Multi-Asset-Investment-with-Richard-Temperley-September
Transcription
Multi-Asset-Investment-with-Richard-Temperley-September
ASSET ALLOCATION MUST BE ACTIVELY MANAGED Richard Temperley Head of Investment Development – Zurich Active Management adds value Source: Zurich Life, September 2014 25 years – Good Active Management Expertise Source: Zurich Life, September 2014 25 years – Good Active Management Expertise Source: Zurich Life, September 2014 25 years – Good Active Management Expertise Source: Zurich Life, September 2014 Making the Right Calls “Valuations and unprecedented policy response make strong equity gains possible” Zurich Investment Outlook - 2009 Active Management of Asset Classes Active Fund Management of Asset Classes Active Management 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% In ce pt io n Ja n11 A pr -1 1 Ju l-1 O 1 ct -1 1 Ja n12 A pr -1 2 Ju l-1 O 2 ct -1 2 Ja n13 A pr -1 3 Ju l-1 O 3 ct -1 Ja 3 n14 A pr -1 4 Ju l-1 4 % Allocation 100% 90% Source: Zurich Life, September 2014 Cash Alternatives Property Bonds Equities An Active Management Process Process THE OUTLOOK FOR ASSET CLASSES Equity Bull Market - a record breaking run… 4th Longest bull market on record! Source: Zurich Life, September 2014 Bull Market’s End – the warning signs… Very tight monetary policy Sustained acceleration in inflation A big rise in short-term interest rates An overheating economy Severe overvaluation of equities compared with interest rates Long-term Rates – Government 10-year Bond Yields Source: BlackRock, September 2014 Short-term Rates – ECB Source: European Central Bank, September 2014 House Prices – Global Developed Markets Source: BIG, 24.06.14 Asset Class Performance Source: J.P. Morgan, Guide to Markets, Q3 2014. A Multi-asset solution is the answer Warning: Past performance is not a reliable guide to future performance Warning: The value of your investment may go down as well as up Warning: Benefits may be affected by changes in currency exchange rates. Warning: If you invest in this product you may lose some or all of the money you invest.