Final Master Plan Report - Appendix B: Part 2

Transcription

EASTERN AFRICA POWER POOL
(EAPP) AND EAST AFRICAN
COMMUNITY (EAC)
FINAL MASTER PLAN
REPORT
REGIONAL POWER SYSTEM MASTER PLAN
AND GRID CODE STUDY
APPENDIX B
Part II
WBS 1200-1300 Gen.
Supply Study – Supply
Demand Analysis
May 2011
SNC LAVALIN INTERNATIONAL INC.
in association with
PARSONS BRINCKERHOFF
PREFACE The objective of the present study is to identify regional power generation and interconnection projects in the power systems of EAPP and EAC member countries in the short‐to‐long term. The study also aims at developing a common Grid Code (Interconnection Code) in order to facilitate the integrated development and operations of the power systems of the member countries. The study further aims at contributing to the institutional capacity building for the EAPP and EAC through training of counterpart staff. The development of institutional capacity will enable EAPP/EAC to implement the subsequent activities, including the updating of both the Master Plan and the Interconnection Code. This study covers the following countries in alphabetical order: Burundi, Djibouti, Democratic Republic of Congo, Egypt, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Sudan, Tanzania and Uganda. The Master Plan Report has been organized according to the following structure: Volume Executive Summary Volume I Volume II Volume III Volume IV Appendix A Appendix B Section 01 – Introduction 02 ‐ Demand Forecast (wbs 1100) 03 ‐ Generation Supply Study & Planning Criteria (wbs 1200) 04 ‐ Supply‐Demand Analysis & Project Identification (wbs 1300) 05 ‐ Transmission Network Study (wbs 1400) 06 ‐ Interconnection Studies (wbs 1500) 07 ‐ Regional Market Operator Location (wbs 2900) 08 ‐ System Studies For Expansion Plan (wbs 2100) 09 ‐ Environment Impact Assessment (wbs 2200) 10 ‐ Cost Estimates And Implementation Schedules (wbs 2300) 11 – Financial & Economic Evaluation – Risk and Benefits (wbs 2400/2500) 12 ‐ Development and Investment Plan (wbs 2600) 13 ‐ Institutional and tariff aspects (wbs 2700) 14 – Project Funding (wbs 2800) 15 – Conclusions TOR, Cost Estimates and Implementation Schedules for Feasibility Studies for Projects identified in the first five years Part I – WBS 1100 Demand Forecast Part II – WBS 1200‐1300 Gen. Supply Study – Supply Demand Analysis Part III – WBS 1400‐1500 Transm. Network – Interconnection Studies Part IV – WBS 2600‐2700 Investment Plan – Institutional & Tariff Aspects EAPP/EAC Regional
PSMP & Grid Code Study
Acronyms and Abbreviations
A
AC
AEO
AfDB
AICD
ARIMA
ARR
Avg
Alternate Current
Annual Energy Outlook
African Development Bank
Africa Infrastructure Country Diagnostic
Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average
Annual Required Revenue
Average
B
BADEA
bbl
BCR
BR
Arab Economic Development Bank in Africa
Oil barrel
Benefit/Cost Ratio
Burundi
C
CAPEX
CBEMA
CCGT
CDM
CEO
CF
CIRR
CKT
CO2
COR
CPI
Capital Expenditure
Computer and Business Equipment Manufacturers’ Association
Combined Cycle Gas Turbine - Thermal Power Plant
Clean Development Mechanism
Chief Executive Officer
Capacity Factor
Commercial Interest Reference Rate
Circuit
Carbon Dioxide
Composite Outage Rate
Consumer Price Index
D
DB
DC
DC
DGHER
DOE
DRC
DSCR
Djibouti
Direct Current
Democratic Republic of Congo
General Directorate for Hydropower and Rural Electrification
Department of Energy (USA)
Democratic Republic of Congo
Debt Service Coverage Ratio
E
EAC
EAPMP
EAPP
EdD
EDF
EEHC
EEPCo
East African Community
East African Power Master Plan Study
Eastern Africa Power Pool
Électricité de Djibouti
Électricité de France
Egyptian Electric Holding Company
Ethiopia Electric Power Corporation
Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
EAPP/EAC Regional
EETC
EG
EIA
EIC
EIJLLST
EIRR
EMF
EMP
ENPTPS
ENPV
ENTRO
EPC
EPCM
Esc.
ESIA
ET
EU
Egyptian Electricity Transmission Company
Egypt
Energy Information Administration
Existing Interconnections
Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Libya, Lebanon, Syria and Turkey
Economic Internal Rate of Return
Electro-Magnetic Field
Environmental Management Plan
Eastern Nile Power Trade Program Study
Economic Net Present Value
Eastern Nile Technical Regional Office
Engineering Procurement and Construction
Engineering Procurement and Construction Management
Escalation
Environmental and Social Impact Assessment
Ethiopia
European Union
F
FC
FDI
FIRR
FNPV
FOR
FS
FttH
Fictitious Company
Foreign Direct Investment
Financial Internal Rate of Return
Financial Net Present Value
Forced Outage Rate
Feasibility Study
Fibre-to-the-Home
G
GCI
GDP
GHG
GNI
GoE
GT
GTP
Global Competitiveness Index
Gross Domestic Product
Green House Gases
Gross National Income
Government of Ethiopia
Gas Turbine
Growth and Transformation Plan
H
HFO
HPP
HVAC
HVDC
Heavy Fuel Oil
Hydro Power Plant
High Voltage Alternate Current
High Voltage Direct Current
I
ICNIRP
ICS
ICT
IDC
IDO
International Commission of Non-Ionizing Radiation Protection
Interconnected System (Ethiopia)
Information and Communication Techonology
Interest during Construction
Industrial Diesel Oil
May 2011
EAPP/EAC Regional
IFC
IMF
Inst. Cap.
IP
IPO
IPP
IRR
IT
International Financial Corporation
International Monetary Fund
Installed Capacity
Internet Protocol
Initial Public Offering
Independent Power Producer
Internal Rate of Return
Information Technology
J
JMP
Joint Multipurpose Project
K
KenGen
KETRACO
KPLC
KTCIP
KY
Kenya Electricity Generation Company
Kenya Electricity Transmission Company Limited
Kenya Power and Lighting Company Ltd
Kenya Telecommunications Infrastructure Project
Kenya
L
LAP
LCEMP
LCPDP
LD
LDC
LDCs
Level of Prep.
LFO
LNG
LOLE
LOLP
LRMC
LRO
LSD
LTPSPS
LVL
Libyan African Portfolio
Least Cost Electricity Master Plan
Least Cost Power Development Plan
Liquidated Damage
Load Duration Curve
Least Developed Countries
Level of Preparedness
Light Fuel Oil
Liquefied Natural Gas
Loss of Load Expectation
Loss of Load Probability
Long Run Marginal Cost
Light Residual Oil
Low-Speed Diesel Engine
Long-Term Power System Planning Study
Level
M
MAED
Max
MD
Min
MINIFRA
MOU
MoWR
MP
MPIP
MSD
Model for Analysis of Energy Demand
Maximum
Maximum Power Demand
Minimum
Rwanda Ministry of Infrastructure
Memorandum of Understanding
Ministry of Water and Energy
Master Plan
Medium-term Public Investment Plan
Medium-Speed Diesel Engine
May 2011
EAPP/EAC Regional
N
NBI
NEC
NELSAP
NG
NGP
Nom. Cap.
NPV
O
OCGT
ODA
OECD
OLADE
Nile Basin Initiative
Sudan National Electricity Corporation
Nile Equatorial Lakes Subsidiary Action Program
Natural Gas
National Generation Plan
Nominal Capacity
Net Present Value
OLTC
O&M
ONRD
OPEC
OPEX
OPTGEN
Open Cycle Gas Turbine - Thermal Power Plant
Official Development Assistance
Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development
Organización Latinoamericana de Energía (Latin American Energy
Organization)
On-Load Tap Changers
Operation and Maintenance
Office of Natural Resources Damage
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries
Operating Expenditure
Optimal Generation (Planning Model)
P
PF
PPA
PPE
PSIP
PSMP
pu
Plant Factor
Power Purchase Agreement
Personal Protective Equipment
Power Sector Investment Plan
Power System Master Plan Study
Per Unit
R
RALF
RCC
RECO
Ref
REGIDESO
RFP
RGP
RMO
RMOC
RoC
RoCE
RoE
ROR
RTL
RW
RWASCO
Regression Analysis Load Forecast
Regional Coordination Center
Rwanda Energy Corporation
Reference
Régie de production Distribution d’Eau et d’Electricité
Request for Proposal
Regional Generation Plan
Regional Market Operator
Regional Market Operation Center
Return on Capital
Return on Capital Employed
Return on Equity
Run-Of-River
Rwandatel S.A.
Rwanda
Rwanda Water Supply Corporation
May 2011
EAPP/EAC Regional
S
SAPP
SCS
SD
SDDP
SEACOM
SEEE
SIL
SINELAC
SNEL
SPV
SRMC
SSEA
Southern African Power Pool
Self-Contained System (Ethiopia)
Sudan
Stochastic Dual Dynamic Programming
STPP
SVC
Society of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
Surge Impedance Loading
Société Internationale d’Électricité des Pays des Grands Lacs
Société Nationale d’Électricité – République Démocratique du Congo
Special Project Vehicle
Short Run Marginal Cost
Strategic/Sectoral, Social and Environmental Assessment of Power
Development Options in the Nile Equatorial Lakes Region
Steam Thermal Power Plant
Static Var Compensator
T
TANESCO
TOR
TPP
TSO
TZ
Tanzania Electric Supply Company Ltd
Terms of Reference
Thermal Power Plant
Transmission System Operator
Tanzania
U
UETCL
UEGCL
UG
UIC
UN
UNCTAD
USBR
UTL
Uganda Electricity Transmission Company
Uganda Electricity Generation Company Limited
Uganda
Unlimited Interconnections
United Nations
United Nations Conference on Trade And Development
United States Bureau of Reclamation
Uganda Telecom Ltd
W
WACC
WB
WBS
WEF
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
World Bank
Work Breakdown Structure
World Economic Forum
Y
yr
Year
May 2011
EAPP/EAC Regional
WBS 1200
Appendix A
Summary Information on Hydro Options
May 2011
WBS 1200 Generation supply study
& planning criteria
EAPP/EAC Regional
APPENDIX A: SUMMARY INFORMATION ON HYDRO OPTIONS
A.1
Burundi
Jiji 03: The site is on the Jiji River in southern Burundi, immediately upstream of the
confluence with the Murembwe River. The project would have an installation of 16 MW. The
updated estimated cost of energy is 17 cents/kWh. The project would be an alternative to
diesel. The project was identified by EDF in 1988 as an option for local power supply, and
restudied by SOGREAH at prefeasibility level in 2000. The project could be brought into
service by 2016, with a minimum lead time of 6 years.
Kabu 16: The Kabu 16 site is located on the Kaburantwa River, in northern Burundi, not far
from Bujumbura. A feasibility study was carried out in 1995 by SOGREAH. The estimated
installed capacity was 20 MW, and the average annual production is about 112 GWh. The
project and reservoir were conceived for daily peak operation. Capital cost was re-estimated
in 2004 for the SSEA study. Current energy cost is attractive at 6 cents/kWh. It is
understood that the project is being considered for implementation as an IPP. Based on the
feasibility level of preparation and the project small size, the minimum lead time would be 5
years, giving an earliest on-power date of 2015.
Mpanda: The Mpanda site is located on the Mpanda River, 25 km north of Bujumbura. A
detailed study was carried out in 1997 by Hydroplan, from Germany. The installed capacity
was 10 MW, and the average annual production is about 40 GWh. The project was planned
as a multipurpose hydr/irrigation project to provide irrigation flows to the Imbo plain,
(originally the Kaganuzi C project was planned for this purpose) and reservoirs were
conceived for daily peak operation.
Capital cost was re-estimated for the SSEA study in 2004. The updated estimated cost of
energy for this study is 17 cents/kWh. The project would be an alternative to diesel. It should
be noted that a significant part of the project could be assigned as an irrigation cost,
however no such allowance has been made in this current study. It is understood that the
project is being considered for implementation as an IPP. The estimated minimum lead time
is 6 years, giving an earliest on-power date of 2016.
Mule 34: The Mule 34 project was assessed jointly with Jiji 03 in 1988 and then reassessed
in 2000. The proposed installation was 17 MW, and the energy cost derived for this study is
about 10 cents/kWh. While this is relatively expensive, the alternative would be high cost
medium speed diesel using No 2 oil. The minimum lead time would be 6 years, giving an
earliest on-power date of 2016.
Siguvyaye: This 90 MW project was originally planned to supply a mining complex, and
thus was too large for local supply. The project was studied by ITS Italy and REGIDESO in
1980.1 The scheme would involve diversions from the Jiji and Nyengwe rivers into the
reservoir (5900 and 5500 m tunnels respectively) and a power tunnel and penstock of 20
kms. The total about 32 kms of tunnel would present a very high construction risk. The
scheme would divert most of the Siguvyaye river flow, thus reducing or eliminating flows
over the 20 km distance from the reservoir to Lake Tanganyika. It is presumed that this
would present a high risk to project approval.
Cost of energy is currently estimated as 9 cents/kWh. However the original feasibility study
was of limited scope and is very old. It is understood that the project is being considered for
implementation as an IPP. The minimum lead time would be 6 years, assuming that the
1
REGIDESO – Amenagement hydroelectrique de la Sikuvyaye – Avant project definitive, Mars 1980
May 2011
A-1
& planning criteria
EAPP/EAC Regional
project concept and preliminary design are still valid. This corresponds to an earliest onpower date of 2016.
A.2
Eastern DRC
Babeda 1: The Babeda Falls are on the Tshopo river North-east of Kisangani in Haut Zaire
(Oriental province). SICAI-Tractionel studied two sites in 1972, both with a 50 MW
installation, and with very similar capital cost and unit generation cost. Nominally Babeda I
was marginally cheaper. The site evaluation is at a very preliminary or reconnaissance level.
The project is conventional, and well located for the load in the Oriental Province, and thus
should be evaluated further. The project cost has been escalated and adjusted, resulting in
a cost of 155 MUSD, and a corresponding unit energy cost of 4.7 cents/kWh. Earliest onpower is estimated at 2017.
Bengamisa: This project in Haut Zaire was studied in 1982 by OCCR-SEE2. The installation
was selected as 48 MW, with a cost of 93 MUSD shown in a 1994 study [6]. The cost has
been escalated and adjusted to 157 MUSD for this current study, giving an energy cost of 4
cents/kWh. Cost and energy data is indicative only. Earliest on-power is estimated at 2017.
Busanga: This site is located on the Lualaba river in Shaba province. It was part of a study
in 1970 by Tractionel. That study proposed a 224 MW installed capacity. The capital cost
was shown in the Cifarha inventory as 244 MUSD at 1990 prices. For the current study this
was escalated and adjusted to 412 MUSD, which gives an energy cost of 3.4 cents/kWh.
This cost is indicative only. Earliest on-power is estimated at 2020.
Kyimbi Bandera II: The plant was constructed in 1959 and is located some 125 km north
of Kalemi. The present station includes two turbines, with a nominal output of 17 MW. There
is a proposal to add a third unit to increase the plant capacity to 26 MW. The addition of the
third unit was studied by Sicai-Tractionel in 1972. A further study was done by TECSULT in
1990, including costs for rehabilitation of the existing units and the addition of a further unit.
Estimated costs from the TECSULT study as reported by SNEL were considered in the
SSEA study to be probably low (US$ 76/kW for complete rehabilitation of the existing
electro-mechanical equipment and US$ 475/kW for the additional unit (at 1990 price
levels)).
The current study has adjusted costs for IDC and environmental mitigation, to give a total
capitalized cost of 79.71 MUSD, which corresponds to an energy cost of 2.27 Cents /kWh.
However the cost data is considered very preliminary. As a rehabilitation project,
implementation should be feasible. The project would supply communities on the west side
of Lake Kivu. Earliest on-power is estimated at 2018.
Mugomba: This 40 MW site is located on the Luholu river in the Lubero district,
approximately on the equator, and north-east from Lubero. This site would be convenient to
supply the Bukavu-Goma-Beni transmission line. In the ONRD 1972 study the site was
ranked second best after Sisi. Given the medium size and convenient location, as well as
being potentially economic, this site should be evaluated further. The costs from the original
study were escalated for the 2006 SSEA study, and have been further adjusted for the
current study.
The indicated capital cost is 111 MUSD, and the corresponding energy cost is 7.4
cents/kWh. This is very preliminary, and the project has to be restudied for including in any
future plan. Earliest on-power is estimated at 2018.
2
Etudes inventaires des sites hydrauliques en vue de leur equipment avec des mini ou microcentrales hydro-electriques au
Zaire, S.E.E.E – O.C.C.R.-INTER G
May 2011
A-2
& planning criteria
EAPP/EAC Regional
Piana Mwanga: This project would comprise an installation of 38 MW (rehabilitation and
addition of one unit). The project was evaluated in about 1990. The adjusted capital cost for
the current study is 54 MUSD, corresponding to an energy cost of 3 cents/kWh. The project
has to be restudied and data brought up to date before being included in a generation plan.
Earliest on-power is estimated at 2018.
Ruzizi III: The site was identified and selected in 1992 as part of a basin study for EGL that
covered most of the Ruzizi river.3 Phase 2 of this study was a prefeasibility study of the
project. The original concept was to develop 77 m of head at the site with a 82 MW plant
installed capacity. A full feasibility study of the projects has now been completed for EGL
[12]. The project is now configured as 145 MW, with an average generation of 667 GWh.
The capital cost was estimated as 394.47 MUSD, excluding IDC or an environmental
mitigation allowance. After adjustments the capital cost is 485.41 MUSD, and the
corresponding energy cost is 7.7 Cents/kWh. The project would supply to at least the three
Grands Lacs countries, and would be expected to be part of a regional supply. Earliest onpower is estimated at 2017.
Ruzizi IV: This site, also referred to as Sisi 5, was originally studied in 1990 as part of a
study of development of the Ruzizi river for hydro4, which proposed an installation of 205
MW. A prefeasibility study was completed in 2009 that considered three alternative
installations, of which Alternative 5, with an installed capacity of 287 MW has been selected
as the preferred option by EGL [13]. The selected variant would generate 1260 GWh/year
(average).
The capital cost, excluding IDC or environmental mitigation costs, was estimated at 482.85
MUSD. After adjustments the equivalent capitalized cost is 594 MUSD, which results in
energy cost of 5.04 Cents/kWh. The project would supply to at least the three Grands Lacs
countries, and would be expected to be part of a regional supply. Earliest on-power is
estimated at 2019.
Semliki: This 28 MW site was studied in 1972 by ONRD5, and included in the later Cifarha
inventory. The project was restudied for the Ministry of Energy in 1989, and then further
studied in 20056. The estimated cost in that study was 34.5 MUSD. After escalation and
adjustments, the capitalized cost is 54 MUSD, and the corresponding energy cost is 4.8
cent.. The project would supply power to Kivu Nord province and the Goma Uvira grid.
Wanie Rukula This is a very large potential project on the Lualaba or Congo River,
upstream from Kisangani and to the south east of that city. The project would develop 20
metres of head, and have an installed capacity of 690 MW. The estimated capital cost is
stated as 119 million zaires in the Sicai-Tractionel 1972 report, and 1098 MUSD at 1990
price levels in the Cifarha report. The latter value was based on the 1976 Sogreah study,
and was escalated for the SSEA study, and that cost has been further adjusted for the
current study.
The capitalized cost is currently assumed as 110 MUSD, which gives a corresponding
energy cost of 3.3 cents/kWh. There is minimal information on the project and due to its
3
Tractabel – Plan directeur regional de developmnent de l´energie – Étude du potential hydroeléctrique de la vallée de Ruzizi .
Octubre 1992
4
Tractabel - Plan directeur regional de development de l´energie 1990
5
Etude du systeme electroenergetique de la Province du Kivu, Energoprojekt y ONRD, 1972
6
BUSSEM – Centrale hydroeléctrique de Semliki – etudes prefaisabilite, for the Secrétariat Général a l´Énergie
May 2011
A-3
& planning criteria
EAPP/EAC Regional
large size it could only be considered for the long term. Power would have to be exported.
A.3
Egypt
The only hydro project identified in the Egypt expansion plan for on-power after January
2013 is the Assiut barrage on the Nile [14]. The purpose of this project is primarily for level
control on the Nile. The project includes a 40 MW powerhouse. This project will not affect
the Egypt generation resource, and no information was available on the incremental capital
cost attributable to the power facilities.
A.4
Ethiopia
It has been estimated that Ethiopia has a gross hydro potential in the order of 30,000 MW7.
By the start of the planning period, about 1950 MW of hydro should be installed, including
the Gibe II 420 MW (2009), Beles 440 MW (2010) and Neshe 97 MW (2011) projects. A
further 12,900 MW of hydro are either under construction or identified as future candidate
projects. A key component of these potential resources is the cascade of projects on the
Abbay with a total potential in the order of 5,000 MW. The status and potential of future
hydro in Ethiopia is outlined below separated into Abbay projects and off Nile projects.
A.4.1
Abbay River projects
Project sites have been identified as part of three programs:
•
The 1964 USBR Blue Nile basin study - Mabil, Mandaya, and Border
•
The ENTRO power trade study completed in 2007 - Mandaya [10] and Border [10]
•
The MoWR study of Karadobi8, and the alternative Beko Abo site9 (2007)
7
Hydropower in Ethiopia: Status, potential and prospects - Solomon Seymoun Haillu
8
MoWR – Karadobi multipurpose project pre-feasibility study - NORPLAN, September 2006
9
MoWR – Beko Abo multipurpose project reconnaissance study - NORPLAN, November 2007
May 2011
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& planning criteria
EAPP/EAC Regional
Figure A- 1
Ethiopia hydro project sites location
The characteristics of these sites, some of which are mutually exclusive, are summarized as
follows:
Table A- 1
Hydro project sites characteristics
Dam height (m)
Tail‐water (m)
Storage (m3 x 10 6)
1146
250
910
40,200 Beko Abo 2007 MoWR 2100 906
110
795
37,500 Beko Abo 906
110
795
Plant Source MW FSL (m)
Karadobi 2006 MoWR 1600 ENTRO 1000 Mabil USBR 1200 906
171
740
13,600 Mandaya USBR 1620 741
164
580??
15,930 Mandaya 2007 ENTRO 2000 800
200
605
49,200 Border 2007 580
90
490
14,470 ENTRO 1200 The Mabil site was part of the USBR original cascade, and has been superseded by the
higher level Mandaya scheme developed in the 2007 ENPTPS study.
The base case cascade development scenario as of 2008 was:
Table A-2
May 2011
Base Case Development Scenario - 2008
Plant Source
MW
FSL (m)
Karadobi 2006
MoWR
1600
1146
Beko Abo ENTRO
1000
906
Mandaya 2007
ENTRO
2000
800
Border 2007
ENTRO
1200
580
A-5
& planning criteria
EAPP/EAC Regional
This would develop almost the full head between the Border tail-water at 490 m and the
Karadobi full supply level of 1146 m. However the high Karadobi scheme would flood out the
recently constructed Kessie bridge, that would be in the Karadobi fore-bay (at a level of
1070 m).
An alternative scheme would be to replace the Beko Abo and Karadobi projects by a high
Beko Abo project that would have a full supply level just below the Kessie bridge level. The
potential viability and economics of this alternative was evaluated in the prefeasibility study
for the MoWR in 2007. It is understood that further studies have now been initiated on the
Beko Abo and Karadobi sites.
A study for ENTRO, that is currently underway10, will:
•
Consider alternative configurations of the cascade development
•
Optimize dam heights
•
Determine the preferred order of development
The cascade scenarios to be compared and optimized include the following:
•
S1: A 4-dam cascade comprising Karadobi – Beko Abo – Mandaya – Border. This
scenario will include two sub-scenarios in order to take into account the constraint of the
presence of the existing bridge.
¾
S1A: Costs associated with replacing the existing bridge will be assessed and
included in the development cost of the cascade.
¾
S1B: Reducing the reservoir level at Karadobi to guarantee operation of the
existing bridge.
•
S2: A 3-dam cascade comprising Beko Abo – Mandaya –Border. The scenario will
include sub-scenarios to take into account constraints of the existing bridge at Kessie.
•
S3: As S2 with replacement of Border by two lower dam projects;
•
S4: Construction of a major dam and reservoir at the head of the cascade (Karadobi or
Beko Abo) and lower dams downstream (i.e. a lower Mandaya or replacement of
Mandaya by two dams, and two low dams to replace Border).
Status of the Abbay projects is commented on as follows:
The most recent reports on the identified dam sites give some indication on how baselines
and full supply levels have been selected.
Karadobi - Norplan 2006
The Karadobi site with the proposed FSL of 1146 m would result in flooding the new Kessie
bridge, and may be rejected in favor of the alternative downstream Beka Abo site. The 1964
USBR study selected a dam site some 1.5 km upstream of the Guder tributary, with a full
supply level of 1146 m and a dam height of 250 m. Tail-water would be at about elevation
910 m. BCEOM in 1998 retained the same site.
The Norplan study selected a dam baseline downstream of the Guder tributary, in order to
catch the additional drainage area. They note that adequate storage could be provided by a
dam of 160 to 200 meters, and that further increases in dam height over the USBR full
supply would be more economic, due to additional generation. However they retained the
10
Studies on Identification of projects constituting the First Joint Multipurpose Program (JMP 1) on Abbay/Blue - Main Nile
May 2011
A-6
& planning criteria
EAPP/EAC Regional
USBR full supply level of 1146 m, as at that level there were already significant
environmental impacts. Tail-water at the downstream site is about 900 m. Norplan preferred
the downstream site also because dam quantities are less. As noted above, this site is now
being restudied.
Table A-3
Karadobi project characteristics
Report date September 2006
Installed capacity 1600 MW
Average energy 8634 GWh
Firm energy Capital cost MUSD 2005 2231.8
IDC No
Includes environment MUSD
59.4
Status Prefeasibility
Minimum lead time in report
9 years after final feasibility/design to tender. Assume total time of 11 years Beko Abo – Norplan 2007 (3 month study)
The Beko Abo site was evaluated in the ENTRO power trade study, which proposed a 110
m dam height to fully develop the head between the Mandaya full supply level and Karadobi
tailrace. The MoWR asked Norplan to study a site near Beko Abo site as an alternative to
Karadobi, to retain the Kessie bridge. The Norplan study was very quick and at the
reconnaissance level, with minimal site inspection.
Site selection was based on 50,000 scale mapping, with dam axes being compared with
Karadobi. The selected baseline is 2 km upstream of the Nkemte Bahar Dar road bridge. At
the proposed baseline the river level is at 790-795 meters. Only one full supply level was
considered, 1065 m, i.e. 5 meters below the bottom of the Kessie bridge. No reference was
noted to whether there would be any backwater effect from the proposed FSL that would
reduce the expected clearance (thus affect the selected FSL).
The Beko Abo dam would be located in a wider valley section than Karadobi, requiring some
60 % more volume in the dam. However the extra volume is offset by the additional
drainage area and runoff. Unit generation costs are similar for both sites. Environmental
impacts expected to be similar for both sites, however there may be more people involved in
seasonal cultivation between the two sites, and below the full supply level.
May 2011
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& planning criteria
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table A-4
Beko Abo project characteristics
Report date
Installed capacity
Average energy
Firm energy
Capital cost MUSD 2006
IDC Includes environment MUSD
Status Minimum lead time in report
November 2007
2100
11200
11200
2838.4
No
55
Reconnaissance
N/A
As noted above, this site is now being restudied.
Mandaya – Scott Wilson prefeasibility as part of the ENTRO power market study –
2007
Dam site is as proposed by USBR in 1964. However the USBR study assumed the
construction of the Mabil project upstream to develop the full head to the Karadobi tail-water.
River level at the site is 605 m. Site is considered suitable for dam heights up to 260 m, (vs.
USBR 164 m). This would give a full supply level of about 860 m (i.e., well above the tailwater level at Karadobi of 795 m).
The full supply level of 800 m was based on the tail-water level of the upstream Beko Abo
site, and assumed development of Mandaya + Beko Abo + another site. No tests were
made on lower full supply levels, and the selected FSL assumes Beko Abo is developed
instead of Karadobi. Tail-water at Mandaya is about 605 m.
Table A-5
Mandaya project characteristics
Report date November 2007
Installed capacity 2000 Average energy 12119 Firm energy 11194 Capital cost MUSD 2471.7 IDC No Includes environment MUSD 20 Status Prefeasibility
Minimum lead time in report 2 year study/design +10 years after start of construction to first on power,
or 8 years construction to complete installation As noted above, this site is now being restudied. Also the current ENTRO study will look at a
staged 2 dam development to replace Mandaya.
Border – Scott Wilson prefeasibility as part of the ENTRO power market study – 2007
Scott Wilson used the USBR Border dam site and full supply level (+5 meters) i.e. 580 m.
The dam site was selected by the USBR because of topography (i.e. where the channel is
May 2011
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& planning criteria
EAPP/EAC Regional
narrow). Scott Wilson stated that the foundation conditions at the dam site were assessed
as suitable for a dam up to 90 m high (corresponding to the selected full supply level of 580
m.), and no major impacts in the reservoir were identified.
The reason for Scott Wilson to limit the dam height to 90 m for a 580 m fully supply level, as
compared with the Mandaya tail-water level of 605 m, was not stated in the report, however
there are indications that the topography would not support a full supply level above 590 m,
as even at that level saddle dams would be required. Tail-water level is about 490 m. The
current ENTRO study will look at a staged 2 dam development to replace Border.
Table A-6
Border project characteristics
Report date November 2007
Installed capacity 1200 Average energy 6011 or 8114 with Mandaya
Firm energy 3966 or 7429 with Mandaya
Capital cost MUSD 1480.6 IDC No Includes environment MUSD 125.4 Status Prefeasibility
Minimum lead time in report 2 year study/design +6 years after start of construction to first on power, or 7.5 years construction to complete installation A.4.2
Off Nile projects
The following information is summarized from the available reference reports:
Gibe III
Source: EdF Power Market Study – Module 4 2007
Table A-7
Gibe III project characteristics
Report date March 2007
Installed capacity 1870
Average energy 6240
Firm energy Capital cost MUSD 2006
2205
IDC
No
No info
Status Construction contract July 2006 Minimum lead time in report
Scheduled on power July 2013
Cost and on power information come from reference 26. Energy and installation are from
EdF Modules 2 and 4.
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& planning criteria
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Gibe IV
Source: EEPC Project profile 2009
Table A-8
Gibe IV project characteristics
Report date April 2009
Average energy 5917
2100
IDC No
No information
Status Contract MOU signed (refernce 26) Minimum lead time in report
No info. Summary update report by Pietrangeli – Salini June 2008 provided updated information on
Gibe IV and V.
Table A-9
Comparison of Gibe IV and Gibe V
Characteristic
Gibe IV
Gibe V
Capacity (MW)
1470
662
Energy (GWh)
5917
1937
Capital cost (MEuro)
1380
553
5
4
Construction period (years)
Halele Worabesa
Sources:
-
EdF Power Market Study 2007 Module M3 Vol 3
-
Lahmeyer Feasibility study of Halele Worabesa - 2000
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& planning criteria
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Table A-10
Halele Worabesa project characteristics
Installed capacity 96+326=422
Firm capacity Average energy 2245
Firm energy 2030
Capital cost MUSD 2006 507
IDC No
No information
Status Prefeasibility
Was scheduled for 2014, so 8 years lead time. Based on present status assume 9 years Feasibility study in 2000 included very limited drilling for Phase 1. No information is available
on Phase 2. Status should be considered as pre-feasibility, with a 9 year lead time to phase
2 (Worabesa). Normally upstream project should be constructed first, if U/S storage is
significant
Chemoga Yeda
Sources:
-
Feasibility study of Chemoga Yeda Stage I project. Lahmeyer 2006
-
Feasibility study of Chemoga Yeda Stage 2 project. Lahmeyer 2006
-
Table A-11
Chemoga Yeda project characteristics
Report date May 2006 / March 2007
Average energy Firm energy 780+568=1348
Capital cost MUSD 2006/2007
267.2+124=391.2 or 465 in EdF report IDC No
20
Status
Prefeasibility
6 years
Note foundation investigations limited to geophysical and soils testing. Thus a final feasibility
or preliminary design phase is required.
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& planning criteria
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Aleltu East
Source: EdF Power Trade Market Study 2007 Module M3 Vol 3
Table A-12
Aleltu East project characteristics
Installed capacity
186
Average energy 800
Firm energy 780
438
IDC No
No information
Status Feasibility study 1995
No information ‐ assume 7
Project originated in the feasibility study of 1994 – as part of 1994 Aleltu Basin Study –
Acres, provided selected installed capacity of 186 MW at 50 % PF, so energy is 814 GWh
Capital cost 379.4 MUSD, 1993 prices, excludes IDC, but included mitigation
8 year implementation, with 5 years of construction
Aleltu West
Source: EdF Power Market Study 2007 Module M3 Vol 3
Table A-13
Aleltu West project characteristics
Installed capacity
265
Average energy 1050
Firm energy 983
561
IDC No
No information
Status No information
No information ‐ assume 9
May have been identified as part of Aleltu Basin Study 1994
Baro 1 and 2, and Genji
Sources:
-
EdF Power Market Study 2007 Module M3 Vol 3 (which used Norplan values)
-
Feasibility Study by NORPLAN 2006
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& planning criteria
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Table A-14
Baro 1-2 and Genji project characteritics
Installed capacity 200+500+200=900 MW
Firm capacity Average energy 904+2585+920=4409
Firm energy 772+2085+920=3777
Capital cost MUSD 2006 487+350+138.6=975.9 + TL 339
IDC No
6 MUSD
Status Feasibility study
6 for Baro 1 and 7 years for Baro 2 and Genji Project should be scheduled in stages. Downstream project should be constructed first, if
U/S storage is significant, if not constructed at same time. Costs exclude transmission.
Adding transmission costs would delay the project. Study included 2000 m of drilling.
Gojeb
Sources:
-
-
Feasibility study of medium project – Humphreys, 1997
Table A-15
Gojeb project characteristics
Installed capacity 153 (Humphreys gave 102 MW)
Firm capacity 69
Average energy 520
Firm energy 364
Capital cost MUSD 2006 288 (Humphreys gas 268 MUSD ‐ no IDC)) IDC No
No information
Status 1997 Feasibility and design
6 years construction ‐ assume 8 years total Geba I and II
Sources:
-
EdF Power Market Study 2007 Module M3 Vol 3 (used Norplan values)
-
Feasibility study NORPLAN 2005
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Table A-16
Geba 1-2 project characteristics
Firm capacity 194+153=347
Average energy 935+853=1788
Firm energy Capital cost MUSD 2006 285+124=419
IDC No
No information
Status 2005 Feasibility Minimum lead time in report
5 years construction ‐ assume 7 years total Feasibility study included foundation investigations for dams and tunnel. Storage at
upstream plant, so upstream project should be constructed first, if U/S storage is significant,
if not constructed at same time.
Genale 3D
Sources:
-
Genale River basin master plan - Phase 3 Genale GC-3 Feasibility study Lahmeyer
2007
-
Table A-17
Genale 3D project characteristics
Report date February 2007 / March 2007
Average energy 1640
Firm energy 1600
536
IDC No
24
Status
Pre‐feasibility
No reference in report. Assume 9 years Study was done as a component of a master plan. It includes marketing and export/system
planning. There is no evidence of field investigations. It should be considered as
prefeasibility.
Genale 6D
Sources:
-
Genale GD-6 - Feasibility study NORPLAN 2009
May 2011
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& planning criteria
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-
Table A-18
Genale 6D project characteristics
Report date May 2009
Average energy 1575
Firm energy 1540
469.8
IDC No
2.2
Status
Feasibility
No reference in report. Assume 8 years Limited drilling program. Otherwise to feasibility stage.
Awash 4
Source: EdF Power Market Study 2007 Module M3 Vol. 3
Table A-19
Awash 4 project characteristics
Installed capacity
38
Average energy 160
Firm energy 144
49
IDC No
No information
Not given, assume 6 years
Feasibility study by Econosult in 2006. Report not available. Scope of feasibility study not
assessed. It is assumed EdF report is based on the 2006 feasibility study. Average energy
will drop from 160 to 132 GWh over 50 years due to sediment and irrigation. Previous
feasibility study done by ELC 2006, updated by ELC as part of Power Market Study 2007.
Feasibility study results included:
-
Installed capacity 38 MW
-
Average energy 160 GWh in 2008 reducing to 127 in 2058, with the Wonji irrigation
expansion or to 138 GWh – year without Wonji. Average is 144 GWh over 50 years.
-
Capital cost 45.9 MUSD, excluding IDC – assumed as 2005 price
-
Mitigation cost of 1.1 MUSD is included.
May 2011
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& planning criteria
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-
2 year construction period
-
Project not considered in power trade study, as of local interest only.
Mabil
Source: EdF Power Market Study 2007 Module M3 Vol 3
Table A-20
Mabil project characteristics
Firm capacity Average energy 5300
No information
IDC
No
No information
No information – assume 8 years Included in Blue Nile basin study by USBR in 1994. Mabil site would be inundated by
Mandaya if Mandaya FSL is 800 m, as presently proposed. USBR study assumed Mandaya
at 741 m. Output of lower Mandaya and Mabil is about the same as for Mandaya with FSL of
800 m.
A.5
Kenya
The latest least cost expansion plan [27] identified five hydro projects, Mutonga Falls, Low
Grand Falls, Karura, Magwagwa and Ewaso Ngiro. The latter is a cascade scheme with
three generating stations.
Mutonga Falls: This project was studied together with Low Grand Falls by Nippon Koei in
1998. An installed capacity of 60 MW was selected. The project was evaluated and costs
updated for the EAPMP, which provided a (2004) cost of 197 MUSD, excluding IDC or 229.4
MUSD with mitigation costs. The 2008 least cost plan provided a revised cost of 235.5
MUSD. For the current study IDC has been added to give a capitalized cost of 272 MUSD,
which gives an average energy cost of 8.5 cents/kWh. Earliest on-power is estimated at
2016.
Karura: Information on this site was only located in the least cost plan appendix, and the
project was not referred to in the least cost plan itself. The project would form part of the
Tana River cascade and be located between the existing Kindaruma project upstream and
the existing Kiambere project further downstream. The installed capacity would be 56 MW,
with average generation of 180 GWh/year.
The project is being studied together with Mutonga and Low Grand Falls by Nippon Koei. No
information on capital cost was given in the plan. A cost of 3500 $US/kW was assumed
(same as Low Grand Falls). However due to its relatively low plant factor the corresponding
unit energy cost is significantly higher. Earliest on-power is estimated at 2016.
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& planning criteria
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Ewaso Ngiro: KenGen has developed this project to the design stage11. This followed
successive studies. In the 1980 National Master Water Plan, a high head development was
proposed (469 m). In 1987, the National Power Development Plan by Acres proposed the
development of the Leshota and Oldorko sites with a combined output of 138 MW.
In 1990, a prefeasibility study by Knight Piesold proposed schemes at Leshota and Oldorko
with a combined output of 118 MW. In 1993, a feasibility study by Knight Piesold proposed
schemes at Oletukat, Leshota and Oldorko with a transfer tunnel in the headwaters to
provide additional flow for generation. The total proposed installation was 180 MW. The
development of 1000 ha of irrigation was included in the scheme.
Those studies provided tender level document for the three sites and the river transfer
scheme, as well as site investigations, environmental studies and a prefeasibility study of
rangeland irrigation. The recommended installation was 220 MW, and energy estimates
were 589 GWh average and 328 GWh firm, which were increased in the EAPMP to 609
GWh average and 448 GWh firm. The 2008 plan report appendix provides a revised
average energy value of 554 GWh.
The project capital cost was given as 312 MUSD in the EAPMP of 2004, and as 336 MUSD
in the 2005 Kenya master plan. The cost has been escalated and adjusted, giving a
capitalized cost of 493 MUSD, and a corresponding energy cost of 9 cents/kWh. This project
has been developed to the design stage and it is assumed this project will remain a
candidate for future IPP development.
Based on the sizes of the three component projects and the feasibility study level of
preparation, earliest on power is estimated at 2017. However it is noted that the latest least
cost plan states that “the project could not be evaluated (i.e. considered as a candidate for
the expansion plan) until new information regarding outstanding environmental concerns
beyond Kenya´s border is available or new decisions are reached “.
Low Grand Falls: This project on the Tana River, some 40 km downstream of the Kiambere
plant, was assessed at the feasibility study level in 1998 by JICA (Nippon Koei and Pasco
International). An installed capacity of 140 MW was proposed. The project was studied
jointly with Mutonga. The study concluded that the two sites should be developed
separately.
The environmental review included in the EAPMP Phase 1 report referred to the high
sedimentation rates on the Tana River, and consequent overestimates of reservoir capacity
and firm energy in previous studies [7]. This report suggested that land use / erosion
aspects had to be resolved before a reliable estimate of generation from the site could be
made.
The 2008 least cost plan provided a capital cost of 460.9 MUSD. It is understood that this
included any mitigation costs, but was given as an overnight cost. After adding an allowance
for IDC the capitalized cost used in this study is 544 MUSD, which gives an average energy
cost of 8 cents/kWh. It is assumed that this project will remain a long-term future option for
Kenya. Earliest on-power is estimated at 2017, subject to resolution of the sediment issues..
Magwagwa: This project has a proposed installed capacity of 120 MW. It was evaluated in a
1991 feasibility study12, however it was not considered in the EAPMP. The project may be
considered as a future stage of the Sondu Miriu project, and would provide additional energy
benefits at Sondu Miriu, which is a run of the river scheme. The project would provide
11
Ewaso Ngiro (South) Hydroelectric Project - Tender stage design report, July 2001, Knight Piesold (Scott Wilson Piesold)
12
Kenya Power Company Limited - Feasibility study on Magwagwa hydroelectric power development project - JICA 1991
May 2011
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& planning criteria
EAPP/EAC Regional
increased flows to the Kano irrigation project. The project would result in displacement of
more than 4000 persons (1991 estimate) from the reservoir area.
The cost provided in the SSEA study of 294.5 MUSD was escalated and adjusted to give a
current capitalized cost of 442 MUSD that yields an average energy cost of 7 cents/kWh,
excluding any credits for multipurpose use. Although the project status and size indicates a
nominal minimum 7 years to on-power, additional project definition studies are required so
the earliest on-power would be after 2017.
A.6
A.6 Rwanda
Rwanda is proceeding with the Nyabarongo (27.8 MW) and Rukarara 1 (9.5 MW), both
nominally for on power in 2014.
Nyabarongo: The project will be constructed with a grant from India. The Nyabarongo site
is located in the middle of the Rwandan territory, not far from Kigali. Detailed studies were
carried out in 1999 by Sogreah, from France. The installed capacity would be 27.8 MW, with
an average annual production of 142 GWh. The reservoir area is 4 km2. An environmental
impact and socioeconomic study is needed. The power from this project could supply most
of the demand from Kigali and the surrounding area.
The original Sogreah cost estimate of 77.5 MUSD was re-estimated for the SSEA study as
96.75 MUSD at 2004 prices. The cost was escalated and adjusted for the current study to
give a capitalized cost of 148.5 MUSD. The corresponding energy cost is 11 cents/kWh.
A.7
Sudan
The primary source of information for hydro projects in Sudan is the Hydrology Data Book
that provides part of the basis for the 2007 NEC LTPSPS generation plan report. Other
information was obtained from the ENTRO Eastern Nile Trade Power Trade Study
Sabaloka: The project was originally identified in the 1993 long term planning study.13 The
site is located about 90 km of the confluence of the Blue Nile and the White Nile. There are
unresolved problems related to possible flooding in Khartoum that could result from the
construction of the dam. The 1993 study proposed a 120 MW installation, and this
installation is referred to in the 2007 Hydrology Data Book. However the ENTRO power
trade study also of 2007 refers to an installed capacity of 90 MW, based on the 2003 NEC
generation plan. It is assumed that this is the current value. The plant would have an
average output of 691 GWh.
As is noted in Section 5.2.1, capital costs for Sabaloka were available from the ENTRO
power trade study (based on the 2003 NEC plan, and escalated to 2006) and the NEC
Hydrology book (escalated from the 1993 study to 2001 prices). The former cost at 2006
price levels of 596 MUSD was escalated and adjusted for IDC and environmental mitigation
costs to give a capitalized value of 766 MUSD for the current study.
Based on the project size and level of preparation, the minimum lead time to on-power
would be about 8 years, corresponding to on-power in 2018. The 2007 Generation Plan
does not include this project in their future schedule.
Shereiq: The project site is 400 km downstream of the White and Blue Nile confluence. A
feasibility study in 199914 proposed two alternatives; of which the scheme with an FSL of
343 m and an installed capacity of 315 MW has been used in later studies.
13
Acres - Long term power system planning study, March 1993.
14
Shereiq Hydropower Project feasibility report - Hydroproject and Dar Consult 1999
May 2011
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& planning criteria
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Capital costs of 876 MUSD, and 869 MUSD were shown in the NEC Generation Plan report
of 2007, and the NEC Hydrology Data book of 2007 respectively. These are the same as the
generation plan report includes 7 MUSD for transmission. The estimate was taken from the
original 1999 cost estimate and escalated to 2006. Unit rates were checked against the
Merowe bid prices. The cost includes reservoir costs, assumed to be environmental
mitigation costs. The ENTRO Power Trade Study provided an estimate of 1189 MUSD at
2006 prices. It is assumed that this higher cost included IDC.
The estimate used in this study is based on the NEC Generation plan report, and assumed
to include environmental mitigation costs, but not IDC, that was added to obtain a
capitalized cost of 1138 MUSD and a corresponding average energy cost of 6.2 cents/kWh.
Based on the project size and level of preparation, the minimum lead time to on-power
would be about 8 years, corresponding to on-power in 2018.
Dagash: The site is between Shereiq and Morgat Island on the main branch of the Nile. The
project would be a relatively low head development (16 m), and the selected installation is
285 MW. The project was originally evaluated in the 1993 Acres study.
The capital cost is shown as 795 MUSD in the hydrology data book or 800 MUSD in the
generation plan report, including 6 MUSD for transmission. This cost was escalated to 2006
prices, from the 1993 Acres study. The EDF power trade study gave a cost of 1140 MUSD
that is assumed to include IDC. This cost was stated as being taken directly from the
generation plan 2006 cost.
For the current study the generation plan estimate was escalated again to 2009, and IDC
added. A mitigation allowance was also added, as there was no reference to this in the
previous reports. The resulting capitalized cost is 1080 MUSD, which gives an average
energy cost of 7.7 cents/kWh. Based on the project size and level of preparation, the
minimum lead time to on-power would be about 9 years, corresponding to on-power in 2019.
Kagbar: This site was included in the Acres 1993 study and was further evaluated in 199715.
The Acres study proposed a low head 300 MW project, located some 1200 km north of
Khartoum, on the main Nile stem. The 1997 study considered a 109 MW project, built in two
stages.
Costs updated for the NEC planning study, as given in the hydrology data book, included an
estimate of 469 MUSD based on the 1997 scheme, and 763 MUSD for the Acres 1993
proposed project. The generation plan report provided a cost of 861 MUSD. The ENTRO
power trade study provided a cost of 1125 MUSD, stated as being taken from the NEC
generation plan. It is therefore assumed this cost includes IDC, and is based on the 300 MW
Acres scheme.
For this report the updated Acres cost at 2006 has been further escalated to 2009, and both
IDC and an allowance for environmental mitigation added. This yields a 2009 capitalized
cost of 1030 MUSD, and a corresponding average energy cost of 7.8 cents/kWh. Based on
the project size and level of preparation, the minimum lead time to on-power would be about
8 years, corresponding to on-power in 2018.
Dal (low): The site is on the main Nile stream, some 1349 km from Khartoum. The project
was included in the 1993 Acres study that considered a high dam alternative or a low dam
version to be developed jointly with Kagbar, to reduce environmental and social impacts.
The low dam alternative would have an installed capacity of 340 MW.
15
Kajbar Hydroelectric Project – Detailed project report, Hydroproject 1997.
May 2011
A-19
& planning criteria
EAPP/EAC Regional
The hydrology data book provided a cost estimate of 934 MUSD at 2006 prices, escalated
from the Acres original estimate. The generation plan provided a cost of 955 MUSD with
transmission.
A later prefeasibility study competed in 2007 [10] considered both 340 and 400 MW
alternatives, and new cost estimates. The selected scheme has a capital cost of 1113
MUSD, including a substantial environmental component, however excluding IDC. After
escalation and adding IDC the capitalized current cost is 1402 MUSD, and the
corresponding average energy cost is 6.4 cents/kWh. Based on the project size and level of
preparation, the minimum lead time to on-power would be about 8 years, corresponding to
on-power in 2018.
Fula 1: This project is one of several in the southern part of the country. While potentially
cheaper than the northern sites, the project would have to wait for transmission
interconnection which is expected only by about 2020. The project is located on the Bahr el
Jebel river some 34 km downstream of Nimule. Two alternatives were evaluated in the
original study by Acres - 720 and 540 MW, and the larger scheme has been retained for this
study.
The capital cost presented in the Hydrology Data book was obtained by escalating the
original Acres estimate from 1991 to 2006. The total estimated cost was 1277.9 MUSD,
excluding IDC, and with no mention of environmental mitigation costs.
For the current study this cost has been further escalated to 2009 prices, and IDC and an
allowance for environmental mitigation has been added. The adjusted total capitalized cost
is 1781 MUSD, with a corresponding average energy cost of 4.6 cents/kWh. A minimum
lead time of about 9 years would be expected for this size of project and level of preparation.
However as noted above the earliest on-power is scheduled for after 2020.
Shukoli 1: This project is in the southern part of the country. The project is located on the
Bahr el Jebel river some 14 km downstream of Fula. The Acres study proposed an
installation of 210 MW.
The capital cost presented in the 2007 Hydrology Data book was obtained by escalating the
original Acres estimate from 1991 to 2006. The total 2006 estimated cost was 406.1 MUSD,
is 540 MUSD, with a corresponding average energy cost of 4.0 cents/kWh. A minimum lead
time of about 9 years would be expected for this size of project and level of preparation.
However as noted above earliest on-power is scheduled for after 2020, as this is one of the
southern region projects. The 2007 Generation Plan refers to an earliest on-power date of
2022.
Lakki: This project is in the southern part of the country. The project is located on the Bahr
el Jebel river some 24 km downstream of Shukoli. The Acres study proposed an installation
of 210 MW, with a layout similar to that for Shukoli.
is 552 MUSD, with a corresponding average energy cost of 4.1 cents/kWh. A minimum lead
time of about 9 years would be expected for this size of project and level of preparation.
May 2011
A-20
& planning criteria
EAPP/EAC Regional
2024.
Bedden: This project is in the southern part of the country. The project is located on the
Bahr el Jebel river some 66 km downstream of Lakki. The Acres study proposed an
installation of 400 MW.
is 1189 MUSD, with a corresponding average energy cost of 4.6 cents/kWh. A minimum
lead time of about 9 years would be expected for this size of project and level of preparation.
2026.
A.8
Tanzania
The most recent cost and scheduling information for the future Tanzania hydro options is
available from the 2009 master plan [3]. This master plan used information developed in the
2005 EAPMP for many of the projects. Project information and background is summarized
as follows.
Kakono: Site is on the Kagera River near the Uganda border, approximately 90 km to the
west of Bukoba and Lake Victoria. The project was originally studied by NorconsultElectrowatt in 1976 for the Kagera River Basin - indicative basin plan. This was followed
immediately by a prefeasibility study also completed in 1976. There was a further study on
the Kagera river by KBO16 and the UN, completed in 1982. This was a planning study that
sought to have Rusumo, Kakono and Kishanda constructed before 1990. The project was
planned for 53 MW at a cost of 65 MUSD (1981 prices). The project would have provided
irrigation benefits to the irrigation area near Kyaka.
This cost was re-estimated at 68 MUSD for the 2006 SSEA study and then escalated to
2009 for the Tanzania master plan. For the current study IDC has been added to give a
capitalized cost of 104 MUSD, which results in an average energy cost of 2.8 cents/kWh.
While the generation cost looks very attractive, project information is very preliminary and
old. TANESCO have been considering a feasibility study for the project. Based on the
project level of preparation and size, a minimum implementation time of 6 years is expected,
resulting in an earliest on-power date of 2016.
Igamba Falls 2: - This is a small project - 8 MW, on the Malagarasi River primarily intended
to improve electricity supply to Kigoma in West Tanzania, and reduce diesel costs. The
project would be too small to include in the EAPP study, however it is understood that this
project is at the commitment stage. As the project has been approved by the MCC, it was
included in the TANESCO base case generation plan. There are various options for
developing the other hydro potential of the Malagarasi River.
The project cost was taken from the 2006 SSEA study and escalated from 2004 to 2009, to
yield a capitalized cost of 17 MUSD, with a corresponding energy cost of 3 cents/kWh. The
16
Kagera Basin Organization, made up of Burundi, Rwanda, Tanzania and Uganda.
May 2011
A-21
& planning criteria
EAPP/EAC Regional
project is planned to be on line by 2014.The Igamba Falls project is one of a series of
options that have been studied at various times for the Malagarasi River in West Tanzania.
This was the scheme recommended in the 1999 (the latest) study.
The alternatives identified and evaluated in the past for the Malagarasi River are described
in reports by the Tanzania Ministry of Water, Energy and Minerals17 in 1976, by Norconsult18
in 1983 and by SECSD in their 1999 study19.
Luiche: The Luiche project in West Tanzania, with a capacity of 15 MW, was identified as
part of identification of flood control options for the Luiche Basin, with power as a secondary
objective. It was further considered in 197620 and was then evaluated by Norconsult in
198321. In the latter study, the project was rejected for power supply to Kigoma, in favour of
the Igamba development on the adjacent Malagarasi River.
There is very little specific information on the project in the references referred to above. The
capital cost was taken from the SSEA study and escalated from 2004 prices to 2009, to
yield a capitalized cost of 17 MUSD, with a corresponding energy cost of 3 cents/kWh. The
project would have a minimum lead time of 6 years, with a corresponding on-power date of
2016 planned to be on line by 2014.
Masigira: The 118 MW Masigira hydroelectric project would be located in Tanzania on the
Ruhuhu River, 80 km to the east of Lake Nyasa. The project was first studied as part of the
1997 inventory study22, and was then reevaluated in the 2005 EAPMP.
The capital cost provided in the EAPMP was 157 MUSD plus 5 MUSD for mitigation costs.
This was escalated to 209 MUSD for the Tanzania PSMP. For the current study an
allowance for IDC was added to give a capitalized cost of 246 MUSD. The corresponding
energy cost is 4 cents/kWh. Based on the project level of preparation and size, a minimum
implementation time of 8 years is expected, resulting in an earliest on-power date of 2018.
Mpanga: The 144 MW Mpanga project would be located in Tanzania on the Mpanga River,
40 km downstream of the Lower Kihansi project. The project was initially evaluated as part
of a 1984 study23 and then included in the 1997 Swedpower Tanzania VI study. It was then
reevaluated in the 2005 EAPMP.
energy cost is 3.3 cents/kWh. Based on the project level of preparation and size, a minimum
Ruhudji: The 358 MW Ruhudji hydroelectric project would be built on the Ruhudji River in
Tanzania, approximately 70 km to the east of Njombe. The project would include a separate
upstream reservoir. The project was initially evaluated as part of the 1984 Rufiji basin study
17
Tanzania Ministry of Water Energy and Minerals. The hydropower and irrigation study of Western Tanzania, Report No. 2Hydropower Potentials in Western Tanzania – A report on 52 Investigated Rivers, April 1976
18
Norconsult, Malagarasi Hydropower Project - Kigoma Region, Feasibility Study Report, Volume 1, Main text,
TANESCO/NORAD, August 1983
19
SECSD (P) Ltd., Joint UNDP/ESMAP, Tanzania-Mini Hydropower Study, Kigoma Region, Pre-Investment Report on Mini
Hydropower Development, Case Study on the Malagarasi River, Final Report, March 2000 and October 1999
20
Tanzania Ministry of Water Energy and Minerals. The hydropower and irrigation study of Western Tanzania, Report No. 2Hydropower Potentials in Western Tanzania – A report on 52 Investigated Rivers, April 1976
21
Norconsult, Malagarasi Hydropower Project - Kigoma Region, Feasibility Study Report, Volume 1, Main text,
TANESCO/NORAD, August 1983
22
23
Tanzania Power VI project – Feasibility studies for hydropower projects - Swedpower and Norconsult – March 1997.
Rufiji Basin Development Authority, Rufiji Basin Hydropower Master Plan 1984
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and then included in the 1997 Tanzania VI study. It was then reevaluated in the 2005
EAPMP.
energy cost is 3.4 cents/kWh.
The project is expected to be implemented as an IPP, with a power sales agreement. Under
this model, the costs may be expected to change. It is now at the preliminary design stage,
and is being prepared by the projected developer. Based on the project level of preparation
and size, a minimum implementation time of 6 years is expected, resulting in an earliest onpower date of 2016.
Rumakali: The 222 MW Rumakali hydroelectric project would be built on the Rumakali
River, 85 km west of Njombe. The project was initially evaluated as part of the 1997/8
Tanzania VI study. It was studied to the feasibility level as part of that program. It was then
reevaluated in the 2005 EAPMP.
energy cost is 4.1 cents/kWh. Based on the project level of preparation and size, a minimum
Rusumo Falls: The 63 MW Rusumo Falls hydroelectric project would be built on the Kagera
River at the border between Rwanda and Tanzania. The project could supply power to
Rwanda, Burundi and West Tanzania. The project was initially studied at the prefeasibility
level in 197624. This was followed by a technical feasibility study in 198725, and preparation
of preliminary design and tender documents in 1989 /9226. Tariff and transmission studies
were also completed in 1997. The project was then reevaluated in the 2006 SSEA study. A
new feasibility study was completed in 200827, and was updated in 2010.
The capital cost provided in the 2008 feasibility study was 227 MUSD plus 29 MUSD for
environmental related costs. For the current study an allowance for IDC was added to give a
capitalized cost of 298 MUSD. The corresponding energy cost is 7.1 cents/kWh. Based on
the project level of preparation and size, a minimum implementation time of 6 years is
expected, resulting in an earliest on-power date of 2016.
Stieglers Gorge: The project site is located in the Stieglers Gorge on the Rufiji River, some
230 km upstream of the Indian Ocean. The dam and reservoir would be located in the
Selous Wildlife Reserve. The project was originally developed in a prefeasibility study in
198028, and was conceived as a three stage development:
Phase 1
300 MW
Main dam and power station A
24
Norconsult A.S./Electrowatt, Kagera River Basin Development, Prefeasibility Studies, including Rusumo Falls Hydropower
Project, April 1976
25
Tractionel, KBO, Rusumo Falls, technical feasibility, preliminary study of structures and works, June 1987
26
Tractebel, KBO, Rusumo Falls, Tender documents, civil works, electromechanical equipment, April 1989, revised January
1992.
27
Regional Rusumo Falls Hydroelectric and Multipurpose Project – Feasibility study of the generation plant and related project
area – SNC-Lavalin, October 2008
28
Rufiji Basin Multipurpose Development – Steiglers Gorge Power and Flood Control Development – NORPLAN / NORAD
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Phase 2
600 MW addition
Power station B
Phase 3
300 MW increased output
Main dam raised
Saddle dams
Increased output at Stations A and B
The capital costs for the three phases of the development were re-estimated in the EAPMP
study, including a separate estimate for environmental related costs. These costs were
escalated to 2009 for the Tanzania Master Plan. For the current study IDC was added to
give the capitalized costs. These and the corresponding energy costs are as follows:
Table A-21
Stieglers Gorge project characteristics by phase
Phase MW
Capital cost
(MUSD) Energy cost
(c/kWh) Phase A 300
1084
5.1
Phase B 600
386
2.9
Phase C 317
2.3
300
No credit has been applied for the non-hydro benefits. Based on the project level of
preparation and size, a minimum implementation time of 9 years is expected, resulting in an
earliest on-power date of 2019. Additionally it has to be recognized that additional time may
be required to deal with the environmental approval process, due to the site location in a
wildlife reserve.
Songwe: The 330 MW Songwe hydroelectric development would comprise three dams and
hydro plants in cascade on the Songwe River. The upper dam would be on the border
between Tanzania and Malawi. The middle and lower dams would be in Malawi. The power
projects would be part of an overall basin development plan for the stabilization of the
Songwe River, and thus is a multipurpose project. Capacity and energy values, and are
based on “Package 4” in the project report29.
Capital costs for each of the three power projects was taken from the 2002 Norplan report,
and escalated to 2009 for the Tanzania Master Plan. For the current study IDC was added
to give the capitalized costs. These and the corresponding energy costs are as follows:
Table A-22
Songwe projects characteristics
Project MW
Capital cost
(MUSD) Energy cost
(c/kWh) Songwe Bigupu
34
124
8.6
Songwe Sofre
157
375
5.4
Songwe Manolo
149
382
5.2
29
Feasibility study for the stabilization of the course of the Songwe River, NORPLAN, November 2003, a joint project between
the Government of the United Republic of Tanzania and the Government of the Republic of Malawi.
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No credit has been applied for the non-hydro benefits. Based on the project level of
preparation and size, a minimum implementation time of 6 to 9 years would be required.
However the projects would have to be constructed in sequence. For this study earliest onpower dates are assumed as 2016, 2019 and 2019 respectively of 2016.
Ikondo and Taveta: These sites are located on the Mnyeri river in the Rufiji river basin.
They would be constructed in cascade, with the upstream project Ikondo (340 MW)
providing a reservoir, and Taveta (145 MW) benefiting from its flow regulation. The project
was initially studied as part of the Rufiji River Basin Master Plan, in 198430. For the Tanzania
master plan, updated energy estimates were made and a new capital cost estimate
prepared, based on the quantities in the original report.
Table A-23
Phase Ikondo and Taveta project characteristics
MW Capital cost (MUSD)
Energy cost (c/kWh)
Ikondo 340 741
4.3
Taveta 439
5.5
145 Based on the project level of preparation and the sizes of the component projects, a
minimum implementation time of 9 years is expected for Ikondo, which has to be
constructed first. The resulting earliest on-power dates for the two plants would be 2019 and
2020 respectively.
A.9
Uganda
The following outlines are provided for the new hydro options that are currently under
consideration, and that have been included in the latest Uganda power system master plan.
Karuma: The Karuma site is located on the Nile river downstream of Lake Kyoga,
immediately upstream of the upstream limit of Murchison Park. The project was initially
investigated in 1995 as a possible private investment development. It was conceived as a
run of the river scheme with hourly pondage. The proposed installation was 200 MW. The
objective was to minimize any environmental impact, and so no dam across the river was
envisaged. The project was then included in the 1997 hydro master plan31, and costs were
updated for the EAPMP to 2004 price levels.
The 2009 Uganda generation plan [37] included two alternatives for Karuma: (1) The original
200 MW scheme and (2) a new proposed alternative that would have an installed capacity
of 700 MW. It is understood that studies are now underway on this larger alternative, and
that it is expected to be proposed by the government as the preferred option for the site.
The 700 MW scheme has been assumed for this study. The 2009 generation plan provided
energy values and updated costs for the two alternatives.
30
Rufiji Basin Hydropower Master Plan - Appendix 2 - Mnyera project, November 1984, Norconsult / NORAD
31
Kennedy and Donkin, Hydropower development master plan - 1997
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Table A-24
Karuma alternatives project characteristics
Project MW Average energy GWh
Firm energy GWh
Cost per kW
Capital cost MUSD 700 4919 3237
3800
2660 200 2057 1363
3606
721 Costs include IDC. For the current study a 5% environmental mitigation allowance has been
added for the 700 MW scheme, resulting in a capital cost of 2793 MUSD, with a
corresponding average energy cost of 6 cents/kWh.
Ayago: The site is located on the Nile river, at the confluence with the Ayago river, and
within the Murchison Park. The project was originally evaluated as part of the 1997 hydro
power master plan. Alternative developments on the north and south banks were
considered. Both schemes were designed to operate at very high capacity factors. The
North scheme was planned with an installation of 228 MW with a further 76 MW at a later
stage, which would also include a 30 m high dam, while the South scheme was planned for
236 MW, without a dam.
These alternatives were included in the EAPMP, with updated costs and energy estimates.
The EAPMP cost estimate was estimated using costs from the Owen Falls (the Kiira project)
extension project, escalated at 2.5 % year from 1992 to 2004 for the surface works, and
from the Lesotho Highlands project for the underground works.
The 2009 generation plan has adopted an alternative scheme with a projected 550 MW;
however no information was obtained on the configuration of this scheme. The plan
provided a capitalized unit cost of 3724 $/kW, equivalent to a total cost of 2048 MUSD. For
the current study an allowance for environmental mitigation was added, yielding a capital
cost of 2152 MUSD, and a corresponding energy cost of 4.9 cents/kWh.
Murchison: This site is located in the park, at the head of the Murchison Falls. The 1997
master plan considered a number of options, principally a base load option with no dam and
an installation of 222 MW, and a thee phase peak load scheme with installations increasing
form 195 (before construction a 40 m high dam) to 315 and then 420 MW with the addition
of the last two of eight 52.5 MW units.
The EAPMP cost estimates were prepared as noted above for Ayago. The 2009 generation
plan only refers to a new 750 MW plan for Murchison. No reference reports were located for
this new Murchison Falls scheme. The plan provided a capitalized unit cost of 2106 $/kW,
equivalent to a total cost of 1579 MUSD. For the current study an allowance for
environmental mitigation was added, yielding a capital cost of 1658 MUSD, and a
corresponding average energy cost of 2.8 cents/kWh.
Isimba: This project, with an installation of 100 MW was included in the 2009 generation
plan. However no reference report has been located for this current study. Construction of
this project would mean that the alternative Bugumira would not be implemented.
The 2009 plan provided a capitalized unit cost of 3458 $/kW, equivalent to a total cost of
346 MUSD. For the current study an allowance for environmental mitigation was added,
yielding a capital cost of 363 MUSD, and a corresponding average energy cost of 4.3
cents/kWh.
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WBS 1200
Appendix B
Super Hydrological Model Description
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APPENDIX B: SUPER HYDROLOGICAL MODEL DESCRIPTION
B.1
Mathematical Formulation
The hydrological model is a mathematical representation of time series of inflows at different
sites. This series works with the most important time and space parameters, which are
estimated on the basis of historical records. For the purposes of the hydrological model,
each station's own inflows are considered, i.e., the contribution of the hydrographic basin
between the station site under consideration and the station sites located immediately
upstream.
A probabilistic representation of the inflows and their time and space dependencies can be
achieved using the following parameters:
-
Mean monthly flows at the various project sites. (
during month i).
-
Standard deviations in monthly flows. (
during month i).
-
Correlation between stations in one same month. (M0 = correlation matrix of lag 0)
-
Serial correlation of data for one same station.
-
Correlation between successive months for different stations. (M1 = correlation matrix of
lag 1 among stations. Its diagonal corresponds to the serial correlation coefficients.)
,
= Mean monthly flow at site j
,
= Monthly standard deviation at site j
The above-mentioned parameters suitably represent hydrological series for the purposes of
filling in information gaps and creating an information base for a common period. This is the
principal aim of the Hydrological Module. However, it cannot be established that all
hydrological series follow the adopted model. To reach a conclusion regarding the model's
validity, hypothesis tests should be applied to existing data to make it possible to infer
whether the model is sound or not.
One model that works with the statistical parameters mentioned above is the Matalas model
(1967)1.
Inflows are converted
transformations.
,
to
standard
normal
stationary
data
through
appropriate
III.1
,
,
= Inflows at station j, during period k.
,
= Inflows transformed at station j during period k, with a normal distribution.
Transformed inflows are standardized (converted into normal random variables with a mean
of zero and a standard deviation of one), using the following transformation:
,
,
,
,
III.2
,
= Standardized transformed inflows at station j during period k.
=
Month corresponding to period k.
1
Matalas N.C. "Mathematical Assessment of Synthetic Hydrology," Water Resources Research, Vol. 3, No. 4, August
1967, pp. 937-945.
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and
,
, y can be expressed as a function of the mean flows and their standard
can be
deviation. For example, if f is the logarithmic function,
and
,
, y
expressed as:
=
,
,
q
½
,
2
=
,
2
III.3
,
2
,
,
,
III.4
is defined as:
,
,
…
…
III.5
,
where n is the number of stations under consideration.
The Matalas model mentioned above is expressed as follows:
III.6
= Vector of n independent elements with a standard normal distribution.
A=
Matrix nxn.
B=
Matrix nxn.
It is possible to preserve matrices M0 (E{
the basis of the following equations:
}) and M1 (E{
}) when estimating on
A = M1 M0-1
III.7
BBT = M0 - M1 AT
III.8
It can be shown that:
BBT = P Λ PT
III.9
where matrix P is composed of the eigen vectors of matrix BBT and Λ is a diagonal matrix
with its own corresponding eigen values. On the basis on this equation, B can be expressed
as:
B = P Λ½
III.10
where Λ ½ is a diagonal matrix formed by the square root of the eigen values.
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Note that the equation given above is only real when all of the values are larger than or
equal to zero; in other words, the BBT matrix is positive and semi-definite. Furthermore,
equation III.10 is not the only solution for B. In fact, B can be expressed as:
B = P Λ ½ CT
III.11
where:
CCT = I
III.12
In other words, C is a unit matrix for which there is an infinite set. Among the possibilities for
solving for B, there are lower triangular matrices which can be solved using very simple
algorithms.
The parameters of the above-mentioned model can be estimated using conventional
statistical methods; for example, estimation of maximum likelihood of monthly means and
standard deviations. For matrices Mo and M1, the Crosby and Maddock method (1970)2,
described in the next chapter, can be used. This method makes it possible to consider
variable-length records and produces positive, semi-definite estimators for the BBT matrix.
B.2
Estimation of matrices M0 AND M1
Matrices A and B of the Matalas model are calculated as a function of matrices M0 and M1,
which must be estimated within a situation where the historical records for the various
stations usually begin on different dates and end on approximately the same date. In other
words, some records are longer than others. The database of inflows transformed into
standard normal random variables can be expressed as follows:
1
1
…
1
1
…
1
…
1
…
1
2
2
…
2
2
…
2
…
2
…
2
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
…
..
..
..
..
IV.1
The hydrological stations form e groups. Group i will be formed by ki stations, with a record
length equal to ni. The groups are organized in decreasing order of record length.
Therefore, the longest records have a length of n1 and the shortest a length of ne. The data
are put in reverse chronological order, i.e. beginning with the most recent and ending with
(k) represents the transformed inflow corresponding to station j of
the oldest. Thus,
group i, during time k. Time 1 corresponds to the most recent period; so, the higher the
indicator number, the farther away the records in time. Using matrix notation, equation IV.1
can be expressed as:
2
Crosby, D.S. and T. Maddock III. "Estimating Coefficients of a Flow Generator for Monotone Samples of Data," Water
Resources Research, Vol. 6, No. 4, August 1970, pp. 1079-1086.
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1
…
1
…
1
2
…
2
…
2
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
..
..
..
..
..
IV.2
where:
…
IV.3
…
If all of the stations have the same record length and, therefore, e=1, the way to estimate
matrices M0 and M1 is well known:
∑
.
∑
1
IV.4
.
IV.5
where:
∑
IV.6
In the most common case, in which the lengths of the stations' records do not coincide, each
one of the elements i,j of matrices M0 and M1 could be calculated using equations IV.4, IV.5
and IV.6 for the shared record period, which will correspond to that of the station with the
shortest record. However, this procedure can result in a BBT matrix estimate that is not
positive and semi-definite.
Crosby and Maddock (1970) have studied the estimation problem described above and
proposed a procedure that leads to a BBT matrix estimator that makes the matrix positive
and semi definite. This estimator corresponds to the maximum likelihood estimator when the
random variables are serially independent. The procedure is presented below. Initially, the
procedure for estimating M0 is presented, and then it is extended to estimate M0 and M1.
Initially, matrix M0 is estimated for the first group of stations, by applying equations IV.4 and
IV.6 in an iterative procedure. Assume that matrix M0 has been estimated for the first h-1
groups of stations, where 2 ≤ h ≤ e. This estimator is called ∑h-1. The regression
coefficients of the h group of stations is estimated with the stations corresponding to the first
h-1 groups.
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If:
…
IV.7
…
The regression coefficients are given by the following matrix:
∑
.
.
∑
.
IV.8
where:
∑
IV.9
∑
IV.10
On the basis of the regression coefficients, ∑ is calculated as:
∑
∑
.
.
IV.11
The estimator of matrix M0 corresponding to the first h groups of stations is given by:
IV.12
The foregoing process is repeated until the estimator corresponding to the e groups is
found. It can be proven that the matrix estimated in this way is positive and semi-definite
and that it corresponds to the maximum likelihood estimator when the random variables
involved are time-independent3.
When an estimator is required for M0 and M1, the estimation is done for a database given by
matrix S* instead of S. The corresponding data are intercalated in matrix S, shifted by one
time period, as follows:
3
Afifi A.A. and R. M. Elashoff. "Missing Observations in Multivariate Statistics," Journal of the American Statistics Association, Vol.
61, 1966, pp. 595-604.
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1
2
…
1
2
…
1
2
2
3
…
2
3
…
2
3
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
1
1
…
1
1
…
1
1
2
2
…
2
2
…
2
2
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
1
…
…
…
…
..
..
..
..
..
..
…
…
…
1
..
..
..
..
…
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
IV.13
…
1
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
IV.14
When this procedure is applied to matrix S*, the following is obtained:
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
…
IV.15
…
…
Where
is the covariance matrix associated with vectors Xi(k) and Xj(k). The
matrices have a similar meaning.
The rows and columns can be restructured as follows:
IV.16
where M0* and M1* are positive, semi-definite estimators for matrices M0 and M1. M0*' is also
an estimator for matrix M0 when the last reading is not used. These estimators are
substantially better than those obtained using only common information of the two stations,
because they permit the transfer of information from stations having longer records to those
having shorter records.
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Crosby and Maddock (1970)4 use a similar procedure to estimate means by transferring
information from longer records to shorter records. To do this, they define the following
vectors:
…
…
IV.17
…
Uh = <Wh> - <Vh>
IV.18
The estimator for the mean is given by:
<Xh>* = <Xh> + Bh Uh
IV.19
The procedure followed is similar to the one used to calculate matrices Mo and M1, iteratively
until h=e.
It should be noted that the preceding estimation changes the estimators originally calculated
for the mean and variance of the transformed inflows. If these variables are denoted µ[k],j(y)*
and σ[k],j(y)*2, the new estimators, denoted µ’[k],j(y)* and σ’[k],j(y)*2, respectively, are given by:
µ’[k],j(y)* = µ [k],j(y)* + σ [k],j(y)* µ j*
IV.20
σ '[k],j(y)* = σ [k],j(y)* σ j*
IV.21
where µ j* and σj* are the mean and standard deviation obtained from the Crosby and
Maddock procedure, as described below. µ j* is taken as equal to <Xj>*, obtained from
equation IV.19. σj* is obtained from the square root of the diagonal of matrix M0*, estimated
according to the above-mentioned procedure. The elements of matrices M0 and M1, termed
m0*(i,j) and m1*(i,j), are also estimated using the above-mentioned methodology and can be
modified to take into account the fact that the transformed inflows standardized according to
the mean and variance derived from equations IV.20 and IV.21 have a standard deviation of
B.3
,
,
,
,
IV.22
IV.23
Data fill in
This chapter presents a model for filling in missing data in hydrological series, using the
structure of the evolution of the time series over time and space and the theory of uncertain
dynamics systems.
4
Crosby D. S. and T. Maddock III. "Estimating Expected Values for Monotone Samples," Water Resources Research. Vol. 6, No.
6, pp. 1743-1745, December 1970.
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The system evolves discretely over time, according to equation III.6; in other words:
XN+1 = A XN + B EN+1
V.1
It should be noted that the same correlation structure could be preserved by a model that
evolves backward in time.
Thus:
XN = A* XN+1 + B* EN'
V.2
In order for the model represented by equation V.2 to be equivalent to the one represented
by equation V.1, it is necessary for matrices A* and B* to be the solution to the following
equations:
M1T = A* M0
V.3
M0 = A* M0 A*T + B* B*T
V.4
For the system represented by equation V.1, some of the components of the state vector XN
for the period N, located between times 1 and T, are known. Assume that for the period 1 ≤
N ≤ T there are n' known components and n'' unknown components. Without loss of
generality, it can be assumed that the first n' components of vector XN, termed XN', are
known and that the following n'', termed XN'', are unknown. Therefore, the following
equation:
1
0
V.5
will provide vector ZN for the known components of vector XN. I is the identity matrix of size
n'xn' and 0 is a zero matrix of size n'xn''.
Using similar notation, equation V.1 can be written as:
V.6
Matrices A', A'', B' and B'' have dimensions n'xn, n''xn, n'xn and n''xn, respectively.
Furthermore:
0
1
1
2
2
V.7
The problem to be solved consists of finding an estimator for the unknown components of
the vector of state, as a function of all of the known data between time 1 and time T.
Schweppe (1973)5 presents the estimation for a more general case of uncertain dynamics
systems. The problem considered refers to a system that evolves over time according to the
following equation:
5
Schweppe Fred C. Uncertain Dynamics Systems. Prentice-Hall Inc., 1973.
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XN+1 = ΦN+1 XN + GN+1 WN+1
V.8
where:
XN =
Vector of size n.
ΦN+1 y GN+1 = Matrices of size nxn.
WN+1
=
Random variables with a mean of 0.
The random component WN is such that:
0
1
1
2
2
V.9
The observations made are a linear function of the vector of state and are affected by
measurement errors. Thus, the vector of observations is expressed as:
ZN = HN XN + VN
V.10
where:
ZN =
Vector of observations, of size m.
HN =
Matrix of size mxn.
VN = Error in the observations, which is a vector of m independent random variables with
a mean of 0.
It should be noted that, unlike the situation of the problem discussed initially, the
observations of the more general model do not correspond to components of the vector of
state and they are also affected by an error. In addition, matrices ΦN and GN are a function
of time.
The notation <X>(N/T) will be used to designate the estimator of the state corresponding to
time N, using observations Z1,........,ZT. The covariance matrix for errors {XN - <X>(N/T)}is
termed Σ(N/T).
There are three types of estimation problems, which are known as filtering, predicting and
smoothing. These correspond to the following cases:
a.
Filtering corresponds to the situation for which N=T, i.e., when it is desired to
estimate the last period, given information on previous periods, including the one under
consideration.
b.
In predicting, future states are to be estimated on the basis of information known
until a given time; in other words, N > T.
c.
Smoothing is used when a state for a given period is to be estimated and there are
observations for before and after that period ( 1 ≤ N ≤ T).
The pertinent problem for our case is smoothing. It can be handled through a combination of
a filter and a prediction (forecast or backcast), as will be seen further on. Therefore, the
estimation problems associated with filters and predictions will be discussed first, as applied
to the particular case of the hydrological problem posed initially. The pertinent equations
are known as the Kalman filter or the Kalman-Bucy filter.
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Schweppe considers the case of making estimates for systems with perfect observations,
i.e., when the random variable VN is equal to zero. In this case, the best unbiased estimators
for the variables of state
will be given by:
<X> (N+1/N) =
Φ N+1 <X>(N/N)
<X>(N+1/N+1) =
ΦN+1 <X>(N/N) + Σ (N+1/N) HN+1T .
V.11
{ HN+1 Σ (N+1/N) HN+1T } -1 .
{ ZN+1 - HN+1 ΦN+1 .<X>(N/N) }
V.12
The covariance matrices associated with such estimators will be:
Σ (N+1/N) =
ΦN+1 Σ (N/N) ΦN+1T + GN+1 QN GN+1T
Σ (N+1/N+1) =
Σ (N+1/N) - Σ (N+1/N) HN+1T .
V.13
{ HN+1 Σ (N+1/N) . HN+1T } -1 HN+1 Σ (N+1/N)
V.14
It is worthwhile to note that, in the case of normally distributed variables, the random vector
XN+1 --given the occurrence of observations Z1, ....,ZN+1 -- will have a multivariate normal
distribution with a mean equal to <X>(N+1/N+1) and a covariance matrix of Σ(N+1/N+1).
The application of equations V.11-V.14 to the case of equations V.5-V.7 yields:
<X>(N+1/N) = A <X>(N/N)
V.15
Σ(N+1/N) = A Σ(N/N) AT + BBT =
V.16
where ',
and '' have dimensions n'xn', n'xn'' and n''xn'', respectively.
1/
1
/
.
.
0
0
0
/
0
/
/
V.17
Similarly:
May 2011
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Σ N
1/N
1
Σ N
1/N
0
0
0
0
.
0
V.18
The combination of filters and predictions to produce smoothness is considered below. It
consists of estimating the state corresponding to time N on the basis of incomplete
observations made between time 1 and time T, where 1 ≤ N < T.
Based on the observations available for time period N (from time 1 to time N), it is possible
to calculate the best unbiased estimator and the corresponding covariance matrix using
equations V.17 and V.18. The estimator and matrix are termed <X>(N/N) and Σ(N/N),
respectively.
In addition, on the basis of the observations made between time N+1 and time T, it is
possible to calculate the best unbiased estimator and its respective covariance matrix for the
state corresponding to time N. To do this, the dynamic model is represented backwards in
time, as expressed by equation V.2, and a backcast is made. This estimator is termed
<X>(N/Nc), and the respective covariance matrix is Σ(N/Nc).
The results of applying a filter using observations made between time 1 and time N are
given by:
/
V.19
0
0
/
0
V.20
where Σ''' is given by equation V.18.
The results of doing a backcast using observations made between time N+1 and time T are
given by:
/
V.21
The same equation V.16 notation is used for the covariance matrix, since the estimate is
done by means of a backcast.
/
V.22
<X>N' and <Y>N' are observations for vector XN'; the first of these without an error and the
second with an error. <X>N'' and <Y>N'' correspond to vector XN'' observations with errors.
Observations with errors will be given by:
0
0
0
May 2011
V.23
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& planning criteria
EAPP/EAC Regional
where V1, V2 and V3 are vectors for random variables with a mean of zero, which represent
the observation errors.
Readings without errors will be given by:
0
V.24
Furthermore, if:
V.25
0
0
0
0
Σ
V.26
Schweppe considers the estimation associated with the problem as follows:
Z1 = H1 X + V1
V.27
Z2 = H2 X
V.28
E{V1V1T} = R1
V.29
The best unbiased estimator will be given by:
<X> = ΣH1T R1-1 Z1 + ß H2T { H2 ß H2T }-1 Z2
V.30
where:
ß = { H1T R1-1 H1 }-1
V.31
The covariance matrix will be given by:
Σ = ß - ß H2T { H2 ß H2T }-1 H2 ß
V.32
Application of the preceding results to the case under consideration yields the following:
Let:
V.33
0
0
0
0
0
May 2011
0
0
0
0
0
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V.34
The application of equation V.32 provides the following results:
I
0
0
0
I
0
0
0
0
0
0
.
0
V.35
where σ = ß22 - ß12T ß11-1 ß12.
V.36
Application of equation V.30 yields:
/
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
I
0
.
0
I
0
0
V.37
Equation V.37 shows that the best estimator for the known components of the vector of
state N are precisely the same components expected. Equation V.35 shows why the
covariance matrix for errors in the known components is equal to zero.
The application of the previous methodology to fill in missing data in monthly hydrological
series is based on the fact that, as mentioned above, the mean and the covariance matrix
for the conditional distribution of the transformed inflows are usually given by equations V.37
and V.35, respectively. This property can be used to estimate missing data, as follows:
a.
The residuals xN,j, corresponding to the data missing in period N, are generated by
showing the multivariate normal distribution with a mean of <X>(N/T) and a covariance
matrix equal to Σ(N/T).
b.
The values for yN,j are found using the following equation:
yN,j = µ[N],j(y) + σ[N],j(y) xN,j
c.
V.38
Missing flows are calculated as follows:
qN,j = f-1(yN,j)
V.39
This last transformation yields the same value for the normal distribution, and it will
correspond to the exponentiation of the value transformed for a lognormal distribution.
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It should be noted that the foregoing methodology can easily be extended outside the range
1 ≤ N ≤ T, since it is only necessary to make forecasts or backcasts, as required. However,
the farther one moves away from that range, the greater the variance in the data generated.
Furthermore, data distribution tends to the unconditioned distribution of the inflows.
B.4
Final consideration
The consideration of a large number of stations can give rise to a large number of codes to
be run and excessive computer time. This is especially true for the data fill-in model and, to
a lesser extent, for the synthetic inflow generation model.
Consequently, the possibility of forming groups of stations having similar features has been
provided. Data fill-in and synthetic inflow generation are done separately for each group
selected. The assumption of independence is reasonable when the groups of stations are
sufficiently far away from each other and the spatial correlation is therefore very weak.
Usually, this is the case when it is necessary to consider a large number of stations.
May 2011
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WBS 1200
Appendix C
Historical Inflows By Hydro Site
May 2011
WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
APPENDIX C:
C.1
Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 HISTORICAL INFLOWS BY HYDRO SITE
Burundi
Jan 7.6 12.0 8.2 9.4 8.2 9.7 11.6 9.1 9.9 9.4 10.2 8.5 9.4 8.3 14.2 8.4 8.5 9.6 8.1 10.7 10.5 11.1 10.7 11.8 11.9 7.2 9.6 9.6 11.4 9.1 9.6 9.8 10.1 9.4 8.4 Feb 13.3 9.9 8.5 9.7 8.6 9.8 12.3 13.9 9.7 8.8 10.3 12.0 10.6 9.9 12.3 9.7 9.8 11.6 11.2 9.6 10.1 11.0 9.2 10.7 12.7 8.6 12.3 12.5 11.9 9.4 9.7 11.1 13.1 12.1 9.3 Mar 10.7 7.5 11.9 9.9 9.1 9.1 19.1 10.8 7.5 10.9 8.7 10.0 12.7 10.4 14.8 8.6 12.9 8.9 11.6 10.7 8.6 8.9 9.0 9.7 9.9 9.2 10.8 12.1 10.2 12.8 9.4 8.7 9.2 10.2 8.3 Apr 10.0 16.6 18.7 17.3 11.1 13.8 17.9 15.2 18.0 21.2 20.8 22.6 12.7 23.1 32.1 10.3 17.7 14.6 17.0 19.1 15.6 19.8 17.6 18.0 16.2 11.8 23.1 12.4 15.0 12.5 18.2 21.4 19.2 20.9 22.0 May 12.6 23.9 16.4 9.9 13.2 12.9 22.1 20.1 20.2 16.1 18.9 15.8 8.6 12.2 15.7 14.7 14.4 13.0 11.0 13.7 10.8 17.0 15.1 16.5 11.2 17.3 17.4 16.5 17.0 18.6 17.4 13.4 20.5 17.2 14.2 Kabura Jun 9.6 8.7 10.6 7.5 8.4 7.7 9.7 10.2 13.3 8.2 11.1 8.5 6.4 7.6 7.6 11.3 8.5 7.2 6.1 8.4 7.4 8.8 9.7 8.8 7.7 7.8 8.2 7.6 9.7 11.6 8.2 12.6 8.9 8.2 8.0 Jul 6.0 6.1 11.4 6.5 5.9 6.3 7.9 6.8 7.1 7.7 7.5 7.5 7.0 7.5 4.8 6.1 6.7 6.8 5.9 6.3 5.7 6.9 6.3 6.9 6.3 6.1 7.2 7.1 6.6 8.4 8.1 6.5 6.8 6.6 6.2 Aug 5.6 5.6 6.8 5.9 6.7 6.5 8.5 6.9 6.3 7.0 6.9 8.3 6.5 6.7 3.9 5.9 7.1 5.7 5.3 6.4 6.6 7.5 6.0 5.9 6.2 6.7 6.1 6.4 5.7 6.8 6.7 8.1 7.3 5.7 5.3 Sep 5.9 11.5 9.3 7.3 7.6 7.7 8.3 6.7 7.6 7.6 9.5 8.8 6.1 9.4 4.1 7.0 8.8 6.9 6.2 6.4 8.8 9.6 6.7 6.7 6.9 8.9 8.0 8.3 7.0 7.6 8.8 7.3 7.1 8.0 6.9 Oct 7.3 8.9 6.5 11.4 8.0 7.8 9.7 7.4 10.8 8.9 9.3 10.3 11.9 8.3 5.9 7.4 9.0 7.3 6.5 7.4 9.0 6.7 7.6 7.7 8.7 8.8 9.4 8.6 9.5 8.3 9.7 9.6 9.9 11.1 6.2 Nov 11.8 14.9 9.2 7.0 7.5 13.4 9.0 12.3 12.0 10.6 14.4 12.5 11.8 10.8 8.2 16.2 11.9 9.4 9.0 11.2 9.0 11.6 7.9 12.2 8.9 11.2 10.1 17.2 11.4 9.3 12.3 9.0 14.5 11.2 6.4 Dec 8.2 9.0 7.6 11.1 7.5 11.8 13.7 10.9 13.5 9.9 19.2 10.4 8.4 8.4 8.1 8.1 8.8 11.0 10.1 8.2 8.4 10.3 8.8 8.1 7.5 9.9 6.7 8.7 10.6 10.3 12.2 9.3 11.0 14.3 6.3 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Jan 1.2 1.9 1.3 1.5 1.3 1.6 1.9 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.3 2.3 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.3 Feb 2.1 1.6 1.4 1.6 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.2 1.6 1.4 1.6 1.9 1.7 1.6 2.0 1.6 1.6 1.9 1.8 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.5 1.7 2.0 1.4 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.1 1.9 1.5 Mar 1.7 1.2 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.5 3.1 1.7 1.2 1.7 1.4 1.6 2.0 1.7 2.4 1.4 2.1 1.4 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.6 2.0 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.3 Apr 1.6 2.7 3.0 2.8 1.8 2.2 2.9 2.4 2.9 3.4 3.3 3.6 2.0 3.7 5.1 1.6 2.8 2.3 2.7 3.1 2.5 3.2 2.8 2.9 2.6 1.9 3.7 2.0 2.4 2.0 2.9 3.4 3.1 3.3 3.5 Jiji03 (16% Kabura) May Jun Jul 2.0 1.5 1.0 3.8 1.4 1.0 2.6 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.2 1.0 2.1 1.3 0.9 2.1 1.2 1.0 3.5 1.6 1.3 3.2 1.6 1.1 3.2 2.1 1.1 2.6 1.3 1.2 3.0 1.8 1.2 2.5 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.0 1.1 2.0 1.2 1.2 2.5 1.2 0.8 2.4 1.8 1.0 2.3 1.4 1.1 2.1 1.2 1.1 1.8 1.0 0.9 2.2 1.3 1.0 1.7 1.2 0.9 2.7 1.4 1.1 2.4 1.6 1.0 2.6 1.4 1.1 1.8 1.2 1.0 2.8 1.2 1.0 2.8 1.3 1.2 2.6 1.2 1.1 2.7 1.6 1.1 3.0 1.9 1.3 2.8 1.3 1.3 2.1 2.0 1.0 3.3 1.4 1.1 2.8 1.3 1.1 2.3 1.3 1.0 Aug 0.9 0.9 1.1 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.4 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.8 Sep 0.9 1.8 1.5 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.0 1.5 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.5 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.1 Oct 1.2 1.4 1.0 1.8 1.3 1.2 1.6 1.2 1.7 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.9 1.3 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.0 Nov 1.9 2.4 1.5 1.1 1.2 2.1 1.4 2.0 1.9 1.7 2.3 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.3 2.6 1.9 1.5 1.4 1.8 1.4 1.9 1.3 2.0 1.4 1.8 1.6 2.8 1.8 1.5 2.0 1.4 2.3 1.8 1.0 Dec 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.8 1.2 1.9 2.2 1.7 2.2 1.6 3.1 1.7 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.8 1.6 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.6 1.1 1.4 1.7 1.6 2.0 1.5 1.8 2.3 1.0 Final Master Plan Report
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EAPP/EAC Regional
Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Jan 2.4 3.7 2.5 2.9 2.5 3.0 3.6 2.8 3.1 2.9 3.2 2.6 2.9 2.6 4.4 2.6 2.6 3.0 2.5 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.7 3.7 2.2 3.0 3.0 3.5 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.1 2.9 2.6 Feb 4.1 3.1 2.6 3.0 2.7 3.0 3.8 4.3 3.0 2.7 3.2 3.7 3.3 3.1 3.8 3.0 3.0 3.6 3.5 3.0 3.1 3.4 2.9 3.3 3.9 2.7 3.8 3.9 3.7 2.9 3.0 3.4 4.1 3.8 2.9 Mar 3.3 2.3 3.7 3.1 2.8 2.8 5.9 3.3 2.3 3.4 2.7 3.1 3.9 3.2 4.6 2.7 4.0 2.8 3.6 3.3 2.7 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.1 2.9 3.3 3.8 3.2 4.0 2.9 2.7 2.9 3.2 2.6 Apr 3.1 5.1 5.8 5.4 3.4 4.3 5.5 4.7 5.6 6.6 6.4 7.0 3.9 7.2 10.0 3.2 5.5 4.5 5.3 5.9 4.8 6.1 5.5 5.6 5.0 3.7 7.2 3.8 4.7 3.9 5.6 6.6 6.0 6.5 6.8 Mule 34 (31% Kabura) May Jun Jul 3.9 3.0 1.9 7.4 2.7 1.9 5.1 3.3 3.5 3.1 2.3 2.0 4.1 2.6 1.8 4.0 2.4 2.0 6.9 3.0 2.4 6.2 3.2 2.1 6.3 4.1 2.2 5.0 2.5 2.4 5.9 3.4 2.3 4.9 2.6 2.3 2.7 2.0 2.2 3.8 2.4 2.3 4.9 2.4 1.5 4.6 3.5 1.9 4.5 2.6 2.1 4.0 2.2 2.1 3.4 1.9 1.8 4.2 2.6 2.0 3.3 2.3 1.8 5.3 2.7 2.1 4.7 3.0 2.0 5.1 2.7 2.1 3.5 2.4 2.0 5.4 2.4 1.9 5.4 2.5 2.2 5.1 2.4 2.2 5.3 3.0 2.0 5.8 3.6 2.6 5.4 2.5 2.5 4.2 3.9 2.0 6.4 2.8 2.1 5.3 2.5 2.0 4.4 2.5 1.9 Aug 1.7 1.7 2.1 1.8 2.1 2.0 2.6 2.1 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.6 2.0 2.1 1.2 1.8 2.2 1.8 1.6 2.0 2.0 2.3 1.9 1.8 1.9 2.1 1.9 2.0 1.8 2.1 2.1 2.5 2.3 1.8 1.6 Sep 1.8 3.6 2.9 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.1 2.4 2.4 2.9 2.7 1.9 2.9 1.3 2.2 2.7 2.1 1.9 2.0 2.7 3.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.8 2.5 2.6 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.3 2.2 2.5 2.1 Oct 2.3 2.8 2.0 3.5 2.5 2.4 3.0 2.3 3.3 2.8 2.9 3.2 3.7 2.6 1.8 2.3 2.8 2.3 2.0 2.3 2.8 2.1 2.4 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.9 2.7 2.9 2.6 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.4 1.9 Nov 3.7 4.6 2.9 2.2 2.3 4.2 2.8 3.8 3.7 3.3 4.5 3.9 3.7 3.3 2.5 5.0 3.7 2.9 2.8 3.5 2.8 3.6 2.4 3.8 2.8 3.5 3.1 5.3 3.5 2.9 3.8 2.8 4.5 3.5 2.0 Dec 2.5 2.8 2.4 3.4 2.3 3.7 4.2 3.4 4.2 3.1 6.0 3.2 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.7 3.4 3.1 2.5 2.6 3.2 2.7 2.5 2.3 3.1 2.1 2.7 3.3 3.2 3.8 2.9 3.4 4.4 2.0 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Jan 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 Feb 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.6 Mar 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 Apr 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.8 1.1 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.4 0.8 1.4 1.9 0.6 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.9 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.7 1.4 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.3 Mpanda (6% Kabura) May Jun Jul 0.8 0.6 0.4 1.4 0.5 0.4 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.4 1.3 0.6 0.5 1.2 0.6 0.4 1.2 0.8 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.3 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.4 1.0 0.6 0.4 1.1 0.7 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.4 1.2 0.5 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.4 Aug 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 Sep 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 Oct 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.4 Nov 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.4 Dec 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.6 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.4 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
C-2
EAPP/EAC Regional
C.2
Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 East DRC
Jan 60.1 87.0 75.0 64.7 74.7 57.0 90.8 97.5 86.1 94.7 79.2 96.0 101.1 75.0 95.0 85.2 86.9 74.6 73.9 77.5 65.5 69.1 81.9 74.8 84.3 58.5 88.4 88.2 97.2 96.5 79.2 93.1 103.5 94.6 69.2 Feb 82.6 76.8 77.8 78.8 73.2 67.2 86.2 103.8 104.2 90.3 82.3 78.6 71.0 86.8 82.0 68.4 86.7 72.0 64.9 76.3 62.3 71.5 90.4 74.9 78.9 53.2 90.7 85.4 95.0 94.8 82.7 89.8 100.1 85.1 64.2 Mar 70.3 71.6 78.7 63.8 72.3 68.3 102.7 95.1 64.6 72.2 100.5 85.5 88.9 85.8 94.3 82.9 85.7 72.5 79.8 56.0 63.3 69.2 96.8 88.4 84.4 55.4 91.9 87.3 91.9 90.5 91.2 85.6 104.4 74.5 59.7 Apr 79.3 76.1 101.7 51.5 69.8 65.5 101.3 85.9 63.4 90.7 66.7 80.5 77.2 92.8 72.5 77.0 80.5 77.2 60.5 61.6 66.6 74.4 100.6 88.8 79.5 61.8 138.6 93.0 87.2 93.6 91.8 92.5 99.9 53.1 49.6 May 62.0 90.2 71.1 43.1 67.9 58.5 92.5 106.1 78.8 101.3 88.7 100.4 81.8 91.1 56.3 74.0 82.4 68.6 42.7 61.8 67.0 101.8 91.6 89.2 67.8 65.1 158.0 92.7 89.5 90.6 94.9 94.7 104.0 84.2 53.0 Ruzizi 2 Jun 75.2 85.6 107.8 88.3 83.7 76.5 105.6 86.4 130.8 117.5 98.6 120.9 78.9 94.2 73.8 102.3 112.6 71.2 68.3 76.3 64.8 110.7 92.9 88.9 66.8 67.3 137.2 93.9 91.9 93.8 101.9 96.5 112.2 85.5 57.1 Jul 79.5 79.5 84.7 64.4 65.9 74.7 117.4 79.2 74.3 93.6 68.8 89.4 68.9 79.8 61.8 87.2 81.4 78.3 67.6 61.2 64.7 82.0 82.4 86.3 71.9 65.5 89.6 93.1 92.1 91.4 101.3 96.4 100.6 79.1 54.8 Aug 83.1 83.8 67.3 59.6 62.0 65.5 92.5 78.8 102.3 90.8 84.1 80.5 89.5 86.6 70.5 66.5 88.7 72.6 64.8 50.6 69.4 82.1 70.8 88.0 77.1 64.6 79.1 91.8 88.9 91.7 103.4 100.2 94.6 70.9 53.9 Sep 68.0 90.1 78.0 63.2 67.7 89.3 94.2 75.1 70.5 89.7 88.4 79.5 74.6 89.8 64.1 76.9 80.2 62.6 76.5 57.2 76.0 82.4 75.8 87.5 71.8 67.6 77.3 77.3 77.2 85.3 101.1 92.9 90.8 71.1 52.5 Oct 66.7 66.0 72.2 92.0 65.7 86.3 104.2 79.7 80.0 91.1 81.8 90.5 70.0 68.7 68.6 82.9 88.3 77.1 77.1 59.3 70.4 85.3 70.0 89.5 57.5 71.7 91.8 99.2 75.4 87.8 100.9 91.3 90.0 73.0 55.9 Nov 69.9 94.8 88.0 63.0 65.7 81.3 106.7 80.8 81.2 93.6 101.8 86.7 61.1 86.4 66.1 89.9 70.5 65.6 81.2 54.1 75.4 104.5 71.4 91.3 38.5 77.9 91.6 98.4 77.0 83.5 100.8 96.7 102.9 71.3 61.5 Dec 64.9 102.4 66.9 66.2 74.8 81.5 107.3 92.0 96.6 77.2 98.1 79.5 80.0 65.1 67.1 77.4 100.8 60.3 81.2 60.6 60.3 85.0 74.4 84.9 57.3 77.0 89.3 97.3 83.3 83.1 101.8 97.8 99.2 71.9 72.0 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
C-3
Jan 90.2 130.5 112.5 97.1 112.1 85.5 136.2 146.3 129.2 142.1 118.8 144.0 151.7 112.5 142.5 127.8 130.4 111.9 110.9 116.3 98.3 103.7 122.9 112.2 126.5 87.8 132.6 132.3 145.8 144.8 118.8 139.7 155.3 141.9 103.8 Feb 123.9 115.2 116.7 118.2 109.8 100.8 129.3 155.7 156.3 135.5 123.5 117.9 106.5 130.2 123.0 102.6 130.1 108.0 97.4 114.5 93.5 107.3 135.6 112.4 118.4 79.8 136.1 128.1 142.5 142.2 124.1 134.7 150.2 127.7 96.3 Mar 105.5 107.4 118.1 95.7 108.5 102.5 154.1 142.7 96.9 108.3 150.8 128.3 133.4 128.7 141.5 124.4 128.6 108.8 119.7 84.0 95.0 103.8 145.2 132.6 126.6 83.1 137.9 131.0 137.9 135.8 136.8 128.4 156.6 111.8 89.6 Apr 119.0 114.2 152.6 77.3 104.7 98.3 152.0 128.9 95.1 136.1 100.1 120.8 115.8 139.2 108.8 115.5 120.8 115.8 90.8 92.4 99.9 111.6 150.9 133.2 119.3 92.7 207.9 139.5 130.8 140.4 137.7 138.8 149.9 79.7 74.4 Tshopo (Ruzizi *1.5) May Jun Jul 93.0 112.8 119.3 135.3 128.4 119.3 106.7 161.7 127.1 64.7 132.5 96.6 101.9 125.6 98.9 87.8 114.8 112.1 138.8 158.4 176.1 159.2 129.6 118.8 118.2 196.2 111.5 152.0 176.3 140.4 133.1 147.9 103.2 150.6 181.4 134.1 122.7 118.4 103.4 136.7 141.3 119.7 84.5 110.7 92.7 111.0 153.5 130.8 123.6 168.9 122.1 102.9 106.8 117.5 64.1 102.5 101.4 92.7 114.5 91.8 100.5 97.2 97.1 152.7 166.1 123.0 137.4 139.4 123.6 133.8 133.4 129.5 101.7 100.2 107.9 97.7 101.0 98.3 237.0 205.8 134.4 139.1 140.9 139.7 134.3 137.9 138.2 135.9 140.7 137.1 142.4 152.9 152.0 142.1 144.8 144.6 156.0 168.3 150.9 126.3 128.3 118.7 79.5 85.7 82.2 Aug 124.7 125.7 101.0 89.4 93.0 98.3 138.8 118.2 153.5 136.2 126.2 120.8 134.3 129.9 105.8 99.8 133.1 108.9 97.2 75.9 104.1 123.2 106.2 132.0 115.7 96.9 118.7 137.7 133.4 137.6 155.1 150.3 141.9 106.4 80.9 Sep 102.0 135.2 117.0 94.8 101.6 134.0 141.3 112.7 105.8 134.6 132.6 119.3 111.9 134.7 96.2 115.4 120.3 93.9 114.8 85.8 114.0 123.6 113.7 131.3 107.7 101.4 116.0 116.0 115.8 128.0 151.7 139.4 136.2 106.7 78.8 Oct 100.1 99.0 108.3 138.0 98.6 129.5 156.3 119.6 120.0 136.7 122.7 135.8 105.0 103.1 102.9 124.4 132.5 115.7 115.7 89.0 105.6 128.0 105.0 134.3 86.3 107.6 137.7 148.8 113.1 131.7 151.4 137.0 135.0 109.5 83.9 Nov 104.9 142.2 132.0 94.5 98.6 122.0 160.1 121.2 121.8 140.4 152.7 130.1 91.7 129.6 99.2 134.9 105.8 98.4 121.8 81.2 113.1 156.8 107.1 137.0 57.8 116.9 137.4 147.6 115.5 125.3 151.2 145.1 154.4 107.0 92.3 Dec 97.4 153.6 100.4 99.3 112.2 122.3 161.0 138.0 144.9 115.8 147.2 119.3 120.0 97.7 100.7 116.1 151.2 90.5 121.8 90.9 90.5 127.5 111.6 127.4 86.0 115.5 134.0 146.0 125.0 124.7 152.7 146.7 148.8 107.9 108.0 WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Jan 186.3 269.7 232.5 200.6 231.6 176.7 281.5 302.3 266.9 293.6 245.5 297.6 313.4 232.5 294.5 264.1 269.4 231.3 229.1 240.3 203.1 214.2 253.9 231.9 261.3 181.4 274.0 273.4 301.3 299.2 245.5 288.6 320.9 293.3 214.5 Feb 256.1 238.1 241.2 244.3 226.9 208.3 267.2 321.8 323.0 279.9 255.1 243.7 220.1 269.1 254.2 212.0 268.8 223.2 201.2 236.5 193.1 221.7 280.2 232.2 244.6 164.9 281.2 264.7 294.5 293.9 256.4 278.4 310.3 263.8 199.0 Mar 217.9 222.0 244.0 197.8 224.1 211.7 318.4 294.8 200.3 223.8 311.6 265.1 275.6 266.0 292.3 257.0 265.7 224.8 247.4 173.6 196.2 214.5 300.1 274.0 261.6 171.7 284.9 270.6 284.9 280.6 282.7 265.4 323.6 231.0 185.1 Apr 245.8 235.9 315.3 159.7 216.4 203.1 314.0 266.3 196.5 281.2 206.8 249.6 239.3 287.7 224.8 238.7 249.6 239.3 187.6 191.0 206.5 230.6 311.9 275.3 246.5 191.6 429.7 288.3 270.3 290.2 284.6 286.8 309.7 164.6 153.8 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
Babeba (Ruzizi *3.1) May Jun Jul 192.2 233.1 246.5 279.6 265.4 246.5 220.4 334.2 262.6 133.6 273.7 199.6 210.5 259.5 204.3 181.4 237.2 231.6 286.8 327.4 363.9 328.9 267.8 245.5 244.3 405.5 230.3 314.0 364.3 290.2 275.0 305.7 213.3 311.2 374.8 277.1 253.6 244.6 213.6 282.4 292.0 247.4 174.5 228.8 191.6 229.4 317.1 270.3 255.4 349.1 252.3 212.7 220.7 242.7 132.4 211.7 209.6 191.6 236.5 189.7 207.7 200.9 200.6 315.6 343.2 254.2 284.0 288.0 255.4 276.5 275.6 267.5 210.2 207.1 222.9 201.8 208.6 203.1 489.8 425.3 277.8 287.4 291.1 288.6 277.5 284.9 285.5 280.9 290.8 283.3 294.2 315.9 314.0 293.6 299.2 298.8 322.4 347.8 311.9 261.0 265.1 245.2 164.3 177.0 169.9 Aug 257.6 259.8 208.6 184.8 192.2 203.1 286.8 244.3 317.1 281.5 260.7 249.6 277.5 268.5 218.6 206.2 275.0 225.1 200.9 156.9 215.1 254.5 219.5 272.8 239.0 200.3 245.2 284.6 275.6 284.3 320.5 310.6 293.3 219.8 167.1 Sep 210.8 279.3 241.8 195.9 209.9 276.8 292.0 232.8 218.6 278.1 274.0 246.5 231.3 278.4 198.7 238.4 248.6 194.1 237.2 177.3 235.6 255.4 235.0 271.3 222.6 209.6 239.6 239.6 239.3 264.4 313.4 288.0 281.5 220.4 162.8 Oct 206.8 204.6 223.8 285.2 203.7 267.5 323.0 247.1 248.0 282.4 253.6 280.6 217.0 213.0 212.7 257.0 273.7 239.0 239.0 183.8 218.2 264.4 217.0 277.5 178.3 222.3 284.6 307.5 233.7 272.2 312.8 283.0 279.0 226.3 173.3 Nov 216.7 293.9 272.8 195.3 203.7 252.0 330.8 250.5 251.7 290.2 315.6 268.8 189.4 267.8 204.9 278.7 218.6 203.4 251.7 167.7 233.7 324.0 221.3 283.0 119.4 241.5 284.0 305.0 238.7 258.9 312.5 299.8 319.0 221.0 190.7 Dec 201.2 317.4 207.4 205.2 231.9 252.7 332.6 285.2 299.5 239.3 304.1 246.5 248.0 201.8 208.0 239.9 312.5 186.9 251.7 187.9 186.9 263.5 230.6 263.2 177.6 238.7 276.8 301.6 258.2 257.6 315.6 303.2 307.5 222.9 223.2 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 C-4
Jan 366.6 530.7 457.5 394.7 455.7 347.7 553.9 594.8 525.2 577.7 483.1 585.6 616.7 457.5 579.5 519.7 530.1 455.1 450.8 472.8 399.6 421.5 499.6 456.3 514.2 356.9 539.2 538.0 592.9 588.7 483.1 567.9 631.4 577.1 422.1 Feb 503.9 468.5 474.6 480.7 446.5 409.9 525.8 633.2 635.6 550.8 502.0 479.5 433.1 529.5 500.2 417.2 528.9 439.2 395.9 465.4 380.0 436.2 551.4 456.9 481.3 324.5 553.3 520.9 579.5 578.3 504.5 547.8 610.6 519.1 391.6 Mar 428.8 436.8 480.1 389.2 441.0 416.6 626.5 580.1 394.1 440.4 613.1 521.6 542.3 523.4 575.2 505.7 522.8 442.3 486.8 341.6 386.1 422.1 590.5 539.2 514.8 337.9 560.6 532.5 560.6 552.1 556.3 522.2 636.8 454.5 364.2 Apr 483.7 464.2 620.4 314.2 425.8 399.6 617.9 524.0 386.7 553.3 406.9 491.1 470.9 566.1 442.3 469.7 491.1 470.9 369.1 375.8 406.3 453.8 613.7 541.7 485.0 377.0 845.5 567.3 531.9 571.0 560.0 564.3 609.4 323.9 302.6 Bengamisa (Ruzizi *6.1) May Jun Jul 378.2 458.7 485.0 550.2 522.2 485.0 433.7 657.6 516.7 262.9 538.6 392.8 414.2 510.6 402.0 356.9 466.7 455.7 564.3 644.2 716.1 647.2 527.0 483.1 480.7 797.9 453.2 617.9 716.8 571.0 541.1 601.5 419.7 612.4 737.5 545.3 499.0 481.3 420.3 555.7 574.6 486.8 343.4 450.2 377.0 451.4 624.0 531.9 502.6 686.9 496.5 418.5 434.3 477.6 260.5 416.6 412.4 377.0 465.4 373.3 408.7 395.3 394.7 621.0 675.3 500.2 558.8 566.7 502.6 544.1 542.3 526.4 413.6 407.5 438.6 397.1 410.5 399.6 963.8 836.9 546.6 565.5 572.8 567.9 546.0 560.6 561.8 552.7 572.2 557.5 578.9 621.6 617.9 577.7 588.7 588.0 634.4 684.4 613.7 513.6 521.6 482.5 323.3 348.3 334.3 Aug 506.9 511.2 410.5 363.6 378.2 399.6 564.3 480.7 624.0 553.9 513.0 491.1 546.0 528.3 430.1 405.7 541.1 442.9 395.3 308.7 423.3 500.8 431.9 536.8 470.3 394.1 482.5 560.0 542.3 559.4 630.7 611.2 577.1 432.5 328.8 Sep 414.8 549.6 475.8 385.5 413.0 544.7 574.6 458.1 430.1 547.2 539.2 485.0 455.1 547.8 391.0 469.1 489.2 381.9 466.7 348.9 463.6 502.6 462.4 533.8 438.0 412.4 471.5 471.5 470.9 520.3 616.7 566.7 553.9 433.7 320.3 Oct 406.9 402.6 440.4 561.2 400.8 526.4 635.6 486.2 488.0 555.7 499.0 552.1 427.0 419.1 418.5 505.7 538.6 470.3 470.3 361.7 429.4 520.3 427.0 546.0 350.8 437.4 560.0 605.1 459.9 535.6 615.5 556.9 549.0 445.3 341.0 Nov 426.4 578.3 536.8 384.3 400.8 495.9 650.9 492.9 495.3 571.0 621.0 528.9 372.7 527.0 403.2 548.4 430.1 400.2 495.3 330.0 459.9 637.5 435.5 556.9 234.9 475.2 558.8 600.2 469.7 509.4 614.9 589.9 627.7 434.9 375.2 Dec 395.9 624.6 408.1 403.8 456.3 497.2 654.5 561.2 589.3 470.9 598.4 485.0 488.0 397.1 409.3 472.1 614.9 367.8 495.3 369.7 367.8 518.5 453.8 517.9 349.5 469.7 544.7 593.5 508.1 506.9 621.0 596.6 605.1 438.6 439.2 WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Jan 12.0 17.4 15.0 12.9 14.9 11.4 18.2 19.5 17.2 18.9 15.8 19.2 20.2 15.0 19.0 17.0 17.4 14.9 14.8 15.5 13.1 13.8 16.4 15.0 16.9 11.7 17.7 17.6 19.4 19.3 15.8 18.6 20.7 18.9 13.8 Feb 16.5 15.4 15.6 15.8 14.6 13.4 17.2 20.8 20.8 18.1 16.5 15.7 14.2 17.4 16.4 13.7 17.3 14.4 13.0 15.3 12.5 14.3 18.1 15.0 15.8 10.6 18.1 17.1 19.0 19.0 16.5 18.0 20.0 17.0 12.8 Mar 14.1 14.3 15.7 12.8 14.5 13.7 20.5 19.0 12.9 14.4 20.1 17.1 17.8 17.2 18.9 16.6 17.1 14.5 16.0 11.2 12.7 13.8 19.4 17.7 16.9 11.1 18.4 17.5 18.4 18.1 18.2 17.1 20.9 14.9 11.9 Apr 15.9 15.2 20.3 10.3 14.0 13.1 20.3 17.2 12.7 18.1 13.3 16.1 15.4 18.6 14.5 15.4 16.1 15.4 12.1 12.3 13.3 14.9 20.1 17.8 15.9 12.4 27.7 18.6 17.4 18.7 18.4 18.5 20.0 10.6 9.9 Mugonga (Ruzizi *0.2) May Jun Jul 12.4 15.0 15.9 18.0 17.1 15.9 14.2 21.6 16.9 8.6 17.7 12.9 13.6 16.7 13.2 11.7 15.3 14.9 18.5 21.1 23.5 21.2 17.3 15.8 15.8 26.2 14.9 20.3 23.5 18.7 17.7 19.7 13.8 20.1 24.2 17.9 16.4 15.8 13.8 18.2 18.8 16.0 11.3 14.8 12.4 14.8 20.5 17.4 16.5 22.5 16.3 13.7 14.2 15.7 8.5 13.7 13.5 12.4 15.3 12.2 13.4 13.0 12.9 20.4 22.1 16.4 18.3 18.6 16.5 17.8 17.8 17.3 13.6 13.4 14.4 13.0 13.5 13.1 31.6 27.4 17.9 18.5 18.8 18.6 17.9 18.4 18.4 18.1 18.8 18.3 19.0 20.4 20.3 18.9 19.3 19.3 20.8 22.4 20.1 16.8 17.1 15.8 10.6 11.4 11.0 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
Aug 16.6 16.8 13.5 11.9 12.4 13.1 18.5 15.8 20.5 18.2 16.8 16.1 17.9 17.3 14.1 13.3 17.7 14.5 13.0 10.1 13.9 16.4 14.2 17.6 15.4 12.9 15.8 18.4 17.8 18.3 20.7 20.0 18.9 14.2 10.8 Sep 13.6 18.0 15.6 12.6 13.5 17.9 18.8 15.0 14.1 17.9 17.7 15.9 14.9 18.0 12.8 15.4 16.0 12.5 15.3 11.4 15.2 16.5 15.2 17.5 14.4 13.5 15.5 15.5 15.4 17.1 20.2 18.6 18.2 14.2 10.5 Oct 13.3 13.2 14.4 18.4 13.1 17.3 20.8 15.9 16.0 18.2 16.4 18.1 14.0 13.7 13.7 16.6 17.7 15.4 15.4 11.9 14.1 17.1 14.0 17.9 11.5 14.3 18.4 19.8 15.1 17.6 20.2 18.3 18.0 14.6 11.2 Nov 14.0 19.0 17.6 12.6 13.1 16.3 21.3 16.2 16.2 18.7 20.4 17.3 12.2 17.3 13.2 18.0 14.1 13.1 16.2 10.8 15.1 20.9 14.3 18.3 7.7 15.6 18.3 19.7 15.4 16.7 20.2 19.3 20.6 14.3 12.3 Dec 13.0 20.5 13.4 13.2 15.0 16.3 21.5 18.4 19.3 15.4 19.6 15.9 16.0 13.0 13.4 15.5 20.2 12.1 16.2 12.1 12.1 17.0 14.9 17.0 11.5 15.4 17.9 19.5 16.7 16.6 20.4 19.6 19.8 14.4 14.4 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 C-5
Jan 2.1 3.0 2.6 2.3 2.6 2.0 3.2 3.4 3.0 3.3 2.8 3.4 3.5 2.6 3.3 3.0 3.0 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.3 2.4 2.9 2.6 3.0 2.0 3.1 3.1 3.4 3.4 2.8 3.3 3.6 3.3 2.4 Feb 2.9 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.6 2.4 3.0 3.6 3.6 3.2 2.9 2.8 2.5 3.0 2.9 2.4 3.0 2.5 2.3 2.7 2.2 2.5 3.2 2.6 2.8 1.9 3.2 3.0 3.3 3.3 2.9 3.1 3.5 3.0 2.2 Mar 2.5 2.5 2.8 2.2 2.5 2.4 3.6 3.3 2.3 2.5 3.5 3.0 3.1 3.0 3.3 2.9 3.0 2.5 2.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 3.4 3.1 3.0 1.9 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.0 3.7 2.6 2.1 Apr 2.8 2.7 3.6 1.8 2.4 2.3 3.5 3.0 2.2 3.2 2.3 2.8 2.7 3.2 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.6 3.5 3.1 2.8 2.2 4.9 3.3 3.1 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.5 1.9 1.7 Bendera (Ruzizi *0.035) May Jun Jul Aug 2.2 2.6 2.8 2.9 3.2 3.0 2.8 2.9 2.5 3.8 3.0 2.4 1.5 3.1 2.3 2.1 2.4 2.9 2.3 2.2 2.0 2.7 2.6 2.3 3.2 3.7 4.1 3.2 3.7 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.8 4.6 2.6 3.6 3.5 4.1 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.5 2.4 2.9 3.5 4.2 3.1 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.4 3.1 3.2 3.3 2.8 3.0 2.0 2.6 2.2 2.5 2.6 3.6 3.1 2.3 2.9 3.9 2.8 3.1 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.5 1.5 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.7 2.1 1.8 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 3.6 3.9 2.9 2.9 3.2 3.3 2.9 2.5 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.1 2.4 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.3 5.5 4.8 3.1 2.8 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.6 3.5 3.6 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.9 3.5 3.3 2.9 3.0 2.8 2.5 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.9 Sep 2.4 3.2 2.7 2.2 2.4 3.1 3.3 2.6 2.5 3.1 3.1 2.8 2.6 3.1 2.2 2.7 2.8 2.2 2.7 2.0 2.7 2.9 2.7 3.1 2.5 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.7 3.0 3.5 3.3 3.2 2.5 1.8 Oct 2.3 2.3 2.5 3.2 2.3 3.0 3.6 2.8 2.8 3.2 2.9 3.2 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.9 3.1 2.7 2.7 2.1 2.5 3.0 2.5 3.1 2.0 2.5 3.2 3.5 2.6 3.1 3.5 3.2 3.2 2.6 2.0 Nov 2.4 3.3 3.1 2.2 2.3 2.8 3.7 2.8 2.8 3.3 3.6 3.0 2.1 3.0 2.3 3.1 2.5 2.3 2.8 1.9 2.6 3.7 2.5 3.2 1.3 2.7 3.2 3.4 2.7 2.9 3.5 3.4 3.6 2.5 2.2 Dec 2.3 3.6 2.3 2.3 2.6 2.9 3.8 3.2 3.4 2.7 3.4 2.8 2.8 2.3 2.3 2.7 3.5 2.1 2.8 2.1 2.1 3.0 2.6 3.0 2.0 2.7 3.1 3.4 2.9 2.9 3.6 3.4 3.5 2.5 2.5 WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
C.3
Egypt
Aswan 1 Aswan 2 Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1972 507.1 686.0 946.9 1031.1 1190.1 1390.3 1387.6 1243.8 1091.1 825.2 593.3 467.7 1972 544.1 812.9 988.6 1105.5 1295.3 1366.9 1353.3 1280.6 1292.9 835.5 847.2 697.7 1973 560.3 762.0 1003.4 771.4 1137.9 1461.7 1368.2 1365.6 958.6 937.9 614.6 531.5 1973 646.7 832.6 1228.0 1022.4 1255.5 1351.6 1344.8 1361.4 1259.5 886.5 779.1 608.1 1974 534.1 842.2 890.7 1190.8 1133.4 1443.0 1480.8 1305.3 1109.2 849.6 818.7 498.0 1974 528.6 889.0 1008.4 1072.6 1243.0 1366.9 1343.3 1310.0 997.8 796.5 804.6 606.3 1975 547.1 703.1 749.4 778.9 1104.6 1510.2 1486.7 1378.7 1080.6 733.2 639.3 426.0 1975 602.3 868.3 1085.3 1102.9 1299.6 1376.0 1354.2 1326.8 1171.4 1048.6 818.4 496.5 1976 568.8 736.0 779.9 1358.0 1190.4 1418.1 1519.5 1313.5 905.8 845.6 691.0 446.9 1976 643.1 863.6 973.3 1148.9 1273.2 1364.7 1349.1 1321.0 995.7 993.4 813.6 595.4 1977 551.4 608.9 709.8 904.0 1186.7 1401.5 1434.1 1356.9 831.7 908.7 746.6 458.2 1977 530.8 824.4 916.1 1042.3 1313.9 1365.9 1341.2 1347.1 1093.2 1010.2 916.2 531.7 1978 537.3 631.3 665.0 781.2 1085.3 1392.7 1315.9 1334.8 1035.3 725.3 678.2 456.8 1978 612.3 841.3 942.4 1062.2 1165.9 1343.8 1382.3 1326.8 1041.9 855.2 803.2 476.5 1979 566.3 849.1 900.5 1097.5 1115.8 1472.4 1389.5 1308.9 860.2 845.8 613.7 547.6 1979 665.5 884.4 1180.1 1280.3 1267.5 1355.0 1324.6 1308.4 1189.8 917.4 825.2 591.4 1980 503.0 645.9 701.8 822.9 1181.8 1372.8 1621.6 1236.8 1050.1 924.3 747.8 509.0 1980 554.8 801.4 856.2 1000.4 1231.2 1372.8 1409.0 1311.3 1129.4 860.2 869.5 549.1 1981 541.7 682.8 858.0 1046.3 1168.0 1410.2 1312.5 1189.2 889.8 752.1 599.0 494.5 1981 619.4 858.9 1021.9 1147.5 1250.0 1344.2 1323.0 1293.4 911.4 731.4 847.5 575.4 1982 540.7 682.4 1072.6 1138.2 1202.3 1401.9 1368.8 1239.5 819.1 685.9 824.2 484.9 1982 630.1 809.4 1059.1 1108.5 1318.0 1370.1 1320.0 1308.7 1142.3 792.8 870.9 697.5 1983 512.8 652.1 861.3 775.6 1069.4 1408.2 1386.8 1358.5 996.3 821.1 701.6 469.4 1983 502.9 819.0 1105.2 1089.2 1264.0 1340.7 1323.2 1384.8 982.6 1249.5 841.5 537.6 1984 512.0 693.2 735.2 874.3 1151.9 1395.4 1391.7 1298.5 910.3 817.8 649.1 481.1 1984 555.0 848.7 858.0 1077.4 1273.2 1354.8 1351.8 1299.7 1065.7 895.5 744.5 569.6 1985 481.6 767.6 842.0 966.8 1291.7 1467.6 1458.3 1326.1 956.2 815.9 626.0 553.7 1985 627.6 844.3 943.2 1031.6 1281.8 1357.6 1374.4 1315.5 1178.5 933.5 668.5 710.4 1986 515.6 779.8 701.6 877.0 1305.8 1545.4 1459.1 1308.5 937.1 975.9 645.8 476.1 1986 562.9 872.8 886.4 1213.7 1296.7 1365.1 1366.2 1325.3 1123.7 1000.7 887.3 650.7 1987 535.5 696.1 855.5 1119.2 1148.2 1405.2 1320.7 1336.4 897.7 959.0 779.5 457.9 1987 560.9 815.8 1039.3 1165.8 1248.0 1368.0 1322.2 1326.3 1101.4 1058.4 886.1 479.0 1988 521.5 700.2 785.8 1006.1 1089.6 1417.3 1310.4 1263.6 1573.0 819.9 643.7 406.0 1988 609.1 859.9 1000.7 1134.3 1327.6 1347.2 1326.3 1288.6 1250.9 955.0 827.3 452.3 1989 549.7 657.8 842.5 876.7 1194.2 1387.7 1339.4 1314.8 897.3 549.2 726.9 469.1 1989 574.2 814.7 950.8 1204.1 1361.0 1358.4 1334.0 1356.4 1034.9 736.2 929.5 512.2 1990 492.1 701.5 849.3 858.3 1210.8 1410.7 1423.0 1383.0 1165.0 838.4 757.6 514.0 1990 549.7 794.5 1118.2 1080.4 1281.8 1318.2 1346.4 1338.1 1167.2 1220.9 939.5 512.8 1991 510.4 676.0 826.1 1104.8 1243.4 1460.3 1360.9 1294.8 1012.2 747.8 729.6 484.6 1991 612.9 775.9 1030.9 1126.7 1202.3 1332.7 1364.5 1302.2 1115.5 975.9 886.6 558.4 1992 518.9 764.1 955.4 920.4 1062.9 1503.5 1443.5 1334.0 863.5 897.1 737.8 549.5 1992 587.6 839.5 1093.7 1061.3 1288.6 1354.3 1350.0 1323.6 1053.2 895.6 785.5 532.3 1993 544.5 768.9 699.8 994.8 1054.4 1421.3 1337.3 1227.4 1149.8 777.6 581.4 477.5 1993 530.5 902.3 958.5 1150.6 1196.2 1362.7 1335.7 1325.4 1263.6 799.0 797.1 533.3 1994 503.3 671.5 786.5 839.2 1212.3 1427.7 1437.1 1338.0 801.7 1042.1 618.2 487.7 1994 639.1 843.7 1013.8 1147.3 1317.0 1320.2 1366.9 1316.9 1020.9 1087.3 840.2 649.3 1995 508.5 739.9 748.5 887.0 1210.2 1390.5 1417.0 1332.6 1137.9 983.1 670.5 504.8 1995 561.5 819.8 982.6 1048.7 1315.4 1347.2 1349.1 1288.2 1143.5 1020.8 864.9 672.6 1996 483.4 751.9 946.5 941.6 1248.4 1392.6 1358.4 1305.0 1102.9 1015.5 669.6 443.1 1996 548.5 911.8 973.6 1146.5 1334.8 1376.4 1325.2 1315.1 1031.2 972.3 850.6 588.4 1997 566.2 656.8 807.3 832.2 1030.1 1445.1 1503.6 1287.1 822.5 1040.9 721.4 515.9 1997 582.7 828.2 1074.2 1053.5 1240.8 1367.6 1380.2 1307.3 976.7 986.1 848.5 672.7 1998 514.1 583.4 861.0 1153.8 1209.0 1332.0 1295.9 1387.8 1028.9 927.8 639.1 444.2 1998 585.9 803.3 1193.8 1168.1 1267.2 1350.0 1311.1 1349.8 1189.9 1074.3 805.2 600.6 1999 601.7 673.3 813.2 972.9 1150.6 1389.2 1614.1 1205.2 1129.2 719.5 710.8 410.3 1999 609.0 925.2 1004.3 1133.6 1260.9 1360.1 1372.0 1334.3 1339.8 938.7 955.9 787.9 2000 633.3 840.3 1135.2 1057.4 1259.9 1524.0 1430.3 1267.5 790.6 727.7 753.6 540.3 2000 740.8 765.3 957.4 1150.7 1342.0 1384.3 1385.7 1336.9 1011.8 839.4 763.8 665.5 2001 653.3 723.2 841.8 917.3 1117.2 1492.4 1462.1 1457.2 1496.5 1075.2 616.8 422.5 2001 656.4 779.8 940.5 1000.1 1217.8 1356.0 1350.6 1374.4 1369.2 1171.4 829.0 734.1 2002 560.0 728.0 1030.2 1028.5 1368.8 1488.3 1480.0 1376.8 877.7 625.1 654.6 470.4 2002 577.4 779.3 946.1 1032.7 1343.2 1394.2 1376.0 1372.0 958.0 794.1 768.7 480.3 2003 497.6 707.3 660.8 733.3 1193.9 1380.8 1285.2 1243.3 892.5 783.1 686.8 451.9 2003 537.6 881.7 889.3 971.9 1250.2 1344.2 1314.1 1301.2 848.2 792.1 748.8 512.2 2004 528.8 629.2 729.4 1129.1 1191.2 1351.3 1299.9 1379.7 797.0 800.0 678.3 493.5 2004 553.5 860.0 961.2 1168.6 1185.5 1317.8 1304.6 1311.8 915.8 754.8 754.8 505.8 2005 542.3 698.6 884.5 881.9 1064.3 1340.8 1289.0 1265.2 777.8 819.4 611.5 467.9 2005 485.5 835.3 924.7 1033.5 1240.1 1329.1 1331.1 1314.6 967.0 822.7 811.1 619.8 2006 449.7 686.8 821.6 745.4 1049.4 1447.3 1313.2 1319.0 750.9 771.2 664.2 508.0 2006 596.4 878.9 964.9 1219.0 1241.7 1334.9 1308.2 1256.3 964.2 982.4 799.1 560.6 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
C-6
EAPP/EAC Regional
Esna igh Dam Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1972 1041.5 1278.6 1507.1 1736.0 1434.0 1183.8 1025.9 757.5 1112.9 844.0 845.9 791.4 1972 1072.8 1477.7 1788.6 2056.7 2478.8 2825.2 2674.3 2405.5 2509.7 1609.4 1449.3 1004.1 1973 848.2 1408.3 1812.2 1654.7 1070.3 1105.0 982.7 450.5 988.7 926.7 1145.1 843.3 1973 1153.9 1554.9 2042.4 1951.4 2321.0 2810.2 2692.8 2660.9 2175.6 1816.7 1323.4 1118.1 1974 933.8 1485.1 1427.1 1564.3 1216.5 1031.8 885.1 518.4 1030.3 794.7 828.0 1095.1 1974 990.8 1673.6 1802.5 2061.6 2405.1 2827.3 2820.7 2549.1 1904.9 1726.8 1611.2 1055.1 1975 814.9 1366.7 1672.5 1642.8 1374.0 1228.6 678.0 1083.9 869.2 926.6 1011.1 912.5 1975 1120.6 1525.8 1802.1 1890.4 2436.4 2828.4 2799.0 2571.4 2031.5 1755.4 1479.2 936.3 1976 961.2 1436.3 1413.0 1830.7 1182.4 1036.7 1989.9 377.1 1034.1 1083.9 936.2 769.8 1976 1210.1 1549.5 1699.4 2310.0 2413.5 2836.8 2851.1 2591.2 1659.3 1677.8 1474.2 955.1 1977 909.2 1419.6 1555.5 1570.7 1314.2 1384.4 556.8 983.7 716.3 763.7 1075.4 860.6 1977 1067.3 1419.9 1538.0 1963.9 2463.5 2764.9 2715.2 2628.6 1524.2 1909.1 1606.7 1006.1 1978 1012.2 1321.3 1524.0 1577.6 1249.3 1141.1 699.0 1150.1 674.8 960.7 994.7 829.3 1978 1089.0 1513.8 1679.8 1805.4 2258.7 2744.2 2755.5 2621.8 1866.9 1647.9 1464.3 968.0 1979 986.2 1435.7 1589.1 1775.1 1234.0 1104.4 702.5 556.7 1166.8 836.6 1095.8 919.0 1979 1181.6 1627.7 1888.7 2125.1 2383.5 2857.8 2682.2 2514.1 2163.5 1601.7 1411.1 1170.0 1980 1160.3 1344.9 1615.3 1833.6 1304.3 738.8 900.5 1150.4 1115.6 733.7 1200.8 709.0 1980 1095.1 1487.2 1578.8 1852.1 2360.3 2735.7 3057.9 2542.8 2150.2 1609.8 1621.4 1038.4 1981 989.1 1382.1 1579.1 1733.9 1431.3 1064.9 642.2 624.0 720.8 842.5 1022.7 898.1 1981 1223.7 1533.4 1703.2 2060.7 2363.0 2745.0 2557.4 2421.0 1683.0 1388.6 1371.9 1052.2 1982 878.7 1355.5 1535.4 1744.3 1127.9 1038.2 495.9 825.2 964.3 780.9 989.4 958.0 1982 1223.8 1483.3 2046.9 2228.4 2490.0 2826.2 2547.7 2534.4 2167.3 1540.3 1770.8 1092.6 1983 867.7 1338.0 1651.1 1561.7 1201.4 1049.1 799.0 531.0 1659.3 807.5 844.5 835.2 1983 1103.4 1455.7 1914.9 1938.0 2379.3 2757.6 2650.8 2681.0 1866.5 2048.4 1457.3 1018.4 1984 886.8 1311.3 1537.4 1528.4 1044.2 834.3 523.0 639.0 1075.0 740.4 1108.0 798.2 1984 1002.0 1506.6 1585.8 1916.3 2435.1 2824.2 2770.9 2514.9 1819.4 1698.8 1330.5 1009.3 1985 1063.7 1360.8 1613.7 1651.4 1129.3 1173.7 931.8 617.8 895.6 824.7 783.8 998.3 1985 1087.0 1544.9 1707.2 1899.3 2505.1 2817.9 2727.7 2582.7 2025.8 1725.3 1268.2 1258.0 1986 1037.0 1380.6 1574.7 1575.3 1296.8 1080.8 591.9 742.4 1235.9 858.4 749.5 1198.8 1986 1048.9 1636.8 1569.8 2052.9 2529.8 2881.2 2891.3 2588.5 1840.4 1933.5 1419.8 1133.1 1987 953.9 1415.0 1506.9 1832.8 1215.1 1104.0 754.1 820.2 941.2 797.1 1149.1 811.5 1987 1073.4 1519.5 1807.4 2218.2 2380.0 2807.8 2633.8 2573.4 1933.1 1913.2 1618.1 961.6 1988 876.6 1363.8 1538.6 1792.1 1119.4 1373.7 1015.9 343.3 1075.1 869.8 813.4 824.3 1988 1061.1 1526.7 1825.2 2074.4 2469.3 2791.5 2666.2 2519.9 2589.9 1743.7 1382.4 870.7 1989 872.2 1313.8 1588.6 1662.5 1147.7 1153.6 847.9 629.4 1059.6 949.7 792.7 965.0 1989 1124.2 1483.6 1797.8 2086.1 2475.7 2767.1 2657.8 2630.5 1852.7 1272.6 1726.2 1045.4 1990 857.1 1365.1 1549.2 1796.4 1241.0 709.7 1002.1 523.3 1042.5 732.3 987.4 962.7 1990 945.0 1473.4 1804.3 1990.7 2420.0 2642.4 2776.7 2607.4 2058.1 1940.9 1657.7 1030.7 1991 1056.1 1373.8 1673.7 1670.0 1431.7 975.4 888.3 671.5 692.5 1012.0 819.4 938.2 1991 1118.5 1477.0 1800.3 2105.5 2369.7 2746.1 2690.0 2539.8 1838.5 1632.2 1623.0 1023.3 1992 1081.2 1381.3 1520.1 1782.5 1091.7 1083.5 529.6 872.7 888.6 727.6 1033.2 864.8 1992 1041.3 1566.5 1824.4 1897.3 2366.6 2854.6 2731.6 2582.9 1932.7 1629.1 1454.2 1117.0 1993 946.1 1343.2 1622.6 1712.5 1106.6 830.6 860.6 747.5 885.1 811.4 882.5 987.2 1993 1048.3 1576.3 1595.8 2092.3 2251.6 2769.6 2654.3 2505.2 2184.0 1754.3 1267.9 985.3 1994 1129.1 1368.5 1467.9 1480.6 1551.1 897.5 864.5 547.0 574.5 927.9 806.5 913.7 1994 1134.2 1543.3 1753.3 1862.7 2602.4 2710.3 2817.7 2554.0 1878.2 2347.3 1485.0 1086.9 1995 842.4 1449.7 1580.1 1855.1 981.7 1191.0 775.5 589.3 886.2 745.2 1175.2 854.7 1995 1056.3 1572.3 1733.6 1831.3 2509.8 2775.2 2695.3 2536.1 2333.2 1813.3 1505.9 1138.5 1996 1095.8 1271.0 1553.1 1835.9 839.8 1039.6 661.8 571.5 1114.8 999.3 922.4 1077.9 1996 1054.7 1617.1 1854.7 2143.5 2526.1 2817.5 2699.1 2585.5 1964.7 1631.3 1493.4 1061.5 1997 881.8 1378.1 1436.0 1470.2 1520.2 902.4 694.3 520.0 685.8 840.7 1014.1 879.6 1997 1125.3 1513.4 1814.2 1961.7 2280.9 2777.4 2904.1 2525.8 1612.4 1841.4 1503.7 1148.0 1998 963.4 1403.3 1574.3 1663.6 999.9 818.2 966.5 824.6 934.8 742.5 956.7 876.6 1998 1088.5 1473.7 1910.9 2093.8 2445.9 2686.3 2530.3 2662.9 2088.6 1784.4 1368.2 953.0 1999 1028.7 1355.8 1577.2 1996.2 1305.8 1126.1 738.9 705.2 370.8 781.1 727.0 1068.7 1999 1264.2 1573.5 1871.0 2028.5 2448.4 2765.7 2551.1 2573.0 2406.2 1689.2 1687.7 1207.2 2000 1263.8 1520.0 1728.2 1750.9 1022.5 676.5 713.7 1004.1 1010.5 670.8 786.6 1087.3 2000 1394.1 1642.6 2101.7 2202.6 2410.3 2843.8 2856.4 2580.2 1795.3 1577.8 1493.2 1209.6 2001 1144.1 1271.3 1355.4 1334.5 1046.4 722.5 498.2 252.6 503.7 812.3 1251.9 1028.6 2001 1286.7 1490.4 1560.6 1902.8 2318.4 2943.6 2866.5 2785.0 2858.3 2146.3 1439.0 1136.5 2002 1027.8 1361.7 1601.4 1723.7 1269.9 948.5 601.2 159.3 1007.7 1031.0 953.1 823.0 2002 1143.2 1526.8 1941.3 2052.0 2720.2 2949.9 2885.7 2668.8 1793.2 1424.5 1430.3 953.3 2003 884.2 1454.1 1424.2 1567.5 1119.3 909.5 783.4 859.8 1133.3 917.0 952.9 880.9 2003 1052.5 1550.3 1518.3 1635.6 2348.5 2777.8 2596.6 2414.5 1622.7 1488.5 1374.2 926.0 2004 885.6 1262.6 1464.6 1659.8 1472.2 1177.7 786.1 1016.5 1157.2 830.6 728.0 866.2 2004 1027.2 1439.1 1622.0 2178.9 2370.8 2654.4 2599.2 2533.2 1584.1 1456.8 1341.6 957.4 2005 880.0 1284.5 1590.9 1710.4 1429.2 1048.5 581.8 649.9 811.3 824.1 956.7 873.5 2005 912.7 1458.2 1719.4 1904.0 2357.3 2677.2 2614.0 2489.8 1614.9 1561.7 1343.2 1019.2 2006 880.5 1327.2 1635.2 1769.6 1185.8 685.6 1032.5 776.7 954.0 850.9 1146.4 910.8 2006 1002.2 1510.9 1764.3 1903.3 2287.4 2783.6 2618.7 2525.8 1654.6 1679.8 1378.0 1024.2 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
C-7
EAPP/EAC Regional
May 2011
May 235.1 37.9 176.8 225.8 204.9 191.8 72.3 70.1 110.9 74.7 36.3 129.3 138.5 417.5 256.1 166.7 111.6 82.5 53.0 118.8 134.2 26.1 183.5 186.8 53.8 112.3 127.4 121.4 102.4 67.7 72.8 96.2 110.0 64.5 77.3 Nagham Jun 266.5 61.0 173.0 429.4 84.7 282.1 195.4 57.6 19.3 49.8 280.0 53.0 257.1 250.8 220.3 135.0 72.1 79.4 30.9 45.1 124.8 106.4 54.7 60.9 302.9 77.2 91.8 42.6 48.0 62.6 60.5 74.3 9.3 2.9 4.9 Jul 71.0 21.4 201.0 58.8 589.6 44.4 54.6 35.0 181.8 2.1 17.0 88.2 13.6 39.2 86.1 37.0 73.5 84.4 71.5 79.7 14.6 83.9 88.9 22.9 86.7 82.4 43.5 49.9 73.0 72.5 66.6 53.4 17.3 1.0 32.8 Aug 65.1 70.3 10.8 133.9 31.6 44.3 111.6 39.3 43.8 11.1 38.4 56.0 119.5 34.7 47.6 25.2 2.6 199.0 72.7 5.1 45.2 196.1 37.1 12.9 94.4 41.0 71.6 60.0 58.2 70.8 82.6 77.5 55.5 47.9 61.2 Sep 187.9 31.6 369.3 93.3 29.5 16.3 211.9 55.5 491.8 29.1 261.3 38.3 76.2 88.7 388.3 11.7 239.0 127.6 83.8 76.0 150.4 345.4 22.5 51.2 80.4 57.0 389.7 34.9 64.5 55.2 65.6 66.1 96.9 71.3 88.1 Oct 92.6 15.5 104.8 200.9 491.5 43.4 63.3 16.3 40.5 50.8 168.9 123.9 27.9 16.8 115.0 116.2 208.8 50.2 177.7 93.3 127.2 8.7 245.4 15.1 91.5 95.0 14.3 56.1 55.1 83.4 77.6 39.1 74.5 53.0 76.0 Nov 19.1 92.4 103.4 260.5 18.4 130.3 26.5 32.4 277.4 40.8 83.7 17.3 51.1 5.5 6.7 165.8 24.7 168.5 62.6 33.7 128.4 40.9 17.4 158.9 20.2 133.4 14.1 38.1 49.3 59.5 86.0 52.0 49.8 35.2 56.1 Dec 16.3 93.1 81.2 22.9 52.5 47.8 9.6 125.0 4.5 37.7 36.0 8.2 10.5 43.0 94.4 2.9 9.7 61.3 41.7 15.8 5.6 8.5 18.2 18.7 43.5 78.1 40.0 42.8 41.8 37.9 13.1 3.0 1.0 1.9 5.8 C-8
EAPP/EAC Regional
C.4
Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Ethiopia
Jan 1.5 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.5 3.4 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.6 1.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.8 1.1 Feb 1.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.8 Mar 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.5 1.9 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 Apr 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.7 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.6 1.7 1.2 0.6 1.0 2.5 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.2 0.8 May 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.5 1.1 0.4 1.7 0.8 2.1 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.6 2.0 0.8 0.5 1.1 0.6 1.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.5 1.1 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
Aleltu Jun 1.1 2.2 2.6 1.7 1.3 21.9 0.8 1.4 1.3 1.0 0.5 1.4 2.4 1.8 3.5 4.6 1.5 1.1 0.8 2.0 1.1 2.0 1.6 1.3 3.5 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.5 5.7 0.4 1.8 3.4 1.2 2.4 Jul 16.7 19.2 63.4 49.0 17.6 66.9 34.5 61.3 53.4 31.5 6.4 12.5 35.5 25.9 35.3 13.0 27.6 23.0 27.0 15.5 14.6 41.7 44.7 17.8 48.5 39.8 40.4 24.6 27.0 54.9 15.2 25.9 33.5 20.2 43.1 Aug 76.1 83.2 78.9 70.7 89.1 75.2 60.6 83.9 52.2 50.7 79.0 78.0 34.0 117.4 61.2 45.3 85.9 74.8 87.9 100.1 56.3 84.6 73.2 64.3 69.8 55.5 84.4 85.1 71.7 61.5 42.3 55.8 61.7 70.0 81.4 Sep 21.8 47.8 27.9 44.7 30.6 17.9 32.7 13.2 15.1 27.5 25.7 23.2 23.3 44.1 24.6 12.0 44.1 35.9 24.5 29.3 32.3 47.0 40.8 20.2 25.1 16.3 27.3 24.1 26.9 27.5 11.4 21.7 28.6 26.6 24.7 Oct 4.3 7.3 12.3 6.5 6.0 12.4 10.5 6.3 4.8 12.7 15.2 7.7 5.1 10.0 4.6 4.3 10.9 9.2 6.2 8.3 6.9 9.9 8.6 5.7 6.1 11.2 13.2 17.5 11.9 6.3 2.5 7.0 8.4 6.7 5.8 Nov 1.8 2.3 2.2 2.0 1.9 6.9 1.8 2.4 1.2 1.9 3.5 2.4 1.0 4.0 1.3 1.8 2.8 1.4 1.4 2.4 1.9 2.6 2.4 1.8 1.7 4.0 2.8 2.6 4.5 2.3 0.9 1.0 2.1 3.0 1.5 Dec 3.9 8.2 10.7 31.7 15.6 10.2 9.1 7.2 9.6 9.9 7.1 8.0 7.8 8.5 10.1 5.2 15.1 8.8 6.6 13.6 10.1 11.5 14.0 7.8 47.7 26.7 16.9 22.0 17.4 8.1 2.1 7.2 8.3 25.6 4.4 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 C-9
Jan 3.7 3.9 5.7 3.5 4.1 3.6 4.4 3.4 3.8 3.6 3.5 3.3 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.1 4.0 3.9 3.5 3.7 5.0 4.0 3.5 4.6 4.4 3.8 5.1 3.7 3.1 4.1 3.1 3.2 4.1 3.8 4.5 Feb 2.5 2.6 3.8 2.3 2.8 2.4 2.9 2.3 2.6 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.7 2.6 2.3 2.4 3.4 2.7 2.3 3.1 2.9 2.5 3.4 2.5 2.1 2.8 2.1 2.1 2.6 2.4 3.4 Mar 2.1 2.2 3.2 2.0 2.3 2.0 2.5 1.9 2.2 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.7 2.2 2.2 2.0 2.1 2.8 2.3 2.0 2.6 2.5 2.1 2.9 2.1 1.8 2.3 1.7 1.8 2.4 1.6 2.3 Apr 3.1 3.3 4.8 3.0 3.5 3.0 3.7 2.9 3.2 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.6 3.4 3.3 2.9 3.1 4.3 3.4 3.0 3.9 3.7 3.2 4.3 3.1 2.7 3.5 2.6 2.7 3.4 3.6 3.7 May 7.8 8.2 11.9 7.4 8.7 7.5 9.1 7.2 8.0 7.5 7.4 6.9 6.6 6.7 7.1 6.5 8.4 8.2 7.3 7.7 10.6 8.5 7.4 9.7 9.3 7.9 10.7 7.8 6.6 8.7 6.5 6.7 9.5 8.4 8.2 Geba1 Jun 29.2 30.4 44.4 27.6 32.5 28.0 34.1 26.7 30.0 28.0 27.6 25.9 24.7 25.1 26.3 24.3 31.3 30.4 27.1 28.8 39.5 31.7 27.6 36.2 34.6 29.6 39.9 29.2 24.7 32.5 24.3 25.1 30.8 28.1 29.8 Jul 60.0 62.6 91.3 56.7 66.8 57.5 70.2 55.0 61.7 57.5 56.7 53.3 50.7 51.6 54.1 49.9 64.3 62.6 55.8 59.2 81.2 65.1 56.7 74.4 71.0 60.9 82.0 60.0 50.7 66.8 49.9 51.6 67.1 65.3 91.1 Aug 81.9 85.3 124.6 77.3 91.1 78.4 95.7 75.0 84.2 78.4 77.3 72.7 69.2 70.4 73.8 68.0 87.7 85.3 76.1 80.7 110.7 88.8 77.3 101.5 96.9 83.0 111.9 81.9 69.2 91.1 68.0 70.4 81.7 87.6 91.4 Sep 88.5 92.2 134.6 83.5 98.4 84.7 103.4 81.0 91.0 84.7 83.5 78.5 74.8 76.0 79.8 73.5 94.7 92.2 82.2 87.2 119.6 96.0 83.5 109.7 104.7 89.7 120.9 88.5 74.8 98.4 73.5 76.0 79.3 92.2 90.7 Oct 51.1 53.2 77.7 48.2 56.8 48.9 59.7 46.7 52.5 48.9 48.2 45.3 43.1 43.9 46.0 42.4 54.7 53.2 47.5 50.3 69.0 55.4 48.2 63.3 60.4 51.8 69.8 51.1 43.1 56.8 42.4 43.9 56.5 49.4 52.6 Nov 16.1 16.8 24.5 15.2 17.9 15.4 18.9 14.8 16.6 15.4 15.2 14.3 13.6 13.9 14.5 13.4 17.3 16.8 15.0 15.9 21.8 17.5 15.2 20.0 19.1 16.4 22.0 16.1 13.6 17.9 13.4 13.9 14.5 13.4 18.5 Dec 11.1 11.5 16.8 10.4 12.3 10.6 12.9 10.1 11.4 10.6 10.4 9.8 9.4 9.5 10.0 9.2 11.9 11.5 10.3 10.9 15.0 12.0 10.4 13.7 13.1 11.2 15.1 11.1 9.4 12.3 9.2 9.5 11.1 12.8 9.5 WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Jan 5.8 6.1 8.9 5.5 6.5 5.6 6.8 5.3 6.0 5.6 5.5 5.2 4.9 5.0 5.2 4.8 6.2 6.1 5.4 5.7 7.9 6.3 5.5 7.2 6.9 5.9 8.0 5.8 4.9 6.5 4.8 5.0 5.8 7.4 6.0 Feb 3.9 4.1 6.0 3.7 4.4 3.7 4.6 3.6 4.0 3.7 3.7 3.5 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.3 4.2 4.1 3.6 3.9 5.3 4.2 3.7 4.9 4.6 4.0 5.3 3.9 3.3 4.4 3.3 3.4 3.5 4.4 5.0 Mar 3.3 3.5 5.1 3.2 3.7 3.2 3.9 3.1 3.4 3.2 3.2 3.0 2.8 2.9 3.0 2.8 3.6 3.5 3.1 3.3 4.5 3.6 3.2 4.1 4.0 3.4 4.6 3.3 2.8 3.7 2.8 2.9 3.1 2.9 3.1 Apr 5.0 5.2 7.5 4.7 5.5 4.8 5.8 4.5 5.1 4.8 4.7 4.4 4.2 4.3 4.5 4.1 5.3 5.2 4.6 4.9 6.7 5.4 4.7 6.2 5.9 5.0 6.8 5.0 4.2 5.5 4.1 4.3 4.4 6.1 6.3 May 12.4 12.9 18.9 11.7 13.8 11.9 14.5 11.4 12.8 11.9 11.7 11.0 10.5 10.7 11.2 10.3 13.3 12.9 11.5 12.2 16.8 13.5 11.7 15.4 14.7 12.6 17.0 12.4 10.5 13.8 10.3 10.7 12.9 10.2 11.5 Geba2 Jun Jul 46.1 95.0 48.0 99.0 70.1 144.5 43.5 89.6 51.3 105.7 44.2 91.0 53.9 111.0 42.2 86.9 47.4 97.6 44.2 91.0 43.5 89.6 40.9 84.3 39.0 80.3 39.6 81.6 41.6 85.6 38.3 78.9 49.3 101.7 48.0 99.0 42.9 88.3 45.4 93.6 62.3 128.4 50.0 103.0 43.5 89.6 57.1 117.7 54.5 112.4 46.7 96.3 63.0 129.7 46.1 95.0 39.0 80.3 51.3 105.7 38.3 78.9 39.6 81.6 37.9 89.4 42.6 85.8 45.1 134.1 Aug 129.4 134.9 196.9 122.1 144.0 123.9 151.3 118.5 133.1 123.9 122.1 114.8 109.4 111.2 116.7 107.5 138.5 134.9 120.3 127.6 175.0 140.4 122.1 160.4 153.1 131.2 176.8 129.4 109.4 144.0 107.5 111.2 130.1 131.5 118.3 Sep 139.8 145.7 212.7 131.9 155.6 133.9 163.5 128.0 143.8 133.9 131.9 124.1 118.2 120.1 126.0 116.2 149.7 145.7 130.0 137.9 189.1 151.6 131.9 173.3 165.4 141.8 191.0 139.8 118.2 155.6 116.2 120.1 102.9 182.7 123.6 Oct 80.7 84.2 122.8 76.2 89.8 77.3 94.4 73.9 83.0 77.3 76.2 71.6 68.2 69.4 72.8 67.1 86.4 84.2 75.1 79.6 109.2 87.6 76.2 100.1 95.5 81.9 110.3 80.7 68.2 89.8 67.1 69.4 83.1 90.9 93.8 Nov 25.6 26.7 38.9 24.1 28.5 24.5 29.9 23.4 26.3 24.5 24.1 22.7 21.6 22.0 23.1 21.3 27.4 26.7 23.8 25.2 34.6 27.7 24.1 31.7 30.3 25.9 34.9 25.6 21.6 28.5 21.3 22.0 29.0 23.5 31.4 Dec 11.3 11.8 17.0 10.8 12.5 11.0 13.2 10.3 11.7 10.8 10.7 10.0 9.6 9.7 10.3 9.6 12.1 11.8 10.8 11.1 15.2 12.2 10.7 13.9 13.4 11.5 15.3 11.3 9.8 12.5 9.6 9.9 11.5 13.0 9.7 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Jan 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.4 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 2.7 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.2 1.9 0.4 2.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 Feb 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.6 Mar 0.6 0.2 0.8 0.5 1.3 1.4 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 2.2 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.6 1.3 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 1.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 Apr 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.0 0.8 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.4 1.3 0.2 2.3 1.0 2.6 1.0 3.8 0.2 1.5 4.5 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.5 2.7 0.7 0.6 1.2 1.5 1.7 May 1.2 1.1 1.1 0.5 2.1 1.4 0.6 2.3 3.2 0.7 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.4 5.6 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.0 0.9 8.3 0.7 1.7 7.8 0.4 6.0 0.5 0.9 2.9 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.6 Chemoga Jun Jul 1.0 14.2 1.6 22.7 2.3 22.3 5.1 29.6 5.0 42.8 11.3 4.9 1.5 19.6 11.2 36.6 3.5 40.8 0.4 20.1 0.8 11.1 1.2 8.9 11.2 42.0 1.8 27.6 3.9 25.5 8.8 21.2 1.0 17.1 1.2 34.0 1.1 29.3 10.8 63.0 1.0 15.5 17.5 40.9 1.2 19.2 0.8 21.6 10.4 33.5 2.8 23.5 2.9 42.7 2.2 24.3 1.5 13.7 11.2 44.6 1.5 24.3 2.4 30.4 2.3 19.5 2.5 23.5 2.1 46.7 Aug 35.3 43.2 48.5 68.0 51.8 55.4 39.4 49.0 44.8 34.9 39.1 61.0 38.2 50.4 38.6 52.4 80.6 46.1 45.5 80.3 41.3 63.5 83.5 40.9 39.9 40.6 56.8 49.4 51.6 52.5 42.2 47.6 46.1 51.7 48.3 Sep 14.0 21.6 15.7 42.4 15.9 35.1 38.9 33.1 26.7 24.1 13.7 39.1 26.1 25.1 26.7 13.4 38.7 18.7 24.8 61.4 40.2 53.6 19.3 21.1 26.0 14.6 26.1 26.1 34.7 28.0 13.8 26.3 45.4 34.7 26.3 Oct 2.2 5.9 3.3 5.9 3.3 14.8 22.8 4.1 5.1 5.4 11.3 11.0 2.5 3.9 2.6 4.6 13.6 3.6 6.9 1.2 7.3 11.9 11.8 2.4 3.5 7.6 17.5 9.8 6.8 3.5 5.7 4.6 4.3 5.3 6.6 Nov 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.5 6.0 7.6 1.9 0.9 1.4 1.4 3.2 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.4 1.3 0.9 0.4 1.1 1.1 3.6 0.9 6.1 0.6 1.7 5.5 5.1 2.9 3.2 1.3 1.0 1.1 0.9 1.8 2.0 Dec 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.8 1.5 0.6 0.4 0.3 8.5 0.6 1.7 0.8 1.5 0.6 1.6 0.6 1.3 0.8 1.8 1.2 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.3 1.6 1.0 0.9 0.2 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
C-10
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Jan 4.2 3.5 3.2 2.3 1.6 6.6 3.4 3.9 4.2 0.8 1.9 6.4 3.0 2.5 2.4 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.5 3.5 3.6 4.5 3.7 3.0 3.6 3.4 5.3 3.3 4.1 4.2 4.0 1.2 2.7 3.7 2.4 Feb 3.0 0.7 2.7 0.4 2.2 2.6 2.0 0.5 2.3 1.7 1.6 4.7 1.9 0.7 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.3 2.8 2.3 1.9 2.3 2.2 5.3 1.4 2.2 2.0 1.7 0.5 2.4 2.2 2.3 Mar 2.0 1.3 2.0 0.9 1.8 2.2 1.1 0.7 0.7 1.9 0.7 0.4 1.8 0.5 2.3 2.2 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.7 2.1 1.8 1.4 1.7 1.6 2.0 3.0 1.2 1.7 1.1 0.3 1.2 1.3 1.1 Apr 1.6 3.2 3.2 1.0 2.7 2.2 2.5 0.6 3.4 1.4 2.2 0.7 3.3 2.0 2.8 2.1 1.4 0.8 0.8 1.9 2.0 2.5 2.0 1.7 2.0 1.9 2.7 4.0 1.3 2.1 1.7 0.9 2.0 1.3 2.3 May 1.6 4.0 4.4 3.1 3.2 4.1 2.8 0.9 6.4 0.8 1.8 1.0 3.7 2.6 2.0 3.6 1.7 0.6 1.1 2.2 2.3 2.8 2.3 1.9 2.3 2.2 4.4 3.7 1.2 2.7 0.8 0.8 1.2 0.8 3.5 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
Fichaa Jun 1.9 5.5 5.1 1.2 6.3 15.4 9.9 4.4 7.7 2.2 4.9 3.1 5.4 5.2 3.3 13.8 5.4 2.7 10.8 4.5 4.6 5.8 4.8 3.9 4.6 4.4 2.6 1.8 1.2 4.5 2.4 2.5 3.2 2.3 2.1 Jul 8.1 19.7 23.5 11.0 12.8 24.1 27.9 18.1 24.9 15.3 16.9 9.6 17.2 13.9 18.9 29.0 7.9 13.3 21.4 14.4 14.8 18.4 15.2 12.4 14.8 14.1 30.2 18.9 14.0 18.2 7.2 17.7 11.0 10.5 18.8 Aug 27.9 45.0 51.9 36.2 33.7 30.8 33.6 36.1 42.4 39.3 32.2 34.2 40.1 47.2 43.1 40.6 55.8 52.7 48.8 35.9 37.0 46.0 37.9 31.0 36.7 35.2 55.9 31.5 33.7 46.8 33.3 31.4 33.5 24.8 33.9 Sep 35.2 44.2 56.9 45.9 35.9 34.0 35.2 31.4 31.4 37.3 34.9 35.8 57.7 47.0 38.2 41.1 51.4 50.5 26.9 40.0 41.2 51.2 42.2 34.5 40.9 39.3 65.7 41.0 35.4 36.1 26.1 39.0 28.8 36.9 51.1 Oct 27.5 28.7 24.2 37.6 21.6 31.0 24.7 18.3 25.2 12.8 20.0 14.9 14.4 29.9 20.6 23.9 32.2 36.6 18.2 27.5 28.3 35.2 29.1 23.8 28.1 27.0 47.4 25.6 33.2 33.6 8.7 31.2 28.1 22.8 19.8 Nov 14.4 18.1 13.6 25.3 17.5 15.2 13.2 13.2 16.1 12.6 13.9 8.2 12.6 23.3 9.4 14.4 10.1 18.2 14.0 16.0 16.4 20.5 16.9 13.8 16.3 15.7 21.6 16.0 19.1 10.9 12.0 8.4 18.9 16.9 23.6 Dec 5.8 7.6 7.5 12.2 12.9 6.8 10.4 8.2 8.4 7.4 4.9 4.3 7.8 9.0 5.7 5.4 5.2 12.1 6.2 7.7 7.9 9.8 8.1 6.6 7.8 7.5 7.0 7.9 9.3 5.3 4.5 6.1 4.9 7.4 3.5 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 C-11
Jan 23.1 34.7 12.3 18.3 50.4 18.4 2.2 20.5 54.1 15.3 34.0 6.7 17.5 6.7 7.1 7.8 13.4 8.6 59.0 4.8 42.9 64.2 51.2 32.5 19.4 12.3 91.9 44.2 20.5 35.0 18.5 6.9 32.3 30.8 55.5 Feb 53.7 56.2 28.9 5.8 31.4 13.2 11.2 10.3 48.0 47.1 19.0 10.4 7.0 4.1 5.8 6.6 7.8 6.6 43.8 2.1 40.1 88.9 4.6 28.9 15.3 7.0 72.6 28.6 38.3 38.4 8.0 15.0 22.2 12.8 65.2 Mar 70.9 66.8 24.6 45.9 72.8 19.8 46.9 17.5 42.9 35.8 29.1 32.9 4.5 4.1 4.5 17.5 6.3 7.1 82.5 15.7 31.7 81.8 9.0 43.7 10.1 2.6 53.4 44.2 12.8 25.7 15.7 7.2 14.7 11.6 16.5 Apr 122.7 95.3 44.0 77.6 122.7 63.3 31.6 79.1 81.4 98.4 40.1 27.8 8.5 56.3 33.6 74.8 22.8 95.3 146.2 47.8 23.5 81.4 42.8 139.3 50.9 43.6 116.8 70.2 41.5 92.1 39.8 16.9 51.1 83.7 131.1 May 125.1 119.5 19.4 175.1 136.3 46.3 13.1 180.3 205.0 135.2 165.4 160.5 30.6 176.6 97.8 199.0 53.8 64.6 97.8 52.6 16.4 231.1 159.1 96.3 128.4 43.3 213.9 96.8 68.9 155.5 54.9 40.7 106.4 77.4 71.9 Genale Jun Jul 116.9 116.1 15.4 75.8 34.3 79.9 219.1 136.6 109.9 108.7 108.0 149.3 8.1 77.3 175.9 153.1 133.1 113.5 153.2 115.7 103.0 118.7 86.0 110.9 70.6 85.5 113.4 134.8 131.2 104.5 189.4 123.6 58.6 153.1 84.1 128.4 106.1 94.1 42.4 90.7 48.6 105.3 86.4 106.0 146.6 177.7 57.5 85.9 268.9 146.0 39.3 114.6 195.6 121.3 101.0 108.2 42.1 90.2 92.4 167.8 46.2 73.2 34.8 81.2 80.6 109.1 75.9 106.6 82.3 187.2 Aug 147.9 169.5 138.5 147.9 189.7 217.3 90.3 209.1 157.9 183.3 173.6 141.5 143.0 161.7 101.6 104.9 218.8 128.1 179.6 169.1 150.1 127.7 226.6 162.0 191.2 94.5 217.4 154.7 136.3 178.2 128.3 133.6 167.0 139.1 129.1 Sep 211.4 164.0 162.4 132.3 172.8 146.2 207.6 191.0 313.7 107.2 188.7 109.6 212.6 129.6 205.6 101.5 146.2 259.6 136.2 142.4 174.4 111.5 165.5 217.2 227.6 60.2 285.0 148.7 109.1 171.8 112.2 119.7 77.3 199.7 156.8 Oct 322.6 25.0 142.6 46.3 224.8 149.7 336.0 73.9 332.3 70.6 261.7 174.7 122.8 136.6 134.8 181.4 284.5 300.9 113.1 76.9 365.9 204.2 168.8 191.9 118.0 247.9 369.4 221.3 160.3 265.6 44.0 104.2 180.9 187.9 189.0 Nov 100.7 37.5 1.2 99.2 145.8 54.0 90.7 46.7 132.3 36.7 265.0 156.6 49.8 59.8 44.0 101.5 60.2 115.7 51.3 55.2 133.9 119.2 116.5 79.1 36.7 392.8 192.5 51.3 38.2 73.3 13.6 32.6 40.5 45.6 135.7 Dec 22.0 36.5 29.0 31.7 45.2 39.1 13.4 28.8 50.0 44.8 70.9 84.0 19.8 19.8 23.5 26.5 16.8 132.9 22.0 49.3 71.3 43.3 54.9 40.7 18.3 143.0 105.8 37.0 31.2 32.7 7.2 23.5 42.5 42.5 8.8 WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
May 2011
Gilgel Gibe Jun Jul 31.6 143.4 28.2 66.1 25.1 132.5 33.2 110.9 39.3 156.1 34.3 137.0 47.1 143.0 34.7 96.7 54.0 94.5 22.8 104.2 20.1 48.2 43.2 54.9 57.5 129.2 44.8 109.0 41.7 110.1 63.7 134.0 13.1 83.3 34.0 112.4 35.9 110.1 64.0 134.8 79.9 177.0 118.1 201.6 141.2 278.1 26.2 86.2 183.3 181.1 141.2 141.1 47.8 129.0 55.5 122.3 40.5 98.9 54.8 204.2 30.3 83.9 56.0 110.8 40.5 117.4 21.0 164.3 90.3 224.5 Aug 209.1 237.5 130.3 162.0 190.4 189.3 259.5 134.0 154.6 150.8 110.1 130.7 151.2 190.8 115.4 147.9 256.1 256.9 179.2 243.4 435.3 320.7 384.2 129.6 269.6 222.9 168.7 171.5 239.7 231.6 176.9 220.6 216.5 236.1 237.3 Sep 145.1 204.5 99.9 150.1 158.6 182.5 173.2 76.8 91.1 135.0 172.8 246.1 124.6 145.1 138.5 125.8 147.8 75.2 150.9 174.0 255.8 233.4 270.8 159.7 186.7 144.7 225.2 180.9 167.7 174.0 117.2 136.6 117.1 160.4 160.9 Oct 46.7 101.9 42.9 89.6 38.5 94.8 116.5 48.2 34.7 75.4 90.3 233.7 32.5 61.2 54.9 29.9 204.6 21.3 77.3 35.8 152.0 152.7 49.3 32.9 87.7 3.0 97.0 86.8 37.1 93.1 26.9 79.1 57.9 77.8 39.5 Nov 35.5 15.4 22.0 15.8 41.7 97.6 22.8 10.4 11.2 18.5 45.9 89.9 13.1 18.9 15.4 31.2 40.9 34.0 27.0 6.9 35.1 96.1 19.7 13.9 30.1 273.9 112.8 13.8 38.4 43.5 23.0 14.3 45.6 7.4 97.7 Dec 18.3 7.8 12.3 7.5 11.6 16.8 14.6 8.6 5.6 7.5 37.0 28.8 9.3 9.0 7.5 14.9 8.2 11.9 11.2 5.6 13.8 34.0 10.4 11.2 25.4 104.2 16.0 6.1 10.6 7.3 3.1 3.2 3.5 9.5 3.0 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 C-12
Jan 25.4 25.8 15.3 8.6 9.7 15.7 16.4 17.5 11.6 11.6 12.7 11.6 14.6 12.3 10.8 10.1 16.8 14.9 22.8 16.4 13.1 25.0 17.2 16.4 28.8 24.3 16.3 17.5 20.5 21.4 22.9 6.4 11.3 13.9 26.7 Feb 25.2 17.4 15.7 13.2 10.3 22.3 10.8 17.0 9.1 10.3 10.3 11.2 12.0 10.8 12.8 10.3 14.9 15.3 22.3 15.7 16.1 25.2 12.0 13.2 30.6 16.1 14.0 14.9 28.8 18.8 7.6 3.6 10.6 9.5 18.5 Mar 21.6 11.6 17.2 9.7 13.4 14.2 11.2 14.6 9.0 13.4 8.2 10.4 10.1 10.4 14.9 14.6 10.8 13.4 30.6 14.2 12.7 20.9 13.1 13.4 37.0 18.7 13.3 18.1 10.4 22.4 10.0 2.8 7.1 7.1 12.9 Apr 36.3 20.1 16.2 12.7 9.6 15.1 14.7 27.8 20.8 7.7 12.0 12.7 18.1 17.0 20.1 16.6 8.9 32.4 30.1 22.0 21.6 45.5 14.7 19.3 52.5 29.7 38.4 21.1 17.8 36.3 16.6 4.5 35.1 20.4 28.7 May 56.0 85.1 51.9 17.2 37.7 7.5 116.9 25.8 61.6 9.7 25.8 22.0 23.5 56.0 27.6 27.3 21.6 29.1 37.3 53.4 56.4 109.0 35.8 43.7 90.3 59.4 81.7 58.1 19.9 55.7 38.0 13.4 34.9 20.0 26.1 Gojeb Jun 90.3 208.3 127.3 66.7 129.6 50.2 193.7 61.3 180.2 63.7 82.2 46.7 75.6 93.0 109.9 55.6 59.4 42.8 127.3 161.6 100.7 143.1 90.7 82.9 187.1 6.2 41.7 139.9 128.1 82.1 92.9 30.5 85.4 62.5 68.8 Jul 197.5 143.7 153.1 86.6 240.8 193.0 250.5 142.2 168.4 95.2 125.4 72.1 144.1 147.5 107.5 113.5 112.4 129.2 119.1 274.8 165.4 194.9 214.3 108.7 171.7 124.3 147.8 136.6 238.4 240.3 147.3 124.1 166.8 130.8 245.2 Aug 192.6 224.8 178.5 149.3 232.2 201.2 243.8 144.5 197.5 375.6 185.6 191.9 182.6 215.1 137.8 136.6 364.8 141.1 258.7 162.4 175.5 156.4 259.5 158.3 180.7 142.6 326.2 267.5 216.9 289.2 156.4 268.1 173.4 215.8 187.0 Sep 166.3 204.9 300.1 194.4 189.8 218.8 168.2 70.2 125.4 388.1 155.9 383.5 177.1 236.5 168.6 115.0 323.7 189.8 232.2 105.7 180.9 165.1 203.7 151.6 204.5 113.8 321.9 131.4 138.1 350.4 113.7 209.9 108.4 187.4 113.8 Oct 65.7 134.0 113.9 178.5 58.2 124.7 128.1 82.9 63.8 188.6 156.8 92.6 35.5 69.1 49.3 77.7 306.1 100.8 121.0 50.4 241.6 109.0 48.9 103.8 135.5 224.4 378.6 201.1 143.8 124.5 123.5 83.2 66.2 134.1 108.4 Nov 76.0 48.6 20.5 37.8 55.2 143.9 39.7 23.9 25.5 107.2 35.9 37.0 31.6 33.6 19.7 48.2 35.9 32.0 38.2 23.1 54.8 47.1 35.5 34.3 37.8 8.1 163.5 38.8 55.7 38.4 174.9 50.5 23.5 17.5 61.4 Dec 34.0 22.8 11.2 14.6 19.4 27.6 18.7 13.1 15.3 22.4 25.8 22.8 22.0 16.8 16.4 20.2 17.2 52.3 22.4 17.5 26.1 22.8 25.4 36.6 29.1 88.9 40.9 41.4 18.9 19.1 38.0 12.6 25.1 14.2 6.3 WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
May 2011
Halele Jun Jul 22.0 163.2 8.5 113.1 9.6 55.3 46.7 172.5 48.6 167.3 35.1 242.3 54.4 277.4 44.8 148.6 19.7 147.9 8.9 68.7 35.1 76.9 32.0 58.2 21.2 114.6 4.6 83.6 35.1 172.5 22.0 72.8 4.6 334.5 23.1 97.8 12.7 190.8 28.2 157.6 24.7 124.7 84.9 225.5 14.3 206.5 18.1 103.1 79.1 192.6 34.3 162.4 106.0 439.7 59.4 479.1 15.7 100.9 159.3 334.5 25.8 113.9 16.3 91.4 13.2 129.9 23.1 95.1 16.1 147.1 Aug 223.6 286.4 160.5 423.4 197.5 237.8 349.8 220.6 198.6 241.2 195.6 350.2 214.3 217.7 156.1 123.9 499.9 219.2 174.7 244.2 442.8 246.0 542.1 122.1 265.5 276.3 486.4 262.9 295.0 258.9 111.8 263.7 256.0 220.9 281.4 Sep 171.7 305.6 141.6 442.1 150.9 429.4 277.8 180.6 104.2 244.2 156.2 221.8 182.5 240.4 200.6 117.3 390.0 233.8 266.2 197.1 270.8 231.9 353.4 177.9 201.4 244.6 509.4 316.0 174.4 181.8 128.0 80.3 122.5 190.6 311.6 Oct 49.3 146.4 162.8 182.2 62.7 319.6 204.6 74.7 41.1 114.6 133.3 185.2 27.3 63.5 74.3 45.2 366.6 84.8 107.9 56.8 146.4 146.0 73.2 43.7 97.4 131.1 467.6 324.4 83.1 208.6 13.1 46.9 98.1 123.2 117.1 Nov 16.2 28.9 58.3 51.7 22.4 19.7 54.0 62.5 40.9 18.5 43.2 46.7 6.9 15.1 12.7 10.8 191.7 18.9 40.1 6.9 12.4 16.2 15.1 12.4 8.9 37.8 257.5 35.6 83.7 21.3 2.2 2.2 27.1 12.2 15.0 Dec 2.2 9.3 12.3 25.0 9.3 35.1 29.1 112.0 20.5 9.0 22.8 21.6 4.5 5.6 4.5 2.6 91.8 12.3 13.1 5.6 4.5 4.8 9.7 10.4 2.2 20.9 76.6 17.2 8.8 12.4 0.1 8.2 14.9 66.2 2.4 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 C-13
Jan 13.1 8.2 6.7 9.0 10.8 6.7 9.3 16.8 9.7 6.7 9.3 7.1 7.1 4.8 7.1 4.5 4.8 10.4 13.4 3.0 2.6 3.7 2.6 2.6 4.1 4.8 6.1 13.9 5.9 23.7 7.7 2.3 9.1 10.3 15.1 Feb 18.6 5.4 8.3 2.9 13.2 8.7 9.9 11.2 9.9 11.6 15.7 19.8 8.3 4.6 19.0 7.0 5.0 11.6 34.3 10.8 4.1 6.6 4.6 2.1 4.1 4.1 16.1 11.9 16.4 27.6 6.8 3.6 7.1 6.0 13.0 Mar 24.6 2.6 11.2 4.1 8.2 8.2 13.1 14.9 9.0 32.1 10.8 29.5 7.8 4.5 11.2 16.0 3.7 17.2 27.6 16.0 7.5 3.4 2.6 2.2 3.0 2.6 13.0 9.2 22.2 18.4 14.3 2.3 3.9 5.9 11.8 Apr 27.8 3.5 8.9 3.9 10.0 9.6 14.3 6.9 3.5 27.8 8.5 20.5 3.1 6.9 12.4 26.6 5.8 21.2 15.4 24.3 2.7 4.6 8.9 3.9 13.5 10.8 20.1 19.0 17.9 30.1 8.7 3.8 2.5 11.2 12.3 May 13.8 5.6 12.3 5.6 10.8 9.7 17.5 13.8 7.1 9.7 11.6 46.3 7.1 12.7 11.2 24.3 5.2 9.0 7.1 4.1 2.2 4.1 11.6 3.7 4.8 19.4 16.1 14.1 24.5 12.3 9.9 2.8 4.6 6.0 6.7 Koka Jun 14.3 8.5 17.4 15.1 18.9 27.0 31.6 18.1 15.1 13.5 7.7 24.3 28.2 19.3 29.7 30.1 9.6 19.3 9.3 9.3 8.5 10.4 24.3 8.1 9.6 77.9 77.2 18.7 10.9 33.0 5.9 19.3 13.5 18.0 16.1 Jul 97.1 62.0 122.5 162.4 82.1 154.6 97.1 84.4 105.3 112.0 57.5 81.8 138.9 116.1 79.2 60.9 57.1 97.1 106.0 80.3 85.9 75.0 126.6 68.7 69.4 209.4 196.8 141.9 68.4 122.9 52.5 61.3 83.7 68.0 102.7 Aug 172.9 232.6 233.0 226.6 201.6 245.3 225.5 227.0 250.1 231.9 207.2 288.6 172.9 345.0 183.3 88.9 309.5 250.5 225.1 231.5 260.2 234.8 286.0 144.9 200.5 404.0 367.0 257.3 230.5 263.0 197.4 207.4 188.8 178.4 197.9 Sep 72.9 182.1 143.5 192.1 106.5 105.7 148.9 100.3 98.8 221.4 91.4 180.9 133.1 174.4 125.0 46.3 241.1 204.9 148.9 108.0 148.9 162.4 200.2 136.2 73.3 132.3 211.8 254.0 185.1 174.0 80.9 120.7 100.8 167.9 120.2 Oct 22.0 41.1 32.5 65.3 20.5 43.3 40.0 29.1 22.0 37.3 32.5 51.2 29.1 42.9 22.0 10.8 38.8 38.1 45.9 14.2 7.8 15.7 28.8 13.4 7.1 11.6 32.1 45.8 53.9 49.4 7.9 19.0 45.8 22.3 27.0 Nov 10.4 6.2 14.3 13.9 8.9 89.9 15.1 11.6 6.9 15.4 10.8 11.6 13.1 12.7 13.9 7.3 17.4 14.7 21.6 3.5 3.1 4.2 6.9 4.2 3.1 5.4 35.0 16.2 11.2 5.9 0.7 1.5 6.8 7.7 7.6 Dec 9.7 6.0 12.3 11.2 7.5 34.7 11.2 10.4 6.0 6.3 6.0 6.7 7.5 6.7 10.1 4.5 10.1 10.8 10.1 2.6 3.0 3.4 3.7 4.1 3.0 1.5 16.1 3.3 7.8 4.4 0.6 4.5 5.7 15.5 6.4 WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
May 2011
Malkawaka Jun Jul 9.0 39.2 6.1 31.4 7.3 31.1 13.9 46.0 7.7 34.8 20.4 74.3 7.9 51.3 16.6 26.3 7.8 56.1 4.9 14.2 8.9 23.7 21.9 24.8 18.9 38.9 17.4 45.5 17.6 38.9 25.1 34.7 15.7 30.3 9.7 49.2 16.2 27.3 30.9 18.4 8.1 28.7 29.4 39.6 26.0 36.4 18.7 24.0 40.0 54.2 20.5 44.3 41.9 44.4 11.9 36.8 13.8 26.8 24.6 40.5 10.9 40.8 18.8 34.7 18.0 42.9 10.3 33.4 13.3 41.0 Aug 53.7 80.9 49.4 108.1 75.9 143.7 92.3 46.3 98.8 62.8 81.2 119.8 49.0 90.6 74.0 72.9 86.7 55.7 69.1 62.8 88.4 66.1 88.3 62.6 97.4 49.7 93.2 82.2 67.5 66.7 66.1 61.9 66.1 77.7 70.3 Sep 42.9 50.9 33.3 76.4 42.1 84.2 52.2 36.5 38.4 79.8 43.4 97.1 42.1 62.3 55.0 40.4 48.2 48.6 52.9 71.6 25.1 31.4 79.6 49.2 52.7 15.4 107.5 62.5 64.9 76.6 35.6 44.7 52.4 52.6 63.8 Oct 9.3 16.0 9.0 24.9 10.4 104.5 32.2 21.8 19.2 22.7 37.2 41.1 9.9 24.5 26.8 32.3 26.0 25.1 40.9 33.5 13.7 21.5 19.8 7.9 6.3 34.1 63.4 28.6 28.2 12.7 5.8 14.6 40.5 12.9 18.3 Nov 7.8 4.5 6.4 6.8 21.2 29.5 7.7 7.9 5.8 6.6 11.9 20.0 7.2 8.4 8.3 14.0 11.8 18.5 17.2 13.6 4.6 0.3 2.9 4.4 6.0 52.4 15.2 5.9 11.6 5.2 2.8 3.0 4.5 2.9 12.3 Dec 4.8 4.4 5.0 3.4 6.5 5.5 6.6 4.7 4.3 4.5 12.0 6.7 5.3 4.8 4.8 5.2 7.2 7.4 13.7 3.4 3.0 3.0 1.4 2.8 0.3 17.1 7.3 4.9 4.6 3.7 4.3 4.0 5.3 12.0 6.7 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 C-14
Jan 8.2 8.6 12.5 7.7 9.1 7.9 9.6 7.5 8.4 7.9 7.7 7.3 6.9 7.1 7.4 6.8 8.8 8.6 7.6 8.1 11.1 8.9 7.7 10.2 9.7 8.3 11.2 8.2 6.9 9.1 6.8 7.1 9.4 8.9 10.1 Feb 6.6 6.9 10.0 6.2 7.3 6.3 7.7 6.0 6.8 6.3 6.2 5.8 5.6 5.7 5.9 5.5 7.0 6.9 6.1 6.5 8.9 7.1 6.2 8.2 7.8 6.7 9.0 6.6 5.6 7.3 5.5 5.7 6.6 7.7 7.9 Mar 10.3 10.7 15.7 9.7 11.5 9.9 12.0 9.4 10.6 9.9 9.7 9.1 8.7 8.9 9.3 8.6 11.0 10.7 9.6 10.2 13.9 11.2 9.7 12.8 12.2 10.5 14.1 10.3 8.7 11.5 8.6 8.9 10.7 9.2 11.5 Apr 17.9 18.7 27.3 16.9 20.0 17.2 21.0 16.4 18.4 17.2 16.9 15.9 15.2 15.4 16.2 14.9 19.2 18.7 16.7 17.7 24.3 19.5 16.9 22.2 21.2 18.2 24.5 17.9 15.2 20.0 14.9 15.4 16.5 23.6 21.3 May 30.6 31.9 46.6 28.9 34.1 29.3 35.8 28.0 31.5 29.3 28.9 27.2 25.9 26.3 27.6 25.5 32.8 31.9 28.5 30.2 41.4 33.2 28.9 38.0 36.2 31.1 41.9 30.6 25.9 34.1 25.5 26.3 30.6 30.1 38.9 Genji Jun Jul 48.6 73.6 50.6 76.7 73.9 111.9 45.8 69.4 54.1 81.9 46.5 70.5 56.8 86.0 44.5 67.4 49.9 75.7 46.5 70.5 45.8 69.4 43.1 65.3 41.1 62.2 41.7 63.2 43.8 66.3 40.4 61.1 52.0 78.8 50.6 76.7 45.2 68.4 47.9 72.5 65.7 99.5 52.7 79.8 45.8 69.4 60.2 91.2 57.5 87.1 49.3 74.6 66.4 100.5 48.6 73.6 41.1 62.2 54.1 81.9 40.4 61.1 41.7 63.2 50.0 73.1 50.7 68.9 50.0 105.2 Aug 96.4 100.5 146.6 91.0 107.3 92.3 112.7 88.2 99.1 92.3 91.0 85.5 81.5 82.8 86.9 80.1 103.2 100.5 89.6 95.0 130.3 104.5 91.0 119.5 114.0 97.8 131.7 96.4 81.5 107.3 80.1 82.8 101.5 103.4 112.1 Sep 86.4 90.0 131.4 81.5 96.1 82.7 101.0 79.1 88.8 82.7 81.5 76.6 73.0 74.2 77.9 71.8 92.5 90.0 80.3 85.2 116.8 93.7 81.5 107.1 102.2 87.6 118.0 86.4 73.0 96.1 71.8 74.2 72.1 119.4 87.4 Oct 62.9 65.6 95.7 59.4 70.0 60.2 73.5 57.6 64.7 60.2 59.4 55.8 53.2 54.0 56.7 52.3 67.3 65.6 58.5 62.0 85.0 68.2 59.4 78.0 74.4 63.8 85.9 62.9 53.2 70.0 52.3 54.0 67.4 62.2 49.8 Nov 26.2 27.3 39.8 24.7 29.1 25.0 30.6 23.9 26.9 25.0 24.7 23.2 22.1 22.5 23.6 21.7 28.0 27.3 24.3 25.8 35.4 28.4 24.7 32.4 30.9 26.5 35.7 26.2 22.1 29.1 21.7 22.5 20.9 28.7 27.5 Dec 13.6 14.2 20.8 12.9 15.2 13.1 16.0 12.5 14.0 13.1 12.9 12.1 11.5 11.7 12.3 11.3 14.6 14.2 12.7 13.5 18.5 14.8 12.9 16.9 16.1 13.8 18.6 13.6 11.5 15.2 11.3 11.7 15.7 13.5 10.4 WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
May 2011
Baro Jun Jul 48.6 73.6 50.6 76.7 73.9 111.9 45.8 69.4 54.1 81.9 46.5 70.5 56.8 86.0 44.5 67.4 49.9 75.7 46.5 70.5 45.8 69.4 43.1 65.3 41.1 62.2 41.7 63.2 43.8 66.3 40.4 61.1 52.0 78.8 50.6 76.7 45.2 68.4 47.9 72.5 65.7 99.5 52.7 79.8 45.8 69.4 60.2 91.2 57.5 87.1 49.3 74.6 66.4 100.5 48.6 73.6 41.1 62.2 54.1 81.9 40.4 61.1 41.7 63.2 44.0 79.4 48.2 72.3 51.7 96.7 Aug 96.4 100.5 146.6 91.0 107.3 92.3 112.7 88.2 99.1 92.3 91.0 85.5 81.5 82.8 86.9 80.1 103.2 100.5 89.6 95.0 130.3 104.5 91.0 119.5 114.0 97.8 131.7 96.4 81.5 107.3 80.1 82.8 100.7 101.4 89.2 Sep 86.4 90.0 131.4 81.5 96.1 82.7 101.0 79.1 88.8 82.7 81.5 76.6 73.0 74.2 77.9 71.8 92.5 90.0 80.3 85.2 116.8 93.7 81.5 107.1 102.2 87.6 118.0 86.4 73.0 96.1 71.8 74.2 63.8 107.8 70.4 Oct 62.9 65.6 95.7 59.4 70.0 60.2 73.5 57.6 64.7 60.2 59.4 55.8 53.2 54.0 56.7 52.3 67.3 65.6 58.5 62.0 85.0 68.2 59.4 78.0 74.4 63.8 85.9 62.9 53.2 70.0 52.3 54.0 59.2 71.7 78.6 Nov 26.2 27.3 39.8 24.7 29.1 25.0 30.6 23.9 26.9 25.0 24.7 23.2 22.1 22.5 23.6 21.7 28.0 27.3 24.3 25.8 35.4 28.4 24.7 32.4 30.9 26.5 35.7 26.2 22.1 29.1 21.7 22.5 34.4 22.8 30.8 Dec 13.6 14.2 20.8 12.9 15.2 13.1 16.0 12.5 14.0 13.1 12.9 12.1 11.5 11.7 12.3 11.3 14.6 14.2 12.7 13.5 18.5 14.8 12.9 16.9 16.1 13.8 18.6 13.6 11.5 15.2 11.3 11.7 12.4 12.1 11.4 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 C-15
Jan 3.4 1.9 4.8 6.0 17.9 4.5 4.1 3.0 4.1 4.5 2.6 3.7 3.4 3.7 4.5 2.2 7.1 4.1 3.0 6.3 4.5 5.2 6.3 3.4 17.2 9.0 10.3 10.9 10.0 16.9 7.7 0.7 0.9 6.5 7.3 Feb 2.1 1.6 2.9 5.8 11.6 2.9 2.9 2.1 2.9 2.9 1.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.9 1.6 4.6 2.9 2.1 4.1 2.9 3.3 4.6 2.5 18.6 31.4 1.4 13.6 21.7 3.6 3.8 0.1 0.2 1.9 2.5 Mar 2.6 1.9 4.1 3.4 14.2 4.5 4.1 3.4 4.1 4.5 3.0 3.7 3.7 3.7 4.5 2.2 7.1 4.1 3.0 6.3 4.5 5.2 6.7 3.7 80.3 162.0 0.4 107.3 10.7 103.9 2.6 0.1 1.1 2.0 2.4 Apr 12.7 4.6 4.2 9.3 11.2 6.6 5.8 4.6 5.8 6.2 3.9 5.0 5.0 5.4 6.6 3.1 10.0 5.8 4.2 8.9 6.6 7.3 9.3 5.0 67.5 62.1 5.4 94.6 9.9 19.3 22.6 0.1 8.3 7.2 5.9 May 7.8 13.4 23.5 2.6 23.5 11.6 10.4 8.2 10.8 11.2 7.1 9.3 9.0 9.7 11.6 5.6 18.3 10.4 7.5 16.4 11.9 13.4 16.8 9.0 59.0 137.8 23.6 25.5 3.4 10.1 14.5 0.2 6.5 9.2 6.7 Tekeze Jun 48.2 2.7 56.3 45.9 55.2 32.8 29.7 22.8 30.1 31.6 20.1 26.2 25.5 27.4 32.8 15.8 51.3 29.3 21.2 45.9 33.2 37.8 47.5 25.5 172.1 157.0 20.3 52.1 46.7 57.0 41.5 5.5 44.2 80.2 49.4 Jul 276.7 428.6 391.3 380.1 295.3 300.9 476.0 292.3 327.1 376.7 161.7 258.0 285.6 247.9 445.4 80.7 705.3 240.8 168.4 614.2 362.2 263.6 684.7 381.2 434.6 283.8 300.8 983.1 346.8 587.7 436.8 355.8 286.2 398.7 452.8 Aug 309.9 1015.5 821.4 1091.3 713.1 687.3 404.7 427.9 617.5 485.7 513.0 526.1 432.0 454.4 419.6 358.4 877.8 505.1 434.2 576.8 670.5 585.8 840.8 452.1 889.7 684.7 1963.8 1254.2 785.7 754.4 667.3 760.9 540.5 755.7 343.4 Sep 74.5 233.0 221.8 748.1 240.7 207.2 208.3 116.1 160.9 305.9 55.2 181.7 212.6 310.6 346.8 144.7 289.7 327.2 179.0 503.9 180.2 544.4 209.9 91.4 316.4 245.0 1402.5 275.8 97.9 372.7 85.9 477.2 282.3 169.1 129.8 Oct 10.4 60.9 35.5 131.1 51.9 48.9 44.4 34.3 45.2 47.8 29.9 39.6 38.1 41.4 49.3 23.9 76.9 43.7 32.1 69.1 49.7 56.8 71.3 38.1 104.9 66.5 87.6 67.5 52.4 64.9 17.6 24.5 33.9 21.2 72.5 Nov 8.5 15.8 15.8 47.1 33.2 16.6 15.4 11.6 15.4 16.2 10.4 13.5 13.1 14.3 17.0 8.1 26.2 15.1 10.8 23.5 17.0 19.3 24.3 13.1 59.0 67.1 20.8 22.7 14.5 11.2 16.4 7.5 19.0 34.2 15.3 Dec 3.0 7.5 10.4 31.4 15.3 9.7 8.6 6.7 9.0 9.3 6.0 7.8 7.5 8.2 9.7 4.8 14.9 8.6 6.3 13.4 9.7 11.2 13.8 7.5 47.4 26.1 25.0 38.0 11.7 6.8 15.9 2.7 7.1 6.6 3.5 WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
May 2011
Yeda Jun 0.6 0.9 1.3 2.6 2.5 5.4 0.9 5.3 1.7 0.2 0.4 0.6 5.7 0.9 2.3 4.4 0.5 0.7 0.5 4.9 0.5 8.1 0.7 0.4 5.2 1.4 3.3 1.0 0.8 6.0 0.9 0.7 0.9 2.8 2.8 Jul 7.4 11.5 11.4 15.0 21.0 3.2 9.9 18.3 20.2 10.3 5.0 5.6 20.8 13.3 12.8 10.0 9.7 16.6 13.8 30.1 7.5 20.7 11.8 10.7 16.5 11.6 11.5 13.1 11.2 16.9 10.2 8.2 9.1 9.9 13.1 Aug 17.4 21.1 23.6 32.7 25.2 26.5 19.2 23.7 21.8 17.6 19.2 29.9 18.3 24.3 19.3 25.2 40.2 22.6 21.9 38.7 20.5 29.8 41.6 20.4 19.9 20.0 26.8 29.5 24.1 20.4 23.5 17.4 18.1 22.2 28.3 Sep 7.3 10.7 8.4 20.8 8.1 17.0 18.9 16.4 12.7 12.3 6.9 18.5 12.9 12.4 13.2 6.2 18.8 9.2 12.0 28.3 19.1 25.2 10.1 10.2 12.6 7.2 23.8 11.4 12.8 12.0 7.6 15.2 8.4 12.4 13.0 Oct 1.0 3.0 1.6 2.7 1.5 7.3 10.9 1.9 2.7 2.7 5.9 5.1 1.2 1.9 1.4 2.2 6.9 1.7 3.2 0.6 3.7 5.8 5.4 1.1 1.7 3.7 8.5 6.5 7.0 3.2 1.1 2.0 1.3 2.2 4.5 Nov 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 2.9 3.5 0.9 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.5 2.8 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.7 0.5 2.8 0.3 0.9 2.7 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.6 0.3 1.2 1.0 Dec 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 3.8 0.3 1.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.9 2.0 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.1 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 C-16
Jan 76.5 34.6 63.7 84.0 115.1 83.8 115.0 74.7 62.2 64.8 65.2 50.6 45.3 5.4 65.0 61.3 51.8 86.1 59.6 43.8 70.7 76.5 85.8 22.1 24.0 104.1 132.0 132.6 131.6 48.1 185.3 99.4 38.7 96.4 147.9 Feb 38.9 23.1 44.1 60.8 77.2 54.9 81.2 51.0 43.4 42.9 45.6 35.0 24.7 33.4 47.4 43.1 36.7 53.1 37.6 47.7 46.3 45.4 49.4 15.6 23.8 81.1 35.3 121.6 91.4 76.3 167.5 93.8 24.5 43.4 92.0 Mar 32.1 13.7 27.3 40.1 46.5 35.2 52.8 33.9 25.9 25.4 32.8 21.9 11.5 18.3 30.9 30.3 24.2 35.1 22.5 32.4 28.2 30.0 27.3 11.9 21.5 109.4 15.3 63.1 31.6 165.3 130.3 95.1 14.4 15.4 54.8 Apr 17.4 6.0 14.0 21.6 26.8 19.2 32.4 18.3 13.7 14.6 18.6 15.6 7.0 16.1 18.6 18.4 14.7 21.3 14.2 36.1 17.2 19.3 13.9 10.0 21.1 98.2 27.0 60.1 79.4 184.4 134.4 83.9 13.1 9.9 33.6 May 9.1 2.8 10.3 10.2 17.5 10.3 21.8 11.8 5.0 10.1 11.6 7.4 4.6 8.6 10.9 15.0 10.0 15.5 9.3 74.7 11.5 13.4 10.1 6.5 21.8 91.2 40.8 20.9 17.2 129.1 105.7 69.0 5.5 7.8 20.8 aybah Jun 5.9 3.0 12.1 7.2 14.8 12.7 15.5 10.8 3.1 6.1 7.0 8.1 5.0 8.3 9.6 17.9 10.2 14.6 6.5 81.8 8.1 20.0 14.2 6.5 26.0 94.0 12.7 44.4 5.7 137.6 104.6 64.6 7.2 9.5 22.2 Jul 19.2 13.4 48.1 29.9 42.4 50.3 45.0 28.3 23.8 18.9 9.6 12.8 10.1 15.5 28.6 26.5 15.3 38.6 14.1 50.7 27.5 66.9 59.2 33.3 22.4 65.3 84.3 91.0 99.8 202.9 119.2 77.4 23.9 12.6 21.2 Aug 78.3 91.3 228.9 207.7 206.9 328.8 179.4 119.4 139.1 103.4 84.3 70.5 31.5 17.4 100.7 91.7 329.9 190.4 72.8 296.7 156.8 185.1 391.0 99.7 108.7 134.6 257.4 180.6 237.1 203.8 131.1 89.7 149.7 148.1 134.2 Sep 160.5 215.9 469.3 604.8 408.4 396.6 283.7 240.5 258.8 252.4 191.5 172.5 65.7 4.2 282.7 188.3 650.8 360.8 236.6 582.7 327.2 484.0 743.2 169.1 547.4 195.9 670.8 416.9 456.4 348.6 174.1 101.8 224.5 318.8 307.9 Oct 142.1 228.1 379.1 503.2 302.3 344.8 274.5 215.6 230.1 252.1 196.0 157.5 73.0 7.7 289.4 180.4 552.2 292.8 235.3 440.6 324.8 446.2 490.3 152.0 432.2 232.7 559.7 480.7 450.0 271.5 137.4 116.9 125.1 220.7 382.0 Nov 90.0 153.2 210.6 293.3 198.4 253.8 171.2 148.6 145.6 155.8 106.7 103.9 54.4 15.5 164.2 124.8 308.2 177.4 133.8 233.3 245.6 276.5 243.9 107.4 243.0 226.6 331.9 359.8 337.7 180.4 124.0 107.4 184.4 190.2 101.4 Dec 55.4 95.3 128.8 179.2 133.6 173.3 108.7 91.4 97.0 97.2 86.6 71.1 38.1 8.9 94.8 75.6 155.8 99.3 72.6 126.3 143.9 147.8 71.1 48.4 158.1 150.8 183.1 199.5 184.2 143.0 112.0 77.9 112.5 116.7 89.7 WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
May 2011
Bluenile Jun Jul 1367.0 4644.0 1693.0 5274.0 2328.0 9371.0 1466.0 7561.0 1469.0 5546.0 1678.0 9891.0 1548.0 7404.0 1663.0 5561.0 1270.0 7503.0 1089.0 6051.0 1067.0 4285.0 1091.0 3836.0 1883.0 6350.0 1430.0 6184.0 1483.0 6880.0 2713.0 4940.0 2972.0 9080.0 1392.0 6543.0 865.0 4868.0 1652.0 8123.0 1420.0 4348.0 3130.0 8435.0 1220.2 4787.0 1670.7 5717.1 4954.7 11103.3 1853.9 6164.4 1950.1 9404.5 2480.1 8878.5 1853.9 6564.9 2343.7 10525.2 1902.4 5882.2 1501.8 6308.8 1265.5 5722.2 1436.3 4973.2 1415.2 7503.1 Awash_H Aug 9758.0 16975.0 17309.0 17349.0 15129.0 15681.0 12528.0 12195.0 14937.0 13653.0 10824.0 13140.0 8889.0 15427.0 10295.0 10313.0 19874.0 12337.0 12946.0 14691.0 12998.0 15203.0 13475.7 16576.2 21133.2 9679.8 18738.7 18364.5 19371.8 18329.3 12847.9 13166.0 14672.7 16454.1 13427.0 Sep 6940.0 11494.0 12726.0 18216.0 9264.0 11779.0 10776.0 8341.0 10541.0 11615.0 7745.0 9821.0 7253.0 13386.0 8949.0 7030.0 14942.0 10736.0 9928.0 11120.0 10420.0 12740.0 16042.6 10183.3 11877.5 5035.3 18438.5 13612.0 10042.7 12823.8 8908.5 10049.3 8569.0 13411.9 8235.5 Oct 3163.0 6979.0 6358.0 7340.0 3894.0 6344.0 7761.0 4326.0 4570.0 5283.0 5435.0 5794.0 2490.0 4791.0 3991.0 4441.0 10487.0 5723.0 5324.0 4794.0 7850.0 7719.0 4423.7 7460.1 6737.4 4068.3 15176.6 11087.6 9809.2 5151.4 4337.0 4076.2 3808.1 6066.3 7604.9 Nov 1555.0 2673.0 2469.0 2811.0 2484.0 3767.0 2427.0 1834.0 1759.0 1824.0 1840.0 2565.0 968.0 1887.0 1502.0 2081.0 3453.0 2515.0 1802.0 2100.0 3290.0 3380.0 2201.0 2098.3 2170.8 3147.2 4620.0 3710.9 3992.8 3014.8 1314.3 1490.6 2531.4 1806.6 2528.5 Dec 788.0 1371.0 1309.0 1470.0 1252.0 1495.0 1309.0 967.0 980.0 959.0 951.0 1006.0 568.0 1072.0 807.0 966.0 1626.0 1717.0 957.0 1192.0 1643.0 1571.0 1388.7 740.9 1374.0 1584.0 2186.4 2091.6 1939.9 1313.6 636.3 989.0 1226.5 1194.0 856.6 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 C-17
Jan 4.9 3.3 2.9 2.3 3.3 6.7 5.0 7.0 5.0 4.1 4.5 3.9 3.8 2.7 2.0 2.9 3.2 4.3 3.5 2.8 3.4 2.9 2.8 4.3 5.4 4.1 5.0 5.0 4.1 4.9 5.0 0.2 0.6 2.5 4.3 Feb 9.5 2.9 2.6 2.4 3.2 5.2 6.1 5.8 5.4 4.0 4.6 4.2 3.0 2.3 6.2 3.7 3.3 6.1 12.9 5.1 6.6 4.9 2.3 4.5 4.2 3.3 3.7 4.1 3.7 4.4 3.5 0.2 0.3 2.5 7.1 Mar 10.1 2.4 5.9 2.2 5.1 4.0 7.3 7.9 3.7 15.6 3.7 5.2 2.8 1.6 5.7 12.8 3.0 6.7 18.8 9.1 3.4 2.5 2.4 3.1 5.9 3.0 11.2 4.6 2.0 10.3 4.1 0.7 0.9 2.3 3.4 Apr 13.0 2.2 7.4 3.6 6.2 6.4 4.6 6.6 3.1 22.8 5.9 11.6 2.2 2.7 10.1 25.0 4.3 11.7 24.2 2.7 4.4 10.3 4.8 14.9 12.5 5.5 8.2 3.4 3.2 6.7 4.9 3.3 6.6 2.8 5.5 May 8.5 4.3 5.3 3.5 7.0 7.2 5.0 10.1 6.5 7.8 5.4 23.5 4.1 9.9 8.0 21.7 3.2 5.1 4.8 2.5 4.1 12.2 4.3 5.5 21.6 4.1 11.3 3.5 5.7 10.9 4.4 1.5 1.1 5.5 5.3 Jun 11.2 6.5 8.7 11.3 11.2 16.0 19.5 12.2 11.7 6.5 6.4 22.9 25.5 7.5 22.8 29.3 9.6 9.1 11.1 10.4 10.9 27.9 10.4 10.7 84.1 15.7 25.6 20.8 12.7 42.7 11.3 12.6 11.0 25.2 25.7 Jul 81.7 49.7 110.7 130.3 68.8 119.8 90.2 82.4 97.3 92.8 48.4 60.2 121.4 86.3 70.1 49.1 51.7 108.5 87.0 98.4 72.4 124.5 74.0 72.2 194.5 57.7 137.4 110.5 63.1 138.1 58.8 86.7 62.0 75.7 87.6 Aug 151.5 201.8 201.2 176.7 164.6 208.4 197.1 165.4 223.1 187.6 170.3 236.5 139.2 280.4 155.7 71.7 249.6 186.3 235.3 256.2 203.4 265.2 157.6 190.3 348.3 119.3 366.6 269.3 178.6 185.9 141.6 139.0 126.4 172.7 241.8 Sep 56.4 165.6 121.3 138.1 83.7 104.2 120.3 68.4 87.5 190.2 77.0 145.7 103.9 124.3 102.9 18.0 195.1 150.7 116.8 153.7 143.7 191.2 145.0 75.5 131.5 32.4 161.1 63.9 91.0 77.6 48.7 72.9 60.3 96.3 101.4 Oct 7.5 32.5 13.3 15.5 8.0 25.8 31.3 17.8 11.9 19.3 26.6 16.0 6.8 11.0 8.4 6.4 21.7 13.0 17.1 9.6 16.4 31.8 16.5 7.9 13.2 10.0 41.7 47.6 30.8 10.9 8.8 6.3 7.3 12.1 17.8 Nov 3.0 4.4 5.9 4.6 6.5 81.3 6.5 6.7 4.8 6.3 6.0 5.7 3.2 3.7 3.6 3.7 4.9 4.1 4.0 3.6 4.2 8.0 5.0 3.3 6.0 10.7 9.1 8.6 12.5 7.4 6.7 2.2 1.2 7.1 5.8 Dec 2.5 3.0 4.2 3.6 4.0 6.3 5.5 5.3 4.3 5.3 4.9 4.1 2.8 3.7 3.3 3.0 3.8 4.2 2.9 3.3 3.2 4.1 4.8 2.8 4.0 6.1 5.5 5.1 6.0 5.3 3.8 3.1 2.8 4.7 1.8 WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
May 2011
Awash West Jun Jul 30.7 51.1 3.2 4.7 32.0 34.4 14.9 20.0 20.6 22.1 27.3 21.9 35.4 50.2 15.4 15.6 14.0 15.2 23.9 27.8 22.5 26.3 22.2 37.5 18.5 15.7 22.8 26.3 39.9 62.9 21.8 27.0 16.9 29.1 59.9 93.2 56.6 51.8 49.7 74.1 45.7 30.0 75.5 70.4 61.8 70.0 60.7 70.2 62.8 67.4 25.6 23.3 12.2 14.1 18.5 21.6 33.7 22.9 34.8 41.0 39.5 43.0 25.6 11.3 40.8 43.5 27.6 62.7 65.3 39.6 Aug 23.9 3.5 37.0 63.2 29.0 62.2 16.1 30.9 14.7 32.7 32.7 50.4 25.1 81.7 36.5 34.9 15.2 102.7 50.6 76.2 34.5 25.5 76.3 83.5 81.0 18.8 17.5 93.8 38.5 47.1 24.6 41.4 17.2 45.3 22.7 Sep 39.1 18.9 43.1 92.9 33.3 92.8 15.2 48.4 13.4 28.2 28.2 51.1 21.7 153.7 30.7 28.6 72.0 183.8 162.2 219.4 116.7 21.9 81.9 68.7 194.2 16.2 95.4 49.9 37.1 61.3 43.6 20.2 33.1 22.7 72.8 Oct 19.1 7.4 32.5 42.1 24.7 32.1 29.9 23.2 12.4 27.1 27.2 39.5 5.9 18.1 23.6 22.2 60.2 72.6 75.0 91.1 52.9 114.9 69.4 64.2 60.0 17.8 38.2 33.5 34.7 39.8 36.6 43.1 30.9 20.5 48.3 Nov 17.7 5.2 13.6 19.4 13.0 63.9 26.1 27.6 12.2 19.6 19.0 34.5 25.0 16.4 25.1 21.3 35.0 66.2 62.9 96.6 49.6 62.1 82.7 62.6 50.3 14.5 24.8 30.1 19.5 39.0 20.6 37.9 27.0 13.8 40.3 Dec 4.2 2.7 4.3 25.2 18.0 12.4 59.9 33.8 21.6 12.3 14.5 18.3 40.0 22.8 19.6 25.0 21.3 35.1 60.9 61.1 75.0 51.0 58.2 72.2 51.6 55.0 9.8 24.7 31.5 14.0 37.7 21.1 45.1 6.9 4.1 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 C-18
Jan 81.9 60.0 72.3 79.7 150.0 88.0 101.5 95.6 63.7 81.5 99.2 72.3 70.4 56.1 86.8 75.6 58.5 132.6 74.9 58.3 75.7 96.0 86.3 73.7 82.5 154.7 140.3 97.2 103.3 81.6 255.8 76.6 58.9 104.9 137.4 Feb 70.9 34.2 52.0 79.6 89.7 86.2 72.4 81.2 55.6 68.0 80.4 59.7 50.8 27.6 78.8 62.7 56.2 93.0 68.3 54.4 73.6 76.0 64.7 55.0 47.4 83.3 91.3 56.7 72.2 54.9 52.7 67.4 49.2 57.4 78.5 Mar 52.3 31.3 48.0 54.7 87.5 79.9 49.8 45.8 48.8 58.4 67.9 59.5 39.6 31.7 74.3 116.1 35.7 89.2 54.5 51.7 56.4 44.6 48.0 63.3 98.0 156.6 62.5 47.9 32.8 156.4 150.4 107.2 43.6 25.3 82.8 Apr 82.6 33.8 49.7 49.7 84.1 51.2 44.8 41.8 63.2 67.1 71.0 82.0 38.6 80.6 110.7 108.7 42.1 123.3 61.4 77.9 48.4 224.2 34.6 114.5 128.8 119.0 37.3 36.5 76.2 146.5 147.7 103.3 56.0 81.1 100.0 May 54.5 54.8 85.0 43.1 87.6 43.2 40.7 61.1 43.3 80.7 68.5 127.3 61.0 81.7 170.4 135.6 31.7 57.2 40.5 76.4 53.5 200.9 73.9 92.7 255.8 192.9 89.2 33.9 66.5 145.2 114.2 67.5 94.4 44.9 95.6 Karadobi Jun Jul 87.4 741.2 80.3 929.6 109.5 1736.0 159.4 1286.0 83.5 862.0 68.1 1250.0 69.2 1251.0 91.9 838.4 76.1 759.7 53.9 1643.0 66.9 421.6 120.0 432.7 186.4 824.3 83.7 777.9 79.7 1465.0 191.0 354.9 53.4 1685.0 73.1 762.1 36.6 701.1 90.8 1571.0 48.8 595.6 200.2 1499.0 155.8 2152.0 111.6 1299.0 508.0 2401.0 356.6 1601.0 153.5 2112.0 72.6 2323.0 82.5 1326.0 264.3 2821.0 190.9 984.9 136.5 1679.0 125.5 744.7 69.2 859.9 75.5 1183.5 Aug 1800.0 3003.0 2663.0 3331.0 2827.0 2581.0 2427.0 2274.0 2527.0 2504.0 2268.0 2512.0 1705.0 2519.0 2441.0 1945.0 3974.0 2140.0 2149.0 2869.0 2614.0 2194.0 4306.0 2894.0 3847.0 2398.0 4956.0 3597.0 3354.0 3579.0 2539.0 2961.0 2942.0 2526.4 2300.8 Sep 474.9 1091.0 1092.0 2437.0 1361.0 1691.0 1234.0 842.5 1908.0 1356.0 890.2 1067.0 593.9 1641.0 1385.0 541.9 1945.0 1073.0 1151.0 1449.0 1378.0 1739.0 2107.0 1431.0 1573.0 659.0 1700.0 1493.0 1309.0 1311.0 955.3 1296.0 992.4 1709.8 1017.4 Oct 207.7 380.0 376.9 700.8 245.6 474.5 541.4 293.3 556.0 371.9 407.9 376.8 210.4 417.9 424.3 250.5 855.3 327.8 325.1 434.4 564.9 623.3 639.9 331.7 556.7 471.6 864.3 856.1 653.6 422.9 254.4 352.2 313.2 480.6 436.6 Nov 131.1 161.2 183.7 301.6 229.2 430.0 193.6 145.1 248.9 180.9 163.2 179.5 134.0 191.1 184.9 163.7 408.2 156.0 139.8 186.5 304.1 269.8 276.3 151.3 260.5 421.7 254.4 309.6 413.5 177.6 123.8 141.4 207.0 130.4 214.2 Dec 77.0 90.1 110.8 211.1 132.7 140.6 116.3 84.2 137.8 109.9 92.1 98.4 84.8 112.5 104.4 89.7 299.9 119.5 83.4 111.3 167.3 145.0 81.6 107.1 192.6 192.2 130.2 177.3 176.4 116.2 72.8 81.3 132.5 113.5 76.5 WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
May 2011
May 61.0 61.4 95.2 48.3 98.1 48.4 45.6 68.4 48.5 90.4 76.7 142.6 68.3 91.5 190.8 151.9 35.5 64.1 45.4 85.6 59.9 225.0 82.8 103.8 286.5 216.0 99.9 38.0 74.5 162.6 127.9 75.6 105.7 50.3 107.1 Beko‐abo Jun Jul 97.9 830.1 89.9 1041.2 122.6 1944.3 178.5 1440.3 93.5 965.4 76.3 1400.0 77.5 1401.1 102.9 939.0 85.2 850.9 60.4 1840.2 74.9 472.2 134.4 484.6 208.8 923.2 93.7 871.2 89.3 1640.8 213.9 397.5 59.8 1887.2 81.9 853.6 41.0 785.2 101.7 1759.5 54.7 667.1 224.2 1678.9 174.5 2410.2 125.0 1454.9 569.0 2689.1 399.4 1793.1 171.9 2365.4 81.3 2601.8 92.4 1485.1 296.0 3159.5 213.8 1103.1 152.9 1880.5 140.6 834.1 77.5 963.1 84.6 1325.5 Aug 2016.0 3363.4 2982.6 3730.7 3166.2 2890.7 2718.2 2546.9 2830.2 2804.5 2540.2 2813.4 1909.6 2821.3 2733.9 2178.4 4450.9 2396.8 2406.9 3213.3 2927.7 2457.3 4822.7 3241.3 4308.6 2685.8 5550.7 4028.6 3756.5 4008.5 2843.7 3316.3 3295.0 2829.6 2576.9 Sep 531.9 1221.9 1223.0 2729.4 1524.3 1893.9 1382.1 943.6 2137.0 1518.7 997.0 1195.0 665.2 1837.9 1551.2 606.9 2178.4 1201.8 1289.1 1622.9 1543.4 1947.7 2359.8 1602.7 1761.8 738.1 1904.0 1672.2 1466.1 1468.3 1069.9 1451.5 1111.5 1915.0 1139.5 Oct 232.6 425.6 422.1 784.9 275.1 531.4 606.4 328.5 622.7 416.5 456.8 422.0 235.6 468.0 475.2 280.6 957.9 367.1 364.1 486.5 632.7 698.1 716.7 371.5 623.5 528.2 968.0 958.8 732.0 473.6 284.9 394.5 350.8 538.3 489.0 Nov 146.8 180.5 205.7 337.8 256.7 481.6 216.8 162.5 278.8 202.6 182.8 201.0 150.1 214.0 207.1 183.3 457.2 174.7 156.6 208.9 340.6 302.2 309.5 169.5 291.8 472.3 284.9 346.8 463.1 198.9 138.7 158.4 231.8 146.0 239.9 Dec 86.2 100.9 124.1 236.4 148.6 157.5 130.3 94.3 154.3 123.1 103.2 110.2 95.0 126.0 116.9 100.5 335.9 133.8 93.4 124.7 187.4 162.4 91.4 120.0 215.7 215.3 145.8 198.6 197.6 130.1 81.5 91.1 148.4 127.1 85.7 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 C-19
Jan 155.2 120.3 156.6 133.5 219.3 146.4 162.6 175.2 120.3 136.2 146.2 117.4 127.1 89.1 126.7 101.3 110.3 191.2 170.6 112.9 140.3 190.7 180.1 132.4 144.4 214.6 210.8 216.9 210.8 187.8 331.2 133.5 110.6 182.6 239.9 Feb 112.1 68.1 106.2 123.8 128.4 123.7 107.1 135.6 91.5 149.0 108.0 90.3 84.8 50.7 100.5 79.7 94.6 129.5 120.7 83.9 118.1 135.5 122.9 92.5 83.7 107.8 167.9 128.2 165.7 98.8 91.9 103.2 83.0 94.0 123.5 Mar 77.4 51.3 89.5 80.0 118.0 102.1 78.5 77.0 73.2 140.0 91.8 76.4 59.8 47.3 91.9 130.1 85.3 112.7 91.2 77.2 85.9 83.4 84.4 87.5 120.3 175.5 125.3 90.0 62.6 188.2 176.3 142.9 60.8 40.2 105.9 Apr 105.4 56.8 75.4 67.0 98.5 76.8 70.2 69.7 97.2 128.7 82.9 95.9 52.3 93.1 124.1 121.8 67.3 148.8 87.8 108.8 75.3 263.1 70.1 134.1 163.4 138.6 127.3 61.0 126.4 187.8 168.3 129.9 80.2 96.1 151.9 May 118.0 153.9 182.8 81.5 154.7 107.1 106.2 163.7 107.5 132.5 97.6 153.7 90.6 173.4 347.6 219.0 69.5 108.2 77.1 154.4 138.7 314.6 163.5 149.7 396.4 252.1 179.3 160.5 177.2 220.4 128.0 93.9 167.1 96.7 179.9 Mendaya Jun Jul 270.1 1303.9 349.7 1486.1 422.7 2512.9 339.7 2029.4 302.2 1461.6 338.0 2399.1 306.2 2001.4 342.1 1456.3 273.1 1742.1 218.6 2027.9 220.7 1012.0 264.3 955.5 432.1 1573.7 292.6 1500.8 292.9 2011.5 535.5 1015.6 388.5 3075.1 242.1 1522.8 161.8 1233.9 322.8 2352.0 274.8 1095.2 621.2 2291.3 423.8 2694.2 314.3 1670.3 1001.6 3223.6 663.0 2326.7 382.5 2695.0 412.8 2855.1 446.2 2082.0 594.5 3338.4 428.8 1674.8 399.7 2455.5 377.0 1425.1 309.4 1418.6 300.1 2195.2 Aug 2933.3 4716.9 4304.4 4807.3 4151.3 4097.2 3603.2 3523.7 4074.6 3894.9 3358.0 4037.5 2774.5 4154.0 3261.2 3086.5 5594.3 3420.7 3568.6 4097.9 3586.4 3948.1 5522.3 3924.8 5081.3 3547.8 6172.1 4906.5 4966.9 5143.7 3646.2 4180.3 4428.7 4279.5 3810.1 Sep 1438.9 2706.3 2665.8 4294.0 2398.5 3026.4 2594.5 1934.6 2682.9 2810.8 1853.5 2389.2 1597.7 3180.4 2330.6 1455.7 3593.5 2445.6 2359.5 2715.2 2578.7 3120.5 3471.3 2406.2 2845.2 1588.1 3628.6 2967.8 2628.9 2900.8 1990.4 2629.3 1930.8 3437.1 2043.2 Oct 644.3 1242.0 1078.6 1524.3 680.9 1229.2 1540.9 846.9 1053.4 1040.3 1030.4 1112.5 540.4 944.8 819.5 792.7 2073.7 914.8 970.3 945.3 1522.0 1547.5 1062.8 817.7 1215.0 998.9 2310.5 2336.6 1791.4 1105.9 747.7 1029.0 792.1 1134.1 1253.0 Nov 354.7 470.9 426.3 568.3 484.8 837.9 483.0 359.8 411.4 376.6 369.4 433.9 254.8 363.7 301.3 387.0 733.2 329.4 333.6 399.3 669.7 656.5 469.1 340.5 482.3 887.5 748.3 783.5 863.0 491.4 340.5 356.2 485.0 267.0 499.5 Dec 189.4 229.7 241.2 331.9 247.9 276.6 251.2 186.7 217.6 194.2 185.2 208.1 148.3 196.6 155.4 188.9 420.1 218.6 176.6 226.6 335.4 307.4 196.7 204.1 302.3 369.8 354.2 382.1 373.8 258.6 183.6 178.4 255.3 223.1 170.1 WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
May 2011
May 184.0 263.0 294.0 116.0 231.0 176.0 189.0 287.0 171.0 183.0 120.0 159.0 110.0 275.0 544.0 303.0 102.0 164.0 108.0 238.0 238.0 422.0 272.0 202.0 514.0 331.0 311.0 324.0 313.0 354.0 181.0 160.0 243.2 159.1 306.2 Border Jun Jul 485.0 1868.0 678.0 2022.0 813.0 3294.0 542.0 2799.0 573.0 2088.0 677.0 3735.0 603.0 2794.0 648.0 2095.0 505.0 2870.0 415.0 2327.0 401.0 1642.0 424.0 1498.0 711.0 2354.0 544.0 2274.0 552.0 2499.0 954.0 1766.0 817.0 4702.0 448.0 2369.0 310.0 1759.0 602.0 3159.0 556.0 1583.0 1141.0 3167.0 749.0 3110.0 550.0 1945.0 1568.0 3916.0 1057.0 3111.0 650.0 3193.0 871.0 3230.0 903.0 2926.0 1054.0 3612.0 773.0 2460.0 759.0 3273.0 572.0 2297.8 671.4 2020.8 571.7 2919.9 Aug 3630.0 6553.0 6294.0 6475.0 5707.0 5901.0 4723.0 4602.0 5647.0 5205.0 4117.0 5503.0 3260.0 5765.0 3812.0 3793.0 7434.0 4548.0 4775.0 5467.0 4445.0 5702.0 6691.0 4889.0 6362.0 4546.0 7082.0 6348.0 6825.0 6952.0 4646.0 5404.0 5886.1 6124.7 5275.1 Sep 2670.0 4660.0 4676.0 6917.0 3611.0 4599.0 4201.0 3268.0 3503.0 4510.0 2982.0 3943.0 2809.0 4981.0 3362.0 2627.0 5764.0 4151.0 3778.0 4311.0 3978.0 4934.0 5172.0 3403.0 4391.0 2730.0 6072.0 4715.0 4220.0 4775.0 3173.0 4088.0 3009.4 5242.9 3255.7 Oct 1202.0 2429.0 2168.0 2699.0 1470.0 2393.0 2901.0 1633.0 1745.0 1972.0 1981.0 2143.0 925.0 1711.0 1417.0 1576.0 3779.0 1807.0 1904.0 1767.0 2945.0 2913.0 1674.0 1431.0 2181.0 1847.0 4304.0 4385.0 3460.0 2031.0 1386.0 1858.0 1286.2 1898.2 2660.9 Nov 645.0 961.0 861.0 1045.0 968.0 1471.0 948.0 714.0 696.0 716.0 703.0 814.0 372.0 670.0 536.0 745.0 1230.0 649.0 641.0 802.0 1262.0 1293.0 844.0 628.0 888.0 1584.0 1540.0 1541.0 1539.0 1000.0 671.0 665.0 978.7 549.5 1007.6 Dec 339.0 468.0 490.0 554.0 472.0 561.0 494.0 375.0 376.0 365.0 353.0 381.0 213.0 366.0 276.0 351.0 562.0 416.0 325.0 450.0 619.0 590.0 417.0 335.0 507.0 654.0 736.0 723.0 694.0 536.0 408.0 382.0 469.3 419.2 387.1 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 C-20
Jan 74.7 64.6 48.1 32.3 32.3 77.5 53.9 77.5 37.3 21.5 48.1 102.0 102.0 26.6 24.4 43.1 43.1 37.3 51.0 80.4 24.4 91.2 77.5 48.1 64.6 83.3 94.8 48.1 30.2 53.1 79.0 38.8 43.8 74.0 70.4 Feb 65.3 35.9 50.3 38.8 26.6 74.0 50.3 136.4 23.7 26.6 23.7 62.5 41.6 20.8 26.6 26.6 44.5 15.1 44.5 71.1 35.9 109.9 50.3 50.3 74.0 50.3 76.1 40.2 38.8 42.4 25.8 33.0 29.4 36.6 57.4 Mar 64.6 7.9 48.1 29.4 29.4 64.6 53.9 74.7 32.3 112.7 24.4 34.5 24.4 13.6 43.1 85.4 15.8 34.5 43.1 94.1 37.3 123.5 58.9 43.1 104.8 40.2 157.2 45.2 15.8 44.5 36.6 21.5 80.4 27.3 57.4 Apr 86.2 35.9 61.0 77.5 25.1 33.0 44.5 94.1 61.0 66.8 25.1 71.8 35.9 55.3 33.0 38.8 13.6 61.0 55.3 63.9 66.8 149.3 66.8 102.7 160.8 213.2 92.6 23.0 61.0 60.3 30.9 67.5 85.4 52.4 69.6 May 155.1 99.1 51.0 53.9 88.3 37.3 211.8 155.1 83.3 69.6 69.6 85.4 83.3 131.4 37.3 53.9 32.3 147.2 88.3 131.4 134.3 246.3 273.6 145.0 310.9 337.5 222.6 102.7 62.5 71.8 181.7 203.2 107.7 74.7 122.1 Gibe 3 Jun Jul 226.9 1029.6 202.5 474.6 180.2 951.4 238.4 796.3 282.2 1120.8 246.3 983.7 338.2 1026.7 249.1 694.3 387.7 678.5 163.7 748.2 144.3 346.1 310.2 394.2 412.9 927.7 321.7 782.6 299.4 790.5 457.4 962.1 94.1 598.1 244.1 807.0 257.8 790.5 459.5 967.9 573.7 1270.9 848.0 1447.5 1013.8 1996.8 188.1 618.9 1316.1 1300.3 1013.8 1013.1 343.2 926.2 398.5 878.1 290.8 710.1 393.5 1466.2 217.6 602.4 402.1 795.5 290.8 842.9 150.8 1179.7 648.4 1611.9 Aug 1501.3 1705.3 935.6 1163.2 1367.1 1359.2 1863.2 962.1 1110.0 1082.7 790.5 938.4 1085.6 1369.9 828.6 1061.9 1838.8 1844.5 1286.7 1747.6 3125.5 2302.6 2758.6 930.5 1935.7 1600.4 1211.3 1231.4 1721.0 1662.9 1270.1 1583.9 1554.5 1695.2 1703.8 Sep 1041.8 1468.3 717.3 1077.7 1138.7 1310.4 1243.6 551.4 654.1 969.3 1240.7 1767.0 894.6 1041.8 994.4 903.2 1061.2 539.9 1083.5 1249.3 1836.6 1675.8 1944.3 1146.6 1340.5 1038.9 1616.9 1298.9 1204.1 1249.3 841.5 980.8 840.8 1151.7 1155.3 Oct 335.3 731.6 308.0 643.3 276.4 680.7 836.5 346.1 249.1 541.4 648.4 1678.0 233.4 439.4 394.2 214.7 1469.0 152.9 555.0 257.0 1091.4 1096.4 354.0 236.2 629.7 21.5 696.5 623.2 266.4 668.5 193.1 567.9 415.7 558.6 283.6 Nov 254.9 110.6 158.0 113.4 299.4 700.8 163.7 74.7 80.4 132.8 329.6 645.5 94.1 135.7 110.6 224.0 293.7 244.1 193.9 49.5 252.0 690.0 141.4 99.8 216.1 1966.6 809.9 99.1 275.7 312.3 165.1 102.7 327.4 53.1 701.5 Dec 131.4 56.0 88.3 53.9 83.3 120.6 104.8 61.7 40.2 53.9 265.7 206.8 66.8 64.6 53.9 107.0 58.9 85.4 80.4 40.2 99.1 244.1 74.7 80.4 182.4 748.2 114.9 43.8 76.1 52.4 22.3 23.0 25.1 68.2 21.5 WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
May 2011
May 186.6 119.2 61.3 64.8 106.3 44.9 254.9 186.6 100.2 83.8 83.8 102.8 100.2 158.1 44.9 64.8 38.9 177.1 106.3 158.1 161.6 296.4 329.2 174.5 374.1 406.1 267.8 123.6 75.2 86.4 218.6 244.5 129.6 89.9 146.9 Gil‐Gebi4 Jun Jul 273.0 1239.0 243.6 571.1 216.9 1144.8 286.8 958.2 339.6 1348.7 296.4 1183.7 406.9 1235.5 299.8 835.5 466.6 816.5 197.0 900.3 173.7 416.4 373.2 474.3 496.8 1116.3 387.1 941.8 360.3 951.3 550.4 1157.8 113.2 719.7 293.8 971.1 310.2 951.3 553.0 1164.7 690.3 1529.3 1020.4 1741.8 1220.0 2402.8 226.4 744.8 1583.7 1564.7 1220.0 1219.1 413.0 1114.6 479.5 1056.7 349.9 854.5 473.5 1764.3 261.8 724.9 483.8 957.3 349.9 1014.3 181.4 1419.6 780.2 1939.7 Aug 1806.6 2052.0 1125.8 1399.7 1645.1 1635.6 2242.1 1157.8 1335.7 1302.9 951.3 1129.2 1306.4 1648.5 997.1 1277.9 2212.7 2219.6 1548.3 2103.0 3761.0 2770.8 3319.5 1119.7 2329.3 1925.9 1457.6 1481.8 2071.0 2001.0 1528.4 1906.0 1870.6 2039.9 2050.3 Sep 1253.7 1766.9 863.1 1296.9 1370.3 1576.8 1496.4 663.6 787.1 1166.4 1493.0 2126.3 1076.5 1253.7 1196.6 1086.9 1277.0 649.7 1303.8 1503.4 2210.1 2016.6 2339.7 1379.8 1613.1 1250.2 1945.7 1563.0 1448.9 1503.4 1012.6 1180.2 1011.7 1385.9 1390.2 Oct 403.5 880.4 370.7 774.1 332.6 819.1 1006.6 416.4 299.8 651.5 780.2 2019.2 280.8 528.8 474.3 258.3 1767.7 184.0 667.9 309.3 1313.3 1319.3 426.0 284.3 757.7 25.9 838.1 750.0 320.5 804.4 232.4 683.4 500.3 672.2 341.3 Nov 306.7 133.1 190.1 136.5 360.3 843.3 197.0 89.9 96.8 159.8 396.6 776.7 113.2 163.3 133.1 269.6 353.4 293.8 233.3 59.6 303.3 830.3 170.2 120.1 260.1 2366.5 974.6 119.2 331.8 375.8 198.7 123.6 394.0 63.9 844.1 Dec 158.1 67.4 106.3 64.8 100.2 145.2 126.1 74.3 48.4 64.8 319.7 248.8 80.4 77.8 64.8 128.7 70.8 102.8 96.8 48.4 119.2 293.8 89.9 96.8 219.5 900.3 138.2 52.7 91.6 63.1 26.8 27.6 30.2 82.1 25.9 C-21
EAPP/EAC Regional
C.5
Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Kenya
Jan 3.9 9.3 2.9 2.7 3.5 4.7 11.4 8.6 4.1 6.3 8.0 8.1 5.8 5.4 4.5 6.4 4.1 9.1 28.4 7.6 3.7 15.5 5.3 10.8 13.6 5.0 10.5 4.2 7.4 7.7 3.3 6.9 11.2 5.5 3.9 Feb 4.9 8.5 2.4 1.8 2.3 3.2 7.4 13.4 3.9 4.5 6.5 6.5 3.2 4.4 3.0 4.5 2.9 8.4 9.0 4.6 2.6 14.7 3.3 2.5 3.2 4.5 4.9 2.3 3.3 3.3 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.9 1.5 Mar 3.0 3.9 3.4 1.6 2.4 3.9 22.8 13.6 3.5 5.8 3.3 4.7 2.6 5.6 2.9 3.8 3.1 6.8 20.2 4.2 2.2 7.2 3.0 2.3 6.8 1.5 7.7 2.3 1.2 2.5 4.9 2.0 3.4 2.8 2.1 Apr 4.5 10.8 27.3 3.6 5.6 55.8 108.6 38.1 6.3 49.4 23.8 12.8 3.7 38.9 20.2 14.1 41.6 15.7 52.5 8.5 9.6 7.9 21.1 13.3 16.2 16.6 25.1 8.2 3.3 12.9 12.5 19.2 13.1 4.1 18.4 Maragua May Jun 19.2 14.7 13.4 10.3 22.1 14.7 7.5 5.5 8.0 6.4 81.1 15.5 63.1 12.5 47.0 35.8 27.1 13.9 69.6 16.1 58.0 18.6 33.9 12.0 2.5 1.9 56.1 14.1 48.8 18.0 17.0 19.1 52.1 15.7 37.5 13.7 53.1 16.1 37.0 13.6 34.4 9.4 23.6 15.5 32.9 10.0 49.3 17.4 43.2 19.1 18.3 5.3 57.6 21.5 16.1 4.6 10.2 4.6 26.8 7.7 55.8 8.0 61.5 18.4 23.4 8.5 20.5 16.4 29.6 13.7 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
Jul 6.3 5.2 31.1 4.3 4.5 8.6 8.4 11.1 6.4 8.2 8.4 9.0 2.3 8.8 8.3 7.2 9.1 8.8 8.2 6.8 7.2 8.0 3.7 8.1 7.7 4.8 8.2 3.3 3.0 3.0 5.9 4.4 3.8 4.4 4.4 Aug 4.3 4.8 9.7 4.0 2.7 7.1 6.6 7.1 4.8 6.1 6.6 5.9 2.0 6.1 5.2 6.7 8.5 7.4 5.8 5.0 5.7 5.2 4.6 4.4 4.0 4.3 6.4 3.7 3.1 4.4 4.9 5.3 2.7 6.5 4.1 Sep 3.8 4.4 6.7 4.6 2.5 4.9 5.6 5.1 3.7 5.0 6.1 4.6 1.8 5.1 4.0 4.2 8.4 6.9 4.8 3.0 4.3 3.8 3.4 5.3 3.7 3.8 5.0 3.3 2.3 3.4 5.0 3.7 3.5 3.7 2.8 Oct 11.8 5.2 4.7 8.2 3.4 4.9 9.9 8.6 4.1 6.1 26.7 7.3 11.6 7.8 5.6 3.4 14.3 11.7 8.1 5.0 6.0 3.1 5.3 8.7 2.3 12.1 3.5 3.7 6.1 3.7 6.4 3.5 5.6 3.7 4.2 Nov 43.5 10.7 7.3 8.1 4.0 35.8 12.7 11.0 25.3 9.3 40.4 10.2 25.0 12.8 12.8 11.1 18.8 36.9 20.8 7.2 17.2 5.1 31.3 12.5 10.4 34.5 10.7 7.7 4.6 4.4 8.5 8.9 8.9 9.9 23.0 Dec 15.3 5.5 4.6 6.0 5.5 15.4 11.0 6.1 12.3 12.6 24.8 8.6 14.2 8.0 14.2 6.5 12.8 28.9 12.4 6.2 23.3 11.3 12.4 11.3 6.9 21.3 6.5 20.4 10.9 10.1 15.2 10.1 3.0 2.9 6.3 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 C-22
Jan 23.0 45.4 16.0 14.7 16.0 31.4 41.6 37.9 20.9 18.8 24.5 36.1 23.3 16.1 10.8 19.3 19.9 54.8 68.9 46.4 21.6 37.7 11.0 49.4 37.9 16.9 44.7 30.5 36.1 34.4 19.2 24.1 40.6 20.5 15.4 Feb 30.1 29.4 10.9 9.0 11.5 19.2 26.2 58.0 13.5 13.0 41.9 21.4 11.7 13.0 8.7 10.9 12.1 47.6 32.5 38.1 10.8 55.5 10.8 12.4 15.6 14.8 28.2 13.9 26.4 18.4 29.4 26.6 9.9 18.2 9.1 Mar 18.6 21.8 14.1 8.3 10.2 22.4 111.4 56.7 14.6 30.3 8.1 15.9 8.8 18.5 10.0 12.9 39.2 56.6 114.1 66.0 7.0 44.6 12.8 29.0 16.4 10.1 30.1 37.0 7.4 29.6 41.8 16.2 18.4 20.3 25.6 Apr 23.7 55.7 74.9 42.2 28.2 161.2 270.5 131.1 40.2 148.2 78.1 107.7 21.0 133.1 103.0 54.3 168.2 75.4 126.7 85.6 32.3 39.0 22.3 66.5 75.3 79.5 91.9 55.0 46.5 140.2 126.3 136.0 66.2 44.7 64.2 May 76.8 86.4 56.3 64.6 54.4 231.0 216.7 208.2 112.8 231.2 340.7 154.7 21.4 223.7 186.2 46.3 389.3 90.2 166.6 174.8 76.5 100.3 184.9 171.1 137.5 123.3 139.0 65.1 85.8 124.6 212.5 203.7 116.3 129.1 150.6 Sagana Jun 82.6 64.0 39.0 39.7 33.9 69.4 64.0 248.3 69.3 87.1 134.1 62.7 12.5 75.7 132.2 77.3 114.3 66.6 112.4 87.7 64.6 64.3 147.2 100.4 48.8 55.4 112.1 42.1 33.5 57.1 70.9 99.8 48.5 57.2 52.3 Jul 39.7 37.1 81.3 35.8 28.8 38.7 39.8 70.8 29.3 44.5 49.7 45.3 14.1 40.9 48.2 39.2 56.4 51.8 75.5 55.2 55.0 32.6 79.1 55.3 33.6 40.2 39.7 32.2 37.9 30.4 40.1 35.1 41.5 31.8 31.8 Aug 34.6 35.2 39.0 32.6 20.5 30.6 31.2 38.4 23.8 35.7 34.2 34.0 15.9 25.4 27.2 21.3 47.5 48.2 9.3 47.0 45.2 24.3 27.4 33.2 31.0 26.4 29.8 28.9 26.4 35.6 32.3 26.7 24.9 37.6 30.7 Sep 24.3 28.2 30.1 30.1 21.1 21.2 25.2 26.1 17.1 26.7 25.6 26.2 14.7 19.2 20.3 14.2 49.9 44.0 39.4 27.6 25.9 18.6 18.4 28.0 22.2 29.8 28.2 29.3 22.4 28.0 28.0 19.4 24.9 27.4 25.0 Oct 63.4 32.0 28.2 33.9 18.6 26.2 32.2 34.9 14.8 33.7 68.1 41.8 20.6 24.6 27.9 12.8 40.3 62.8 24.3 41.0 23.3 12.4 19.9 34.7 16.2 47.3 19.4 17.4 28.5 21.2 35.7 22.5 31.3 17.5 31.7 Nov 153.0 59.5 50.6 36.5 24.3 104.5 52.4 54.3 57.1 41.1 111.3 46.2 41.9 34.0 38.2 44.0 56.0 70.5 85.0 62.4 42.5 13.1 224.4 45.0 46.9 130.9 47.5 75.8 14.4 31.9 44.4 34.9 28.4 29.4 138.2 Dec 72.3 30.7 28.8 28.8 31.4 67.1 51.6 31.5 38.2 36.9 109.1 41.6 49.9 37.3 48.6 33.7 55.1 85.5 105.9 25.9 59.1 45.0 52.2 58.6 49.2 121.3 26.3 101.1 21.9 32.5 88.3 38.1 20.1 40.2 12.4 WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
May 2011
Thika Jun 12.9 10.0 6.1 6.2 5.3 11.6 9.3 17.8 9.7 10.1 11.8 7.7 4.4 7.2 10.1 9.2 9.6 12.3 13.4 10.4 8.2 6.7 6.1 12.6 8.0 6.9 13.8 5.1 6.4 8.0 10.7 12.4 7.0 9.9 6.8 Jul 6.2 5.8 12.7 5.6 4.5 7.0 6.3 6.8 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.0 4.4 5.6 5.8 5.7 6.8 6.6 7.0 5.8 5.7 4.9 4.8 7.1 5.4 5.6 6.2 5.2 5.9 3.9 4.9 6.7 5.9 5.7 5.1 Aug 5.4 5.5 6.1 5.1 3.2 6.0 5.4 5.2 4.9 5.0 4.9 5.0 4.3 5.0 4.7 4.8 5.5 5.4 5.5 4.9 4.8 4.5 4.5 5.1 5.0 5.5 5.8 4.4 4.3 4.7 5.0 4.3 4.6 5.8 4.7 Sep 3.8 4.4 4.7 4.7 3.3 4.1 4.3 4.1 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.0 3.5 3.9 3.8 3.8 4.4 4.5 4.4 3.9 3.7 3.5 3.6 4.4 3.5 4.2 4.6 4.2 3.5 4.2 4.2 3.7 3.7 4.3 4.5 Oct 9.9 5.0 4.4 5.3 2.9 4.0 6.3 4.2 3.4 4.7 12.6 6.1 6.3 4.0 3.3 2.8 5.5 8.1 6.2 3.7 2.8 2.2 4.0 8.5 2.8 10.4 5.2 2.8 4.1 2.3 4.9 3.4 4.2 1.9 4.1 Nov 23.9 9.3 7.9 5.7 3.8 15.2 8.1 6.5 12.1 6.7 16.9 6.8 9.7 6.3 6.9 5.9 9.2 14.2 13.9 5.5 3.9 4.6 16.8 5.6 8.3 19.3 11.7 7.4 1.7 4.5 7.9 5.0 3.6 5.1 21.2 Dec 11.3 4.8 4.5 4.5 4.9 11.2 8.0 4.0 9.6 6.0 19.1 4.9 8.7 6.0 7.6 5.0 9.3 18.8 13.4 3.5 13.6 5.2 8.6 11.7 5.8 19.7 3.1 20.4 4.0 4.9 11.1 7.9 4.7 6.8 3.6 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 C-23
Jan 35.5 109.1 10.6 7.6 10.5 56.2 171.5 83.0 7.8 60.3 66.4 57.8 28.6 18.3 8.2 27.0 15.4 75.0 160.2 48.0 14.9 116.9 16.0 52.2 62.2 14.8 380.3 20.6 50.2 81.9 27.7 80.6 36.3 28.3 14.6 Feb 14.2 117.2 4.0 2.7 14.4 28.4 195.3 792.6 6.5 31.0 23.7 43.1 6.1 32.3 5.1 8.0 3.9 62.2 67.8 16.1 11.1 112.7 10.9 31.2 28.3 7.8 221.8 11.5 18.9 31.5 11.9 20.2 22.7 15.9 5.8 Mar 11.8 22.5 14.9 5.1 6.7 36.7 314.0 167.4 26.4 49.5 10.0 23.2 9.2 39.3 13.9 4.9 21.8 40.2 141.9 24.9 7.4 32.0 15.3 35.3 36.2 8.0 117.5 32.1 8.8 33.9 27.7 14.2 19.9 22.0 22.9 Apr 31.3 70.5 74.9 39.0 27.0 339.2 492.5 207.7 65.7 234.9 82.9 96.9 30.1 240.0 114.3 72.4 295.8 119.2 313.8 54.5 84.6 41.1 133.8 88.6 57.6 178.3 224.2 57.7 15.7 166.2 142.7 82.6 141.7 42.8 133.1 May 64.1 67.0 105.6 21.3 35.1 681.0 610.0 517.7 148.1 449.5 400.3 168.2 13.2 283.9 250.7 96.0 261.6 182.8 249.3 216.5 173.6 127.6 183.2 232.5 72.6 171.6 431.9 83.5 32.6 161.9 378.5 414.0 145.0 156.6 223.6 Masinga Jun 80.1 46.5 56.6 23.4 30.0 107.3 111.3 231.4 78.0 88.6 139.8 72.0 3.2 89.9 124.0 111.1 92.2 85.2 114.6 115.4 61.7 88.1 68.8 100.8 102.8 40.6 204.1 36.3 14.9 48.5 73.4 158.9 32.5 121.4 54.0 Jul 45.8 37.1 166.0 20.8 30.6 72.6 59.2 96.5 32.3 48.9 114.2 61.5 6.1 58.6 67.3 161.2 59.3 54.6 69.5 67.6 42.1 49.0 37.4 58.3 48.7 28.2 86.4 23.3 11.7 31.2 33.0 57.4 17.0 44.0 25.2 Aug 21.1 36.8 40.5 20.3 10.6 42.9 32.5 73.7 23.9 50.6 54.6 45.0 4.7 30.9 29.9 29.8 51.4 47.5 46.5 36.0 22.9 22.4 34.8 46.5 30.5 20.3 60.3 18.5 11.2 25.5 21.0 34.2 12.3 31.5 29.7 Sep 12.2 16.8 42.0 20.6 4.9 23.7 32.7 24.7 17.5 26.4 40.9 35.3 3.3 21.4 23.8 9.2 53.9 47.5 34.0 19.2 16.3 14.3 22.9 36.3 22.1 9.4 40.3 15.9 12.9 17.1 13.7 18.5 12.2 26.0 21.8 Oct 45.7 26.0 40.2 34.3 20.8 21.8 66.0 36.5 21.0 36.7 178.1 61.8 96.8 38.8 27.2 5.0 61.8 66.0 50.3 28.4 35.2 11.9 54.6 85.6 15.3 91.6 32.4 15.4 14.1 17.1 33.0 37.1 39.5 25.4 30.9 Nov 143.1 97.9 43.4 45.3 57.5 182.5 125.0 76.2 157.9 47.3 489.0 66.3 119.9 68.8 89.9 102.8 112.9 145.6 99.4 46.0 91.3 27.0 297.3 166.8 43.6 487.3 57.7 74.4 31.9 74.0 147.8 100.4 99.7 44.6 192.2 Dec 89.5 28.2 24.7 44.0 26.5 193.7 131.3 53.0 134.0 73.6 209.3 52.5 74.6 40.2 96.0 29.3 95.4 156.1 94.3 31.8 106.7 54.3 129.2 127.6 37.4 283.3 33.1 188.2 33.3 36.0 114.7 68.8 47.6 20.7 160.6 WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
May 2011
Thiba Jun 33.4 49.1 29.0 9.5 25.5 15.8 13.0 49.8 54.0 12.5 82.3 27.2 5.2 35.0 50.5 28.3 34.3 28.4 25.1 35.6 20.0 16.2 30.9 23.1 27.6 16.2 45.2 6.2 1.9 17.4 6.2 25.0 4.1 22.6 15.9 Jul 10.2 16.8 13.7 5.4 11.7 12.7 4.6 20.5 8.6 7.9 23.3 17.1 7.0 9.2 5.1 9.7 17.0 11.3 8.7 10.9 15.0 14.1 20.4 6.6 12.5 6.0 17.3 1.7 1.6 8.1 2.5 6.8 2.1 14.0 8.1 Aug 4.4 16.4 17.6 5.6 3.5 9.7 15.8 29.5 9.9 8.6 11.8 7.6 8.3 10.2 3.2 19.0 14.1 14.0 10.6 16.2 12.1 11.9 17.6 16.8 9.2 2.3 10.4 4.1 1.8 6.8 3.8 10.3 0.7 10.3 8.2 Sep 4.8 5.8 12.7 9.2 2.4 3.8 7.7 24.8 14.1 13.1 12.0 2.3 9.7 11.5 2.6 10.6 17.1 14.4 6.8 8.6 10.7 5.1 17.6 11.6 5.9 1.9 7.6 3.3 1.8 1.4 2.3 2.4 0.4 6.8 4.6 Oct 17.8 12.6 7.3 6.6 10.2 2.5 8.2 14.6 12.4 4.0 42.8 5.0 24.8 11.3 2.0 11.6 14.9 24.6 15.9 8.3 15.3 5.0 25.0 24.8 5.6 38.3 8.0 2.3 1.7 1.3 6.2 11.0 9.0 8.3 14.7 Nov 30.6 67.4 11.3 11.3 40.1 25.4 24.1 12.8 41.4 14.2 178.5 8.4 26.9 5.4 23.6 22.6 57.2 45.9 29.5 13.3 21.6 13.3 101.3 47.0 17.1 153.9 20.7 18.5 11.9 15.2 41.1 33.4 47.2 15.1 84.4 Dec 13.1 12.6 4.5 6.3 16.2 23.6 14.9 53.7 152.3 25.0 17.1 11.3 20.3 21.1 16.1 12.2 36.1 34.3 20.3 9.3 24.6 14.2 48.0 30.6 11.9 113.4 16.5 27.5 10.9 3.5 28.2 16.4 20.1 3.1 56.1 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 C-24
Jan 3.7 6.6 2.3 3.5 2.2 4.9 6.2 13.2 4.3 3.7 3.7 7.7 5.8 4.2 5.4 4.6 6.4 2.8 4.6 12.9 10.2 5.4 4.1 9.0 4.3 3.8 9.5 6.6 6.8 3.0 5.1 6.9 5.0 5.3 4.7 Feb 2.4 4.1 1.7 1.9 1.6 3.2 4.4 16.2 2.8 2.6 2.3 3.9 3.3 3.0 4.2 2.6 3.8 2.3 2.6 5.9 9.5 13.2 1.8 2.3 4.0 2.8 4.9 3.2 6.0 7.1 4.5 5.2 3.3 1.6 2.6 Mar 1.8 2.3 2.1 1.2 0.9 3.3 12.3 8.2 2.0 6.3 1.4 1.9 1.9 3.4 4.0 3.3 2.4 4.9 3.3 5.8 10.0 8.8 2.0 3.8 4.5 2.9 5.4 3.3 2.5 3.7 7.3 3.6 3.2 1.9 2.5 Apr 2.0 5.3 15.1 6.3 3.7 15.1 31.5 16.7 4.7 24.6 10.5 16.9 3.0 14.6 8.8 4.1 33.6 8.8 24.8 16.6 12.2 9.6 13.4 8.2 15.4 20.0 13.3 10.5 9.2 7.5 6.4 10.4 12.3 7.8 15.8 May 7.0 6.1 8.6 6.4 6.1 18.4 25.0 23.6 10.6 18.6 20.5 9.4 2.0 17.1 15.2 5.8 21.6 15.2 11.1 13.5 7.3 13.4 13.7 13.1 12.8 18.4 14.3 8.5 10.5 11.9 19.5 16.5 9.1 16.3 13.9 Thura Jun 5.5 4.9 4.6 4.4 5.1 15.6 8.7 13.5 5.2 10.5 10.5 6.8 1.2 8.9 8.2 6.5 11.2 8.2 6.7 9.4 5.1 8.1 6.5 4.9 7.1 4.7 11.6 6.8 4.2 6.7 12.4 11.6 5.5 9.5 10.2 Jul 4.3 2.5 6.0 3.5 3.3 5.8 6.0 6.8 3.0 5.6 5.6 4.5 1.0 6.2 5.0 4.2 4.8 5.0 4.1 6.5 3.8 6.3 4.3 4.7 3.6 5.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 4.2 5.2 6.6 3.8 3.9 3.9 Aug 2.6 2.6 3.8 2.6 2.3 3.1 4.4 4.3 2.3 3.7 3.4 2.9 2.1 3.9 3.1 3.0 3.6 3.1 2.3 3.1 2.6 2.9 2.4 4.0 3.2 2.9 3.3 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.7 4.0 2.8 3.4 2.9 Sep 1.1 1.9 2.7 1.9 1.8 2.1 3.1 2.9 1.7 2.8 2.6 1.9 1.5 3.0 2.2 1.9 3.1 2.2 1.9 2.5 1.7 1.8 1.5 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.9 2.1 2.4 2.2 2.6 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.2 Oct 1.5 2.8 3.4 4.4 2.3 2.3 5.3 3.9 1.9 3.4 11.2 3.4 6.6 4.2 3.4 1.7 7.7 3.4 6.3 4.1 3.4 2.6 6.6 3.8 2.7 4.9 4.0 2.7 3.6 2.8 6.4 3.9 3.9 4.2 5.6 Nov 4.7 7.5 10.7 7.8 7.7 14.0 13.9 17.8 15.4 8.9 28.4 9.4 12.1 8.7 16.1 9.1 16.4 16.1 16.6 16.8 9.4 9.3 42.5 16.6 8.0 25.8 9.1 17.0 8.4 9.2 15.0 9.3 16.0 9.8 8.2 Dec 2.6 4.3 5.3 3.9 6.7 10.4 16.9 7.1 7.9 6.3 17.3 8.0 8.5 7.3 14.8 4.2 15.7 14.8 18.2 9.3 5.5 5.1 16.9 11.3 10.1 18.7 13.0 12.0 5.8 7.7 20.3 12.7 9.1 7.1 3.8 WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
May 2011
Mutonga Jun 22.7 20.3 19.1 18.4 21.2 64.5 35.7 55.6 21.6 43.3 43.3 28.1 5.1 36.9 33.8 26.7 46.2 29.9 33.4 46.9 25.4 40.6 32.6 23.9 30.9 20.2 53.2 25.1 18.5 26.3 47.3 45.2 24.8 39.9 41.2 Jul 17.6 10.5 24.6 14.4 13.6 23.7 24.8 28.1 12.5 23.0 23.1 18.6 4.3 25.7 20.6 17.3 20.0 21.0 17.0 27.3 15.9 26.3 18.0 19.3 15.9 21.8 25.3 20.3 16.8 16.0 20.5 24.6 16.0 16.9 16.2 Aug 10.6 10.9 15.7 10.8 9.4 12.7 18.3 17.5 9.6 15.2 14.2 12.0 8.5 16.2 12.8 12.5 15.0 13.9 11.7 15.6 13.2 14.5 12.0 15.1 14.1 13.0 13.6 12.4 12.7 15.3 15.5 15.6 10.8 13.5 13.3 Sep 4.4 7.8 11.3 7.9 7.2 8.7 12.8 12.1 6.8 11.6 10.8 7.8 6.0 12.5 9.1 8.0 12.6 12.7 8.9 12.3 8.2 8.5 7.0 9.4 9.6 10.1 10.2 9.8 10.6 9.6 10.6 9.2 8.1 10.2 9.5 Oct 6.3 11.7 13.9 18.2 9.5 9.4 22.0 15.9 8.0 14.0 46.3 14.1 27.4 17.3 14.1 7.0 31.9 61.5 31.2 16.9 12.0 7.0 33.6 16.7 9.0 19.4 12.6 11.0 14.8 10.5 24.2 14.1 16.5 15.2 25.8 Nov 19.4 30.9 44.1 32.2 31.8 57.9 57.3 73.3 63.6 36.9 116.9 39.0 49.8 35.8 66.4 37.7 67.6 137.2 72.4 73.3 36.1 35.9 60.3 55.3 37.1 87.3 39.0 60.8 36.5 40.5 52.6 40.6 65.9 43.5 41.3 Dec 10.8 17.9 22.0 16.1 27.6 42.8 69.5 29.5 32.7 26.1 71.4 32.8 35.0 30.3 61.1 17.2 65.1 90.1 89.8 45.3 26.4 24.0 83.2 51.5 39.0 83.4 47.4 52.7 19.1 34.4 88.4 52.8 34.4 22.2 14.5 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 C-25
Jan 8.0 15.0 4.6 7.0 6.8 9.2 24.2 31.6 9.7 10.0 12.2 20.6 9.8 11.7 10.3 17.4 7.2 11.6 28.1 18.0 16.8 13.0 11.2 14.7 14.1 10.9 14.4 12.0 16.0 12.9 12.6 17.1 13.8 18.0 11.4 Feb 7.1 7.4 4.2 5.2 5.6 7.8 17.3 30.0 8.6 7.3 10.6 14.7 7.8 10.2 8.5 11.3 5.7 8.1 17.7 16.4 12.2 13.7 9.1 8.1 9.9 5.3 9.7 9.4 11.9 10.9 10.6 15.0 10.9 9.5 9.0 Mar 8.5 6.7 9.1 4.2 3.3 8.5 54.9 30.9 6.9 14.0 8.2 10.5 5.5 8.7 8.2 9.5 9.1 15.3 25.3 24.2 19.4 9.4 7.7 18.4 14.1 4.4 29.0 12.9 8.9 19.6 15.1 5.8 16.6 11.5 14.7 Apr 8.4 9.7 23.6 28.5 8.2 25.8 71.2 29.6 10.4 26.4 18.6 18.0 6.3 26.1 21.9 25.5 39.2 24.1 35.4 30.6 24.4 12.4 10.7 18.1 27.2 25.5 31.0 27.3 17.2 18.9 22.3 22.4 22.3 21.3 26.1 May 19.3 7.8 14.2 7.0 7.8 30.8 42.0 38.1 11.6 33.1 26.1 13.2 6.4 32.2 21.0 15.4 26.4 21.2 24.0 25.4 22.2 13.8 12.3 19.7 11.7 18.6 17.6 12.8 12.9 20.5 28.3 31.3 24.0 17.1 18.7 Kathita Jun 10.6 5.4 10.0 5.5 7.1 19.3 23.4 20.6 8.5 18.0 15.8 11.2 6.0 19.1 16.1 12.3 18.3 17.8 23.5 22.5 10.3 14.2 9.6 12.0 14.1 8.3 18.8 11.3 8.2 11.1 14.7 17.1 12.5 14.7 11.8 Jul 7.7 4.9 7.6 4.8 4.8 14.4 17.5 14.8 7.4 14.1 11.2 10.6 4.3 12.7 12.6 9.3 10.3 13.8 18.8 19.8 7.2 9.6 8.5 13.2 9.3 8.8 11.6 12.4 12.8 6.8 11.4 11.8 9.6 9.6 8.8 Aug 5.3 4.1 6.1 4.0 4.4 13.1 12.3 12.1 6.1 11.0 35.2 9.6 4.0 10.8 10.0 7.5 10.3 11.1 13.5 15.9 6.2 8.3 7.4 11.6 15.9 10.3 11.8 7.0 8.2 7.2 7.8 9.2 4.8 12.8 10.6 Sep 4.6 4.3 4.9 3.4 3.0 11.0 10.5 9.2 5.7 7.4 8.0 8.5 4.0 9.8 9.0 3.9 7.1 9.3 9.7 11.8 4.8 7.0 6.1 6.9 6.2 6.1 7.9 8.5 6.7 6.7 7.2 5.6 7.1 6.4 6.2 Oct 20.6 2.2 4.9 4.6 4.0 9.2 28.7 9.3 5.7 12.2 18.5 8.0 16.6 9.3 8.3 1.2 13.9 16.5 15.0 8.5 3.6 6.1 18.2 9.5 6.7 12.0 8.2 6.1 6.5 9.8 16.5 6.6 8.0 8.4 10.6 Nov 39.3 4.8 18.5 18.0 8.2 31.6 25.4 26.0 20.4 15.0 35.2 12.9 47.3 14.0 31.4 12.4 36.2 40.6 38.7 38.8 12.2 12.1 40.7 40.7 18.0 28.0 15.8 16.5 18.5 18.9 18.4 19.0 22.2 26.4 12.4 Dec 22.4 5.6 17.6 10.0 15.1 39.4 38.8 13.3 13.2 13.0 32.7 11.1 27.7 18.5 32.6 16.1 34.0 33.9 28.9 24.6 14.0 12.7 26.8 41.7 10.2 18.9 29.6 29.4 10.5 25.3 33.9 22.0 20.4 15.6 11.0 WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
May 2011
Adamson Jun 26.7 23.8 22.4 21.5 24.9 76.7 42.3 66.0 25.4 51.3 51.3 33.1 5.7 43.6 40.0 31.5 54.8 35.3 66.9 64.1 30.4 41.2 28.4 26.9 36.5 25.4 58.8 26.8 20.5 34.7 59.0 57.0 24.0 58.1 46.8 Jul 20.9 12.2 29.5 17.0 16.0 28.4 29.7 33.8 14.7 27.5 27.6 22.1 4.6 30.8 24.5 20.5 23.8 25.1 39.6 41.4 18.1 22.5 20.5 22.6 19.3 25.6 27.5 25.7 20.9 17.9 23.0 25.4 19.0 21.2 20.3 Aug 12.4 12.8 19.2 12.7 10.8 15.3 22.7 21.7 11.0 18.5 17.2 14.2 9.6 19.9 15.4 15.0 18.3 16.8 18.6 19.3 16.5 17.1 16.9 19.3 18.0 14.7 18.2 14.4 15.7 18.8 19.1 17.4 12.5 17.0 16.1 Sep 4.0 8.9 13.9 9.0 8.1 10.2 16.1 15.0 7.6 14.3 13.2 8.9 6.3 15.6 10.9 9.2 15.8 15.9 16.5 19.3 10.1 13.0 11.8 10.9 10.9 12.7 14.3 11.6 11.8 11.1 12.3 11.2 9.7 12.3 12.8 Oct 6.9 13.5 16.2 21.4 10.8 10.7 26.1 18.6 8.9 16.3 55.8 16.4 32.7 20.3 16.4 7.8 38.2 74.5 28.3 20.2 14.1 17.2 32.2 17.8 10.7 23.8 13.3 11.5 14.2 12.7 30.6 16.5 16.7 14.9 29.9 Nov 23.0 36.5 52.2 38.0 37.6 68.4 67.8 86.6 75.1 43.6 138.2 46.0 58.9 42.3 78.4 44.6 79.9 162.2 80.7 80.7 59.5 59.4 82.3 75.8 41.7 111.4 48.4 71.0 43.3 53.3 60.8 47.6 71.6 59.3 53.2 Dec 12.8 21.1 26.0 19.0 32.7 50.6 82.2 34.8 38.7 30.9 84.4 38.8 41.3 35.8 72.2 20.3 76.9 106.4 60.3 55.5 43.7 42.3 58.0 72.1 36.8 101.4 57.1 58.3 31.8 46.5 106.6 57.4 38.6 28.2 19.5 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 C-26
Jan 10.3 43.6 7.1 6.2 8.9 11.6 31.3 21.2 5.9 5.7 7.6 26.8 10.2 20.1 7.6 8.8 13.3 10.8 73.5 10.4 4.1 58.5 3.7 33.6 16.8 13.9 12.2 12.9 44.6 40.6 19.5 7.8 14.6 6.3 11.0 Feb 9.2 32.6 4.5 4.4 6.2 24.0 28.1 69.6 5.2 6.3 4.5 11.7 3.3 21.1 6.7 6.6 12.7 12.2 24.6 7.9 6.4 56.5 6.0 6.8 2.8 4.2 10.0 11.6 15.2 7.4 22.3 23.5 8.6 3.8 6.8 Mar 7.4 20.1 5.7 5.5 5.4 14.9 168.1 48.1 7.7 12.5 2.7 7.5 5.8 56.8 6.6 19.5 16.0 13.0 123.2 4.1 2.0 30.1 7.2 26.8 29.0 4.2 52.2 12.2 19.2 17.2 29.2 24.3 14.9 28.7 9.7 Apr 7.7 12.4 71.2 28.8 8.4 89.6 198.2 69.4 14.8 142.1 4.8 17.0 21.8 8.2 12.9 27.1 88.1 67.1 292.6 20.3 22.5 17.2 31.9 7.6 14.6 45.9 38.2 72.8 10.2 72.3 48.0 46.4 46.0 15.6 30.3 May 32.4 33.2 51.2 33.3 22.8 164.0 153.5 92.7 39.4 93.5 44.0 48.9 21.8 8.4 37.0 68.0 189.7 126.3 118.0 102.0 80.6 59.3 85.2 63.3 64.3 64.7 56.2 26.1 47.0 62.5 106.2 180.3 87.6 83.1 105.9 Sondu Jun 41.4 80.7 56.6 50.5 41.6 81.0 46.5 75.2 55.9 33.4 72.2 50.5 34.5 9.6 34.9 141.7 59.8 53.8 67.6 68.3 50.5 59.3 53.0 77.5 56.6 37.9 114.3 48.2 38.2 25.0 103.2 68.4 51.2 60.6 86.6 Jul 45.9 31.4 130.9 42.4 58.0 109.9 58.5 56.3 64.6 40.3 36.9 42.8 10.4 110.4 24.1 47.9 51.7 30.3 29.5 42.2 26.4 34.3 28.5 85.3 29.6 49.2 62.1 46.0 34.9 18.0 43.1 49.2 46.7 25.8 23.0 Aug 44.4 48.7 67.0 94.4 50.9 78.3 55.9 63.4 33.4 79.3 65.1 55.2 14.9 111.8 31.8 22.6 102.1 27.6 38.5 64.0 43.2 44.2 49.2 65.6 47.0 44.0 64.7 39.0 42.9 43.2 55.2 44.2 63.8 57.3 44.2 Sep 26.7 62.9 55.0 136.6 73.2 53.3 70.5 35.3 32.3 62.3 50.2 107.7 18.6 78.7 30.8 19.1 92.1 80.9 59.7 53.9 50.5 50.4 53.4 34.5 54.0 60.3 68.1 70.4 51.4 82.7 72.5 32.0 99.3 34.4 56.4 Oct 19.8 36.6 42.8 81.9 21.6 26.1 73.8 15.3 14.0 56.7 35.8 80.2 7.6 44.5 17.3 14.8 83.0 31.0 35.3 33.4 33.4 32.0 35.0 48.4 24.6 36.1 23.0 25.8 52.0 27.0 22.9 20.9 17.6 27.1 30.0 Nov 74.8 30.0 24.2 36.8 11.3 109.9 40.7 10.1 13.2 22.0 122.3 51.8 6.4 76.8 11.3 34.3 37.4 45.0 18.3 13.0 28.4 7.1 91.9 57.7 36.4 71.2 37.1 32.1 9.0 7.5 36.9 14.8 17.7 14.4 33.9 Dec 47.2 13.4 11.0 14.4 9.1 78.3 28.6 7.7 10.4 13.1 163.9 24.5 12.0 61.6 57.1 23.8 19.1 46.2 13.8 9.9 46.4 17.1 56.7 16.4 28.1 27.4 7.6 83.4 15.9 23.1 16.5 57.7 11.0 7.5 9.3 WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
May 2011
Chania Jun 16.8 13.0 7.9 8.1 6.9 18.6 13.0 33.2 33.3 14.9 18.1 10.4 3.3 13.1 16.4 16.9 13.2 16.9 16.8 17.5 12.8 11.4 15.8 19.5 9.1 9.2 24.6 8.6 7.2 10.5 16.3 18.0 8.5 11.7 11.3 Jul 8.1 7.5 16.5 7.3 5.8 9.0 7.5 9.6 9.6 8.1 7.4 8.0 4.9 6.6 6.7 7.0 7.1 7.3 7.2 7.3 7.2 7.0 7.1 9.2 6.8 7.1 8.6 6.0 7.6 5.6 6.8 7.5 6.6 6.7 5.7 Aug 7.0 7.2 7.9 6.6 4.2 8.1 6.6 7.2 7.2 7.5 6.3 6.6 4.5 5.7 5.3 5.5 5.8 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.4 5.7 6.4 6.8 5.3 7.0 6.0 4.8 6.8 6.2 5.4 5.7 6.8 7.0 Sep 4.9 5.7 6.1 6.1 4.3 5.6 5.3 5.4 5.1 5.5 5.1 5.2 4.5 4.8 4.7 4.6 5.0 5.2 4.9 4.8 4.9 4.6 4.8 5.8 4.8 5.4 5.5 5.4 4.6 5.6 5.4 4.6 5.1 6.0 5.4 Oct 12.9 6.5 5.7 6.9 3.8 6.8 7.7 5.3 4.1 5.8 18.5 6.0 3.5 2.3 2.3 1.6 2.4 8.5 3.7 4.1 4.1 2.5 5.3 9.6 2.9 11.8 7.0 4.4 3.3 2.8 4.9 4.6 6.2 3.1 7.2 Nov 31.1 12.1 10.3 7.4 4.9 23.6 9.3 7.2 15.2 8.3 26.4 8.2 9.9 5.9 6.7 6.2 8.3 13.3 9.9 5.2 11.2 5.5 41.2 10.3 10.4 38.3 25.1 11.3 2.7 6.2 8.9 5.6 5.1 4.9 30.1 Dec 14.7 6.2 5.8 5.8 6.4 16.7 9.7 5.1 11.2 6.6 26.5 6.4 9.2 3.9 6.9 6.9 7.5 16.1 7.4 3.8 16.9 5.7 23.7 16.0 8.6 22.3 3.1 20.1 4.8 4.4 16.5 9.5 4.2 7.6 4.8 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 C-27
Jan 6.5 5.9 5.0 1.0 5.6 5.1 10.2 7.1 1.4 0.6 3.6 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.7 0.8 11.8 5.4 1.3 8.2 2.6 5.8 1.8 2.8 4.4 4.9 4.2 6.6 5.9 1.9 2.8 3.3 6.3 Feb 7.0 5.8 4.6 0.4 5.8 1.2 12.5 38.3 2.1 0.4 3.8 1.3 0.1 1.0 4.6 1.0 0.8 1.5 46.1 2.8 2.1 9.2 0.9 4.9 1.9 1.8 2.9 6.8 8.6 3.9 7.3 11.0 3.9 9.3 2.6 Mar 5.5 2.2 8.1 1.6 6.1 1.2 18.0 6.4 1.9 87.8 2.5 0.1 0.1 8.2 5.5 12.2 1.9 7.6 10.6 3.4 1.0 3.2 1.7 2.6 3.7 1.8 5.3 10.2 4.1 3.1 5.1 1.9 3.7 4.1 5.3 Apr 5.1 4.8 6.1 5.7 5.8 15.0 9.8 10.5 12.4 74.4 30.6 9.2 2.1 45.5 35.4 5.9 44.9 12.3 6.8 3.8 4.6 2.7 15.6 7.9 4.9 16.7 25.0 9.0 7.3 38.4 10.2 26.3 17.6 8.4 6.9 May 9.7 6.6 8.2 8.9 13.2 32.7 20.4 20.4 44.9 21.9 44.2 22.9 7.8 26.2 19.8 46.8 32.7 9.8 20.3 14.1 8.1 15.7 16.7 19.9 11.2 12.0 15.4 11.2 18.3 10.7 39.6 21.4 24.3 13.1 23.0 Turkwel Jun 10.4 9.2 10.9 12.4 11.6 24.8 11.5 20.8 9.0 11.6 13.7 16.5 7.4 12.2 49.0 50.2 12.8 11.8 16.0 11.6 6.8 14.5 8.6 12.3 7.5 15.5 18.8 17.1 19.2 8.7 29.2 15.1 8.3 5.8 15.6 Jul 26.2 9.3 24.4 19.9 19.8 25.4 40.6 7.6 8.0 40.0 6.6 28.0 7.1 17.8 15.0 4.2 51.6 21.7 19.4 13.6 8.2 11.0 11.8 21.8 8.6 30.0 18.4 19.4 8.5 10.7 20.0 17.2 14.0 8.3 10.5 Aug 20.8 29.1 20.3 49.8 21.0 32.2 26.3 21.4 9.4 43.6 27.4 58.7 5.1 14.9 14.2 7.0 68.2 10.6 32.6 23.7 19.2 11.0 18.0 48.3 18.2 18.2 30.2 35.8 31.2 16.6 29.7 26.1 29.6 17.6 24.3 Sep 13.0 23.4 23.8 38.0 20.0 23.0 14.2 5.0 3.6 22.3 7.5 28.7 2.0 5.8 10.7 2.1 46.9 15.0 24.4 15.8 18.3 20.6 21.8 14.5 16.1 18.7 24.5 45.3 19.1 35.6 26.6 7.5 26.5 24.2 27.8 Oct 12.8 9.9 10.7 29.9 7.9 19.5 13.1 2.5 1.0 6.2 15.2 39.4 2.2 2.2 5.0 3.1 25.8 31.1 16.1 12.0 17.9 13.2 4.1 17.4 9.8 31.1 19.3 10.3 9.0 22.6 12.6 18.7 10.7 17.0 19.4 Nov 25.0 16.0 7.0 14.0 6.4 53.3 8.4 2.7 6.1 2.3 32.3 14.9 20.6 9.4 1.4 23.8 9.4 5.6 14.2 7.8 11.8 4.1 14.6 21.5 2.5 17.6 17.9 19.4 9.6 7.9 19.3 15.0 8.2 4.1 10.1 Dec 7.9 6.6 5.0 7.6 5.8 22.5 5.6 0.3 0.7 1.0 6.9 3.8 3.8 0.8 0.8 2.2 2.0 6.6 9.4 4.6 5.4 2.0 7.2 9.7 3.8 2.6 4.6 5.2 5.4 5.2 4.8 5.2 3.0 10.4 1.7 WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
May 2011
WAmal Jun 1.7 3.9 6.0 4.5 1.3 5.8 2.2 3.1 3.5 2.3 6.0 4.5 0.3 3.8 0.9 6.0 3.9 1.6 3.0 4.3 3.2 3.8 4.5 4.0 3.3 1.0 6.3 2.4 2.6 2.0 7.1 4.1 4.1 2.2 5.7 Jul 2.4 2.5 6.0 4.9 2.3 6.0 4.4 2.9 5.7 4.0 2.7 3.7 0.4 1.7 1.6 2.0 4.2 2.6 1.5 1.3 6.0 1.9 2.5 4.6 2.7 3.6 5.1 4.0 2.3 1.6 2.6 2.5 1.9 1.2 3.7 Aug 3.1 4.3 3.6 6.0 5.2 5.0 3.8 6.0 1.6 4.8 6.0 4.3 2.3 4.3 3.4 1.0 6.0 6.0 5.3 3.7 5.9 2.7 4.7 6.1 4.2 2.8 6.2 3.6 7.8 3.0 4.4 3.0 5.1 4.1 5.6 Sep 3.9 5.7 6.0 6.0 4.8 3.7 6.0 3.2 2.5 4.8 4.9 6.0 2.2 6.0 4.5 1.1 6.0 6.0 3.5 2.9 6.0 2.5 4.0 3.1 3.4 4.7 5.0 4.1 6.3 7.4 7.9 1.9 5.2 3.1 3.6 Oct 1.2 3.3 3.8 6.0 1.5 2.6 6.0 1.1 0.8 3.8 3.0 3.9 1.9 0.8 2.1 0.5 6.0 6.0 1.1 1.1 6.0 1.0 1.4 4.3 1.4 2.2 2.7 1.8 4.6 1.3 1.7 2.2 2.3 3.8 5.9 Nov 3.7 2.4 1.3 2.2 0.2 4.3 3.1 0.4 0.5 1.8 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.7 0.6 1.3 1.1 2.7 1.2 0.9 1.9 1.1 2.5 3.2 0.6 12.9 2.0 2.0 1.1 0.6 1.6 1.0 0.6 1.0 1.1 Dec 4.1 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.2 4.0 2.4 0.1 0.2 0.9 6.0 1.8 2.1 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.5 2.5 0.3 0.9 1.4 1.0 1.6 0.5 1.4 2.2 0.9 5.1 2.4 0.6 0.4 3.5 0.6 0.2 1.0 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 C-28
Jan 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.9 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 4.1 0.1 0.1 1.2 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.5 1.0 0.5 1.0 1.2 0.3 0.2 Feb 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 1.3 3.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.7 2.0 0.3 0.2 2.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.9 1.3 0.2 1.6 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 Mar 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 9.8 1.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.3 0.6 3.2 0.5 0.1 1.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.3 1.5 0.6 0.3 1.1 0.5 Apr 0.6 0.1 2.2 0.3 0.1 1.8 4.7 5.6 0.9 4.8 0.1 0.4 0.2 1.4 0.6 0.8 7.3 2.7 14.7 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.1 0.5 1.3 0.5 3.9 0.6 3.1 0.9 1.8 2.5 1.9 1.5 May 0.2 0.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 5.3 3.5 2.3 2.8 3.9 1.1 1.1 0.1 2.3 1.1 1.5 9.6 2.4 4.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.9 1.5 1.7 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.4 2.6 4.8 2.8 1.5 2.0 2WK6 Jun 1.4 0.2 1.6 0.6 0.1 1.3 0.8 1.0 1.6 2.0 0.8 0.9 0.1 1.5 1.1 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.6 0.9 0.5 1.3 0.7 1.6 0.3 0.5 1.8 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.6 1.4 1.7 0.3 2.0 Jul 0.4 0.1 6.3 2.1 0.8 3.4 1.5 0.9 1.6 4.3 0.3 1.3 0.1 1.5 0.8 0.9 1.8 1.4 0.4 0.3 1.6 1.0 0.8 3.8 0.7 2.0 1.3 1.4 1.1 0.2 1.3 1.0 1.8 0.3 0.4 Aug 1.9 0.7 3.8 4.6 1.7 2.3 3.2 1.2 0.2 3.1 1.2 1.5 0.1 2.1 1.3 0.3 7.2 1.8 0.4 0.7 2.4 0.9 2.3 3.2 0.9 1.0 2.3 0.7 2.8 1.1 2.1 1.3 2.9 1.8 2.5 Sep 0.6 0.4 6.0 4.8 2.2 2.1 3.3 0.8 0.3 2.8 1.3 3.6 0.2 1.9 1.5 0.3 2.5 2.4 0.2 0.3 4.2 0.6 0.9 1.4 0.9 2.7 1.6 1.3 1.9 4.1 3.2 0.9 4.0 1.1 1.0 Oct 0.6 0.8 3.8 2.6 0.2 0.7 2.3 0.4 0.2 1.6 0.9 2.3 0.2 0.3 0.9 0.2 1.8 2.3 0.3 0.2 3.0 0.4 1.0 0.9 0.5 1.6 0.7 0.4 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.5 1.0 0.6 1.1 Nov 0.2 0.3 2.3 0.8 0.1 3.7 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.9 1.6 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.6 0.3 0.2 1.1 0.3 2.7 0.8 0.5 4.7 0.7 2.1 0.3 0.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.9 0.4 Dec 1.0 0.1 1.0 0.2 0.1 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.4 3.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.6 2.5 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.8 0.3 1.1 1.3 0.3 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
May 2011
2WK3 Jun 1.9 0.3 4.3 1.2 0.3 3.5 1.7 2.5 3.5 1.5 1.8 2.1 0.1 3.8 2.7 3.7 3.7 4.1 4.0 4.8 1.8 2.8 4.8 3.0 1.1 1.1 4.5 1.7 2.5 1.6 6.8 6.0 3.6 1.1 5.2 Jul 1.0 0.2 19.6 5.9 1.7 10.2 4.2 2.1 3.2 8.2 0.6 3.4 0.3 4.0 1.8 2.1 5.0 3.7 1.0 2.3 6.2 2.0 2.7 13.5 2.7 3.1 3.6 3.2 2.3 0.4 2.5 1.5 4.2 0.6 1.6 Aug 5.3 1.5 6.3 14.0 4.6 6.5 9.6 3.1 0.5 9.1 3.2 4.0 0.3 5.9 3.4 0.9 22.4 5.0 1.1 5.2 8.9 2.0 5.7 9.5 3.5 2.2 7.3 1.6 5.9 2.7 4.6 3.4 6.8 4.9 4.7 Sep 1.2 3.0 12.6 14.9 6.3 6.1 9.8 1.6 0.9 5.8 3.5 10.7 0.3 5.3 4.2 0.7 7.2 6.9 0.3 2.6 14.0 1.7 3.6 3.0 4.0 10.5 7.6 3.3 5.6 12.5 9.1 1.7 16.0 3.0 3.4 Oct 1.6 1.7 4.9 7.6 0.4 1.5 6.6 0.9 0.3 0.8 2.2 6.6 0.3 0.8 2.0 0.5 4.8 6.6 0.8 0.8 8.7 0.5 0.5 2.4 0.9 2.7 2.2 0.9 2.6 1.9 1.5 1.3 2.2 1.6 3.7 Nov 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.6 0.1 11.1 2.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 4.4 2.0 0.3 1.0 0.9 1.5 1.8 4.3 1.9 0.4 2.1 0.3 2.1 1.0 2.0 20.6 1.8 6.4 0.2 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.3 1.6 Dec 2.5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 5.9 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.5 10.1 1.1 1.9 0.4 1.1 0.8 1.2 7.2 0.5 0.3 0.7 0.3 1.4 1.0 1.8 1.6 0.3 4.4 1.6 1.1 0.9 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 C-29
Jan 0.3 3.7 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 4.3 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 2.5 2.0 0.4 0.1 2.6 0.2 1.5 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.9 2.2 1.0 0.7 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 Feb 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 2.7 10.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 6.3 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.4 2.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 Mar 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 23.8 4.6 0.2 1.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.7 0.2 1.4 2.6 0.6 13.9 0.4 0.1 1.1 0.3 1.2 0.7 0.0 3.7 1.2 0.1 0.9 8.6 0.8 0.6 1.8 3.8 Apr 0.1 0.1 5.1 0.6 0.5 5.9 11.4 16.2 3.0 11.2 0.7 1.0 0.1 25.6 0.3 3.2 19.4 5.9 35.4 3.9 0.8 0.4 2.1 0.2 1.6 3.7 4.0 8.8 0.6 13.9 1.8 4.1 3.7 5.1 3.0 May 0.3 0.1 2.0 0.7 0.3 13.3 8.2 9.4 7.6 10.8 2.5 9.9 0.2 8.2 3.3 3.2 23.5 11.2 17.3 1.7 3.1 0.7 4.6 5.6 4.9 2.3 11.7 3.8 2.4 3.1 6.3 16.4 5.6 5.4 9.4 2WK1 Jun 1.7 0.3 3.6 1.2 0.3 2.9 1.5 3.2 4.2 1.4 1.7 7.7 0.1 3.4 0.3 3.1 5.0 1.1 4.6 2.8 2.2 2.4 3.8 2.9 1.0 1.2 5.8 1.4 2.0 1.2 5.1 4.7 1.9 1.3 4.2 Jul 0.9 0.1 15.3 4.8 1.1 4.3 3.5 3.1 2.4 6.5 0.5 3.7 0.1 1.6 0.5 1.9 4.7 1.9 1.6 1.0 4.0 1.6 2.0 5.8 2.6 3.1 5.4 0.7 1.4 0.4 1.6 0.8 2.2 0.4 0.7 Aug 4.3 1.4 5.1 11.0 0.5 2.6 7.6 2.0 0.3 7.2 2.7 6.2 0.3 2.9 2.9 1.0 6.9 3.1 4.6 1.1 3.4 0.6 2.5 6.0 1.0 0.7 3.4 0.6 4.0 1.5 6.1 1.3 2.3 2.2 5.2 Sep 1.1 2.6 9.9 11.6 1.0 2.3 7.8 1.6 0.4 4.7 2.9 6.5 0.3 4.3 2.2 0.9 6.4 6.1 1.9 0.8 4.7 0.2 2.5 1.1 2.1 6.0 2.2 4.1 3.3 6.2 8.1 1.3 13.2 2.0 2.9 Oct 1.2 0.8 4.0 6.1 0.2 0.3 5.3 0.9 0.8 0.7 2.0 6.4 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.5 2.0 6.9 0.6 0.4 3.4 0.3 0.5 1.4 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.4 1.6 0.9 1.0 1.1 2.0 0.6 1.5 Nov 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.5 0.1 8.7 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.1 3.6 1.8 0.3 0.9 0.3 1.8 0.6 3.2 1.4 0.1 1.3 0.7 1.7 1.7 0.5 17.9 2.9 3.4 0.2 0.2 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.9 0.4 Dec 1.9 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 4.8 1.7 0.2 0.2 0.5 8.0 0.7 2.2 0.6 0.3 0.9 0.3 2.6 0.6 0.1 1.1 0.3 1.2 1.1 0.4 3.9 0.4 13.6 1.0 0.5 0.7 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 WBS 1200 Historical Inflows by Hydro Site
EAPP/EAC Regional
May 2011
Ewaso Jun 6.7 4.7 15.5 7.5 2.0 13.5 6.2 9.8 12.8 7.2 10.3 15.2 0.6 12.5 5.0 14.2 14.0 8.3 13.2 12.8 7.7 10.3 13.8 11.5 5.7 3.8 18.4 6.2 8.1 5.6 20.6 16.2 11.3 4.9 17.1 Jul 4.7 2.9 47.2 17.7 5.9 23.9 13.6 9.0 12.9 23.0 4.1 12.1 0.9 8.8 4.7 6.9 15.7 9.6 4.5 4.9 17.8 6.5 8.0 27.7 8.7 11.8 15.4 9.3 7.1 2.6 8.0 5.8 10.1 2.5 6.4 Aug 14.6 7.9 18.8 35.6 12.0 16.4 24.2 12.3 2.6 24.2 13.1 16.0 3.0 15.2 11.0 3.2 42.5 15.9 11.4 10.7 20.6 6.2 15.2 24.8 9.6 6.7 19.2 6.5 20.5 8.3 17.2 9.0 17.1 13.0 18.0 Sep 6.8 11.7 34.5 37.3 14.3 14.2 26.9 7.2 4.1 18.1 12.6 26.8 3.0 17.5 12.4 3.0 22.1 21.4 5.9 6.6 28.9 5.0 11.0 8.6 10.4 23.9 16.4 12.8 17.1 30.2 28.3 5.8 38.4 9.2 10.9 Oct 4.6 6.6 16.5 22.3 2.3 5.1 20.2 3.3 2.1 6.9 8.1 19.2 2.6 2.8 5.8 1.7 14.6 21.8 2.8 2.5 21.1 2.2 3.4 9.0 3.3 7.4 6.2 3.5 11.1 5.3 4.8 5.1 7.5 6.6 12.2 Nov 4.9 4.7 6.3 6.1 0.5 27.8 6.6 2.0 1.9 2.9 15.6 7.2 1.5 3.0 2.2 5.3 4.3 11.8 4.8 1.6 6.4 2.4 9.0 6.7 3.6 56.1 7.4 13.9 1.8 1.0 4.4 1.6 0.8 3.1 3.5 Dec 9.5 0.4 2.1 1.9 0.5 16.8 6.8 1.4 0.9 2.3 27.5 4.2 6.6 1.8 2.7 3.0 2.6 14.8 1.7 1.4 3.9 2.0 5.0 2.9 4.7 9.0 1.9 24.6 6.4 2.9 2.6 7.5 1.6 0.6 1.2 C-30
EAPP/EAC Regional
C.6
Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Rwanda
Jan 25.0 39.6 27.2 31.1 27.1 32.1 38.4 33.7 32.9 30.8 33.6 28.1 31.1 25.3 47.0 26.6 27.1 31.9 24.8 38.1 36.5 37.1 30.8 41.6 36.1 22.5 35.7 31.4 36.6 26.4 33.7 34.2 34.5 37.0 28.9 Feb 43.9 32.9 27.9 32.2 28.5 32.3 40.8 57.9 32.2 28.6 34.0 39.7 34.9 32.8 40.7 38.6 35.4 42.3 38.9 35.3 29.9 36.9 34.5 41.6 45.0 28.8 44.2 45.2 43.5 32.1 32.8 37.4 49.6 41.7 31.2 Mar 35.3 24.6 39.2 32.8 30.0 30.1 63.2 34.4 25.8 39.4 28.7 33.1 41.9 30.1 49.1 35.1 35.9 37.7 46.3 41.0 25.8 27.7 30.4 29.4 29.4 33.3 36.3 38.9 35.1 44.5 31.9 30.2 30.3 36.8 32.2 Apr 33.0 55.0 62.0 57.4 36.7 45.8 59.2 50.4 59.4 66.4 68.6 74.9 42.0 96.0 106.0 32.3 58.9 39.2 52.3 60.2 44.0 71.7 61.4 66.5 45.7 41.0 84.7 51.0 50.4 50.8 53.6 54.4 59.5 75.9 55.9 Nyabarongo May Jun 41.8 31.8 78.9 28.9 54.1 35.1 32.8 24.9 43.6 27.8 42.5 25.5 72.9 32.1 92.1 33.6 66.7 44.0 72.0 30.1 62.4 36.8 52.2 28.1 28.6 21.3 49.7 28.4 52.0 25.1 63.5 40.2 61.4 26.3 47.5 28.2 35.7 21.7 54.4 29.2 32.1 22.0 55.5 31.2 55.0 31.6 52.1 32.2 45.2 22.3 59.1 24.6 84.0 30.4 58.6 27.5 50.7 29.5 72.1 37.9 77.1 29.3 41.5 40.4 80.4 35.8 62.8 26.9 40.2 27.1 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
Jul 19.7 20.0 37.6 21.4 19.5 20.8 26.0 24.1 23.4 23.6 24.7 24.9 23.2 22.6 15.8 18.4 21.2 21.7 18.2 27.8 19.2 21.0 22.6 24.8 19.0 24.0 26.3 26.7 21.7 33.2 29.4 20.0 22.1 24.2 19.3 Aug 18.6 18.5 22.4 19.4 22.1 21.3 28.1 20.7 21.5 29.7 22.8 27.5 21.4 19.9 12.9 16.8 33.3 19.5 17.8 23.7 19.5 31.3 20.7 18.4 18.3 22.7 18.3 22.6 19.2 25.2 21.9 30.6 30.1 21.0 20.5 Sep 19.3 38.1 30.8 24.2 25.1 25.6 27.5 19.3 25.2 27.5 31.6 29.1 20.1 30.7 13.5 22.1 25.8 22.8 21.3 21.7 24.9 27.2 26.5 25.0 21.8 27.7 20.7 25.1 23.4 26.8 29.1 25.4 22.9 22.7 21.7 Oct 24.2 29.2 21.6 37.6 26.3 25.8 32.1 22.9 35.5 30.2 30.7 34.2 39.3 36.0 19.4 28.2 33.4 24.4 21.6 25.1 36.0 26.6 22.4 23.9 27.2 26.4 33.3 34.1 35.1 29.5 31.1 38.9 30.5 35.5 21.4 Nov 39.0 49.2 30.4 23.1 24.7 44.5 29.9 39.7 39.6 34.0 47.5 41.2 39.0 33.9 27.0 68.3 45.5 27.1 27.7 35.2 24.7 51.8 28.4 39.0 29.2 33.9 33.5 63.2 32.8 29.6 44.4 31.1 45.9 39.5 23.6 Dec 27.1 29.9 25.1 36.7 24.8 39.0 45.3 39.0 44.5 30.4 63.7 34.5 27.6 32.2 26.6 29.4 27.6 32.6 31.1 29.9 27.3 35.8 30.3 30.1 27.6 38.1 20.9 28.9 35.0 30.2 43.9 29.7 32.4 38.8 15.3 C-31
EAPP/EAC Regional
C.7
Year 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Sudan
Jan 3685 1453 2668 3672 3587 2397 2847 1838 871 1092 1917 1956 736 903 2491 1735 1334 1196 868 958 1739 1696 1936 927 1476 2028 2285 1515 1911 2153 2382 2475 2280 2204 1452 Feb 3627 2627 1635 2108 4386 2479 1906 2646 735 1128 1030 3751 859 794 1857 2107 1035 862 796 821 2746 2310 2057 2163 2067 2466 1228 2857 1962 1792 1498 1889 2349 1920 3096 Mar 1992 2413 1120 1831 2737 1514 1328 1504 846 1111 974 2494 884 850 1353 3065 1371 1023 1063 948 1289 2343 1843 943 1349 1812 1034 1990 1607 1626 1691 1585 975 2289 1658 Apr 1452 4066 1072 1419 1343 1154 1260 1130 997 908 950 1652 916 785 1146 1993 2715 1283 1085 801 1803 1319 1038 1873 949 1710 522 1436 2185 1293 1659 750 1793 1532 1605 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
May 1421 1663 1124 1290 1065 894 1585 1919 1090 735 750 1803 818 776 935 1568 2678 1361 1077 838 3022 1292 1518 1486 1200 1236 549 1920 1712 1098 948 1215 680 1255 1638 Hassanab Jun 1731 1090 2360 2764 1237 772 3458 2265 1064 1115 790 1196 1332 790 1811 927 1913 1119 1003 1208 1299 1098 1034 1715 1107 2221 743 1356 1316 2633 1225 2363 1457 1918 1419 Jul 3782 933 1346 1918 1248 984 2105 1558 2110 1168 770 2285 2244 3814 2385 1237 1214 1579 1954 2148 2419 1724 1776 1655 1506 2205 1080 1871 1490 1182 1336 1622 1488 1784 1381 Aug 2557 784 1127 1319 1012 1239 1350 1880 6120 954 822 2345 2696 1758 1885 1117 897 2908 2882 1892 1322 1531 2080 1960 1241 1038 1180 2107 1900 1402 1703 2182 1425 1650 1227 Sep 1764 1202 2786 1194 2133 1160 1153 1227 3670 1526 3346 1473 3401 1141 1351 1673 892 4483 2976 1979 1435 1540 1745 2161 1578 1594 1738 2088 2236 1723 1474 2494 1626 1389 2634 Oct 1335 1474 3210 1212 3511 3766 1292 1077 2660 3106 1987 1035 1360 1623 1011 3256 983 4175 3415 1684 1289 2604 1059 2508 1785 1677 1954 2104 2391 1615 1399 2589 1883 1410 1684 Nov 1111 3878 1620 1073 2141 2640 1188 2957 1780 2668 1059 952 1505 4737 937 1769 791 2305 2095 1700 1833 2080 1181 1247 1053 1527 1502 2468 1398 2623 2475 1642 1101 1354 2555 Dec 935 4686 1228 1409 1910 3644 1117 2597 1269 2236 934 743 1133 4180 997 1453 830 1380 1487 2399 1225 1704 1865 1748 1815 1363 1169 1433 1812 1514 2036 728 2052 1700 1115 Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
C-32
Jan
1061
1163
1000
1371
1144
1266
984
1194
1122
1094
1367
1002
1202
1010
1106
1021
1207
1080
839
1020
1001
1135
932
1166
1277
1015
1342
893
954
1001
1023
1037
1045
1436
842
Feb
1019
1035
902
975
1198
1013
1017
827
1054
1017
1225
1184
887
963
1037
1199
938
878
886
992
846
963
903
864
1023
933
1446
904
1015
1085
1081
977
1026
977
852
Mar
798
671
924
655
900
723
1074
1025
820
905
911
953
865
843
855
979
1006
971
918
1060
772
792
1001
708
768
857
1035
738
778
1058
828
1035
1058
1499
731
Apr
1148
661
800
766
659
980
741
1128
667
901
1181
984
1266
824
757
1320
1088
935
717
758
1094
919
948
699
1061
838
1207
790
756
599
1081
756
854
922
725
May
455
1518
1123
867
540
295
1469
682
348
767
447
1345
1149
897
1131
672
508
646
2825
1628
1218
2112
1158
1717
1358
2404
1744
752
821
843
383
367
661
1089
585
Hubeida
Jun
1741
853
609
397
958
747
479
3345
2501
998
652
1266
1716
2222
2079
4783
1712
919
1319
5174
464
2412
1489
492
2874
1684
2110
945
1145
769
815
1126
1331
2030
4192
Jul
7994
1779
1948
3821
650
3420
3683
3738
2310
4065
1876
4856
3582
1202
2391
2065
8009
4275
1747
2526
3407
4713
3486
1516
1801
4437
1024
439
1301
1417
2814
1304
3431
6017
2030
Aug
3138
5974
2637
4743
1872
2918
3298
4821
6930
3023
4898
5366
2222
2774
3204
3743
4730
3264
2608
4997
4077
4255
4102
3507
1812
1469
5703
4729
2703
2366
2618
2216
2236
5744
3915
Sep
3728
1536
6562
2454
3246
3455
2891
3823
4477
6269
6311
6440
1974
4987
4936
2509
4652
5747
3086
2864
2604
7210
4653
2101
3474
3839
3952
3232
5167
1825
5663
3851
4550
2215
2806
Oct
1137
1883
2413
1127
3138
719
2078
3704
2453
2377
2816
1076
3136
4280
6081
3972
4692
1493
7894
3887
3933
2120
1036
3001
2513
3754
2186
1366
3367
1836
3185
1173
1840
1463
813
Nov
1463
540
1086
2425
2244
520
1801
618
1710
539
2831
12789
4091
3924
3636
3536
1823
1444
2885
966
2124
4695
4328
1722
422
1859
1223
939
602
5539
1915
1642
1835
2542
2441
Dec
1603
1280
562
702
740
645
1974
1087
1667
1902
2976
1619
851
4193
814
930
1007
1058
605
1330
2911
3207
1175
2039
485
2124
1060
1283
1716
1760
1461
596
1491
1247
1051
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Jan
2367
1038
3388
1532
2110
1361
3149
2060
1106
1102
1454
537
1688
419
941
317
1065
932
2013
1018
467
2226
963
723
535
1942
1889
1276
530
1897
415
2505
4383
2500
2184
Feb
4279
5700
3095
1461
3238
1193
1019
3174
603
1648
588
1347
852
1360
450
900
746
1783
2091
1277
584
1266
677
1408
2435
1749
5670
2161
807
1236
1220
2914
1934
1188
3362
Mar
2156
5122
2528
5624
7887
1790
5034
2354
1894
1519
1131
3124
1258
1336
542
1818
3056
1232
629
692
405
1755
1911
1304
1837
1325
3264
1913
1264
1025
1347
1286
588
1812
4036
Apr
3019
2622
1216
3079
1038
1317
3435
1366
444
1686
842
1198
2129
1277
786
2170
1648
641
627
1326
828
919
1854
2698
1563
1900
2807
4212
1556
3367
2454
1930
5848
3854
6253
May 2011
May
2015
2187
4688
1118
4647
734
1387
1138
2000
360
1509
2051
533
1371
335
1645
723
649
518
890
1679
1243
2659
4049
5107
2494
4409
1015
4207
3430
2090
518
679
1343
3925
Kajnarty
Jun
4593
1419
722
3153
2722
2348
638
1300
969
2838
949
1893
2756
1581
904
438
2642
1145
950
1184
3167
1802
1657
3151
704
1312
3778
3030
3619
1361
2070
3406
1727
2336
1238
Jul
1824
3175
2049
1446
1562
1822
2267
2496
1957
875
749
1658
3157
3590
1622
1124
1710
3105
2241
1157
3221
2093
1983
1798
2189
3337
1091
1483
2032
4684
1505
3523
894
553
3860
Aug
1340
1731
3063
1416
2638
3131
2092
3339
2774
1341
1854
1880
2112
872
968
4876
2156
2172
1467
3332
1998
2290
3286
1103
2264
2258
1487
1206
1829
1708
1774
1618
1955
5718
1693
Sep
1307
3719
1301
2275
3763
3065
2255
2945
3842
1859
3625
2126
2879
1418
3386
3291
898
4261
3047
6792
2844
1403
4018
3520
1333
3379
1427
3754
1281
943
1618
1547
1608
2223
4401
Oct
1608
2718
1211
3060
2308
2527
3681
2298
2571
3075
1149
4335
1967
1619
1504
3101
1013
4845
1970
1256
1089
3144
2958
1537
1655
1806
3598
2926
2022
2416
1414
1311
5113
1710
2074
Nov
2377
2898
1752
844
5588
1252
1461
3350
3172
1002
2329
2844
3262
3897
1342
2590
1266
1771
7607
3375
3114
2101
1207
2832
2292
1580
2031
2119
1349
2768
1309
2447
2478
2724
1400
Dec
1304
1859
2349
1476
2371
1559
1351
1204
2993
2972
395
1016
2589
4390
699
702
4341
1485
1237
962
2875
1714
1671
947
1110
708
3216
1739
1426
1342
5930
1324
1831
1594
974
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
C-33
Jan
1079
1827
3196
3740
884
511
610
1326
1061
212
895
790
1436
103
2110
2627
3034
116
1305
4020
170
352
1096
902
1746
224
147
1134
355
1458
1717
1135
364
328
2694
Feb
2521
973
2514
4600
2857
2161
582
4475
445
244
1007
2116
914
125
762
2917
3308
109
535
1810
95
262
617
644
3788
110
198
1065
2075
1148
547
471
1151
1052
1025
Mar
2530
487
1092
2756
2584
3213
1756
5789
207
288
2026
3314
588
174
679
3073
1955
101
206
501
87
258
450
731
1507
153
788
882
639
511
756
650
744
2657
890
Apr
1500
209
538
1705
1818
2289
3584
3564
194
327
1875
1994
2072
376
1637
1852
826
168
146
140
181
265
455
1308
1439
444
3793
580
257
372
820
1346
1612
607
753
May
1539
432
274
514
2651
954
3974
1560
521
750
589
2502
4613
580
1545
1033
206
166
155
84
508
1810
3029
1116
1012
338
994
614
287
303
775
1599
1769
533
343
Khartoum
Jun
706
603
190
483
2643
478
1299
901
1357
2170
260
2494
3904
1181
535
393
139
370
194
54
4390
1453
599
1647
1215
666
170
804
3409
537
5422
610
350
570
2924
Jul
405
1233
190
244
1636
214
589
390
3708
1617
93
1110
3216
2085
290
206
126
519
321
61
2385
246
514
3389
304
1930
2734
1016
918
2137
1425
208
566
347
246
Aug
297
2230
146
176
1479
295
288
213
5594
1109
88
610
3030
816
152
163
622
1416
267
2895
1609
714
4739
7259
1025
4924
1267
1014
589
2270
1002
452
979
956
371
Sep
205
2890
181
204
937
886
195
277
3317
703
287
1684
2999
1363
197
1843
4146
3045
436
6098
552
754
2030
3391
644
1906
1224
875
1418
1315
344
1221
424
2200
2957
Oct
412
1290
288
176
348
2909
129
2507
2466
912
2217
1690
1827
2152
261
3039
5387
4603
3075
5123
2453
907
1236
2603
429
1296
977
1876
853
327
2578
969
673
2192
3910
Nov
2248
523
808
170
265
3470
181
2807
1617
1509
2596
891
1007
3631
1146
2230
2582
4268
5273
1052
1081
630
1980
3227
388
1763
901
2024
3697
1019
586
856
2149
2478
357
Dec
3292
1332
2343
280
205
2258
377
1405
617
1369
1348
415
318
3924
3014
2013
2061
2383
5100
654
300
535
757
1396
889
504
1484
274
1099
1208
2887
733
2746
634
96
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Jan
6
48
19
18
192
14
44
79
125
43
54
104
30
80
190
75
297
62
131
42
108
317
134
91
41
220
371
141
112
38
331
19
320
187
275
Feb
205
180
411
1412
200
161
75
228
176
93
451
83
475
277
178
87
1096
415
185
129
71
233
106
66
332
213
68
242
170
595
402
17
101
46
862
Mar
105
349
417
232
885
217
238
234
66
135
203
284
250
212
365
142
1085
321
82
305
241
289
1202
96
131
346
681
241
183
398
825
243
299
115
436
Apr
233
419
159
235
693
344
278
126
478
653
227
500
466
1316
453
927
397
324
543
200
261
314
286
1213
357
427
278
267
187
645
1033
1252
2189
659
1722
May 2011
May
827
1190
169
910
407
200
129
317
1077
219
543
369
1903
797
495
284
388
124
214
301
251
405
768
674
98
903
325
175
774
254
677
371
718
570
488
Kilotres
Jun
812
259
626
853
392
257
217
575
369
968
836
284
869
330
709
156
903
468
1119
1496
1595
972
948
146
732
246
2307
738
315
415
280
1638
355
938
575
Jul
332
1193
212
121
464
78
177
1628
405
852
295
244
128
188
90
708
126
484
1113
128
108
94
149
62
341
268
245
254
1712
605
108
729
127
111
292
Aug
355
389
548
401
48
129
596
269
124
375
255
226
103
128
222
223
172
1260
177
528
189
196
146
62
253
489
121
207
245
229
589
488
58
89
106
Sep
503
319
382
128
228
332
139
964
122
121
203
166
102
696
143
149
728
107
139
409
140
87
447
134
211
250
283
261
75
388
169
23
309
398
243
Oct
726
100
82
255
319
59
326
234
226
37
108
266
82
346
96
128
230
286
210
185
157
113
177
161
386
346
211
853
408
719
81
263
284
286
126
Nov
470
73
131
77
350
28
85
207
173
183
116
75
89
536
75
101
72
58
323
65
228
182
86
24
289
81
496
537
58
85
130
132
76
55
153
Dec
352
133
1610
149
58
90
32
81
621
82
115
40
147
96
168
63
146
121
71
20
213
12
130
51
123
65
82
407
41
219
63
66
227
63
36
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
C-34
Jan
779
728
765
760
638
1518
1323
1365
1350
1367
1285
1282
1202
1290
1060
1218
1047
1125
1433
1312
1183
1395
1529
976
1119
780
904
889
944
1161
717
1334
1068
858
1041
Feb
812
745
749
887
784
1532
1307
1302
1313
1062
1075
1119
878
1310
784
1058
685
979
1448
1182
853
1503
1089
1218
861
954
763
908
690
947
1207
1069
792
852
1317
Mar
1026
975
880
1012
929
1422
1040
1168
1110
907
766
784
715
1108
637
697
584
682
1407
924
642
820
825
1255
988
847
550
856
1135
1002
765
799
679
743
560
Apr
1157
1088
1090
1183
1009
1138
769
843
962
758
682
665
633
796
563
577
551
599
847
756
574
838
907
700
907
664
640
1093
608
715
833
1110
1091
857
810
May
1248
1263
1225
1238
777
803
705
672
840
723
671
636
581
691
551
581
552
582
644
660
580
645
972
842
785
828
543
614
709
820
1225
814
725
879
843
Malakal
Jun
1360
1403
1423
1232
712
744
699
681
746
673
647
623
558
659
587
574
548
551
669
620
685
743
756
1159
913
830
390
1058
1057
1066
919
717
906
740
913
Jul
1418
1543
1497
1227
673
698
646
773
754
755
667
671
620
678
660
586
567
583
687
668
816
748
803
1110
927
1075
345
1236
906
950
688
1260
523
606
1070
Aug
1485
1543
1522
1059
665
835
703
920
920
920
823
793
746
842
865
656
780
847
832
823
1015
1197
866
1075
854
984
564
769
898
840
659
1134
1199
1226
940
Sep
1378
1497
1450
875
776
977
949
1025
1073
1051
929
984
935
1017
994
893
945
1010
966
1003
1155
1009
704
990
810
1230
704
904
925
1030
972
899
1234
817
1479
Oct
988
1210
1048
722
995
1093
1102
1133
1252
1143
1077
1087
1112
1128
1087
1032
1031
1123
1115
1117
1282
845
792
1128
1120
1210
816
1034
1024
1033
975
862
1092
892
1018
Nov
857
966
839
642
1187
1138
1233
1238
1350
1233
1260
1153
1228
1187
1183
1218
1100
1262
1198
1158
1347
842
1093
767
1100
1109
951
1303
1504
609
636
979
784
913
1047
Dec
800
870
735
623
1367
1245
1323
1283
1395
1298
1352
1210
1297
1212
1237
1152
1130
1402
1282
1188
1393
910
1106
1001
1185
1063
698
1097
677
997
1094
860
723
1378
477
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Jan
1098
1227
1010
770
995
1076
1016
1013
887
715
925
778
965
1001
850
693
707
1068
1005
1000
828
1157
992
855
905
803
719
834
614
1144
801
852
718
977
964
Feb
1272
991
1168
691
1133
1049
961
964
971
671
855
693
817
928
833
604
633
1068
1421
996
917
983
1036
783
689
991
706
789
975
1026
867
1073
846
802
1331
Mar
1191
995
973
914
1014
1005
933
832
1025
913
697
660
761
880
620
569
666
956
862
1000
849
972
797
927
909
763
775
1000
969
849
1010
847
801
775
899
Apr
1068
953
1040
771
785
974
1097
724
889
976
881
653
927
699
568
563
1065
830
876
986
965
936
601
1039
857
990
836
956
743
645
1014
727
815
825
957
May 2011
May
1075
794
1224
816
736
1118
1058
811
691
1021
845
927
866
703
608
694
680
854
940
701
834
995
904
845
1331
761
983
955
796
972
990
1024
884
866
703
Morgren
Jun
1164
1010
1220
1232
1213
746
857
896
691
868
980
984
980
783
653
672
653
856
909
766
975
742
966
868
950
881
704
972
952
847
982
732
1028
938
994
Jul
1097
1002
832
1302
1264
885
663
757
751
791
703
1053
705
735
765
740
793
651
713
700
884
689
1085
1025
758
859
675
876
1030
859
709
818
875
789
1130
Aug
950
1272
610
1036
973
1198
731
781
981
868
748
917
670
818
761
862
850
934
1090
751
1033
1016
922
931
1009
925
805
843
1077
1092
961
872
882
1056
784
Sep
719
1352
999
845
856
1071
1176
637
947
919
685
716
708
813
733
784
772
880
762
1021
958
749
623
805
946
988
924
844
892
861
1016
705
818
823
1204
Oct
687
1088
918
1218
794
1122
1231
571
793
840
668
685
724
663
731
787
763
1017
1114
781
706
1030
790
1065
668
1150
1119
817
793
794
812
659
998
738
941
Nov
1189
988
1029
1045
1002
868
1058
698
778
979
776
742
806
622
724
826
670
1227
907
948
812
868
782
814
882
778
898
761
1095
808
936
954
708
716
855
Dec
1291
1044
1094
1042
1016
738
861
758
718
718
988
883
878
659
758
823
1175
852
937
960
894
941
846
884
845
853
847
761
866
974
861
894
841
962
690
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
C-35
Jan
1633
1585
1074
920
585
1673
1121
1143
867
665
524
1247
417
762
1063
952
441
399
1030
1292
1576
1626
1408
1159
1306
1250
85
1137
1154
932
633
2098
1463
519
1211
Feb
1153
948
1548
1418
754
1746
893
1248
555
409
306
662
228
540
540
886
344
628
836
1125
1136
1118
1082
953
1206
1013
78
1039
1038
610
960
1415
446
802
1770
Mar
2168
1171
1662
863
730
997
475
938
558
446
761
912
349
569
624
396
298
433
706
897
998
796
963
978
1101
1070
69
912
1000
574
571
807
485
479
396
Apr
867
2156
2698
1504
2011
476
1370
969
1351
456
487
614
581
484
2099
301
381
927
789
842
900
724
793
740
946
1540
73
1230
1408
560
390
574
459
386
692
May
4236
2176
2013
2271
843
996
1403
853
1932
900
1264
581
762
1192
724
540
420
1041
1116
1268
1146
846
798
842
1506
1357
88
1212
1138
930
1690
882
744
383
1731
Tamaniat
Jun
Jul
2399
1707
1326
2108
2908
5103
1884
1087
949
1119
716
1413
774
588
1009
1559
1074
5421
1369
1060
506
804
705
700
706
1356
1029
2622
864
822
747
352
638
135
1220
1044
1002
958
1177
891
1417
1291
1223
998
1072
1043
1056
1256
1437
1481
1716
3024
118
336
1462
2729
1111
1851
2879
1200
971
1134
602
3083
804
484
1279
387
999
4932
Aug
3696
2896
3860
716
11639
5860
1807
1620
16931
3248
1178
543
2299
2101
972
139
537
4870
1973
1271
2072
885
865
1572
2636
5888
315
6936
5473
5142
1980
13081
3820
2917
841
Sep
3215
10536
7140
4776
7098
4474
4287
952
12669
2299
2261
1531
1871
3246
1542
2019
2326
4529
5016
2578
4059
3333
1599
3108
5179
3059
487
6793
6608
5817
4265
3314
4411
2357
12975
Oct
3895
15091
6333
2247
7688
12383
4020
3528
4788
6586
2439
4132
3076
3992
1625
3232
2829
2986
7058
6601
6639
7529
4139
6165
4040
2537
429
5388
3812
4228
3142
4001
11108
3849
12469
Nov
1703
4946
2171
2513
4084
8705
3462
4006
2089
4588
4347
462
1531
3274
3303
1755
2724
3043
2264
3387
5002
6281
3418
3364
2622
2971
792
3203
2791
1077
2504
1882
1555
2564
2446
Dec
2382
2220
1850
1818
3530
4332
1253
2519
1006
1075
2045
970
1766
2096
2262
1483
1518
1932
1646
3184
2624
2004
1484
1690
2982
1594
1032
1703
1617
1683
2822
1416
409
3109
305
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Jan
279
195
292
245
343
264
297
312
218
212
231
188
208
120
202
156
191
289
316
191
255
345
336
193
210
320
346
436
410
337
414
263
190
329
434
Feb
165
113
182
198
205
181
185
209
142
149
142
129
124
81
130
104
146
177
187
119
177
212
201
125
127
175
244
293
331
191
302
206
121
151
215
Mar
105
66
142
119
162
128
133
121
101
140
121
90
72
56
109
132
148
138
132
98
121
135
132
101
132
226
193
171
105
283
250
226
105
73
160
Apr
113
66
93
80
109
98
105
95
125
129
84
96
52
93
124
122
85
163
105
128
97
270
107
135
188
208
244
119
230
311
245
199
99
98
178
May
184
263
294
116
231
176
189
287
171
183
120
159
110
275
544
303
102
164
108
238
238
422
272
202
514
331
311
324
313
354
181
160
243
159
306
May 2011
Eldeim
Jun
485
678
813
542
573
677
603
648
505
415
401
424
711
544
552
954
817
448
310
602
556
1141
749
550
1568
1057
650
871
903
1054
773
759
572
671
572
Jul
1868
2022
3294
2799
2088
3735
2794
2095
2870
2327
1642
1498
2354
2274
2499
1766
4702
2369
1759
3159
1583
3167
3110
1945
3916
3111
3193
3230
2926
3612
2460
3273
2298
2021
2920
Aug
3630
6553
6294
6475
5707
5901
4723
4602
5647
5205
4117
5503
3260
5765
3812
3793
7434
4548
4775
5467
4445
5702
6691
4889
6362
4546
7082
6348
6825
6952
4646
5404
5886
6125
5275
Sep
2670
4660
4676
6917
3611
4599
4201
3268
3503
4510
2982
3943
2809
4981
3362
2627
5764
4151
3778
4311
3978
4934
5172
3403
4391
2730
6072
4715
4220
4775
3173
4088
3009
5243
3256
Oct
1202
2429
2168
2699
1470
2393
2901
1633
1745
1972
1981
2143
925
1711
1417
1576
3779
1807
1904
1767
2945
2913
1674
1431
2181
1847
4304
4385
3460
2031
1386
1858
1286
1898
2661
Nov
645
961
861
1045
968
1471
948
714
696
716
703
814
372
670
536
745
1230
649
641
802
1262
1293
844
628
888
1584
1540
1541
1539
1000
671
665
979
550
1008
Dec
339
468
490
554
472
561
494
375
376
365
353
381
213
366
276
351
562
416
325
450
619
590
417
335
507
654
736
723
694
536
408
382
469
419
387
C-36
EAPP/EAC Regional
C.8
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Tanzania
Jan
63.7
93.7
10.8
98.3
20.9
63.0
42.4
50.3
64.8
16.6
12.8
272.6
109.2
49.7
66.6
360.3
17.5
102.7
114.0
13.0
19.3
45.9
24.3
16.0
35.3
11.9
1060.1
8.7
12.9
608.3
342.1
269.1
38.7
100.0
9.4
Feb
244.3
200.5
21.6
193.2
58.5
227.1
186.8
370.3
146.9
38.6
31.9
290.2
266.7
290.5
166.4
515.7
118.1
278.7
162.6
96.4
93.9
306.9
169.9
94.5
421.3
54.0
1822.4
20.8
15.5
492.8
204.1
143.7
118.8
158.6
14.9
Mar
546.6
272.1
60.4
399.9
183.9
205.4
767.0
491.1
189.8
71.3
141.2
222.1
302.5
614.1
185.7
511.6
293.3
331.1
398.6
140.0
201.5
382.6
585.4
370.9
741.8
108.0
1087.0
147.5
84.9
350.1
462.4
138.5
227.1
216.6
41.9
Apr
407.4
247.0
220.9
325.6
223.9
132.9
675.9
506.1
219.1
219.0
220.1
149.4
351.7
269.8
178.0
338.9
425.7
386.3
385.5
133.5
163.5
303.4
548.6
288.4
883.5
97.5
534.0
397.5
184.6
294.5
523.4
180.8
252.9
215.2
50.0
May 2011
Mtera
May
Jun
246.4
115.5
144.0
70.7
237.6
127.5
192.4
88.0
156.9
79.5
98.3
62.4
315.9
138.5
366.0
209.6
142.9
74.6
144.7
77.8
173.8
95.7
84.7
41.0
236.3
117.7
166.2
84.5
124.9
61.6
196.4
91.5
255.4
121.5
270.5
135.4
244.6
131.7
98.9
56.3
84.9
40.5
186.5
88.3
287.0
128.1
163.5
76.6
306.0
146.1
63.1
28.3
288.7
138.7
322.6
157.5
161.2
84.0
48.7
80.3
149.1
82.1
52.8
40.1
92.0
51.1
79.5
31.7
26.5
16.9
Jul
52.7
31.7
62.7
39.5
36.9
31.0
60.9
94.6
34.3
36.6
46.4
17.8
55.8
39.8
27.0
41.7
55.7
63.0
64.0
26.6
16.6
40.5
56.9
34.2
66.9
11.3
64.0
69.2
39.4
74.4
59.9
34.4
28.7
23.5
11.3
Aug
21.9
12.9
27.5
16.1
14.9
12.6
25.3
41.9
14.9
15.6
19.5
7.3
23.9
16.5
10.2
17.7
23.3
26.9
27.9
11.1
6.5
16.7
23.6
14.0
28.7
4.2
27.4
29.4
15.9
30.9
26.4
14.5
11.9
9.6
10.4
Sep
9.0
5.3
11.7
6.6
5.8
4.7
10.3
17.1
6.5
6.7
7.8
3.1
10.0
6.7
3.7
7.6
9.5
11.1
11.7
4.5
2.6
6.8
9.6
5.8
11.9
1.6
11.4
11.8
6.2
13.2
10.0
5.7
4.8
4.4
10.2
Oct
3.8
2.2
5.1
2.8
2.3
1.7
4.3
6.9
3.4
2.9
3.3
1.7
4.3
2.8
1.5
3.6
4.0
4.6
5.0
2.2
1.2
3.2
4.0
2.5
5.0
0.6
4.9
4.8
2.4
5.8
4.4
2.6
1.8
1.7
6.7
Nov
2.2
3.2
3.5
1.2
1.5
1.8
3.7
3.0
2.0
1.4
3.5
2.3
4.0
5.7
1.8
3.6
2.5
2.4
2.5
1.3
2.2
2.0
1.7
1.1
2.4
4.3
2.1
2.1
6.9
3.6
3.7
2.2
2.1
1.7
1.7
Dec
10.7
7.6
7.2
6.7
4.6
8.2
15.2
9.3
6.8
5.6
37.0
8.9
13.2
13.6
26.9
5.5
5.0
16.6
2.6
6.0
5.1
2.0
2.6
5.4
5.5
355.7
1.3
6.8
49.6
25.7
48.2
12.8
16.1
7.1
304.7
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
C-37
Jan
10.0
27.0
1.9
8.1
19.5
1.9
21.4
38.2
37.3
41.5
6.6
95.0
39.5
23.6
41.3
43.1
28.1
47.1
67.9
28.8
9.7
18.0
21.7
35.5
25.9
18.5
132.8
23.9
11.2
76.8
27.3
42.7
28.1
23.4
8.3
Feb
26.2
42.7
6.5
16.2
15.7
17.9
23.2
218.5
93.7
43.5
5.6
34.3
44.1
38.8
29.6
159.2
6.4
35.2
30.8
35.9
16.7
20.1
50.6
29.1
59.2
31.3
174.7
18.4
18.2
46.2
22.5
33.2
33.4
26.4
11.4
Mar
114.3
51.1
7.7
54.0
35.7
21.5
125.8
297.4
36.0
43.6
23.5
44.6
30.3
116.9
31.2
198.4
42.5
53.3
4.1
34.9
33.5
37.6
52.4
67.2
36.7
37.9
123.6
52.3
46.2
24.4
73.1
17.4
47.8
41.3
16.3
Apr
302.8
137.3
62.4
119.2
60.1
43.2
254.5
378.8
107.0
66.4
34.8
41.1
118.1
158.3
124.4
111.7
26.9
934.7
124.9
85.2
74.6
58.7
32.9
79.9
86.9
83.4
178.4
95.6
43.1
75.0
116.5
34.0
61.0
43.1
26.4
May
141.1
70.9
269.2
96.2
47.3
43.7
61.8
299.5
67.3
51.2
38.4
51.2
82.3
0.7
91.0
52.7
15.5
81.8
63.0
41.7
72.8
55.7
38.3
55.0
52.4
28.6
104.9
57.0
30.2
68.4
58.5
15.1
23.8
28.8
28.9
KIDA
Jun
39.7
25.5
41.1
30.8
22.7
24.6
25.5
54.1
27.4
38.1
8.4
39.9
44.0
31.8
60.0
40.2
18.4
0.0
27.4
25.8
30.8
21.5
20.2
38.7
33.9
21.1
54.1
27.2
21.3
36.3
23.3
8.3
12.2
21.1
16.2
Jul
20.0
13.2
20.7
15.9
11.7
13.0
12.7
23.9
14.1
7.7
15.3
32.8
19.7
21.6
21.0
12.2
20.9
37.1
25.8
4.6
32.7
19.0
18.2
20.4
17.1
23.8
38.8
27.3
12.9
20.6
13.5
12.2
10.6
16.3
12.5
Aug
10.1
6.7
10.5
8.0
5.9
6.6
6.4
12.1
7.2
6.9
8.7
3.5
22.8
21.0
18.6
17.5
6.5
27.8
18.8
8.3
15.1
15.3
13.5
21.3
12.3
15.5
30.9
21.2
43.7
16.4
11.5
6.3
14.3
10.8
11.5
Sep
5.6
3.4
5.4
4.1
3.0
3.6
3.2
6.1
3.6
4.9
0.6
12.0
12.2
18.1
12.5
15.5
5.1
21.6
14.6
5.6
18.7
16.4
10.2
15.4
9.2
11.9
23.1
16.4
17.4
19.6
12.7
8.4
5.8
6.9
9.7
Oct
2.7
1.7
2.9
2.1
1.5
1.9
1.6
3.2
1.9
7.3
17.7
0.8
15.1
15.4
21.2
13.3
1.8
13.9
20.4
8.5
14.8
7.8
15.2
8.0
9.5
17.4
17.7
18.1
7.5
10.2
9.1
6.0
11.2
8.7
9.4
Nov
2.0
1.4
1.3
1.1
0.8
1.5
2.1
1.6
1.4
10.9
21.1
12.3
29.6
15.7
15.3
3.7
3.8
15.1
15.0
11.2
16.6
15.1
7.6
22.8
7.6
18.6
12.7
8.8
20.2
19.7
11.4
7.7
9.3
11.2
9.5
Dec
2.0
1.1
1.2
2.3
0.8
4.0
15.2
2.6
1.5
17.9
83.3
17.4
48.9
36.6
56.0
16.9
19.3
43.9
12.3
27.5
19.1
13.0
12.1
14.1
10.0
165.0
12.1
21.5
47.3
25.9
19.4
17.5
27.2
12.1
30.4
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Jan
5.8
33.2
7.1
11.1
8.2
9.0
28.1
16.9
9.8
14.0
6.1
12.1
10.8
10.4
20.3
15.3
10.5
16.7
19.9
10.3
13.8
31.9
6.9
10.1
8.0
2.1
92.5
7.9
40.7
20.5
15.0
21.5
2.1
5.1
15.6
Feb
15.0
19.7
7.7
7.1
9.9
9.5
22.9
29.3
9.8
7.6
7.0
10.5
7.2
18.2
8.5
8.4
6.6
12.7
13.4
7.4
4.9
28.4
8.2
7.2
11.3
1.3
42.1
3.6
8.9
21.0
14.5
1.6
24.5
4.4
15.0
Mar
19.3
13.2
10.5
9.4
12.8
12.0
37.1
23.3
17.1
24.7
5.8
10.4
7.4
12.1
9.6
10.9
23.6
10.4
50.7
8.7
7.5
17.3
15.0
16.0
10.8
5.0
9.3
23.6
8.9
11.3
16.1
6.0
15.4
3.1
22.8
Apr
29.5
33.7
74.6
29.3
22.2
59.2
76.6
51.2
34.2
77.8
28.4
16.8
31.8
56.1
40.3
20.5
79.1
60.9
142.8
24.1
38.0
15.5
17.3
39.1
56.8
52.4
79.5
51.7
16.7
21.3
23.2
12.1
28.4
22.7
54.3
May 2011
May
65.8
74.1
49.3
40.4
31.4
64.8
69.8
28.5
107.2
98.5
60.7
58.3
45.6
62.3
72.6
49.5
56.0
89.8
76.3
59.8
60.7
19.1
50.7
63.7
75.4
60.5
25.8
74.3
25.9
27.0
50.8
43.5
26.0
16.1
99.4
NYUM
Jun
46.6
33.8
29.4
24.2
23.2
26.3
37.5
5.7
13.4
33.4
34.8
38.2
25.6
30.6
53.4
27.0
30.7
47.3
5.7
39.2
40.1
14.4
21.4
42.6
41.4
34.2
11.7
44.1
13.6
57.4
33.0
35.2
10.5
36.7
45.7
Jul
24.4
24.5
39.5
23.1
16.1
14.5
32.8
15.4
8.3
9.1
29.2
21.7
25.9
20.3
23.6
17.2
17.4
25.7
8.5
18.0
21.7
16.6
30.9
16.6
20.6
20.2
21.0
30.1
8.9
18.5
11.2
16.5
11.5
17.2
29.0
Aug
18.1
17.2
21.5
15.7
11.4
14.5
19.6
4.5
16.7
14.0
21.4
15.7
18.6
15.3
14.6
17.8
14.1
18.2
33.9
18.4
18.2
14.2
12.0
10.0
12.2
7.9
19.3
22.0
11.7
15.1
10.5
13.0
9.5
9.1
31.4
Sep
14.7
10.7
11.8
11.8
10.5
10.0
8.8
17.9
12.9
13.2
17.3
9.0
12.5
10.0
11.4
14.1
12.2
16.7
28.1
14.7
13.1
10.9
10.5
7.6
7.9
5.5
16.3
13.7
11.5
11.1
3.9
9.9
8.1
5.6
26.1
Oct
15.7
9.6
9.2
11.3
9.1
9.8
5.7
13.2
11.1
16.0
33.5
9.0
9.4
9.8
11.6
10.0
7.9
11.7
12.0
13.1
10.2
9.7
7.3
7.7
5.7
5.7
9.7
10.1
10.7
9.0
14.1
9.5
10.9
6.0
23.7
Nov
34.4
11.1
7.9
7.6
8.2
17.0
14.6
11.9
17.0
11.6
36.1
7.8
25.6
13.4
11.7
11.3
12.8
12.0
19.2
12.1
10.7
7.5
10.3
5.7
4.2
38.5
7.8
8.4
15.0
7.2
26.3
12.2
15.2
6.7
41.4
Dec
24.8
10.2
8.6
10.0
9.0
17.9
40.9
12.8
19.7
14.8
49.9
14.6
27.6
13.8
24.3
8.7
12.6
20.4
19.4
21.4
12.8
8.5
22.7
5.7
3.7
70.1
8.0
8.4
16.5
9.0
27.2
3.7
7.3
5.2
53.8
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
C-38
Jan
3.9
6.4
2.7
5.2
1.4
2.2
7.2
2.5
1.8
4.8
1.4
2.6
8.4
1.2
5.9
6.6
3.7
9.3
5.7
3.0
6.2
5.0
1.2
1.4
2.8
1.7
30.0
5.6
2.8
3.5
2.8
3.6
2.3
2.5
3.7
Feb
3.8
4.7
0.7
0.8
1.6
4.1
5.2
11.1
1.8
2.6
2.0
3.4
3.6
6.9
0.7
3.1
1.0
2.6
3.5
6.7
1.2
3.5
2.9
1.5
5.6
2.1
17.5
3.9
1.9
3.8
2.8
0.9
4.4
1.3
3.4
Mar
9.8
2.4
1.8
4.7
4.5
5.9
18.0
7.6
4.5
5.3
5.2
4.4
2.4
2.3
4.8
5.1
5.0
4.8
16.8
5.8
2.9
5.7
5.5
5.6
10.7
4.6
29.9
10.1
4.0
4.8
5.5
2.9
5.8
2.3
1.2
Apr
12.4
8.5
24.4
19.1
11.5
20.2
30.5
40.2
16.3
25.8
7.0
7.5
15.8
17.6
18.0
7.6
24.0
11.2
45.9
12.1
11.4
2.4
19.1
18.9
18.6
17.1
43.6
21.1
5.0
10.7
11.8
6.1
13.3
8.0
2.9
May
20.9
16.5
8.4
16.7
17.9
15.7
24.1
23.9
25.9
27.0
17.4
20.8
22.4
14.5
14.5
11.2
7.7
12.7
20.9
13.6
13.7
2.1
10.6
13.5
12.0
10.7
21.8
7.7
2.8
11.4
14.4
13.3
11.4
9.1
11.6
HALE
Jun
7.6
5.8
2.7
7.6
7.4
4.9
12.3
25.4
6.6
5.1
8.1
9.5
9.2
3.0
12.0
4.0
3.8
3.5
5.0
3.2
2.8
3.0
4.7
3.3
4.5
7.0
6.8
5.1
0.7
6.0
4.9
4.9
2.9
4.5
7.0
Jul
4.6
4.0
1.7
4.4
4.5
2.4
5.9
8.4
3.8
3.0
7.8
2.6
8.8
3.1
2.5
3.4
1.1
1.8
3.7
2.3
0.7
0.3
2.3
3.2
3.1
1.5
5.1
2.2
0.6
3.1
2.6
2.6
1.7
2.4
5.3
Aug
2.8
2.2
0.3
4.3
2.7
5.2
3.8
3.7
5.3
3.1
4.6
2.7
2.8
2.1
1.9
5.1
0.7
1.6
2.9
1.9
0.8
0.2
1.8
1.5
2.2
1.1
3.9
1.7
0.3
2.4
2.1
2.1
1.5
2.0
3.6
Sep
5.1
1.8
0.2
5.0
2.7
1.5
3.0
3.3
2.3
2.0
2.4
1.6
2.4
1.2
1.5
1.7
2.1
1.0
2.3
1.6
0.3
0.2
1.9
2.1
1.7
8.1
4.1
1.0
0.1
1.5
1.1
1.4
1.2
1.2
2.4
Oct
5.6
2.1
0.2
2.0
2.2
2.8
2.4
2.2
1.8
6.0
5.6
1.4
2.5
2.0
2.7
1.3
0.6
2.3
4.8
2.2
1.3
2.9
2.0
1.6
1.8
47.0
3.3
0.8
1.0
2.1
1.7
2.0
1.8
2.0
9.2
Nov
9.8
4.5
1.4
2.4
2.0
6.8
7.2
3.8
7.8
2.0
6.9
2.2
7.0
5.9
6.5
2.6
2.9
1.3
9.0
6.7
5.5
2.8
5.4
1.5
2.3
32.9
5.6
1.7
2.9
2.8
3.8
3.1
3.2
2.7
16.3
Dec
4.0
2.9
1.1
6.5
2.9
3.3
9.9
4.6
7.2
4.4
16.5
6.6
5.0
2.8
7.6
4.1
2.8
4.2
5.9
3.6
7.3
2.1
2.9
1.8
0.9
16.5
10.0
2.1
5.2
2.8
5.3
3.3
2.8
2.3
15.3
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Jan
5.3
37.3
0.9
13.0
20.2
1.9
33.2
37.2
54.4
9.4
0.4
56.8
15.0
16.5
14.5
56.2
0.8
37.8
25.7
3.4
0.2
20.6
0.5
0.6
0.4
0.3
49.1
0.4
1.6
14.8
11.9
15.4
12.8
14.1
6.3
Feb
41.7
45.8
10.2
21.3
15.4
30.3
33.6
69.0
27.6
30.2
5.5
26.9
35.3
30.7
21.9
35.8
16.1
34.2
21.0
28.8
23.9
37.6
19.1
17.7
35.8
3.0
77.7
0.3
16.1
15.2
13.0
12.8
15.8
13.2
8.3
Mar
56.5
41.8
21.4
43.2
47.9
27.0
74.2
73.6
34.7
26.5
28.8
56.2
46.7
33.0
28.3
54.4
71.5
47.4
51.8
17.4
42.7
52.4
61.9
108.2
62.1
36.2
59.2
29.9
38.6
13.7
18.0
11.2
14.8
14.0
9.0
Apr
64.8
60.8
71.9
53.9
40.8
39.5
48.6
92.8
56.7
79.0
64.8
38.7
54.3
44.0
41.5
48.1
48.5
71.7
51.4
87.8
61.5
43.9
46.2
41.8
53.6
42.8
95.3
65.8
36.8
25.7
48.1
16.4
33.7
19.7
15.0
May 2011
May
46.3
40.0
58.3
41.4
30.0
34.7
27.9
48.6
39.9
39.0
32.4
31.9
42.3
36.9
30.3
35.1
25.0
52.1
35.0
34.5
48.4
39.3
29.2
34.8
38.7
38.1
45.7
31.5
35.0
24.0
28.2
12.4
18.9
16.0
16.7
KIHA
Jun
25.8
18.4
25.7
20.9
13.8
18.2
13.0
23.7
20.0
18.5
15.7
17.7
19.6
16.9
15.9
18.8
13.2
26.7
17.3
17.5
24.3
19.0
14.7
18.0
22.7
17.6
21.9
14.7
16.2
16.3
18.1
11.2
15.3
13.1
11.0
Jul
12.3
8.9
12.1
10.0
6.6
8.7
6.3
11.3
9.6
8.9
7.6
8.4
9.4
8.2
7.6
9.0
6.3
12.8
8.3
8.4
11.7
9.1
7.1
8.6
10.8
8.4
10.6
7.1
7.8
13.5
14.7
9.4
12.3
11.5
8.8
Aug
5.9
4.2
5.7
4.8
3.2
4.1
3.0
5.3
4.5
4.2
3.6
4.0
4.5
3.9
3.6
4.3
3.0
6.1
4.0
4.0
5.6
4.3
3.4
4.1
5.2
4.0
5.0
3.4
3.7
12.3
12.5
8.6
10.4
10.1
8.0
Sep
2.9
2.0
2.7
2.3
1.5
2.0
1.4
2.6
2.2
2.0
1.7
1.9
2.2
1.9
1.7
2.1
1.4
2.9
1.9
1.9
2.7
2.1
1.6
2.0
2.5
1.9
2.4
1.6
1.8
10.3
12.5
8.2
9.5
8.6
7.4
Oct
1.4
1.0
1.4
1.1
0.7
1.0
0.7
1.2
1.1
1.0
1.0
0.9
1.1
0.9
0.9
1.0
0.7
1.4
0.9
0.9
1.3
1.0
0.9
1.0
1.2
1.1
1.2
0.8
0.9
9.7
9.8
7.3
9.2
7.3
6.7
Nov
0.9
0.6
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.6
0.7
0.6
0.6
0.5
0.8
0.5
0.7
0.7
0.6
0.7
0.4
0.8
0.6
0.5
0.8
0.5
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.4
0.8
8.4
10.1
6.3
9.0
6.7
6.3
Dec
2.4
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.4
3.0
20.9
0.8
0.5
0.4
59.7
0.5
2.1
0.4
6.8
0.3
0.5
3.2
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.4
106.4
0.3
0.4
15.7
16.8
11.4
8.9
14.9
6.0
12.2
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
C-39
Jan
63.7
93.7
10.8
98.3
20.9
63.0
42.4
50.3
64.8
16.6
12.8
272.6
109.2
49.7
66.6
360.3
17.5
102.7
114.0
13.0
19.3
45.9
24.3
16.0
35.3
11.9
1060.1
8.7
12.9
608.3
342.1
269.1
38.7
100.0
9.4
Feb
244.3
200.5
21.6
193.2
58.5
227.1
186.8
370.3
146.9
38.6
31.9
290.2
266.7
290.5
166.4
515.7
118.1
278.7
162.6
96.4
93.9
306.9
169.9
94.5
421.3
54.0
1822.4
20.8
15.5
492.8
204.1
143.7
118.8
158.6
14.9
Mar
546.6
272.1
60.4
399.9
183.9
205.4
767.0
491.1
189.8
71.3
141.2
222.1
302.5
614.1
185.7
511.6
293.3
331.1
398.6
140.0
201.5
382.6
585.4
370.9
741.8
108.0
1087.0
147.5
84.9
350.1
462.4
138.5
227.1
216.6
41.9
Apr
407.4
247.0
220.9
325.6
223.9
132.9
675.9
506.1
219.1
219.0
220.1
149.4
351.7
269.8
178.0
338.9
425.7
386.3
385.5
133.5
163.5
303.4
548.6
288.4
883.5
97.5
534.0
397.5
184.6
294.5
523.4
180.8
252.9
215.2
50.0
RUHU
May
Jun
246.4
115.5
144.0
70.7
237.6
127.5
192.4
88.0
156.9
79.5
98.3
62.4
315.9
138.5
366.0
209.6
142.9
74.6
144.7
77.8
173.8
95.7
84.7
41.0
236.3
117.7
166.2
84.5
124.9
61.6
196.4
91.5
255.4
121.5
270.5
135.4
244.6
131.7
98.9
56.3
84.9
40.5
186.5
88.3
287.0
128.1
163.5
76.6
306.0
146.1
63.1
28.3
288.7
138.7
322.6
157.5
161.2
84.0
48.7
80.3
149.1
82.1
52.8
40.1
92.0
51.1
79.5
31.7
26.5
16.9
Jul
52.7
31.7
62.7
39.5
36.9
31.0
60.9
94.6
34.3
36.6
46.4
17.8
55.8
39.8
27.0
41.7
55.7
63.0
64.0
26.6
16.6
40.5
56.9
34.2
66.9
11.3
64.0
69.2
39.4
74.4
59.9
34.4
28.7
23.5
11.3
Aug
21.9
12.9
27.5
16.1
14.9
12.6
25.3
41.9
14.9
15.6
19.5
7.3
23.9
16.5
10.2
17.7
23.3
26.9
27.9
11.1
6.5
16.7
23.6
14.0
28.7
4.2
27.4
29.4
15.9
30.9
26.4
14.5
11.9
9.6
10.4
Sep
9.0
5.3
11.7
6.6
5.8
4.7
10.3
17.1
6.5
6.7
7.8
3.1
10.0
6.7
3.7
7.6
9.5
11.1
11.7
4.5
2.6
6.8
9.6
5.8
11.9
1.6
11.4
11.8
6.2
13.2
10.0
5.7
4.8
4.4
10.2
Oct
3.8
2.2
5.1
2.8
2.3
1.7
4.3
6.9
3.4
2.9
3.3
1.7
4.3
2.8
1.5
3.6
4.0
4.6
5.0
2.2
1.2
3.2
4.0
2.5
5.0
0.6
4.9
4.8
2.4
5.8
4.4
2.6
1.8
1.7
6.7
Nov
2.2
3.2
3.5
1.2
1.5
1.8
3.7
3.0
2.0
1.4
3.5
2.3
4.0
5.7
1.8
3.6
2.5
2.4
2.5
1.3
2.2
2.0
1.7
1.1
2.4
4.3
2.1
2.1
6.9
3.6
3.7
2.2
2.1
1.7
1.7
Dec
10.7
7.6
7.2
6.7
4.6
8.2
15.2
9.3
6.8
5.6
37.0
8.9
13.2
13.6
26.9
5.5
5.0
16.6
2.6
6.0
5.1
2.0
2.6
5.4
5.5
355.7
1.3
6.8
49.6
25.7
48.2
12.8
16.1
7.1
304.7
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Jan
10.5
14.1
6.9
23.2
9.2
17.4
13.4
12.9
11.3
7.8
7.3
23.3
11.0
9.3
16.8
29.5
11.3
16.2
15.4
7.8
10.7
15.8
9.7
9.6
11.7
5.2
29.9
7.6
12.0
18.4
16.2
17.2
16.1
16.0
14.5
Feb
12.9
11.9
7.9
13.7
9.6
10.4
19.8
25.2
8.9
9.4
10.7
9.5
12.3
15.3
11.1
18.5
12.7
15.1
8.9
12.5
11.3
17.6
14.4
9.6
20.7
12.1
37.6
8.0
14.9
14.8
13.2
14.0
13.8
13.4
24.6
Mar
32.5
18.6
20.8
38.6
23.4
13.8
52.2
37.9
21.4
13.6
22.4
14.6
18.3
13.1
20.1
25.3
34.7
23.8
18.4
10.4
14.3
22.0
44.9
28.5
24.0
6.5
32.3
32.3
23.6
19.6
25.8
17.6
23.3
22.4
21.1
Apr
52.3
23.0
100.0
43.4
36.1
73.7
35.1
101.1
30.8
42.7
51.4
22.2
65.0
67.5
32.9
47.3
47.0
78.0
74.8
59.4
16.8
38.4
31.9
15.2
72.0
71.9
91.2
103.0
17.3
44.5
47.2
33.8
38.7
34.2
59.2
May 2011
May
52.1
17.4
72.6
26.4
26.5
89.5
27.7
91.5
48.5
13.3
58.6
13.7
20.3
43.3
47.0
35.3
7.9
33.0
32.0
21.4
39.1
16.1
10.1
12.2
13.2
43.4
74.1
52.2
7.9
27.8
28.0
14.6
18.9
18.6
35.4
RUMA
Jun
34.9
6.1
37.0
7.7
14.0
35.4
30.0
13.9
7.8
6.0
11.2
6.0
6.4
7.4
8.4
9.2
5.5
10.8
11.8
6.7
13.1
6.7
6.2
5.4
6.5
13.1
16.7
12.4
6.6
8.9
8.9
6.4
7.1
7.0
11.6
Jul
14.8
4.9
16.1
6.0
8.9
8.2
15.3
10.6
5.8
4.7
7.9
4.8
5.1
5.7
6.1
6.4
4.3
6.7
6.6
5.2
6.0
5.2
6.3
6.0
5.0
9.1
7.5
7.1
5.7
6.6
6.4
5.5
5.7
5.8
5.9
Aug
7.1
3.7
9.4
4.5
5.5
6.2
9.1
6.2
4.4
3.5
5.3
3.7
3.8
4.4
4.7
4.9
3.2
5.1
5.0
3.9
4.8
3.9
3.8
3.9
3.8
5.4
5.8
6.8
4.9
5.1
5.0
4.2
4.6
4.6
5.4
Sep
5.5
2.7
20.4
3.3
4.2
4.7
13.1
4.8
3.5
2.6
4.0
2.6
2.8
3.2
3.4
3.6
2.3
3.7
3.8
2.9
3.6
2.9
2.9
2.8
2.7
4.2
4.3
12.7
4.2
4.5
4.2
3.3
3.6
3.6
3.5
Oct
4.2
2.2
57.5
2.3
3.3
3.4
5.7
3.5
3.8
1.8
3.9
2.2
2.0
2.3
3.1
3.1
1.6
2.7
2.8
3.1
2.6
2.0
2.1
2.1
2.0
3.1
3.1
4.8
3.6
3.2
3.1
2.6
2.9
2.9
2.3
Nov
3.8
5.1
19.0
1.6
2.8
3.3
10.0
3.6
2.1
1.7
7.3
3.0
3.9
13.1
5.6
3.7
4.1
3.3
2.0
1.8
3.9
3.1
1.5
1.5
1.6
9.7
2.2
4.1
9.6
19.5
17.6
14.0
17.5
21.0
3.2
Dec
12.1
5.3
12.4
6.9
5.5
9.5
16.2
10.7
6.9
5.9
19.0
6.9
13.5
15.0
21.8
5.4
6.2
14.6
4.9
5.9
6.6
1.4
2.7
3.7
8.0
42.0
1.7
8.4
20.4
24.2
22.3
21.0
24.1
20.3
6.1
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
C-40
Jan
10.5
14.1
6.9
23.2
9.2
17.4
13.4
12.9
11.3
7.8
7.3
23.3
11.0
9.3
16.8
29.5
11.3
16.2
15.4
7.8
10.7
15.8
9.7
9.6
11.7
5.2
29.9
7.6
12.0
18.4
16.2
17.2
16.1
16.0
14.5
Feb
12.9
11.9
7.9
13.7
9.6
10.4
19.8
25.2
8.9
9.4
10.7
9.5
12.3
15.3
11.1
18.5
12.7
15.1
8.9
12.5
11.3
17.6
14.4
9.6
20.7
12.1
37.6
8.0
14.9
14.8
13.2
14.0
13.8
13.4
24.6
Mar
32.5
18.6
20.8
38.6
23.4
13.8
52.2
37.9
21.4
13.6
22.4
14.6
18.3
13.1
20.1
25.3
34.7
23.8
18.4
10.4
14.3
22.0
44.9
28.5
24.0
6.5
32.3
32.3
23.6
19.6
25.8
17.6
23.3
22.4
21.1
Apr
52.3
23.0
100.0
43.4
36.1
73.7
35.1
101.1
30.8
42.7
51.4
22.2
65.0
67.5
32.9
47.3
47.0
78.0
74.8
59.4
16.8
38.4
31.9
15.2
72.0
71.9
91.2
103.0
17.3
44.5
47.2
33.8
38.7
34.2
59.2
May
52.1
17.4
72.6
26.4
26.5
89.5
27.7
91.5
48.5
13.3
58.6
13.7
20.3
43.3
47.0
35.3
7.9
33.0
32.0
21.4
39.1
16.1
10.1
12.2
13.2
43.4
74.1
52.2
7.9
27.8
28.0
14.6
18.9
18.6
35.4
RUMA
Jun
34.9
6.1
37.0
7.7
14.0
35.4
30.0
13.9
7.8
6.0
11.2
6.0
6.4
7.4
8.4
9.2
5.5
10.8
11.8
6.7
13.1
6.7
6.2
5.4
6.5
13.1
16.7
12.4
6.6
8.9
8.9
6.4
7.1
7.0
11.6
Jul
14.8
4.9
16.1
6.0
8.9
8.2
15.3
10.6
5.8
4.7
7.9
4.8
5.1
5.7
6.1
6.4
4.3
6.7
6.6
5.2
6.0
5.2
6.3
6.0
5.0
9.1
7.5
7.1
5.7
6.6
6.4
5.5
5.7
5.8
5.9
Aug
7.1
3.7
9.4
4.5
5.5
6.2
9.1
6.2
4.4
3.5
5.3
3.7
3.8
4.4
4.7
4.9
3.2
5.1
5.0
3.9
4.8
3.9
3.8
3.9
3.8
5.4
5.8
6.8
4.9
5.1
5.0
4.2
4.6
4.6
5.4
Sep
5.5
2.7
20.4
3.3
4.2
4.7
13.1
4.8
3.5
2.6
4.0
2.6
2.8
3.2
3.4
3.6
2.3
3.7
3.8
2.9
3.6
2.9
2.9
2.8
2.7
4.2
4.3
12.7
4.2
4.5
4.2
3.3
3.6
3.6
3.5
Oct
4.2
2.2
57.5
2.3
3.3
3.4
5.7
3.5
3.8
1.8
3.9
2.2
2.0
2.3
3.1
3.1
1.6
2.7
2.8
3.1
2.6
2.0
2.1
2.1
2.0
3.1
3.1
4.8
3.6
3.2
3.1
2.6
2.9
2.9
2.3
Nov
3.8
5.1
19.0
1.6
2.8
3.3
10.0
3.6
2.1
1.7
7.3
3.0
3.9
13.1
5.6
3.7
4.1
3.3
2.0
1.8
3.9
3.1
1.5
1.5
1.6
9.7
2.2
4.1
9.6
19.5
17.6
14.0
17.5
21.0
3.2
Dec
12.1
5.3
12.4
6.9
5.5
9.5
16.2
10.7
6.9
5.9
19.0
6.9
13.5
15.0
21.8
5.4
6.2
14.6
4.9
5.9
6.6
1.4
2.7
3.7
8.0
42.0
1.7
8.4
20.4
24.2
22.3
21.0
24.1
20.3
6.1
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Jan
36.0
58.4
41.5
37.8
42.2
35.8
31.7
50.9
60.3
40.6
43.1
76.5
67.8
55.5
45.7
59.5
32.4
40.5
36.4
46.8
34.9
29.0
30.3
30.2
34.3
25.7
62.9
29.2
33.7
53.1
52.1
53.7
50.8
51.6
35.2
Feb
45.1
57.2
48.5
44.7
47.0
35.8
45.3
72.6
33.2
57.1
52.8
57.4
71.5
54.5
55.1
62.2
39.2
40.8
40.2
46.9
36.2
41.0
52.1
47.4
39.9
40.0
86.1
36.6
42.3
53.0
51.6
52.8
51.7
51.8
44.0
Mar
68.0
78.0
43.8
62.0
66.4
37.1
62.9
93.3
44.6
49.2
66.5
85.6
74.0
49.8
75.2
74.6
49.7
65.4
52.3
43.1
43.9
69.2
68.8
74.9
60.6
59.6
80.5
91.5
58.5
62.0
67.9
59.7
65.5
64.6
45.1
Apr
54.2
81.8
97.5
77.4
63.1
53.0
68.3
108.7
71.3
49.3
58.2
77.7
69.4
83.4
88.4
70.0
41.9
84.9
59.1
82.4
50.9
63.2
74.3
58.0
68.5
69.8
82.8
79.9
70.4
70.9
72.2
72.5
73.2
74.0
66.4
May 2011
May
42.1
49.1
80.1
53.7
44.3
41.2
42.1
80.7
46.8
43.9
54.9
62.9
50.9
47.8
65.8
58.3
25.7
55.1
39.0
47.3
42.2
46.4
40.7
39.2
46.6
35.0
54.5
47.1
45.0
47.7
47.8
40.3
43.5
44.9
52.3
MASI
Jun
32.5
40.0
49.7
39.6
34.4
30.2
34.0
59.0
34.2
32.8
36.7
50.8
42.8
38.2
48.1
48.9
26.5
40.0
31.8
34.0
29.5
33.7
32.7
31.8
33.5
32.1
42.4
38.0
35.0
35.8
36.5
33.0
34.5
34.9
43.2
Jul
28.6
35.2
42.9
34.4
30.1
26.4
30.0
50.4
31.2
27.5
32.5
43.4
37.9
35.2
41.6
50.8
22.4
34.0
27.8
30.8
26.0
26.9
26.5
28.1
32.3
28.6
31.2
33.5
31.1
31.5
32.2
29.3
30.8
30.8
32.2
Aug
25.7
32.4
37.2
32.3
27.1
23.7
29.2
42.8
27.4
24.8
29.0
38.4
33.1
32.0
37.1
44.8
20.3
31.1
25.6
27.5
23.2
26.3
26.0
26.1
29.6
26.0
33.8
31.3
29.2
30.1
30.4
27.5
29.4
29.2
31.5
Sep
23.4
27.9
32.7
29.1
23.8
20.4
26.8
36.2
24.3
21.6
25.2
33.0
28.2
28.7
32.9
35.6
16.3
26.5
21.1
22.6
19.7
25.7
24.2
22.9
27.4
24.0
31.2
28.9
26.5
27.6
27.9
25.3
27.0
26.8
28.8
Oct
20.8
23.1
28.4
24.8
22.2
17.6
19.6
31.0
19.9
19.4
26.8
28.8
23.2
23.9
24.8
27.0
13.6
22.3
18.4
20.9
17.4
20.5
24.0
19.4
25.2
22.8
27.3
25.6
23.3
27.9
28.5
26.3
29.0
29.0
25.1
Nov
21.2
21.7
26.4
21.8
17.5
17.8
24.0
28.2
19.8
16.3
34.0
28.1
25.0
38.0
33.0
23.7
17.8
22.1
16.6
19.3
21.6
19.1
24.7
15.8
22.5
24.7
25.5
24.7
25.0
33.1
32.8
30.0
33.1
33.6
26.5
Dec
35.8
28.5
33.2
30.2
18.1
25.9
34.2
41.6
37.4
26.6
50.0
36.0
44.5
37.5
70.4
20.6
20.5
39.3
21.2
30.6
22.9
14.9
30.0
20.7
26.0
50.0
23.2
25.8
40.2
50.3
48.4
45.6
50.5
46.4
48.2
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
C-41
Jan
42.8
91.8
52.4
36.3
54.7
36.6
29.3
51.9
41.0
32.1
17.2
64.5
27.5
63.6
66.7
63.4
32.2
47.9
51.1
79.1
43.5
44.5
22.8
24.7
21.8
15.8
89.6
26.4
26.4
52.1
56.7
57.4
54.4
57.8
38.1
Feb
37.1
61.1
84.0
26.7
3.1
27.0
35.4
50.9
39.7
49.7
22.4
42.2
57.2
45.8
70.4
56.6
42.9
56.4
123.9
122.8
54.2
70.9
27.6
24.2
25.1
22.7
88.5
31.3
36.1
58.0
60.6
60.7
58.6
60.4
43.7
Mar
101.3
84.2
42.3
25.2
41.4
57.6
72.4
61.5
29.0
55.4
20.2
39.9
71.2
48.6
55.9
49.5
39.0
58.7
182.1
67.6
91.5
68.8
31.7
37.7
26.6
42.1
74.1
37.1
43.5
51.4
53.3
52.7
52.1
53.1
63.4
Apr
156.7
146.0
148.7
76.7
79.7
68.2
76.4
115.8
54.8
53.4
51.6
87.5
80.6
113.1
122.4
61.7
52.8
114.1
161.9
206.6
132.7
74.6
51.0
61.8
83.8
65.9
106.0
74.9
76.5
79.1
88.2
75.2
81.9
76.2
103.8
May
87.4
98.6
92.3
54.9
58.2
48.4
41.0
93.1
47.9
35.3
51.6
73.3
67.5
40.2
88.0
49.8
27.3
64.3
114.2
99.5
66.3
49.8
47.3
55.2
58.0
40.5
78.0
68.1
51.7
51.0
55.8
46.5
50.3
46.8
46.7
MPAN
Jun
43.9
43.8
49.6
42.7
41.0
36.8
26.7
88.4
37.0
30.3
34.3
39.3
38.8
58.3
81.4
47.0
30.5
52.3
65.6
53.8
50.5
44.5
39.0
42.2
44.6
33.9
56.8
46.9
39.6
39.4
42.0
34.9
38.6
36.2
34.9
Jul
30.2
37.2
37.7
32.5
29.9
22.5
21.9
48.0
22.5
17.5
19.6
33.2
31.2
35.1
46.6
28.5
20.1
30.7
54.6
48.5
30.2
27.0
22.3
31.0
33.4
31.4
46.8
35.6
30.3
29.0
30.5
26.3
28.6
27.0
30.3
Aug
29.7
31.8
32.1
28.4
32.8
20.7
17.9
44.8
25.8
21.3
21.8
25.8
29.0
29.3
47.7
30.8
23.4
34.2
53.5
42.6
30.2
28.1
23.8
26.7
26.4
22.8
40.8
32.0
28.6
30.6
31.8
27.9
30.2
29.1
28.9
Sep
29.6
26.8
27.2
24.3
28.5
17.1
15.1
36.8
22.9
18.7
19.8
21.3
22.3
27.5
36.9
26.0
22.1
31.5
50.1
35.2
24.2
21.8
18.6
21.3
22.0
18.7
35.3
26.1
25.0
27.6
28.5
25.2
27.3
26.4
26.0
Oct
24.0
23.5
22.9
21.6
17.3
15.9
11.9
21.3
13.7
12.9
14.8
18.3
19.0
22.7
21.5
17.0
14.5
20.4
35.3
26.4
12.1
11.2
11.6
18.4
18.4
18.4
27.6
21.7
18.1
19.1
19.1
17.6
18.2
17.7
24.9
Nov
23.0
23.4
26.0
17.9
14.6
18.9
19.6
27.8
18.1
14.3
18.8
17.7
19.0
33.6
35.4
23.3
21.7
25.5
41.7
59.5
22.7
21.3
12.2
13.7
14.0
20.9
22.8
20.2
23.3
31.0
31.5
29.2
31.6
30.9
23.5
Dec
56.7
34.5
18.8
30.7
14.5
36.1
23.6
37.9
24.2
21.1
47.3
21.8
44.5
48.4
59.0
33.2
30.8
35.3
43.1
74.9
26.5
22.3
19.2
16.0
15.4
66.5
16.9
18.3
41.0
50.2
48.8
45.5
50.1
45.2
28.9
EAPP/EAC Regional
STG
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Jan
297.0
1099.0
255.0
449.0
279.0
274.0
587.0
531.0
248.0
84.0
56.0
2336.0
110.0
109.0
80.0
1030.0
57.0
470.0
370.0
60.0
50.0
86.0
58.0
54.0
57.0
52.0
3082.0
54.0
64.0
813.0
309.0
465.0
317.0
269.0
176.8
Feb
399.0
958.0
308.0
350.0
564.0
416.0
518.0
2146.0
166.0
161.0
46.0
440.0
419.0
138.0
84.0
460.0
74.0
579.0
174.0
89.0
81.0
254.0
113.0
75.0
177.0
52.0
2554.0
39.0
77.0
357.0
194.0
268.0
269.0
221.0
252.2
Mar
840.0
1737.0
432.0
513.0
1009.0
447.0
1211.0
1872.0
313.0
151.0
73.0
698.0
792.0
179.0
130.0
1153.0
319.0
581.0
813.0
91.0
412.0
682.0
881.0
2771.0
687.0
192.0
2677.0
129.0
562.0
200.0
559.0
148.0
372.0
324.0
503.0
Apr
1435.0
1988.0
1259.0
974.0
1577.0
1404.0
1242.0
3533.0
614.0
1909.0
1275.0
952.0
2335.0
870.0
896.0
928.0
1955.0
3216.0
1613.0
2298.0
3241.0
1739.0
1872.0
2579.0
3006.0
1570.0
5089.0
2057.0
821.0
1080.0
1400.0
763.0
971.0
833.0
744.6
May 2011
May
869.0
1570.0
3438.0
1690.0
1154.0
1430.0
726.0
891.0
428.0
2049.0
876.0
1056.0
2142.0
1314.0
700.0
1146.0
955.0
3373.0
1106.0
1494.0
3110.0
1858.0
920.0
1592.0
1859.0
1139.0
2223.0
1532.0
713.0
1130.0
1003.0
444.0
556.0
621.0
890.3
Jun
464.0
454.0
698.0
410.0
460.0
606.0
264.0
23.0
150.0
465.0
374.0
547.0
548.0
306.0
377.0
479.0
439.0
835.0
345.0
536.0
723.0
570.0
400.0
609.0
738.0
486.0
348.0
494.0
287.0
525.0
358.0
240.0
240.0
330.0
474.5
Jul
269.0
305.0
444.0
146.0
275.0
276.0
218.0
74.0
105.0
209.0
184.0
250.0
228.0
196.0
177.0
227.0
197.0
266.0
208.0
197.0
236.0
228.0
195.0
218.0
226.0
194.0
250.0
195.0
185.0
265.0
205.0
194.0
180.0
228.0
326.1
Aug
225.0
253.0
363.0
95.0
191.0
228.0
183.0
152.0
98.0
171.0
145.0
181.0
184.0
160.0
144.0
183.0
150.0
207.0
169.0
163.0
185.0
182.0
157.0
174.0
186.0
156.0
201.0
161.0
152.0
289.0
223.0
154.0
262.0
215.0
279.3
Sep
213.0
204.0
359.0
78.0
141.0
184.0
152.0
148.0
91.0
136.0
117.0
142.0
144.0
126.0
114.0
143.0
119.0
164.0
131.0
130.0
148.0
144.0
123.0
137.0
148.0
125.0
157.0
128.0
120.0
453.0
314.0
228.0
175.0
198.0
241.1
Oct
176.0
163.0
335.0
89.0
111.0
156.0
137.0
132.0
83.0
105.0
102.0
109.0
111.0
96.0
91.0
109.0
92.0
127.0
100.0
100.0
114.0
110.0
99.0
108.0
114.0
103.0
118.0
98.0
92.0
356.0
321.0
228.0
387.0
312.0
256.7
Nov
185.0
145.0
582.0
88.0
89.0
204.0
187.0
120.0
94.0
79.0
96.0
83.0
92.0
80.0
71.0
85.0
74.0
100.0
82.0
78.0
95.0
85.0
74.0
81.0
87.0
81.0
87.0
76.0
80.0
494.0
307.0
223.0
259.0
302.0
315.8
Dec
443.0
177.0
391.0
112.0
372.0
320.0
456.0
150.0
166.0
64.0
422.0
71.0
81.0
61.0
105.0
68.0
67.0
100.0
58.0
67.0
72.0
62.0
57.0
63.0
66.0
2402.0
65.0
64.0
204.0
446.0
346.0
316.0
466.0
232.0
706.9
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
C-42
Jan
210.0
240.0
230.0
177.0
204.0
201.0
229.0
249.0
230.0
211.0
204.0
240.0
224.0
207.3
218.3
213.9
201.4
223.2
248.7
234.5
241.5
237.2
209.1
188.2
199.5
190.5
241.2
209.4
219.8
223.4
209.2
236.9
195.1
211.0
240.0
Feb
230.0
243.0
221.0
202.0
192.0
224.0
221.0
303.0
208.0
204.0
198.0
230.0
235.0
205.6
202.8
203.0
195.2
222.2
244.3
216.8
214.6
252.9
192.4
189.9
199.1
185.6
284.7
192.0
204.3
231.5
209.6
192.7
222.6
193.5
230.0
Mar
328.0
223.0
207.0
210.0
206.0
230.0
298.0
342.0
213.0
215.0
192.0
233.0
228.0
216.9
206.7
210.1
229.3
222.1
322.9
213.8
205.5
269.3
210.3
208.2
206.0
173.9
253.5
223.6
203.2
234.5
232.7
183.6
242.7
170.1
233.0
Apr
275.0
221.0
281.0
200.0
215.0
289.0
477.0
382.0
259.0
211.0
235.0
239.0
235.0
258.4
233.8
216.1
291.1
254.0
393.4
222.8
228.8
238.1
214.7
234.5
246.8
208.2
318.7
260.6
206.0
229.5
232.0
192.1
246.8
192.0
239.0
May
279.0
304.0
345.0
180.0
223.0
463.0
509.0
536.0
285.0
223.0
316.0
295.0
214.0
349.7
297.0
246.3
387.9
302.2
450.6
259.3
278.6
271.1
278.8
322.2
336.2
250.9
354.3
354.2
226.4
262.9
292.2
191.5
296.8
189.9
295.0
ROSU
Jun
267.0
327.0
301.0
168.0
209.0
305.0
402.0
477.0
270.0
202.0
249.0
245.0
166.0
296.7
253.7
224.7
318.7
276.8
347.1
237.2
247.0
244.7
242.2
270.1
283.6
223.6
301.2
296.2
210.7
235.1
254.3
176.8
259.9
174.6
245.0
Jul
224.0
280.0
267.0
151.0
174.0
224.0
289.0
356.0
225.0
191.0
225.0
216.0
150.0
250.8
226.6
197.7
260.8
250.8
258.7
209.6
216.6
209.0
214.0
226.2
241.5
197.7
255.3
258.1
181.2
207.3
210.8
158.7
214.0
156.7
216.0
Aug
187.0
211.0
227.0
150.0
155.0
185.0
219.0
248.0
181.0
142.0
178.0
184.0
126.0
202.1
174.7
172.2
207.5
178.3
203.3
170.4
185.4
175.5
195.7
187.6
196.4
168.1
205.9
214.0
152.6
172.0
171.4
139.1
174.6
138.0
184.0
Sep
169.0
184.0
206.0
168.0
152.0
175.0
180.0
196.0
179.0
132.0
145.0
150.0
118.0
179.8
165.6
158.5
182.6
210.1
188.7
174.8
169.2
167.8
148.6
164.5
172.4
155.1
180.7
182.6
148.4
162.9
163.5
137.9
161.0
137.6
150.0
Oct
173.0
190.0
179.0
172.0
154.0
160.0
182.0
174.0
167.0
145.0
160.0
174.0
138.0
173.5
167.9
167.9
175.4
180.1
174.3
168.1
168.4
167.2
169.2
170.6
178.8
175.8
174.2
175.1
158.3
167.0
161.9
155.1
164.2
167.3
174.0
Nov
200.0
215.0
177.0
192.0
158.0
194.0
196.0
208.0
169.0
188.0
202.0
197.0
174.0
195.9
179.3
179.4
196.5
206.5
204.5
198.1
193.1
183.9
185.7
176.9
173.8
203.7
185.8
187.5
187.4
178.5
200.5
181.0
191.6
171.5
197.0
Dec
227.0
227.0
182.0
178.0
174.0
226.0
256.0
214.0
183.0
217.0
292.0
219.0
209.0
205.7
193.0
172.4
203.1
289.8
240.6
254.9
236.5
185.4
159.8
172.1
163.8
241.7
186.0
187.8
203.6
181.1
236.0
173.5
192.8
164.4
219.0
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Jan
199.0
221.0
231.1
192.8
198.2
187.9
248.0
277.0
252.8
206.2
236.1
297.9
275.0
165.2
197.2
201.5
192.9
243.9
306.2
272.5
296.6
261.4
216.5
165.3
193.2
190.8
252.8
214.0
213.4
231.2
204.5
267.3
206.2
227.6
206.2
Feb
197.0
230.0
227.1
190.8
191.1
179.4
246.0
270.6
249.5
201.7
180.0
291.6
273.4
168.9
197.6
211.4
186.3
260.6
302.8
266.2
262.2
261.5
146.6
159.3
188.0
179.2
260.3
203.8
213.5
232.9
203.2
238.3
204.3
212.5
201.7
Mar
205.0
241.0
230.9
193.1
193.2
183.5
250.9
277.2
250.4
204.9
180.8
314.9
305.9
165.9
199.2
233.1
188.3
338.0
329.9
280.2
266.7
260.9
157.1
161.4
189.4
186.1
269.7
205.3
217.7
238.0
203.8
243.5
205.7
220.0
204.9
Apr
251.0
275.0
263.6
211.2
211.3
205.1
272.7
308.0
275.7
230.9
182.9
332.8
327.0
195.2
225.6
267.5
222.1
398.8
384.7
298.0
269.9
261.1
166.8
184.2
216.4
210.1
304.7
232.5
230.5
254.0
222.9
243.1
227.5
227.8
230.9
May 2011
May
306.0
304.0
281.7
230.2
235.1
234.2
270.3
309.4
299.0
265.3
185.1
353.0
335.6
235.7
281.8
291.0
239.0
461.0
381.5
322.0
280.4
267.5
192.8
204.3
238.6
232.6
301.2
253.9
245.4
263.0
240.3
262.4
236.8
238.9
265.3
KAKO
Jun
309.0
284.0
294.9
235.4
231.9
241.9
309.4
325.6
314.2
264.9
192.4
324.2
348.5
287.9
331.9
291.8
260.8
475.4
344.5
358.2
302.0
278.4
168.5
214.9
259.4
239.8
301.0
281.5
240.1
302.3
251.6
269.9
228.9
245.5
264.9
Jul
280.0
277.0
309.3
278.8
287.2
304.6
320.1
374.6
389.4
361.2
330.4
311.6
330.1
331.4
372.9
292.1
325.6
443.5
407.0
360.8
293.5
279.9
159.3
288.0
310.4
289.3
340.7
301.2
340.8
342.8
343.8
320.0
328.3
300.3
361.2
Aug
246.0
272.0
269.0
249.6
252.8
265.7
281.1
281.8
325.2
298.8
324.4
291.6
292.4
282.1
342.0
275.8
275.4
390.0
357.6
327.0
274.7
274.3
182.3
246.9
263.6
244.0
296.1
278.3
283.5
291.4
279.7
274.4
266.2
251.9
298.8
Sep
235.0
261.0
247.9
233.3
237.6
247.9
259.9
252.7
284.5
267.4
239.5
250.1
227.4
268.0
288.5
240.4
275.0
346.0
311.1
301.3
260.4
271.9
164.6
238.9
251.5
240.0
262.8
254.7
254.5
263.2
264.9
249.2
251.1
243.5
267.4
Oct
222.0
242.0
241.0
234.5
232.4
242.6
223.9
253.7
277.5
274.7
240.1
237.3
225.5
256.1
240.1
207.9
256.0
311.2
291.6
286.0
260.4
269.0
158.3
227.0
210.2
195.2
255.9
252.8
249.9
250.0
269.5
240.0
251.1
197.3
274.7
Nov
224.0
247.0
226.7
229.0
217.3
248.8
239.7
252.8
234.2
254.6
285.7
212.5
229.9
249.8
209.9
212.0
249.4
293.6
279.2
279.9
261.0
240.4
232.5
219.0
208.5
249.1
234.8
235.9
246.5
228.0
271.6
236.8
249.5
209.6
254.6
Dec
229.0
226.0
209.5
207.5
199.4
241.2
248.2
237.9
212.9
240.3
303.1
220.6
217.5
233.2
202.2
198.2
232.5
302.1
255.9
274.3
261.2
219.8
170.0
201.4
191.6
243.0
217.0
218.3
229.8
211.3
251.2
211.7
226.9
192.6
240.3
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
C-43
Jan
25.2
26.1
16.7
36.5
22.1
40.6
32.1
30.9
27.2
18.8
9.9
54.5
26.3
22.2
40.3
47.0
27.2
39.0
37.0
18.8
25.7
29.0
23.4
23.1
28.2
9.3
170.5
10.4
28.7
37.1
38.9
41.3
38.7
36.0
39.7
Feb
45.9
42.4
13.3
48.7
34.0
37.0
59.2
88.2
31.5
33.5
38.0
33.7
43.6
54.5
39.4
65.7
45.3
53.6
31.8
44.6
40.2
56.8
51.1
34.0
66.1
42.9
185.6
28.4
53.2
49.3
47.0
44.1
49.1
47.7
39.4
Mar
95.9
55.0
61.6
99.8
69.1
40.8
201.3
112.0
63.2
40.2
62.6
43.3
54.1
38.8
59.4
74.7
89.3
70.4
54.3
30.9
42.2
65.0
132.8
77.7
70.9
19.2
95.4
95.3
69.9
57.9
70.2
52.0
65.0
66.2
59.4
Apr
99.8
38.8
147.9
73.3
60.8
87.0
59.1
133.4
51.9
72.0
86.7
37.4
109.6
113.9
92.8
107.9
79.2
131.5
126.1
100.2
28.3
64.7
53.8
16.2
121.5
121.2
69.6
285.9
29.1
75.1
79.6
57.0
65.3
57.7
93.4
SONGupp
May
Jun
44.1
24.4
16.2
12.5
60.3
23.8
22.3
9.1
22.5
18.9
58.6
26.7
23.4
24.9
60.9
22.0
41.0
9.3
15.7
8.7
49.6
13.3
11.6
9.5
17.2
9.9
36.6
8.8
39.8
10.0
29.9
11.0
20.3
8.7
27.9
12.8
27.0
25.5
18.1
12.2
33.1
15.6
13.7
10.4
12.5
9.9
15.1
8.1
16.2
9.0
36.7
18.7
59.2
23.8
44.2
14.8
11.6
12.4
23.5
13.1
23.7
11.4
12.4
9.3
16.0
11.7
15.7
8.3
40.4
16.4
Jul
15.5
9.3
16.2
8.3
12.4
11.4
15.8
14.7
8.1
7.1
11.0
7.1
7.1
9.9
8.5
8.8
7.0
9.3
11.0
7.3
8.4
7.2
8.7
10.6
7.0
15.1
10.5
10.6
7.9
10.7
9.6
7.6
7.9
8.2
8.5
Aug
10.7
5.5
12.2
6.8
8.3
9.3
12.1
9.4
6.7
5.3
7.9
5.5
5.8
7.1
7.0
7.3
5.2
7.7
8.6
5.9
7.2
5.9
5.7
5.9
5.7
8.2
8.8
11.0
7.4
7.7
7.6
6.3
7.3
6.9
7.0
Sep
7.6
4.2
24.9
4.6
5.9
6.5
18.4
6.6
4.9
4.1
5.6
4.2
4.1
4.5
4.8
5.0
4.1
5.2
5.3
4.2
5.0
4.1
4.1
4.2
4.1
5.8
6.0
17.7
5.8
6.3
5.9
4.6
5.0
5.0
4.8
Oct
7.0
4.4
8.1
2.9
3.6
3.8
6.3
3.9
4.2
3.8
5.9
4.1
4.0
8.0
4.4
3.4
2.7
4.2
4.6
3.5
4.5
2.9
3.5
4.1
4.8
7.5
4.6
5.2
3.9
8.1
6.4
7.5
6.4
7.0
4.4
Nov
3.7
5.0
18.5
3.4
3.5
3.2
9.7
3.5
3.5
3.2
7.1
3.5
3.8
7.0
5.4
3.6
3.9
3.2
4.2
3.4
3.8
3.4
3.2
3.2
3.2
9.5
3.4
4.0
9.3
18.4
8.7
13.6
15.1
18.6
4.9
Dec
14.4
8.8
15.4
11.4
9.0
15.6
12.9
17.6
11.4
9.7
31.3
11.3
22.3
16.2
24.4
8.9
10.2
24.0
8.0
9.7
10.8
7.0
7.1
7.2
13.2
100.3
7.0
13.9
33.6
39.8
36.7
34.6
39.7
33.4
24.4
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Jan
31.7
32.9
21.0
46.0
27.8
51.1
40.5
38.9
34.3
23.6
12.4
68.6
33.1
28.0
50.7
59.1
34.2
49.1
46.6
23.7
32.3
36.5
29.5
29.0
35.5
11.7
214.6
13.1
36.2
46.7
49.0
52.0
48.7
45.3
50.0
Feb
57.8
53.3
16.8
61.3
42.8
46.6
74.5
111.0
39.7
42.2
47.8
42.4
54.9
68.6
49.6
82.7
57.1
67.5
40.0
56.2
50.6
71.5
64.4
42.8
83.2
54.0
233.6
35.7
66.9
62.1
59.1
55.5
61.8
60.0
49.6
Mar
120.7
69.2
77.5
125.6
87.0
51.3
253.3
141.0
79.5
50.6
78.8
54.5
68.1
48.9
74.7
94.0
112.4
88.7
68.3
38.8
53.2
81.8
167.2
97.8
89.3
24.1
120.1
120.0
88.0
72.9
88.3
65.5
81.8
83.3
74.7
Apr
125.6
48.8
186.2
92.2
76.6
109.5
74.4
167.9
65.3
90.6
109.2
47.1
138.0
143.3
116.8
135.8
99.7
165.5
158.8
126.1
35.7
81.4
67.7
20.4
152.9
152.5
87.6
359.9
36.7
94.5
100.2
71.8
82.2
72.6
117.5
May 2011
SONGmid
May
Jun
55.5
30.7
20.4
15.7
75.9
29.9
28.1
11.5
28.3
23.7
73.7
33.6
29.5
31.4
76.7
27.7
51.7
11.7
19.7
11.0
62.4
16.7
14.6
11.9
21.6
12.4
46.1
11.0
50.1
12.6
37.6
13.8
25.6
11.0
35.1
16.2
34.0
32.1
22.8
15.3
41.6
19.6
17.2
13.1
15.7
12.4
19.0
10.2
20.4
11.3
46.2
23.5
74.5
29.9
55.6
18.6
14.6
15.5
29.6
16.4
29.8
14.4
15.6
11.7
20.1
14.7
19.8
10.5
50.8
20.6
Jul
19.6
11.7
20.4
10.5
15.6
14.3
19.9
18.5
10.2
8.9
13.8
9.0
8.9
12.4
10.7
11.1
8.8
11.7
13.9
9.2
10.6
9.1
11.0
13.3
8.8
19.0
13.2
13.3
10.0
13.5
12.0
9.6
10.0
10.4
10.7
Aug
13.4
7.0
15.3
8.5
10.5
11.7
15.3
11.9
8.5
6.7
10.0
7.0
7.3
9.0
8.9
9.2
6.5
9.7
10.9
7.4
9.1
7.5
7.2
7.4
7.2
10.3
11.0
13.9
9.3
9.7
9.5
8.0
9.1
8.7
8.9
Sep
9.6
5.3
31.4
5.7
7.4
8.2
23.1
8.4
6.2
5.2
7.0
5.3
5.2
5.6
6.0
6.3
5.1
6.6
6.6
5.3
6.3
5.1
5.2
5.3
5.2
7.3
7.6
22.3
7.3
7.9
7.4
5.8
6.3
6.3
6.0
Oct
8.8
5.5
10.2
3.7
4.5
4.8
7.9
4.9
5.2
4.8
7.4
5.1
5.0
10.1
5.5
4.3
3.4
5.3
5.8
4.4
5.6
3.7
4.4
5.1
6.0
9.5
5.8
6.6
4.9
10.2
8.0
9.5
8.0
8.8
5.5
Nov
4.7
6.3
23.2
4.2
4.4
4.0
12.2
4.4
4.4
4.1
8.9
4.4
4.8
8.8
6.8
4.5
5.0
4.1
5.3
4.3
4.7
4.2
4.1
4.0
4.1
11.9
4.2
5.0
11.8
23.2
11.0
17.1
19.0
23.4
6.1
Dec
18.2
11.0
19.4
14.3
11.3
19.6
16.3
22.1
14.4
12.2
39.4
14.3
28.0
20.4
30.7
11.2
12.9
30.2
10.1
12.2
13.6
8.8
8.9
9.1
16.7
126.3
8.8
17.4
42.2
50.1
46.2
43.5
49.9
42.1
30.7
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
C-44
Jan
36.5
37.8
24.2
52.9
32.0
58.8
46.5
44.7
39.4
27.2
14.3
79.0
38.1
32.2
58.4
68.0
39.4
56.5
53.6
27.3
37.2
42.0
33.9
33.4
40.8
13.4
247.0
15.1
41.6
53.8
56.4
59.9
56.0
52.1
57.6
Feb
66.5
61.4
19.3
70.5
49.2
53.6
85.7
127.7
45.7
48.5
55.0
48.8
63.1
78.9
57.1
95.1
65.7
77.6
46.1
64.6
58.2
82.3
74.1
49.3
95.8
62.2
268.8
41.1
77.0
71.4
68.0
63.8
71.1
69.0
57.1
Mar
138.9
79.6
89.2
144.5
100.1
59.1
291.5
162.3
91.5
58.2
90.7
62.7
78.4
56.3
86.0
108.1
129.4
102.0
78.6
44.7
61.2
94.2
192.3
112.6
102.7
27.8
138.1
138.1
101.2
83.9
101.6
75.3
94.1
95.9
86.0
Apr
144.5
56.1
214.2
106.1
88.1
126.0
85.6
193.2
75.2
104.3
125.6
54.2
158.8
164.9
134.4
156.2
114.7
190.4
182.7
145.2
41.0
93.7
77.9
23.5
175.9
175.5
100.8
414.1
42.2
108.7
115.3
82.6
94.5
83.5
135.2
SONGlow
May
Jun
63.9
35.3
23.5
18.1
87.4
34.4
32.3
13.2
32.5
27.3
84.8
38.6
33.9
36.1
88.2
31.9
59.4
13.5
22.7
12.6
71.8
19.3
16.8
13.7
24.9
14.3
53.1
12.7
57.6
14.5
43.3
15.9
29.4
12.6
40.4
18.6
39.2
37.0
26.2
17.6
47.9
22.5
19.8
15.1
18.1
14.3
21.8
11.8
23.5
13.0
53.2
27.0
85.7
34.4
64.0
21.4
16.8
17.9
34.1
18.9
34.3
16.5
17.9
13.4
23.2
16.9
22.8
12.1
58.4
23.7
Jul
22.5
13.4
23.5
12.1
17.9
16.5
22.8
21.3
11.7
10.2
15.9
10.3
10.3
14.3
12.3
12.8
10.1
13.5
16.0
10.6
12.1
10.5
12.7
15.3
10.1
21.8
15.1
15.3
11.5
15.5
13.9
11.1
11.5
11.9
12.3
Aug
15.4
8.0
17.6
9.8
12.0
13.5
17.6
13.7
9.7
7.7
11.5
8.0
8.4
10.3
10.2
10.6
7.5
11.1
12.5
8.5
10.4
8.6
8.3
8.5
8.3
11.9
12.7
16.0
10.7
11.2
10.9
9.2
10.5
10.1
10.2
Sep
11.1
6.1
36.1
6.6
8.6
9.5
26.6
9.6
7.2
6.0
8.1
6.0
6.0
6.5
6.9
7.2
5.9
7.6
7.6
6.0
7.2
5.9
6.0
6.1
6.0
8.4
8.7
25.6
8.4
9.1
8.5
6.7
7.3
7.3
6.9
Oct
10.1
6.4
11.8
4.2
5.2
5.5
9.1
5.6
6.0
5.5
8.6
5.9
5.8
11.6
6.3
4.9
3.9
6.0
6.7
5.0
6.5
4.2
5.0
5.9
6.9
10.9
6.7
7.6
5.7
11.8
9.2
10.9
9.2
10.1
6.3
Nov
5.4
7.2
26.8
4.9
5.0
4.6
14.1
5.0
5.0
4.7
10.3
5.0
5.5
10.1
7.9
5.2
5.7
4.7
6.0
5.0
5.5
4.9
4.7
4.6
4.7
13.7
4.9
5.8
13.5
26.7
12.6
19.7
21.8
26.9
7.0
Dec
20.9
12.7
22.3
16.5
13.0
22.6
18.7
25.4
16.5
14.1
45.3
16.4
32.3
23.5
35.3
12.9
14.8
34.7
11.6
14.0
15.7
10.1
10.2
10.4
19.2
145.3
10.2
20.1
48.6
57.7
53.2
50.1
57.5
48.4
35.3
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Jan
16.7
63.2
56.6
57.1
61.1
27.8
59.1
60.1
55.3
23.9
15.4
68.9
35.1
29.9
29.5
58.4
16.9
49.8
40.8
21.4
14.6
27.4
16.1
15.1
17.1
16.3
73.1
19.3
16.2
55.1
39.1
45.1
37.8
36.5
40.1
Feb
25.8
47.0
61.6
68.2
44.0
34.4
75.8
55.6
50.7
37.1
19.2
45.0
46.8
41.3
30.2
49.6
28.5
45.3
34.7
36.7
31.2
50.0
39.2
29.7
50.8
19.5
92.0
17.2
26.0
45.4
36.5
41.1
41.3
38.4
51.8
Mar
68.7
81.9
36.9
86.9
78.8
41.4
81.9
119.8
50.6
32.5
32.8
60.6
52.4
42.0
36.5
65.2
50.5
57.0
58.0
26.2
46.1
55.4
65.4
89.6
57.7
30.4
82.8
40.1
49.0
41.9
57.5
37.3
51.1
48.8
62.2
Apr
59.1
79.8
79.3
66.2
56.6
57.1
76.8
114.7
67.9
74.3
60.8
58.8
69.5
55.1
51.4
60.2
61.9
83.4
65.6
72.9
67.3
63.7
61.2
61.3
73.9
55.4
107.0
71.2
47.8
60.0
64.3
52.1
56.8
53.5
75.6
May 2011
May
46.0
63.2
63.2
66.2
37.9
26.8
49.5
60.1
59.9
55.3
45.9
54.9
60.1
51.8
42.9
55.6
45.0
74.5
53.5
49.5
63.5
60.0
49.7
55.3
60.2
45.6
83.9
52.2
46.1
54.0
53.7
39.7
44.0
44.9
45.2
IKONS
Jun
27.8
51.0
52.6
31.8
28.8
20.2
38.4
39.9
46.2
43.0
36.3
43.4
46.3
39.7
34.9
45.0
36.7
57.1
43.0
39.6
48.0
46.0
40.5
43.8
48.9
36.8
65.1
40.9
36.5
42.8
41.6
30.6
33.6
34.5
35.0
Jul
21.2
39.4
42.4
24.8
23.2
17.2
26.8
36.9
38.1
35.6
30.3
35.9
38.2
33.0
29.2
37.1
30.7
46.6
35.7
33.0
39.5
38.0
33.7
36.3
40.2
30.7
52.9
33.9
30.6
36.7
36.0
28.6
30.6
32.9
25.8
Aug
21.7
31.3
31.3
21.7
19.2
15.2
20.2
30.3
31.8
29.9
25.7
30.1
31.9
27.9
24.9
31.1
26.0
38.4
29.9
27.8
32.9
31.7
28.4
30.4
33.4
26.0
43.4
28.6
25.9
31.9
31.2
23.7
25.7
28.4
24.0
Sep
18.2
21.2
17.7
19.7
16.7
13.6
16.7
25.8
26.9
25.3
22.1
25.5
27.0
23.8
21.4
26.3
22.3
32.1
25.4
23.7
27.7
26.8
24.2
25.8
28.2
22.4
36.0
24.3
22.3
28.1
28.0
19.4
21.6
24.1
21.0
Oct
15.2
16.2
13.1
17.2
14.7
13.6
14.7
21.2
23.1
21.9
19.5
22.0
23.1
20.6
18.8
22.6
19.5
27.1
21.9
20.6
23.7
23.0
21.0
22.2
24.0
19.6
30.2
21.1
19.4
24.4
24.3
17.4
19.1
21.2
17.5
Nov
14.1
12.6
11.6
13.6
12.6
14.1
19.7
20.2
20.4
19.4
17.6
19.5
20.5
18.6
17.0
20.1
17.5
23.7
19.5
18.4
21.0
20.3
18.7
19.6
21.1
17.6
25.9
18.7
17.8
19.6
19.4
17.0
17.7
18.5
18.5
Dec
45.0
30.3
25.8
36.4
20.7
33.3
63.7
29.8
18.1
17.2
46.6
17.5
21.3
16.5
26.0
17.7
16.1
25.2
17.2
16.6
18.4
17.8
16.7
17.5
18.6
97.7
22.3
16.8
35.4
39.4
34.0
20.0
26.6
25.7
26.4
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
C-45
Jan
11.4
43.2
38.7
39.1
41.8
19.0
40.5
41.2
37.8
16.4
10.5
47.1
24.0
20.5
20.2
39.9
11.5
34.1
27.9
14.7
10.0
18.7
11.0
10.4
11.7
11.2
50.0
13.2
11.1
37.7
26.8
30.9
25.9
25.0
27.5
Feb
17.6
32.2
42.2
46.7
30.1
23.5
51.9
38.0
34.7
25.4
13.1
30.8
32.0
28.3
20.6
33.9
19.5
31.0
23.8
25.1
21.3
34.2
26.8
20.3
34.7
13.3
62.9
11.8
17.8
31.1
24.9
28.1
28.3
26.3
35.4
Mar
47.0
56.0
25.2
59.5
53.9
28.4
56.0
82.0
34.6
22.3
22.4
41.4
35.8
28.7
24.9
44.6
34.6
39.0
39.7
17.9
31.6
37.9
44.7
61.3
39.5
20.8
56.7
27.4
33.5
28.7
39.3
25.5
34.9
33.4
42.6
Apr
40.5
54.6
54.3
45.3
38.7
39.1
52.6
78.5
46.5
50.8
41.6
40.2
47.6
37.7
35.2
41.2
42.4
57.1
44.9
49.9
46.0
43.6
41.9
42.0
50.6
37.9
73.3
48.8
32.7
41.0
44.0
35.7
38.9
36.6
51.7
May
31.5
43.2
43.2
45.3
25.9
18.3
33.9
41.2
41.0
37.9
31.4
37.6
41.1
35.5
29.3
38.1
30.8
51.0
36.6
33.9
43.5
41.0
34.0
37.8
41.2
31.2
57.4
35.7
31.5
36.9
36.7
27.2
30.1
30.7
30.9
IKONN
Jun
19.0
34.9
36.0
21.8
19.7
13.8
26.3
27.3
31.6
29.4
24.8
29.7
31.7
27.2
23.9
30.8
25.1
39.1
29.5
27.1
32.8
31.5
27.7
30.0
33.5
25.2
44.5
28.0
25.0
29.3
28.5
20.9
23.0
23.6
24.0
Jul
14.5
27.0
29.0
16.9
15.9
11.8
18.3
25.2
26.0
24.3
20.7
24.5
26.1
22.6
20.0
25.4
21.0
31.8
24.4
22.5
27.0
26.0
23.0
24.8
27.5
21.0
36.2
23.2
20.9
25.1
24.6
19.5
20.9
22.5
17.6
Aug
14.9
21.4
21.4
14.9
13.1
10.4
13.8
20.7
21.8
20.4
17.6
20.6
21.9
19.1
17.0
21.3
17.8
26.3
20.5
19.0
22.5
21.7
19.4
20.8
22.9
17.8
29.7
19.6
17.7
21.8
21.3
16.2
17.6
19.5
16.4
Sep
12.4
14.5
12.1
13.5
11.4
9.3
11.4
17.6
18.4
17.3
15.1
17.5
18.5
16.3
14.7
18.0
15.3
21.9
17.4
16.2
19.0
18.3
16.5
17.6
19.3
15.3
24.6
16.7
15.2
19.2
19.1
13.3
14.8
16.5
14.4
Oct
10.4
11.1
9.0
11.8
10.0
9.3
10.0
14.5
15.8
15.0
13.3
15.0
15.8
14.1
12.9
15.4
13.3
18.6
15.0
14.1
16.2
15.7
14.4
15.2
16.4
13.4
20.6
14.4
13.3
16.7
16.6
11.9
13.0
14.5
12.0
Nov
9.7
8.6
8.0
9.3
8.6
9.7
13.5
13.8
14.0
13.3
12.0
13.4
14.0
12.8
11.7
13.8
12.0
16.2
13.4
12.6
14.4
13.9
12.8
13.4
14.5
12.1
17.8
12.8
12.2
13.5
13.3
11.6
12.2
12.7
12.7
Dec
30.8
20.7
17.6
24.9
14.2
22.8
43.6
20.4
12.4
11.8
31.9
12.0
14.6
11.3
17.8
12.1
11.0
17.3
11.8
11.4
12.6
12.2
11.4
12.0
12.7
66.8
15.2
11.5
24.2
27.0
23.3
13.7
18.2
17.6
18.1
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Jan
10.8
40.9
36.7
36.9
39.7
18.0
38.2
38.9
36.4
15.7
10.1
45.3
23.1
19.7
19.4
38.4
11.1
32.8
26.9
14.1
9.6
18.0
10.6
10.0
11.3
10.7
48.1
12.7
10.7
36.3
25.7
29.7
24.9
24.0
26.4
Feb
16.7
30.4
9.3
44.2
28.4
23.4
49.0
50.1
32.6
23.8
12.3
28.9
30.1
26.5
19.4
31.9
18.3
29.1
22.3
23.6
20.0
32.1
25.2
19.1
32.6
12.5
59.1
11.1
16.7
29.2
23.4
26.4
26.6
24.7
33.3
Mar
44.5
53.0
23.9
56.3
51.1
26.8
53.0
77.4
32.6
20.9
21.1
39.0
33.7
27.0
23.5
42.0
32.5
36.7
37.3
16.9
29.7
35.7
42.1
57.7
37.2
19.6
53.3
25.8
31.6
27.0
37.0
24.0
32.9
31.4
40.1
Apr
38.2
51.8
51.4
42.8
36.7
35.8
49.7
74.3
42.8
46.8
38.3
37.0
43.8
34.7
32.4
37.9
39.0
52.5
41.3
45.9
42.4
40.1
38.6
38.6
46.5
34.9
67.4
44.9
30.1
37.8
40.5
32.8
35.8
33.7
47.6
May 2011
May
29.7
40.9
40.9
42.8
24.6
17.3
32.1
28.3
38.7
35.7
29.6
35.4
38.8
33.4
27.7
35.9
29.0
48.1
34.6
31.9
41.0
38.7
32.1
35.7
38.8
29.4
54.1
33.7
29.7
34.8
34.7
25.7
28.4
29.0
29.2
TAVETA
Jun
18.0
33.1
33.9
20.6
18.7
13.1
24.8
34.1
29.8
27.8
23.4
28.0
29.9
25.6
22.5
29.1
23.7
36.9
27.8
25.6
31.0
29.7
26.2
28.3
31.6
23.8
42.0
26.4
23.6
27.7
26.9
19.7
21.7
22.3
22.6
Jul
13.8
25.5
27.6
16.0
15.1
12.2
17.3
23.9
24.7
23.1
19.7
23.3
24.8
21.4
18.9
24.1
19.9
30.2
23.1
21.4
25.6
24.6
21.9
23.5
26.1
19.9
34.3
22.0
19.8
23.8
23.3
18.5
19.9
21.3
16.7
Aug
14.1
20.3
20.3
14.1
12.5
9.7
13.1
19.7
20.4
19.2
16.5
19.3
20.5
17.9
16.0
19.9
16.7
24.7
19.2
17.8
21.1
20.4
18.2
19.5
21.5
16.7
27.9
18.4
16.6
20.5
20.0
15.2
16.5
18.2
15.4
Sep
11.8
13.8
11.4
12.7
10.8
8.9
10.8
16.7
17.3
16.3
14.3
16.4
17.4
15.3
13.8
16.9
14.4
20.7
16.4
15.3
17.9
17.3
15.6
16.6
18.1
14.4
23.2
15.7
14.3
18.1
18.0
12.5
13.9
15.5
13.5
Oct
9.7
10.4
8.5
11.1
9.5
8.9
9.5
13.8
14.8
14.1
12.6
14.2
14.9
13.3
12.1
14.5
12.5
17.5
14.1
13.3
15.3
14.8
13.5
14.3
15.5
12.6
19.4
13.6
12.5
15.7
15.7
11.2
12.3
13.6
11.3
Nov
9.2
8.3
7.5
8.9
8.3
9.2
4.9
13.1
12.5
11.9
10.8
11.9
12.6
11.4
10.4
12.3
10.7
14.5
11.9
11.2
12.9
12.4
11.4
12.0
12.9
10.8
15.9
11.5
10.9
12.0
11.9
10.4
10.9
11.3
11.3
Dec
29.1
19.7
16.7
23.5
13.4
21.7
41.2
19.3
11.2
10.7
28.9
10.8
13.2
10.2
16.1
10.9
10.0
15.6
10.7
10.3
11.4
11.1
10.3
10.8
11.5
60.6
13.8
10.4
22.0
24.5
21.1
12.4
16.5
16.0
16.4
C-46
EAPP/EAC Regional
C.9
Year
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Uganda
Jan
1187
1275
1112
1132
1148
1027
1304
1265
1501
1027
881
1240
859
870
807
889
979
1046
831
1112
1132
970
843
898
911
896
920
920
1036
1104
1222
1220
1277
1372
1026
Feb
1222
1233
1062
954
1158
1031
1182
1372
1583
926
835
1224
1108
909
1009
843
1002
1218
923
1107
1160
1006
829
869
833
875
927
927
1067
1114
1292
1216
1351
1270
835
Mar
1183
1329
1054
927
1095
1011
968
1428
1580
1001
1008
1232
919
1053
1105
851
944
1317
1032
1103
1125
1118
833
915
778
838
896
926
1025
1057
1137
1187
1276
1258
808
Apr
1183
1258
1104
929
1157
1110
1245
1365
1565
988
1038
857
849
1096
1046
849
1028
1312
1183
1113
1071
1169
841
908
875
874
895
1006
1025
1041
1199
1164
1276
1260
812
May 2011
May
1233
1322
1163
812
1124
1178
1332
1501
1434
1053
1240
978
866
1053
933
844
1023
1291
1195
1215
1077
1131
808
1021
892
906
872
999
1068
1095
1117
1158
1288
1181
809
Victoria
Jun
1247
1313
1172
968
1149
1189
1314
1464
1435
1211
1235
1022
860
988
1022
926
1009
1290
1171
1236
1058
1104
782
1032
1037
908
919
975
1175
1073
1166
1158
1363
1139
818
Jul
1212
1226
1135
1062
1114
1250
1284
1414
1523
1221
989
1049
1157
1083
978
1083
1070
1210
1141
1260
1173
1129
854
1010
1117
951
900
1003
1174
1152
1171
1186
1346
1122
822
Aug
1155
1162
1273
1140
1147
1153
789
1402
1576
1157
986
1068
1262
1079
866
1031
1056
1191
1158
1268
988
977
831
893
915
920
904
977
1250
1130
1153
1236
1358
1129
760
Sep
1134
1132
1251
1341
1107
1218
1289
1422
1408
1154
1019
849
934
1069
907
1092
1068
1124
1177
1247
899
912
800
884
794
882
911
1014
1157
1079
1135
1226
1354
1150
741
Oct
1105
1122
1009
1292
1030
1144
1257
1349
1340
1023
1135
881
1262
1049
911
1094
1075
1122
1194
1138
921
876
804
852
803
886
922
1006
1161
1117
1194
1224
1332
1130
738
Nov
1173
1130
995
1090
1015
1102
1242
1457
1316
837
1115
803
911
1242
880
1049
1082
1033
1121
1162
959
844
759
829
788
911
916
1005
1153
1114
1190
1234
1333
1105
734
Dec
1254
1136
1004
1025
1017
1278
1331
1437
1348
579
1135
810
900
919
889
896
1098
743
1083
1146
988
856
956
863
1005
918
886
1036
1085
1107
1176
1238
1355
1042
723
C-47
EAPP/EAC Regional
WBS 1200
Appendix D
Hydro Generation By Plant
May 2011
& planning criteria
EAPP/EAC Regional
APPENDIX D:
HYDRO GENERATION BY PLANT
Burundi
Ethiopia
Hydro Plant Status MW Existing Tot. Jiji 03 Kabu 16 Kaganuzi Mpanda Mule 34 Total Exist
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
31
16
20
39
10
17
132
Hydro potential generation in GWh
Aver SDDP Reference Variation Firm SDDP
120 120
0.4%
101
40 40
‐0.9%
33
113 112
1.3%
100
187 184
1.8%
177
40 40
0.9%
34
54 54
‐0.2%
45
555 550
1.0%
489
%
84%
83%
88%
94%
83%
83%
88%
Hydro Plant Tis Abbay 1 Tis Abbay 2 Finchaa
Gilgel Gibe 1 Malka Wajana Awash 1
Awash 2
Awash 3
Gibe II
Beles
Tekeze I
Gibe III
Gibe IV
Halele Worabesa Chemoga‐Yeda Geba 1 Geba 2 Genale 3D Baro 1 Baro 2 Genji Mandaya Border
Gibe V
Beko Abo Karadobi Genale 6D Gojeb
Tekeze II Aleltu East Aleltu West Awash 4
Total
East DRC
Hydro Plant Status MW Tshopo 1 Ruzizi I Ruzizi II Piani Mwanga Bendera Babeda I Bengamisa Mugomba Semliki Ruzizi III Ruzizi IV Total Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
19 30 36 29 43 50 48 40 28 145 287 764 Hydro Plant Status MW Aswan 1 High Aswan Aswan II Esna Naga Hamadi Diamata Assiut Total Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Fut.
322 2100 270 86
64
20
40
2902 Hydro potential generation in GWh
Aver SDDP 142 136 247 182 143 341 363 163 118 664 1249 3747 Reference
148
137
250
187
151
351
378
160
120
667
1260
3809
Variation
‐3.73%
‐1.03%
‐1.11%
‐2.82%
‐5.27%
‐2.77%
‐3.99%
1.96%
‐1.87%
‐0.51%
‐0.90%
‐1.6%
Firm SDDP
122
100
190
135
107
262
306
121
87
491
923
2843
%
86%
74%
77%
74%
75%
77%
84%
100%
74%
74%
74%
76%
Reference Variation Firm SDDP
1516
‐0.27%
1434
9952
‐0.31%
9425
1772
‐0.09%
1695
410
0.17%
384
19
0.90%
13
88
0.51%
88
175
0.19%
166
13932
‐0.2%
13205
%
95%
95%
96%
94%
65%
100%
94%
95%
Egypt
Aver SDDP 1512 9921 1770 411 19 88 175 13897 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
D-1
Status Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
MW 11
73
134
192
153
43
32
32
420
460
300
1870
1468
422
280
215
157
258
200
500
216
2000
1200
662
2100
1600
246
150
450
186
265
38
16204
Aver SDDP
35
417
760
878
437
100
138
152
1914
2134
1390
6087
5644
2215
1384
962
840
1228
949
2667
907
11950
6331
1882
10825
8784
1609
526
1758
885
1028
166
76986
Reference
33
433
724
871
435
101
136
148
1903
2142
1393
6400
5917
2245
1415
935
853
1200
904
2527
922
12119
6011
1937
11200
8802
1575
520
1750
847
1050
160
77588
Variation
5.01%
‐3.74%
4.95%
0.84%
0.47%
‐0.51%
1.75%
2.85%
0.59%
‐0.38%
‐0.21%
‐4.89%
‐4.61%
‐1.34%
‐2.19%
2.93%
‐1.56%
2.32%
4.95%
5.53%
‐1.65%
‐1.40%
5.33%
‐2.85%
‐3.35%
‐0.21%
2.18%
1.11%
0.47%
4.54%
‐2.07%
4.02%
‐0.8%
Firm SDDP
24
237
548
587
254
64
89
98
1279
1684
785
3881
3611
1204
840
656
673
855
655
2109
782
8834
5789
1202
7300
6081
1114
373
990
619
598
106
53923
% 69% 57% 72% 67% 58% 64% 64% 64% 67% 79% 57% 64% 64% 54% 61% 68% 80% 70% 69% 79% 86% 74% 91% 64% 67% 69% 69% 71% 56% 70% 58% 63% 70% WBS 1200 Generation supply study
& planning criteria
EAPP/EAC Regional
Tanzania
Kenya
Hydro Plant Status MW Tana Wanji Kambaru Gitaru Kindaruma Masinga Kiambere Sondu Miriu Turkwell Sangoro Mutonga Low Grand Falls
Magwagwa Ewaso Ngiro Karura Total Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
14 7 94 225 40 40 144 60 106 21 60 140 120 180 56 1300 Hydro potential generation in GWh
Aver SDDP 63 37 460 892 273 191 916 404 437 143 336 707 525 568 184 6135 Reference
63
38
438
875
273
191
906
427
435
151
337
715
510
554
180
6093
Variation
0.65%
‐1.65%
4.95%
1.96%
‐0.06%
‐0.01%
1.12%
‐5.52%
0.46%
‐5.55%
‐0.42%
‐1.07%
2.90%
2.50%
1.97%
0.7%
Firm SDDP
40
26
240
461
141
92
486
330
281
117
198
415
345
306
95
3573
%
62%
70%
52%
52%
52%
48%
53%
82%
64%
82%
59%
59%
66%
54%
52%
58%
Rwanda
Hydro Plant Status MW Existing Hydro Nyabarongo Total Exist
Fut
37 28 65 Hydro Plant Status MW Nalubaale Kira 11‐15 Bujagali 1‐5 Karuma Murchison F. Isimba Ayago Total Exist
Exist
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
180 200 250 700 750 100 550 2730 Hydro potential generation in GWh
Aver SDDP 168 150 318 Reference
168
147
315
Variation
‐0.2%
2.0%
0.8%
Firm SDDP
168
129
296
Hydro Plant Status MW Mtera
Kidatu
Hale
Kihansi
Pangani Falls Nyumba Mungu Ruhudji
Rusumo
Kakono
Songwe Bigupu Songwe Sofre Songwe Manolo Masigira Mpanga
Taveta
Rumakali Ikondo
Stieglers Total
Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
80
204
21
180
68
8
358
63
53
34
157
149
118
144
145
222
340
1200
3544
Aver SDDP
335.48
908.91
81.18
662.99
289.21
33.66
1965.08
451.92
416.27
157.11
788.96
757.50
670.47
939.48
874.59
1505.86
1869.16
7014.40
19722
Reference
354
936
81
664
287
33
1928
444
404
153
780
736
664
955
850
1475
1832
6674
19250
Variation
‐5.23%
‐2.89%
0.23%
‐0.15%
0.77%
2.01%
1.92%
1.78%
3.04%
2.68%
1.15%
2.92%
0.97%
‐1.63%
2.89%
2.09%
2.03%
5.10%
2.5%
Firm SDDP
217.64
646.31
53.79
491.36
191.62
21.36
1376.82
418.63
416.27
107.12
511.54
494.44
519.48
697.96
657.38
988.30
1392.98
4410.45
13613
% 65% 71% 66% 74% 66% 63% 70% 93% 100% 68% 65% 65% 77% 74% 75% 66% 75% 63% 69% %
100%
86%
93%
Uganda
Aver SDDP 767 747 1970 5512 5904 788 4336 20025 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
Reference
767
751
1940
4919
6316
890
4635
20218
Variation
‐0.03%
‐0.49%
1.57%
12.06%
‐6.53%
‐11.45%
‐6.45%
‐1.0%
Firm SDDP
766
747
1966
5512
5903
788
4336
20019
%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
D-2
& planning criteria
EAPP/EAC Regional
Sudan
Hydro Plant Status MW Rosieres Sennar Kashm El Girba
Jebel Aulia Merowe Rumela Sabaloka Shereiq Kagbar Dal 1 (Low) Dagash Fula 1 Shukoli Lakki Bedden Total Exist
Exist
Exist
Exist
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
Fut
415 65 18 30 1250 30 90 315 300 340 285 720 210 210 400 4678 Hydro potential generation in GWh
Aver SDDP 2887 227 80 131 5701 83 670 1962 1413 1968 1503 4134 1443 1443 2748 26393 Reference
2900
239
79
131
5681
82
691
1936
1400
1944
1476
4119
1420
1422
2761
26281
Variation
‐0.46%
‐5.13%
1.72%
0.15%
0.35%
0.83%
‐3.01%
1.33%
0.94%
1.25%
1.80%
0.36%
1.64%
1.50%
‐0.46%
0.4%
Firm SDDP
2543
199
80
119
4771
79
546
1695
1186
1698
1294
3382
1209
1209
2287
22298
%
88%
88%
99%
90%
84%
95%
82%
86%
84%
86%
86%
82%
84%
84%
83%
84%
May 2011
D-3
& planning criteria
EAPP/EAC Regional
WBS 1300
Appendix A
Load Duration Curves and Demand Forecast in
SDDP
May 2011
WBS 1300 Supply Demand Analysis
& Project Identification
EAPP/EAC Regional
APPENDIX A:
A.1
LOAD DURATION CURVES AND DEMAND FORECAST IN SDDP
Introduction
In Power Engineering, load duration curves (LDC) are the graphs that represent the hourly
load data for a certain period (a day, month or year), sorted in descending order of load
level. With the load level represented on the Y-axis and the hours on the X-axis, the point
located at (X0 , Y0) gives the number of hours (X0) the load is going to be greater than or
equal to Y0 in the time period the LDC was drawn. Additional useful information that can be
taken from an LDC are the peak load, which is the intersection of the LDC with the Y-axis,
and the total sent-out generation, equal to the area under the LDC.
Normally, the LDCs take the shape of a descending continuous curve, starting from the peak
load and at time tf = final hour, the LDC reaches the minimum load level in the time period
and drops to 0 at tf. However, when working with the model SDDP, it is required to enter the
LDC into the model’s database in a special acceptable format, which is a discrete curve of nblocks, where n is user-defined.
This Appendix, through the help of an example, explains the method used to manipulate the
continuous LDC and turn it into a discrete one, ready to be entered into the model’s
database. This explanation is done in four steps:
1. Defining the time period (or stage as the model recognizes it) and using the hourly load
data to build the original LDC;
2. Gathering the required info from the LDC, such as peak load and total energy;
3. Describing the methodology and defining the assumptions used;
4. Calculating the load level, energy and time duration of each block in the discrete LDC.
A.2
Continuous LDC
The time period or stage used in the simulations of this study was chosen to be one Month.
The model simulates the system’s operation for every month. Hence the LDC has to be
constructed from a month of hourly data. An example of the hourly load variation for the
month of January of a random year in an African country is shown below in Figure 1:
May 2011
A-1
EAPP/EAC Regional
Figure 1
Hourly Load – January Example
350
300
250
MW
200
150
100
50
0
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Hours
The load values in the curve of Figure 1 are then sorted in descending order, to build the
LDC, shown below in Figure 2:
Figure 2
Continuous Load Duration Curve – January Example
350
300
MW
250
200
150
100
50
0
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Hours
The LDC in the previous figure has a peak of 314 MW. The area under the curve, which is
also the total sent-out generation, is 137 GWh.
May 2011
A-2
EAPP/EAC Regional
A.3
Discretization Methodology
As mentioned earlier, the continuous LDC has to be reshaped into a discrete curve of nblocks. In this study, it was decided to use 3 blocks, representing 3 load levels during the
month: The peak load, the middle load and the base load. Two important guidelines had to
be respected when building the LDC:
-
The peak load has to be the same as in the continuous LDC
-
The total energy has to be the same for the month.
Following from these guidelines, some assumptions were made to simplify building the
discrete LDC:
-
The peak load block accounts for 10% of the time in a given month. Its load level is at
the peak demand.
-
The middle load block lasts for 50% of the time. The total energy in this block is equal to
60% of the total energy in the month.
-
The base load block accounts for the remaining time (40%) and the remaining energy.
With that in mind, the three load blocks for the January LDC of the example in Figure 2 are:
-
Block 1: Duration = 10% of the Month (744 hrs) = 74.4 hrs
-
Block 1: Load Level = Peak Demand = 314 MW
-
Block 1: Energy = Load Level x Duration = 23.3 GWh
-
Block 2: Duration = 50% of the Month (744 hrs) = 372 hrs
-
Block 2: Energy = 60% of the Total Energy (137 GWh) = 82.2 GWh
-
Block 2: Load Level = Energy / Duration = 221 MW
-
Block 3: Time duration = 40% of the month (744 hrs) = 297.6 hrs
-
Block 3: Energy = Total Energy – Energy (Block 1 + Block 2) = 31.5 GWh
-
Block 3: Load Level = Energy / Duration = 106 MW
Table 1
Discrete LDC blocks – January Example
Block Duration (hrs) Load Level (MW) Energy (GWh)
1
74.4
314
23.3
2
372
221
82.2
3
297.6
106
31.5
Using the data from Table 1, the discrete LDC is plotted in Figure 3. The continuous LDC is
plotted in the same figure to visualize the transition that occurred.
May 2011
A-3
EAPP/EAC Regional
Figure 3
Continuous vs. Discrete LDC – January Example
350
300
MW
250
200
150
Continuous LDC
100
Discrete LDC
50
0
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Hours
A.4
LDC forecast and Model Database
The LDC is based on hourly data and can be constructed for the base year of a study. In
order to get the LDC for the entire study horizon, the peak demand forecast and sent-out
generation forecast are used to scale up the base year’s LDC to the forecast year by simply
increasing the load levels of the base year’s LDC by a factor equal to the growth rate.
Once the discrete LDC’s blocks are calculated for all the months in the study horizon, the
energy values of every block are entered into a spreadsheet in the model’s database, split
into, blocks, months and years. The duration of the blocks is defined as the same for all
months in the study, i.e. for every month block 1 is 10%, block 2 is 50% and block 3 is 40%.
With the study’s horizon being 26 years (2013-2038) and using 3 blocks, the demand
forecast in the database would then be comprised of 936 values (3 blocks x 12 months x 26
years).
Table 2 below is an example of the format in which values are entered into the database.
The values in the table are from the demand database of one of the countries in the study:
Table 2
Year
Block
2013
SDDP Demand Forecast Database – Example
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
1
139.9
115.2
129.3
124.3
128.0
123.0
129.3
135.1
141.4
129.8
124.8
129.4
2013
2
356.0
302.1
320.7
312.1
334.8
361.6
396.3
406.1
316.3
363.2
368.9
369.6
2013
3
245.3
233.9
233.4
267.3
244.9
224.4
212.0
214.8
252.3
238.3
231.8
257.4
2014
1
156.2
128.6
144.4
138.8
142.9
137.3
144.4
150.9
157.9
144.9
139.3
144.5
2014
2
397.4
337.3
358.0
348.5
373.7
403.7
442.5
453.3
353.1
405.5
411.8
412.6
2014
3
273.9
261.1
260.6
298.4
273.4
250.5
236.6
239.7
281.6
266.1
258.8
287.3
May 2011
A-4
EAPP/EAC Regional
WBS 1300
Appendix B
Generation Technical Characteristics Database
May 2011
EAPP/EAC Regional
APPENDIX B:
B.1
GENERATION TECHNICAL CHARACTERISTICS DATABASE
Tanzania
Table 1
Tanzania Thermal and Wind Plants Characteristics
Plant Name
Plant Type
Fuel
Songas 1
Songas 2
Songas 3
Ubongo GT
Tegeta IPTL
Tegeta GT
Mwanza
Ubongo EPP
Cogen
OCGT
OCGT
OCGT
OCGT
MSD
OCGT
MSD
OCGT
STPP
NG
NG
NG
NG
DO
NG
HFO
NG
Cogen
Kiwira
Kinyerezi
Mnazi Bay
Ngaka
Mchuchuma
GT IDO
Tegetat IPTG
Coastal Coal
DSM CCGT
GT NG
CC NG
CC LNG
Coal STPP
Nyasa Coal
Wind
STPP
OCGT
OCGT
STPP
STPP
OCGT
OCGT
STPP
CCGT
OCGT
CCGT
CCGT
STPP
STPP
WPP
Coal
NG
NG
Coal
Coal
DO
NG
Coal
NG
NG
NG
NG
Coal
Coal
Wind
# units
2.0
2.0
2.0
12.0
10.0
1.0
3.0
12.0
1.0
4
4
5
4
4
2
10
10
1
2
1
4
2
2
1
Pot Inst Gen Max
MW
MW
Existing Plants
42.0
38.3
120.0
110.0
40.0
37.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
45.0
45.0
60.0
60.0
100.0
100.0
37.0
37.0
Future Plants
200
200
240
235
300
300
400
400
400
400
52
52
100
100
1500
1500
174
174
200
200
174
174
696
696
300
300
200
200
50
50
FOR
%
COR
%
CV O&M
$/MWh
Effic
GJ/MWh
Ref.
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
8.0
5.0
5.0
12.7
12.7
12.7
12.7
17.6
12.7
17.6
12.7
13.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
12.0
5.0
13.5
5.0
5.6
10.1
10.1
10.1
8.3
9.3
8.3
8.8
8.3
11.9
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
8.0
5.0
5.0
8.0
8.0
5.0
5.0
8.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
8.0
8.0
----
19.5
12.7
12.7
19.5
19.5
12.7
12.7
19.5
12.7
12.7
12.7
12.7
19.5
19.5
70.0
6.8
5.0
5.0
6.8
6.8
4.5
5.0
6.8
5.0
5.0
3.5
3.5
6.8
6.8
0.0
9.2
10.9
8.5
10.0
9.9
12.0
9.4
11.5
9.5
12.0
7.0
7.0
10.9
9.7
----
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
OCGT: Ordinary Cycle Gas Turbine; CCGT: Combined Cycle Gas Turbine; STPP: Steam Turbine Power Plant
MSD: Medium Speed Diesel; LSD: Low Speed Diesel; WPP: Wind Power Plant
NG: Natural Gas; HFO: Heavy Fuel Oil; LRO: Light-Reduced Oi
FOR: Forced outage Rate; COR: Combined Outage Rate; CV O&M: Variable Cost Operation and Maintenance
May 2011
B-1
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 2
Plant Name Tanzania Hydro Plants Characteristics
Site Spill to Turbine to Mtera Kidatu Hale Kihansi Pangani Falls Nymungu Mtera Kidatu Hale Kihansi Kidatu Stieglers 1 Pangani Falls Stieglers 1 Kidatu
Stieglers 1
Pangani Falls
Stieglers 1
‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Nymungu Hale Hale
Ruhudji Rusumo Kakono Songwe Bigupu Songwe Sofre Songwe Manolo Masigira Mpanga Taveta Rumakali Ikondo Stieglers Gorge 1 Stieglers Gorge 2 Stieglers Gorge 3 Ruhudji Rusumo Kakono Songwe Upper Songwe Middle Songwe Lower Masigira Mpanga Taveta Rumakali Ikondo Stieglers 1 Kakono ‐‐‐‐ Songwe Sofre Songwe Manolo Stieglers 1
Kakono
‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Stieglers ‐‐‐‐ Total Cap MW
Existing Plants
2
80
4
204
2
21
3
180
Storage
Min Max
Hm3 Hm3
Production Coefficient MW/m3/s Turbining Max m3/s 0.57
1.08
0.32
6.45
98 132 45 24 563 40 0 2 3,750
167
0
2
3
3
3
3
68 1.14 45 1 1 3 2
8
Future Plants
4
358
2
63
2
53
0.17
43 247 1,118
3
6.58
0.28
0.22
54 208 240 31 0 27 300
1,250
27
3
3
3
# units 2 Ref Songwe Sofre 3 34 0.68 50 100 350 3 Songwe Manolo 3 157 2.48 60 80 440 3 ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ 3 149 2.23 70 0 260 3 ‐‐‐‐ Stieglers 1 Stieglers 1 ‐‐‐‐ Taveta Stieglers Gorge 2 Stieglers Gorge 3 Stieglers Gorge 1 ‐‐‐‐ Stieglers 1
Stieglers 1
‐‐‐‐ Taveta
Stieglers Gorge 3 Stieglers Gorge 3 Stieglers Gorge 1 2
3
2
3
4
118
144
145
222
340
2.07
3.50
1.16
11.62
3.40
57 45 125 19 100 24 75 5 24 0 24
75
5
280
0
3
3
3
3
3
4 300 0.85 353 12,000 12,000 3 4 600 0.85 706 12,000 12,000 3 3 300 0.27 1108 12,000 34,000 3 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
B-2
EAPP/EAC Regional
B.2
Kenya
Table 3
Kenya Thermal and Wind Plants Characteristics
Plant Name Plant Type Fuel # units Pot Inst Gen Max
MW
MW
Existing Plants
75
60
60
60
13
10
45
44
105
101
13
13
35
35
56
56
74
74
26
26
60
60
150
150
35
35
180
180
90
90
53
52
300
300
120
120
20
20
Future Plants
4200
4200
126
126
900
900
2100
2100
3480
3480
2000
2000
300
300
60
60
50
50
FOR
%
COR %
CV O&M $/MWh Effic
GJ/MWh
Ref. Kipevu 1 Diesel
Kipevu new GT
Nairobi Fiat
Olkaria 1 Olkaria 2 OrPower 4a OrPower 4b Iberafrica IPP Tsavo IPP Cogen Aggreko IPP Low Speed Diesel Olkaria 3 Athi river diesel IPP Rabai diesel IPP Iberafrica 3 IPP Mombasa Coal Diesel
Ngong MSD OCGT OCGT Geo Geo Geo Geo MSD MSD STPP MSD LSD Geo MSD MSD MSD STPP MSD WPP Diesel
NG
NG
Heat
Heat
Heat
Heat
LRO
LRO
Cogen
Diesel
Diesel
Heat
Diesel
Diesel
LRO
Coal
Diesel
Wind
6
2
1
3
2
1
3
10
6
3
1
3
1
1
8
10
1
12
1
11.7
3.5
8.0
1.6
1.6
1.6
4.0
4.0
5.0
5.0
11.7
8.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
6.0
4.0
‐‐‐‐
18.4 10.9 13.3 5.4
5.4
5.4
7.7
9.5
10.5 13.0 18.4 16.0 7.7
9.5
9.5
9.5
16.8 9.5
70.0 15.4 4.9 4.9 2.2 2.2 2.2 23.0 15.4 21.2 5.6 15.4 10.0 2.5 15.4 15.4 15.4 6.5 15.4 0.0 9.0 13.7
18.3
10.0
10.0
10.0
10.8
9.2 8.8 9.2 9.0 8.3 10.8
9.0 9.0 9.1 11.0
9.0 ‐‐‐‐ 53
53
53
53
53
53
53
53
53
53
53
53
53
53
53
53
53
53
53
Geothermal Cogen Future Mombasa Coal Future
Generic Coal Plant Generic Combined Cycle
Generic Gas Turbine Turkana Aeolus Osiwo Geo STPP STPP STPP CCGT OCGT WPP WPP WPP Heat
Cogen
Coal
Coal
NG
NG
Wind
Wind
Wind
30
1
3
7
10
10
2
1
1
1.6
5.0
6.0
6.0
5.0
5.0
‐‐‐‐
‐‐‐‐
‐‐‐‐
5.3
13.0 16.8 16.8 12.7 12.7 70.0 70.0 70.0 2.5 5.6 6.5 6.5 3.5 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.7
9.2 11.0
11.0
7.0 12.0
‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ 53
53
9,53
53
53
53
May 2011
B-3
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 4
Kenya Hydro Plants Characteristics
Total Cap MW
Existing Plants
6
20
4
7
3
94
3
225
3
40
2
40
2
164
2
60
2
106
1
21
Future Plants
Turbining Max m3/s 0.70
0.55
0.60
1.15
0.35
0.33
1.20
1.70
3.60
0.60
30.5 13.4 156.7 195.5 184.1 114.3 131.2 39.1 32.1 39.1 0.0 0.0 23.0 0.0 0.0 193.0 108.0 0.0 114.3 0.0 0.0
0.0
151.0
0.0
0.0
1560.0
585.0
0.0
1644.9
0.0
27,52
27,52
27,52
27,52
20,27,52
27,52
27,52
27,52
27,52
27,52
60 0.33 167.6 46.8 132.0 27,52 2 140 0.60 218.1 306.0 1261.0 27,52 1 120 1.43 84.0 107.0 808.0 27,52 1
1
56
180
0.24
6.43
238.3 28.0 95.0 30.0 310.0
300.0
27,52
27,52
Site Spill to Turbine to Tana Wanji Kamburu Gitaru Kindaruma Masinga Kiambere Sondu Miriu Turkwell Sangoro ‐‐‐‐ Maragwa Thiba ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Masinga ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Turkwell ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Tana Gitaru Kindaruma Karura Kamburu Mutonga Sangoro ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Tana
Gitaru
Kindaruma
Karura
Kamburu
Mutonga
Sangoro
‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Mutonga Mutonga Low Grand Falls Low Grand Falls 1 Low Grand Falls Kathita ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Magwagwa Sondu Karura Ewaso Ngiro ‐‐‐‐ Ewaso Sondu Miriu Kiambere ‐‐‐‐ Sondu Miriu Kiambere
‐‐‐‐ B.3
Storage Min Max
Hm3 Hm3
Production Coefficient MW/m3/s # units Plant Name Ref Uganda
Table 5
Plant Name Plant Type Uganda Hydro Thermal Plants Characteristics
Fuel # units Namanve Kakira Kinyara Electromaxx Invespro MSD Biom Biom MSD MSD HFO Bagasse
Bagasse
HFO HFO 1
1
1
1
1
Kampala Steam Tallow Diesel Tallow Gas Tallow CC Geothermal Tallow Steam Generic CCGT STPP MSD OCGT CCGT Geo STPP CCGT Coal Diesel GasOil GasOil Heat HFO Gasoil 1
1
1
1
3
1
2
Pot Inst
Gen Max
FOR
COR
CV O&M Effic Ref. MW MW % % $/MWh GJ/MWh 3.0
6.0
6.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
22.5
22.5
3.0
3.0
8.0 3.3 3.3 8.0 8.0 9.4 20.8 20.8 9.4 9.4 37
37
37
37
37
7.0
5.0
4.0
4.0
5.0
7.0
4.0
19.5
10.5
7.9
11.4
15.9
17.7
11.4
6.6 10.0 5.0 4.0 4.5 4.5 4.0 11.0 8.0 11.5 7.9 20.5 10.5 7.9 37
37
37
37
37
37
37
Existing Plants
50
50
12
5
5
12
10
10
50
50
Future Plants
56
56
10
10
57
57
185
185
33
90
53
53
370
370
May 2011
B-4
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 6
Uganda Hydro Plants Characteristics
Plant Name Site Spill to Turbine to Nalubaale Kira Bujagali Victoria Victoria ‐‐‐‐ Bujagali Bujagali Isimba Bujagali
Bujagali
Isimba
Karuma Low Karuma High Isimba ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Ayago ‐‐‐‐ Ayago Ayago Karuma Murchisson F. Ayago
Ayago
Karuma
Murchisson F. ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Murchisson F. High Murchisson F. Low Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
Total # Cap unit
s MW
Existing Plants
10
180
5
200
5
250
Future Plants
5
250
5
700
5
100
Storage Min Max
Hm3 Hm3
0.17
0.18
619.5 557.6 1375.0 0.0 0.0 12.8 0.0
0.0
12.8
37,54
37,54
37,54,62
0.65
0.65
0.14
387.0 1084.0 735.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
0.0
0.0
37,54
37,54
37,54
Ref 11 550 0.68 810.0 0.0 0.0 37,54 ‐‐‐‐ 10 750 0.72 1040.0 0.0 0.0 37,54 ‐‐‐‐ 4 250 0.53 421.0 0.0 0.0 37,54 B-5
EAPP/EAC Regional
B.4
Ethiopia
Table 7
Plant Name Ethiopia Thermal and Wind Plants Characteristics
Plant Type Fuel # units Dir Dawa Awash 7 Kaliti Aluto Small Diesel Ashegoda Adana MSD MSD MSD Geo MSD WPP WPP Diesel
Diesel
Diesel
Heat
Heat
Wind
Wind
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Tendaho Corbetti Abaya Tulu Moye Dofan Fantale Aluto Langano Generic Geothermal
Generic Gas Geo Geo Geo Geo Geo Geo Geo OCGT Heat
Heat
Heat
Heat
Heat
Heat
Heat
Diesel
1
1
1
1
1
1
30
14
Pot Inst
Gen Max
FOR
COR
CV O&M Efic MW MW % % $/MWh GJ/MWh 8.0
8.0
8.0
1.6
8.0
‐‐‐‐
‐‐‐‐
17.6
17.6
17.6
5.4
17.6
70.0
70.0
12.0 12.0 12.0 2.5 12.0 0 0 13.4 13.4 13.4 11.0 13.4 ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ 38
38
38
38
38
38
38
1.6
1.6
1.6
1.6
1.6
1.6
1.6
5.0
5.3
5.3
5.3
5.3
5.3
5.3
5.3
12.7
2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 5.0 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 12.0 38
38
38
38
38
38
Existing Plants
44
44
35
35
14
14
7
7
57
57
120
120
51
51
Future Plants
100
100
75
75
100
100
40
40
60
60
75
75
3000
3000
1960
1960
Ref. 10
May 2011
B-6
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 8
Ethiopia Hydro Plants Characteristics
Total Cap MW
Existing Plants
1
11
2
73
4
134
3
192
Turbining Max m3/s 0.17
0.42
6.36
1.745
64.7 173.8 21.1 110 0 0 0 0 0
9130
790
657
38
38
38,63
38,43
153 2.06 74.3 0 781 38,63 3
43
1
32
1
32
4
420
4
460
4
300
Future Plants
10
1870
8
1468
0.29
0.4
0.44
3.8
4.8
1.3
148.3 80 72.7 110.5 95.8 230.8 0 0 0 0 0 0 1680
0
0
0
0
5350
38
38
38
38,43
38
38
1.58
1.22
1183.6 1203.3 0 0 11750
0
10,43,56
10,43
422 3.3 127.9 0 2900 10 4 280 15 18.7 0 591 10 3
2
3
2
5
2
8
8
12
8
8
3
3
1
3
3
2
215
157
258
200
500
216
2000
1200
662
2100
1600
246
150
450
186
265
38
3.55
2
1.55
2.61
4.1
3.16
1.4
0.46
0.406
1.99
1.82
2.02
0.75
1.637
7.5
8.7
0.48
60.6 78.5 166.5 76.6 122 63.3 1428.6 2608.7 1630.5 1055.3 879.1 121.8 200 168 24.8 30.5 79.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 24600 6000 0 17500 22700 0 0 0 0 0 0 1392
0
1710
993
0
0
49200
14500
0
37500
40200
42
757
0
520
616
100
10
10
10,32
10
10
10
10,25
10,25
10,43
10,40
10,40
10,33
10
10,63
10
10
10
Site Spill to Turbine to Tis Abbay 1 Tis Abbay 2 Finchaa Gilgel Gibe I Malka Wakana Awash 1 Awash 2 Awash 3 Gibe II Beles Tekeze I Abaybah ‐‐‐‐ Finchaa Gilgel Gibe I Malka Wakana Awash H ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Tekeze Tis Abbay 2 ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Gibe II Tis Abbay 2
‐‐‐‐
‐‐‐‐
Gibe II
‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Awash 2 Awash 3 Awash 4 Gibe III ‐‐‐‐ Tekeze II Awash 2
Awash 3
Awash 4
Gibe III
Border
Tekeze II
Gibe III Gibe IV Halele Worabesa Chemoga‐
Yeda Geba I Geba II Genale 3D Baro I Baro II Genji Mandaya Border Gibe V Beko Abo Karadobi Genale 6D Gojeb Tekeze II Aleltu East Aleltu West Awash 4 Gibe III Gibe IV Gibe IV Gibe V Gibe IV
Gibe V
Halele ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ 6 Chemoga ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Geba I Geba II Genale Baro ‐‐‐‐ Genji Mandaya Border ‐‐‐‐ Beko Abo Karadobi ‐‐‐‐ Gojeb ‐‐‐‐ Aleltu ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Geba II ‐‐‐‐ Genale 6D Baro II ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Border ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Mandaya Mandaya ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Aleltu West ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Geba II
‐‐‐‐
Genale 6D
Baro II
‐‐‐‐
Baro II
Border
‐‐‐‐
‐‐‐‐
Mandaya
Mandaya
‐‐‐‐
‐‐‐‐
‐‐‐‐
Aleltu West
‐‐‐‐
‐‐‐‐
May 2011
Storage Min Max
Hm3 Hm3
Production Coefficient MW/m3/s # units Plant Name 4 B-7
Ref WBS 1300 Supply Demand Analysis
EAPP/EAC Regional
B.5
Sudan
Table 9
Sudan Thermal Plants Characteristics
Plant Name Plant Type Fuel # units Dr Sherif 1 Dr Sherif 2 Khartoum GT U1 Khartoum GT U2 Khartoum ST U1 Khartoum ST U2 Khartoum ST U3 Khartoum ST U4 Khartoum ST U5‐6 Garri CC 1 Garri CC2 Garri CC 4 Kilo Atbara Kassal Diesel Al Fulla Kosti STPP STPP OCGT OCGT STPP STPP STPP STPP STPP CCGT CCGT CCGT OCGT LSD LSD STPP STPP Gasoil
Gasoil
Gasoil
Gasoil
HFO HFO HFO HFO HFO Gasoil
Gasoil
Coal Gasoil
Diesel
HFO Crude
Crude
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
6
6
2
2
1
5
4
4
El Bagair Port Sudan Garri Steam 3 Generic GT Generic Diesel Generic Coal 1 Generic Coal 2 Generic Coal 3 Generic Crude 1 Generic Crude 2 Generic CC 1 Generic CC 2 Generic CC 3 STPP STPP STPP OCGT LSD STPP STPP STPP STPP STPP CCGT CCGT CCGT Crude
Coal Crude
Gasoil
Crude
Coal Coal Coal Crude
Crude
Gasoil
Gasoil
Gasoil
4
3
4
2
1
2
3
4
2
5
6
4
8
Pot Inst
Gen Max
FOR
COR
8.0
8.0
8.0
3.3
2.4
0.5
1.3
5.0
4.7
3.0
6.0
2.0
8.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
18.6
18.6
18.6
18.6
11.3
10.4
8.7
9.4
15.4
12.5
11.0
18.9
8.7
17.6
18.8
15.4
15.4
3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 4.3 2.0 6.2 6.2 1.5 12.0 3.0 4.3 4.3 15.8 15.8 15.8 13.2 12.6 13.3 11.2 11.2 8.4 8.8 8.2 9.5 12.0 13.4 9.0 10.5 10.2 22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
5.0
6.0
5.0
2.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
15.4
16.3
15.4
8.7
13.2
14.5
14.5
14.5
14.5
14.5
11.0
11.0
11.0
4.3 6.6 4.3 11.0 10.7 8.9 5.6 5.3 4.8 4.7 7.1 6.6 6.3 10.2 9.5 10.2 12.0 8.4 9.5 9.5 9.5 10.0 9.7 6.8 7.1 6.9 22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
22,68
Existing Plants
60
60
120
120
17
17
17
17
28
28
28
28
51
51
51
51
190
190
164
164
200
200
95
95
40
40
4
4
48
48
513
513
475
475
Future Plants
513
513
386
386
513
513
120
120
272
272
286
286
1140
1140
2280
2280
476
476
2375
2375
1248
1248
1368
1368
3648
3648
Ref. OCGT: Ordinary Cycle Gas Turbine; CCGT: Combined Cycle Gas Turbine; STPP: Steam Turbine Power Plant
May 2011
B-8
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 10
Plant Name Site Spill to Rosieres Sennar Kashm El Girba Merowe Jebel Aulia El Edeim ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Sennar ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Kagbar ‐‐‐‐ Shereiq Dagash Kagbar Dal 1 Fula 1 Shukoli Lakki Bedden Rumela Sabalok Hassanab
‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Kilotres Tamaniat
Dagash Merowe Dal 1 ‐‐‐‐ Shukoli Lakki Bedden Jebel Aulia Kashm El Girba ‐‐‐‐ Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
Sudan Hydro Plants Characteristics
Total Cap MW
Existing Plants
Sennar
7
415
‐‐‐‐
2
65
‐‐‐‐
2
18
Kagbar
10
1250
‐‐‐‐
1
30
Future Plants
Dagash
6
315
Merowe
8
285
Dal 1
6
300
‐‐‐‐
8
340
Shukoli
8
720
Lakki
4
210
Bedden
4
210
Jebel Aulia
4
400
Kashm El Girba
3
30
‐‐‐‐
6
90
Turbine to # units B-9
Storage Min Max
Hm3 Hm3
0.05
0.17
0.39
0.02
1400 730 60 3238 940 0 0 0 0 0 2120
480
617
14
3890
57
57
57
57,58
57
0.15
0.11
0.10
0.14
0.50
0.19
0.19
0.34
0.12
0.11
1945 2100 3530 2100 1400 1045 1045 1166 88 1700 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 909
100
0
2471
220
20
0
748
931
0
9,10,57
9,10,57
9,10,57
9,10,25,57
9,10,57
9,10,57
9,10,57
9,10,57
9,10,57
9,10,57
EAPP/EAC Regional
B.6
Egypt
Table 11
Egypt Thermal and Wind Plants Characteristics
Plant Name Plant Type Fuel # units Shouba El Kheima Cairo West Cairo West Ext. Cairo South 1 Cairo South 2 Cairo North Wadi Hof Ataka Abu Sultan Shabab Port Said Arish Oyoun Moussa Diamatta Sharm el Sheikh Hurghada Talkha Talkha 210 Talkha 750 Nubaria 1,2 Nubaria 3 Mahmoudia 1 Mahmoudia 2 Kafr Dawar Damhour Ext. Damanhour 1 Damanhour 2 Abu Qir El Seiuf Karmouz Sidi Krir 1,2 Matrouh Walidia Kuriemat 1 Kuriemat 2 Kuriemat 3 Assiut Sidi Krir 3,4 Suez Gulf Port Said East Kuriemat 3 Ext. Nobaria 3 Ext. Tebbin Sidi Krir New Atf Cairo West New Nowebaa Abu Qir New Banh CCGT Kuriemat Solat Th Zafarana Wind STPP STPP STPP CCGT CCGT CCGT OCGT STPP STPP OCGT OCGT STPP STPP CCGT OCGT OCGT CCGT STPP CCGT CCGT OCGT CCGT OCGT STPP STPP STPP CCGT STPP OCGT OCGT STPP STPP STPP STPP CCGT OCGT STPP STPP STPP STPP CCGT CCGT STPP CCGT CCGT STPP CCGT STPP OCGT STPP WPP HFO HFO HFO NG NG NG NG HFO HFO NG NG HFO HFO NG LRO LRO NG HFO NG NG NG NG NG HFO HFO HFO NG HFO NG NG HFO HFO HFO HFO NG NG HFO HFO HFO HFO NG NG HFO NG NG HFO NG HFO NG HFO Wind 4
4
2
7
1
6
3
4
4
3
3
2
2
9
12
6
10
2
3
6
2
10
1
4
1
3
5
5
6
2
2
2
2
2
3
2
3
2
2
2
1
1
2
3
3
2
3
2
3
1
417
Suez Steam 650 Dabaa Nuclear Qassassen Giza North STPP STPP NPP CCGT CCGT HFO HFO Uranium
NG NG 1
25
5
6
6
May 2011
Pot Inst
Gen Max
FOR
COR
CV O&M Efic MW MW % % $/MWh GJ/MWh 6
4
4
4
6
6
6
6
8
9
4
3
4
6
4
8
8.9
7
8
8
4
6
8.9
7.2
4
8.9
6
5.5
8
8
7
8.9
4
7
4
4
9
6
6
6
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
‐‐‐‐
13.2
11.36
11.36
11.36
11.36
11.36
11.36
11.36
13.2
14.23
9.52
10.44
9.52
13.2
11.36
13.2
15.89
14.23
13.2
13.2
9.52
11.36
14.23
14.23
9.52
14.23
13.2
12.74
13.2
15.05
14.23
15.89
11.36
14.23
9.52
9.52
15.98
13.2
13.2
13.2
9.52
9.52
11.36
9.52
9.52
9.52
9.52
11.36
9.52
9.52
70
0.16 0.56 0.56 0.16 0.372 0.16 2.28 0.73 0.65 2.28 2.28 0.73 0.16 0.37 3.56 5.87 0.37 0.65 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.08 0.08 0.16 0.16 0.07 0.04 0.26 2.75 2.69 0.12 0.73 0.16 0.45 0.161 0.16 0.14 0.5 0.26 0.26 0.161 0.161 0.161 0.161 0.161 0.161 0.161 0.161 0.161 0.6 ‐‐‐‐ 9.49 11.18 9.62 9.23 7.69 7.03 17.14 9.95 10.87 15.19 15.51 9.78 8.84 7.92 9.23 9.23 9.7 10.34 9.44 6.79 10.68 8.84 20.69 11.62 10 11.76 9.02 9.13 16.98 16.29 8.6 12.2 9.65 9.69 8.35 10.68 12.37 9.5 9.5 9.5 6.21 6.21 9 6.21 6.21 9 6.21 8.58 6.21 9.75 ‐‐‐‐ 14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
4.0
4.0
1.0
4.0
4.0
11.4
11.4
10.0
9.5
9.5
0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 8.2 8.2 8.0 6.2 6.2 9,10,59
9,10,59
9,10,59
9,10,59
9,10,59
Existing Plants
1,260
1,260
350
350
660
660
510
510
165
165
1,500
1,500
100
100
900
900
600
600
100
100
73
73
66
66
640
640
1,200
1,200
178
178
143
143
290
290
420
420
750
750
1,500
1,500
500
500
316
316
50
50
440
440
300
300
195
195
157
157
911
911
200
200
23
23
640
640
60
60
624
624
1,254
1,254
750
750
500
500
90
90
683
683
683
683
683
683
230
230
230
230
672
672
691
691
691
691
672
672
750
750
1,248
1,248
750
750
140
140
402
402
Future Plants
650
650
16,250
16,250
5,000
5,000
1,500
1,500
1,500
1,500
B-10
Ref. WBS 1300 Supply Demand Analysis
EAPP/EAC Regional
Plant Name Plant Type Fuel Helwan South Qena Steam Damietta West Safaga Steam Combined Cycle Ain Sokhna Generic Nuclear Generic Steam Generic CCGT Solar Zafaran Future STPP STPP CCGT STPP CCGT STPP NPP STPP CCGT SPP WPP 604 604 NG HFO NG HFO Uranium
NG HFO Sunlight Wind # units 4
1
12
2
39
2
5
124
33
2
753
Pot Inst
Gen Max
FOR
COR
CV O&M Efic MW MW % % $/MWh GJ/MWh 2,600
1,300
3,000
1,300
9,750
1,300
5,000
31,000
21,450
100
7,530
2,600
1,300
3,000
1,300
9,750
1,300
5,000
31,000
21,450
100
7,530
4.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
1.0
4.0
4.0
‐‐‐‐
‐‐‐‐
11.4
11.4
9.5
11.4
9.5
11.4
10.0
9.5
11.4
55.0
70.0
0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 ‐‐‐‐ 0.2 0.2 ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ 8.6 8.6 6.2 8.6 6.2 8.6 8.0 6.2 8.2 ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Ref. 9,10,59
9,10,59
9,10,59
9,10,59
9,10,59
9,10,59
9,10,59
9,10,59
9,10,59
9,10,59
9,10,59
May 2011
B-11
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 12
Hydro Plants Characteristics
Plant Name Site Spill to Turbine to High Aswan Dam Aswan 1 Aswan 2 Esna Naga Hamadi Diamata High Aswan Aswan 1 Aswan 2 Esna Naga Hamadi ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐ Diamata ‐‐‐‐ Assiut ‐‐‐‐
‐‐‐‐
‐‐‐‐
Diamata
‐‐‐‐
Assiut
Assiut ‐‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐‐
May 2011
Total Cap MW
Existing Plants
12
2100
7
322
4
270
6
86
4
64
3
20
Future Plants
4
40
# units B-12
Storage Min Max
Hm3 Hm3
0.19
0.22
0.04
0.02
0.03
3408 1449 1172 1800 1280 330 159700 0 0 0 0 0 159700
0
0
0
0
0
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
14,59
0.02
1132 0 0
9,10,59
EAPP/EAC Regional
B.7
PGL
Table 13
Burundi Thermal Plants Characteristics
Plant
Type
Plant Name
Burundi Existing Thermal
MSD
Kivu Gas Plant 2 (1/3
Share)
Generic Diesel
Fuel
Diesel
MSD
Site
Pot
Inst
Gen
Max
FO
R
CO
R
CV
O&M
Efic
MW
MW
%
%
$/MWh
GJ/MW
h
6
8.0
17.6
12.0
13.4
3
51
Existing Plants
4
6
Future Plants
Methan
e
Diesel
OCGT
Table 14
Plant Name
#
units
8
66.67
66.67
5
10.5
12.0
8.5
12
600
600
8
17.6
12.0
13.4
Ref
.
Burundi Hydro Plants Characteristics
Spill to
#
unit
s
Turb to
Tota
l
Cap
MW
Prod
Storage
Coefic
MW/m3/
s
Max
m3/
s
Min
Hm
3
Max
Hm
3
Ref
Existing Plants
Ruzizi 2 (1/3 Share)
-----
Ruzizi
4
Ruzizi 4
Burundi
Hydro
Kabura
-----
-----
Existing
3
12
0.4
173
0
0
5,5
1
16
31
1.4
20
0
0
1
Future Plants
-----
-----
-----
3
49
0.9
150
0
0
-----
Ruzizi
3
Ruzizi 3
4
96
1.8
150
0
0
Jiji 03
Jiji 03
-----
-----
3
16
2.8
6
0
0
Kabu 16
Kabura
-----
Kabu Diversion
2
20
1.4
13
0
0
Kagunuzi Complex
-----
-----
-----
3
25
1.4
17
0
83
2
15
1.7
8
0
0
2
10
7.4
1
0
13
Kabu Diversion
-----
-----
Kagunuzi
Complex
Mpanda
Mpand
a
-----
-----
Table 15
Plant Name
Plant
Type
Eastern DRC Thermal Plants Characteristics
Fuel
DRC Existing Thermal
MSD
Diesel
Share)
OCGT
Methan
e
May 2011
5,1
2
5,1
3
1,5
1
1,5
1
1,5
1
1,5
1
1,5
1
#
units
Pot
Inst
Gen
Max
FO
R
CO
R
CV
O&M
Efic
MW
MW
%
%
$/MWh
GJ/MW
h
18
8.0
17.6
12.0
13.4
1
66.67
5
10.5
12.0
8.5
51
Existing Plants
1
18
Future Plants
8
66.67
B-13
Ref
.
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 16
Eastern DRC Hydro Plants Characteristics
Plant Name
Site
Spill to
Tshopo 1
Bendera
Tshopo
Ruzizi 2
----Bendera
----Ruzizi 2
Ruzizi 4
-----
Babeda 1
Bengamisa
Mugomba
Semliki
Piani Mwanga
Babeda
Bengamisa
Mugomba
Ruzizi 2
--------Tshopo
--------------------Ruzizi 3
-----
Table 17
Plant
Type
Plant Name
Turb to
# units
Existing Plants
----2
Ruzizi 2
4
Ruzizi 4
3
----5
Future Plants
----4
----8
----4
----4
----3
Ruzizi 3
4
----6
Total
Cap
MW
Prod
Coefic
MW/m3/s
Max
m3/s
Storage
Min
Max
Hm3 Hm3
19
15
12
43
0.2
0.2
0.4
5.7
120
159
173
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5,51
5,51
5,51
5,51
50
48
40
28
49
96
38
0.2
0.1
1.1
0.2
0.9
1.8
0.2
312
500
35
170
150
150
200
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
6,9
6,9
5,48
5,12
5,13
5
Ref
Rwanda Thermal Plants Characteristics
Fuel
#
units
Pot
Inst
Gen
Max
FO
R
CO
R
CV
O&M
Efic
Ref
.
MW
MW
%
%
$/MWh
GJ/MW
h
42
8.0
17.6
12.0
13.4
3,5
1
5
10.5
12.0
8.5
51
Existing Plants
Rwanda Existing Thermal
MSD
Diesel
1
42
Future Plants
Kivu Gas Plant 1
OCGT
Share)
Biomass
Generic Diesel
Biomass
MSD
OCGT
Table 18
Methan
e
Methan
e
Peat
Diesel
4
100
100
8
66.67
66.67
5
10.5
12.0
8.5
51
1
12
50
600
50
600
7
8
19.5
17.6
6.0
12.0
12.0
13.4
1
Rwanda Hydro Plants Characteristics
Plant Name
Site
Spill to
Rwanda Existing Hydro
Ruzizi 2
----Nyabarongo
Ruzizi 2
Ruzizi 4
-----
Nyabarongo (Rwanda)
--------Nyabarongo
----Ruzizi 3
-----
Turb to
# units
Existing Plants
Ruzizi 2
4
Ruzizi 4
3
----1
Future Plants
----3
Ruzizi 3
4
----2
Total
Cap
MW
Prod
Coefic
MW/m3/s
Max
m3/s
Storage
Min
Max
Hm3 Hm3
15
12
37
0.2
0.4
2.0
159
173
18
0
0
0
0
0
0
5,51
5,51
1
49
96
28
0.9
1.8
0.5
150
150
51
0
0
0
0
0
13
5,12
5,13
51
Ref
May 2011
B-14
EAPP/EAC Regional
B.8
Djibouti
Table 19:
Plant Name Plant Type Fuel Djibouti Thermal Plants Characteristics
# units Boulaos Marabout MSD MSD Diesel Diesel 15
6
Geothermal Diesel 7 Diesel 7 GT KHI Geothermal MSD MSD OCGT Heat Diesel Diesel Gasoil 3
4
7
1
Pot Inst
Gen Max
FOR
COR
8.0
17.6
17.6
12.0 12.0 13.4 13.4 60
60
3.0
3.0
3.0
2.0
9.9
11.0
11.0
8.7
13.6 8.7 8.7 8.7 20.7 9.5 9.0 12.5 60
60
60
60
Existing Plants
108
108
14
14
Future Plants
60
60
28
28
84
84
15
15
Ref. OCGT: Ordinary Cycle Gas Turbine; CCGT: Combined Cycle Gas Turbine; STPP: Steam Turbine Power Plant
May 2011
B-15
EAPP/EAC Regional
WBS 1300
Appendix C
National Plans Capacity and Energy Balance
Tables
May 2011
EAPP/EAC Regional
APPENDIX C:
C.1
NATIONAL PLANS CAPACITY AND ENERGY BALANCE TABLES
Tanzania
Table 1
Tanzania Existing National Plan - Available Capacity
Installed Capacity (MW) by Category Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 Renewable Clean Conventional Total Installed Capacity (MW) Load (MW) 611 611 669 1,027 1,027 1,249 1,249 1,549 1,549 1,549 2,149 2,149 2,149 2,449 2,501 2,777 3,117 3,262 3,262 3,262 3,262 802
802
802
802
1,102
1,102
1,102
1,102
1,102
1,002
964
817
817
817
817
1,017
917
872
775
775
1,236
360
360
360
360
360
360
360
360
360
260
260
660
1,060
1,060
1,260
1,260
1,260
1,560
2,100
2,700
2,700
1,773
1,773
1,832
2,190
2,490
2,711
2,711
3,012
3,012
2,812
3,373
3,626
4,026
4,326
4,578
5,054
5,294
5,694
6,137
6,737
7,198
1,213
1,285
1,398
1,542
1,698
1,839
1,945
2,061
2,182
2,311
2,479
2,628
2,783
2,953
3,131
3,353
3,558
3,770
4,002
4,254
4,532
Table 2
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 (MW) 560 488 434 648 792 873 766 951 830 500 894 998 1,244 1,372 1,447 1,701 1,736 1,924 2,135 2,483 2,665 (%) 46.2% 38.0% 31.1% 42.0% 46.6% 47.5% 39.4% 46.2% 38.0% 21.7% 36.1% 38.0% 44.7% 46.5% 46.2% 50.7% 48.8% 51.0% 53.4% 58.4% 58.8% Tanzania Modified National Plan - Available Capacity
Installed Capacity (MW) by Category Year Reserve Renewable Clean Conventional Total Installed Capacity (MW) Load (MW) 561 561 669 1,027 1,027 1,249 1,249 1,549 1,549 1,549 2,149 2,149 2,149 2,449 2,501 2,777 3,117 3,262 3,262 3,262 3,262 3,411 3,567 3,601 3,601 3,601 702
702
702
702
1,002
1,002
1,002
1,002
1,002
1,002
964
817
817
817
817
1,017
917
872
775
775
714
988
988
1,162
1,162
1,510
160
360
360
360
360
360
360
360
360
460
460
660
660
660
660
660
660
660
800
1,100
1,400
1,700
2,000
2,000
2,300
2,300
1,423
1,623
1,732
2,090
2,390
2,612
2,612
2,912
2,912
3,012
3,573
3,626
3,626
3,926
3,978
4,454
4,694
4,794
4,837
5,137
5,376
6,099
6,555
6,763
7,063
7,411
1,213
1,285
1,398
1,542
1,698
1,839
1,945
2,061
2,182
2,311
2,479
2,628
2,783
2,953
3,131
3,353
3,558
3,770
4,002
4,254
4,532
4,838
5,168
5,527
5,918
6,344
May 2011
C-1
Reserve (MW) 210 338 334 548 692 773 666 851 730 700 1,094 998 844 972 847 1,101 1,136 1,024 835 883 843 1,261 1,387 1,236 1,145 1,067 (%) 17.3% 26.3% 23.9% 35.6% 40.7% 42.0% 34.2% 41.3% 33.5% 30.3% 44.1% 38.0% 30.3% 32.9% 27.0% 32.8% 31.9% 27.2% 20.9% 20.8% 18.6% 26.1% 26.8% 22.4% 19.3% 16.8% WBS 1300 Supply Demand Analysis
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 3
Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 C.2
Tanzania Modified National Plan - Generated Energy
Generated Energy (GWh) by Category Renewable
2,756 2,435 2,892 4,689 4,816 6,102 6,396 8,367 8,491 8,630 10,451
10,443
10,428
12,071
13,185
14,964
16,397
17,291
17,061
16,981
18,593
18,581
18,946
18,884
19,853
20,596
Clean 3,931 3,258 3,316 2,427 3,084 2,601 2,882 1,776 2,280 1,613 1,424 1,208 1,797 1,477 1,517 1,126 1,062 1,187 1,032 854 875 846 781 1,078 1,180 1,698 Conventional
119
1,491
1,529
1,392
1,398
1,391
1,403
1,337
1,381
2,721
2,255
3,365
3,708
3,564
3,270
2,773
2,764
3,166
4,947
5,936
6,036
7,859
9,501
11,425
12,819
14,218
Total Generated Energy (GWh) 6,806
7,184
7,736
8,507
9,298
10,094
10,681
11,480
12,153
12,964
14,130
15,017
15,933
17,112
17,973
18,864
20,224
21,645
23,041
23,771
25,504
27,287
29,229
31,388
33,852
36,513
Exchange (GWh)
Net Imp/Exp 273
325
426
514
620
651
687
554
591
519
309
270
256
37
189
571
365
151
44
746
727
706
703
671
538
435
Deficit Load (GWh) 7,093 7,502 8,150 9,001 9,894 10,722 11,345 12,014 12,722 13,463 14,422 15,271 16,173 17,142 18,148 19,414 20,573 21,785 23,085 24,496 26,207 27,968 29,908 32,035 34,371 36,935 (GWh) ‐13 7 13 20 23 23 23 21 22 20 17 15 16 6 14 21 17 11 0 21 24 25 24 23 19 13 (%)
‐0.2%
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Kenya
Table 4
Kenya Existing National Plan - Available Capacity
Installed Capacity (MW) by Category
Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Renewable Clean Conventional Imports Total Installed Capacity (MW) Load (MW) 1,187 1,187 1,187 1,187 1,187 1,187 1,187 1,327 1,387 1,387 1,387 1,387 1,387 1,387 1,387 1,387 1,387 1,387 434 434 519 799 939 1,219 1,219 1,359 1,359 1,639 1,639 1,779 2,379 2,519 2,939 3,469 3,723 4,003 1,072
1,072
1,072
1,072
1,072
1,072
1,012
956
956
882
882
1,032
1,032
1,182
1,182
1,182
1,182
1,332
300
300
400
400
400
400
500
500
800
800
1,700
1,700
1,700
1,700
1,700
1,700
1,700
1,700
2,993
2,993
3,178
3,458
3,598
3,878
3,918
4,142
4,502
4,708
5,608
5,898
6,498
6,788
7,208
7,738
7,992
8,422
1,958 2,193 2,456 2,672 2,871 3,085 3,314 3,561 3,860 4,185 4,537 4,919 5,333 5,753 6,210 6,697 7,227 7,795 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
C-2
Reserve (MW) 1,035 800 722 786 727 793 604 581 642 523 1,071 979 1,166 1,035 998 1,041 765 627 (%) 52.9%
36.5%
29.4%
29.4%
25.3%
25.7%
18.2%
16.3%
16.6%
12.5%
23.6%
19.9%
21.9%
18.0%
16.1%
15.5%
10.6%
8.0% WBS 1300 Supply Demand Analysis
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 5
Kenya Modified National Plan - Available Capacity
Year Renewable Clean Conventional Total Installed Capacity (MW) Load (MW) 1,127 1,127 1,127 1,127 1,127 1,182 1,182 1,373 1,373 1,493 1,493 1,723 1,723 1,723 1,723 1,723 1,723 1,779 1,779 1,779 1,779 1,779 1,779 1,779 1,779 1,779 434
840
785
925
1,205
1,345
1,693
1,893
2,241
2,589
2,929
3,129
3,129
3,409
3,897
3,827
4,497
4,917
5,753
6,173
6,801
7,681
8,709
9,389
9,669
9,949
1,072
1,072
1,372
1,372
1,372
1,372
1,312
1,256
1,256
1,182
1,182
1,182
1,782
1,782
1,782
2,382
2,382
2,382
2,382
2,382
2,382
2,382
2,382
2,382
3,282
3,882
2,633
3,039
3,284
3,424
3,704
3,899
4,187
4,522
4,870
5,264
5,604
6,034
6,634
6,914
7,402
7,932
8,602
9,078
9,914
10,334
10,962
11,842
12,870
13,550
14,730
15,610
1,958
2,193
2,456
2,672
2,871
3,085
3,314
3,561
3,860
4,185
4,537
4,919
5,333
5,753
6,210
6,697
7,227
7,795
8,393
9,037
9,723
10,453
11,229
12,053
12,927
13,852
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 Table 6
Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 Reserve (MW) 675 846 828 752 833 815 873 962 1,010 1,079 1,067 1,115 1,302 1,161 1,193 1,235 1,376 1,283 1,521 1,297 1,239 1,389 1,641 1,497 1,803 1,758 (%) 34.5% 38.6% 33.7% 28.1% 29.0% 26.4% 26.4% 27.0% 26.2% 25.8% 23.5% 22.7% 24.4% 20.2% 19.2% 18.4% 19.0% 16.5% 18.1% 14.4% 12.7% 13.3% 14.6% 12.4% 13.9% 12.7% Kenya Modified National Plan - Generated Energy
Generated Energy (GWh) by Category Renewable Clean Conventional 5,179 4,348 4,753 4,231 4,198 4,469 4,448 5,380 5,468 5,880 6,086 6,781 6,756 6,796 6,788 6,676 6,715 6,722 6,931 6,839 7,022 7,152 7,098 7,188 6,757 7,003 3,186 6,103 6,048 6,914 8,828 9,583 10,839 11,438 13,191 14,762 15,724 16,683 16,244 19,074 21,419 20,316 22,885 26,807 30,301 33,825 37,707 41,982 46,754 51,302 52,202 54,235 3,175
2,948
4,534
4,121
3,754
3,495
3,952
3,983
4,245
4,558
4,302
4,773
8,140
8,116
8,378
12,015
12,961
12,790
13,111
12,790
12,911
13,107
13,312
13,717
18,746
22,180
May 2011
Total Generated Energy (GWh) 11,540
13,399
15,334
15,266
16,780
17,547
19,239
20,801
22,904
25,200
26,111
28,238
31,140
33,986
36,585
39,008
42,561
46,319
50,342
53,453
57,639
62,242
67,164
72,207
77,704
83,418
C-3
Exchange (GWh) Load (GWh) Net Imp/Exp 635
375
89
1,556
1,277
1,876
1,588
1,598
1,367
1,103
2,453
2,633
2,303
2,080
2,345
2,999
2,828
2,622
2,230
3,148
3,220
3,144
3,027
3,086
2,993
2,985
12,149 13,754 15,407 16,762 18,008 19,349 20,765 22,335 24,214 26,251 28,460 30,759 33,346 35,978 38,831 41,880 45,268 48,831 52,473 56,469 60,724 65,253 70,063 75,165 80,572 86,292 Deficit (GWh) 26 20 16 61 48 75 62 64 57 52 104 112 97 88 98 127 121 110 99 133 135 133 129 128 126 112 (%)
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.4%
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
EAPP/EAC Regional
C.3
Uganda
Table 7
Uganda Existing National Plan - Available Capacity
Installed Capacity (MW) by Category Year Renewable Clean Conventional Total Installed Capacity (MW) Load (MW) 712 712 744 994 994 1,094 1,094 1,094 1,094 1,094 1,344 1,344 1,351 1,351 1,351 1,651 1,651 1,671 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 60 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 150
175
175
175
175
175
175
175
175
175
175
175
175
175
175
125
125
125
862
887
919
1,169
1,169
1,269
1,269
1,299
1,329
1,359
1,609
1,609
1,616
1,616
1,616
1,866
1,866
1,886
715
764
816
871
929
990
1,045
1,091
1,158
1,233
1,310
1,389
1,470
1,552
1,636
1,722
1,809
1,898
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Table 8
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 (MW) 147 123 103 298 240 279 224 208 171 126 299 220 146 64 ‐20 144 57 ‐12 (%) 20.6% 16.0% 12.6% 34.2% 25.9% 28.2% 21.5% 19.1% 14.8% 10.2% 22.8% 15.8% 9.9% 4.1% ‐1.2% 8.4% 3.1% ‐0.6% Uganda Modified National Plan - Available Capacity
Year Reserve Renewable Clean Conventional Total Installed Capacity (MW) Load (MW) 647 647 647 897 897 997 997 997 997 997 1,247 1,247 1,247 1,247 1,247 1,547 1,547 1,547 1,547 2,296 2,296 2,296 2,296 2,296 2,296 2,296 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 60 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 235
292
292
292
292
292
292
292
292
292
292
292
542
542
542
492
492
492
542
542
542
542
542
542
592
761
882
939
939
1,189
1,189
1,289
1,289
1,319
1,349
1,379
1,629
1,629
1,879
1,879
1,879
2,129
2,129
2,129
2,179
2,928
2,928
2,928
2,928
2,928
2,978
3,147
715
764
816
871
929
990
1,045
1,091
1,158
1,233
1,310
1,389
1,470
1,552
1,636
1,722
1,809
1,898
1,978
2,069
2,162
2,257
2,353
2,450
2,549
2,650
May 2011
C-4
Reserve (MW) 167 175 123 318 260 299 244 228 191 146 319 240 409 327 243 407 320 231 201 859 766 671 575 478 429 497 (%) 23.4% 22.8% 15.0% 36.5% 28.0% 30.2% 23.4% 20.9% 16.5% 11.8% 24.3% 17.2% 27.8% 21.0% 14.8% 23.6% 17.7% 12.2% 10.2% 41.5% 35.4% 29.7% 24.5% 19.5% 16.8% 18.8% WBS 1300 Supply Demand Analysis
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 9
Uganda Modified National Plan - Generated Energy
Generated Energy (GWh) by Category
Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 C.4
Renewable Clean Conventional Total Generated Energy (GWh) 3,545 3,528 3,554 5,496 5,483 6,263 6,298 6,305 6,313 6,315 8,245 8,257 8,274 8,284 8,285 10,463
10,531
10,591
10,633
14,268
14,677
15,047
15,301
15,494
15,680
15,840
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 199 423 647 536 568 615 640 633 474 528 563 598 90 131 232 334 389 404 413 297
292
325
225
173
156
184
190
196
195
181
185
312
389
379
327
334
343
380
348
364
370
360
380
414
682
3,842
3,819
3,880
5,720
5,656
6,419
6,482
6,694
6,932
7,157
8,962
9,010
9,200
9,312
9,297
11,263
11,394
11,498
11,611
14,706
15,172
15,648
15,995
16,262
16,499
16,935
Exchange (GWh)
Net Imp/Exp Deficit Load (GWh) ‐238
19
203
‐1,393
‐1,049
‐1,515
‐1,337
‐1,281
‐1,197
‐1,048
‐2,479
‐2,124
‐1,920
‐1,625
‐1,177
‐2,740
‐2,438
‐2,104
‐1,773
‐4,456
‐4,462
‐4,472
‐4,345
‐4,127
‐3,870
‐3,838
3,575 3,805 4,049 4,308 4,583 4,874 5,119 5,387 5,712 6,084 6,465 6,854 7,251 7,656 8,069 8,490 8,920 9,357 9,799 10,249 10,708 11,175 11,647 12,129 12,617 13,086 (GWh) 29 33 34 20 25 30 26 26 23 25 18 33 30 31 51 33 36 37 39 1 2 1 3 6 11 11 (%)
0.8%
0.9%
0.8%
0.5%
0.6%
0.6%
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.5%
0.4%
0.4%
0.6%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
Ethiopia
Table 10
Ethiopia Existing National Plan - Available Capacity
Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Renewable Clean Conventional Total Installed Capacity (MW) Load (MW) 4,338 4,338 4,518 5,916 6,237 6,237 6,237 8,086 9,042 9,716 9,716 9,716 11,172 11,172 11,172 11,172 12,000 12,000 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 150
150
150
150
150
150
150
150
150
150
150
150
150
150
150
150
150
150
4,495
4,495
4,675
6,073
6,394
6,394
6,394
8,243
9,199
9,873
9,873
9,873
11,329
11,329
11,329
11,329
12,157
12,157
1,964
2,193
2,443
2,715
2,994
3,279
3,575
3,883
4,201
4,543
4,912
5,311
5,741
6,204
6,705
7,247
7,832
8,464
May 2011
C-5
Reserve (MW) 2,531 2,303 2,232 3,358 3,400 3,115 2,819 4,361 4,999 5,330 4,960 4,562 5,588 5,124 4,623 4,082 4,325 3,692 (%) 128.9% 105.0% 91.3% 123.7% 113.5% 95.0% 78.8% 112.3% 119.0% 117.3% 101.0% 85.9% 97.3% 82.6% 69.0% 56.3% 55.2% 43.6% WBS 1300 Supply Demand Analysis
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 11
Ethiopia Modified National Plan - Available Capacity
Year Renewable Clean Conventional Total Installed Capacity (MW) Load (MW) 4,593 4,593 4,851 6,319 6,691 6,966 6,966 6,966 7,166 7,866 8,528 8,528 8,528 8,528 8,528 8,566 8,566 8,566 10,566 10,566 10,566 10,812 11,414 13,014 13,014 13,014 7 7 7 7 7 82 82 82 182 182 182 182 182 182 182 182 982 1,382
1,482
1,482
1,557
2,157
2,157
2,257
2,657
3,057
290
290
290
290
290
290
430
430
430
430
430
430
430
430
430
430
430
430
430
430
710
710
990
990
1,550
2,110
4,890
4,890
5,148
6,616
6,988
7,338
7,478
7,478
7,778
8,478
9,140
9,140
9,140
9,140
9,140
9,178
9,978
10,378
12,478
12,478
12,833
13,679
14,561
16,261
17,221
18,181
1,964
2,193
2,443
2,715
2,994
3,279
3,575
3,883
4,201
4,543
4,912
5,311
5,741
6,204
6,705
7,247
7,832
8,464
9,150
9,891
10,692
11,558
12,495
13,507
14,601
15,783
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 Table 12
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 (MW) 2,926 2,697 2,705 3,901 3,994 4,059 3,903 3,595 3,578 3,935 4,228 3,830 3,400 2,936 2,435 1,932 2,147 1,914 3,328 2,587 2,141 2,121 2,066 2,754 2,620 2,398 (%) 148.9% 123.0% 110.7% 143.7% 133.4% 123.8% 109.2% 92.6% 85.2% 86.6% 86.1% 72.1% 59.2% 47.3% 36.3% 26.7% 27.4% 22.6% 36.4% 26.2% 20.0% 18.3% 16.5% 20.4% 17.9% 15.2% Ethiopia Modified National Plan - Generated Energy
Year Reserve Renewable Clean Conventional Total Generated Energy (GWh) 9,042 10,081
11,112
12,622
13,416
14,582
15,958
17,237
18,158
19,772
21,123
22,750
25,593
27,524
29,594
31,821
33,921
35,881
38,001
41,794
44,881
46,248
49,501
54,209
55,921
60,374
21 26 26 23 27 314 274 230 571 503 521 452 29 3 9 10 257 821 1,376 776 895 3,023 3,578 3,027 5,679 5,900 20
41
64
46
45
46
38
48
41
15
32
46
0
3
5
0
8
21
36
0
12
29
41
8
69
159
9,083
10,149
11,202
12,691
13,488
14,942
16,270
17,515
18,770
20,290
21,676
23,248
25,622
27,530
29,608
31,832
34,186
36,723
39,414
42,571
45,788
49,301
53,120
57,244
61,669
66,433
May 2011
C-6
Exchange (GWh)
Net Imp/Exp ‐1,093
‐1,229
‐1,265
‐1,658
‐1,515
‐1,620
‐1,747
‐1,745
‐1,708
‐1,841
‐1,729
‐1,680
‐2,321
‐2,347
‐2,398
‐2,419
‐2,405
‐2,376
‐2,276
‐2,423
‐2,391
‐2,398
‐2,405
‐2,421
‐2,410
‐2,368
Load (GWh) 7,973 8,901 9,917 11,022 11,959 13,308 14,511 15,760 17,050 18,440 19,939 21,555 23,300 25,182 27,216 29,412 31,787 34,356 37,138 40,147 43,397 46,914 50,714 54,822 59,263 64,063 Deficit (GWh) 17 19 20 11 15 14 11 11 12 9 9 13 1 1 ‐5 0 ‐6 ‐9 ‐1 1 0 ‐11 0 1 ‐4 2 (%)
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
EAPP/EAC Regional
C.5
Sudan
Table 13
Sudan Existing National Plan - Available Capacity
Installed Capacity (MW) by category
Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Renewable Clean Conventional Total Installed Capacity (MW) Load (MW) 2,080 2,080 2,374 2,713 2,713 2,713 2,946 3,646 3,646 3,848 3,848 4,050 4,050 4,450 4,450 4,450 4,450 4,450 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 4,510
4,718
5,009
5,009
5,455
5,835
6,280
7,230
7,800
7,800
8,041
8,101
8,576
8,604
10,172
10,008
10,920
11,832
6,590
6,799
7,385
7,725
8,172
8,553
9,232
10,883
11,454
11,657
11,899
12,161
12,637
13,067
14,635
14,472
15,385
16,298
2,019
2,288
2,582
2,902
3,250
3,626
4,030
4,465
4,930
5,427
5,956
6,556
7,196
7,878
8,604
9,374
10,190
11,054
Table 14
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 (MW) 4,571 4,511 4,802 4,820 4,918 4,922 5,196 6,412 6,516 6,221 5,932 5,595 5,429 5,175 6,017 5,083 5,179 5,227 (%) 226.4% 197.1% 186.0% 166.1% 151.3% 135.8% 128.9% 143.6% 132.2% 114.6% 99.6% 85.3% 75.4% 65.7% 69.9% 54.2% 50.8% 47.3% Sudan Modified National Plan - Available Capacity
Year Reserve Renewable Clean Conventional Total Installed Capacity (MW) Load (MW) 1,778 1,778 1,778 1,789 1,976 1,976 1,976 2,379 2,379 3,079 3,479 4,065 4,298 4,637 4,637 4,637 4,637 4,637 4,637 4,637 4,637 4,637 4,637 4,637 4,637 4,637 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,100
2,100
2,011
2,154
2,297
2,683
3,063
3,320
3,576
3,961
3,988
4,368
4,700
5,250
6,028
7,098
7,896
8,352
9,343
10,056
11,557
12,943
13,721
14,271
15,896
16,371
3,878
3,878
3,789
3,943
4,273
4,659
5,039
5,698
5,955
7,040
7,466
8,432
8,997
9,886
10,664
11,734
12,532
12,988
13,979
14,692
16,193
17,579
18,357
18,907
20,532
21,007
2,019
2,288
2,582
2,902
3,250
3,626
4,030
4,465
4,930
5,427
5,956
6,556
7,196
7,878
8,604
9,374
10,190
11,054
11,966
12,929
13,942
15,009
16,129
17,304
18,537
19,827
May 2011
C-7
Reserve (MW) 1,859 1,590 1,207 1,041 1,023 1,033 1,008 1,234 1,025 1,613 1,510 1,876 1,801 2,008 2,060 2,360 2,342 1,934 2,013 1,763 2,251 2,571 2,228 1,603 1,995 1,180 (%) 92.1% 69.5% 46.8% 35.9% 31.5% 28.5% 25.0% 27.6% 20.8% 29.7% 25.4% 28.6% 25.0% 25.5% 23.9% 25.2% 23.0% 17.5% 16.8% 13.6% 16.1% 17.1% 13.8% 9.3% 10.8% 6.0% WBS 1300 Supply Demand Analysis
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 15
Sudan Modified National Plan - Generated Energy
Generated energy (GWh) by category
Year Renewable Conventional Total Generated Energy (GWh) 8,543
8,785
8,887
9,003
10,103
10,134
10,136
12,944
12,994
17,041
19,755
23,510
25,077
26,640
26,611
26,547
26,615
26,674
26,743
26,645
26,700
26,734
26,749
26,684
26,757
26,761
1,745
2,828
4,269
5,466
6,357
8,232
10,191
9,772
12,237
10,691
10,895
10,396
11,704
13,753
17,601
21,749
26,041
30,608
35,487
40,587
45,960
51,600
57,547
63,789
70,318
77,070
10,288
11,613
13,155
14,469
16,460
18,366
20,327
22,716
25,231
27,732
30,650
33,906
36,781
40,393
44,212
48,296
52,656
57,282
62,230
67,232
72,660
78,334
84,296
90,473
97,075
103,831
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 C.6
Exchange (GWh)
Net Imp/Exp Deficit Load (GWh) 513
627
653
1,059
915
1,014
1,164
1,139
1,104
1,253
1,150
1,087
1,641
1,664
1,714
1,733
1,720
1,695
1,605
1,733
1,704
1,710
1,715
1,729
1,719
1,681
10,758 12,188 13,754 15,461 17,312 19,313 21,419 23,785 26,264 28,911 31,729 34,923 38,334 41,969 45,835 49,938 54,286 58,887 63,747 68,873 74,273 79,953 85,921 92,184 98,749 105,620 (GWh) 43 52 54 67 64 67 72 71 70 74 71 70 87 88 90 92 90 90 88 92 91 90 91 17 45 ‐109 (%)
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
‐0.1%
Egypt
Table 16
Egypt Existing National Plan - Available Capacity
Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Renewable Clean Conventional Total Installed Capacity (MW) Load (MW) 4,794 5,244 6,019 6,719 7,919 8,519 9,119 9,719 10,319 10,419 10,519 10,619 10,719 10,819 10,919 11,853
13,603
13,580
14,730
14,980
16,980
17,480
18,230
20,480
21,480
23,480
24,480
26,730
27,730
29,230
14,190
16,140
18,090
18,740
20,690
21,250
21,900
23,655
24,305
25,605
26,905
30,155
31,755
34,355
35,915
30,837
34,987
37,689
40,189
43,589
46,749
48,499
51,604
55,104
57,504
60,904
65,254
69,204
72,904
76,064
28,383
30,089
31,880
33,760
35,651
37,630
39,703
41,874
44,149
46,534
49,034
51,654
54,402
57,284
60,213
May 2011
C-8
Reserve (MW) 2,454 4,898 5,809 6,429 7,938 9,119 8,796 9,729 10,955 10,970 11,870 13,600 14,802 15,620 15,851 (%) 8.6% 16.3% 18.2% 19.0% 22.3% 24.2% 22.2% 23.2% 24.8% 23.6% 24.2% 26.3% 27.2% 27.3% 26.3% WBS 1300 Supply Demand Analysis
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 17
Egypt Modified National Plan - Available Capacity
Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 Renewable Clean Conventional 4,794
5,244
6,019
6,719
7,919
8,519
9,119
9,719
10,319 10,419 10,519 10,619 10,719 10,819 10,919 10,919 10,919 10,919 10,919 10,919 10,919 10,919 10,919 10,919 10,919 10,919 13,353 15,103 15,080 16,230 16,480 18,480 18,980 19,730 21,980 22,980 24,980 25,980 28,230 29,230 30,730 33,480 37,230 39,690 43,440 46,190 49,940 51,490 55,740 57,592 61,592 64,592 14,190
16,140
18,090
18,740
20,690
21,250
21,900
23,655
24,305
25,605
26,905
30,155
31,755
34,355
35,915
36,965
37,655
39,605
41,555
42,294
44,244
46,194
48,144
49,014
50,964
52,914
Table 18
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 Load (MW) 32,337
36,487
39,189
41,689
45,089
48,249
49,999
53,104
56,604
59,004
62,404
66,754
70,704
74,404
77,564
81,364
85,804
90,214
95,914
99,403
105,103
108,603
114,803
117,525
123,475
128,425
28,383 30,089 31,880 33,760 35,651 37,630 39,703 41,874 44,149 46,534 49,034 51,654 54,402 57,284 60,213 63,311 66,541 69,909 73,417 77,071 80,874 84,832 88,947 93,224 97,668 102,282 Reserve (MW) 3,954 6,398 7,309 7,929 9,438 10,619 10,296 11,229 12,455 12,470 13,370 15,100 16,302 17,120 17,351 18,053 19,263 20,305 22,497 22,332 24,228 23,771 25,856 24,301 25,807 26,142 (%)
13.9%
21.3%
22.9%
23.5%
26.5%
28.2%
25.9%
26.8%
28.2%
26.8%
27.3%
29.2%
30.0%
29.9%
28.8%
28.5%
28.9%
29.0%
30.6%
29.0%
30.0%
28.0%
29.1%
26.1%
26.4%
25.6%
Egypt Modified Expansion Plan - Generated Energy
Year Total Installed Capacity (MW) Renewable Clean Conventional Total Generated Energy (GWh) 18,875 20,058 22,270 24,110 27,263 28,840 30,417 31,994 33,571 33,833 34,096 34,359 34,622 34,885 35,147 35,147 35,147 35,147 35,147 35,147 35,147 35,147 35,147 35,147 35,147 35,147 101,610 114,300 114,780 123,360 125,620 140,124 144,414 150,464 166,848 174,908 189,872 198,062 214,876 223,216 235,000 255,530 282,804 301,524 328,658 349,368 376,582 390,112 420,736 436,496 465,780 488,950 53,078
51,312
59,805
60,950
67,933
64,809
71,695
78,019
75,267
82,105
83,396
92,737
93,874
104,260
111,650
111,760
106,380
110,330
107,120
110,840
109,670
122,330
120,050
131,940
133,190
140,960
173,563
185,670
196,855
208,420
220,816
233,773
246,526
260,477
275,686
290,846
307,364
325,158
343,372
362,361
381,797
402,437
424,331
447,001
470,925
495,355
521,399
547,589
575,933
603,583
634,117
665,057
May 2011
C-9
Exchange (GWh)
Net Imp/Exp. ‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
‐701
Load (GWh) 174,790 185,400 196,510 208,180 220,390 233,210 246,650 260,590 275,600 291,170 307,530 324,720 342,790 361,780 381,440 402,130 423,910 446,560 470,220 494,930 520,720 547,470 575,510 604,720 635,140 666,800 Deficit (GWh) ‐1,928 ‐431 ‐356 ‐461 ‐275 ‐138 ‐825 ‐814 ‐615 ‐1,025 ‐867 ‐263 ‐119 ‐120 ‐344 ‐394 ‐280 ‐260 4 ‐276 ‐22 ‐582 ‐278 ‐1,838 ‐1,724 ‐2,444 (%)
‐1.1%
‐0.2%
‐0.2%
‐0.2%
‐0.1%
‐0.1%
‐0.3%
‐0.3%
‐0.2%
‐0.4%
‐0.3%
‐0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
‐0.1%
‐0.1%
‐0.1%
‐0.1%
0.0%
‐0.1%
0.0%
‐0.1%
0.0%
‐0.3%
‐0.3%
‐0.4%
EAPP/EAC Regional
C.7
Burundi, Eastern DRC and Rwanda
Table 19
Year
Available Capacity (MW ) by Category
Renewable
43
43
43
63
63
63
63
63
63
63
63
111
111
111
207
207
222
222
222
222
233
233
233
233
233
233
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
Table 20
Year
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
Burundi New National Plan - Available Capacity
Clean
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
67
67
67
67
67
67
Clean
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
475
476
486
488
511
516
May 2011
Load (MW)
49
49
49
169
169
169
169
169
269
269
269
417
417
417
512
512
528
628
628
728
805
805
805
905
905
905
56
66
77
89
102
116
131
147
165
184
204
227
251
274
300
327
355
385
415
448
481
516
552
589
628
667
Conventional
6
6
6
106
106
106
106
106
206
206
206
306
306
306
306
306
306
406
406
506
506
506
506
606
606
606
Reserve
(MW)
-8
-18
-29
80
67
53
38
22
104
85
64
190
166
143
213
186
173
243
213
280
324
289
253
316
277
238
(%)
-13.7%
-26.7%
-37.1%
89.3%
65.5%
45.8%
28.9%
14.7%
63.2%
46.3%
31.5%
84.0%
66.3%
52.1%
71.0%
56.9%
48.7%
63.3%
51.2%
62.7%
67.4%
56.1%
45.9%
53.7%
44.2%
35.6%
Burundi New National Plan - Generated Energy
Renewable
146
145
146
258
255
254
255
256
257
257
257
326
327
327
456
453
493
494
495
492
512
532
536
538
543
544
Total Available
Capacity (MW)
Conventional
4
4
4
37
17
19
45
68
89
132
152
180
207
259
227
241
272
345
406
513
275
346
410
495
546
591
Total Generated
Energy (GWh)
149
149
150
295
272
273
300
324
346
389
410
506
534
586
682
695
765
839
900
1,005
1,262
1,354
1,432
1,522
1,599
1,651
C-10
Exchange (GWh)
Net Imp/Exp
24
56
87
-24
35
74
90
110
116
145
180
142
178
191
165
225
230
236
256
239
70
70
88
98
123
170
Load (GWh)
170
200
231
265
301
339
381
425
472
522
576
633
695
760
827
898
972
1,049
1,129
1,213
1,299
1,389
1,482
1,579
1,679
1,781
Deficit
(GWh)
4
5
6
6
7
8
9
9
-9
12
14
15
17
18
20
22
24
26
27
31
33
35
38
40
43
40
(%)
2.1%
2.3%
2.5%
2.2%
2.2%
2.4%
2.3%
2.2%
-1.9%
2.3%
2.4%
2.4%
2.4%
2.3%
2.4%
2.5%
2.5%
2.5%
2.4%
2.5%
2.5%
2.5%
2.5%
2.6%
2.6%
2.3%
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 21
Year
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
Eastern DRC New National Plan – Available Capacity
Renewable
89
123
123
123
201
249
249
249
249
249
289
337
337
337
433
433
433
433
433
433
433
433
433
433
433
433
Table 22
Clean
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
67
67
67
67
67
67
Total Available
Capacity (MW)
Load (MW)
106
140
140
140
218
266
266
266
266
266
306
355
355
355
450
450
450
450
450
450
517
517
517
517
517
517
72
75
79
83
88
93
98
103
109
115
121
128
136
143
152
160
169
179
189
200
211
223
235
248
262
276
Conventional
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
Reserve
(MW)
35
65
61
57
131
174
169
163
158
152
185
226
219
211
299
290
281
271
261
251
306
294
282
269
256
241
(%)
48.4%
86.5%
77.7%
68.5%
148.6%
187.6%
172.7%
158.6%
145.0%
131.9%
152.4%
176.5%
161.6%
147.4%
197.2%
181.1%
165.9%
151.6%
138.1%
125.4%
145.0%
132.1%
119.9%
108.5%
97.7%
87.6%
Eastern DRC New National Plan - Generated Energy
Exchange (GWh)
Year
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
Renewable
332
513
513
513
958
1,254
1,278
1,300
1,319
1,325
1,479
1,548
1,556
1,562
1,692
1,690
1,692
1,694
1,695
1,692
1,692
1,695
1,695
1,696
1,697
1,697
Clean
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
217
288
334
350
362
383
May 2011
Conventional
13
11
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
6
Total Generated
Energy (GWh)
Net Imp/Exp
345
524
525
513
958
1,254
1,278
1,300
1,320
1,325
1,479
1,548
1,556
1,562
1,692
1,690
1,694
1,694
1,695
1,695
1,909
1,983
2,029
2,048
2,059
2,087
-41
-204
-191
-160
-586
-861
-864
-863
-859
-837
-963
-1,002
-979
-951
-1,046
-1,006
-970
-928
-885
-838
-1,004
-1,026
-1,018
-981
-932
-898
C-11
Load (GWh)
303
318
334
352
372
392
413
436
461
487
515
545
576
610
645
682
722
764
808
855
904
955
1,009
1,066
1,125
1,187
Deficit
(GWh)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
(%)
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.0%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 23
Year
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
Rwanda New National Plan - Available Capacity
Renewable
64
64
64
64
64
64
64
64
64
64
64
112
112
112
208
208
208
208
208
208
236
236
236
236
286
286
Table 24
Clean
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
167
167
167
167
167
167
Total Available
Capacity (MW)
Load (MW)
205
205
205
205
205
205
205
205
205
305
305
354
454
454
549
649
649
749
749
749
844
844
944
944
1,094
1,094
94
105
115
132
149
165
182
199
225
251
276
302
328
356
386
417
450
484
519
556
594
634
675
717
761
806
Conventional
42
42
42
42
42
42
42
42
42
142
142
142
242
242
242
342
342
442
442
442
442
442
542
542
642
642
Reserve
(MW)
111
101
90
74
57
40
23
6
-20
55
29
51
126
98
164
232
200
265
230
193
249
210
269
226
333
288
(%)
117.9%
96.3%
78.5%
55.8%
38.2%
24.1%
12.7%
3.2%
-8.7%
21.8%
10.5%
17.0%
38.3%
27.5%
42.4%
55.7%
44.4%
54.9%
44.3%
34.7%
42.0%
33.1%
39.8%
31.6%
43.7%
35.7%
Rwanda New National Plan - Generated Energy
Exchange (GWh)
Year
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
Renewable
214
214
214
214
201
211
213
214
211
214
207
282
282
282
410
408
409
410
410
407
553
558
559
559
772
775
Clean
476
429
508
511
324
232
304
382
478
554
513
579
627
667
694
670
704
730
749
760
1,020
1,063
1,096
1,143
1,170
1,206
May 2011
Conventional
8
5
24
17
8
0
3
12
23
54
52
114
204
296
438
561
697
834
984
849
282
375
572
824
886
1,095
Total Generated
Energy (GWh)
Net Imp/Exp
698
648
746
743
533
443
520
608
712
822
772
975
1,113
1,246
1,542
1,639
1,810
1,974
2,143
2,017
1,855
1,995
2,227
2,526
2,828
3,076
-204
-98
-141
-51
245
420
429
426
448
450
617
534
513
523
369
416
399
396
392
686
1,025
1,068
1,028
926
827
787
C-12
Load (GWh)
499
555
611
697
784
870
957
1,043
1,162
1,281
1,399
1,518
1,637
1,780
1,922
2,071
2,225
2,385
2,552
2,725
2,904
3,089
3,280
3,477
3,680
3,890
Deficit
(GWh)
-4
-4
-5
-6
-6
-7
-7
-8
-2
-9
-10
-10
-11
-12
-12
-15
-16
-16
-17
-22
-24
-25
-25
-25
-25
-27
(%)
-0.8%
-0.8%
-0.8%
-0.8%
-0.8%
-0.8%
-0.8%
-0.8%
-0.2%
-0.7%
-0.7%
-0.7%
-0.7%
-0.7%
-0.6%
-0.7%
-0.7%
-0.7%
-0.6%
-0.8%
-0.8%
-0.8%
-0.8%
-0.7%
-0.7%
-0.7%
EAPP/EAC Regional
C.8
Djibouti
Table 25
Djibouti Existing National Plan - Available Capacity
Year Clean Conventional Total installed Capacity (MW) Load (MW) 0 0 0 20 20 20 40 40 40 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 147
154
176
176
176
176
176
176
176
176
176
176
176
176
176
176
176
200
196
187
199
205
199
147
154
176
196
196
196
216
216
216
236
236
236
236
236
236
236
236
260
256
247
259
265
259
116
128
138
149
153
158
162
165
168
171
173
176
180
183
187
191
195
198
202
206
210
214
218
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Table 26
Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
(MW) 30 25 38 47 42 38 54 50 48 65 62 59 56 52 49 45 41 61 54 41 49 50 40 (%) 26.1% 19.8% 27.6% 31.6% 27.6% 23.8% 33.4% 30.5% 28.4% 38.1% 35.8% 33.6% 30.9% 28.4% 26.0% 23.5% 21.1% 30.8% 26.7% 19.9% 23.3% 23.5% 18.4% Djibouti Existing National Plan - Generated Energy
Generated Energy (GWh) by Category Clean 0 0 0 122 132 136 245 233 240 326 340 328 277 285 294 304 314 323 335 338 341 354 363 369 375 381 Reserve Conventional
111 154 193 141 157 174 107 120 130 75 88 103 92 102 112 122 135 151 170 172 194 204 217 233 251 274 Total Generated Energy (GWh) Exchange (GWh)
Net Imp/Exp Load (GWh) 663 727 775 833 859 886 907 928 944 961 978 996 1,016 1,036 1,057 1,078 1,100 1,122 1,144 1,166 1,188 1,212 1,236 1,260 1,284 1,308 Deficit (GWh) 28 30 30 29 29 30 29 30 30 29 28 29 33 33 34 34 34 33 33 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 (%)
4.3%
4.1%
3.9%
3.5%
3.4%
3.4%
3.2%
3.2%
3.1%
3.0%
2.9%
2.9%
3.3%
3.2%
3.2%
3.1%
3.1%
3.0%
2.9%
2.9%
2.8%
2.8%
2.7%
2.7%
2.6%
2.6%
111
154
193
263
289
310
352
353
370
402
427
432
369
387
406
426
449
475
505
510
535
558
580
602
626
655
580
602
613
599
599
606
584
605
604
588
579
593
680
683
684
686
685
681
671
690
687
688
690
692
692
687
C-13
EAPP/EAC Regional
WBS 1300
Appendix D
Regional Plan vs National Plan
May 2011
EAPP/EAC Regional
APPENDIX D:
D.1
REGIONAL PLAN VS NATIONAL PLAN
Tanzania
Table 1
Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2020 2022 2023 2024 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 Tanzania Regional Plan vs. National Plan
Regional (RP)
Plant Name Type
Kinyerezi Kiwira Rusumo Wind Ruhudji Mnazi Bay Rumakali Stieglers 1 Stieglers 2 Tegeta IPTL Songas 1 Songas 2 Songas 3 Stieglers 3 Kakono Local Gas Masigira Mpanga Ikondo Ubongo_T Taveta Tegeta GT Mwanza Cogen Ubongo_E New Wind Wind CC LNG I Kinyerezi Tegeta IPTG TPP
TPP
HPP
WPP
HPP
TPP
HPP
HPP
HPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
HPP
HPP
TPP
HPP
HPP
HPP
TPP
HPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
WPP
WPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
May 2011
MW
National Plan (NP) S/T (MW)
Plant Name
Type
240
240
Kinyerezi
TPP
200
200
Kiwira
TPP
63
50
113
Rusumo
Wind
HPP
WPP
358
358
Ruhudji
HPP
300
300
Mnazi Bay
TPP
222
222
Rumakali
HPP
300
600
900
Stieglers 1
HPP
‐100
Mchuchuma
Tegeta ITPL
TPP
TPP
‐40
Stieglers 2
Songas 1
HPP
TPP
‐147
Ngaka
Songas 2
Songas 3
TPP
TPP
TPP
300
300
Stieglers 3
HPP
53
53
Kakono
HPP
200
118
144
462
Local Gas
Masigira
Mpanga
TPP
HPP
HPP
340
‐100
240
Ikondo
Ubongo_T
HPP
TPP
145
‐41
104
Taveta
Tegeta GT
HPP
TPP
‐200
Ngaka New Cogen
Mwanza
Cogen
Ubongo_E
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
0
Coastal Coal I
New Wind
Wind
TPP
WPP
WPP
‐66
CC LNG I
Coastal Coal II
Kinyerezi
TPP
TPP
TPP
424
Tegeta IPTG
TPP
‐100
‐40
‐110
‐37
‐100
‐40
‐60
50
‐50
174
‐240
100
D-1
MW S/T (MW) 240 200 63 50 358 300 222 300 200 ‐100 600 ‐40 200 ‐110 ‐37 300 53 200 118 144 340 ‐100 145 ‐41 200 40 ‐100 ‐40 ‐60 300 50 ‐50 174 300 ‐240 100 240 200 113 358 300 222 300 100 560 53 300 53 462 240 104 40 300 234 724 WBS 1300 Supply Demand Analysis
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year 2035 2036 2037 2038 Total D.2
Regional (RP)
Plant Name Type
MW
CC LNG II TPP
Songwe Sofre HPP
Songwe Manolo HPP
Songwe Bigupu HPP
CC LNG III TPP
DSM CCGT TPP
CC LNG IV TPP
Regional Plan 174
150
Plant Name
Type
MW CC LNG II
Coastal Coal III
Songwe Sofre
TPP
TPP
HPP
174 300 150 156 300 34 174 300 174 174 156
156
Songwe Manolo
Coastal Coal IV
HPP
TPP
34
174
208
Songwe Bigupu
CC LNG III
HPP
TPP
0
Coastal Coal V
TPP
DSM CCGT
CC LNG IV
TPP
TPP
174
174
348
4075
National Plan
S/T (MW) 456 208 300 348 6215 Kenya
Table 2
Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Kenya Regional Plan vs. National Plan
Regional Plan (RP)
Plant Name Geothermal Turkana Wind Cogen Future Geothermal Generic Coal Nairobi Fiat Olkaria 1 Geothermal Geothermal Mutonga Geothermal Generic CCGT NG Kipevu Diesel Low Grand Falls Aeolus Wind Generic OCGT NG IberAfrica 1 Generic CCGT NG Magwagwa Generic CCGT NG Tsavo IPP Geothermal Generic OCGT NG Ewaso Ngiro Osiwo Wind Generic OCGT NG Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
Type
MW
Plant Name
Type
TPP
WPP
140
300
440
Geothermal
Turkana Wind
TPP
WPP
TPP
TPP
126
280
126
Cogen Future
Geothermal
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
300
‐10
‐45
245
Generic Coal
Nairobi Fiat Olkaria 1
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
140
140
Geothermal
TPP
TPP
280
280
Geothermal
TPP
HPP
TPP
60
140
200
Mutonga
Geothermal
HPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
348
‐60
288
Generic CCGT NG
Kipevu Diesel
TPP
TPP
HPP
WPP
TPP
TPP
140
60
200
‐60
340
Low Grand Falls
Aeolus Wind
Generic OCGT NG
IberAfrica 1
HPP
WPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
348
348
Generic CCGT NG
TPP
HPP
TPP
TPP
120
348
‐77
391
Magwagwa
Generic CCGT NG
Tsavo IPP
HPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
140
200
340
Geothermal
Generic OCGT NG
TPP
TPP
HPP
WPP
TPP
180
50
200
430
Ewaso Ngiro
Osiwo Wind
Generic OCGT NG
HPP
WPP
TPP
D-2
MW S/T (MW) 140 300 126 280 300 ‐10 ‐45 140 280 60 140 348 ‐60 140 60 200 ‐60 348 120 348 ‐77 140 200 180 50 200 440 406 245 140 280 200 288 340 348 391 340 430 WBS 1300 Supply Demand Analysis
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 Total Regional Plan (RP)
Plant Name Mombasa Coal Geothermal Geothermal Generic CCGT NG Momnasa Coal Generic Coal Olkaria 2 Generic CCGT NG Cogeneration Karura Geothermal Geothermal Generic CCGT NG Geothermal Geothermal Generic CCGT NG Geothermal Generic OCGT NG Geothermal Generic CCGT NG Geothermal Generic OCGT NG Geothermal Generic Coal Geothermal Generic Coal Regional Plan Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
Type
MW
Plant Name
Type
TPP
600
600
Mombasa Coal
TPP
TPP
280
280
Geothermal
TPP
TPP
TPP
140
348
488
Geothermal
Generic CCGT NG
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
300
300
‐70
530
Momnasa Coal
Generic Coal
Olkaria 2
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
696
‐26
670
Generic CCGT NG
Cogeneration
TPP
TPP
HPP
TPP
56
420
476
Karura
Geothermal
HPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
140
696
836
Geothermal
Generic CCGT NG
TPP
TPP
TPP
420
420
Geothermal
TPP
TPP
TPP
280
348
628
Geothermal
Generic CCGT NG
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
280
600
880
Geothermal
Generic OCGT NG
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
280
348
628
Geothermal
Generic OCGT NG
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
280
800
1080
Geothermal
Generic OCGT NG
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
280
900
1180
Geothermal
Generic Coal
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
280
600
880
Geothermal
Generic Coal
TPP
TPP
13424
National Plan
D-3
MW S/T (MW) 600 280 140 348 300 300 ‐70 696 ‐26 56 420 140 696 420 280 348 280 600 280 600 280 400 280 600 280 900 600 280 488 530 670 476 836 420 628 880 880 680 880 1180 13276 WBS 1300 Supply Demand Analysis
EAPP/EAC Regional
D.3
Uganda
Table 3
Year 2013 2014 2016 2018 2020 2021 2022 2023 2025 2028 2031 2032 2037 2038 Total Uganda Regional Plan vs. National Plan
Regional Plan (RP)
Plant Name Type
Tallow CCGT TPP
Electromaxx TPP
Invespro TPP
Tallow GT TPP
Karuma HPP
Isimba HPP
Geothermal TPP
Geothermal TPP
Geothermal TPP
Ayago HPP
Ayago HPP
Namanve TPP
Murchisson Falls HPP
Kampala Steam TPP
Tallow Steam TPP
Tallow Diesel TPP
CCGT Generic TPP
Regional Plan (RP) Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
MW
Plant Name
Type
185
‐10
‐50
125
Tallow CCGT
Electromaxx
Invespro
TPP
TPP
TPP
57
57
Tallow GT
TPP
250
250
Karuma
HPP
100
100
Isimba
HPP
30
30
Geothermal
TPP
30
30
Geothermal
TPP
30
30
Geothermal
TPP
250
250
Ayago
HPP
CCGT Generic
TPP
Ayago
Namanve
HPP
TPP
CCGT Generic TPP
Murchisson Falls
HPP
0
CCGT Generic TPP
219
Kampala Steam
Tallow Steam
Tallow Diesel
CCGT Generic
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
0
300
‐50
250
0
750
56
53
10
100
750
2091
National Plan
D-4
MW S/T (MW) 185 ‐10 ‐50 57 250 100 30 30 30 250 250 300 ‐50 50 750 50 56 53 10 50 125 57 250 100 30 30 30 250 250 250 50 750 50 169 2391 WBS 1300 Supply Demand Analysis
EAPP/EAC Regional
D.4
Ethiopia
Table 4
Year 2013 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2025 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 Ethiopia Regional Plan vs. National Plan
Regional Plan (RP)
Plant Name Gibe III Chemoga Yeda Halele Worabesa Genale 3D Geba I & II Tekeze 2 Langano Geo Baro I Baro II Genji Mandaya Tendaho Geo Karadobi Awash 4 Geo Generic Geo Generic Border Abaya Geo Gibe V Corbetti Geo Genale 6D Geo Generic Aleltu East Aleltu West Gojeb Tulu Moye Geo Dofan Geo Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
Type
HPP
HPP
HPP
HPP
HPP
HPP
TPP
HPP
HPP
HPP
HPP
TPP
HPP
HPP
TPP
TPP
HPP
TPP
HPP
TPP
HPP
TPP
HPP
HPP
HPP
TPP
TPP
MW
Plant Name
Type
1870
280
422
2572
Gibe III
Chemoga Yeda
Halele Worabesa
OCGT Generic
HPP
HPP
HPP
TPP
258
258
Genale 3D
HPP
Gibe IV
HPP
0
372
372
Geba I & II
HPP
275
75
275
Tekeze 2
Langano Geo
HPP
TPP
0
OCGT Generic
TPP
Baro I
Tendaho Geo
HPP
TPP
0
Baro II
Genji
HPP
HPP
0
Gibe V
HPP
200
510
210
920
2000
100
2100
1600
1600
38
38
Awash 4
HPP
800
800
Geo Generic
TPP
400
1200
1600
Geo Generic
TPP
Mandaya
Abaya Geo
HPP
TPP
0
100
662
662
75
75
Corbetti Geo
OCGT Generic
TPP
TPP
246
600
846
Genale 6D
Geo Generic
HPP
TPP
186
265
150
186
Aleltu East
Aleltu West
Gojeb
OCGT Generic
HPP
HPP
HPP
TPP
100
Karadobi
Tulu Moye Geo
Dofan Geo
HPP
TPP
TPP
40
60
D-5
MW S/T (MW) 1870 280 422 140 258 1468 372 275 75 140 200 100 510 210 662 38 800 400 2000 100 75 280 246 600 186 265 150 280 1600 40 60 2712 258 1468 372 350 140 0 300 720 662 0 38 800 400 2000 0 355 846 881 1700 WBS 1300 Supply Demand Analysis
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year 2037 2038 Total D.5
Regional Plan (RP)
Plant Name Type
Geo Generic Geo Generic Regional Plan TPP
TPP
MW
Plant Name
Type
MW S/T (MW) 400
OCGT Generic
Geo Generic
TPP
TPP
960 400
OCGT Generic
Geo Generic
TPP
TPP
560 400 560 400 400
400
13794
National Plan
960 16022 Sudan
Table 5
Year 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Sudan Regional Plan vs. National Plan
Regional Plan
Plant Name Khartoum STPP U1‐2 Khartoum GT U1‐2 Rumela
New Coal STPP 143 Sabaloka New Coal STPP 143 Port Sudan New Coal STPP 380 Shukoli
Lakki
El Bagair U1‐2 El Bagair U3‐4 Fula I
Bedden Khartoum STPP U3‐4 Shereiq
Low Dal New Coal STPP 380 Dagash
New LSD 272 Kajbar
New CCGT 208 New CCGT 342 New Coal STPP 570 New CCGT 208 New CCGT 208 New CCGT 456 New Coal STPP 570 Garri 1 CCGT Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
Type
National Plan (NP) MW
S/T (MW)
Plant Name
TPP
TPP
‐55
‐34
‐89
Khartoum STPP U1‐2
Khartoum GT U1‐2
HPP
TPP
30
143
173
Rumela
New Coal STPP 143
HPP
TPP
90
143
233
Sabaloka
New Coal STPP 143
TPP
405
405
Port Sudan
TPP
380
380
New Coal STPP 380
HPP
HPP
TPP
210
210
270
690
Shukoli
Lakki
El Bagair U1‐2
TPP
270
270
El Bagair U3‐4
HPP
720
720
Fula I
Garri 3 STPP U1‐3
HPP
400
298
TPP
‐102
Bedden
Garri 3 STTP U4
Khartoum STPP U3‐4
HPP
HPP
TPP
315
340
380
1035
Shereiq
Low Dal
New Coal STPP 380
HPP
285
557
TPP
272
Dagash
New GT 60
New LSD 272
HPP
TPP
TPP
300
208
342
850
Kajbar
New CCGT 208
New CCGT 342
TPP
TPP
570
208
778
New Coal STPP 570
New CCGT 208
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
208
456
570
‐164
1070
New CCGT 208
New CCGT 456
New Coal STPP 570
Garri 1 CCGT
D-6
Type MW S/T (MW)
TPP TPP HPP TPP HPP TPP TPP TPP HPP HPP TPP TPP HPP TPP HPP TPP TPP HPP HPP TPP HPP TPP TPP HPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP ‐55 ‐34 30 143 90 143 405 380 210 210 270 270 720 405 400 135 ‐102 315 340 380 285 60 272 300 208 342 570 208 208 456 570 ‐164 ‐89 173 233 405 380 690 270 1125 433 1035 617 850 778 1070 WBS 1300 Supply Demand Analysis
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 Total Regional Plan
National Plan (NP) Plant Name Type
MW
S/T (MW)
New CCGT 456 New CCGT 342 New CCGT 456 New CCGT 456 New Coal STPP New CCGT 456 New Coal STPP 380 New CCGT 208 New CCGT 342 New CCGT 456 New Coal STPP 570 New Crude STPP 475 New CCGT 208 New CCGT 208 New CCGT 342 New CCGT 456 New Crude STPP 475 New Crude STPP 238 Regional Plan TPP
TPP
456
342
TPP
456
TPP
456
May 2011
Plant Name
Type MW S/T (MW)
798
New CCGT 456
New CCGT 342
New CCGT 456
456
New GT 60
New CCGT 456
New Crude STPP 475
0
New Crude STPP 238
New Crude STPP 475
456 342 456 60 456 475 238 475 570 456 475 380 208 342 456 570 208 208 342 238 912 475 475 798 456
TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP TPP
TPP
570
456
1026
New Coal STPP
New CCGT 456
New Crude STPP 475
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
380
208
342
456
1386
New Coal STPP 380
New CCGT 208
New CCGT 342
New CCGT 456
TPP
TPP
TPP
570
475
208
1253
New Coal STPP 570
TPP
TPP
208
342
550
New CCGT 208
New CCGT 342
912
New Crude STPP 238
New CCGT 456
New Crude STPP 475
950
New Crude STPP 475
TPP
912
TPP
TPP
950
238
New CCGT 208
15,395
National Plan
D-7
456 991 713 1501 1386 778 550 1625 475 17,243 WBS 1300 Supply Demand Analysis
EAPP/EAC Regional
D.6
Egypt
Table 6
Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Egypt Regional Plan vs. National Plan
Regional Plan (RP)
Plant Name Type
Giza North Abu Kir Banha
Wind Farms Solar Units Shabab Sharm El Sheikh El Huraghda Mahmoudia Karmouz Kuriemat 3 Nubaria 3 Ain Sokhna Qassasen Giza North Suez
Wind Farms Qassasen Helwan South Qena
Assiut
Wind Farms Solar Units Port Said El Seiuf Qena
Damietta West 1,2 Wind Farms Wadi Hof Helwan South Damietta West 1,2 Safaga Wind Farms Damietta West 1,2 Safaga Dabaa Nuclear Wind Farms Assiut
Damietta West 1,2 Steam Units Combined Cycle Wind Farms Steam Units Wind Farms Damanhour Steam Units TPP
TPP
TPP
WPP
SPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
WPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
HPP
WPP
SPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
WPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
WPP
TPP
TPP
NPP
WPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
WPP
TPP
WPP
TPP
TPP
May 2011
MW
1000
650
750
320
50
Plant Name
Type 1676
Giza North
Abu Kir
Banha
Wind Farms
Solar Units
CCGT Generic
Shabab
Sharm El Sheikh
El Huraghda
Mahmoudia
Karmouz
Kuriemat 3
Nubaria 3
TPP
TPP
TPP
WPP SPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
1300
1250
500
650
450
4150
Ain Sokhna
Qassasen
Giza North
Suez
Wind Farms
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
WPP 250
1300
650
25
700
50
‐73
‐200
2702
Qassasen
Helwan South
Qena
Assiut
Wind Farms
Solar Units
Port Said
El Seiuf
TPP
TPP
TPP
HPP WPP SPP
TPP
TPP
650
1250
700
‐100
2500
Qena
Damietta West 1,2
Wind Farms
Wadi Hof
TPP
TPP
WPP TPP
1300
250
650
1200
3400
Helwan South
Damietta West 1,2
Safaga
Wind Farms
TPP
TPP
TPP
WPP 1000
650
1000
600
‐90
3160
Damietta West 1,2
Safaga
Dabaa Nuclear
Wind Farms
Assiut
TPP
TPP
NPP WPP TPP
500
650
1500
600
3250
Damietta West 1,2
Steam Units
Combined Cycle
Wind Farms
TPP
TPP
TPP
WPP 1950
2355
Steam Units
Combined Cycle
Wind Farms
Damanhour
TPP
TPP
WPP TPP
2250
Steam Units
Combined Cycle
TPP
TPP
‐100
‐178
‐143
‐50
‐23
‐300
‐300
600
‐195
650
D-8
MW S/T (MW)
1000 650 750 320 50 1500 ‐100 ‐178 ‐143 ‐50 ‐23 ‐300 ‐300 1300 1250 500 650 450 250 1300 650 25 700 50 ‐73 ‐200 650 1250 700 ‐100 1300 250 650 1200 1000 650 1000 600 ‐90 500 650 500 600 1950 750 600 ‐195 650 1250 3176 4150 2702 2500 3400 3160 2250 3105 3500 WBS 1300 Supply Demand Analysis
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 Regional Plan (RP)
Plant Name Type
MW
Dabaa Nuclear Wind Farms Steam Units Wind Farms Steam Units Dabaa Nuclear Wind Farms Steam Units Wind Farms Steam Units Dabaa Nuclear Wind Farms Cairo West Steam Units Combined Cycle Wind Farms Steam Units Combined Cycle Dabaa Nuclear Wind Farms Abu Sultan Kafr El Dawar Steam Generic CCGT Generic Combined Cycle Ataka
CCGT Generic Steam Generic Nuclear Generic Combined Cycle Shoubra El Kheima Steam Generic CCGT Generic Combined Cycle Talkha CCGT Generic Steam Generic Nuclear Generic Combined Cycle CCGT Generic Steam Generic Combined Cycle Damanhour Ext. Abu Kir CCGT Generic Steam Generic TPP
WPP
TPP
WPP
TPP
TPP
WPP
TPP
WPP
TPP
TPP
WPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
WPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
WPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
NPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
NPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
1000
600
May 2011
National Plan (NP) Plant Name
Type MW Dabaa Nuclear
Wind Farms
TPP
WPP 1400
Steam Units
Combined Cycle
Wind Farms
TPP
TPP
WPP 2400
Steam Units
Combined Cycle
Dabaa Nuclear
Wind Farms
TPP
TPP
TPP
WPP 3350
Steam Units
Combined Cycle
Wind Farms
TPP
TPP
WPP 2700
Steam Units
Combined Cycle
Dabaa Nuclear
Wind Farms
Cairo West
TPP
TPP
TPP
WPP TPP
2600
750
100
3450
Steam Units
Combined Cycle
Wind Farms
TPP
TPP
WPP 2600
1250
1000
100
‐600
‐440
3910
Steam Units
Combined Cycle
Dabaa Nuclear
Wind Farms
Abu Sultan
Kafr El Dawar
TPP
TPP
TPP
WPP TPP
TPP
1950
2750
1000
‐900
4800
Steam Generic
CCGT Generic
TPP
TPP
Ataka
TPP
2750
1950
1000
1250
‐1260
5690
CCGT Generic
Steam Generic
Nuclear Generic
TPP
TPP
NPP Shoubra El Kheima
TPP
1950
2750
1000
‐290
5410
Steam Generic
CCGT Generic
TPP
TPP
Talkha
TPP
2750
1950
1000
1250
6950
CCGT Generic
Steam Generic
Nuclear Generic
TPP
TPP
NPP 2750
1950
1000
‐300
‐911
4489
CCGT Generic
Steam Generic
TPP
TPP
Damanhour Ext.
Abu Kir
TPP
TPP
2750
1950
6950
CCGT Generic
Steam Generic
TPP
TPP
1000 600 1300 1000 100 1300 1250 1000 100 3250 1000 100 1950 1250 1000 100 ‐350 2600 1000 100 2600 250 1000 100 ‐600 ‐440 1950 2750 ‐900 2750 1950 1000 ‐1260 1950 2750 ‐290 2750 1950 1000 2750 1950 ‐300 ‐911 2750 1950 1300
S/T (MW)
100
1300
1000
100
3250
100
1950
1000
100
‐350
D-9
S/T (MW)
2400 3650 4350 3950 3700 2910 3800 4440 4410 5700 3489 5700 WBS 1300 Supply Demand Analysis
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 Total Regional Plan (RP)
Plant Name Type
MW
Nuclear Generic Combined Cycle CCGT Generic Damietta CCGT Generic Nuclear Generic CCGT Generic Steam Generic Cairo West Ext. Cairo South 1 Cairo South 2 Talkha 210 Mahmoudia Damanhour CCGT Generic Steam Generic Nuclear Generic CCGT Generic Steam Generic Regional Plan NPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
NPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
NPP
TPP
TPP
1000
1250
May 2011
Plant Name
Type MW Nuclear Generic
NPP 1550
Steam Generic
CCGT Generic
Damietta
TPP
TPP
TPP
3750
Combined Cycle
CCGT Generic
Steam Generic
Nuclear Generic
TPP
TPP
TPP
NPP 3000
5850
‐660
‐510
‐165
‐420
‐316
‐157
6622
CCGT Generic
Steam Generic
Cairo West Ext.
Cairo South 1
Cairo South 2
Talkha 210
Mahmoudia
Damanhour
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
TPP
3000
1950
1000
5950
CCGT Generic
Steam Generic
Nuclear Generic
TPP
TPP
NPP 3000
1950
4950
CCGT Generic
Steam Generic
TPP
TPP
1000 1950 2750 ‐1200 500 2750 1950 1000 3000 1950 ‐660 ‐510 ‐165 ‐420 ‐316 ‐157 3000 1950 1000 3000 1950 2750
‐1200
2750
1000
99764
National Plan
D-10
S/T (MW)
3500 6200 2722 5950 4950 99764 WBS 1300 Supply Demand Analysis
EAPP/EAC Regional
D.7
Burundi, Eastern DRC and Rwanda
Table 7
Year
2016
Plant Name
Burundi Regional Plan Vs. National Plan
Regional Plan (RP)
Type MW
Kabu 16
HPP
S/T (MW)
20
National Plan (NP)
Type MW
Plant Name
S/T (MW)
20
Kabu 16
Generic Diesel
HPP
TPP
20
100
120
0
Generic Diesel
TPP
100
100
2021
2024
Ruzizi III (1/3 Share)
HPP
49
49
Ruzizi III (1/3 Share)
Generic Diesel
HPP
TPP
49
100
149
2027
Ruziz IV (1/3 Share)
HPP
96
96
HPP
96
96
2029
Jiji 03
HPP
15.5
16
Jiji 03
HPP
16
16
2030
0
Generic Diesel
TPP
100
100
2032
0
Generic Diesel
TPP
100
100
77
Mpanda
Kivu Gas 2 (1/3 Share)
HPP
TPP
10
67
77
0
Generic Diesel
TPP
100
100
2033
Mpanda
HPP
TPP
10
67
2036
Total
Regional Plan
Table 8
Year
Plant Name
257.5
National Plan
857.5
Eastern DRC Regional Plan Vs. National Plan
Regional Plan (RP)
Type MW
S/T (MW)
Plant Name
National Plan (NP)
Type MW
S/T (MW)
2014
Piani Mwanga
HPP
34
34
Piani Mwanga
HPP
34
34
2017
Babeda I
Semliki
HPP
HPP
50
28
50
Babeda I
Semliki
HPP
HPP
50
28
78
2018
Bengamisa
HPP
48
48
Bengamisa
HPP
48
48
2023
Mugomba
HPP
40
40
Mugomba
HPP
40
40
2024
Ruziz III (1/3 Share)
HPP
49
49
HPP
49
49
2027
HPP
96
96
HPP
96
96
2033
TPP
67
67
TPP
67
67
Total
Regional Plan
May 2011
412
National Plan
D-11
412
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 9
Year
2013
Plant Name
Rwanda Regional Plan Vs. National Plan
Regional Plan (RP)
Type MW
Kivu Gas
TPP
100
S/T (MW)
100
Plant Name
National Plan (NP)
Type MW
S/T (MW)
Kivu Gas
TPP
100
100
0
Generic Diesel
TPP
100
100
49
HPP
49
49
0
Generic Diesel
TPP
100
100
96
HPP
96
96
2028
0
Generic Diesel
TPP
100
100
2030
0
Generic Diesel
TPP
100
100
95
Nyabarong
HPP
TPP
28
67
95
2035
0
Generic Diesel
TPP
100
100
2037
0
Biomass (peat)
Generic Diesel
TPP
TPP
50
100
50
2022
2024
HPP
49
2025
2027
2033
2035
Total
Nyabarong
Generic Diesel
Regional Plan
May 2011
HPP
HPP
TPP
TPP
96
27.8
67
100
100
439.8
D-12
0
National Plan
989.8
EAPP/EAC Regional
D.8
Djibouti
Table 10
Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2019 2022 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Total Djibouti Regional Plan Vs. National Plan
Regional Plan
Plant Name Type
National Plan (NP) MW
S/T (MW)
Plant Name
Type Gas Turbine 15 MW Geothermal 20 MW Geothermal 20 MW Geothermal 20 MW Boulaos Boulaos Boulaos Boulaos Regional Plan Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
0
Diesel HFO 12 MW
TPP 0
Diesel HFO 7 MW
TPP 15
Diesel HFO 7 MW
Gas Turbine 15 MW
TPP TPP TPP
15
TPP
20
20
Geothermal 20 MW
TPP TPP
20
20
Geothermal 20 MW
TPP TPP
20
20
Geothermal 20 MW
TPP 0
Diesel HFO 12 MW
TPP ‐22
Diesel HFO 7 MW
Diesel HFO 12 MW
Boulaos
TPP TPP TPP ‐9
Boulaos
TPP 0
Diesel HFO 12 MW
TPP ‐7
Diesel HFO 12 MW
Boulaos
TPP TPP ‐13
Diesel HFO 7 MW
Boulaos
TPP TPP TPP
‐22
TPP
‐9
TPP
TPP
‐7
‐13
25
National Plan
D-13
MW S/T (MW)
24 7 7 15 20 20 20 24 7 12 ‐22 ‐9 12 12 ‐7 7 ‐13 24 7 22 20 20 20 24 ‐3 ‐9 12 6 ‐6 137 WBS 1300 Supply Demand Analysis
EAPP/EAC Regional
WBS 1300
Appendix E
Energy Exchange Tables
May 2011
EAPP/EAC Regional
APPENDIX E:
ENERGY EXCHANGE TABLES
N.B.: Exchange is positive when Export > Import
May 2011
E-1
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 1
National Generation Plans and Unlimited Interconnections (NGP_UIC)
Burundi Year Djibouti Eastern DRC Egypt G D NS RW DC TZ G D NS ET G D NS BR RW G D NS SD LB‐JD‐SR 2013 220 170 50 ‐190 ‐84 323 112 663 ‐550 ‐550 505 303 202 84 118 161,263 174,790 ‐13,527 ‐14,228 701 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 216 202 396 393 403 416 422 424 445 471 622 621 648 872 856 895 928 946 1,058 1,690 1,708 1,692 1,674 1,650 200 231 265 301 339 381 425 472 522 576 633 695 760 827 898 972 1,049 1,129 1,213 1,299 1,389 1,482 1,579 1,679 16 ‐29 131 92 64 35 ‐3 ‐48 ‐77 ‐105 ‐11 ‐74 ‐112 45 ‐42 ‐77 ‐121 ‐183 ‐155 391 319 209 95 ‐28 ‐120 ‐136 ‐83 55 138 134 124 121 130 202 154 129 139 0 ‐6 ‐18 ‐13 ‐11 ‐10 303 340 303 243 199 ‐149 ‐109 ‐167 ‐487 ‐702 ‐669 ‐628 ‐577 ‐508 ‐594 ‐679 ‐618 ‐559 ‐738 ‐701 ‐629 ‐555 ‐486 ‐465 ‐827 ‐773 ‐694 ‐594 ‐500 285 216 381 524 629 569 500 408 301 287 514 415 309 782 665 571 447 313 319 915 752 600 446 272 130 165 276 292 308 410 421 429 543 549 556 566 580 589 595 607 620 632 645 663 673 688 704 722 727 775 833 859 886 907 928 944 961 978 996 1,016 1,036 1,057 1,078 1,100 1,122 1,144 1,166 1,188 1,212 1,236 1,260 1,284 ‐597 ‐610 ‐556 ‐567 ‐578 ‐497 ‐508 ‐515 ‐418 ‐429 ‐440 ‐450 ‐456 ‐468 ‐483 ‐493 ‐502 ‐512 ‐521 ‐525 ‐539 ‐548 ‐556 ‐562 ‐597 ‐610 ‐556 ‐567 ‐578 ‐497 ‐508 ‐515 ‐418 ‐429 ‐440 ‐450 ‐456 ‐468 ‐483 ‐493 ‐502 ‐512 ‐521 ‐525 ‐539 ‐548 ‐556 ‐562 761 709 690 1,383 1,850 1,770 1,691 1,616 1,514 1,702 1,903 1,811 1,728 2,160 2,084 1,981 1,874 1,779 1,784 2,557 2,501 2,397 2,254 2,124 318 334 352 372 392 413 436 461 487 515 545 576 610 645 682 722 764 808 855 904 955 1,009 1,066 1,125 442 375 338 1,011 1,458 1,357 1,255 1,155 1,027 1,187 1,358 1,235 1,118 1,515 1,401 1,259 1,110 971 930 1,654 1,546 1,388 1,188 999 149 109 167 487 702 669 628 577 508 594 679 618 559 738 701 629 555 486 465 827 773 694 594 500 293 266 170 525 755 688 628 577 519 594 679 618 559 778 701 629 555 486 465 827 773 694 594 500 175,277 187,228 193,954 203,379 214,241 225,704 236,773 252,522 261,026 275,445 286,709 305,717 323,614 341,035 355,823 376,711 402,662 425,750 452,096 478,595 497,966 528,029 555,005 587,197 185,400 196,510 208,180 220,390 233,210 246,650 260,590 275,600 291,170 307,530 324,720 342,790 361,780 381,440 402,130 423,910 446,560 470,220 494,930 520,720 547,470 575,510 604,720 635,140 ‐10,123 ‐9,282 ‐14,226 ‐17,011 ‐18,969 ‐20,946 ‐23,817 ‐23,078 ‐30,144 ‐32,085 ‐38,011 ‐37,073 ‐38,166 ‐40,405 ‐46,307 ‐47,199 ‐43,898 ‐44,470 ‐42,834 ‐42,125 ‐49,505 ‐47,481 ‐49,715 ‐47,944 ‐10,823 ‐9,983 ‐14,927 ‐17,712 ‐19,670 ‐21,647 ‐24,518 ‐23,779 ‐30,845 ‐32,786 ‐38,712 ‐37,774 ‐38,867 ‐41,106 ‐47,008 ‐47,900 ‐44,599 ‐45,171 ‐43,535 ‐42,826 ‐50,205 ‐48,182 ‐50,416 ‐48,644 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 2038 1,624 1,781 ‐157 112 ‐433 164 740 1,308 ‐569 ‐569 2,052 1,187 865 433 433 618,679 666,800 ‐48,121 ‐48,821 701 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
E-2
EAPP/EAC Regional
Ethiopia Year Kenya Rwanda G D NS KY SD DB G D NS TZ UG ET G D NS BR DC TZ UG 2013 17,770 7,973 9,798 ‐3,187 12,435 550 13,237 12,149 1,088 ‐1,495 ‐604 3,187 1,022 499 524 190 ‐118 323 128 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 15,859 17,241 21,882 22,935 25,134 26,034 26,589 28,166 30,738 32,242 33,883 33,897 34,967 34,922 37,357 41,927 45,063 54,907 57,290 59,928 63,107 66,803 74,916 8,901 9,917 11,022 11,959 13,308 14,511 15,760 17,050 18,440 19,939 21,555 23,300 25,182 27,216 29,412 31,787 34,356 37,138 40,147 43,397 46,914 50,714 54,822 6,958 7,324 10,860 10,976 11,826 11,523 10,829 11,116 12,298 12,303 12,328 10,597 9,785 7,706 7,945 10,140 10,707 17,769 17,143 16,531 16,193 16,089 20,094 ‐3,887 ‐3,409 ‐5,378 ‐7,375 ‐8,271 ‐8,093 ‐10,186 ‐9,983 ‐11,507 ‐13,934 ‐13,579 ‐14,368 ‐14,277 ‐15,383 ‐18,329 ‐18,338 ‐16,748 ‐16,444 ‐20,545 ‐21,844 ‐24,791 ‐25,390 ‐23,829 10,248 10,123 15,681 17,784 19,519 19,119 20,508 20,584 23,387 25,808 25,468 24,516 23,606 22,622 25,791 27,985 26,952 33,701 37,167 37,850 40,444 40,930 43,368 597 610 556 567 578 497 508 515 418 429 440 450 456 468 483 493 502 512 521 525 539 548 556 15,324 16,974 17,722 19,880 21,287 23,607 25,606 28,198 31,132 33,625 35,935 40,564 42,913 46,470 49,661 53,933 57,252 62,339 64,893 68,328 73,772 79,337 84,233 13,754 15,407 16,762 18,008 19,349 20,765 22,335 24,214 26,251 28,460 30,759 33,346 35,978 38,831 41,880 45,268 48,831 52,473 56,469 60,724 65,253 70,063 75,165 1,570 1,567 960 1,872 1,938 2,842 3,271 3,984 4,881 5,165 5,176 7,218 6,935 7,639 7,781 8,665 8,421 9,866 8,424 7,604 8,519 9,274 9,068 ‐2,021 ‐1,670 ‐3,079 ‐4,415 ‐4,857 ‐4,094 ‐5,613 ‐4,861 ‐5,507 ‐6,236 ‐6,157 ‐5,318 ‐5,870 ‐6,487 ‐7,706 ‐7,490 ‐6,692 ‐5,552 ‐6,329 ‐8,394 ‐10,564 ‐10,942 ‐10,424 ‐296 ‐172 ‐1,339 ‐1,087 ‐1,476 ‐1,158 ‐1,301 ‐1,139 ‐1,119 ‐2,533 ‐2,246 ‐1,832 ‐1,472 ‐1,256 ‐2,841 ‐2,183 ‐1,635 ‐1,025 ‐5,792 ‐5,847 ‐5,708 ‐5,173 ‐4,337 3,887 3,409 5,378 7,375 8,271 8,093 10,186 9,983 11,507 13,934 13,579 14,368 14,277 15,383 18,329 18,338 16,748 16,444 20,545 21,844 24,791 25,390 23,829 942 1,007 998 769 654 720 791 872 939 889 1,198 1,296 1,378 1,969 2,021 2,116 2,183 2,250 2,123 2,485 2,516 2,630 2,780 555 611 697 784 870 957 1,043 1,162 1,281 1,399 1,518 1,637 1,780 1,922 2,071 2,225 2,385 2,552 2,725 2,904 3,089 3,280 3,477 387 396 301 ‐15 ‐216 ‐237 ‐252 ‐290 ‐341 ‐510 ‐320 ‐341 ‐403 46 ‐50 ‐109 ‐202 ‐301 ‐602 ‐419 ‐572 ‐649 ‐697 120 136 83 ‐55 ‐138 ‐134 ‐124 ‐121 ‐130 ‐202 ‐154 ‐129 ‐139 0 6 18 13 11 10 ‐303 ‐340 ‐303 ‐243 ‐293 ‐266 ‐170 ‐525 ‐755 ‐688 ‐628 ‐577 ‐519 ‐594 ‐679 ‐618 ‐559 ‐778 ‐701 ‐629 ‐555 ‐486 ‐465 ‐827 ‐773 ‐694 ‐594 285 216 381 524 629 569 500 408 301 287 514 415 309 782 665 571 447 313 319 915 752 600 446 275 311 7 41 47 17 0 0 6 ‐2 ‐2 ‐10 ‐14 42 ‐20 ‐68 ‐107 ‐140 ‐466 ‐203 ‐212 ‐253 ‐306 2037 77,760 59,263 18,497 ‐23,354 41,290 562 90,259 80,572 9,687 ‐9,525 ‐4,142 23,354 2,918 3,680 ‐763 ‐199 ‐500 272 ‐336 2038 83,204 64,063 19,141 ‐25,811 44,383 569 98,965 86,292 12,673 ‐9,310 ‐3,827 25,811 3,026 3,890 ‐864 ‐112 ‐433 164 ‐484 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
E-3
EAPP/EAC Regional
Sudan Year Tanzania Uganda G D NS ET EG G D NS KY RW BR UG G D NS KY RW TZ 2013 12,551 10,758 1,793 ‐12,435 14,228 7,895 7,093 803 1,495 ‐323 ‐323 ‐46 4,097 3,575 522 604 ‐128 46 G Total Generation 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 12,764 13,613 14,707 17,240 19,464 23,947 27,795 29,459 36,370 38,707 48,167 51,593 57,230 64,319 71,155 74,201 76,534 75,217 75,241 79,250 89,714 93,173 99,232 106,104 12,188 13,754 15,461 17,312 19,313 21,419 23,785 26,264 28,911 31,729 34,923 38,334 41,969 45,835 49,938 54,286 58,887 63,747 68,873 74,273 79,953 85,921 92,184 98,749 576 ‐141 ‐754 ‐72 151 2,528 4,010 3,195 7,459 6,978 13,244 13,259 15,261 18,484 21,217 19,915 17,647 11,470 6,368 4,977 9,761 7,252 7,048 7,355 ‐10,248 ‐10,123 ‐15,681 ‐17,784 ‐19,519 ‐19,119 ‐20,508 ‐20,584 ‐23,387 ‐25,808 ‐25,468 ‐24,516 ‐23,606 ‐22,622 ‐25,791 ‐27,985 ‐26,952 ‐33,701 ‐37,167 ‐37,850 ‐40,444 ‐40,930 ‐43,368 ‐41,290 10,823 9,983 14,927 17,712 19,670 21,647 24,518 23,779 30,845 32,786 38,712 37,774 38,867 41,106 47,008 47,900 44,599 45,171 43,535 42,826 50,205 48,182 50,416 48,644 8,901 9,388 11,209 13,242 14,236 14,111 16,711 16,683 18,343 20,019 20,425 20,474 22,175 22,980 25,696 26,692 27,204 27,590 29,415 32,256 36,860 39,455 41,017 42,997 7,502 8,150 9,001 9,894 10,722 11,345 12,014 12,722 13,463 14,422 15,271 16,173 17,142 18,148 19,414 20,573 21,785 23,085 24,496 26,207 27,968 29,908 32,035 34,371 1,399 1,239 2,207 3,347 3,514 2,766 4,697 3,961 4,880 5,597 5,154 4,301 5,033 4,832 6,282 6,119 5,419 4,505 4,919 6,049 8,892 9,547 8,982 8,626 2,021 1,670 3,079 4,415 4,857 4,094 5,613 4,861 5,507 6,236 6,157 5,318 5,870 6,487 7,706 7,490 6,692 5,552 6,329 8,394 10,564 10,942 10,424 9,525 ‐285 ‐216 ‐381 ‐524 ‐629 ‐569 ‐500 ‐408 ‐301 ‐287 ‐514 ‐415 ‐309 ‐782 ‐665 ‐571 ‐447 ‐313 ‐319 ‐915 ‐752 ‐600 ‐446 ‐272 ‐285 ‐216 ‐381 ‐524 ‐629 ‐569 ‐500 ‐408 ‐301 ‐287 ‐514 ‐415 ‐309 ‐782 ‐665 ‐571 ‐447 ‐313 ‐319 ‐915 ‐752 ‐600 ‐446 ‐272 ‐52 1 ‐108 ‐21 ‐84 ‐190 84 ‐84 ‐24 ‐65 26 ‐187 ‐219 ‐91 ‐95 ‐230 ‐379 ‐421 ‐771 ‐516 ‐168 ‐195 ‐550 ‐354 3,877 3,910 5,748 5,650 6,387 6,450 6,605 6,934 7,221 9,065 9,075 9,279 9,361 9,374 11,446 11,400 11,477 11,386 17,278 17,274 17,262 17,268 17,322 17,450 3,805 4,049 4,308 4,583 4,874 5,119 5,387 5,712 6,084 6,465 6,854 7,251 7,656 8,069 8,490 8,920 9,357 9,799 10,249 10,708 11,175 11,647 12,129 12,617 72 ‐139 1,441 1,067 1,513 1,331 1,218 1,222 1,137 2,600 2,222 2,029 1,705 1,305 2,956 2,481 2,121 1,587 7,029 6,566 6,087 5,621 5,193 4,833 296 172 1,339 1,087 1,476 1,158 1,301 1,139 1,119 2,533 2,246 1,832 1,472 1,256 2,841 2,183 1,635 1,025 5,792 5,847 5,708 5,173 4,337 4,142 ‐275 ‐311 ‐7 ‐41 ‐47 ‐17 0 0 ‐6 2 2 10 14 ‐42 20 68 107 140 466 203 212 253 306 336 52 ‐1 108 21 84 190 ‐84 84 24 65 ‐26 187 219 91 95 230 379 421 771 516 168 195 550 354 D NS TZ KY UG ET SD EG BR DC RW DB LB JD SR 2038 110,059 105,620 4,439 ‐44,383 48,821 45,401 36,935 8,466 9,310 ‐164 ‐164 ‐517 17,914 13,086 4,828 3,827 484 517 Total Demand Net Surplus Tanzania Kenya Uganda Ethiopia Sudan Egypt Burundi Eastern DRC Rwanda Djibouti Lybia Jordan Syria This case simulates the national generation expansion plans as detailed in Section 4, along with an unlimited capacity of transfer between the EAPP countries
May 2011
E-4
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 2
National Generation Plans and Regional Interconnection Plans (NGP_RIP)
Burundi Year Djibouti Eastern DRC Egypt G D NS RW DC TZ G D NS ET G D NS BR RW G D NS SD LB‐JD‐SR 2013 205 170 35 35 0 0 107 663 ‐555 ‐555 472 303 169 0 169 175,491 174,790 701 0 701 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 203 202 389 387 394 406 422 424 445 470 621 622 649 872 855 895 928 948 1,060 1,693 1,710 1,695 1,677 1,653 200 231 265 301 339 381 425 472 522 576 633 695 760 827 898 972 1,049 1,129 1,213 1,299 1,389 1,482 1,579 1,679 3 ‐29 124 86 55 25 ‐3 ‐48 ‐77 ‐106 ‐12 ‐73 ‐111 45 ‐43 ‐76 ‐121 ‐181 ‐152 394 320 212 98 ‐26 3 ‐158 ‐81 59 141 138 124 121 130 195 151 132 139 2 1 4 32 40 173 402 392 308 192 ‐7 0 ‐132 ‐159 ‐476 ‐690 ‐656 ‐627 ‐578 ‐509 ‐577 ‐660 ‐613 ‐547 ‐719 ‐655 ‐548 ‐528 ‐487 ‐467 ‐647 ‐440 ‐308 ‐188 0 0 261 364 504 604 544 500 409 302 276 498 409 297 762 611 468 376 266 142 639 369 213 94 ‐19 151 196 272 289 306 399 420 429 541 547 556 566 580 589 595 607 620 632 645 663 673 688 704 722 727 775 833 859 886 907 928 944 961 978 996 1,016 1,036 1,057 1,078 1,100 1,122 1,144 1,166 1,188 1,212 1,236 1,260 1,284 ‐576 ‐579 ‐561 ‐570 ‐580 ‐509 ‐508 ‐515 ‐420 ‐431 ‐440 ‐450 ‐456 ‐468 ‐483 ‐493 ‐502 ‐512 ‐521 ‐525 ‐539 ‐548 ‐556 ‐562 ‐576 ‐579 ‐561 ‐570 ‐580 ‐509 ‐508 ‐515 ‐420 ‐431 ‐440 ‐450 ‐456 ‐468 ‐483 ‐493 ‐502 ‐512 ‐521 ‐525 ‐539 ‐548 ‐556 ‐562 712 707 670 1,349 1,806 1,735 1,691 1,616 1,515 2,727 2,932 2,941 2,693 3,303 4,839 4,129 3,613 2,972 7,987 8,887 8,380 7,747 6,967 6,685 318 334 352 372 392 413 436 461 487 515 545 576 610 645 682 722 764 808 855 904 955 1,009 1,066 1,125 394 373 318 978 1,414 1,322 1,255 1,155 1,028 2,212 2,387 2,364 2,083 2,658 4,157 3,407 2,849 2,164 7,133 7,984 7,426 6,738 5,901 5,559 0 132 159 476 690 656 627 578 509 577 660 613 547 719 655 548 528 487 467 647 440 308 188 0 394 241 159 501 724 666 627 578 520 1,636 1,727 1,751 1,536 1,940 3,501 2,859 2,321 1,677 6,666 7,337 6,985 6,430 5,714 5,559 186,101 197,211 198,621 209,739 221,462 233,630 239,766 255,921 267,499 282,846 296,045 309,014 327,265 345,536 363,644 386,301 411,989 438,521 464,682 492,080 516,051 546,263 575,978 608,731 185,400 196,510 208,180 220,390 233,210 246,650 260,590 275,600 291,170 307,530 324,720 342,790 361,780 381,440 402,130 423,910 446,560 470,220 494,930 520,720 547,470 575,510 604,720 635,140 701 701 ‐9,559 ‐10,651 ‐11,748 ‐13,020 ‐20,824 ‐19,679 ‐23,671 ‐24,684 ‐28,675 ‐33,776 ‐34,515 ‐35,904 ‐38,486 ‐37,609 ‐34,571 ‐31,699 ‐30,248 ‐28,640 ‐31,419 ‐29,247 ‐28,742 ‐26,410 0 0 ‐10,260 ‐11,352 ‐12,449 ‐13,721 ‐21,524 ‐20,379 ‐24,372 ‐25,385 ‐29,376 ‐34,477 ‐35,215 ‐36,605 ‐39,186 ‐38,310 ‐35,271 ‐32,400 ‐30,948 ‐29,340 ‐32,120 ‐29,948 ‐29,443 ‐27,110 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 2038 1,626 1,781 ‐156 ‐66 0 ‐90 740 1,308 ‐569 ‐569 6,316 1,187 5,129 0 5,129 641,228 666,800 ‐25,572 ‐26,273 701 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
E-5
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year Ethiopia Kenya Rwanda G D NS KY SD DB G D NS TZ UG ET G 2013 9,055 7,973 1,082 0 527 555 11,527 12,149 ‐622 0 ‐622 0 1,190 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 10,109 11,163 22,307 23,187 25,043 26,017 26,630 28,174 30,585 32,349 33,992 33,879 35,001 34,968 37,478 42,212 45,313 55,096 57,341 60,190 63,534 67,102 75,093 78,253 8,901 9,917 11,022 11,959 13,308 14,511 15,760 17,050 18,440 19,939 21,555 23,300 25,182 27,216 29,412 31,787 34,356 37,138 40,147 43,397 46,914 50,714 54,822 59,263 1,209 1,246 11,285 11,228 11,735 11,506 10,870 11,124 12,145 12,410 12,437 10,579 9,819 7,752 8,066 10,425 10,957 17,958 17,194 16,793 16,620 16,388 20,271 18,990 0 0 ‐2,419 ‐3,523 ‐4,265 ‐3,687 ‐8,886 ‐8,438 ‐8,705 ‐10,609 ‐9,847 ‐13,789 ‐13,585 ‐14,546 ‐16,729 ‐16,041 ‐14,580 ‐10,980 ‐14,926 ‐15,429 ‐15,940 ‐15,827 ‐11,705 ‐11,639 632 667 13,144 14,180 15,420 14,685 19,248 19,047 20,431 22,588 21,844 23,918 22,948 21,830 24,312 25,973 25,034 28,425 31,599 31,696 32,021 31,667 31,421 30,066 576 579 561 570 580 509 508 515 420 431 440 450 456 468 483 493 502 512 521 525 539 548 556 562 13,379 16,367 16,543 18,413 19,775 21,509 25,108 27,381 29,780 31,883 33,635 40,186 42,439 45,953 48,697 52,475 55,968 58,267 60,868 63,921 67,860 72,930 75,952 82,179 13,754 15,407 16,762 18,008 19,349 20,765 22,335 24,214 26,251 28,460 30,759 33,346 35,978 38,831 41,880 45,268 48,831 52,473 56,469 60,724 65,253 70,063 75,165 80,572 ‐375 960 ‐219 405 426 744 2,773 3,167 3,529 3,423 2,876 6,840 6,461 7,122 6,817 7,207 7,137 5,794 4,399 3,197 2,607 2,867 787 1,607 0 720 ‐1,761 ‐2,401 ‐2,779 ‐2,170 ‐4,969 ‐4,300 ‐4,304 ‐5,112 ‐5,118 ‐5,223 ‐5,669 ‐6,245 ‐7,056 ‐6,589 ‐5,842 ‐4,272 ‐4,541 ‐5,907 ‐6,726 ‐6,780 ‐5,714 ‐5,350 ‐375 240 ‐877 ‐716 ‐1,060 ‐774 ‐1,144 ‐970 ‐872 ‐2,074 ‐1,853 ‐1,725 ‐1,455 ‐1,179 ‐2,856 ‐2,245 ‐1,602 ‐914 ‐5,986 ‐6,324 ‐6,607 ‐6,179 ‐5,204 ‐4,682 0 0 2,419 3,523 4,265 3,687 8,886 8,438 8,705 10,609 9,847 13,789 13,585 14,546 16,729 16,041 14,580 10,980 14,926 15,429 15,940 15,827 11,705 11,639 860 511 1,826 1,325 1,543 1,377 1,734 1,754 1,720 1,735 1,753 1,788 1,824 1,860 1,898 1,935 1,974 2,014 2,054 2,095 2,137 2,180 2,223 2,268 2038 83,606 64,063 19,543 ‐12,830 31,805 569 90,541 86,292 4,249 ‐4,525 ‐4,057 12,830 2,313 3,890 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
E-6
D NS BR DC TZ UG 499 691 ‐35 ‐169 0 895 555 611 697 784 870 957 1,043 1,162 1,281 1,399 1,518 1,637 1,780 1,922 2,071 2,225 2,385 2,552 2,725 2,904 3,089 3,280 3,477 3,680 305 ‐100 1,129 541 673 421 691 592 440 336 235 151 43 ‐62 ‐173 ‐290 ‐411 ‐538 ‐671 ‐809 ‐952 ‐1,100 ‐1,254 ‐1,413 ‐3 158 81 ‐59 ‐141 ‐138 ‐124 ‐121 ‐130 ‐195 ‐151 ‐132 ‐139 ‐2 ‐1 ‐4 ‐32 ‐40 ‐173 ‐402 ‐392 ‐308 ‐192 7 ‐394 ‐241 ‐159 ‐501 ‐724 ‐666 ‐627 ‐578 ‐520 ‐1,636 ‐1,727 ‐1,751 ‐1,536 ‐1,940 ‐3,501 ‐2,859 ‐2,321 ‐1,677 ‐6,666 ‐7,337 ‐6,985 ‐6,430 ‐5,714 ‐5,559 0 261 364 504 604 544 500 409 302 276 498 409 297 762 611 468 376 266 142 639 369 213 94 ‐19 701 ‐278 842 597 934 681 943 882 787 1,890 1,614 1,625 1,422 1,117 2,718 2,105 1,566 913 6,026 6,291 6,056 5,425 4,558 4,158 ‐1,577 66 ‐5,129 ‐90 3,577 WBS 1300 Supply Demand Analysis
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year Sudan Tanzania Uganda G D NS ET EG G D NS KY RW BR UG G D NS KY RW TZ 2013 10,231 10,758 ‐527 ‐527 0 6,819 7,093 ‐273 0 0 0 ‐273 3,575 3,575 0 622 ‐895 273 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 11,556 13,087 12,577 14,484 16,342 20,455 26,062 27,597 32,853 34,525 42,455 48,893 54,237 60,610 64,812 66,622 69,124 67,721 68,222 71,917 80,053 84,202 90,207 95,793 12,188 13,754 15,461 17,312 19,313 21,419 23,785 26,264 28,911 31,729 34,923 38,334 41,969 45,835 49,938 54,286 58,887 63,747 68,873 74,273 79,953 85,921 92,184 98,749 ‐632 ‐667 ‐2,884 ‐2,828 ‐2,971 ‐964 2,277 1,333 3,942 2,796 7,532 10,559 12,268 14,775 14,874 12,336 10,237 3,974 ‐651 ‐2,356 100 ‐1,719 ‐1,978 ‐2,956 ‐632 ‐667 ‐13,144 ‐14,180 ‐15,420 ‐14,685 ‐19,248 ‐19,047 ‐20,431 ‐22,588 ‐21,844 ‐23,918 ‐22,948 ‐21,830 ‐24,312 ‐25,973 ‐25,034 ‐28,425 ‐31,599 ‐31,696 ‐32,021 ‐31,667 ‐31,421 ‐30,066 0 0 10,260 11,352 12,449 13,721 21,524 20,379 24,372 25,385 29,376 34,477 35,215 36,605 39,186 38,310 35,271 32,400 30,948 29,340 32,120 29,948 29,443 27,110 7,176 6,677 9,647 11,038 11,866 11,971 15,921 15,925 16,927 18,501 19,068 20,283 21,973 22,744 25,069 25,878 26,377 26,221 27,822 30,263 33,952 36,332 37,205 39,458 7,502 8,150 9,001 9,894 10,722 11,345 12,014 12,722 13,463 14,422 15,271 16,173 17,142 18,148 19,414 20,573 21,785 23,085 24,496 26,207 27,968 29,908 32,035 34,371 ‐326 ‐1,473 646 1,143 1,144 626 3,907 3,203 3,464 4,079 3,797 4,110 4,831 4,596 5,655 5,305 4,592 3,136 3,326 4,056 5,984 6,424 5,170 5,087 0 ‐720 1,761 2,401 2,779 2,170 4,969 4,300 4,304 5,112 5,118 5,223 5,669 6,245 7,056 6,589 5,842 4,272 4,541 5,907 6,726 6,780 5,714 5,350 0 ‐261 ‐364 ‐504 ‐604 ‐544 ‐500 ‐409 ‐302 ‐276 ‐498 ‐409 ‐297 ‐762 ‐611 ‐468 ‐376 ‐266 ‐142 ‐639 ‐369 ‐213 ‐94 19 0 ‐261 ‐364 ‐504 ‐604 ‐544 ‐500 ‐409 ‐302 ‐276 ‐498 ‐409 ‐297 ‐762 ‐611 ‐468 ‐376 ‐266 ‐142 ‐639 ‐369 ‐213 ‐94 19 ‐326 ‐232 ‐387 ‐250 ‐428 ‐457 ‐63 ‐279 ‐236 ‐481 ‐325 ‐296 ‐244 ‐125 ‐179 ‐348 ‐499 ‐604 ‐932 ‐574 ‐4 70 ‐356 ‐300 3,805 4,318 4,729 4,952 5,428 5,669 5,651 6,079 6,405 7,129 7,417 7,646 7,933 8,256 8,807 9,407 9,891 10,404 11,141 11,315 11,729 12,332 13,132 13,441 3,805 4,049 4,308 4,583 4,874 5,119 5,387 5,712 6,084 6,465 6,854 7,251 7,656 8,069 8,490 8,920 9,357 9,799 10,249 10,708 11,175 11,647 12,129 12,617 0 269 422 369 554 550 264 367 321 665 564 396 277 187 317 488 534 605 892 607 554 685 1,003 824 375 ‐240 877 716 1,060 774 1,144 970 872 2,074 1,853 1,725 1,455 1,179 2,856 2,245 1,602 914 5,986 6,324 6,607 6,179 5,204 4,682 ‐701 278 ‐842 ‐597 ‐934 ‐681 ‐943 ‐882 ‐787 ‐1,890 ‐1,614 ‐1,625 ‐1,422 ‐1,117 ‐2,718 ‐2,105 ‐1,566 ‐913 ‐6,026 ‐6,291 ‐6,056 ‐5,425 ‐4,558 ‐4,158 326 232 387 250 428 457 63 279 236 481 325 296 244 125 179 348 499 604 932 574 4 ‐70 356 300 G D NS TZ KY UG ET SD EG BR DC RW DB LB JD SR Total Generation Total Demand Net Surplus Tanzania Kenya Uganda Ethiopia Sudan Egypt Burundi Eastern DRC Rwanda Djibouti Lybia Jordan Syria 2038 100,088 105,620 ‐5,532 ‐31,805 26,273 40,910 36,935 3,975 4,525 90 90 ‐730 14,296 13,086 1,210 4,057 ‐3,577 730 This case simulates the national generation expansion plans as detailed in Section 4, with a regional planning done for the interconnections only.
May 2011
E-7
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 3
National Generation Plans and Regional Interconnection Plans - Sensitivity Analysis 1 (NGP_RIP_S1)
Burundi Year Djibouti Eastern DRC Egypt G D NS RW DC TZ G D NS ET G D NS BR RW G D NS SD LB‐JD‐SR 2013 205 170 35 35 0 0 107 663 ‐555 ‐555 472 303 169 0 169 175,491 174,790 701 0 701 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 203 202 385 383 394 408 415 417 438 463 616 617 641 865 856 895 928 947 1,060 1,692 1,710 1,694 1,677 1,660 200 231 265 301 339 381 425 472 522 576 633 695 760 827 898 972 1,049 1,129 1,213 1,299 1,389 1,482 1,579 1,679 3 ‐29 120 82 55 27 ‐10 ‐55 ‐84 ‐113 ‐17 ‐78 ‐119 38 ‐42 ‐77 ‐120 ‐182 ‐152 393 321 211 98 ‐19 3 ‐158 ‐81 59 141 138 124 119 132 203 157 132 145 5 4 15 29 33 163 403 398 319 232 32 0 ‐132 ‐159 ‐476 ‐690 ‐656 ‐613 ‐565 ‐501 ‐579 ‐667 ‐611 ‐540 ‐710 ‐694 ‐622 ‐556 ‐487 ‐467 ‐710 ‐480 ‐343 ‐267 ‐68 0 261 360 500 604 545 479 391 285 263 493 401 276 743 648 531 406 272 152 700 404 236 134 17 151 196 271 289 307 399 411 422 525 533 542 559 572 584 595 607 620 631 645 663 673 688 705 723 727 775 833 859 886 907 928 944 961 978 996 1,016 1,036 1,057 1,078 1,100 1,122 1,144 1,166 1,188 1,212 1,236 1,260 1,284 ‐576 ‐579 ‐561 ‐570 ‐580 ‐508 ‐517 ‐523 ‐436 ‐445 ‐454 ‐457 ‐464 ‐472 ‐483 ‐493 ‐502 ‐512 ‐521 ‐525 ‐539 ‐548 ‐555 ‐561 ‐576 ‐579 ‐561 ‐570 ‐580 ‐508 ‐517 ‐523 ‐436 ‐445 ‐454 ‐457 ‐464 ‐472 ‐483 ‐493 ‐502 ‐512 ‐521 ‐525 ‐539 ‐548 ‐555 ‐561 712 707 670 1,349 1,806 1,735 1,662 1,590 1,489 1,673 1,883 1,799 1,708 2,144 2,083 1,981 1,875 1,782 1,788 2,560 2,504 2,400 2,258 2,137 318 334 352 372 392 413 436 461 487 515 545 576 610 645 682 722 764 808 855 904 955 1,009 1,066 1,125 394 373 318 978 1,414 1,322 1,226 1,129 1,003 1,158 1,338 1,222 1,099 1,499 1,400 1,259 1,111 974 934 1,657 1,549 1,391 1,192 1,012 0 132 159 476 690 656 613 565 501 579 667 611 540 710 694 622 556 487 467 710 480 343 267 68 394 241 159 501 724 666 613 565 501 579 671 611 559 789 706 637 556 487 467 947 1,069 1,047 925 944 186,101 197,211 198,554 209,808 221,479 233,628 246,610 262,271 276,686 292,763 309,003 327,088 345,991 365,944 387,179 409,711 433,686 457,791 482,911 509,245 535,298 564,463 594,298 626,509 185,400 196,510 208,180 220,390 233,210 246,650 260,590 275,600 291,170 307,530 324,720 342,790 361,780 381,440 402,130 423,910 446,560 470,220 494,930 520,720 547,470 575,510 604,720 635,140 701 701 ‐9,626 ‐10,582 ‐11,731 ‐13,022 ‐13,980 ‐13,329 ‐14,484 ‐14,767 ‐15,717 ‐15,702 ‐15,789 ‐15,496 ‐14,951 ‐14,199 ‐12,874 ‐12,429 ‐12,019 ‐11,475 ‐12,173 ‐11,047 ‐10,422 ‐8,631 0 0 ‐10,327 ‐11,283 ‐12,432 ‐13,722 ‐14,681 ‐14,030 ‐15,184 ‐15,468 ‐16,418 ‐16,403 ‐16,489 ‐16,197 ‐15,652 ‐14,900 ‐13,575 ‐13,130 ‐12,720 ‐12,176 ‐12,873 ‐11,748 ‐11,123 ‐9,332 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 2038 1,652 1,781 ‐129 ‐97 0 ‐32 742 1,308 ‐566 ‐566 2,088 1,187 901 0 901 658,924 666,800 ‐7,876 ‐8,577 701 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
E-8
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year Ethiopia Kenya Rwanda G D NS KY SD DB G D NS TZ UG ET G D NS BR DC TZ UG 2013 9,055 7,973 1,082 0 527 555 11,527 12,149 ‐622 0 ‐622 0 956 499 457 ‐35 ‐169 0 661 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 10,109 11,163 22,432 22,845 24,922 26,037 26,633 28,183 30,563 32,333 33,774 34,317 35,076 35,058 37,460 42,694 45,543 55,313 57,464 60,302 63,721 67,268 75,277 78,334 8,901 9,917 11,022 11,959 13,308 14,511 15,760 17,050 18,440 19,939 21,555 23,300 25,182 27,216 29,412 31,787 34,356 37,138 40,147 43,397 46,914 50,714 54,822 59,263 1,209 1,246 11,410 10,886 11,614 11,526 10,873 11,133 12,123 12,394 12,219 11,017 9,894 7,842 8,048 10,907 11,187 18,175 17,317 16,905 16,807 16,554 20,455 19,071 0 0 ‐2,386 ‐3,721 ‐4,347 ‐3,683 ‐5,262 ‐5,180 ‐4,776 ‐6,531 ‐4,942 ‐5,923 ‐6,863 ‐7,561 ‐7,519 ‐7,188 ‐7,642 ‐4,908 ‐9,808 ‐10,130 ‐10,602 ‐10,850 ‐8,640 ‐9,378 632 667 13,235 14,037 15,382 14,700 15,618 15,790 16,464 18,480 16,707 16,483 16,293 14,930 15,084 17,602 18,327 22,571 26,604 26,510 26,870 26,856 28,541 27,887 576 579 561 570 580 508 517 523 436 445 454 457 464 472 483 493 502 512 521 525 539 548 555 561 13,379 16,367 16,559 18,517 19,802 21,516 23,064 25,806 27,264 29,076 30,168 35,115 38,148 41,083 42,637 46,090 51,082 53,907 56,769 59,754 63,853 68,993 73,828 80,317 13,754 15,407 16,762 18,008 19,349 20,765 22,335 24,214 26,251 28,460 30,759 33,346 35,978 38,831 41,880 45,268 48,831 52,473 56,469 60,724 65,253 70,063 75,165 80,572 ‐375 960 ‐203 509 453 751 729 1,592 1,013 616 ‐591 1,769 2,170 2,252 757 822 2,251 1,434 300 ‐970 ‐1,400 ‐1,070 ‐1,337 ‐255 0 720 ‐1,725 ‐2,483 ‐2,846 ‐2,155 ‐3,608 ‐2,883 ‐3,172 ‐4,060 ‐3,879 ‐3,002 ‐3,721 ‐4,482 ‐4,375 ‐4,458 ‐4,055 ‐2,710 ‐3,773 ‐5,155 ‐5,940 ‐6,134 ‐5,147 ‐5,233 ‐375 240 ‐864 ‐729 ‐1,048 ‐777 ‐925 ‐705 ‐592 ‐1,856 ‐1,654 ‐1,151 ‐971 ‐826 ‐2,387 ‐1,908 ‐1,336 ‐764 ‐5,734 ‐5,945 ‐6,062 ‐5,786 ‐4,830 ‐4,400 0 0 2,386 3,721 4,347 3,683 5,262 5,180 4,776 6,531 4,942 5,923 6,863 7,561 7,519 7,188 7,642 4,908 9,808 10,130 10,602 10,850 8,640 9,378 881 1,004 970 750 638 706 778 858 924 874 1,185 1,287 1,362 1,954 2,020 2,117 2,185 2,254 2,128 2,488 2,520 2,634 2,785 2,935 555 611 697 784 870 957 1,043 1,162 1,281 1,399 1,518 1,637 1,780 1,922 2,071 2,225 2,385 2,552 2,725 2,904 3,089 3,280 3,477 3,680 327 393 272 ‐34 ‐232 ‐251 ‐265 ‐304 ‐356 ‐526 ‐333 ‐350 ‐418 32 ‐51 ‐108 ‐200 ‐298 ‐597 ‐416 ‐569 ‐646 ‐692 ‐746 ‐3 158 81 ‐59 ‐141 ‐138 ‐124 ‐119 ‐132 ‐203 ‐157 ‐132 ‐145 ‐5 ‐4 ‐15 ‐29 ‐33 ‐163 ‐403 ‐398 ‐319 ‐232 ‐32 ‐394 ‐241 ‐159 ‐501 ‐724 ‐666 ‐613 ‐565 ‐501 ‐579 ‐671 ‐611 ‐559 ‐789 ‐706 ‐637 ‐556 ‐487 ‐467 ‐947 ‐1,069 ‐1,047 ‐925 ‐944 0 261 360 500 604 545 479 391 285 263 493 401 276 743 648 531 406 272 152 700 404 236 134 17 723 216 ‐10 26 30 8 ‐8 ‐11 ‐7 ‐6 3 ‐8 9 83 11 13 ‐22 ‐49 ‐119 233 494 484 330 214 2038 83,795 64,063 19,732 ‐10,772 29,938 566 88,753 86,292 2,461 ‐4,368 ‐3,944 10,772 3,078 3,890 ‐812 97 ‐901 ‐32 24 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
E-9
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year Sudan Tanzania Uganda KY RW TZ G D NS ET EG G D NS KY RW BR UG G D NS 2013 10,231 10,758 ‐527 ‐527 0 6,819 7,093 ‐273 0 0 0 ‐273 3,809 3,575 234 622 ‐661 273 G 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 11,556 13,087 12,553 14,557 16,363 20,441 22,848 24,504 27,632 28,717 34,634 38,254 42,166 47,102 50,506 51,584 54,135 54,306 54,989 59,939 65,956 70,813 74,767 80,194 12,188 13,754 15,461 17,312 19,313 21,419 23,785 26,264 28,911 31,729 34,923 38,334 41,969 45,835 49,938 54,286 58,887 63,747 68,873 74,273 79,953 85,921 92,184 98,749 ‐632 ‐667 ‐2,908 ‐2,755 ‐2,950 ‐978 ‐937 ‐1,760 ‐1,279 ‐3,012 ‐289 ‐80 197 1,267 568 ‐2,702 ‐4,752 ‐9,441 ‐13,884 ‐14,334 ‐13,997 ‐15,108 ‐17,417 ‐18,555 ‐632 ‐667 ‐13,235 ‐14,037 ‐15,382 ‐14,700 ‐15,618 ‐15,790 ‐16,464 ‐18,480 ‐16,707 ‐16,483 ‐16,293 ‐14,930 ‐15,084 ‐17,602 ‐18,327 ‐22,571 ‐26,604 ‐26,510 ‐26,870 ‐26,856 ‐28,541 ‐27,887 0 0 10,327 11,283 12,432 13,722 14,681 14,030 15,184 15,468 16,418 16,403 16,489 16,197 15,652 14,900 13,575 13,130 12,720 12,176 12,873 11,748 11,123 9,332 7,176 6,677 9,605 11,110 11,921 11,962 14,438 14,434 15,749 17,325 17,711 17,781 19,878 20,885 21,991 23,431 24,346 24,518 26,809 29,133 32,616 35,288 36,251 39,014 7,502 8,150 9,001 9,894 10,722 11,345 12,014 12,722 13,463 14,422 15,271 16,173 17,142 18,148 19,414 20,573 21,785 23,085 24,496 26,207 27,968 29,908 32,035 34,371 ‐326 ‐1,473 603 1,216 1,199 617 2,424 1,712 2,286 2,903 2,440 1,608 2,736 2,737 2,577 2,858 2,561 1,433 2,313 2,926 4,648 5,380 4,216 4,643 0 ‐720 1,725 2,483 2,846 2,155 3,608 2,883 3,172 4,060 3,879 3,002 3,721 4,482 4,375 4,458 4,055 2,710 3,773 5,155 5,940 6,134 5,147 5,233 0 ‐261 ‐360 ‐500 ‐604 ‐545 ‐479 ‐391 ‐285 ‐263 ‐493 ‐401 ‐276 ‐743 ‐648 ‐531 ‐406 ‐272 ‐152 ‐700 ‐404 ‐236 ‐134 ‐17 0 ‐261 ‐360 ‐500 ‐604 ‐545 ‐479 ‐391 ‐285 ‐263 ‐493 ‐401 ‐276 ‐743 ‐648 ‐531 ‐406 ‐272 ‐152 ‐700 ‐404 ‐236 ‐134 ‐17 ‐326 ‐232 ‐401 ‐268 ‐439 ‐448 ‐225 ‐389 ‐316 ‐631 ‐453 ‐593 ‐433 ‐260 ‐501 ‐538 ‐682 ‐733 ‐1,156 ‐828 ‐485 ‐282 ‐663 ‐557 3,784 3,825 5,583 5,553 6,332 6,336 6,545 6,817 7,000 8,958 8,958 9,002 9,051 9,072 11,367 11,353 11,396 11,346 17,259 17,248 17,228 17,231 17,291 17,359 3,805 4,049 4,308 4,583 4,874 5,119 5,387 5,712 6,084 6,465 6,854 7,251 7,656 8,069 8,490 8,920 9,357 9,799 10,249 10,708 11,175 11,647 12,129 12,617 ‐22 ‐224 1,275 971 1,458 1,217 1,157 1,105 916 2,493 2,105 1,752 1,395 1,003 2,877 2,433 2,039 1,547 7,010 6,540 6,053 5,584 5,162 4,742 375 ‐240 864 729 1,048 777 925 705 592 1,856 1,654 1,151 971 826 2,387 1,908 1,336 764 5,734 5,945 6,062 5,786 4,830 4,400 ‐723 ‐216 10 ‐26 ‐30 ‐8 8 11 7 6 ‐3 8 ‐9 ‐83 ‐11 ‐13 22 49 119 ‐233 ‐494 ‐484 ‐330 ‐214 326 232 401 268 439 448 225 389 316 631 453 593 433 260 501 538 682 733 1,156 828 485 282 663 557 D NS TZ KY UG ET SD EG BR DC RW DB LB JD SR 2038 84,259 105,620 ‐21,361 ‐29,938 8,577 40,498 36,935 3,563 4,368 32 32 ‐869 17,874 13,086 4,788 3,944 ‐24 869 Total Generation Total Demand Net Surplus Tanzania Kenya Uganda Ethiopia Sudan Egypt Burundi Eastern DRC Rwanda Djibouti Lybia Jordan Syria This case simulates the national generation expansion plans as detailed in Section 4, with a regional interconnection plan such as the interconnection between Egypt and Sudan is limited to one line
of 2,000 MW only.
May 2011
E-10
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 4
National Generation Plans and Regional Interconnection Plans - Sensitivity Analysis 2 (NGP_RIP_S2)
Burundi Year Djibouti Eastern DRC Egypt G D NS RW DC TZ G D NS ET G D NS BR RW NS SD LB‐JD‐SR 2013 205 170 35 35 0 0 107 663 ‐555 ‐555 472 303 169 0 169 175,491 174,790
701 0 701 2014 203 200 3 3 0 0 151 727 ‐576 ‐576 712 318 394 0 394 186,101 185,400
701 0 701 2015 202 231 ‐29 ‐158 ‐132 261 196 775 ‐579 ‐579 707 334 373 132 241 197,211 196,510
701 0 701 2016 385 265 120 ‐86 ‐159 364 272 833 ‐561 ‐561 670 352 317 159 159 198,621 208,180
‐9,559 ‐10,260
701 2017 383 301 82 59 ‐481 504 289 859 ‐570 ‐570 1,347 372 976 481 495 209,739 220,390 ‐10,651 ‐11,352
701 2018 394 339 55 141 ‐689 604 306 886 ‐580 ‐580 1,808 392 1,416 689 727 221,462 233,210 ‐11,748 ‐12,449
701 2019 407 381 26 138 ‐655 544 399 907 ‐509 ‐509 1,734 413 1,321 655 666 233,630 246,650 ‐13,020 ‐13,721
701 2020 422 425 ‐3 124 ‐627 500 420 928 ‐508 ‐508 1,691 436 1,255 627 627 239,766 260,590 ‐20,824 ‐21,524
701 2021 424 472 ‐48 121 ‐578 409 429 944 ‐515 ‐515 1,616 461 1,155 578 578 255,921 275,600 ‐19,679 ‐20,379
701 2022 445 522 ‐77 130 ‐509 302 541 961 ‐420 ‐420 1,515 487 1,028 509 519 267,499 291,170 ‐23,671 ‐24,372
701 2023 470 576 ‐106 195 ‐577 276 546 978 ‐432 ‐432 1,699 515 1,185 577 607 282,786 307,530 ‐24,744 ‐25,445
701 2024 622 633 ‐11 150 ‐660 498 555 996 ‐440 ‐440 1,901 545 1,357 660 696 296,043 324,720 ‐28,677 ‐29,378
701 2025 622 695 ‐73 131 ‐612 408 566 1,016 ‐450 ‐450 1,813 576 1,237 612 624 309,010 342,790 ‐33,780 ‐34,480
701 2026 649 760 ‐111 139 ‐547 297 580 1,036 ‐456 ‐456 1,730 610 1,121 547 573 327,265 361,780 ‐34,515 ‐35,216
701 2027 872 827 45 2 ‐719 762 589 1,057 ‐468 ‐468 2,160 645 1,515 719 796 345,534 381,440 ‐35,906 ‐36,607
701 2028 856 898 ‐42 1 ‐655 613 595 1,078 ‐483 ‐483 2,084 682 1,401 655 746 363,636 402,130 ‐38,494 ‐39,195
701 2029 895 972 ‐77 4 ‐548 468 607 1,100 ‐493 ‐493 1,981 722 1,259 548 711 386,296 423,910 ‐37,614 ‐38,314
701 2030 928 1,049 ‐120 32 ‐528 376 620 1,122 ‐502 ‐502 1,875 764 1,111 528 583 411,995 446,560 ‐34,565 ‐35,266
701 2031 947 1,129 ‐182 40 ‐487 265 632 1,144 ‐512 ‐512 1,782 808 974 487 487 438,527 470,220 ‐31,693 ‐32,394
701 2032 1,060 1,213 ‐152 173 ‐467 142 645 1,166 ‐521 ‐521 1,788 855 934 467 467 464,681 494,930 ‐30,249 ‐30,950
701 2033 1,692 1,299 393 402 ‐647 638 663 1,188 ‐525 ‐525 2,560 904 1,657 647 1,010 492,084 520,720 ‐28,636 ‐29,336
701 2034 1,711 1,389 321 392 ‐440 370 673 1,212 ‐539 ‐539 2,504 955 1,549 440 1,109 516,049 547,470 ‐31,421 ‐32,122
701 2035 1,694 1,482 212 308 ‐308 212 688 1,236 ‐548 ‐548 2,400 1,009 1,391 308 1,083 546,263 575,510 ‐29,247 ‐29,948
701 2036 1,677 1,579 98 192 ‐188 94 704 1,260 ‐556 ‐556 2,257 1,066 1,192 188 1,004 575,973 604,720 ‐28,747 ‐29,447
701 2037 1,653 1,679 ‐26 ‐7 0 ‐19 722 1,284 ‐562 ‐562 2,127 1,125 1,002 0 1,002 608,737 635,140 ‐26,403 ‐27,104
701 2038 1,626 1,781 ‐156 ‐66 0 ‐90 740 1,308 ‐569 ‐569 2,054 1,187 867 0 867 641,229 666,800 ‐25,571 ‐26,272
701 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
E-11
G D WBS 1300 Supply Demand Analysis
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year Ethiopia Kenya Rwanda G D NS KY SD DB G D NS TZ UG ET G D NS BR DC TZ UG 2013 9,055 7,973 1,082 0 527 555 11,527 12,149 ‐622 0 ‐622 0 956 499 457 ‐35 ‐169 0 661 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 10,109 11,163 22,307 23,187 25,043 26,017 26,630 28,174 30,585 32,450 34,042 33,899 35,003 34,967 37,477 42,218 45,312 55,092 57,343 60,186 63,535 67,100 75,096 78,252 8,901 9,917 11,022 11,959 13,308 14,511 15,760 17,050 18,440 19,939 21,555 23,300 25,182 27,216 29,412 31,787 34,356 37,138 40,147 43,397 46,914 50,714 54,822 59,263 1,209 1,246 11,285 11,228 11,735 11,506 10,870 11,124 12,145 12,511 12,487 10,599 9,821 7,751 8,065 10,431 10,956 17,954 17,196 16,789 16,621 16,386 20,274 18,989 0 0 ‐2,419 ‐3,523 ‐4,265 ‐3,687 ‐8,886 ‐8,438 ‐8,705 ‐10,601 ‐9,868 ‐13,781 ‐13,586 ‐14,546 ‐16,740 ‐16,045 ‐14,564 ‐10,976 ‐14,933 ‐15,435 ‐15,934 ‐15,836 ‐11,707 ‐11,635 632 667 13,144 14,180 15,420 14,685 19,248 19,047 20,431 22,681 21,914 23,931 22,951 21,829 24,323 25,984 25,017 28,419 31,608 31,698 32,017 31,674 31,425 30,062 576 579 561 570 580 509 508 515 420 432 440 450 456 468 483 493 502 512 521 525 539 548 556 562 13,379 16,367 16,543 18,413 19,775 21,509 25,108 27,381 29,780 31,874 33,643 40,184 42,443 45,954 48,696 52,475 55,970 58,278 60,868 63,930 67,848 72,922 75,955 82,171 13,754 15,407 16,762 18,008 19,349 20,765 22,335 24,214 26,251 28,460 30,759 33,346 35,978 38,831 41,880 45,268 48,831 52,473 56,469 60,724 65,253 70,063 75,165 80,572 ‐375 960 ‐219 405 426 744 2,773 3,167 3,529 3,414 2,884 6,838 6,465 7,123 6,816 7,207 7,139 5,805 4,399 3,206 2,595 2,859 790 1,599 0 720 ‐1,761 ‐2,401 ‐2,779 ‐2,170 ‐4,969 ‐4,300 ‐4,304 ‐5,113 ‐5,130 ‐5,216 ‐5,669 ‐6,241 ‐7,068 ‐6,592 ‐5,827 ‐4,263 ‐4,550 ‐5,907 ‐6,729 ‐6,795 ‐5,713 ‐5,358 ‐375 240 ‐877 ‐716 ‐1,060 ‐774 ‐1,144 ‐970 ‐872 ‐2,074 ‐1,853 ‐1,727 ‐1,452 ‐1,183 ‐2,855 ‐2,247 ‐1,597 ‐908 ‐5,985 ‐6,322 ‐6,610 ‐6,182 ‐5,203 ‐4,678 0 0 2,419 3,523 4,265 3,687 8,886 8,438 8,705 10,601 9,868 13,781 13,586 14,546 16,740 16,045 14,564 10,976 14,933 15,435 15,934 15,836 11,707 11,635 881 1,004 969 749 639 705 791 872 940 887 1,197 1,297 1,379 1,968 2,021 2,117 2,185 2,254 2,128 2,488 2,520 2,634 2,784 2,922 555 611 697 784 870 957 1,043 1,162 1,281 1,399 1,518 1,637 1,780 1,922 2,071 2,225 2,385 2,552 2,725 2,904 3,089 3,280 3,477 3,680 327 393 272 ‐35 ‐231 ‐251 ‐252 ‐290 ‐341 ‐512 ‐321 ‐340 ‐401 46 ‐50 ‐108 ‐200 ‐298 ‐597 ‐416 ‐569 ‐646 ‐693 ‐758 ‐3 158 86 ‐59 ‐141 ‐138 ‐124 ‐121 ‐130 ‐195 ‐150 ‐131 ‐139 ‐2 ‐1 ‐4 ‐32 ‐40 ‐173 ‐402 ‐392 ‐308 ‐192 7 ‐394 ‐241 ‐159 ‐495 ‐727 ‐666 ‐627 ‐578 ‐519 ‐607 ‐696 ‐624 ‐573 ‐796 ‐746 ‐711 ‐583 ‐487 ‐467 ‐1,010 ‐1,109 ‐1,083 ‐1,004 ‐1,002 0 261 364 504 604 544 500 409 302 276 498 408 297 762 613 468 376 265 142 638 370 212 94 ‐19 723 216 ‐19 15 33 9 0 ‐1 6 14 27 8 14 82 85 139 38 ‐35 ‐99 358 562 533 409 255 2038 83,607 64,063 19,544 ‐12,831 31,807 569 90,520 86,292 4,228 ‐4,541 ‐4,062 12,831 3,028 3,890 ‐862 66 ‐867 ‐90 30 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
E-12
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year Sudan Tanzania Uganda G D NS ET EG G D NS KY RW BR UG G D NS KY RW TZ 2013 10,231 10,758 ‐527 ‐527 0 6,819 7,093 ‐273 0 0 0 ‐273 3,809 3,575 234 622 ‐661 273 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 11,556 13,087 12,577 14,484 16,342 20,455 26,062 27,597 32,853 34,493 42,387 48,883 54,235 60,613 64,810 66,617 69,136 67,722 68,215 71,911 80,058 84,195 90,207 95,791 12,188 13,754 15,461 17,312 19,313 21,419 23,785 26,264 28,911 31,729 34,923 38,334 41,969 45,835 49,938 54,286 58,887 63,747 68,873 74,273 79,953 85,921 92,184 98,749 ‐632 ‐667 ‐2,884 ‐2,828 ‐2,971 ‐964 2,277 1,333 3,942 2,764 7,464 10,549 12,266 14,778 14,872 12,331 10,249 3,975 ‐658 ‐2,362 105 ‐1,726 ‐1,977 ‐2,958 ‐632 ‐667 ‐13,144 ‐14,180 ‐15,420 ‐14,685 ‐19,248 ‐19,047 ‐20,431 ‐22,681 ‐21,914 ‐23,931 ‐22,951 ‐21,829 ‐24,323 ‐25,984 ‐25,017 ‐28,419 ‐31,608 ‐31,698 ‐32,017 ‐31,674 ‐31,425 ‐30,062 0 0 10,260 11,352 12,449 13,721 21,524 20,379 24,372 25,445 29,378 34,480 35,216 36,607 39,195 38,314 35,266 32,394 30,950 29,336 32,122 29,948 29,447 27,104 7,176 6,677 9,647 11,038 11,866 11,971 15,921 15,925 16,927 18,503 19,080 20,280 21,969 22,744 25,080 25,882 26,358 26,207 27,829 30,260 33,959 36,349 37,203 39,463 7,502 8,150 9,001 9,894 10,722 11,345 12,014 12,722 13,463 14,422 15,271 16,173 17,142 18,148 19,414 20,573 21,785 23,085 24,496 26,207 27,968 29,908 32,035 34,371 ‐326 ‐1,473 646 1,143 1,144 626 3,907 3,203 3,464 4,081 3,809 4,107 4,827 4,596 5,666 5,309 4,573 3,122 3,333 4,053 5,991 6,441 5,168 5,092 0 ‐720 1,761 2,401 2,779 2,170 4,969 4,300 4,304 5,113 5,130 5,216 5,669 6,241 7,068 6,592 5,827 4,263 4,550 5,907 6,729 6,795 5,713 5,358 0 ‐261 ‐364 ‐504 ‐604 ‐544 ‐500 ‐409 ‐302 ‐276 ‐498 ‐408 ‐297 ‐762 ‐613 ‐468 ‐376 ‐265 ‐142 ‐638 ‐370 ‐212 ‐94 19 0 ‐261 ‐364 ‐504 ‐604 ‐544 ‐500 ‐409 ‐302 ‐276 ‐498 ‐408 ‐297 ‐762 ‐613 ‐468 ‐376 ‐265 ‐142 ‐638 ‐370 ‐212 ‐94 19 ‐326 ‐232 ‐387 ‐250 ‐428 ‐457 ‐63 ‐279 ‐236 ‐480 ‐325 ‐294 ‐247 ‐122 ‐177 ‐347 ‐502 ‐611 ‐934 ‐578 1 70 ‐358 ‐304 3,784 3,825 5,591 5,534 6,329 6,341 6,594 6,962 7,185 9,004 9,004 9,264 9,341 9,292 11,438 11,374 11,418 11,354 17,266 17,250 17,222 17,226 17,281 17,343 3,805 4,049 4,308 4,583 4,874 5,119 5,387 5,712 6,084 6,465 6,854 7,251 7,656 8,069 8,490 8,920 9,357 9,799 10,249 10,708 11,175 11,647 12,129 12,617 ‐22 ‐224 1,283 952 1,455 1,222 1,207 1,250 1,101 2,539 2,151 2,014 1,685 1,223 2,947 2,455 2,061 1,555 7,017 6,542 6,047 5,579 5,152 4,726 375 ‐240 877 716 1,060 774 1,144 970 872 2,074 1,853 1,727 1,452 1,183 2,855 2,247 1,597 908 5,985 6,322 6,610 6,182 5,203 4,678 ‐723 ‐216 19 ‐15 ‐33 ‐9 0 1 ‐6 ‐14 ‐27 ‐8 ‐14 ‐82 ‐85 ‐139 ‐38 35 99 ‐358 ‐562 ‐533 ‐409 ‐255 326 232 387 250 428 457 63 279 236 480 325 294 247 122 177 347 502 611 934 578 ‐1 ‐70 358 304 2038 100,085 105,620 ‐5,535 ‐31,807 26,272 40,931 36,935 3,996 4,541 90 90 ‐725 17,843 13,086 4,757 4,062 ‐30 725 This case simulates the national generation expansion plans as detailed in Section 4, with a regional interconnection plan such as the interconnections capital costs are doubled.
May 2011
E-13
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 5
Regional Generation Plans and Regional Interconnection Plans (RGP_RIP)
Burundi Year Djibouti Eastern DRC Egypt G D NS RW DC TZ G D NS ET G D NS BR RW G D NS SD LB‐JD‐SR 2013 201 170 31 31 0 0 115 663 ‐547 ‐547 433 303 130 0 130 175,491 174,790 701 0 701 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 202 203 369 369 369 369 369 370 368 368 588 588 589 1,002 1,001 1,039 1,038 1,037 1,030 1,592 1,586 1,589 1,599 1,631 200 231 265 301 339 381 425 472 522 576 633 695 760 827 898 972 1,049 1,129 1,213 1,299 1,389 1,482 1,579 1,679 2 ‐28 104 68 30 ‐12 ‐56 ‐102 ‐154 ‐208 ‐45 ‐107 ‐171 175 103 67 ‐11 ‐92 ‐182 293 197 106 21 ‐47 2 ‐190 ‐144 ‐112 ‐84 ‐73 ‐56 ‐15 15 46 76 100 135 180 198 248 278 302 ‐39 66 167 190 288 240 0 ‐100 ‐131 ‐340 ‐504 ‐506 ‐451 ‐488 ‐470 ‐540 ‐636 ‐620 ‐605 ‐768 ‐773 ‐752 ‐730 ‐707 ‐676 ‐916 ‐890 ‐865 ‐838 ‐849 0 261 380 519 618 567 450 401 301 286 515 414 299 763 678 571 441 312 533 1,143 920 781 571 561 166 216 275 290 307 407 421 425 540 552 558 586 595 602 601 607 620 632 645 663 673 688 704 722 727 775 833 859 886 907 928 944 961 978 996 1,016 1,036 1,057 1,078 1,100 1,122 1,144 1,166 1,188 1,212 1,236 1,260 1,284 ‐561 ‐559 ‐557 ‐569 ‐579 ‐500 ‐508 ‐519 ‐421 ‐426 ‐437 ‐430 ‐441 ‐455 ‐477 ‐493 ‐502 ‐512 ‐521 ‐525 ‐539 ‐548 ‐556 ‐562 ‐561 ‐559 ‐557 ‐569 ‐579 ‐500 ‐508 ‐519 ‐421 ‐426 ‐437 ‐430 ‐441 ‐455 ‐477 ‐493 ‐502 ‐512 ‐521 ‐525 ‐539 ‐548 ‐556 ‐562 614 616 616 1,075 1,438 1,437 1,437 1,440 1,434 1,595 1,817 1,817 1,819 2,233 2,228 2,226 2,224 2,221 2,207 2,735 2,735 2,739 2,742 2,823 318 334 352 372 392 413 436 461 487 515 545 576 610 645 682 722 764 808 855 904 955 1,009 1,066 1,125 296 282 264 704 1,046 1,024 1,001 979 947 1,080 1,272 1,241 1,209 1,588 1,546 1,504 1,460 1,413 1,352 1,832 1,780 1,730 1,676 1,698 0 100 131 340 504 506 451 488 470 540 636 620 605 768 773 752 730 707 676 916 890 865 838 849 296 182 133 364 542 518 550 491 477 540 636 620 605 819 773 752 730 707 676 916 890 865 838 849 186,101 197,211 199,074 210,445 221,577 233,968 238,479 252,809 267,015 284,177 298,515 309,838 328,494 345,328 363,997 387,163 412,400 441,276 469,641 497,543 521,894 552,550 583,447 616,586 185,400 196,510 208,180 220,390 233,210 246,650 260,590 275,600 291,170 307,530 324,720 342,790 361,780 381,440 402,130 423,910 446,560 470,220 494,930 520,720 547,470 575,510 604,720 635,140 701 701 ‐9,106 ‐9,945 ‐11,633 ‐12,682 ‐22,111 ‐22,791 ‐24,155 ‐23,353 ‐26,205 ‐32,952 ‐33,286 ‐36,112 ‐38,133 ‐36,747 ‐34,160 ‐28,944 ‐25,290 ‐23,177 ‐25,576 ‐22,960 ‐21,273 ‐18,554 0 0 ‐9,807 ‐10,646 ‐12,334 ‐13,383 ‐22,812 ‐23,492 ‐24,856 ‐24,054 ‐26,906 ‐33,653 ‐33,987 ‐36,813 ‐38,833 ‐37,448 ‐34,861 ‐29,644 ‐25,990 ‐23,878 ‐26,277 ‐23,661 ‐21,974 ‐19,255 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 2038 1,670 1,781 ‐111 177 ‐843 555 747 1,308 ‐562 ‐562 2,874 1,187 1,687 843 843 648,255 666,800 ‐18,546 ‐19,246 701 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
E-14
EAPP/EAC Regional
Ethiopia Year Kenya Rwanda G D NS KY SD DB G D NS TZ UG ET G D NS BR DC TZ UG 2013 8,995 7,973 1,022 0 475 547 11,524 12,149 ‐625 0 ‐625 0 1,000 499 502 ‐31 ‐130 0 663 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 10,064 11,260 18,756 19,075 21,829 22,388 26,463 33,462 34,232 34,733 35,724 41,887 43,558 44,691 47,172 52,105 59,368 59,474 63,043 66,279 70,906 74,681 75,896 78,159 8,901 9,917 11,022 11,959 13,308 14,511 15,760 17,050 18,440 19,939 21,555 23,300 25,182 27,216 29,412 31,787 34,356 37,138 40,147 43,397 46,914 50,714 54,822 59,263 1,163 1,343 7,734 7,116 8,521 7,877 10,703 16,412 15,792 14,794 14,169 18,587 18,376 17,475 17,760 20,318 25,012 22,336 22,896 22,882 23,992 23,967 21,074 18,896 0 0 ‐4,647 ‐5,697 ‐5,921 ‐5,731 ‐10,348 ‐7,340 ‐7,219 ‐8,041 ‐6,685 ‐8,277 ‐7,943 ‐8,913 ‐10,530 ‐8,908 ‐5,066 ‐5,138 ‐6,029 ‐5,352 ‐3,892 ‐1,105 ‐1,979 ‐2,571 602 784 11,824 12,244 13,863 13,108 20,543 23,232 22,590 22,409 20,417 26,434 25,878 25,933 27,813 28,734 29,576 26,962 28,404 27,709 27,345 24,523 22,497 20,904 561 559 557 569 579 500 508 519 421 426 437 430 441 455 477 493 502 512 521 525 539 548 556 562 13,372 16,325 17,830 19,679 20,773 22,875 24,922 26,228 28,986 31,373 33,246 38,494 41,088 44,281 46,327 50,103 53,656 58,486 60,421 64,186 67,740 72,846 78,836 87,487 13,754 15,407 16,762 18,008 19,349 20,765 22,335 24,214 26,251 28,460 30,759 33,346 35,978 38,831 41,880 45,268 48,831 52,473 56,469 60,724 65,253 70,063 75,165 80,572 ‐382 918 1,068 1,671 1,424 2,110 2,587 2,014 2,735 2,913 2,487 5,148 5,110 5,450 4,447 4,835 4,825 6,013 3,952 3,462 2,487 2,783 3,671 6,915 0 678 ‐2,478 ‐3,192 ‐3,370 ‐2,756 ‐6,530 ‐4,397 ‐3,618 ‐3,477 ‐2,782 ‐2,082 ‐2,119 ‐2,934 ‐4,456 ‐3,069 55 932 ‐315 ‐229 222 2,886 2,858 5,012 ‐382 240 ‐1,101 ‐834 ‐1,126 ‐864 ‐1,231 ‐929 ‐865 ‐1,652 ‐1,416 ‐1,047 ‐714 ‐529 ‐1,627 ‐1,004 ‐296 ‐57 ‐1,762 ‐1,662 ‐1,626 ‐1,209 ‐1,166 ‐667 0 0 4,647 5,697 5,921 5,731 10,348 7,340 7,219 8,041 6,685 8,277 7,943 8,913 10,530 8,908 5,066 5,138 6,029 5,352 3,892 1,105 1,979 2,571 979 1,094 1,093 1,088 1,078 1,093 1,099 1,090 1,093 1,094 1,317 1,322 1,325 1,737 1,730 1,727 1,726 1,724 1,711 2,385 2,386 2,397 2,404 2,481 555 611 697 784 870 957 1,043 1,162 1,281 1,399 1,518 1,637 1,780 1,922 2,071 2,225 2,385 2,552 2,725 2,904 3,089 3,280 3,477 3,680 424 483 396 304 208 136 56 ‐72 ‐187 ‐305 ‐201 ‐315 ‐455 ‐185 ‐341 ‐498 ‐660 ‐828 ‐1,014 ‐519 ‐703 ‐883 ‐1,073 ‐1,199 ‐2 190 144 112 84 73 56 15 ‐15 ‐46 ‐76 ‐100 ‐135 ‐180 ‐198 ‐248 ‐278 ‐302 39 ‐66 ‐167 ‐190 ‐288 ‐240 ‐296 ‐182 ‐133 ‐364 ‐542 ‐518 ‐550 ‐491 ‐477 ‐540 ‐636 ‐620 ‐605 ‐819 ‐773 ‐752 ‐730 ‐707 ‐676 ‐916 ‐890 ‐865 ‐838 ‐849 0 261 380 519 618 567 450 401 301 286 515 414 299 763 678 571 441 312 533 1,143 920 781 571 561 723 214 4 37 46 14 99 3 5 ‐5 ‐5 ‐8 ‐14 51 ‐48 ‐69 ‐92 ‐132 ‐909 ‐680 ‐566 ‐610 ‐518 ‐672 2038 83,821 64,063 19,758 ‐2,989 22,186 562 94,785 86,292 8,493 5,905 ‐401 2,989 2,529 3,890 ‐1,361 ‐177 ‐843 555 ‐895 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
E-15
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year Sudan Tanzania Uganda KY RW TZ G D NS ET EG G D NS KY RW BR UG G D NS 2013 10,283 10,758 ‐475 ‐475 0 6,820 7,093 ‐272 0 0 0 ‐272 3,810 3,575 235 625 ‐663 272 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 11,586 12,970 13,444 15,714 17,784 21,694 26,054 26,524 31,177 33,374 41,412 45,553 50,078 56,715 60,959 63,000 64,172 66,429 66,460 70,442 78,885 85,059 91,661 97,099 12,188 13,754 15,461 17,312 19,313 21,419 23,785 26,264 28,911 31,729 34,923 38,334 41,969 45,835 49,938 54,286 58,887 63,747 68,873 74,273 79,953 85,921 92,184 98,749 ‐602 ‐784 ‐2,017 ‐1,598 ‐1,529 275 2,269 260 2,266 1,645 6,489 7,219 8,109 10,880 11,021 8,714 5,285 2,682 ‐2,413 ‐3,831 ‐1,068 ‐862 ‐523 ‐1,650 ‐602 ‐784 ‐11,824 ‐12,244 ‐13,863 ‐13,108 ‐20,543 ‐23,232 ‐22,590 ‐22,409 ‐20,417 ‐26,434 ‐25,878 ‐25,933 ‐27,813 ‐28,734 ‐29,576 ‐26,962 ‐28,404 ‐27,709 ‐27,345 ‐24,523 ‐22,497 ‐20,904 0 0 9,807 10,646 12,334 13,383 22,812 23,492 24,856 24,054 26,906 33,653 33,987 36,813 38,833 37,448 34,861 29,644 25,990 23,878 26,277 23,661 21,974 19,255 7,176 6,714 10,389 11,798 12,446 12,502 17,600 16,161 16,374 16,382 16,130 16,520 17,827 18,921 21,237 21,104 19,236 20,147 19,395 19,925 21,973 21,531 24,458 24,758 7,502 8,150 9,001 9,894 10,722 11,345 12,014 12,722 13,463 14,422 15,271 16,173 17,142 18,148 19,414 20,573 21,785 23,085 24,496 26,207 27,968 29,908 32,035 34,371 ‐326 ‐1,435 1,388 1,904 1,724 1,157 5,586 3,439 2,911 1,960 859 347 685 773 1,823 531 ‐2,549 ‐2,938 ‐5,101 ‐6,282 ‐5,995 ‐8,377 ‐7,577 ‐9,613 0 ‐678 2,478 3,192 3,370 2,756 6,530 4,397 3,618 3,477 2,782 2,082 2,119 2,934 4,456 3,069 ‐55 ‐932 315 229 ‐222 ‐2,886 ‐2,858 ‐5,012 0 ‐261 ‐380 ‐519 ‐618 ‐567 ‐450 ‐401 ‐301 ‐286 ‐515 ‐414 ‐299 ‐763 ‐678 ‐571 ‐441 ‐312 ‐533 ‐1,143 ‐920 ‐781 ‐571 ‐561 0 ‐261 ‐380 ‐519 ‐618 ‐567 ‐450 ‐401 ‐301 ‐286 ‐515 ‐414 ‐299 ‐763 ‐678 ‐571 ‐441 ‐312 ‐533 ‐1,143 ‐920 ‐781 ‐571 ‐561 ‐326 ‐234 ‐331 ‐249 ‐409 ‐465 ‐43 ‐157 ‐106 ‐945 ‐892 ‐908 ‐836 ‐634 ‐1,278 ‐1,397 ‐1,612 ‐1,381 ‐4,350 ‐4,225 ‐3,934 ‐3,928 ‐3,576 ‐3,478 3,790 3,829 5,735 5,629 6,363 6,435 6,562 6,794 7,051 9,066 9,166 9,214 9,220 9,181 11,443 11,389 11,357 11,368 17,270 17,274 17,301 17,393 17,389 17,435 3,805 4,049 4,308 4,583 4,874 5,119 5,387 5,712 6,084 6,465 6,854 7,251 7,656 8,069 8,490 8,920 9,357 9,799 10,249 10,708 11,175 11,647 12,129 12,617 ‐15 ‐220 1,428 1,046 1,489 1,315 1,174 1,082 967 2,601 2,313 1,963 1,565 1,112 2,953 2,470 2,000 1,569 7,021 6,566 6,126 5,746 5,260 4,818 382 ‐240 1,101 834 1,126 864 1,231 929 865 1,652 1,416 1,047 714 529 1,627 1,004 296 57 1,762 1,662 1,626 1,209 1,166 667 ‐723 ‐214 ‐4 ‐37 ‐46 ‐14 ‐99 ‐3 ‐5 5 5 8 14 ‐51 48 69 92 132 909 680 566 610 518 672 326 234 331 249 409 465 43 157 106 945 892 908 836 634 1,278 1,397 1,612 1,381 4,350 4,225 3,934 3,928 3,576 3,478 G D NS TZ KY UG ET SD EG BR DC RW DB LB JD SR Total Generation Total Demand Net Surplus Tanzania Kenya Uganda Ethiopia Sudan Egypt Burundi Eastern DRC Rwanda Djibouti Lybia Jordan Syria 2038 102,680 105,620 ‐2,940 ‐22,186 19,246 26,307 36,935 ‐10,628 ‐5,905 ‐555 ‐555 ‐3,614 17,996 13,086 4,910 401 895 3,614 This case simulates the regional generation expansion plans as detailed in Section 5, along with the regional interconnection plan detailed In Section 5 as well.
May 2011
E-16
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 6
Regional Generation Plans and Regional Interconnection Plans - Sensitivity Analysis 1 (RGP_RIP_S1)
Burundi Year Djibouti Eastern DRC Egypt G D NS RW DC TZ G D NS ET G D NS BR RW G D NS SD LB‐JD‐SR 2013 201 170 31 31 0 0 112 663 ‐551 ‐551 433 303 130 0 130 175,491 174,790 701 0 701 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 202 203 360 361 363 362 353 354 356 356 575 574 574 992 995 1,038 1,037 1,037 1,035 1,598 1,594 1,592 1,620 1,601 200 231 265 301 339 381 425 472 522 576 633 695 760 827 898 972 1,049 1,129 1,213 1,299 1,389 1,482 1,579 1,679 2 ‐28 95 60 24 ‐19 ‐72 ‐118 ‐166 ‐220 ‐58 ‐121 ‐186 165 97 66 ‐12 ‐92 ‐177 298 205 110 41 ‐77 2 ‐191 ‐151 ‐113 ‐83 ‐68 ‐81 ‐27 19 37 65 87 121 183 202 257 278 311 330 404 410 399 347 288 0 ‐101 ‐124 ‐340 ‐509 ‐499 ‐469 ‐459 ‐449 ‐515 ‐616 ‐598 ‐582 ‐762 ‐767 ‐751 ‐729 ‐707 ‐681 ‐915 ‐756 ‐653 ‐523 ‐454 0 263 371 514 616 548 478 367 264 258 493 390 275 744 662 560 439 304 174 810 551 365 217 89 170 222 272 289 306 398 397 401 492 507 518 508 514 543 559 573 586 589 633 654 667 683 708 724 727 775 833 859 886 907 928 944 961 978 996 1,016 1,036 1,057 1,078 1,100 1,122 1,144 1,166 1,188 1,212 1,236 1,260 1,284 ‐557 ‐553 ‐561 ‐571 ‐580 ‐509 ‐532 ‐543 ‐469 ‐471 ‐478 ‐508 ‐522 ‐514 ‐519 ‐527 ‐536 ‐555 ‐533 ‐534 ‐545 ‐554 ‐552 ‐560 ‐557 ‐553 ‐561 ‐571 ‐580 ‐509 ‐532 ‐543 ‐469 ‐471 ‐478 ‐508 ‐522 ‐514 ‐519 ‐527 ‐536 ‐555 ‐533 ‐534 ‐545 ‐554 ‐552 ‐560 613 616 601 1,052 1,415 1,412 1,373 1,378 1,385 1,544 1,777 1,773 1,774 2,210 2,216 2,224 2,222 2,222 2,217 2,745 2,748 2,745 2,776 2,770 318 334 352 372 392 413 436 461 487 515 545 576 610 645 682 722 764 808 855 904 955 1,009 1,066 1,125 295 282 249 681 1,023 999 937 918 898 1,030 1,233 1,197 1,165 1,565 1,533 1,501 1,458 1,414 1,363 1,841 1,793 1,736 1,711 1,645 0 101 124 340 509 499 469 459 449 515 616 598 582 762 767 751 729 707 681 915 756 653 523 454 295 182 124 340 514 500 469 459 449 515 616 598 582 803 767 751 729 707 681 926 1,037 1,083 1,188 1,191 186,101 197,211 198,737 209,800 221,558 233,482 247,038 261,068 276,767 292,844 309,298 327,572 346,287 365,902 387,594 410,464 434,111 458,537 483,197 510,030 536,443 565,328 595,550 627,161 185,400 196,510 208,180 220,390 233,210 246,650 260,590 275,600 291,170 307,530 324,720 342,790 361,780 381,440 402,130 423,910 446,560 470,220 494,930 520,720 547,470 575,510 604,720 635,140 701 701 ‐9,443 ‐10,590 ‐11,652 ‐13,168 ‐13,552 ‐14,532 ‐14,403 ‐14,686 ‐15,422 ‐15,218 ‐15,493 ‐15,538 ‐14,536 ‐13,446 ‐12,449 ‐11,683 ‐11,733 ‐10,690 ‐11,027 ‐10,182 ‐9,170 ‐7,979 0 0 ‐10,144 ‐11,291 ‐12,352 ‐13,868 ‐14,253 ‐15,233 ‐15,104 ‐15,387 ‐16,123 ‐15,919 ‐16,194 ‐16,239 ‐15,237 ‐14,147 ‐13,150 ‐12,384 ‐12,434 ‐11,391 ‐11,728 ‐10,883 ‐9,871 ‐8,680 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 2038 1,661 1,781 ‐121 563 ‐764 80 758 1,308 ‐550 ‐550 2,858 1,187 1,671 764 907 659,677 666,800 ‐7,124 ‐7,824 701 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
E-17
EAPP/EAC Regional
Ethiopia Year Kenya Rwanda G D NS KY SD DB G D NS TZ UG ET G D NS BR DC TZ UG 2013 8,987 7,973 1,014 0 464 551 11,518 12,149 ‐631 0 ‐631 0 999 499 501 ‐31 ‐130 0 662 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 10,068 11,132 22,192 22,650 24,413 26,678 34,005 38,527 40,245 39,488 40,130 45,862 51,530 50,785 52,676 55,838 58,420 62,202 68,429 71,631 75,165 78,483 81,319 83,822 8,901 9,917 11,022 11,959 13,308 14,511 15,760 17,050 18,440 19,939 21,555 23,300 25,182 27,216 29,412 31,787 34,356 37,138 40,147 43,397 46,914 50,714 54,822 59,263 1,167 1,215 11,170 10,691 11,105 12,167 18,245 21,477 21,805 19,549 18,575 22,562 26,348 23,569 23,264 24,051 24,064 25,064 28,282 28,234 28,251 27,769 26,497 24,559 0 0 ‐2,438 ‐3,844 ‐4,498 ‐3,405 605 143 ‐68 ‐345 1,248 3,144 5,415 3,476 3,662 3,312 2,858 3,198 ‐1,465 ‐1,524 ‐1,620 ‐1,764 ‐2,443 ‐4,223 611 661 13,047 13,964 15,023 15,063 17,108 20,791 21,404 19,423 16,849 18,911 20,410 19,578 19,082 20,212 20,670 21,311 29,214 29,224 29,326 28,980 28,388 28,222 557 553 561 571 580 509 532 543 469 471 478 508 522 514 519 527 536 555 533 534 545 554 552 560 13,381 16,390 16,582 18,546 19,762 21,397 20,951 21,485 24,330 26,236 27,542 29,796 31,164 33,658 33,874 37,216 43,111 46,863 49,646 52,858 56,548 61,827 67,859 76,791 13,754 15,407 16,762 18,008 19,349 20,765 22,335 24,214 26,251 28,460 30,759 33,346 35,978 38,831 41,880 45,268 48,831 52,473 56,469 60,724 65,253 70,063 75,165 80,572 ‐373 983 ‐180 538 413 632 ‐1,384 ‐2,729 ‐1,921 ‐2,224 ‐3,217 ‐3,550 ‐4,814 ‐5,173 ‐8,006 ‐8,052 ‐5,720 ‐5,610 ‐6,823 ‐7,866 ‐8,705 ‐8,236 ‐7,306 ‐3,781 0 832 ‐1,494 ‐2,406 ‐2,727 ‐1,689 93 ‐1,771 ‐1,227 ‐308 ‐82 1,020 1,619 ‐871 ‐1,639 ‐2,487 ‐1,142 ‐1,157 ‐2,826 ‐3,938 ‐4,948 ‐4,993 ‐4,980 ‐4,006 ‐373 151 ‐1,124 ‐900 ‐1,358 ‐1,083 ‐872 ‐815 ‐761 ‐2,261 ‐1,887 ‐1,427 ‐1,017 ‐826 ‐2,704 ‐2,254 ‐1,720 ‐1,255 ‐5,462 ‐5,453 ‐5,377 ‐5,008 ‐4,769 ‐3,998 0 0 2,438 3,844 4,498 3,405 ‐605 ‐143 68 345 ‐1,248 ‐3,144 ‐5,415 ‐3,476 ‐3,662 ‐3,312 ‐2,858 ‐3,198 1,465 1,524 1,620 1,764 2,443 4,223 976 1,094 1,067 1,064 1,061 1,073 1,051 1,043 1,056 1,059 1,288 1,290 1,293 1,720 1,720 1,725 1,724 1,724 1,719 2,393 2,397 2,403 2,434 2,435 555 611 697 784 870 957 1,043 1,162 1,281 1,399 1,518 1,637 1,780 1,922 2,071 2,225 2,385 2,552 2,725 2,904 3,089 3,280 3,477 3,680 422 483 370 281 191 117 8 ‐119 ‐224 ‐340 ‐230 ‐347 ‐488 ‐203 ‐351 ‐500 ‐661 ‐828 ‐1,006 ‐510 ‐691 ‐877 ‐1,043 ‐1,245 ‐2 191 151 113 83 68 81 27 ‐19 ‐37 ‐65 ‐87 ‐121 ‐183 ‐202 ‐257 ‐278 ‐311 ‐330 ‐404 ‐410 ‐399 ‐347 ‐288 ‐295 ‐182 ‐124 ‐340 ‐514 ‐500 ‐469 ‐459 ‐449 ‐515 ‐616 ‐598 ‐582 ‐803 ‐767 ‐751 ‐729 ‐707 ‐681 ‐926 ‐1,037 ‐1,083 ‐1,188 ‐1,191 0 263 371 514 616 548 478 367 264 258 493 390 275 744 662 560 439 304 174 810 551 365 217 89 718 212 ‐27 ‐6 5 1 ‐82 ‐54 ‐20 ‐46 ‐42 ‐52 ‐59 40 ‐45 ‐52 ‐93 ‐113 ‐168 10 205 240 275 144 2038 89,233 64,063 25,170 ‐5,173 29,793 550 84,226 86,292 ‐2,066 ‐3,452 ‐3,787 5,173 2,515 3,890 ‐1,375 ‐563 ‐907 80 15 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
E-18
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year Sudan Tanzania Uganda KY RW TZ G D NS ET EG G D NS KY RW BR UG G D NS 2013 10,294 10,758 ‐464 ‐464 0 6,825 7,093 ‐268 0 0 0 ‐268 3,812 3,575 237 631 ‐662 268 G 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 11,577 13,093 12,558 14,639 16,643 20,225 20,930 20,706 22,611 27,693 34,197 35,342 37,753 42,496 46,093 48,221 51,367 54,820 52,093 56,440 62,355 67,823 73,667 79,207 12,188 13,754 15,461 17,312 19,313 21,419 23,785 26,264 28,911 31,729 34,923 38,334 41,969 45,835 49,938 54,286 58,887 63,747 68,873 74,273 79,953 85,921 92,184 98,749 ‐611 ‐661 ‐2,903 ‐2,673 ‐2,670 ‐1,194 ‐2,855 ‐5,558 ‐6,300 ‐4,036 ‐726 ‐2,992 ‐4,216 ‐3,339 ‐3,845 ‐6,065 ‐7,520 ‐8,927 ‐16,780 ‐17,833 ‐17,598 ‐18,098 ‐18,517 ‐19,542 ‐611 ‐661 ‐13,047 ‐13,964 ‐15,023 ‐15,063 ‐17,108 ‐20,791 ‐21,404 ‐19,423 ‐16,849 ‐18,911 ‐20,410 ‐19,578 ‐19,082 ‐20,212 ‐20,670 ‐21,311 ‐29,214 ‐29,224 ‐29,326 ‐28,980 ‐28,388 ‐28,222 0 0 10,144 11,291 12,352 13,868 14,253 15,233 15,104 15,387 16,123 15,919 16,194 16,239 15,237 14,147 13,150 12,384 12,434 11,391 11,728 10,883 9,871 8,680 7,175 6,645 9,630 11,206 12,114 11,795 10,787 13,624 14,059 14,030 14,170 14,133 14,726 17,422 19,605 21,828 21,871 23,471 25,613 27,435 30,909 33,333 35,798 37,318 7,502 8,150 9,001 9,894 10,722 11,345 12,014 12,722 13,463 14,422 15,271 16,173 17,142 18,148 19,414 20,573 21,785 23,085 24,496 26,207 27,968 29,908 32,035 34,371 ‐326 ‐1,504 628 1,312 1,392 450 ‐1,227 902 596 ‐392 ‐1,101 ‐2,040 ‐2,416 ‐726 191 1,255 86 386 1,117 1,228 2,941 3,425 3,763 2,947 0 ‐832 1,494 2,406 2,727 1,689 ‐93 1,771 1,227 308 82 ‐1,020 ‐1,619 871 1,639 2,487 1,142 1,157 2,826 3,938 4,948 4,993 4,980 4,006 0 ‐263 ‐371 ‐514 ‐616 ‐548 ‐478 ‐367 ‐264 ‐258 ‐493 ‐390 ‐275 ‐744 ‐662 ‐560 ‐439 ‐304 ‐174 ‐810 ‐551 ‐365 ‐217 ‐89 0 ‐263 ‐371 ‐514 ‐616 ‐548 ‐478 ‐367 ‐264 ‐258 ‐493 ‐390 ‐275 ‐744 ‐662 ‐560 ‐439 ‐304 ‐174 ‐810 ‐551 ‐365 ‐217 ‐89 ‐326 ‐146 ‐125 ‐68 ‐102 ‐143 ‐179 ‐135 ‐103 ‐185 ‐197 ‐240 ‐246 ‐110 ‐124 ‐112 ‐176 ‐164 ‐1,361 ‐1,091 ‐905 ‐839 ‐783 ‐881 3,787 3,833 5,583 5,556 6,329 6,345 6,520 6,716 6,968 8,956 8,979 8,969 8,979 8,964 11,364 11,337 11,347 11,331 17,240 17,242 17,252 17,254 17,405 17,351 3,805 4,049 4,308 4,583 4,874 5,119 5,387 5,712 6,084 6,465 6,854 7,251 7,656 8,069 8,490 8,920 9,357 9,799 10,249 10,708 11,175 11,647 12,129 12,617 ‐18 ‐216 1,276 973 1,455 1,226 1,133 1,004 884 2,492 2,125 1,718 1,323 895 2,873 2,418 1,990 1,532 6,991 6,534 6,077 5,607 5,276 4,734 373 ‐151 1,124 900 1,358 1,083 872 815 761 2,261 1,887 1,427 1,017 826 2,704 2,254 1,720 1,255 5,462 5,453 5,377 5,008 4,769 3,998 ‐718 ‐212 27 6 ‐5 ‐1 82 54 20 46 42 52 59 ‐40 45 52 93 113 168 ‐10 ‐205 ‐240 ‐275 ‐144 326 146 125 68 102 143 179 135 103 185 197 240 246 110 124 112 176 164 1,361 1,091 905 839 783 881 D NS TZ KY UG ET SD EG BR DC RW DB LB JD SR 2038 83,652 105,620 ‐21,968 ‐29,793 7,824 39,073 36,935 2,138 3,452 ‐80 ‐80 ‐1,155 18,013 13,086 4,927 3,787 ‐15 1,155 Total Generation Total Demand Net Surplus Tanzania Kenya Uganda Ethiopia Sudan Egypt Burundi Eastern DRC Rwanda Djibouti Lybia Jordan Syria This case simulates the regional generation expansion plans, along with a regional interconnection plan such as the interconnection between Egypt and Sudan is limited to one line of 2,000 MW
only.
May 2011
E-19
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 7
Regional Generation Plans and Regional Interconnection Plans - Sensitivity Analysis 2 (RGP_RIP_S2)
Burundi Year Djibouti Eastern DRC Egypt G D NS RW BR TZ G D NS ET G D NS BR RW G D NS SD LB‐JD‐SR 2013 202 170 32 32 0 0 110 663 ‐552 ‐552 435 303 132 0 132 175,491 174,790 701 0 701 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 202 203 363 365 365 366 365 370 369 368 588 588 590 1,002 1,001 1,040 1,039 1,037 1,036 1,598 1,593 1,589 1,593 1,578 200 231 265 301 339 381 425 472 522 576 633 695 760 827 898 972 1,049 1,129 1,213 1,299 1,389 1,482 1,579 1,679 2 ‐28 98 64 26 ‐15 ‐60 ‐102 ‐153 ‐208 ‐45 ‐107 ‐170 175 104 68 ‐10 ‐92 ‐177 299 204 107 14 ‐101 2 ‐180 11 3 ‐24 ‐42 ‐53 ‐15 14 47 76 100 135 180 203 250 281 310 302 397 445 491 406 557 0 ‐94 ‐46 ‐119 ‐232 ‐241 ‐441 ‐487 ‐470 ‐540 ‐637 ‐621 ‐607 ‐768 ‐774 ‐753 ‐731 ‐707 ‐682 ‐921 ‐895 ‐858 ‐610 ‐803 0 247 133 180 282 268 433 400 302 285 516 414 302 763 674 571 440 304 203 823 654 474 219 145 167 217 274 288 305 394 413 425 546 552 560 588 600 605 620 626 629 632 645 663 673 688 704 722 727 775 833 859 886 907 928 944 961 978 996 1,016 1,036 1,057 1,078 1,100 1,122 1,144 1,166 1,188 1,212 1,236 1,260 1,284 ‐560 ‐558 ‐559 ‐571 ‐581 ‐513 ‐515 ‐519 ‐415 ‐426 ‐436 ‐428 ‐436 ‐452 ‐458 ‐474 ‐493 ‐511 ‐521 ‐525 ‐539 ‐548 ‐556 ‐562 ‐560 ‐558 ‐559 ‐571 ‐581 ‐513 ‐515 ‐519 ‐415 ‐426 ‐436 ‐428 ‐436 ‐452 ‐458 ‐474 ‐493 ‐511 ‐521 ‐525 ‐539 ‐548 ‐556 ‐562 613 616 605 1,064 1,420 1,425 1,421 1,440 1,436 1,595 1,818 1,817 1,823 2,233 2,230 2,228 2,225 2,222 2,218 2,746 2,746 2,740 2,731 2,730 318 334 352 372 392 413 436 461 487 515 545 576 610 645 682 722 764 808 855 904 955 1,009 1,066 1,125 295 282 253 692 1,029 1,012 985 979 949 1,080 1,273 1,241 1,214 1,588 1,548 1,506 1,461 1,413 1,364 1,843 1,791 1,731 1,665 1,605 0 94 46 119 232 241 441 487 470 540 637 621 607 768 774 753 731 707 682 921 895 858 610 803 295 188 207 574 797 771 544 492 479 540 637 621 607 820 774 753 731 707 682 921 895 873 1,055 803 186,101 197,211 200,885 212,917 225,015 235,802 236,104 252,848 269,254 284,329 298,804 309,316 328,130 345,651 363,843 386,652 411,946 441,118 469,041 495,716 518,471 548,701 579,031 611,477 185,400 196,510 208,180 220,390 233,210 246,650 260,590 275,600 291,170 307,530 324,720 342,790 361,780 381,440 402,130 423,910 446,560 470,220 494,930 520,720 547,470 575,510 604,720 635,140 701 701 ‐7,295 ‐7,473 ‐8,195 ‐10,848 ‐24,486 ‐22,752 ‐21,916 ‐23,201 ‐25,916 ‐33,474 ‐33,650 ‐35,789 ‐38,287 ‐37,258 ‐34,614 ‐29,102 ‐25,889 ‐25,004 ‐29,000 ‐26,809 ‐25,689 ‐23,664 0 0 ‐7,996 ‐8,174 ‐8,895 ‐11,549 ‐25,187 ‐23,453 ‐22,617 ‐23,902 ‐26,617 ‐34,175 ‐34,351 ‐36,490 ‐38,987 ‐37,959 ‐35,315 ‐29,803 ‐26,590 ‐25,704 ‐29,700 ‐27,509 ‐26,390 ‐24,364 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 701 2038 1,593 1,781 ‐188 ‐129 0 ‐60 740 1,308 ‐569 ‐569 2,742 1,187 1,554 0 1,554 643,641 666,800 ‐23,159 ‐23,860 701 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
E-20
EAPP/EAC Regional
Ethiopia Year Kenya Rwanda G D NS KY SD DB G D NS TZ UG ET G D NS BR DC TZ UG 2013 9,006 7,973 1,033 0 480 552 11,515 12,149 ‐634 0 ‐634 0 1,004 499 505 ‐32 ‐132 0 669 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 10,074 11,258 18,667 19,413 21,465 23,183 33,333 33,039 34,034 34,461 35,272 43,638 44,673 44,903 47,251 52,374 58,877 59,564 63,519 66,430 70,890 74,772 76,056 78,390 8,901 9,917 11,022 11,959 13,308 14,511 15,760 17,050 18,440 19,939 21,555 23,300 25,182 27,216 29,412 31,787 34,356 37,138 40,147 43,397 46,914 50,714 54,822 59,263 1,173 1,341 7,645 7,454 8,157 8,672 17,573 15,989 15,594 14,522 13,717 20,338 19,491 17,687 17,839 20,587 24,521 22,426 23,372 23,033 23,976 24,058 21,234 19,127 0 0 ‐1,443 ‐1,744 ‐1,473 ‐1,610 ‐7,426 ‐7,697 ‐7,876 ‐8,008 ‐6,673 ‐7,557 ‐7,018 ‐8,441 ‐10,479 ‐9,369 ‐5,729 ‐5,315 ‐6,395 ‐6,679 ‐5,550 ‐4,825 ‐5,693 ‐6,272 613 783 8,530 8,628 9,049 9,769 24,483 23,166 23,055 22,103 19,953 27,467 26,073 25,677 27,861 29,481 29,757 27,230 29,245 29,186 28,986 28,334 26,371 24,836 560 558 559 571 581 513 515 519 415 426 436 428 436 452 458 474 493 511 521 525 539 548 556 562 13,379 16,303 16,884 18,553 19,533 21,424 23,485 26,467 29,290 31,372 33,501 38,362 41,369 44,450 46,595 50,104 53,086 57,508 58,462 60,877 64,382 69,242 73,896 82,253 13,754 15,407 16,762 18,008 19,349 20,765 22,335 24,214 26,251 28,460 30,759 33,346 35,978 38,831 41,880 45,268 48,831 52,473 56,469 60,724 65,253 70,063 75,165 80,572 ‐375 896 122 545 184 659 1,150 2,253 3,039 2,912 2,742 5,016 5,391 5,619 4,715 4,836 4,255 5,035 1,993 153 ‐871 ‐821 ‐1,269 1,681 0 0 0 0 0 0 ‐5,185 ‐4,486 ‐3,931 ‐3,199 ‐2,379 ‐1,544 ‐940 ‐2,447 ‐3,899 ‐3,346 ‐1,001 ‐154 4 ‐1,586 ‐2,047 ‐1,919 ‐3,438 ‐1,726 ‐375 896 ‐1,321 ‐1,199 ‐1,289 ‐951 ‐1,090 ‐958 ‐907 ‐1,897 ‐1,552 ‐997 ‐688 ‐376 ‐1,865 ‐1,187 ‐472 ‐127 ‐4,405 ‐4,940 ‐4,374 ‐3,726 ‐3,524 ‐2,865 0 0 1,443 1,744 1,473 1,610 7,426 7,697 7,876 8,008 6,673 7,557 7,018 8,441 10,479 9,369 5,729 5,315 6,395 6,679 5,550 4,825 5,693 6,272 977 1,095 1,074 1,076 1,065 1,083 1,087 1,089 1,095 1,094 1,318 1,322 1,328 1,737 1,731 1,729 1,727 1,724 1,720 2,395 2,395 2,398 2,395 2,400 555 611 697 784 870 957 1,043 1,162 1,281 1,399 1,518 1,637 1,780 1,922 2,071 2,225 2,385 2,552 2,725 2,904 3,089 3,280 3,477 3,680 422 484 377 293 195 127 44 ‐72 ‐186 ‐306 ‐200 ‐315 ‐452 ‐185 ‐339 ‐496 ‐658 ‐828 ‐1,005 ‐509 ‐693 ‐882 ‐1,082 ‐1,281 ‐2 180 ‐11 ‐3 24 42 53 15 ‐14 ‐47 ‐76 ‐100 ‐135 ‐180 ‐203 ‐250 ‐281 ‐310 ‐302 ‐397 ‐445 ‐491 ‐406 ‐557 ‐295 ‐188 ‐207 ‐574 ‐797 ‐771 ‐544 ‐492 ‐479 ‐540 ‐637 ‐621 ‐607 ‐820 ‐774 ‐753 ‐731 ‐707 ‐682 ‐921 ‐895 ‐873 ‐1,055 ‐803 0 247 133 180 282 268 433 400 302 285 516 414 302 763 674 571 440 304 203 823 654 474 219 145 719 245 462 690 685 588 102 4 6 ‐4 ‐3 ‐8 ‐12 52 ‐36 ‐65 ‐86 ‐115 ‐223 ‐13 ‐7 8 160 ‐65 2038 84,110 64,063 20,047 ‐7,881 27,359 569 86,786 86,292 494 ‐3,908 ‐3,479 7,881 2,413 3,890 ‐1,477 129 ‐1,554 ‐60 8 Final Master Plan Report
May 2011
E-21
EAPP/EAC Regional
Year Sudan Tanzania Uganda G D NS ET EG G D NS KY RW BR UG G D NS KY RW TZ 2013 10,278 10,758 ‐480 ‐480 0 6,820 7,093 ‐273 0 0 0 ‐273 3,813 3,575 237 634 ‐669 273 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 11,575 12,971 14,928 16,858 19,159 23,199 24,489 26,551 28,474 33,527 41,587 45,042 50,247 56,648 61,065 62,764 64,444 66,320 66,218 70,791 80,667 85,096 92,203 98,277 12,188 13,754 15,461 17,312 19,313 21,419 23,785 26,264 28,911 31,729 34,923 38,334 41,969 45,835 49,938 54,286 58,887 63,747 68,873 74,273 79,953 85,921 92,184 98,749 ‐613 ‐783 ‐533 ‐454 ‐154 1,780 704 287 ‐437 1,798 6,664 6,708 8,278 10,813 11,127 8,478 5,557 2,573 ‐2,655 ‐3,482 714 ‐825 19 ‐472 ‐613 ‐783 ‐8,530 ‐8,628 ‐9,049 ‐9,769 ‐24,483 ‐23,166 ‐23,055 ‐22,103 ‐19,953 ‐27,467 ‐26,073 ‐25,677 ‐27,861 ‐29,481 ‐29,757 ‐27,230 ‐29,245 ‐29,186 ‐28,986 ‐28,334 ‐26,371 ‐24,836 0 0 7,996 8,174 8,895 11,549 25,187 23,453 22,617 23,902 26,617 34,175 34,351 36,490 38,987 37,959 35,315 29,803 26,590 25,704 29,700 27,509 26,390 24,364 7,175 6,758 8,284 9,104 9,357 9,946 16,163 16,280 16,694 16,344 15,895 15,991 16,654 18,317 20,885 21,493 20,402 21,300 21,693 24,542 27,001 28,980 33,216 33,958 7,502 8,150 9,001 9,894 10,722 11,345 12,014 12,722 13,463 14,422 15,271 16,173 17,142 18,148 19,414 20,573 21,785 23,085 24,496 26,207 27,968 29,908 32,035 34,371 ‐326 ‐1,392 ‐717 ‐791 ‐1,365 ‐1,399 4,149 3,558 3,231 1,922 624 ‐182 ‐488 169 1,471 920 ‐1,383 ‐1,785 ‐2,803 ‐1,665 ‐967 ‐928 1,181 ‐413 0 0 0 0 0 0 5,185 4,486 3,931 3,199 2,379 1,544 940 2,447 3,899 3,346 1,001 154 ‐4 1,586 2,047 1,919 3,438 1,726 0 ‐247 ‐133 ‐180 ‐282 ‐268 ‐433 ‐400 ‐302 ‐285 ‐516 ‐414 ‐302 ‐763 ‐674 ‐571 ‐440 ‐304 ‐203 ‐823 ‐654 ‐474 ‐219 ‐145 0 ‐247 ‐133 ‐180 ‐282 ‐268 ‐433 ‐400 ‐302 ‐285 ‐516 ‐414 ‐302 ‐763 ‐674 ‐571 ‐440 ‐304 ‐203 ‐823 ‐654 ‐474 ‐219 ‐145 ‐326 ‐898 ‐452 ‐431 ‐802 ‐864 ‐170 ‐127 ‐96 ‐707 ‐724 ‐899 ‐823 ‐752 ‐1,080 ‐1,283 ‐1,505 ‐1,330 ‐2,393 ‐1,605 ‐1,706 ‐1,898 ‐1,819 ‐1,849 3,788 3,807 5,618 5,523 6,280 6,346 6,546 6,793 7,080 9,072 9,133 9,155 9,180 9,145 11,471 11,454 11,420 11,371 17,270 17,266 17,261 17,264 17,312 17,396 3,805 4,049 4,308 4,583 4,874 5,119 5,387 5,712 6,084 6,465 6,854 7,251 7,656 8,069 8,490 8,920 9,357 9,799 10,249 10,708 11,175 11,647 12,129 12,617 ‐18 ‐243 1,311 941 1,405 1,226 1,159 1,081 996 2,607 2,279 1,904 1,524 1,076 2,981 2,535 2,064 1,572 7,021 6,558 6,086 5,617 5,183 4,779 375 ‐896 1,321 1,199 1,289 951 1,090 958 907 1,897 1,552 997 688 376 1,865 1,187 472 127 4,405 4,940 4,374 3,726 3,524 2,865 ‐719 ‐245 ‐462 ‐690 ‐685 ‐588 ‐102 ‐4 ‐6 4 3 8 12 ‐52 36 65 86 115 223 13 7 ‐8 ‐160 65 326 898 452 431 802 864 170 127 96 707 724 899 823 752 1,080 1,283 1,505 1,330 2,393 1,605 1,706 1,898 1,819 1,849 2038 102,121 105,620 ‐3,499 ‐27,359 23,860 39,761 36,935 2,826 3,908 60 60 ‐1,201 17,758 13,086 4,672 3,479 ‐8 1,201 This case simulates the regional generation expansion plans, along with a regional interconnection plan detailed such as the interconnections capital costs are doubled.
May 2011
E-22
EAPP/EAC Regional
Study
PSMP & Grid Code
WBS 1300
Appendix F
Bi-Directional and Net Exchange between
Countries
May 2011
EAPP/EAC Regional
Table 1
Year
RW->
UG
UG->
RW
2013
2018
2023
2028
2033
2038
975
1,065
2,074
2,857
6,344
4,118
80
131
184
138
54
542
Year
TZ->
RW
RW->
TZ
2013
2018
2023
2028
2033
2038
0
1
61
38
92
286
0
604
337
649
731
196
Net
UG->
RW
-895
-934
-1,890
-2,718
-6,291
-3,577
Net
RW->
TZ
0
604
276
611
639
-90
Case NGP_RIP – Bi-Directional and Net Flows between Countries (GWh)
TZ->
UG
UG->
TZ
80
131
184
138
54
542
354
559
665
317
627
1,272
Net
UG->
TZ
273
428
481
179
574
730
TZ->
BR
BR->
TZ
0
1
61
38
92
286
0
604
337
649
731
196
KY->
UG
UG->
KY
74
26
1
98
57
296
695
1,086
2,075
2,955
6,382
4,353
Net
BR->TZ
BR->
RW
RW->
BR
0
604
276
611
639
-90
35
141
195
1
402
0
0
0
0
0
0
66
Net
UG->
KY
622
1,060
2,074
2,856
6,324
4,057
Net
RW->
BR
-35
-141
-195
-1
-402
66
KY->
TZ
TZ->
KY
0
1,014
393
101
124
1,157
0
3,792
5,506
7,157
6,031
5,682
BR->
DC
DC->
BR
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
690
577
655
647
0
Net
TZ->
KY
0
2,779
5,112
7,056
5,907
4,525
Net
DC->
BR
0
690
577
655
647
0
ET->
KY
KY->
ET
0
2,732
1,125
258
589
2,622
0
6,996
11,734
16,987
16,018
15,452
RW->
DC
DC->
RW
0
0
0
0
0
0
169
724
1,636
3,501
7,337
5,129
Net
KY->
ET
0
4,265
10,609
16,729
15,429
12,830
Net
DC->
RW
169
724
1,636
3,501
7,337
5,129
SD->
ET
ET->
SD
311
53
82
236
692
2,222
838
15,473
22,670
24,548
32,388
34,026
EG->
SD
SD->
EG
0
369
296
371
2,208
6,135
0
12,818
25,681
39,557
31,548
32,408
Net
ET->
SD
527
15,420
22,588
24,312
31,696
31,805
Net
SD->
EG
0
12,449
25,385
39,186
29,340
26,273
DB->
ET
ET->
DB
0
0
0
0
0
0
555
580
431
483
525
569
OT->
EG
EG->
OT
0
0
0
0
0
0
701
701
701
701
701
701
DB->
ET
ET->
DB
0
0
0
0
0
0
547
579
426
477
525
562
OT->
EG
EG->
OT
0
0
0
0
0
0
701
701
701
701
701
701
Net
ET->
DB
555
580
431
483
525
569
Net
EG->
OT
701
701
701
701
701
701
Table 2
Year
RW->
UG
UG->
RW
2013
2018
2023
2028
2033
2038
666
48
0
0
0
1
3
1
5
48
680
896
Year
TZ->
RW
RW->
TZ
2013
2018
2023
2028
2033
2038
0
0
59
30
90
58
0
618
345
708
1,233
612
Net
UG->
RW
-663
-46
5
48
680
895
Net
RW->
TZ
0
618
286
678
1,143
555
Case RGP_RIP – Bi-Directional and Net Flows between Countries (GWh)
TZ->
UG
UG->
TZ
80
117
139
20
0
0
352
526
1,084
1,298
4,225
3,614
TZ->
BR
BR->
TZ
0
0
59
30
90
0
0
618
345
708
1,233
0
Net
UG->
TZ
272
409
945
1,278
4,225
3,614
Net
BR->
TZ
0
618
286
678
1,143
0
KY->
UG
UG->
KY
76
6
9
200
70
566
701
1,132
1,661
1,827
1,732
967
BR->
RW
RW->
BR
31
0
46
197
65
177
0
84
0
0
0
0
Net
UG->
KY
625
1,126
1,652
1,627
1,662
401
Net
RW->
BR
-31
84
-46
-197
-65
-177
KY->
TZ
TZ->
KY
0
510
579
423
2,740
6,357
0
3,880
4,055
4,879
2,969
453
BR->
DC
DC->
BR
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
504
540
773
916
843
Net
TZ->
KY
0
3,370
3,477
4,456
229
-5,905
Net
DC->
BR
0
504
540
773
916
843
ET->
KY
KY->
ET
0
1,030
1,219
614
2,800
4,242
0
6,950
9,260
11,144
8,152
7,231
RW->
DC
DC->
RW
0
0
0
0
0
0
130
542
540
773
916
843
Net
KY->
ET
0
5,921
8,041
10,530
5,352
2,989
Net
DC->
RW
130
542
540
773
916
843
SD->
ET
ET->
SD
369
39
48
196
1,804
4,526
844
13,903
22,457
28,008
29,513
26,712
EG->
SD
SD->
EG
0
361
350
582
4,457
10,174
0
12,695
24,404
39,415
28,335
29,420
Net
ET->
SD
475
13,863
22,409
27,813
27,709
22,186
Net
SD->
EG
0
12,334
24,054
38,833
23,878
19,246
May 2011
F-1
Net
ET->
DB
547
579
426
477
525
562
Net
EG->
OT
701
701
701
701
701
701
SNC-LAVALIN Inc.
T&D Division
1801 McGill College Ave.
Montreal, Quebec
Canada H3A 2N4
Tel.: (514) 393-1000
Fax: (514) 334-1446
www.snclavalin.com

Final Master Plan Report - Appendix B: Part 2

Transcription

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