Presentation

Transcription

Presentation
GCOS Needs for Satellite
Observations and Data
Stephen Briggs, Chairman, GCOS Steering Committee
Carolin Richter, Director, GCOS Secretariat
29 January 2016
Recent and Next Milestones
• Status Report of the Global Observing
System for Climate (2015)
• New Implementation Plan (2016)
WMO Congress in 2015 (Cg-17)
Commitment of WMO Members to
Resolution 39 (Cg-17): Global Climate Observing System
Excerpt from Cg-17 Report:
“ …Congress recommended that the Status Report and
Implementation Plan should be
submitted for review to relevant WMO Technical Commissions
and the appropriate Expert Teams,
before formal submission to the UNFCCC. …”
Status Report and Outline for the new GCOS IP submitted to
UNFCCC SBSTA43/COP21
•
GCOS fulfils the responsibility to review and assess the development and
implementation of the component parts of the climate observing system and to
report to its sponsors, partners and to UNFCCC.
•
A report on the “Status of the Global Observing System for Climate” has been
prepared during the period from May to October 2015 with contributions from
panels and external experts. It has been submitted to public review during
summer of 2015, and has been delivered to SBSTA on 20 October 2015, for
presentation at COP21 in Paris.
•
Draft outline for the new GCOS Implementation has been submitted to COP21.
The new plan is due for SBSTA45 / COP22 in 2016.
COP21 / SBSTA43, Paris, December 2015
Conclusion:
• Encouraged GCOS to consider the outcomes of COP21 when preparing
the new GCOS Implementation Plan.
• Invited GCOS to collaborate with relevant partners to continue enhancing
access to, and understanding and interpretation of, data products and
information to support decision-making on adaptation and mitigation at
national, regional and global scales.
• Urged Parties to work towards addressing the priorities and gaps
identified in the GCOS 2015 Status Report.
• Invited Parties and relevant organizations to provide inputs to, and
contribute to the review of, the new GCOS implementation plan.
Chronic of GCOS Reports and Plans: following the Second
Adequacy Report in 2003, GCOS produced:
• an Implementation Plan in 2004
• a Supplement to the Plan in 2006 on requirements for
satellite-based data products
• a Progress Report in 2009
• an updated Implementation Plan in 2010
• an updated Satellite Supplement in 2011
and most recently:
• The Status Report in 2015
Conclusions of the Status Report
2015
General finding on atmospheric observations:
Global observation varies in its nature, arrangement and extent
across the atmospheric, oceanic and terrestrial domains.
Owing to the heritage of many decades of meteorological data
collection, atmospheric observation is the best developed, with
relatively dense though far from gap-free networks, clear
observational standards, largely open data exchange and
international data centres covering most, if not all, variables.
Refinement of atmospheric observation is on-going.
General finding on ocean observations:
Ocean observation has developed quickly, with international planning
and implementation of observational networks, and new technologies
that enable more and better autonomous data collection.
While there are still limitations and some issues with established
networks, overall structures are in place for the improvement to
continue.
General finding on terrestrial observations:
Terrestrial observations have traditionally been made on smaller
scales, with different standards and methods in different countries.
They also have a poor history of open data exchange. Space-based
observation is now providing global coverage of improving quality for
a number of variables, increasingly with open data access, and there
is progress in other areas, through global networks for glaciers and
permafrost, for example. Standards, methods and data-exchange
protocols for key hydrological variables have been developed.
However, an integrated approach to terrestrial observation is still
lacking.
Principal Findings for space-based components – slide 1/4
• The newer and planned generations of operational
meteorological satellite systems offer improved quality and a
broader range of measurements. China is becoming established
as the provider of a third pillar in the constellation of polarorbiting systems.
• The European Copernicus programme is placing additional types
of observation on an operational basis, with increased coverage
and quality of measurement, and accompanying service
provision.
Principal Findings for space-based components – slide 2/4
• There have been increases in the numbers of national providers,
co-operative international missions and other collaborative
arrangements.
• There has been very little progress on the continuation of limb
sounding and the establishment of a reference mission.
• Continuity of measurement is at risk for solar irradiance and for
sea-surface temperature at microwave frequencies.
Principal Findings for space-based components – slide 3/4
• New observational capabilities have been demonstrated, and
others are being prepared for demonstration. Future deployment
is uncertain for some of the demonstrated capabilities, for
example for monitoring cloud and aerosol profiles, sea-ice
thickness and soil moisture.
• The generation and supply of products derived from space-based
observations have progressed well, with increasing attention
paid to documenting product quality and uncertainty.
Principal Findings for space-based components – slide 4/4
• Inter-agency cooperation has been effective in product validation
and in starting to develop an architecture for climate monitoring
from space and an inventory of products.
• Data access is becoming more open, although there is still
progress to be made. Some data remain to be recovered from
early missions, and long-term preservation of data, including
occasional reprocessing, is not yet fully ensured.
Detailed findings for:
In-situ and non-spaced components
Spaced-based component
Data Management
Reanalysis
International Organization of Observing Systems
download from gcos.wmo.int
New GCOS
Implementation Plan 2016
Timeline for the GCOS Implementation Plan
Preparatory work in 2013 – 2015 (GCOS panel meetings and three workshops
with GFCS/UNFCCC/IPCC; Publication of Status Report)
15 November 2015
2-4 February 2016
2-4 March 2016
April 2016
24-26 May 2016
July 2016
September 2016
September 2016
October 2016
Draft Table of Contents submitted to COP21
First Writing Team meeting, JRC, Italy
Open GCOS Conference
Bring work in progress to GCOS panel meetings
Second Writing Team meeting, JRC, Italy
Public review (6 weeks)
Final version prepared in light of comments on
the draft
Final Version submitted to GCOS SC-24
Final plan submitted to COP22
NEW GCOS Implementation Plan (2016)
The new implementation plan is envisaging broadening its scope to
global Earth`s environmental cycles, i.e., energy, carbon and water,
and inter alia taking into account Sustainable Development Goals,
climate services, climate indicators and relevant outcomes of
discussions during COP21. It will advise on new requirements for
measures needed for adaptation to a changing climate, and measures
to mitigate climate changes.
The new plan will lay out a new strategic approach to further
implement the Global Climate Observing System and will introduce a
section on cross-cutting disciplines and on scientific and technological
challenges.
What came out of COP21 and the Paris Agreement:
Adaptation (Article 7(c)): Strengthening scientific knowledge on climate,
including research, systematic observation of the climate system and
early warning systems, in a manner that informs climate services and
supports decision-making
Items for GCOS to consider
 Observational requirements to monitor emissions and emission
reductions (Global Stocktaking, Transparency)
 Observational needs for loss and damage, adaptation etc.
 Data needs of Public awareness (Indicators etc.)
 Capacity Development (GCOS Cooperation Mechanism)
What do we need to consider in the next plan?
• Are the current definition of ECVs suitable?
• Are the current observations sufficient to assess the contribution of
the hydrological, energy or carbon cycles to the changing climate?
• Are additional ECV needed for mitigation or vulnerability, impacts
and adaption studies and planning?
• Are the monitoring networks sufficient and delivering data as
needed?
• Could storage of, and access to, data be improved?
• What are appropriate indicators for
• Communicating ongoing and historic climate change?
• Guidance of actions to adapt to and manage consequences o f
climate change?
• What is role of GCOS in these?
• What additional observations are needed post-COP21?
(Observational requirements to monitor emissions and emission
reductions (Global Stocktaking, Transparency), Technology transfer
and Capacity Development (GCOS Cooperation Mechanism),
New Implementation Plan – Satellite Supplement
Implementation Plan for the Global Observing System for Climate in
Support of the UNFCCC - October, 2004
Systematic Observation Requirements for Satellite-based Products for
Climate Supplemental details to the satellite-based component of the
Implementation Plan for the Global Observing System for Climate in
Support of the UNFCCC - September 2006
---------------------Implementation Plan (2010 Update), August 2010
“Satellite Supplemental” 2011 Update, December 2011
---------------------New GCOS Implementation Plan, in December 2016
Satellite Supplement: to be published timely to the new
implementation plan.

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