Harnessing FDI for Economic Growth
Transcription
Harnessing FDI for Economic Growth
Harnessing FDI for Economic Growth Beata Javorcik University of Oxford What are the essential ingredients for fast and sustained economic growth? Openness Import knowledge Exploit global demand Leadership and governance Credible commitment to growth Credible commitment to inclusion Capable administration Market allocation Prices guide resources Long-term focus High savings Macroeconomic stability Modest inflation Sustainable public finances Multinational firms (MNCs) are creators of knowledge MNCs are responsible for most of the world’s R&D 700 multinational corporations accounted for 46% of the world’s total R&D expenditure and 69% of the world’s business R&D in 2002 (UNCTAD 2005) MNCs’ R&D budgets may exceed R&D spending of countries (2002, $bn) Knowledge brought by MNCs boosts the performance of FDI recipients Total factor productivity (in logs) Pre-acquisition Year Acquisition year One year later Two years later FDI recipients 0.864 1.079 1.142 1.215 Control group 0.867 0.976 1.022 1.083 0.106*** (0.034) 0.122*** (0.045) 0.135*** (0.051) Difference Knowledge brought by MNCs boosts the performance of FDI recipients Total factor productivity (in logs) Pre-acquisition Year Acquisition year One year later Two years later FDI recipients 0.864 1.079 1.142 1.215 Control group 0.867 0.976 1.022 1.083 0.106*** (0.034) 0.122*** (0.045) 0.135*** (0.051) Difference Knowledge brought by MNCs boosts the performance of FDI recipients Total factor productivity (in logs) Pre-acquisition Year Acquisition year One year later Two years later FDI recipients 0.864 1.079 1.142 1.215 Control group 0.867 0.976 1.022 1.083 0.106*** (0.034) 0.122*** (0.045) 0.135*** (0.051) Difference Foreign ownership leads to rapid changes (d) Employment (c) Output 6.00 11.40 11.20 11.00 10.80 10.60 10.40 10.20 10.00 5.80 5.60 5.40 t-1 t0 t+1 t-1 t+2 (e) Average wage 9.00 8.80 8.60 8.40 8.20 8.00 7.80 7.60 t-1 t0 t+1 t+2 t0 t+1 t+2 Foreign ownership facilitates integration into global markets (h) Export share (i) Import input share 45 35 40 30 35 30 25 25 20 20 15 15 t-1 t0 t+1 t+2 t-1 t0 t+1 t+2 Knowledge brought by MNCs spills over to local suppliers Local suppliers Higher productivity Moving up the value chain Increased complexity of products MNCs Conclusion By serving as a channel of knowledge transfer, FDI inflows can stimulate economic growth and innovation in host countries Thank you