Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates
Transcription
Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates
Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates Ninth report June 2015 British Medical Association bma.org.uk 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 1 11/06/2015 11:46 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 2 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report 1 Contents List of figures................................................................................................................................................................. 2 Summary......................................................................................................................................................................... 4 1 Introduction............................................................................................................................................ 6 2 Methodology........................................................................................................................................... 7 3 Respondent profile............................................................................................................................... 8 4 Career movements.............................................................................................................................. 9 Career movements of cohort doctors......................................................................................... 9 5 Attitudes to work................................................................................................................................ Desire to practise medicine.......................................................................................................... Workplace motivations and morale........................................................................................... Work related stress............................................................................................................................ Working environment...................................................................................................................... Workplace culture.............................................................................................................................. Changes to work over time............................................................................................................ Awareness of issues facing the medical profession........................................................... Role-related responsibilities......................................................................................................... 6 Working as a Specialist Trainee – Professional development/education................ 23 Working environment...................................................................................................................... 23 Undertaking specialty training.................................................................................................... 26 The impact of working on a rota.................................................................................................. 28 Overall experience of specialty training.................................................................................. 29 7 Working as a General Practitioner.............................................................................................. 30 Current post......................................................................................................................................... 30 Portfolio careers................................................................................................................................. 31 The pressure of working as a GP.................................................................................................. 32 The general practice workforce.................................................................................................. 33 Work-life balance working as a GP.............................................................................................. 33 12 12 14 16 17 18 19 21 21 8 Career expectations.......................................................................................................................... 35 Specialty choice................................................................................................................................. 35 Career change..................................................................................................................................... 35 Career goals.......................................................................................................................................... 37 Career advice and support............................................................................................................. 38 Job security........................................................................................................................................... 39 Intentions to practise medicine outside the UK.................................................................. 39 Intentions to work part-time......................................................................................................... 40 References................................................................................................................................................................... 42 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 1 11/06/2015 11:46 2 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report List of tables Table 1 Table 2 Table 3 Table 4 Table 5 Table 6 Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Characteristics of respondents............................................................................................... 8 Marital status of respondents.................................................................................................. 8 Tenancy status of respondents............................................................................................... 8 Career movements during the last year.............................................................................. 9 What was your specialty as of August 2013?.................................................................. 10 Current hospital specialty....................................................................................................... 10 What was your grade as of August 2013?......................................................................... 11 Desire to practise medicine during academic year 2013/14.................................. 12 Please rank your top three sources of stress within your workplace.................. 16 Why has your experience of specialty training so far not allowed you to develop your career to the best of your ability?...................................................... 29 Table 11 Reasons for change in career intentions during the last year................................ 36 Table 12Preferred career option of cohort doctors who had changed their career intention during the last year (by current specialty August 2013-2014)........... 37 Table 13 Career goals 2013/14............................................................................................................... 37 Table 14 Which of the following is your ultimate career goal by which of the following best describes your main current role (only cohort doctors currently working as a GP)...................................................................................................... 38 Table 15 Intention to practise medicine outside the UK, either temporarily or permanently in the future...................................................................................................... 39 List of figures Figure 1 Figure 2 Figure 3 Figure 4 Figure 5 Figure 6 Figure 7 Figure 8 Figure 9 Figure 10 Figure 11 Figure 12 Figure 13 Figure 14 Figure 15 Figure 16 Figure 17 Figure 18 Figure 19 Figure 20 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 2 Desire to practise medicine since 2006........................................................................... 13 Desire to practise medicine by gender eight years after graduation (%).......... 13 Please indicate to what extent you agree or disagree with the following statements................................................................................................................ 14 How would you say the following factors affect your morale as a doctor?....... 14 How would you generally describe your level of morale?........................................ 15 Level of morale by desire to practise medicine............................................................ 15 Please rank your top three sources of stress within your workplace.................. 16 How would you generally describe your level of work-related stress?............... 17 Please indicate to what extent you agree or disagree with the following statements relating to your working atmosphere...................................................... 17 Generally the atmosphere in my workplace is positive............................................. 18 Please indicate to what extent you agree or disagree with the following statements relating to the culture of your place of work......................................... 18 Compared to the last annual BMA cohort survey, how would you describe the change in your:.................................................................................................................... 19 Compared to one year ago, please indicate if you are now more or less likely to work anti-social hours?........................................................................................... 19 Compared to one year ago, please indicate if you are now more or less likely to work above your contracted hours................................................................... 20 Compared to one year ago, please indicate if you are now more or less likely to be:..................................................................................................................................... 20 In general, would you agree that:........................................................................................ 21 Would you consider taking on a managerial role in the future?............................ 21 Have you undertaken any formal management training?....................................... 22 Per cent of cohort doctors who reported they were asked to undertake tasks they felt were beyond their capability since graduation.............................. 23 Experience in relation to team and overall working environment during specialty training 2013/14, compared to 2012/13 and 2011/12......................... 24 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association Figure 21 Figure 22 Figure 23 Figure 24 Figure 25 Figure 26 Figure 27 Figure 28 Figure 29 Figure 30 Figure 31 Figure 32 Figure 33 Figure 34 Figure 35 Figure 36 Figure 37 Figure 38 Figure 39 Figure 40 Figure 41 Figure 42 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 3 Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report 3 How would you describe NHS culture during your last year (2013/14 compared to 2012/13)?...................................................................................... 25 How would you rate the following educational aspects of your specialty training programme?................................................................................................................ 25 Which of the following most negatively affects your work-life balance as a doctor?................................................................................................................................... 26 How would you generally rate your work-life balance?............................................. 27 Rank the top three factors you attribute this pressure to........................................ 27 If yes, how frequently have there been gaps on your rota over the last year? ........................................................................................................................................ 28 What were the impacts of these rota gaps?.................................................................... 28 Has your experience of specialty training so far allowed you to develop your career to the best of your ability? (by specialty)................................................. 29 Which of the following best describes your main current post? (2011/12 to 2013/14)............................................................................................................... 30 If you are currently working as a salaried or freelance GP, what is the main reason for this?................................................................................................................. 31 Are you currently working as a portfolio GP?................................................................. 31 How would you describe the general level of pressure that you felt during your working days during the last year?............................................................ 32 Please rank the top three factors you attribute this pressure to.......................... 32 Please indicate to what extent you agree or disagree with the following statements on the general practice workforce in your geographical area of work................................................................................................................................... 33 Which of the following most negatively affects your work-life balance as a GP?........................................................................................................................................... 33 How would you generally describe your level of work-life balance as a GP?.... 34 To what extent are you happy with your choice of specialty? (by specialty category)............................................................................................................. 35 Have your experiences during the last year changed career intentions? (by specialty category)............................................................................................................. 36 Career goals by gender 2013/14 (%)................................................................................. 38 To what extent do you envisage getting a job in your chosen specialty once you have completed your training? (Excludes qualified GPs)..................... 39 Are you working/training part-time? (by gender)........................................................ 40 Are you working/training part time? (by specialty)..................................................... 41 11/06/2015 11:46 4 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report Summary General trends –– T he BMA cohort study of 2006 medical graduates is a 10 year longitudinal study of the career paths of 431 doctors. This is the ninth annual cohort report and it provides information on the work and experiences of cohort doctors who, eight years postgraduation, are mostly progressing through specialty training or are working as qualified GPs. This report also provides insights into career choice and working environments. –– T he vast majority of cohort doctors have worked in the UK within the previous year; the number of cohort doctors who have worked overseas increased slightly compared to the previous year. As per the results of the previous annual cohort survey, three in 10 intend to work overseas temporarily and one in 10 say they plan to work overseas permanently in the future. Cohort doctors were most likely to say they plan to work overseas temporarily or permanently post CCT (certificate of completion of training). –– O ne-half of cohort doctors continue to remain training or working in a hospital speciality and half of all cohort doctors aspire to work as a consultant. –– E ight years post-graduation three-quarters of cohort doctors are happy with their choice of specialty. This was most likely to be the case for cohort doctors who were undertaking research or academic medicine. For the one-fifth of cohort doctors who said that their experience during the last year had changed their career intentions, the main reasons were work conditions, domestic circumstances and hours of work. –– T here has been an increase in part-time working in the past year. Although this increase is apparent for both male and female cohort doctors, part-time working continues to be more common for female cohort doctors. Attitudes to work –– C ohort doctors continue to describe their level of workplace morale as moderate. Positive interactions with patients have the biggest positive influence on workplace morale whilst press coverage has the biggest negative effect on morale. –– T hree-quarters of cohort doctors said they regularly work additional, often unpaid hours, to deliver the quality of care that patients deserve. –– A s per previous the results of the previous annual cohort survey, the biggest barrier to having a good work-life balance was cohort doctors’ willingness to work additional, often unpaid, hours. Cohort doctors training or working in emergency medicine, higher surgical training and obstetrics and gynaecology reported having the worst work-life balance. –– T he biggest cause of work-related stress identified by cohort doctors were work-life balance responsibilities, a shortage of doctors and high levels of paperwork. –– T he vast majority of cohort doctors felt they had an open and honest working culture; however, one in ten felt this was not the case. –– J ob security has continued to improve. 48% of cohort doctors who have not yet qualified, now feel they will get a job once they have finished their training, compared to 45% in 2012/13 and 42% in 2011/12. 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 4 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report 5 Cohort doctors who were undertaking specialty training –– 6 0% of cohort doctors who were working on a rota indicated there are or have been long-term gaps on their rota. Alarmingly, more than one-half of cohort doctors who worked on a rota said that they regularly had staff shortages as a result of rota gaps. –– T he amount of variety cohort doctors’ who are undertaking specialty training experience in their jobs, and the complexity of work, are two of the most positive aspects of their team and working environments. However, there was a slight deterioration in working atmospheres over the past year. –– T he majority of specialty trainees (58%) felt that their specialty training programme had allowed them to develop their career to the best of their ability. However, one-fifth felt this was not the case. For those who felt that specialty training limited their career progression, the reasons were primarily having to provide too much service provision and insufficient exposure to training opportunities. –– T here has been a shift in general practice specialty trainee’s opinions about specialty training during the last year. In 2012/13, 75% of cohort doctors who were undertaking specialty training felt that their specialty training programme had so far allowed them to develop their career to the best of their ability, falling to 56% in 2013/14. Cohort doctors working in general practice –– T hose cohort doctors who aspire to work in, and who are working in, general practice are more likely to be female. Cohort doctors are most likely to now work as a partner GP (48%); however, this is much more likely to be the case for male (73%) than female (32%) cohort doctors. There has been a slight decline in the number of cohort doctors who are working as and who aspire to work as a salaried GP (from 47% in 2011/12 to 44% in 2013/14). There has been an even more dramatic reduction in the proportion of cohort doctors who worked as a freelance GP (from 27% in 2011 to 13% in 2013/14). No male cohort doctors reported working as a GP locum whereas one in 10 (11%) of female cohort doctors work as a GP locum. –– C ohort doctors have reported an increasing shortage of GPs. 80% (compared to 46% in 2012/13) of cohort doctors said there is already a shortage of GPs in their area. –– T hose cohort doctors who are working as a newly qualified GP have reported a fall in morale since the previous annual survey. This group of doctors are also the most likely to say that their working atmosphere is generally negative. –– C ohort doctors who work as a GP have reported an increase in the frequency where they are required to work above their contracted hours. Cohort doctors who work as a GP were also most likely to report an increase in their work-related stress levels in the past year and reported the lowest level of morale of all cohort doctors. –– I n contrast to the previous annual cohort survey where cohort doctors who were working as a GP principal were much more likely to indicate they had a poor work-life balance (47%), the results of this survey suggest that cohort doctors who work as a salaried GP were more likely to report a poor or very poor work-life balance (40%). –– C ohort doctors who work in general practice were most likely to indicate they are currently (50%), or want to (17%) work part-time in the future. 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 5 11/06/2015 11:46 6 British Medical Association 1 Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report Introduction The current BMA cohort study is a 10 year longitudinal study of 431 doctors who graduated from UK medical schools in 2006. The study aims to provide information on the careers of doctors, and particularly to: –– identify doctors who leave medicine as a career, or who choose to work in another country and to assess the factors which influence it; –– identify patterns of workforce participation and specialty choice of doctors who remain in the UK, and the factors which influence them; –– investigate career progression, especially those factors which influence variation between doctors The cohort study provides essential information on the careers, experiences, views and aspirations of the new generation of doctors and is of interest to those involved in medical workforce planning and policy development, and others interested in medical careers. Eight years post-graduation the cohort doctors are at varying points of their careers; some are working as qualified GPs, some are up to six years into specialty training, a few are working in non-training posts and some cohort doctors are taking a break from practising medicine in the UK for various reasons. The current survey was designed to gain some understanding of the impact of these different career stages on cohort doctors’ attitudes to work whilst also assessing the impact of working within the NHS. This years’ survey not only continues to monitor the cohort doctors’ career paths and future career intentions, but also continues to include questions monitoring cohort doctors’ workplace morale, work-related stress and work-life balance. 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 6 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report 7 2Methodology The study began in May 2006 when an invitation to participate was mailed to final year medical students in the UK. A response indicating a willingness to participate was received from 557 and these formed the cohort sample. The first questionnaire was mailed in October 2006. The mailing received a response rate of 87 %, giving a cohort size of 435; however, since 2006, five cohort members have requested to opt out of the study, leaving 430 cohort members. The collection of data is conducted primarily through an electronic questionnaire sent to the cohort participants every summer. This process is designed to be both continuous and longitudinal. Information is collected on the preceding 12 month period and linked from year to year using a numerical identifier. This design allows for the career paths of the respondents to be tracked over time. The annual questionnaire is combined with focus groups, which are conducted with a random sub-sample of the cohort each year. These allow for questions to be examined in greater depth and also serve as a measure of reliability and validity. They also play a role in determining the direction of future research. Although every effort is made to contact each cohort member, it is inevitable that some respondents are either untraceable or do not return their questionnaire. This year there were 55 non-respondents.* Those cohort members who have not responded will continue to be tracked and their responses entered into the database. Care is taken to ensure confidentiality at all times. A full account of the project’s methodology is given in the first report.1 Attention has only been drawn to subgroups within the analysis where there is a base containing more than 20 respondents. * 7 surveys were received after this year’s survey was closed. 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 7 11/06/2015 11:46 8 British Medical Association 3 Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report Respondent profile The most recent questionnaire was emailed to cohort doctors in September 2014, paper surveys were sent if requested. The response rate for the eighth cohort report was 85% (368 of 430). Female cohort doctor respondents are continually over represented; therefore, the data is weighted to account for a response bias. When weighted, 43% of cohort doctors are males and 57% females.† Cohort doctors of white ethnic origin are over represented within this sample.‡,2 Table 1 – Characteristics of respondents Ethnic origin Male Female Total % White 146 202 348 85.1 Black African 0 2 2 0.5 Indian 14 6 20 4.9 Iranian 0 3 3 0.7 Pakistani 4 2 6 1.5 Chinese 5 5 10 2.4 Other 5 15 20 4.9 Total 174 235 409 100.0 The age of cohort doctors ranged from 30 to 54 with an average age of 33. The majority of doctors are married (67%). There has been a marked rise in the number of cohort doctors who have children in the past year (46%; 200 of 430 compared to 31% in 2012/13). Most cohort doctors are either homeowners (77%) or tenants (12%) (tables 2 and 3). Table 2 – Marital status of respondents Marital status Male Female Total % Single 48 39 87 20.3 Married 114 173 287 66.9 Living with partner 18 30 48 11.2 Divorced/separated 5 2 7 1.6 Total 185 244 429 100.0 Table 3 – Tenancy status of respondents Tenancy status Frequency % Tenant 53 12.4 Homeowner 328 76.6 Tenant & homeowner 39 9.1 Living with parents 7 1.6 Other 1 0.2 Total 431 100.0 † To ensure that the cohort is representative of the final year 2006 UK medical graduate population, as a whole, the data are weighted to account for a response bias in the original cohort according to gender. The data are reported here as weighted. ‡ 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 8 When compared to the results of the 2014 GMC National Training Survey 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association 4 Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report 9 Career movements Career movements of cohort doctors The number of cohort doctors who worked as a doctor in the UK at some point during the previous year has remained consistent year on year (91%; 390 of 430 in August 2013 to August 2014). There has been a slight rise in the number of cohort doctors who worked overseas (plus eight cohort doctors) and the number of cohort doctors who took a break from medicine (plus three cohort doctors) in the past year. The number of cohort doctors who have left medicine (not necessarily in the past year) is unchanged at four out of 430 cohort doctors (table 4). Table 4 – Career movements during the last year (multiple response) Career movements (n=431) Continued to work as a doctor within the UK Worked overseas (either as a doctor or other occupation) Taken a break from working for other reasons Travelled overseas (other than for annual leave) Left medicine as a career Continued to work as a doctor within the UK 343 6 39 2 0 Worked overseas (either as a doctor or other occupation) 6 27 0 1 0 Taken a break from working for other reasons 39 0 9 0 0 Travelled overseas (other than for annual leave) 2 1 0 0 0 Left medicine as a career 0 0 0 0 4 Total 390 34 48 3 4 ‘Total’ does not equal the number of career movements indicated in the column. 383 cohort doctors indicated that they had undertaken one career route during the last year and 48 cohort doctors had undertaken two of these in the last year. Table five illustrates that of those cohort doctors who continued to work as a doctor within the UK in the past year, cohort doctors were most likely to be working in hospital practice (50%) and general practice (36%) as in previous years. However, there has been a slight fall in the number of cohort doctors working in hospital practice (minus 33 cohort doctors). Conversely, the biggest rise in other areas of medicine was found in research or academic medicine (plus 14 cohort doctors compared to 2012/13) with slight increases in public health (plus three cohort doctors), community health (plus two cohort doctors) and other specialties (plus five cohort doctors). As per the results of previous annual surveys, male cohort doctors are more likely to work in hospital practice (54%) than female cohort doctors (47%). Similarly, female cohort doctors are still more likely to work in general practice (45% of female cohort doctors work in general practice compared to 24% of male cohort doctors). The percentage of female cohort doctors who work in general practice has remained the same compared to the previous year (45% in 2013/14 and 2012/13). There has been a slight reduction in the number of female (minus 14) and male (minus 11) cohort doctors who are working in hospital practice in the past year. Female cohort doctors were more likely to have changed to smaller specialties such as public health, community health and ‘other’ specialties whereas male cohort doctors were more likely to change specialty to research or academic medicine (plus 17 cohort doctors). 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 9 11/06/2015 11:46 10 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report Table 5 – What was your specialty as of August 2013? Male Female Frequency % Hospital practice 91 103 194 50.1 General practice 41 98 139 35.9 Public health medicine 3 3 6 1.6 Research or academic medicine 27 8 35 9.0 Community health 0 2 2 0.6 Other 7 2 9 2.3 Total 170 217 387 100.0 Those cohort doctors who were working in hospital specialties were most likely to be undertaking higher medical specialty training (22%); most commonly geriatrics (eight of 43) and respiratory medicine (five of 43). This was followed by anaesthetics (17%) and higher surgical training (14%); of which, the most common sub-specialty was general surgery (eight of 28) (table 6). Table 6 – Current hospital specialty 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 10 Frequency % Acute Care Common Stem 1 0.7 Anaesthetics 34 17.2 Clinical radiology 13 6.4 Core training 2 1.1 Emergency medicine 19 9.6 Higher medical specialty training 43 22.0 Obstetrics and gynaecology 11 5.5 Ophthalmology 2 1.2 Paediatrics and child health 17 8.8 Pathology 1 0.5 Psychiatry 10 5.4 Higher surgical specialty training 28 14.4 Other 14 7.1 Total 195 100.0 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report 11 30% of cohort doctors are now working as qualified GPs and a further 7% of cohort doctors are undertaking GP specialty training (29 of 390). As per previous years, female cohort doctors were slightly more likely to have qualified as a GP whereas male cohort doctors were more likely to be in specialty training. Male cohort doctors are also slightly more likely to be working in a research/academic post than female cohort doctors (7% compared to 4% respectively) (table 7). Table 7 – What was your grade as of August 2013? 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 11 Male Female Total Frequency % Qualified GP 41 72 113 29.4 ST6 34 25 59 15.3 ST5 33 28 61 15.8 ST4 23 26 49 12.7 ST3/CT3 (including ACFs and GPs) 8 33 41 10.6 ST2/CT2 (including ACFs and GPs) 5 5 10 2.6 ST1/CT1 (including ACFs and GPs) 3 7 10 2.6 Locum post 1 2 3 0.8 Trust grade/specialty doctor 5 5 10 2.6 Non-standard research/academic post 12 9 21 5.5 LAT/LAS 0 2 2 0.5 Armed forces post 3 0 3 0.8 Other 1 2 3 0.8 Total 169 216 385 100.0 11/06/2015 11:46 12 British Medical Association 5 Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report Attitudes to work The NHS has recently been going through a period of significant change and challenges ranging from the extensive reorganisation of the structure of the National Health Service in England as legislated by the Health and Social Care Act in 2012,3 austerity measures4 and widely publicised criticism of NHS culture.5 In response to the aforementioned uncertainties facing the medical workforce, and in-line with 2011/12 and 2012/13 cohort surveys, the 2013/14 questionnaire included questions on workplace motivations and morale and workplace well-being as well as the long-term cohort measure; the desire to practise medicine. Where possible, comparisons have been made based on the results of previous cohort surveys. Desire to practise medicine Postgraduate medical training and the early post qualification years can be stressful and pressurised for doctors. An integral part of this study is to track the motivation of doctors to practise medicine during the early years of their careers. Cohort doctors who had worked in the UK in the previous year were asked to rate their desire to practise medicine. Currently the majority of cohort doctors (78%) have a strong or very strong desire to practise medicine, encouragingly no cohort doctors regret becoming a doctor. Figure 1 shows the pattern of cohort doctors’ desire to practise medicine since graduation (table 8). The proportion of cohort doctors who have a very strong or strong desire to practise medicine is at a similar level to last year (81%); however, the desire to practise medicine continues to fall slightly year on year, from its highest peak at graduation. Male cohort doctors continue to be more positive about practising medicine than female doctors (figure 2). Table 8 – Desire to practise medicine during academic year 2013/14 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 12 Frequency % Very strong desire to practise medicine 89 22.7 Strong desire to practise medicine 217 55.5 Lukewarm desire to practise medicine 67 17.1 Weak desire to practise medicine 9 2.4 Regret becoming a doctor 9 2.2 Total 391 100.0 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report 13 Figure 1 – Desire to practise medicine since 2006 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Regret becoming a doctor Weak desire to practise medicine At graduation Three years post-grad Six years post-grad Lukewarm desire to practise medicine Strong desire to practise medicine One year post-grad Four years post-grad Seven years post-grad Very strong desire to practise medicine Two years post-grad Five years post-grad Eight years post-grad Figure 2 – Desire to practise medicine by gender eight years after graduation (%) 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Very strong desire to Strong desire practise medicine to practise medicine Lukewarm desire to practise medicine Male 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 13 Weak desire to practise medicine Regret becoming a doctor Female 11/06/2015 11:46 14 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report Workplace motivations and morale Cohort doctors were asked to indicate the extent that they agreed with a number of statements relating to their working lives. Figure 3 illustrates the responses of all cohort doctors who had worked within the UK within the previous 12 months. Cohort doctors were most likely to indicate that they strongly agreed or agreed with the statement that they have to work extra hours to deliver the quality of care that patients deserve (72%). Nonetheless, 67% of cohort doctors said that they look forward to going to work. Cohort doctors were most likely to disagree with the statement that their workload has a negative impact on the quality of care that patients deserve (22%) (figure 3). Figure 3 – Please indicate to what extent you agree or disagree with the following statements I feel I have to work extra hours to deliver the quality of care that patients deserve My job duties seem to never end I feel listened to in my place of work I look forward to going to work My workload has a negative impact on the quality of care that patients deserve 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Strongly agree Agree Neither agree or disagree Disagree Strongly disagree Cohort doctors were provided with a list of potential factors that could affect their morale as a doctor and were asked to indicate how, if at all, these factors affected their morale. As per previous findings, the vast majority indicated interactions with patients very positively or positively affected their morale as a doctor (88%). However, the majority of cohort doctors felt that press coverage about doctors had a negative effect on their morale (77%) (figure 4). Figure 4 – How would you say the following factors affect your morale as a doctor? Interactions with patients bolster my morale Press coverage about doctors has a negative effect on my morale My remuneration or pay has a positive impact on my morale My terms and conditions of service (eg sick pay or study leave) negatively effects my morale Public opinion about doctors has a positive effect on my morale 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Strongly agree 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 14 Agree Neither agree or disagree Disagree Strongly disagree 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report 15 As per previous annual cohort surveys, approximately one-half of cohort doctors rated their level of morale as moderate (52%). Whilst speciality trainees’ reported levels of morale remain constant compared to previous years (32% indicated they had high or very high morale in 2013/14 compared to 35% in 2012/13), cohort doctors’ who were working as a qualified GP indicated deteriorating levels of morale. 30% of cohort doctors who work as GPs stated they had low or very low levels of morale compared to 20% in 2012/13 (figure 5). Figure 5 – How would you generally describe your level of morale? Total Non-standard research or academic post Specialty trainee Qualified GP 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Very low Low Moderate High Very high As per previous findings, cohort doctors who reported higher levels of morale also reported a higher desire to practise medicine (figure 6). Figure 6 – Level of morale by desire to practise medicine 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Very low Low Moderate High Very strong desire to practise medicine Strong desire to practise medicine Lukewarm desire to practise medicine Weak desire to practise medicine Very high Regret becoming a doctor 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 15 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association 16 Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report Work related stress Cohort doctors were asked to rank the top five sources of stress within their workplace from a pre-determined list as illustrated in figure 7 (1 = the most influential factor). As in 2011/12 and 2012/13, cohort doctors indicated that work-life balance or family responsibilities were the biggest source of stress within their workplace. Once again, high levels of paperwork and shortage of doctors in the workplace remain within the top three sources of stress for cohort doctors (table 9). Table 9 – Please rank your top three sources of stress within your workplace (with 1 being the most influential factor) (top three sources of stress only) Rank Source of stress Frequency 1 2 3 1 Work-life balance or family responsibilities 73 43 51 2 A shortage of doctors 57 33 23 3 High levels of paperwork 42 34 32 Figure 7 – Please rank your top three sources of stress within your workplace (with 1 being the most influential factor) Work-life balance or family responsibilities Shortage of doctors High levels of paperwork Being able to do my job to the best of my ability Change attributable to Government policies Clinical rationing or cuts Decisions made by management (not applicable to GP contractors) Uncertainty about my future remuneration or pay Shortage of other health professionals Negative press coverage about the medical profession Threats to my terms and conditions (eg sick leave, study leave) Perceived poor clinical leadership 0 1 20 2 40 3 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Accumulative frequency Figure 8 illustrates that in general, cohort doctors reported moderate levels of work-related stress. Cohort doctors working as qualified GPs reported the highest levels of stress. However, there has been a slight fall in the numbers of qualified GPs who are saying they have high or very high levels of stress year on year (47% in 2013/14 compared to 53% in 2012/11). Cohort doctors who work in a non-standard research or academic role reported the lowest levels of work-related stress; 23% of this group reported low work-related stress levels. 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 16 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report 17 Figure 8 – How would you generally describe your level of work-related stress? Total Non-standard research or academic post Specialty trainee Qualified GP 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Very low Low Moderate High Very high Working environment Cohort doctors were asked to indicate the extent that they agreed to a series of statements relating to their working atmosphere. In-line with the results of the eighth annual cohort survey, cohort doctors were most likely to agree with the statement that their working relationships with their supervisors are positive§ (85%) (figure 9). Figure 9 – Please indicate to what extent you agree or disagree with the following statements relating to your working atmosphere My working relationships with my supervisors are positive I feel a strong sense of team in my workplace My working arrangements are sufficiently flexible for my needs Positive change is happening in my workplace I do not detect feelings of negativity in my workplace 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Strongly agree Agree Neither agree or disagree Disagree Strongly disagree While the majority of cohort doctors felt that in general, their workplace is positive, 18% of cohort doctors described the atmosphere in their workplace as generally negative. Those cohort doctors who worked in general practice were more likely to be negative about the atmosphere in their workplace (24%) and cohort doctors working in an academic medicine post were more likely to indicate their working atmosphere is positive (61%) (figure 10). § 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 17 Only applicable to those cohort doctors still in training 11/06/2015 11:46 18 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report Figure 10 – Generally the atmosphere in my workplace is positive Disagree 15% Strongly disagree 3% Strongly agree 8% Neither agree or disagree 25% Agree 49% Workplace culture The cohort doctors were asked to what extent they agreed with three statements relating to the culture of their workplace. Cohort doctors were most likely to indicate that they agreed with the statement that there is an open and honest culture in their working environment (74%) but were least likely to feel that any concerns raised in their workplace are listened to and action taken (12%) (figure 11). Further analysis of note by grade reveals that cohort doctors working as qualified GPs continue to be much more likely to indicate that there are effective methods of raising concerns in their place of work (81%). Figure 11 – Please indicate to what extent you agree or disagree with the following statements relating to the culture of your place of work There is an open and honest culture in my working environment There are effective methods of raising concerns in my place of work Any concerns raised in my place of work are listened to and action is taken 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Strongly agree 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 18 Agree Neither agree or disagree Disagree Strongly disagree 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report 19 Changes to work over time Cohort doctors were asked to retrospectively reflect on how various aspects of their working lives had changed over the past twelve months. Overall, cohort doctors were most likely to indicate that their stress levels are now worse or much worse compared to a year ago (49%). This was much more likely to be the case for cohort doctors who were working as a qualified GP (62%). Views about work-life balance were much more varied however; with 42% of cohort doctors saying that their work-life balance is now worse or much worse and 28% saying that their work-life balance has actually improved in the last year. This trend was apparent across the different roles (figure 12). Figure 12 – Compared to the last annual BMA cohort survey, how would you describe the change in your: Working environment or culture of workplace Desire to practise medicine Morale Work-life balance Stress levels 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Much worse Worse No change Better Much better Cohort doctors were also asked to indicate how the number of anti-social hours and the number of hours they now work above their contract, have changed. Figure 13 shows that specialty trainees were most likely to report an increase in the number of anti-social hours they work now, compared to a year ago. Conversely figure 14 suggests that GPs are most likely to have experienced an increase in the number of hours they work above their contracted hours compared to a year ago. Figure 13 – Compared to one year ago, please indicate if you are now more or less likely to work anti-social hours Total Non-standard research or academic post Specialty trainee Qualified GP 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Much more likely 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 19 More likely No change Unlikely Very unlikely 11/06/2015 11:46 20 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report Figure 14 – Compared to one year ago, please indicate if you are now more or less likely to work above your contracted hours Total Non-standard research or academic post Specialty trainee Qualified GP 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Much more likely More likely No change Unlikely Very unlikely When asked about their future career choices, cohort doctors were generally much more unlikely now to be reconsidering changing their future career path, compared to a year ago. 67% of cohort doctors said that compared to one year ago, they are now less likely to consider changing specialty and 51% said they are now less likely to consider leaving medicine completely. However, 31% of cohort doctors are now more likely to be considering working overseas in the future and 28% are now more likely to be reconsidering their career goals (figure 15). When considering the responses to this question by gender, male cohort doctors were more likely or much more likely to say they are now planning to work overseas temporarily (37%) or permanently (22%) or at some point in the future (38%) when compared to a year ago, than female cohort doctors (18%, 10% and 25% respectively). Male cohort doctors were also more or much more likely to be considering leaving the NHS compared to a year ago (31%) than female cohort doctors (21%). However, there were very few gender differences of note where it came to the likelihood of now reconsidering career goals, changing specialty or leaving medicine completely. Figure 15 – Compared to one year ago, please indicate if you are now more or less likely to be: Considering changing your specialty Planning to work overseas permanently Considering leaving medicine completely Planning to work overseas temporarily Considering leaving the NHS, though continuing to work in medicine Reconsidering your career goals (ie grade) Considering working overseas in the future 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Much more likely 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 20 More likely No change Unlikely Very unlikely 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report 21 Awareness of issues facing the medical profession Cohort doctors were asked to what extent they agreed with a number of statements relating to how different specialties work together. Cohort doctors were most likely to say that they are aware of the challenges facing other specialties within their sector (76%) and other sectors (57%). Cohort doctors were most likely to disagree with the statement that primary and secondary care work collaboratively with social care (67% disagreed with this) and 59% of cohort doctors disagreed with the suggestion that primary and secondary care work collaboratively. Figure 16 – In general, would you agree that: I am aware of the challenges facing other specialties within my sector I am aware of the challenges facing other specialties outside my sector Hospital specialists work well across different specialties Primary and secondary care work collaboratively Primary and secondary care work collaboratively with social care 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Strongly agree Agree Neither agree or disagree Disagree Strongly disagree Role-related responsibilities When asking about management roles, as per the results of the previous annual survey, cohort doctors who were working as a qualified GP were most likely to say that they already hold a management position (18%). However, one-third of cohort doctors who work as a GP (32%) said they would not consider taking on a management role in the future. Over one-half of specialty trainees (55%) said they would consider taking on a management role at some point (figure 17). Figure 17 – Would you consider taking on a managerial role in the future? Total Specialty trainee Non-standard research or academic post Qualified GP 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Yes 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 21 No Don’t know Already hold a managerial position 11/06/2015 11:46 22 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report Just less than one-half of cohort doctors (48%) said they had not undertaken any form of management training. Those cohort doctors who had, were most likely to have received this training within the curriculum of their specialty training programme (24%). This was most likely to be the case for cohort doctors working in a research/academic post (40%). Figure 18 – Have you undertaken any formal management training? Yes – as part of my medical graduate course 5% No 48% Yes – some management training was included within the curriculum of my specialty training programme 24% Yes – I have undertaken management training outside of medicine 4% Yes – I chose to undertake management training post-CCT 2% 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 22 Yes – I chose to take some time out of programme to undertake management training 5% Yes – I chose to undertake management training whilst I was completeting my postgraduate training 12% 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report 23 6Working as a Specialist Trainee – Professional development/education 61% (135 of 221) of cohort doctors who were undertaking specialty training indicated they were on a run-through training programme and 31% (68 of 221) cohort doctors were training on core or uncoupled specialty training programmes. Reassuringly, the vast majority of cohort doctors in specialty training (95%; 212 of 222) were of the view that they had not been asked to undertake tasks which they felt were beyond their capabilities during the last year and just 5% of cohort doctors in specialty training indicated they had. This trend is in line with the finding that the proportion of cohort doctors who stated they had been asked to complete tasks they felt to be beyond their capabilities, has generally fallen year-on-year since graduation (figure 19). Figure 19 – Per cent of cohort doctors who reported they were asked to undertake tasks they felt were beyond their capability since graduation 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% One year post-grad Two years post-grad Three years post-grad Four years post-grad Five years post-grad Six years post-grad Seven years post-grad Eight years post-grad Working environment Cohort doctors were asked about their experience of working in a team, the educational value of their post and the general working environment of their placements. Figure 20 shows that cohort doctors remain typically most positive about the amount of variety in their jobs, the complexity of their work and team spirit. The most negative aspect of their experiences across all placements continues to be working conditions; however, experiences of their working conditions were still most frequently positive. Overall, there has been a slight shift in cohort doctors’ perceived working environments over the past three years. The biggest change is a negative one; this relates to working atmosphere which was an average of 2.7 in 2011/12 compared to 3.6 in 2013/14 where on a scale of 1 to 9, 9 = bad (figure 20). 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 23 11/06/2015 11:46 24 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report Figure 20 – Experience in relation to team and overall working environment during specialty training, 2013/14, compared to 2012/13 and 2011/12 (1 = good to 9 = bad) 5 4 3 2 1 0 m Tea spi m Tea r it com m ic un at i on Wo s rki ng d con it io ns Tea up ms Am 2011/12 ou n po rt fv to ar i et y y in Pac eo 2012/13 ou r jo e f sp b cia lt y in or te n sit y Co mp le o x it y fw or k rk Wo ing at sp mo he re 2013/14 Eight years post-graduation, the working atmosphere for cohort doctors has remained at a similar level to the previous year. On average, cohort doctors rated their working atmosphere as 3.6 in 2013/14 and 2012/13 (where 1 = cooperative and 9 = competitive) compared to an average score of 2.7 in 2011/12. There were no significant differences in how male or female cohort doctors rated the NHS in their workplace. When asked to rate NHS culture on a scale ranging from 1 (cooperative) to 9 (competitive), cohort doctors averaged NHS culture as 4.6; slightly higher than the midway point. Cohort doctors who were training in obstetrics and gynaecology were most likely to rate the NHS at the competitive end of the scale (mean = 5.3) and were also more likely to have indicated an increase in competitiveness in NHS culture in the past year. Cohort doctors training in paediatrics and child health were most likely to rate the NHS culture as cooperative (mean = 3.8). Cohort doctors who worked in research/academic medicine or who were in a higher surgical training post were most likely to report a positive shift in NHS culture in the past year, with suggestions that they are now working in a more cooperative culture (figure 21). 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 24 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report 25 Figure 21 – How would you describe NHS culture during your last year (2013/14 compared to 2012/13)? Obstetrics and gynaecology Clinical radiology and oncology Anaesthetics Research/academic medicine Higher surgical specialty training General practice Emergency medicine Higher medical specialty training Paediatrics and child health 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Cooperative 9 Competitive 2012/13 2013/14 Cohort doctors were asked to rate educational aspects of their specialty training on a scale of 1 to 9; where 1 = good and 9 = bad. As in previous years, cohort doctors were generally most positive about their clinical supervision (mean = 3.2). The most negative aspects continued to be access to study leave funding (mean = 4.7) and feedback from workplace based assessments (mean = 4.6). Both of these educational aspects of cohort doctors’ specialty training programmes were rated more negatively in 2013/14 compared to 2012/13 (mean = 4.4 and 4.2 respectively) (figure 22). Figure 22 – How would you rate the following educational aspects of your specialty training programme? (1 = good to 9 = bad) Clinical supervision Your ARCP (annual review of competence progression) 5.00 4.00 Access to study leave time 3.00 Quality of feedback from workplace based assessments 2.00 Access to study leave funding 1.00 0.00 Content of workplace based assessments Ease of undertaking workplace based assessments Support and guidance from your educational supervisor 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 25 Regular appraisal opportunities Having clear achievable objectives within your PDP Support to complete your portfolio 11/06/2015 11:46 26 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report Undertaking specialty training As per last year’s findings, when asked what factor most affected their work-life balance as a doctor, cohort doctors in specialty training were most likely to indicate that their own willingness to work additional, often unpaid hours, had the biggest negative impact on their work-life balance (24% compared to 25% in 2013/14). On-call obligations and the impact of studying for Royal College exams were once again identified as having significant negative impacts on cohort doctors’ work-life balance (13% and 12% respectively) (figure 23). Figure 23 – Which of the following most negatively affects your work-life balance as a doctor? Overrunning shifts 7% The amount of time I have to travel to and from work 10% My willingness to work additional often unpaid hours 24% Paperwork 14% The time involved in studying for royal college exams 13% The frequency with which I am scheduled to be on-call 13% Poor advanced notice of rotas 7% Insufficient rest periods between rotas 4% Backfilling long-term rota gaps 8% When considering these findings for those cohort doctors who work in hospital specialties, those undertaking higher surgical training were most likely to have indicated that their work-life balance is most negatively impacted by their willingness to work additional, often unpaid, hours (57%). In addition, 34% of cohort doctors who were undertaking higher medical training indicated their work-life balance was most negatively affected by their willingness to work unscheduled hours. Also of note, is that 38% of cohort doctors working in paediatrics and 31% of cohort doctors who were training in emergency medicine indicated that the frequency that they are scheduled to be on-call had the most negative impact on their work-life balance. Cohort doctors who were training in anaesthetics (37%) were most likely to indicate that the time involved studying for royal college exams most negatively impacted on their work-life balance. Cohort doctors undertaking general practice specialty training were most likely to indicate that paperwork (43%) and their own willingness to work additional, often unpaid, hours (22%) most negatively affected their work-life balance as a doctor. When asked to generally describe their level of work-life balance, cohort doctors on average rated their work-life balance as neither good nor bad (mean = 2.7 when 1 = very low and 5 = very high). There was some variation however, by specialty. 56% (14 of 25) of cohort doctors who were undertaking higher surgical specialty training said their work-life balance is very low or low. This coincides with the finding that cohort doctors undertaking higher specialty training were most likely to report that their work-life balance is most negatively impacted by their willingness to work additional, often unpaid, hours. Cohort doctors who were undertaking a general practice specialty training programme had the best work-life balance as 24% stated they had a high or very high work-life balance (figure 24). 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 26 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report 27 Figure 24 – How would you generally rate your work-life balance? (1 = very low, 5 = very high) General practice Higher medical specialty training Research or academic medicine Anaesthetics Clinical radiology and oncology Higher surgical specialty training Paediatrics and child health Obstetrics and gynaecology Emergency medicine Total 0% Very low Low 20% 40% Moderate 60% High 80% 100% Very high Cohort doctors were asked to indicate the perceived levels of pressure they had felt during their placements over the previous year. The majority of cohort doctors stated that work pressure was steady with a burst of pressure (63%; 139 of 221). 25% (55 of 221) of respondents said they experienced continuous work pressures and the minority (11%) said they experienced minimal or no (1%) pressure. There is no suggestion that this result varies by year of study and this finding is generally in-line with the results of the previous annual survey. Cohort doctors were asked to rank the top three factors that they attribute this work pressure to. The expectations of their specialty, the difficulty of maintaining a good worklife balance and working anti-social hours were the top three factors that cohort doctors identified as having a negative impact on their perceived work pressure (figure 25). Figure 25 – Rank the top three factors you attribute this pressure to The expectations of my specialty Difficulty maintaining a good work or life balance Working anti-social hours I put myself under pressure Studying for exams in order to progress my career Gaps on my rota Personal financial pressures Not having any bleep-free time to train in your specialty Insufficient notice of rotas 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Accumalative frequency 1 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 27 2 3 11/06/2015 11:46 28 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report The impact of working on a rota The vast majority (171 of 222) of cohort doctors undertaking specialty training indicated they worked on a rota. When asked to indicate the level of gaps on their rota, cohort doctors most frequently indicated there are/have been long-term gaps on their rota (60% of cases). This figure has increased from the results of the previous annual survey (where in 46% of cases there were long-term rota gaps) (figure 26). Figure 26 – If yes, how frequently have there been gaps on your rota over the last year? (multiple response) There are rarely short-term gaps on my rota There are sometimes short-term gaps on my rota There are often short-term gaps on my rota There are/have been long-term gaps on my rota 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Per cent of cases When asked to indicate the impact that rota gaps had, cohort doctors were most likely to indicate that the Trust they worked for generally relied on locums to provide cover for rota gaps (68% of cases). Worryingly over one-half (53% of cases) of cohort doctors who worked on a rota indicated that there were often staff shortages as a result of rota gaps. One-third (32% of cases) said that they were on-call more often as a result of rota gaps (figure 27). Figure 27 – What were the impacts of these rota gaps? (multiple response) My annual leave was disrupted as a result of rota gaps I was often required to work on my rest days to provide cover for rota gaps My shifts often overran as a result of rota gaps I was not able to take study leave if there were rota gaps I frequently worked more than the average 48-hour week I was on-call more often, as a result of rota gaps There were often staff shortages as a result of rota gaps The Trust generally relied on locums to provide cover for rota gaps 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Per cent of cases 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 28 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report 29 Overall experience of specialty training Cohort doctors were asked if their experience of specialty training so far allowed them to develop their career to the best of their ability. Over one-half (58%) of cohort doctors felt that their specialty training programme had allowed them to develop their career; however, 21% of cohort doctors felt this had not been the case (compared to 16% in 2012/13). Figure 28 illustrates there was some degree in variation to the response to this question dependent on specialty. Cohort doctors who worked in anaesthetics were most likely to feel that their specialty training programme had allowed them to develop their career to the best of their ability (75%). Conversely, just 38% of cohort doctors who were undertaking higher surgical specialty training felt their specialty training programme allowed them to fulfil their potential. There has been a noticeable shift in general practice specialty trainee’s opinions about specialty training during the last year. In 2012/13 75% of cohort doctors who were undertaking specialty training felt that their specialty training programme had so far allowed them to develop their career to the best of their ability; this fell to 56% in 2013/14. Figure 28 – Has your experience of specialty training so far allowed you to develop your career to the best of your ability? (by specialty) Higher surgical specialty training Research or academic medicine General practice Paediatrics and child health Higher medical specialty training Emergency medicine Clinical radiology and oncology Anaesthetics Total 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Yes No Don’t know Those cohort doctors who indicated that their specialty training so far had not allowed them to develop their career to the best of their ability were asked why. Table 10 shows the main themes identified as a result of analysis of these responses. The most common theme to emerge was that specialty training had not allowed them to develop to the best of their ability as there had been too much emphasis on service provision during the course of their specialty training (44% of cases). Furthermore, a further 42% of responses suggested that their specialty training placements had not provided enough exposure to training opportunities in their specialty. Table 10 – Why has your experience of specialty training so far not allowed you to develop your career to the best of your ability? n= 45 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 29 Frequency % of cases Too much service provision 20 44.4% Insufficient exposure to training opportunities in my specialty 19 42.2% Problems finding time to study/accessing study leave 6 13.3% Hours/frequency of being on call were too demanding 4 8.9% Variation in quality of speciality training placements between trusts 3 6.7% Other 10 22.2% 11/06/2015 11:46 30 British Medical Association 7 Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report Working as a General Practitioner Current post The number of cohort doctors who worked as a qualified GP in the UK has increased from 64 in 2011/12, 93 in 2012/13, to 108 in 2013/14. In contrast to previous annual cohort surveys where cohort doctors who had qualified as a GP were most likely to work in a salaried GP post, cohort doctors who have qualified as GPs are now most likely to be working as a GP principal (48%). This was much more likely to be the case for male cohort doctors (73%) compared to female cohort doctors (32%). Conversely, the proportion of cohort doctors who had qualified as a general practitioner working as a salaried GP has slightly fallen over three years, from 47% in 2011/12 to 44% in 2013/14. It remains the case that female cohort doctors are more likely to work in a salaried GP role (54%) compared to male cohort doctors (24%). There has however, been an even more dramatic reduction in the proportion of cohort doctors who worked as a freelance GP (from 27% in 2011 to 13% in 2013/14). No male cohort doctors reported working as a GP locum whereas one in 10 (11%) of female cohort doctors work as a GP locum. Other GP roles included working as a GP retainer or as an out of hours (OH) GP (figure 29). Figure 29 – Which of the following best describes your main current post? (2011/12 to 2013/14) Other Freelance GP (locum) Salaried GP GP Principal (Partner) 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 2011/12 25% 30% 2012/13 35% 40% 45% 50% 2013/14 Cohort doctors who worked as a salaried or freelance GP were most likely to say that the main reason for working in these roles is the flexibility that this post affords for a good work-life balance (42%). One-fifth (21%) of cohort doctors who work as salaried or a freelance GP say that there is too much uncertainty facing general practice to commit to a partnership. Other reasons include a lack of opportunities in their area to secure a partnership or not being able to afford to buy into a GP partnership (figure 30). 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 30 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report 31 Figure 30 – If you are currently working as a salaried or freelance GP, what is the main reason for this? Other 18% The flexibility that this post affords/the desire for a good work-life balance 42% Working as a salaried/locum GP allows me to work in a number of different roles 4% GP partners are too overworked 2% There is too much uncertainty facing general practice to commit to a partnership 21% I am not ready to financially commit to one practice 8% I wanted to work in a number of practices before I commit to a partnership 5% Portfolio careers Those cohort doctors who were working as a qualified GP were asked if they are currently working as a portfolio GP. This can be defined as working in one or more additional roles other than medical general practice. The minority of cohort doctors who currently work as a GP said that working as a portfolio GP does not interest them (32%). However, a further 21% of cohort doctors who are working as a GP are already working as a portfolio GP and an additional 26% would like to do so in the future. This has potentially significant findings for medical workforce planning as GPs who have a portfolio career path are more likely to work less hours in their primary role as a general practitioner (figure 31). Figure 31 – Are you currently working as a portfolio GP? No, I’d like to, but my workload does not currently allow for this 21% No, but I’d like to in the future 26% Yes 21% No, working as a portfolio GP doesn’t interest me 32% Those cohort doctors who said they were currently working as a portfolio GP were working in roles including medical education (11 of 22), working as a CCG representative (five of 22), working as a GP with a special interest (six of 22), were undertaking voluntary work in a GP capacity (three of 22) and running a sexual health clinic (one of 22). The main attractions for working as a portfolio GP, for those who were currently doing so, was the attraction of greater variety in their work (five of 22), an escape from the pressure of working as a GP (three of 22), the needs of the patients/practice (three of 22). 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 31 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association 32 Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report The pressure of working as a GP Cohort doctors who had worked as a general practitioner during the last year were asked to describe the general level of pressure they felt during the last year. Cohort doctors were most likely to indicate experiencing continuous pressure (56%). There was not a great variation in the reported levels of pressure by grades (figure 32). Figure 32 – How would you describe the general level of pressure that you felt during your working days during the last year? Total Salaried GP GP Principal (Partner) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Continuous pressure Steady with bursts of pressure No pressure When asked to rank the top three factors that they attributed this pressure to, cohort doctors were most likely to identify unrealistic patient expectations, the volume of patients and more complex work (eg the volume of multiple morbidity patients) as the main causes of this pressure. These findings were broadly in line with the previous annual survey (figure 33). Figure 33 – Please rank the top three factors you attribute this pressure to Unrealistic patient expectations The volume of patients I see in one day More complex work (eg volume of multiple morbidity patients) Volume of paperwork Time pressures dictated by appointment slots Not being able to give my patients sufficient time and attention The struggle to maintain a good work-life balance Staff management responsibilities Gate keeper referrals Personal financial concerns 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Accumalative frequency 1 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 32 2 3 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report 33 The general practice workforce Cohort doctors were asked to respond to a series of statements relating to the general practice workforce in the region where they work. Most responses point to an increasing shortage of general practitioners. For example, 80% (compared to 46% in 2012/13) of cohort doctors said there is already a shortage of GPs in their area. One in five (21%) disagreed with the statement that there are limited or no GP partnership opportunities in the area where they work (figure 34). Figure 34 – Please indicate to what extent you agree or disagree with the following statements on the general practice workforce in your geographical area of work There is a GP shortage – there are numerous GP vacancies in practices in my area I know of a number of partner GPs who have recently retired or are planning to retire in the next year GPs are increasingly resigning from their practices to work as locums GP partnership mergers or networks have been created in my area There are limited or no GP partnership opportunities in the area where I work 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Strongly agree Agree Neither agree or disagree Disagree Strongly disagree Work-life balance working as a GP Cohort doctors were provided with a list of factors that could impinge on their work-life balance and were asked what factor most negatively affects their work-life balance as a GP. 39% of cohort doctors indicated that paperwork most significantly negatively affected their work-life balance. Salaried GPs were much more likely to indicate that their willingness to work additional, often unpaid hours (27%), had the most negative impact on their work-life balance whereas 22% of cohort doctors who worked as a principal GP felt that competing demands on their time from patients and staff had the most negative effect on their worklife balance. These findings were generally in line with the results of the previous annual cohort survey (figure 35). Figure 35 – Which of the following most negatively affects your work-life balance as a GP? Total GP Principal (Partner) Salaried GP 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% My willingness to work additional, often unpaid, hours Paperwork The amount of time I have to travel to and from work Meetings (eg practice meetings or CCG meetings) Competing demands on my time from staff and patients Overrunning surgeries A lack of breaks or time between appointments 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 33 11/06/2015 11:46 34 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report In contrast to the previous annual cohort survey where cohort doctors who were working as a GP principal were much more likely to indicate they had a poor work-life balance (47%), the results of this survey suggest that cohort doctors who work as a salaried GP were more likely to report a poor or very poor work-life balance (40%) (figure 36). Figure 36 – How would you generally describe your level of work-life balance as a GP? Total GP Principal (Partner) Salaried GP 0% 10% Very low 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 34 20% 30% Poor 40% 50% 60% Neither poor or good 70% 80% Good 90% 100% Very good 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association 8 Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report 35 Career expectations Specialty choice The majority (74%; 315 of 426) of cohort doctors indicated that they are confident that they have chosen the right specialty for them; however, 21% (88 of 426) of cohort doctors feel that although they are happy with their choice of specialty at this time, they are not confident they will remain in that specialty for the rest of their careers. Just 5% (23 of 426) of cohort doctors are not happy with their choice of specialty. These findings are in line with the results of the two previous annual surveys. Figure 37 illustrates that cohort doctors who worked in research or academic medicine were most likely to indicate that they had chosen the right specialty (91%; 20 of 22).** Cohort doctors who were working as a GP were more likely to indicate that they may not remain in their specialty for their entire careers (25%; 28 of 113). Figure 37 – To what extent are you happy with your choice of specialty? (by specialty category) Total Non-standard research or academic post Specialty trainee Qualified GP 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% I am confident that I chose the right specialty for me I am happy with my choice of specialty at this time, but I am not sure I will remain in this specialty I am not happy with the choice of my specialty Career change 27% (113 of 426) of cohort doctors indicated that their experience during the last year has changed their career intentions. This finding is slightly higher than last year when 22% of cohort doctors said their experience in the past year changed their career intentions. The trend that female cohort doctors are slightly more likely to change their career intentions (28%; 67 of 240) compared with male cohort doctors (24%; 45 of 185) remains though. As per the previous annual survey, cohort doctors undertaking research or academic medicine were slightly more likely to have changed their career intentions in the last year (27%; six of 22) compared to other cohort doctors (figure 38). ** Due to the small sample size, it is not valid to analyse the results of this question by hospital specialty. 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 35 11/06/2015 11:46 36 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report Figure 38 – Have your experiences during the last year changed career intentions? (by specialty category) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Qualified GP Specialty trainee Non-standard research or academic post Yes Total No As per previous surveys, the most common reason for a change in career intentions was working conditions followed by domestic circumstances and hours of work. Other key factors for change of career include not enjoying their current specialty, an interest in academic medicine and personal circumstances (table 11). Table 11 – Reasons for change in career intentions during the last year n=111 Frequency % of cases Work conditions 67 60.6 Domestic circumstances 51 45.9 Hours of work 56 51.0 Future financial prospects 33 29.8 Career and promotion prospects 28 25.1 Projected oversupply of CCT holders in my previous specialty 13 11.9 Career outside of medicine 18 16.0 Advice from a senior doctor 11 10.3 Other 23 21.2 Note: multiple response question Table 12 shows cohort doctors’ specialties as of August 2012 compared to their revised changed career intentions. 43% of cohort doctors who have changed their career intention during the last year have no idea on what their new preferred career option may be. 26% now prefer an alternative career in hospital medicine and 11% prefer a career in general practice. Of those cohort doctors who had changed their career intentions in the last year and who had indicated that they would prefer a career in hospital medicine, cohort doctors were most likely to indicate that they would prefer a career in a medical specialty (for example, acute medicine, general internal medicine). Paediatrics and child health, emergency medicine and surgical specialties were some of the more common specialty choices for cohort doctors. 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 36 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report 37 Table 12 – Preferred career option of cohort doctors who had changed their career intention during the last year (by current specialty August 2013-2014) Current specialty Hospital practice General practice Public health medicine Community health Research or academic medicine Other Hospital practice and research/ academic medicine Total Hospital practice 14 3 0 0 8 0 1 26 General practice 2 9 0 0 0 0 0 11 Public health medicine 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 Community health 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 Research or academic medicine 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 5 No clear idea 20 16 1 0 4 2 0 43 Other 3 6 0 0 0 1 0 10 Total 42 35 1 1 16 3 1 99 Career goals Table 13 shows the ultimate career goals of all cohort doctors. Over one-half (51%; 218 of 424) of cohort doctors aspire to the consultant grade, although this has dropped slightly from 55% in 2012/13. Around one in 10 are still undecided as to their ultimate career goal. These findings are in line with the results of the previous annual survey; however, there is evidence of a continued fluctuation in the number of cohort doctors who now have the career goal of a salaried GP (5.2 % in 2011/12, 3.4 % in 2012/13 and 5.0% in 2013/14). Two per cent of cohort doctors are now looking for a career outside of medicine (compared to 0.5% in 2012/13). Table 13 – Career goals 2013/14 Frequency % Consultant 218 51.4 GP principal 98 23.2 Salaried GP 21 5.0 GP Locum 2 0.5 Lecturer/Academic 22 5.3 Undecided 39 9.1 Specialty doctor 6 1.3 Other 8 1.9 Career outside medicine 10 2.3 Total 424 100.0 No reply 6 – Whilst the table above indicates that just 23% of cohort doctors aspire to work as a GP principal, this somewhat contradicts the earlier finding that cohort doctors who have qualified as GPs are now most likely to be working as a GP principal. To understand the ultimate career goals of qualified GPs, table 14 cross tabulates the ultimate career goals of cohort doctors who are currently working as a GP by their existing grade. This shows that although 48% of cohort doctors who are currently working as a qualified GP are working as a GP principal (53 of 108), 29% of these cohort doctors do not see working as a GP principal as their ultimate career goal (15 of 51). Indeed, 16% (eight of 51) of cohort doctors who are 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 37 11/06/2015 11:46 38 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report working as a GP principal say that they are still undecided as to their ultimate career goal. Conversely, just 17% (eight of 48) of those cohort doctors who are working as a salaried GP say that this is their ultimate career goal. Table 14 – Which of the following is your ultimate career goal by which of the following best describes your main current role (only cohort doctors currently working as a GP) Ultimate career goal Main current post Total GP Principal (Partner) Salaried GP GP principal 36 32 75 Salaried GP 2 8 11 GP Locum 0 1 2 Lecturer/Academic 1 0 1 Undecided 8 4 12 Other 3 2 6 Career outside medicine 1 1 3 Total 51 48 110 No reply 2 2 4 Figure 39 shows that in-line with previous findings, female cohort doctors are more likely to plan a career in any of the GP roles. Male cohort doctors are more likely to plan for a career as a lecturer/academic. Cohort doctors aspiring to be a consultant remain fairly evenly divided according to gender. Figure 39 – Career goals by gender 2013/14 (%) Total Salaried GP GP principal Undecided Consultant Academic or Lecturer 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Male 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Female Career advice and support Just 55% (235 of 425) of cohort doctors reported careers advice and support was available to help them achieve their career goals. Hospital based cohort doctors were most likely to indicate that careers advice and support is available to help them achieve their career goals (71%; 137 of 195), closely followed by cohort doctors undertaking general practice specialty training (64%; 16 of 25). Half of cohort doctors who have qualified as a GP said that they did not feel that career support was available to them to help them achieve their career goals (49%; 55 of 113). This is a potentially important finding as there is currently a predicted shortage of GPs in the UK in the future, and optimising the existing workforce could be essential to the sustainability of the general practice workforce.3 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 38 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report 39 The main sources of careers advice and support included senior colleagues (consultants, GPs, senior registrars and academics), educational supervisors, GP trainers, Deaneries and Royal Colleges and the BMA. The majority (150 of 235) of cohort doctors who reported that careers advice was available to them indicated that it was useful. Job security Cohort doctors were asked to indicate their level of job security. 48% of cohort doctors thought they would definitely get a job in their chosen specialty; a marked rise from 2012/12 when 42% of cohort doctors still in training thought they would definitely secure a post in their specialty. One-third (81 of 248) of cohort doctors felt that they will possibly get a job in their chosen specialty. Cohort doctors undertaking general practice specialty training continue to be much more likely to think that they will definitely get a job in their chosen specialty than cohort doctors working in a hospital specialty (figure 40). Figure 40 – To what extent do you envisage getting a job in your chosen specialty once you have completed your training? (Excludes qualified GPs) Total Research or academic medicine Hospital practice General practice 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% I will definitely get a job in my chosen specialty I will definitely get a job, but not necessarily in my chosen specialty I will possibly get a job in my chosen specialty I will possibly get a job, but not necessarily in my chosen specialty I don’t think I will get a job on qualification Don’t know Intentions to practise medicine outside the UK As in previous years, male cohort doctors (47%) were more likely to indicate that they plan to practise medicine outside of the UK than females (30%). Overall, eight years after graduation, 37% of cohort doctors plan to practise medicine overseas either temporarily or permanently. This finding is in-line with the results of the previous annual survey (table 15). Table 15 – Intention to practise medicine outside the UK, either temporarily or permanently in the future Frequency % Yes, temporarily 114 27.2 Yes, permanently 42 10.0 No present plans to practise overseas 263 62.8 Total 419 100.0 No response 12 – Those cohort doctors who indicated they wanted to work overseas temporarily in the future were most likely to intend to do so post-CCT (58 of 114). 23% (26 of 114) of cohort doctors who indicated they intend to work overseas temporarily want to do so as a senior registrar and 10% were not entirely sure of the timing (11 of 114). 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 39 11/06/2015 11:46 40 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report Cohort doctors who intend to work overseas permanently in the future were also most likely to say they intend to do so post CCT (16 of 42). Three in 10 cohort doctors who said they intend to work overseas on a permanent basis in the future said they are already doing so (12 of 42). The main reasons given for intending to practise medicine outside the UK include to broaden or gain medical experience, better lifestyle, better working conditions, life experience, fellowship opportunities and the experience of working in a different health care system or humanitarian or development medicine or an ‘escape’ from working in the NHS. Destination countries include Australia, New Zealand, the US, Canada and the developing world. These findings are in line with the results of previous annual surveys. Intentions to work part-time There has been an increase in part-time working in the past year. 28% (119 of 421) of cohort doctors in 2013/14 said that they are currently working part-time compared to 23% in 2012/13. Although there has been an increase in part-time working for both male and female cohort doctors, part-time working continues to be more common for females (41%; 98 of 238) compared to male cohort doctors (12%; 21 of 183). A further one-quarter of female cohort doctors (23%; 55 of 238) intend to work part-time in the future. Conversely, 79% (144 of 188) male cohort doctors are training or working full-time (figure 41). Figure 41 – Are you working/training part-time? (by gender) Total Female Male 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Yes – I currently work or train part-time No – but I intend to work part-time in the future No – I work or train full-time When analysing the results of this question by specialty, cohort doctors who were working as a qualified GP were most likely to already be working part-time (50%; 68 of 135). This finding suggest an increase in part-time working in general practice over the past year as 33% of cohort doctors who worked in general practice were working on a part-time basis in 2012/13. Cohort doctors working in research or academic medicine were most likely to intend to work or train part-time at some point in the future (28%; 10 of 36)†† (figure 42). †† Due to the small sample size, it is not valid to analyse the results of this question by hospital specialty. 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 40 11/06/2015 11:46 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report 41 Figure 42 – Are you working/training part time? (by specialty) Research or academic medicine General practice Hospital practice 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Yes – I currently work or train part-time No – but I intend to work part-time in the future No – I work or train full-time 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 41 11/06/2015 11:46 42 British Medical Association Cohort study of 2006 medical graduates – Ninth report References 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 42 1 BMA. (2007) First report of the BMA cohort study of 2006 medical graduates. Website. 2006. http://bmaopac.hosted.exlibrisgroup.com/F?func=findb&request=cohort+study&find_code=WRD&local_base=W-BMA01. 2 General Medical Council (2013) National Training Survey 2013. Website. 2013. http://www.gmc-uk.org/education/national_summary_reports.asp. 3 Department of Health (2012). Modernisation of Health and Care. Website. June 2012. http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/20130805112926/http://healthandcare. dh.gov.uk/category/health-and-social-care-bill/ 4 BMA (2014). BMA Discussion Paper: Doctors at a Dead End? Medical Unemployment and Underemployment in the UK. Website. March 2014. http://bmaopac.hosted.exlibrisgroup.com/exlibris/aleph/a21_1/apache_media/ YQJIFMQ2VRC497S6S8LIC6YD5UTR3I.pdf 5 Francis. R. (2013). The Mid Staffordshire NHS Foundation Trust Public Inquiry. Website. February 2013. http://www.midstaffspublicinquiry.com/ 6 British Medical Association (2015). 2014 Medical Workforce Briefing. Website. May 2015. http://bma.org.uk/-/media/files/pdfs/working%20for%20change/policy%20and%20 lobbying/uk%20medical%20workforce%20briefing%20may%202015%20final.pdf 11/06/2015 11:46 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 45 11/06/2015 11:46 Kylie Lewington [email protected] Health policy and economic research unit British Medical Association, BMA House, Tavistock Square, London WC1H 9JP bma.org.uk © British Medical Association, 2015 BMA 20150418 20150418 Ninth Cohort Report 2015.indd 46 11/06/2015 11:46