Biodiversity indicators for national use
Transcription
Biodiversity indicators for national use
Biodiversity indicators for national use For support of policies and integrated development strategies By Tonnie Tekelenburg PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January 1 February 2013 1 Content Policies and indicators Biodiversity indicators for national use Selection for modelling and scenario analysis PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January 1 February 2013 2 What is biodiversity? 3 PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 CBD definition of biodiversity: “diversity of genes, species and ecosystems” Biodiversity conservation Wild species Sustainable use Benefit sharing Species Domesticated species Biodiversity conservation Sustainable use Benefit sharing 4 PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 Well known biodiversity indicators hot spots pressure index species trend index wilderness areas natural/nature area quality of ecosystems Global Biodiversity red list species richness agro-biodiversity (commercial species) 5 LPI PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 The DPSIR model IMPACT on human wellbeing STATE RESPONS DRIVERS ECOSYSTEM SERVICES BIODIVERSITY ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS 6 PRESSURES PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 Biodiversity is about people 7 PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 State of the art indicator framework 8 Genetic Functional Associated Pressure International market Pesticideuse Landuse intensity State Agrobiodiversity pollinators Response Poverty reduction? Farmland bird trendindex Ecological corridors (Wild species) PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 Key questions State: What is the state of biodiversity in national ecosystems? Pressures: What is the current use of potential ecosystems? What is the socio-economic context of people? Drivers: Population growth Economic growth or poverty trap, changing consumption patterns, technology change Impact: What is the impact of changing human use on biodiversity? What is the impact of infrastructure on patters of biodiversity loss? Responses: What is the effectivity of implemented policies such as protected areas? What is the level of financieal support to biodiveristy conservation? 9 PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 Species diversity 10 PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 Plant species diversity 11 PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 Species trend index (LPI) 12 PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 How to measure change? How to put nature and biodiversity in figures: Number of species? Number of threatened species? Number of extinct species? Extent of ecosystems? Extent of species rich ecosystems? The number of individuals of certain (Key) species? Biodiversity loss is not only the extinction of species! Extinction is just a last step in a long degradation process 13 PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 Characteristics of good indicators 14 Policy (goal) oriented Measurable and affordable Scientific sound Easy to communicate Describe process of homogenisation Can be related to human impacts Scale independent Use of models as data are not always available (see next slide) PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 Grupo Aspecto Criterio ¿Contribució n de las AP? Área del ecosistema natural X X Índice de diversidad de ecosistemas X X Índice de diversidad de especies X Número de especies amenazadas X Área de tipos de uso en un ecosistema X Estadística Indicator framework (example) Ecosistemas Ambiental Especies Estado Servicios Aporte ecosistémico Social Condición población Extracción Actividades productivas Presión National Producción statistics Social Dinámica poblacional Nacional Estatal Seccional Gestión AP Respuesta Inversión conservación Sociedad 15 Presupuesto hídrico anual Estructura de la tenencia de la tierra Incidencia de la pobreza de la población Extensión de concesiones madereras Tasa de deforestación Indicators ¿Estado de los ecosistemas ? X X X X X X X Producción camaronera anual Accesibilidad potencial Densidad media de la población Tasa de crecimiento de la población X Presupuesto ambiental nacional X Presupuesto del Ministerio del Ambiente X Planes ambientales seccionales X Presupuesto seccional ambiental Extensión de áreas protegidas X Inversión en áreas protegidas X Inversión internacional en conservación Inversión nacional en conservación X X X Investigación Publicaciones científicas Inversión tecnológica and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi Inversión PBL en tecnología limpia Org. ambientales Número de organismos ambientales 28 January - 1 February 2013 Analysis with data gaps Marine Ecosystems by RIVM and WCMC Great five of Africa by external specialist groups Europa study by WCMC and RIVM SAfMA casestudy Southern Africa and RIVM Generic model on pressure index and country species occurrence datasets by RIVM, GRID and WCMC Representative species for global biodiversity 16 PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 Analysis with a short time frame 17 PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 Analysis with a longer time frame 18 PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 Indicator: why is baseline important? 19 PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 List of biodiversity indicators and its complementary value 20 1 Indicator Absolute species richness 2 Shannon-Wiener (Weaver) index Complementary value relative contribution to global biodiversity --- 3 4 Species richness (relative) Number endemic species --Uniqueness of species (and habitats) 5 Red list species threatened with extinction or extirpation Urgency for protection measures 6 Species(group) trend index high affected species groups (migratory birds) 7 Area of ecosystems Land use change 8 Quality of ecosystems Average impact 9 Rareness or scarceness of species in ecosystems ------- 10 Local pressure index 11 Global and regional pressure index sustainable resource use nature conservation strategies Response options 12 Wilderness area Conservation priority 13 Hot spot areas 14 Vulnerability of ecosystems Sustainable development Mean Species Abundance Average trend species diversity PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi Naturalness 28 January - 1 February 2013 Drivers = underlying causes 21 Demographic change Economic growth Poverty and inequality National public policies and markets Ineffective government and non cohesive society Macro-economic policies and structures Social change and development biases Patterns of consumption Climate change PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 Pressures = unconscious and conscious cumulative effects of human activity 22 Habitat conversion Unsustainable use and management Domestication Introduction of invasive exotic species Selective harvesting: trade of species, hunting and fishery Pollution of air, soil, and water Natural events Fire and erosion Disturbance by light and noise Fragmentation Removal vegetation cover Thinning, hunting, gathering or fishing of populations of species Exposure to toxic elements from the environment PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 Environmental conditions 23 Change vegetation cover Climatic conditions temperature and precipitation Adequate soils Changes in fertility of soils: Nitrate availability Acidity (PH) in soils Changes in structure of soils PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 Area 1 country or ecosystem size Red list of Threatened species 3 Endemic species 4 Invasive species 7 + Species Richness: Known plant and animal species 2 5 Abundance 6 distribution trend per species 8 9 Local and regional pressures Ecosystem size Hot spot 24 12 Wilderness area 13 10 + LPI (Species trend index) Ecosystem quality Mean Species Abundance 11 14 PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 Potential ecosystems 25 Siglas Ecosistema Km2 bha Bosque húmedo amazónico 74919,87 30,12 bhai Bosque húmedo amazónico inundable 11913,33 4,79 bhc Bosque húmedo de la costa 47405,15 19,06 bhmoc Bosque húmedo montano occidental 21201,09 8,52 bhmor Bosque húmedo montano oriental 31827,93 12,79 bsmor Bosque seco montano oriental 368,97 0,15 bsoc Bosque seco occidental 33863,97 13,61 h Humedal 448,03 0,18 m Manglar 2819,91 1,13 n Nieve 212,05 0,09 ph Páramo húmedo 13680,72 5,50 ps Páramo seco 1804,4 0,73 vhi Vegetación húmeda interandina 5943,22 2,39 vsi Vegetación seca interandina 2369,56 0,95 PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 % Nac Remnants of natural ecosystems 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 29 bha bhai bhc bhmoc bhmor bsmor bsoc h m n ph ps vhi vsi 56 Natural 26 Mosaico Intervenido PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 16 Distribution of nature, mosaics and intervention areas 29 56 16 27 PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 Average naturalness/intactness of ecosystems (MSA) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 bha 28 bhai bhc bhmoc bhmor bsmor bsoc h m n ph ps vhi vsi NAC PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 Comparison between ecosystems High versus low integrity/intactness 77,05 7,35 2,83 Humid tropical forest = 87,23 MSA Scrubland ecosystem = 28,20 MSA 5,1 7,14 15,96 29 PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 Share of ecosystem in and outside the national protected area system 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% bha bhai bhc bhmoc bhmor bsmor bsoc h Dentro SNAP 30 m n ph ps vhi vsi NAC Fuera SNAP PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 Average ecosystem quality/ ecosystem integrity (MSA) of protected areas 31 Área protegida Biovalor Refugio de Vida Silvestre Islas Corazón y Fragatas 0,05 Ecosistema de Manglar del Esturio del Río Muisne 0,28 Refugio de Vida Silvestre Isla Sta.Clara 0,40 Reserva de Producción Faunística Chimborazo 0,76 Reserva Ecológica Mache Chindul 0,76 Reserva Ecológica Los ILinizas 0,77 Reserva Ecológica Manglares Churute 0,84 Parque Nacional Cotopaxi 0,87 Reserva Ecológica Manglares Cayapas Mataje 0,87 Parque Nacional Machalilla 0,90 Parque Nacional Sangay 0,91 Reserva Ecológica Cayambe Coca 0,93 Parque Nacional LLanganates 0,97 Reserva de Vida Silvestre Pasochoa 0,98 Reserva de Producción Faunística Cuyabeno 0,98 Reserva Ecológica Cotacachi Cayapas 0,99 Parque Nacional Yasuní 0,99 Parque Nacional Cajas 0,99 Reserva Ecológica Cofán Bermejo 1,00 PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January 1 February 2013 Parque -Nacional Podocarpus 1,00 Ecosystem integrity (MSA) in protected areas 32 PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 A minimum set of biodiversity indicators Human pressures on biodiversity: land use change etc. State: change of area size of natural (and agricultural) ecosystems State: changes of mean species abundance (MSA) ecosystem intactness Change of species trends (STI or LPI) State: changes of the red list species (RLI) Response: goal realisation indicator(s) related to evaluation of the impact of specific policy measures (size of protected area for example) 33 PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013 Conclusions Start from policy-oriented key questions and existing statistics Find historical data and future projections Use proxy indicators Integrate local indicators with national frameworks for modelling and analysis 34 PBL and SCBD workshop: regional scenario analysis. Nairobi 28 January - 1 February 2013