Presentation - Hazus User Conference
Transcription
Presentation - Hazus User Conference
THE HAZUS-MH AS DISASTER RISK REDUCTION TOOL IN BRAZIL Francisco Dourado, Ph.D. Associate Professor State University of Rio de Janeiro Coordinator of Research group and studies of disasters (CEPEDES) Silvana V Croope, Ph.D., ENV SP Resilience, Climate Change and Sustainability Strategist Delaware Department of Transportation Division of Planning Edilberto Nunes de Moura, Ph.D. Associate Professor Pontifical Catholic University of PARANA – PUCPR Coordinator of GIS graduate course Who is Brazil? Federative Republic of Brazil Ethnic groups 47.73% White 43.13% Pardo 7.61% Black 1.52% Others Area 3,287,597 sq mi (5th) Population 2015 estimate 204,451,000[5] (5th) 62/sq mi (190th) GDP (PPP) Total $3.259 trillion (7th) Per capita $15,941 (74th) GDP (nominal) Total $1.799 trillion (9th) Per capita $9,312 (60th) HDI 2013 0,744 (79th) Hazard in the World: Spatial Distribution © 2011 Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft Königinstrasse NATHAN World Map of Natural Hazards (folding map) Hazard in the World - Spation Distribution http://cred.be/sites/default/files/The_Human_Cost_of_Natural_Disasters_CRED.pdf Natural Disasters in Brazil Number of natural disasters in Brazil per year (1991-2012) Comparision between decades Atlas brasileiro de desastres naturais - 1991 a 2012 - Vol. Brasil, CEPED/UFSC Natural Disasters in Brazil Natural disasters in Brazil by type Drought Flash Flood Flooding Wind Hail Other Atlas brasileiro de desastres naturais - 1991 a 2012 - Vol. Brasil, CEPED/UFSC http://cred.be/sites/default/files/The_Human_Cost_of_Natural_Disasters_CRED.pdf Natural Disasters in Brazil Tornado Frost Erosion Wild fire Landslides Hail Wind Flooding Flooding Drought Rise of natural disasters in Brazil by type (%) Atlas brasileiro de desastres naturais - 1991 a 2012 - Vol. Brasil, CEPED/UFSC Drougth Flash Floods Floods Hail Landslides Erosion Affecteds by type (%) Storms Wild fire Tornado Frost Drougth Flash Floods Floods Atlas brasileiro de desastres naturais - 1991 a 2012 - Vol. Brasil, CEPED/UFSC Landslides Erosion Wild fire Tornado Flooding Deaths by type (%) Storms Natural Disasters in Brazil Flooding Natural Disasters in Brazil Total Number of Events Atlas brasileiro de desastres naturais - 1991 a 2012 - Vol. Brasil, CEPED/UFSC Natural Disasters in Brazil Drought Atlas brasileiro de desastres naturais - 1991 a 2012 - Vol. Brasil, CEPED/UFSC NaturalDisasters DisastersininBrazil Brazil Natural Floods Atlas brasileiro de desastres naturais - 1991 a 2012 - Vol. Brasil, CEPED/UFSC NaturalDisasters DisastersininBrazil Brazil Natural Winds Atlas brasileiro de desastres naturais - 1991 a 2012 - Vol. Brasil, CEPED/UFSC NaturalDisasters DisastersininBrazil Brazil Natural Landslides Atlas brasileiro de desastres naturais - 1991 a 2012 - Vol. Brasil, CEPED/UFSC Natural Disasters in Brazil Earthquakes Natural Disasters in Brazil 2004 Indian Ocean’s Tsunami/Earthquake in Brazil http://www.mares.io.usp.br/aagn/aagn8/cafranca/aagn_tsu.html Natural Disasters in Brazil Earthquake/Tsunami in Indonesia (2004) http://veleiro.net/livrodebordo/maremoto.htm Civil Protection Articulation Federal level Institutional Safety Office (Presidency) Military Forces (Army, Navy and Air Force) Ministry of Health INMET e INPE Mobilization National Civil Defense - Preparing and response Meteorology prevision Ministry of Integration and Ministry of Cities CENAD - National Center for Risk Management and Disaster Mapping - Alert and articulation CEMADEN - National Center for Monitoring and Alerts Natural Disasters - Monitoring and alert CPRM - National Geological Survey Geological mapping ANA - National Agency of Water Hydrology CEPED/PR Civil Protection Hierarchization National Level Chief of Staff Ministry of Cities Mapping Ministry of Integration Mapping National Civil Defense Ministry of Science and Technology CENAD National Center for Risk Management and Disaster CEMADEN National Center for Monitoring and Alerts Natural Disasters Ministry of Mining and Energy INMET e INPE Meteorology prevision CPRM National Geological Survey Geological mapping Ministry of Enviroment ANA National Agency of Water Hydrology Ministry of Cities Mapping Local Level Governor or Mayor Secretary of Civil Defense (Some cases) Non-Specific Secretary State Meteorological Service (Some States) State Geological Survey (Some States) Secretary of Enviroment Sub-Secretary of Civil Defense (Some cases) Hazus-MH in Brazil ● Why? When? How? ● Requirements ○ Identified, existing, available datasets ○ Portuguese language version (Brazilians are not fluent in English and some concepts cannot be directly translated ■ ● E.g.: danger, harzard, risk assessment, risk evaluation - they are all translated into evaluation of risk Challenges Benefits versus ○ Hazus specific database ○ Organization and development of additional required datasets ○ Data input (CDMS or Data Interoperability) ○ Improvement of GIS skillset ○ Standards and base calculation ○ Review of analytical processes and parameters used by Brazil ○ Innovation ○ Opportunity for exchange of knowledge and being able to provide for an organized and standardized approach for research and future humanitarian needs Past Activities • Official Agreement • Research Group registered – Interested parties: 4 States (academia and Civil Defense), 2 National Agencies, other representatives – Cyclic opening research and visiting professionals opportunities Landslide Module Challenge: ● Many different of typology of landslides (Rock fall, debris flow/ mud flow, translational, rotational, etc..) ○ Differents process in a same class group How solve this problem: ● Building differents modules for each type of landslides. ● In Brazil the most commonly found types are: ○ Debris flow/ mudflow ○ Translational Flooding Module Challenge ● ● Digital Elevation Model (DEM) - TOPODATA Program by INPE (Spatial Research National Institute); ○ created from SRTM database (3 arc-sec - 90 m), ○ after processing - (filling in, pos-processing,interpolation) - DEM.tiff (1arc-sec - 30 m), ○ TOPODATA is our National Elevation Dataset (NED). Inventory and Valuation; ○ Define the components of Inventory (are they the same of ones in the USA?), ○ Deph-Damage Functions - We don’t have a Federal Insurance Administration (FIA) and a USAGE either, ○ Damage Functions should be developed at universities and national resources centers. CONTACTS: SILVANA V CROOPE EDILBERTO NUNES DE MOURA [email protected] [email protected] FRANCISCO DOURADO [email protected]