FACING THE FUTURE - Facts and Figures
Transcription
FACING THE FUTURE - Facts and Figures
© 2013 COTA Tasmania Westella, 181 Elizabeth Street Hobart 7000 PH (03)6231 3265 Email: [email protected] Website: www.cotatas.org.au This report was researched and written by Karen Eyles, Research Fellow, Institute for Regional Development, University of Tasmania, Linda Jamieson, Policy and Research Officer, COTA, Soula Houndalas, Research Officer and Project Officer, COTA and Keree Rose, Project Officer – Positive Ageing, COTA. COTA prepared this report with funds from the Community Development Unit, Department of Premier and Cabinet, Tasmania. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 2 Minister’s message It is with great pleasure that I present Facing the Future – A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians which provides some valuable insights into the characteristics of our older Tasmanian population, aged 60 years and over. This is the first time that there has been such a collation of significant data for this population group in Tasmania. The data provides a foundation to shape future directions for the Government in responding to population ageing in Tasmania. Importantly, the data is presented for whole-of-State, regions, and local government areas, providing a more comprehensive picture across this important population cohort. In the next stage, the data will become accessible online in an interactive capacity. This will make it possible to better understand how the complexities of the multitude of factors impact on the everyday lives of older Tasmanians. Generally, our older people are doing well; they report that they are leading healthy and active lives and are connected to and contributing to their communities. The data also highlights some key issues for older people such as age-related discrimination in the workforce; lower levels of household computer and Internet access; and for those more vulnerable and disadvantaged older people, the challenges of making ends meet. The Profile forms the basis of the Inclusive Ageing: Tasmania 2012-2014 Strategy which identifies projects the Tasmanian Government has committed to over the three year period to benefit the lives of older Tasmanians. The baseline data provides an evidence base on which to continue our work as we strive to achieve a socially inclusive society. Facing the Future – A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians provides us with the opportunity to strengthen collaboration across government to make the best use of this information. Cassy O’Connor MP Minister for Community Development FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 3 Page left intentionally blank FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 4 Foreword - CEO This major piece of research has been conducted by a team of people over 2012 and 2013 to provide greater insight into older Tasmanians. COTA Tasmania (Council on the Ageing) is the leading voice for older Tasmanians and as such it is timely and significant that as an organisation it can be involved in such an important piece of work. The picture of an ageing Tasmania is not all ‘doom and gloom’; it is a story of a dynamic State and society that can contribute to meaningful lives for older Tasmanians and where likewise older Tasmanians can contribute, participate and remain socially connected. Collection and reporting of data is by essence a dynamic process. No sooner than you collect and publish, the world moves on and it changes the picture again. The team working on the profile have found new data being published all the time and at times it is hard to ‘draw a line in the sand’ so to speak. So this document should be viewed as a beginning in some ways. It builds on past demographic work on older Tasmanians, but it is a beginning from the perspective of social inclusion. This was the common thread throughout the project, to collect data and report on social inclusion of older Tasmanians. There are some clear patterns that appear through the profile: Areas of Tasmania that have increasing populations of older people, both numerically and proportionally; Positive stories of social connection and participation by older Tasmanians; High levels of older people caring for others; Older people engaging in lifelong learning. The reasons for increasing populations of older people, living in particular regions, is an area that potentially more research can be done. What are the motivations for this? What is the extent and influences on ‘ageing in place’ or is this migration because of needs for services? This research would prove invaluable in informing planning mechanisms at all levels of government and service provision. On a global stage, data recently released by HelpAge International in the Global AgeWatch Index, shows Australia ranks 14th out of the 91 countries measured. Australia rates high (2nd) in life expectancy at 60 years and also rates high in employment and educational attainment but is modest (25th) in enabling environment and poor (57th) in income security.1 As a society that is facing an ageing population it is hoped that Tasmania values the opportunities and wisdom that older people can contribute, and with consultation, move forward to a brighter future. Sue Leitch CEO COTA Tasmania 1 Global AgeWatch Index 2013 HelpAge International FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 5 Page left intentionally blank FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 6 Acknowledgements The Council on the Ageing (COTA) Tasmania thanks all those who have made a contribution to this report. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 2013 provides a wealth of data on older people, aged 60 years and over, who currently make up nearly 23% of the Tasmanian population. COTA acknowledges and appreciates the funding received from the Tasmanian Government to research and develop this report. COTA acknowledges and appreciates the contribution of the Building Evidence Project Working Group, the membership of which is outlined in Appendix 1. In particular COTA acknowledges and appreciates the significant contribution of Dr Peter Wilde, Honorary Research Associate from the University of Tasmania. Dr Wilde’s insights, time, work and sense of humour are greatly appreciated by COTA and were invaluable in the development of this report. COTA appreciates the contribution of staff from Government departments and other organisations that spent time collating, collecting and providing data to be included in the report. COTA acknowledges and appreciates the significant contribution from Ms Karen Eyles, Research Fellow from the Institute for Regional Development, University of Tasmania. Ms Eyles was contracted as a demographer to assist COTA with statistical analysis and commentary. Her insight and commitment to this project has exceeded COTA’s high expectations. Ms Eyles’ work with COTA in developing this report has been invaluable and is greatly appreciated. Finally, the significant editorial contribution made by Margaret Kelly, the Principal Liaison Officer – Older Persons, Department of Premier and Cabinet is gratefully acknowledged. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 7 Contents Foreword - CEO .....................................................................................................................................5 Acknowledgements ...............................................................................................................................7 Contents ...............................................................................................................................................8 List of figures ....................................................................................................................................... 11 List of tables ........................................................................................................................................ 15 Executive summary ............................................................................................................................. 17 Recommendations .............................................................................................................................. 21 Background ......................................................................................................................................... 23 Introduction ........................................................................................................................................ 24 Data indicators ................................................................................................................................. 28 Data sources ..................................................................................................................................... 30 Data presentation ............................................................................................................................ 33 CHAPTER 1 Tasmania’s ageing population .......................................................................................... 35 Age and sex structure of the population ......................................................................................... 36 Life expectancy ................................................................................................................................. 38 Structure of Tasmania’s ageing population ..................................................................................... 39 Ageing in Tasmania’s regions and local government areas ............................................................. 42 Population projections ..................................................................................................................... 47 Population projections by region and local government area ........................................................ 52 Urban/rural location......................................................................................................................... 54 Residential mobility .......................................................................................................................... 55 Living arrangements ......................................................................................................................... 58 Marital status ................................................................................................................................... 58 Older Tasmanians living alone ......................................................................................................... 59 Older Tasmanians raising children ................................................................................................... 62 Cultural diversity .............................................................................................................................. 63 Key issues for older Tasmanians ...................................................................................................... 69 Socioeconomic status ....................................................................................................................... 70 Social inclusion and the risks presented by social exclusion ........................................................... 71 Social exclusion risk factors .............................................................................................................. 71 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 8 CHAPTER 2 Life’s basics ....................................................................................................................... 77 Income .............................................................................................................................................. 78 Housing ............................................................................................................................................. 81 Security ............................................................................................................................................. 90 CHAPTER 3 Accessibility ...................................................................................................................... 99 Transport ........................................................................................................................................ 100 Services ........................................................................................................................................... 103 Disability ......................................................................................................................................... 104 Aged Care ....................................................................................................................................... 109 CHAPTER 4 Connection and contribution .......................................................................................... 111 Family and community support ..................................................................................................... 112 Participation ................................................................................................................................... 114 Civic participation ........................................................................................................................... 122 Voluntary contribution ................................................................................................................... 130 CHAPTER 5 Lifelong learning ............................................................................................................. 137 Qualifications.................................................................................................................................. 137 Older adult learning ....................................................................................................................... 138 Literacy and numeracy ................................................................................................................... 141 Computer and internet use ............................................................................................................ 143 CHAPTER 6 Health and wellbeing ...................................................................................................... 147 Self assessed health ....................................................................................................................... 147 Risk factors for poor health ............................................................................................................ 149 Alcohol consumption ..................................................................................................................... 149 Chronic conditions.......................................................................................................................... 151 Neurodegenerative disorders ........................................................................................................ 152 Hospital admissions ........................................................................................................................ 154 Staying healthy – nutrition and sport ............................................................................................ 155 APPENDICES ...................................................................................................................................... 159 Appendix A – Building Evidence Project Working Group ............................................................... 160 Appendix B – Data tables ............................................................................................................... 161 Appendix C - COTA Have Your Say Postcard .................................................................................. 199 References ........................................................................................................................................ 200 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 9 Page left intentionally blank FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 10 List of figures Figure 1 Tasmania – regions, 2011 Figure 2 Tasmania – Local Government Areas, 2011 ................... 34 Figure 2 Population structure by age and sex, Tasmania 1991-2011 ............................................................... 36 Figure 3 Population structure by age and sex, Australia 1991-2011................................................................. 37 Figure 4 Life expectancy at birth – males and females, Australia, 1910-2011 .................................................. 39 Figure 5 Age profile, Tasmania and Australia, 2011 ......................................................................................... 40 Figure 6 Ageing in Australian states and territories, 2001-2011....................................................................... 41 Figure 7 Older Tasmanians (65+ years) as a proportion of the population, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 ................ 42 Figure 8 Older Tasmanians (65+ years) - % of population, 2011....................................................................... 43 Figure 9 Older Tasmanians – young old, mid old, older old – (% of population), Tasmanian regions, 2011 .... 44 Figure 10 Structural ageing – mean annual increase in the proportion of the population aged 65+ years (%pts), 2006-2011.......................................................................................................................................................... 45 Figure 11 Numerical ageing – mean annual increase in the number of people aged 65+ years (%), 2006-2011+46 Figure 12 Observed and projected population aged 65+ years (%), Figure 13 Observed and projected population aged 65+ years 2011-2030 (persons), 2011-2030 ............................................................. 47 Figure 14 Observed and projected population, Tasmania, 2001-2056 ............................................................ 49 Figure 15 Urban/rural settlement size (% of age group), Tasmania 2011 ........................................................ 55 Figure 16 Residential mobility – changed address in last 5 years (% of age group), Tasmanian regions, 2011 56 Figure 17 Residential mobility – changed address in last 5 years (% of people 65+ years), Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 ........................................................................................................................................................................... 57 Figure 18 Length of time lived in current neighbourhood or LGA, older Tasmanians by region (60+ years), 2009 ........................................................................................................................................................................... 58 Figure 19 Marital status of Tasmanians – young old; mid old; older old (% of age group), 2011 .................... 59 Figure 20 Older Tasmanians (65+ years) living alone, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 ................................................. 60 Figure 21 Older Tasmanians living alone (% of people aged 65+ years), 2011 ................................................. 61 Figure 22 Older Tasmanians living alone – by settlement size, 2011 ................................................................ 62 Figure 23 Older Tasmanians raising children, Tasmanian regions, 2011 .......................................................... 63 Figure 24 Indigenous older Tasmanians (65+ years), Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 .................................................. 64 Figure 25 Region of birth – Tasmanians by age group (% of age group who stated a region of birth), 2011 .. 66 Figure 26 Older Tasmanians (65+ years) speaking a language other than English at home, LGAs, 2011 ........ 67 Figure 27 Older Tasmanians (65+ years) with poor English speaking skills, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 ................ 68 Figure 28 Language spoken at home by older Tasmanians (65+ years) with poor or no spoken English proficiency, 2011 ............................................................................................................................................... 68 Figure 29 Selected social exclusion risk factors - % of age group, Tasmania .................................................... 73 Figure 30 Tasmanians (by age group) living in households with government pensions & allowances as main source of income, 2010...................................................................................................................................... 78 Figure 31 Individual weekly income of older Tasmanians (65+ years) by region (% of age group), 2011 ........ 79 Figure 32 Aged Pension recipients – Centrelink, Figure 33 Aged Pension recipients – Department of Tasmania, 2006 – 2011 Veterans’ Affairs, Tasmania, 2006-2011 ................................................................ 81 Figure 34 Older Tasmanians – housing and accommodation (No.), 2011 ........................................................ 82 Figure 35 Older Tasmanians – housing and accommodation (%), 2011 ........................................................... 83 Figure 36 Family/household type of older Tasmanians (65+ years) counted at home on Census night, 2011 . 84 Figure 37 Mortgage repayment (monthly) – (% of persons 65+ years counted at home on Census night in mortgagee households), 2011 ........................................................................................................................... 86 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 11 Figure 38 Rent (weekly) – (% of persons 65+ years counted at home on Census night in renting households), 2011 ................................................................................................................................................................... 87 Figure 39 Housing stress (% of persons 65+ years counted at home on Census night in renting or purchasing households), 2011.............................................................................................................................................. 88 Figure 40 Homelessness and other marginal housing by age group (persons), Tasmania, 2011 ..................... 89 Figure 41 Homelessness and other marginal housing category by age and sex (persons), Tasmania, 2011 ... 90 Figure 42 Financial insecurity and food insecurity, Tasmanians aged 60+ years, 2009 .................................... 91 Figure 43 Tasmanians (60+ years) – ability to raise $2,000 within 2 days in an emergency – single and multiple person households, 2010 ................................................................................................................................... 91 Figure 44 Tasmanians (60+ years) – ability to raise $2,000 within 2 days in an emergency (%), Tasmanian regions, 2009 ..................................................................................................................................................... 92 Figure 45 Household expenditure – goods and services ($) – older people households and all households, Tasmania, 2009-10 ............................................................................................................................................ 93 Figure 46 Household expenditure – goods and services ($) – older people households and all households, Tasmania, 2009-10 ............................................................................................................................................ 93 Figure 47 Household expenditure on medical care and health expenses ($) by age group, Tasmania, 2009-1094 Figure 48 Household expenditure on medical care and health expenses (% of total goods and services expenditure) by age group, Tasmania, 2009-10................................................................................................ 95 Figure 49 Older Tasmanians (65+ years) living in disadvantaged areas (SA1s), 2011 ...................................... 97 Figure 50 Tasmanians living in households with no consumer debt (% of age group), 2010............................ 98 Figure 51 Tasmanians aged 65+ years holding a driver’s licence (%), 2013 ................................................... 101 Figure 52 Persons counted at home on Census night in households with no motor vehicles ......................... 102 Figure 53 Transport – can easily get to places needed, by age group, Tasmania, 2010 ................................. 102 Figure 54 Difficulty accessing service providers (% of age group), 2010 ......................................................... 103 Figure 55 Access to community services, older Tasmanians 60+ years (% of age group), 2009 ..................... 104 Figure 56 Need for assistance with core activities (% of age group) – Tasmania and Australia, 2011 ........... 105 Figure 57 Need for assistance with core activities (% of age group), 2011 ..................................................... 105 Figure 58 Persons who live alone and need assistance with core activities (% of persons needing assistance), 2011 ................................................................................................................................................................. 106 Figure 59 Disability status by age group (persons), Tasmania, 2009 .............................................................. 107 Figure 60 Disability status (% of age group), Tasmania 2009 ......................................................................... 107 Figure 61 Age groups 60+ years (% of persons with disability status), Tasmania 2009 .................................. 108 Figure 62 Persons with a disability needing more assistance with core activities than currently received, Tasmania, 2009 ............................................................................................................................................... 108 Figure 63 Ability to get support in time of crisis from persons living outside the household (% of age group), Tasmania 2010 ................................................................................................................................................ 112 Figure 64 Main sources of support in times of crisis (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010 ................................ 113 Figure 65 Sources of help when in need (% of 60+ years), Tasmanian regions, 2009 ..................................... 113 Figure 66 Provides support in time of crisis to relatives living outside the household (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010 ................................................................................................................................................................. 114 Figure 67 Labour force participation by age group, Tasmanian regions, 2011 .............................................. 115 Figure 68 Labour force status by age group, Tasmania, 2011 ........................................................................ 116 Figure 69 Wage and salary earners by age group, Tasmania, 2007-2010 ...................................................... 116 Figure 70 Age distribution of wage and salary earners, Tasmania, 2007-2010 .............................................. 117 Figure 71 Hours worked per week, Employed Tasmanians under and over 65 years of age, 2011 ................ 117 Figure 72 Industry of employment, Tasmanians under and over 65 years of age, 2011 ................................ 118 Figure 73 Employment type, Tasmanians under and over 65 years of age, 2011........................................... 119 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 12 Figure 74 Employment sector, Tasmanians under and over 65 years of age, 2011 ........................................ 119 Figure 75 Social contact – face to face contact with family or friends living outside the household (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010................................................................................................................................... 121 Figure 76 Social contact – number of people spoken to yesterday, older Tasmanians (by region 60+ years), 2009 ......................................................................................................................................................................... 122 Figure 77 Active participation in groups in last 12 months (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010 ...................... 122 Figure 78 Participation in a community event in past 6 months (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010.............. 123 Figure 79 Attended a local community event in the past 6 months, older Tasmanians by region (60+ years), 2009 ......................................................................................................................................................................... 123 Figure 80 Attended at least one cultural and leisure venue in previous year (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010 ......................................................................................................................................................................... 124 Figure 81 Types of cultural and leisure venues or events attended in previous year (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010 ................................................................................................................................................................. 125 Figure 82 Community trust – doctors, hospitals, police; Tasmanians (% of age group agreed or strongly agreed), 2010 ................................................................................................................................................................. 126 Figure 83 Feelings of safety, Tasmanians (% of age group feel safe or very safe), 2010 ................................ 126 Figure 84 Feel safe walking alone down your street after dark, older Tasmanians (60+ years), 2009 ........... 127 Figure 85 Feels able to have a say within community on important issues (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010129 Figure 86 Feel there are opportunities to have a real say on important issues, older Tasmanians by region (60+ years), 2009 ..................................................................................................................................................... 129 Figure 87 Feel valued by society, older Tasmanians by region (60+ years), 2009 ........................................... 130 Figure 88 Voluntary work for an organisation or group (in past 12 months) by age group, Tasmanian regions, 2011 ................................................................................................................................................................. 131 Figure 89 Unpaid care to a person with a disability (% of age group), Tasmanian regions, 2011 .................. 132 Figure 90 Unpaid care of others children (% of age group), Tasmanian regions, 2011 .................................. 133 Figure 91 Volunteering and caring (% of age group), Tasmania 2010 ............................................................ 134 Figure 92 Main types of unpaid assistance provided (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010 ............................... 135 Figure 93 Non-school qualifications (% of age group), Tasmanian regions, 2011 .......................................... 138 Figure 94 Older Tasmanians – students (% of age group), Tasmanian regions, 2011 .................................... 140 Figure 95 Older Tasmanian students, by age group, by type of educational institution (persons), Tasmanian regions, 2011 ................................................................................................................................................... 140 Figure 96 Proportion of persons aged 15 – 74 with literacy Level 3 or above, by state or territory of usual residence and sex............................................................................................................................................. 142 Figure 97 Proportion of persons aged 15 – 74 with numeracy Level 3 or above, by state or territory of usual residence and sex............................................................................................................................................. 142 Figure 98 Use of information technology (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010 ................................................. 144 Figure 99 Type of household Internet connection (% of persons in private dwellings), Tasmania, 2011........ 145 Figure 100: Self assessed health for population age 60 years and over and total adult population, Tasmania 2009 ................................................................................................................................................................. 148 Figure 101 Good or better self-assessed health and no disability or long-term health condition (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010 ............................................................................................................................................... 148 Figure 102: BMI status population aged 60 years and over and total adult population, Tasmania 2009 ...... 149 Figure 103: Alcohol related harm (caused by consuming 4-5 or more standard drinks on any single occasion), population aged 60 years and over and total population, Tasmania 2009 .................................................... 150 Figure 104: Experienced at least one personal stressor in previous year (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010. 151 Figure 105: Prevalence of self-reported diagnosed health conditions, population 60 years and over, Tasmania 2009 ................................................................................................................................................................. 151 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 13 Figure 106 Estimated cases (persons aged 65+ years) – selected neurodegenerative disorders, Tasmanian regions, 2011-2031 .......................................................................................................................................... 154 Figure 107 Hospital admissions by age group over 60 years, Tasmanian regions, 2010-11 ........................... 155 Figure 108 Adequate consumption of fruit and vegetables, population 60 years and over and total population, Tasmania 2009 ................................................................................................................................................ 155 Figure 109 Participation in sport and physical recreation (% of age group), Tasmania, 2011-12 .................. 156 Figure 110 Sport and recreation – participation and attendance (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010 ............ 157 Figure 111 Regular participation in sport and physical recreation (3 or more times per week) by age group, 2011-12............................................................................................................................................................ 157 Figure 112 Participation in organised and non-organised sport and physical recreation by age group, Tasmania, 2011-12............................................................................................................................................................ 158 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 14 List of tables Table 1 Number and Proportion - Older Tasmanians, ABS Census of Population and Housing ........................ 26 Table 2 Summary of indicators used in FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians ......... 28 Table 3 Data sources – year, scope, sample size, and reliability ....................................................................... 31 Table 4 Tasmanian Population Health Survey – survey respondents aged 60+ years, by region and sex ........ 32 Table 5 Highlights of median ages in selected LGAs ......................................................................................... 43 Table 6 Structural and numerical ageing of the population – increase in number and proportion of people aged 65+ years, 2006-2011 ........................................................................................................................................ 50 Table 7 Tasmanian LGA population projections, young old; mid old; older old, 2020, 2030 ............................ 51 Table 8 LGAs ranked highest to lowest - projected (estimated) population growth ......................................... 53 Table 9 Indigenous status (Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander), % of age group, 2011 ................................ 65 Table 10 Key issues for older Tasmanians as they age ...................................................................................... 69 Table 11 Selected social exclusion risk factors – persons, Tasmania ................................................................ 75 Table 12 Selected social exclusion risk factors – % of age group, Tasmania..................................................... 76 Table 13 Older Tasmanians with individual weekly income less than $400, 2011 ............................................ 80 Table 14 Public housing tenants and applicants on waiting list, Tasmanians aged 60+ years, 2013 ............... 85 Table 15 Aged care services, by age, Tasmania 2011-2012 (persons) ............................................................ 109 Table 16 HACC instances of agency assistance, type of HACC services received, Tasmania, 2011-12............ 110 Table 17: Advocacy Tasmania Elder Abuse Helpline Data............................................................................... 128 Table 18 Tasmanians aged 60+ years who participated in selected educational programs (numbers) ......... 139 Table 19 Prevalence of diagnosed depression/anxiety, persons 60+years by gender, self reported .............. 152 Table 20 Estimated cases (persons under and over 65 years) – selected neurodegenerative disorders, 2011-2031 ......................................................................................................................................................................... 153 Table 21 Population by geographic location and age group, Tasmania, 2011 ............................................... 163 Table 22 Older Tasmanians (65+ years) – number and % of population, geographic area, 2011 .................. 164 Table 23 Distribution of older Tasmanians (65+ years), by geographic area, 2011 ........................................ 165 Table 24 Family/household type of older Tasmanians (65+ years), counted at home on Census night, 2011 166 Table 25 Marital status of older Tasmanians – young old; mid old; older old – Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 ....... 167 Table 26 Older Tasmanians living alone – by age group, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 .......................................... 168 Table 27 Older Tasmanians living alone – % of age group, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 ....................................... 168 Table 28 Older Tasmanians (65+ years) raising children*, 2011 ..................................................................... 169 Table 29 Indigenous status by age group, 2011 .............................................................................................. 170 Table 30 Region of birth – Tasmanians by age group, 2011 ........................................................................... 171 Table 31 Region of birth - % of age group (region of birth stated), Tasmania, 2011 ...................................... 171 Table 32 Older Tasmanians (65+ years) by language spoken at home, 2011 ................................................. 172 Table 33 Older Tasmanians - English speaking proficiency level for those who speak another language at home, 2011 ................................................................................................................................................................. 173 Table 34 Individual weekly income of older Tasmanians (65+ years), Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 ....................... 174 Table 35 Household mortgage repayments ($ monthly) – (persons) for households where older Tasmanians (65+ years) were counted at home on Census night, 2011...................................................................................... 175 Table 36 Household rent payments ($ weekly) – (persons) for households where older Tasmanians (65+ years) were counted at home on Census night, 2011 ................................................................................................ 176 Table 37 Housing stress (housing cost > 30% of household income) – persons and % of households where older Tasmanians (65+ years) were counted at home on Census night, 2011 ......................................................... 177 Table 38 Disadvantaged areas* – number of SA1s and number of people, by Local Government Area, 2011178 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 15 Table 39 Labour force participation by age group – comparison between Tasmania and Australia, 2011.... 179 Table 40 Hours worked per week – employed Tasmanians, age groups over 45 years (persons), 2011 ........ 179 Table 41 Labour force status by age group (persons), 2011 ........................................................................... 180 Table 42 Industry of employment, by age groups over 45 years, Tasmanian regions, 2011 .......................... 181 Table 43 Employment type of employed Tasmanians, by age group over 45 years, Tasmanian regions, 2011182 Table 44 Employment sector of employed Tasmanians, by age group over 45 years, Tasmanian regions, 2011 ......................................................................................................................................................................... 182 Table 45 Tenure of private dwellings, older Tasmanians (65+ years), 2011 ................................................... 183 Table 46 Location of private dwellings, older Tasmanians (65+ years), 2011 ................................................. 183 Table 47 Accommodation in non-private dwellings, by type, older Tasmanians (65+ years), 2011 ............... 185 Table 48 Homeless and marginally housed Tasmanians, under and over 65 years of age, 2011 ................... 186 Table 49 Number and proportion of Tasmanians aged 60+ years holding a driver’s licence, 2013 ............... 187 Table 50 Household access to motor vehicles, older Tasmanians by age group (persons*), 2011 ................. 188 Table 51 Needs assistance with core activities by age group (persons), 2011 ................................................ 189 Table 52 Persons needing assistance with core activities who live alone - by age group, 2011 ..................... 190 Table 53 Residential mobility by age group (persons), Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 .............................................. 191 Table 54 Voluntary work for an organisation or group (in past 12 months), persons by age group, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 ....................................................................................................................................................... 192 Table 55 Provided unpaid assistance to a person because of a disability, long illness or old age (in past 2 weeks), persons by age group, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 ................................................................................................ 193 Table 56 Spent time caring for children (under 15 years) other than own without pay (in past 2 weeks), persons by age group, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 ............................................................................................................. 194 Table 57 Non-school qualification, persons by age group, Tasmanian LGAs 2011 ......................................... 195 Table 58 Student status, older Tasmanians by age group, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 ........................................ 196 Table 59 Household Internet access, older Tasmanians by age group, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 ..................... 197 Table 60 Summary of selected characteristics from Tasmanian Population Health Survey (% of Tasmanians 60+ years), 2009 ..................................................................................................................................................... 198 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 16 Executive summary Facing the Future – a Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians is a data-driven profile of older Tasmanians. The purpose of the profile is to: identify and present a diversity of characteristics for current and future ageing in Tasmania; profile and analyse older persons' social inclusion; and increase the Tasmanian Government’s evidence base and its capacity to support a more inclusive society for people of all ages. The profile does not paint a complete picture, but it does provide an insight into the characteristics of older Tasmanians arising from 2011 ABS Census data and other ABS surveys and reports (national collections). In addition the profile has included Tasmanian data collected through the Tasmanian Population Health Survey 2009. The collation and analysis of data is supported by COTA Tas with extensive input from consultant demographers and ABS officials. This report’s findings about Tasmanians aged 60+ years (in some instances 65+ years) refer to population and population projections for each age group, local government area (LGA) and the 3 regions. In 2011, 23% of the Tasmanian population was aged 60 years or more. In this dataset the age parameter for older people is defined as 60 years or more. This covers a generation (usually considered to be 25-30 years) and is greater than the combined years of childhood, adolescence and young adult (0-25 years). The older persons’ data is varied in terms of age, interests and abilities including physical, mental, cognitive, emotional and functional health and wellbeing, and health service needs. In light of the breadth and diversity of the older persons’ data - range this profile is presented in terms of young old (60-74 years), mid old (75-84 years) and older old (85+ years). This enables comparison between age cohorts and represents a generalised grouping. Ultimately the data contained in this profile will be web-based. This will enable further analysis reflecting the diversity of this large population group and will provide a more comprehensive picture of older people living in Tasmania. The introduction addresses overarching questions such as how old is ‘older’, refers to data indicators, data sources and the validity of each data set. It presents the data sources and the range of data indicators addressed, with reference to Tasmania as a whole; three major regions; and the 29 local government areas. Data insights and information arising from several datasets on older Tasmanians have been grouped under six data indicators. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 17 Chapter 1 – Tasmania’s ageing population covers the structure of Tasmania’s ageing population; population projections by state region and local government area; living arrangements; socioeconomic status; cultural diversity and key issues for older Tasmanians. Between 2001 and 2011 Tasmania’s total population increased by 7.5%. Within the same 10 year period Tasmanians aged 65+ years increased by 27% while those aged 80+ years increased by 35%. Tasmania’s population is projected to increase slowly over the next few decades. However, the age composition is projected to change considerably as a result of population ageing. In 2011 one in six Tasmanians were aged 65+ years and, should recently calculated mid series projection trends hold true, in 2020 it will be one in five and in 2030, it will be one in four Tasmanians aged 65 years or more. Looking at more localised populations, should the projected trend hold, 12 of 29 LGAs will have 1 in 3 people aged 65 or more years. Tasmania has the highest median age (40 years) of all states and territories, reflecting Tasmania’s high proportion of people aged 65 years and over. In comparison, the Australian median age is 37 years. Chapter 2 – Life’s basics recognises the need for everyone to be able to access food, shelter and financial security. It profiles older Tasmanians’ capacity to make ends meet and includes data on income, social disadvantage and debt, health and medical expenses, housing, including housing stress and homelessness and a more generalised concept of socioeconomic disadvantage as applied to disadvantaged areas defined by the ABS. These variables are examined in such a way as to provide some insight into lives of vulnerable older Tasmanians. According to the 2011 Census data, the total proportion of Tasmanian households relying on income support payments is 31% with 63.7% of the older population aged 65+ years living under the poverty line of $400 per week. Interestingly, the proportion of households with no consumer debt increased with age for all age groups over 45 years, with a peak of 96% for Tasmanians aged 75+ years. Chapter 3 – Accessibility presents data in relation to access to transport, (including the Transport Access Scheme), disability and the need for assistance with core activities, and the relationship between generalised access to services, the need for assistance with a particular focus on those who are living alone, and access to and uptake of aged care services. These are key variables when analysing people’s inclusion versus exclusion or participation versus isolation. The majority of older Tasmanians remain in their own homes as they age. A total of 93% aged 65+ years live in their own home. This decreases to 79% for people aged 80+ years. Approximately 36% of people aged 65+ years received an aged care service in 2011-12, increasing to 80% for Tasmanians aged for 80+ years. Provision of aged care services in the community supports the desire of older people to remain in their own community with all the attendant health and wellbeing benefits. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 18 Chapter 4 – Connection and contribution explores the extent to which older Tasmanians have access to family and community support, including the extent to which older Tasmanians feel supported when in various crises. Data on types and extent of voluntary contributions, levels of civic participation and trust, incidences and levels of elder abuse, and lastly feelings of safety and the extent to which people feel valued by society are also included in this chapter. Importantly, this section also acknowledges the issues associated with remaining in the paid workforce including labour force status and participation, wage earners or self employed. Labour force rates decrease with increasing age over the age of 54 years but this may not be due to individual choice. It may reflect the common retirement window around the age of 65 years; however, it may also be an indicator of age related discrimination. 67% of Australians aged between 54-65 years and 50% of those aged 65+ years report being turned down for a paid work position. Nationally in 2011, the volunteering rate for people aged 65+ years was 20%. In Tasmania, the volunteering rate was slightly higher at 22%, with the volunteering rate for the young old (65-74 years) being 27%. In this same group, 13% provided unpaid childcare and 14% provided unpaid care for a person with a disability. The mid old and the older old age groups also made significant contributions to volunteering and caring activities in the community. Chapter 5 – Lifelong learning data highlights older Tasmanians’ qualifications, ongoing learning, literacy and numeracy skills, and their access to current information technology. Non-school qualifications declined with increasing age in Australia, Tasmania and all Tasmanian regions. The proportion having qualifications was higher for all age groups in the South, than it was in the North or North-West or for Tasmania as a whole. The proportion of qualified people in the older age groups (65+ years) in the South was also higher than it was at a national level. Generally older Australians have lower levels of literacy and numeracy than younger Australians. This also applies to older people in Tasmania. Tasmanians have lower levels of household access to the Internet than Australia as a whole. Older Tasmanians (65+ years) were less likely to have household Internet access (45%) than Tasmanians less than 65 years of age (82%), as well as less likely than older Australians aged 65+ years (51%). Chapter 6 – Health and wellbeing explores many aspects of older people’s diverse needs, interests and abilities. Self-assessed health is a key indicator that is set alongside health risk factors, chronic conditions, neurodegenerative disorders and hospital admissions. A keeping healthy section includes participation in sport and recreation activities and levels of fruit and vegetable consumption. Tasmanians 60+ years generally reported very good health with more than three quarters selfreporting either excellent/very good or good health (75.7%), and less than a quarter self-reporting fair/poor health (23.8%). The prevalence of chronic health conditions impacts significantly on a person’s ability to cope and their functioning capacity. For Tasmanians aged 60+ years and over, arthritis was the most frequently reported diagnosed health condition (52.8%). FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 19 Participation in organised sport and physical recreation decreases with increasing age, from 18 years. In contrast, participation in non-organised sport and physical recreation remains fairly constant at around 60% from 18 years of age until 64 years. In the 65+ years age group, 44.2% continue to participate in non-organised sport and recreation and close to 30% participate in regular sport and recreation (3+ times/week). Appendix B provides supplementary data on the figures and tables included in the profile with a focus on regional and local government areas. Recommendations Recommendation 1 The Tasmanian Population Health survey undertaken in 2009 be conducted regularly, using the same questions so far as is practicable to allow time series comparisons. Recommendation 2 Establish a whole-of-government data collection benchmark for older Tasmanians in line with the collaborative framework of the Tasmanian Government Stats Matter initiative. Recommendation 3 Development of a website using DPIPWE’s LIST Geospatial Information System database to present data and information about Tasmania’s older population. Recommendation 4 That the Tasmanian Government establishes an ongoing state-wide advisory group to identify and address current and emerging demographic opportunities and challenges arising from Tasmania’s ageing population. Recommendation 5 That the recommended advisory group works with the Tasmanian Government to develop a demographic plan which includes a focus on industries that support older people’s social, cultural and economic participation and which incorporates inter and intra state migration analysis, goals and targets. Recommendation 6 That COTA Tas uses the evidence herein to hold forums to promote awareness of key issues for older Tasmanians, highlighting demographic insights for regional and local government planners, and developing policies, programs and practices that support inclusive ageing. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 20 Recommendations Recommendation 1 The Tasmanian Population Health survey undertaken in 2009 (used extensively in this report) be conducted regularly, using the same questions so far as is practicable to allow time series comparisons. Recommendation 2 Establishment of a whole-of-government data collection benchmark for older Tasmanians in line with the collaborative framework of the Stats Matter (a strategy to build Tasmanian Government statistical assets and capability) and to adopt and promote consistent terms and definitions across all departments with reference to a diverse profile for older Tasmanians. As part of this recommendation, all Tasmanian Government departments will establish minimum agreed standards and work towards a minimum data set referring to older Tasmanians with agreed collection protocols. In particular, that all policy dialogue and direction refer to the following age groups among older Tasmanians: 60-74 years the young old 75- 84 years the mid old 85+ years the older old. This work should be coordinated by DPaC and shared with government and non-government stakeholders via the website noted in Recommendation 3, and Information presented be utilised to contribute to opportunities for analysis and evidence based policy development for older Tasmanians. As resources permit, similar protocols should be applied to all age groups. Recommendation 3 Development of a website using DPIPWE’s LIST Geospatial Information System database to present data and information about Tasmania’s older population. Furthermore, that the statistics and graphs outlined in the baseline data set herein, be developed into maps to create demographic profiles at state, regional and Local Government Area levels and encourage the use of the LIST for social data. As resources permit, LIST should have relevant data about other age groups added. Recommendation 4 That the Tasmanian Government establishes an ongoing state-wide advisory group to identify and address current and emerging demographic opportunities and challenges arising from Tasmania’s ageing population. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 21 The advisory group to adopt a whole-of-government approach to its work and include representation from older Tasmanians, Government departments, local governments and non-government organisations. Recommendation 5 That the recommended advisory group works with the Tasmanian Government to develop a demographic plan which includes focus on industries that support older people’s social, cultural and economic participation and which incorporates inter and intra state migration analysis, goals and targets. Recommendation 6 That COTA Tas uses the evidence herein to hold forums to promote awareness of key issues for older Tasmanians, highlighting demographic insights for regional and local government planners, and developing policies, programs and practices that support inclusive ageing. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 22 Background FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians was developed as part of the State Government’s Inclusive Ageing: Tasmania 2012-2014 Strategy (the Strategy). The Strategy was released in August 2012 and forms part of the overarching response of the Tasmanian Government to support a more socially inclusive society in the context of an ageing population. The key objective of the Strategy is to increase the capacity for all older people to be fully included in community life, particularly those who are socially excluded or at risk of becoming so. The Strategy outlines the approach that the Government will adopt in progressing policy in relation to older people and highlights six projects that will be undertaken during the three year period 2012-2014. The first of the six projects is Building evidence: a demographic profile. This project recognised that the availability of data on older Tasmanians was limited and aimed to build an evidence base profile providing greater insights into and increased understanding of older members of the Tasmanian community. 2 The project aimed to develop a single data set that paints a comprehensive picture of older people in Tasmania. The Government will use the information to assist in better targeting decisions relating to the allocation of resources and services. It will also use this information to provide an evidence base for each of the other five projects. 3 The State Government allocated resources to the Council on the Ageing - Tasmania (COTA Tas) to develop FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians (this document). COTA is the peak body which advocates and lobbies for the rights, needs and interests of older Tasmanians. In addition to benefiting the Government, this document will be a useful resource to COTA and other community organisations in the development and provision of their services to older Tasmanians. To assist in developing this resource the State Government established a Working Group to provide feedback, expertise and advice. Membership of the Working Party is outlined in Appendix A – Membership of the Building Evidence Project Working Group. Both the State Government and COTA appreciate the contribution of members of the Working Group and greatly value their insight and work in developing this resource. 2 3 Tasmanian Government, 2012, Inclusive Ageing: Tasmania 2012-2014 Strategy, Department of Premier and Cabinet, p 20 Tasmanian Government, 2012 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 23 Page left intentionally blank FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 24 Introduction FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians is designed to provide an overall view of older Tasmanians based on available data. The report refers to major factors that impact on the lives of older Tasmanians. The intent of this document is to coordinate and present baseline data on older Tasmanians and their varied characteristics in a whole-of-population and socio-economic context. By carefully examining the characteristics of older Tasmanians and understanding the trends in ageing, we can continue to support and promote the future health and wellbeing of our entire population. According to the Census in 2011, the Tasmanian population was 495,354 with 113,440 people (23% of the population) aged 60 years or more (Australia 19.6%); 80,708 people (16% of the population) aged 65 years or more (Australia 14.1%); and 22,425 people (4.3% of the population) aged 80 years or more (Australia 3.9%). The trend toward an older median age is greater in Tasmania than for all other Australian states and territories, with our population ageing at a faster rate. This has significant repercussions for the Tasmanian community and its social, cultural and economic organisation. It is important that in planning for an ‘older’ Tasmania that: an evidence base, demonstrating the characteristics of an ageing population be established, refined and built upon; the benefits and challenges of an ageing population are forecast for Tasmanian communities, the regional and state economy; whole-of-government initiatives are developed to ensure regular resource allocation for efficient focussed data collection; the baby boomer profile be better understood and accommodated; impacts of migration, as well as the ages of people moving in and out of Tasmania, be understood and considered as a planning tool across all levels of government; and socio-economic opportunities arising from increased longevity be capitalised on. What does ‘old’ actually refer to in the context of the many interpretations of what an older person is? Self-perception – what or who is ‘old’? - varies from person to person, with many baby boomers in their 60s and persons in their 70s and 80s not yet feeling old nor referring to themselves as old. This is a product of ever increasing longevity, health and productivity. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 25 There is no universally agreed definition of older people. The ABS typically defines an older person as aged 65 years or older. Some State Government agencies use 60 years as the basis for eligibility for programs and services for older people. For the purposes of this report the older population is defined as 60 years and over. To enable meaningful comparisons of Tasmania’s profile over time and across all Australian states and territories where ABS data is used the profile refers to those aged 65+ years. In other data sets where data was collected with ‘local’ definitions in mind, the profile refers to 60+ years. In compiling and analysing the data contained in the report, COTA referred to the definitions set by the Working Group and the collection protocols common to federal departments, including the ABS and other Australian Government departments. The broad definitions of age range (or age categories) used to describe the various groups of older Tasmanians are: ‘young old’ – 60-74 years4 ‘mid old’ – 75-84 years ‘older old’ – 85 years and over. Using these sub-categories enables comparison between age cohorts. According to the ABS Census of Population and Housing data, numbers and percentages of older Tasmanians in 2011 were as follows: Table 1 Number and Proportion - Older Tasmanians, ABS Census of Population and Housing Cohort young old Age group 60-74 years Number 77,493 Percent of Tasmania’s population 16% mid old 75-84 years 25,696 5% older old 85 + years 10,251 2% At the ‘younger’ end of the ‘old’ spectrum there is the ‘baby boomer’ generation, many of whom are still in paid work and are actively and meaningfully engaged in their communities. At the ‘older’ end of the ‘old’ spectrum there is a marked increase in the number of people aged 85 years and over, (the older old), many of whom are also meaningfully engaged in their communities. This said, the evidence shows a high proportion of people aged 85+ years have associated increases in the prevalence of co-morbid health conditions and neurodegenerative diseases resulting in increasing support needs. Growth in the number of older Tasmanians and their increasing diversity results in a complex range of differing circumstances and needs as the population ages. The community and all levels of government need to recognise and plan for this ageing of the population while taking advantage of the wealth of opportunities and diligently addressing the associated challenges. 4 60-74 years for locally collected data, and 65-74 years from ABS data sources FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 26 The routine availability of quality data that paints a meaningful picture of ‘older’ Tasmanians is essential in improving the understanding of Tasmania’s demography and planning for the future. This document aims to do this by providing up-to-date and reliable information on the differing circumstances and needs of older Tasmanians according to their income, health, independence, living arrangements, paid work or voluntary participation and other societal and community characteristics. An ageing Tasmania has significant social and economic impacts. A focus on the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Census of Population and Housing (the Census), along with other ABS surveys and reports, data collected by various government agencies, demographic analyses, along with the use of reasonable population projections, provide an entry point to the challenges and opportunities facing an older Tasmania. Policy and planning specialists increasingly rely on evidence based research to: ensure equitable access to socio-economic wellness; target opportunities that protect living standards; promote industry responsiveness to change; identify opportunities in productivity and employment creation, and assist with population planning, service restructuring, and migration planning. It is important that Tasmania capitalises on opportunities emerging from the ‘net brain gain’. The Demographic Change Advisory Council (DCAC) identified that migration movements between Tasmania and other Australian states between 2001 and 2006 actually resulted in a ‘brain gain’5, with older adults migrating to Tasmania having more post school qualifications than those who left. This coupled with the relatively strong financial profile of older ‘migrants’ moving to Tasmania and their contribution to our economic, social and cultural growth presents a set of opportunities that deserve targeted research. 5 Taylor, L, 2013, Tackling the Challenge of Tasmania’s Ageing Population, The Conversation, p 2 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 27 Data indicators This document explores the following indicators in the coming chapters. The indicators were grouped to provide a comprehensive set of insights. The report does not of course paint a complete picture, but it does provide insight into the characteristics of older Tasmanians arising from 2011 ABS Census data and other ABS reports, while also referring to data (collections between 2009 and 2012) about key areas of policy interest. Table 2 Summary of indicators used in FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians Data Indicators Tasmania’s Ageing Population Age and sex structure of the population Life expectancy Structure of Tasmania’s ageing population • Structural and numerical ageing Population projections Ageing in Tasmania’s regions and LGAs • Population 65+ years Urban and rural location • Settlement size by age group Residential mobility • Changed address in last 5 years • Time lived in current neighbourhood Living arrangements • Marital status • Living alone • Raising children Cultural diversity • Indigenous status • Region of birth • Language spoken • Spoken English proficiency Key issues for older Tasmanians Socioeconomic status Social Inclusion and Social Exclusion • Social exclusion risk factors Life’s Basics Income • • • Housing • • • • • Income range Low income Pensions and allowances Type Affordability Public housing Housing stress Homelessness Security FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians • • • • • Financial and food security Household expenses Health and medical expenses Socioeconomic disadvantage Household debt 28 Data Indicators cont. Accessibility Transport • Driver’s licence • Access to motor vehicle • Access for disabled Services Disability • Disability by age group • Living alone • Unmet need for assistance Aged care • Residential aged care • Community care and HACC services Lifelong Learning Literacy and numeracy skills Qualifications Older adult learning Computer and internet use Connection and Contribution Family and community support Participation • Workforce participation − Labour force status by age group − Hours worked − Industry of employment − Employment type and sector • Social involvement − Contact with family and friends • Community participation − Groups and events − Trust − Feeling safe • Civic participation − Valued by society • Voluntary contribution − Volunteering for organisations and groups − Carers − Unpaid child care Health and Wellbeing Self assessed health Risk factors for poor health • Obesity • Excess alcohol consumption • Personal stressors Chronic conditions Neurodegenerative disorders Hospital admissions Health and wellbeing - keeping healthy • Nutrition • Physical activity • Cultural and leisure events FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 29 Data sources This document provides a statistical profile of older Tasmanians. In developing this profile, the aim was to provide answers to the following questions: Who are older Tasmanians? Where do older Tasmanians live and what do they do? What are the characteristics of older Tasmanians? What do the indicators of social inclusion/exclusion tell us about older Tasmanians? How are older Tasmanians faring? A number of data sources were utilised in the development of this profile of older Tasmanians. The majority of the data sets presented in this report were sourced from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) which typically focuses on the older population as those aged 65+ years. The Census of Population and Housing 2011 is also used extensively, with references to the ABS National Regional Profile – Tasmania 2007-2011, and other ABS National Surveys including: ABS General Social Survey 2010 ABS Household Expenditure Survey 2009-10 ABS Disability, Ageing and Carers Survey 2009 ABS Programme for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies, Australia, 2011-12 ABS Participation in Sport and Physical Recreation, Australia, 2011-12. Population projections were sourced from: ABS Population Projections, Australia, 2006 to 2101 Demographic Change Advisory Council 2008 Tasmanian Population Projections. In addition, Federal and State Government departments were invited to submit data sets they collect and collate on older Tasmanians, and most of these are included in this report. This document draws extensively on data collected in 2009 for the Tasmanian Population Health Survey (TPHS) to profile the health and wellbeing of Tasmanians, and other community and societal characteristics. Data variability and reliability Scope, scale and reliability of the data sets used in this profile are comprehensively detailed in each original data source. Aspects of these are summarised in the following Table 3. For complete details on the reliability and scope of a specific data set the original data source should be referred to. This report draws on many data sets from a number of sources with varying scope, currency and reliability to develop a profile of older Tasmanians in 2013. The scope is limited by the availability and reliability of relevant data and is intended as a baseline. Regular updating and mapping of the data will maximise its value into the future. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 30 Surveys always include an element of sampling error, as they use responses from a sample to generalise about the population. Sampling error ‘occurs because only a small proportion of the total population is used to produce estimates that represent the whole population’. Sampling error can be reliably measured as it is calculated based on the scientific methods used to design surveys’.6 All survey data included here has a relative standard error (RSE) of less than 25% unless indicated otherwise. According to the ABS, ‘only estimates with RSEs less than 25% are considered sufficiently reliable for most purposes’.7 For information about the reliability of specific survey data please see the data source for RSE values to assess fitness for purpose before proceeding to use these data sets. Table 3 Data sources – year, scope, sample size, and reliability 6 7 Data source Year Scope Sample size Reliability ABS Census of Population and Housing 2011 All people in Australia on Census night Total population Very high ABS National Regional Profile 20072011 ATO – Wage and salary earners; FaHCSIA and DVA – pension recipients Actual count Very high ABS General Social Survey 2010 Usual residents of private dwellings aged 18+ 15,028 dwellings Australia ABS Household Expenditure Survey 20092010 Usual residents aged 15+ of private dwellings in urban and rural areas of Australia. 9,774 households, comprising 17,955 persons Designed to provide reliable estimates at State level for broad aggregates. More detailed estimates should be used with caution, especially for Tasmania. RSE provided for each value ABS Disability, Ageing and Carers Survey 2009 Persons in both urban and rural areas, all states and territories, living in private and non-private dwellings, refers to older people aged 60+ years 27,600 private dwellings and 200 non-private dwellings, care-accommodation ~1,100 establishments. 64,213 persons in households, 9,470 persons in care RSE provided for each value ABS Programme for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies, Australia 20112012 Usual residents aged 1574 years of private dwellings in non-remote areas of Australia 8,988 persons Designed to provide reliable estimates at State level. RSE provided for each value ABS Participation in Sport and Physical Recreation, Australia 20112012 Usual residents aged 15+ years of private dwellings 17,036 dwellings/persons across Designed to provide reliable estimates at State level RSE provided for each value private ABS 2010 General Social Survey Ibid FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 31 Data source Year DHHS Tasmanian 2009 Population Health Survey Government departments ABS Population Projections, Australia DCAC Tasmanian Population Projections ABS – Australian Social Trends Scope Sample size Reliability Non-institutionalised Tasmanian residents aged 18+ with access to a landline telephone 6,300 respondents Designed to provide reliable estimates at region level. RSE provided for each value varies Service users Actual count Very high 20062101 Three series developed of of projections 20072032 Three series developed 20092013 Released three times a year, Australian Social Trends presents analysis and commentary on a wide range of social issues. Each series based on different assumptions about future demographic trends projections Each series based on different assumptions about future demographic trends The Tasmanian Population Health Survey The data included in this report sourced from the 2009 Tasmanian Population Health Survey (TPHS) is for respondents aged 60 years and over. This data is a subset of the TPHS results and has not been published elsewhere. For this reason the methodology of the TPHS is included here. The 2009 TPHS used a regionally representative sample to obtain estimates for the entire in-scope population, and so the data to follow in this report must be presented in percentages – that is, as population weighted estimates. Table 4 shows the number of respondents aged 60 years and over by region and sex. Table 4 Tasmanian Population Health Survey – survey respondents aged 60+ years, by region and sex Sex Region North North West South Total Male 305 316 312 933 Female 506 498 491 1495 Total 811 814 803 2428 Source: DHHS Tasmanian Population Health Survey 2009 Tasmanian Population Health Survey Statistical methods and interpretation 8 8 Department of Health and Human Services, 2012, Health Status of Tasmanians 60 Years and Over Results from the 2009 Tasmanian Population Health Survey, page 8 unpublished report FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 32 Methodology The TPHS was undertaken using Computer Assisted Telephone Interviews (CATI) and used Random Digit Dialling (RDD) as the sample frame. The target population was defined as all noninstitutionalised Tasmanian residents aged 18 years and over with access to a landline telephone. The survey sample included a total of 6,300 respondents stratified into sub-samples of 2,100 in each of the three regions; North, North West and South with 2,428 respondents aged 60+ years. This sample allocation allowed for an oversampling of the North West region to obtain higher data reliability. No interviewing was undertaken in languages other than English, so limiting the scope of the survey to exclude those of the Culturally and Linguistically Diverse (CALD) background with low English proficiency. Percentages and the corresponding confidence intervals in this document are weighted to the Tasmanian population, based on the stratified sampling design of the survey. In interpreting this data set it should be noted that the survey may not be fully representative of the Tasmanian population. Tasmanians without access to a landline telephone, such as sole mobile phone users, were not included in the survey.9 Data presentation This demographic profile presents data at three geographic scales: Tasmania – whole of state Regions (Fig 1) Local Government Areas (LGA) (Fig 2). The use of these geographical standards reflects the Tasmanian Government’s Regional and LGA planning and resource allocation models. Data sets are presented within chapters in graphs and maps (and tables where applicable). The presentation format was selected for each data set based on the most appropriate way to ‘visually tell the story’ of the data. Numeric tables associated with each data set are included where appropriate in Appendix B – Data tables Two aspects associated with ABS Census of Population and Housing data are worthy of a brief mention. The ABS when releasing Census statistics randomises cell values of three or fewer to protect confidentiality. These cells are randomly assigned the values 0 or 3. Therefore, small numbers are unreliable. The Census releases data based on persons’ place of usual residence or by location on Census night. This report uses Census ‘usual residence’ data, unless otherwise noted. 9 Statistical Methods and Interpretation section is from The Department of Health and Human Services, 2012, Health Status of Tasmanians 60 Years and Over Results from the 2009 Tasmanian Population Health Survey, page 8 unpublished report FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 33 Figure 1 Tasmania – regions, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians Figure 2 Tasmania – Local Government Areas, 2011 34 CHAPTER 1 Tasmania’s ageing population Tasmania is ageing the fastest of all Australian states and territories in terms of structural ageing (the proportion of the population aged 65+ years); but in terms of numerical ageing (the increase in the number of people aged 65+ years), Tasmania is not ageing faster than other states and territories. This higher rate of structural ageing is largely the result of ongoing migration of younger age groups from the State. Between 2001 and 2011, Tasmania’s total population increased by 7.5%. Within the same 10 year period, Tasmanians aged 65 years or more increased by 27%, while people aged 80 years or more increased by 35%. Tasmanian municipalities where more than 20% of people were aged 65+ years warrants particular attention from governments and planners. In 2011, the Local Government Areas (LGAs) with the highest proportion of the population aged 65+ years were Glamorgan/Spring Bay, Flinders, Tasman and Break O-Day. The LGAs where numbers of older people are increasing at the greatest rate are not the same LGAs where the proportion of older people is increasing at the greatest rate. All projections for Tasmania suggest that Tasmania’s population structure will continue to age faster than Australia as a whole – this is the critically important ‘take-home’ message. The proportion of the Tasmanian population aged 65+ years who identify as Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander is 1.2%. In the South, the Huon Valley has the highest proportion of the population aged 65+ years who identify as Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander (4%); in the North, Flinders Island (10%) and in the NorthWest, Circular Head (4%). Tasmanians aged 65+ years form a more culturally diverse population than younger Tasmanians with 72% born in Australia compared with 92% of those in the 0-24 year age group. The most common regions of birth outside Australia for older Tasmanians were from North-Western, Southern and Eastern Europe, largely reflecting post-World War 2 immigration to Australia. In 2011, fourteen (14) of Tasmania’s 29 LGAs had no older Tasmanian residents with poor English speaking skills. The greatest numbers of older Tasmanians with poor English speaking skills lived in city LGAs, with very few in more rural LGAs. The most common languages spoken by people with low English proficiency were Greek, Italian and Polish. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 35 Age and sex structure of the population ‘Surprising to many is that Australia was only one of four countries to experience a ‘true’ baby boom, the three others being New Zealand, Canada and the United States.’10 Australia is ageing rapidly with an upcoming baby boomer population ‘bulge’ set to move up the age scale and a decreasing proportion of ‘working or reproductive age’ citizens to follow them. In Tasmania, this trend is markedly strong. Taken together, the population pyramids in Figure 2 and Figure 3 allow a comparative analysis of the Tasmanian and Australian populations. The first pyramid shows the age and sex structure of the Tasmanian population in 1991, 2001 and 2011. This age profile graphically reveals the changing age structure of the population with greater numbers in all age groups over 50-54 years in 2011 compared to previous years; and fewer in all age groups under 45 years. Figure 2 Population structure by age and sex, Tasmania 1991-2011 Tasmania 1991, 2001, 2011 Males 90+ years Females 85-89 years 80-84 years 75-79 years 70-74 years 65-69 years 60-64 years 55-59 years 50-54 years 45-49 years 40-44 years 35-39 years 30-34 years 25-29 years 20-24 years 15-19 years 10-14 years 5-9 years 0-4 years 5% 4% 3% 2% 1991 1% 0% 1% 2001 2% 3% 4% 5% 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011, 2001, 1991 10 Jackson, N, 2007, Population Ageing in a Nutshell: A phenomenon in four dimensions, People and Place, vol 15, no.2 p 12 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 36 A growing ‘bite’ in the Tasmanian pyramid from the ages 20 to 39 years reflects the ongoing net loss of people in the young adult age group to migration. This ‘bite’ is progressively widening and deepening as the net loss of 20-29 year olds (along with their reproductive potential) continues over time. The large cohort of Baby Boomers, born 1946-1964, and aged 47-65 years in 2011, present as a ‘bulge’ in the pyramid as they move upwards through the age profile. The ‘Baby Boomer’ bulge is also evident in the Australian Pyramid, though less marked as it is not accompanied by outmigration of young adults as it is in Tasmania. Notably, the ratio between the sexes is often not symmetrical. In Tasmania in 2011 the gender balance was almost equal below the age of 24 years. As we move further up the age scale there are proportionally more females in every age group than there are males. Figure 3 Population structure by age and sex, Australia 1991-2011 Australia 1991, 2001, 2011 90+ years Males Females 85-89 years 80-84 years 75-79 years 70-74 years 65-69 years 60-64 years 55-59 years 50-54 years 45-49 years 40-44 years 35-39 years 30-34 years 25-29 years 20-24 years 15-19 years 10-14 years 5-9 years 0-4 years 5% 4% 3% 2% 1991 1% 0% 2001 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011, 2001, 1991 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 37 Women noticeably predominate in age groups from 75 years in line with life expectancy trends. For people aged 65+ years the male to female ratio is 46:53. This ratio increases for Tasmanians aged 80 years or more with the male to female ratio at 39:61.11 Life expectancy More Australians are living longer than ever before, contributing to the overall ageing of our population. Worthy of note is the higher life expectancy for females, which is some four years greater than for males. This has significant impacts on the composition of the older population, as well as on social aspects such as living arrangements. Over the last 10 years at a national level, life expectancy at birth has improved by 2.7 years for males and just less than 1.8 years for females. Between 2001 and 2011 the life expectancy of males in Tasmania increased by 2.3 years and for females life expectancy increased by 1.3 years. Life expectancy at birth has increased nationally over the past century. Up until 1932, infectious and parasitic diseases caused at least 10% of all deaths each year, with death rates from these diseases highest among the very young and very old. Improvements in living conditions, such as improved water supply, sewerage systems, food quality and health education, led to overall longer life expectancy at all ages. During the 20th century, degenerative diseases such as heart disease, stroke and cancer replaced infectious and parasitic diseases as the main cause of death of older people.12 The average life expectancy for Tasmanians is slightly lower than the Australian average. Tasmanian male life expectancy is 78.3 years compared to the Australian average of 79.7 years and Tasmanian female life expectancy is 82.5 years compared to the Australian average of 84.2 years. 13 Based on current mortality rates, a girl [boy] born in 2009-2011 can expect to live 84.2 [79.7] years.14 Life expectancy differs for the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander community and this is covered later in the report. 11 ABS, 2013, Presentation : on ‘Who are Tasmania’s older people?’ using data from ABS Census of Population and Housing 2011 12 Ibid Ibid 14 Ibid 13 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 38 Figure 4 Life expectancy at birth – males and females, Australia, 1910-2011 Source: ABS presentation on ‘Who are Tasmania’s older people?’ using data from ABS Census of Population and Housing 2011 Structure of Tasmania’s ageing population To understand Tasmania’s unique population age profile, an ageing population can be tracked to various combinations of four factors: increased life expectancy, fertility rates, migration gains at older ages, and migration driven losses at younger ages.15 Currently Tasmania has the ‘oldest population’ of all Australian jurisdictions and the Tasmanian population (in terms of structural ageing) is ageing more rapidly than Australia as a whole. South Australia has similar ‘ageing’ attributes to Tasmania but with different causes or ‘drivers’. South Australia is ‘old’ primarily because of its historically lower birth rates, with net migration trends a secondary factor. Tasmania’s net migration has been positive since 2002, and birth rates are relatively high. In fact of all Australian states and territories in 2011, Tasmania had the highest total fertility rate (TFR) of 2.2 babies per woman of reproductive age. These recent gains do not however offset the oncoming ageing population bulge. Understanding this is key to understanding the ageing of Tasmania’s population. ‘During the 1990’s Tasmania experienced a profound loss of people in the 18-38 year age group with smaller but equally significant gains at older ages.’ 16 This outward migration of reproductive age population has created a bite in the age structure, creating a double impact due to the loss of the children those people took with them and/or would have had. This trend is called premature ageing.17 Hence, any demographic discourse around Tasmania’s population, related analyses and associated projections must refer to the uniquely Tasmanian population profile. 15 Jackson, N, 2007, Population Ageing in a Nutshell: A phenomenon in four dimensions, People and Place, vol 15, no.2, p 18 Jackson, 2007, Op Cit, p 18-19 17 Ibid 16 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 39 The ageing of Tasmania’s population is both numerical and structural in terms of the actual number of older people and the proportion of the population they represent: Numerical ageing of the population is the increase in the number of older people and is mainly driven by increases in life expectancy and migration patterns of older people. Structural ageing of the population is the increase in the proportion of the population that is older. Structural ageing is primarily caused by declining birth rates which decreases the proportion of the ‘younger’ population and thereby increases the proportion of the ‘older’ population. Structural ageing is also affected by migration patterns of all age groups. In Tasmania, net migration loss in younger age groups has a significant impact on structural ageing.18 Between 2001 and 2011 Tasmania’s total population increased by 7.5%. Within the same 10 year period Tasmanians aged 65 years or more increased by 27%, while people aged 80 years or more increased by 35%.19 In 2011 there were 80,708 people aged 65+ years living in Tasmania. The median age in Tasmania was 40 years compared to the median age in Australia of 37 years; and the proportion of the population aged 65+ years in Tasmania was 16.3%, compared to 14.0% in Australia as a whole. This is demonstrated in Figure 5. Just over 21,000 people were aged 80+ years representing 4.3% of the population, compared to 3.9% nationally.20 Figure 5 Age profile, Tasmania and Australia, 2011 8% 7% 6% Tasmania 5% Australia 37 4% Median Tasmania 40 3% Median Australia 2% 1% 0% 85+ 80-84 years 75-79 years 70-74 years 65-69 years 60-64 years 55-59 years 50-54 years 45-49 years 40-44 years 35-39 years 30-34 years 25-29 years 20-24 years 15-19 years 10-14 years 5-9 years 0-4 years Source: ABS presentation on ‘Who are Tasmania’s older people?’ using data from ABS Census of Population and Housing 2011 18 19 20 Ibid ABS, 2013, Presentation: ‘Who are Tasmania’s older people?’ using data from ABS Census of Population and Housing 2011 Ibid FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 40 Tasmania is also ageing the fastest in terms of structural ageing (that is the rate of increase in the proportion of the population aged 65+ years). The mean annual rate of structural ageing in Tasmania between 2006 and 2011 was 0.27 percentage points, whereas the rate for Australia over the same time period was 0.14 percentage points. However, in terms of numerical ageing, (that is the increase in the number of people aged 65 years and over) Tasmania is not ageing faster than other states. The rate of numerical ageing in Tasmania 2006-2011 was in fact slower than in the Northern Territory, the Australian Capital Territory, Queensland and Western Australia. The number of older Tasmanians aged 65+ years increased at a mean annual rate of 2.7% between 2006 and 2011, compared to a rate of 2.8% for Australia as a whole. The high rate of structural ageing in Tasmania is largely a result of ongoing outmigration of younger age groups from the State. Characteristics of the phenomenon of population ageing for Australian states and territories are summarised in Figure 6. Figure 6 Ageing in Australian states and territories, 2001-2011 a) Median age; b) Older people (65+ years) as proportion of the population; c) Structural ageing; d) Numerical ageing Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011, 2006 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 41 Ageing in Tasmania’s regions and local government areas Of the 80,708 Tasmanians that were aged 65+ years in 2011, almost half lived in the South region (48%) with the North and North West regions home to 29% and 23% respectively. In Tasmania, 16.3% of the 2011 population was aged 65+ years. However, the proportion of older people varied from region to region. In the South, 15.6% of the population was aged 65+ years, whereas in the North and North West the proportions were higher, 16.8% and 17.3% respectively. Figure 7 shows the proportion of people aged 65+ years in each Tasmanian Local Government Area (LGA), with each Tasmanian Region being colour coded for ease of interpretation. For precise numbers and proportions of persons by age group for Tasmanian regions and Local Government Areas according to the 2011 ABS Census, please refer to Table 21 to Table 23 (Appendix B – Data tables). Our attention is drawn to the LGAs with a large proportion of the population aged 65+ years. The proportion in 2011 was 14% for Australia and 16.3% in Tasmania. Tasmanian municipalities where more than 20% of people were aged 65 years and over, warrant particular attention from governments and planners. In 2011, LGAs with the ‘oldest’ populations (highest proportion of population aged 65+ years) were: Glamorgan/Spring Bay; Flinders; Tasman; and Break O’Day. Figure 7 Older Tasmanians (65+ years) as a proportion of the population, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 Older Tasmanians (65+ years), LGAs, 2011 30% % of population 25% 20% 15% 10% 0% Brighton (M)… Southern Midlands (M) Derwent Valley (M) Sorell (M) Hobart (C) Kingborough (M) Huon Valley (M) Glenorchy (C) Clarence (C) Central Highlands (M) Tasman (M) Glamorgan/Spring Bay (M) Launceston (C)… George Town (M) Meander Valley (M) West Tamar (M) Northern Midlands (M) Dorset (M) Break O'Day (M) Flinders (M) Circular Head (M)… West Coast (M) Kentish (M) Burnie (C) Waratah/Wynyard (M) Latrobe (M) Central Coast (M) Devonport (C) King Island (M) 5% Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 In Figure 8 the proportion of people aged 65+ years in the population is mapped for Tasmanian LGAs and is compared with the three Tasmanian regions and Australian states and territories. LGAs along the East Coast have the oldest populations in the State in terms of proportion of the population aged 65+ years. Conversely, LGAs along the West Coast, along with Brighton, have the FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 42 youngest populations in Tasmania. This is further evidenced by a large disparity in the median age of populations across municipalities. Table 5 Highlights of median ages in selected LGAs LGA Brighton King Island Break of Day Flinders Island and Tasman Peninsula Glamorgan Spring Bay Median Age 2011 33 46 50 51 53 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Figure 8 Older Tasmanians (65+ years) - % of population, 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 In Tasmania, each of the sub-categories – young old; mid old; and older old – comprised a larger proportion of the 2011 population than in Australia. In 2011, Tasmanians aged between 65 – 74 years comprised 9% of the total population whereas the same age group for all of Australia was substantially lower, comprising 7.6%. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 43 The age distribution of older Tasmanians also varied across Tasmanian regions, as seen in Figure 9. For the young old residing in the North West, the North and the South the proportions are 9.7%, 9.3% and 8.6% respectively. The overall percentage difference, across all age-groups, between the regions varies by a maximum of 0.7%. Figure 9 Older Tasmanians – young old, mid old, older old – (% of population), Tasmanian regions, 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 On the surface, this may appear a minimal difference but this is, in fact, critical information for planning mechanisms at all levels of government. Planners must consider firstly the mix, capacity and location of front line service delivery, secondly the numbers of people in all age groups per region and municipality, and lastly to ground any policy discourse and analyses in the context of population projections across the next two decades. Numbers of residents in all age categories (with special attention to the young old, mid old and older old categories) for each LGA are shown in Table 21 (Appendix B – Data tables). These numbers are also shown alongside the population projections for each region and LGA in Table 7 on page 51 allowing for a deeper analysis of trends. The maps in Figure 10 and Figure 11 illustrate the pace at which ageing of the population proceeded between 2006 and 2011. Figure 10 maps the rate of structural ageing – the mean annual increase in the proportion of the population aged 65+ years. The mean annual rate of structural ageing for Tasmania between 2006 and 2011 was 0.3% per year and for Australia it was 0.1% per FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 44 year. Figure 10 indicates that many Tasmanian LGAs experienced ageing of their populations at a faster pace than the Tasmanian average. Of particular note are LGAs along the East Coast, namely the municipalities of Glamorgan/Spring Bay; Tasman, also Flinders and Break O’Day – where the proportion of the population aged 65+ years increased by an average of 0.8% per year or more over this time period. Figure 10 Structural ageing – mean annual increase in the proportion of the population aged 65+ years (%pts), 2006-2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011, 2006 Differences in the rate of structural ageing at LGA level are primarily driven by recent and historical moves into and out of LGAs. These LGAs aged the fastest between 2006 and 2011 due to three factors: a net loss of people aged under 65 years, and/or net gains in age groups of 65+ years, as well as people choosing to age in place. On the other hand, Glenorchy experienced a negative rate of structural ageing – older people decreased as a proportion of the population between 2006 and 2011. Figure 11 maps the rate of numerical ageing – the mean annual increase in the number of the population aged 65+ years. The mean annual rate of numerical ageing for Tasmania between 2006 and 2011 was 2.7% per year, and for Australia it was 2.8% per year. Numerical ageing occurred at different rates across Tasmanian LGAs between 2006 and 2011. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 45 In fact, eight of Tasmania’s 29 LGAs experienced a mean rate of numerical ageing greater than 5% per year – almost twice the national average. Numbers and proportions of people aged 65+ years, as well as rates of structural and numerical ageing, are provided for LGAs in Table 6 on page 50. Figure 11 Numerical ageing – mean annual increase in the number of people aged 65+ years (%), 2006-2011+ Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011, 2006 The following LGAs had the greatest increases in the number of people aged 65+ years between 2006 and 2011 – Brighton; Tasman; Glamorgan/Spring Bay; Kentish; Latrobe; Southern Midlands; Huon Valley; and Break O’Day. Though the median age of Brighton was 33, the growth in the 65+ year old population could be an indicator of older Tasmanians moving to Brighton due to the availability of more affordable housing and proximity to services being key motivators. Additional research could shed more light on motivations for intrastate migration. It would be of interest to target new research to investigate the motivations of people moving to these municipalities with attention to: the influence and extent of people’s desire to age in place; an assessment of whether these trends are likely to continue, and the extent to which planning mechanisms can predict and accommodate migratory trends of older people across Tasmanian regions and LGAs. This would prove invaluable in informing planning mechanisms at all levels of government with pertinent revelations to support targeted service provision and social inclusion. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 46 Population projections Figure 12 Observed and projected population aged 65+ years (%), 2011-2030 Figure 13 Observed and projected population aged 65+ years (persons), 2011-2030 Older Tasmanians (65+ years), 2011-2030 Older Tasmanians (65+ years), 2011-2030 30% 160,000 140,000 120,000 20% Persons % of population 25% 15% 10% 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 5% 20,000 0% 0 South North 2011 2020 NorthWest Tasmania South 2030 ABS Census of Population and Housing 2011; DCAC Tasmanian Population Projections, 2008 North 2011 2020 NorthWest Tasmania 2030 ABS Census of Population and Housing 2011; DCAC Tasmanian Population Projections, 2008 The Demographic Change Advisory Council’s (DCAC) Tasmanian Population Projections 21 include a breakdown by age for the projected population for each year to 2032. Though the ABS population projections are projected by age DCAC projections are used in this section as they also include projections by age developed for Tasmanian Local Government Areas (LGAs). Again, it should be noted that the projections are not predictions or forecasts, but illustrations of the changes in the population if assumptions about demographic trends were to play out over the projection period. All projections for Tasmania suggest that Tasmania’s population structure will continue to age faster than Australia as a whole – and this is the critically important ‘take-home’ message. The DCAC medium series projection is used as it ‘is based on assumptions that are most similar to recent trends’22. It also should be noted that small area projections are inherently difficult due to the impact and unpredictability of population movements at LGA level, and therefore less reliable. In the medium-series, it is projected by DCAC that one-quarter of Tasmania’s population would be aged 65+ years in 2030, if assumptions were to hold true (Figure13). This would equate to nearly 60,000 more Tasmanians aged 65+ years in 2030 than in 2011 (Figure14). Numerical ageing, or increase in the number of the population aged 65 years and over, is perhaps more pertinent than structural ageing when evaluating need and service delivery. The proportion of the older population is influenced by change in the number in the younger age groups, as well as by change in the number of older people; whereas the number of older people in the population is not influenced by any other changes in the population age structure. 21 22 Demographic Change Advisory Council, 2008, Tasmanian Population Projections Ibid FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 47 Of particular note is that the LGAs where numbers of older people are increasing at the greatest rate are not necessarily the same LGAs where the proportion of older people is increasing at the greatest rate. Tasman, Glamorgan/Spring Bay and Break O’Day are ageing rapidly both numerically and structurally in relation to other Tasmanian LGAs. While the proportion of older people on Flinders Island is increasing at a relatively rapid rate, the number is not. Conversely, Brighton, Kentish, Latrobe, Southern Midlands and Huon Valley are among the Tasmanian LGAs with the highest rates of numerical ageing but not amongst those that are structurally ageing the fastest. It is therefore important that government and service providers understand the impacts and implications of both structural and numerical ageing and their differential distribution across the State. Though the median age of Brighton was 33, the growth in the 65+ year old population could be an indicator of older Tasmanians moving to Brighton due to the availability of more affordable housing and proximity to services being a key motivator. A major influence on the rate of numerical ageing is the ageing of current residents. Therefore the age profile of historical immigration and the propensity to age in place are significant contributing factors. Additional research could shed more light on the extent of intrastate migration in older age groups. Tasmania’s population was 495,354 in 2011 according to the ABS Census of Population and Housing. The population grew at an average rate of 0.8% per year between 2006 and 2011, which is a marginally higher rate of growth than for the previous five year period (0.7% per year). The size of Tasmania’s future population has been projected by the (ABS) and by Tasmania’s Demographic Change Advisory Council (DCAC). Population projections are estimates of a population at a point of time in the future. Projections are ‘not intended as predictions or forecasts, but are illustrations of growth and change in the population that would occur if assumptions made about future demographic trends were to prevail over the projection period’.23 The ABS developed three series of population projections for Australian states and territories using 2007 Estimated Resident Population as the base population with differing assumptions about future fertility, mortality, net overseas migration, and net interstate migration. The ABS selected three main series of projections – Series A, Series B, and Series C. The Tasmanian Demographic Change Advisory Council also presented three series of population projections for Tasmania – high, medium and low. The medium series ‘is based on assumptions that are most similar to recent trends. For most purposes, the medium series should be used.’24 23 24 ABS 3222.0 Population Projections, Australia, 2006-2101 Demographic Change Advisory Council 2008 Tasmanian Population Projections FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 48 The projections are based on Estimated Resident Populations as at 2007 and project ‘each cohort of people throughout its lifetime according to assumed rates of mortality, fertility and migration.’25 The projected population for Tasmania according to each series presented by ABS and DCAC is shown in Figure 14, and is compared to observed population size for 2001-2011. Projected population size differs markedly between the series, with the difference becoming greater with time into the future. Comparing Tasmania’s population as counted in the 2011 Census with the projected population for 2011, reveals that DCAC’s low series projection was the closest estimate. The population of Tasmania in 2011 in the Census was 495,354 and DCAC’s low series projection for 2011 was 498,579. Figure 14 Observed and projected population, Tasmania, 2001-2056 Data sources: ABS 3222.0 Population projections, Australia, 2006-2101; DCAC Tasmanian population projections 2008; ABS Census of Population and Housing 2011, 2006, 2001 25 Ibid FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 49 Table 6 Structural and numerical ageing of the population – increase in number and proportion of people aged 65+ years, 2006-2011 Region LGA People 65 years and over Numerical ageing % population 65 years and over Structural ageing Persons Persons Change Change (%) (mean annual rate %) % pop. % pop. Change (%pts) (mean annual rate %pts) 2006 2011 2006-2011 2006-2011 2006-2011 2006 2011 2006-2011 2006-2011 Brighton 1,029 1,437 408 39.7% 7.9% 7.3% 9.3% 2.0% 0.4% Central Highlands 326 397 71 21.8% 4.4% 14.5% 17.6% 3.0% 0.6% Clarence 7,863 8,830 967 12.3% 2.5% 15.8% 17.0% 1.2% 0.2% Derwent Valley 1,240 1,398 158 12.7% 2.5% 13.1% 14.4% 1.3% 0.3% Glamorgan/Spring Bay 823 1,087 264 32.1% 6.4% 19.7% 25.9% 6.3% 1.3% Glenorchy 7,383 7,495 112 1.5% 0.3% 17.0% 16.8% -0.2% 0.0% Hobart 6,642 7,188 546 8.2% 1.6% 13.9% 14.8% 0.8% 0.2% Huon Valley 1,843 2,358 515 27.9% 5.6% 13.2% 15.6% 2.4% 0.5% Kingborough 4,245 5,138 893 21.0% 4.2% 13.8% 15.2% 1.4% 0.3% Sorell 1,633 1,912 279 17.1% 3.4% 13.7% 14.5% 0.8% 0.2% Southern Midlands 660 854 194 29.4% 5.9% 11.6% 14.1% 2.5% 0.5% Tasman 384 530 146 38.0% 7.6% 17.1% 22.5% 5.4% 1.1% South 34,071 38,624 4,553 13.4% 2.7% 14.5% 15.6% 1.1% 0.2% Break O'Day 1,090 1,368 278 25.5% 5.1% 18.0% 22.1% 4.1% 0.8% Dorset 1,221 1,313 92 7.5% 1.5% 17.5% 19.2% 1.8% 0.4% Flinders 144 166 22 15.3% 3.1% 16.7% 21.5% 4.8% 1.0% George Town 896 1,082 186 20.8% 4.2% 13.7% 16.3% 2.6% 0.5% Launceston 9,336 10,139 803 8.6% 1.7% 15.0% 15.8% 0.8% 0.2% Meander Valley 2,644 3,201 557 21.1% 4.2% 14.4% 16.9% 2.5% 0.5% Northern Midlands 1,831 2,116 285 15.6% 3.1% 15.1% 17.3% 2.2% 0.4% West Tamar 3,141 3,754 613 19.5% 3.9% 15.1% 17.2% 2.1% 0.4% North 20,303 23,139 2,836 14.0% 2.8% 15.2% 16.8% 1.7% 0.3% Burnie 2,830 3,072 242 8.6% 1.7% 14.9% 15.9% 1.0% 0.2% Central Coast 3,561 3,956 395 11.1% 2.2% 17.2% 18.5% 1.3% 0.3% Circular Head 944 1,079 135 14.3% 2.9% 11.9% 13.5% 1.7% 0.3% Devonport 4,229 4,571 342 8.1% 1.6% 17.6% 18.6% 1.0% 0.2% Kentish 705 923 218 30.9% 6.2% 12.2% 15.2% 2.9% 0.6% King Island 272 287 15 5.5% 1.1% 16.6% 18.3% 1.8% 0.4% Latrobe 1,385 1,805 420 30.3% 6.1% 16.0% 18.4% 2.3% 0.5% Waratah/Wynyard 2,208 2,498 290 13.1% 2.6% 16.5% 18.2% 1.8% 0.4% West Coast 563 645 82 14.6% 2.9% 11.3% 13.8% 2.5% 0.5% NorthWest 16,697 18,836 2,139 12.8% 2.6% 15.7% 17.3% 1.5% 0.3% Tasmania 71,144 80,703 9,559 13.4% 2.7% 14.9% 16.3% 1.4% 0.3% Australia 2,644,370 3,012,280 367,910 13.9% 2.8% 13.3% 14.0% 0.7% 0.1% Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011, 2006 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 50 Table 7 Tasmanian LGA population projections, young old; mid old; older old, 2020, 2030 Region LGA Under 65 years 65-74 years 75-84 years 85 years and over Total population Total 65 years and over % 65 years and over 2011 a 2020 b 2030 b 2011 a 2020 b 2030 b 2011 a 2020 b 2030 b 2011 a 2020 b 2030 b 2011 a 2020 b 2030 b 2011 a 2020 b 2030 b 2011 a 2020 b 2030 b Brighton 14,022 17,391 20,138 948 1,569 2,011 362 632 1,272 127 154 355 15,459 19,746 23,776 1,437 2,355 3,638 9.3% 11.9% 15.3% Central Highlands 1,865 1,878 1,687 269 367 377 99 158 263 27 38 78 2,260 2,441 2,405 395 563 718 17.5% 23.1% 29.9% Clarence 43,016 42,638 41,163 4,722 6,296 6,965 2,893 3,515 5,100 1,219 1,478 2,087 51,850 53,927 55,315 8,834 11,289 14,152 17.0% 20.9% 25.6% Derwent Valley 8,305 8,705 8,531 841 1,197 1,404 415 575 897 144 198 327 9,705 10,675 11,159 1,400 1,970 2,628 14.4% 18.5% 23.6% Glamorgan/Spring Bay 3,102 3,378 2,987 711 1,116 1,271 268 490 875 111 140 283 4,192 5,124 5,416 1,090 1,746 2,429 26.0% 34.1% 44.8% Glenorchy 37,159 35,468 33,101 3,846 4,676 5,476 2,625 2,978 3,823 1,025 1,418 1,773 44,655 44,540 44,173 7,496 9,072 11,072 16.8% 20.4% 25.1% Hobart 41,517 45,413 46,782 3,511 5,074 5,380 2,389 2,507 4,079 1,288 1,225 1,491 48,705 54,219 57,732 7,188 8,806 10,950 14.8% 16.2% 19.0% Huon Valley 12,783 12,507 11,579 1,471 2,166 2,643 689 956 1,693 197 306 534 15,140 15,935 16,449 2,357 3,428 4,870 15.6% 21.5% 29.6% Kingborough 28,752 30,211 31,437 2,905 4,368 4,866 1,625 2,188 3,691 610 800 1,296 33,892 37,567 41,290 5,140 7,356 9,853 15.2% 19.6% 23.9% Sorell 11,291 12,190 12,612 1,093 1,878 2,483 623 834 1,555 189 315 502 13,196 15,217 17,152 1,905 3,027 4,540 14.4% 19.9% 26.5% Southern Midlands 5,188 4,579 3,884 582 748 953 216 307 549 63 81 153 6,049 5,715 5,539 861 1,136 1,655 14.2% 19.9% 29.9% Tasman 1,831 1,822 1,711 336 438 457 154 142 283 34 27 50 2,355 2,429 2,501 524 607 790 22.3% 25.0% 31.6% South 208,831 216,180 215,612 21,235 29,893 34,286 12,358 15,282 24,080 5,034 6,180 8,929 247,458 267,535 282,907 38,627 51,355 67,295 15.6% 19.2% 23.8% Break O'Day 4,826 5,214 5,241 859 1,230 1,350 363 589 936 146 159 326 6,194 7,192 7,853 1,368 1,978 2,612 22.1% 27.5% 33.3% Dorset 5,522 5,457 4,773 731 959 1,207 447 525 747 128 208 294 6,828 7,149 7,021 1,306 1,692 2,248 19.1% 23.7% 32.0% Flinders 602 651 635 115 146 117 44 74 111 15 24 42 776 895 905 174 244 270 22.4% 27.3% 29.8% George Town 5,559 5,533 5,261 657 931 1,024 324 474 756 96 158 266 6,636 7,096 7,307 1,077 1,563 2,046 16.2% 22.0% 28.0% Launceston 54,057 57,936 58,941 5,208 6,809 7,714 3,323 3,963 5,611 1,606 1,777 2,366 64,194 70,485 74,632 10,137 12,549 15,691 15.8% 17.8% 21.0% Meander Valley 15,688 16,038 15,168 1,784 2,705 3,114 1,043 1,459 2,342 374 561 893 18,889 20,763 21,517 3,201 4,725 6,349 16.9% 22.8% 29.5% Northern Midlands 10,111 9,716 8,658 1,269 1,825 2,061 649 1,041 1,540 200 334 591 12,229 12,916 12,850 2,118 3,200 4,192 17.3% 24.8% 32.6% West Tamar 18,060 19,532 19,546 2,190 3,062 3,681 1,167 1,599 2,441 398 525 888 21,815 24,718 26,556 3,755 5,186 7,010 17.2% 21.0% 26.4% North 114,425 120,077 118,223 12,813 17,667 20,268 7,360 9,724 14,484 2,963 3,746 5,666 137,561 151,214 158,641 23,136 31,137 40,418 16.8% 20.6% 25.5% Burnie 16,250 17,228 17,230 1,686 2,159 2,443 995 1,264 1,715 399 522 740 19,330 21,173 22,128 3,080 3,945 4,898 15.9% 18.6% 22.1% Central Coast 17,396 16,029 14,111 2,218 3,058 3,357 1,290 1,812 2,564 450 679 1,077 21,354 21,578 21,109 3,958 5,549 6,998 18.5% 25.7% 33.2% Circular Head 6,905 7,145 6,763 615 849 1,032 327 455 667 131 163 254 7,978 8,612 8,716 1,073 1,467 1,953 13.4% 17.0% 22.4% Devonport 20,049 20,111 19,631 2,435 2,974 2,997 1,475 1,797 2,436 658 824 1,089 24,617 25,706 26,153 4,568 5,595 6,522 18.6% 21.8% 24.9% Kentish 5,171 5,643 5,620 592 893 1,141 242 405 712 81 120 239 6,086 7,061 7,712 915 1,418 2,092 15.0% 20.1% 27.1% King Island 1,271 1,319 1,193 168 213 197 82 106 166 42 32 57 1,563 1,670 1,613 292 351 420 18.7% 21.0% 26.0% Latrobe 8,022 8,192 8,395 1,047 1,449 1,620 568 769 1,212 195 281 460 9,832 10,691 11,687 1,810 2,499 3,292 18.4% 23.4% 28.2% Waratah/Wynyard 11,211 10,395 8,849 1,420 1,985 2,442 808 1,127 1,660 268 432 676 13,707 13,939 13,627 2,496 3,544 4,778 18.2% 25.4% 35.1% West Coast 4,042 4,220 3,875 445 604 698 164 296 444 28 89 172 4,679 5,209 5,189 637 989 1,314 13.6% 19.0% 25.3% NorthWest 90,317 90,282 85,667 10,626 14,184 15,927 5,951 8,031 11,576 2,252 3,142 4,764 109,146 115,639 117,934 18,829 25,357 32,267 17.3% 21.9% 27.4% Tasmania 414,644 426,538 419,514 44,761 61,746 70,478 25,696 33,045 50,137 10,251 13,069 19,360 495,352 534,398 559,489 80,708 107,860 139,975 16.3% 20.2% 25.0% Data source: a ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011; bDCAC Tasmanian Population Projections 2008 where b indicates the mid series which have been shown to be the ‘best fit assumptions’ and are used by the Department of Treasury and Finance for population projections issued in August 2013 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 51 Population projections by region and local government area Projections are ‘not intended as predictions or forecasts, but are illustrations of growth and change in the population that would occur if assumptions made about future demographic trends were to prevail over the projection period’.26 This discussion around Table 7 refers to the last 6 columns of data for numbers and percentages of projected persons aged 65+ years. The first three data columns group together persons aged under 65 years, with the intervening columns providing actual numbers of persons as per the 2011 ABS Census of Population and Housing, and projections for the young, mid and older old categories. The emphasis herein is on the young old, mid old and the older old categories which are the subject of this report. These more particular data categories come into play when planners look to the possible location and extent of future services as more people move into the mid old and older old categories. These data will reveal where more assistance and support will predictably be needed. In 2030, should the medium series trend hold, it appears that in 12 of the 29 municipalities, three in 10 people will be aged 65+ years. In other words, some 30% or more of the population will be aged 65+ years. The major population centres however, located in the municipalities of Hobart, Launceston, Burnie and Devonport will, in this trend series, have younger population profiles with a greater spread of people across all age groups. One in six Tasmanians were aged 65+ years in 2011 based on the same year’s ABS Census; in 2020 there will be 1 in 5 aged 65+ years, and in 2030 it is projected that 1 in 4 Tasmanians will be aged 65 or more years. The regional breakdown for people aged 65+ years in 2030 is 23.8% of the Southern region population, 25.5% for the Northern region, and 27.4% of the total population residing in the North West. Table 8 uses the DCAC medium series projections to illustrate numbers and percentages of Tasmanians aged 65+ years for the years 2020 and 2030. The projections are based on the count of persons as at the time of the 2011 ABS Census of Population and Housing. The original DCAC projections were based on the 2006 Census, and have been updated so as to be closer to the target projection dates of 2020 and 2030. It would be helpful to relate the projected numbers of older Tasmanians to the 2011 census data regarding self assessed need for assistance with core activities. Figure 57, on page 105 and Table 51 on page 189 show the data for the young, mid and older old age groups. Almost 10% of the young old, approximately 20% of the mid old, and 53% of Tasmanians aged 85+ years currently require assistance with core activities. The number of people needing assistance with core activities by age group in each Tasmanian LGA is provided in Table 51 (Appendix B – Data tables). In 2011-2012, 36% of Tasmanians aged 65+ years received an aged care service. This figure is 80% for Tasmanians aged 80+ years. In 2011-12, 27% of Tasmanians aged 65+ years received HACC* 26 ABS 3222.0 Population Projections, Australia, 2006-2101 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 52 services. This number increased to 53% of Tasmanians aged 80+ years. A total of 5% of Tasmanians aged 80+ years received a CACP*, 0.7% received EACH* and 0.7% received EACHD.27 Table 8 LGAs ranked highest to lowest - projected (estimated) population growth Local Government Area Actual persons Projected aged 65+ years persons aged 65+ in order of 65+ years (2011) years population density 2011a 2020b 2030b Glamorgan Bay Break O’Day Central Coast Northern Midlands Dorset Tasman Southern Midlands Central Highlands Flinders Huon Valley Meander Valley George Town Kentish Sorell West Tamar King Island Clarence West Coast Glenorchy Devonport Kingborough Derwent Valley Circular Head Burnie Launceston Hobart Brighton Tasmania 2011a 2020b 2030b 26% 18% 22% 19% 17% 19% 22% 14% 17% 22% 16% 17% 18% 16% 15% 14% 17% 19% 17% 14% 17% 19% 15% 14% 13% 16% 16% 15% 9% 16% 34% 25% 28% 26% 25% 24% 25% 20% 23% 27% 22% 23% 23% 22% 20% 20% 21% 21% 21% 19% 20% 22% 20% 18% 17% 19% 18% 16% 12% 20% 45% 35% 33% 33% 33% 32% 32% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 28% 28% 27% 26% 26% 26% 26% 25% 25% 25% 24% 24% 22% 22% 21% 19% 15% 25% Spring Waratah-Wynyard Latrobe Actual % of population aged Projected % of 65+ years population aged 65+ years (2011) 1090 2496 1368 3958 2118 1306 524 861 395 174 2357 3201 1810 1077 915 1905 3755 292 8834 637 7496 4568 5140 1400 1073 3080 10137 7188 1437 80708 1746 3544 1978 5549 3200 1692 607 1136 563 244 3428 4725 2499 1563 1418 3027 5186 351 11289 989 9072 5595 7356 1970 1467 3945 12549 8806 2355 107860 2429 4778 2612 6998 4192 2248 790 1655 718 270 4870 6349 3292 2046 2092 4540 7010 420 14152 1314 11072 6522 9853 2628 1953 4898 15691 10950 3638 139975 Source: 2011 ABS Census and DCAC mid series (b) 27 see page 118 for definitions and Table 15 Aged care services, by age, Tasmania 2011-2012 (persons) FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 53 Further research is required to assess current trends of the mid old and the older old’s migration patterns – to reach a better understanding of the triggers and supports required to move residence to be nearer to services. In targeting further research some possible starting questions are: is there a strong preference or tendency to age in place; is there a preference or a need to stay within the municipality of current residence; and how strong are the motivators for wishing (or resisting) a move closer to major population centres? Urban/rural location On Census night 2011, 57% of Tasmania’s population lived outside the capital city, the highest proportion of all the states. By contrast in Western Australia this figure was 23%. Those living outside of Hobart tend to live close to population centres. This is true for the total population as well as the 65+ population. The biggest 65+ population centres at the LGA level are Launceston in the North, Devonport in the North West, and in the South, Clarence, Hobart, Glenorchy and Kingborough.28 Settlement size is not just about the size of the population. As settlement size increases, so too does the range of services and facilities provided. Large cities serve a greater catchment than their resident populations offering a range of higher order goods and services that are not available in smaller settlements or rural areas. For example, Hobart City operates as a service hub for many other LGAs and for some specialist service provision it is the centre for the whole State. Figure 15 shows the distribution of each age group by settlement size in Tasmania in 2011. For age groups over the age of 65 years, a pattern emerges. With increasing age (over 65 years), people were more likely to be living in cities and towns (Major Urban and Other Urban); and less likely to be living in villages (Bounded Localities) or in rural areas. The older old may move closer to service hubs, further away from rural and remote locations so as to increase their access to services. However, the young old (65-74 years) were less likely to be living in the city of Hobart, and more likely to be living in villages than those aged less than 65 years. This suggests an element of retirement migration with the loosening of workplace ties away from the largest city to small highamenity communities. As noted above this trend reverses in the mid old (75-84 years) and older old (85+ years) age groups with a trend toward living in larger urban centres and away from small communities and rural areas. 28 ABS, 2013, Presentation : on ‘Who are Tasmania’s older people?’ using data from ABS Census of Population and Housing 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 54 Figure 15 Urban/rural settlement size (% of age group), Tasmania 2011 Urban/rural settlement (% of age group), Tasmania, 2011 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Under 65 years 65 to 74 years Major Urban (100,000+ pop) Bounded Locality (200 - 999 pop) 75 to 84 years 85 years and over Other Urban (1,000 to 99,999 pop) Rural Balance Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Residential mobility Residential mobility varies with life stage. People tend to move residence most in their 20s and 30s with the propensity to move declining with age. Moving house in older age groups may be associated with loosening or severing of ties with a place of work due to retirement from the workforce or with the death of a spouse, disability or illness, or downsizing. Downsizing the home is an important issue facing older people. It has implications for people’s asset bases and capital gains. Moving house presents a significant amount of work and older people need targeted advice and support to achieve this. The decision to downsize is often taken due to maintenance issues with the home and garden, proximity to services, or the need to move into supported accommodation. According to the ABS, ‘a person's integration into their local community may be related to the length of time they have spent in their current dwelling, especially if their previous dwelling was in a different area’29. They suggest that people who are newcomers to an area may be less inclined to support their neighbours or ask neighbours for support when needed. In Tasmania in 2011, 42% of those under 65 years of age had moved to their current dwelling within the previous five years. For those aged 65-74 years the proportion fell to 20% and for those aged 75-84 years to 17%. However residential mobility for Tasmanians aged 85+ years increased to 24%. Residential mobility for these age groups for Tasmanian regions is depicted in Figure 16. 29 ABS, 2010 Australian Social Trends (Catalogue4102.0) FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 55 Figure 16 Residential mobility – changed address in last 5 years (% of age group), Tasmanian regions, 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Of all Tasmanians aged 65+ years in 2011, 19% had moved to their current dwelling in the previous five years. Residential mobility of older Tasmanians varied markedly across LGAs, ranging from 14% in Burnie to 28% in Latrobe, as indicated in Figure 17. The number of people by age group who had changed address between 2006 and 2011 in each Tasmanian LGA is included in Table 53 (Appendix B – Data tables). The migration of older people into new communities and LGAs has implications for planners and businesses in these areas. Of particular note are the communities where more than 20% of people of age 65+ have changed address. Over half of the LGAs in Tasmania are likely to experience continued migration of older people. There is a data gap here requiring additional research. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 56 Figure 17 Residential mobility – changed address in last 5 years (% of people 65+ years), Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 Changed address in past 5 years persons aged 65+ years, 2011 Latrobe Huon Valley Brighton Kentish Meander Valley Kingborough Waratah/Wynyard Northern Midlands Break O'Day Dorset Devonport Sorell Central Coast Hobart West Tamar Central Highlands Launceston Glamorgan/Spring Bay King Island Circular Head Southern Midlands Derwent Valley George Town Clarence Tasman Flinders Glenorchy West Coast Burnie 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% % of persons 65+ years (who stated) Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 According to the Tasmanian Population Health Survey, in 2009 68% of older Tasmanians (60+ years) had lived in their current neighbourhood or LGA for more than ten years and a further 15% had lived in their current neighbourhood or LGA for 5-10 years. Just over 17% of those aged 60+ years were newcomers to their current neighbourhood having moved there in the past five years. As Figure 18 shows, older people living in the North were slightly more likely to have lived in their current neighbourhood for a decade or more (70%), than those in the North West (66%) or South (67%). FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 57 Figure 18 Length of time lived in current neighbourhood or LGA, older Tasmanians by region (60+ years), 2009 *columns with transparent shading indicate RSE > 25% and must be used with caution Data source: DHHS Tasmanian Population Health Survey, 2009 Living arrangements Marital status In 2011 57% of Tasmanians aged 65+ years were married. This compares to 4% who had never married, 27% who were widowed, 10% who were divorced and 2% who had separated. For the young old (aged 65-74 years) the majority were married, but for mid old and older old the percentage of married or divorced people declined and being widowed increased with age. For Tasmanians aged 85+ years 28% were married, 4% had never married, 64% were widowed, 3% were divorced and only 1% were separated. Figure 19 outlines the marital status of Tasmanians 65+ years for the three different age categories. Actual numbers of residents in Local Government Areas as at 2011 enumerated by their marital status for each age group over 65 years are shown in Table 25 (Appendix B – Data tables). FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 58 Figure 19 Marital status of Tasmanians – young old; mid old; older old (% of age group), 2011 Marital status of Tasmanians aged 65+ years (% of age group), 2011 65 to 74 years 75 to 84 years Married Separated Divorced Widowed Never married Married Separated Divorced Widowed Never married Married Separated Divorced Widowed Never married 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 85 years and over Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Older Tasmanians living alone As the State’s older population increases so too does the number of older people living alone. In 2011, 12% of Tasmanians lived alone whereas the proportion of older Tasmanians living alone aged 65+ years is more than double at 27%. For people aged 85+ years this figure increased to 38%. This figure is above the Australian average of 34%. It is predicted that as the population continues to age the percentage of older people living alone will increase even further with the flood of baby boomers, many of whom have divorced, never married or will predictably outlive their spouses. Females in these older age groups are nearly twice as likely as men to be living alone. Figure 20 illustrates the number of older people living alone in each municipality while the map of Tasmania in Figure 21 reflects the proportion of people 65+ years living alone. It is interesting to note that the municipalities of Glenorchy, Launceston, King Island, Hobart and Flinders Island all have over 28% of people 65+ years living alone. (See Table 26 and Table 27 in Appendix B – Data tables for the number and percentage of people 65+ years in each municipality who live alone). FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 59 Figure 20 Older Tasmanians (65+ years) living alone, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 Older Tasmanians living alone (65+ years), LGAs, 2011 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 North West Coast (M) Waratah/Wynyard (M) Latrobe (M) King Island (M) Kentish (M) Devonport (C) Circular Head (M) Central Coast (M) Burnie (C) West Tamar (M) Northern Midlands (M) Meander Valley (M) Launceston (C) George Town (M) Flinders (M) Dorset (M) Break O'Day (M) Tasman (M) Sorell (M) South Southern Midlands (M) Kingborough (M) Huon Valley (M) Hobart (C) Glenorchy (C) Glamorgan/Spring Bay (M) Clarence (C) Derwent Valley (M) Central Highlands (M) Brighton (M) 0 NorthWest Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 The municipalities of Glenorchy, Launceston and Hobart should be considered separately to King Island and Flinders Island due to differences in their rural versus metropolitan characteristics. For the former grouping of LGA’s it is apparent that resident older Tasmanians have better access to services and social supports thereby potentially reducing their risks of social isolation. For the latter grouping, access to and choice of services for older Tasmanians would be more limited and this could well increase the risks of social exclusion. It is noted that Launceston has a large geographical area, and exhibits a mix of rural and metropolitan characteristics. Planners may have to consider the midterm to longer term impacts of residential mobility to this LGA and what this could mean for service delivery and resource allocation to accommodate the largest 65+ year old population that live alone. The risks of exclusion may be considered greater for many people that live alone as they age in the community. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 60 Figure 21 Older Tasmanians living alone (% of people aged 65+ years), 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Figure 22 shows that older Tasmanians in cities were much more likely to live alone than those living in smaller communities or in rural settings. People in the ‘older old’ age group (aged 85+ years) were more likely to live alone than people under 65 years of age, or in the young old or mid old age groups. This is likely to be a reflection of increased rates of widowhood. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 61 Figure 22 Older Tasmanians living alone – by settlement size, 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Older Tasmanians raising children In order to get an indication of the number of older Tasmanians raising children, the following ABS Census categories were used: Age group 65+ years; Persons counted as being at home on Census night; Couple or one-parent family with dependent children aged under 15 years; and One family household (so not three generations i.e. two families). Using these four combined variables, an estimated 818 older Tasmanians (65+ years) were raising children under 15 years at the time of the Census. Almost 30% of these older Tasmanians were living in one-parent families. Estimates of older Tasmanians raising children are provided for Tasmanian regions in Figure 23 and for LGAs in Table 28, p B-169. Implications of this data for both single and coupled grandparents are the need for awareness of the types of support available. Anecdotal evidence reported to COTA for this group indicates that this is an area of unique and complex needs. This group of people need a range of specialised support to enable them to participate fully in society and reduce the risk of social exclusion. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 62 Figure 23 Older Tasmanians raising children, Tasmanian regions, 2011 Grandparents raising grandchildren, Tasmanian regions, 2011 700 600 Persons 500 311 400 219 300 116 200 133 100 138 133 46 147 53 108 65 50 0 Couple families One parent families Couple families 'Grandparents' (65+) North One parent families Grandchildren (under 15) NorthWest South *Persons aged 65+ years counted at home in one-family households with dependent children aged under 15 years Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Cultural diversity The following section provides data and insights into both Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islanders living in Tasmania and people residing in Tasmania with Culturally and Linguistically Diverse backgrounds. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islanders in Tasmania There is evidence that many Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians experience disadvantage arising from historical, social and economic causes that in turn limits opportunity and choice. Despite improvements in some areas wide gaps remain in outcomes between Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander and non-Indigenous Australians (SCRGSP Steering Committee for the Review of Government Service Provision 2007). The Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population in Tasmania is younger with a median age of 22 years. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 63 According to the ABS in 2007, the life expectancy of Australian Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islanders was 67.2 years for males and 72.9 years for females. This is significantly lower than non-Indigenous Australians where the life expectancy for males was 78.7 years and for females it was 82.6 years.30 Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians tend to experience age-related health issues at an earlier age than non-Indigenous Australians. Life expectancy at birth differs across states and territories; however due to low numbers it is not possible to construct life tables in Tasmania. According to 2011 Census data the number of older Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people aged 65+ years in each LGA ranges from 91 people in Huon Valley to none in King Island. Precise numbers are graphed in Figure 24. For detailed numbers (across multiple age groups) see Table 29, on p B-170. This table provides the actual numbers of Tasmanians who identified (on Census night in 2011) as Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander for each LGA in the young old; mid old; and older old age groups. Figure 24 Indigenous older Tasmanians (65+ years), Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 Indigenous older Tasmanians (65+ years), 2011 Huon Valley (M) Glenorchy (C) Launceston (C) Central Coast (M) Clarence (C) Devonport (C) Circular Head (M) Kingborough (M) Waratah/Wynyard (M) Burnie (C) Brighton (M) Latrobe (M) Hobart (C) West Tamar (M) Glamorgan/Spring Bay (M) Southern Midlands (M) Derwent Valley (M) Meander Valley (M) Flinders (M) Tasman (M) Kentish (M) Central Highlands (M) Break O'Day (M) Northern Midlands (M) Dorset (M) West Coast (M) Sorell (M) George Town (M) King Island (M) 0 20 40 60 80 100 Persons Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 30 ABS, 2013, Presentation : on ‘Who are Tasmania’s older people?’ using data from ABS Experimental life table for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians, 2005-2007 (series 3302.0.55.003) FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 64 Table 9 indicates the proportion of the population who identify as Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander by age group. The table highlights the proportion of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people under 65 years, 65-74 years, 75-84 years and 85+ years. It also gives a total for the population aged 65+ years. It is interesting to note that of the population aged 65+ years in the Southern Region, the Huon Valley has the highest proportion of the population who identify as Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander (4%), in the North it is Flinders Island (10%) and in the North West Region it is Circular Head (4%). The proportion of the Tasmanian population aged 65+ years that identify as Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander is 1.2%. There is a marked difference between the proportion of older Tasmanians (1.2%), and the proportion of all Tasmanians (4.1%) who identify as Indigenous. Tasmania has a relatively high proportion of the population who identify as Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander, higher than the proportion of the Australian population across all age groups. Table 9 Indigenous status (Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander), % of age group, 2011 Region LGA Brighton Central Highlands Clarence Derwent Valley Glamorgan/Spring Bay Glenorchy Hobart Huon Valley Kingborough Sorell Southern Midlands Tasman South Break O'Day Dorset Flinders George Town Launceston Meander Valley Northern Midlands West Tamar North Burnie Central Coast Circular Head Devonport Kentish King Island Latrobe Waratah/Wynyard West Coast NorthWest Tasmania Australia Under 65 8.6% 5.8% 3.5% 4.7% 5.2% 5.1% 1.4% 9.8% 3.6% 4.7% 4.9% 5.9% 4.3% 4.7% 3.9% 19.7% 5.2% 3.6% 2.9% 3.1% 2.3% 3.5% 6.8% 7.1% 13.5% 6.4% 4.5% 2.2% 5.1% 7.5% 7.8% 7.1% 4.7% 3.0% 65 to 74 years 75 to 84 85 years Total 65+ Total years and over years population 3.0% 4.7% 0.7% 2.2% 1.6% 1.4% 0.5% 3.7% 1.1% 0.4% 3.2% 3.4% 1.4% 1.0% 1.0% 10.6% 0.5% 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.9% 0.9% 1.6% 2.3% 6.2% 1.5% 1.6% 0.0% 1.8% 1.8% 2.2% 2.0% 1.4% 0.9% 1.2% 0.0% 0.8% 0.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4% 5.0% 0.5% 0.8% 0.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 13.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.7% 1.1% 1.3% 2.6% 0.8% 1.8% 0.0% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 0.0% 5.6% 1.0% 0.3% 3.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 1.5% 0.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 2.3% 3.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 4.0% 0.9% 0.5% 2.2% 2.8% 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 10.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 1.9% 4.3% 1.2% 1.5% 0.0% 1.7% 1.6% 1.5% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7% 8.0% 5.4% 3.0% 4.2% 4.3% 4.4% 1.3% 8.9% 3.2% 4.1% 4.5% 5.2% 3.8% 3.9% 3.3% 17.6% 4.5% 3.2% 2.5% 2.7% 2.0% 3.0% 5.9% 6.2% 12.3% 5.5% 4.0% 1.8% 4.5% 6.4% 6.9% 6.1% 4.1% 2.7% Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 65 Older Tasmanians of Culturally and Linguistically Diverse (CALD) Backgrounds Tasmania has a diverse population with people from a wide range of cultural backgrounds. It has been shown that people aged 65+ are more culturally diverse than younger Tasmanians. • 84% of all Tasmanians are Australian born while 72% of Tasmanians aged 65+ years were born in Australia. 92% of young Tasmanians aged 0-24 years were born in Australia. • This change in demographic largely reflects changes in Australia's immigration policies over time, with many people aged 65 and over part of post World War 2 immigration. • Most people 65 years and over speak English at home. Where English is not spoken at home, the most common languages are European languages.31 Figure 25 shows the region of birth outside Australia for Tasmanians by age group. The most common regions of birth outside Australia for older Tasmanians were North West Europe and Southern and Eastern Europe, with these regions increasing in prevalence with age. Region of birth for Tasmanians aged under 65 years was much more evenly spread. Most noteworthy are the greater proportions of younger Tasmanians (under 65 years) who were born in regions of Asia or Africa, compared to the proportions of older Tasmanians (65+ years) born in these regions. Numbers and proportions of Tasmanians by age group for each region of birth are provided in Table 30 and Table 31 (Appendix B – Data tables). Figure 25 Region of birth – Tasmanians by age group (% of age group who stated a region of birth), 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 31 ABS, 2013, Presentation : on ‘Who are Tasmania’s older people?’ FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 66 Figure 26 shows the number of older Tasmanians speaking a language other than English at home for Local Government Areas in 2011. Table 32 (Appendix B – Data tables) provides data for older Tasmanians by broad language group of language spoken at home. Figure 26 Older Tasmanians (65+ years) speaking a language other than English at home, LGAs, 2011 Older Tasmanians speaking a language other than English at home Hobart (C) Launceston (C) Kingborough (M) Central Coast (M) Meander Valley (M) Burnie (C) Sorell (M) Northern Midlands (M) Latrobe (M) Dorset (M) Break O'Day (M) Tasman (M) King Island (M) West Coast (M) Central Highlands (M) 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Persons Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Members of the community with little or no English-language speaking skills may lack knowledge of services or experience difficulties in accessing them. For these older Tasmanians, this may present an issue for awareness and accessibility of services and support. This will have implications for the provision of these services. Of Tasmania’s 29 LGAs, almost half (14) had no older Tasmanian residents in 2011 with poor English speaking skills (Figure 27). The greatest numbers of older Tasmanians with poor English speaking skills lived in city LGAs, with very few in rural LGAs. English speaking proficiency level for those who speak another language at home by age group for LGAs is included in Table 33, p B-173. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 67 Figure 27 Older Tasmanians (65+ years) with poor English speaking skills, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 Older Tasmanians with poor English speaking skills, 2011 Hobart (C) Glenorchy (C) Launceston (C) Clarence (C) Kingborough (M) Devonport (C) Burnie (C) West Tamar (M) Meander Valley (M) Huon Valley (M) Brighton (M) Kentish (M) Central Coast (M) Dorset (M) Southern Midlands (M) West Coast (M) Waratah/Wynyard (M) Latrobe (M) King Island (M) Circular Head (M) Northern Midlands (M) George Town (M) Flinders (M) Break O'Day (M) Tasman (M) Sorell (M) Glamorgan/Spring Bay … Derwent Valley (M) Central Highlands (M) 0 50 100 150 200 Persons Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Figure 28 Language spoken at home by older Tasmanians (65+ years) with poor or no spoken English proficiency, 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Of the population of people aged 65+ years German is the most common other language spoken at home For older Tasmanians (65+ years) with little or no English-language speaking skills, the three most common languages spoken at home were Greek (82 people); Italian (74) and Polish (61). Figure 28 shows language spoken at home for older Tasmanians with poor spoken English proficiency. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 68 Key issues for older Tasmanians Qualitative research undertaken in 2012 by Council on the Ageing (COTA) Tasmania identified key issues for older Tasmanians as they age. This research involved the distribution of a COTA Have Your Say Postcard (Appendix C - COTA Have Your Say Postcard) which included a free reply paid address that enabled respondents to send the postcard back to COTA. A total of 470 postcards were returned. Question 3 of the postcard asked respondents an open ended question What are key issues for you as you age? A total of 22 key issues were identified and are outlined below (Table 10). Table 10 Key issues for older Tasmanians as they age What are key issues for you as you age? Health and Wellbeing Access to facilities and services Social connections, family and friendships Other Transport Housing and home maintenance Mobility and keeping physically active Cost of living Influence on or lobbying government and policy Money/financial security Medical care Security and safety Maintaining independence Respect and identity Activities Education and technology Needing assistance Communication Information Engaging in voluntary work Engaging in paid work Nothing Data source: COTA Key Issues for Older Tasmanians Summary Report, 2013 In 2012 older Tasmanians identified health and wellbeing; access to facilities and services; social connections, family and friendships; transport; housing and home maintenance as the most important issues as they age. 32 The TPHS (Tasmanian Population Health Survey – 2009 - DHHS) is to be conducted again in 2013 and will enable people’s health status and key issues to be compared over time. 32 Jamieson, Linda, 2013, Key Issues for Older Tasmanians, Council on the Ageing (COTA) FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 69 Socioeconomic status Socioeconomic status (SES) is a combined economic and sociological measure of a person's work experience and social position in relation to others based on income, education and occupation. When analysing SES, an individual’s income as well as the combined household income, earners' education and occupation are also examined.33 A simpler definition of socioeconomic status refers to a person’s access to material and social resources as well as their ability to participate in society. Access and participation are key concepts that underpin the Tasmanian Government’s Inclusive Ageing: Tasmania 2012 – 2014 Strategy. They are amongst the recurrent themes explored throughout the baseline data and are explored in the following chapters. In looking at older Tasmanians’ access to material and social resources, and by definition SES, it is important to measure and compare key attributes such as: income as well as financial security; the level and type of education attained and literacy levels; type of labour and labour force participation; housing location, type of housing and security of tenure; and access to social services (medical, transport, legal, advocacy, information) and cultural events. The above list is indicative, not exhaustive. A wealth of data is presented in the following chapters to help us better understand the dynamics of socioeconomic advantage and disadvantage. The listed variables are investigated individually (not as an aggregate data set). Once a multi layered website is developed with mapped graphics, quick statistics and layers of data, a deeper level of analysis will enable narratives about older people’s varied socioeconomic status. Age is explored in all instances of data analysis by comparing the three age groups (the young old, the mid old and the older old) with key variables or indicators. In some instances, to show important variations, it has proven valuable to compare these age groups to the rest of the population. Exploring SES is complex, requiring an analysis of Tasmania’s age structure (current and projected across regions and LGAs) while showing: relative proportions of income levels and financial security; where older people live; whether they live alone or not; in urban or rural dwellings; general insights into residential mobility and migration patterns; communication abilities as shown in literacy and language ability; workforce participation (voluntary and paid work); and whether people need assistance for daily living, which for the purposes of this report is an indicator of SES. Exploring people’s financial security, their debt levels and their capacity to make ends meet is depicted in the Life’s Basics chapter (Chapter 2). Overall, compared to younger age cohorts, the 33 National Center for Educational Statistics. 31 March 2008. http://nces.ed.gov/programs/coe/glossary/s.asp FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 70 60+ year old Tasmanian population is better equipped to manage their resources, as outlined in data relating to financial insecurity and food in Chapter 2. To enable discussion of the attributes that construct socio-economic status, the ABS has constructed the Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA) including an Index of Relative Socioeconomic Disadvantage (IRSD). People living in the most disadvantaged areas may be vulnerable to risk factors for social exclusion, including limited access to medical and transport services, thus potentially leading to isolation from the broader society34. This is an important consideration for infrastructure planning. A discussion about the SES profile of older people becomes meaningful when referring to the SEIFA index and social exclusion risk factors. Social exclusion risk factors are referred to in the next section and SEIFA data is discussed in the Security section later in the report. Individuals or families who are socioeconomically disadvantaged will be more challenged by the financial costs associated with accessing daily goods and services such as food, utilities, transport, entertainment, medical treatment, cultural events, and post-compulsory education. Other constructs such as cultural or family attitudes towards the value of participating in cultural activities may also inhibit people from low socioeconomic backgrounds from being included in society. Social inclusion and the risks presented by social exclusion Older people’s social inclusion (compared across age groups) is explored in the following pages in Social Exclusion Risk Factors and in the chapter on Connection and Contribution (Chapter 4). The onset of the Industrial Age, the consequent outcomes of the technological revolution and the ‘modernisation’ of the western family and social relationships has had huge repercussions for older people and their social connections and integration. The breakdown of the extended family has been well documented and the isolation of older people is evident as nuclear families move further away from their parents or are less involved with their older parents due to work or social commitments. Participation in society today has different meanings compared to earlier times when grandparents were integral to running of households and raising of families. In the past grandparents often lived in the household or very close by. The contemporary picture now sees many older people actively participating in activities and interests outside of the home and extended family. Social exclusion risk factors ‘The social inclusion agenda aims to give every Australian the help they need to access the support and opportunities our society has to offer’35. ‘It’s about the relationships in life that make us healthy, happy and productive’36. These quotes from both the Australian and Tasmanian Governments outline the basis of the social inclusion agenda: an agenda which has gained 34 ABS 'Health and Socioeconomic Disadvantage', Australian Social Trends, cat. no. 4102.0, ABS, Canberra. 35 Social Inclusion Unit (Commonwealth), 2011, What is Social Inclusion?, viewed 13 July 2011 http://www.socialinclusion.gov.au/about/what-social-inclusion 36 Adams, D., 2009, Op Cit FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 71 significant prominence throughout government and the broader community, both nationally and internationally over the past decade.37 The opposite of social inclusion is social exclusion which can be interpreted as reduced capacity and opportunities to: Connect with productivity and economic growth (jobs and skills), manifesting in; o poverty and financial hardship o unemployment and/or casual and marginal attachment to employment o low literacy and numeracy skills o disengagement from education and training. Connect with community (social and civic participation), as a result of; o being unable to influence or engage in decisions that most affect them and the places in which they live o barriers to volunteering o barriers to meaningful cultural and recreational activities o stigma and discrimination. Connect to services that support health and wellbeing, to address; o food insecurity o adequate and appropriate housing o exposure to and/or participation in risk behaviours o social isolation due to mental illness, disability, stigma and discrimination o weak support networks, including family, friends, professional and community services38. The Tasmanian Social Inclusion Unit identified the above set of social exclusion risk factors and associated indicators that could be measured and reviewed over time. A subset of these indicators, identified as being most relevant for older Tasmanians and those for which data was available are presented in Table 11 Selected social exclusion risk factors – persons, TasmaniaTable 11 and Table 12. Table 11 lists the social exclusion risk factor and the number of Tasmanians at risk in total, for those aged under 65 years and persons aged 65+ years (where data is available). Table 12 has the same format but shows the proportion of the Tasmanian population at risk for each of the social exclusion risk factors, as well as the proportion of those aged under 65 years and 65 years and over (where data is available). Figure 29 compares proportions for some selected social exclusion risk factors. Factors for which older Tasmanians (65+ years) are more at risk than younger Tasmanians include: poverty and financial hardship; poor literacy skills; digital exclusion and by definition, older people living alone. 37 Jamieson, Linda, 2011, A Sense of Belonging: Social Inclusion Issues for Older People in Tasmania, Council on the Ageing (COTA), unpublished report 38 Social Inclusion Unit, 2013, Social Exclusion Risk Factors, Department of Premier and Cabinet, unpublished report FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 72 Figure 29 Selected social exclusion risk factors - % of age group, Tasmania 80% Selected social exclusion risk factors, Tasmania, 2011 70% % of age group 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Under 65 years 65 years and over Total population Data sources: refer to Table 12 The percentages shown in Figure 29 are drawn from Table 11 and Table 12 The Tables, which include a range of variables and data from multiple sources, contain condensed information regarding the key risk factors for social exclusion (by actual numbers as at the 2011 Census), some population estimates and the data sources from which the information is drawn. Some data sources are more ‘reliable’ than others and this is referred to in the discussion about data variability. The social inclusion risk factor ‘poverty and financial hardship’ refers to individuals earning less than $400 per week. Both the ABS and the definitions used by the Tasmanian Government’s Social Exclusion Risk Factors use this earnings figure as the benchmark for the poverty line. According to 2011 Census data, just over 58% of Tasmanians aged 65+ years live under the poverty line of $400 per week. Approximately 35% of all younger Tasmanians live below this agreed poverty and financial hardship benchmark with just over 30% of all Tasmanians living on or below the poverty line. Further analysis is required at the LGA level targeting the more vulnerable communities as defined at the ABS Statistical Area level where low income levels are aligned with the SEIFA index. New or expanded areas of research may help alleviate risks to both younger and older Tasmanians defined as being at risk of social exclusion. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 73 Adult literacy is key to people’s access to social and economic participation and according to an assessment of literacy, numeracy and problem solving skills for Australians aged 15 – 74 years, conducted in 2012, 45% of all adult Tasmanians were judged as having poor literacy. With governments increasing their focus and priority funding in this important policy area, it can be expected that there have been some substantial improvements in literacy levels. There remains a clear ‘gap’ in data collected to measure and predict improvements in adult literacy. Internet access and usage are also important indicators in relation to social inclusion/exclusion and compound other risk factors that people may experience. Internet access and usage patterns for older Tasmanians are covered in another chapter (Chapter 5). In addressing the exclusion risks for older Tasmanians, it is important to consider all the variables outlined in Table 11 and the inference that these may compound considerably for people who have a disability, and/or live alone. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 74 Table 11 Selected social exclusion risk factors – persons, Tasmania n/a = data not available FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 75 Table 12 Selected social exclusion risk factors – % of age group, Tasmania n/a = data not available FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 76 CHAPTER 2 Life’s basics The Second World Assembly on Ageing stated it is essential ‘that persons everywhere age with security and dignity and continue to participate in their societies as citizens with full rights’39. The following chapter profiles older Tasmanians’ capacity to make ends meet and includes data on income, housing, housing affordability, social disadvantage and debt, and levels of financial and food security. The majority of older Tasmanians own their own home, but there are still many who don’t and are paying a significant proportion of their limited income on rent. Higher housing costs means less money for food and utility costs. There has been an increase of over 8,000 or 15% in Tasmania’s age pension recipients since 2006. According to 2011 ABS Census data, 63.7% of Tasmanians aged 65+ years live under the poverty line of $400 per week, compared with just over 30% of all Tasmanians. According to the ABS General Social Survey 2010, almost 21% of Tasmanians aged 55-64 years were living in households reliant on government pensions and allowances as the main source of income. The proportion rose dramatically to 66% for Tasmanians aged 65-74 years; and to 81% for Tasmanians aged 75+ years. The majority of Tasmanians aged 65 years or more in 2011 lived in one-family households. More than 60% of all older Tasmanians in the three Tasmanian regions live in one family households. In Tasmania in 2011, 21% of older people aged 65+ years were counted at home in households (older people households) experiencing housing stress. In four LGAs one-quarter or more older people’s households were experiencing housing stress: Glamorgan/Spring Bay (29%) and Hobart (26%) in the South and Meander Valley (25%) and Launceston in the North (25%). The proportion of households with no consumer debt increased with age for all age groups over 45 years, with a peak of 96% for Tasmanians aged 75+ years. There is a marked decline in the proportion of Tasmanians 65+ years who feel safe walking alone in their local area after dark. As the State’s older population increases, so too does the number of older people living alone. In 2011, 12% of Tasmanians lived alone whereas the proportion of older Tasmanians living alone aged 65+ years is more than double at 27%. For people aged 85+ years, this figure increased to 38%, higher than the Australian average of 34%. 39 United Nations, 2002, Political Declaration and Madrid International Plan for Action on Ageing, http://social.un.org/index/Portals/0/ageing/documents/Fulltext-E.pdf, viewed 28 June 2013 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 77 The three major municipalities of Glenorchy, Clarence and Hobart have the greatest number of people living alone but have better access to services and support, thereby limiting their risk of social isolation. (pp 49-50) Income The incomes of individual older Tasmanians aged 65+ years by region, as compared to all older Australians are illustrated Figure 31. Interestingly, older Tasmanians in the Southern region were less likely to be receiving low incomes (less than $400 per week) and more likely to be receiving incomes between $400 and $2,000 than those in the North and North West regions, Tasmania or Australia. The proportion of older Tasmanians in the Southern region with a weekly income over $2,000 was lower than in Australia but higher than the other Tasmanian regions. Numbers of older Tasmanians per LGA represented in the different income categories are provided in Table 34 (Appendix B – Data tables). According to the ABS General Social Survey 2010, almost 21% of Tasmanians aged 55-64 years were living in households reliant on government pensions and allowances as the main source of income (Figure 30). The proportion rose dramatically to 66% for Tasmanians aged 65-74 years; and to 81% for Tasmanians aged 75+ years. Figure 30 Tasmanians (by age group) living in households with government pensions & allowances as main source of income, 2010 Data source: ABS General Social Survey 2010 This level of weekly income should be taken into consideration whenever there are increasing costs in goods, services and utilities. Any price increases without commensurate increase to pension levels puts financial pressure on older Tasmanians. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 78 Figure 31 Individual weekly income of older Tasmanians (65+ years) by region (% of age group), 2011 Income of older Tasmanians, 2011 35% % of persons aged 65 years and over 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% North North West South Tasmania Australia Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Table 13 outlines the number and proportion of older Tasmanians aged 65+ years with an individual income of less than $400 per week. In 2011, 64% of older Tasmanians received incomes below $400 compared to 62% of older Australians. The proportion of older Tasmanians receiving low individual incomes varied markedly across Tasmanian LGAs, ranging from 46% in Hobart to 77% on the West Coast. This indicates the reliance on some form of Government assistance, mostly the aged pension. Most areas of the State show high proportions (greater than 50%) of persons with less than $400 of income per week. The exception is the municipality of Hobart (45.7%). FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 79 Table 13 Older Tasmanians with individual weekly income less than $400, 2011 Persons 65+ income <$400 Region LGA /week Brighton 956 Central Highlands 257 Clarence 4,671 Derwent Valley 907 Glamorgan/Spring Bay 590 Glenorchy 4,539 Hobart 2,987 Huon Valley 1,521 Kingborough 2,549 Sorell 1,189 Southern Midlands 561 Tasman 340 South 21,067 Break O'Day 862 Dorset 868 Flinders 93 George Town 698 Launceston 6,066 Meander Valley 1,969 Northern Midlands 1,268 West Tamar 2,157 North 13,989 Burnie 1,830 Central Coast 2,552 Circular Head 659 Devonport 2,774 Kentish 654 King Island 149 Latrobe 1,126 Waratah/Wynyard 1,680 West Coast 446 NorthWest 11,867 Tasmania 46,987 Australia 1,669,189 * % of persons aged 65+ years who stated income Persons 65+ income <$400 /week (%)* 72.7% 72.0% 57.2% 70.9% 60.2% 67.2% 45.7% 69.3% 53.7% 67.0% 72.3% 71.0% 59.6% 68.7% 70.6% 57.8% 73.4% 65.5% 67.5% 65.5% 62.5% 66.1% 68.1% 71.0% 66.2% 67.1% 75.6% 57.3% 66.7% 72.6% 77.0% 69.3% 63.7% 62.1% Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 In 1908 legislation for the aged pension was introduced in Australia, with payments commencing in December 1910. The pension was means-tested with reference to a 'flat-rate' age, and was paid to men from age 65 in 1909, while women’s eligibility began at age 60. The aged pension was also subject to a residence qualification of 25 years.40 The low uptake of the aged pension at that time correlated with the average life expectancy in 1910 of Australian men at 55.2 years and women at 58.8 years. 41 Government expenditure on aged pensions, at that time, was a small portion of Australia’s General Revenue. In 2013, Australians who are male and aged 65 years and over, or female and aged 64.5 years and over and meet an income and assets test are eligible for an Age Pension through the Federal Government’s Department of Social Services. 40 ABS, 1988, Year Book Australia, History of Pensions and Other Benefits in Australia (Catalogue 1301.0) Australian Institute of Health and Wellbeing: Life expectancy (years) at selected ages, selected years 1901–1910 to 2006–2008, viewed 28 May 2013 http://www.aihw.gov.au/ 41 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 80 The full rate of the Centrelink Age Pension as at June 2013 was $366.85 per week for single people; and $276.55 each per week for people living as a couple. The number of Tasmanian recipients of Centrelink Age Pensions from 2006 to 2011 is illustrated in Figure 32. As at 30 June 2011, there were 61,470 Tasmanian recipients of the Centrelink Age Pension. This was an increase of over 8,000, or 15% since 2006. (Figure 32) The Department of Veterans’ Affairs (DVA) provides an Age Pension to eligible persons. The number of older Tasmanians in receipt of a DVA Age Pension is very low equalling 100 people as at 30 June 2011. Between 2006 and 2011, the number of recipients of this pension decreased by 35% (Figure 33). Figure 32 Aged Pension recipients – Centrelink, Tasmania, 2006 – 2011 Figure 33 Aged Pension recipients – Department of Veterans’ Affairs, Tasmania, 2006-2011 Aged Pensions - Centrelink, Tasmania, 2006-11 60,000 200 58,998 59,482 61,470 53,431 54,337 56,648 Number Number 80,000 Aged Pensions - Dept of Veterans' Affairs, Tasmania, 2006-11 40,000 20,000 153 150 144 136 121 106 100 2010 2011 100 50 0 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2006 2007 2008 2009 Data source: ABS National Regional Profile - Tasmania, 2007-2011 and 2006-2010 The proportion of Tasmanians by age group living in households where the main source of income was government pensions and allowances in 2010 is shown in Figure 30 on page 81. The source of this data set is the ABS General Social Survey 2010, which collected information about ‘personal and household characteristics for people aged 18 years and over resident in private dwellings, excluding the ... remote areas of Australia, from August to November 2010’. This is a sample survey so the results are subject to sampling error. Housing Housing type The majority of older Tasmanians aged 65+ years (73%) lived in private dwellings that were owned or being purchased in 2011. Another 12% lived in rented private dwellings and 6% in non-private dwellings. Public housing rentals are classified as private dwellings rented from the State Government’s Housing Tasmania and are included in the 73% of older Tasmanian who rent in the wider community. As at the Census in 2011, 1,797 (2.4%) older Tasmanians were living in retirement villages; 3,426 (4.6%) in nursing homes; and 799 (1.1%) in accommodation for the retired or aged (hostel type FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 81 accommodation with common living and eating facilities provided for retired or aged people who are generally in good health and capable of looking after themselves). Housing and accommodation for older Tasmanians aged 65+ years are summarised by number in Figure 35, and by percentage in Figure 34. Numbers of older Tasmanians by tenure and location of private dwellings and type of non-private dwelling for each Tasmanian LGA are included in Table 45 and Table 46, and (Appendix B – Data tables). Figure 34 Older Tasmanians – housing and accommodation (No.), 2011 Number of older Tasmanians - housing and accommodation 799 267 635 726 436 Owned or purchasing 4260 Owned or purchasing retirement village 3426 Owned, purchasing or renting caravan park/marina 8479 Renting 132 Renting - retirement village 635 Other tenure - retirement village 54306 Other tenure Nursing home Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 82 Figure 35 Older Tasmanians – housing and accommodation (%), 2011 % of Older Tasmanians - housing and accommodation 1.08% 4.62% 0.86% 0.36% Owned or purchasing 5.75% Owned or purchasing retirement village Owned, purchasing or renting caravan park/marina Renting 0.59% 0.98% 11.44% Renting - retirement village Other tenure - retirement village Other tenure 0.18% 0.86% 73.29% Nursing home Accommodation for aged Other non-private dwelling Not stated Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Non private dwelling include hospitals or institutions, hotels, motel and hostels, prisons and convents or monasteries. The majority of older Tasmanians (65+ years) lived in one-family households in 2011, with more than 60% in each of the three Tasmanian regions living in these households. There were also a large number of Tasmanians aged 65+ years who lived in a lone person household (29%); with another 6% in non-private dwellings (Figure 36). FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 83 Figure 36 Family/household type of older Tasmanians (65+ years) counted at home on Census night, 2011 Family/household type of older Tasmanians, 2011 70% % of older Tasmanians (65+ years) 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% One family household Multiple family household North Lone person household NorthWest Group household South Non-classifiable household Non-private dwelling Tasmania Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Public housing The main data of relevance for public housing are tenancy and applicant data. Data shows that there are 3,623 tenants (32%) aged 60+ years residing in public housing in Tasmania as at 28 February 2013. This reflects primary tenants, not family members. Data shows that there are 305 applicants (13%) on the public housing wait list aged 60+ years as at 28 February 2013. This reflects primary applicants. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 84 Data is also represented in Table 14 below. Table 14 Public housing tenants and applicants on waiting list, Tasmanians aged 60+ years, 2013 Primary tenants aged 60+ years Number Percentage (%) of all primary tenants/applicants 3,623 32% Primary applicants aged 60+ years on waiting list 305 13% Data source: Department of Housing and Human Services, unpublished data, 2013 Housing affordability Housing affordability is increasingly becoming a concern in many areas. This section looks at housing costs (mortgage or rent) for households in which older Tasmanians (65+ years) were counted on Census night 2011. Figure 37 outlines the distribution of mortgage costs for Australia, Tasmania and Tasmanian regions. This shows that mortgage repayments in households of older people in Tasmania are more likely to be at the lower end of the scale and less likely to be at the high end, than for older people in Australia as a whole. This was also the case when comparing Tasmanian regions - mortgage repayments tended to be more affordable for older people households in the North West than in the South or North. Numbers of older people by level of mortgage cost for Tasmanian LGAs are provided in Table 35 (Appendix B – Data tables). FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 85 Figure 37 Mortgage repayment (monthly) – (% of persons 65+ years counted at home on Census night in mortgagee households), 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Weekly rent for older person households in Tasmania showed a similar trend when compared to Australia (Figure38). Regional trends in renting affordability are less clear than those for mortgage affordability. Numbers of older people by cost of renting for Tasmanian LGAs are provided in Table 36 (Appendix B – Data tables). FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 86 Figure 38 Rent (weekly) – (% of persons 65+ years counted at home on Census night in renting households), 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Housing stress Housing stress has long been considered an aspect of vulnerability for households. Households are considered to be experiencing housing stress if their housing cost (rent or mortgage repayment) constitutes 30% or more of household income. Levels of housing stress are an important indicator of housing affordability. Note that levels of housing stress discussed here are an underestimate of actual levels due to the method of calculation utilised. Figure 39 shows the predominance of housing stress in older people households in each Tasmanian LGA by region. Three LGAs had no older people households experiencing housing stress in 2011 – Central Highlands in the South, Flinders in the North and King Island in the North West. In two southern LGAs one-quarter or more older people’s households were experiencing housing stress: Glamorgan/Spring Bay (29%) and Hobart (26%). In the Southern region, Hobart and Kingston’s housing stress can be attributed to the percentage of mortgage stress, at 31.6% and 35% respectively. Kingston’s mortgage stress is more than three times the rate of their rental stress of 11 %. Hobart’s mortgage stress percentage is more than double the rental stress percentage (14.4%). FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 87 Figure 39 Housing stress (% of persons 65+ years counted at home on Census night in renting or purchasing households), 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Homelessness According to A Social Inclusion Strategy for Tasmania (Adams 2009) the impacts of homelessness cannot be overestimated, ‘In addition to causing significant personal distress and impacting on health and wellbeing, homelessness prevents people from accessing opportunities to participate in the economic and social life of our community.’ The ABS has developed six groupings for presenting estimates of people who were likely to have been homeless on Census night. These groups are: persons in improvised dwellings, tents or sleeping out; persons in supported accommodation for the homeless; persons staying temporarily with other households; persons in boarding houses; persons in other temporary lodgings; and persons living in severely crowded dwellings (ABS Estimating homelessness 2013). FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 88 The ABS also compiles estimates from Census data for specific key groups of people who may be marginally housed, but who are not classified as homeless. Those groups are: persons living in other crowded dwellings; persons in other improvised dwellings; and persons who are marginally housed in caravan parks (ABS Estimating homelessness 2013). The marginal housing groups are limited to groups that can be obtained from the Census. According to the ABS estimates of homeless and marginally housed Tasmanians, there were 104 older Tasmanians aged 65+ years who were homeless on Census night, and 65 marginally housed older Tasmanians (Figure 40). There were fewer homeless and marginally housed people aged 65-74 years and 75+ years than there were in any other age group. Estimated numbers of Tasmanians aged under and over 65 years, by type of homelessness or marginal housing, by gender are provided in Figure 41. Figure 40 Homelessness and other marginal housing by age group (persons), Tasmania, 2011 Homelessness and other marginal housing by age group, Tasmania, 2011 250 Persons 200 150 110 100 74 43 50 22 0 237 193 202 255 240 45–54 55–64 65–74 75 and over Age group (years) Homeless Other marginal housing Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 89 Figure 41 Homelessness and other marginal housing category by age and sex (persons), Tasmania, 2011 Homelessness and other marginal housing by age and sex, Tasmania, 2011 700 600 Persons 500 400 300 200 100 Homeless Under 65 Male Under 65 Female Marginally housed in caravan parks Living in other improvised dwellings Living in other crowded dwellings Living in 'severely' crowded dwellings In other temporary lodging Staying in boarding houses Staying temporarily with other households Supported accommodation for the homeless Improvised dwellings, tents or sleeping out 0 Other marginal housing 65 and over Male 65 and over Female Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Security Financial and food security Financial security can be measured by such factors as the ability to raise $2,000 in an emergency and the ability to buy food. Figure 42 indicates that nearly 10% of Tasmanians aged 60+ years were not able to raise $2,000 in an emergency and 1.5% reporting that they were unable to purchase more food after running out of food during the preceding year. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 90 Figure 42 Financial insecurity and food insecurity, Tasmanians aged 60+ years, 2009 Financial insecurity and food insecurity*, population 60 years and over and total population, Tasmania 2009 11.1% Age 60+ 9.6% Age 18+ 4.9% 1.5% Financial insecurity Food insecurity Source: DHHS Tasmanian Population Health Survey, 2009 *financial insecurity: unable to raise $2000 in an emergency; food insecurity : ran out of food during the preceding 12 months and had no money to buy more Further analysis of the inability to raise $2,000 in an emergency indicates that this figure is higher for people aged 60 years and over in single person households (14%) than in multiple person households (8%) (Figure 43). By Tasmanian region, the proportion of people aged 60+ years unable to raise $2,000 in two days in an emergency was highest in the North West (11.6%) and lowest in the South (8.0%) (Figure 44). Figure 43 Tasmanians (60+ years) – ability to raise $2,000 within 2 days in an emergency – single and multiple person households, 2010 % of Tasmanians aged 60+ years Ability to raise $2,000 within 2 days in an emergency, older Tasmanians (60+ years) 100% 87.5% 92.8% 80% 60% 40% 20% 11.0% 6.1% 0% Yes Single person households No Multiple person households Data source: ABS, General Social Survey (GSS), 2010 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 91 Figure 44 Tasmanians (60+ years) – ability to raise $2,000 within 2 days in an emergency (%), Tasmanian regions, 2009 % of Tasmanians aged 60+ years Ability to raise $2,000 within 2 days in an emergency, older Tasmanians (60+ years) 100% 86.6% 86.0% 89.7% 88.0% 80% 60% 40% 20% 10.8% 11.6% 8.0% 9.6% 0% Yes North No North West South Tasmania Data source: DHHS Tasmanian Population Health Survey, 2009 Household expenses Household expenditure on various goods and services for older people households and all Tasmanian households are depicted in terms of dollar value in Figure 45 and as a proportion of total household goods and services expenditure in Figure 46. In dollar terms, older people households on average spend less on all goods and services than the average for all Tasmanian households. However, older people households on average spend a greater proportion of their household goods and services expenditure on food and non-alcoholic beverages; medical care and health expenses; household services and domestic fuel and power. Goods and services that older people households spend proportionately less on include transport; clothing and footwear and alcoholic beverages. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 92 Figure 45 Household expenditure – goods and services ($) – older people households and all households, Tasmania, 2009-10 Average expenditure per week ($) Household expenditure - goods and services ($), Tasmania, 2009-10 $200 $180 $160 $140 $120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 Broad expenditure group Households - reference person aged 65+ years All households Data source: ABS Household Expenditure Survey 2009-10 *columns with transparent shading indicate RSE > 25% and must be used with caution Figure 46 Household expenditure – goods and services ($) – older people households and all households, Tasmania, 2009-10 % of total goods and services expenditure Household expenditure - goods and services (%), Tasmania, 2009-10 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Households - reference person aged 65+ years All households Data source: ABS Household Expenditure Survey 2009-10... *columns with transparent shading indicate RSE > 25% and must be used with caution FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 93 Health and medical expenses Household expenditure on medical care and health expenses by age group, illustrated in Figures 47 and 48 reveals an interesting pattern. Medical and health expenditure increased with age between the ages of 25 and 54, declining thereafter. While 25-34 year olds spent an average of less than $30 per week, this increased to $64 for 45-54 year olds but fell to $42 for older Tasmanians aged 65+ years (even though this age group was less likely to report being in good health with no disability) (see Health and Wellbeing chapter). This drop in expenditure could be attributed to the increased uptake of Government assisted pharmaceutical products and medical services. The trend is clearer in Figure 47 indicating the proportion of total goods and services expenditure that is spent on medical care and health expenses. The proportion spent on health and medical care increases with increasing age – from 2.6% of goods and services expenditure for 25-34 year olds to 5.1% for 55-64 year olds, then rising sharply to 7.4% for those aged 65 years and over. The decrease in dollar value of expenditure on health may be due to declines in income over the age of 65 years, rather than declines in need for medical care and health expenses, or the increased uptake of Government assisted pharmaceutical products and medical services. Figure 47 Household expenditure on medical care and health expenses ($) by age group, Tasmania, 2009-10 Household expenditure on medical care and health expenses ($), Tasmania, 2009-10 % of total goods and services expenditure 8% 7.4% 7% 6% 4.8% 5% 5.1% 4.4% 4% 2.6% 3% 2% 1.0% 1% 0% 15–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65 and over Age group of household reference person (years) Data source: ABS Household Expenditure Survey 2009-10 *columns with transparent shading indicate RSE > 25% and must be used with caution FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 94 Figure 48 Household expenditure on medical care and health expenses (% of total goods and services expenditure) by age group, Tasmania, 2009-10 Household expenditure on medical care and health expenses (%), Tasmania, 2009-10 % of total goods and services expenditure 8% 7.4% 7% 6% 5% 4.4% 4.8% 5.1% 4% 2.6% 3% 2% 1.0% 1% 0% 15–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65 and over Age group of household reference person (years) Data source: ABS Household Expenditure Survey 2009-10 *columns with transparent shading indicate RSE > 25% and must be used with caution The ABS Health Survey: First Results highlights the uptake of private health insurance. 41% of people aged 65 -74 years do not have private health insurance. As people age this percentage increases to 45% with no private health insurance for people aged 75 – 84 and rises once more to 59% for people aged 85+ years.42 Socioeconomic disadvantage and debt Socio Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA) is a suite of four indices developed by the ABS which each summarise a different aspect of socioeconomic conditions by geographic area (ABS 2039.0). Each index is derived from ABS Census of Population and Housing 2011 variables. The four SEIFA indices are: Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage – a continuum of advantage (high values) to disadvantage (low values) derived from variables related to both advantage and disadvantage, like households with low income and people with a tertiary education. Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage – derived from variables related to disadvantage, such as low income, low educational attainment, unemployment, and dwellings without motor vehicles. Index of Economic Resources – focuses on variables such as income, housing expenditure and assets of households. Index of Education and Occupation – derived from variables relating to the educational and occupational characteristics of communities, for example the proportion of people with a 42 ABS, 2013, Presentation : on ‘Who are Tasmania’s older people?’ using data from ABS Australian Health Survey: First Results, 20112012 Tasmania (4364.0.55.001) FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 95 higher qualification, or those employed in a skilled occupation (Australian Bureau of Statistics 2008b). SEIFA scores for a large area such as a Local Government Area present an average of socioeconomic conditions in that area, and therefore mask diversity within the area. The smallest geographic areas for which SEIFA 2011 scores are available are Statistical Area Level 1 (SA1s). There were 1,445 SA1s in Tasmania in 2011. To estimate the number and proportion of older Tasmanians living in disadvantaged areas, this report used ABS Census 2011 and ABS SEIFA 2011 data. Tasmanian disadvantaged areas were identified in the lowest 5% of Australian SA1s on the SEIFA Index of Relative Socioeconomic Disadvantage. In 2011, a total of 43,042 Tasmanians lived in disadvantaged areas as defined above. Of these, 6,155 were older Tasmanians aged 65+ years. The number of older Tasmanians (65+ years) living in disadvantaged areas in Local Government Areas is illustrated in Figure 48. Of Tasmania’s 29 Local Government Areas, eight did not include any ‘disadvantaged areas’. These were Central Highlands, Hobart, Kingborough43, and Tasman in the South; Dorset and Meander Valley in the North; and King Island and Latrobe in the North West. Glenorchy and Launceston were the LGAs with the highest number of older people living in disadvantaged areas, each exceeding 1,100 people. All other municipalities had much lower numbers and this is clearly shown in Figure 49. The numbers of older Tasmanians living in disadvantaged areas for LGAs and regions are provided in Table 38, Appendix B – Data tables. 43 Although Kingborough does not feature in the SEIFA, it does have housing stress indictors FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 96 Figure 49 Older Tasmanians (65+ years) living in disadvantaged areas (SA1s), 2011 Older Tasmanians living in disadvantaged SA1s,2011 Glenorchy Launceston Clarence Brighton Devonport George Town Derwent Valley Sorell Break O'Day Central Coast Waratah/Wynyard Kentish West Tamar Huon Valley Burnie Southern Midlands West Coast Circular Head Northern Midlands Glamorgan/Spring Bay Flinders Latrobe King Island Meander Valley Dorset Tasman Kingborough Hobart Central Highlands 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 Persons Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 and ABS SEIFA 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 97 Figure 50 Tasmanians living in households with no consumer debt (% of age group), 2010 People living in households with no consumer debt, Tasmania, 2010 100% 90% % of persons 60% 95.9% 65–74 75 or over 78.8% 80% 70% 94.2% 66.2% 59.6% 50% 49.8% 48.6% 25–34 35–44 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 18–24 45–54 55–64 Age group (years) Data source: ABS General Social Survey 2010 Figure 50 graphs the proportion of Tasmanians by age group living in households with no consumer debt in 2010 (according to the ABS General Social Survey 2010). The age group with the lowest proportion of consumer debt-free households was 35-44 years where less than half of households had no consumer debt. The proportion of households with no consumer debt increased with age for all age groups over 45 years, with a peak of 96% for Tasmanians aged 75+ years. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 98 CHAPTER 3 Accessibility The breadth of issues concerning older Tasmanians’ access to services and social justice have become matters of broader public interest, with policy initiatives emerging at all levels of government focussed on how we can work toward a more inclusive society for an ageing population. This chapter of Facing the Future looks at evidence about the extent to which older Tasmanians have access to: transport (a key variable when analysing people’s inclusion versus exclusion or participation versus isolation), generalised health and social services, aged care services, and social participation. All of these variables can be interwoven. When aggregated and analysed together these characteristics tell stories scaling from inclusion and equity, to isolation and discrimination. Stories vary from individual to individual and location to location, but clear social trends emerge. Tasmania, though tracking quite well, needs to improve the key mechanisms of access for older Tasmanians – namely transport and affordable, long term housing. In more recent years, with social change increasing, (not the least being the dispersal of the extended family), clear issues have emerged with regard to access to services, social equity and social justice. Government policy makers have been working toward an age-friendly socioeconomic agenda, mindful of basic human rights, with efforts being made to redress a raft of discriminatory laws. Historically in Australia, older people lived in closer connection with families (inter and intragenerationally) in communities and participated broadly in society. Put simply, older people had more social visibility. Now, with: the pace of modernity, the broader geographic dispersal of the family unit, increased focus on economic engagement, the relentless media promotion of youthful stereotypes , and more people living in larger, alienating or isolating urban contexts, a renewed focus on how (and the extent to which) older people access basic social safety nets is imperative. The concepts of access and equity are cornerstones of modern democracy, and form the foundations of most policy discourse and international diplomatic relations. They inform legislative change and socio-economic planning. Having access to the ‘basics’ is the platform, possibly even a springboard, to being a valuable, visible, productive and proud citizen. In light of this, let us investigate some data on older Tasmanians’ access relevant to social inclusion. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 99 The majority of older Tasmanians remain in their own home as they age. A total of 93% of people aged 65+ years live in their own home, which decreases to 79% for people aged 80+ years. Approximately 36% of people aged 65+ years received an aged care service in 2011-12, increasing to 80% of Tasmanians aged 80+ years. The propensity for Tasmanians needing assistance to live alone increased with age – 15% in 65-74 years age group; 24% in 75-84 years age group; rising to 27% for those aged 85 years and over. Difficulty in accessing service providers in the community was experienced by 28% of those aged 65-74 years, and 23% of those aged 75+ years. Tasmanians are more reliant on motor vehicles than other Australians. 95% of Tasmanians aged 6574 years currently hold a driver’s licence, with the number decreasing to 37% of people aged 85+ years. The ABS Disability, Ageing and Carers Survey in 2009 estimated the level of unmet need for assistance with core activities. Results indicated that a total of 7,000 Tasmanians needed more assistance than was being received, with 2,500 of these aged 65+ years. Transport Maintaining a driver’s licence is of incredible importance to people as they age. 46,017 or 95% of Tasmanians aged 65 to 74 years currently hold a driver’s licence, with the number decreasing to 3,899 or 37% of people aged 85+ years. The gap between males and females increases beyond 74 years, with men retaining their drivers’ licences for significantly more years. Figure 51 illustrates the declining proportion of people holding a driver’s licence with an increase in age. Numbers and proportions of Tasmanians holding a driver’s licence by age group are included in Table 49 (Appendix B – Data tables). FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 100 Figure 51 Tasmanians aged 65+ years holding a driver’s licence (%), 2013 Data source: DIER, Unpublished data, 2013 Available services and activities may not be readily accessible by those with limited transport options. Public transport is limited in many, mainly rural, areas of Tasmania. If households do not own a motor vehicle this may be a major barrier to their ability to participate in their community or to access services and activities. Figure 52 depicts the proportion of older Tasmanians who were counted at home on Census night in households without a motor vehicle. This shows that the proportion of people without access to a motor vehicle increases with increasing age. While only 5% of Tasmanians aged 65-74 years lived in a household without access to a motor vehicle, for those aged 85+ years the proportion increased to 35%. Interestingly, Tasmanians in the 65-74 and 75-84 year age groups were less likely to live in a household without access to a motor vehicle than Australians in the same age groups. This could be an indicator of better public transport infrastructure in other states and territories. In short, Tasmanians are more reliant on motor vehicles than other Australians. This needs to be acknowledged in infrastructure planning at local, state and federal levels of government. The numbers of older people by age group and household access to a motor vehicle for each Tasmanian LGA are included in Table 50 (Appendix B – Data tables). FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 101 Figure 52 Persons counted at home on Census night in households with no motor vehicles Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 The ABS General Social Survey 2010 results indicated that younger (18-24) and older Tasmanians (65+) were more likely to have transport access issues than other age groups. A lower proportion of respondents aged under 25 years and over 65 years indicated they are less able to easily get to places needed, than those aged between 25-64 years (Figure 52). Figure 53 Transport – can easily get to places needed, by age group, Tasmania, 2010 Transport - can easily get to places needed, Tasmania, 2010 100% 90% 90.6% 91.7% 89.0% 91.8% 86.3% 80.1% 80% 70.1% % of persons 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 18–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75 or over Age group (years) Data source: ABS General Social Survey, 2010 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 102 Disability access - Transport Access Scheme The Transport Access Scheme provides assistance to people who have a permanent and severe disability and is administered through the Tasmanian Government. Members of this Access Scheme are eligible for taxi concession cards, wheelchair access taxis and disability parking permits. Data from the Department of Infrastructure, Energy and Resources in April 2013 outlines the following in relation to members of the Transport Access Scheme: The Transport Access Scheme has 24,464 current members over the age of 60 years. These 24,464 members make up 77% of the total Tasmanian membership of approximately 31,500. Of the members over 60 years, 15,599 are female (63.8%) and 8,865 are male (36.2%). 1,230 (5%) have Wheelchair Accessible Taxi (WAT) concession cards. 14,044 (57.4%) have a Taxi Concession Card for use in conjunction with paper vouchers. 22,490 (91.9%) members have been issued a Disability Parking Permit. Services According to the ABS General Social Survey 2010, older Tasmanians were less likely to have difficulty accessing service providers than all other age groups. As Figure 54 indicates, 28% of those aged 65-74 years and 23% of those aged 75+ years indicated that they experienced difficulty accessing service providers. This compares to 35%-43% of other age groups. Figure 54 Difficulty accessing service providers (% of age group), 2010 Difficulty accessing service providers, Tasmania, 2010 100% 90% 80% % of persons 70% 60% 50% 40% 41.2% 41.8% 43.1% 34.6% 37.8% 28.3% 30% 22.7% 20% 10% 0% 18–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75 or over Age group (years) Data source: ABS General Social Survey, 2010 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 103 The DHHS Tasmanian Population Health Survey in 2009 also asked respondents about access to community services. Access to community services did not appear to be a problem for the majority of older Tasmanians aged 60+ years (Figure 55). Figure 55 Access to community services, older Tasmanians 60+ years (% of age group), 2009 Access to community services/resources, older Tasmanians (60+ years) 100% 90% % of Tasmanians aged 60+ years 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% no, not at all North not often North West sometimes South yes, definitely Tasmania Data source: DHHS Tasmanian Population Health Survey, 2009 *columns with transparent shading indicate RSE > 25% and must be used with caution Disability ABS Census of Population and Housing included a number of questions that enabled the measurement of peoples’ ‘need for assistance with core activities’. This variable was developed in order to measure the number of people with a severe or profound disability, defined as ‘those people needing help or assistance in one or more of the three core activity areas of self-care, mobility and communication, because of a long-term health condition (lasting six months or more), a disability (lasting six months or more), or old age’ (Australian Bureau of Statistics 2006). Figure 56 compares disability by age for Tasmania and Australia. Levels of disability begin to increase dramatically from 70-74 years; from 10% for 70-74 year age group to 70-75% for those aged 95 years and older. Disability by age is very similar for Tasmania as for Australia as a whole, with only marginally higher rates in Tasmania of disability for those aged 35-64 years and 90 years and over. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 104 Figure 56 Need for assistance with core activities (% of age group) – Tasmania and Australia, 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Figure 57 graphs the sharp rise in the need for assistance with core activities as people age with very little variation across Tasmanian regions. The majority of Tasmanians aged 85 years and over (53%) require assistance with core activities due to disability, long-term health conditions or old age. The number of people needing assistance with core activities by age group in each Tasmanian LGA is provided in Table 51 (Appendix B – Data tables). Figure 57 Need for assistance with core activities (% of age group), 2011 % of age group (who stated) Need for assistance with core activities, by age group, 2011 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Under 65 South 65-74 years North NorthWest 75-84 years Tasmania 85+ years Australia Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 105 Of all Tasmanians needing assistance with core activities in 2011, 18% lived alone; compared to 15% for Australia as a whole. Older Tasmanians (65+ years) needing assistance were more likely to live alone (22%) than those under 65 years (13%); and older Australians requiring assistance (19%). People over 65 years of age in the South needing assistance were more likely than those in the North or North West to live alone (Figure 58). The propensity for Tasmanians needing assistance to live alone increased with age – 15% in 65-74 years age group; 24% in 75-84 years age group and rising to 27% for those aged 85 years and over. The number of people by age group needing assistance with core activities who live alone in each Tasmanian LGA is included in Table 52 (Appendix B – Data tables). % of persons needing assistance with core activities Figure 58 Persons who live alone and need assistance with core activities (% of persons needing assistance), 2011 Persons who live alone and need assistance with core activities, by age group, 2011 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Under 65 South 65-74 years North NorthWest 75-84 years Tasmania 85+ years Australia Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing 2011 Figure 59 depicts the disability status of Tasmanians over the age of 60 years, while Figure 60 shows the proportion of each age group by their disability status. This clearly shows a trend toward increasing disability with age. As Tasmanians age they are more likely to report disability and much more likely to report profound or severe core activity limitations. Mild or moderate core activity limitation increased gradually with age up to the 85-89 years age group, falling sharply for those aged 90 years and over as core activity limitations became profound or severe. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 106 Figure 59 Disability status by age group (persons), Tasmania, 2009 Disability status by age group (60+ years), Tasmania, 2009 20,000 Persons 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90 and over Age group (years) Profound or severe core activity limitation Schooling or employment limitation Moderate or mild core activity limitation No reported disability *persons may have both a core activity limitation and a schooling or employment restriction Source: ABS Disability, Ageing and Carers Survey 2009 Figure 60 Disability status (% of age group), Tasmania 2009 % of age group Disability status as % of age group (60+ years), Tasmania, 2009 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90 and over Age group (years) Profound or severe core activity limitation Schooling or employment limitation Moderate or mild core activity limitation No reported disability *persons may have both a core activity limitation and a schooling or employment restriction Source: ABS Disability, Ageing and Carers Survey 2009 Of all Tasmanians with a profound or severe core activity limitation 38% were aged 65+ years; and of those with a moderate or mild core activity limitation 48% were aged 65+ years. Percentages by age group are shown in the following graph (Figure 61). FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 107 Figure 61 Age groups 60+ years (% of persons with disability status), Tasmania 2009 % of disability status Age group as % of disability status (60+ years), Tasmania, 2009 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90 and over Age group (years) Profound or severe core activity limitation Schooling or employment limitation Moderate or mild core activity limitation No reported disability Source: ABS Disability, Ageing and Carers Survey 2009, *persons may have both a core activity limitation and a schooling or employment restriction The ABS Disability, Ageing and Carers Survey in 2009 estimated the level of unmet need for assistance with core activities. Results indicated that a total of 7,000 Tasmanians needed more assistance than was being received, with 2,500 of these aged 65+ years (Figure 62). It is hoped that major reforms in both the Aged Care and Disability sectors over the last year should go some way to address this unmet need. More home care packages have been introduced for Aged Care, and Disability Care will move to a focus on packages designed for individual needs Figure 62 Persons with a disability needing more assistance with core activities than currently received, Tasmania, 2009 Persons with a disability needing more assistance with core activities than currently received, Tasmania, 2009 3,000 2,500 2,500 2,400 2,100 Persons 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 0–34 years 35–64 years 65 years and over Age group (years) Source: ABS Disability, Ageing and Carers Survey 2009 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 108 Aged Care As some people age they become frail and have an increased need for care and support services. The Commonwealth Department of Social Services fund and administer a range of aged care services that are provided by a variety of organisations including church groups, local councils and community based organisations. Home based services are provided through the following programs: Home and Community Care (HACC), Community Aged Care Packages (CACP), Extended Aged Care at Home (EACH) and Extended Aged Care at Home for people with dementia (EACHD). Residential aged care facilities provide permanent and respite accommodation to older people who require ongoing care and support. Table 15 outlines the number of Tasmanians aged 65+ years who regularly receive aged care services. This data also include Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islanders who are 50+ years. Table 15 does not include non-Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Tasmanians under the age of 65 years who receive aged care services. Approximately 36% of people aged 65+ years received an aged care service in 2011-2012. This figure increased to 80% of Tasmanians aged 80+ years. A total of 27% of Tasmanians aged 65+ years in 2011-2012 received HACC services and this number increased to 53% of Tasmanians aged 80+ years. In 2011-2012 a total of 5% of Tasmanians aged 80+ years received a CACP, 0.7% received EACH and 0.7% received EACHD. It is important to highlight that the majority of older Tasmanians remain in their own home. A total of 93% of people aged 65+ years live in their own home, which decreases to 79% for people aged 80+ years. In 2011-2012 7% of Tasmanians aged 65+ years lived in a residential aged care facility. This number increased to 21% of Tasmanians aged 80+ years. Table 15 Aged care services, by age, Tasmania 2011-2012 (persons) Age group Residential aged CACP (years) care -permanent EACH EACH Dementia HACC 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ TOTAL 24 33 35 37 50 56 235 8 13 30 36 45 23 155 2,658 3,409 4,755 5,592 3,961 2,133 22,508 215 374 588 1,131 1,621 1,827 5,756 54 119 236 385 411 316 1,521 Data sources: Department of Health and Ageing 2011- 2012 HACC MDS Annual Bulletin and Productivity Commission Report on Government Services 2013 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 109 Table 16 lists the instances of assistance of HACC services provided to all Tasmanians. HACC services are provided to frailer older people 65+ years and younger people with disabilities under the age of 65 years. In 2011-2012, people younger than 65 years accounted for 22% of clients receiving HACC services. The most utilised of the HACC services, after assessment, was domestic assistance (17%), followed by client care coordination (14%), transport (9%) and nursing care received at home (7%). Table 16 HACC instances of agency assistance, type of HACC services received, Tasmania, 2011-12 Assistance Type # of instances Assessment 14,242 Domestic Assistance 13,716 Client Care Coordination 11,222 Transport 7,173 Nursing Care (Home) 5,924 Home Maintenance 4,678 Social Support 4,100 Personal Care 3,746 Care Counselling Support 3,023 Case Management 2,878 Meals (Home) 2,522 Allied Health Care (Centre) 2,390 Centre-Based Day Care 2,051 Meals (Centre) 1,871 Nursing Care (Centre) 1,393 Allied Health Care (Home) 1,342 Respite Care 715 Carer Counselling Support 620 Formal Linen Service 75 Home Modification 56 Other Food Services 10 TOTAL 81,978 Data source: Productivity Commission Report on Government Services 2013 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 110 CHAPTER 4 Connection and contribution Supportive networks provide people with resources and experiences that make life meaningful. Without supportive networks people can miss out on the essentials of life and the skills that they need to be productive in their communities. They also miss out on opportunities to have a say on issues that affect them and on enjoying safe relationships that give them the confidence to reach their potential. Supportive local networks create community bonds that encourage identity, trust and belonging in local communities, which in turn encourages more stable population settlement. This section includes data about older Tasmanians’ feeling connected to and being part of their communities. Data sets highlight volunteering; feelings of trust, safety and being valued in the community; contact with their family and community; and community and social involvement. The ABS Census does not collect data on people’s thoughts or feelings. Therefore many of the data sets in this section are sourced from various surveys. Surveys always include an element of sampling error, as they use responses from a sample to generalise about the population. All survey data included here has a relative standard error (RSE) of less than 25% unless indicated otherwise. For information about the reliability of specific survey data please see the data source for RSE values to assess fitness for purpose before proceeding to use these data sets. A majority of older Tasmanians reported that they had attended at least one cultural and leisure event in the previous year. Attending a movie, concert, theatre or other performing arts event was found to steadily decline as people age. Visiting a public library was relatively constant across all age groups and was the most popular leisure venue for those aged 75 years and over. Participation in social groups peaked initially in the 25-34 year age group (65%) and then in the 6574 year age group (62%). Participation in the workforce is important to many older people and many wish to continue to work beyond the traditional years of retirement but they may be faced with barriers that make this difficult. More than one third of Australians aged 55 years and over has experienced age related discrimination. The labour force participation rate for Tasmanians aged 65+ years in 2011 was 9.1% compared to 11% for all older Australians. Older Tasmanians are more likely to work part-time, however 45% of Tasmanians aged 65+ years worked for more than 30 hours per week in 2011, with over one third of these working in excess of 45 hours per week. The majority of older Tasmanians aged 60+ years indicated that they felt valued by society (52%), with another 26% feeling valued sometimes. Just over 15% of older Tasmanians did not feel valued by society often, or at all. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 111 The volunteering rate for young old Tasmanians (65-74 years) was 27%, higher than the 21% for the under 65 years but tapering off to 18% for the mid old (75-84 years) and 7% for the older old (85+ years). An estimated 818 older Tasmanians (65+ years) were raising children under 15 years at the time of the 2011 Census. Almost 30% of these older Tasmanians were raising the children on their own. Family and community support As Tasmania’s Social Inclusion Strategy points out, ‘A strong community has strong social networks that provide day-to-day support as well as providing help in times of crisis.’44 Data from both the ABS General Social Survey (2010) and DHHS Tasmanian Population Health Survey (2009) provide some insights into support provided to, and by, older Tasmanians in times of crisis. Almost 95% of Tasmanians felt able to get support in time of crisis from persons living outside the household. The proportion declined for Tasmanians aged 75+ years to 87% (Figure 63). Figure 63 Ability to get support in time of crisis from persons living outside the household (% of age group), Tasmania 2010 % of persons Ability to get support in time of crisis from persons living outside the household, Tasmania, 2010 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 93.4% 18–24 98.4% 25–34 96.1% 35–44 95.5% 45–54 93.3% 95.3% 55–64 65–74 87.4% 75 or over Age group (years) Data source: ABS General Social Survey, 2010 The most common sources of support for Tasmanians in times of crisis were family (81%), friends (62%), and neighbours (30%). Figure 64 shows the proportion of each age group that turned to these sources of support in times of crisis. 44 Adams, 2009 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 112 Figure 64 Main sources of support in times of crisis (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010 Main sources of support in times of crisis, Tasmania, 2010 100% 90% 80% % of persons 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75 or over Age group (years) Friend Categories are not mutually exclusive Neighbour Family member Data source: ABS General Social Survey, 2010 The Tasmanian Population Health Survey (DHHS 2009) also provides data on sources of help when in need. In this survey results indicated that more Tasmanians aged 60+ years identified friends as a source of help (93% definitely or sometimes), than they did family (88%) or neighbours (82%) (Figure 65). Figure 65 Sources of help when in need (% of 60+ years), Tasmanian regions, 2009 Sources of help when in need, older Tasmanians (60+ years) 90% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Friends North Family North West South yes, definitely sometimes not often no, not at all yes, definitely sometimes not often no, not at all yes, definitely sometimes not often 0% no, not at all % of Tasmanians aged 60+ years 80% Neighbours Tasmania *columns with transparent shading indicate RSE > 25% and must be used with caution Data source: DHHS Tasmanian Population Health Survey, 2009 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 113 Over one-quarter of Tasmanians provide support in times of crisis to other relatives living outside the household. The proportion by age group providing support peaks in the 55-64 year age group (38%) and decreased to a low of 11% for Tasmanians aged 75+ years (Figure 66). Figure 66 Provides support in time of crisis to relatives living outside the household (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010 Provides support in time of crisis to other relatives living outside the household, Tasmania, 2010 100% % of persons 80% 60% 40% 20% 16.8% 25.9% 22.7% 32.7% 38.2% 31.5% 11.1% 0% 18–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75 or over Age group (years) Data source: ABS General Social Survey, 2010 Participation Workforce participation Participation in the workforce is important to many older people. The ABS refers to workers aged 45 years and over as ‘mature age’; the data in this discussion reflects this broader age. Often people wish to continue to work beyond the traditional years of retirement, but they may be faced with barriers that make this difficult. This decline in workforce participation is reflected in the data shown in the report. Some reasons for this decline are due to a personal wish to leave the workforce, but other reasons include the following difficulties: regaining employment after a period of unemployment; reduced opportunities to retrain or other types of workforce development; age discrimination experienced relating to employment; and financial considerations such as access to workers compensation insurance, taxation of superannuation funds and other issues. In a recent report released by the Australian Human Rights Commission: ‘Fact or fiction? Stereotypes of older Australians’ 2013; the researchers identified that most community and business respondents feel that age discrimination is likely to occur in the workplace (88% of community respondents and 92% of business respondents).45 In the same report it was shown that more than one third of Australians aged 55 years and older have experienced age related discrimination, with 67% of Australians aged between 54-65 and 50% of those aged 65+ years being turned down for a position. 45 Australian Human Rights Commission, 2013, Fact or fiction? Stereotypes of older Australians FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 114 Labour force participation rates decrease with increasing age over the age of 45-54 years as shown in Figure 68. A sudden decline is evident between the age groups of 55-64 years and 65-74 years reflecting the common retirement window around the age of 65 years. Eligibility for the age pension for people applying in 2013 is currently 65 years for men and 64.5 years for women; and eligibility for access to preserved superannuation benefits is currently between 55 and 60 years of age dependent on year of birth however there are many older people who continue to work well past the time they are eligible to access the aged pension. In Tasmania the labour force participation rate for those aged 65+ years in 2011 was 9.1% compared to 11% for all older Australians (Table 39, Appendix B – Data tables). The labour force participation rate was lower in Tasmania than Australia as a whole for all age groups over 45 years; as well as for the total population aged 15+ years. In Tasmanian regions, labour force participation for all age groups between 45 and 74 years were lowest in the North West and highest in the South, as shown in Figure 67. Figure 67 Labour force participation by age group, Tasmanian regions, 2011 Labour force participation, 2011 % of age group (who stated LF status) 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 45-54 years 55-64 years South North 65-74 years NorthWest 75-84 years 85 years and over Tasmania Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Figure 68 depicts labour force status of Tasmanians in age groups over 45 years. It can be clearly seen that with increasing age the proportions of employed and unemployed decline and the proportions of ‘not in the labour force’ and ‘not stated’ increase, with a sharp change in each around 65 years. Labour force status by age group for LGAs is provided in (Table 41 Appendix B – Data tables). FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 115 Figure 68 Labour force status by age group, Tasmania, 2011 Labour force status by age group, Tasmania, 2011 100% 90% % of age group 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 45-54 years Employed 55-64 years Unemployed 65-74 years 75-84 years Not in the labour force 85 years and over Not stated Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 The number of wage and salary earners in 2010 in Tasmania aged 65+ years was 5,777 persons (Figure 69). This was an increase of just over 600 wage and salary earners, or 12% since 2007. In 2010 people aged 65+ years comprised 2.6% of wage and salary earners in Tasmania, a higher proportion than in each of the three preceding years (Figure 70). Those in the ‘pre-retirement’ age group of 55-64 years also included an increasing proportion of wage and salary earners between 2007 and 2010, increasing from 13.5% to 14.9%. Figure 69 Wage and salary earners by age group, Tasmania, 2007-2010 Wage and salary earners by age group, Tasmania, 2007-10 60,000 50,000 Persons 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 15–24 years 25–34 years 35–44 years 45–54 years 55–64 years 65 years and over Age group 2007 2008 2009 2010 Data source: ABS National Regional Profile - Tasmania, 2007-2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 116 Figure 70 Age distribution of wage and salary earners, Tasmania, 2007-2010 % of wage and salary earners Age distribution of wage and salary earners Tasmania, 2007-10 100% 2.4% 2.2% 2.3% 2.6% 90% 13.5% 13.6% 14.1% 14.9% 23.1% 23.1% 23.5% 23.6% 22.5% 22.2% 22.0% 21.9% 19.5% 19.7% 19.8% 19.9% 19.0% 19.3% 18.2% 17.1% 2007 2008 2009 2010 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 15–24 years 25–34 years 35–44 years Year 45–54 years 55–64 years 65 years and over Data source: ABS National Regional Profile - Tasmania, 2007-2011 In 2011, there were more than 7,200 Tasmanians aged 65+ years who were employed in the workforce and another 136 unemployed and looking for work. Older Tasmanians (65+ years) in the workforce were more likely to work part-time (less than 30 hours) than Tasmanians aged under 65 years (Figure 71). However, 45% of older Tasmanians in the workforce worked for more than 30 hours per week in 2011, with over one-third of these working in excess of 45 hours per week. Hours worked by older Tasmanians by age group and by region are provided in Table 40 (Appendix B – Data tables). Figure 71 Hours worked per week, Employed Tasmanians under and over 65 years of age, 2011 % of employed persons in age group Hours worked per week, employed Tasmanians under and over 65 years of age, 2011 60% 48.1% 50% 40% 32.4% 30% 20% 14.9% 19.7% 17.3% 28.5% 22.8% 16.2% 10% 0% Under 65 years 0-14 hours 15-29 hours 65 years and over 30-44 hours 45+ hours Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 117 Industries in which large proportions of older employed Tasmanians worked in 2011 were agriculture, forestry and fishing; health care and social assistance; and retail trade. Older Tasmanians (65+ years) in the workforce were more likely to be working in agriculture, forestry and fishing (16% of older employed Tasmanians); transport, postal and warehousing (7%); and professional, scientific and technical services (8%), than Tasmanians under 65 years of age (4.5%, 4%, and 5% respectively) (Figure 72). The numbers of people employed in each industry by age group in each Tasmanian region are provided in Table 42 (Appendix B – Data tables). Figure 72 Industry of employment, Tasmanians under and over 65 years of age, 2011 Industry of employment, Tasmanians under and over 65 years of age, 2011 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Under 65 years 65 years and over Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Over one-third of employed older Tasmanians were self-employed owner managers, compared to less than 14% of employed people aged under 65 years. Older employed Tasmanians were also more likely to be contributing family workers than were younger employed Tasmanians. Employment type of older and younger employed Tasmanians is depicted in Figure 73. Numbers of employed Tasmanians by employment type and age groups over the age of 45 years for each Tasmanian region are in Table 43, (Appendix B – Data tables). FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 118 Figure 73 Employment type, Tasmanians under and over 65 years of age, 2011 % of employed persons in age group Employment type, Tasmanians under and over 65 years of age, 2011 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 84.9% 52.8% 36.8% 13.7% 10.4% 1.4% Under 65 years 65 years and over Tasmania Owner managers (incl self employed) Employee not owning business Contributing family workers Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Older employed Tasmanians were less likely to be employed by National, State or Local Government than those under 65 years of age; and the great majority were employed in the private sector in 2011. Figure 74 shows that almost 90% of employed Tasmanians aged 65+ years were employed in the private sector. Numbers of employed Tasmanians by employment sector and age groups over the age of 45 years for each Tasmanian region are provided in Table 44 (Appendix B – Data tables). Figure 74 Employment sector, Tasmanians under and over 65 years of age, 2011 % of employed persons in age group Employment sector, Tasmanians under and over 65 years of age, 2011 100% 88.5% 80.6% 80% 60% 40% 14.7% 20% 3.0% 1.7% 2.0% 8.2% 1.3% 0% Under 65 years National Government State/Territory Government 65 years and over Local Government Private sector Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 119 Tasmania’s ageing demographic profile and workforce implications There are several factors that make Tasmania’s population ageing a long term challenge to Government and Tasmania’s economic planning. While some other states are experiencing the economic conditions to cope with future population ageing, Tasmania faces the challenge of growth in total dependency exceeding growth in labour productivity.46 Lisa Taylor, workforce demographer, recommends that the Tasmanian Forests Intergovernmental Agreement (TFIA) be used as an instrument to increase labour force participation and target supportive industries in appropriate regional developments. ‘While the contraction in Tasmania’s working age population suggests a lack of available labour and skills, only a persistently low and falling rate of unemployment (over time) indicates a true lack of labour... Almost 40% of Tasmania’s potential labour force is not participating in the labour market.’47 The Government’s commitment to industry diversification under the TFIA, taken with the large untapped supply of labour not participating in the labour market, presents an opportunity for Tasmania to safeguard itself against ageing population structure and the associated rising dependency ratios. Simply put there is an opportunity to increase productive investment, and labour force participation for younger and older people, in industries the evidence points to as being the ‘best fit.’ Furthermore, an emphasis on both the skills and willingness of the ‘young old’ to continue with economic participation, mentoring younger people and of course re-skilling, will enhance Tasmania’s productivity and economic capacity. Creating strategic investments in responsive industries requires planning and collaboration between business and industry analysts with all levels of government. Supporting ‘best fit’ industries is an imperative but of great importance also is the creation of targeted legislation and infrastructure that supports those ‘best fit’ industries. With reference to the ‘young old’ and their work participation goals and preferences, the literature points to there being a need for reform in work cover legislation, along with a need to grow the discourse and practice around flexible work hours. People’s retirement plans are changing. This is arguably related to cost of living pressures. Increased work participation and productivity is a distinct possibility with the younger old delaying their retirement. This trend coupled with supportive government initiatives and legislation allowing for progressive reduction in work hours, (prior to full retirement) could positively impact Tasmania’s workforce potential, the transfer of skills and overall economic productivity. 46 47 Taylor, L, 2013, p 4 Ibid, p 3 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 120 Social involvement Regular social contact with others is a central element of social inclusion. In 2010, 26% of Tasmanians reported that they had daily face to face contact with family or friends living outside the household. The proportion increased to 86% for face to face contact within the past week. Daily face to face contact tended to decrease with age, from a high of 38% for 18-34 year olds to 20% of the 65-74 year age group and 21% for those aged 75+ years (Figure 75). The likelihood of contact within the past week was highest for 25-34 year age group (91%), and lowest for 65-74 year age group (81%), increasing for those aged 75+ years to 88%. Figure 75 Social contact – face to face contact with family or friends living outside the household (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010 Face to face contact with family or friends living outside the household, Tasmania, 2010 100% 90% 80% % of persons 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 18–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75 or over Age group (years) Every day In last week *Persons who have daily contact automatically have weekly contact, Data source: ABS General Social Survey, 2010 The Tasmanian Population Health Survey asked respondents about the number of people spoken to yesterday. Only 2% of older Tasmanians aged 60+ years had not spoken to anyone the previous day, while 37% had spoken to ten or more people. Interestingly, older people in the North West were more likely to have spoken to more than ten people (41%) and less likely to have spoken to fewer than five (23%) than those in the North and South (Figure 76). FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 121 Figure 76 Social contact – number of people spoken to yesterday, older Tasmanians (by region 60+ years), 2009 % of Tasmanians aged 60+ years Number of people spoken to yesterday, older Tasmanians (60+ years) 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% none at all fewer than 5 North North West 5 to 9 South 10 or more Tasmania *columns with transparent shading indicate RSE > 25% and must be used with caution. Data source: DHHS Tasmanian Population Health Survey, 2009 Civic participation A majority of Tasmanians (60%) actively participated in social groups in the previous year, with lower proportions participating in community support groups (38%) and civic and political groups (18%). Participation in community support groups and in civic and political groups peaked in the 45-54 year age group (49% and 28% respectively), with lower participation by both younger and older Tasmanians (Figure 77). Participation in social groups however, had two peaks: the first in the 25-34 year age group (65%) and the second in the 65-74 year age group (62%). Lowest participation in social groups was in the youngest (18-24 years) and oldest (75+ years) cohorts; and in the ‘preretirement’ age group of 55-64 years. Figure 77 Active participation in groups in last 12 months (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010 Active participation in groups in last 12 months, Tasmania, 2010 % of persons 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 18–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75 or over Age group (years) Social groups Community support groups Civic and political groups *columns with transparent shading indicate RSE > 25% and must be used with caution Data source: ABS General Social Survey, 2010 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 122 According to the ABS General Social Survey, in 2010 64% of Tasmanians had participated in a community event in the previous six months. The age group with the highest proportion who had attended a community event was 25-34 years (71%), with a decreasing proportion in older age groups, the lowest (51%) for 75+ year age group (Figure 78). Figure 78 Participation in a community event in past 6 months (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010 Participation in a community event in past 6 months, Tasmania, 2010 80% 71.2% 70% % of persons 60% 68.3% 66.8% 65.6% 59.4% 57.7% 50.8% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 18–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75 or over Age group (years) Data source: ABS General Social Survey, 2010 The DHHS Tasmanian Population Health Survey also asked respondents about attendance at community events and found 54% of Tasmanians aged 60+ years had attended a local community event in the previous six months. Attendance rates for Tasmanians aged 60+ years showed little regional variation with the highest in the North West (56%) and lowest in the South (52%) (Figure 79). Figure 79 Attended a local community event in the past 6 months, older Tasmanians by region (60+ years), 2009 Data source: DHHS Tasmanian Population Health Survey, 2009 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 123 The ABS General Social Survey (2010) found that attending cultural and leisure venues also declined with age. However, a majority of older Tasmanians reported that they had attended at least one of these venues in the previous year, with 68% of 65-74 year olds and 63% of those aged 75+ years having done so (Figure 78). Figure 80 Attended at least one cultural and leisure venue in previous year (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010 Attended at least one cultural and leisure venue or event in last 12 months, Tasmania, 2010 100% 90.5% 92.7% 89.4% 78.2% % of persons 80% 81.3% 68.1% 62.9% 60% 40% 20% 0% 18–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75 or over Age group (years) Data source: ABS General Social Survey, 2010 The types of cultural and leisure venues attended also varied with age. Attending a movie, concert, theatre or other performing arts event was found to steadily decline as people age (Figure 81). Visiting a museum or art gallery; and visiting a botanic garden, zoo or aquarium were lowest for the youngest age group (18-24 years) and the oldest age group (75+ years). However, visiting a public library was relatively constant across all age groups, with it being the most popular cultural and leisure venue to visit for the oldest age group of 75+ years. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 124 Figure 81 Types of cultural and leisure venues or events attended in previous year (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010 Types of cultural and leisure venues or events attended in last 12 months, Tasmania, 2010 100% % of persons 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 18–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75 or over Age group (years) Visited a public library Visited a museum or art gallery Attended a movie, concert, theatre or other performing arts event Visited a botanic garden, zoo or aquarium Data source: ABS General Social Survey, 2010 Trust According to A Social Inclusion Strategy for Tasmania48 ‘Having trust in others, including in professionals and people in positions of power, is one indicator of a well-functioning community’. The ABS General Social Survey 2010 provided data on community trust in general, as well as in doctors, hospitals, and police. Figure 82 depicts these aspects of community trust, by age group. More Tasmanians of all ages were likely to place trust in doctors, hospitals and police than they were to believe that most people can be trusted. Over 60% of Tasmanians agreed that most people were trustworthy, the lowest proportion being of 35-44 year olds and the highest 75 + years. All age groups were also more likely to trust their doctor, than hospitals or police. A very high 92% of Tasmanians trusted their doctor, whereas 77% placed trust in hospitals; 79% in local police; and 70% in other police. 48 Adams, 2009 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 125 Figure 82 Community trust – doctors, hospitals, police; Tasmanians (% of age group agreed or strongly agreed), 2010 % of persons Community trust, Tasmania, 2010 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 18–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75 or over Age group (years) Most people can be trusted Trusts Doctor Trusts hospital to do right thing Trusts local police Trusts other police Data source: ABS General Social Survey, 2010 Another measure of community trust is feelings of safety. Almost all Tasmanians (97%) feel safe at home alone during the day, while 89% felt safe at home alone after dark. A much smaller proportion, but still a majority (54%), of Tasmanians feel safe walking alone in their local area after dark. Figure 83 shows the proportion of each age group who feel safe in these situations. The most striking difference between age groups was the marked decline in the proportion of people who feel safe walking alone in the local area after dark in the 65-74 and 75+ years age groups. Figure 83 Feelings of safety, Tasmanians (% of age group feel safe or very safe), 2010 % of persons Feelings of safety, Tasmania, 2010 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 18–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75 or over Age group (years) Feelings of safety at home alone during the day Feelings of safety at home alone after dark Feelings of safety walking alone in local area after dark Data source: ABS General Social Survey, 2010 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 126 The DHHS Tasmanian Population Health Survey asked a larger sample of Tasmanians about their feelings of safety walking alone down their street after dark which provided data for Tasmanians aged 60+ years by region. One-quarter of Tasmanians aged 60+ years rarely or never feel safe walking down their street alone at night, while 56% definitely feel safe in the same situation. There was very little regional variation (Figure 84). These figures have implications for older people participating in events at night. It is highly likely that many in this group may choose not to attend events held at night, unless other intervening factors are introduced to increase their feelings of safety. Figure 84 Feel safe walking alone down your street after dark, older Tasmanians (60+ years), 2009 % of Tasmanians aged 60+ years Feel safe walking alone down your street after dark, older Tasmanians (60+ years) 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% no, not at all not often North North West sometimes South yes, definitely Not applicable e.g. remote property Tasmania Data source: DHHS Tasmanian Population Health Survey, 2009 Elder Abuse Whilst it is interesting to note that many older Tasmanians feel safe in their community it is of significant concern to note the extent of elder abuse in our community. Large population-based studies show incidences of abuse between three and five percent of the population, which equates to 3,000-4,500 Tasmanians. The State Government, through its elder abuse prevention response, has funded Advocacy Tasmania to provide an Elder Abuse Information, Advice and Referral Helpline. Advocacy Tasmania collects extensive data on their Helpline service. A snapshot of the data collected for a three month period from 1 January – 31 March 2013 is highlighted in Table 17. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 127 Table 17: Advocacy Tasmania Elder Abuse Helpline Data CASES 60 cases of alleged elder abuse reported to the Helpline. Gender of older person 66.6% of the calls to the Helpline were in relation to older women. Age of older person 40% of calls received were in relation to a person who was aged 80 or above. Age and illness have been shown to be a significant risk. Notifier of elder abuse 33.3% of the calls have come from older Tasmanians who are experiencing abuse. 30% of calls to the Helpline were from concerned family members. Abuse notified previously 56.6% of callers stated they have disclosed allegations of elder abuse in the past. Cultural background 93% of callers came from an English speaking background. Only 6% of callers identified as coming from a Culturally and Linguistically Diverse background (CALD). There were no callers who identified as Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander. Living arrangements of While 31.6% of older people live alone, a significant number, 41.6% live older person with family/friends and 10% live in residential care. Type of abuse reported Financial/material abuse was identified in 55% of cases. *More than one can be Psychological/emotional abuse was cited in 70% of cases. Psychological/emotional and financial/material abuses were typically identified identified together. Risk factors for older There has been a high incidence of family conflict identified (28%). 41.6% person of older people live with family members or friends. In 26.6% of cases *More than one can be isolation was identified as a risk factor. The older person being cut off from family and social contact puts them at higher risk of all forms of identified abuse. Data source Advocacy Tasmania 2013 Valued by society Participating in the community by engaging with decision making processes is another aspect of feeling socially included. In 2010, 35% of Tasmanians felt they had opportunities to have a say on important issues; with another 29% indicating they sometimes felt able to have a say. Tasmanians who felt unable to have a say on important issues represented 36% of the population. As shown in Figure 85, among Tasmanians aged 65-74 years, 36% felt able to have a say, while 32% felt they did not have this opportunity. Interestingly, for Tasmanians aged 75 years and over, they were more likely to feel able to have a say most or all of the time (41%) than most other age groups; but were also more likely to feel they did not have this opportunity (40%). FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 128 Figure 85 Feels able to have a say within community on important issues (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010 Feels able to have a say within community on important issues, Tasmania, 2010 100% 90% 80% 35.5% 34.3% 35.0% 32.1% 31.5% 24.0% 30.1% 32.3% 18.9% 41.0% 37.8% 36.2% 41.1% 45–54 55–64 65–74 75 or over 46.6% 40.0% % of persons 70% 60% 50% 40% 20.9% 38.7% 32.2% 30% 20% 32.5% 10% 25.8% 33.5% 0% 18–24 25–34 35–44 Age group (years) All / Most of the time Some of the time Little / None of the time Data source: ABS General Social Survey, 2010 For Tasmanians aged 60+ years, just over half (51%) felt there were ‘opportunities to have a real say on issues that are important’. The proportion was slightly higher in the North West (53%) and slightly lower in the South (50%) (Figure 86). Figure 86 Feel there are opportunities to have a real say on important issues, older Tasmanians by region (60+ years), 2009 % of Tasmanians aged 60+ years Feel there are opportunities to have a real say on issues that are important, older Tasmanians (60+ years) 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% no, not at all North not often North West sometimes South yes, definitely Tasmania Data source: DHHS Tasmanian Population Health Survey, 2009 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 129 The majority of older Tasmanians aged 60+ years indicated that they felt valued by society (52%), with another 26% feeling valued sometimes. Just over 15% of older Tasmanians did not feel valued by society often; if at all (Figure 87). Figure 87 Feel valued by society, older Tasmanians by region (60+ years), 2009 Feel valued by society, older Tasmanians (60+ years) % of Tasmanians aged 60+ years 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% no, not at all North not often North West sometimes South yes, definitely Tasmania Data source: DHHS Tasmanian Population Health Survey, 2009 Another factor of social inclusion and being valued by society is the extent to which people are discriminated against. In 2011 – 2012 the Tasmanian Anti-Discrimination Commission dealt with 12 cases of people allegedly discriminated on the basis of age, 60 % of the cases were people aged 60+ years. As 35% of the complaints in 2011-2012 were from people aged 60+ years the data indicates that older people are willing to make complaints on discrimination49. Voluntary contribution Volunteering for an organisation or group According to A Social Inclusion Strategy for Tasmania50 ‘volunteering is vital to the effective functioning of communities and can be an important tool for addressing social disadvantage and increasing social inclusion.’ The ABS Census collected data on the incidence of ‘voluntary work for an organisation or group in past 12 months’. The volunteering rate for all Tasmanians aged 15+ years in 2011 was 21%, compared to the national average of 19%. For Tasmanians aged 65+ years, the volunteering rate was also slightly higher at 22%, compared to 20% at the national level (Figure 88). 49 50 Anti Discrimination Commission, 2013 unpublished data from 2011-2012 Adams, 2009 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 130 The volunteering rate for young old Tasmanians (65-74 years) was higher at 27%, than the 21% of those under 65 who had volunteered in the past year. Volunteering in the mid old (75-84 years) and older old (85+ years) age groups was less prevalent, at 18% and 7% respectively. Numbers of volunteers by age group for Tasmanian LGAs are included in Table 54 (Appendix B – Data tables). Figure 88 Voluntary work for an organisation or group (in past 12 months) by age group, Tasmanian regions, 2011 Volunteering by age group, 2011 % of age group (who stated) 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 15-64 years South 65-74 years North NorthWest 75-84 years Tasmania 85+ years Australia Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Carers Of course, voluntary work for an organisation or group is not the only unpaid contribution people make to their community. Many are also involved in providing unpaid care to the aged or those with disability. The ABS 2011 Census of Population and Housing included a variable to record ‘the number of people who spent time providing unpaid care, help or assistance to family members or others because of a disability, a long-term illness or problems related to old age’. This includes recipients of Carer Allowance and Carer Payment from the Australian Government, but not work done through a voluntary organisation or group. In this section, ‘carers’ refers to those who indicated that they provided unpaid assistance to the aged or disabled in response to the above ABS Census question. The proportion of all Tasmanians aged 15+ years that provided unpaid care in the two weeks prior to Census night 2011 was 13%, marginally higher than the national average of 12%. For Tasmanians aged under 65 years, the percentage of carers was also slightly higher than the national average. However, in age groups over 65 years of age the Tasmanian proportion was lower than the national average. Carers made up 14% of Tasmania’s young old; 11% of the mid old; and 6% of the older old, as displayed in Figure 89. Numbers of unpaid carers by age group in Tasmanian LGAs are provided in Table 55 (Appendix B – Data tables). FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 131 Figure 89 Unpaid care to a person with a disability (% of age group), Tasmanian regions, 2011 Provided unpaid assistance to a person with a disability, by age group, 2011 % of age group (who stated) 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 15-64 years South 65-74 years North NorthWest 75-84 years Tasmania 85+ years Australia Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Unpaid child care People may also contribute to their community by providing unpaid child care for children other than their own. The proportion of all Tasmanians aged 15+ years that spent time caring for a child/children other than their own without pay in the two weeks prior to Census night 2011, was 9%, equal to the national average. For Tasmanians aged 65+ years the rate was also 9%, slightly lower than the national average of 12%. In all age groups over 65 years, the proportions of Tasmanians providing unpaid child care were lower than the national averages, as shown in Figure 90. Of Tasmania’s young old population (65-74 years), 13% provided unpaid child care; of the mid old (75-84 years) 4%; and less than 1% of the older old (85+ years) cared for children without pay. Numbers of people by age group caring for others’ children without pay in each of Tasmania’s LGAs are outlined in Table 56 (Appendix B – Data tables). FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 132 Figure 90 Unpaid care of others children (% of age group), Tasmanian regions, 2011 Provided unpaid care of other's children, by age group, 2011 % of age group (who stated) 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 15-64 years South 65-74 years North NorthWest 75-84 years Tasmania 85+ years Australia Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 According to the ABS General Social Survey in 2010: 41% of Tasmanians had undertaken voluntary work in the past year; 25% had cared for someone who required assistance due to disability, illness or old age in the past four weeks and 51% had provided unpaid assistance to someone living outside the household in the past four weeks. Tasmanians least likely to participate in these activities were in the younger and older age groups, as shown in Figure 91. For Tasmanians aged 65-74 years: 44% had undertaken voluntary work; 30% had cared for someone either aged or with a disability; and 46% had provided unpaid assistance to someone outside the household. These proportions declined markedly for those aged 75 years and over: 27% had undertaken voluntary work; 21% had cared for someone either aged or with a disability and 23% had provided unpaid assistance to someone outside the household. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 133 Figure 91 Volunteering and caring (% of age group), Tasmania 2010 Volunteering and caring, Tasmania, 2010 100% 90% 80% % of persons 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 18–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75 or over Age group (years) Had undertaken voluntary work in last 12 months Cared for a person with either a disability, illness or old age in last 4 weeks Provided unpaid assistance to persons living outside the household in last 4 weeks *columns with transparent shading indicate RSE > 25% and must be used with caution Data source: ABS General Social Survey, 2010 The main types of unpaid assistance provided included: domestic work, home maintenance or gardening (20% of Tasmanians); providing transport or running errands (24%); helping with child care (11%); and providing emotional support (26%). Both ‘providing domestic work, home maintenance or gardening’; and ‘providing transport or running errands’, were highest in younger age groups, tending to decrease with age (Figure 91). Helping with child care was most likely in the 65-74 year age group and least likely in the 75+ year age group. Providing emotional support peaked between 45 and 64 years, declining thereafter. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 134 Figure 92 Main types of unpaid assistance provided (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010 Main types of unpaid assistance provided, Tasmania, 2010 100% 90% 80% % of persons 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75 or over Age group (years) Domestic work, home maintenance or gardening Providing transport or running errands Helping with child care Giving emotional support *columns with transparent shading indicate RSE > 25% and must be used with caution **categories are not mutually exclusive Data source: ABS General Social Survey, 2010 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 135 Page intentionally left blank FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 136 CHAPTER 5 Lifelong learning A socially inclusive society is based on lifelong learning that enables people to develop the skills to participate in employment and education, social networks and community life. From basic life skills to the training needed to get a job, socially inclusive communities make it possible for people to learn new skills no matter what their age or ability. Inclusive communities value continuous improvement, encourage healthy debate, welcome different perspectives and embrace a diversity of people and ideas. Technology is present in all aspects of modern life. New technologies support the refinement of existing goods and services, the creation of new lifestyle supports and importantly extend our communication pathways. Communication technology has the potential to broaden social connections. Society is changing as a result of new technologies. With these changes come new opportunities for people to be involved in their communities. It is important that no-one, no group and no place are left behind. The discussion in this section highlights older Tasmanians’ post school qualifications, literacy and numeracy skills, continuing education and access to computers and the internet. Non-school qualifications declined with increasing age in 2011. The proportion of older Tasmanians (65+ years) having qualifications was higher in the South than it was in the North or North West, or for Tasmania as a whole. The proportion of qualified people in the older age groups (65+ years) in the South was also higher than it was at a national level, but this was not the case for those aged 15-64 years. Older Tasmanians (65+ years) were less likely to have household Internet access (45%) than older Australians aged 65+ years (51%). Tasmanians under 65 years of age were most likely to report ‘other’ type of Internet connection, while those aged 65+ years were more likely to have a dial-up Internet connection. Qualifications In this discussion, non-school qualifications refer to any educational attainments post Grade 12 and includes tertiary, and technical/trades qualifications. Figure 93 includes people aged under 65 years so as to enable a comparison with young old, mid old, and older old in Tasmania. 20% of all Tasmanians who have post school qualifications are over 65 compared to 18 % of Australians aged over 65. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 137 Non-school qualifications declined with increasing age in all Tasmanian regions, Tasmania, and Australia, as seen in Figure 93. The proportion having qualifications was higher across all age groups in the South, than it was in the North or North West, or for Tasmania as a whole. The proportion of qualified people in the older age groups (over 65 years) in the South was also higher than it was at a national level, but this was not the case for those aged 15-64 years. Numbers of people with tertiary or technical/trades qualifications by age group for Tasmanian LGAs are included in Table 57 Non-school qualification, persons by age group, Tasmanian LGAs 2011(Appendix B – Data tables). Figure 93 Non-school qualifications (% of age group), Tasmanian regions, 2011 % of age group (who stated) Proportion of age group with a non-school qualification, 2011 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 15-64 years South 65-74 years North NorthWest 75-84 years Tasmania 85+ years Australia Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Older adult learning Tasmanians continue to learn both formally and informally throughout their lives. In recent years there has been an increasing demand from people in the older age groups to attend educational programs across a variety of institutions. Some older people attend education programs specifically designed for older people such as the School for Seniors and the University of the Third Age. Others prefer to attend educational programs at institutions that cater for people of all ages such as LearnXpress, the University of Tasmania, the Polytechnic and Tasmanian Skills Institute (As of 1 July 2013, the Polytechnic and Tasmanian Skills Institute were incorporated into Tas TAFE). Table 18 outlines the number of people aged 60+ years who attended these programs by institutions in Tasmania. It is important to emphasise that older people also learn at programs offered in Neighbourhood and Community Houses, Senior Citizen Centres, local council run programs and activities, specific interest groups such as Landcare, art and craft groups, sports and recreational groups and many more. There is a lack of well defined and categorised data available on the numbers of older people attending such educational programs. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 138 Lifelong learning describes people’s formal participation only and excludes important learning experiences such as travel, reading and groups such as Rostrum, Rotary and Probus. There are also many people that undertake online courses at places of learning around the world. Table 18 Tasmanians aged 60+ years who participated in selected educational programs (numbers) Education Institution Location People University of Tasmania (Total 2012) Polytechnic (Total 2012) Tasmanian Skills Institute (Total 2012) LearnXpress (Total 2012) 3 campuses : Launceston; Cradle Coast; Hobart 614 University of the Third Age (Total April 2013) School for Seniors (Total April 2013) 276 392 Tamar Valley Cygnet Geeveston Meander Valley Tasman Kingborough Glenorchy Hobart Hobart (7 locations) Launceston Burnie 1,371 (35% of total enrolments) 86 84 25 98 40 279 170 650 546 522 90 Data sources: University of Tasmania, 2012, Department of Education, 2012, individual School for Seniors, 2013, individual University of the Third Age, 2013. The 2011 ABS Census of Population and Housing also provides data on current students by type of educational institution and by age group. Numbers of older Tasmanians who reported that they were students at the date of the Census in 2011 were relatively low (402), with less than 1% of those aged 65+ years studying formally at that time. As shown in Figure 94, formal study for older people declined with increasing age. Studying was more prevalent among older people in the South and North, than it was in the North West region. In the South and North of the State, participation in study in the young old, mid old, and older old age groups was higher (or equivalent to) participation in Tasmania as a whole or Australia. The number of older students by age group by type of educational institution in each Tasmanian region is graphed in Figure 95. In Tasmania, students aged 65+ years studying at a university or other tertiary institution (161), outnumbered those studying at ‘other’ institutions (148), technical or further educational institutions (including TAFE Colleges) (69), or secondary schools (49). This was also the case across all three Tasmanian regions in the young old age group (65-74 years). However, in the mid old (75-84 years) and older old (85+ years) age groups, it was ’other’ educational institutions that had the most enrolled students in the North and South. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 139 Numbers of mid old and older old students in the North West were negligible, but the reasons for this are unclear at this stage. Numbers of older Tasmanian students in each Tasmanian LGA are provided in Table 58 (Appendix B – Data tables). Figure 94 Older Tasmanians – students (% of age group), Tasmanian regions, 2011 Students (% of age group), 2011 % of age group (who stated) 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 65-74 years South 75-84 years North NorthWest 85+ years Tasmania Australia Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Figure 95 Older Tasmanian students, by age group, by type of educational institution (persons), Tasmanian regions, 2011 65-74 years 75-84 years South North Other University or other Tertiary Technical or Further Educational… Secondary Other University or other Tertiary Technical or Further Educational… Secondary Other University or other Tertiary Technical or Further Educational… 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Secondary Students Students by educational institution and age group, Tasmanian regions, 2011 85+ years NorthWest Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 140 Literacy and numeracy People with low literacy and numeracy skills are disadvantaged in meeting the challenges of a technological and information-based society. Low levels of literacy and numeracy reduce people’s access to knowledge and opportunities. The most recent assessment of literacy, numeracy and problem solving skills for Australians aged 15-74 years was gained through the Programme for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies, Australia, 2011-12, (PIAAC). The PIAAC was developed to provide a greater understanding of the availability of key skills in society and their use at work and at home, in participating countries. The survey collected information on skills and competencies in the domains of literacy, numeracy, and problem solving in technology-rich environments (PSTRE). Literacy is defined as the ability to understand, evaluate, use and engage with written texts to participate in society to achieve one’s goals, and to develop one’s knowledge and potential. Numeracy is defined as the ability to access, use, interpret and communicate mathematical information and ideas in order to engage in and manage the mathematical demands of a range of situations in adult life. Problem solving in technology-rich environments is defined as using digital technology, communication tools and networks to acquire and evaluate information, communicate with others and perform practical tasks. Data from this assessment has been analysed at a national and state/territory level only. Analysis for the older age group 65-74 years by state or territory is not yet available. For literacy and numeracy, proficiency scores have been grouped into six skill levels with Below Level 1 being the lowest level and Level 5 the highest. For PSTRE, scores have been grouped into four skill levels with Below Level 1 being the lowest level and Level 3 the highest. The situation for PSTRE is complicated by the high proportion of people 'not classified' at older ages, many of whom lacked the basic skills required to undertake the computer-based test. The proportion of respondents who were not classified increased from around one in ten for the youngest age groups to almost 60% for the oldest age group, 65 to 74 years. The percentage of people achieving Level 3 or above literacy and numeracy assessed scores declined from around 40 years of age. The percentage of people aged 65-74 years achieving Level 3 or above for literacy was 28% and for numeracy, 24%. These results may reflect older people’s lower levels of educational attainment. There were small differences in the proficiency scores for literacy and numeracy by state or territory, with the exception of the Australian Capital Territory (ACT) which had a larger proportion of people at higher levels in both domains. Figures 96 and 97 outline the proportion of males and FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 141 females, aged 15-74 years who achieved at Level 3 or above in literacy and numeracy respectively, by state or territory. Figure 96 Proportion of persons aged 15 – 74 with literacy Level 3 or above, by state or territory of usual residence and sex 2011-12 Proportion of persons aged 15 - 74 with literacy level 3 and above 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 Males 30.0 Females 20.0 10.0 0.0 Data source: ABS Programme for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies, Australia, 2011-12 Figure 97 Proportion of persons aged 15 – 74 with numeracy Level 3 or above, by state or territory of usual residence and sex 2011-12 Proportion of persons aged 15 - 74 with numeracy level 3 and above 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 Males Females 10.0 0.0 Data source: ABS Programme for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies, Australia, 2011-12 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 142 Skill levels in literacy, numeracy and problem solving were also considered in relation to labour force status, employed people, education, and health. Interestingly, 61% of people aged 15-74 years who self-reported excellent or very good health achieved Level 3 or above for literacy, and 50% achieved Level 3 or above for numeracy, and 34% achieved Level 2 or above for problem solving in technology-rich environments (PSTRE). In comparison, 40% of people aged 15-74 years with poor or fair health attained a literacy score of Level 3 or above, 30% a numeracy score at level 3 or above, and 18% a PSTRE score at Level 2 or above. Many older people report excellent or very good health. However, it should be noted that a much higher proportion of older people than younger people reported poor or fair health. Of people aged 65-74 years with excellent or very good health, 38% were assessed at Level 3 or above for literacy, 32% for numeracy and 6.7% achieved a PSTRE score of Level 2 or above. In comparison, for people aged 65 - 74 years with fair or poor health, 18% were assessed at Level 3 or above for literacy, 16% for numeracy and 2.4% for PSTRE. Computer and internet use As Tasmania’s Social Inclusion Strategy pointed out ‘the ability to access and use computers and telecommunications technology is becoming increasingly important for participation in modern society... People without access to these technologies are increasingly at risk of social exclusion as a result – a phenomenon dubbed “digital exclusion”.’51 Tasmanians have lower levels of household access to the Internet than Australia as a whole. In 2011, 77% of Tasmanians (counted at home in a private dwelling on Census night) had household Internet access, compared to the national average of 81%. For Tasmanians aged under 65 years, the proportion was 82%, compared to 85% of all Australians. Older Tasmanians (65+ years) were less likely to have household Internet access (45%) than Tasmanians under 65 years (82%). Older Tasmanians were slightly less likely than Australians aged 65+ years to have household Internet access (51%). Figure 98 shows information technology use in Tasmania by age group. Home computer use and Internet access was highest in age groups under 45 years (around 90%). What is clear from this picture is that older Tasmanians with computers and Internet access at home (45%) actually use their computer, including access to the Internet. Furthermore in looking at usage, those without these facilities at home, seek them out in other locations. The difference between the 65-74 year age group and the 75+ year age group is of note with computer use declining to 26% and just 19% of Tasmanians in this age group accessing the Internet. 51 Adams, 2009 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 143 Figure 98 Use of information technology (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010 % of persons Use of information technology, Tasmania, 2010 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 18–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75 or over Age group (years) Used computer at home in last 12 months Accessed the Internet at home in last 12 months Data source: ABS General Social Survey 2010 Figure 99 illustrates the decline in household broadband Internet connection, alongside the increase in households with no Internet access with increasing age. It is interesting to note that Tasmanians under 65 years of age were most likely to report ‘other’ type of Internet connection, while those aged 65-74 and 75-84 years were more likely to have a dial-up Internet connection. This differential access to faster technology may explain lower usage, and will predictably improve with wider access to the National Broadband Network. Of the Tasmanians aged 65+ years using the Internet for online shopping, 9% were downloading videos, movies and music, 19% were listening to music or watching videos or movies online and 34% were purchasing good or services online.52 52 ABS, 2013, Presentation : on ‘Who are Tasmania’s older people?’ using data from ABS Arts and Culture in Australia: A Statistical overview, 2012, (series 4172.0) FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 144 Figure 99 Type of household Internet connection (% of persons in private dwellings), Tasmania, 2011 Type of household Internet connection, Tasmanians by age group, 2011 % of persons in private dwellings 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Under 65 years 65 - 74 years 75 - 84 years No Internet connection Broadband connection Other connection Not stated 85 years and over Dial-up connection Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing 2011 The numbers of older Tasmanians with household Internet access in each Tasmanian LGA are included in Table 59 (Appendix B – Data tables). FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 145 Page left intentionally blank FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 146 CHAPTER 6 Health and wellbeing Health is a vital part of any individual’s quality of life regardless of age. As we grow older we are more likely to experience health related problems. The health and social wellbeing of older people is influenced by a range of factors – many of which have been covered in earlier chapters. Combining these factors or inferences with the indicators of self assessed health and prevalence of health conditions creates a bigger picture of the wellbeing and quality of life experienced by older Tasmanians. The majority of inferences contained in this chapter are drawn from data supplied by the Tasmanian Department of Health and Human Services, along with some supporting insights from ABS data sources such as the Population Census of 2011, the ABS General Social Survey and the ABS General Household Expenditure Survey. Differences in methodologies across these data sources may result in apparent inconsistencies. As such, each data set should be considered separately. Older Tasmanians generally reported very good health, with three quarters reporting excellent/very good or good health (75.7%) and less than a quarter reporting fair/poor. Health self-perceptions of those aged 60 + years were similar to Tasmania’s total population, except for ‘fair/poor’ health which was statistically higher for the older population. Older Tasmanians aged 75 + years were less likely to have experienced a personal stressor in the past year than any other age group. In 2011-12, over 50% of Tasmanians aged 65+ years had arthritis; 45% had hypertensive disease; 25% had high cholesterol; nearly 14% had diabetes; and 8% had a stroke or other cerebrovascular disease. Older people are more likely than the total adult population to report adequate fruit and vegetable consumption (54% and 14.9% respectively). Nearly 28% of Tasmanians aged 60 years and over reported regularly participating in physical recreation three or more times per week. The 18-24 year age group had the largest participation rate at just under 30%. Self assessed health Self assessed health is a primary indicator and predictor of wellbeing, measuring a person’s perception of their health, including both physical and mental wellbeing. Self-assessed health status declines with advancing age and is adversely affected by lower socio-economic status. Figure 100100 indicates that Tasmanians 60+ years reported very good health, with just over three quarters reporting either excellent, very good or good health (75.7%) and less than a quarter reporting fair or poor health (23.8%). FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 147 Figure 100: Self assessed health for population age 60 years and over and total adult population, Tasmania 2009 41.3% 42.6% 34.4% 37.3% Age 60+ Age 18+ 23.8% 19.9% Excellent/VeryGood Good Fair/Poor Data source: DHHS Tasmanian Population Health Survey, 2009 In 2010, 78.6% of Tasmanians aged 25-34 years reported good or better self-assessed health and no disability or long-term health condition. Over 16% of older persons age 75+ years were still reporting good health and (Figure 101). Figure 101 Good or better self-assessed health and no disability or long-term health condition (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010 % of persons Good or better self-assessed health and no disability or long-term health condition, Tasmania, 2010 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 78.6% 67.7% 61.2% 59.5% 45.6% 33.2% 16.6% 18–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75 or over Age group (years) Data source: ABS General Social Survey, 2010 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 148 Risk factors for poor health Health risk factors are behavioural characteristics that are associated with an increased risk of developing a chronic condition. The major behavioural risk factors included here are Body Mass Index (BMI) and alcohol consumption. Body mass index BMI is a known measure of risk for a range of health conditions including Type 2 Diabetes and heart disease. Body mass index values, based on self-reported height and weight, show no significant differences between those aged 60+ years and 18 years and over. Overweight and obesity combined made up 54% of Tasmania’s older population, compared to 51.9% for the total adult population (Figure 102).53 Figure 102: BMI status population aged 60 years and over and total adult population, Tasmania 2009 35.9% Age 60+ 37.7% 35.9% Age 18+ 33.2% 18.1% 2.1% 18.7% 1.8% Underweight Normal Overweight Obese Data source: DHHS Tasmanian Population Health Survey, 2009 Alcohol consumption According to the 2009 alcohol guidelines54, consuming more than four standard alcoholic drinks on a single occasion increases the risk of short term harm. Falls and other accidents as well as the risks of adverse interaction of alcohol and medications are of particular concern for older people, who are also more vulnerable to the effects of alcohol (Figure 103). 53 Department of Health and Human Services, 2012, Op Cit, p.2 54 Australian Guidelines to reduce health risks from drinking alcohol, NHMRC 2009 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 149 Figure 103: Alcohol related harm (caused by consuming 4-5 or more standard drinks on any single occasion), population aged 60 years and over and total population, Tasmania 2009 61.3% Age 60+ 54.7% Age 18+ 26.9% 26.7% 16.1% 8.8% Higer risk Low risk Abstainers Data source: DHHS Tasmanian Population Health Survey, 2009 Personal stressors The ABS General Social Survey (2010) asked respondents whether they had experienced any ‘personal stressors’, that is events or circumstances which the person considers have been a problem for themselves or someone close to them in the previous year. Personal stressors include: serious accident mental illness serious disability death of family member or close friend divorce or separation not able to get a job involuntary loss of job alcohol or drug related problems gambling problem abuse or violent crime witness to violence trouble with the police. Figure 104 shows that older Tasmanians were less likely to have experienced a personal stressor in the past year than any other age group with the exception of the youngest of 18-24 years. The proportion of Tasmanians aged 65-74 years who reported they had experienced at least one of the stressors was 54%, and for those aged 75+ years it was 49%. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 150 Figure 104: Experienced at least one personal stressor in previous year (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010 Experienced at least one personal stressor in past 12 months, Tasmania, 2010 100% 90% % of persons 80% 71.1% 70% 60% 70.5% 63.0% 56.3% 51.5% 53.7% 48.6% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 18–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75 or over Age group (years) Data source: ABS General Social Survey, 2010 Chronic conditions The prevalence of chronic health conditions impacts significantly on a person’s ability to cope and their functioning capacity. As Figure 105 highlights, arthritis (52.8%) was the most frequently reported diagnosed health condition by Tasmanians aged 60+ years, followed by cataracts (28.6%) and depression/anxiety (19.1%). Figure 105: Prevalence of self-reported diagnosed health conditions, population 60 years and over, Tasmania 2009 Arthritis * 52.8% Cataracts, 28.6% Depression/anxiety, 19.1% Heart disease, 18.6% Cancer, 17.2% Asthma, 17.1% Osteoporosis, 16.3% Diabetes** , 13.8% Stroke, 8.2% Glaucoma, 6.7% Macular degeneration, 5.7% *includes all types of arthritis ** includes types 1 and 2 Data source: DHHS Tasmanian Population Health Survey, 2009 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 151 Table 19 indicates that within the 19.1% self-reported depression and anxiety condition, the reported prevalence was significantly higher amongst females aged 60+ years than males. Table 19 Prevalence of diagnosed depression/anxiety, persons 60+ years by gender, self reported Gender % Males Females Total 15.2% 22.5% 19.1% Data source: DHHS Tasmanian Population Health Survey, 2009 The ABS recently released Australian Health Survey 2011-12 data differ from the results of the Tasmanian Population Health Survey 2009 indicating the following on selected long term health conditions of Tasmanians 65+ years: 60% were long sighted 52% had arthritis 45% had hypertensive disease 35% had deafness 25% had high cholesterol 12% had Type 2 Diabetes 11% had cataracts 8% had a stroke or other cerebrovascular diseases.55 As noted earlier, differences in survey methodologies have resulted in some apparent inconsistencies. Neurodegenerative disorders Some degenerative disorders of the nervous system are incurable, debilitating and progressive conditions result in increasing impairment of physical movement or mental functioning. This means that the need for care and support services increases over the course of the disorder. Prevalence of neurodegenerative disorders tends to increase with age. In this section, cases of three neurodegenerative disorders are estimated for Tasmanian regions and for Tasmania as a whole. The neurodegenerative disorders estimated are Parkinson’s disease, dementia, and multiple sclerosis. Cases are estimated by applying age-specific prevalence rates from research studies for each disorder to the age structure of regional populations from the ABS Census of Population and Housing 2011. The term ‘cases’ is used rather than persons as prevalence rates are taken from different studies and disorders may not be mutually exclusive. 55 ABS, 2013, Presentation : on ‘Who are Tasmania’s older people?’ using data from ABS Australian Health Survey: First Results, 20112012 – Tasmania (4364.0.55.001) FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 152 Prevalence rates are taken from: Parkinson’s disease – Access Economics Pty Limited (2007) Living with Parkinson’s: Challenges and Positive Steps for the Future; Dementia – Access Economics Pty Limited (2009) Keeping dementia front of mind: Incidence and prevalence 2009-2050; and Multiple sclerosis – Simpson, Pittas, van der Mei, Blizzard, Ponsonby, and Taylor (2011) Trends in the epidemiology of multiple sclerosis in Greater Hobart, Tasmania: 1951-2009. Estimated cases of these three neurodegenerative disorders are also projected for the year 2031 using the DCAC 2008 Tasmanian Population Projections medium series projections of future population age structure (as used in Ageing into the Future section of this DCAC report). Table 20 provides the number of cases of Parkinson’s disease, dementia, and multiple sclerosis in 2011 and 2031 in people aged under and over 65 years, estimated using the method described above. In 2011 in Tasmania there were an estimated 1,624 cases of Parkinson’s disease, 6,528 cases of dementia and 639 cases of multiple sclerosis. Approximately 82% of Parkinson’s disease cases, 94% of dementia cases, and 19% of multiple sclerosis cases were aged 65+ years. However it should be remembered that these are estimates only, based on prevalence rates by age. The number of estimated cases projected for 2031 were 2,741 cases of Parkinson’s disease, 11,473 cases of dementia, and 732 cases of multiple sclerosis. The proportion of these in the 65+ years age group are projected to be 89% of Parkinson’s disease cases, 96% of dementia cases, and 30% of multiple sclerosis cases. Table 20 Estimated cases (persons under and over 65 years) – selected neurodegenerative disorders, 2011-2031 Region Disorder Parkinson's disease Dementia Multiple sclerosis Parkinson's disease North Dementia Multiple sclerosis Parkinson's disease NorthWest Dementia Multiple sclerosis Parkinson's disease Tasmania Dementia Multiple sclerosis South 2011 2031 Under 65 years 65+ years Total Under 65 years 65+ years Total 142 643 785 146 1,172 1,318 192 2,982 3,174 208 5,229 5,437 260 59 318 266 104 369 80 384 464 82 711 793 110 1,770 1,879 120 3,216 3,335 143 35 178 145 62 208 63 310 373 60 571 631 87 1,382 1,469 91 2,609 2,700 113 28 142 105 50 155 286 1,339 1,624 288 2,453 2,741 389 6,139 6,528 418 11,055 11,473 517 122 639 516 216 732 Source: Population from ABS Census 2011 Figure 106 shows the projected increase in estimated cases of each neurodegenerative disorder in people aged 65+ years between 2011 and 2031. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 153 Across all ages in Tasmania, the number of cases of Parkinson’s disease is projected to increase by 69%, dementia cases by 76%, and multiple sclerosis cases by 15%. However, the projected increase in all three neurodegenerative disorders in persons over the age of 65 years suggests they will almost double over the two decades to 2031: Parkinson’s disease by 83%; dementia by 80% and multiple sclerosis by 77%. Figure 106 Estimated cases (persons aged 65+ years) – selected neurodegenerative disorders, Tasmanian regions, 2011-2031 Estimated cases aged 65+ years - selected neurodegenerative disorders Tasmanian regions, 2011-2031 6,000 Estimated cases 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2011 2031 2011 Parkinson's disease 2031 Dementia North NorthWest 2011 2031 Multiple sclerosis South Data sources: ABS Census of Population and Housing 2011; DCAC Tasmanian Population Projections 2008; sources for prevalence rates as listed above. All the projected increases are due to the projected ageing of the Tasmanian population, and published age-specific prevalence of the disorders. It should be noted that prevalence may not remain at the levels used here into the future and projected estimates are also dependent on the reliability of the population projections used and the demographic assumptions on which they are based. However these projected cases are likely to create challenges for the future provision of care for these people. Hospital admissions Hospital admissions by Tasmanians aged 60+ years for each region are shown in Figure 107. In the Northern region the 75-79 year age group had the greatest number of admissions, and in the North West it was the 70-74 year age group. In the Southern region, the greatest number of hospital admissions for older Tasmanians was in the 60-64 year and 70-74 year age groups. FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 154 It is likely that specialisation within each of Tasmania’s general hospitals would influence the types of admissions at each hospital and this may influence the age groups of admitted patients. Figure 107 Hospital admissions by age group over 60 years, Tasmanian regions, 2010-11 Data source: Department of Health and Human Services, 2013 Staying healthy – nutrition and sport Good nutrition is a key factor in keeping people healthy. The National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) recommend a minimum daily intake of five serves of vegetables and two serves of fruit. Figure 108 shows that older people were more likely than the total adult population to report adequate fruit and vegetable consumption, with 54.4% and 14.9% reporting adequate fruit and vegetable consumption respectively compared. Figure 108 Adequate consumption of fruit and vegetables, population 60 years and over and total population, Tasmania 2009 54.4% Age 60+ 49.8% Age 18+ 14.9% Adequate fruit consumption 11.0% Adequate vegetable consumption Data source: DHHS Tasmanian Population Health Survey, 2009 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 155 Participation in sport and physical recreational and cultural and leisure activities have a significant positive impact on personal health and wellbeing. Physical activity is also an important lifestyle factor to reduce risks associated with disease, such as BMI over 30, hypertension and cholesterol. Increased levels of light to moderate physical activity can have benefits for health conditions such as arthritis, heart conditions and diabetes. Figure 109 and Figure 110 both depict sport and physical recreation participation in Tasmania, 2011-12 by age group. Proportions shown in these differ between the ABS General Social Survey, 2010 and ABS Participation in Sport and Physical Recreation, Australia, 2011-12 due to sampling error. Actual values aside, both data sets reveal a trend of declining sport and recreation participation as people age. Figure 110 also shows that attendance at sporting events declines significantly after the age of 65 years. Figure 109 Participation in sport and physical recreation (% of age group), Tasmania, 2011-12 Participation in sport and physical recreation in past 12 months by age group, Tasmania, 2011-12 100% Participation rate (% of age group) 90% 86.0% 78.7% 80% 73.3% 72.0% 71.5% 65.4% 70% 60% 53.9% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 15 to 17 18 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over Age group (years) Data source: DED analysis of data from ABS 4177.0 Participation in Sport and Physical Recreation, Australia, 2011-12 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 156 Figure 110 Sport and recreation – participation and attendance (% of age group), Tasmania, 2010 Sport and recreation, Tasmania, 2010 % of persons 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 18–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65–74 75 or over Age group (years) Has participated in sport or recreational physical activity in last 12 months Has attended a sporting event in last 12 months Data source: ABS General Social Survey, 2010 More than one-quarter (28%) of Tasmanians aged 65+ years reported that they regularly participated in sport and physical recreation, compared to the national average of 23% (Figure 111). The percentage of older Tasmanians exercising more than three times a week is not that much different from all age groups and the ratio of older Tasmanians exercising is greater than ratios for the younger age groups of 15 to 17 and 35 to 44. Figure 111 Regular participation in sport and physical recreation (3 or more times per week) by age group, 2011-12 Participation rate (% of age group) Regular participation in sport and physical recreation (3+ times/week) by age group, 2011-12 35% 29.5% 30% 25% 25.2% 23.0% 25.0% 28.6% 25.4% 24.7% 28.6% 26.6% 29.1% 27.8% 27.8% 23.2% 18.7% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 15 to 17 18 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over Age group (years) Tasmania Australia Data source: DED analysis of data from ABS 4177.0 Participation in Sport and Physical Recreation, Australia, 2011-12 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 157 Participation in organised sport and physical recreation was found to decline steadily with increasing age to 17% for older Tasmanians (65+ years) (see Figure 113). The decline in participation in non-organised activities was not so marked and did not decline significantly until the 65+ years age group, when it fell to 44% of this age group. Figure 112 Participation in organised and non-organised sport and physical recreation by age group, Tasmania, 2011-12 Participation rate (% of age group) Participation in sport and physical recreation - organised and non-organised by age group Tasmania, 2011-12 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 65.0% 46.1% 62.1% 59.9% 63.5% 59.6% 59.7% 47.4% 44.2% 36.3% 29.9% 28.1% 18.5% 15 to 17 18 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 16.9% 65 and over Age group (years) Organised Non-organised *columns with transparent shading indicate RSE> 25% and must be used with caution. Data source: DED analysis of data from ABS 4177.0 Participation in Sport and Physical Recreation, Australia, 2011-12 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 158 APPENDICES FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 159 Appendix A – Building Evidence Project Working Group Nick Evans – Director – Community Development Division DPAC (Chair) Rebecca Moles – Manager Policy – Community Development Division DPAC Margaret Kelly – Principal Liaison Officer – Older Persons – Community Development Division DPAC Sue Leitch – CEO, COTA Tas Linda Jamieson – Policy and Research Officer, COTA Tas Soula Houndalas – Research Officer and Project Officer, COTA Tas Peter Wilde – Honorary Research Associate – School of Geography and Environmental Studies UTAS Liz Bingham – Policy Officer Preventive Health – Population Health DHHS Julia Curtis – Acting Director – State and Territory Statistical Service ABS Lynne Wilkinson – Assistant Director Assessment and Places Management, DoHA FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians A-160 Appendix B – Data tables Table 22 Population by geographic location and age group, Tasmania, 2011 .....................................................163 Table 23 Older Tasmanians (65+ years) – number and % of population, geographic area, 2011 .......................164 Table 24 Distribution of older Tasmanians (65+ years), by geographic area, 2011 .............................................165 Table 25 Family/household type of older Tasmanians (65+ years), counted at home on Census night, 2011 ...166 Table 26 Marital status of older Tasmanians – young old; mid old; older old – Tasmanian LGAs, 2011.............167 Table 27 Older Tasmanians living alone – by age group, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 ................................................168 Table 28 Older Tasmanians living alone – % of age group, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 .............................................168 Table 29 Older Tasmanians (65+ years) raising children*, 2011 ..........................................................................169 Table 30 Indigenous status by age group, 2011 ...................................................................................................170 Table 31 Region of birth – Tasmanians by age group, 2011.................................................................................171 Table 32 Region of birth - % of age group (region of birth stated), Tasmania, 2011 ...........................................171 Table 33 Older Tasmanians (65+ years) by language spoken at home, 2011 ......................................................172 Table 34 Older Tasmanians - English speaking proficiency level for those who speak another language at home, 2011...........................................................................................................................................................173 Table 35 Individual weekly income of older Tasmanians (65+ years), Tasmanian LGAs, 2011............................174 Table 36 Household mortgage repayments ($ monthly) – (persons) for households where older Tasmanians (65+ years) were counted at home on Census night, 2011..................................................................................175 Table 37 Household rent payments ($ weekly) – (persons) for households where older Tasmanians (65+ years) were counted at home on Census night, 2011 ..........................................................................................176 Table 38 Housing stress (housing cost > 30% of household income) – persons and % of households where older Tasmanians (65+ years) were counted at home on Census night, 2011 ....................................................177 Table 39 Disadvantaged areas* – number of SA1s and number of people, by Local Government Area, 2011 ..178 Table 40 Labour force participation by age group – comparison between Tasmania and Australia, 2011 .........179 Table 41 Hours worked per week – employed Tasmanians, age groups over 45 years (persons), 2011 ............179 Table 42 Labour force status by age group (persons), 2011 ................................................................................180 Table 43 Industry of employment, by age groups over 45 years, Tasmanian regions, 2011 ...............................181 Table 44 Employment type of employed Tasmanians, by age group over 45 years, Tasmanian regions, 2011..182 Table 45 Employment sector of employed Tasmanians, by age group over 45 years, Tasmanian regions, 2011182 Table 46 Tenure of private dwellings, older Tasmanians (65+ years), 2011 ........................................................183 Table 47 Location of private dwellings, older Tasmanians (65+ years), 2011 ......................................................183 Table 48 Accommodation in non-private dwellings, by type, older Tasmanians (65+ years), 2011....................185 Table 49 Homeless and marginally housed Tasmanians, under and over 65 years of age, 2011 ........................186 Table 50 Number and proportion of Tasmanians aged 60+ years who hold a driver’s licence, 2013 .................187 Table 51 Household access to motor vehicles, older Tasmanians by age group (persons*), 2011 .....................188 Table 52 Needs assistance with core activities by age group (persons), 2011 ....................................................189 Table 53 Persons needing assistance with core activities who live alone - by age group, 2011 .........................190 Table 54 Residential mobility by age group (persons), Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 ...................................................191 Table 55 Voluntary work for an organisation or group (in past 12 months), persons by age group, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 ............................................................................................................................................................192 Table 56 Provided unpaid assistance to a person because of a disability, long illness or old age (in past 2 weeks), persons by age group, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 ........................................................................................193 Table 57 Spent time caring for children (under 15 years) other than own without pay (in past 2 weeks), persons by age group, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 .....................................................................................................194 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-161 Table 58 Non-school qualification, persons by age group, Tasmanian LGAs 2011 ..............................................195 Table 59 Student status, older Tasmanians by age group, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 .............................................196 Table 60 Household Internet access, older Tasmanians by age group, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 ..........................197 Table 61 Summary of selected characteristics from Tasmanian Population Health Survey (% of Tasmanians 60+ years), 2009 ...................................................................................................................................................198 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-162 Table 21 Population by geographic location and age group, Tasmania, 2011 Region LGA Brighton Central Highlands Clarence Derwent Valley Glamorgan/Spring Bay Glenorchy Hobart Huon Valley Kingborough Sorell Southern Midlands Tasman South Break O'Day Dorset Flinders George Town Launceston Meander Valley Northern Midlands West Tamar North Burnie Central Coast Circular Head Devonport Kentish King Island Latrobe Waratah/Wynyard West Coast NorthWest Tasmania Australia 0-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 11,247 987 976 812 559 389 226 136 73 41 1,275 183 191 216 162 107 66 33 21 6 32,119 3,887 3,519 3,491 2,602 2,120 1,604 1,289 848 288 6,171 797 672 665 457 384 252 163 98 41 1,875 347 380 500 433 278 177 91 74 32 28,946 3,075 2,696 2,442 2,091 1,755 1,448 1,177 725 247 31,780 3,499 3,306 2,932 2,002 1,509 1,244 1,145 839 339 9,256 1,197 1,142 1,188 867 604 405 284 127 57 21,502 2,568 2,453 2,229 1,662 1,243 915 710 421 142 8,422 1,043 950 876 628 465 337 286 135 49 3,754 512 489 433 366 216 123 93 41 18 1,136 217 242 236 197 139 84 70 17 10 157,483 18,312 17,016 16,020 12,026 9,209 6,881 5,477 3,419 1,270 3,084 522 590 630 531 328 211 152 101 34 3,910 578 503 531 395 336 246 201 91 25 341 68 108 85 71 44 25 19 8 7 4,060 509 514 476 388 269 192 132 71 21 42,235 4,226 3,878 3,718 2,923 2,285 1,804 1,519 1,031 452 11,487 1,424 1,434 1,343 1,036 748 595 448 262 90 7,346 951 878 936 705 564 410 239 133 59 13,172 1,759 1,588 1,541 1,238 952 662 505 283 98 85,635 10,037 9,493 9,260 7,287 5,526 4,145 3,215 1,980 786 12,605 1,304 1,182 1,159 920 766 578 417 282 88 12,646 1,724 1,529 1,497 1,249 969 767 523 298 117 5,282 597 528 498 366 249 214 113 98 25 15,207 1,682 1,566 1,594 1,358 1,077 825 650 474 150 3,742 504 457 468 346 246 151 91 58 19 898 105 143 125 81 87 43 39 26 13 5,701 757 767 797 592 455 332 236 136 48 8,187 1,064 1,013 947 794 626 454 354 185 66 3,090 366 315 271 241 204 115 49 23 5 67,358 8,103 7,500 7,356 5,947 4,679 3,479 2,472 1,580 531 311,295 36,528 34,089 32,732 25,312 19,449 14,522 11,174 6,980 2,587 14,544,661 1,447,404 1,297,244 1,206,115 919,319 708,089 545,263 436,937 270,799 103,773 95-99 8 0 69 5 5 42 98 10 42 5 4 3 291 11 12 0 4 109 18 8 17 179 26 30 8 34 4 3 11 10 0 126 596 24,836 100+ 65-74 subtotal 75-84 subtotal 85+ subtotal Total 65+ Total 5 948 362 127 1,437 15,459 0 269 99 27 395 2,260 14 4,722 2,893 1,219 8,834 51,850 0 841 415 144 1,400 9,705 0 711 268 111 1,090 4,192 11 3,846 2,625 1,025 7,496 44,655 12 3,511 2,389 1,288 7,188 48,705 3 1,471 689 197 2,357 15,140 5 2,905 1,625 610 5,140 33,892 0 1,093 623 189 1,905 13,196 0 582 216 63 861 6,049 4 336 154 34 524 2,355 54 21,235 12,358 5,034 38,627 247,458 0 859 363 146 1,368 6,194 0 731 447 128 1,306 6,828 0 115 44 15 174 776 0 657 324 96 1,077 6,636 14 5,208 3,323 1,606 10,137 64,194 4 1,784 1,043 374 3,201 18,889 0 1,269 649 200 2,118 12,229 0 2,190 1,167 398 3,755 21,815 18 12,813 7,360 2,963 23,136 137,561 3 1,686 995 399 3,080 19,330 5 2,218 1,290 450 3,958 21,354 0 615 327 131 1,073 7,978 0 2,435 1,475 658 4,568 24,617 0 592 242 81 915 6,086 0 168 82 42 292 1,563 0 1,047 568 195 1,810 9,832 7 1,420 808 268 2,496 13,707 0 445 164 28 637 4,679 15 10,626 5,951 2,252 18,829 109,146 88 44,761 25,696 10,251 80,708 495,352 3,279 1,627,408 982,200 402,687 3,012,295 21,507,719 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-163 Table 22 Older Tasmanians (65+ years) – number and % of population, geographic area, 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-164 Table 23 Distribution of older Tasmanians (65+ years), by geographic area, 2011 Region LGA Brighton Central Highlands Clarence Derwent Valley Glamorgan/Spring Bay Glenorchy Hobart Huon Valley Kingborough Sorell Southern Midlands Tasman % of older Tasmanians 1.8% 0.5% 10.9% 1.7% 1.3% 9.3% 8.9% 2.9% 6.4% 2.4% 1.1% 0.7% South 47.9% Break O'Day 1.7% Dorset 1.6% Flinders 0.2% George Town 1.3% Launceston 12.6% Meander Valley 4.0% Northern Midlands 2.6% West Tamar 4.7% North 28.7% Burnie 3.8% Central Coast 4.9% Circular Head 1.3% Devonport 5.7% Kentish 1.1% King Island 0.4% Latrobe 2.2% Waratah/Wynyard 3.1% West Coast 0.8% NorthWest 23.3% Tasmania 100.0% Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-165 Table 24 Family/household type of older Tasmanians (65+ years), counted at home on Census night, 2011 Region LGA One family household Couple family with no children Brighton Central Highlands Clarence Derwent Valley Glamorgan/Spring Bay Glenorchy Hobart Huon Valley Kingborough Sorell Southern Midlands Tasman South Break O'Day Dorset Flinders George Town Launceston Meander Valley Northern Midlands West Tamar North Burnie Central Coast Circular Head Devonport Kentish King Island Latrobe Waratah/Wynyard West Coast NorthWest Tasmania Australia Couple family with children One parent family Multiple family household Other family 655 96 85 199 17 17 4,176 475 352 660 97 59 525 30 25 2,972 438 405 2,844 344 255 1,203 117 93 2,588 256 147 928 100 73 432 52 37 268 22 14 17,450 2,044 1,562 679 56 40 676 27 43 82 6 6 542 60 44 4,214 473 400 1,550 135 85 1,079 119 66 1,963 177 110 10,785 1,053 794 1,467 131 113 1,895 190 112 511 57 38 2,133 199 137 459 77 38 125 9 10 893 77 52 1,290 78 70 304 20 24 9,077 838 594 37,312 3,935 2,950 1,343,391 229,525 140,475 15 6 66 13 9 81 39 21 21 24 5 8 308 3 10 0 5 81 36 10 18 163 23 25 11 29 9 0 20 13 7 137 608 25,913 Couple Couple family family with no with children children 23 8 83 8 6 55 65 13 59 7 10 3 340 5 9 0 4 68 15 16 27 144 13 12 8 25 0 0 10 11 3 82 566 52,642 0 0 11 0 0 8 7 3 3 5 0 0 37 0 4 0 0 6 0 0 8 18 0 0 3 8 3 0 0 3 0 17 72 8,721 One parent family 5 0 10 3 0 14 3 5 5 0 0 0 45 0 0 0 0 7 4 0 3 14 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 62 5,202 Non-family household Other family 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 500 Lone person household Non-classifiable Non-private dwelling Total Group household 286 94 2,234 364 247 2,454 2,105 515 1,256 489 217 106 10,367 341 345 49 249 3,034 870 529 824 6,241 841 1,006 289 1,250 176 86 422 648 187 4,905 21,513 719,261 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-166 33 9 75 20 21 158 103 58 54 38 11 3 583 22 13 0 12 153 54 32 57 343 41 59 11 70 25 4 26 28 17 281 1,207 48,010 39 14 151 26 25 133 143 30 78 48 22 8 717 23 27 0 19 181 42 27 63 382 49 67 19 71 11 6 17 31 16 287 1,386 76,525 97 1,334 6 370 435 8,068 73 1,323 40 928 309 7,027 696 6,604 105 2,163 260 4,727 69 1,781 16 802 20 452 2,126 35,579 47 1,216 54 1,208 3 146 62 997 825 9,442 165 2,956 74 1,952 167 3,417 1,397 21,334 176 2,857 191 3,557 53 1,000 258 4,180 39 837 12 252 88 1,605 132 2,304 22 600 971 17,192 4,494 74,105 180,276 2,830,441 Table 25 Marital status of older Tasmanians – young old; mid old; older old – Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 Region LGA 65 to 74 years 75 to 84 years 85 years and over Total 65+ years Never Never Never Never Widowed Divorced Separated Married Widowed Divorced Separated Married Widowed Divorced Separated Married Widowed Divorced Separated Married married married married married Brighton 36 153 134 31 593 9 126 39 3 187 5 93 4 3 22 50 372 177 37 802 Central Highlands 13 44 41 9 165 5 30 7 3 57 3 18 0 0 4 21 92 48 12 226 Clarence 157 597 554 127 3,288 70 1,003 184 43 1,591 30 744 41 10 390 257 2,344 779 180 5,269 Derwent Valley 33 120 117 18 553 9 175 29 7 198 3 96 3 4 34 45 391 149 29 785 Glamorgan/Spring Bay 37 66 90 19 495 15 83 19 7 150 3 64 6 0 33 55 213 115 26 678 Glenorchy 196 690 629 130 2,204 97 1,019 211 43 1,254 38 690 39 8 246 331 2,399 879 181 3,704 Hobart 292 375 609 92 2,142 140 790 195 42 1,223 78 820 47 4 337 510 1,985 851 138 3,702 Huon Valley 70 167 213 51 970 26 208 48 14 393 10 130 6 0 53 106 505 267 65 1,416 Kingborough 119 342 411 49 1,982 59 492 127 15 930 29 376 24 7 177 207 1,210 562 71 3,089 Sorell 45 126 180 29 709 24 193 65 17 329 3 111 4 0 77 72 430 249 46 1,115 Southern Midlands 27 61 75 11 409 15 76 15 6 98 11 46 0 0 6 53 183 90 17 513 Tasman 14 35 38 22 226 3 39 18 3 91 0 22 0 0 18 17 96 56 25 335 South 1,039 2,776 3,091 588 13,736 472 4,234 957 203 6,501 213 3,210 174 36 1,397 1,724 10,220 4,222 827 21,634 Break O'Day 38 103 121 17 584 19 120 25 6 192 9 82 8 3 40 66 305 154 26 816 Dorset 36 99 91 17 493 25 147 13 13 251 3 87 3 0 32 64 333 107 30 776 Flinders 10 8 17 3 76 3 15 0 0 21 0 9 0 0 4 13 32 17 3 101 George Town 15 86 64 31 459 5 126 26 3 163 0 65 5 0 34 20 277 95 34 656 Launceston 285 785 761 160 3,224 174 1,211 256 44 1,640 76 1,030 43 14 438 535 3,026 1,060 218 5,302 Meander Valley 91 249 230 49 1,164 34 373 62 16 557 15 247 5 3 105 140 869 297 68 1,826 Northern Midlands 56 169 155 27 863 20 196 28 16 389 12 133 7 4 40 88 498 190 47 1,292 West Tamar 59 239 239 50 1,602 29 344 105 11 678 11 239 14 6 129 99 822 358 67 2,409 North 590 1,738 1,678 354 8,465 309 2,532 515 109 3,891 126 1,892 85 30 822 1,025 6,162 2,278 493 13,178 Burnie 67 260 175 32 1,146 36 352 64 27 516 12 262 14 4 105 115 874 253 63 1,767 Central Coast 70 313 227 53 1,561 43 446 69 20 714 13 265 13 6 144 126 1,024 309 79 2,419 Circular Head 29 97 60 13 420 13 118 16 4 173 3 86 3 0 42 45 301 79 17 635 Devonport 110 334 288 52 1,646 48 516 100 14 796 21 428 22 6 189 179 1,278 410 72 2,631 Kentish 28 71 71 6 417 12 61 26 4 140 4 60 0 0 22 44 192 97 10 579 King Island 9 17 26 5 114 0 34 15 4 27 0 27 3 0 8 9 78 44 9 149 Latrobe 30 133 100 26 755 16 192 37 4 318 4 128 4 0 58 50 453 141 30 1,131 Waratah/Wynyard 43 209 166 36 964 20 285 45 7 450 3 167 12 3 86 66 661 223 46 1,500 West Coast 35 70 57 24 260 18 61 10 3 74 0 22 0 0 12 53 153 67 27 346 NorthWest 421 1,504 1,170 247 7,283 206 2,065 382 87 3,208 60 1,445 71 19 666 687 5,014 1,623 353 11,157 Tasmania 2,051 6,030 5,961 1,195 29,524 993 8,838 1,859 398 13,608 399 6,547 332 84 2,885 3,443 21,415 8,152 1,677 46,017 Australia 81,533 201,793 208,629 50,246 1,085,210 41,344 320,971 71,997 17,725 530,155 16,673 251,882 15,119 3,197 115,807 139,550 774,646 295,745 71,168 1,731,172 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-167 Table 26 Older Tasmanians living alone – by age group, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 Region LGA Brighton Central Highlands Clarence Derwent Valley Glamorgan/Spring Bay Glenorchy Hobart Huon Valley Kingborough Sorell Southern Midlands Tasman South Break O'Day Dorset Flinders George Town Launceston Meander Valley Northern Midlands West Tamar North Burnie Central Coast Circular Head Devonport Kentish King Island Latrobe Waratah/Wynyard West Coast NorthWest Tasmania Australia 65-74 yrs 180 61 890 174 121 997 865 282 557 245 114 60 4,546 165 157 32 117 1,264 386 253 346 2,720 355 437 126 487 93 38 191 290 111 2,128 9,394 307,610 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 75-84 yrs 89 26 895 141 91 958 761 172 478 185 76 33 3,905 121 148 6 102 1,145 340 189 327 2,378 345 408 117 498 55 32 173 252 62 1,942 8,225 276,686 85+ yrs 19 9 452 45 35 499 477 57 220 54 26 13 1,906 58 45 9 29 629 142 91 153 1,156 144 161 48 264 22 16 58 104 15 832 3,894 134,968 Table 27 Older Tasmanians living alone – % of age group, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 Total 65+ yrs 288 96 2,237 360 247 2,454 2,103 511 1,255 484 216 106 10,357 344 350 47 248 3,038 868 533 826 6,254 844 1,006 291 1,249 170 86 422 646 188 4,902 21,513 719,264 Region LGA Brighton Central Highlands Clarence Derwent Valley Glamorgan/Spring Bay Glenorchy Hobart Huon Valley Kingborough Sorell Southern Midlands Tasman South Break O'Day Dorset Flinders George Town Launceston Meander Valley Northern Midlands West Tamar North Burnie Central Coast Circular Head Devonport Kentish King Island Latrobe Waratah/Wynyard West Coast NorthWest Tasmania Australia 65-74 yrs 19.0% 22.6% 18.9% 20.7% 17.1% 25.9% 24.6% 19.2% 19.2% 22.4% 19.6% 17.8% 21.4% 19.2% 21.4% 28.1% 17.8% 24.3% 21.6% 20.0% 15.8% 21.2% 21.0% 19.7% 20.5% 20.0% 15.7% 22.9% 18.2% 20.4% 24.9% 20.0% 21.0% 18.9% Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-168 75-84 yrs 24.7% 25.7% 30.9% 33.8% 33.8% 36.5% 31.9% 25.0% 29.4% 29.6% 35.2% 21.6% 31.6% 33.2% 33.0% 14.3% 31.4% 34.5% 32.6% 29.2% 28.1% 32.3% 34.7% 31.7% 35.9% 33.7% 22.7% 39.5% 30.5% 31.1% 37.3% 32.6% 32.0% 28.2% 85+ yrs 15.1% 30.0% 37.1% 31.3% 32.1% 48.7% 37.1% 29.1% 36.1% 28.1% 40.6% 40.6% 37.9% 40.0% 34.6% 75.0% 29.6% 39.2% 37.8% 45.7% 38.6% 39.0% 36.2% 35.7% 36.4% 40.1% 26.8% 39.0% 29.9% 38.5% 46.9% 36.8% 38.0% 33.5% Total 65+ yrs 20.1% 23.9% 25.3% 25.7% 22.7% 32.7% 29.3% 21.7% 24.4% 25.3% 25.0% 20.3% 26.8% 25.2% 26.7% 28.0% 22.9% 30.0% 27.1% 25.2% 22.0% 27.0% 27.4% 25.4% 27.1% 27.3% 18.5% 29.9% 23.3% 25.9% 29.2% 26.0% 26.7% 23.9% Table 28 Older Tasmanians (65+ years) raising children*, 2011 One parent Total families Persons (65+) Persons (65+) Persons (65+) Brighton 22 4 26 Central Highlands 4 0 4 Clarence 52 28 80 Derwent Valley 18 0 18 Glamorgan/Spring Bay 3 3 6 Glenorchy 60 42 102 Hobart 53 23 76 Huon Valley 19 7 26 Kingborough 48 15 63 Sorell 15 8 23 Southern Midlands 11 3 14 Tasman 6 0 6 South 311 133 444 Break O'Day 7 4 11 Dorset 6 3 9 Flinders 0 0 0 George Town 4 0 4 Launceston 63 39 102 Meander Valley 18 7 25 Northern Midlands 15 4 19 West Tamar 34 8 42 North 147 65 212 Burnie 22 4 26 Central Coast 26 6 32 Circular Head 10 0 10 Devonport 30 6 36 Kentish 13 6 19 King Island 0 3 3 Latrobe 6 6 12 Waratah/Wynyard 4 12 16 West Coast 5 3 8 NorthWest 116 46 162 Tasmania 574 244 818 Australia 35,596 13,311 48,907 *Persons aged 65+ years counted at home in one-family households with dependent children aged under 15 years Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Region LGA Couple families FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-169 Table 29 Indigenous status by age group, 2011 Region LGA Brighton Central Highlands Clarence Derwent Valley Glamorgan/Spring Bay Glenorchy Hobart Huon Valley Kingborough Sorell Southern Midlands Tasman South Break O'Day Dorset Flinders George Town Launceston Meander Valley Northern Midlands West Tamar North Burnie Central Coast Circular Head Devonport Kentish King Island Latrobe Waratah/Wynyard West Coast NorthWest Tasmania Australia Under 65 years 65 to 74 years 75 to 84 years 85 years and over Total 65+ years Total population Indigenous Non-indigenous Indigenous Non-indigenous Indigenous Non-indigenous Indigenous Non-indigenous Indigenous Non-indigenous Indigenous Non-indigenous 1,135 12,085 27 875 4 335 0 115 31 1,325 1,166 13,410 103 1,668 12 243 0 96 0 25 12 364 115 2,032 1,436 40,060 34 4,513 22 2,719 7 1,139 63 8,371 1,499 48,431 380 7,670 18 790 0 394 0 132 18 1,316 398 8,986 155 2,842 11 666 3 257 5 85 19 1,008 174 3,850 1,813 33,987 50 3,608 18 2,456 10 964 78 7,028 1,891 41,015 573 39,042 16 3,322 8 2,245 4 1,178 28 6,745 601 45,787 1,213 11,168 52 1,360 33 625 6 186 91 2,171 1,304 13,339 1,007 26,936 31 2,771 8 1,535 3 575 42 4,881 1,049 31,817 512 10,313 4 1,034 5 584 0 186 9 1,804 521 12,117 245 4,718 18 539 0 201 0 61 18 801 263 5,519 104 1,647 11 310 3 143 0 33 14 486 118 2,133 8,676 192,136 284 20,031 104 11,590 35 4,679 423 36,300 9,099 228,436 218 4,388 8 820 3 340 0 131 11 1,291 229 5,679 209 5,087 7 700 3 426 0 123 10 1,249 219 6,336 112 457 12 101 5 33 0 14 17 148 129 605 278 5,101 3 609 4 283 0 82 7 974 285 6,075 1,881 50,102 50 4,910 21 3,135 6 1,497 77 9,542 1,958 59,644 441 14,826 13 1,702 4 1,000 0 358 17 3,060 458 17,886 307 9,569 4 1,214 6 609 0 183 10 2,006 317 11,575 396 17,097 19 2,085 3 1,116 0 382 22 3,583 418 20,680 3,842 106,627 116 12,141 49 6,942 6 2,770 171 21,853 4,013 128,480 1,066 14,613 25 1,575 10 925 0 367 35 2,867 1,101 17,480 1,194 15,525 49 2,076 16 1,194 6 405 71 3,675 1,265 19,200 891 5,704 36 548 8 302 0 124 44 974 935 6,678 1,240 18,060 34 2,280 11 1,373 8 611 53 4,264 1,293 22,324 225 4,796 9 560 4 219 0 81 13 860 238 5,656 27 1,206 0 165 0 77 0 34 0 276 27 1,482 394 7,371 18 982 11 533 0 188 29 1,703 423 9,074 809 10,045 24 1,342 15 751 0 254 39 2,347 848 12,392 297 3,522 9 405 0 155 0 31 9 591 306 4,113 6,143 80,842 204 9,933 75 5,529 14 2,095 293 17,557 6,436 98,399 18,735 380,538 602 42,182 231 24,081 59 9,545 892 75,808 19,627 456,346 527,598 17,072,579 14,174 1,534,485 5,333 920,396 1,264 373,304 20,771 2,828,185 548,369 19,900,764 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-170 Table 30 Region of birth – Tasmanians by age group, 2011 Region of birth Australia Oceania and Antarctica (not Aust) North-West Europe Southern and Eastern Europe North Africa and the Middle East South-East Asia North-East Asia Southern and Central Asia Americas Sub-Saharan Africa SUBTOTAL Supplementary codes Not stated TOTAL Under 65 65 to 74 75 to 84 85 years Over 65 years years years and over years 356,018 32,491 18,358 7,402 58,251 4,937 499 170 55 724 17,719 7,071 3,861 1,384 12,316 1,899 984 845 334 2,163 1,317 51 21 4 76 3,964 178 58 19 255 3,167 101 66 22 189 2,444 140 68 28 236 2,571 288 95 29 412 2,823 193 79 29 301 396,859 41,996 23,621 9,306 74,923 113 8 3 6 17 17,672 2,759 2,074 934 5,767 414,644 44,763 25,698 10,246 80,707 Total 414,269 5,661 30,035 4,062 1,393 4,219 3,356 2,680 2,983 3,124 471,782 130 23,439 495,351 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Table 31 Region of birth - % of age group (region of birth stated), Tasmania, 2011 Region of birth Australia Oceania and Antarctica (not Aust) North-West Europe Southern and Eastern Europe North Africa and the Middle East South-East Asia North-East Asia Southern and Central Asia Americas Sub-Saharan Africa TOTAL (region of birth stated) Under 65 65 to 74 75 to 84 85 years Over 65 years years years and over years 89.7% 77.4% 77.7% 79.5% 77.7% 1.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 4.5% 16.8% 16.3% 14.9% 16.4% 0.5% 2.3% 3.6% 3.6% 2.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Total 87.8% 1.2% 6.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.9% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 100% Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-171 Table 32 Older Tasmanians (65+ years) by language spoken at home, 2011 Region LGA Brighton Central Highlands Clarence Derwent Valley Glamorgan/Spring Bay Glenorchy Hobart Huon Valley Kingborough Sorell Southern Midlands Tasman English 1,306 371 8,067 1,295 1,009 6,479 6,073 2,169 4,554 1,765 796 488 South 34,372 Break O'Day 1,293 Dorset 1,222 Flinders 160 George Town 990 Launceston 9,204 Meander Valley 2,942 Northern Midlands 1,972 West Tamar 3,422 North 21,205 Burnie 2,715 Central Coast 3,621 Circular Head 999 Devonport 4,243 Kentish 848 King Island 259 Latrobe 1,708 Waratah/Wynyard 2,343 West Coast 588 NorthWest 17,324 Tasmania 72,999 Australia 2,346,580 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Other North European 20 1 114 11 8 117 96 38 179 22 5 10 621 13 16 1 16 144 39 17 101 347 28 75 11 33 16 11 18 27 8 227 1,195 49,549 South European 17 0 106 9 0 177 332 17 53 11 3 5 730 3 4 4 9 119 24 9 43 215 14 14 3 25 3 0 5 4 0 68 1,012 221,712 East European 7 0 49 7 4 207 150 17 28 8 0 0 477 3 3 0 0 73 17 14 18 128 20 12 0 21 6 0 7 5 0 71 673 81,927 SouthWest & Central Asian 0 0 0 0 7 0 16 0 8 0 0 0 31 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 34 31,505 South Asian 0 0 9 0 0 18 22 4 3 0 0 0 56 0 0 0 0 21 4 0 7 32 3 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 7 94 15,834 SouthEast Asian 6 0 11 0 0 18 5 0 5 0 3 0 48 4 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 13 0 3 6 4 6 4 0 5 0 28 88 27,074 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-172 East Aust Asian Indigenous 0 0 0 0 19 0 0 0 0 0 15 0 73 0 0 0 13 0 4 0 0 0 5 0 129 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 26 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 13 0 168 0 54,053 2,637 Other Supp Codes Not stated 0 0 82 0 0 25 7 3 446 0 0 77 0 0 58 13 5 447 7 4 411 0 0 113 0 3 292 0 0 102 0 0 48 0 0 22 27 15 2,123 0 0 52 4 0 64 0 0 3 4 0 63 10 9 532 0 0 174 0 0 102 0 0 155 18 9 1,145 0 3 284 0 0 232 0 0 58 0 0 235 0 0 44 0 4 9 0 0 67 0 0 111 0 0 47 0 7 1,087 46 32 4,362 5,135 1,470 174,805 Table 33 Older Tasmanians - English speaking proficiency level for those who speak another language at home, 2011 Region LGA 65 to 74 years Very well Well Not well Not at all Total Very well Brighton 19 7 5 0 31 6 Central Highlands 0 0 0 0 0 0 Clarence 117 55 14 0 186 76 Derwent Valley 13 7 0 0 20 3 Glamorgan/Spring Bay 13 3 0 0 16 0 Glenorchy 121 96 32 22 271 100 Hobart 152 115 43 13 323 95 Huon Valley 36 20 0 0 56 8 Kingborough 124 29 13 3 169 63 Sorell 21 6 0 0 27 13 Southern Midlands 10 5 0 0 15 4 Tasman 10 0 0 0 10 0 South 636 343 107 38 1,124 368 Break O'Day 12 3 0 0 15 0 Dorset 20 0 0 3 23 5 Flinders 0 0 0 0 0 0 George Town 12 8 0 0 20 5 Launceston 109 64 13 18 204 68 Meander Valley 31 13 7 4 55 19 Northern Midlands 19 9 0 0 28 12 West Tamar 66 26 0 0 92 42 North 269 123 20 25 437 151 Burnie 19 13 0 3 35 12 Central Coast 47 14 0 0 61 25 Circular Head 12 5 0 0 17 5 Devonport 32 25 9 0 66 15 Kentish 13 4 4 0 21 7 King Island 11 0 0 0 11 4 Latrobe 15 5 0 0 20 4 Waratah/Wynyard 15 8 0 0 23 12 West Coast 8 0 0 0 8 0 NorthWest 172 74 13 3 262 84 Tasmania 1,077 537 143 64 1,821 603 Australia 90,232 93,368 65,204 14,821 263,625 45,133 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 75 to 84 years Not well Not at all Total Very well 7 0 4 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 29 14 5 124 10 4 0 0 7 6 6 0 0 6 3 106 32 11 249 36 123 70 8 296 33 10 4 0 22 4 35 7 0 105 20 6 0 0 19 3 0 3 0 7 0 6 0 0 6 0 332 130 28 858 115 0 0 0 0 7 3 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 12 8 66 15 11 160 32 21 0 0 40 5 4 0 0 16 0 31 5 0 78 13 132 20 11 314 65 13 11 0 36 9 7 0 0 32 7 0 0 0 5 0 14 6 0 35 10 0 0 0 7 3 3 0 0 7 0 6 0 0 10 4 5 0 0 17 6 3 0 0 3 0 51 17 0 152 39 517 166 40 1,326 216 59,331 55,169 17,917 177,550 14,932 Well 85 years and over Well Not well Not at all 6 0 0 0 0 0 13 7 4 3 0 0 0 0 0 37 27 5 36 26 9 0 5 0 18 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 113 68 21 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 26 15 3 14 0 0 0 0 0 6 9 0 46 24 3 7 0 0 6 4 0 3 0 0 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 26 4 0 183 97 24 17,654 17,302 8,618 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-173 Total 6 0 34 9 3 105 104 9 44 3 0 0 317 7 0 0 8 76 19 0 28 138 16 17 3 13 6 0 8 6 0 69 520 58,506 Very well 25 0 203 22 16 257 280 48 207 37 14 10 1,119 19 25 0 25 209 55 31 121 485 40 79 17 57 23 15 23 33 8 295 1,896 150,297 Total 65+ years Not well Not at all 20 5 4 0 0 0 97 35 9 14 0 0 9 0 0 239 91 38 274 139 30 30 9 0 82 23 6 12 0 0 5 3 0 6 0 0 788 305 87 3 0 0 3 0 3 0 0 0 15 0 0 156 43 32 48 7 4 13 0 0 63 14 0 301 64 39 33 11 3 27 4 0 8 0 0 42 15 0 7 4 0 3 0 0 15 0 0 13 0 0 3 0 0 151 34 3 1,237 406 128 170,353 137,675 41,356 Well Total 54 0 344 36 25 625 723 87 318 49 22 16 2,299 22 31 0 40 440 114 44 198 889 87 110 25 114 34 18 38 46 11 483 3,667 499,681 Table 34 Individual weekly income of older Tasmanians (65+ years), Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-174 Table 35 Household mortgage repayments ($ monthly) – (persons) for households where older Tasmanians (65+ years) were counted at home on Census night, 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-175 Table 36 Household rent payments ($ weekly) – (persons) for households where older Tasmanians (65+ years) were counted at home on Census night, 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-176 Table 37 Housing stress (housing cost > 30% of household income) – persons and % of households where older Tasmanians (65+ years) were counted at home on Census night, 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-177 Table 38 Disadvantaged areas* – number of SA1s and number of people, by Local Government Area, 2011 Disadvantaged SA1s All SA1s Number of SA1s Persons 65+ years Total population Number of SA1s Persons 65+ years Total population Brighton 19 451 6,425 41 1,437 15,460 Central Highlands 0 0 0 8 398 2,261 Clarence 13 475 4,377 150 8,830 51,852 Derwent Valley 6 390 2,178 35 1,398 9,705 Glamorgan/Spring Bay 1 35 222 22 1,088 4,191 Glenorchy 16 1,196 5,492 131 7,496 44,654 Hobart 0 0 0 129 7,186 48,706 Huon Valley 2 157 808 46 2,359 15,140 Kingborough 0 0 0 96 5,140 33,892 Sorell 3 213 936 38 1,912 13,196 Southern Midlands 1 111 260 18 853 6,047 Tasman 0 0 0 10 530 2,355 South 61 3,028 20,698 724 38,627 247,459 Break O'Day 2 207 789 23 1,368 6,192 Dorset 0 0 0 24 1,311 6,828 Flinders 1 8 65 4 162 776 George Town 8 407 2,852 22 1,081 6,636 Launceston 25 1,126 9,591 187 10,138 64,192 Meander Valley 0 0 0 59 3,201 18,889 Northern Midlands 1 35 274 37 2,116 12,230 West Tamar 3 160 701 65 3,755 21,816 North 40 1,943 14,272 421 23,132 137,559 Burnie 4 119 1,525 56 3,071 19,330 Central Coast 3 193 1,352 68 3,958 21,354 Circular Head 1 60 537 25 1,078 7,978 Devonport 9 410 2,733 68 4,571 24,617 Kentish 1 160 523 19 924 6,086 King Island 0 0 0 5 288 1,563 Latrobe 0 0 0 28 1,805 9,833 Waratah/Wynyard 3 174 974 46 2,497 13,707 West Coast 1 68 428 21 646 4,679 NorthWest 22 1,184 8,072 336 18,838 109,147 Tasmania 123 6,155 43,042 1,481 80,597 494,165 Region LGA Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 and ABS SEIFA 2011 *SA1s in the lowest 5% of Australian SA1s on the ABS SEIFA Index of Relative Socioeconomic Disadvantage FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-178 Table 39 Labour force participation by age group – comparison between Tasmania and Australia, 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Table 40 Hours worked per week – employed Tasmanians, age groups over 45 years (persons), 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-179 Table 41 Labour force status by age group (persons), 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-180 Table 42 Industry of employment, by age groups over 45 years, Tasmanian regions, 2011 Region South North NorthWest Tasmania Industry 45-54 years 55-64 years 65-74 years 75-84 years Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing Mining Manufacturing Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services Construction Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Accommodation and Food Services Transport, Postal and Warehousing Information Media and Telecommunications Financial and Insurance Services Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services Professional, Scientific and Technical Services Administrative and Support Services Public Administration and Safety Education and Training Health Care and Social Assistance Arts and Recreation Services Other Services Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing Mining Manufacturing Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services Construction Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Accommodation and Food Services Transport, Postal and Warehousing Information Media and Telecommunications Financial and Insurance Services Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services Professional, Scientific and Technical Services Administrative and Support Services Public Administration and Safety Education and Training Health Care and Social Assistance Arts and Recreation Services Other Services Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing Mining Manufacturing Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services Construction Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Accommodation and Food Services Transport, Postal and Warehousing Information Media and Telecommunications Financial and Insurance Services Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services Professional, Scientific and Technical Services Administrative and Support Services Public Administration and Safety Education and Training Health Care and Social Assistance Arts and Recreation Services Other Services Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing Mining Manufacturing Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services Construction Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Accommodation and Food Services Transport, Postal and Warehousing Information Media and Telecommunications Financial and Insurance Services Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services Professional, Scientific and Technical Services Administrative and Support Services Public Administration and Safety Education and Training Health Care and Social Assistance Arts and Recreation Services Other Services Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 913 95 1,865 621 1,949 733 2,116 1,131 1,179 485 617 345 1,544 687 3,789 3,212 4,126 525 957 791 160 1,544 244 1,065 544 1,367 716 806 182 371 177 436 429 1,146 1,667 2,231 184 481 781 488 1,515 158 834 479 1,009 572 733 84 184 135 291 377 821 1,161 1,582 85 364 2,488 747 4,931 1,023 3,857 1,756 4,498 2,425 2,733 751 1,172 657 2,278 1,497 5,760 6,046 7,952 794 1,802 650 69 1,122 332 1,139 457 1,490 773 852 301 361 285 1,095 499 2,110 2,214 2,807 348 588 710 80 815 160 593 378 851 435 653 118 219 147 396 257 731 1,116 1,525 131 375 643 237 749 97 532 299 636 364 534 50 76 82 263 218 512 701 1,068 50 275 2,003 386 2,686 589 2,264 1,134 2,977 1,572 2,051 469 656 514 1,763 974 3,360 4,031 5,408 529 1,238 281 17 192 35 169 91 311 144 197 27 52 67 302 90 203 270 409 67 151 291 11 144 11 90 59 171 70 143 23 38 37 115 44 73 162 205 31 71 292 29 86 9 70 41 124 70 115 8 10 28 65 24 44 71 120 12 51 864 57 422 55 332 191 606 284 455 58 100 132 482 158 323 503 734 110 273 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-181 52 0 22 3 16 6 37 8 16 5 11 13 23 3 11 21 37 12 0 80 0 9 0 8 4 12 9 9 0 0 4 4 3 9 11 15 0 10 79 3 11 0 3 6 5 8 4 0 0 0 12 6 0 6 7 3 8 211 3 42 3 27 16 54 25 29 5 14 17 39 12 20 38 59 15 18 85+ years 9 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 9 0 0 0 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29 0 3 0 3 5 8 3 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 Table 43 Employment type of employed Tasmanians, by age group over 45 years, Tasmanian regions, 2011 Region South North NorthWest Tasmania Employment type Owner managers Employee not owning business Contributing family workers Owner managers Employee not owning business Contributing family workers Owner managers Employee not owning business Contributing family workers Owner managers Employee not owning business Contributing family workers 45-54 years 55-64 years 65-74 years 75-84 years 85+ years 4,623 22,162 317 2,733 11,699 286 1,966 9,529 215 9,325 43,470 818 3,759 13,536 391 2,270 7,243 343 1,650 5,506 250 7,685 26,322 984 1,084 1,842 216 663 988 189 487 640 158 2,237 3,474 563 149 117 54 101 62 44 70 40 51 320 219 149 13 15 6 12 7 6 11 0 3 39 22 18 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Table 44 Employment sector of employed Tasmanians, by age group over 45 years, Tasmanian regions, 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-182 Table 45 Tenure of private dwellings, older Tasmanians (65+ years), 2011 Region LGA Brighton Central Highlands Clarence Derwent Valley Glamorgan/Spring Bay Glenorchy Hobart Huon Valley Kingborough Sorell Southern Midlands Tasman Owned outright 725 265 5,776 871 640 4,582 4,287 1,541 3,403 1,234 543 316 South 24,183 Break O'Day 879 Dorset 828 Flinders 102 George Town 623 Launceston 5,710 Meander Valley 2,092 Northern Midlands 1,340 West Tamar 2,521 North 14,095 Burnie 1,927 Central Coast 2,395 Circular Head 698 Devonport 2,773 Kentish 605 King Island 159 Latrobe 1,074 Waratah/Wynyard 1,567 West Coast 435 NorthWest 11,633 Tasmania 49,910 Australia 1,842,923 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 Owned with a mortgage 184 34 583 137 68 474 383 215 364 189 96 41 2,768 83 68 11 82 541 183 143 266 1,377 180 209 53 218 64 20 91 132 41 1,008 5,152 227,654 % living in housing owned or mortgaged 73.4% 82.4% 83.3% 80.4% 79.6% 75.3% 79.1% 85.2% 84.3% 83.1% 81.4% 82.8% 80.6% 81.9% 77.8% 78.5% 75.8% 72.5% 81.5% 78.9% 85.9% 77.6% 78.4% 77.4% 79.6% 76.3% 84.2% 75.2% 76.6% 78.2% 82.1% 77.9% 79.1% 78.1% Rented: Real estate agent 19 5 66 35 22 157 116 26 46 22 4 0 518 27 15 0 34 276 58 19 57 486 94 68 18 115 7 0 54 52 9 417 1,422 85,804 Rented: State or territory housing authority 157 3 340 49 13 492 154 33 86 28 15 5 1,375 23 25 11 48 488 52 34 26 707 128 143 31 230 7 3 56 92 13 703 2,785 109,477 Rented: Rented: Rented: Person Housing coOther not in op, landlord same community type household or church group 42 10 194 55 51 293 218 80 168 83 38 21 1,253 39 56 6 41 423 151 113 106 935 110 169 22 204 29 10 89 118 18 769 2,957 86,391 8 0 36 9 0 97 124 30 71 10 12 3 400 4 21 6 16 185 28 36 16 312 29 14 41 30 22 13 29 47 4 229 941 24,833 Table 46 Location of private dwellings, older Tasmanians (65+ years), 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-183 13 14 27 3 8 59 40 12 10 10 5 0 201 13 13 0 4 112 15 31 19 207 20 22 17 21 10 6 15 9 3 123 532 13,877 Rented: % living in Landlord rented type not housing stated 3 17 31 3 12 50 28 22 24 12 18 3 223 23 23 0 13 73 35 34 25 226 20 33 5 22 15 3 17 11 3 129 578 17,032 19.5% 13.5% 9.1% 12.3% 11.9% 17.1% 11.5% 9.9% 9.1% 9.6% 11.7% 7.4% 11.9% 11.0% 13.3% 16.0% 16.8% 18.1% 12.2% 14.2% 7.7% 14.4% 14.9% 13.3% 14.2% 15.9% 11.3% 14.7% 17.1% 15.1% 8.6% 14.6% 13.2% 12.7% Other tenure type 9 0 126 7 13 60 205 18 67 11 9 3 528 8 33 3 9 220 28 15 39 355 9 65 11 50 4 4 21 23 3 190 1,073 56,318 Tenure type not stated 78 15 455 84 62 452 349 83 228 114 45 39 2,004 75 70 5 60 593 148 115 171 1,237 170 247 48 259 32 20 74 121 51 1,022 4,262 185,854 Total living in private dwellings 1,238 363 7,634 1,253 889 6,716 5,904 2,060 4,467 1,713 785 431 33,453 1,174 1,152 144 930 8,621 2,790 1,880 3,246 19,937 2,687 3,365 944 3,922 795 238 1,520 2,172 580 16,223 69,612 2,650,163 Region LGA Brighton Central Highlands Clarence Derwent Valley Glamorgan/Spring Bay Glenorchy Hobart Huon Valley Kingborough Sorell Southern Midlands Tasman South Break O'Day Dorset Flinders George Town Launceston Meander Valley Northern Midlands West Tamar North Burnie Central Coast Circular Head Devonport Kentish King Island Latrobe Waratah/Wynyard West Coast NorthWest Tasmania Australia Caravan/ residential park or camping ground 0 0 9 0 5 6 0 0 4 0 0 0 24 9 0 0 3 6 4 4 20 46 0 21 0 19 0 0 9 21 0 70 141 19,277 Marina 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 419 Manufacture d home estate 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11,044 Retirement village (selfcontained) 0 0 154 0 0 279 346 0 89 0 0 7 875 14 0 0 0 562 131 3 161 871 37 0 0 125 39 0 44 3 0 248 1,993 136,134 Other 1,238 361 7,471 1,250 880 6,429 5,561 2,060 4,377 1,713 786 423 32,549 1,150 1,152 145 931 8,044 2,653 1,874 3,066 19,015 2,650 3,345 944 3,778 757 240 1,467 2,147 578 15,906 67,470 2,483,290 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-184 Table 47 Accommodation in non-private dwellings, by type, older Tasmanians (65+ years), 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-185 Table 48 Homeless and marginally housed Tasmanians, under and over 65 years of age, 2011 Accommodation type Homeless Other marginal housing Improvised dwellings, tents or sleeping out Supported accommodation for the homeless Staying temporarily with other households Staying in boarding houses In other temporary lodging Living in 'severely' crowded dwellings Total homeless Living in other crowded dwellings Living in other improvised dwellings Marginally housed in caravan parks Total marginally housed Total homeless or marginally housed Under 65 years Male Female Persons 102 42 144 245 214 459 255 202 457 150 69 219 6 12 18 99 81 180 857 620 1,477 292 281 573 85 55 140 81 46 127 458 382 840 1,315 1,002 2,317 65 years and over Male Female Persons 10 3 13 12 8 20 23 21 44 18 3 21 0 3 3 0 3 3 63 41 104 11 11 22 6 8 14 17 12 29 34 31 65 97 72 169 Total Male Female Persons 112 45 157 257 222 479 278 223 501 168 72 240 6 15 21 99 84 183 920 661 1,581 303 292 595 91 63 154 98 58 156 492 413 905 1,412 1,074 Data source: ABS Estimating homelessness, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-186 2,486 Table 49 Number and proportion of Tasmanians aged 60+ years holding a driver’s licence, 2013 Female Male ERP female population 2012 ERP male population 2012 % females with drivers licence % males with drivers licence Persons with drivers licence Est Resident Population 2012 % of total 65+ population 65-74 years 21,914 24,103 24,125 24,350 91% 99% 46,017 48,475 95% 75-84 years 9,156 10,724 14,499 12,002 63% 89% 19,880 26,501 75% 85+ years 1,685 2,214 6,841 3,792 25% 58% 3,899 10,633 37% Total 65+ years 32,755 37,041 45,465 40,144 72% 92% 69,796 85,609 82% ERP refers to Estimated Resident Population - June 2012 (ABS 3101.0) Data source: DIER, Unpublished data, 2013 and ABS, Australian Demographic Statistics, 2012 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-187 Table 50 Household access to motor vehicles, older Tasmanians by age group (persons*), 2011 Region LGA Brighton Central Highlands Clarence Derwent Valley Glamorgan/Spring Bay Glenorchy Hobart Huon Valley Kingborough Sorell Southern Midlands Tasman South Break O'Day Dorset Flinders George Town Launceston Meander Valley Northern Midlands West Tamar North Burnie Central Coast Circular Head Devonport Kentish King Island Latrobe Waratah/Wynyard West Coast NorthWest Tasmania Australia 65 to 74 years 75 to 84 years 85 years and over Total 65+ years No motor vehicle 1+ motor vehicles No motor vehicle 1+ motor vehicles No motor vehicle 1+ motor vehicles No motor vehicle 1+ motor vehicles 43 744 28 255 18 43 89 1,042 3 225 7 79 3 17 13 321 186 3,818 264 2,112 278 528 728 6,458 35 695 56 291 25 55 116 1,041 10 530 15 211 12 48 37 789 309 2,980 494 1,680 350 397 1,153 5,057 231 2,650 293 1,576 303 465 827 4,691 36 1,238 29 540 27 97 92 1,875 68 2,456 122 1,229 120 271 310 3,956 23 915 39 490 37 91 99 1,496 12 489 20 162 10 30 42 681 3 265 3 113 3 17 9 395 959 17,005 1,370 8,738 1,186 2,059 3,515 27,802 22 682 33 264 30 63 85 1,009 21 612 34 343 15 57 70 1,012 5 96 3 26 0 10 8 132 25 535 33 219 18 42 76 796 374 4,036 462 2,204 419 560 1,255 6,800 46 1,503 98 756 77 172 221 2,431 37 1,069 47 496 39 100 123 1,665 42 1,789 82 896 62 207 186 2,892 572 10,322 792 5,204 660 1,211 2,024 16,737 87 1,359 111 698 80 174 278 2,231 72 1,779 124 892 80 192 276 2,863 28 508 29 243 23 56 80 807 121 1,893 184 1,024 143 278 448 3,195 13 501 16 171 11 45 40 717 5 133 4 57 6 18 15 208 19 854 46 403 24 86 89 1,343 60 1,154 100 549 60 114 220 1,817 33 339 24 108 11 11 68 458 438 8,520 638 4,145 438 974 1,514 13,639 1,969 35,847 2,800 18,087 2,284 4,244 7,053 58,178 90,773 1,314,108 125,116 680,196 88,359 164,757 304,248 2,159,061 *Persons counted at home on Census night 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-188 Table 51 Needs assistance with core activities by age group (persons), 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-189 Table 52 Persons needing assistance with core activities who live alone - by age group, 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-190 Table 53 Residential mobility by age group (persons), Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-191 Table 54 Voluntary work for an organisation or group (in past 12 months), persons by age group, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-192 Table 55 Provided unpaid assistance to a person because of a disability, long illness or old age (in past 2 weeks), persons by age group, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-193 Table 56 Spent time caring for children (under 15 years) other than own without pay (in past 2 weeks), persons by age group, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-194 Table 57 Non-school qualification, persons by age group, Tasmanian LGAs 2011 * ‘tertiary’ includes Bachelor Degree, Graduate Certificate, Graduate Diploma, and Postgraduate Degree. ‘technical/trades includes Certficate, Diploma and Advanced Diploma Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-195 Table 58 Student status, older Tasmanians by age group, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-196 Table 59 Household Internet access, older Tasmanians by age group, Tasmanian LGAs, 2011 persons counted at home in private dwellings on Census night Data source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2011 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-197 Table 60 Summary of selected characteristics from Tasmanian Population Health Survey (% of Tasmanians 60+ years), 2009 Community and societal characteristic expensive lack of quality lack of variety Reasons for not having type of food wanted culturally inappropriate unreliable public transport difficult to reach shops using normal mode of transport none at all less than 5 Number of people spoken to yesteday 5 to 9 10 or more no, not at all not often Help from friends when in need sometimes yes, definitely no, not at all not often Help from family when in need sometimes yes, definitely no, not at all not often Help from neighbours when in need sometimes yes, definitely yes Able to raise $2000 within 2 days in an emergency no yes Attended a local community event in the past 6 months no no, not at all not often Access to community services/resources sometimes yes, definitely no, not at all not often Feel safe walking alone down your street after dark sometimes yes, definitely Not applicable - e.g. remote property no, not at all not often Feel valued by society sometimes yes, definitely no, not at all not often Feel there are opportunities to have a real say on issues that are important sometimes yes, definitely less than 1 year greater than 1 year but less than or equal to 5 years Length of time lived in current neighbourhood or area or council or LGA greater than 5 years but less than or equal to 10 years greater than 10 years North NorthWest South Tasmania 24.60% 24.50% 23.70% 24.10% 23.10% 20.00% 24.30% 23.00% 10.00% 8.10% 10.80% 10.00% 6.70% 7.10% 5.70% 6.30% 8.00% 6.60% 9.60% 8.50% 6.80% 5.80% 7.80% 7.00% 2.10% 2.50% 1.70% 2.00% 30.50% 23.10% 28.80% 28.00% 31.60% 33.30% 32.40% 32.40% 35.40% 40.60% 36.50% 37.10% 4.20% 2.90% 4.70% 4.10% 3.10% 1.80% 2.40% 2.40% 11.00% 13.00% 12.70% 12.30% 80.60% 81.30% 79.90% 80.40% 8.00% 8.40% 7.50% 7.80% 2.90% 2.80% 3.20% 3.00% 9.70% 9.90% 9.40% 9.60% 78.80% 77.70% 79.30% 78.80% 11.40% 12.00% 12.50% 12.10% 4.70% 3.20% 4.40% 4.20% 14.70% 12.50% 15.40% 14.50% 67.30% 70.30% 65.30% 67.00% 86.60% 86.00% 89.70% 88.00% 10.80% 11.60% 8.00% 9.60% 55.30% 56.40% 52.00% 54.10% 44.60% 42.00% 47.10% 45.20% 4.50% 3.70% 4.50% 4.30% 1.90% 1.00% 1.80% 1.60% 7.10% 5.70% 8.70% 7.60% 83.50% 87.00% 81.70% 83.40% 20.60% 21.70% 20.80% 20.90% 4.20% 4.80% 4.70% 4.60% 9.70% 7.60% 7.70% 8.30% 54.20% 54.20% 57.10% 55.60% 9.70% 10.00% 7.80% 8.90% 10.40% 8.80% 9.80% 9.80% 5.20% 6.20% 5.10% 5.40% 25.10% 25.50% 27.10% 26.20% 53.00% 52.40% 51.20% 52.00% 15.10% 11.80% 13.80% 13.70% 8.90% 7.60% 9.10% 8.70% 22.40% 23.90% 24.30% 23.70% 51.10% 53.20% 49.60% 50.80% 2.70% 3.30% 2.70% 2.90% 13.20% 14.60% 14.70% 14.30% 13.90% 15.70% 15.30% 15.00% 70.20% 66.20% 67.20% 67.80% Percentages in red font have a relative standard error in excess of 25% and must be used with caution Data source: DHHS Tasmanian Population Health Survey, 2009 FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians B-198 Appendix C - COTA Have Your Say Postcard FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 2013 C-199 Page left intentionally blank FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 2013 R-200 References ABS, 2006, Adult Literacy and Life Skills Survey (catalogue 4228.0.55.002) ABS, 2012, Australian Demographic Statistics, (catalogue 3101.0) ABS, 2010 Australian Social Trends (Catalogue4102.0) ABS, 2011, Census of Population and Housing, ABS, 2013 Gender Indicators, (Catalogue 4125.0) ABS, 2010, General Social Survey (Catalogue 4159.0) ABS, 2007-2011 and 2006-2010 National Regional Profile - Tasmania, ABS, 2013, presentation on ‘Who are Tasmania’s older people?’ using data from ABS Census of Population and Housing 2011 ABS, 2011-2012, Programme for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies ABS, 1988, Year Book Australia, History of Pensions and Other Benefits in Australia (Catalogue 1301.0) Adams, D, 2009, A Social Inclusion Strategy for Tasmanian, Department of Premier and Cabinet Anti Discrimination Commission, 2013 unpublished data from 2011-2012 Australian Institute of Health and Wellbeing: Life expectancy (years) at selected ages, selected years 1901–1910 to 2006–2008, viewed 28 May 2013 http://www.aihw.gov.au/ Demographic Change Advisory Council, 2008, Demographic change in Tasmania: Strategies for addressing challenges and opportunities, Strategies Discussion Paper, Government of Tasmania Department of Economic Development, 2013 analysis of data from ABS 4177.0 Participation in Sport and Physical Recreation, Australia, 2011-12 Department of Education, 2013, 2012 unpublished student enrolment numbers FACING THE FUTURE - 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A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 2013 R-202 End of Document FACING THE FUTURE - A Baseline Profile on Older Tasmanians 2013 R-203