Organic agriculture and the conventionalization
Transcription
Organic agriculture and the conventionalization
Ó Springer 2007 Agriculture and Human Values (2008) 25:95–106 DOI 10.1007/s10460-007-9073-1 Organic agriculture and the conventionalization hypothesis: A case study from West Germany Henning Best Institute for Applied Social Research, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany Accepted in revised form December 29, 2006 Abstract. The recent growth in organic farming has given rise to the so-called ‘‘conventionalization hypothesis,’’ the idea that organic farming is becoming a slightly modified model of conventional agriculture. Using survey data collected from 973 organic farmers in three German regions during the spring of 2004, some implications of the conventionalization hypothesis are tested. Early and late adopters of organic farming are compared concerning farm structure, environmental concern, attitudes to organic farming, and membership in organic-movement organizations. The results indicate that organic farming in the study regions indeed exhibits signs of incipient conventionalization. On average, newer farms are more specialized and slightly larger than established ones and there is a growing proportion of farmers who do not share pro-environmental attitudes. Additionally, a number, albeit small, of very large, highly specialized farms have adopted organic agriculture in the last years. However, the vast majority of organic farmers, new and old ones included, still show a strong pro-environmental orientation. Key words: Attitudes, Conventionalization, Environmental concern, Organic agriculture, Organic farming, Organic movement, Values Henning Best holds a MA in Sociology, History, and Ethnology from the University of Cologne, Germany in 2002. He acquired a PhD in Economics and Social Sciences from the University of Cologne in 2006. From 2002 to 2004 he was research associate at the Research Institute for Sociology, University of Cologne. Since 2004 he is researcher and lecturer at the Institute for Applied Social Research, University of Cologne. His research interests include environmental sociology, social inequality, and quantitative methods of social research. Introduction At first glance, the recent development of organic agriculture seems to be a success story. Organic farming offers a more sustainable alternative to conventional agricultural production (see Mäder et al., 2002) and has experienced considerable growth since the 1980s in many regions of the world. In the European Union (EU), almost 4% of all utilized agricultural area was cultivated organically by 2003 (see European Commission, 2005) and several European countries like Switzerland, Lichtenstein or Austria had even reached a share of about 10% (see Schneeberger et al., 2002; Willer and Yussefi, 2005). The growth of organic production has had numerous positive consequences. First of all, a substitution of conventional agricultural production by organic production benefits the environment, for example, due to the avoidance of artificial fertilizers and chemical pesticides. Additionally, the growth of organic production is accompanied by an opening of the market to new customers (e.g., by the sale of organic products in conventional supermarkets or the rise of organic supermarket chains). Moreover, the growth out of the niche may help to reduce barriers to the adoption of organic farming by conventional farmers, as its image becomes less arcane and as interpersonal information on organic farming becomes more easily available to farmers (see e.g., Rogers, 1995 for the effect of interpersonal communication on the adoption of an innovation). In the late the 1990s, however, some researchers began to argue that the growth in organic farming may lead to some undesirable consequences as well (see e.g., Buck et al., 1997; Tovey, 1997). Organic farming, they posit, is incorporating more and more elements of industrial agriculture and thereby lessening its sustainability, a process commonly termed ‘‘conventionalization.’’ In their notion of conventionalization, Buck et al. (1997) concentrate on changes in the political economy 96 Henning Best of organic farming in California. With regard to production, they expect organic agriculture to be restructured following the economic imperatives of commodity production. Agribusiness is entering the field and ‘‘finding ways to industrialize organic production’’ (Buck et al., 1997: 4), thereby introducing methods of production which Guthman (2004) describes as ‘‘organic lite.’’ Smaller organic producers may be unable to compete with the higher efficiency of those relatively large and specialized growers. In order to survive economically, the smaller ones have to adjust their farming practices. As a consequence, a dynamic in the organic sector is set in motion. This dynamic may consist of two analytically distinct yet not mutually exclusive phenomena: assimilation and bifurcation. In the bifurcation scenario, smaller producers have to switch to alternative (presumably relatively low-profit) products and/or strengthen their connection to the local market. Sometimes, as in the United States, some of these farmers strictly choose direct marketing and even forgo certification as organic. Although Buck et al. (1997) note such tendencies towards bifurcation among organic farmers, their central argument implies assimilation of organic farming to conventional practices. Besides growth in farm size, specialization and input substitution, assimilation (and thus conventionalization in a strict sense) leads to a higher mechanization of agriculture, the rise of contract growing, a decrease in direct marketing and numerous other changes in distribution and marketing. In the long run, Buck et al. even fear a relaxation of organic standards. The work of Buck et al. has sparked an ongoing debate about the empirical and theoretical validity of the conventionalization hypothesis. Two arguments are central to the debate. The first argument deals with validity and normative aspects of the conventionalization hypothesis. Whereas Buck et al. and Guthman imply that the described structural changes (growth, mechanization, etc.) are bad and ‘‘more conventional,’’ these changes can also be interpreted as the modernization or professionalization of organic farming (see Darnhofer, 2006). As all certified organic farms, be they ‘‘deep organic’’ or ‘‘organic lite,’’ have to operate according to organic standards, the structural changes may, contrary to the conventionalization argument, lead to desirable consequences. Professionalization could result in more efficient and sustainable production, lower prices for the customers, and concurrent growth in the market, thus resulting in an aggregate increase in animal welfare and environmental protection. The normative aspect of the argument by Buck et al. and Guthman expresses the expectation that the socioeconomic consequences of organic market growth include the replacement of small farms with larger farms, family farming with capitalist entrepreneurship, and direct relations between farmers and customers with alienated market relationships. Thus, as one reviewer noted, the social and cultural benefits of organic production would be lost in a conventionalized setting. The second argument centers around the question of whether conclusions derived from the California case study can be applied to other regions as well (see Michelsen, 2001a). Based on a study of the development of organic farming in New Zealand (NZ), Coombes and Campbell (1998) question this applicability. They posit that the recent penetration of organic farming by corporate actors (in NZ) has not led to a dilution of organic standards, but has caused organic agriculture to evolve into two separate directions: agribusiness relying on export-oriented production and a domestic market supplied by small-scale growers. Hall and Mogyorody (2001) reject the hypothesis of agribusiness entering the organic sector for Ontario, Canada. They do, however, find a tendency among field-crop farmers towards increased farm size, higher mechanization and specialization on export-oriented produce. Using a wider notion of conventionalization, their findings can be interpreted as tendencies towards conventionalization. With this broader definition of the conventionalization scenario, organic farming is becoming a slightly modified version of modern conventional agriculture (Hall and Mogyorody, 2001; see also Milestad and Darnhofer, 2003) without the presumption of active involvement of agribusiness corporations. Following this strand of research, conventionalization tendencies could also be the result of the adoption of organic farming by formerly conventional (family) farmers, who are not deeply convinced of organic principles. Factors leading to this development may be price premiums, government subsidies for organic farming, and the persistent crisis of conventional agriculture. However, one should be aware that there are alternative theoretical explanations for differences between early and recent adopters of organic farming. Padel (2001) interprets these differences in the context of the adoption/diffusion model (see Rogers, 1995). She concludes that one needs ‘‘to recognize that a shift in motives, farm, and social characteristics among those converting to organic farming is a typical feature of any diffusion process, and not an inherent shortcoming of those currently converting’’ (Padel, 2001: 57). While the criticism on the conventionalization hypothesis, as outlined above, mainly points to theoretical shortcomings, the discussion is hindered by a lack of empirical data on the topic. Therefore, this paper seeks to contribute to the discussion by presenting an empirical study of the development of organic farming in three West German regions (North Rhine-Westphalia, Hesse, and Lower Saxony). If the conventionalization hypothesis holds, differences between organic pioneers and farmers who Organic agriculture and the conventionalization hypothesis Development of organic farming in the regions studied The beginning of modern organic farming in Germany can be traced to the end of the 1920s. Culturally, its emergence is to be seen in the context of the life-reform movement and Rudolf SteinerÕs anthroposophy.1 Economically, the emergence can either be interpreted as a reaction to problems of decreasing soil fertility and the corresponding reduction in yields or it can be understood as an activity against the first stages of structural crisis in the agricultural sector (see Vogt, 2000). Throughout most of the 20th century, however, organic farming remained in a very small cultural and economic niche. A more than marginal position, and a corresponding perception by the general population, was only reached by the end of the 1980s. Significant milestones of the development include the introduction of government subsidies in 1989 and the commencement of EU regulation of organic agriculture in 1993. In 1988, there were about 2000 organic farms in Germany. According to public statistics (see SOEL, 2004), their number had doubled by 1992, yielding annual growth rates of about 20%. Since then, there has been considerable growth of the organic sector. On the national level, the number of certified organic farms has 1800 Hesse North Rhine-Westphalia Lower Saxony Germany (divided by 10) 1600 1400 No of organic farms recently converted to organic farming can be expected. On the one hand, the structure of newly converted farms would be expected to resemble conventional farms more than traditional organic farms. These newly converted farms should exhibit higher specialization in crop and livestock production, a bigger farm size, and avoidance of traditional channels of distribution like direct marketing. On the other hand, one would expect the new organic farmers to adhere to the productivist paradigm: they would be relatively indifferent towards the organic movement as well as less concerned about the environment and the environmental impacts of farming (see Lund et al., 2002 for congruent data, but Michelsen, 2001b for conflicting evidence). The aim of the paper is to assess whether the differences in farm structure and ideological orientation (as implied by the conventionalization hypothesis) can be found in German organic farming. The paper will first provide some background information on the development of organic farming in Germany and the regions studied. Then some aspects of the methodology of the study will be described and discussed. The presentation of empirical results starts with an analysis of differences in farm structure, followed by an examination of changes in farmersÕ ideological and organizational commitment to organic agriculture. The paper ends with a discussion of the empirical results. 97 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 1995 Figure 1. 2004). 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Development of organic farming (Source: SOEL, almost tripled in the last 10 years. Certified organic farms numbered more than 16,000 by the end of 2003 and corresponded to 4% of all existing farms. The development of organic farming in Germany and the studied regions is presented in Figure 1. As the conventionalization hypothesis was first formulated with the California case in mind, some remarks on differences and commonalities between California and West Germany seem worthwhile.2 A major commonality between German and US organic agriculture is its rapid growth since the 1980s (for the US development see Klonsky and Tourte, 1998; Haumann, 2005). In California as well as in Germany, organic farming has boomed with growth rates around 20%, and had reached a remarkable market share by the year 2000. Although certified organic farming accounts for only 1% of California farms, the organic market is larger than this figure implies because only slightly more than 60% of CaliforniaÕs organic farms are certified (Klonsky and Tourte, 1998). Bearing that in mind, the percentage of organic farms is roughly comparable between California and West Germany. The major dissimilarity, however, is the political economic structure of agriculture. Whereas ‘‘it is widely recognized that industrial-capitalist agriculture has taken root earliest and most thoroughly in California and other areas of the sunbelt’’ (Buttel et al., 1990: 95), the operation of paid labor, one characteristic feature of a capitalist economy, is relatively unusual in West German farming. The 360,000 farms in West Germany hired about 350,000 paid workers in 2003, including 250,000 seasonal workers (see DBV, 2002; BMVEL, 2004); Martin (2001) reports 550,000 laborers employed by 36,000 California farms in 1997. Therefore, California agriculture is far more dependant on paid labor than German agriculture.3 Additionally, California farms are, on average, bigger than German farms: conventional farms in California operated on an average of 140 ha of 98 Henning Best land as compared to 29 ha in West Germany and organic farms averaged about 41 ha in California as compared to 34 ha in West Germany. Nonetheless, the overall development of German organic farming was similar to the California case. In both areas, there has been strong growth and concurrent changes in both the marketing and the distribution of organic products. The advent of organic supermarket chains and increasing sales of organic products in conventional supermarkets as well as in discount markets illustrate these trends. Therefore, it may well be that the organic production sector has not only grown in numbers, but considerably changed. Before turning to an empirical assessment of eventual changes, some aspects of the empirical data used for this investigation should be discussed. Methods Data collection The following analysis is based on a mail-in survey of 973 organic farmers (310 of them full time) in three West German regions (North Rhine-Westphalia, Hesse, and Lower Saxony) conducted in winter/spring 2004.4 A list of 1500 certified organic farms was compiled using address data supplied by the government authorities concerned with organic certification. The primary operators of these farms were contacted by mail and sent a fully structured questionnaire. The questionnaire focused on farm structure, perceived consequences of the conversion, farmersÕ attitudes, their social network, and socio-demography. The survey was designed following DillmanÕs ‘‘Tailored Design Method’’ (see Dillman, 2000). Four hundred and fifty-nine farmers actively or passively refused to take part in the survey. Another 27 farmers could not be contacted under their registered address and 45 were no longer farming or did not do farming as a business (e.g., sociotherapeutic institutions, gardeners, and the like). Consequently, the survey yielded an adjusted response rate of about 68%. The gender distribution of the sample is unequal, but representative for the reference population: 88% of the primary farm operators in the sample are male, 12% female. The data used for the purposes of this paper were originally gathered as part of a larger research project with a different focus (the adoption of organic farming, see Best, 2006). As a consequence of that focus, the sample was limited to farms that registered with the government inspection agency in 2000, 2001 and 2002. Registration with the inspection agency can be necessary for two reasons: either the farm is being converted to organic farming and thus must be newly certified or the registration entry for the farm has to be modified due to changes in certain aspects of the farm. When the latter occurs, a new registration (Änderungsmeldung) will suffice. In general, there are two reasons for the necessity of such a registration modification. The most frequent reason is that, due to operational changes on the farm, it falls into a different category and different inspection rules have to be applied (as stated in Annex III of the EU Regulation on organic farming, see European Commission, 1991).5 The second, less frequent reason for a new registration is a change-over to another private inspection body. The resulting sample consisted of roughly 55% farms that had converted to organic agriculture in the period between 2000 and 2002 and 45% farms that had converted earlier. Although, due to the sampling frame described, the sample of farmers that converted prior to 2000 cannot be regarded as randomly drawn, no severe bias in the results is expected for two reasons. The first of these reasons concerns the farm structure. One could assume that those farmers who underwent an organizational or operational change after some years of organic farming are generally more economically active than the average early adopter. They may put more effort on developing their farm economically and thus be more likely to adapt to changes in the market. In this case, the results may be biased, but the bias would only serve to reduce the differences between early and late adopters. This is because early adopters who quickly react to market changes should have a higher probability of being ‘‘conventionalized’’ than other early adopters. The second reason that no severe bias is expected concerns environmental attitudes. There is no compelling reason to believe that the farmersÕ ideological orientation varies systematically with the necessity of registration changes. If it does vary, one would expect the affected farmers to be more economically oriented and thus less concerned with the environment than the average organic farmer. In summary, a severe bias in the data should not be expected. If there were any bias, however, it should be in the direction of lower environmental concern and a more conventional farm structure. This leads to the conclusion that, if the differences stated by the conventionalization hypothesis are found in the sample, they should exist in the population as well and might even be more pronounced. Measurement of important variables The most important independent variable in this study is the year of conversion to organic farming (collected in the survey using an open question). The farms were grouped into four classes by the year of conversion: pre 1993, 1993–1997, 1998–2000 and 2001 onwards. Unfortunately, the class intervals could not be held Organic agriculture and the conventionalization hypothesis Results: Structural and ideological changes in German organic farming able to account for disparities between old and new adopters, structural and operational characteristics of farms are compared based on the categorized year of conversion. Since the structural development of full-time farms can be regarded as crucial to a possible conventionalization of organic farming, the following analyses were calculated separately for part-time and full-time farmers. Due to the fact that part-time farmers have a second source of income, they are not as affected by market pressures as full-time farmers. Additionally, one would expect parttime farmers to be less likely to invest large amounts of capital in the economic development of their farms. Therefore, it can be expected that market driven changes in the organic sector, such as conventionalization, can first and foremost be observed among full time-farmers. The average farm size remained more or less constant at about 70 ha among full-time operated farms that converted to organic farming prior to 2001 (see Figure 2). In the period since 2001, the average size has increased to 96 ha. Looking at the 90th percentile instead of the mean value shows that this increase is largely due to the conversion of some very large farms, which were cultivating more than 200 ha of land. A categorization of the land into cropland and grassland reveals that the increase cannot be contributed to a specific type of land. Instead, a tendency is observed in which operators of bigger farms of either type are more likely to adopt organic agriculture. No such growth in farm size can be observed with regard to part-time farms. Over the years, the average farm size has remained largely constant at around 23 ha, with the 90th percentile at around 50 ha. For full-time farms, the recent increase in size coincides with some tendencies towards specialization (see Table 1). When asked about what kind of farm they operate, roughly 27% of the full-time farmers in the group with the longest experience in organic farming 250 mean 90th percentile 200 f arm siz e in ha constant and had to be increased in the groups of earlier adopters to ensure acceptable cell frequencies. In the sample, non-representative in this regard, 12.7% of all farmers adopted organic agriculture prior to 1993. Between 1993 and 1997, 14.4% converted to organic farming while 34.6% did so between 1998 and 2000. Of the farmers surveyed, 38.3% converted only recently. The dependent variables or indicators for a conventionalization of organic farming refer to farm structure, organizational aspects, and ideology. All indicators were measured to reflect the situation at the time of the survey (2004).6 The questionnaire included several inquiries as to different aspects of farm structure, including full-time vs. part-time farming, the size of agricultural land (differentiated in cropland, grassland, and fallow land), the selfassessed type of farm (mixed, fodder crop, cash crop, livestock, vegetable, fruit growing or wine growing), and the number of livestock on the farm (fattening bulls, suckler cows, dairy cows, finishing pigs, farrowing sows, poultry, and laying hens). Organizational attachment to the organic movement was defined as membership in an organic farming association. To measure their environmental attitudes, the respondents were asked to rate several items dealing with general and farming-specific environmental topics on a five point Likert-type scale (a complete list of the items is given in the appendix). Nine items were used to construct a scale of general environmental concern (see Diekmann and Preisendörfer, 2000). The scale of agricultural environmental concern was comprised of seven items (see Vogel, 1999a; Best, 2006). The general items addressed topics such as limits to growth, the environmental conditions of the next generations, and willingness to accept a reduced standard of living in favor of the environment. The farming specific items referred to environmental impacts of conventional farming, the use of chemical fertilizers and pesticides and similar topics. Both scales are internally consistent (CronbachÕs alpha > 0.8) and range from 1 to 5. High values indicate high environmental concern. 99 150 100 Farm structure 50 This section will present an overview of some changes in the structure of organic farms found in the regions surveyed. According to Hall and Mogyorody (2001: 404), one of the key questions with regard to conventionalization is whether organic farms increase in size and become more specialized as the organic sector grows. To be 0 until 1992 1993-1997 1998-2000 2001 and later year of conversion Figure 2. farms. Development of the size of full-time operated 100 Henning Best Table 1. Selected farm characteristics (proportion in %). Pre 1993 Full-time farming Part-time farming Of full-time farms Mixed farm (self-assessed) No livestock Livestock specialization (1 kind of livestock) No grassland No cropland Direct marketing Of part-time farms Mixed farm (self-assessed) No livestock Livestock specialization (1 kind of livestock) No grassland No cropland Direct marketing N 1993–1997 1998–2000 2001 and later 40.0 60.0 33.9 66.1 40.9 59.1 33.4 66.6 26.8 2.4 23.8 0.0 35.7 39.0 18.0 12.2 29.3 12.2 34.1 41.5 19.3 10.1 19.3 8.4 41.2 27.6 15.0 13.9 23.2 17.6 29.6 21.7 13.3 3.1 30.2 6.3 58.7 29.0 108 14.1 5.0 20.0 2.5 63.8 40.5 122 17.4 5.8 30.2 5.2 64.5 34.3 293 12.4 7.9 27.0 7.0 62.3 23.9 325 reported operating a mixed farm. The share of mixed farms, following the self-assessment of the farmers, has considerably decreased over time. Only about 18–19% of the farms operated on a full-time basis that converted between 1993 and 2000 were of a mixed type, and that share dropped to 15% for farms converting to organic agriculture after 2000. Additionally, the rate of farms practicing direct marketing has considerably dropped, from 39% to 22%. Corresponding tendencies towards specialization can be found using other indicators. With the exception of those farms that converted between 1998 and 2000, the rate of full-time farms that do not raise livestock has continuously increased. Reaching almost 14% in the latest period measured, the number of full-time farms not raising livestock has risen by 12% in comparison to the oldest organic farms measured. This result is in line with an increase in farmers specializing in the cultivation of cropland (and, therefore, not owning any grassland). On the other hand, there is no general tendency of newer farms to specialize in grassland or in raising a single kind of livestock. With the exception of a higher specialization on grassland, none of the previously described tendencies can be found among part-time farmers. It must be noted that the percentages presented in Table 1 are not sensitive to small numbers of highly specialized farms converting to organic agriculture. If a few very big corporate farms converted to organic farming, Table 1 would prove unable to provide that information. However, a closer inspection of the data reveals that a small number of farmers, specializing in mass-production of livestock, have indeed adopted organic farming since 2000. Four farms producing more than 10,000 chickens per year converted to organic methods, with three of them producing between 30,000 and 50,000 and one claiming to produce 150,000. One farm produces 250 fattening-bulls annually and another two farms report 160 bulls. There are three newly converted farms producing more than 1000 hogs and similar developments can be observed with regard to laying hens. Clearly, organic farms raising livestock and poultry on such scales are far from the ideal-typical mixed organic agriculture and closely mirror the conventional large-scale production of agricultural commodities. In summary, a number of structural changes implied by the conventionalization hypothesis were found in the regions studied. First, new organic full-time farms are, on average, slightly bigger and more specialized than older ones. A decline in mixed farms and a higher rate of farms concentrating on the cultivation of cropland or farms not raising any livestock is seen. Second, the full-time farmers who recently adopted organic agriculture increasingly refrain from direct marketing. Third, a small number (less than a dozen) of farms specialized in the large-scale production of livestock and other animal produce entered the organic market since 2000. Although all farms comply with the codified organic standards, the structure of the latter group closely resembles conventional agriculture. Furthermore, these large farms are more likely to combine organic and conventional agriculture (about 30%), a practice very untypical of organic farms in Germany (94% of all farms in the sample are fully organic). Environmental concern and attachment to the organic movement Having shown that there are differences in the structure of old and new organic farms, the question of whether or Organic agriculture and the conventionalization hypothesis m em bershi p i n organi c organi z ati ons % 80 70 60 50 40 30 full-time farmers 20 part-time farmers 10 0 until 1992 1993-1997 1998-2000 2001 and later year of conversion Figure 3. Membership in organic organizations. ge ne ra l env ir onme ntal c onc er n (1 =low, 5 =high) 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.1 3 2.9 until 1992 full-time farmers 1993-1997 1998-2000 year of conversion part-time farmers 2001 and later conventional farmers 4 agricultural e nvironmenta l conce rn (1=low, 5 =high) not corresponding differences with regard to membership in organic movement organizations and environmental attitudes can be observed as well. Although there is no direct, one to one relationship between attitudes and action, the importance of attitudes for the prediction of behavior is well established in the literature (see Ajzen, 1991 for a general treatise, for farming practices see e.g., Vogel, 1996b or Willock et al., 1999). The development of membership in organic farming associations is shown in Figure 3. There is no consistent trend over time. About 69% of the early organic fulltime farmers are members of such an organization. The proportion of organized farmers slightly decreases in the following years and rises again to 70% among the late adopters. This same trend can be observed among parttime farmers, the sole difference being a lower overall membership rate of around 40–50%. It should be noted that there may be some bias in these numbers. Pioneering organic farmers, who switched to a different inspection body, are overrepresented in the sample, with the result that their organizational level may be underestimated (that is, the farmer switched inspection bodies and left the organization). Nonetheless, with more than 70% of the new full-time organic farmers being members of organic associations, the attachment to the organic movement remains strong. Figure 4 summarizes the development of environmental concern among organic farmers. There has been a slight decline of environmental concern over time. Fulltime farmers who adopted organic farming before 1997 show average scale values of about 3.8, those converting between 1998 and 2000 show values of roughly 3.7, and the most recent organic farmers scored show values of 3.6 on the scale. However, the differences between the groups are relatively small and not statistically significant (P = 0.14).7 Furthermore, even the newest organic farmersÕ environmental concern is slightly higher than the concern of the average population (about 3.5, see BMUNR, 2004) and remarkably higher than among conventional farmers (3.1). 101 3.8 3.6 3.4 3.2 3 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.2 until 1992 1993-1997 1998-2000 2001 and later year of conversion Figure 4. Development of environmental concern. Similar tendencies exist with regard to agricultural environmental concern. The longest organic farmers show the highest concern (full-time: 3.9; part-time: 3.7), and, among full-time farmers, a constant decline to a scale value of 3.5 is observed. The difference between most recent and most experienced full-time organic farmers is statistically significant (P = 0.05), albeit relatively small. It is reassuring to note, that in spite of the reduction of farming-specific environmental orientation, the average new organic farmer is still extraordinarily more concerned about the environmental impacts of farming than the average conventional farmer (2.4). Despite only minor reductions in average values, there are differences in the distribution of environmental concern between groups. As organic agriculture increases its market share, there is a steadily growing share of fulltime farmers who adopt organic farming and who show an environmental concern lower than that of the average conventional farmer (see Table 2). This share has grown from about 12% of the early adopters to 19% of the new farmers and has more than doubled with regard to agricultural environmental concern (4.8% compared to 10.2%). Although failing to reach statistical significance, this development is quite troubling, especially if one bears 102 Henning Best Table 2. Percentage of organic farmers with lower environmental concern than average conventional farmers. Until 1992 1993–1997 1998–2000 2001 and later 11.9 4.8 9.8 7.3 17.6 5.0 19.4 10.2 17.5 6.4 42/63 21.3 5.0 41/80 18.0 2.3 119/172 16.3 4.7 108/215 Of full-time farmers General environmental concern Agricultural environmental concern Of part-time farmers General environmental concern Agricultural environmental concern N (full-time/part-time) the remarkably low level of environmental concern of conventional farmers in mind. Obviously, there is a growing number of full-time farmers moving to organic agriculture who neither care about the environment in general nor about the environmental impact of their profession. No such development is apparent for part-time farmers. While there is a relatively large percentage of farmers with a low general environmental concern (ranging from 16% to 21%), the rate of part-time farmers with a low agricultural environmental concern is small in all categories. Although there is some variation over time, no consistent decline in the environmental concern of parttime farmers is observed. The fact that a growing number of (full-time) farmers with weak environmental concern have adopted organic farming raises the question of that groupÕs reasons for adoption. To answer this question, the farmers were divided into two groups based on their general environmental concern. A farmer was classified as having a ‘‘low’’ environmental concern if he or she had a scale value lower than that of an average conventional farmer (2.4) and was classified as having a ‘‘high’’ environmental concern otherwise. Figure 5 shows the categorized answers to an open question for the reasons for conversion and compares this with high versus low environmental concern. 2.1 2.8 family health low env. concern high env. concern 4.1 secure future of the farm 6.5 8.3 6.1 food scandals environment / animal welfare 14.6 43.6 economic problems (conventional) 16.7 11.7 18.8 extensive before 9.7 25 subsidies 13.3 economic improvement (organic) 35.4 19.8 0 10 20 30 40 50 proportion in % Figure 5. Motivations for adopting organic agriculture. As could be expected, the unconcerned group is, first and foremost, motivated by economic considerations. These farmers adopted organic farming because they expected economic improvement (35.4%) or higher subsidies (25%), because they had operated the farm extensively before (and therefore could optimize subsidies by converting to organic farming, 18.8%) or because of economic problems with conventional agriculture (16.7%). Less than 15% mentioned environmental or animal welfare related reasons for the adoption of organic agriculture. For all other farmers, the main reason for adopting organic farming was to improve environmental impact or heighten animal welfare (43.6%). While economic considerations are certainly important for those farmers as well, they do not take a dominant position. Summary and discussion To evaluate recent developments of organic agriculture in three German regions, survey data of 973 certified organic farmers (310 full-time farmers) was analyzed. Using the so-called conventionalization hypothesis as a basis, the study investigated whether there were changes in the structure of newly converted organic farms, whether there was a penetration of the organic sector by business-oriented corporate actors, and whether a decline in pro-environmental attitudes was present. Three results suggest that the current situation is characterized by tendencies towards the conventionalization of organic production. First, since 2000 a number of large and highly specialized livestock and poultry farms have entered the organic market, paralleling trends outlined by Buck et al. (1997) for the California vegetable production. Second, there is a general trend among the recent adopters towards larger and more specialized farm structures as well as an alienation from the traditional marketing channels of organic farming. Over the years, there has been a decrease of mixed farming and an increase in farms not raising livestock and without any grassland. Organic agriculture and the conventionalization hypothesis Third, an increasing share of full-time organic farmers (up to 19% of the recent adopters) exhibits low environmental concern. That is, their pro-environmental attitudes are less pronounced than that of the average conventional farmer. The same tendency, though to a lesser extent, is apparent with regard to attitudes towards the environmental impact of farming. This group of farmers, albeit contrasting from the above mentioned group of industrial farmers, takes a clearly business-oriented viewpoint towards organic farming. These trends, however, are only valid for a fraction of new organic farmers. First of all, the trends outlined above only apply to full-time farmers. Among part-time organic farmers, as expected, no shift towards a more ‘‘conventional’’ ideology or farm structure was observed. Additionally, the majority of all farmers, even of recent adopters, does share the values of the organic movement. The decline in average environmental concern can presumably be attributed to the increasing share of business-oriented farmers. This, in turn, implies that the pro-environmental attitude among the majority remains strong. Nonetheless, the shift towards less multifunctional, larger farms converting to organic agriculture should be interpreted as an indicator of changes in organic production. If the development were characterized as the conventionalization of organic farming, this would lead to a number of important questions. How does the West German case compare to studies of conventionalization in other regions which exhibit a different structure of conventional agriculture? Is it really conventionalization we are observing? How can the data be interpreted with reference to the available causal theories of conventionalization? The logic of the conventionalization hypothesis, as formulated by Buck et al. (1997) and Guthman (2004), draws mainly on internal dynamics of the organic sector. Buck et al. begin with the observation that California organic farming is penetrated by agribusiness corporations. They argue that these capitalist enterprises use their market power to change the whole sector. For two reasons, however, the data presented in this paper should not be interpreted as supporting Buck et al.Õs argument. If this exact process is to be termed conventionalization, the data lend only moderate support for the conventionalization hypothesis at the present state of affairs. In the first place, the agricultural structure in West Germany as in most other regions is completely different from the California case. As Wells (1996: 2) notes, ‘‘[it is] the state of California, where capitalist agriculture has reached a developmental apex. (...) In many ways, its dominant agricultural pattern approximates the conditions of industrial capitalism.’’ Yet, large parts of West German agriculture are still characterized by simple commodity production, with 94% of all farms being sole 103 proprietorships, most of which are family based (see BMVEL, 2004: 21). Accordingly, only a handful of capitalist farms, most of them large livestock producers, could be identified in the sample. These farms, constituting a very small minority, should not be expected to fundamentally change the whole organic sector at present. It should, however, be kept in mind that if a larger number of industrial producers choose to adopt organic agriculture in the next years, the Ôinvisible hand of the marketÕ and economies of scale may well force other organic farmers to implement changes that enforce commercial efficiency. In that case, the causal relationship posited by Buck et al. would be valid for the German case as well. Secondly, the data presented reflect a dynamic between conventional agriculture and organic agriculture. Almost all new organic farmers are former conventional farmers. Thus, even if the tendencies described on the last pages are observed, they cannot be interpreted to mean that organic farming as a whole has changed. All one can say is that the characteristics of the adopters have changed. That is, while the longer organic farmers continue to farm as they used to, new entrants to the organic market show characteristics other than those embodied by previous adopters, such as larger farms, less direct marketing, and more specialization among others. Although these changing characteristics of new adopters might lead to an internal dynamic in the future, as described above, the data do not show that this process has started. On the contrary, the results show that early adopters have been, for instance, operating more mixed farm operations than recent adopters. Future research would ideally utilize time series or panel data to answer the question of whether the early adopters have to adapt to a new, more conventional way of organic production or not. This research could more adequately account for the process character and the internal dynamic as formulated by the conventionalization hypothesis in its strictest form. When comparing the results to recent developments in New Zealand (see Coombes and Campbell, 1998), the German case is different as well. There is no bifurcation into ‘‘deep organic’’ farmers producing for the domestic market and ‘‘organic lite’’ farmers supplying the global market as there is in New Zealand. While there are differences between early and late adopters with respect to their marketing channels (like direct marketing), a concentration on export-oriented production is unusual for West German organic farmers. A comparison with the development in Ontario, Canada (see Hall and Mogyorody, 2001) is more complex. In both regions, a small number of industrial producers who made the transition to organic farming could be identified. In both regions, their number has not yet reached the level at which their competition may become a problem 104 Henning Best for smaller farmers. Whereas Hall and Mogyorody could find only little support for new converters being larger and more specialized, these tendencies clearly exist in the West German study region.8 In summary, in all regions discussed (California, New Zealand, Ontario, and West Germany) there were tendencies that could be named conventionalization in a very broad sense. Yet the tendencies are quite different in each region. All in all, the common ground seems to be that organic agriculture is becoming a more interesting option for conventional farmers. But should this very basic process really be termed conventionalization? I believe it should not. If this process were to be called conventionalization, then conventionalization is indeed ubiquitous. Growth of the organic sector would almost automatically lead to conventionalization, rendering the whole concept useless. A meaningful definition should, as noted by Darnhofer (2006), at least require a undermining of the principles of organic farming when speaking of conventionalization. Progress in farming techniques and change in farming structures within the organic paradigm could then be separated from conventionalization. At the same time, the definition should be broad enough to allow regional variation. In this notion, growth and change of the organic sector may lead to conventionalization, but they do not necessarily have to. The further development of organic farming can be expected to vary between countries and regions, dependent on factors like state intervention and the overall structure of conventional agriculture. In settings with a developed capitalist agriculture like California, neoMarxist theories (like those used by Guthman and Buck et al.) may prove useful. If conventional farming is highly industrialized, there is a good chance that industrial farms will start to produce organic food just as they would produce any other agricultural commodity. If a critical mass is reached, the resulting economic pressure on the earlier organic farms may be strong enough to change the whole organic sector and to undermine the principles of organic agriculture. In a setting with conventional farms that are typically relatively small, privately owned and low in capital expenditure, as in the West German case, it is more likely that the difference between the old and the new organic farmers will not be great enough to start the conventionalization dynamic. Of course, there will be change as a larger share of formerly conventional farms adopt organic agriculture, and these farms will surely differ from the organic pioneers. Even if the new entrants are ‘‘more conventional,’’ the development trajectory of organic agriculture may be different from the conventionalization scenario. In the end, it seems that the current state of conventionalization theory can be characterized by Fisher and FreundenburgÕs view of ecological modernization theory: ‘‘[the concept] is ultimately likely to prove neither completely correct nor completely incorrect; instead, the ultimate verdict is likely to be, Ôit depends.Õ If that is indeed the case, then it would be highly beneficial to devote a significantly larger fraction of our effort to studying the more specific factors upon which it depends’’ (Fisher and Freudenburg, 2001: 706). To analyze these factors, comparative studies on the development of organic farming in different regional, political, and economic settings seem particularly useful. The first step in that direction, however, should be a more precise conceptualization of ‘‘conventionalization’’ and a thorough theoretical assessment of the driving forces. Acknowledgements Henning Best wishes to express his gratitude to the Fritz Thyssen Foundation that supported the empirical study underlying this paper. Earlier drafts have benefited from comments by Alexandra Nonnenmacher and three anonymous reviewers. Farhad Ferdowsian and Sarah A. Mekjian were of great help in improving the language and writing style of the paper. Notes 1. Anthroposophy is a ‘‘philosophy based on the view that the human intellect has the ability to contact spiritual worlds’’ (Britannica, 2006). SteinerÕs quasi-religious philosophical work includes, among other things, guidelines for a form of organic farming called biodynamic agriculture (see Steiner, 1993). 2. As there are large differences in farming structure between West Germany and East Germany, all of the following is valid for West Germany only. Agriculture in East Germany has historically been, and still is, organized in larger units, be it under feudal, socialist or capitalist economic regimes. 3. It must be noted, however, that this difference is in part due to the concentration of fresh fruit and vegetable production in California. 4. The study of organic farmers was accompanied by a study of 826 conventional farmers (471 of them full-time) using a slightly modified questionnaire. In this paper, the data on conventional farmers is used only as background information for comparison of the level of environmental concern between organic and conventional farmers. 5. An example will serve to clarify the matter. If a certified organic vintner bottled his own wine, his/her vineyard used to fall into category ‘‘AB.’’ If this vintner later decides to outsource the bottling, the category changes to ‘‘A’’ and the vineyard has to be newly registered with the inspection agency. 6. As it cannot be assessed whether earlier organic farms or the attitudes of the farmers have changed since the adoption of organic farming, this should be kept in mind as a possible source of bias. Organic agriculture and the conventionalization hypothesis 7. The failure to reach statistical significance is most likely due to the low sample size of full-time farmers. If an ANOVA is estimated for the pooled sample of full and part-time farmers, the more recent farmersÕ general environmental concern is significantly lower than that of the earlier farmers. 8. It should be noted, however, that in West Germany, an average organic farm is larger than a conventional farm (34.4 ha vs. 29.4 ha, see Statistisches Bundesamt, 2004), whereas the reverse is true in Ontario, Canada. In that respect, an increase in farm size is not necessarily an indicator of conventionalization. As such, West German organic farms would have to shrink in order to become more conventional. Appendix: Items used for the scale of environmental concern (translated from German) General environmental concern ‘‘When I think about the environmental conditions under which our children and grandchildren will have to live, I am worried.’’ ‘‘If we continue to behave the way we used to do, we are heading towards an ecological disaster.’’ ‘‘When reading newspaper articles on environmental problems, or when watching corresponding telecasts, I often become indignant and angry.’’ ‘‘There are limits to growth which our industrialized world already has exceeded or soon will approach.’’ ‘‘Up to now, the greatest part of the population does not behave very environmentally friendly.’’ ‘‘In my opinion, the dimension of ecological problems is exaggerated by the environmentalists.’’ ‘‘Politicians are still doing by far to less to protect the environment.’’ ‘‘In favor of the environment, all of us should be willing to cut down on our standard of living.’’ ‘‘Environmental measures should be enforced even if there is a loss of jobs.’’ Agricultural environmental concern ‘‘Modern agriculture damages biotopes and contributes to the loss of wild animals and plants.’’ ‘‘Synthetic fertilizers and pesticides derogate the natural fertility of the soil and decrease product quality.’’ ‘‘If you use chemical substances in agriculture, you work against nature.’’ ‘‘The contamination of the ground water by fertilizers is worse than many people are willing to realize.’’ ‘‘Even if errors are made once in a while, farmers are the best conservationists.’’ ‘‘Synthetic fertilizers and pesticides do not have harmful effects. 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Address for correspondence: Henning Best, Institute for Applied Social Research, University of Cologne, Greinstr. 2, D-50939, Cologne, Germany Phone: +49-221-4704398; Fax: +49-221-4705169 E-mail: [email protected] Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.