from the money gods bank notes falling from above? p16
Transcription
from the money gods bank notes falling from above? p16
BUSINESS WITH PERSONALITY FROM THE MONEY GODS BANK NOTES FALLING FROM ABOVE? P16 WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 ARSENAL MESS GUNNERS FACE FAMILIAR EURO BATTLE P32 CITYAM.COM ISSUE 2,571 FREE THIRDTIME LUCKY London Stock Exchange and Deutsche Boerse make another attempt at mega merger LAUREN FEDOR AND EMMA HASLETT THE LONDON Stock Exchange Group and Deutsche Boerse are making their third attempt at a merger in two decades, in a bid to create a dominant European exchange operator worth more than £20bn. LSE confirmed that it was in merger talks with Deutsche Boerse yesterday afternoon, after reports of a possible deal sent the London exchange’s share price soaring. The two exchange operators said in a joint statement that they are “in detailed discussions about a potential merger of equals of the two businesses” and “expect to provide a further update in due course”. “The boards believe that the potential merger would represent a compelling opportunity for both companies to strengthen each other in an industry-defining combination, creating a leading European-based global markets infrastructure group.” Analysts at Edison said a successful merger would “create a European champion in the market infrastructure and capital markets business to rival the two large US firms and the Hong Kong Exchange in terms of market capitalisation”. LSE shares jumped by more than 20 per cent on the news, before closing the trading day at 2,630p per share, up 13.7 per cent. Deutsche Boerse shares rose nearly eight per cent, before closing at €78.80 per share, up 3.22 per cent. Shares in other European exchange operators, including Euronext and Spanish exchange operator BME, also rose amid reports of the possible merger. This is not the first time the London and Frankfurt exchanges have attempted to join forces. The first pro- posed merger was foiled in 2000, when Sweden’s OM Exchange made a £808m hostile takeover bid for the LSE – an offer that was rejected. Four years later, a full takeover bid by Deutsche Boerse fell through after the Frankfurt exchange’s shareholders rejected it. Investors speculated back then, however, that the two would give it another go. £ CONTINUED ON P3 TIMELINE MAY 2000 LSE plans merger with Deutsche Boerse, but finds itself the subject of a hostile takeover from Sweden’s OM. LSE rejects the offer. DECEMBER 2004 Deutsche Boerse tries a second time for a takeover with a £1.4bn bid, but is rejected by LSE, claiming it has been undervalued. DECEMBER 2005 Macquarie Bank in Australia offers up £1.5bn for LSE, which LSE rejects. MARCH 2006 Nasdaq makes a £2.4bn offer, which is also rejected by LSE. Nasdaq increases stake in LSE and makes a £2.7bn offer. But offer expires after it fails to find favour with shareholders. JUNE 2007 LSE’s turn for a shopping spree now, as it purchases Italian exchange Borsa Italiana for more than £1.1bn. OCTOBER 2015 LSE agrees to sell Russell Investments, which it acquired in 2014, to US private equity firm TA Associates for £752m. FEBRUARY 2016 LSE boss Xavier Rolet LSE and Deutsche Boerse merger talks revealed. FTSE 100 ▼ 5,962.31 -75.42 FTSE 250 ▼ 16,299.20 -59.60 DOW ▼ 16,431.78 -188.88 NASDAQ ▼ 4,503.58 -67.02 £/$ ▼ 1.402 -0.010 £/€ ▼ 1.272 -0.010 €/$ ▼ 1.102 -0.001 02 NEWS CITYAM.COM WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 DIDCOT EXPLOSION One person dies and three are missing after blast at decommissioned Oxfordshire power plant THE CITY VIEW If you must write a letter, at least write a good one A WONDERFUL book called Letters of Note has gathered together some of the most remarkable, significant, amusing and heartbreaking letters ever written. The project began as a website and amassed legions of fans on social media, whose enthusiasm drove a crowdfunding campaign to see the collection published. The book features letters from a former slave to his master, from an eight-year-old girl to President Barack Obama, from Clementine Churchill to a Prime Minister straining under the pressures of war and from a widow to a dear departed husband, penned in 16th-century China. It is a masterpiece, and reminds us all of the importance and enduring power of a simple letter. It is unlikely that the collection will be updated any time soon to include the letter signed this week by business leaders, backing David Cameron’s EU negotiations. This was a letter conceived by a civil servant and finalised by committee. It daren’t deviate from the language of a Downing Street press release. It contains no poetry, and very little prose. And yet it is, in its own way, a letter of note. It represents a not insignificant intervention in a debate that is only just getting started. Its impact lies less in what it says than in who has agreed to put their name to it. Between them, the 200 signatories (including 36 FTSE 100 chief execs) employ hundreds of thousands of people and represent a range of sectors and regions. Orchestrated by No 10 and immediately seized upon by the In campaign, the letter will serve as the foundation for claims that British business backs Britain’s membership of the EU. Impressive as the letter may be, it’s far from the end of the matter. Indeed, plenty of names are noticeable by their absence. At the start of the week, No 10 was hopeful of securing many more FTSE bosses than it actually got. Furthermore, those who back Brexit can point to plenty of business support, large and small. A letter on their behalf is no doubt being drafted as we speak. It’s a fine British tradition that when things get serious, letters are written to newspapers. Just don’t expect the campaigns to restrict themselves to a civilised exchange of letters. When things get serious, letters are written to newspapers Follow us on Twitter @cityam FINANCIAL TIMES BT VOWS TO INVEST £1BN IN BROADBAND IF IT’S NOT SPLIT The chief executive of BT, Gavin Peterson, has promised to “significantly” increase investment in its broadband network in a final appeal ahead of a review that could call for the company to be broken up. People familiar with BT’s plans say the company would commit over £1bn in investment if it is allowed to keep operating Openreach, the country’s broadband network. MPS CALL FOR FASTER INFRASTRUCTURE APPROVAL After close to two years and 160 sittings, which went through 1,600 of the 2,588 objections to phase one of the proposed new High-Speed 2 railway line, WHAT THE OTHER PAPERS SAY THIS MORNING ONE PERSON has died and three people are missing following the collapse of a building at Didcot A Power Station, in Oxfordshire. The decommissioned Didcot A plant closed in 2013 and demolition work was taking place at the time of the explosion. Thames Valley Fire Control Service confirmed the fatality and also reported four people were injured in a “very severe incident”. Pollster: Brits are anti-EU but will still vote to stay REFERENDUM LAUREN FEDOR BRITISH voters are deeply eurosceptic but are still more likely to vote to remain in the European Union, an influential pollster has claimed. In a new British Social Attitudes report out last night, John Curtice – the political scientist best known for conducting the spot-on exit poll at last year’s General Election – said while nearly half of Britons see the EU as a threat to UK identity, and most favour major EU reforms, fewer than one in four thinks the UK would be better off outside the EU. According to the survey, twice as many voters think Britain should remain an EU member (60 per cent) as believe the country should leave (30 per cent). THE TIMES ASTON MARTIN TAKES THE DBX TO WALES The new Aston Martin DBX is to be built in south Wales in a move that will create 4,000 jobs. The James Bond car maker will build a new factory at an old airfield at St Athan, Glamorgan. EDF PREPARES SALE TO BOOST HINKLEY POINT politicians are pleading for a faster way to consult on big projects. The hearings over HS2 have now concluded, clearing a hurdle for the first phase of the proposed £57bn line from London to Birmingham. EDF will help to pay for the construction of the planned new £18bn nuclear power plant at Hinkley Point in Somerset by selling off part of its stake in the French power grid. The cash-strapped French energy group is in talks with the French government, its majority shareholder with an 84.5 per cent stake, about a financing plan that would be worth €10bn a year. LONDON FIRMS BACK SINGLE MARKET Nearly all London firms say access to the Single Market is the capital’s “single greatest strength”, according to a new survey from the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) and CBRE. The poll of 200 firms found three-quarters of businesses have customers, and almost two-thirds of firms have suppliers, in the European Union. Ninety-three per cent of those polled said London was a “good” or “very good” place to do business, and 83 per cent said the capital was a better financial hub than New York or Hong Kong. The CBI – which has come under attack from eurosceptics for its pro-EU stance – said last week that it would be conducting a new national poll of its members’ views in response to Prime Minister David Cameron’s reform deal. “Most CBI members, though not all, have told us that being in a reformed EU is better for jobs, growth and pros- THE DAILY TELEGRAPH THOMAS COOK HIT BY INVESTOR REVOLT OVER PAY Thomas Cook, the world’s oldest travel company, revealed that 25.3 per cent of investors who voted at its AGM had opposed its remuneration report. It is a blow to the tour operator, as the firm had already courted controversy over pay. GKN SHRUGS OFF CHINA SALES SLOWDOWN Engineer GKN, the drive shaft and gearbox maker whose parts go into one in every two new cars, has shaken off worries about a slowdown in China, the world’s largest car market. GKN reported sales up four per cent at £7.2bn on a statutory basis. perity,” CBI boss Carolyn Fairbairn said on Saturday. “With a final deal now in place, we will consult our members to ask for their views once again.” Separately, EEF chair Martin Temple will tell manufacturing bosses at the group’s annual dinner tonight that the campaign to leave the EU “has no tangible benefits to show voters and can only offer an abyss of uncertainty”. SCOTIABANK: BREXIT WOULD HIT GROWTH AND STERLING Scotiabank has warned that UK GDP growth could slow by between two and five per cent in two years after a Brexit. In a note to clients yesterday, Alan Clarke, the bank’s head of European fixed income strategy, said he would “assume the impact would be at the lower end of the scale”. Clarke also said sterling is the “most likely candidate for a market reaction in response to a vote to leave the EU”, saying a “fall in GBP/USD to 1.30 seems reasonable”. THE WALL STREET JOURNAL US HOME SALES RISE 0.4 PER CENT CONTINUING GROWTH Healthy home sales last month kept the US housing recovery on track, though fast-rising prices and jitters about the broader economy could crimp buyer demand in the coming months. Sales of previously owned homes rose 0.4 per cent in January from the prior month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.47m. DREAMWORKS ANIMATION REVENUE AND EARNINGS UP DreamWorks Animation SKG, the family entertainment studio known for movies like Shrek and Kung Fu Panda, posted sharply better-than-expected results for its fourth quarter, propelled by a 36 per cent jump in revenue for the period. WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 CITYAM.COM Oil price falters as Saudis shoot down output cut BILLY BAMBROUGH THE SAUDI oil minister Ali al-Naimi has denied Opec is at war with the shale oil industry, though he has dismissed rumours of an eventual production cut. His comments pushed the oil price down by around four per cent to $31.81 dollars per barrel for West Texas Intermediate and $33.28 for Brent crude in evening trading. The oil price has recorded a price rise of almost 10 per cent over the past few trading sessions. Al-Naimi was speaking at the IHS CERAWeek conference in Houston, Texas, in front of much of the US shale oil industry. The minister, considered to be the industry’s most influential policymaker, reiterated Opec’s stance that the desert kingdom is willing to work with other oil producers to stabilise the price after a supply glut has driven it down, despite growing demand around the world. Al-Naimi said: “I welcome all sources of supply, including shale. We are hopeful that the nimbleness of shale oil producers will continue.” The de facto Opec leader, Saudi Arabia has been trying to broker a deal to limit both Opec and non-Opec production at January levels and rumours emerged a deal to reduce output would follow. “Saudi wants to let the market decide the price, and we’ve known that for some time. What’s sent the oil price down is dismissal of rumours there could be a production cut after the freeze, that’s not going to happen,” Spencer Welch, director of oil markets for IHS, told City A.M. The deal has largely been eschewed by oil experts, who claim it will be impossible to enforce and the countries would not stick to it. Meanwhile, the Iranian oil minister pushed the price of oil lower, calling the proposed deal “ridiculous” and “laughable”. WHO ARE THE MAIN PLAYERS BEHIND THE DEAL? ANDREW BEDNAR ROGER BARRON SIMON ROBEY PARTNER, PERELLA WEINBERG PARTNER, LINKLATERS PARTNER, ROBEY WARSHAW LAUREN FEDOR, HAYLEY KIRTON AND JULIAN HARRIS BOUTIQUE banks are booming, and none more so than London-based Robey Warshaw. Co-founder Simon Robey may be a huge Arsenal fan, but was forced to miss last night’s defeat to Barcelona as he was hard at work on another huge pan-European event – namely the London Stock Exchange’s proposed merger with Deutsche Boerse. It is testament to Robey Warshaw’s burgeoning success that few eyebrows were raised when the bank was named as the LSE’s top adviser on the deal yesterday afternoon. The modestly sized outfit became the talk of the town last year, nabbing highly coveted positions on huge mergers and acquisitions, such as Shell’s £36bn takeover of BG, Aviva’s £5.6bn tie-up with Friends Life and, most impressively, the intoxicating $100bn+ SABMiller-ABInBev deal known as Mega-Brew. The year ended with Robey being named Dealmaker of the Year at City A.M.’s Awards, with Robey Warshaw breaking into the top 10 of the closely watched M&A league table. Robey has worked with the London Stock Exchange before, for example on the 2014 purchase of Frank Russell. On the other side of the table sits Andrew Bednar, who is advising Deutsche Boerse on behalf of another boutique – Perella Weinberg. City A.M. understands that Philip Yates is on the deal for Perella Weinberg from the London office. Bednar, who is based in New York, is a previous M&A banker at Goldman Sachs and Bank of America and a graduate of Cornell. And on the legal side, Linklaters’ Roger Barron is advising on the deal, while fellow Magic Circle law firm Freshfields is also involved. NEWS 03 CONTINUED FROM PAGE 1 LSE chief executive Xavier Rolet raised deal expectations in April last year when he said he expected the LSE to strike a deal with one of the “big four” western exchanges by the end of 2016. “Market infrastructure is still a bit of a cottage industry. It is ripe for change,” Rolet said. “When there is an industry with competitive tension, consolidation tends to be not too far behind.” LSE has made many of its own acquisitions in recent years, including the Italian exchange Borsa Italiana in 2007 for more than £1.1bn. Deutsche Boerse’s new chief executive, Carsten Kengeter, meanwhile, said upon taking over at the exchange last June that he had an “open mind” when it came to large acquisitions. If completed, the deal will consist of an all-share merger under a new holding company that would give Deutsche Boerse shareholders a 54.4 per cent stake and LSE shareholders 45.6 per cent. The combined group would have a single board with equal representation from LSE and Deutsche Boerse directors. It remains unclear what roles Rolet and Kengeter would have in the newly merged firm, or what the implications might be for chancellor George Osborne’s ambitious plans to connect the LSE with China’s Shanghai Stock Exchange. 04 NEWS WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 Head of Powa Technologies, Dan Wagner Powa workers are let go after administration BILLY BAMBROUGH POWA TECHNOLOGIES, once billed by its chief executive Dan Wagner as the future biggest tech company in the world, has made 74 of its London employees redundant after burning through its massive cash pile. The firm was placed into administration on Friday, appointing Deloitte to oversee a potential sale after lead investor Wellington Management called in its loans. Yesterday, one of its three subsidiaries, Powa Technologies, was also put into administration. Deloitte has said there are a number of parties interested in Powa. The firm has around 100 staff at its London HQ, according to its LinkedIn page, and over 300 worldwide. “The situation seems to be the rate of cash burn has just outstripped investor willingness to replace it,” said Nick Hood, business risk analyst at Opus Restructuring. “Although frankly there is no relevant financial information in the public domain at the moment, stakeholders are stumbling around in the dark until Deloitte make an announcement.” City A.M. understands Deloitte will make an announcement on the state of the business within days. The tech startup, once valued at $2.7bn after acquiring a rival in a stock deal, has been building mobile retail apps but is described as “pre-revenue”. Last week the company confirmed it had been struggling to pay staff and suppliers. Mars recalls chocolate bars in UK after plastic production line scare LYNSEY BARBER Connect | Follow | Like | Share Keep informed 24/7: Don’t forget to follow us on LinkedIn, Twitter, Facebook and Google+ CHOCOLATE maker Mars has been forced to recall potentially millions of its sweet snacks, including best-selling Mars and Snickers bars, from more than 50 countries, including the UK after they were found to potentially contain bits of plastic. The US company said the popular sweets are being recalled in 55 countries across Europe, including the UK, Germany, France and the Netherlands in Europe as well as Sri Lanka and Vietnam but the number of products affected is not yet known. Those with best before dates of between 19 June 2016 and 8 January 2017 produced at its factory in the Netherlands are being cleared from shelves. The company said in a statement: “With this recall, we would like to prevent consumers who have purchased one of the above-mentioned products from consuming it.” WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 CITYAM.COM StanChart profit plummets 84pc as shares plunge HAYLEY KIRTON STANDARD Chartered yesterday revealed that it had made a loss overall for the year and that its underlying profits before tax had dropped sharply. The Asia-focused bank announced underlying profits before tax of $0.8bn (£0.6bn) for its year ended December 2015, down 84 per cent from $5.2bn the year before. After taking costs such as restructuring and goodwill impairment into account, the company made a loss before tax for the year of $1.5bn, down from $4.2bn profit the year before. Commenting on the results, Bill Winters, group chief executive, said: “While 2015 performance was poor, the actions we took on capital throughout last year and in particular in December have positioned us strongly for the current macro environment. “We have a balance sheet that is resilient and we are in the right markets. We have identified our risk issues, and we are dealing with them assertively. “We are making good progress on executing our strategy, creating a bank that will generate improved financial performance over time following from our improved cost efficiency, tightened risk controls, and focus on our many core advantages.” Shares in StanChart closed sharply down 6.73 per cent at 406.95p. STANDARD CHARTERED 460 450 440 430 420 410 400 P 23 Feb 406.95 390 17 Feb 18 Feb 19 Feb 22 Feb 23 Feb NEWS 05 Banks named as worst for cutting costs BILLY BAMBROUGH Oil firms could be hit by “domino effect”. Insert: City A.M.’s report on the crisis earlier this month UK North Sea oil firms are now teetering on edge of an abyss CATHERINE NEILAN NORTH Sea oil firms are operating on the brink of collapse, with nearly half of all oil fields on the continental shelf likely to operate at a loss this year, a new report has warned. Oil & Gas UK’s annual survey of the sector yesterday found that while operating costs have been driven down, it is not enough to offset the decline of the price of oil, prompting it to raise the alarm if it stays at or around $30 a barrel for the rest of the year. Their “interconnectivity” with other fields would mean many more would fall into the red thanks to a “domino effect”, the report also warned. This would deter groups from “further exploration and capital investment, and making additional cost improvement imperative”. BANKS have topped the list of companies that are throwing money away on unnecessary costs, wasting up to 10 per cent of their revenue each year according to a survey from the Chartered Institute of Management Accountants (CIMA). Over a third of respondents from the banking industry claimed their companies’ waste between five per cent and 10 per cent of revenue every year, and a further 38 per cent admitted they have very little adherence to cost saving measures. In total, British firms recklessly spent to the tune of £194bn in 2015, a figure that could cover the cost of the NHS for a year, or pay for almost five HS2 high-speed rail lines. The careless spending has been put down to inefficient systems, delayed or cancelled projects, and over-payment for goods or services. The average over-spend for companies in the UK stood at 5.2 per cent last year. Just over half (53 per cent) of the 2,000 accountants polled admitted that their organisations lack any kind of strategy to be cost competitive. WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 CITYAM.COM Carney: BoE not mulling negative rates quite yet CHRIS PAPADOPOULLOS BANK of England governor Mark Carney yesterday said the institution does not yet consider negative interest rates to be an appropriate stimulus measure for the UK. He told MPs on the Treasury Select Committee that the Bank would consider lowering rates below the current record low of 0.5 per cent if necessary, but they would be unlikely to go below zero. “One of the things we have been looking at… is the ability of those institutions [building societies] to build an appropriate capital base,” he said. “Because they had built up capital in the last several years, it is now our judgement that we could, if necessary, lower bank rate. It is not yet our judgement that it could go negative. “If we were ever in a situation where we needed more stimulus we have other options.” Negative interest rates are being tried on the continent, with the Eurozone, Denmark, Switzerland and Sweden using them in one form or another. Monetary policy committee member Gertjan Vlieghe hinted that he would be voting for more stimulus if developments worsened. “I have relatively little tolerance for further downside surprises,” Vlieghe said. “Should downside surprises continue then I think we will get relatively quickly to a point where I find it appropriate to respond to it.” Questions on the economic impact of the EU referendum will be addressed on 8 March, when Carney and Sir Jon Cunliffe will face another round of questioning from the TSC. The BoE governor brushed off questions over the future path of the sterling exchange rate. The Bank’s forecasts assume the current exchange rate is maintained throughout the forecast period, Carney said. NEWS 07 Banks could be pushed to risky investing CHRIS PAPADOPOULLOS Minouche Shafik has not voted for a rate cut or rise since joining the MPC in 2015 Shafik and Weale forecasting a rate hike sooner than expected CHRIS PAPADOPOULLOS INTEREST rates are likely to go up sooner and faster than is currently implied by a gauge of financial market expectations, two Bank of England rate setters said yesterday. Monetary policy committee (MPC) member Minouche Shafik said rates would increase faster than implied by the market yield curve. The market yield curve currently points to the first rate hike coming at the end of 2019. Martin Weale – who has voted for a hike 12 times – said he expected inflation to rise faster than in the Bank’s latest forecast, which sees inflation overshooting its two per cent target over the next two years. Shafik has yet to vote for a rate hike or cut since joining the MPC in 2015. Subdued profitability caused by low interest rates could push banks toward riskier activities, a top European regulator has warned. Daniele Nouy, chair of the European Central Bank’s supervisory board, said in London yesterday: “Low profitability is obviously a major concern for the stockholders of banks. And it is also a concern for supervisors. Over the long term, low profitability threatens the ability of banks to generate capital and access financial markets. Ultimately, a lack of profitability affects the stability of banks. “Weak profitability might push banks into a hazardous search for yield. And we do observe a trend towards higher risk-taking by banks. “Certain banks in the euro area have, for instance, invested in leveraged finance such as high-yield bonds.” She said recent falls in bank shares and concerns over profitability were reflections of “weak economic growth and a prolonged period of very low interest rates”. Renault CAPTUR Capture life 0% APR representative £199 per month Plus an additional £500 towards your fuel until 14th March* Book your test drive at renault.co.uk The official fuel consumption figures in mpg (l/100km) for the Renault Captur Dynamique Nav TCe 90 are: Urban 47.1 (6.0); Extra Urban 62.8 (4.5); Combined 55.4 (5.1). The official CO2 emissions are 114g/km. EU Directive and Regulation 692/2008 test environment figures. Fuel consumption and CO2 may vary according to driving styles, road conditions and other factors. Based on 24 monthly payment of £199, £1,504 deposit and an optional final payment of £8,715. Finance provided by Renault Finance, PO Box 149, Watford, WD17 1FJ. Subject to status. Indemnities may be required. UK residents only (excluding the Channel Islands). Over 18s. Terms and conditions apply. Offer based on 6,000 miles per annum, excess mileage 8p per mile inc VAT. Finance available to retail customers only on Captur when ordered between 12th February and 31st March 2016 and registered by 30th June 2016. *Offer for £500 cash back towards your fuel (including VAT) is available to retail customers only on new Clio and Captur models when ordered between 12th February and 14th March 2016 and registered by 31st March 2016. Car shown has optional i.d. metallic paint and painted roof at an extra £894. Available at participating dealers only. Visit renault.co.uk for full details. 08 NEWS WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 CITYAM.COM Netflix is making a killing with its programming N ETFLIX series Making a Murderer is another huge hit for the streaming service, with observers reacting with a mix of bewilderment, shock and suspicion at the undulating story. The show became Netflix’s latest must watch – after House of Cards – with viewers rushing to complete the series, while the momentum around the programme became insatiable. However, now that the initial hubbub surrounding the programme has subsided slightly, YouGov data enables us to speculate on the Stephan Shakespeare longer-term impact the show has made on Netflix’s position in the market. It is important to recap how big a success the documentary has been in terms of creating noise for Net- flix. YouGov’s Word of Mouth metric measures whether a responded has discussed a particular brand with friends, family or workmates etc. On this front, Netflix’s score rose by eight per cent following the release of the programme, reaching a high point of 18 per cent at the beginning of February. The real positive for Netflix is that this discussion and excitement has resulted in an increase in overall brand health and, according to YouGov’s Purchase Consideration Metric, a rise in the percentage of respondents that would think about signing up to the service. Among those aware of the company, there was a rise of 12 points on this metric, reaching a high of 32 on 5 February. Underlying all of this, of course, is that Netflix’s subscribers – now more than ever perhaps – associate the streaming service with essential viewing, and innovative programming that they may not get elsewhere. This is a repeat occurrence, and capitalises upon the changing viewing habits that its core audience now exhibits. A further trick it seems to have conjured up is to make the “not to be missed” content very social – something to be shared, discussed and bickered about by friends and the online community. It seems there’s very little stopping Netflix’s march to even greater prominence and domination of the sector. For the moment, its rivals are playing catch up. £Stephan Shakespeare is the chief executive of YouGov NETFLIX BRANDINDEX WOM SCORE - HAVE YOU DISCUSSED THE BRAND WITH ANYONE IN THE LAST TWO WEEKS? 20 % 15 10 source: yougov.com 5 1 Dec ‘15 21 Dec ‘15 10 Jan ‘16 30 Jan ‘16 19 Feb ‘16 Free tablet? Deal. When you get the Sony Xperia™ M4 Aqua and tariff for just £13 a month. Phone and tariff £13 a month Android™ tablet Sony Xperia™ M4 Aqua Limited stock. Blink and you’ll miss them. virginmedia.com | 0800 052 0927 | Virgin Media store Representative cost for Sony Xperia™ M4 Aqua and tariff Duration of credit agreement: 24 months Upfront fee: £0 Monthly device/s payment: £8 Total credit amount: £192 Representative APR: 0% Device/s cash price: £192 Monthly tariff cost: £5 Prices shown for eBill. For paper bill add £1.50. 24-month contract. Credit check and payment by Direct Debit required. Early disconnection fees apply. The charge for your tariff will increase with your July bill each year. Any increase will be in line with the Retail Price Index (RPI) rate of inflation at the time and we’ll always give you 30 days’ notice of the exact increase each year. Freestyle Legal Stuff: You must pay off your loan in full in order to upgrade your handset. 0% APR Representative. Based on a 24-month consumer credit agreement with Virgin Media Mobile Finance Limited for the phone and a 30-day rolling Pay Monthly Airtime Contract with Virgin Mobile Telecoms Limited. Credit subject to status, credit check and payment by Direct Debit. 18+. Terms and conditions apply. Visit virginmedia.com/freestyle for full details. Virgin Media Mobile Finance Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority under register no. 626215. Registered office: Media House, Bartley Wood Business Park, Hook, Hampshire RG27 9UP. Registered in England and Wales no. 9058868. Android™ tablet offer: Free Alcatel Pixi 3 7-inch WiFi Android™ tablet (the ‘tablet’) available when purchasing a Sony Xperia™ M4 Aqua from Virgin Media on a Freestyle Pay Monthly tariff. Offer available while stocks of the tablet last. If the handset and tariff order is cancelled or exchanged within 14 days, the tablet must be returned with the handset in an unused condition along with its original packaging and all accessories. If the tablet is damaged on return or you fail to return all the parts and accessories, we reserve the right to charge you for the full recommended retail price of the tablet (£59.99) or for any repair cost. There is no cash, credit or other alternative to the tablet. Non transferable. Further Legal Stuff applies. See virginmedia.com for details. WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 CITYAM.COM Investors brush off tax fears and bet on Ladbrokes EMMA HASLETT NOT A great day Ladbrokes, after it reported a 50 per cent fall in profits for 2015 as increased taxes began to have an impact. The high street gambling firm said trading profits fell 50.3 per cent, from £112.2m last year to £55.8m in 2015. That’s above analyst expectations – last week Deutsche Bank said it expected profits to fall to £44m. Statutory pre-tax profits fell into a £43.2m loss in 2015, down from a £37.7m profit in 2014. Group operating profits fell 35.7 per cent to £80.6m – which it said reflected the fact gambling taxation had increased by £50m. Statutory revenues edged up, from £1.17bn last year to £1.2bn this year. Basic earnings per share fell 9.9 per cent from 10.1p to 9.1p, while total dividend per share fell 66.3 per cent, from 8.9p to 3p. Shareholders seemed mollified – share jumped 5.8 per cent by the close, to 125.54p. The bookie had made a £13.4m loss on closure of UK stores, plus another £6.4m loss on European stores. The light at the end of the tunnel is its impending £2.3bn merger with Gala Coral, due to take place later this year. The two companies are still awaiting approval from the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA). Jim Mullen, Ladbrokes’ chief executive said its online and Australian stores had impressive growth. LADBROKES 132 130 128 129.30 23 Feb 126 124 122 120 17 Feb 18 Feb 19 Feb 22 Feb 23 Feb 09 Persimmon profits leap by 34 per cent EMMA HASLETT Fewer guests checking in some markets was balanced by “robust” bookings in Europe InterContinental Hotels share price up on $1.5bn dividend plan CATHERINE NEILAN P NEWS INTERCONTINENTAL Hotels’ (IHG) share price jumped 4.7 per cent yesterday as the group revealed plans for a $1.5bn (£1.1bn) special dividend. Revenues for 2015 dropped three per cent to $1.8bn, slightly lower than the $1.83bn that was expected, but fee revenue was up seven per cent to $1.35bn. Operating profit climbed four per cent to $680m, while net debt was cut 65 per cent to $529m. The total dividend per share rose to 85 cents. IHG has now sold the last of its major owned hotels, becoming almost a solely hotel management and franchising company, running brands from the top end of the market to budget names such as Holiday Inn Express. THE HOUSEBUILDING sector chalked up another win yesterday, after Persimmon reported a 34 per cent jump in pre-tax profits. Underlying pre-tax profits rose to £637.8m in the year to the end of December, up 34 per cent on last year's £475m, while full-year revenues rose 13 per cent to £2.9bn. The company said legal completions jumped eight per cent to 14,572, while average selling prices increased 4.5 per cent to £199,127. Meanwhile, underlying basic earnings per share increased 39 per cent to 173p - and it said it will pay a dividend of 110p per share. Official figures published last week suggested prices rose 9.4 per cent last year and government schemes to encourage home ownership look set to increase demand further. Company chairman Nicholas Wrigley said: “Customer activity in the early weeks of the 2016 spring season has been encouraging”. Investors cheered the results, sending shares in the company up by 2.84 per cent in London yesterday. 10 NEWS WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 CITYAM.COM WH Ireland slapped with £1.2m fine after it fails to address market abuse CATHERINE NEILAN THE CITY watchdog yesterday fined WH Ireland £1.2m and banned it from taking on new clients in its corporate broking division over the next 72 days over market abuse failings. The Financial Conduct Agency (FCA) found that for six months in 2013, the business did not have proper controls in place to prevent market abuse being detected or occurring. Specific breaches included having deficient controls to ensure inside information did not leak from the private to the public side of its business or in ensuring disclosure to external parties was conducted in a controlled manner with proper safeguards in place. It was also found to have inadequate personal account dealing rules for employees. It also failed to maintain an effective written conflicts of interest policy and suffered from “deficient compliance oversight”, including the absence of a formal risk management framework for market abuse and inadequate post-trade surveillance systems. “As such, there was significant scope for an adverse impact on the market and on a large number of other market participants if that inside information was mishandled,” the watchdog said. Labour’s shadow business secretary Angela Eagle is appointing industry advisers “The horse is here to stay but the automobile is only a novelty—a fad.” The President of the Michigan Savings Bank, 1903 Do you put up with the status quo or are you looking for a better way to invest? Join MoneyFarm to get an Investment ISA managed free of charge. Visit moneyfarm.com or call 0800 433 4574. Use code PR02. Eagle swoops to boost Labour’s business ties LAUREN FEDOR LABOUR’S shadow business secretary Angela Eagle has taken steps to repair her party’s relationship with British businesses, announcing yesterday that she will convene a new group of business leaders to advise Labour politicians. Labour’s Business and Enterprise Advisory Council will be chaired by Anthony Watson, who is the president and chief executive of Uphold, a cloud-based fintech firm. According to the announcement from Labour, the council will meet quarterly to “discuss and develop ideas and to help recalibrate Labour’s relationship with the business community”. It follows a similar model to Prime Minister David Cameron’s Business Advisory Group, which meets four times a year and includes BP chief executive Bob Dudley, Legal & General boss Nigel Wilson and EasyJet’s Carolyn McCall among its members. Time exploring bid to purchase Yahoo’s core internet business JESSICA TOONKEL MoneyFarm uses ETFs: investment funds which are traded like shares. As the value of investments may go down as well as up, you may not get back the full amount you invested. Subject to a valid promotional code. No fees will be charged on money invested in a MoneyFarm ISA between 9th February 2016 – 5th April 2016. Conditions apply, see website for details. MoneyFarm is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. No. 629539. A Labour spokesperson said the party will announce more members of the new advisory council “in the coming weeks”. Commenting on yesterday’s announcement, Eagle said that she was “delighted” to launch the group “which will assist Labour in reaching out to and building partnerships with the business community as we seek to devise workable and deliverable policies that provide the solutions to the pressing issues impacting business and industry”. “It’s great that Anthony has agreed to chair this group which will help forge a new vision for a dynamic industrial strategy, because he has the fresh ideas and a proven track record of putting innovation and ethics at the heart of business practices,” Eagle added. Watson said he looked forward to “building a council across the crucial areas of growth for the future of the UK economy”. THE PUBLISHER of Sports Illustrated, People and Time magazines has been exploring a bid to acquire Yahoo’s core internet business for several weeks, a source familiar with the situation told Reuters yesterday. Time Inc has been reaching out to bankers on pursuing a deal with Yahoo, according to the source, who wished to remain anonymous, not being permitted to speak to media. The publisher, which has seen print advertising dollars dry up in recent quarters, has been trying to boost its digital presence through acquisitions of online properties, saying this month it would buy social networking pioneer MySpace. Verizon Communications, which owns internet pioneer AOL, has expressed interest in Yahoo’s core business, which includes Mail, its news and sports sites and advertising technology. Analysts at SunTrust Robinson Humphrey have valued the core business at $6bn (£4.2bn) to $8bn. It is unclear if the company has retained an investment bank as financial adviser on the potential bid. Yahoo officially launched the sale of Reuters its core business on Friday. WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 CITYAM.COM NEWS 11 Fears over German growth rising CHRIS PAPADOPOULLOS Manufacturers’ business expectations fell at their steepest rate since 2008 City watchdog slammed over PPI protection GERMAN sentiment on the economy has taken a sharp tumble to its lowest value for over a year, data released yesterday reveals. The IFO business climate index for German industry and trade dropped to a score of 105.7 in February from January’s 107.3. It is the lowest score since December 2013. The index was dragged down by a steep fall in manufacturers’ business expectations, which suffered its largest monthly fall since November 2008. “Expectations fell very sharply and are now at their lowest level since December 2012, when Germany last dipped into recession,” said economist Jennifer McKeown of Capital Economics. “The latest data support our longheld view that the German recovery will slow this year. We expect annual growth of about one per cent to follow last year’s 1.4 per cent rise, but a further decline in the survey indicators would pose a downside risk to even our below consensus forecast.” The German economy grew by 0.3 per cent over the final three months of 2015, official figures from German federal statistics office Destatis showed yesterday. Scotland fiscal arrangements have been set HIGH RISE HAYLEY KIRTON JAMES NICKERSON THE FINANCIAL Conduct Authority (FCA) is unable show that its actions are effective in reducing mis-selling to consumers, according to a report by the National Audit Office (NAO). The report, released today, reveals that the information the watchdog holds is not suitable for showing a link between its actions and complaints. For example, from the NAO’s research, the FCA does not appear to collect information on which misselling events prompt specific complaints. The NAO also found that, despite efforts by the watchdog to get firms to improve their complaints handling, there had been no noticeable reduction in the number of complaints upheld by the Financial Ombudsman Service over the past five years. “Legislative restrictions limit my access to information that the FCA holds on firms making it impossible to draw definitive conclusions on its approach,” said Amyas Morse, head of the NAO. “The information my staff could see, such as customer complaints, does not show any clear reduction in the extent of mis-selling. “The FCA cannot be confident that its actions are reducing the overall level of mis-selling, and it has further to go to show it is achieving value for money.” However, it found that many firms had altered their incentive structures to reduce the risk of mis-selling in light of sanctions issued by the FCA, particularly in relation to sales of Payment Protection Insurance (PPI). An FCA spokesperson said: “The report makes clear that the recommendations, which we are accepting, are designed to build on the FCA’s current strategy and increase confidence that it is achieving its intended outcomes for consumers.” THE SCOTTISH and UK governments yesterday reached agreement on the financial arrangement that will support new devolved powers. Negotiations over the fiscal framework have been ongoing since March 2015, with both governments in deadlock over how to resolve Scotland’s block grant. “We have reached a deal which is fair to Scotland and fair to the whole of the UK. It delivers accountability to the Scottish government and transforms politics in Scotland,” Prime Minister David Cameron said. “It means May’s Holyrood elections can be fought on the issues which matter most: how the Scottish government should use these extensive new powers, rather than what they are.” The deal lays out how Holyrood – the Scottish parliament – will be funded when new tax-raising powers are transferred across the border. Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said that the deal will “not allow a single pound or even a penny to be taken from Scotland's budget. “It protects the Barnett Formula and allows the powers in the Scotland Bill to be delivered,” she added. The two sides had not previously been able to resolve a key principle in the Smith Commission deal on devolution, which stated there should be “no detriment” to either the UK or Scotland. The deal involves a five-year plan during which there would be no automatic cuts to Scotland’s budget arising from the devolution of new powers. After that, there would be a review without any prejudice as to the outcome, according to BBC Scotland. WARSAW’S REAL ESTATE MARKET IS DELIVERING ANNUAL YIELDS OF 8.5%*. Download a free copy of the latest Polish Residential Market Report at www.zlota44.com/invest “Europe’s most attractive property market.” EY, European Real Estate Assets Investment Trend Indicator The EU’s tallest residential building, Daniel Libeskind’s iconic ZŁOTA 44 epitomises Poland’s remarkable economic growth. These superb apartments and penthouses offer a living experience unequalled in Poland, combining world-class amenities and security with attractive potential returns. 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In an earlier interview with the FT, he apparently “broke ranks” with the rest of Silicon Valley which is backing Apple. “I do believe that with the right safeguards there are cases where the government, on our behalf, like stopping terrorism which could get worse in the future, is valuable. But striking that balance, clearly the government’s taken information historically and used it in ways that we didn’t expect, all the way to say when the FBI was under J Edgar Hoover,” he added. The Microsoft founder has clarified his comments on Apple’s fight with the FBI 12 NEWS WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 CITYAM.COM Hugo Boss’ share price turns ugly after warning on China demand BILLY BAMBROUGH HUGO Boss shares tumbled by almost 20 per cent last night, their biggest fall since October 2008, after it warned that sales in China and the US so far this year have been weaker than it expected. The German-based fashion label said in a statement that earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation and excluding spe- cial items will decline by a “low double-digit” percentage this year. Analysts polled by Bloomberg had expected just a one per cent decline for the period. Hugo Boss has said it will bring prices in Asia down, closer to levels in Europe and the US to try and drive sales. The Chinese luxury goods market has been hurt by Beijing’s clampdown on corruption and conspicuous spending and gifting in 2012. At US retailers, the fashion house will begin curtailing distribution, due to “highly promotional” levels of discounting eating into profits. Hugo Boss warned that its latest cost-saving drive would only partially be able to compensate for the price cuts in Asia and limiting of distribution to US wholesale. Hugo Boss will release its full-year financial results on 10 March. Hugo Boss is cracking down on discounting in the US but lowering prices in China * ** WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 CITYAM.COM Soaring student admissions lifts Unite earnings KASMIRA JEFFORD INVESTORS piling into student housing and soaring university admissions helped one of the sector’s biggest property firms Unite Group to deliver a leap in net asset value (NAV) and profits last year. The FTSE 250 company, which owns 46,000 beds across the UK valued at £3.8bn, said EPRA earnings, the industry benchmark, leapt by 84 per cent to £61.3m in 2015. Earnings per share increased by 66 per cent to 28.6p while its NAV per share rose by 33 per cent to 579p. The group has also hiked its full-year dividend by 34 per cent on the back of the strong results to 15p. A record 532,000 students were awarded university places in September after a cap on the number of applicants universities can admit was lifted last year. Around 440,000 students graduated, meaning that total student numbers were some 92,000 higher than the previous year. Chief executive Mark Allen said that going forward, the company expects the student population to grow by around 60,000 a year, fuelling demand for more student housing. “From what we can see being built in the pipeline, we think it is unlikely for more than 30,000 rooms will be built a year,” he told City A.M. Demand for student housing has also caused a surge in interest in the sector from outside investors. He estimates that around £5.5bn of new capital was invested into student property last year, which is more than a quarter of the sector’s overall value. Separate figures released by construction data firm Barbour ABI showed building activity in the sector reached a five-year high in 2015, with contracts awarded for more than 4,500 new rooms granted. The total value of construction projects for student housing was worth more than £2.3bn in 2015. LINGERING LOVE Valentine’s Day lifted sales at Hammerson’s shopping centres NEWS 13 One in six UK renters sub-lets their home KASMIRA JEFFORD HAMMERSON, the owner of the Bullring as well as Grand Central shopping centre in Birmingham, said like-for-like sales increased by 4.2 per cent across its malls in the first seven weeks of the year, boosted by the January sales and Valentine’s Day. RENTS as well as house prices may be rising but tenants are not missing a trick, with more than one in six admitting to have sub-let their home, new research today shows. Insurance provider Direct Line for Business reported that 17 per cent of tenants surveyed said they have rented out part or all of their property to someone who isn’t on the lease agreement. A quarter of people who sub-let their property didn’t check the terms of their lease to see if it was permitted, while 34 per cent had not informed their landlord. Over a fifth (23 per cent) of those sub-letters who did not tell their landlord were eventually caught, Direct Line said, and they did not always get off lightly. In 11 per cent of cases, the tenants named on the lease were evicted, with six per cent losing their deposit in the process. Others faced a hike in rents, a fine or a formal warning. However, this hasn’t put off renters, with 15 per cent saying they are thinking about sub-letting part or all of their rented home. Over-40s are being restricted by New stamp duty land their age when seeking mortgages tax could hit parents EMMA HASLETT THE OVER-40s are going berserk for mortgages – but banks and building societies are having trouble lending to them because of age restrictions, new research has found. The findings, published yesterday by Nottingham Building Society, suggested two in five mortgage brokers have reported a rise in mortgage customers over the age of 40 – but 17 per cent of those rejected reported age was the major reason. Among those aged between 45 and 54, that rose to 21 per cent. A third of brokers said they expected the problems to continue into this year. The lender said brokers are “working hard” to ease restrictions on lending for older borrowers. “It is baffling for people in their early 40s to be told they are too old to have a mortgage and particularly so when the average age of first-time buyers is rising, which means some could even be first-time buyers,” said Ian Gibbons, senior mortgage broking manager at Nottingham Mortgage Services. “However there are options out there for older borrowers and the key to ensuring they get the most appropriate mortgage is to search the whole market. If your existing lender is restricted on what it can do there are other options.” HAYLEY KIRTON IF YOU are currently saving to give your son or daughter a helping hand on to the property ladder, you might find you need to put aside a little bit more than you bargained for. The Chartered Institute of Taxation (CIOT) yesterday cautioned that the additional three per cent charge on stamp duty land tax announced in the Autumn Statement, and intended to apply to those purchasing a buy to let property or a second home, could also apply to parents who are jointly purchasing a property with their children. Brian Slater, chair of the CIOT’s property taxes sub-committee, said: “Life is complex and there are many situations where parents want to support their adult children in buying a home. Taking even a small interest… means that the extra three per cent is payable on the whole of the purchase price.” 14 NEWS WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 CITYAM.COM UK disposable incomes have risen to £25.7k Sales of properties in the UK at start of year up 7.7pc on 2015 figures LYNSEY BARBER THE NUMBER of properties sold at the start of 2016 across the UK was 7.7 per cent higher than in 2015, new figures out yesterday reveal. Nearly 105,400 residential properties were sold in January and just over 9,600 non-residential, compared with 97,000 and 9,740 a year earlier on a seasonally adjusted basis. “Even as the housing market builds a head of steam, there isn’t as much movement as might be hoped for,” said Andrew Bridges, managing director of London estate agent Stirling Ackroyd of the property transaction figures from HMRC. “Our capital is a case in point. Escalating stamp duty charges are largely responsible for this slowdown – deterring people from a change of scenery. These charges now apply to nearly every residential transaction in London. “So new measures or more effort from the government are needed to encourage moving – and wake the London property market out of its current slumber.” The mortgage Advice Bureau’s head of lending Brian Murphy said: “Despite the fact that rising prices have clearly not put a dampener on activity, policymakers need to work hard to ensure that the market is accessible for first-time buyers and borrowers on modest incomes. “While conditions are good for those who can meet affordability criteria and raise a deposit, it is important to ensure that a diverse range of prospective buyers are supported in accessing the housing market.” EMMA HASLETT Swiss Re –based in the Gherkin –benefited from an absence of major natural catastrophes Swiss Re names new chief exec as its net income increases 31pc EMMA HASLETT SWISS Re, the insurance giant after which the Gherkin was once named, said yesterday that it has appointed a new chief executive. The company said Christian Mumenthaler, currently head of its reinsurance division, will take over on 1 July, after current boss Michel Lies said he was planning on retiring. The news came Swiss Re said it had benefited in 2015 from the “absence of major natural catastrophes”, with group net income rising 31 per cent to $4.6bn (£3.3bn), up from $3.5bn in 2014. Premiums earned and fee income dropped to $30.2bn, from $31.3bn in 2014, which it attributed to unfavourable foreign exchange movements. MEDIAN household disposable income in the UK rose to £25,700 in the year to the end of 2015, up £1,500 from the year before, according to official figures released yesterday, suggesting the rich are getting poorer, while the poor are getting richer. Average income is now a hair above the at £25,400 people had just before the downturn, the Office for National Statistics figures showed. Meanwhile, the median disposable income among the richest fifth of households was still £2,000 – or 3.2 per cent – below the pre-downturn peak, after accounting for inflation and household composition. On the flipside, for the poorest fifth, income has risen by £700, or 5.8 per cent, since the pre-downturn peak. Income has been pushed up by employment and average earnings growth, which have both risen. Provident announces boost to its 2015 profits HAYLEY KIRTON SHARES in specialist lender Provident Financial rose more than two per cent yesterday as the company announced a boost to its profits for the year ended December 2015. The lender, which has more than two million customers, reported statutory profits before tax of £273.6m, up 21.8 per cent compared with £224.6m the year before. Shares rose after the results were announced, trading up 2.8 per cent at 3,289p shortly after 11:30am yesterday. They closed up 2.13 per cent at 3,267p. Car loan company Moneybarn, which Provident purchased in 2014, also reported positive profits for the year, with adjusted profits before tax of £21.3m for 2015, up 42 per cent from pro forma profits of £15m the year before. Subsidiary Vanquis Bank, which provides credit cards for those with a less-than-perfect credit history, also performed well, with profits before tax of £185.5m, up 22.8 per cent compared with £151m in 2014. “The group has made a good start to 2016,” added Peter Crook, chief executive of Provident Financial. “Vanquis Bank and Moneybarn have continued to trade strongly and the home credit business has enjoyed a very satisfactory collections performance.” Provident Financial has declared a final dividend of 80.9p per share, making a total dividend of 120.1p for the year, up from 98p paid a year ago. However, Mike van Dulken, head of research at Accendo Markets, suggested that the company may want to approach the future with caution. He said: “After doing an increasing volume of business while rates are at artificial lows, and with a generation now seeing an interest rate rise – or indeed anything other rates near zero – as an alien concept, what will happen when the Bank of England eventually starts to hike and normalise?” Government has a poor grasp on fraud levels and the information it holds is incomplete HAYLEY KIRTON THE GOVERNMENT lacks the right information accurately to detect and monitor levels of fraud, according to a report published yesterday by the National Audit Office (NAO). The report, which focuses on fraud at central government expenditure level, warned that, with the exception of details on tax credit and benefit fraud, information collected by the cabinet office is full of gaps and inconsistencies. The NAO also pointed out that the UK government’s detected levels of fraud were significantly lower than estimates for the EU and the US. While the National Audit Office is cautious about using these figures as direct comparisons, it stated that the degree of difference indicated that there could be frauds going unreported. In light of its findings, the NAO recommended that government departments should undertake thorough fraud risk assessments for new programmes that they are planning to implement and aim to improve the completeness of the fraud data they hold. The NAO also recommended that, once the cabinet office felt confident that it was collecting complete information, it should publish an annual report to improve transparency and raise awareness about fraud. A cabinet office spokesperson said: “We welcome the National Audit Office’s findings. “We are committed to having the best quality fraud data available across government and are working with departments to ensure this data collection is being done in the best possible way.” WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 CITYAM.COM Drax is slashing final dividend as profits tumble HAYLEY KIRTON SHARES in Drax Group plummeted almost eight per cent yesterday after the energy company cut its dividend and reported a sharp drop in profits. The company reported a profit before tax for the year ended December 2015 of £59m, almost two-thirds below its £166m the year before. The electrical power firm also announced it would be shelling out just 0.6p per share for its final dividend, down sharply from 7.2p per share in 2014, in line with its policy to distribute 50 per cent of underlying earnings. Total dividend per share for 2015 is 5.7p, compared with 11.9p in 2014. However, revenue grew for the company for the year, up to £3.1bn from £2.8bn the year before. “In a challenging year, we have delivered another strong operational performance and realised our vision to become a predominantly biomass fuelled generator,” said Dorothy Thompson, chief executive of Drax. “We are clear on the challenges ahead and how we will respond. The fastest, most affordable and safest way to reduce carbon emissions is to further deploy the world leading biomass technology Drax has pioneered to upgrade more of the UK’s existing coal fired power stations to sustainable biomass.” Meanwhile, Drax said it might decide to mothball its coal-fired power generation units, as part of a strategy review triggered by competition from cheap gas and renewables. A surge in intermittent renewable energy production and cheap gas prices have effectively priced coal-fired plants out of the market in Britain, whose government has anyway said it plans to shut all coal-fired stations by 2025 in a bid to lower carbon emissions. “We may choose to mothball them, but what we are keen to is to work with government and find the right solution,” said Thompson. ROYAL TRAIN Crossrail to be rebranded in honour of Queen Elizabeth NEWS 15 US watchdog orders Citibank topayback$5m HARRY BANKS CROSSRAIL is being rebranded before it has even launched. The multi-million-pound network, which will stretch from Reading in the west to Abbey Wood in east London and Shenfield in Essex, is going to be called the Elizabeth Line in honour of the Queen. THE US Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) yesterday ordered Citibank to pay $5m (£3.5m) back to customers and $3m in penalties over its debt sales and collection practices. In a statement, the agency said it took action against the financial services company for selling credit card debt with inflated interest rates and for not forwarding consumer payments promptly to debt buyers. It said it also ordered Citibank, part of Citigroup, and two law firms it used to comply with a court order to refund $11m to consumers and forgo collecting about $34m from about 7,000 consumers. “Citibank sent inaccurate information to buyers when it sold off credit card debt and it also used law firms that altered court documents,” CFPB director Richard Cordray said. “Today’s action provides redress to consumers who were victimised by slipshod practices as part of our ongoing work to fight abuses in the debt collection market.” Upgrade to First Class at weekends from just £5 (Feel free to dress for the occasion) Ticket upgrades available from your guard. See southwesttrains.co.uk/firstclass for more details. Terms, conditions and exclusions apply. 16 NEWS WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 CITYAM.COM What is helicopter money and will it work? LOSING CONTROL CHRIS PAPADOPOULLOS THE IDEA THE 18TH-century philosopher David Hume asked what would happen if some good fairy went around doubling the money in everybody’s pockets. No one would really be richer, he concluded, because prices would double. The thought experiment was taken further by Nobel laureate Milton Friedman in 1969, when he replaced the fairy with a helicopter. He wrote: “Let us suppose that one day a helicopter flies over this community and drops an additional $1,000 in bills from the sky, which is, of course, hastily collected by members of the community. Let us suppose further that everyone is convinced that this is a unique event which will never be repeated.” Friedman says people will not want to hold all the cash. Getting rid of excess cash is easy, you just have to spend more than you receive. He believes a helicopter drop would boost spending and, in an economy that is operating at full capacity, lift prices. It has led some economists to ponder whether the Bank of England could use such a technique to bring inflation back to its elusive two per cent target. But undertaking the policy is riddled with practical difficulties. A helicopter drop is very different to traditional quantitative easing (QE). When the Bank does QE, it creates new electronic bank reserves, and buys something with them, normally government debt. It gets something in return. That means the Bank’s assets – the stuff it owns – and the bank’s liabilities – the stuff it owes other people – have gone up by the same amount. BALANCE SHEET PROBLEMS Bank notes are a liability of the central bank. With helicopter money, the Bank would be creating a new liability, but would not be receiving an asset. When a bank, like any business or household, has liabilities greater than its assets, it is insolvent. The Bank of England has around £3bn of capital. That means it could create £3bn of new notes and dish them out before it became insolvent. Insolvency is a problem for a central bank. It pays interest on its liabilities, and does so using interest received on its assets. The interest it decides to pay on its liabilities is a vital part of the way it controls its main policy interest rate, Bank rate. The Bank of England does not pay interest on bank notes, but it does pay interest on reserves kept by banks, which bank notes can be exchanged for. Because it could not afford to pay interest, the helicopter drop would erode the ability of the central bank to raise interest rates in future. To boost the bank’s assets so it can pay interest, the government could step in and give it an asset free of charge. This asset would be an interestpaying government bond. Yet this would mean, in essence, the bank had created new money and received a government bond in return. This would be more like traditional QE, and would not fit the definition of helicopter money. The central bank could also create money to pay the interest on its liabilities. But this would mean it was doing a helicopter drop to pay for its previous helicopter drop. Such a situation would quickly spiral out of control as new helicopter money is required to pay interest on old helicopter money. The Bank could do a helicopter drop if it promised not to pay interest on new reserves. However, this would mean giving up a large deal of control over Bank rate and therefore future inflation. The helicopter drop is a nice thought experiment to help understand the relationship between money, spending and prices. But ultimately, it would undermine the current framework in place for adjusting interest rates to control inflation. The Bank is unlikely to seriously consider it. CALL CA LL 02 0208 0 20 08 83 392 92 4 92 45 4590 59 0 OR EM EMAIL EMA MA IL MA I L IN [email protected] N NFO NF F FO O@ @CHIL CH H IL HI I LD L DR DR RE E ESCUEA ES SCU SC CU UE E EA A LE L ER ERT.OR RG G UK G.UK G. TO GE TO GET ET Y YO OUR UR COMPANY COM OM MPA PAN PA NY YO NT TH HE C HE CHIL CH H IIL HI L LD DR RE E ESCUE ES SCU SC CU UE EA AL L ER LER LE ERT TEAM TE TEA EAM NOW. EA N NO OW. YOUR ON THE CHILD RESCUE ALERT I T ’S IT S FREE FR FR RE E EE E AND AND ND Y YO OU C CO OUL ULD LD SAVE S SA AVE VE A CHILD CH CHIL H IIL HI L LD D ’S ’S L IF IF FE E E.. YOU COULD LIFE. ŚŝůĚZĞƐĐƵĞůĞƌƚŝƐĂŶĂƟŽŶĂůƉŽůŝĐŝŶŐƚŽŽůƌƵŶďLJƚŚĞEĂƟŽŶĂůƌŝŵĞŐĞŶĐLJ͕ ƚŚĞĐŚĂƌŝƚLJDŝƐƐŝŶŐWĞŽƉůĞĂŶĚƚĞĐŚŶŽůŽŐLJĐŽŵƉĂŶLJ'ƌŽƵƉĐĂůů͘ &ŽƌŵŽƌĞŝŶĨŽƌŵĂƟŽŶ͕ŐŽƚŽǁǁǁ͘ĐŚŝůĚƌĞƐĐƵĞĂůĞƌƚ͘ŽƌŐ͘ƵŬ 18 NEWS CITYAM.COM WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 President Obama plans to shut Coal takes its toll on controversial Guantanamo prison commodities trader JAMES NICKERSON FRESH plans to close the controversial Guantanamo Bay detention facility in Cuba have been signalled by the Obama administration. The remaining 91 detainees are to be moved to their home countries or US prisons, the Pentagon has proposed, according to the BBC. Closing Guantanamo has been one of Obama’s long-term goals, and something he has been working towards since his first day in office in 2009. However, the US congress had so far thwarted his plans. It is expected that congress will move to block Obama's plan. Obama said yesterday the prison undermined national security. “This is about closing a chapter in our history, It reflects the lessons we’ve learned since 9/11, lessons that must guide our nation going forward.” White House secretary Josh Earnest said he was “not confident” that the plans would be politically palatable. He added that wouldn’t stop the president from arguing for closing down the controversial prison. Last July, the White House said Obama was in the “final stages” of drafting a plan to close the prison at Guantanamo. ANSHUMAN DAGA COMMODITY trader Noble Group warned of its first full-year loss in nearly 20 years yesterday, blaming a $1.2bn (£855m) writedown on low coal prices and prompting a credit rating downgrade by Moody’s. Ratings agency Moody’s cut Noble’s corporate rating and senior unsecured bond ratings to Ba3 from Ba1, while S&P said the loss was credit negative and could complicate refinanc- London Whale accused: Debacle was not my fault JONATHAN STEMPEL THE FORMER JP Morgan trader who became known as the “London Whale” as his unit generated $6.2bn (£4.4bn) of trading losses in 2012 said he is not to blame for the scandal and was made a scapegoat for decisions made by his superiors. In a roughly 2,100-word letter sent to media this week, in which he broke nearly four years of silence, Bruno Iksil said he had been “instructed repeatedly” by senior management in the bank’s chief investment office (CIO) to execute the trading strategy that caused the losses. Iksil, a French national who traded credit derivatives for JP Morgan in London, also said he objected to being called the London Whale, and being portrayed by media as solely responsible for the losses. He said he had in the summer of 2011 repeatedly warned colleagues about the trading strategy, and by early March 2012 was “raising alarms” over management’s plan to add even more risk. Losses began to publicly surface in early April 2012. “The losses suffered by the CIO were not the actions of one person acting in an unauthorised manner,” Iksil wrote. “My role was to execute a trading strategy that had been initiated, approved, mandated and monitored by the CIO’s senior management.” JP Morgan declined to comment last night. Lawyers for Iksil in the US yesterday confirmed the authenticity of the letter. The scandal hurt the reputation of JP Morgan chief executive Jamie Dimon, who at first downplayed the losses as a “tempest in a teapot” before changing course. JP Morgan ultimately paid more than $1bn and admitted wrongdoing to settle US and British probes into the losses. In 2013, the US Department of Justice decided not to prosecute Iksil over the losses. Iksil has been a cooperating witness in US proceedings against other individuals. He said in the letter that he cannot talk “plainly” about his knowledge of relevant events until those proceedings are over. Former JP Morgan traders Javier Martin-Artajo and Julien Grout have been charged with hiding losses linked to the CIO. They live in Europe and have not appeared in the US to answer charges there. Earlier this month, the Financial Conduct Authority fined former CIO executive Achilles Macris £792,900 for failing to be “open and cooperative” with authorities in connection with the losses. He said he settled after the FCA accepted that he did not deliberReuters ately mislead it. Multiple factors caused Takata airbags to fail DAVID SHEPARDSON Just under half of London households are worried about their finances One-fifth of London households in debt after paying for essentials JAMES NICKERSON NEARLY one in five London households end up in the red on a monthly basis after paying for essentials, according to new data. Figures published today by Scottish Friendly also found that after buying essentials such as housing, energy, water, groceries and transport, the average London household has just £934 left per month to save or use for socialising, clothing or other items. “For Londoners in particular, the cost of housing is a major issue. Keeping a roof over their head accounts for a huge chunk of Londoners disposable income. These day-to-day financial pressures are causing a sizeable minority to spend beyond their means every month,” said Calum Bennie, savings expert at Scottish Friendly. “Consequently less than half of Londoners are able to save regularly. This kind of financial fragility should be a concern for policymakers and businesses,” he added. Bennie said that while economic conditions are improving and there is subdued inflation, high employment and gradual increase in wages, these benefits are being offset by the rising cost of living, and particularly the cost of housing. CITY MOVES WHO’S SWITCHING JOBS Edited by Joseph Millis GN2 Tim Warren has joined central London property firm GN2 after nearly eight years at Cluttons LLP to lead in the expansion of their investment advisory offer. Tim has over 23 years’ experience and is joining as a director and head of the central London sales & investment team, based in the West End. Tim will be responsible for advising occupiers and investors on central & greater London office and retail markets. Specialising in central London, Tim has an extensive ing a credit facility in May. “The downgrade reflects the impact of the unexpected assets write-down on Noble’s business and financial profile,” Joe Morrison, Moody’s senior credit officer, said in a statement. Singapore-listed Noble, which has sought to reassure investors after an accounting dispute and as tumbling commodity markets battered its stocks and bonds, set its 2020 and beyond estimate for thermal coal conReuters tracts at $55 per tonne. track record of acting for owner occupiers, UK and overseas funds, large and small property companies, landed estates and UK & overseas private investors. CYRUS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT Cyrus Investment Management, the specialist engineering turnaround EIS investment adviser, has announced the appointment of Lord Peter Hain, formerly secretary of state for Wales, and General Sir Peter Wall, formerly chief of the general staff, to CIM’s advisory board. Hain served in the government for 12 years, seven of these in the cabinet, where he helped to negotiate the 2007 settlement to end the conflict in Northern Ireland and was a Foreign Minister with successive responsibilities for Africa, the Middle East To appear in CITYMOVES please email your career updates and pictures to [email protected] and Europe. Wall joined the Royal Engineers from Sandhurst in 1974. In 2010, he was appointed as chief of the general staff after a year as commander-in-chief land forces. He has served in Rhodesia, the Balkans, and Iraq. He has extensive experience of Whitehall and working at the top of government. Wall is now director of Amicus, a strategic leadership consultancy, specialising in imparting military command experience to the corporate world. SANNE GROUP Sanne Group, a provider of outsourced corporate and fund administration, reporting and fiduciary services, has announced the appointment of Justin Partington to a newly created role of global head of funds. Justin A COMBINATION of three factors is the root cause of Takata air bag inflator ruptures linked to at least 10 deaths worldwide, a group of 10 car companies said yesterday. According to the review by a Utah-based team from Orbital ATK, the cause of the ruptures linked to more than 100 injuries is exposure to humidity, design and manufacturing issues, and use of the volatile chemical ammonium nitrate. The results of the year-long review come as the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration continues to investigate whether the recalls of nearly 29m defective Takata inflators in the US should be expanded to include another 70m to 90m inflators with ammonium nitrate. Former managers interviewed by Reuters described “chronic” quality failures at Takata’s North American inflator plants, an assessment reflected in dozens of company emails and documents dating back to 2001. Those problems, the former managers said, make it difficult for the company and regulators to pinpoint which inflators – among tens of millions – pose a danger. When exposed to moisture, ammonium nitrate, which is used to inflate the air bag, can cause the inflator to rupture with deadly force, spraying shrapnel on Reuters vehicle occupants. SIGN UP TO RECEIVE THE DAILY CITY MOVES EMAIL SERVICE AT CITYAM.COM/CITY-MOVES is an experienced executive in fund services, having held leadership roles for 10 years in a range of fund administration businesses across the alternative asset sector in Cayman, London and the Channel Islands. TRYZENS E-commerce provider Tryzens has appointed Gregory Straw as its new partner manager. Greg joins Tryzens after previously working as a partner management executive at Sitecore, where he was principally tasked with the implementation and management of the new UK partner programme, managing growth partner accounts and recruiting new digital agencies into the ecosystem. Greg is also a special adviser for the British Interactive Media Association. CITYAM.COM WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 THECAPITALIST NEWS 19 Got A Story? Email [email protected] EDITED BY EDITH HANCOCK Hand of Provident… Analysts turned away the meeting.” Bates told The Capitalist he did forget to RSVP, but this hasn’t stopped him getting in before. He said: “I sent Provident an email at 7:50 am just so they’d know I was coming. Neither of our names was on the list, but the reception desk told us to contact Provident so they knew we were there and could let us in. “The person I spoke to said we were too late. I asked if he was joking. He said he wasn’t and would leave it to us to decide if it was anything to do with our seller status.” A spokesperson for the LSE confirmed that it was Provident who stopped them coming in. The meeting was held on the fifth floor of the LSE building, home to Numis – who are themselves a seller of the stock...well that’s one way to beat security. SECURITY at the London Stock Exchange (LSE) is notoriously tight, but was there another reason why two analysts were turned away from a meeting with Provident Financial? Word reaches The Capitalist that two City figures were shunned from the event yesterday for having committed the sin of placing a “sell” recommendation on the firm’s stock. The two analysts, Panmure Gordon’s Jeremy Grime and Liberum’s Justin Bates, claim that they were denied access for their negative view. On the other hand, a spokesperson for Provident said that it was the analysts who had snubbed the firm, claiming that the company sent more than one invitation to both analysts ahead of the meeting, but neither RSVP’d in time so were turned away at security. He added: “The security at the building is like an airport. Being sellers definitely wasn’t an issue, we had other sellers at Two analysts walk into the London Stock Exchange POWA POWERS DOWN Tech firm in no place to complain about Salesforce’s tower A BATTLE TO THE FRENCH BALL The Capitalist battled through an angry mob last night to attend the launch of Creative France – a campaign from the French government to raise the profile of the nation’s small businesses. While protestors targeting the French embassy gathered outside Shoreditch House and police forced attendees to wait out in the cold, the party kept going and the red wine flowed. Well, City A.M. is no stranger to diplomatic incidents. Back in 2014, a column by then-City A.M. editor Allister Heath referring to the France’s “failed social experiment” prompted a barbed, 10-point response from the French embassy bashing the Tory government and the NHS, and caused a war of words between Conservative MPs, Heath, and the then-French Ambassador. Sacre Bleu! QUOTE OF THE DAY… This is an isolated incident POWA Technologies may no longer be a threat to Salesforce’s claim to the Heron Tower after going into administration and making three-quarters of its UK workforce redundant. A row between the building’s owner and tenants broke out after it was renamed to honour Heron’s biggest tenant, Salesforce. As Salesforce is a rival tech firm based in the tower, Powa was one of the biggest objectors to the name change. A spokesperson declined to say what will now happen to Powa’s tenancy agreement. From Mars, after being forced to take Mars and Snickers off shelves in 55 countries as a precaution after plastic was found in bars. CITY A.M. PROMOTION WIN A TRIP TO TUSCANY C hianti produces wines of global acclaim and has firmly earned its place amongst the greatest wine regions of the world. Alongside the new release of SIEPI 2013, in association with wine travel company Winerist, the City A.M. Wine Club is excited to announce a new competition. One lucky winner will win a unique trip to the magical Fonterutoli Estate in Tuscany where they will experience elegant accommodation, award winning wines and Chianti’s famous local food. THE PRIZE The winner of this incredible prize will be staying for 2 nights in the elegant family-run hotel, which forms part of the Fonterutoli estate. The hotel has 12 unique rooms inspired by the colours of the Chianti region. Guests will enjoy beautiful views and an excellent location which is just a short walk from the renowned Mazzei wine estate. Nearby restaurants offer local delicacies such as truffles and the famous ‘Chianina steak’. Also included: A private visit for two people to the Fonterutoli estate A dinner for two on one night of your stay OUR PARTNERS To enable us to bring you this fantastic competition, we have partnered with Winerist, an award winning travel website specialised in organising wine and food holidays. With over 100 wine regions to choose from, Winerist offers the perfect platform for booking day activities in wine country or multi-day holidaysin your favourite wine destination. THE WINE Mazzei Siepi is a real Tuscan heavyweight produced in vineyards dating back to the 15th Century. Siepi is the epitome of a ‘no expense spared’ wine spending 18 months in 225 litre French oak barrique. The resulting wine is powerful, complex and balanced with notes of sour cherry, violets and chocolate developing into mushroom, leather and cigar box with age. The 2013 release of Siepi has already been incredibly well received by critics being awarded 95+ by The Wine Advocate’s Monica Larner, her best score to date. It is the combination of painstaking viti- and viniculture and the addition of Merlot that distinguishes this wine from other leading estates in Tuscany; at under £50 a bottle in bond, Siepi offers incredible quality. Siepi only produces 1,600 cases per vintage. HOW TO ENTER Siepi2013isavailabletomembersoftheCityAM WineClubfor£280IBper6x75(£350.76Duty&VAT paid).Thisreleaseisalwayshighlysoughtafterand allocationisexpectedtodisappearquickly. Existing members can enter too by simply registering their interest via email to [email protected]. Sign up for the City A.M. Wine Club at www.cityam.com/city-am-wine-club. TERMS & CONDITIONS • To enter this promotion you must be 18 years of age or older and a resident in the UK. The competition is not open to employees from Winerist Ltd or City A.M. and their immediate family. • No purchase from the promoter is necessary to enter the competition. The prize is non-transferable and no cash alternative can be offered for any prize. Only one entry per person is permitted. Proof of being the authorised account holder of the email address provided may be required. Bulk and spam entries will be disqualified. • In order to enter the competition, entrants must provide a valid e-mail address and opt in to the Winerist and City A.M. newsletters. You must still be a subscriber of the above at the time of the competition closure. • The start date of the competition is 8 February, 2016, 9am GMT. The closing date of competition is 28 February, 2015, 9pm GMT. The winner will be notified by email within 14 days of the prize draw. The promoter’s decision is final and binding. • The first prize includes accommodation for 2 people consisting of a 2night stay at Castello Fonterutoli with breakfast included. A dinner for 2 on one night only, private winery visit and wine tasting is also included. • The prize can be redeemed from 15 March 2016 to 15 March 2017 (except, Christmas, New Year & Easter) subject to availability. You must arrange your reservation via Winerist ([email protected]) before departure. • The prize does not include transfers to/from the airport and additional purchases. It is the responsibility of the winner to cover all additional costs such as flights, travel insurance and other expenses of personal nature. • The promoter reserves the right to change the prize to an alternative destination or item of similar value without notice, if circumstances beyond their control require it to do so. • By entering this competition you agree to these terms and conditions and that Winerist may contact you by email regarding future news and offers. Winerist is compliant with the Data Protection Act. The promoter of this competition is Winerist Ltd (company number 07833335) with the registered address at 2-10 Capper Street, WC1E 6JA, London, United Kingdom. This competition falls under the jurisdiction of English law. How willll yyou ou rraise H ow wi aise money money ffor or Maggie’’s Bar ts? Here are some of the incredible ways the City is raising funds to bring Maggie’s cancer support to the City. City A.M. A.M staff walked 15 1 miles across London ondon aat night by taking part Culture Crawl art in Cu Bloomberg Tradebook cchose hose to support Maggie’s Barts for their Charity Day with Downton stars Carmichael Laura Carmic hael and Jim Carter City Championships celebrates sporting excellence London’ ondon’s e xcellence within L business community whilst much-needed raising muc h-needed funds for Maggie’s Barts throughout 2016 G is running the London th he L ondon Marathon for Maggie’s Barts through City A.M. By raising funds for Maggie’s, your company could enter Maggie’s Money Maker Award; a new category at this year’s City A.M. Awards going to the company which raises the most funds for Maggie’s Barts. www.maggiescentres.org/cityam www.maggiescentres.org//cityam # #1M4MAGGIES 1M4MAGGIES T Text ext M MAGG10 AGG10 £5 £5 to to donate donate £ £5 5 ttoday oday Maggie Keswick Jencks Cancer Caring Centres Trust (Maggie’s) is a registered charit y, No. SC024414 WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 MARKETS 21 CITYAM.COM CITYDASHBOARD In association with YOUR ONE-STOP SHOP BROKER VIEWS AND MARKET REPORTS LONDON REPORT BEST OF THEBROKERS Oil drop offsets London Stock Exchange gains To appear in Best of the Brokers, email your research to [email protected] T HE FALLING price of oil proved to be too much of a drag on FTSE companies yesterday, as even giant leaps made by the likes of London Stock Exchange Group were unable to keep it over the 6,000 line. The UK’s blue-chip index fell 1.2 per cent to 5,962.31 points, led lower by Standard Chartered and BHP Billiton. Oil’s winning streak was brought to an end by comments from Saudi and Iranian oil ministers over deals to freeze or cut production. “European markets dropped, led lower by a pullback in the price of oil when the Iranian oil minister called a deal to freeze output ‘ridiculous’,” said Jasper Lawler, chief markets analyst at CMC Markets. London Stock Exchange Group led the FTSE 100 after the company announced it was in talks for a possible merger with Germany’s Deutsche Boerse. The merger would make the group the largest exchange in the world, valued at $20bn. LSE Group rose 13.7 per cent. InterContinental Hotels also jumped after it announced plans to give shareholders a $1.5bn dividend after posting strong full-year results. Its share price closed at 2,540p, a 3.5 per cent rise. Meanwhile, with no cut in output expected from Opec, Shell’s share price closed 2.63 per cent lower, while BP’s share price dropped 3.2 per cent. BHP Billiton’s share price fell after announcing it would be cutting its interim dividend as its profits tumbled. It closed six per cent down. Other miners also fell as metal prices dropped. Anglo American was down 6.3 per cent, while Antofagasta closed four per cent lower. Standard Chartered fell after the bank reported a net loss for 2015 due to bad loans to slowing Asian economies and the commodities industry. It ended the session down by 6.7 per cent. “It’s a horrendous headline number out on Standard Chartered. I’d still be a seller of any rallies on the stock, because I am concerned about their exposure to China,” said Beaufort Securities’ sales trader Basil Petrides. Persimmon made gains after it reported profits have leaped. Its share price closed up 2.8 per cent. On the FTSE 250, Meggitt was the best performer, up 11 per cent after the aerospace manufacturer expressed confidence in its outlook for 2016, following a tough year. JUST EAT P 385 380 6,100 23 Feb 5,962.31 6,000 6,000 5,950 5,900 17 Feb 18 Feb 19 Feb 22 Feb 23 Feb Wall St slips as oil prices slump again 377.40 375 23 Feb 370 365 360 355 17 Feb 18 Feb 19 Feb 22 Feb 23 Feb Investec initiated its coverage of Just Eat with a “buy” rating and a 435p target price. The broker said recent market weakness provides a good entry point to buy what it believes is an industry-leading and highly cash-generative growth company. With no debt and high cash conversion, Investec sees scope for further bolt-on acquisitions that both increase scale and remove a competitor in markets it already operates in. INDIVIOR P 180 175 170 165 160 155 150 145 165.40 23 Feb 17 Feb 18 Feb 19 Feb 22 Feb 23 Feb Jefferies has reiterated its guidance to buy shares in Indivior, but lowered its earnings estimates following its recent full-year results, which showed some gross margin pressure. The company, which makes heroin addiction medication Suboxone, faces a court ruling within months that could allow rivals to copy its film version of the drug. The broker said its 280p target price factors in this risk. CLOSE BROTHERS 1,280 P 1,270 1,260 1,250 23 Feb 1,240 FTSE NEW YORK REPORT 1,234.00 1,230 1,220 17 Feb 18 Feb 19 Feb 22 Feb 23 Feb UBS has initiated coverage of Close Brothers Group with a “neutral” rating and a 12month target price of 1,320p. UBS said it is one to two per cent below consensus expectations in the coming three years, on the back of weaker expectations for its banking business. UBS’ loan growth expectations are also lower than consensus as it expects Close Brothers to decelerate asset expansion in light of rising competition from both challenger and high-street peers. TIGHT FIXED SPREAD CO P RESSURE from a renewed drop in oil prices yesterday, which undercut momentum that had helped the market rebound from a sluggish start to the year, caused Wall Street to slip. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 188.88 points, or 1.14 per cent, to 16,431.78, the S&P 500 lost 24.23 points, or 1.25 per cent, to 1,921.27 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 67.02 points, or 1.47 per cent, to 4,503.58. Equity markets this year have been tightly linked to the daily fluctuations of battered oil prices. Energy shares tumbled 3.2 per cent, leading declines among S&P sectors. “The markets are really worried that we are missing something here, that the global slowdown may be more significant than we are recognising and that slowdown could be causing oil prices to drop, and commodities prices in general,” said Tracie McMillion, head of asset allocation at Wells Fargo Private Bank in Winston-Salem, North Carolina. Financial shares, the worst performing group this year, fell another 1.8 per cent. Nine of the 10 S&P sectors finished negative. “Having the market take a little bit of profit wasn’t a surprise to us,” said John Traynor, chief investment officer of People’s United Wealth Management in Bridgeport, Connecticut. “We think this is just a small setback in an ongoing recovery. We have been telling clients that we are in a bottoming process.” Fitbit plummeted 20.8 per cent to $13.08 after the wearable fitness device maker forecast profit below estimates. Spread Betting | CFDs | Forex START SPREAD BETTING WITH LOW MARGINS AND SMALL STAKES Open an account at spreadco.com Leveraged products are high risk, losses may exceed deposits 22 FEATURE CITYAM.COM WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 MONEY TRANSFER ADVERTISEMENT FEATURE Save money on international transfers If you use your high street bank to make payments overseas, then you may be paying more than you bargained for S tock markets have provided an interesting if not slightly stormy narrative to the beginning of 2016, and many City commentators are forecasting more of the volatility that was so prevalent during last year. If this proves to be the case currency markets are likely to be a bit choppy too. STERLING WEAKNESS Just like stock prices, currency markets are sensitive to economic and political news flow. Yet foreign exchange rates can have an even bigger impact on the day-to-day running of a business in a world where technology has facilitated more and more cross-border trade. This is well highlighted by sterling’s start to this year. In the first half of January the pound had already slipped over 3% against both the euro and the dollar (its decline taking it to a five and a half year low against the dollar). While disappointing UK industrial output figures for November are partly to blame for sterling’s fall, there are a broad range of factors at play. This makes it somewhat impossible to make accurate predictions for the future. The euro weakened against the pound for much of last year, so it is not unreasonable to assume that many buyers are taking advantage of the euro’s relative strength. And as confidence in Eurozone recovery increases, the euro could well strengthen further against the pound during 2016. Falls in sterling’s value can support those businesses exporting products and services abroad however, as their goods become cheaper to international buyers. But it is not good news for every business. A drop in the pound’s value puts cost pressures on any company that imports raw materials from abroad, for example. The pound’s recent fall against both the euro and the greenback certainly serves as a reminder that such businesses need to be clever about how they make and receive international payments as any fall in the value of sterling can translate directly into an increase in costs. This certainly highlights the need to consider and plan for such currency movements. After all, for many SMEs a sharp, unexpected currency fluctuation (such as the 3% fall in value highlighted earlier) can pose a real threat to their ability to trade. It is not only business that are affected by currency movements. Individuals are often hard hit too as people need to send money overseas for all sorts of reasons (such as buying and selling international property) or converting a salary from one currency to another. Aside from fluctuations though, there is another big factor that influences the exchange rate that a business or an individual receives. The good news is that it something that is within our control. ARE YOU GETTING A GOOD EXCHANGE RATE? Using a high street bank to make international payments may appear to be the most convenient option. But you could be paying far more than you bargained for. For some business owners it surprising to learn that the typically unfavourable exchange rates received from a high street bank might mean that an international transfer could be costing up to 4% more. Making an international transfer with a foreign exchange specialist can be far more cost-effective on the other hand. This is one of the reasons City A.M. has partnered with foreign exchange experts moneycorp, to bring you City A.M. International Payments. The service provides you with access to exchange rates that typically beat what you can get from many high street banks by around 34%. If you consider what this means on a transfer of £100,000 then it could equate to a saving of up to £4,000. These competitive exchange rates are naturally attractive to many of moneycorp’s business and personal clients who could be transfering significant sums across international borders. The service also offers the piece of mind that your currency affairs are entrusted to a credible provider, who will allocate a dedicated account manager that will spend time getting to know your needs. You may have seen moneycorop at major airoprts, and last year alone the company conducted around 8.1 million currency transactions. moneycorp is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority for the provision of payment services. £ For competitive rates and the exclusive City A.M. offer of free online transfers, call free on 0808 115 3718 “I have recently switched to using moneycorp” C ITY A.M. has teamed up with foreign exchange experts moneycorp to launch City A.M. International Payments. Since its inception, many City A.M. readers have decided to switch from their bank to moneycorp when making overseas money transfers. Ben Martin is just one example of the many satisfied City A.M. International Payments customers who have taken advantage of moneycorp’s bankbeating exchange rates, low transfer fees and expert personal service. Mr. Martin decided to change his money transfer provider after reading about City A.M. International Payments. He runs his own Banking Advisory firm and needs to send money to France regularly to pay for work being carried out on his property in the Alps. ‘I had been using my primary bank for international payments, but grew frustrated at the poor exchange rates I was being offered. I called moneycorp after reading about City A.M. International Payments, to learn if I could improve the rate at which I bought euros.’ Most people use high street banks to make international money transfers, however, banks don’t typically offer the most competitive exchange rates and can often charge large fees for making the transfer. Currency specialist’s moneycorp can offer exchange rates that are typically 3- 4 per cent better than you might get from a high street bank – on a transfer of £100k that could equate to a saving of up to £4,000. And while banks can charge a £20-40 fee for each transfer, with moneycorp the transfer fees are waived online for City A.M. readers I found moneycorp easy to deal with their team was professional and helpful and rise to a maximum of £15 for orders placed over the phone. Mr. Martin added: ‘I was pleased to find that moneycorp was able to improve on the poor rate my bank offered me. I contacted my bank and advised them their exchange rate was uncompetitive – I knew this from representing my own clients and was backed up by moneycorp’s better pricing. The bank was unprepared to improve its rates, so I have switched to using moneycorp for all future foreign exchange’. As well as competitive exchange rates and low transfer fees, moneycorp offers customers a personal service you may not receive from a high street bank. Each client is assigned their own personal account manager, who will take the time to understand your foreign exchange requirement. He or she will be able to guide you through the transfer process and help you deal with the often fast paced currency markets. Your personal account manager is based in moneycorp’s office in London, and is available at the end of the phone during extended office hours: 7.30am – 9pm Monday – Friday and 9am – 1pm on a Saturday. For Mr. Martin, this high-level of bespoke customer service has proved invaluable – helping him to make the most out of all his currency transfers to France. £ For competitive rates and the exclusive City A.M. offer of free online transfers, call free on 0808 115 3718 WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 CITYAM.COM FTSE 100 FTSE 250 5962.31 75.42 FTSE ALL SHARE 16229.20 59.60 Price Chg High Low GILTS -0.07 -0.04 -0.03 -0.01 0.03 0.05 0.10 0.20 0.16 0.23 0.08 0.32 0.45 0.18 0.27 0.68 0.84 0.42 0.85 0.89 0.33 0.98 0.53 1.13 1.21 0.66 1.33 1.50 1.50 1.64 0.00 Tsy 8.000 15 . . . . . . .106.51 Tsy 4.750 15 . . . . . . .102.64 Tsy 4.000 16 . . . . . .105.79 Tsy 2.500 16 . . . . . . .327.52 Tsy 1.250 17 . . . . . . . .107.61 Tsy 8.750 17 . . . . . . . .121.21 Tsy 5.000 18 . . . . . . .113.51 Tsy 3.750 19 . . . . . . .113.00 Tsy 4.500 19 . . . . . . .115.07 Tsy 4.750 20 . . . . . .119.04 Tsy 2.500 20 . . . . . .366.72 Tsy 8.000 21 . . . . . .142.92 Tsy 4.000 22 . . . . . .119.85 Tsy 1.875 22 . . . . . . .124.78 Tsy 2.500 24 . . . . . .350.74 Tsy 5.000 25 . . . . . .134.70 Tsy 4.250 27 . . . . . . .131.90 Tsy 1.250 27 . . . . . . .130.83 Tsy 6.000 28 . . . . . .155.76 Tsy 4.750 30 . . . . . . .142.51 Tsy 4.125 30 . . . . . . .347.31 Tsy 4.250 32 . . . . . .136.85 Tsy 1.250 32 . . . . . . .143.94 Tsy 4.250 36 . . . . . .140.37 Tsy 4.750 38 . . . . . .153.30 Tsy 0.625 40 . . . . . .144.56 Tsy 4.500 42 . . . . . . .153.16 Tsy 3.500 45 . . . . . . .132.31 Tsy 4.250 46 . . . . . .152.26 Tsy 4.025 49 . . . . . . .156.13 Tsy 4.000 99 . . . . .100.00 113.8 106.8 108.3 339.1 110.9 126.3 114.4 113.0 115.1 119.0 370.4 143.0 119.8 125.8 353.6 134.8 132.0 131.4 155.7 142.5 350.7 136.9 144.8 140.4 153.2 146.5 153.1 132.2 152.3 156.4 101.8 106.5 102.6 105.7 327.3 107.3 121.1 111.7 108.0 111.2 113.5 359.4 135.7 110.4 119.1 322.5 119.4 112.1 116.0 132.9 118.3 304.4 111.7 120.7 111.6 120.4 112.2 117.1 100.6 113.3 114.4 94.9 AEROSPACE & DEFENCE BAE Systems . . . . . . . . .508.5 Cobham . . . . . . . . . . . .252.8 Meggitt . . . . . . . . . . . . .428.7 QinetiQ Group . . . . . . . .235.0 Rolls-Royce Holdi . . . . .663.5 Senior . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .215.7 Ultra Electronics . . . . .1899.0 -1.5 0.2 42.6 0.9 5.0 -1.3 -4.0 547.0 345.1 587.5 274.4 1054.0 358.5 2026.0 425.5 228.9 346.5 188.2 512.5 193.1 1635.0 AUTOMOBILES & PARTS GKN . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .270.1 -18.8 386.0 248.6 BANKS Aldermore Group . . . . .193.4 -4.1 Barclays . . . . . . . . . . . . .161.6 -3.6 BGEO Group . . . . . . . . .1897.0 7.0 HSBC Holdings . . . . . . . .441.3 -4.6 Lloyds Banking Gr . . . . .62.9 -0.2 Royal Bank of Sco . . . . .236.0 -9.2 Shawbrook Group . . . .258.7 -6.3 Standard Chartere . . . .407.0 -29.4 Virgin Money Hold . . . .318.2 -3.8 316.0 289.0 2135.0 649.3 89.0 403.9 382.0 1086.0 464.0 178.0 147.9 1570.0 420.2 56.0 223.5 256.7 383.9 273.6 BEVERAGES Barr (A.G.) . . . . . . . . . .498.0 Britvic . . . . . . . . . . . . . .691.0 Coca-Cola HBC AG . . .1458.0 Diageo . . . . . . . . . . . . .1864.5 SABMiller . . . . . . . . . . .4170.5 -6.0 2.0 -11.0 5.5 -5.0 684.0 487.4 776.5 642.0 1629.0 1089.0 1967.0 1640.0 4199.0 2877.5 Croda Internation . . . .2929.0 69.0 CONSTRUCTION & MATERIALS Elementis . . . . . . . . . . .224.9 -1.4 Johnson Matthey . . . .2483.0 -42.0 Synthomer . . . . . . . . . .288.5 -3.9 Victrex plc . . . . . . . . . .1514.0 -34.0 3137.0 2656.0 320.5 200.3 3556.9 2230.0 361.3 261.0 2117.0 1367.0 CHEMICALS CONSTRUCTION & MATERIALS Balfour Beatty . . . . . . .240.2 2.2 272.5 220.2 CRH . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1812.0 -5.0 1980.0 1637.0 3272.68 35.31 Price Chg High Low Galliford Try . . . . . . . . .1371.0 Ibstock . . . . . . . . . . . . . .199.5 Keller Group . . . . . . . . .760.0 Kier Group . . . . . . . . . .1272.0 Marshalls . . . . . . . . . . . .288.8 Polypipe Group . . . . . .306.7 -5.0 -0.5 -10.0 -13.0 -1.0 -3.4 1813.0 225.0 1099.0 1513.0 370.8 362.0 1341.0 189.0 728.5 1170.0 238.0 256.0 ELECTRICITY Drax Group . . . . . . . . . .238.2 -20.1 429.9 207.6 SSE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1383.0 -37.0 1696.0 1321.0 ELECTRONIC & ELECTRICAL EQ. Halma . . . . . . . . . . . . . .859.5 -6.5 Morgan Advanced M . .223.0 7.3 Renishaw . . . . . . . . . .1685.0 -10.0 Spectris . . . . . . . . . . . .1710.0 -34.0 882.5 680.0 356.8 192.3 2648.0 1600.0 2394.0 1442.0 EQUITY INVESTMENT INSTRUM. Aberforth Smaller . . . .998.0 -14.0 1234.0 966.0 Alliance Trust . . . . . . . .488.5 -2.3 528.5 440.1 Bankers Inv Trust . . . . .546.5 -6.5 668.0 522.0 BH Macro Ltd. GBP . . .2015.0 -5.0 2190.0 1995.0 BlueCrest AllBlue . . . . . .187.1 -1.0 197.2 185.9 British Empire Tr . . . . . .435.9 -0.4 555.0 412.0 Caledonia Investm . . .2240.0 4.0 2515.0 2112.0 City of London In . . . . .356.0 -5.0 415.9 341.5 Edinburgh Inv Tru . . . .663.0 -14.5 728.0 636.5 Electra Private E . . . . .3321.0 -24.0 3757.0 3059.0 Fidelity China Sp . . . . . .126.5 -0.7 177.3 110.5 Fidelity European . . . . .161.0 1.0 186.7 152.0 Finsbury Growth & . . . .576.0 -1.0 609.0 532.5 Foreign and Colon . . . .419.6 -1.8 465.0 391.2 GCP Infrastructur . . . . . .118.0 0.4 123.9 112.8 Genesis Emerging . . . .444.5 -0.5 572.0 400.5 HarbourVest Globa . . .900.0 4.5 1377.5 825.0 HICL Infrastructu . . . . . .157.7 0.3 160.5 150.2 International Pub . . . . .140.7 0.2 141.5 130.3 John Laing Infras . . . . . .119.3 0.4 128.1 114.0 JPMorgan American . . .271.6 -2.4 292.0 243.0 JPMorgan Emerging . . .518.0 -2.0 671.0 483.0 Mercantile Invest . . . . .1561.0 -17.0 1838.0 1538.0 Monks Inv Trust . . . . . . .391.8 -1.3 456.9 361.1 Murray Internatio . . . . .827.0 -13.0 1057.0 742.5 NB Global Floatin . . . . . .84.7 -0.1 98.7 84.4 P2P Global Invest . . . . .832.0 -5.0 1175.0 831.0 P2P Global Invest . . . . .830.0 -10.0 1033.0 829.6 Perpetual Income . . . .380.8 -8.2 428.5 363.8 Personal Assets T . . .35950.0-130.036080.033130.0 Polar Capital Tec . . . . . .552.0 -5.5 641.0 503.5 RIT Capital Partn . . . . .1551.0 -34.0 1688.0 1436.0 Riverstone Energy . . . .790.0 -7.0 1105.0 720.0 Scottish Inv Trus . . . . . .584.0 -4.0 668.0 544.5 Scottish Mortgage . . . . .247.2 -0.8 281.8 220.6 Temple Bar Inv Tr . . . . .980.0 -10.5 1230.0 940.0 Templeton Emergin . . .399.9 -3.6 604.5 371.5 The Renewables In . . . . .97.0 0.8 108.8 94.8 TR Property Inv T . . . . .274.5 -2.5 324.0 260.2 Witan Inv Trust . . . . . . .714.0 1.0 847.0 683.0 Woodford Patient . . . . .88.0 -0.3 119.3 85.0 Worldwide Healthc . . .1720.0 -20.0 2097.0 1596.0 FINANCIAL SERVICES 3i Group . . . . . . . . . . . .422.2 3i Infrastructure . . . . . . .173.2 Aberdeen Asset Ma . . .235.2 Allied Minds . . . . . . . . .329.7 Arrow Global Grou . . . .209.0 Ashmore Group . . . . . .232.7 Brewin Dolphin Ho . . . .257.9 Charles Taylor . . . . . . . .245.0 City of London In . . . . .298.5 Close Brothers Gr . . . .1234.0 Hargreaves Lansdo . . .1255.0 Henderson Group . . . . .235.4 -1.4 -0.3 -12.4 -2.6 -0.3 5.7 4.0 0.1 -2.5 -16.0 -5.0 -3.2 569.5 178.3 507.5 725.0 288.0 333.9 359.6 289.0 367.5 1664.0 1525.0 312.0 389.8 157.5 209.3 267.0 204.0 196.4 244.0 205.0 285.0 1167.0 1054.0 214.6 Price ICAP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .412.1 IG Group Holdings . . . .742.0 Intermediate Capi . . . .563.0 International Per . . . . .265.2 Investec . . . . . . . . . . . .468.3 IP Group . . . . . . . . . . . .184.0 John Laing Group . . . . .208.0 Jupiter Fund Mana . . . .392.9 Liontrust Asset M . . . . .255.0 LMS Capital . . . . . . . . . . .68.6 London Finance & . . . . .38.0 London Stock Exch . . .2630.0 Man Group . . . . . . . . . . .161.5 OneSavings Bank . . . . .272.4 Paragon Group Of . . . .293.0 Provident Financi . . . .3267.0 PureTech Health . . . . . .143.8 Rathbone Brothers . .2304.0 Real Estate Credi . . . . . .156.0 Record . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26.3 S&U . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2321.5 Sanne Group . . . . . . . . .353.0 Schroders . . . . . . . . . .2505.0 SVG Capital . . . . . . . . . .481.5 Tullett Prebon . . . . . . . .332.1 VPC Specialty Len . . . . . .92.5 Walker Crips Grou . . . . .49.0 Chg High Low -5.2 566.5 401.0 10.5 807.0 690.0 1.0 627.0 475.2 -6.8 504.5 219.0 -8.8 647.0 402.7 -1.0 259.1 155.2 -0.5 233.8 187.0 0.0 475.1 362.7 0.0 374.8 245.3 0.6 80.0 66.0 0.5 40.5 31.5 317.0 2780.0 2123.0 -0.1 217.6 139.8 2.2 405.6 211.5 -10.8 455.5 287.7 68.0 3634.0 2643.0 -1.3 170.5 123.0 71.0 2359.0 2028.0 -0.5 183.0 154.0 -0.3 39.8 22.1 21.5 2560.0 1992.5 3.0 385.0 251.0 2.0 3423.0 2342.0 -2.7 522.0 436.0 2.4 414.8 304.8 0.0 104.0 90.8 0.5 53.8 41.3 FOOD & DRUG RETAILERS Booker Group . . . . . . . .162.8 Greggs . . . . . . . . . . . . .1021.0 Morrison (Wm) Sup . . . .182.1 Ocado Group . . . . . . . . .265.6 Sainsbury (J) . . . . . . . . .251.3 SSP Group . . . . . . . . . . .281.3 Tesco . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .179.6 UDG Healthcare Pu . . . .542.0 -1.3 -19.0 -2.8 0.5 -3.9 -2.8 -5.1 7.5 190.0 1355.0 208.2 470.8 284.7 325.0 251.0 598.5 AIR LIQUIDE .....................................................94.44 AIRBUS GROUP .................................................55.41 ALLIANZ N.......................................................135.00 ANHEUS.-BUSCH INBEV..................................105.95 ASML HLDG.......................................................79.75 AXA..................................................................20.27 BANCO SANTANDER ............................................3.61 BASF N .............................................................59.87 BAYER N ...........................................................97.20 BBVA..................................................................5.60 BMW .................................................................73.14 BNP PARIBAS-A- .............................................40.68 CARREFOUR......................................................23.70 DAIMLER N .......................................................62.85 DANONE ...........................................................63.37 DEUTSCHE BANK N............................................15.22 DEUTSCHE POST N.............................................21.42 DEUTSCHE TELEKOM N.......................................15.36 E.ON N................................................................8.54 ENEL...................................................................3.64 ENGIE ...............................................................13.87 ENI....................................................................12.08 ESSILOR INTL...................................................108.45 FRESENIUS ........................................................57.73 GENERALI...........................................................12.12 IBERDROLA ........................................................5.96 INDITEX ............................................................28.01 ING GROUP .......................................................10.39 INTESA SANPAOLO..............................................2.34 L'OREAL ..........................................................156.60 LVMH ..............................................................152.00 MUENCH RUECKVERS N...................................176.85 NOKIA ................................................................5.56 ORANGE............................................................15.99 ROY.PHILIPS .....................................................22.80 SAFRAN............................................................55.40 SAINT GOBAIN ..................................................35.45 SANOFI.............................................................70.50 SAP ..................................................................69.94 SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC........................................52.95 SIEMENS N ........................................................85.01 SOCIETE GENERALE...........................................30.37 TELEFONICA........................................................9.32 TOTAL................................................................39.82 UNIBAIL-RODAMCO..........................................231.10 UNICREDIT ..........................................................3.33 UNILEVER CERT .................................................39.12 VINCI ...............................................................63.06 VIVENDI.............................................................18.23 VOLKSWAGEN VZ ............................................103.30 Chg High Low -2.24 -0.74 -1.25 -0.35 -0.05 -0.50 -0.06 -1.40 -1.77 -0.16 -2.06 -1.08 -0.40 -1.54 2.46 -0.58 -0.36 -0.31 -0.40 -0.09 -0.63 -0.27 -0.95 0.05 -0.01 -0.09 -0.58 -0.25 -0.06 -0.50 -3.65 -3.00 -0.08 -0.35 -0.14 0.45 -0.65 -0.68 -0.56 -0.50 -1.42 -1.18 -0.20 -1.01 -3.20 -0.09 -0.36 0.00 -0.11 -3.05 123.95 68.50 170.15 124.20 104.85 26.02 6.95 97.22 146.45 9.67 123.75 61.00 32.49 96.07 66.50 33.42 31.19 17.57 14.46 4.50 19.88 17.66 125.15 70.00 19.21 6.60 35.38 16.00 3.65 181.30 176.60 206.50 7.87 16.98 28.00 72.45 44.84 101.10 75.75 75.29 106.35 48.77 13.91 47.38 262.00 6.61 42.84 64.00 24.83 262.45 90.77 49.96 126.55 87.73 70.25 18.80 3.31 56.01 91.66 5.24 66.00 37.00 22.26 57.01 51.73 13.03 19.55 13.39 7.08 3.33 13.15 10.93 95.01 47.70 10.90 5.54 26.00 9.19 2.12 140.40 130.75 156.00 4.91 12.21 20.48 48.87 31.47 66.44 53.91 45.32 77.91 26.61 8.48 35.21 212.05 2.77 32.86 50.08 16.30 86.36 142.4 842.5 139.0 232.5 223.7 264.0 139.2 453.5 3.0 -17.0 7.0 1.5 1.5 -16.0 3599.0 2712.0 2100.0 1363.0 697.0 439.7 388.8 273.2 654.5 502.0 3090.0 2524.0 FOOD PRODUCERS Associated Britis . . . . .3298.0 Cranswick . . . . . . . . . .1986.0 Dairy Crest Group . . . . .597.0 Greencore Group . . . . .365.5 Tate & Lyle . . . . . . . . . .569.0 Unilever . . . . . . . . . . .3066.0 FORESTRY & PAPER S&P 500 /€ 1.2726 0.0109 €/$ 1.1021 0.0005 16431.78 188.88 4503.58 67.02 1921.27 24.23 /$ 1.4023 0.0108 €/£ 0.7859 0.0067 /¥ 157.15 2.7076 €/¥ 123.48 1.0702 HEALTH CARE EQUIPMETN & S. Assura . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .53.7 0.5 61.8 49.2 Mediclinic Intern . . . . . .817.5 -34.0 1191.0 814.0 Price Chg High Low London Stock Excha . . . . . . . .2630.0 Meggitt . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .428.7 Ladbrokes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .129.3 Millennium & Copth . . . . . . . . . .423.1 Wood Group (John) . . . . . . . . . .612.5 TalkTalk Telecom G . . . . . . . . . . .215.0 Indivior . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .165.4 InterContinental H . . . . . . . . . .2540.0 Centamin (DI) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .87.8 Morgan Advanced Ma . . . . . . . .223.0 MINING BBA Aviation . . . . . . . . .175.8 -0.9 250.5 150.2 Clarkson . . . . . . . . . . . .1765.0 15.0 2797.0 1722.0 Royal Mail . . . . . . . . . . .448.2 0.0 527.0 413.3 Acacia Mining . . . . . . . .237.4 1.9 Anglo American . . . . . .453.1 -30.7 Antofagasta . . . . . . . . .496.6 -20.9 BHP Billiton . . . . . . . . . .746.9 -48.1 Centamin (DI) . . . . . . . . .87.8 3.0 Fresnillo . . . . . . . . . . . .976.0 16.0 Glencore . . . . . . . . . . . .129.5 -3.0 Polymetal Interna . . . .638.5 -0.5 Randgold Resource . .6520.0 150.0 Rio Tinto . . . . . . . . . . .1988.0 -63.0 Vedanta Resources . . .258.0 -10.5 NON LIFE INSURANCE Admiral Group . . . . . . .1738.0 Beazley . . . . . . . . . . . . .370.0 Direct Line Insur . . . . . .377.2 esure Group . . . . . . . . .244.6 Hastings Group Ho . . . .149.8 Hiscox Limited (D . . . .1027.0 Jardine Lloyd Tho . . . . .802.0 Lancashire Holdin . . . . .603.5 RSA Insurance Gro . . . .404.8 -11.0 -4.4 -1.0 2.6 0.0 -11.0 -9.5 -11.0 -8.1 1775.0 398.9 414.3 271.3 180.0 1059.0 1093.0 759.0 526.5 1385.0 275.0 314.2 210.4 143.2 800.0 778.0 579.5 373.2 -12.9 -2.1 -6.4 -4.4 -14.5 -33.5 -21.0 -10.0 571.5 199.5 294.4 240.3 922.0 1752.0 1023.0 499.9 400.5 119.4 199.5 149.4 784.5 1087.0 801.0 324.7 LIFE INSURANCE Aviva . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .421.3 Just Retirement G . . . . .129.9 Legal & General G . . . . .218.8 Old Mutual . . . . . . . . . . .172.8 Phoenix Group Hol . . . .821.0 Prudential . . . . . . . . . .1220.0 St James's Place . . . . . .878.0 Standard Life . . . . . . . . .327.6 NMC Health . . . . . . . . . .796.0 2.0 969.0 508.0 Smith & Nephew . . . . .1152.0 -9.0 1212.0 1051.0 Spire Healthcare . . . . .324.4 -2.6 401.6 279.9 HHOLD GDS & HOME CONSTR. Barratt Developme . . .562.0 2.0 Bellway . . . . . . . . . . . .2467.0 -35.0 Berkeley Group Ho . . .3222.0 19.0 Bovis Homes Group . . .880.5 6.0 Crest Nicholson H . . . . .551.0 0.0 Persimmon . . . . . . . .2029.0 56.0 Reckitt Benckiser . . . .6554.0 -28.0 Redrow . . . . . . . . . . . . .412.5 0.2 Taylor Wimpey . . . . . . .176.5 1.5 283.0 989.7 896.5 2280.0 1009.0 183.6 817.2 713.0 1947.0 828.0 -2.0 -7.0 -7.4 -12.0 7.2 611.0 787.3 421.0 1219.0 520.0 517.0 520.9 331.2 863.5 270.6 -8.1 -5.8 6.8 -2.9 431.8 290.7 449.6 358.5 256.9 119.7 262.0 247.7 GENERAL INDUSTRIALS Rexam . . . . . . . . . . . . .604.0 RPC Group . . . . . . . . . . .722.5 Smith (DS) . . . . . . . . . . .373.5 Smiths Group . . . . . . . .973.0 Vesuvius . . . . . . . . . . . .306.9 GENERAL RETAILERS AA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .271.4 AO World . . . . . . . . . . . .167.4 Auto Trader Group . . . . .387.1 B&M European Valu . . . .283.1 662.5 503.0 2848.0 1918.0 3757.0 2481.0 1201.0 819.0 591.0 409.2 2135.0 1638.0 6585.2 5488.0 499.2 339.6 205.0 141.4 INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING Bodycote . . . . . . . . . . .600.5 0.5 IMI . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .847.5 -10.0 Melrose Industrie . . . . .322.7 -0.3 Rotork . . . . . . . . . . . . . .163.7 -2.1 Spirax-Sarco Engi . . . .3072.0 -10.0 Weir Group . . . . . . . . . .901.5 -30.0 786.0 1436.0 326.6 265.1 3569.4 2024.0 494.0 742.0 242.8 153.1 2725.0 787.5 INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING Evraz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .65.6 -1.2 207.4 56.2 MOBILE TELECOMS Inmarsat . . . . . . . . . . . .991.0 -26.0 1148.0 866.5 Vodafone Group . . . . . .213.9 -1.8 255.4 200.2 OIL & GAS PRODUCERS BP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .345.4 -11.3 Cairn Energy . . . . . . . . .158.0 -3.4 Nostrum Oil & Gas . . . .256.3 -5.8 Ophir Energy . . . . . . . . . .76.2 -1.3 Royal Dutch Shell . . . .1576.0 -41.0 Royal Dutch Shell . . . .1572.0 -42.5 Tullow Oil . . . . . . . . . . .160.0 -3.5 484.2 206.5 623.0 170.9 2129.5 2215.0 429.8 310.3 127.2 254.0 74.5 1266.0 1277.5 118.2 OIL EQUIPMENT & SERVICES PERSONAL GOODS Drax Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .238.2 Standard Chartered . . . . . . . . . .407.0 GKN . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .270.1 Anglo American . . . . . . . . . . . . .453.1 BHP Billiton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .746.9 Restaurant Group . . . . . . . . . . . .532.0 Aberdeen Asset Man . . . . . . . . .235.2 Burberry Group . . . . . . . . . . . .1234.0 Unite Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .603.0 Antofagasta . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .496.6 % -7.8 -6.7 -6.5 -6.3 -6.1 -5.2 -5.0 -4.3 -4.1 -4.0 Price Chg High Low Burberry Group . . . . . .1234.0 -55.0 1921.0 1078.0 Jimmy Choo . . . . . . . . .126.0 3.8 181.4 106.0 PZ Cussons . . . . . . . . . .259.8 1.6 373.4 249.3 Supergroup . . . . . . . . .1321.0 -6.0 1714.0 860.0 PHARMACEUTICALS & BIOTECH AstraZeneca . . . . . . . .4130.5 -12.5 BTG . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .598.0 -9.0 Circassia Pharmac . . . . .274.5 -2.9 Dechra Pharmaceut . .1203.0 28.0 Genus . . . . . . . . . . . . .1462.0 -18.0 GlaxoSmithKline . . . . .1378.0 -13.5 Hikma Pharmaceuti . .1876.0 -9.0 Indivior . . . . . . . . . . . . .165.4 6.8 Shire Plc . . . . . . . . . . . .3810.0 -70.0 Vectura Group . . . . . . . .162.5 0.5 4863.0 3903.5 794.5 520.5 353.5 253.0 1204.0 912.0 1620.0 1274.0 1642.0 1237.5 2574.0 1850.0 266.4 130.8 5730.0 3480.0 188.5 143.5 REAL ESTATE INVEST. & SERV. MEDIA 4Imprint Group . . . . . .1144.0 -14.0 Bloomsbury Publis . . . .154.3 1.0 Centaur Media . . . . . . . .58.6 0.0 Creston . . . . . . . . . . . . .103.0 0.0 Entertainment One . . . .136.0 1.0 Euromoney Institu . . . .890.0 -2.0 Future . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9.9 0.0 Haynes Publishing . . . . .115.0 0.0 Huntsworth . . . . . . . . . .35.6 0.4 Informa . . . . . . . . . . . .669.0 -3.5 ITE Group . . . . . . . . . . . .130.8 -1.8 ITV . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .249.1 -3.5 Johnston Press . . . . . . . .47.0 1.5 Moneysupermarket. . . .335.2 7.4 Pearson . . . . . . . . . . . . .793.0 -26.0 Relx plc . . . . . . . . . . . .1216.0 -15.0 Rightmove . . . . . . . . .3769.0 51.0 Sky . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1017.0 -6.0 STV Group . . . . . . . . . . .429.0 9.0 Trinity Mirror . . . . . . . . .149.0 2.3 UBM . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .529.0 -0.5 UTV Media . . . . . . . . . . .182.0 0.0 WPP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1488.0 0.0 Zoopla Property G . . . . .217.3 0.0 311.2 156.6 1237.0 221.1 807.5 346.1 1643.5 580.9 88.0 51.6 979.5 588.0 314.9 68.6 643.0 427.1 6535.0 3625.0 3193.5 1577.5 675.0 205.8 Amec Foster Wheel . . .359.8 -6.1 995.0 333.8 Petrofac Ltd. . . . . . . . . .742.0 2.0 1065.0 663.0 Wood Group (John) . . .612.5 29.0 733.5 534.5 Fallers Price Chg High Low GAS, WATER & MULTIUTILITIES Centrica . . . . . . . . . . . . .210.4 -5.8 National Grid . . . . . . . .964.0 -11.0 Pennon Group . . . . . . . .831.0 -9.5 Severn Trent . . . . . . . .2153.0 -28.0 United Utilities . . . . . .940.5 -10.0 % 13.7 11.0 5.6 5.2 5.0 4.7 4.3 3.5 3.5 3.4 Price Chg High Low INDUSTRIAL TRANSPORTATION MAIN CHANGES UK 350 Risers Mondi . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1287.0 -38.0 1611.0 1124.0 EU SHARES Price NASDAQ Price Chg High Low Brown (N.) Group . . . . .318.7 -3.2 451.3 281.0 Card Factory . . . . . . . . .338.6 -8.5 399.0 265.5 Debenhams . . . . . . . . . .78.2 -0.8 96.0 64.9 DFS Furniture . . . . . . . .322.0 1.9 349.0 255.0 Dignity . . . . . . . . . . . .2438.0 29.0 2621.0 1824.0 Dixons Carphone . . . . . .430.1 -10.1 500.0 407.0 Dunelm Group . . . . . . .973.5 3.5 1004.0 820.0 Halfords Group . . . . . . .381.8 -8.6 561.0 315.0 Home Retail Group . . . .173.5 0.0 206.7 89.7 Inchcape . . . . . . . . . . . .719.0 -4.5 894.0 662.5 JD Sports Fashion . . . . .1114.0 18.0 1165.0 470.5 Just Eat . . . . . . . . . . . . .377.4 6.3 494.9 329.1 Kingfisher . . . . . . . . . . .330.3 -0.2 383.0 314.7 Lookers . . . . . . . . . . . . .148.2 -3.8 185.0 143.5 Marks & Spencer G . . . .417.4 -9.4 596.5 403.8 Next . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6815.0 -20.0 8015.0 6430.0 Pendragon . . . . . . . . . . .37.4 -0.4 49.0 33.2 Pets at Home Grou . . . .267.9 6.5 311.2 231.2 Poundland Group . . . . .174.7 2.0 406.4 139.1 Saga . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .185.6 1.1 221.5 173.9 Sports Direct Int . . . . . .401.7 2.3 817.5 366.0 Ted Baker . . . . . . . . . .2963.0 -16.0 3555.0 2489.0 WH Smith . . . . . . . . . . .1797.0 0.0 1849.0 1272.0 -7.6 499.8 404.0 -0.6 78.2 55.4 9.7 408.8 189.5 -10.5 1214.0 752.5 1349.0 883.5 184.5 144.3 85.5 55.5 162.0 98.0 326.3 130.0 1261.0 855.0 11.5 9.1 130.5 106.5 49.3 35.0 677.0 534.0 196.8 128.3 280.7 221.8 172.0 35.3 377.1 243.4 1508.0 657.5 1231.0 1011.0 4173.0 2640.0 1141.0 969.0 515.0 340.0 206.0 128.0 576.0 469.6 191.5 139.0 1611.0 1304.0 278.0 165.5 Capital & Countie . . . . .343.0 -6.9 CLS Holdings . . . . . . . .1421.0 -34.0 Countrywide . . . . . . . . .336.5 -5.1 Daejan Holdings . . . . .5760.0-165.0 F&C Commercial Pr . . . .127.8 1.4 Grainger . . . . . . . . . . . .216.5 -1.0 Kennedy Wilson Eu . .1064.0 5.0 Savills . . . . . . . . . . . . . .677.5 -13.5 St. Modwen Proper . . . .316.0 -10.6 UK Commercial Pro . . . .78.8 -0.8 Unite Group . . . . . . . . .603.0 -26.0 473.4 2010.0 599.0 6595.0 148.7 254.0 1220.0 986.5 493.6 93.5 702.5 340.5 1381.0 313.3 5335.0 126.3 203.0 995.0 655.0 313.2 77.0 530.0 847.0 886.0 3880.0 889.5 703.5 128.2 372.5 1363.0 171.5 59.7 463.8 971.0 605.0 651.0 2916.0 685.0 535.0 104.3 269.8 983.0 153.0 42.0 405.5 785.0 REAL ESTATE INVEST. TRUSTS Big Yellow Group . . . . .732.0 British Land Comp . . . .661.0 Derwent London . . . . .2957.0 Great Portland Es . . . . .689.5 Hammerson . . . . . . . . .551.0 Hansteen Holdings . . . .107.5 Intu Properties . . . . . . .285.1 Land Securities G . . . . .991.5 LondonMetric Prop . . . .158.5 Redefine Internat . . . . . .42.5 SEGRO . . . . . . . . . . . . . .424.3 Shaftesbury . . . . . . . . .826.5 -14.5 -10.0 -61.0 -9.5 -9.5 -0.7 -3.6 -21.5 -0.3 -0.2 -3.3 -31.0 Price Chg High Low Tritax Big Box Re . . . . . .129.6 0.6 132.0 111.0 Workspace Group . . . . .717.0 -9.5 987.0 713.0 SOFTWARE & COMPUTER SERV. Aveva Group . . . . . . . .1401.0 -17.0 Computacenter . . . . . . .807.0 -28.0 Fidessa Group . . . . . . .2303.0 3.0 Micro Focus Inter . . . . .1436.0 -19.0 NCC Group . . . . . . . . . . .293.3 -0.6 Playtech . . . . . . . . . . . .804.0 13.0 Sage Group . . . . . . . . . .575.0 -5.5 Sophos Group . . . . . . . .209.4 4.3 TOBACCO British American . . . .3843.0 -20.5 3898.5 3355.5 Imperial Brands . . . . .3738.0 16.0 3803.0 2963.0 TRAVEL & LEISURE 888 Holdings . . . . . . . . .177.3 -0.3 185.0 149.0 Carnival . . . . . . . . . . . .3458.0 41.0 3907.0 2896.0 Cineworld Group . . . . .505.0 1.5 597.0 439.6 Compass Group . . . . . .1229.0 -16.0 1247.0 991.0 Domino's Pizza Gr . . . .1017.0 -3.0 1095.0 691.0 easyJet . . . . . . . . . . . .1522.0 -23.0 1915.0 1462.0 Enterprise Inns . . . . . . . .82.1 -1.6 136.0 72.8 FirstGroup . . . . . . . . . . . .87.5 0.0 127.7 80.8 Go-Ahead Group . . . .2389.0 -21.0 2713.0 2151.0 Greene King . . . . . . . . .877.0 -0.5 977.5 772.0 InterContinental . . . .2540.0 86.0 2880.0 2184.0 International Con . . . . .550.5 12.0 617.0 475.3 Ladbrokes . . . . . . . . . . .129.3 6.9 140.0 93.4 Marston's . . . . . . . . . . . .156.1 0.0 176.0 144.2 Merlin Entertainm . . . .439.0 -1.7 470.7 365.9 Millennium & Copt . . . . .423.1 20.9 600.5 379.0 Mitchells & Butle . . . . . .269.2 -3.3 475.3 256.0 National Express . . . . .298.0 3.0 334.4 270.2 Paddy Power Betfa . .10170.0-150.0 14275.0 7392.6 Rank Group . . . . . . . . .250.0 -3.7 295.5 184.0 -31.75 2.50 -20.00 0.00 17.00 -1.13 -0.75 -12.00 BoE IR Overnight.........................................0.500 BoE IR 7 days..............................................0.500 BoE IR 1 month...........................................0.500 BoE IR 3 months.........................................0.500 BoE IR 6 months ........................................0.500 LIBOR Euro - overnight..............................-0.284 LIBOR Euro - 12 months..............................-0.018 LIBOR USD - overnight .................................0.371 LIBOR USD - 12 months .................................1.158 Halifax mortgage rate ................................3.990 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 Euro Base Rate............................................0.050 Finance house base rate .............................1.000 US Fed funds.................................................0.38 US long bond yield .......................................2.60 Euro Euribor...............................................-0.266 The vix index...............................................20.98 The baltic dry index...................................316.00 Markit iBoxx EUR .......................................224.93 Markit iBoxx GBP.......................................296.48 Markit iTraxx...............................................107.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.02 0.00 1.60 1.00 -0.01 -0.61 -0.95 WORLD INDICES Price Chg %chg FTSE 100 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5962.31 -75.42 -1.25 FTSE 250. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16229.20 -59.60 -0.37 FTSE All-Share . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3272.68 -35.31 -1.07 FTSE AIM All-Share . . . . . . . . . . . . . 688.52 1.85 0.27 Price S&P 500. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1921.27 Dow Jones I.A.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16431.78 Nasdaq Composite . . . . . . . . . . . . 4503.58 Xetra DAX . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9416.77 Chg -24.23 -188.88 -67.02 -156.82 %chg -1.25 -1.14 -1.47 -1.64 Price Chg %chg CAC 40 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4238.42 -60.28 -1.40 Swiss Market Index . . . . . . . . . . . . 7807.01 -154.48 -1.94 ISEQ Overall Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6109.20 -53.01 -0.86 FTSEurofirst 300. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1289.04 -16.86 -1.29 Price Chg High Low Restaurant Group . . . . .532.0 -29.0 738.5 495.7 Stagecoach Group . . . .266.2 -2.7 419.6 251.1 Thomas Cook Group . . .99.6 -1.0 161.3 91.5 TUI AG Reg Shs (D . . . .1064.0 -9.0 1271.0 1007.0 Wetherspoon (J.D. . . . . .711.0 -8.0 819.5 609.0 Whitbread . . . . . . . . . .3785.0-108.0 5440.0 3649.0 William Hill . . . . . . . . . .389.2 4.6 425.3 314.8 Wizz Air Holdings . . . .1830.0 42.0 2047.0 1340.0 AIM 50 Abcam . . . . . . . . . . . . .656.0 3.0 Advanced Medical . . . .168.0 2.5 Alternative Netwo . . . .432.6 2.6 Amerisur Resource . . . . .29.5 1.8 Arbuthnot Banking . .1340.0 29.0 ASOS . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2867.0 97.0 Avanti Communicat . . . .98.0 3.3 Brooks Macdonald . . .1791.5 5.5 Camellia . . . . . . . . . . .8775.5 -50.0 Clinigen Group . . . . . . .632.5 0.0 Conviviality . . . . . . . . . .207.3 -2.3 CVS Group . . . . . . . . . . .780.0 -3.0 Dart Group . . . . . . . . . .559.5 9.0 Earthport . . . . . . . . . . . .25.4 0.0 EMIS Group . . . . . . . . .1062.0 14.0 Fevertree Drinks . . . . . .582.0 2.5 First Derivatives . . . . .1520.0 0.0 Gamma Communicati .402.3 -0.3 GB Group . . . . . . . . . . . .254.3 1.0 Gemfields . . . . . . . . . . . .45.3 -1.3 Gooch & Housego . . . .868.0 3.0 GW Pharmaceutical . . .256.0 -6.5 Iomart Group . . . . . . . . .251.8 -2.3 James Halstead . . . . . .453.8 11.8 Johnson Service G . . . . . .87.3 -1.8 M&C Saatchi . . . . . . . . .297.0 -3.3 M. P. Evans Group . . . . .394.1 0.4 Majestic Wine . . . . . . . .386.0 -10.0 Mulberry Group . . . . . .954.0 6.0 Nichols . . . . . . . . . . . . .1282.0 47.0 Numis Corporation . . . .210.0 0.0 Patisserie Holdin . . . . . .377.3 -3.8 Pinewood Group . . . . .505.0 -8.0 Polar Capital Hol . . . . . .361.4 10.6 Quadrise Fuels In . . . . . .10.9 0.1 Redcentric . . . . . . . . . . .184.5 -1.5 Redde . . . . . . . . . . . . . .175.5 -4.5 Renew Holdings . . . . . .370.0 0.0 RWS Holdings . . . . . . . .203.0 0.8 Scapa Group . . . . . . . . .188.5 3.8 Secure Trust Bank . . .2902.5 2.5 Sirius Minerals . . . . . . . . .12.8 -0.3 Smart Metering Sy . . . .360.0 0.3 Staffline Group . . . . . .1360.0 -38.0 Telford Homes . . . . . . .340.8 -1.3 Telit Communicati . . . .205.0 -1.0 Thorpe (F.W.) . . . . . . . .235.0 9.3 Vernalis plc . . . . . . . . . . .54.0 0.5 Vertu Motors . . . . . . . . . .64.3 -1.8 Watchstone Group . . . .210.3 -3.3 Young & Co's Brew . . . .1147.5 3.0 Young & Co's Brew . . . .842.5 0.0 667.0 464.0 184.5 127.5 541.0 405.0 38.8 17.3 1625.0 1310.0 4194.0 2473.0 264.0 90.6 2040.0 1405.0 9880.0 8750.0 761.0 502.5 223.5 140.0 840.0 460.0 588.5 292.3 47.0 24.8 1155.0 839.0 694.0 201.3 1578.0 1094.0 463.0 257.0 283.8 163.0 68.3 35.5 929.0 674.5 696.0 237.5 307.5 202.0 520.0 317.0 92.8 72.0 395.0 287.0 438.5 345.5 471.3 296.0 999.0 849.0 1492.0 1055.0 276.3 202.3 450.0 260.0 540.0 415.0 479.5 349.0 21.0 9.2 197.5 136.5 210.3 93.8 410.0 240.5 225.5 119.5 220.8 137.8 3385.0 2740.0 24.0 7.3 410.0 305.5 1623.0 785.0 492.0 323.0 356.0 178.3 244.5 143.0 86.5 44.9 78.5 54.0 326.0 85.0 1310.0 990.0 907.5 660.0 http://corporate.webfg.com mailto: [email protected] US SHARES CREDIT & RATES Copper Cash Official..................................4663.25 Aluminium Cash Official.............................1575.25 Nickel Cash Official....................................8672.50 Aluminium Alloy Cash Official ..................1565.00 Cocoa Futures............................................2872.00 Coffee 'C' Futures..........................................119.40 Feed Wheat Futures....................................105.50 Soybeans Futures Continuation Contract...869.00 1719.0 770.0 1217.0 769.0 1656.0 1158.0 1145.0 854.0 1150.0 969.0 1950.0 1671.0 1326.0 1056.0 370.4 245.4 5995.0 3806.0 865.5 608.0 251.9 172.5 1064.0 673.5 1255.0 1022.0 308.8 190.9 858.5 619.5 172.8 113.4 444.6 326.0 531.0 436.7 663.0 359.7 2916.0 2323.0 560.5 371.2 335.6 266.3 656.0 323.0 1091.0 729.5 354.6 217.8 164.4 128.8 184.4 76.8 211.2 119.0 2260.0 1680.0 4384.0 3230.0 316.8 263.8 TECHNOLOGY HARDW. & EQUIP. Get our free email updates in your inbox Sign up at cityam.com/newsletter 10.35 0.21 -1.38 13.80 -2.00 -12.00 295.00 -39.50 -31.00 1237.0 673.5 1758.0 1077.0 195.3 710.5 461.9 176.2 ARM Holdings . . . . . . . .950.5 6.0 1205.0 848.5 Laird . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .338.9 3.3 409.5 316.5 CITY A.M. MORNING UPDATE COMMODITIES 2319.0 879.0 2400.0 1610.0 324.1 924.0 625.5 289.7 SUPPORT SERVICES Aggreko . . . . . . . . . . . .860.0 -11.5 Ashtead Group . . . . . . .876.0 -3.0 Atkins (WS) . . . . . . . . .1250.0 -12.0 Babcock Internati . . . . .910.0 -13.0 Berendsen . . . . . . . . . .1140.0 7.0 Bunzl . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1903.0 -5.0 Capita . . . . . . . . . . . . .1092.0 -19.0 Carillion . . . . . . . . . . . . .265.1 -3.1 DCC . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5660.0 10.0 Diploma . . . . . . . . . . . .680.0 2.0 Electrocomponents . . .230.4 -4.6 Essentra . . . . . . . . . . . . .810.0 -18.5 Experian . . . . . . . . . . . .1164.0 -20.0 G4S . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .202.4 0.6 Grafton Group Uni . . . .640.0 1.5 Hays . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .124.2 0.1 Homeserve . . . . . . . . . .393.7 -6.4 Howden Joinery Gr . . .490.4 -2.0 Interserve . . . . . . . . . . .397.2 -0.1 Intertek Group . . . . . . .2831.0 -85.0 Michael Page Inte . . . . .372.9 -1.5 Mitie Group . . . . . . . . . .277.8 -2.7 Northgate . . . . . . . . . . .355.0 -1.5 PayPoint . . . . . . . . . . . .747.0 -3.0 Regus . . . . . . . . . . . . . .284.9 4.3 Rentokil Initial . . . . . . . .164.4 1.6 Serco Group . . . . . . . . . . .80.1 1.3 SIG . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .129.6 -0.9 Travis Perkins . . . . . . .1734.0 -39.0 Wolseley . . . . . . . . . . .3612.0 -34.0 Worldpay Group (W . . .294.8 -4.4 Rise | Shine Gold.............................................................1221.35 Silver...............................................................15.21 Brent Crude ...................................................33.49 Krugerrand .................................................1223.10 Palladium ...................................................499.00 Platinum......................................................927.00 Tin Cash Official........................................16272.50 Lead Cash Official ........................................1717.75 Zinc Cash Official........................................1754.25 23 DOW JONES FIXED LINE TELECOMS BT Group . . . . . . . . . . . .459.9 Cable & Wireless . . . . . . .75.1 TalkTalk Telecom . . . . .215.0 Telecom Plus . . . . . . . . .870.5 NEWS Price Chg %chg Hang Seng . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19414.78 -49.31 -0.25 Shanghai Composite. . . . . . . . . . . 2903.33 -23.84 -0.81 ASX All Ordinaries . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5039.10 -17.50 -0.35 Sao Paulo Bovespa . . . . . . . . . . . 42520.94 -713.91 -1.65 Price Chg High Low 3M....................................................................156.17 ALLERGAN......................................................286.78 ALPHABET-A ...................................................717.29 ALPHABET-C ..................................................695.85 ALTRIA GROUP..................................................61.52 AMAZON.COM.................................................552.94 AMERICAN EXPRESS ..........................................55.11 AMGEN............................................................147.26 APPLE..............................................................94.69 AT&T .................................................................36.74 BANK OF AMERICA ............................................12.16 BERKSHIRE HATHAWY-B.................................130.74 BOEING CO ......................................................116.90 BRISTOL-MYERSSQUIBB ...................................62.07 CATERPILLAR....................................................65.78 CHEVRON .........................................................84.91 CISCO SYSTEMS..................................................26.12 CITIGROUP .......................................................38.22 COCA-COLA CO.................................................43.69 COMCAST-A.......................................................57.54 CVS HEALTH .....................................................96.75 DU PONT NEMOURS&CO...................................58.83 EXXON MOBIL....................................................81.23 FACEBOOK-A ..................................................105.46 GENERAL ELECTRIC...........................................29.22 GILEAD SCIENCES .............................................88.35 GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP................................144.91 HOME DEPOT...................................................124.53 IBM .................................................................132.40 INTEL................................................................28.80 JOHNSON & JOHNSON....................................104.08 JPMORGAN CHASE............................................56.12 MCDONALD'S...................................................116.90 MEDTRONIC......................................................75.80 MERCK .............................................................50.54 MICROSOFT........................................................51.18 NIKE -B-...........................................................60.21 ORACLE ............................................................36.55 PEPSICO...........................................................99.54 PFIZER .............................................................29.96 PHILIP MRRS INT..............................................92.05 PROCTER&GAMBLE............................................81.81 TRAVLR COMP..................................................107.91 TWITTER ...........................................................18.30 UNITEDHEALTH GROUP ....................................121.15 UTD TECHNOLOGIES..........................................91.60 VERIZON COMM ...............................................50.63 VISA-A ..............................................................72.15 WAL-MART STORES..........................................66.48 WALT DISNEY-DISNEY......................................95.38 WELLS FARGO...................................................48.10 -1.53 0.96 -11.76 -10.61 0.31 -6.56 -0.52 -1.30 -2.19 -0.12 -0.38 -1.25 -0.49 -1.63 -1.53 -3.91 -0.51 -1.30 -0.25 -0.61 -0.71 -1.40 -1.16 -1.70 -0.19 -0.75 -3.88 1.68 -1.37 -0.55 -0.67 -2.45 -0.77 -0.88 -0.23 -1.47 0.04 -0.56 -0.33 -0.09 -0.49 -0.32 -1.44 0.00 -0.12 -0.77 -0.44 -0.91 0.85 -0.99 -1.09 170.50 340.34 810.35 789.87 61.77 696.44 83.54 181.81 134.54 37.12 18.48 149.39 156.91 70.87 89.62 112.20 30.31 60.95 44.16 64.99 113.65 76.49 90.09 117.59 31.49 123.37 218.77 135.47 176.30 35.59 105.49 70.61 124.83 79.50 61.70 56.85 68.20 45.24 103.44 36.46 92.85 85.80 116.48 53.49 126.21 124.33 51.20 81.01 84.86 122.08 58.77 134.00 237.50 529.00 515.18 47.31 365.65 50.27 130.09 92.00 30.97 10.99 123.55 102.10 51.82 56.36 69.58 22.46 34.52 36.56 50.01 81.37 47.11 66.55 72.00 19.37 81.89 139.05 92.17 116.90 24.87 81.79 50.07 87.50 55.54 45.69 39.72 47.14 33.13 76.48 28.25 75.27 65.02 95.21 13.91 95.00 83.39 38.06 60.00 56.30 86.25 44.50 24 OPINION WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 CITYAM.COM FORUM Protecting the pound: The jewel in the crown of Cameron’s EU deal F OLLOWING the Prime Minister’s EU renegotiation, the debate is already raging. Myriad topics, from sovereignty to benefits, are dominating the headlines. But what shouldn’t be lost in the detail – and should be celebrated – is David Cameron’s success in protecting the pound. This, alongside related hard-won measures, has far-reaching and positive consequences for Britain’s economic security, and the City’s status. Keeping control over our currency means retaining control over interest rates, financial regulation and economic policy while shielding us from Eurozone bailouts. These levers are key to retaining effective financial and political sovereignty in a globalised world. Other nations such as France have willingly ceded theirs. William Hague once described the euro as a burning building with no exits. Certainly economies such as Greece have felt the heat in recent years. It was the future foreign secretary, then as Conservative leader, who first got me involved in politics: as a sixth former, I joined his “Keep the Pound” campaign. Although not a fashionable thing to do, it was the right thing to do then – and now. That’s why Cameron’s success in this area is the crown jewel in his EU renegotiation. He has secured an historic British opt-out from the euro, to be enshrined in EU law, giving permanent protection for the pound. At the same time, full access to the Single Market has been retained, alongside new, related measures that bolster our economic security and financial services sector. For example, the UK is exempted from the EU’s landmark Banking Union project. This would have subjected the City’s financial institutions to a distant supervisor, the European Central Bank (ECB). Instead – and in the face of French opposition – Cameron has ensured that the financial security of British taxpayers and savers stays with the UK government and the Bank of England. British taxpayers will never have to bail out Eurozone countries or their banks. This is a massive safeguard for Britain’s economy. Coincidentally, a new Bank of England Bill is currently going through Parliament – I’m on the Committee examining it line-byline – which reforms the way the Old Lady operates, implementing lessons learnt from Labour’s financial crisis. British businesses are also protected, not just our pound. Cameron won a guarantee that our firms can never be discriminated against in the Single Market because Britain is not a Eurozone member. Londonbased financial services firms, for example, can never be forced to relocate inside the Eurozone if they want to trade in euros. Protecting the pound has also resulted in Eurozone states conceding that they cannot act as a bloc to force through changes to the Single Market without Britain’s agreement. This new “level playing field” builds on the Treasury’s victory last year, where it defeated the ECB in the courts over the proposal that all Eurozone securities transactions should be cleared inside the Eurozone itself. Alan Mak It’s clear many in Europe would use Brexit to diminish the City of London, which they have eyed enviously for many years Not only will these safeguards be legally-binding, but Cameron has made certain that, if the UK ever fears these rules are being broken, we can unilaterally activate an “emergency lever” ensuring other EU leaders enforce them to protect British interests. What does this mean in practice? Simply, the Eurozone can no longer impose its costs and decisions on us. At the same time, we won’t stand in their way as they take necessary steps to integrate their currency so that it succeeds, which is clearly in our economic interests. What would Brexit mean? All the protections Cameron has won would go up in smoke. We’d be at the mercy of an EU bloc that would make an example of a leading member state which had flounced out despite their efforts to accommodate our concerns. The idea that we could conjure up a UK-EU trade deal overnight – when Canada’s has taken seven years and still isn’t done – is a dangerous illusion. It’s clear that many in Europe would use Brexit to diminish the City of London, which they have eyed enviously for many years. And if we wanted continued access to the world’s biggest single market, we’d have to pay in, and accept conditions like free movement of people without any say over the rules. Today, Britain is the fastest-growing industrialised economy. By permanently retaining control of our currency, interest rates and fiscal policy through the Prime Minister’s new EU deal, we keep control of our economic sovereignty and our financial future. In 2016, Cameron finally led Hague’s pro-pound campaign to victory, protecting British taxpayers, businesses, savers and mortgage holders for generations to come. £ Alan Mak is Conservative MP for Havant. Follow him on Twitter: @AlanMakMP Would the Prime Minister have secured a better deal if he had gone to Cambridge? G AME theory is the study of how rules and tactics affect outcomes, and it is pervasive in academic economics. The opening sentence of one of the economics courses at Cambridge pontificates: “Optimal decisions of economic agents depend on expectations of other agents’ actions”. Translated into English, this means that, for someone in a negotiating situation to get the best possible outcome, he or she needs to take account of how the other side might react. It sounds pretty obvious. But the maths of game theory soon gets hair-raising. Would David Cameron have done better in Brussels if he had mainlined on straight economics at Cambridge rather than dallying with PPE at Oxford? Game theory has had some spectacular successes. In 2000, the UK government held an auction for licences for the new 3G mobile phones spectrum. Economists Ken Binmore and Paul Klemperer were commissioned to design the structure. The auction raised no less than £22.5bn for the Treasury, five times more than had been expected, and it was widely described as the biggest ever auction. Binmore and Klemperer were more modest, pointing out that, adjusting for inflation, in 195 AD the sale of the entire Roman Empire by the Praetorian Guard netted more cash. The theory was really useful in this context, where there was a limited number of players, all of them highly sophisticated companies such as Orange and Vodafone. The companies themselves employed teams of economists and had a lot of information about their rivals and the sorts of moves they might make. But, somewhat paradoxically, when dealing with less rational decisionmakers, knowledge of game theory can be a decided handicap. A well known game is the so-called Beauty Contest. The rules are simple. Each Paul Ormerod one of a group of people is invited to select their own confidential number between, say, zero and 100. The winner is the one who chooses the number closest to the number which is half (or some other fraction) of the average of all the numbers chosen. If you assume everyone else is rational, as was reasonable in the spectrum auction, the number to choose is zero. The logic is: suppose the average is going to be 40, then I should choose 20. But this means everyone else will choose 20, so I should choose 10, and so on. The problem is that you do not know how sophisticated the other players are. The smart game theorist will lose every time by opting for zero when playing in real life. If you are playing with economists, by all means choose zero. But in experiment after experiment, most people do not, even in repeated plays of the game. To win, you have to judge the levels of rationality of your opponents. At a political gathering in Brussels, this is self-evidently a challenging task. In addition, the complexity of the game makes formal analysis difficult. There are 28 players, each operating from a fluid set of motivations. Maybe the worldly wisdom of PPE at Oxford was the best training for Cameron after all. £ Paul Ormerod is an economist at Volterra Partners, a visiting professor at the UCL Centre for Decision Making Uncertainty, and author of Positive Linking: How Networks can Revolutionise the World. DEBATE Q: As an industry report warns that investment is collapsing, is there a future for UK oil and gas? Alison Baker YES Times are tough. Over-supply in the market, lower for longer oil prices and the impending transition to a low carbon world, alongside cost management and working capital issues, are hitting the UK oil and gas industry hard. But it’s not the beginning of the end, providing that corporates, regulators, the supply chain and the UK government recognise that a lot of work is needed to secure the North Sea basin’s future value and cement its position as a specialist skills and innovation hub in areas such as decommissioning. Cooperation is crucial. In today’s environment, another smart strategy for sustaining the flow of oil investments in this mature basin and protecting long-term total tax revenues would be to reduce the tax rates on oil companies. Cutting the headline rate (currently ranging from 50 per cent to 67.5 per cent) and reducing stealth taxes (e.g. licence fees) and the infrastructure tax burden in next month’s UK Budget could provide a much needed cushion – and, crucially, a stimulus for investment and tax-paying employees. £ Alison Baker is head of UK oil and gas at PwC. Sebastien Marlier NO Production from the UK’s North Sea oil and gas fields is in decline. Maturing fields, ageing infrastructure and high costs mean that oil output is only a third of what it was 20 years ago. Gas output has fallen by about two-thirds since 2000. The collapse in oil prices since mid-2014 has only exacerbated this, further removing prospects of a North Sea revival. The sector’s hopes, therefore, rest on shale. However, in contrast to the US, where shale production has boomed, shale development in the UK faces big constraints. These include a more complex geography, stronger domestic opposition, less favourable land-ownership rights and significant regulatory hurdles – even if the current government is supportive of the technology. British shale would thus be more expensive to dig out than that in America. With energy prices likely to remain low for years, firms may not see it as a viable option, and the UK’s shale reserves could remain in the ground. £ Sebastien Marlier is senior commodities editor at the Economist Intelligence Unit. WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 CITYAM.COM WE WANT TO HEAR YOUR VIEWS LETTERS TO THE EDITOR BEST OF TWITTER The Cameron idea of sovereignty The prospect of a banking non-performing loan cleanup may limit China’s ability to aggressively ease fiscal policy. @RBS_Economics [Re: Forget Boris: The real story is Cameron’s EU deal isn't binding, yesterday] Good stuff as usual from Ryan Bourne. The fact that Cameron’s deal isn’t legally binding – or even complete – reflects his perverse conception of sovereignty. That doesn’t matter per se, however, because it’s a worthless deal anyway. What we should be worried about is the Prime Minister’s assertion that it is legally binding. Because this Pyrrhic victory is symptomatic of the whole EU project – for example, the illusory idea that member states can pick and choose which bits of legislation they sign up to. Should Leavers spell out what Britain should look like outside the EU?, asks Bourne. This question rather misses the point, of course. Leaving means regaining sovereignty. And that means it will be for the people to decide what an independent Britain looks like. Janet Simons BoE blockchain [Re: In welcoming blockchain is the Bank of England embracing risk?, yesterday] Jonathan Turner is right that the aims of innovation and ensuring resilience are mutually compatible – but the reason is more profound than the Bank of England carefully using innovation to build resilience. Blockchain technology is innately robust. It is immutable, so once logged, data can’t be altered, and its distributed nature makes it orders of magnitude more secure than a server-based system. Name withheld Fountain House, 3rd Floor, 130 Fenchurch Street, London, EC3M 5DJ Tel: 020 3201 8900 Fax: 020 7248 2711 Email: [email protected] This is What will our budget contribution be in 2020? How many more bailouts? How much more migration? *Remaining* in the EU is a leap in the dark. @DanHannanMEP Cam says before becoming PM he did not know EU was important for UK prosperity and security. Great. @DenisMacShane If we left EU, our trade would still be covered by the World Trade Organisation rules on tariffs. So maximum extra cost 0.43 per cent of GDP. @JGBartholomew Ladbrokes receives £20,000 bet on UK leaving the EU. @minefornothing Economic impact of Zikavirus to Latin America: $3.5bn or 0.06 per cent of GDP in 2016. @WorldBank World’s biggest arms importers, 2011-2015: 1. India 2. Saudi Arabia 3. China 4. UAE 5. Australia. @ianbremmer me TM • Reduce stigma • Talk without fear • Dispel the myths around mental health and wellbeing in the workplace Lord Mayor’s 2016 POWER OF DIVERSITY LORD MAYOR’S APPEAL CHARITY 25 › E:[email protected] COMMENT AT:cityam.com/forum :@cityam Business to politicians: Don’t let the referendum paralyse real governing S O NOW it’s official. Britain’s politicians and opinion-formers will spend the next four months in hyper-drive, as they seek to convince the public of the case to leave or remain in the European Union. Many Westminsterwatchers have already cleared the decks, reasoning that little else will get done while megaphone diplomacy, claims, and counter-claims dominate the airwaves. There is no doubt that the EU referendum is of huge importance to the future direction of our country. The electorate is being asked to make a once-in-a-generation choice with significant consequences. Our own surveys show that businesspeople are divided, and that they are paying closer and closer attention to the referendum and its impacts. There is, however, a very real danger that the referendum will squeeze the oxygen out of the room – crowding out debate on other key business issues, and paralysing decision-making at the heart of government. We have already seen one casualty of this, with the delay to a decision on new airport capacity in the South East. First put off because of the mayoral election, expectations are now being further downplayed thanks to the referendum. Politicians have been reduced to saying they “very much hope” to make a decision by the end of July, while observers believe we’d be lucky to see it before the end of the year. Businesses seethe with frustration at the lack of progress on new runways, and now face an even longer wait. On issue after issue of crucial importance to companies across the UK, the worry we constantly hear is that timetables may slip and commitments may be further deferred. On tax, will businesses’ legitimate con- Adam Marshall cerns about their treatment by HMRC get the time of day, with the Treasury and Revenue focused on modelling the potential impacts of Brexit? Will ministers finally grasp the nettle on business rates after years of prevarication, and tackle the politically-tricky issue of revaluation, with the winners and losers this may create? Will firms’ concerns around the everincreasing burden of doing business – with the apprenticeship levy, the National Living Wage, dividend tax hikes and others all set to drive up costs – attract the chancellor’s attention at the Budget and beyond? With business skills shortages reaching all-time highs, will ministers relax the Tier 2 visa cap – and let companies recruit the people they need from outside the EU at a time when migration is the neuralgic issue of the referendum debate? And what other controversial transport, housing or energy projects are likely to face further delays, as ministers do everything in their power to avoid antagonising a divided electorate? These are just a small sample of the real world business issues that need to be tackled, without delay. For many firms, these delays and uncertainties are just as pressing as the questions generated by the forthcoming EU referendum. What’s more, global economic conditions remain a significant cause for con- Editorial Editor Christian May | Deputy Editor Julian Harris Business Features Editor Tom Welsh | Lifestyle Editor Steve Dinneen Sports Editor Frank Dalleres | Creative Director David Riley Commercial Sales Director Jeremy Slattery | Head of Distribution Gianni Cavalli Certified Distribution from 04/01/16 till 31/01/16 is 97,259. OPINION cern, as the chancellor himself recognised at the start of the year. While it may be too early to declare that the economic cycle is at its end, there are serious downside risks facing businesses operating both here in the UK and further afield. There is no guarantee that the financial system will escape another liquidity crisis, and access to finance could once again become an acute issue for many firms. At a time when other governments will be thinking about their countercyclical strategies, ours cannot afford a half-year of navel-gazing and paralysis around a single issue. Ministers would do well to remember their commitments to “fixing the roof while the sun is shining” – a job that by their own admission remains incomplete. So the message from businesses, whatever their views on the referendum itself, is simple. If politicians neglect the UK business environment between now and 23 June because they only have eyes for the referendum, they will be guilty of the political version of gross misconduct. No board of directors would keep a management team that ignored a big chunk of its strategy and missed its core objectives. We, the electorate, need to apply the same approach to our politicians, who must be reminded that their everyday duty – creating the conditions for prosperity and growth – needs to remain centre-stage. Our future relationship with the EU, while critical, cannot be the only item on the Westminster agenda this spring. £ Dr Adam Marshall is executive director of policy and external affairs at the British Chambers of Commerce. The BCC’s Annual Conference will debate many of these key business themes in London on 3 March (www.bccconference.co.uk). Distribution helpline If you have any comments about the distribution of City A.M. please ring 0203 201 8955, or email [email protected] Our terms and conditions for external contributors can be viewed at cityam.com/terms-conditions Printed by Trinity Mirror Printing, St Albans Road, Watford Herts, WD24 7RG If your organisation is looking to tackle the stigma of mental health in your workplace then we would love to hear from you. Join our initiative ‘This is Me – in the City’, and encourage city workers to share their stories and speak up about mental health at work. To find out more or to register your interest go to lordmayorsappeal.org/thisisme In partnership with 26 FEATURE WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 CITYAM.COM PERSONAL FINANCE GOLD PRICES HEADING UPWARD Inflation, interest rates and safety - investors think prices could keep rising. Annabelle Williams explains why G OLD has been the best performing asset so far this year, rising 15 per cent during a tumultuous period for global markets. The precious metal is now priced at $1,226 an ounce, $151 higher than at at the start of January. It’s an impressive rise, which has been driven by several big factors – all of which are based upon worries and nervousness about the state of the global economy. Economic growth is slowing around the world. But the central banks in two major hotspots – the Eurozone and Japan – are gearing up to kickstart their economies with fresh rounds of money printing, or QE. History shows that money printing tends to drive up the price of gold. “The one thing that does seem to have a long-term relationship with gold prices is the size of central bank balance sheets,” says Edward Smith at Rathbones. SAFETY The other chief reason for the price rise is due to gold’s perceived safety and use as a store of wealth during times of crisis. There’s talk of a potential world recession, and problems in bond markets keeping investors anxious. But there’s also a sense that policymakers at central banks aren’t sure what to do next. This was illustrated by Japan’s surprise decision to implement negative interest rates last month – an unorthodox policy with an uncertain, and possibly dangerous, effect on the economy. “People are beginning to be rather concerned about whether central banks know what they are doing,” says Clive Hale of Albemarle Street Partners. “The state of the economy depends on who you talk to. There are good signs, but you can find lots of negative ones too.” Those are the factors which have carried gold prices up this year. But not everyone’s convinced the price increases – or indeed the worries about the global economy – are warranted. Analysts at Goldman Sachs have issued a note saying gold’s rise has gone too far and investors would be better off shorting the precious metal, or betting it will fall. “Risks from oil, China and negative interest rates are very unlikely,” said analysts. It went on to say the negative impact from low oil prices have already happened, while China’s problems aren’t likely to spill over and the US is far from recession. One of the reasons some analysts dislike gold is that it isn’t used for anything. There’s no predictable industrial demand propping up its price, like there is for other metals. Gold’s value is partly sentimental and partly in its safety status. It’s hard to ascertain fair value for this precious metal. “To my mind gold is an insurance policy against central banks getting it wrong,” says Hale, adding that the future direction of key global currencies and interest rates is very uncertain. Hale also points out that no investment goes up in a straight line, and it’s natural for prices to fall for a time. In the last 20 years, the overall direction of gold has been upwards. But there are some other interesting dynamics too. RISING PRICES Gold prices tend to have an inverse relationship with the US dollar. So, when the US dollar is rising strongly, gold prices tend not to. That is sometimes because during times of uncertainty, as in recent years, investors use the dollar as a safe place and buy up the currency. But now, there’s a rare situation where there could be a rise in the price of both gold and the dollar, says Rathbones’s Smith. That’s because QE in Europe and Japan will push down the yen and euro, making the dollar relatively stronger. At the same time, QE could make gold prices rise, as it has done historically. “What’s interesting, is over the next six months, we may have reached a point where investors benefit from a rise in the dollar and the price of gold,” says Smith. INFLATION Finally, gold is considered a hedge against inflation. While inflation is around zero in most developed economies, there are voices saying it’s likely to return soon. If inflation comes back on the agenda, gold prices could rise too. “The factors driving demand for gold [now] may not be the factors that matter most in a year’s time. Demand for safe havens could be replaced by demand for inflation hedges,” says Julian Jessop of Capital Economics. Their price forecast is for gold to reach $1,250 an ounce by the end of the year, with potentially higher prices later. GOLD PRICE (USD/OZ) 1,240 1,217.45 1,220 1,200 23 Feb 1,180 1,160 1,140 1,120 1,100 1,080 1,060 Apr ‘15 Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb ‘16 WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 CITYAM.COM FEATURE 27 OFFICE POLITICS The grass isn’t greener: Why you should stay in your job your current situation is really that bad in comparison to how it could be. This means taking off the rose tinted glasses to assess more deeply whether your friend’s new job really is as wonderful as they have convinced you it is. RE-POSTAL SERVICE Repost for Instagram Free Your boss isn’t a mind-reader, so you need to raise your concerns, says Steven Ross O NE IN five people have said they are looking to change their jobs this year. And while there are plenty of benefits to switching, there are also many reasons to stay put. Making the move may cause a significant upheaval in your life, and you need to ask yourself whether it is really necessary. Yes, you’ll probably secure an uplift in pay and freshen up the tasks you perform on a daily basis. But you will also have to start from scratch: learning to navigate office politics; figuring out who the real influencers are; establishing who your supporters are; and gaining the trust of those who don’t know you yet. The grass isn’t always greener on the other side, and it may be the case that a few tweaks will help you fall back in love with your current job. REMEMBER THE HONEYMOON Think about what initially attracted you to your current role. Try to remember what it was during the interview stage that really sparked your interest. It could have been the great learning and development opportunities promised to you, for example. If budgets have been cut, why not seek out a mentor to stimulate your development again? Just because your organisation isn’t putting additional learning opportunities on a plate for you, it shouldn’t stop you from accessing them yourself. There are no guarantees that your new boss will be any better than your current one IT’S NOT YOU, IT’S ME It’s all too easy to blame your company for your unhappiness, but could you make changes to improve your mindset? So your boss is really annoying – that is frustrating, but is it enough to throw in the towel? Your next boss could make you work all hours under the sun, be condescending and have a reputation for getting through new starters at record speed. How bad would your current boss look then? While fear of the unknown should never be a reason to stay put, you should seriously consider whether Re-post your favourite videos and photos on Instagram easily and give credit to the original poster with this helpful app addition. Users can also bookmark photos and videos to repost them later and search for posts by user or hashtag. Download the Pro version to manage multiple accounts and see who has been reposting your photos and videos. LET’S TALK ABOUT IT Have you spoken to your manager about your career recently and let them know how you feel? They’re not mind-readers after all, and may be surprised to hear that you are unhappy. Talking to your boss about your job can be a really positive step towards increasing your own happiness at work, and opening up channels of communication again. But this needs to be handled the right way. Go into any discussion with a positive attitude. Think about how you could play a part in making things better, and ask for help to achieve it. Don’t go in with a list of complaints and moans and expect your boss to make everything alright for you. Explain how you feel, that you’ve thought about it clearly and have come up with some suggestions about how you could make the situation better. It may be that changing job is the best option for you after all. But before making a decision that will affect your life considerably – effectively occupying your waking hours – seriously consider if there are simple measures you could take to improve where you currently are. £Steven Ross is head of career development at Penna Career Services. 28 LIFE&STYLE CITYAM.COM WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 FOOD&DRINK Steve Dinneen Restaurant review @steve_dinneen W e can afford to be discerning about things, us Londoners, what with all the lovely London stuff we have, Londoning the place up. “Isn’t everything here great compared to the things in places that aren’t London?” we say to each other, smiling and knowing it to be true. Take restaurants: we have heaps of them, some containing the world’s best chefs, all cooking their little chef hearts out for us every night of the week. What a time to be alive! The flip-side is, for a new restaurant to get noticed, it doesn’t only have to be good: it has to be brilliant. A place could be an all-star, blockbuster restaurant in Peterborough but go completely unnoticed in Camberwell. I suspect Galley, a new seafood restaurant on Islington’s Upper Street, would be a massive hit in Peterborough. People would queue for weeks just to peer through its windows. They’d pay to deliver its post, just so they could touch the letterbox. But in London? I’m not so sure. Galley is owned by Polish brother/sister duo Marcel Grzyb and Oriona Robb, the former a chef most notable for his 10-year stint at Soho’s Randall & Aubin, and the latter best known as a fashion stylist. Robb is responsible for the visuals, and Galley is a nice looking venue. A mish-mash of fashion prints and paintings and framed feathers fill the walls. Seating consists of tables, green velvet banquettes and stools up against the open-kitchen. The menu pings disconcertingly around the globe – Asian, Spanish, Italian, British – yet still manages to be rather predictable: tuna tartare with avocado and mango; salmon in a sticky Asian-style ginger dressing; octopus with chorizo. The dishes from closest to home tend to be best. Haddock and chips with pickled shallots was great: meaty fish in a light, delicate batter. John Dory with cauliflower puree and a striking yellow saffron and mussel sauce was perfectly nice. So was roasted hake with chorizo and chickpeas. And so was the lobster pappardelle (fellow diner Dario, an Italian, was particularly impressed with the pasta). In fact, everything was nice. Here’s a review in list form. • Crab crostini: nice. • Tuna tartare: nice. • Beef carpaccio: nice, although I’d like to have seen a little more beef. • Salmon: nice, if ever-so-slightly overcooked, served with a nice tempura oyster. • White chocolate panna cotta: nice. Actually, better than nice; beautifully presented with blackberries and fragments of honeycomb and petals and a little mound of passion fruit. It even got a thumbs-up from Dario, who says most places outside of Italy make a mess of panna cotta without even realising. • Chocolate fondant: very nice, laced with amaretto and served with cherry compote and some nice vanilla ice cream. There you have it: Galley is nice. It’s sometimes very nice. The cooking is nice and the service is nice and the décor is nice. It’s a nice place filled with nice people and I had a perfectly bloody nice time. And yet it never quite managed to surpass nice; its dishes are too predictable to really capture the imagination, the cooking a fraction off the pace of a really top-class restaurant. In a city where we’re spoiled for great places to eat, sometimes nice isn’t quite enough (especially when the superlative Oldroyd is a short stroll down the road). “Nice” also makes it difficult to fill 1,000 words. I can’t just type “nice, nice, nice”, file my copy and cash my pay cheque. People expect more. They deserve more. Clockwise from main: the bar and window-seats at Galley in Islington; the tuna tartare with mango and avocado at Galley; the superlative Gala pie at Hop; the scotch egg and sausage rolls at Hop People in Peterborough would pay to deliver Galley’s post, just so they could touch the letterbox; but London crowds are tougher S o at 2pm yesterday afternoon I hauled myself to the closest new opening to our Fenchurch Street office, which happened to be the Galvin brothers’ new gastro-pub Hop. Nestled in the City A.M. heartland of Spital Square, in the shadow of the RBS building, it’s on the site of what used to be the Galvins’ wine bar Café à Vin (next door to their brasserie La Chapelle). It’s a sign of the times that a gastro-pub serving quality lager now seems more sophisticated than a wine bar. A decade ago, at this time on a weekday, a pub here would have been filled with rowdy men with beer bellies and business suits debating whether or not to supplement their fourth pint with a pie or to man-up and forego food altogether. Yesterday, I was the only person enjoying the pilsner, which the barman told me is imported from the Czech Republic every week. Everyone else was drinking fizzy water. Someone had a toddler with them. That, right there, is progress. A colleague had recommended the Gala Pie (a pork-pie with an egg in the middle to you and I) and God bless them for that. It was a glistening slab of minced pork, kidney and liver, cemented into water pastry with marmite and pork jelly, in the centre of which lies a slow-cooked egg the colour of success. If you order the “butcher board de luxe” you’ll also get a sausage roll, some sweet pickled onions, a scotch egg and some crisps. It’s like getting a top chef to cook for a children’s party. The beef burger is unusual in this post-Meatliquor world, where patties are expected to be the size and shape of fists, as pink as internal organs and dripping with blood. Galvin’s is decidedly old-school: flat, cooked medium-rare, its over-riding taste being charcoal and relish. It’s like the platonic ideal that Burger King aspires towards; what the patties in its adverts would taste like if they weren’t made from plastic. It’s all delicious: food that promises little and then over-delivers at every turn. From a menu that just looks plain old nice, Hop manages to create something pretty special. GALLEY 106 Upper St, Islington N1 1QN Tel: 020 3670 0740 FOOD VALUE ATMOSPHERE hhhii hhhii hhhii £ Cost for two with wine: £100 GALVIN HOP 35 Spital Square, E1 6DY Tel: 020 7299 0404 FOOD VALUE ATMOSPHERE hhhhi hhhhi hhhhi £ Cost for one with a beer: £30 WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 LIFE&STYLE 29 CITYAM.COM : @city_am : @cityamlife LITTLE SOCIAL 5 POLLEN STREET, W1S 1NE WHAT? The pocket-sized little sister of Jason Atherton’s flagship Pollen Street restaurant, Little Social is a Parisianthemed bistro bedecked in dark wood and red leather banquettes, with homely wallpaper that’s barely visible behind a collection of Gallic tchotchkes and period French tourism posters. It’s all faux and make believe of course: the place opened in 2013. And it isn’t even in Paris. WHERE? A sophisticated hideaway just off Regent’s Street, Little Social is near enough to Pollen Street Social that you could hurl your starter across the road and have it land all over table two. Not that you’d want to, as that’s both rude and a waste of a good soup. WHO? Head chef Cary Docherty runs this operation, having worked under Little Social’s owner, the Michelin starred Jason Atherton, as well as popular swearing man from the television Gordon Ramsay. ORDER THIS... The warm smoked eel with mini-discs of beetroot is pleasingly oily and rich with a citrus kick. And the creamy, nutty, braised chanterelles and parmesan tagliatelle sells itself short on the receipt, where it’s functionally described as a “veggie pasta”. Come on girl, you’re so much more than that. Believe in yourself. BUSINESS OR PLEASURE? Little Social’s intimate booths provide the perfect setting for discreet lunchtime conversation. There’s also a corner table that can be curtained off from the rest of the diners, in case you’re planning something devious. NEED TO BOOK? Absolutely. Little Social doesn’t get its name from its cavernous interiors and tables fill up quickly at lunchtime. Reservations can be made online at littlesocial.co.uk THE VERDICT... Somewhere this close to Atherton HQ couldn’t get away with less than excellent food and service. A classy, cosy bolthole of a bistro. ONE MORE THING... Share a plate of maple glazed doughnuts. They come with little creme anglaise and cinnamon sugar dipping stations and make you feel like you’re doing some sort of tasty art project. WORKING LUNCH Steve Hogarty on the best places to eat during office hours in the City and Canary Wharf Slow cooking and fast cocktails at Typing Room T here are right and wrong times to drink certain cocktails. A negroni with breakfast, an espresso martini before dinner and a mojito after supper might suggest you’ve got a drinking problem. A bloody mary in the morning, a martini before dinner and an old fashioned after dessert on the other hand? Well that’s just common sense. When it comes to choosing a cocktail to drink alongside dinner, things are less clear cut. For me, wine and beer are nearly always a better accompaniment to food than mixed drinks. However, Typing Room head chef Lee Westcott and luxury rum producers Ron Zacapa have done as good a job as is humanly possible at overturning this. The Art of Slow supper club at the Typing Room is, as the name would suggest, all about slow cooked food and leisurely dining. There’s no denying that cooking stuff gently over a long period of time can add another dimension to food. MIX IT UP Philip Salter @philip_salter The same is true of alcohol. A glass of Zacapa XO, which is blended with rums that have been aged for up to 25 years, is more like drinking a cognac than what most people would recognise as rum. Westcott’s Typing Room supper club food is just sublime, with the starter of slow cured sea trout, kohirabi, lime and raisin one of the most extraordinary things I’ve eaten in recent memory. The main course of 72-hour braised beef cheek, fermented grains, smoked bone marrow and turnip isn’t too shoddy either, but ultimately it was the accompanying cocktail that blew me away. I believe in equality of gastronomy. In other words, I’m happy to consume pretty much any animal, vegetable and mineral on this planet (except for any animals that are particularly smart, beautiful or useful to humans – I know, life just isn’t fair). That being said, I’ve never really got on well with leeks, yet the Zacapa 23 leek cocktail (I don’t think it has a proper name yet) is a surprisingly delightful drink. It’s 50ml of Zacapa 23, two slices of honey roasted leek (lightly muddled in a mixing glass), 3ml of balsamic vinegar, two pinches of all spice, 5ml of honey and 10ml of chestnut liqueur all stirred over ice, double strained and garnished with a leek. The resulting cocktail has all of the complexity of an old fashioned with the sharpness of a gibson martini. After the supper club, I drunkenly joined forces with another drinks writer to petition the Typing Room to keep this cocktail on the menu. We were victorious, but sadly you’ll have to wait until after 9 May to order one, which is when The Art of Slow supper club will run The Temptation Wheel matches desserts to cocktails (tickets will be available to buy online at biletto.co.uk from 1 April). I’m not into this waiting around lark, which is why I’ve included the recipe above. But while the Typing Room tries to match an entire meal with cocktails the Savoy is focusing solely on desserts. From 7:30pm until mid- night, the sumptuous Thames Foyer packs away the afternoon tea and replaces it with something even more indulgent. The Temptation Wheel is a mahogany spinning wheel that aims to match cocktails with the perfect desserts and chocolates. You’ll be served from an art deco domed bell cart so flamboyant that it would make even the Great Gatsby blush, while inside you’ll find a host of equally theatrical desserts. The peach melba is fun, and is recommended to be eaten alongside the Southern Rose: Grey Goose, rose, muscat, St. Germain and raspberry syrup. Also, you should check out the Kings & Quince cocktail, which is the simple but effective mix of Woodford Reserve Distiller's Select, quince liqueur and dry vermouth. I still doubt that I’ll ever be convinced that cocktails and food make the perfect bedfellows – but the matchmakers at the Typing Room and the Savoy are doing their best to prove me wrong. 30 SPORT WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 FOOTBALL Beckham urges United to give Van Gaal time ROSS MCLEAN FORMER England skipper David Beckham believes under-fire boss Louis van Gaal should be given more time by his old club Manchester United but also wants to see Jose Mourinho back in the Premier League as soon as possible. Van Gaal has overseen a turbulent campaign at Old Trafford which has left fifth-placed United six points adrift of the Premier League’s top four, having also suffered a Champions League group-stage exit in December. That has led to speculation over the Dutchman’s future with exChelsea manager Mourinho, who was axed from Stamford Bridge before Christmas, heavily linked to Van Gaal has endured a difficult season succeeding Van Gaal. “He [Van Gaal] is an experienced manager with a great reputation in the game. Sometimes it takes time,” said Beckham. “At the end of the day we have to look at results, the way we play, listen to the fans, the people around the club and I only hear great things about him as a person, a manager and a coach and that’s all I can talk about. “He’s the manager of Manchester United so there’s always going to be speculation, there’s always going to be criticism but the most important thing is at the end of the season. Let’s see what happens then.” The pressure on Van Gaal eased slightly with Monday’s FA Cup fifthround victory over Shrewsbury Town, although the spectre of Mourinho, a manager Beckham rates highly, remains an almost constant presence. Beckham added: “He’s still one of the best managers and I hope he comes back to the Premier League as soon as possible.” FOOTBALL FOOTBALL COMMENT Trevor Steven T OTTENHAM manager Mauricio Pochettino cannot have failed to notice the furore that greeted Manchester City’s rotation policy as the Argentinian ponders team selection for tomorrow’s match against Fiorentina. City boss Manuel Pellegrini has been pilloried after his experiment of fielding six teenagers in a much-changed line-up for Sunday’s FA Cup tie at Chelsea resulted in a 5-1 defeat. Pochettino must now decide how to allocate his playing resources as he weighs up the importance of progress in the Europa League with maximising Spurs’ chances in a four-horse Premier League title race. Momentum was the priority during my playing career. We always fielded the best team available and we definitely benefited. That wasn’t just at Everton, Rangers or Marseille; every club’s mentality was the same. But the psychology has changed. It’s a squad game now and players don’t expect to play every match. Many are happy to get some kind of run in the side and only the best know they’re sure to play the biggest fixtures. It’s clear what City’s most important targets are. They want to win the title – and because it’s so open this year believe they still can – while the Champions League is their holy grail. If everyone at City understands that and believes in it, then there’s no reason for FA Cup elimination, even losing by such a big margin, need be a major setback. It could even work to their advantage, if important players get much-needed rest and other avoid picking up yellow cards. The FA Cup in particular has become something of a pothole for clubs. Imagine if City striker Sergio Aguero had played at Chelsea and turned his ankle. It’s regrettable but the competition is now an opportunity for some teams to rest players. CARROT Arsenal boss Arsene Wenger similarly made wholesale changes for their 0-0 FA Cup draw with Hull on Saturday. Chelsea and Manchester United, who beat Shrewsbury 3-0 on Monday, played strong teams because their title hopes are effectively over so the cup now has greater importance. For Tottenham, I doubt that the Europa League is the priority. Yes, it now comes with the carrot of a Champions League place for the winners, but Spurs look sure to qualify anyway with a top-four place. Pochettino might even wonder FOOTBALL CONTINUED FROM P32 when another swift break saw the ball fall to him 12 yards out, but his shot was straight at Ter Stegen. Barca’s fearsome strikeforce began to bare its teeth as the opening period wore on, and Messi squandered a freekick and headed over before Nacho Monreal was forced to clear a Suarez cross-shot from the goalmouth. Suarez wasted the half’s clearest chance with its very last action when Sergio Busquets’s lofted diagonal pass found Dani Alves and he volleyed a first-time centre back across goal. Unmarked and six yards out, the Uruguayan glanced his header wide. Petr Cech saved from Neymar with his legs, Giroud’s downward header brought a smart stop from Ter Stegen CITYAM.COM Mauricio Pochettino could find that defeat in tomorrow’s Europa League tie with Fiorentina helps Tottenham’s title challenge Rotation critics ought to give it a rest: bosses are right to choose priorities whether it would be an advantage to go out of Europe now and minimise their workload, especially if Premier League rivals City and Arsenal prolong their continental campaigns. A rare top-flight title challenge has to be Tottenham’s main concern. If they carry on in the Europa League then fine, but it cannot be at the expense of Premier League results. Winning the league or going far in the Champions League can have a transformative effect on clubs. Besides glory, it elevates their brand and makes them a more attractive destination for top players. We shouldn’t rush to criticise managers for resting their stars, as Pellegrini did. It’s an unavoidable consequence of prioritising the right competitions for their team. What’s more, because this year’s title race is so unusually open clubs have to be very clear about their tar- TENNIS and Suarez dragged a low shot just wide from a tight angle as the second half began in end-to-end fashion. Barca looked increasingly likely to capitalise on the stretched play and so it proved on 71 minutes when Suarez broke down the left, he nutmegged Koscielny and Neymar squared to Messi, who waited for Cech to go to ground before lifting over him. Suddenly the visitors were rampant and Suarez hit the post before substitute Mathieu Flamini made an instant impact by felling Messi and the No10 won another battle of wits with Cech, this time from the spot. It might have been worse had Cech not tipped a Neymar header over in stoppage time, but Arsenal’s hopes of a first quarterfinal since 2010 look bleak even before the trip to Camp Nou on 16 March. gets. Players buy into that and know their workloads need to be managed. This phenomenon isn’t going away. In fact, with increased television money making the lesser English teams more competitive and therefore Premier League points harder to come by, it will likely only increase. Trevor Steven is a former England footballer who has played at two World Cups and two European Championships. He now works as a media commentator. FOOTBALL Murray set for return as Great Prince in bid to Britain plot Davis Cup defence delay Fifa vote ROSS MCLEAN WORLD No2 Andy Murray is set to make his competitive return to action when Great Britain begin the defence of their Davis Cup title against Japan in Birmingham next month. The 28-year-old has not played since the Australian Open final in January having taken the whole of February off following the birth of his first child, Sophia. Murray won all 11 rubbers as Great Britain claimed their first Davis Cup since 1936 last year, a run which ended with victory over Belgium during November’s final in Ghent. He has been selected alongside Dan Evans, Kyle Edmund, Jamie Murray and Dom Inglot in a squad of five, while captain Leon Smith will make his final selections on 3 March, the day preceding the start of the first-round tie. Smith said: “Japan have a very strong team, they have progressed well in recent years and with Kei Nishikori have an established top-10 player.” JOE HALL FIFA presidential candidate Prince Ali bin al-Hussein has appealed to the Court of Arbitration for Sport (CAS) to have Friday’s vote suspended. The Jordanian’s lawyers moved after his request for transparent voting booths was rejected by football’s world governing body. Prince Ali is one of five candidates to succeed Sepp Blatter, with Sheikh Salman, Gianni Infantino, Tokyo Sexwale and Jerome Champagne. CITYAM.COM WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 FOOTBALL RESULTS Pellegrini: Pep shadow is not affecting City ROSS MCLEAN MANCHESTER City manager Manuel Pellegrini last night denied that the shadow cast by the impending arrival of Pep Guardiola at the Etihad Stadium has derailed his side’s tilt for silverware this season. City beat Sunderland the day after announcing that departing Bayern Munich boss Guardiola would replace the Chilean at the end of the current campaign but have since lost three successive matches across two competitions. Pellegrini’s charges face Dynamo Kiev in Ukraine tonight in the first leg of their last-16 Champions League tie before a pivotal week ends with a showdown with Liverpool in Sunday’s Capital One Cup final at Wembley. The announcement of Guardiola’s appointment was meant to end speculation and uncertainty over Pellegrini’s future, and the 62-year-old refuses to accept that his players have been affected. “No, really, that is not a problem,” said Pellegrini. “All the players from the start, they are just thinking in this season. We have important challenges this year and we are focused in every game. “It’s very easy because we are focusing on winning silverware.” Pellegrini’s defensive options are set to be boosted by the return of centre-half Eliaquim Mangala, who has been missing since early January with a hamstring injury. City, meanwhile, could play in front of 70,000 supporters at the Olimpiyskiy Stadium tonight after a previously imposed three-match Pellegrini’s City have lost three successive matches stadium ban for racist behaviour and crowd disturbances was reduced to one game on appeal earlier this month. While pleased that City’s showdown in Kiev will not be played in an empty arena, Pellegrini hopes fans of the Ukrainian champions heed warning from past mistakes. “One of the worst things you can do is play in an empty stadium,” added Pellegrini. “In this case, fans of Kiev have a lesson about what happened. I know maybe for the home team it’s not an advantage to play without fans, but for football it’s important.” FOOTBALL Stefano Sturaro equalised as Juventus levelled the tie in Turin Juve comeback stifles Bayern’s last-eight dash CHAMPIONS LEAGUE JUVENTUS BAYERN MUNICH 2 2 ROSS MCLEAN SERIE A leaders Juventus produced a stunning second-half fightback to stall Bayern Munich’s charge towards the quarter-finals and revive their own flagging Champions League hopes in Turin last night. Bayern stormed into a commanding 2-0 lead 10 minutes after half-time as former Chelsea winger Arjen Robben added to Thomas Muller’s opener late in the first period – his sixth Champions League goal this season. FOOTBALL CONTINUED FROM P32 Charlton,” C7 boss Steve Barton told City A.M. “But when we then saw the fan reaction yesterday to even the possibility of us approaching Charlton I issued a statement via Twitter. “There appears to be a high level of unhappiness with the current regime there. So given the passion and level of social media messaging we were left with one option: to assure fans that we would not be pursuing any commercial links with Charlton whatsoever.” The efforts to convince Coco5 against any sponsorship form part of Charlton fans’ protests against absentee owner Duchatelet. But Massimiliano Allegri’s side retaliated and initiated their comeback as Argentine forward Paulo Dybala netted moments after the hour mark, while substitute Stefano Sturaro’s close-range finish restored parity inside the final 15 minutes. The last-16 clash remains in the balance ahead of the second leg at the Allianz Arena on 16 March, although last season’s beaten finalists and defending Italian champions Juventus would likely need to become the first visiting team to win in Bavaria this campaign in order to progress. Bayern have won all 15 matches at home across all competitions this term, although Juventus are unbeaten in their last seven away fixtures, winning six. IN BRIEF Supporters are angry at what they perceive to be a flawed player recruitment strategy, the departure of star players such as Yann Kermorgant, Joe Gomez and Diego Poyet, and a record of five different head coaches in two years under the Belgian’s ownership. Their latest campaign also follows successful fan protests at other clubs, including at Liverpool and Arsenal who were forced to reconsider ticket charges in the wake of supporter activism. Charlton declined to comment when contacted by City A.M. The Addicks, meanwhile, lost 2-1 at in-form Preston last night, a result which leaves Jose Riga’s side bottom of the Championship, seven points adrift of safety. GATLAND MAKES THREE CHANGES FOR FRANCE GAME £ RUGBY UNION: Wales have recalled Wasps lock Bradley Davies for tomorrow’s Six Nations clash with France in place of the injured Luke Charteris. Coach Warren Gatland’s two other changes from the team that beat Scotland a fortnight ago see wing Alex Cuthbert and flanker Dan Lydiate replace Tom James and Justin Tipuric. Centre Jonathan Davies is fit to start after recovering from a groin problem. GB BOSS WARNS WIGGINS OVER RIO OLYMPIC SPOT £ CYCLING: Seven-time Olympic medallist Sir Bradley Wiggins has been warned he is not guaranteed a place in Great Britain’s track team for this year’s Rio Olympics. Wiggins hopes to be part of the four-man pursuit team and will race in that and the madison at next month’s World Championships. GB boss Shane Sutton said: “Brad has to go out and produce in London, which will determine whether he makes the road to Rio or not.” RAMIRES AND JIANGSU HELD IN ASIAN CHAMPIONS LEAGUE £ FOOTBALL: Big-spending Chinese side Jiangsu Suning were held to a 1-1 draw by 10-man Vietnamese outfit Binh Duong in their opening Asian Champions League match. Jiangsu have led the spending by Chinese Super League clubs this year by spending £25m on Chelsea midfielder Ramires and £38m on Shakhtar Donetsk striker Alex Teixeira, who both played but did not score. SPORT 31 FOOTBALL UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE ROUND OF 16 FIRST LEG Arsenal ..................(0) 0 Barcelona ..................(0) 2 Att: 59,889 Messi 71, 84 (pen) Juventus ...............(0) 2 Bayern Munich ..........(1) 2 Dybala 63 Muller 43 Sturaro 76 Robben 55 Att: 41,332 THE SKY BET CHAMPIONSHIP Birmingham ...........(1) 1 Bolton ........................(0) 0 Donaldson 29 Att: 15,992 Brentford ...............(1) 3 Wolverhampton .......(0) 0 Swift 38, 67 Canos 56 Att: 8,769 Bristol City ............ (0) 0 Brighton .................... (2) 4 Murphy 8 Baldock 21 Hemed 56 Att: 15,256 Little 75 (og) Burnley ..................(0) 1 Nottm For ..................(0) 0 Vokes 68 Att: 15,517 Ipswich .................(0) 0 Hull .............................(0) 1 Att: 17,630 Diame 48 Leeds ......................(1) 1 Fulham ........................(1) 1 Cook 38 Cairney 17 Att: 17,103 Middlesbrough ......(1) 3 Cardiff ........................(1) 1 Connolly 25 (og) Da Silva 20 Ramirez 63 Nugent 83 Att: 24,322 MK Dons .................(1) 1 Huddersfld ................(0) 1 Revell 28 Wells 86 Att: 9,402 Preston ...................(1) 2 Charlton .....................(1) 1 Garner 35 Gudmundsson 37 Robinson 52 Att: 10,075 Reading .................(0) 1 Rotherham ................(0) 0 Robson-Kanu 66 Att: 13,504 Sheff Wed ............. (0) 1 QPR ............................(0) 1 Nuhiu 63 Tozser 57 Att: 19,233 P W D L F A GD Pts Hull ....................................32 19 6 7 48 19 29 63 Burnley............................33 17 11 5 51 26 25 62 Middlesbro’ ...................31 18 7 6 42 17 25 61 Brighton .........................33 16 12 5 45 34 11 60 Sheff Wed .....................33 14 12 7 50 35 15 54 Derby ...............................32 14 12 6 43 28 15 54 Birminghm ....................32 14 9 9 39 30 9 51 Cardiff .............................33 12 13 8 43 37 6 49 Preston............................33 12 12 9 32 30 2 48 Ipswich ...........................32 13 9 10 40 40 0 48 Brentford .......................33 12 7 14 46 51 -5 43 Nottm For ......................32 10 12 10 31 28 3 42 QPR ...................................33 9 14 10 39 40 -1 41 Reading...........................32 10 10 12 34 33 1 40 Wolves.............................33 10 10 13 40 46 -6 40 Huddersfld ...................33 10 9 14 44 45 -1 39 Leeds ................................32 8 14 10 30 35 -5 38 Fulham.............................33 8 12 13 51 54 -3 36 Blackburn ......................30 7 13 10 28 27 1 34 Bristol City ....................33 8 10 15 29 52 -23 34 MK Dons.........................33 8 8 17 26 45 -19 32 Rotherham ....................33 7 5 21 36 58 -22 26 Bolton ..............................33 4 13 16 31 54 -23 25 Charlton..........................33 5 10 18 27 61 -34 25 SKY BET LEAGUE 1 Bury .......................(0) 0 Barnsley ....................(0) 0 Peterboro ...............(1) 1 Oldham .......................(1) 2 Rochdale ................(1) 1 Fleetwood Town .......(0) 0 SKY BET LEAGUE 2 AFC Wimbledon....(0) 1 Carlisle ......................(0) 0 Accrington St ....... (2) 3 Notts County.............(0) 2 Barnet ....................(1) 1 Portsmouth...............(0) 0 Exeter ....................(0) 1 Oxford Utd ................ (2) 4 Yeovil .....................(0) 0 Plymouth ...................(0) 0 York .......................(0) 1 Northampton .............(1) 2 VANARAMA NATIONAL LEAGUE Braintree Town .....(1) 2 FC Halifax ..................(0) 0 Cheltenham...........(0) 0 Gateshead .................(0) 0 Grimsby ................. (3) 3 Woking .......................(1) 1 Guiseley .................(0) 0 Forest Green .............(0) 1 Torquay .................(0) 2 Welling ......................(0) 0 Wrexham .............. (2) 2 Kidderminster ..........(0) 0 THE WILLIAM HILL SCOTTISH CUP FIFTH ROUND REPLAY Dundee .................. (2) 5 Dumbarton ................(0) 0 McGinn 16 Hemmings 29 Stewart 51, 90 Holt 79 Att: 3,532 LADBROKES SCOTTISH PREMIERSHIP Partick...................(0) 2 St Johnstne...............(0) 0 Doolan 72 Amoo 87 Att: 2,320 P W D L F A GD Pts Celtic ................................26 19 4 3 69 21 48 61 Aberdeen .......................26 17 4 5 45 29 16 55 Hearts..............................25 12 8 5 46 26 20 44 Ross Co ...........................27 11 3 13 42 43 -1 36 St Johnstone ...............26 10 5 11 41 43 -2 35 Dundee ............................26 8 10 8 39 41 -2 34 Inverness CT................25 8 8 9 33 36 -3 32 Partick .............................24 8 7 9 24 28 -4 31 Motherwell ...................27 8 5 14 30 43 -13 29 Hamilton.........................27 7 8 12 31 47 -16 29 Kilmarnock....................27 7 7 13 29 48 -19 28 Dundee Utd...................26 4 5 17 26 50 -24 17 LADBROKES SCOTTISH LEAGUE 1 Albion .................... (3) 4 Brechin ......................(0) 1 Cowdenbeath ........(1) 1 Forfar ......................... (2) 4 LADBROKES SCOTTISH LEAGUE 2 Berwick ...................... 1 Queen’s Park .................. 1 Stirling ...................(1) 1 Clyde ..........................(0) 2 Arbroath ...............(0) 0 East Stirling ..............(0) 0 TODAY’S DIARY (7.45pm unless stated) UEFA Champions Lge Round of 16 First Leg Dynamo Kiev v Man City ................................................................................ PSV Eindhoven v Atletico Madrid .............................................................. Sky Bet Championship Derby v Blackburn............................................................................................. Ladbrokes Scottish Championship Hibernian v Morton .......................................................................................... 32 SPORT WEDNESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2016 CITYAM.COM BEST OF THE REST Trevor Steven in defence of managers who aren’t afraid to rotate their squads PAGE 30 SPORT FOOTBALL Lethal Messi gives Gunners deja vu Arsenal again succumb to Barca class and face last-16 away battle to salvage European hopes for fourth straight year CHAMPIONS LEAGUE ARSENAL BARCELONA 0 2 FRANK DALLERES EMIRATES STADIUM ARSENAL manager Arsene Wenger blamed his team’s failure to learn from previous mistakes after Barcelona condemned them to an allbut certain Champions League exit at the first knockout round for a sixth year in a row. Two goals in the last 20 minutes from star Lionel Messi, the second a penalty, decided this first leg and swept the Catalan giants to the brink of eliminating the Gunners for the third time in seven seasons. Midfielder Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain and striker Olivier Giroud tested goalkeeper Marc-Andre Ter Stegen but Arsenal failed to score for a fourth time in six home games and will carry only the slimmest of hopes into next month’s return leg. For the fourth straight year they will go into the second half of a last-16 tie having lost the home leg, and Wenger was anguished not just by the familiar predicament but also the manner in which his team were undone. “They are better than us and I believe everybody knows that but we could have won the game tonight if we had kept the discipline until the end. Once again like against Monaco [last year] we were caught in exactly the same way,” he said. “They are European champions and world champions, but I felt there was room to beat them tonight – that is the biggest regret I have. Sometimes you can lose against a team and you think there is nothing to do but tonight there was room to beat them. “Barcelona is through 95 per cent, certainly, but we want to go there and play. We are Arsenal football club and we won’t go there and have absolutely no chance. But what we want now is to focus on our next game.” Wenger accused Barca players of attempting to influence the referee – ‘they are tricky; they never go down silent’ -- while opposite number Luis Enrique denied defender Gerard Pique had engineered a late booking that rules him out of the second leg. Arsenal contained Messi, Neymar and Luis Suarez for 70 minutes but could not capitalise on their own halfchances and, as the game opened up, eventually succumbed to Barcelona's all-star attacking triumvirate. Wenger’s men were content to let Barca monopolise possession early on yet looked the more dangerous team, Aaron Ramsey seeing a shot blocked from a Mesut Ozil cut-back at the end of a sweeping counter-attack. The pace of Alexis Sanchez and Oxlade-Chamberlain had the visitors retreating, and the latter had the Gunners’ best chance of the first half Messi ‘s double at Emirates Stadium last night leaves Arsenal facing uphill task £ CONTINUES ON PAGE 30 FOOTBALL RUGBY UNION Potential sponsor pulls plug on Charlton talks after fans protest JOE HALL CHARLTON Athletic have missed out on a potential commercial deal after their own fans persuaded a possible partner not to work with the Championship club. Energy drink brand Coco5 ruled out a financial arrangement after being bombarded with social media messages from Addicks fans upset at the way their club is being run. Supporters of the second tier’s basement club have been protesting against Belgian owner Roland Duchatelet, who has attended just four games since purchasing Charlton over two years ago. The Campaign Against Roland Duchatelet group, as part of its drive to oust the absentee chief, called on Charlton fans to contact Coco 5 and dissuade them from any deal which could benefit the club financially. Once Coco5 was made aware of the level of opposition it felt any commercial deal would be counterproductive, according to the chief executive of C7 Brands, which markets the drink in Britain. “A conversation took place about a potential commercial tieup between ourselves and £ CONTINUES ON PAGE 31 Rookie Daly set for England bow in Ireland Six Nations showdown ROSS MCLEAN UNCAPPED Wasps centre Elliot Daly is in line for his international debut after being named in England head coach Eddie Jones’s 23-man squad for Saturday’s Six Nations clash with Ireland at Twickenham. Daly’s inclusion coupled with the omission of Northampton lock Courtney Lawes is the only change from the matchday party on duty against Italy earlier this month as England maintained their winning start to the championship. “I have been pleased with the hard work and attitude the squad have shown since Italy,” said Jones. “Everyone wants to be on the field on Saturday and there were some tough selection calls. “Elliot Daly has impressed in training and is now ready to be part of the matchday 23.” Victory for England at the weekend would end Ireland’s pursuit of an unprecedented third consecutive Six Nations title and boost their own chances of a first Grand Slam since 2003. Bath’s Exeter-bound centre Ollie Devoto and back-row forward Josh Beaumont have both been ruled out of the Ireland game through injury.