THE HOME OF BETTING
Transcription
THE HOME OF BETTING
THE HOME OF BETTING William Hill corporate presentation April 2015 1 Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by William Hill PLC (“William Hill”). This presentation includes statements that are, or may be deemed to be, “forward-looking statements”. These forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology, including the terms "believes", "estimates", "anticipates", "expects", "intends", "plans", "goal", "target", "aim", "may", "will", "would", "could" or "should" or, in each case, their negative or other variations or comparable terminology. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts. They appear in a number of places throughout this presentation and the information incorporated by reference into this presentation, and include statements regarding the intentions, beliefs or current expectations of the directors, William Hill or the Group concerning, amongst other things, the results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies and dividend policy of William Hill and the industry in which it operates. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future and may be beyond William Hill's ability to control or predict. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and hence may prove to be erroneous. The Group's actual results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, dividend policy and the development of the industry in which it operates may differ materially from the impression created by the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation and/or the information incorporated by reference into this presentation. In addition, even if the results of operations, financial condition, liquidity and dividend policy of the Group and the development of the industry in which it operates are consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation and/or the information incorporated by reference into this presentation, those results or developments may not be indicative of results or developments in subsequent periods. Other than in accordance with its legal or regulatory obligations (including under the Listing Rules, the Disclosure and Transparency Rules and the Prospectus Rules), William Hill does not undertake any obligation to update or revise publicly any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. 2 2014: a record year World Cup 372.2 330.6 276.8 Retail Online Australia 3% 335.0 6% 275.7 Other 3% 8% UK Non-UK 15% 18% 85% 82% 2013 2014 30% 32% 61% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 £372.2m Record operating profit1, up 11% 3 1. 2. 2013 57% 2014 40% of net revenue from digital businesses2 Operating profit/loss is defined as pre-exceptional profit/loss before interest and tax, and the amortisation of specific identified intangible assets recognised on acquisitions Online and William Hill Australia 18% of net revenue from international markets Best ever operating profit result in 2014 Unaudited 2014 • Successful diversification continues Group net revenue +8% • Record-breaking World Cup performance with Online wagering for the tournament +211% on 2010 • Weaker sports results year-on-year in Retail and Online • Continued strong growth in Online Sportsbook turnover and improved gaming growth • Retail supported by gaming machine growth and effective cost control • Improving Australia KPIs • Continued strong performance in US - Online net revenue +18% - Retail net revenue +0% - Australia net revenue2 +11% - William Hill US +31% - Telephone -28% Group operating profit1 40% 18% of net revenue from digital businesses3 (2013: 36%) • of net revenue from international markets (2013: 15%) 1. 4 +11% 2. 3. Full-year dividend +5%, ahead of EPS growth Operating profit/loss is defined as pre-exceptional profit/loss before interest and tax, before the amortisation of specifically identified intangible assets recognised on acquisitions Pro forma local currency comparisons Digital businesses are Online and William Hill Australia William Hill at a glance • • • One of the world’s leading multi-channel betting and gaming company 16,000 employees in nine countries Continued diversification • Betting and gaming • Land-based and digital • UK and international Revenue by geography Revenue by business segment Revenue by product type 2% 2% 1% 8% 7% 8% 46% 54% 32% 58% 82% UK 5 Australia US Other Retail Telephone William Hill US Online William Hill Australia Betting Gaming Our strategic priorities MULTI-CHANNEL INNOVATION, TECHNOLOGY AND DATA • • • • • Emerging trend in multi-channel usage in the UK William Hill best placed as no.1 in Retail and no.1 in Online Already successful in gaming launches Drive towards one customer proposition Higher yields, higher retention, lower CPA UK betting population by channel and age1 100% 21% 80% Retail: 59% 60% 26% 23% 5% 30% 22% 7% Desktop: 10% 8% Mobile: 4% 7% 20% 50% 44% 18-24 25-34 1. 55% 66% 80% 0% Retail 6 13% 7% 15% 29% 40% INTERNATIONAL 19% Kantar Retail Gambling Tracker Q4 2013. 7.4 million people used Retail, Online or Mobile in the past 12 months out of a UK population aged 18+ of 47.8 million people 35-44 Multi-channel 45-54 Online 55+ Our strategic priorities MULTI-CHANNEL INNOVATION, TECHNOLOGY AND DATA • • • • Blend of internal and external excellence and innovation Strong in-house track record: Trading platform and Vegas Project Trafalgar Improved data management, more personalisation Investing in internal technology capabilities1 Increasing proportion of internal development spend INTERNATIONAL 53% 50% 140 70% 120 60% 50% 100 41% 40% 80 30% 60 20% 10% 40 40% 0% 20 37% ‐10% 0 ‐20% H1/12 2010 7 1. 2011 Company data 2012 2013 2014 H2/12 H1/13 H2/13 H1/14 Total casino Vegas yoy growth Playtech casino yoy growth Our strategic priorities Top ten gambling markets by gross win (2013, £bn)1 • • • • • MULTI-CHANNEL Leverage existing capabilities in other markets Focus on five regulated markets Flexible enough to exploit opportunities Consider complementary gambling skill sets Evolving technology can support B2B potential INNOVATION, TECHNOLOGY AND DATA INTERNATIONAL 215 8 1. 32 142 226 H2GC Global Gambling Data (February 2014); population data (Wikipedia) 180 449 106 Gross win per capita (£) 116 212 153 UK Retail • Largest business segment, representing 57% of revenue • Market leader with 2,360 LBOs1, equivalent to 26% market share2 • 49% betting (OTC) and 51% gaming (machine) • £911.5m net revenue and £193m operating profit in 2014 • Resilient, cash-generative business Delivering growth against challenging economic backdrop Leader in UK retail bookmaking3 Evolving product mix (revenue) 907 46% Other, 14% 837.9 783.1 789.7 Betfred, 16% 757.5 William Hill, 26% 4% 3% 10% 12% 25% Coral, 20% 2009 9 1. 2. 2010 2011 2012 2013 Licensed betting offices Gambling Commission Industry Statistics April 2012-March 2013 Ladbrokes, 25% 2010 Horse racing Greyhounds Other 51% 6% 4% 8% 11% 20% 2014 Football Virtual Gaming Online • c1,250 employees across seven countries, 3% of Group revenue • Market leader with 15% market share by revenue in the UK1 • 48% betting (Sportsbook) and 52% gaming (casino, bingo, poker) • £527m net revenue and £178m operating profit in 2014 • Well-positioned under UK Point of Consumption Tax change Leader in UK online market2 Strong profit growth 446.3 406.7 321.3 50% 15% 20% 4% Growing ahead of the market3 14% 22% 5% 251.5 203.5 16% 5% 9% 5% 8% 2009 10 1. 2. 2010 2011 2012 2013 William Hill Betfair Sky Bet Ladbrokes PokerStars Others Bet365 Paddy Power Gamesys Gala Coral 888 Gambling Data , European Regulated Online Markets Data Report, September 2014 2009 to 2013 CAGR, UK data from H2GC 12% 4% -4% 8% 7% 15% 12% 13% 11% Sportsbook Casino Poker WH Online Bingo UK Total Italy and Spain • Mobile already generating 47% of net revenue • Strengthening brand awareness: No. 1 in Italy, No. 2 in Spain1 • Strong market share gains • On track for break-even in 2015 Italy online sports market share by turnover2 Others, 14% Bet365 28% Snai 7% Lottomatica 10% Sisal 8% Bwin 8% Eurobet 9% William Hill 9% 11 Other 7% Sportium 8% William Hill 19% Paddy Power 7% 1. 2. 3. Spain online sports market share by turnover3 European Brand Study, July 2014 Agimeg and AAMS DGOJ, company estimates Bwin 20% Bet365 46% William Hill Australia • Attractive growth market with high per capita spend on gambling • Online betting projected to grow at 14% CAGR over next few years • Structural growth drivers in core areas of expertise – fixed odds, sports betting, mobile • Established through acquisition of Sportingbet, Centrebet, tomwaterhouse.com • Rebranding as William Hill • A$223m net revenue and A$45m operating profit in 2014 (pro forma) • Potential for long-term regulatory expansion in online in-play and gaming Online is growing as a proportion of overall betting1 100% 9% 80% 18% 14% 60% 59% 34% 34% 10% 13% 14% 43% 25% 21% 19% 6% 21% 6% 26% 27% 2011 2013 External strategy People 0% 2006/07 TAB 12 Clear strategy for a competitive market Trading 40% 20% The market is consolidating 1. On course 2012/13 Telephone Internet Tabcorp Tatts Sportsbet William Hill NSW and Victoria thoroughbred turnover, Australian Racing Board Fact Book Other User experience Brand William Hill US • Land-based sports books and mobile offering in Nevada, with B2B opportunities • Exclusive risk manager for Delaware state lottery • Full gaming licence, well-positioned to exploit growth opportunities • Strong performance since integration • $49m net revenue and $16m operating profit in 2014 Nevada sports handle1 growth Nevada sports book market share 16% 55% 84% 45% No. of books Other 13 1. Handle is defined as the total amounts wagered. Data from UNLV Center for Gaming Research March 2013 GGR William Hill Strong free cash flow and solid balance sheet Strong cash generation (£m) Diversified sources of debt funding (£m) 2020 189.4 131.9 99.4 107.2 17.4 35.1 17.5 2009 Dividends 38.5 82.8 1. 74.6 65.0 53.9 71.1 87.1 104.0 52.3 60.9 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Non controlling interests Around 2.5x dividend cover 14 540 375 2018 540 375 2017 540 375 2016 540 375 300 2015 540 375 300 2014 540 375 300 95.2 27.0 34.6 Capex1 2019 21.6 31.0 116.8 375 Capital expenditure net of disposals Deleverage 0 500 Revolving credit facility 1000 4.25% bond 7.125% bond Net debt/EBITDA 1.4x vs covenant of 3.5x Regulatory update • £50 journey to be implemented 6 April 2015 • Point of Consumption Tax implemented December 2014 • Consultations on the Horserace Betting Levy, contributions from offshore operators and possible replacement with a betting right • 4th EU Money Laundering Directive • Responses awaited on planning and advertising 15 Online UK performance in H2 2014 Net revenue New accounts Unique actives Revenue per active Cost per acquisition +29% +7% +17% +10% +4% Responsible Gambling Trust report • Report published on 1 Dec 2014 on conclusion of two-year research programme – – • Key conclusions – – – – • Distinguishing between harmful and non-harmful gaming machine play Measures to limit harmful play without impacting on those who do not exhibit harmful behaviours It is possible to distinguish between harmful and non-harmful gaming machine play Data are based on an unrepresentative group so policy-markers are cautioned about implementing interventions on the basis of these data Holistic approach to problem identifying harm is required, understanding behaviour and patterns of play Further work required to identify harms that can result in more targeted campaigns Other takeaways – – – No ‘silver bullet’ on harm minimisation measures Problem gambling is found at all staking levels and problem gamblers use multiple products RGT recommends ‘it would be inadvisable to rush to policies on the basis of these foundational studies’ £5.13 16 average stake per bet 3% Note: all numbers refer to the average of B2 + B3 activity of sessions involve £100 max. stake £7 average loss per session Compelling investment proposition Market leading UK multi-channel betting and gaming business Capitalising on fast-growing digital opportunity Further diversification through international expansion Strong free cash flow and balance sheet 17 Record-breaking World Cup wagering H1 2014 £m FY 2014 £m FY 2010 £m Change % Retail 33.5 44.3 48.6 -9% Online 122.3 158.6 51.0 +211% 3.7 5.3 15.8 -66% 13.0 18.6 - - 172.5 226.8 115.4 +97% Retail 8.0 12.9 18.1 -29% Online 17.7 24.7 10.2 +142% Telephone 0.4 0.6 3.9 -85% Other1 1.7 2.3 - - 27.8 40.5 32.2 +26% Retail 24.0% 29.2% 37.2% -8.0 ppts Online 14.5% 15.6% 20.0% -4.4 ppts 9.5% 11.3% 24.5% -13.2 ppts Other1 13.1% 12.4% - - Total gross win margin 16.1% 17.8% 27.9% -10.1 ppts Telephone Other1 Total amounts wagered Total gross win Telephone 18 1. ‘Other’ includes William Hill Australia and William Hill US