S. ALAM COLD ROLLED STEELS LIMITED (UPDATE)
Transcription
S. ALAM COLD ROLLED STEELS LIMITED (UPDATE)
S. ALAM COLD ROLLED STEELS LIMITED (UPDATE) DSE: SALAMCRST BLOOMBERG: SACRS:BD Company Overview Company Fundamentals S. Alam Cold Rolled Steels Limited (SACRSL) was incorporated in 2000 and commenced its commercial production in 2004. The Company is involved in manufacturing and selling of high quality Cold Rolled Steels Strips (CR Strips) in the form of coils and sheets. The products of the company are C.R Coil, Baby Coil, C.R Cut Piece, Off Gauge, Trimming, GP/CI sheets etc. ensuring the backward linkage of the Steel Industries of Galvanizing, Corrugated and Automobile industry. Market Cap (BDT mn) Sales of CR Coil remained as the core revenue source having 78.3% contribution in 2013-14. However, Sales of Scrap, CI Sheet and GP sheet contributed 11.8%, 9.4%, 0.5% in the revenue during the same year. The company’s annual installed production capacity for C.R. Coil plant and NOF plant is 1,20,000 MT and 72,000 MT respectively. In 2013, the firm utilized 43.0% and 7.7% of its production capacity of C.R. Coil plant and NOF plant respectively. The firm imports its raw material from Japan, Korea, Netherlands, Romania, Russia, India, Taiwan, China etc. As per 2013 annual report, the only subsidiary of the Company named S. Alam Power Generation Ltd. (70%) – a 17 MW captive power plant – is expected to start operation in May 2014. The primary objective of this subsidiary is to provide power supply constantly to their various projects and if there is any surplus then sell it to the National Grid. SACRSL also has 11 associate companies conducting various line of business. The Company enlisted in the DSE and the CSE in 2006. Around 48.5% of shares of the company are held by Sponsors whereas 42.48% and 9.02% of shares are held by General and Institutions investors respectively. Industry Overview 2,282.2 0.1% Market weight 98.4 No. of Share Outstanding (in mn) Free-float Shares 51.5% Paid-up Capital (BDT mn) 983.7 4.5 3-month Average Turnover (BDT mn) -34.6% 3-month Return 23.2 Current Price (BDT) 22.5-42.4 52-week price range (BDT) Sector’s Forward P/E 20.8 2011-12 Financial Information (BDT mn): 3,702 Sales Operating Profit 656 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 3,778 3,355 4,693 537 398 407 (Q1 Ann) 335 196 95 154 10,802 10,425 13,395 15,234 250 2,049 2,135 2,092 2,097 2,148 2,116 2,154 15/0 13/0 15/0 -/- Gross Profit 19.2% 15.6% 13.3% 11.2% Operating Profit 17.7% 14.2% 11.9% 8.7% Pretax Profit 12.6% 7.2% 4.1% 4.5% 8.8% 5.0% 2.9% 3.3% 22.0% 2.0% -11.2% 39.9% Gross Profit 4.0% -17.4% -24.1% 17.9% Operating Profit 2.1% -18.2% -25.9% 2.3% Net Profit 9.4% -41.5% -51.3% 61.4% ROA 3.7% 1.8% 0.8% 1.1% ROE 16.3% 9.0% 4.5% 7.2% Debt Ratio 44.5% 46.2% 48.0% 43.3% Debt-Equity 229.5% 224.2% 303.7% 305.9% 2.8 1.8 1.5 1.8 16.7 20.2 36.7 14.8 Price/BV 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 EPS (BDT) 3.3 1.9 1.0 1.6 DPS (BDT) 1.5 1.3 1.5 -- 20.0 20.4 20.1 21.9 Profit After Tax Assets Long Term Debt Equity Dividend C/B)% Margin: Net Profit Growth: Auto Re-Rolling and Steel Mills industry of Bangladesh is directly related to the growth of construction and housing sector particularly in semi-urban and rural areas. Infrastructural development is also dependent on CI sheets as it is used for roofing, side and peripheral fencing. Around 30% of households in rural and urban areas are constructed with GP/CI sheet materials. As supportive material, GP/CI sheets are widely used in other civil constructions as well. At Present, total demand for CI sheet in the country stands around 600-700 thousand MT for both residential and Commercial needs. Around 65% of total demand is satisfied by local manufacturers. Some portion is imported by small local traders. But still, there is a shortage to meet local demand of CI sheet in the country. Large 5-6 companies mainly dominate the market. These firms are – Abul Khair Steel Mills, PHP Steels Mills, KY Steel Mills, S. Alam Cold Rolled Steels Ltd. Galco Steels and TK steel Mills. In 2013-14 Budget, 5% regulatory duty was exempted leaving 25% Custom Duty on import of CR Coil. Sales Profitability: Leverage: Int. Coverage Valuation: Price/Earnings NAVPS (BDT) 1 09 April, 2015 Investment Positives The Company imported its entire raw materials therefore it is exposed to foreign exchange risk. The capacity utilization ratio of the company dropped substantially from 71.05% in 2012-13 to 42.99% in 201314. This large drop depicts the lessening of the production efficiency of the company. Restated EPS (BDT) 3.1 3.3 1.9 1.6 1.0 2010-11 2011-12 100 80 60 40 20 0 Apr-10 Apr-11 Apr-12 Apr-13 Apr-14 Apr-15 Source: DSE Website & ILSL Research Pricing Based on Relative Valuation: Investment Negatives Last 5 Year Price Movement (BDT) 120 The Company will enjoy uninterrupted power supply from its subsidiary- S. Alam Power Generation Ltd. This plant will reduce the production cost of the company and increase efficiency. It is expected that the power plant will start its operation in May 2015. The Company’s operation is directly linked with the Government’s ADP implementation. Therefore, it may enjoy improvement in its earnings in the next quarter (April-June) since ADP implementation rate is relatively higher in the April-June quarter. 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 (Q1 Ann.) Peer Group* Forward P/E Market Forward P/E Multiple 14.1 Value (BDT) 22.1 15.9 24.9 * BSRMSTEEL, RSRMSTEEL, GPHISPAT and APOLOISPAT are considered as peer group Concluding Remark S. Alam Cold Rolled Steels Ltd., a concern of S. Alam Group, has an established brand name in the market. It operates in a medium large scale industry which has some seasonality effect. The Company has reported outstanding sales growth Q1 mostly due to poor performance in the same period of the last year. As on date, the company’s RSI (15) and MFI (15) are 23.43 and 15.46 respectively. Source: Annual Report, S. Alam Website, the Financial Express, the Daily Star, The Company’s concerned officials and ILSL Research Source: Annual Reports & ILSL Research ILSL Research Team: Name Rezwana Nasreen Md. Tanvir Islam Towhidul Islam Mohammed Asrarul Haque Designation Head of Research Sr. Research Analyst Research Analyst Jr. Research Analyst For any Queries: [email protected] Disclaimer: This document has been prepared by International Leasing Securities Limited (ILSL) for information only of its clients on the basis of the publicly available information in the market and own research. This document has been prepared for information purpose only and does not solicit any action based on the material contained herein and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell or subscribe to any security. Neither ILSL nor any of its directors, shareholders, member of the management or employee represents or warrants expressly or impliedly that the information or data of the sources used in the documents are genuine, accurate, complete, authentic and correct. However all reasonable care has been taken to ensure the accuracy of the contents of this document. ILSL will not take any responsibility for any decisions made by investors based on the information herein. 2 09 April, 2015