elliott ash - Columbia University
Transcription
elliott ash - Columbia University
Zach Y. Brown October 1, 2016 Department of Economics Columbia University New York, NY 10027 (510) 499-9932 [email protected] www.columbia.edu/~zyb2001 Placement Chairs: Navin Kartik, [email protected], Doug Almond, [email protected] Placement Assistant: Amy Devine, (212) 854-6881, [email protected] Education: 2017 (expected) 2013 2012 2007 Ph.D. M.Phil M.A. B.A. Economics Economics Economics Economics (physics minor) Columbia University Columbia University Columbia University U.C. Berkeley Honors and Awards: 2015-2016, Dissertation Fellowship, Department of Economics, Columbia University 2014, Faculty Fellowship, Department of Economics, Columbia University 2011-2013, National Science Foundation Graduate Research Fellowship Fields of Specialization: Primary Field: Industrial Organization Secondary Field: Applied Microeconomics Job Market Paper: “An Empirical Model of Price Transparency and Markups in Health Care” Abstract: In the market for health care services, consumers often do not know exact prices when choosing where to receive care. This makes it difficult to shop around for low cost options, potentially reducing effective consumer price elasticity and leading to higher prices. This paper introduces an empirical model that explicitly accounts for the lack of price transparency. First, I develop a demand model that separates underlying consumer preferences from uncertainty about prices. Identification comes from plausibly exogenous variation in consumers' information set due to the introduction of a publiclyavailable website providing price information for a subset of medical procedures. I then combine this with a model of bargaining between medical providers and insurers in order to examine how price transparency affects negotiated prices in equilibrium. I estimate the model using detailed administrative data on medical imaging claims and website usage and show that price transparency reduces health care prices if a large fraction of consumers are informed. Counterfactual simulations imply that if all consumers were informed, equilibrium prices would be 19 percent lower. Working Papers: “Equilibrium Effects of Health Care Price Information,” (2016). Under Review. Work in Progress: “Welfare Implications of Omitting Exogenous Shocks from Credit Scores: Evidence from Agricultural Lending” (with Nicolás de Roux) Research and Work Experience: 2014-2015, Staff Economist, White House Council of Economic Advisers 2011-2012, Research Assistant to Kate Ho (Columbia University) 2007-2010, Analyst, Cornerstone Research 2006-2007, Research Assistant to Robert Edelstein (U.C. Berkeley) Teaching Experience: Teaching assistantships, graduate level: 2012, Microeconomics, School of International and Public Affairs, Columbia University Teaching assistantships, undergraduate level: 2016, Industrial Organization, Department of Economics, Columbia University 2015, Industrial Organization, Department of Economics, Columbia University 2015, Econometrics, Department of Economics, Columbia University 2013, Development Economics, Department of Economics, Columbia University 2013, Empirical Methods for Undergraduate Thesis, Department of Economics, Columbia University 2012, Industrial Organization, Department of Economics, Columbia University Personal: Citizenship: U.S.A. References: Kate Ho (Primary) Department of Economics Columbia University (212) 854-7605 [email protected] Michael Riordan Department of Economics Columbia University (646) 484-9096 [email protected] Douglas Almond Department of Economics Columbia University (212) 854-7248 [email protected] Christopher Conlon Stern School of Business New York University (646) 389-3895 [email protected] Nicolás de Roux Department of Economics Columbia University 420 West 118th Street New York, NY, 10027 Cell: (+1) 855-451-1689 [email protected] http://www.columbia.edu/vnd2282 Placement Chairs: Navin Kartik ([email protected]), Douglas Almond ([email protected]) Placement Assistant: Amy Devine ([email protected]), (+1) 212-854-6881 EDUCATION Ph.D., Economics, Columbia University M.Phil., Economics, Columbia University M.A., Economics, Columbia University M.A., Economics, Universidad de los Andes, Bogotá, Colombia B.A., Economics, Cum Laude, Universidad de los Andes, Bogotá, Colombia 2017 (Expected) 2014 2013 2010 2008 FIELDS OF SPECIALIZATION Development Economics, Applied Microeconomics, Banking JOB MARKET PAPER “Credit Scoring Meets Small Agricultural Lending: Exogenous Shocks, Recovery and Access to Formal Credit” Abstract: Credit histories and credit scoring have become a widespread tool to assess the creditworthiness of prospective borrowers, and have been found to increase efficiency and welfare. But this paper identifies a market failure resulting from their use in small scale agricultural lending in developing countries. Farmers’ scores – and their access to credit – decline because of exogenous short-term weather shocks that arguably do not reduce their likelihood of future repayment. I use data on the near universe of formal agricultural loans for coffee production in the country of Colombia to show that excessive rainfall shocks cause lower loan repayment, lower credit scores, and more frequent denial of subsequent loan applications. Further, drawing on the agronomic literature on coffee production and using survey data, I show that the coffee productivity and income recover faster from these shocks than farmers’ credit histories. I present evidence of repayment recovery in a sample of long term loans and in a sample of high ex-ante credit score borrowers, consistent with the results on income recovery. This leads to costs for the farmers and the lender that could be avoided. Credit scoring should incorporate individual-level weather information, which would account for the more volatile nature of income of small scale agricultural production in developing countries. WORK IN PROGRESS “Using Exchange Rates to Estimate Production Functions.” With Marcela Eslava (Universidad de los Andes), Santiago Franco (Universidad de los Andes) and Eric Verhoogen (Columbia University) “On the Motives of Loan Repayment to State-Owned Banks: Evidence From a Field Experiment With Small Farmers in Colombia.” With Jairo Esquivel (Banco Agrario), Margarita Gáfaro (Brown University), Moisés Mahecha (Banco Agrario) and Guillermo Otero (Banco Agrario) “Welfare Implications of Omitting Exogenous Shocks From Credit Scores: Evidence From Agricultural Lending in Colombia.” With Zach Brown (Columbia University) PUBLICATIONS “Sacrifice Ratios and Inflation Targeting: The Role of Credibility.” With Marc Hofstetter (Universidad de los Andes). International Finance, v.17 no.3 pp.381-401, August 2014 “Do Preferences Shape Institutions? The Case of Inflation Aversion and Inflation Targeting.” With Marc Hofstetter (Universidad de los Andes). Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics, v.51 pp. 68-78, August 2014 “Is It My Money or Not? An Experiment on Risk Aversion and the House-Money Effect.” With Juan Camilo Cárdenas (Universidad de los Andes), Christian Jaramillo (CREG) and Luis Roberto Martı́nez (University of Chicago). Experimental Economics, v.17 no.1 pp. 47-60, March 2014 “Unemployment in Latin America and the Caribbean.” With Laurence Ball (Johns Hopkins University) and Marc Hofstetter (Universidad de los Andes). Open Economies Review, v.24 no.3 pp. 397-424, July 2013 WORKING PAPERS “Back to Basics: Sticky Prices in the Monetary Transmission Mechanism.” Documento CEDE, Universidad de los Andes, 2011 HONORS AND AWARDS - Student Research Grant, Center for Development Economics and Policy, Columbia University, 2015, 2016 - Dissertation Fellowship, Department of Economics, Columbia University, 2015-2016 - Wueller Teaching Award, Best T.A. in Principles of Economics (runner-up) Columbia University, Department of Economics, 2015 - Fellow, Center for Development Economics and Policy, Columbia University, 2014- Wueller Teaching Award, Best T.A. in Principles of Economics, Columbia University, Department of Economics, 2013 - Faculty Fellowship, Department of Economics, Columbia University, 2011-2017 - Juan Luis Londoño Award (runner-up) for Best Master Thesis, Universidad de los Andes, Department of Economics, 2010 - Augusto Cano Fellowship, Universidad de los Andes, Department of Economics, 2009 TEACHING - Universidad de Los Andes, International Summer School : Industrial Development, Lecturer (with E. Verhoogen), Summer 2014 - Columbia University: Principles of Economics, T. A. for S. Gulati, Fall 2012 (Wueller Teaching Award) Principles of Economics, T. A. for S. Gulati, Spring 2015 (Wueller Teaching Award, runner-up) - Universidad de los Andes: Stata Workshop, Lecturer, 2010, 2011; Seminar on the Economics of Happiness, Lecturer (with S. Melo), 2011; Economics of Decisions and Institutions, Grad. T.A. for J.C. Cárdenas, 2010; Introduction to Microeconomics, Grad. T.A. for J.C. Cárdenas, 2009, 2010; Advanced Macroeconomics, Grad. T. A. for M. Hofstetter and R. Suescún, 2008, 2009; Game Theory, Grad. T.A. for M. Eslava, 2009 RESEARCH ASSISTANTSHIPS - Eric Verhoogen (Columbia University), Jan. 2013 - Dec. 2014 and Sept. 2016 - May 2017 - Marc Hofstetter (Universidad de los Andes), Jan. 2007 - Dec. 2010 REFERENCES Eric Verhoogen (primary) Associate Professor Department of Economics & SIPA Columbia University (212) 854-4428 [email protected] Pierre-André Chiappori E. Rowan and Barbara Steinschneider Professor of Economics Columbia University (212) 854-6369 [email protected] Jonas Hjort Assistant Professor Graduate School of Business Columbia University (212) 854-5957 [email protected] Suresh Naidu Associate Professor Department of Economics & SIPA Columbia University (212) 854-0027 [email protected] Last Updated: October, 2016 Kunjal Desai 30th September, 2016 Department of Economics Columbia University New York, NY 10027 Phone : +1-646-373-0428 Email : [email protected] www.columbia.edu/~kd2380 Placement Chairs: Navin Kartik, [email protected], Doug Almond, [email protected] Placement Assistant: Amy Devine, (212) 854-6881, [email protected] Education: 2017 (expected) 2009 2007 Ph.D. Economics M.A. Economics B.Sc. Physics Columbia University Delhi School of Economics, Delhi St Stephen’s College, Delhi Honors and Awards: 2015-2016, Dissertation Fellowship, Department of Economics, Columbia University 2010-2015, Faculty Fellow, Columbia University 2007-2009, National(CAS) Scholarship 2004-2007, KVPY Fellow, Government of India Fields of Specialization: Primary Field: Development Economics Secondary Field: Political Economy, Economics of the Household Job Market Paper: “Affirmative Action, Caste and the Marriage Market” Abstract: This study investigates the role of a strong social norm - caste - on the marriage market in India and how it responds to economic changes. A jobs-based affirmative action policy, the implementation of the Mandal Commission report in December 1993, differentially affects incomes across cohorts for treated castes. This is used to separately identify the effects of caste and income on marital partner choice and the distribution of the match surplus using a difference-in-differences strategy. The affirmative action policy is found to have an asymmetric effect across genders - male members of the treated group are found to attract more desirable spouses and get a higher share of the marital match surplus while there is no similar effect for women. A structural model of the marriage market based on Choo & Siow(2006) is used to investigate the marital welfare effects of the policy while controlling for selection effects. Similar results are found. These findings suggest that the marriage market and intra household decision making plays a significant role in determining the distribution of welfare changes from economic shocks. Working Papers: “Management, Firms and Labor Regulations” (with Ritam Chaurey) “Representation and Opportunism: RD Evidence from Indian Village Councils” (with Ashna Arora, Rakesh Banerjee and Siddharth Hari) Work in Progress: “The Welfare Consequences of Re-election Incentives: Evidence from India” (with Anusha Nath) Research and Work Experience: Summer, Fall 2009, Research Associate, Indian School of Business Teaching Experience: Teaching Assistant, Columbia University: Fall 2016 (Development Economics, Graduate) Summer 2016 (Open Economy Macroeconomics, Graduate) Spring 2015 (Financial Economics, Undergraduate) Fall 2014 (Economic Growth and Development, Undergraduate) Summer 2014 (Microeconomics, Graduate) Spring 2014, Spring 2013 (Economics of Uncertainty and Information, Undergraduate) Fall 2013 (Political Economy, Undergraduate) Summer 2013 (Intermediate Macro, Business School) Fall 2012 (Principles of Economics, Undergraduate) Fall 2011, Spring 2012 (Intermediate Micro, Undergraduate) Personal: Languages: English(Fluent), Gujarati(Native), Hindi(Fluent), Spanish(Basic) References: Suresh Naidu (Primary) Department of Economics Columbia University (212) 851-0027 [email protected] Pierre-Andre Chaippori Department of Economics Columbia University (212) 851-6369 [email protected] Bernard Salanie Department of Economics Columbia University (212) 854-1677 [email protected] AMBUJ DEWAN October 2, 2016 Department of Economics Columbia University New York, NY 10027 (646) 842-0292 [email protected] www.columbia.edu/~ayd2105 Placement Chairs: Navin Kartik, [email protected], Doug Almond, [email protected] Placement Assistant: Amy Devine, (212) 854-6881, [email protected] Education: 2017 (expected) 2014 2013 2011 Ph.D. M.Phil. M.A. B.A. Economics Economics Economics Economics and Mathematics Columbia University Columbia University Columbia University McGill University Fields of Specialization: Experimental Economics, Behavioral Economics, Microeconomic Theory, Information Economics Job Market Paper: “Estimating Cost Functions in Perceptual and Cognitive Processes” (with Nathaniel Neligh) Abstract: In models of rational inattention, information costs are usually modeled using mutual information, which measures the expected reduction in entropy between prior and posterior beliefs, or ad hoc functional forms, but little is known about what form these costs take in reality. We show that under mild assumptions on information cost functions, including continuity and convexity, gross payoffs to decision makers are non-decreasing and continuous in potential rewards. We conduct laboratory and online experiments, consisting of simple perceptual tasks with fine-grained variation in the level of potential rewards, that allow us to test several hypotheses about rational inattention and compare various models of information costs via information criteria. We find that most subjects exhibit monotonicity in performance with respect to potential rewards, and there is mixed evidence on continuity and convexity of costs. Moreover, a significant portion of subjects are likelier to make small mistakes than large ones, contrary to the predictions of mutual information. This suggests that while people are generally rationally inattentive, their cost functions may display non-convexities or discontinuities, or they may incorporate some notion of perceptual distance, which has implications for various economic applications, including consumer choice. Work in Progress: “Promises and Pronouncements” (with Charles Maurin) “Irrational Attention? Confidence and Information Acquisition” (with Pablo Egaña del Sol) Honors and Awards: 2016-2017 Dissertation Fellowship, Department of Economics, Columbia University 2014-2015 Columbia Experimental Laboratory for the Social Sciences Grant 2012-2016 Faculty Fellowship, Department of Economics, Columbia University 2011 Allen Oliver Fellowship, McGill University (awarded to the top graduating student in economics continuing to graduate study) 2010-2011 Adam Smith Economics Scholarship, McGill University 2008-2009 John D. Schultz Scholarship, Heart and Stroke Foundation of Ontario 2007-2011 Dean’s Honour List, McGill University 2007-2011 James McGill Scholarship, McGill University 2007-2008 Miller Thompson Foundation Scholarship, Miller Thompson Foundation Research and Work Experience: 2015-2016 Lab Manager, Columbia Experimental Laboratory for the Social Sciences 2012 Research Assistant for Katherine Ho, Columbia University 2009-2010 Research Assistant for George Wells and Doug Coyle, University of Ottawa Heart Institute (Biostatistics and Health Economics) Teaching Experience: Spring 2015 Fall 2014 Spring 2014 Fall 2013 Summer 2013 Spring 2013 Fall 2013 Cognitive Mechanisms & Economic Behavior Intermediate Macroeconomics Game Theory Game Theory Introduction to Econometrics Principles of Economics Principles of Economics TA for Michael Woodford TA for Xavier Sala-i-Martin TA for Benjamin Ho TA for Prajit Dutta TA for Alexei Onatski TA for Anna Musatti TA for Anna Musatti Personal: Citizenship: Canadian Languages: English (primary); French (fluent); Hindi (basic) References: Navin Kartik (co-sponsor) Professor Department of Economics Columbia University (212) 854-3926 [email protected] Michael Woodford John Bates Clark Professor of Political Economy Department of Economics Columbia University (212) 854-1094 [email protected] Mark Dean (co-sponsor) Assistant Professor Department of Economics Columbia University (212) 854-3669 [email protected] Alessandra Casella Professor Department of Economics Columbia University (212) 854-2459 [email protected] STEPHANE DUPRAZ October 3, 2016 Department of Economics Columbia University New York, NY 10027 (646) 320-9026 [email protected] www.columbia.edu/~sd2702/ Placement Chairs: Navin Kartik, [email protected], Doug Almond, [email protected] Placement Assistant: Amy Devine, (212) 854-6881, [email protected] Education: 2017 (expected) 2011 2011 Ph.D. Economics MSc Economics MSc Economics & Statistics Columbia University Paris School of Economics ENSAE-ParisTech Honors and Awards: 2015-2016, Dissertation Fellowship, Department of Economics, Columbia University Field of Specialization: Macroeconomics Job Market Paper: A Kinked-Demand Theory of Price Rigidity I provide a microfounded theory for one of the oldest, but so far informal, explanations of price rigidity: the kinked demand curve theory. Assuming that some customers observe at no cost only the price of the store they happen to be at gives rise to a kink in firms' demand curves: a price increase above the market price repels more customers than a price decrease attracts. The kink in turn makes a range of prices consistent with equilibrium, but an intuitive criterion---the adaptive rational-expectations criterion---selects a unique equilibrium where prices stay constant for long. The kinked-demand theory is consistent with price-setters' account of price-rigidity as arising from the customer's---not the firm's---side, contrary to prominent models of price rigidity. The kinked-demand theory can be tested against menu-cost models in micro data: it predicts that prices should be more likely to change if they have recently changed, and that prices should be more flexible in markets where customers can more easily compare prices. The kinked-demand theory has novel implications for monetary policy: its Phillips curve is strongly convex but does not contain any (present or past) expectations of inflation; its long-run Phillips curve is essentially similar as its short-run Phillips curve, leading to a long-run trade-off between output and inflation; and changes to the distribution of sectoral productivity such as oil price shocks shift the Phillips curve. Working Papers: Search Models and Kinked Demands A Plucking Model of Business Cycles, with Emi Nakamura and Jón Steinsson Coordination under Ambiguity Referee Journal of Monetary Economics Research Assistantship: Summer 2012, Spring 2014: Fall 2013: Summer 2014: Fall 2014 to Spring 2016: Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé and Martin Uribe Michael Woodford Ricardo Reis Emi Nakamura and Jón Steinsson Teaching Experience: Fall 2012: Spring 2013: Summer 2014 and 2015: TA, Intermediate Macro (X. Sala-i-Martin) TA, First-year econ PhD Macro (S. Schmitt-Grohé & J. Stiglitz) Instructor, First-year econ Phd Math Camp References: Michael Woodford John Bates Clark Professor of Political Economy Columbia University (212) 854-1094 [email protected] Ricardo Reis A.W. Phillips Professor of Economics London School of Economics +44-20-7955-7508 [email protected] Emi Nakamura Associate Professor of Economics Columbia Business School (212) 854-8162 [email protected] Jón Steinsson Associate Professor of Economics Columbia University (212) 854-3690 [email protected] Christopher Hansman October 2, 2016 Department of Economics Columbia University New York, NY 10027 (617) 459-3228 [email protected] http://www.columbia.edu/~cjh2182 Placement Chairs: Navin Kartik, [email protected], Doug Almond, [email protected] Placement Assistant: Amy Devine, (212) 854-6881, [email protected] Education: 2017 (expected) 2013 2009 Ph.D. Economics Columbia University M.A. Economics Columbia University B.S. Mathematics and Economics University of Chicago Fields of Specialization: Public Economics, Household Finance, Health, Insurance Job Market Paper: “Asymmetric Information and the Link Between Leverage and Mortgage Default” Abstract: Borrowers with large mortgages relative to the value of their homes default at higher rates. This paper asks whether this correlation is due to moral hazard—larger balances causing borrowers to default—or adverse selection—ex-ante risky borrowers choosing larger loans. To separate these information asymmetries I exploit plausibly exogenous variation in borrowers' ex-post balances generated by (i) the unique contract structure of Option Adjustable Rate Mortgages and (ii) the unexpected divergence of the financial indices used determine interest rate adjustments during the 2008 crisis. I find strong evidence of moral hazard: a 10 point increase in a borrower's loan-to-value ratio causes a 16 percent increase in the one year default rate. However, adverse selection also explains 30-40 percent of the baseline correlation between leverage and default. I construct and simulate a simple model of mortgage choice and default to highlight the policy tradeoff informed by the separation of these asymmetries. Optimal regulation of mortgage leverage must balance losses from foreclosures against under-provision of credit due to adverse selection. Publications: “The Heavy Costs of High Bail: Evidence from Judge Randomization” with Ethan Frenchman and Arpit Gupta; Journal of Legal Studies (Forthcoming) “Personality and the Education-Health Gradient: A Note on Understanding Differences in Health Behaviors by Education” with Gabriella Conti; Journal of Health Economics (note), 32(2): 480-485. (2013) “Primate Evidence on the Late Health Effects of Early Life Adversity” with Gabriella Conti, James J. Heckman, Matthew Novak, Angela M. Ruggiero, and Stephen J. Suomi; Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 109(23): 8866-8871. (2012) Working Papers and Work in Progress: “Interlinked Firms and the Consequences of Piecemeal Regulation” with Jonas Hjort and Gianmarco León; Revise and Resubmit at The Journal of The European Economic Association “Asymmetric Information in the Adjustable Rate Mortgage Market” with Arpit Gupta “Vertical Integration, Supplier Behavior, and Quality Upgrading Among Exporters” with Jonas Hjort, Gianmarco León, and Matthieu Teachout “Reference Dependence and Imperfect Smoothing: The Case of Option ARMs” Grants and Awards: 2016-2017, National Science Foundation Doctoral Dissertation Improvement Grant 2016-2017, Dissertation Fellowship, Department of Economics, Columbia University 2015-2016, Russell Sage Small Grant in Behavioral Economics 2015-2016, Investing in Justice Pilot Projects Grant, Center for Justice, Columbia University Research Assistantships: Andreas Mueller, Columbia Business School, Summer 2012 James J. Heckman, University of Chicago, 2008-2011 Teaching Assistantships: Corporate Finance, Gailen Hite, Spring 2016 Financial Economics, Rajiv Sethi, Fall 2015 Risk and Uncertainty, Pierre-André Chiappori, Spring 2015 Game Theory, Prajit K. Dutta, Fall 2014 Perspectives in Economics (Ph.D. Level), Joseph E. Stiglitz, Spring 2014 Introduction to Econometrics, Seyhan Arkonac, Fall 2013 Intermediate Microeconomics, Anna C. Musatti/Seyhan Arkonac, Fall 2012/Spring 2013 References: Pierre-André Chiappori E. Rowan And Barbara Steinschneider Professor of Economics Department of Economics Columbia University (212) 854-6369 [email protected] Wojciech Kopczuk Professor of Economics and International and Public Affairs Department of Economics and SIPA Columbia University (212) 854-2519 [email protected] Jonas Hjort Assistant Professor of Economics and Finance Columbia Business School (212) 854-5957 [email protected] Bernard Salanié Professor of Economics Columbia University (212) 854-8059 [email protected] ZHELI HE September 30, 2016 Department of Economics Columbia University New York, NY 10027 Placement Chair: Placement Assistant: (314) 372-5061 [email protected] www.columbia.edu/~zh2178 Navin Kartik Douglas Almond Amy Devine, (212) 854-6881 Email: [email protected] Email: [email protected] Email: [email protected] Education: 2017 (Expected) 2014 2013 2011 Ph.D. M.Phil. M.A. B.A. Columbia University Columbia University Columbia University Washington University in St. Louis Fields of Specialization: International Trade (Primary), Development Economics Job Market Paper: “Trade and Real Incomes of the Rich and Poor: Cross-Country Evidence” (with Feiran Zhang) Abstract: What is the impact of trade on the distribution of real income, 𝑤! /𝑝! , in a large crosssection of countries? The vast majority of the literature focuses on the effect of trade on the distribution of nominal incomes, 𝑤! . A small number of studies consider its differential impact on the consumer price indices, 𝑝! . Results tend to go in opposite directions. We build a model embedding demand heterogeneity across consumers in an assignment framework with many labor groups to quantify the distributional effects of trade for a wide range of countries taking both channels into account. We find that as a result of a five percent reduction in all bilateral trade costs, the bigger decline in the consumer price indices facing the poor more than compensates for their smaller nominal income gains (or larger nominal income losses). More specifically, in the average country, real income of the bottom 10th percentile increases by 0.8% more than the top 10th percentile. In addition, the poor in high-income countries benefit more from the reduction in consumer price indices, and the rich in high-income countries benefit more from the increase in nominal incomes. We also find that there is an interaction between the two channels. Our results highlight the importance of combining both the income and the expenditure channels in order to measure the distributional effects of trade accurately. Work in Progress: “Trade Liberalization, Productivity Distribution and Inequality”, with Feiran Zhang, April 2014 “Learning by Importing”, with Mi Dai, April 2014 Work in Progress: “The Elusive Reallocation Effects of Trade”, October 2015 “Firm Productivity Distribution and Welfare Gains from Trade”, April 2015 “What Explains Firm-Level Sales Variation Across Export Markets”, October 2014 Honors and Awards: 2016-2017 2011-2016 2011-2016 2011 Dissertation Fellowship, Columbia University Summer Fellowship, Columbia University Faculty Fellowship, Columbia University Honors in Economics with Distinction, Washington University in St. Louis Research Experience: July 2014 Summer 2012 Summer 2012 Spring 2010 Fall 2009 Short Term Consultant, World Bank RA for David Weinstein, Columbia University RA for Jushan Bai, Columbia University RA for Frederic Raines, Washington University in St. Louis RA for Juan Pantano, Washington University in St. Louis Teaching Experience: Spring 2016 Fall 2015 Summer 2014-2015 Spring 2015 Fall 2014 Spring 2014 Fall 2013 Fall 2012, Spring 2013 Introduction to Econometrics (TA for Seyhan Erden) Introduction to Econometrics (TA for Mikka Rokkanen) International Trade (Instructor) Perspectives on Economic Studies (Ph.D. level, TA for Joseph Stiglitz) Intermediate Microeconomics (TA for Jonathan Vogel) The Global Economy (TA for Sunil Gulati) Globalization & Its Risks (TA for Graciela Chichilnisky) Principles of Economics (TA for Anna Caterina Musatti) Personal: Citizenship: China Language: Mandarin (Native); English (Fluent) References: David E. Weinstein (Sponsor) Department of Economics Columbia University (212)854-6880 [email protected] Donald R. Davis Department of Economics Columbia University (212)854-4037 [email protected] Jonathan E. Vogel Department of Economics Columbia University (212)854-9925 [email protected] GORAN LAZAREVSKI October 3rd, 2016 Department of Economics Columbia University New York, NY 10027 (347) 583-1796 [email protected] www.columbia.edu/~gl2291 Placement Chairs: Navin Kartik, [email protected] Placement Chair: Doug Almond, [email protected] Placement Assistant: Amy Devine, (212) 854-6881, [email protected] Education: 2017 (expected) 2014 2013 2010 Ph.D. M.Phil M.A. A.B. Economics Economics Economics Physics, Economics Columbia University Columbia University Columbia University Harvard University Honors and Awards: 2015-2016, Dissertation Fellowship, Department of Economics, Columbia University 2013, Wueller Teaching Runner-up for Principles of Economics, Columbia University 2008, Berlin Consortium for German Studies Fellowship, Columbia University 2001-2006, Macedonian National Scholarship, Macedonian Ministry of Education Fields of Specialization: International Trade, Political Economy, Development Job Market Paper: "Lobbying for International Protection of Intellectual Property Rights" Abstract: Lobbying has been thoroughly analyzed in the context of trade protection, but there is a gap in the literature when it comes to lobbying for intellectual property right (IPR). I propose a model that analyzes the effect of firm lobbying for IPR protection in innovatively driven economies in an international setting. In particular, I compare the outcomes for the IPR protection level and global social welfare between a world that is not cooperating on IPR and a world with cooperation and IPR-related trade agreements, such as the TRIPS, TPP and TTIP. I show that lobbying necessarily leads to inefficient international agreements resulting in too much IPR protection and under some circumstances could be even worse than when countries don't cooperate at all. I also show that international lobbying and high concentration of capital can further exacerbate this outcome. The model generates predictions consistent with firm-level lobbying data. Working Papers: "The effect of WTO entry on Chinese patent valuation" (in progress) "Monopolistic competition with heterogeneous firms and lobbying for trade policy", 2014 "Lobbying and Innovation: Do less innovative firms lobby for more trade protection?", 2013 Research and Work Experience: 2013-2014 2012-2013 2010-2011 2011 2010 Research Assistant for Suresh Naidu, Columbia University Research Assistant (consultant) for Cristian Pop-Eleches and Markus Goldstein, Columbia University & World Bank Research Analyst, Center for Research and Policy Making, Macedonia: "Perspectives of women in rural areas" (2012, author) with the support of UN Women Research Analyst, KB First Open Mandatory Pension Fund, Macedonia Research Assistant for Marc Melitz, Harvard University Teaching Experience: Instructor, Columbia University Summer 2016 Principles of Economics Faculty, Oxbridge the New York College Experience Summer 2015 Introduction to Economics Teaching Assistantships, Columbia University Fall 2016 Game Theory, Prajit Dutta Spring 2016 Economic Development, Anna Catarina Musatti Spring 2015 Principles of Economics, Nicola Zaniboni Fall 2014 International Trade, Juan Carlos Hallak Summer 2014 Introduction to Economics, Business and Finance, Roger Mesznik Spring 2014 Principles of Economics, Brendan O'Flaherty Fall 2013 Principles of Economics, Bernard Salanie Summer 2013 Introduction to Economics, Business and Finance, Roger Mesznik Personal: Citizenship: Macedonian Languages: English (Fluent), German (Fluent), Portuguese (Fluent), French (Advanced), Spanish (Advanced), Serbian (Fluent), Macedonian (Native) References: Suresh Naidu (Primary) Department Of Economics Columbia University (212) 854-0027 [email protected] Jonathan Vogel Department of Economics Columbia University (212) 854-9925 [email protected] Alessandra Casella Department of Economics Columbia University (212) 854-2459 [email protected] AJIN LEE October 6, 2016 Department of Economics Columbia University New York, NY 10027 (646) 842-1986 [email protected] www.columbia.edu/~al3045/ Placement Chairs: Navin Kartik, [email protected], Doug Almond, [email protected] Placement Assistant: Amy Devine, (212) 854-6881, [email protected] Education: 2017 (expected) 2013 2011 Ph.D. Economics M.A. Economics B.A. Economics, summa cum laude Columbia University Columbia University Yonsei University Fields of Specialization: Health Economics, Public Economics, Applied Microeconomics Job Market Paper: “How Do Hospitals Respond to Managed Care? Evidence from At-Risk Newborns” Abstract: Despite its widespread adoption, there is little evidence that Medicaid Managed Care (MMC) reduces costs without compromising health outcomes. I exploit an arbitrary component of MMC enrollment in New York to examine hospital responses and newborn health outcomes. During the study period, infants weighing less than 1,200 grams (2 pounds, 10 ounces) were excluded from MMC and were instead served through the traditional fee-for-service (FFS) system. Using a regression discontinuity design, I find that newborns enrolled in MMC due to the policy stayed fewer days in the hospital and thereby had less expensive neonatal visits. The cost differences are driven by birth hospitals retaining more newborns enrolled in FFS while transferring away those enrolled in MMC. I find that MMC had little impact on newborn health measured by in-hospital mortality and hospital readmission. Hospitals only engaged in these behaviors when a high-quality hospital was nearby, suggesting that hospitals did not sacrifice quality of care for cost reductions. Publications: “Impacts of Classifying New York City Students as Overweight” (with Douglas Almond and Amy Ellen Schwartz), Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, March 2016 “Late-Career Job Loss and Retirement Behavior of Couples,” forthcoming, Social Insurance and Lifecycle Events among Older Americans Special Issue, Research on Aging, edited by Kenneth A. Couch, Mary C. Daly, and Julie M. Zissimopoulos Working Papers: “Retention Heterogeneity in New York City Schools” (with Douglas Almond and Amy Ellen Schwartz) under review Work in Progress: “Severity-Adjusted Payments and Hospital Practice” “Liquidity Constraints and Health Care Utilization: Evidence from the Earned Income Tax Credit” Research Grants: J-PAL North America “Can (E)mail Improve the Effectiveness of BMI Reporting?” (with Douglas Almond and Amy Ellen Schwartz), April 2015: $50,000. Honors and Awards: 2014, Wueller Teaching Award (runner up), Columbia University 2014, Vickrey Prize for Best 3rd Year Paper (runner up), Columbia University Research Assistantships: 2013-2014, Research Assistant for Douglas Almond Summer 2013, Research Assistant for Wojciech Kopczuk Teaching Assistantships: Spring 2016, Intermediate Microeconomics, Qingmin Liu Spring 2015, Intro to Econometrics, Jushan Bai Fall 2014, 2015, Public Economics, Wojciech Kopczuk Spring 2014, Intro to Econometrics II (Ph.D. level), Christoph Rothe 2012-2013, Principles of Economics, Sunil Gulati Conference Presentations: 2016, International Institute of Public Finance (IIPF) Doctoral School, Mannheim, Germany 2014, Association for Public Policy Analysis & Management (APPAM), Albuquerque, NM; Social Insurance and Lifecycle Events among Older Americans Conference, Washington, DC Referee Service: Journal of Public Economics Personal: Citizenship: South Korea Language: English (fluent), Korean (native), Chinese (intermediate) References: Douglas Almond (Primary) Associate Professor Department of Economics & School of International and Public Affairs Columbia University (212) 854-7248 [email protected] Wojciech Kopczuk Professor of Economics and International and Public Affairs Department of Economics & School of International and Public Affairs Columbia University (212) 854-2519 [email protected] Kate Ho Associate Professor Department of Economics Columbia University (212) 854-7605 [email protected] Amy Ellen Schwartz Professor of Economics and Public Administration and International Affairs Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs Syracuse University (315) 443-9040 [email protected] Lina Lu September 30, 2016 Department of Economics Columbia University New York, NY 10027 +1-(917) 239 - 8398 [email protected] http://econ.columbia.edu/~ll2582/ Placement Chairs: Navin Kartik, [email protected] Doug Almond, [email protected] Placement Assistant: Amy Devine, (212)854-6881, [email protected] Education: 2017 (expected) 2013 2010 2008 Ph.D. M.A. M.A. B.S. Economics Economics Mathematics of Finance Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, summa cum laude Columbia University Columbia University Columbia University Zhejiang University, China Fields of Specialization: Econometrics (Primary), Applied Macroeconomics Job Market Paper: “Simultaneous Spatial Panel Data Models with Common Shocks” Abstract: I consider a simultaneous spatial panel data model, jointly modeling three effects: spatial effect, common shocks effect and simultaneous effect. The joint modeling and consideration of cross-sectional heteroscedasticity result in a large number of incidental parameters. I propose two estimation approaches, the quasi maximum likelihood (QML) method and an iterative generalized principal components (IGPC) method. I develop a full inferential theory for the two estimation approaches, and study the trade-off between model specification and their respective asymptotic performances. I further investigate the finite sample performance of both methods using Monte Carlo simulations, and find that both methods perform well and simulation results corroborate the inferential theories. Some extensions of the model are considered. Finally, I apply the model to analyze how monetary policy shocks impact firm's bond and stock prices through the production network with the existence of simultaneous effects between the two assets. Publications: “Estimation and Inference of FAVAR models” (with Jushan Bai and Kunpeng Li), Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 34:4, 620-641, 2016. Working Papers: “Quasi Maximum Likelihood Analysis of High Dimensional Constrained Factor Models” (with Kunpeng Li and Qi Li), revise and resubmit, Journal of Econometrics. “Efficient Estimation of Heterogeneous Coefficients in Panel Data Models with Common Shock” (with Kunpeng Li), revise and resubmit, Journal of Econometrics. Work in Progress: “Simultaneous Dynamic Spatial Panel Data Models with Common Shocks” “Impacts of Monetary Policy on Both Stock and Bond Markets through Production Networks: A Simultaneous Spatial Panel Data Model Approach” (with Shaowen Luo) Honors and Awards: 2011-present Doctoral Fellowship, Department of Economics, Columbia University 2016 Department of Economics Travel Fund for Conference, Columbia University 2016 Graduate School of Arts and Sciences Travel Fund for Conference, Columbia University 2011-2016 Summer Research Fellowship, Department of Economics, Columbia University 2008 Outstanding Graduates, Zhejiang University, China 2008 Outstanding Thesis, Zhejiang University, China 2006 Shiing-Shen Chern Scholarship, Zhejiang University, China Research and Work Experience: 2013-2015 Research Assistant for Jushan Bai, Columbia University 2009 Summer Intern at the Bank of China International Limited, Hong Kong Conference Presentations: 2016 North American Summer Meeting of the Econometric Society, Philadelphia, U.S. 2016 Canadian Economics Association annual conference, Ottawa, Canada Teaching Experience: 2014 Micro-econometrics(graduate), TA for Bernard Salanié 2013 Introduction to Econometrics (undergraduate), TA for Eduardo Morales 2012 Introduction to Econometrics I (graduate), TA for Jushan Bai Professional Service: Referee Journal of Econometrics References: Jushan Bai (Sponsor) Professor of Economics Department of Economics Columbia University +1-212 8548033 [email protected] Bernard Salanié Professor of Economics Department of Economics Columbia University +1-212 8541677 [email protected] Serena Ng Professor of Economics Department of Economics Columbia University +1-212 8545488 [email protected] Ildikό Magyari September, 2016 Department of Economics Columbia University New York, NY 10027 (646)-734-3356 [email protected] www.columbia.edu/~im2348 Placement Co-chair: Navin Kartik, (212) 854-3926, [email protected] Placement Co-chair: Doug Almond, (212) 854-7248, [email protected] Placement Assistant: Amy Devine, (212) 854-6881, [email protected] Education: 2011 - 2017 (expected) 2008 - 2010 2002 - 2008 PhD in Economics MA in Economics (with distinction) MSc in Finance (1st class honors) Columbia University Central European University, Hungary DOFIN ASE, Bucharest, Romania Fields of specialization: International Economics, Industrial Organization Job market paper: “Firm Organization, Chinese Imports, and U.S. Manufacturing Employment” Abstract What is the impact of Chinese imports on employment in US manufacturing firms? Previous papers have found a negative effect of Chinese import competition on employment in US manufacturing establishments, industries, and regions. However, I show theoretically and empirically that the impact of offshoring on firms (which can be thought of as collections of establishments) can be different from that on individual establishments because offshoring reduces costs at the firm-level. These cost reductions can result in firms expanding their total manufacturing employment even as particular establishments are shrunk. Using novel data from the US Census Bureau, I show that the data supports this view: US firms expanded manufacturing employment in response to increased Chinese import competition, in both US output and input markets, as they re-organized towards less exposed industries. More exposed firms expanded employment of high-skilled (i) by hiring more production workers in manufacturing whom they paid higher wages, and (ii) in services complementary with high-skilled and high-tech manufacturing such as R&D, design, engineering, headquarter services. In other words, although Chinese imports may have reduced employment within some establishments, these losses were more than offset by gains in employment within the same firms. Contrary to the conventional wisdom, firms exposed to greater Chinese imports created more manufacturing and nonmanufacturing jobs than those not exposed. Working papers: "Does Financial Liberalization Promote Imports?" July 2016 (Winner of Harriss Prize 2013, Olga Radzyner Award 2014) Work in progress: “Measuring Retailers’ Productivity” with Stephen J. Redding and David E. Weinstein “The Role of Market Structure and Firms’ Boundary in the Propagation of Industry Specific Shocks: The Case of the China Shock in the US” “The Geography of US Firms’ Organization” “Financial Shocks, Capital Accumulation and Skill Biased Technical Change across Space” with Dávid Krisztián Nagy 2/2 Honors and awards: 2015-2016 2014 2014 2013 2013 2011-2016 2010 2008-2010 2002-2008 Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis International Fellowship, Columbia University Weuller Prize for the Best Dissertation Proposal, Columbia University Olga Radzyner Award, Oesterreichische Nationalbank Harriss Prize for best 2nd year paper (runner-up), Columbia University Program for Economic Research Data Grant, Columbia University Faculty Fellow, Columbia University Stanislav Vidovic Prize for Best Dissertation, Central European University George Soros Fellowship, Central European University Romanian National Scholarship, Romanian Ministry of Education Research experience and employment: 2014Special Sworn Status Researcher, US Census Bureau 2014-2016 Research Fellow, Columbia University 2013-2016 Research Assistant to David E. Weinstein, Columbia University Fall 2016 Research Assistant to Michael H. Riordan, Columbia University 2013 Summer Visiting Researcher, Hungarian Central Statistical Office 2009-2011 Research Assistant to János Kornai, Harvard University 2009 Summer Intern, National Bank of Hungary 2006-2008 Researcher, DOFIN, ASE Bucharest Teaching: 2012-2014 Teaching Assistant, Department of Economics, Columbia University, New York, USA Industrial Organization (Fall 2014) - Instructor: Steven G. Olley Industrial Organization (2012-2013) - Instructor: Katherine E. Ho Economics of Money and Banking (2012-2013) - Instructor: Perry G. Mehrling Conferences: 2014: CEEI (Vienna) 2016: NBER Summer Institute Memberships: European Economic Association Personal: Citizenship: Hungarian, Romanian Languages: Hungarian (native), Romanian (fluent), English (fluent), French (intermediate) References: David E. Weinstein (Primary) Department of Economics Columbia University 212-854-6880 [email protected] Michael H. Riordan Department of Economics Columbia University 212-854-6984 [email protected] Katherine E. Ho Department of Economics Columbia University 212-854-7605 [email protected] Jonathan E. Vogel Department of Economics Columbia University 212-854-9925 [email protected] 2/2 EVAN RIEHL October 3, 2016 Department of Economics Columbia University New York, NY 10027 cell: (347) 514-4074 email: [email protected] website: www.columbia.edu/~eer2131 Placement Chairs: Navin Kartik, [email protected], Doug Almond, [email protected] Placement Assistant: Amy Devine, (212) 854-6881, [email protected] Education: 2017 (expected) 2008 Ph.D. Economics Columbia University B.A. Economics, Poli Sci Washington University in St. Louis Honors and Awards: 2015, Best research paper, Columbia Committee on the Economics of Education prize 2015, Teaching award (runner-up), Columbia Economics Wueller prize 2014, Best third year paper, Columbia Economics Vickrey prize 2013, Teaching award (runner-up), Columbia Economics Wueller prize Fields of Specialization: Labor Economics, Economics of Education, Development Economics Job Market Paper: “Assortative Matching and Complementarities in College Markets” Abstract: This paper examines one type of assortative matching in college markets: students with high socioeconomic status (SES) are more likely to attend high quality colleges. Assortativity matters if SES and college quality are complementary educational inputs. I develop an econometric framework that provides tests for the existence and sign of this complementarity. I implement these tests by exploiting a 2000 reform of the national college admission exam in Colombia, which caused a market-wide reduction in assortative matching in some regions of the country. I find that the reform lowered average graduation rates and post-college earnings in affected regions, consistent with a positive complementarity between SES and college quality. I also find evidence of mismatch: part of these negative effects came from the low SES students who were shifted into higher quality colleges. However, both the market-wide and mismatch effects die out several cohorts after the exam reform, which suggests that student/college complementarities are not set in stone. Other Papers: “The Big Sort: College Reputation and Labor Market Outcomes” with W. Bentley MacLeod, Juan E. Saavedra, and Miguel Urquiola American Economic Journal: Applied Economics (forthcoming) “Time Gaps in Academic Careers” Columbia CDEP-CGEG Working Paper No. 20 “Learning and Earning: An Approximation to College Value Added in Two Dimensions” with Juan E. Saavedra and Miguel Urquiola chapter in Productivity in Higher Education (forthcoming) Caroline Hoxby and Kevin Stange, eds. Conference Presentations: “Assortative Matching and Complementarities in College Markets” 2016, LACEA/LAMES Annual Meeting 2016, WEAI Graduate Student Dissertation Workshop “The Big Sort: College Reputation and Labor Market Outcomes” 2015, SOLE/EALE World Conference Research and Work Experience: 2012–2016 (various), Research assistant for Miguel Urquiola 2013–2014, Research assistant for Columbia University Provost John Coatsworth 2008–2011, Senior analyst, Analysis Group, Denver, CO Teaching Experience: 2015, Economic Development TA, Anna Caterina Musatti 2013, Intermediate Microeconomics TA, Susan Elmes References: W. Bentley MacLeod (co-sponsor) Sami Mnaymneh Professor of Economics Professor of International & Public Affairs Affiliated Law School Faculty Columbia University (310) 571-5083 [email protected] Miguel Urquiola (co-sponsor) Professor, SIPA and Economics Department Columbia University (212) 854-3769 [email protected] Miikka Rokkanen Assistant Professor of Economics Columbia University (212) 854-4478 [email protected] YOGITA SHAMDASANI October 3, 2016 Department of Economics Columbia University New York, NY 10027 (607) 379-0877 [email protected] www.columbia.edu/~yjs2112 Placement Chairs: Navin Kartik, [email protected], Doug Almond, [email protected] Placement Assistant: Amy Devine, (212) 854-6881, [email protected] Education: 2017 (expected) 2014 2013 2011 Ph.D. M.Phil. M.A. B.A. with Distinction Economics Economics Economics Mathematics & Economics Columbia University Columbia University Columbia University Cornell University Fields of Specialization: Development Economics, Labor Economics Honors and Awards: 2016 Wueller Teaching Prize (Runner Up) for a Core Economics Course, Columbia University 2015-2016 Dissertation Fellowship, Department of Economics, Columbia University 2015 Wueller Teaching Prize for Principles in Economics, Columbia University 2014Fellow, Center for Development Economics and Policy, Columbia University 2011-2015 Faculty Fellowship, Department of Economics, Columbia University Job Market Paper: “Rural Road Infrastructure & Agricultural Production: Evidence from India” Abstract: This paper estimates the role of improvements in infrastructure on households' crop choice and input use in agriculture. The Central Government of India launched a large-scale rural road-building program in 2000, targeting villages that lacked all-weather connectivity. Strict guidelines governed eligibility and timing of program road provision, with larger villages receiving roads before smaller villages. I exploit the precise timing of road construction as a source of exogenous variation in connectivity using a household-level panel in a difference-in-difference framework. I find that households who gain access to improved road infrastructure diversify their crop mix — they increasingly cultivate commercial, non-cereal crops. Households also significantly increase take up of productivity-enhancing agricultural technologies such as high-yielding variety seeds, chemical fertilizers and irrigation. These gains are concentrated among small-scale cultivators. I find evidence that these effects operate through an increase in access to input markets, an increase in labor mobility as well as an increase in access to product markets where farm output is sold. These findings emphasize the substantial barrier to productive investments generated by poor infrastructure that hampers access to markets. Working Papers: “The Morale Effects of Pay Inequality” (with Emily Breza and Supreet Kaur). NBER Working Paper No. 22491. Revise and Resubmit, Quarterly Journal of Economics. Abstract: The idea that worker utility is affected by co-worker wages has potentially broad labor market implications. In a month-long experiment with Indian manufacturing workers, we randomize whether coworkers within production units receive the same flat daily wage or different wages (according to baseline productivity rank). For a given absolute wage, pay inequality reduces output and attendance by 0.24 standard deviations and 12%, respectively. These effects strengthen in later weeks. Pay disparity also lowers co-workers’ ability to cooperate in their self-interest. However, when workers can clearly observe productivity differences, pay inequality has no discernible effect on output, attendance, or group cohesion. Research in Progress: “Testing for Labor Rationing: Revealed Preference Estimates from Demand Shocks” (with Emily Breza and Supreet Kaur) Abstract: In this project, we develop a revealed preference approach to test for and quantify labor rationing in rural Indian labor markets. We exploit a field experiment in which large numbers of rural workers are recruited for factory employment for a one-month period during the agricultural lean season. This generates transitory aggregate labor demand shocks in a random set of villages, absorbing up to 30% of the labor force of casual daily workers. If a large fraction of workers is removed from a village, then the following sets of effects will be consistent with a level of labor rationing that is at least as large as the size of the demand shock: i) no effect on the local village wage, ii) no effect on the level of aggregate wage employment in the village; and iii) positive employment spillovers—higher individual employment and lower reported involuntary unemployment—on the laborers who remain in the village (i.e. who are not removed). Pilot results from 36 villages provide evidence in support of these predictions. The large demand shocks had no discernible effect on local wages. However, they did generate substantial employment spillovers—workers who remained in treatment villages experienced a 37% increase in average employment relative to workers in control villages. Research Experience: 2013–2014 RA for Supreet Kaur, Columbia University Teaching Experience: Fall 2015 Intermediate Microeconomics, Susan Elmes, Columbia University Spring 2015 Intermediate Microeconomics, Anna Caterina Musatti, Columbia University Fall 2014 Principles of Economics, Anna Caterina Musatti, Columbia University Spring 2013 Intermediate Microeconomics, Steve Olley, Columbia University Fall 2012 Globalization and its Risks, Graciela Chichilnisky, Columbia University Conference Presentations: 2016 PacDev (Stanford University), CEPR PEDL Annual Workshop (London) 2015 NEUDC (Brown University) Personal: Citizenship: Singapore Language: English (Native); French (Fluent); Malay (Fluent); Hindi (Basic); Chinese (Basic) References: Eric Verhoogen (Sponsor) Associate Professor of Economics and International Affairs Columbia University (212) 854-4428 [email protected] Emily Breza Associate Professor of Finance and Economics Columbia Business School (212) 851-0171 [email protected] Supreet Kaur Assistant Professor of Economics University of California, Berkeley (617) 474-0710 [email protected] Meiping(Aggie) Sun Columbia University Department of Economics New York, NY 10027 Phone: Email: Homepage: (859) 353-1950 [email protected] http://www.columbia.edu/˜ms4196/ Education Ph.D. Economics, Columbia University, 2017 (expected) M.Phil. Economics, Columbia University, 2013 M.A. Economics, Columbia University, 2012 B.A. Economics, Mathematics and Biology, Berea College, 2010 (summa cum laude) Research Interests Public Economics, Health Economics, Applied Microeconomics Job Market Paper “The Puzzle of Mistaken Millions: The MTA Surcharge and the Surge of Money onto MetroCards” under review Abstract: Since 1998, the New York City Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA) system has used prepaid cards (MetroCards) to collect subway and bus fares. In 2013, the MTA imposed a $1 card fee (surcharge) on new MetroCard purchases. After the card fee was imposed, riders started to put more money on new MetroCard purchases. The response to the card fee was greater in low-income neighborhoods and among riders who used cash or debit cards rather than credit cards. As a result, riders carried much larger unused balances on their cards, and over $20 million a year more money escheated to the MTA when these cards expired. These results may have implications for fare designs of public services. Publications “Dissecting China’s Property Market Data” (2016) World Economics 17(1): 41-62 Working Papers “The Causal Effect of Institutional Discrimination on Health among Rural-to-Urban Migrants in China” (revise and resubmit) Abstract: Research on segregated and discriminated migrants has been done mostly in western context where social segregation towards minority migrant population has already established. It is difficult to isolate the influence of institutional discrimination and social stigma against migrant population. The unique household registration (Hukou) system in China offer an opportunity to examine the effects of initial social segregation on mental and physical health of migrants. Using change in hukou system in 1964, the regression-discontinuity (RD) design estimates in this paper suggest that urban hukou citizens have much better chances of being in good health. The deleterious effect of rural hukou on health possibly work through mechanisms of income disparity, variations in educational attainment, and availability of health insurance. “The Impact of Local Liquor Sales Restriction on Birth Outcomes and Alcohol-related Crimes in Texas” “Will Consumers Voluntarily Undertake More Proenvironmental Actions When It is Easier? Evidence from New York City” (under review) Conference and Seminar Presentations 2015 EconCon 2015; Chinese Economic Association (CEA) Annual Conference 2016 NBER Summer Institute (Urban Economics); Eastern Economic Association Annual Conference; Boulder Summer Conference on Consumer Financial Decision Making; Canadian Economics Association Annual Meiping(Aggie) Sun 2 Conference; Western Economic Association International Annual Conference; European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists (EAERE) 22nd Annual Conference; Chinese Economic Association (Europe/UK) Annual Conference; Southern Economic Association Annual Conference Honors and Fellowships Fellowship in Academic Administration, Columbia University (2016) Dissertation Fellowship, Department of Economics, Columbia University (2015-2016) Teaching Fellow, Department of Economics, Columbia University (2011-2015) Faculty Fellowship, Department of Economics, Columbia University (2010-2011) Hilda Welch Wood Achievement Award, Berea College (2010) - Given to one female student at the top of the graduating class Olive Ruth Russell Fellowship, Berea College (2010) Gilman Wei Full Scholarship Award, Berea College (2006-2010) Phi Kappa Phi National Honor Society Research Experience Economics Research Internship, J.P. Morgan, New York, NY (Summer 2014) Research Assistant for Dr. Shama Perveen, Columbia Water Center, Columbia University, New York, NY (June 2011 - November 2011) Research Assistant for Dr. James Heckman, Department of Economics, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL (June 2009 - January 2010, Summer 2010) Teaching Experience Instructor: Intro Course in Econ/Finance (Summer 2012 and summer 2013) Health Economics, Simmons College (Spring 2017) Teaching assistantships: Principles of Economics, TA for Sunil Gulati (Fall 2011, Spring 2012, Fall 2013, and Spring 2014) Principles of Economics, TA for Anna Caterina Musatti (Fall 2012 and Spring 2013) Gender & Applied Economics, TA for Lena Edlund (Fall 2014) Intermediate Macroeconomics, TA for Jon Steinsson (Spring 2015) Microeconometrics, TA for Noha Emara (Fall 2016) Personal Language: English (Fluent); Chinese (Native); Korean (Beginner) Computer Skills: Proficient in C++, Latex, Microsoft Word, Excel, PowerPoint, Matlab, R, Stata References Brendan O’Flaherty (Sponsor) Professor of Economics Columbia University (212)854-2449 [email protected] Douglas Almond Associate Professor of Economics Columbia University (212)854-7248 [email protected] Pietro Ortoleva Associate Professor of Economics Columbia University (212)854-4459 [email protected] Suresh Naidu Assistant Professor of Economics Columbia University (212)854-0027 [email protected] Sunil Gulati Senior Lecturer Columbia University 212-854-4067 [email protected] Last updated: October 3, 2016 http://www.columbia.edu/ ms4196/MEIPING.pdf Maria Micaela Sviatschi September 27, 2016 Department of Economics Columbia University New York, NY 10027 (917) 628-5267 [email protected] www.micaelasviatschi.com Placement Chairs: Navin Kartik, [email protected], Doug Almond, [email protected] Placement Assistant: Amy Devine, (212) 854-6881, [email protected] Education: 2017 (expected) 2013 2012 2009 2007 Ph.D. M.Phil M.A. M.A. B.S. Economics Economics Economics Economics Economics Columbia University Columbia University Columbia University Universidad de San Andres Universidad de San Andres Fields of Specialization: Development Economics, Labor Economics, Crime Job Market Paper: “Making a Narco: Childhood Exposure to Illegal Labor Markets and Criminal Life Paths” Columbia Economics Wueller Pre-Dissertation Award (runner-up), Reubens Fellowship Award Abstract: I study how exposure to illegal labor markets in childhood affects criminality in adulthood. To do so, I exploit the timing of a large anti-drug policy in Colombia that shifted cocaine production to Peruvian districts wellsuited to growing coca. In these districts, children participate in tasks such as harvesting coca leaves and transporting processed cocaine. Using variation across districts, years, and cohorts, I show that at times of high coca prices, children in locations suitable for coca production are more likely to work, and have lower test scores and higher dropout rates. As adults, these individuals are 30% more likely to be incarcerated for violent and drug-related crimes, and are less likely to trust government institutions. This is true even for individuals who move to non-coca suitable districts, implying that they developed criminal skills during childhood. Informed by a model of parental incentives, I show that a conditional-cash-transfer program that encourages schooling and was rolled out gradually, mitigated the effects by reducing drug production, child labor, and crime. Finally, I show how the program can be targeted taking into account the geographic distribution of coca suitability and spatial spillovers in cocaine production within suitable areas. Overall, this paper provides evidence on the early underpinnings of criminal careers by showing how crimespecific human capital can develop at the expense of other forms of human capital in “bad locations.” Ongoing projects: “Long-term Effects of Temporary Labor Demand: Free Trade Zones, Female Education and Marriage Market Outcomes in the Dominican Republic”, working paper. Columbia Economics Harris Prize (runner-up). Best Graduate Paper Award on Topics of Labor and Gender in Latin America, Center for Distributive, Labor and Social Studies. “Exporting Criminal Capital: The Effect of US Deportations on Gang Formation and Human Capital in Central America” with Josefa Aguirre, working paper “The Effects of Indoor Prostitution on Sex Crime: Evidence from New York City” with Riccardo Ciacci, working paper “What Makes a Good Public Servant? Criminal Exposure and Performance in Office” with Jorge Mangonnet “Access to Women Emergency Centers, Domestic Violence and Education” with Iva Trako and Guadalupe Gutierrez “Bright Minds, Big Rent: Gentrification and the Rising Returns to Skill” with Lena Edlund and Cecilia Machado. NBER Working Paper w21729, November 16, 2015 Publications: “Auspicious Birth Dates Among Chinese in California” (with Douglas Almond, Christine Pal Chee and Nan Zhong). Economics and Human Biology, July 2015. Research and Work Experience: 2014: Research Assistant to Ernesto Dal Bo (University of California, Berkeley), Research Assistant to Douglas Almond (Columbia University) 2012: Research Assistant to Jeffrey Fagan (Columbia University) 2011: Research Assistant to Rafael Di Tella (Harvard Business School) 2008-2011: Research Fellow, Inter-American Development Bank, Washington, DC. 2008: Research Assistant to Martin Rossi (Universidad de San Andres, Buenos Aires), Research Assistant to Rafael Di Tella (Harvard Business School) Teaching Experience: 2016: Urban Economics, Department of Economics, Columbia University 2014: Topics in Development Department of Economics, Methods for Undergraduate Thesis, Department of Economics, Columbia University 2013: Development Economics, Department of Economics, Columbia University 2012: Gender and Economics, Department of Economics, Columbia University 2008-2011: Applied Microeconomics (Grad.TA), Principle of Economics, Economics History, Economics of Regulation, Department of Economics, Universidad de San Andres Honors and Awards: 2015: Reubens Fellowship in support of research in the Fields of Development, International and Labor Economics for “Making a Narco…”, Columbia University 2015: Best Graduate Paper Award on Topics of Labor and Gender in Latin America for “Long-term Effects of Temporary Labor...”, Center for Distributive, Labor and Social Studies in Latin America and the Caribbean 2014: Wueller Pre-Dissertation Award (runner-up) for “Making a Narco…”, Columbia University 2014: Student Research Grant, Center for Development Economics and Policy, Columbia University 2014: Fellow, Center for Development Economics and Policy, Columbia University 2013: Harris Prize Second Year Paper Award (runner-up) for “Long-term Effects…”, Columbia University 2011-2016: Faculty Fellowship, Dissertation Fellowship, Department of Economics, Columbia University 2010: Best Paper for Young Scholars (runner-up), Development Economics Conference in La Paz, Bolivia 2008: Best Undergraduate Thesis, Universidad de San Andres, in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Best Paper for Undergraduate Thesis (runner-up), Argentinean Association of Political Economy in Buenos Aires, Argentina Referee services: Journal of Human Resources Seminars and conferences: November 2016: Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association (LACEA) and Latin American Econometric Society (LAMES) Annual Meeting. June 2016: Annual Meeting of America Latina Crime and Policy Network, Buenos Aires, Argentina, 2014-2015: World Bank Conference on Productivity and Development, Mexico DF. World Bank Conference on Gender and Agency, Washington DC; University of Leicester, Econ. PhD Conference, Leicester, UK; University of Warwick, Econ. PhD Conference, Coventry, UK; Northeast Universities Development Consortium. Boston. 2008-2010: John Hopkins University, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore; Association for Social Economics. Montreal, Canada; Population Association of America, Dallas; LACEA References: Jonas Hjort Graduate School of Business Columbia University (212)-854-5957 [email protected] Miguel Urquiola Department of Economics Columbia University (212)-854-3769 [email protected] Bentley Macleod Department of Economics Columbia University (310)-571-5083 [email protected] Teck Yong Tan Contact Information Address: Department of Economics, Columbia University, 420 W. 118th Street New York, NY 10027. Website: http://www.columbia.edu/∼tt2430/. Email: [email protected]. Tel: (+1) 347-481-0655. Placement Chairs: Navin Kartik, [email protected]; Douglas Almond, [email protected]. Placement Assistant: Amy Devine, (212) 854-6881, [email protected]. Education Ph.D. Economics, Columbia University, May 2017 (expected). Principal Advisors: Navin Kartik and W. Bentley MacLeod. M.Res. Economics, University College London, 2011. M.S. Mathematical Economics & Econometrics (High Distinction), Toulouse School of Economics 2010. B.A. Economics (First-Class Honors), National University of Singapore, 2009. B.Sc. Applied Mathematics, National University of Singapore, 2009. Research Fields Contracts and Organization; Microeconomic Theory. Working Papers (Job market paper) Firm Culture and Innovation: The Extrinsic Motivation of Freedom at Work. Why do workers perform better with more freedom at work? This paper provides an extrinsic motivation of this phenomenon and introduces a novel view of firm culture as the information flow to the managers. In a principal-agent setting in which innovations are not contractible ex-ante, the agent faces a ratchet effect of innovating when monitored: if he uncovers a more efficient technology, the principal will raise his performance requirement in the future; anticipating this, the agent never tries to innovate. By adopting a “freedom-at-work” culture, the principal allows the agent to privately learn the outcome of his experimentation. The resulting information asymmetry compels the principal to share the innovation surplus with the agent in the form of an information rent, thus giving the agent incentives to innovate. Perhaps counter-intuitively, the principal can benefit from generating asymmetric information against herself. Managing Training and Production Activities in Organizations. Sending workers for training improves their future productivity but comes at a cost of forgoing current production. This paper studies dynamic contracting under this trade-off in the presence of moral hazard on the worker’s production effort and adverse selection on his learning ability. I illustrate the effects of the principal’s ability to observe the worker’s initial activity choice – training or production – on the type of constraints in the contracting problem, the resulting form of the optimal contracts, and the type of distortions in the second best. Teck Yong Tan CV 2 Optimal Contracting with Subjective Evaluation: The Effects of Timing, Malfeasance and Guile, NBER Working Paper 22156 (with W. Bentley MacLeod). We introduce a general Principal-Agent model with subjective evaluation and malfeasance characterized by two-sided asymmetric information on performance that allows for an arbitrary information structure. Two generic contract forms are studied. An authority contract has the Principal reveal his information before the Agent responds with her information. Under such a contract, the Agent’s compensation varies only with the Principal’s information, while her information is used to punish untruthful behavior by the Principal. Conversely, a sales contract has the Agent reveal her information first. In this case, the Agent’s performance incentives are affected by the information revealed by both parties. Because the Agent’s information affects her compensation, the information revelation constraints are more complex under a sales contract, and provide a way to integrate Williamson’s (1975) notion of guile into agency theory. We find that designing sales contracts for expert agents, such as physicians and financial advisors, are significantly more complex than designing optimal authority contracts. Work in Progress Persuasion under Costly Lying. I study the design of information acquisition structure when a Receiver relies on a Sender to report the new information. Sender can misrepresent the new information at a lying cost. Under minimal assumptions on the lying cost, lying never occurs in the Sender-optimal equilibrium; instead, Sender designs a vague information acquisition structure to gain credibility that he will not misrepresent any new information. This hampers the effectiveness of Sender’s persuasion. When Sender has state-independent preference and constant lying cost, the optimal information structure can be derived using geometry arguments. A comparison is drawn with the optimal information acquisition structure when Receiver observes the new information directly. Feedback and Belief Manipulation via Discretionary Rewards. I study the role of information provision in discretionary rewards. In a principal-agent setting with unknown state (eg. match quality) and subjectively evaluated outcomes (outcomes are privately observed by the principal), discretionary bonus payments act as credible feedback to the agent. The incentive to manipulate the agent’s belief about the state affects the relational contract and payment decision. Under the principal-optimal equilibrium, the principal promises an excessively high bonus and pays it if and only if she observes a good outcome (i.e. no lying about evaluation). I discuss the analogy with signaling games and show that the principal-optimal equilibrium is the only equilibrium that survives the Cho and Kreps (1987) Intuitive Criterion equilibrium refinement. Fellowships & Awards Wueller Teaching Award for best TA, Columbia University, 2016 (winner); 2015, 2013 (runner-up). Best TA for 1st year PhD course, Columbia University Association of Grad Students in Economics, 2016. Wueller Prize for best pre-dissertation proposal (runner-up), Columbia University, 2014. Vickrey Prize for best 3rd year paper (runner-up), Columbia University, 2014. Harriss Prize for best 2nd year paper, Columbia University, 2013. GSAS Faculty Fellowship, Columbia University, 2011–2017. Overseas Research Scholarship, University College London, 2010–2011. WM Gorman Scholarship, Deparment of Economics, University College London, 2010–2011. Eiffel Scholarship (by French government for graduate studies in France), 2009–2010. Teck Yong Tan CV 3 Conference and Seminar Presentations 2016: Econometric Society North America Summer Meeting; National University of Singapore. Teaching Lecturer for Game Theory, Summer 2014 & Summer 2015. Teaching Assistant for Intermediate Microeconomics, Fall 2015 & Spring 2016. Teaching Assistant for Microeconomic Analysis II (1st year Ph.D), Spring 2015. Teaching Assistant for Economics of Uncertainty and Information, Spring 2013. Research Assistantship Research Assistant to W. Bentley MacLeod, Summer 2012 – Fall 2012. Research Assistant to Navin Kartik, Fall 2013 – Summer 2014. Professional Activities Referee for: Games and Economic Behavior. Miscellaneous Languages: English (Fluent), Chinese (Fluent), French (Basic). Citizenship: Singaporean. References Navin Kartik (co-sponsor) Professor of Economics Department of Economics Columbia University (212) 854-3926 [email protected] Yeon-Koo Che Kelvin J. Lancaster Professor of Economic Theory Department of Economics Columbia University (212) 854-8276 [email protected] Last updated: October 2016 W. Bentley MacLeod (co-sponsor) Sami Mnaymneh Professor of Economics and Professor of International and Public Affairs Department of Economics and SIPA Columbia University (310) 571-5083 [email protected] KEREM TUZCUOGLU October 7, 2016 Department of Economics Columbia University 1103 International Affairs Building 420 W 118th St, New York, NY 10027 Phone: +1 (917) 399-9596 [email protected] www.columbia.edu/~kt2426 Placement Chairs: Navin Kartik, [email protected] Doug Almond, [email protected] Placement Assistant: Amy Devine, (212) 854-6881, [email protected] EDUCATION 2011—2017 (expected) 2010—2011 (Ph.D. track) 2008—2010 2003—2008 Ph.D. M.A. M.A. B.S. Economics Economics Economics Mathematics Columbia University Ohio State University Koc University Bogazici University Fields of Specialization: Econometrics Research Interests: Time Series, Macroeconomics, Financial Econometrics JOB MARKET PAPER “COMPOSITE LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION OF AR-PROBIT MODEL: APPLICATION TO CREDIT RATINGS” Abstract: In this paper, persistent discrete data are modeled by Autoregressive Probit model and estimated by Composite Likelihood (CL) estimation. Autocorrelation in the latent variable results in an intractable likelihood function containing high dimensional integrals. CL approach offers a fast and reliable estimation compared to computationally demanding simulation methods. I provide consistency and asymptotic normality results of the CL estimator and use it to study the credit ratings. The ratings are modeled as imperfect measures of the latent and autocorrelated creditworthiness of firms explained by the balance sheet ratios and business cycle variables. The empirical results show evidence for rating assignment according to Through-the-cycle methodology, that is, the ratings do not respond to the short-term fluctuations in the financial situation of the firms. Moreover, I show that the ratings become more volatile over time, in particular after the crisis, as a reaction to the regulations and critics on credit rating agencies. WORKING PAPERS “HOW IMPORTANT ARE GLOBAL FOOD SHOCKS”, with Bilge Erten, September 2016, submitted to Journal International Economics “INTERPRETING THE LATENT DYNAMIC FACTORS BY THRESHOLD FAVAR MODEL”, with Sinem Hacioglu, 2016, Bank of England Staff Working Paper No. 622, Bank of England HONORS AND AWARDS 2015—2016 2011—2016 2014 2011 2008—2010 Dissertation Fellowship, Department of Economics, Columbia University Faculty Fellowship, Department of Economics, Columbia University Wueller Teaching Award, Best TA in Ph.D. Courses, Columbia University Graduate School Fellowship, Department of Economics, Ohio State University Tubitak’s Fellowship for national graduate education RESEARCH AND WORK EXPERIENCE 2015 Analyst at The Bank of England, London, UK 2014 Consultant for Medivo Inc., New York, USA (Big data analysis and forecasting) PRESENTATIONS 2016 The 11th Greater New York Metropolitan Area Econometrics Colloquium 2016 Eastern Economic Association 42nd Annual Conference 2015 Bank of England TEACHING EXPERIENCE 2011—2016 Columbia University, Teaching Assistant Graduate Level Introduction to Econometrics (Ph.D. course, Best TA Award) Econometrics II (M.A. course) Undergraduate Level Advanced Econometrics, Time Series Econometrics, Introduction to Econometrics, Financial Economics, Intermediate Macroeconomics REFERENCES Serena Ng Professor of Economics Department of Economics Columbia University +1 (212) 854-5488 [email protected] Jushan Bai Professor of Economics Department of Economics Columbia University +1 (212) 854-8033 [email protected] Martín Uribe Professor of Economics Department of Economics Columbia University +1 (212) 851-4008 [email protected] ENRICO ZANARDO September 21, 2016 Department of Economics Columbia University New York, NY 10027 (347) 681-4746 [email protected] Personal Website Placement Chairs: Navin Kartik, [email protected] Doug Almond, [email protected] Placement Assistant: Amy Devine, (212) 854-6881, [email protected] Field of Specialization: Microeconomic Theory (Primary), Matching (Secondary) Research Interests: Economic Theory, Information Economics, Matching Education: 2017 (expected) 2014 2013 2011 2010 2009 Ph.D. Economics M.Phil Economics M.A Economics M. Sci. Applied Mathematics Exchange Abroad Program (EAP) B.A Pure Mathematics Columbia University Columbia University Columbia University University of Padua (Italy) UCLA University of Padua (Italy) Honors and Awards: 2016-2017, Dissertation Fellowship, Columbia University 2011-2016, Faculty Doctoral Fellowship, Columbia University 2012 Diploma Summa Cum Laude, Galilean School of Higher Education 2011 Laurea Summa cum Laude, University of Padua 2009 Laurea Summa cum Laude, University of Padua Job Market Paper: “How to Measure Disagreement?” This paper defines a quantitative measure of disagreement. I introduce six axioms that a measure of disagreement should satisfy and then characterize all the functions that represent it. I then consider two applications. First, I find necessary and sufficient conditions for more public information to decrease disagreement between rational agents. Second, I show that in an economy with heterogeneous beliefs, trade of contingent assets is increasing in my measures of disagreement, and the asset prices are the beliefs that minimize aggregate disagreement. Working Papers: “When does information reduce disagreement?” (with Navin Kartik) “Matching in the smallest Large Market” (2016), under revision Research Experience: 2015-2016, Research Assistant for A. Prat and M. Halac (Columbia Business School) 2013-2016, Research Assistant for N. Kartik (Columbia University) Fall 2014, Research Assistant for M. Di Maggio (Harvard Business School) 2013, Research Assistant for A. Casella (Columbia University) Summer 2012, Research Assistant for R. Sethi (Barnard College) Teaching Experience: Summer 2016, Mathematics for Economists (Master) (TA for E. Gerratana) Summer 2015, Introduction to Microeconomics (Master) (TA for E. Gerratana) Spring 2014, Advanced Microeconomics (Ph.D) (TA for N. Kartik and P. Bolton) Fall 2012, Game Theory (Undergraduate) (TA for Q. Liu) Seminar Presentations: March 2014, Economics PhD Conference (Warwick University, UK) Referee Experiences: 2014, Mathematical Social Sciences Personal Citizenship: Italy Language: Italian (Native); English (Fluent); Spanish (Intermediate); French (Beginner) References: Navin Kartik (Primary) Professor Department of Economics Columbia University (212) 854-3926 [email protected] Yeon-Koo Che Kelvin J. Lancaster Professor of Economic Theory Department of Economics Columbia University (212) 854-8276 [email protected] Pietro Ortoleva Associate Professor of Economics Department of Economics Columbia University [email protected] Paolo Siconolfi Professor Columbia Business School (212) 854-3474 [email protected]