PEGASAS Project 4: General Aviation Weather Technology in the
Transcription
PEGASAS Project 4: General Aviation Weather Technology in the
PEGASAS Project 4: General Aviation Weather Technology in the Cockpit (WTIC) Phase II Coordination Barrett S Caldwell, PhD, Project Lead Purdue University PEGASAS WTIC Structure, Phase I (2014) Partnership to Enhance General Aviation Safety, Accessibility, and Sustainability http://www.pegasas.aero • Team 4A – Quantify Causality – Expand accident/incident causal research • Team 4B – Inadvertent Flight from Visual Flight Rules (VFR) to Instrument Meteorological Conditions (IMC) – Address unexpected transitions from VFR to IMC • Team 4C – GA Weather Alerting – Assess feasibility and benefits of agile, low latency cockpit weather alerts • Team 4D – GA MET Information Optimization – Evaluate utility of selected MET products to support pilot decision making 2 Phase I II - New Emphases for 2015 • Phase I and Comment Matrix Revelations – GAP RESOLUTION! • GAP: Identifiable “delta” between desired and actual that our activities are intended to resolve – – – – How was this GAP identified / Why is this a GAP? What is causing this GAP? What are you doing to resolve (“close”) this GAP? How / when are you going to “close” this GAP? • Recognition of FAA WTIC Use of Project 4 Results 3 Out the Window vs On the Screen Credit: Shawn Pruchnicki, Team 4A 4 Out the Window vs On the Screen Credit: Shawn Pruchnicki, Team 4A 5 Identified Gaps for Phase II Work Affecting Pilot SA and Thought Decision Plan Action Links • Knowledge Gaps – Acquisition through Skill / Training • Skill Gaps – Application of Knowledge through Training and experience • Ability Gaps – Natural or acquired ability to perform Skills • Training Gaps – structured activities to inform, instill, and enhance KSA 6 Identified Gaps for Phase II Work Affecting Pilot SA and Thought Decision Plan Action Links • Assessment Gaps – Formal evaluations to determine current capabilities in KSA areas • Technology Gaps – Available software or hardware tools to support actual flight or training activities, including pilot KSA • Information Presentation Gaps – Capability of available software or hardware tools to provide information suitable to enhance or expand pilot KSA during flight 7 Training Scenarios for Cockpit Weather Technologies 1. Decision Making (VFR cross-country – experienced pilot) 2. Convective weather avoidance (IFR cross-country) 3. Using weather sources not intended for aviation (VFR local – student pilot) 4. Risk taking (VFR cross-country – inexperienced pilot) 5. Wind Conditions (VFR cross-country – pilot recently transitioned to new aircraft) 6. Icing Conditions (IFR cross-country – unplanned flight into icing conditions) 7. Turbulence Encounter (VFR cross-country – clear air turbulence 8. Distraction using WX system (VFR local flight) Lesson 2: Convective Weather Avoidance Relying solely on cockpit weather technologies to avoid areas of convective weather or extreme precipitation. Synopsis: • Pilot departs on an IFR cross country flight with thunderstorms along the route. • The pilot sees a gap in the weather using cockpit weather, and requests a heading. ATC advises that the requested heading does not appear to avoid the weather. Finally the pilot’s radar image updates and he no longer sees the gap that was present 7 minutes ago. • The aircraft still encounters severe turbulence and heavy precipitation. Lessons: • Cockpit based weather is different than on-board weather radar. The time between updates can create a misleading picture of the weather situation. • ATC can be helpful in weather avoidance. Pilots with cockpit weather should avoid any areas with thunderstorms they cannot visually avoid. Lesson 2: Convective Weather Avoidance KBIV 121755Z AUTO 3306G14KT 2SM +TSRA OVC025CB 11/07 A2989 KMKG 121754Z 32010KT 10SM FEW026 SCT055 BKN080 11/02 A2898 Muskegon County Airport South Bend International Airport KSBN 121753Z 25015G22KT 10SM SCT075 OVC085 17/01 A2983 Summer 2015 Research Integration at WJHTC • Participation by Purdue, TAMU, WMU Team Members • Technology “Shakedowns”; two weeks of data collection – Volunteer GA pilot participants – Tests of education and training modules; vibrating alerts; alerting modes – Realistic scenarios (real events): AK (Juneau-Skagway); NM (Santa Fe-Albuquerque) • Data analysis still underway: initial indicators… – Possible age and experience effects – Technology familiarity vs. integration in pilot tasks and decisions – Feasibility of vibrating bands in cockpit? Summer 2015 Research Integration at WJHTC Developing a Controllable Latency Training Device / Demo • Looping “NEXRAD” with 5-20 minute delays in display • No commercially available ATD displays realistic weather information delays • WMU initial prototype development • PU replication / enhancement • Experimenter / Instructor controllable delays – Out the window is “current” – Radar display has latency • Feasible for under $5000 with multiple scenarios 13 Developing a Controllable Latency Training Device / Demo 14 Developing a Controllable Latency Training Device / Demo Prepar3D images at 11500ft. The WX image is delayed and shows no cloud cover. The out-the-window shows two distinct layers of clouds. 15 Additional Developments and Opportunities • Data collection and collaboration with Frasca International – Additional partnering with industry: DeLorme, Foreflight, Lockheed Martin, etc. • Training scenarios for broader dissemination • Possible 2016 efforts – Workshops and engagement (Sun N Fun, AirVenture) – Additional GAP resolution based on results and review – Implementation of additional scenarios in latency training • Your input here? 16 Conclusion • Phase II activity focusing on resolving multiple Gap areas • Sentinel scenario issues, new training device capabilities • Research at FAA (WJHTC), partnering with Frasca and others • Looking towards additional Gap resolution in 2016 Any Questions? 17