Wearables Competitive Landscape 2015
Transcription
Wearables Competitive Landscape 2015
FOR M UL A CO M PON E N T Wearables Competitive Landscape 2015 April 4, 2016 About Formula Partners Formula Partners is an innovation management consulting firm with offices in Los Angeles, San Francisco and New York. Our mission is to enable executives and visionaries within the Enterprise to achieve their goals in innovation and continuous improvement. We work with a select number of executives and visionary leaders each year. Message us to inquire about availability or schedule a demo. Page 1 Last Modified: April 4, 2016 8:11 AM Table of Contents What is the scope of competition? 3 What are 5 killer fitness apps? 12 Samsung 3 Nike+ Running for Apple 12 Android Wear 3 Hello Heart for Apple 12 Apple 4 FitStar Yoga for Apple 12 Google Glass 5 Google Fit for Android 12 Fitbit 5 Ingress for Android 13 Microsoft 6 What are 5 more killer wearable apps? 14 Jawbone 6 Golfshot for Android 14 Nike 7 PixtoCam for Android 14 Adidas 7 Huebble for Pebble 14 Garmin 8 Empatica Epilepsy Watch 14 Pebble 8 GoPro for Apple 15 Small Players 9 What are the existing ‘digital fabric’ market comps? 16 Digitsole 9 Hypercolor by Generra 16 Skully 9 Nike Dri Fit 16 Oxie 10 Lululemon 16 Fitbit 11 Under Armour 17 Apple 11 Who is at the cutting edge? 18 Android Wear 11 Levi’s x Google: Project Jacquard 18 Who is having success? 11 Google: Project Soli 18 Page 2 Last Modified: April 4, 2016 8:11 AM What is the scope of competition? The wearables market leading into 2016 is dominated by wrist devices. Our analysis will focus on these devices while referencing several devices that are on the fringe of this competitive space. There are several small pockets of highly forward-thinking products with an undetermined success rate to date. This is largely due to the infancy of the marketplace and the short time in the market. The Oculus VR, for example, does not currently have much mass-market commercial penetration, nor does it offer applications for the everyday person. The watch sector, in contrast, has been successfully proven over the last decade. OS.1 This is a surprising departure as Samsung has always heavily relied on the Android platform. There are many players in the space. The primary differentiators between products are operating system and wearable form factor. Most watch products offer standard data capture and GPS features, with sever products entering into the personal computing arena. For example, the Android watches give text and call ability, as does the Apple Watch. S a m sung G ea rFi t Samsung FEATURE A VA I L A BL E Call Text Email Heart Rate Apps Wifi Cloud Sync 3G / 4G Camera GPS S a m sung G ea rS With 1.2 million units sold in 2014, Samsung Gear represents a large player in the space. The Samsung wearable devices have a very similar feature set to Android Wear devices. Android Wear F EA T U R E AVAILABLE Call Unlike Android wear, Samsung Gear uses the Tizen Text 1 http://www.cnet.com/news/samsung-galaxy-gear-updateswaps-android-for-tizen/ Page 3 Last Modified: April 4, 2016 8:11 AM FEATURE A VA I L A BL E Email Heart Rate Apps Wifi Cloud Sync 3G / 4G Camera GPS Android leads the watch sector in terms of breadth of manufacturers. They have several vendors on board, namely Asus, Motorola, Huawei and LG. While benchmarking the segment, Android watch sales were a drop in the bucket compared to the launch of the Apple Watch.2 L ET Apple F EA T U R E AVAILABLE Call Text M ot or ola M oto 3 6 0 Email As expected, Android watches take advantage of a simplified Android operating system. This includes the ability to text, call and email. In addition, access to heart rate data is also accessible from the watch. These watches sync data to the cloud via Google’s core service offerings like Hangout, Gmail, etc. Heart Rate Apps Wifi Cloud Sync 3G / 4G Camera GPS Apple launched the Apple Watch in early 2015 to much fanfare. Sales have been very strong, estimated to reach $35M+ in 2015.3 2 http://www.techradar.com/us/news/wearables/apple-watchsales-1290701 3 http://247wallst.com/consumer-electronics/2015/05/26/can-apple-watch-sales-reach-40-million/ Page 4 Last Modified: April 4, 2016 8:11 AM F EA T U R E AVAILABLE Email Heart Rate Apps Wifi Cloud Sync 3G / 4G Camera GPS Google Glass is one of the few wearable devices that spans the spectrum between computer, heads up display, and standard wearable device. Released in February of 2013, the product has since been shuttered.4 Go o g l e G l a ss It is unclear if Google Glass will continue on in some form in the future. Fitbit F EA T U R E AVAILABLE Call Text Apple’s watch is offers much the same feature set of the Android watches, albeit with their always closed, proprietary OS. While the open Android platform has grown the segment greatly, Apple hopes to capitalize on its seamless integration into the OSX operating system and sync capability with iTunes and related Mac applications. Email Heart Rate Apps Wifi Cloud Sync 3G / 4G Google Glass FEATURE Camera GPS A VA I L A BL E Call Text 4 http://www.businessinsider.com/google-ends-sales-of-googleglass-2015-1 Page 5 Last Modified: April 4, 2016 8:11 AM Microsoft While Samsung, Android Wear and Apple have a sharp focus on wearble computing, Fitbit focuses more on the health and wellness segment. F EA T U R E AVAILABLE Call Text Email Heart Rate Apps Wifi Cloud Sync 3G / 4G Camera GPS New for 2015 is the Microsoft Band. Microsoft seems to be having real success with its Band device. It is not clear how strong sales have been, but reviews have been positive. F it b i t Z i p F it b it S u r g e With gross sales for 2015 projected near $1B, Fitbit dominates the wellness and activity space.5 Together with their recent announcement of a $100M IPO, Fitbit looks to continue their success in the health and wellness space.6 Fitbit’s devices use a proprietary OS, then publish data to their tracking application. The stark simplicity of the devices and applications seems to have served them well. Jawbone F EA T U R E 5 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/julie-ask/fitbit-ipo-the-roadahead_b_7257706.html AVAILABLE Call Text 6 http://www.cbsnews.com/news/fitbit-wearable-tech-files-for100-million-ipo/ Page 6 Last Modified: April 4, 2016 8:11 AM F E A T UR E with $33M in sales, Nike shuttered the popular FuelBand program in 2014.7 A VA I L A BL E Email Heart Rate Apps Wifi Cloud Sync 3G / 4G Camera GPS Jawbone and Nike are said to tail Fitbit in sales by a distant margin. Jawbone is more simple than both the Fitbit and Nike devices, and could be considered a glorfied motion capture device. Ni k e Fuel Ba nd J aw b on e UP Jawbone continues to release new products, with their latest being the “UP3 Tracker.” Nike F E A T UR E Ni k e G P S Wa t ch A VA I L A BL E It remains to be seen what Nike’s next wearable technology initatives wiil contain, or when this next initiative will happen. Call Text Email Adidas Heart Rate Apps F EA T U R E Wifi Call Cloud Sync Text 3G / 4G Email Camera Heart Rate GPS Apps Nike is one of the more interesting case studies in the group. Despite dominating the market in 2013 AVAILABLE 7 http://www.cnet.com/news/fuelband-layoffs-nike-signals-it-wasnot-and-never-will-be-tech-company/ Page 7 Last Modified: April 4, 2016 8:11 AM FEATURE A VA I L A BL E F EA T U R E Wifi Text Cloud Sync Email 3G / 4G Heart Rate Camera Apps GPS Wifi AVAILABLE Cloud Sync Adidas has also entered the fitness tracker wearables space. First with their upmarket Run Smart watch, then again in mid-2014 with their Fit Smart band. 3G / 4G Camera GPS Garmin is an interesting entry into the smart wearables segment. Garmin first began with GPS equipment for cars and gradually made an entry into the handheld GPS market. A didas Ru n S m a r t G a rmi n 620 A didas F it S m a r t It remains to be seen what Adidas’ level of success will be. Garmin FEATURE A VA I L A BL E Call Page 8 Last Modified: April 4, 2016 8:11 AM Gar min vivoa c t i v e Garmin has continued using GPS as it’s core product promise with it’s new activity monitors. These devices are marketed more at the ‘outdoor’ segment. Users can also download GPS data from golf courses. Pebble FEATURE A VA I L A BL E Call Text Email P ebbl e St eel Heart Rate Apps Wifi Cloud Sync Pebble continues to recieve positive reviews on Amazon. 3G / 4G Camera Small Players GPS Some of the small players in the space are doing very intersting things. Pebble claims to have sold over 1M smartwatches to date.8 Pebble’s key differentiator is app and external device integration. For example, using the Pebble device to trigger external devices like a camera. Digitsole Digitsole launched on KickStarter in September of 2014. The Digitsole acts as both a remote foot warmer and pedometer. Skully Skully is a ‘heads up display’ (HUD) for motorcycle riders. Similar to Google Glass, it can project helpful information like a back-up or blind-spot camera on a small crystal screen inside the helmet. P e b b le T i m e 8 http://www.cnbc.com/id/102389470 Page 9 Last Modified: April 4, 2016 8:11 AM Oxie Oxie is a wearable air purifier. Page 10 Last Modified: April 4, 2016 8:11 AM Who is having success? Fitbit and its tablets, Apple is sure to continue it’s dominating performance. The breakout in the activity monitoring category is clearly Fitbit. However, there remains a very large Android customer base that could first consider other smartwatch platforms before Apple. Android Wear Android Wear seems to be following the strategy that grew Android to where it is currently, as a world leading mobile OS. The Android platform will always be an attractive option for device manufacturers. They have several vendors on board, namely Asus, Motorola, Huawei and LG. F it b it S u r g e With gross sales for 2015 projected near $1B, Fitbit dominates the wellness and activity space.9 Together with their recent announcement of a $100M IPO, Fitbit looks to continue their success in the health and wellness space.10 Apple The clear winner in the smartwatch category is the Apple Watch. Nothing even comes close. Apple allegedly sold more in one day than Android Wear sold in all of 2014.11 Given the success of it’s handheld devices like iPhone 9 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/julie-ask/fitbit-ipo-the-roadahead_b_7257706.html 10 http://www.cbsnews.com/news/fitbit-wearable-tech-files-for100-million-ipo/ 11 http://www.techradar.com/us/news/wearables/apple-watchsales-1290701 Page 11 Last Modified: April 4, 2016 8:11 AM What are 5 killer fitness apps? The fitness and health/wellness segments are natural fits for wearable technology. While wearable technology is in its infancy, we expect to see great innovation in the years to come. Here are some standout fitness wearable apps. Nike+ Running for Apple The beauty of the Nike+ Running app is simplicity. Primarily a pace tracker, the app also includes social features and integration with Nike’s other fitness apps. FitStar Yoga for Apple FitStar Yoga is a personal yoga coach in your wearable device. It uses the device’s motion sensor to judge the quality of your positions. Google Fit for Android Google Fit is a general fitness and activity app that encourages users to be more active. It would seem that with the advent of high-performance smart watches, Nike has decided to utilize these devices as opposed to building their own. Hello Heart for Apple Hello Heart is a simple heart monitor, data history repository, and health coach. Page 12 Last Modified: April 4, 2016 8:11 AM Ingress for Android While not explicitly a fitness app, Ingress might be the coolest activity app on the market. The gameplay consists of establishing “portals” at places of cultural significance, such as public art, landmarks, monuments, etc., and linking them to create virtual triangular “control fields” over geographical areas. Progress in the game is measured by the number of “mind units” (MUs) captured via such control fields, i.e. people nominally controlled by each faction.1 1 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ingress_%28game%29 Page 13 Last Modified: April 4, 2016 8:11 AM What are 5 more killer wearable apps? Golfshot for Android Golfshot for Android is a solid real-world example of a wearable device in the wild, with a large addressible market. Golfshot uses GPS and exisitng golf course data to give precise context to every golf shot at selected courses. Huebble for Pebble The integration of environmental devices and a smartwatch is a natural fit. While this is not incredibly compelling, it could be a great addition in the service or retail industries. Empatica Epilepsy Watch This is one watch that can have fantastic real world implications. The Embrace watch can detect seizures and alert caregivers of a seizure event. PixtoCam for Android Surveillance and security will be a huge theme for the rest of the century, it seems. PixtoCam is a simple remote control application between smartwatch and any Android camera. Page 14 Last Modified: April 4, 2016 8:11 AM GoPro for Apple In less than ten years, GoPro has revolutionized personal video. It’s only natural that you can now control your GoPro from a smartwach. Page 15 Last Modified: April 4, 2016 8:11 AM What are the existing ‘digital fabric’ market comps? Hypercolor by Generra Hypercolor was manufactured by Generra Sportswear Company of Seattle and marketed in the United States as Generra Hypercolor or Generra Hypergrafix and elsewhere as Global Hypercolor. They contained a thermochromic pigment made by Matsui Shikiso Chemical of Japan, that changed between two colors – one when cold, one when warm. The shirts were produced with several color change choices beginning in 1991. Between February and May 1991 they sold $50 million in Hypercolor garments.1 Lululemon Lululemon has grown into a bona fide $Billion company. They have a suite of tech fabrics: Luon Luxtreme Swift Silverescent Nike Dri Fit Nike Dri Fit has seen tremendous success since its introduction in 2009. It is unclear the total overall sales of the Dri Fit line, however the Dri Fit fabric has found its way deep into their apparel lines. Dri Fit ‘technology’ has replaced their more traditional fabrics almost entirely. 1 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypercolor Page 16 Last Modified: April 4, 2016 8:11 AM Under Armour Under Armour has also seen incredible success in the fitness market. With sales of $3B in 2014, they are a giant in the space. Like lululemon, they have a suite of tech fabrics: - Coldgear - Coldgear Infrared - Storm - Charged Cotton - Heatgear Page 17 Last Modified: April 4, 2016 8:11 AM Who is at the cutting edge? imagine the wide range of potential applications for something like this in the smartwatch category. While the wearables space is still in its infancy, we are already starting to see cuting-edge innovation and creativity at the bleeding edge of the segment. Levi’s x Google: Project Jacquard Google has been working with Levi’s on developing a gesture sensitve fabric, called Project Jacquard. The technology turns ordinary fabric into a touchpad. Google: Project Soli With project Soli, Google is developing a sort of ‘radar’ system to interpret hand gestures. One can Page 18 Last Modified: April 4, 2016 8:11 AM