage product performance is illustrative of the strong risk control procedures and conservative underwriting criteria they have set in place Eligibility criteria is tighter than for any other transaction in Portugal, specifically as it relates to the past performance of a borrower. BPI checks the Bank of Portugal’s Central Credit Register for arrears across the entire financial system, whereas other transactions only take into consideration the performance within the originator’s own loan books BPI’s Credit in Arrears (+30 days) ratio is below the Portuguese market average by 16%, demonstrating the strictness and efficiency of the underwriting process. On mortgage credit, the results further outperform its peers The transaction benefits from subordination and different sources of credit enhancement and of liquidity including excess spread, a cash reserve, principal draws, and a contingent liquidity facility The issuer will enter into an Interest Rate Swap Agreement will be established between the Issuer and ABN AMRO to mitigate the interest rate risk associated with the transaction 9 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Key Investment Considerations (continued) High quality portfolio: All first ranking, or first and consecutively lower ranking, prime Portuguese residential mortgages originated by BPI Low LTVs, low WA CLTV of [63.14]% and WA OLTV of [69.69]% (rare quality well below standard Portuguese RMBS) All mortgage loans are current for at least the last [18] months Since late 2005 loans with a LTV over 90% are guaranteed by a mortgage credit insurance (BPI is one of only two institutions in Portugal to require this feature) Well seasoned portfolio with WA Seasoning of [3.65] years (well above the levels of recent Portuguese RMBS) Low Average Current Balance Outstanding of €[54,552] Well diversified geographically with [40.63]% in Greater Lisbon, [18.09]% in the Center, [15.23]% in the North and [11.63]% in Greater Porto Approximately [21.5%] of the Portfolio is composed of government subsidised loans where the government has agreed to pay a portion of the interest up to 44% due on the loan, a percentage which will decrease over time. Note that the subsidised portion of the current portfolio has a WA Actual Subsidy of [24.91]% Douro Mortgages No1 performance: still early days but so far one of the best performances within the Portuguese RMBS sector Selection Criteria: Unique selection criteria, at least 18 months with no past arrears within the entire Portuguese banking system 10 STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL 2) Transaction Structure 11 TRANSACTION STRUCTURE STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Summary of the Proposed Transaction Issue and Collateral Amount: EUR [1,500] million Notes: – – – – – – Class A1: Class A2: Class B: Class C: Class D: Class E: EUR [315] million EUR [1,125] million EUR [27.75] million EUR [18] million EUR [14.25] million EUR [9] million Credit Enhancement: • Subordination and Cash Reserve: – – – – – – • Class A1: Class A2: Class B: Class C: Class D: Class E: [4.80] % [4.80] % [2.95] % [1.75] % [0.80] % N/A Excess Spread The Notes are pass-through with repayment on a pro-rata or sequential basis (subject to satisfaction of the Pro Rata Test) The notes incorporate a step-up at year [9], at which date the spread on the Class A, B, C, D notes will be doubled, and the issuer may call the notes at this date, and at any subsequent Interest Payment Date. In addition, the Notes benefit from a 10% clean-up call feature 12 TRANSACTION STRUCTURE STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Credit Support Excess Spread – Should any losses be realised, excess spread is first used to cover those losses before its release through the waterfall. Excess spread is trapped as per the provisioning mechanism below. Cash Reserve – Where excess spread is insufficient to cover a loss, amounts may be drawn from the Cash Reserve Account for this purpose Subordination – In the unlikely event that losses exceed the above resources, the uncovered amounts will be allocated to investors in reverse seniority order The Douro No.2 transaction includes Performance Triggers that govern: Release of funds from the Cash Reserve Trapping of excess spread to increase the Cash Reserve Pro-rata versus sequential amortisation In addition, protection against losses is enhanced through an accelerated loss provisioning mechanism: [25]% when 12 or more monthly instalments have not been paid when due and which remain outstanding [50]% when 24 or more monthly instalments have not been paid when due and which remain outstanding [100]% when 36 or more monthly instalments have not been paid when due and which remain outstanding 13 TRANSACTION STRUCTURE STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Expected Average Lives and Payment Windows CLASS A1 NOTES AVERAGE LIVES AND PAYMENT WINDOWS 0% CPR 2% CPR 4% CPR 6% CPR 8% CPR 10% CPR 12% CPR WAL (yrs) to Step Up Call Date Principal Payment Window 4.00 Jan 2007 to Apr 2014 2.60 Jan 2007 to Oct 2011 1.91 Jan 2007 to Jul 2010 1.51 Jan 2007 to Oct 2009 1.25 Jan 2007 to Apr 2009 1.07 Jan 2007 to Oct 2008 0.94 Jan 2007 to Jul 2008 WAL (yrs) to Clean Up Call Date Principal Payment Window 4.00 Jan 2007 to Apr 2014 2.60 Jan 2007 to Oct 2011 1.91 Jan 2007 to Jul 2010 1.51 Jan 2007 to Oct 2009 1.25 Jan 2007 to Apr 2009 1.07 Jan 2007 to Oct 2008 0.94 Jan 2007 to Jul 2008 CLASS A2 NOTES AVERAGE LIVES AND PAYMENT WINDOWS 0% CPR 2% CPR 4% CPR 6% CPR 8% CPR 10% CPR 12% CPR WAL (yrs) to Step Up Call Date Principal Payment Window 8.96 Apr 2014 to Oct 2015 8.57 Oct 2011 to Oct 2015 8.05 Jul 2010 to Oct 2015 7.51 Oct 2009 to Oct 2015 6.99 Apr 2009 to Oct 2015 6.49 Oct 2008 to Oct 2015 6.03 Jul 2008 to Oct 2015 WAL (yrs) to Clean Up Call Date Principal Payment Window 18.48 Apr 2014 to Jan 2035 15.24 Oct 2011 to Oct 2031 12.74 Jul 2010 to Apr 2029 10.78 Oct 2009 to Oct 2026 9.20 Apr 2009 to Apr 2024 7.97 Oct 2008 to Apr 2022 6.99 Jul 2008 to Jul 2020 CLASS B, C AND D NOTES AVERAGE LIVES AND PAYMENT WINDOWS 0% CPR 2% CPR 4% CPR 6% CPR 8% CPR 10% CPR 12% CPR WAL (yrs) to Step Up Call Date Principal Payment Window 8.98 Jan 2015 to Oct 2015 8.63 Apr 2012 to Oct 2015 8.17 Jan 2011 to Oct 2015 7.58 Jan 2010 to Oct 2015 7.08 Jul 2009 to Oct 2015 6.68 Apr 2009 to Oct 2015 6.26 Jan 2009 to Oct 2015 WAL (yrs) to Clean Up Call Date Principal Payment Window 18.73 Jan 2015 to Jan 2035 15.40 Apr 2012 to Oct 2031 12.99 Jan 2011 to Apr 2029 10.90 Jan 2010 to Oct 2026 9.35 Jul 2009 to Apr 2024 8.23 Apr 2009 to Apr 2022 7.27 Jan 2009 to Jul 2020 14 TRANSACTION STRUCTURE STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Hedging The mortgage assets bear interest based on three-month/six-month/twelve-month EURIBOR and the notes pay interest based on three month EURIBOR. In order to mitigate the basis risk between the interest income received under the Mortgage Assets and the EURIBOR-based Notes, Sagres will enter into a Swap Agreement with ABN AMRO N.V. ABN AMRO N.V will pay Sagres certain amounts calculated from the EURIBOR relating to the interest rate on the Notes, on a notional amount equal to the Aggregate Principal Outstanding Balance of the mortgage assets in respect of which no payment is overdue by more than 90 days at the beginning of the relevant Collection Period Liquidity Support Excess Spread – Excess spread will be used to meet any shortfalls in coupon payments before its release to the ultimate beneficiaries Cash Reserve – Where excess spread is insufficient to meet interest and fees, amounts may be drawn from the Cash Reserve Account to cover the shortfall Principal draws – Additional liquidity will be provided through principal draws (i.e. the ability to use principal as interest) Subject to certain performance tests Must be ‘repaid’ in subsequent periods from interest collections Contingent Liquidity Facility Banco BPI’s short-term rating must drop below [P-1] (Moody’s) A third-party liquidity facility provider will be engaged on terms acceptable to the Rating Agencies 15 TRANSACTION STRUCTURE STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Interest Payment Priority Allocation As Follows Mortgage Interest Received Senior Issuer Expenses Interest on the Class D Notes Swap Payment Swap Payment Class D PDL Reserve Fund Drawings + Interest on Class A Notes Replenish Cash Reserve Principal Drawings + Class A PDL Swap Termination Payment Authorized Investments + Interest on the Class B Notes Principal on Class E Notes Interest on Bank Accounts + Class B PDL Class E Return Amount = Interest on the Class C Notes Available Interest Amount Class C PDL 16 TRANSACTION STRUCTURE STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Pro-Rata vs. Sequential Amortisation Pro-Rata Test Subject to satisfaction of the Pro-Rata Test, payments of principal on each of the Class A1/ A2 to D Notes will be made on a pro-rata amortisation schedule as opposed to sequential. Pro-Rata Triggers [25] % of Class A1 / A2 Notes have amortised Cash Reserve Account Balance is at the Cash Reserve Required Amount Outstanding balance of the mortgage loans in arrears by not less than 90 days (deducted of amounts already provisioned for) is under [2.5] % of the initial balance of the mortgage loans Allocation As Follows Mortgage Principal Received Principal on the A1 Notes Interest used to pay down PDL Principal Drawings + = - Principal on the A2 Notes Principal on the B Notes Available Principal Amount Principal on the C Notes Principal on the D Notes * Please note that post-enforcement principal on the A1 and A2 will be paid in the same order of priority and senior to the Class B,C, and D Notes. 17 Assumptions: Class D Class C 0% CDR 6% CPR 18 Class B Class A2 Class A1 Oct-15 Jul-15 Apr-15 Jan-15 Oct-14 Jul-14 Apr-14 Jan-14 Oct-13 Jul-13 Apr-13 Jan-13 Oct-12 Jul-12 Apr-12 Jan-12 Oct-11 Jul-11 Apr-11 Jan-11 Oct-10 Jul-10 Apr-10 Jan-10 Oct-09 Jul-09 Apr-09 Jan-09 Oct-08 Jul-08 Apr-08 Jan-08 Oct-07 Jul-07 Apr-07 Jan-07 Oct-06 STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL TRANSACTION STRUCTURE Expected Amortisation Profile TRANSACTION STRUCTURE STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Permitted Variations and Substitutions Permitted Variations The seller may vary the conditions on the Mortgage Assets subject to a maximum of [20] % of the initial outstanding balance of the Mortgage Assets and a maximum reduction in margin of [50] basis points and/or a maximum extension to the maturity of the Mortgage Assets of no more than [3] years prior to the Final Legal Maturity Date Substitutions Any Mortgage Asset that has to be repurchased as a result of a breach of reps and warranties or a non-permitted variation, may be substituted by new mortgage assets with the same eligibility criteria, subject to certain conditions such as: – a maximum limit of [5]% of the Aggregate Principal Outstanding Balance of the Mortgage Assets during the first 12 months and [10]% of the Aggregate Principal Outstanding Balance of the Mortgage Assets during the life of the transaction – the weighted average original LTV of the substituted mortgages does not exceed the weighted average original LTV of the retired mortgages at the Collateral Determination Date plus [15]% – the weighted average CLTV of the mortgage asset pool, inclusive of the substituted mortgages, does not exceed the weighted average CLTV as at the Collateral Determination Date plus [0.25]% 19 STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL III) Banco BPI 20 BANCO BPI STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Banco BPI Timeline Post-1974, first financial institution to be privately owned in Portugal 1985, fully authorised as a bank and incorporated under “Banco Português de Investimento, S.A.” 1986, first bank in Portugal to undergo a public offering and get listed on the Lisbon Stock Exchange. 1991-1996, BPI builds the largest single-brand banking network in Portugal through acquisitions. 1998, merger of all subsidiaries under BPI group and drive for modernisation, growth, structural reinforcement and brand development. 1999-2001, BPI boosts its market share in all key areas of commercial banking, expands and streamlines its distribution structure and transforms itself into a multi-channel bank. Post - 2001, emphasis on internal efficiency, namely through cost cutting programmes and development of commercial areas. New Brand Total Assets € Bn. Merger of Commercial Banks BFE + BBI 34 BFA (Angola) Multichannel 17 BFB 5 SPI 0.005 81 91 Leadership in Investment Bank 96 Acquiring commercial banks 21 98 99 00 02 04 05 Organic growth BANCO BPI STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Organizational Structure BPI is a financial and multi-specialist group focusing on domestic commercial banking business Domestic commercial banking is organized into two main segments: individuals and small businesses, and corporate banking, institutional banking, and project finance BPI has a strong commitment to market performance and is run by an independent Executive Board, director’s compensation is directly linked to share price The main shareholders are La Caixa – 19.2%, Itau – 17.5%, and Allianz – 8.6% (as of June 2006) 22 BANCO BPI STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL BPI at a Glance Evolution of Funding Structure BPI Group Ratings Long Term Short Term A- A-2 S&P Assigned 18.0% A2 26.3% 31.6% 27.1% 1999 Positive Moody’s 21.5% 53.3% P-1 52.3% 56.4% 58.2% 1996 56.7% Positive 28.7% Fitch A+ F1 1996 Stable Dec-02 M one y M arket Comfortable Capital Ratios 11.5% (1) 6.5% Co re C ap ital 5.1% 31 Dec. 04 11.7% Dec-04 Dec-05 Deposits and other resource s 16.6% Jun-06 Debt Securitie s (inc. Sub. Debt) 10.8% Strong capital base with a Tier I ratio of 7.4% as of June 2006 4.2% 3.4% Senior rating with positive outlook from two agencies 7.3% 7.4% 5.9% 5.9% Money market funding has been declining against the increase in long term funding Once the present transaction is completed, about 12.5% of total funding will have been obtained through securitisation Customer resources comprise about 59% of the bank’s overall funding sources 3.3% Tie r I Dec-03 15.5% 2006, 2005 and 2004 figures according to IAS; 2003 and 2002 PCSB 9.8% Tie r II 26.2% 31 Dec. 05 30 Jun. 06 23 BANCO BPI STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL BPI Group Performance and Returns Performance and Asset Growth 40,000 (€ m n) 35,000 Resilient performer with 23.5% Return on Equity as of June 2006 Efficiency ratio has improved continuously for the past 7 years – from 71.6% in 1999 to 57.7% in June 2006 – indicating constant improvement in operational efficiency A consistent better performance than the market, for a long period of time Integration of acquired banks did not compromise long term ROI Organic growth complemented with the search for higher levels of efficiency was recognised by the market as an adding-value strategy 70% 30,000 65% 25,000 20,000 60% 15,000 10,000 55% 5,000 0 50% Dec- Dec- Dec- Dec- Dec- Dec- Dec- Dec- Jun98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 Efficiency Ratio Assets Return On Investment (ROI) BPI Market 3 2 4 1) 2) 3) 4) 10.Mar.06 25.Jul.06 25.Jul.06 € 5.78 € 4.79 Since incorporation (Oct/1981) 17.1% 18.5% N.A. Since IPO (Oct. 1986) 16.2% 17.6% 11.4% 10.3% Since BFB acquisition (Aug. 91) 14.0% 15.6% 10.3% 9.3% Since BFE and BBI acquisition (Aug. 96) 17.9% 19.9% 9.3% 10.9% Since 31/Dec/01 24.5% 28.0% 4.5% 8.6% Annual average return, before taxes, assuming shareholders reinvested all dividends received in new shares and subscribed new shares in all capital increases March 10th was the last trading day before the announcement of BCP’s bid over BPI Portuguese market measured by PSI General Index (“total return”) As “Sociedade Portuguesa de Investimentos” 24 BANCO BPI STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Financial Overview Banco BPI Growth estimates for 2005-2010 per sector are: Customer Resources - 7%, Mortgages – 9%, Small Businesses – 9%, and Corporates – 10% Key Figures IAS / IFRS IAS / IFRS 2004 2005 yoy gr Jun.05 Jun.06 yoy gr Net total assets 25,783.2 30,158.7 + 17.0% 27,350.0 32,290.1 + 18.1% Loans to Customers (gross) and guarantees 22,180.6 24,366.7 + 9.9% 22,802.1 25,576.1 + 12.2% Total Customer resources (1) 19,542.3 22,168.3 + 13.4% 20,343.8 22,726.0 + 11.7% + 88.6% Stock market capitalisation 2,264.8 2,933.6 + 29.5% 2,394.0 4,514.4 Net profit 159.3 250.8 + 57.5% 106.9 148.6 + 39.1% Net profit per share (euro) 0.212 0.335 + 57.9% 0.143 0.199 + 39.6% 17.1% 23.5% - 20.8% 24.2% - 61.3% 57.7% - 56.3% 57.7% - - 11.5% - 12.0% 10.8% - Ratio of loans in arrears for more than 90 days 1.0% 1.3% - 1.1% 1.1% - Accumulated loan impairments as % of total loan portfolio 1.6% 1.6% - 1.7% 1.5% - 0.33% 0.24% - 0.27% 0.16% - Return on Shareholders equity (ROE) Administrative overheads, amortisation and depreciation / operating income from banking (2) Ratio of own funds requirements (3) Cost of risk (4) Amounts expressed in millions of euro, except where indicated otherwise (1) Corrected for duplication of balances (2) Administrative overheads, amortisation and depreciation excluding costs with early retirements. The operating income from banking excludes recovery of loans written-off. (3) Calculated in accordance with Bank of Portugal rules (4) Loans provisions (PCSB) and loan impairments (IAS / IFRS) in the year, deducted of recoveries of loans in arrears written-off (in the income statement) / Customer loans (annualised figure). yoy gr - year-on-year growth rate. IAS = International Accounting Standards Source: www.bpi.pt IFRS = International Financial Reporting Standards 25 STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL IV) Banco BPI Mortgage Business 26 BANCO BPI MORTGAGE BUSINESS STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Banco BPI Mortgage Business BPI is a highly experienced originator/servicer that has demonstrated above average underwriting and arrears management procedures BPI has become a market leader in the mortgage market (currently has 9.5% of the market) by positioning itself as an innovator; BPI pioneered the use of Mortgage Insurance, a centralised Valuation service, a mortgage and housing website, the one-stop Mortgage Shop and Mortgage Corners within branches; BPI’s branches were recently recognised as having the best lay-out in Europe (Lafferty Group, May 2006) BPI has experienced an average annual growth since 1999 of 6.2% in its production of mortgage credit, leading to an estimate of €1.5 billion in new mortgage credit in 2006 While the overall ratio of non-performing mortgage loans in Portugal lies around 1.4%, BPI’s ratio is 1.24% Banco BPI has an extensive branch and sales network across Portugal set up to sell its mortgage products (and other commercial banking products), including: 533 Retail Branches 18 Mortgage Shops 18 Investment Centres BPI Net (online banking) with 335,000 users BPI Directo (telephone banking) with 305,000 users BPI has expanded its sales network among real estate agents which has proved very successful. The agents are compensated through an upfront fee but have no intervention in credit decision. In 2005, BPI originated 16.1% of its loan business through agents while this percentage grew to 21.3% in 2006 27 BANCO BPI MORTGAGE BUSINESS STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Total Credit Portfolio Credit Portfolio (June 2006) Other 3% Small Business 9% Evolution of Mortgage Portfolio 14,000 Individuals Consumer Credit 4% (€ m n) 12,000 10,000 40% 43% 45% 43% 43% 2002 2003 2004 2005 Jun-06 34% 28% 8,000 Corporates 41% 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Individuals Mortgage Loans 43% 2000 2001 Mortgage Loans Other Loans 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% % Ratio of loans in arrears (more than 30 days) 10% Mortgage loans make up 43% of the credit portfolio (as of June 2006) 8.6% 8% During 2005, the weight of mortgage loans on the credit portfolio decreased slightly for the first time in recent years 6% This was due to the combination of lower demand and Aquisition BFB 4% stricter credit policy 3.6% Aquisition BFE + BBI 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 significantly lower than industry average of 2% BPI: 1.4% 0.1% 0% Ratio of loans in arrears (more than 30 days), 1.4% is Market: 2.0%1 2.6% 2% 00 01 02 03 04 05 Impairments as % of nonperforming loan potfolio 112.2% 28 Provisioning coverage for loans in arrears provides sufficient cover over credit and country risk BANCO BPI MORTGAGE BUSINESS STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Total BPI Mortgage Portfolio and Market Share BPI is among the top 6 mortgage lenders in Portugal, with a market share of 9.5% (as of March 06) In 2005, BPI had a total loan portfolio of €20.5 billion, of which €9.3 billion were mortgage loans. The compound annual growth on mortgage loans from 1998 to 2005 was 23% BPI’s decision criteria was revised and tightened in 2003, which explains the small drop in market share experienced in the following years. BPI expects to return to its natural market share while still relying on a stricter criteria than its peers in the market and maintaining the high performances of its mortgage portfolio BPI is also reorganizing the channel of real estate agents, which is one of the fastest growing in Portugal. In order to regain market share in this segment BPI is dealing with bigger networks centrally while smaller ones are covered through BPI’s branches and mortgage shops 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 (€ m n) 9.90% 9.90% 9.50% 11% 10% 9.20% 8.40% 9% 7.20% 8% 7% 6% 2000 2001 2002 2003 Mortgage Credit 29 Market Share 2004 2005 BANCO BPI MORTGAGE BUSINESS STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Mortgage Production Mortgage Credit Production 13.10% 2,000 11.40% 12.30% 12.80% € mn 1,200 Since 1999, mortgage credit production at BPI has grown at an average annual rate of 6.2%; this compares with 3.3% for the Portuguese market in general 8% Average remaining term: 25.5 years 6% Floating rate: 99.2% 2% Subsidised credit (Mar 06) – 20.6% of outstanding 0% Clients with LTV above 90% are required by BPI to purchase mortgage credit insurance, a highly innovative and conservative approach to higher LTV mortgages The mortgage credit insurance is provided by Genworth and covers the first losses of the insured mortgage loans 12% 10.20% 1,600 14% 9.00% 7.70% 7.20% 800 10% 4% 400 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Production of Mortgage Credit 2004 2005 2006 (JanJuly) Market Share -Production Distribution of new loans by LTV 2005 5.10% > 90% 24.40% 75% - 90% 32.70% 50% - 75% <= 50% 37.80% 30 BANCO BPI MORTGAGE BUSINESS STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Banco BPI’s Underwriting Process BPI does not have a credit scoring system, instead it uses GPC (Gestor de Processos de Crédito), a simulation/pre-decision model which is used for all mortgages Table 1 BPI bases its loan decision on the following criteria: Term 0-40 Yrs Without Mortgage Insurance With Mortgage Insurance Household Disposable Income, confirmed by a wage slip or tax return, must be equal to or greater than minimum requirements set for each household size Monthly Expenses (including mortgage payments at a 200 basis point markup plus insurance payments) divided by Monthly Net Income plus Other Monthly Income must be less than 50% LTV must fall inside limits defined for each product and term, with an allowance made for Mortgage Insurance (Table 1) 31 Term 40-45 Yrs Term 45-50 Yrs 90% 80% 70% 100% 100% n/a BANCO BPI MORTGAGE BUSINESS STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Credit Check Credit checks are carried out for all loans to check for applicant defaults and aggregate obligation exposure. All Portuguese banks and financial institutions share credit information through the Central Credit Register managed by the Banco de Portugal. The Central Credit Register provides aggregate credit amounts by term and product type, as well as non-performing exposures by time in arrears. Detailed information is also shared regarding unpaid cheques, IOUs, and borrowers prevented from issuing cheques. BPI checks each customer application in this database. Insurance Life, incapacity, fire and earthquake Insurance policies are mandatory for customers, while unemployment and hospital care Insurances are optional. BPI has a partnership with Allianz that allows policies to be processed through the bank and payment taken directly from the customer’s account. BPI is the beneficiary for these policies Centralized Real Estate Evaluation BPI uses a centralised real estate valuation department, allowing for greater control and checks within the system. All engineers/surveyors are certified on a national level. For all loans, an independent surveyor is always sent to do an onsite inspection and full valuation. 32 BANCO BPI MORTGAGE BUSINESS STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL BPI’s Mortgage Lending Structure DFI DRCCP (Real Estate Financing Central Department) DLEH (Mortgage Shops Department) DPC DDC (Sales Department ) (Credit Decision Department) DCH (Mortgage Financing Department) Mortgage Shops Real Estate Agents - South Credit Decision South Loan Application Management Mortgage Corners Real Estate Agents - North Credit Decision North After Sales Management (Credit Recovery Department) BPI Imobiliário Web Site Insurance Training = Sales oriented Real Estate Evaluation Main tasks: Support to specialised channels Support to real estate agents Credit decision for loans originated in mortgage shops or 1 branches Notes: 1. The decision on branch originated loans depends on approval limits 2. No point of sale has influence over the real estate valuation performed by independent valuators 33 Central control over evaluations2 ; Management of each application after preliminary approval (including after sales service) Management of specialized internet site Recovery of credit in arrears BANCO BPI MORTGAGE BUSINESS STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Overall Loan Process * GPC – “Gestor de Processos de Crédito” (Credit Application Management System) ** The majority of clients choose insurance from Allianz as premiums are automatically debited from their BPI bank account, however, this option is not obligatory. 34 BANCO BPI MORTGAGE BUSINESS STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Total Mortgage Portfolio In Arrears Credit in arrears (+ 30 days) Outstanding and Arrears 10,000 (€ m n) Total Outstanding Credit in Arears 1.23% 1.25% 1.24% 0.94% 6,000 0.61% 0.80% 4,000 0.61% 0.41% 1.45% 1.00% 1.40% 0.80% 1.35% 1.30% 0.60% 1.25% 0.40% 1.20% 0.20% 1.15% 1.25% BPI Market Average 1.10% 0.00% 0 1.49% 1.50% 1.20% 8,000 2,000 1.55% 1.40% Qtr 1 - 2006 Dec-00 Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Mar-06 Jun-06 Source: Bank of Portugal; BPI Analysis The trend in credit in arrears ratio at BPI is driven by several factors: Credit in arrears ratio at BPI is 16% lower than the average market value. This superior performance is the result of BPI’s stringent underwriting criteria. The aging of outstanding credit Recent lower growth in outstanding mortgage credit The absence of NPL’s sales or write-offs during this period Nevertheless, the arrears ratio remains low in comparison with the industry average 35 BANCO BPI MORTGAGE BUSINESS STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Recovery Process Test tt 36 BANCO BPI MORTGAGE BUSINESS STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Recovery Of Payments In Arrears (97,5% recovered *) = 0.17% (on average) 37 BANCO BPI MORTGAGE BUSINESS STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Legal Action Overview 38 STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL V) Portfolio Performance Analysis 39 PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL BPI Historical Defaults Default definition: 12 months in arrears 2.50% Î BPI’s cumulative defaults per vintage show a superior performance when compared to its peers, the result of a conservative underwriting criteria. The portfolio of Douro Mortgages No2, given its seasoning provides additional comfort on the quality of the portofolio as a considerable portion of the marginal default frequency has been already experienced. Î Moreover, the selection criteria provides additional comfort on the quality of the borrowers included in the portfolio, as 100% of the loans have not been in arrears during the past 18 months while 99.82% of the loans have never been in arrears. For the portfolio selection criteria, BPI looks for arrears in the entire banking system as opposed to all other Portuguese transactions that only look at arrears within the bank. This is an unique and valuable characteristic of the Douro programme. Defaulted 2.00% 1.50% 1.00% 0.50% 0.00% 12 24 36 48 60 72 Month of Default 1999 2004 2000 2005 2002 2006 2003 Average Source: Banco BPI 40 PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL BPI Historical Recoveries 140% Full Principal Recovery 120% Î BPI’s historical recoveries as shown in the graph on the left, illustrate the quality of BPI’s servicing capabilities Î 100% principal recoveries are achieved up to 48 months after default Î In the transaction, both the recoveries and the timing will even be improved given the provisioning mechanism that will trap excess spread at an earlier stage % Recovered 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 0 12 24 36 48 60 72 Months After Default 2000 2003 2006 2001 2004 Average 2002 2005 Source: Banco BPI 41 PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Excess Spread Î Reserve Fund Build-up 0.850% 0.800% C P R (% ) 0.750% 0.700% 0.650% 0.600% 0.550% 0.500% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Years After Closing 0% CPR 6% CPR 2% CPR 8% CPR 4% CPR Source: Banco BPI 42 9 The excess spread graph on the left, shows the excess spread, under different CPR scenarios, available in the structure after accounting for the WA cost of the notes and other senior expenses as basis points of the outstanding balance. The simulations were run under a 0% default rate. STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Appendix I The Douro Programme 43 THE DOURO PROGRAMME STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Douro Mortgages No. 1 and Douro SME Series 1 Douro Mortgages No. 2 is BPI’s second RMBS deal. Douro Mortgages No. 1 was launched in November 2005 Douro Mortgages No. 1’s main objectives were the release of regulatory capital and the diversification of funding sources Similarly to the current deal, Douro Mortgages No. 1 was issued directly out of Portugal under Portuguese law by Sagres STC BPI made its debut securitisation deal in April 2005 with Douro SME Series 1 which was the first Portuguese SME loan cash securitisation. Sagres STC was also the issuer Douro SME Series 1’s main objectives were the release of regulatory capital, diversification of funding sources, development of the SME business sector within the Bank, and taking advantages of the public incentives available DOURO SME SERIES 1 Tranche Amount DOURO MORTGAGES No. 1 Average expected (Moody's, € % life S&P, Fitch) million Tranche Average expected life Rating (Moody's, S&P, Fitch) Guarantee Class A 95.6% 1,434 5.95 years Aaa/AAA/AAA B 1.7% 24.75 7.46 years Aa2/AA/AA C 1.5% 22.5 7.46 years A1/A-/A+ D 1.3% 18.75 7.46 years Baa1/BBB/A- 9 7.46 years - Class % € million A 89.0% 445 4.0 years Aaa/AAA/AAA No guarantee B 5.2% 26 6.5 years Aaa/AAA/AAA European Investment Fund C 4.8% 24 - - Fundo de Garantia de Titularização de Créditos D 1.0% 5 - - No guarantee E 44 0.6% THE DOURO PROGRAMME STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Proven Experience as a Servicer Capital Structure Class Class Class Class Class A B C D E Cash Reserve Account Cut-off date Amount 1,434,000,000 24,750,000 22,500,000 18,750,000 9,000,000 9,000,000 % 95.6% 1.7% 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% Credit Enhancement 5.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.6% Current Amount 1,322,966,335 24,750,000 22,500,000 18,750,000 9,000,000 12,000,000 % 95.2% 1.8% 1.6% 1.3% 0.6% Credit Enhancement 5.6% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% Rating Moody's Aaa Aa2 A1 Baa1 n.r. Rating S&P AAA AA ABBB n.r. Rating Fitch AAA AA A+ An.r. Coupon E3m + 0.14% E3m + 0.17% E3m + 0.27% E3m + 0.47% Residual Expected Maturity Set/14 Set/14 Set/14 Set/14 Original WAL 5.95 7.46 7.46 7.46 Current WAL 5.13 6.64 6.64 6.64 Sep. 2006 Legal Maturity Jun/56 Jun/56 Jun/56 Jun/56 0.8% Cash Reserve Account Nov-05 9,000,000 0.60% Mar-06 10,000,000 0.67% Jun-06 11,000,000 0.73% Sep-06 12,000,000 0.80% Nov-05 1,500,003,959 423,822,462 29,268 3.23% 1.08% 41.6 297.1 61.25% Mar-06 1,453,883,729 407,368,404 28,783 3.39% 1.07% 45.4 294.2 60.62% Jun-06 1,419,361,562 395,828,629 28,431 3.78% 1.07% 48.3 291.8 60.15% Sep-06 1,388,970,295 382,714,952 28,080 4.06% 1.05% 51.2 289.9 59.74% Permited Variations As % of Outstanding Balance at the Cut-off date Trigger (1) 27,491,253 1.83% 20.00% 54,011,256 3.60% 20.00% 111,567,961 7.44% 20.00% Outgoing Loans For unpermited variations For breach of Mortgages Asset and Warranties As % of Outstanding Balance at the Cut-off date Trigger (2) 11,274,493 10,698,573 575,919 0.71% 5.00% 21,967,831 20,428,199 963,712 1.36% 5.00% 39,991,676 36,810,507 1,641,539 2.45% 5.00% Incoming Loans 11,274,566 10,695,638 18,024,259 Mar-06 62,052,089 Jun-06 47,294,938 Sep-06 44,095,415 46,130,670 15,921,419 397,088 0 34,511,728 12,279,884 311,191 192,136 30,391,267 13,097,277 325,672 281,198 1,625,983 85,240 0 0 0 0 0 0 3,086,195 394,734 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,727,104 784,842 60,077 120,686 0 0 0 0 0 85,240 0 394,734 0 965,605 Mar-06 16,437,179 Jun-06 12,713,173 Sep-06 10,452,671 29,693,565 21,800,855 19,939,008 21,431,447 8,262,118 16,818,454 4,982,401 16,091,709 3,847,299 1.98% 1.50% 1.40% 7.918% 6.958% 6.512% Cash Reserve Cash Reserve as % of Outstanding Balance at Cutt-off date Portfolio Profile Aggregate Principal Balance Aggregate Principal Balance of subsidized loans Number of Contracts Weighted average interest rate Weighted average spread Weighted average seasoning (months) Weighted average remaining term (months) Weighted LTV Ratio Portfolio Performance Total Collections of which Principal Interest Fees and other commisions Subsidies received from Portuguese Government Arrears (Principal Balance) 1 month < overdue =< 3 months 3 month < overdue =< 5 months 5 month < overdue =< 6 months 6 month < overdue =< 9 months 9 month < overdue =< 12 months 12 months < overdue =< 24 months 24 months < overdue =< 36 months Overdue > 36 months Overdue > 12 months Overdue > 3 months Principal Collections Scheduled principal payments received Prepayment principal received of which Totally Partiallly As % of Outstanding Balance at the start of the period Annualised prepayment rate (1) If the trigger is reached, the variations will be considered as unpermitted, and affected loans will have to be substituted (2) 5% of the Outstanding balance at the cut-off date in the 1st year, 10% afterwards.If the trigger is reached the originator will have to repurchase the loans 45 a STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Appendix II Portuguese Mortgage & Housing Market 46 PORTUGUESE MORTGAGE & HOUSING MARKET STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Portugal Market Characteristics Very strong culture of home ownership; roughly 76% of the population are owner-occupiers, largely due to the boom following the liberalisation of the mortgage market in 1993, the government mortgage subsidization program until 2002, and the recent low interest rate environment Housing credit in Portugal is concentrated in the Lisbon and Porto regions Rental market is undeveloped due to restrictive government control on rental prices, about 60% of total rental agreements are from pre-1990 and fall under legislation limiting rent appreciation The estimated average original LTV for the Portuguese market has risen from 70% to 80% in the past five years Despite growing household indebtedness, debt service burden has stabilized in recent years as banks have introduced new products, perhaps most importantly products with longer terms, moving the maximum term from 30 year to between 40 to 50 years Since the first RMBS transaction in 2001 in Portugal, the market has grown to a total of €22.2 billion, which comprises over 76% of the total securitisation market Growth in mortgages granted to individuals has continued to outperform other kinds of consumer credit. The mortgage market continues to grow at roughly 10% per annum, despite several years of slow GDP growth, increased unemployment, and low consumer confidence The NPL ratio across the market remained at roughly 2% between 2000 and 2005, which is a very reasonable level. Annual gross mortgage production growth has averaged 3.3% since 1999, with an expectation for 2006 of €17.15 billion in new mortgage credit Significant increases in interest rates should only take place in the context of a stronger domestic economy, hence limiting some of the possible risk arising from such an environment Source: Bank of Portugal. Source: “Portuguese RMBS Performance Bulletin 2006” Fitch Ratings. 47 PORTUGUESE MORTGAGE & HOUSING MARKET STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Portugal In 2005 real GPD expanded at an annual rate of 0.3%. Since the middle of 2005 the economy has shown positive signs and the cycle has clearly turned. Confidence is slowly improving and economic growth is accelerating on the back of exports, which have been growing at a healthy rate. The favourable momentum of Portugal’s principal external partners and domestic competitiveness gains explain this evolution Overall, the Portuguese economy should maintain a steady, albeit slow, progression towards the EU growth average. Several structural adjustments currently under way are slowing the convergence but also ensuring that growth is achieved in a consistent and sustainable manner G D P g r o w th YO Y c h a n g e (% ) % 5 .0 4 .0 3 .0 2 .0 1 .0 0 .0 - 1 .0 - 2 .0 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 P o r tu g al S o u r c e : E C , IN E , B B P I. B B P I f o recast s 48 2005 2007 EM U B B P I f o recast s PORTUGUESE MORTGAGE & HOUSING MARKET STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Portugal Low economic growth and the absence of one-off measures justified 2005 deficit, which reached 6% of GDP. For 2006, the Government expects to achieve 4.6% of GDP, an ambitious but feasible target given the Government’s efforts to curb expenditure and the increase in tax collections 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006F 2007F 3.8 3.6 3.5 2.1 8.3 5.3 2.0 1.3 3.3 1.2 1.8 0.9 0.8 1.3 2.6 -4.7 1.5 -0.7 -1.1 0.1 0.3 -9.7 3.7 -0.4 1.1 2.4 2.0 1.8 4.5 6.8 0.3 2.0 1.7 -3.6 0.9 1.8 1.1 1.2 -0.5 0.8 6.2 4.2 1.5 1.3 -0.8 2.0 2.8 1.4 Consumer Prices (year-end average) 2.9 4.4 3.7 3.3 Unemployment Rate 4.0 4.1 5.1 6.3 Budget Balance (excl.one-off measures) (% GDP) -2.9 -4.1 -4.1 -5.3 Public Debt (% GDP) 53.3 55.2 55.5 57.0 Source: Bank of Portugal and INE for observed data and BPI forecasts 2.3 6.7 2.3 7.6 2.5 7.9 2.3 7.5 -4.9 58.7 -6.0 63.9 -4.9 68.5 -4.0 68.5 Real GDP (annual) Household Spending Public Spending Investment Exports Imports 49 PORTUGUESE MORTGAGE & HOUSING MARKET STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Portuguese Housing Market Evolution Licenses for the construction of new residences New residences constructed 160,000 Construction of new houses almost doubled from 1996 to 2002, due to falling interest rates and economic growth Since then, the market has shrunk, reaching its lowest level since 1996 Market prices are also stabilising and adjusting after the rapid above inflation growth during 1997-2001 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 House Price (%) 2004 2005 2006 (est) Inflation (%) 10 7.91 8 6 4 2 0 3.94 4.35 3.05 2.15 2.36 2.7 1.1 3.1 2.29 2.75 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Source: INE; Annual values for 2006 are based on 1st quarter. Source of House prices: BPI Analysis based on the index of “Confidencial Imobiliário” 50 PORTUGUESE MORTGAGE & HOUSING MARKET STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Evolution of Mortgage Credit in Portugal Outstanding credit to individuals 140 Total M ort gage Credit Consumer Credit + Other In the 1999 – 2005 period consumer credit grew marginally while mortgage loans continued to grow steadily. This growth was due to the downward trend in interest rates associated with the introduction of the euro and to the diversification in terms of the offer of mortgage credit products The annual growth rate of mortgage loans was 13.3% in 2003, 10.4% in 2004 and 12.2% in 2005 The mortgage loan market is a highly competitive one, with almost 100% of the loans bearing a floating rate Due to historical reasons, the percentage of homeowners is very high. The ratio of non-performing loans to total loans registered a reduction in 2004 from a maximum in 2003 and stabilized in 2005 120 € bn 100 80 60 40 20 0 Dec-99 Dec-00 Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Credit in arrears (excludes securitised credit) Total Mortgage Credit Consumer Credit + Other % of Outstanding 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Dec- Dec- Dec- Dec- Dec- Dec97 98 99 00 01 02 Source: Bank of Portugal; MKT DFI Analysis Dec03 Dec04 Dec05 51 PORTUGUESE MORTGAGE & HOUSING MARKET STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Subsidised Mortgages Subsidised mortgage products are one of the key characteristics of the Portuguese mortgage market. The programme of subsidies by the Portuguese Government was introduced in the 1970s to encourage the general improvement of housing conditions in Portugal. The success of the policy has contributed to the increase in the home ownership rate in Portugal from 50% to above 70.0% Subsidised mortgages were targeted at first-time buyers and lower income individuals. A subsidy ranging from 11% up to 44% of interest income was granted after taking into consideration (i) annual income and (ii) the number of family members The percentage of subsidised interest decreases over the life of the loan: It is fixed for the first two years, and then reduces by a percentage point per annum during the next three years and two percentage points until maturity thereafter The procedures regarding the payment of subsidies have improved significantly, which has allowed for a reduction of the time lag between the date when the subsidies are requested and the date when they are effectively received by the banks. This was mainly achieved through the electronic processing of information The process currently in place works as follows: every month, until the 10th day, BPI sends the Treasury a file that contains all the subsidised loans whose anniversary has occurred in the previous month. This file contains the data of the loans and the data of the client, namely in what concerns age and reported income. The Treasury validates this data with the information it received from the Tax Department. If it finds doubts in any piece of information, that particular loan may be retained for further enquiries, but that does not compromise the payment of subsidies for the other loans The payment occurs 1 month after the process has been filed. The amount paid by the Treasury includes the subsidy allocated to the client and a compensation that is calculated by applying to the subsidy of each instalment the contractual interest rate in place for that instalment for the time elapsed between the date when that instalment was due and the date of the loan anniversary. Therefore, BPI gets a financial compensation for not having received the entire instalment when originally due 52 PORTUGUESE MORTGAGE & HOUSING MARKET STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Subsidised Mortgages (continued) Historical data has shown that portfolios containing subsidised loans demonstrate arrears levels that are in line or lower than non-subsidised transactions. This has been attributed to the incentive for individuals with lower earnings to perform well in their first property purchase, as well as the fact that many mortgages of this type include personal guarantees from family members. The significance of the grey economy in Portugal also plays a role here as subsidy eligibility was determined by tax declared income. This performance is shown in the graph below The Portuguese government stopped granting subsidies to new loans in 2002 but existing subsidies are grandfathered Borrowers that were previously eligible for this product are now targeting longer maturity mortgages, up to 50 year terms, and are included in new origination and part of recent transactions with no exception 60+ Day Delinquencies of Subsidised Versus Non-Subsidised Loans (%) 3.0 2.5 6 0 + D a y D e lin q u e n c ie s 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 Months Since Issue Source: Fitch Indexed 53 Subsidised Non-Subsidised STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Appendix III Provisional Portfolio Stratification 54 PROVISIONAL PORTFOLIO STRATIFICATION STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Summary of Provisional Portfolio for the Transaction Aggregate Current Outstanding Balance 1,600,000,374.87 Aggregate Original Outstanding Balance 1,866,160,340.72 Average Principal Outstanding Balance 54,551.67 Average Original Principal Outstanding Balance 63,626.33 Maximum Original Principal Outstanding Balance 363,124.86 Maximum Current Principal Outstanding Balance 248,975.93 Total Number of Loans 29,330.00 Total Number of Borrowers 21,735 Weighted Average Seasoning (Years) ** 3.65 Weighted Average Remaining Maturity (Months) ** 310.59 Weighted Average Original LTV 69.69% Weighted Average Current LTV* 63.14% Maximum Original LTV 100.05% Maximum Current LTV* 99.72% % Subsidised 21.50% Weighted Average Interest Rate - Index 2.99% Weighted Average Interest Rate - Spread 0.98% Weighted Average Interest Rate 3.97% Note: Additional information in respect of the provisional pool will be available upon request from ABN AMRO (subject to signing a confidentiality agreement with Banco BPI) 55 Number of Loans 30.00% 30.00% 20.00% 20.00% 10.00% 10.00% 0.00% 0.00% Balance Number of Loans 56 Balance 200,001 - 250,000 40.00% 150,001 - 200,000 40.00% 100,001 - 150,000 50.00% 50,001 - 100,000 50.00% 40,001 - 50,000 60.00% 30,001 - 40,000 60.00% 20,001 - 30,000 Breakdown by Original Loan Amount 10,001 - 20,000 1 - 10,000 250,001 - 400,000 200,001 - 250,000 150,001 - 200,000 100,001 - 150,000 50,001 - 100,000 40,001 - 50,000 30,001 - 40,000 20,001 - 30,000 10,001 - 20,000 1 - 10,000 STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL PROVISIONAL PORTFOLIO STRATIFICATION Breakdown by Current Loan Amount PROVISIONAL PORTFOLIO STRATIFICATION STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Breakdown by Year of Origination Breakdown by Maturity Date 18% 40% 16% 35% 14% 30% 12% 25% 10% 20% 8% 15% 6% 10% 4% 5% 2% 0% 0% 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Number of Loans 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2006 - 2010 Balance 2011 - 2015 2016 - 2020 2021 - 2025 2026 - 2030 Number of Loans 57 2031 - 2035 2036 - 2040 Balance 2041 - 2055 2056 Number of Loans Balance Number of Loans 58 Balance 6.05% >=6.10% 5.51% - 6.05% 15% 5.01% - 5.51% 25% 4.51% - 5.01% 40% 4.01% - 4.51% 50% 3.51% - 4.01% Breakdown by Interest Spread 3.01% - 3.51% 2.51% - 3.01% 3.501% - 3,750% 3.251% - 3,500% 3.000% - 3,250% 2,751% - 3.000% 2,501% - 2,750% 2,251% - 2,500% 2,001% - 2,250% 1,751% - 2,000% 1,501% - 1,750% 1,251% - 1,500% 1,001% - 1,250% 0,751% - 1,000% 0,501% - 0,750% <= 0.500% STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL PROVISIONAL PORTFOLIO STRATIFICATION Breakdown by Interest Rate 60% 45% 50% 35% 30% 40% 30% 20% 20% 10% 5% 10% 0% 0% Number of Loans Balance 59 20% 15% 15% 10% 10% 5% 5% 0% 0% Number of Loans Balance 90,01 - 100,00 % 20% 80,01 - 90,00 % 25% 70,01 - 80,00 % 25% 60,01 - 70,00 % Breakdown by Current LTV 50,01 - 60,00 % Breakdown by Original LTV 40,01 - 50,00 % 30,01 - 40,00 % 20,01 - 30,00 % 10,01 - 20,00 % 0,01 - 10,00 % 90,01 - 100,00 % 80,01 - 90,00 % 70,01 - 80,00 % 60,01 - 70,00 % 50,01 - 60,00 % 40,01 - 50,00 % 30,01 - 40,00 % 20,01 - 30,00 % 10,01 - 20,00 % 0,00 - 10,00 % STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL PROVISIONAL PORTFOLIO STRATIFICATION Number of Loans 20% 15% Balance Number of Loans 60 Balance Norte 25% Islands 40% Grande Porto 30% Grande Lisboa 45% Center 35% Algarve Breakdown by Employment Status Alentejo Unemployed Student Skilled worker Self Employed - Univ. Degree Self Employed - Retailer Self Employed - Other Retired Other Middle ranking officer Housekeeper High ranking officer Entrepreneurs Employee - comm. based Clerk Managing Director STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL PROVISIONAL PORTFOLIO STRATIFICATION Breakdown by Property Location 35% 30% 25% 10% 20% 5% 15% 0% 10% 5% 0% STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Appendix IV Comparables 61 COMPARABLES STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Summary Portuguese RMBS Transactions Arrears 90D+ Quart ers 1 0.40% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.05% 0.00% 0.01% Magellan 1 Magellan 2 Magellan 3 Lusitano 1 Lusitano 2 Lusitano 3 Lusitano 4 Atlantes 1 Nostrum Pelican 1 Pelican 2 Douro 1 2 0.50% 0.09% 0.11% 0.33% 0.16% 0.11% 0.11% 0.08% 0.02% 0.20% 0.03% 0.03% 3 0.60% 0.29% 0.24% 0.54% 0.34% 1.28% 0.43% 0.39% 0.04% 0.31% 0.10% 0.06% 4 0.99% 0.41% 5 1.41% 0.43% 6 1.63% 0.63% 7 1.96% 8 1.93% 9 2.21% 10 2.51% 11 2.44% 12 2.44% 13 2.47% 14 2.88% 0.69% 0.48% 0.60% 0.73% 0.54% 0.53% 0.86% 1.15% 1.06% 1.11% 1.20% 1.33% 1.28% 1.27% 1.40% 0.72% 0.91% 0.51% 0.06% 0.28% 0.12% 0.38% 0.07% 0.55% 0.14% 0.69% 0.68% 0.93% 1.32% 1.11% 0.99% 1.04% 1.60% 2.40% 0.68% 0.25% 0.75% 1.00% 1.09% 1.17% 1.21% 1.36% 1.28% 1.48% No surprise… one of the best performances so far of all Portuguese RMBS Arrears 90D+ 15 2.54% 16 2.57% 17 2.77% PPR 16.00% 3.50% 14.00% 3.00% 12.00% 2.50% 10.00% 2.00% 8.00% 1.50% 6.00% 1.00% 4.00% 0.50% 2.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1 2 3 4 5 Magellan 1 Lusitano 2 Nostrum 6 7 8 Magellan 2 Lusitano 3 Pelican 1 9 10 11 12 Magellan 3 Lusitano 4 Pelican 2 13 14 15 16 17 1 2 3 4 5 Magellan 1 Lusitano 2 Pelican 1 Lusitano 1 A tlantes 1 Douro 1 Source: Fitch Ratings 62 6 7 8 Magellan 2 Lusitano 3 Pelican 2 9 10 11 12 Magellan 3 Lusitano 4 Nostrum 13 14 15 Lusitano 1 Nostrum Douro 1 16 17 STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Appendix V Contact List 63 CONTACT LIST STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Contact List Debt Capital Markets: Isabel Castelo Branco +351 21 310 1046 [email protected] Antonio Lobo Ferreira +351 21 310 1166 [email protected] Luisa Gouveia +351 21 321 3739 [email protected] Natália Varela +351 21 723 4426 [email protected] Daria Marques +351 21 310 4423 [email protected] Yuneza Latif +351 21 310 4418 [email protected] João Ferreira Marques +44 207 678 4164 [email protected] Osman Hameed +44 207 678 7894 [email protected] Tom Ashworth +44 207 678 4190 [email protected] Steven Stolk +44 207 678 4836 [email protected] Ben Metcalf +44 207 678 9655 [email protected] Dean Atkins +44 207 678 3337 [email protected] Mortgage Finance Team: Risk Team: Structuring: Syndicate: 64 CONTACT LIST STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL Contact List Structuring: Santiago Armada +34 91 700 5271 [email protected] Antonio Sanz Pastor +34 91 436 5247 [email protected] Josep Jaume Fina +34 91 557 6979 [email protected] Susana Garcia Fernandez +34 91 557 6979 [email protected] Jesus Santolaya +34 91 557 6979 [email protected] Miguel Lafont +34 91 589 3666 [email protected] Andre Navarro +351 21 330 3220 [email protected] Martim Vasconcellos e Sa +351 21 330 3220 [email protected] Jason Russell +44 207 676 7649 [email protected] Rupert Carter +44 207 676 7637 [email protected] Syndicate: Capital Markets: Syndicate: 65