MF 35 Presentation A5 - 11 May.cdr
Transcription
MF 35 Presentation A5 - 11 May.cdr
B R T S BR 3STBRST WAYS TO BUY RIGHT SIT TIGHT BRSTBRST Motilal Oswal MOSt Focused 25 Fund Motilal Oswal MOSt Focused Midcap 30 Fund Motilal Oswal MOSt Focused Multicap 35 Fund Invests in enduring wealth creators Invests in emerging wealth creators Invests in emerging and enduring wealth creators Product Labeling Name of the scheme This product is suitable for investors who are seeking* Motilal Oswal MOSt Focused Multicap 35 Fund (MOSt Focused Multicap 35) An Open Ended Diversified Equity Scheme • Long-term capital growth •Investment in a maximum of 35 equity and equity related instruments across sectors and market capitalization levels • High risk (BROWN) *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them. Note: Risk is represented as: (BLUE) investors (YELLOW) investors (BROWN) investors understand that their understand that their principal understand that their principal will be at low risk will be at medium risk principal will be at high risk 2 Inflation: Biggest destroyer of purchasing power… Over FY79-14 inflation on an average has been 8.4%, eroding purchasing power of ` by 94% 120 100 Infla on erodes purchasing power of money Rupee 80 60 40 20 5.66 Mar-79 Dec-79 Oct-80 Jul-81 Apr-82 Jan-83 Oct-83 Jul-84 Apr-85 Jan-86 Oct-86 Jul-87 Apr-88 Jan-89 Oct-89 Jul-90 Apr-91 Jan-92 Oct-92 Jul-93 Apr-94 Jan-95 Oct-95 Jul-96 Apr-97 Jan-98 Oct-98 Jul-99 Apr-00 Jan-01 Oct-01 Jul-02 Apr-03 Jan-04 Oct-04 Jul-05 Apr-06 Jan-07 Oct-07 Jul-08 Apr-09 Jan-10 Oct-10 Jul-11 Apr-12 Jan-13 Oct-13 Jul-14 Apr-15 CPI =Consumer Price Index Source: Bloomberg, MOAMC internal analysis, Data as on 30th April, 2015 3 Key Objective of Investing Equities significantly enhance purchasing power 1,750 1528 1,500 If you had invested Rs 100 ..... 1,000 750 500 250 213 103 Mar-79 Dec-79 Sep-80 Jun-81 Mar-82 Dec-82 Sep-83 Jun-84 Mar-85 Dec-85 Sep-86 Jun-87 Mar-88 Dec-88 Sep-89 Jun-90 Mar-91 Dec-91 Sep-92 Jun-93 Mar-94 Dec-94 Sep-95 Jun-96 Mar-97 Dec-97 Sep-98 Jun-99 Mar-00 Dec-00 Sep-01 Jun-02 Mar-03 Dec-03 Sep-04 Jun-05 Mar-06 Dec-06 Sep-07 Jun-08 Mar-09 Dec-09 Sep-10 Jun-11 Mar-12 Dec-12 Sep-13 Jun-14 Mar-15 Purchasing Power 1,250 Source: Bloomberg, MOAMC internal analysis, Data as on 30th April, 2015 Note: The information herein is used for comparison purpose and is illustrative and is not sufficient and shouldn’t be used for the development or implementation of an investment strategy. It should not be construed as investment advice to any party. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future. 4 Nominal Value Key Objective of Investing 32,500 30,000 27,500 25,000 22,500 20,000 17,500 15,000 12,500 10,000 7,500 5,000 2,500 If you had invested Rs 100 ..... `27,011 `3,760 `1,829 Mar-79 Dec-79 Sep-80 Jun-81 Mar-82 Dec-82 Sep-83 Jun-84 Mar-85 Dec-85 Sep-86 Jun-87 Mar-88 Dec-88 Sep-89 Jun-90 Mar-91 Dec-91 Sep-92 Jun-93 Mar-94 Dec-94 Sep-95 Jun-96 Mar-97 Dec-97 Sep-98 Jun-99 Mar-00 Dec-00 Sep-01 Jun-02 Mar-03 Dec-03 Sep-04 Jun-05 Mar-06 Dec-06 Sep-07 Jun-08 Mar-09 Dec-09 Sep-10 Jun-11 Mar-12 Dec-12 Sep-13 Jun-14 Mar-15 - Source: Bloomberg, MOAMC internal analysis, Data as on 30th April, 2015 Note: The information herein is used for comparison purpose and is illustrative and is not sufficient and shouldn’t be used for the development or implementation of an investment strategy. It should not be construed as investment advice to any party. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future. 5 WHY INVEST IN EQUITIES NOW? Continued surge in India’s GDP 4,053 FY22E FY21E 3,344 FY20E 3,037 FY19E 2,758 FY18E FY17E 2,276 FY16E FY15E 1,876 FY14 1,708 1,366 1,835 FY07 FY13 FY06 1,879 FY05 FY12 834 FY04 FY10 721 FY03 1,226 524 FY02 FY09 494 FY01 1,239 475 618 948 465 155 FY80 FY00 59 FY70 301 34 FY60 FY90 22 FY51 58 years FY08 7 years FY11 GDP (USD bn) 2nd US$ tn 2,074 3rd US$ tn 4 years 2,505 4th US$ tn 3 years 3,681 By 2021 India’s GDP would almost triple from the current level ~5 times the level of FY08 Linear Economic Growth may leads to Exponential Business Opportunities Source: MOSL Wealth Creation Study. Data as on 31st March 2015 Note: Above forward-looking statements are based on external current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could affect actual results. 7 Blazing growth trails at select companies, while Index has been rather lackluster Market Price (Rs.) Market Price (Rs.) Performance (As on 4th January, 2008) (As on 30th April, 2015) (Growth) 6,274 8,182 30% Eicher Motors 416 15,192 3556% Page Industries 481 13,654 2739% TTK Prestige 224 3,792 1596% Lupin 122 1,773 1349% 21 247 1090% GlaxoSmith C H L 687 6,269 812% TCS 503 2,464 390% 1,460 6,573 350% 315 881 179% Name Nifty Index GRUH Finance Nestle India HCL Technologies Source: Motilal Oswal AMC internal analysis. Data as on 30th April, 2015. The Stocks mentioned above are used to explain the concept and is for illustration and comparison purpose only and should not used for development or implementation of an investment strategy. It should not be construed as investment advice to any party. The stocks may or may not be part of our portfolio/strategy/ schemes. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future 8 Expected upturn in earnings growth of India Inc shall produce more companies with uncommon profits Expected Earnings Per Share (EPS) growth of Sensex from FY01 - FY17(E) FY93-FY15: 14% CAGR 1,662 FY08-15: 8% CAGR 833 820 834 1,404 1,328 1,120 1,180 1,024 FY17E FY16E FY15E FY14 FY13 FY12 FY11 FY10 FY09 540 FY06 446 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01 FY00 FY99 FY98 FY97 FY96 FY95 FY94 FY93 361 250 266 291 278 280 216 236 272 181 81 129 720 FY08 FY96-03: 1% CAGR FY07 FY03-08: 25% CAGR FY93-96: 45% CAGR 2,021 FY15-17E: 20% CAGR Strong leadership can further accelerate growth through infrastructure development Source: Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd. Data as on 31st march 2015 Note: Above forward-looking statements are based on external current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future. 9 Why Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company? At Mo lal Oswal Asset Management Company (MOAMC), our investment philosophy and inves ng style is centered on 'Buy Right: Sit Tight‘ principal. Buy Right Stock Characteristics Sit Tight Approach QGLP ‘Q’uality denotes quality of the business and management ‘G’rowth denotes growth in earnings and sustained RoE ‘L’ongevity denotes longevity of the competitive advantage or economic moat of the business ‘P’rice denotes our approach of buying a good business for a fair price rather than buying a fair business for a good price Buy and Hold: We are strictly buy and hold investors and believe that picking the right business needs skill and holding onto these businesses to enable our investors to benefit from the entire growth cycle needs even more skill. Focus: Our portfolios are high conviction portfolios with 20 to 25 stocks being our ideal n u m b e r. W e b e l i e v e i n a d e q u a t e diversification but over-diversification results in diluting returns for our investors and adding market risk 11 Investment process A business we “understand” Favorable “long term economics” Margin of “safety” Able and trustworthy “management” 12 Why Quality? Quality companies are those which have enduring economic moats (EMC’s) Payoff profile of EMCs, Non-EMCs and Sensex Source: 17th Motilal Oswal Wealth Creation Study (WCS) Data upto Fy2012 Note: All rebased to 100 in March 2002. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future. 13 Focus on seeking optimal diversification 60% Portfolio Standard Deviation v/s Number of Securities Portfolio Standard Deviation 50% 40% 30% Diversifiable Risk 20% Non-Diversifiable Systemic Risk 10% 0% 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Number of Securities in Portfolio Source: An Introduction to Risk and Return Concepts and Evidence by Franco Modigliani and Gerald A. Pogue 14 Wealth creators present across the Market Cap Spectrum Stocks Market Price Market Price Market Cap (Rs. Billion) (As on 4th January, 2008) (As on 30th April, 2015) (As on 30th April, 2015) Eicher Motors 416 15,192 412 Page Industries 481 13,654 152 Lupin 224 3,792 44 TTK Prestige 122 1,773 797 21 247 90 GlaxoSmith C H L 687 6,269 264 TCS 503 2,464 4,826 1,460 6,573 634 315 881 1,238 GRUH Finance Nestle India HCL Technologies Source: Motilal Oswal AMC internal analysis. Data as on 30th April, 2015. The Stocks mentioned above are used to explain the concept and is for illustration purpose only and should not used for development or implementation of an investment strategy. It should not be construed as investment advice to any party. The stocks may or may not be part of our portfolio/strategy/ schemes. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future. 15 Earnings is concentrated in certain sectors India Inc's Profit Pool breakdown by sector 10 Highest profit generating sectors Sector 2014 PAT (INR Billion) 10 Lowest profit generating sectors % share Sector 2014 PAT (INR Billion) Financials 1,117 28 Airlines -52 Oil & Gas 785 20 Alcoholic Beverages -41 Technology - Software 454 11 Sugar -27 Metals & Mining 435 11 Telecom Equipment -14 Automobiles 263 7 Trading -9 Utilities - Power 217 5 Ship-building -7 Consumer - Non-durables 209 5 Computer Education -5 Healthcare 155 4 Hotels & Restaurants -5 Cement 45 1 Technology - Hardware -3 Auto Ancillaries 45 1 Glass & Glass Products -2 Total of Above 3,726 94 Total Corporate PAT 3,947 100 Total of Above Total Corporate PAT -166 3,947 The sector mentioned herein are for general and comparison purpose only and not a complete disclosure of every material fact. It should not be construed as investment advice to any party. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future. Source: 19th Motilal Oswal Wealth Creation Study (WCS) Data for FY2015. 16 Performance of Midcaps and Large Caps can diverge significantly over time depending on the phase of the cycle 15% 10% Nifty Outperformance Returns 5% 0% 5% 10% -15% -20% Midcap Outperformance -25% -30% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD Interest Rates, Currency, Shape of the Global economy etc. determine relative attractiveness and performance of Large vs. Mid Caps. Source: India Index Services & Products Ltd. Data as on 30th April 2015. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future. 17 Motilal Oswal MOSt Focused Multicap 35 Fund (MOSt Focused Multicap 35) Portfolio Construct Investment Horizon: Medium to Long Term For Whom: Investors who like to invest with a Long-term wealth creation view Number of Stocks Maximum 35 stocks Allocations Minimum 65%: Equities Maximum 35%: Debt/ Money Market Instruments *The fund may invest in foreign securities upto 10% of total net assets 19 About the scheme The investment objective of the Scheme is to achieve long term capital appreciation by primarily investing in a maximum of 35 equity & equity related instruments across sectors and market capitalization levels. However, there can be no assurance or guarantee that the investment objective of the Scheme would be achieved. MOSt Focused Multicap 35 would endeavour to construct such a portfolio that the product is best suited for medium and long term investment. High conviction ideas with improved risk-adjusted return characteristics. '360 degree view' of company to identify competitive advantages. 20 Fund Details Type of Scheme: Investment Objective: An open ended diversified equity scheme The investment objective of the Scheme is to achieve long term capital appreciation by primarily investing in a maximum of 35 equity & equity related instruments across sectors and market capitalization levels. However, there can be no assurance or guarantee that the investment objective of the Scheme would be achieved. Benchmark: CNX 500 Index Entry/Exit Load: Plans: Nil Regular Plan and Direct Plan Options (Under each plan): Dividend (Payout and Reinvestment) and Growth Minimum Application Amount: Rs. 5,000/- and in multiples of Re. 1/- thereafter Additional Application Amount: Rs. 1,000/- and in multiples of Re. 1/- thereafter. Systematic Investment Plan (SIP): Minimum Redemption Amount: Minimum installment-Rs.1,000/-(weekly/ fortnightly / monthly) and Rs. 2,000/(quarterly) and in multiples of Re. 1/- thereafter with minimum of 6 installments for weekly/fortnightly/monthly frequency and minimum 3 installments for quarterly frequency. The dates for Auto Debit Facility shall be on the 1st, 7th,14th, 21st or 28th of every month Rs. 1,000/- and in multiples of Re. 1/- thereafter or total investment amount, whichever is lower. 21 Sector Allocation Banks 18.75% Pharmaceuticals 12.34% Consumer Non Durables 11.07% Software 10.43% Auto 10.14% Finance 8.27% Petroleum Products 6.64% Financials 5.31% Transportation 4.86% Textile Products 4.50% Industrial Products 1.83% Auto Ancillaries 1.72% Cash & Equivalent Bank, Pharmaceuticals, and Consumer Non Durables are the top 3 sector exposures l Portfolio is well represented across a wide range of sectors l 4.14% Data as on 30th April, 2015 Industry classification as recommended by AMFI 22 Portfolio Holdings TOP 10 Holdings Name of Instrument % to Net Assets HDFC Bank 7.41 Ajanta Pharma 7.16 Eicher Motors 6.99 Britannia Industries 6.64 Hindustan Petroleum Corporation 6.64 State Bank of India 6.44 Tech Mahindra 5.36 Berkshire Hathaway 5.31 Lupin 5.17 Tata Consultancy Services 5.08 TOP 5 Stocks % to NAV=34.84% TOP 10 Stocks % to NAV =62.20% Currently we Hold 20 Stocks Data as on 30th April, 2015 23 Fund Manager Mr Gautam Sinha Roy is the Fund Manager of this Scheme and is responsible for managing investments in equity and equity related instruments of the Scheme. Mr. Gautam Sinha Roy, Fund Manager Mr. Roy has completed his B.E. (Honors) from Jadavpur University, Kolkata and PGDM from IIM-Calcutta. He has close to 11 years of rich experience largely in investment management and research. He had worked with Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd. immediately prior to joining Motilal Oswal AMC. Prior to that, he has worked with IIFL Capital Pte. Ltd., Mirae Asset Global Investment Pvt. Ltd., Edelweiss Capital Ltd. and Genpact Ltd in Research and Investment analysis/ management roles. He is also the Fund Manager for Motilal Oswal MOSt Focused Long Term Fund Mr. Abhiroop Mukherjee (For Debt Component) He is B.com (H), MBA with 4 years of experience in Trading Fixed Income Securities viz. G-sec, T-bills, Corporate Bonds CP, CD etc. He has earlier worked with PNB GILTS LTD. as a WDM Dealer for the period 2007-2011 24 Disclaimer DISCLAIMER: This presentation has been prepared and issued on the basis of internal data, publicly available information and other sources believed to be reliable. The information contained in this document is for general purposes only and not a complete disclosure of every material fact and terms and conditions and features of Motilal Oswal MOSt Focused Multicap 35 Fund. The information / data herein alone is not sufficient and shouldn’t be used for the development or implementation of an investment strategy. It should not be construed as investment advice to any party. All opinions, figures, charts/graphs, estimates and data included in this presentation are as on date and are subject to change without notice. While utmost care has been exercised while preparing this document, Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company Limited does not warrant the completeness or accuracy of the information and disclaims all liabilities, losses and damages arising out of the use of this information. The statements contained herein may include statements of future expectations and other forwardlooking statements that are based on our current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Readers shall be fully responsible/liable for any decision taken on the basis of this presentation. No part of this document may be duplicated in whole or in part in any form and/or redistributed without prior written consent of the Motilal Oswal Mutual Fund/Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company Limited. Readers should before investing in the Scheme make their own investigation and seek appropriate professional advice. Past performance of the Sponsor/AMC/Mutual Fund and its affiliates does not indicate the future performance of the scheme and may not provide a basis of comparison with other investments. Please Read Scheme Information Document (SID) and Statement of Additional Information (SAI) carefully before investing Statutory Details: Constitution: Motilal Oswal Mutual Fund has been set up as a trust under the Indian Trust Act, 1882. Trustee: Motilal Oswal Trustee Company Ltd. Investment Manager: Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company Ltd. Sponsor: Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd. Past performance of the Sponsor/ AMC/ Mutual Fund and its affiliates does not indicate the future performance of the scheme and may not provide a basis of comparison with other investments. Mutual fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully. Call: 022 39804238 E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.motilaloswalmf.com