volunteered geographic information for emergency response
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volunteered geographic information for emergency response
ISBN : 978-602-97639-4-2 PROCEEDING International Fulbright and BPPT Symposium on Science and Technology The Role of Science and Technology in Climate Change and Disaster Mitigation and Adaptation September 4 – 6, 2012 PUBLISHER : Geo-system Technology and Hazard Mitigation Laboratory ( GEOSTECH - BPPT ) In Collaboration AGENCY FOR THE ASSESSMENT AND APPLICATION OF TECHNOLOGY ( BPPT) FULBRIGHT AMERICAN INDONESIAN EXCHANGE FOUNDATION ( AMINEF ) Editorial Staff for AMINEF 2013 The American Indonesian Exchange Foundation (AMINEF) 2013 April 2013 Editors Udrekh, Joko Prayitno, Saraswati Diah R., Ressy Oktivia Advisors Agency for the Assessment and Application of Technology (BPPT) The American Indonesian Exchange Foundation (AMINEF) Adaptation Sector Journal Title : Arif Arham : Volunteered Geographic Information For Emergency Response Disaster Mitigation Sector : Danny Hilman Natawidjaja Journal Title : Fakta Geologi Dari Siklus Mega-Tsunami Di Wilayah Aceh-Andaman Dan Konteknya Dalam Sejarah Aceh Adaptation Sector Journal Title : Dwikorita Karnawati, Teuku Faisal Fathani, Budi Andayani, Sani Tanaka And Eric G. Frost : Hybrid Socio-Technical Approach for Strategic Disaster Risk Reduction Program in Indonesia Adaptation Sector Journal Title : Faisar Jihadi : Political Dynamic and External Factors in a Post Disaster Rehabilitation & Reconstruction; Case Study of Nias Islands Post the 2004 and 2005 Earthquake and Tsunami Adaptation Sector Journal Title : Ichsan : Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh Mitigation & Adaptation Sector : Kardono Journal Title : Identifying Low Carbon Technology for Sustainable Development Editorial Staff for AMINEF 2013 The Economic of Climate Change Sector : Perdinan, Rizaldi Boer, Kiki Kartikasari, Bambang Journal Title Dwi Dasanto, Rini Hidayati, and Diva : Economic and Adaptation Cost of Climate Change: A Case Study of Indramayu – West Java Indonesia Adaptation Sector : Rahmawati Husein Journal Title : Assessing Hazard Mitigation Policies and Strategies in Java Coastal Areas The Economic of Climate Change Sector : Rony Bishry Journal Title : Climate Change and Economic Policy for Developing Countries The Economic of Climate Change Sector : Saiful Mahdi Journal Title : Bridging the Gap: Knowledge Development and Management in Climate Change Issues in Aceh Mitigation & Adaptation Sector : Yeni A. Mulyani and Noor F. Haneda Journal Title : Edge vs Interior Habitat of Forest Plantation in Gunung Walat, Sukabumi: Response of Insectivorous Birds to Changing in Microclimate FOREWORD BY The Deputy Chairman for the Technology of Natural Resources The Agency for the Assessment and Application of Technology (BPPT) This is the proceeding of the International Fulbright Symposium on Science and Technology with the topic of “The Role of Science and Technology in Climate Change and Natural Disaster Mitigation and Adaptation on the occasion of the Anniversary of the Fulbright Program in Indonesia held in Jakarta on September 2012 The symposium was of scientific discussions on the nature and causes underlying the climate change and natural disasters. This is in line with the program of the United Nation’s Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC] which was formed to provide an assessment of global climate change. The purpose of this international Fulbright Symposium was to initiate discussions on science and technology from various perspectives in relation to global warming and natural disasters. The aim is to build a movement, a network of scientists, technologist, economists, policymakers, elected representatives and concerned citizens who believe in sound science and technology policy options. The goal is to identify the role of Science and technology for the climate change and natural disaster mitigation and adaptation. This conference was open to academics, researchers, policy makers, government officials, media, concerned citizens and civil society activists. There were invited presentations from American and Indonesian Fulbright alumni who were interested in presenting a paper under any of these broad themes. I would like to offer our appreciation to AMINEF for their cooperation to hold such special academic program together with us. We also thank you for the participants who delivered their scientific paper in this symposium. We hope this proceeding will be useful for references of further discussion related to the topic. Yours Sincerely, Dr. Ridwan Djamaluddin FOREWORD BY The Executive Director of the American Indonesian Exchange Foundation (AMINEF) Forward for BPPT publication of Fulbright/AMINEF/BPPT Climate Change and Natural Disaster Mitigation Symposium September 2012: As Executive Director of the American Indonesian Exchange Foundation (AMINEF) and on behalf of the Fulbright Programs we administer, I would like to express my sincere thanks to the Agency for the Application and Assessment of Technology (BPPT) and all of the Fulbright alumni, other scientists, scholars, and academics from various fields, and those from other relevant sectors who were there out of interest in the important topics presented. This important symposium was one of the key highlights of the 60th Anniversary of Fulbright in Indonesia special programs we supported to honor the 60 years of Fulbright and 20 years of AMINEF as the bi-national Fulbright Commission. We hope that we can continue these types of events in the future and publish the proceedings to share with a broader audience. We greatly value our collaboration with BPPT and hope that this symposium was an impetus for further collaboration and that it generates networking and collaboration in the future among those who are devoted to these important issues of our time. In the midst of a comprehensive partnership between Indonesia and the United States of America, this symposium is also symbolic and emblematic as a model for cooperation in the future on scholarly events that bring experts together to find common ground and interest in dealing with the role of science on important issues such as climate change and natural disaster mitigation. The Fulbright Program administered by AMINEF in Indonesia, is known around the world for its alumni becoming leaders in their fields. Under a current Fulbright initiative which is part of that comprehensive partnership between our two countries, we have expanded the number of STEM field grants for study and research for sending Indonesians to the US and for Americans to come to Indonesia. Dr. Indroyono Soesilo and Dr. Brian Atwater are two examples of experts participating in this symposium who lectured in the US and Indonesia respectively as part of a special exchange of Senior Scholar Lecturers under Fulbright and administered by AMINEF in STEM fields. Yours Sincerely, Michael E. McCoy LIST OF CONTENT Foreword ....................................................................................................................... List Of Content .............................................................................................................. i iii 1. Volunteered Geographic Information For Emergency Response Arif Arham ........................................................................................................... 1-11 2. Fakta Geologi Dari Siklus Mega-Tsunami Di Wilayah Aceh - Andaman Dan Konteknya Dalam Sejarah Aceh Danny Hilman Natawidjaja ................................................................................. 1-17 3. Hybrid Socio-Technical Approach For Strategic Disaster Risk Reduction Program In Indonesia Dwikorita Karnawati, Teuku Faisal Fathani, Budi Andayani, Sani Tanaka1 And Eric G. Frost ............................................................................ 1-11 4. Political Dynamic And External Factors In A Post Disaster Rehabilitation & Reconstruction; Case Study Of Nias Islands Post The 2004 And 2005 Earthquake And Tsunami Faisar Jihadi ......................................................................................................... 1-12 5. Community Participation In Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies Of Four Villages In Aceh Ichsan ................................................................................................................... 1-11 6. Identifying Low Carbon Technology For Sustainable Development Kardono ............................................................................................................... 1-11 7. Economic And Adaptation Cost Of Climate Change: A Case Study Of Indramayu – West Java Indonesia Perdinan, Rizaldi Boer, Kiki Kartikasari, Bambang Dwi Dasanto, Rini Hidayati, and Diva Oktavariani ................................................................... 1-10 8. Assessing Hazard Mitigation Policies And Strategies In Java Coastal Areas Rahmawati Husein .............................................................................................. 1-8 9. Climate Change And Economic Policy For Developing Countries Rony Bishry ......................................................................................................... 1-6 10. Bridging The Gap: Knowledge Development And Management In Climate Change Issues In Aceh Saiful Mahdi ........................................................................................................ 1-19 iii VOLUNTEERED GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION FOR EMERGENCY RESPONSE Arif Arham Department of Geography, Texas A&M University Adaptation in Disaster Management and National Strategy Volunteered Geographic Information for Emergency Response Arif Arham Department of Geography, Texas A&M University ABSTRACT The participation of large numbers of private citizens who are informal in the creation of geographic information is widespread for centuries and has been reserved to official agencies. This participation becomes a dramatic innovation that will certainly have profound impacts on geographic information systems (GIS) and more generally on the discipline of geography and its relationship to the general public. This phenomenon is called volunteered geographic information (VGI), a special case of the more general Web phenomenon of user-generated content such as Wikimapia (www.wikimapia.org), a service allowing citizens to provide descriptions of places of interest to them; Picasa (www.picasaweb.google.com), a collection of worldwide geo-referenced photographs; OpenStreetMap (www.openstreetmap.org), a volunteer effort street map project of the entire world; and Google Earth, a software that is link to the internet and provide satellite image of the globe with geography information that can be provided by public from everywhere. This technology can be used to share information about the emergency situation to others. Emergency manager can use the data to further emergency management and decision making. This paper also discusses about the uncertainty of geography information for the uncertainty of an unpredicted emergency event. Keywords: Emergency, information, internet, response, volunteer. 1. INTRODUCTION There are several achievements have been established in the past five years in GIScience as the field that supports theory behind the development and the use of geographic information systems (GIS) as a tool. Most of them are generally used by people to understand their surroundings. The most phenomenal is Google Earth which is software that lets everyone explore rich geographical content anywhere on Earth using satellite imagery, maps, terrain, 3D buildings and even explore galaxies in the sky. At this point, satellite imagery of a certain time (temporal resolution) and scale (spatial resolution) of any place on earth in Google Earth figures out the surface of Planet Earth in the most real than before for general audiences. Following the success of Google Earth, GIS then becomes a network system that established by communities to provide spatial information. People around the world can use the software for free and more than that they can share photos of places on earth with others. This collaboration among both amateurs and experts using Web 2.0 technology is then called the wikification of GIS (Sui, 2008). Wikification of GIS drives people to volunteer in many data collection held by government and non-government organizations such as National Mapping Corps sponsored by the US Geological Survey (USGS) in collecting information that contributes to the US national map; the US Census Bureau in collecting census data for the homeless; and Urban and Regional Information System Association (URISA)’s GIS Volunteer Corps in helping the relief efforts from New Orleans to Afghanistan (Sui, 2008). To share spatial information digitally, Google Earth’s users can save their geographical data to a KML file format and then use Google Earth or other applications, including Google Maps, Google Maps for mobile, NASA WorldWind, ESRI ArcGIS Explorer, Adobe Photoshop, AutoCAD, and Yahoo! Pipes, to display KML (“KML Documentation,” 2009). This is another development in GIS application when one format data can be used by different software. Therefore, geographical data are more flexible to transfer in communities. Likewise, tight coupling (both the model and the GIS read and write the same files within a GIS environment without any translation process) become more popular in the future than loose coupling (a model is run as a separate piece of software and data are 1 exchanged to and from the GIS in the form of files in export format) (Longley, Goodchild, Maguire, & Rhind, 2005). Another exciting development in GIScience is in management and policy. GIScience does more than what GIS did in the early days. GIScience is not only depicting how the world looks, but it is developing this extensive application into a bigger agenda to successful problem solving (Longley et al., 2005). Today GIS is used by any level of government in decision making process for public services in economic development, transportation and services routing, housing, infrastructures, health, tax maps, human services, law enforcement, land-use planning, park and recreation, environmental monitoring, emergency planning, and citizen information/ geodemographics (O’Looney 2000 cited in Longley et al., 2005) Global Positioning System (GPS) technology is another technology in GIScience that has been used widely by public. It arose from a 1969 research project of the U.S. Defense Department as a military research project to fly atomic clocks on satellites and use the data for navigation; but nowadays, GPS can be found in cars, boats and airplanes, cell phones, wristwatches and computers for navigation, farming, mining, construction, surveying, taxicab operations, logistical supply-chain management, package delivery and science and technology applications (“History of GPS,” 2006). Many fields of science use GPS for their researches. For instance, geologists can use GPS to measure expansion of volcanoes and movement along fault lines; ecologists use it to map differences in a forest canopy; biologists can track animals using radio collars that transmit GPS data; and Geographers can define spatial relationships between features of the Earth’s surface (“History of GPS,” 2006). 2. GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION 2.1. The Ontology and Representation of Space and Time in GIScience Systematic thinking about space originally comes from geography, mathematics, physics, and philosophy which have developed their perspective on space and time with different The participation of large numbers of private citizens using the information technology in the past years who are informal in the creation of geographic information is widespread and has been reserved to official agencies (Goodchild, 2007a). Goodchild added that the private citizens are largely untrained and their actions are almost always voluntary, and the results may or may not be accurate. He found that this participation becomes a dramatic innovation that will certainly have profound impacts on GIS and more generally on the discipline of geography and its relationship to the general public. He then calls this phenomenon as volunteered geographic information (VGI), a special case of the more general Web phenomenon of usergenerated content. A disaster is a geographer phenomena and geographical information provides data about features and phenomena located on or near the surface of the Earth (Goodchild et al., 1999 cited in Zhang & Goodchild, 2002). In addition, the practical need to solve geographical problems by government agencies and various private sector companies makes GIS, and also remote sensing, increasingly popular in gathering and processing geographical or spatial information (Zhang & Goodchild, 2002; McMaster & Usery, 2004). However, this method is not only used in the field of geography; other disciplines such as agriculture, hydrology, landscape ecology, soil conservation and even emergency management also have the opportunity to gain information from geographical perspectives (Zhang & Goodchild, 2002). The paper will discuss about VGI for disaster management, particularly for emergency response phase. This will include the introduction to geographic information, emergency management, and the prospect of using VGI to help decision maker in an emergency response phase. perspective (Longley, Goodchild, Maguire, & Rhind, 1999). Geography represents the empirical perspective on the subject of space and time at geographical scale; mathematics represents the formal perspective on space and time, bringing its formidable deductive power to the representation such as Euclidian geometry; physics gives contribution of general relativity and quantum mechanics to our understanding of 2 Volunteered Geographic Information for Emergency Response space and time go well beyond the absoluterelative controversy; finally, philosophy formulate two conflicting hypothesis: (a) there exist things in time and space which have (known and unknown) attribute (lead to an ontology of object); (b) the spatio-temporal clusters of known attributes are the things (lead to an ontology the field) (Longley et al., 1999). Representation of geographical phenomena followed by these questions: What is to be represented? What things exist? What is the ontology of geographical space? (Longley et al., 1999). Ontology is a branch of philosophy that proves ‘‘the existence of things in the world. Specifically, it studies the generic traits of every mode of being and becoming, as well as the peculiar features of the major general of existence’’ (Bunge 1977 cited in Bian, 2007). From this perspective, the information about this change is very important in space and time because all things change (Wand 1989 cited in Bian, 2007). Representation in Geographic phenomena has become more complex through time as new concepts emerged (Goodchild, Yuan, & Cova, 2007) simultaneously with the evolving in information technology. GIS is designed to help people to manage and analyze those phenomena. GIS has two categories of geographical concepts: geographical entities (e.g. mountain, rivers, valleys, coastal and artificial feature such as road and cities) and geographical phenomena (the things that happen such as flooding, wildfire, erosion, and urban growth), and the spatial and temporal properties and relations characterizing these; because it is not just about thing listed in a map nor are about spatial information of the object on earth (Longley et al., 1999). Longley and his colleagues describe that geographical entities are mountain, rivers, valleys, coastal and artificial feature such as road and cities; and phenomena are the things that happen such as flooding, wildfire, erosion, and urban growth. In addition, Goodchild et al. (2007) explain about space and time in GIS in a practical term (how big and how long). They mention that, in most applications, spatial dimensions will not be resolved to finer than one cm, and the temporal dimension will not be resolved to finer than one second. Moreover, they conclude that the geographic domain includes the surface of the Earth, and the near-surface, so the domains of groundwater hydrology, geology, oceanography, and atmospheric science, may be around 10 km below the surface and 30 km above it. Numerous definitions of geographic information focus on the concept of georeferencing that is the association of locations in the geographic domain with the properties of those locations (Goodchild et al., 2007). It is similar to what Bian (2007) says about the object-orientation. Although it is incomplete for spatial representation, Bian confirms that objects in object-orientation can represent an almost unlimited range of phenomena using properties, behavior, and relationships of objects, either individually or in combination. He also states that the importance of attributes is widely recognized in the GIScience literature to identify spatial phenomena. Furthermore, Bian affirms that objects act on, or they are acted upon by, other objects; as well, methods can change the state of an object as an event. Bian (2007) verifies that not all spatial phenomena are best represented as objects nor can they be best manipulated using GIS software. He explains that spatial objects, spatial regions, and fields can be represented in three categories: well represented as objects, reasonably represented as objects, and not well represented as objects. He affirms that the power of object-orientation reaches its full potential for the representation of spatial objects because their conceptual model matches the principles of object-orientation. Nevertheless, Bian remarks that object-orientation cannot be used for the representation of continuous fields, because it has conflict between the discrete assumption of objects and the continuous nature of fields. Most computer programs gain their meaning from the relationship between their internal algorithms/protocol and some aspect of the real world (Longley et al., 1999). Additionally, Longley and his colleagues point out that many of the characteristic of the geographical world can be measured by tool and by human cognitive function. They affirm that human behavior is influenced by a combination of perceptual inputs, conscious decisions, and motor acts. However, they also state that since cognitive factor often influence behavior, human’s reasoning and decisions cannot be better than their knowledge of situations such as distance or directions. 3 Volunteered Geographic Information for Emergency Response 2.2. The Importance of Scale Conventionally, maps portray the phenomena distributed on Earth’s surface in a static format with constant or near-constant ratio between distance as measured in the real world and in a map which is known as ‘scale’ by cartographer; but today GIS provide digital maps in multiscale representations along with statistical and other techniques (Quattrochi & Goodchild, 1997). 2.3. The Implications of Location - Aware Computing for Geographic Information Quattrochi & Goodchild (1997) state that geographic scale is important because it defines the limits to our observations of the Earth in a small linear dimension, that is the limiting spatial resolution, the size of the smallest observable object, the pixel size, the grain of the photographic emulsion, or some similarity defined parameter. On the other hand, they also argue that observation must also have a large linear dimension that is the geographic extent of the study, project, or data collection effort. They conclude that a change of a dimension resulting a change in resolution. Information technology has been growing expansively in the last ten year both hardware and software. From the hardware site, mobile computing is very popular for communication and work. Laptop, GPS, and cellular phone are three top mobile gadgets that are used by people around the world for daily-based activities. Basically, laptop can be used for work, entertainment, and communication using internet technology; GPS can be used in car for identifying location on Earth using satellite; and cellular phone can be used for communication. Nowadays, the capabilities of those gadgets are improved. So, they can be used for more other needs since the computer software has been also developed rapidly for many purposes. For full computing experience, laptop can be installed many useful software, in which location of the laptop can be detected by others using GPS, or the brand new internet-based application called “Google Latitude”. GPS also becomes a multifunction gadget since it is implanted with multimedia player so user can navigate, drive and listen to music simultaneously. In addition, cell phone is more powerful since it is also has capability for navigating, playing multimedia, typing, browsing, and gaming. In short, computer hardware and software development change the way we work and travel into a worldwide networking activities. Geographical scale is also important because it is often a parameter in the physical and social processes that shape geographic phenomena (Quattrochi & Goodchild, 1997). In the digital era, massive amount of geographic data are collected from various sources and at different scales; therefore, researchers should understand about scale in analyzing particular geographic phenomena because changing the scale of data without understanding the effects of it can lead to a mistaken result (McMaster & Usery, 2004). Furthermore, McMaster & Usery (2004) remark that since many processes do not scale linearly, awareness of how that pattern or process changes with scale is very important so that the scaling process can be performed sensibly. The location-aware computing is the cause for a new age of geographical information and has significant impacts for computational in GIScience. Mobile computing change the way we handle data from collecting, saving, analyzing and in the decision making process (NRC, 2003). People now can report a phenomenon in a particular location using laptop and send the data to others using internet. Data also can be stored at the small size yet huge capacity hard disk, both internal and external. Moreover, analyzing phase to produce new information can be done by collaboration among expertise from distance using online conference. This mechanism can improve the decision making process, both in term of time and quality. In geography, scale is used to refer the magnitude of a study (e.g., its geographic extent) and the degree of detail (e.g., its level of geographic resolution), both in the contexts of space (geographical scale), time (temporal scale), and many other dimensions of research; the closer we look at the world, the more detail we see (Quattrochi & Goodchild, 1997). 4 Volunteered Geographic Information for Emergency Response 2.4. The Implications of Cloud Computing for Future of Geographic Information Internet is one of the important aspects in information technology development. This networking technique changes the way we work and gain geographical information. Following the success of internet, browser software also improved and utilized for internet applications. For example, people now can use “Yahoo Calendar” for manage their schedules. This calendar application is not installed in the local hard disk, but in the Yahoo’s server that the users have no idea where it is. All they have to do is open a Yahoo account, log in to the account, and use a lot of internet applications for free. This phenomenon then is called cloud-computing to illustrate the unknown computer hardware location which users around the world access as if they use the local computer hardware. Cloud-computing has significant implication for computational in GIScience, especially in the way we use hardware. Software installation needs space in hard disk as well as data storage, but in cloud-computing the space is not in local hard disk rather in a huge hard disk somewhere on Earth. Implication for this state is file transfer capacity and speed play significant role for data storage. Although users do not need more space in their local hard disk, they still need a broadband internet connection for accessing data and application from the ‘cloud’. Another implication is related to the GIS software. An important question can be asked: will GIS disappear into the cloud? The short answer is yes, it will. However, some issues are needed to consider to the implementation of this cloud-computing. Firstly, broadband connection is a must since geographical information is not only in attribute table but also in image. Image file usually has a big size depending on resolution; thus, low connection can ruin the data processing and analyzing both attribute tables and images. Secondly, due to its feature/addon/plugin, the size of application such as ArcGIS is relatively big. Hopefully, if this application in the future can be accessed from the internet then full feature is also needed to be installed to make this cloud-computing reliable for GIScience. Thirdly, the price to purchase the software could be decreased since the user will not really have the software and only can be accessed where the computer connected to the internet. Moreover, it also could be free since some GIS open source software such as GRASS and Quantum GIS are significantly enhanced recently. 2.5. Uncertainty in Geographic Information Geographic information provides data about features and phenomena located on or near the surface of the Earth (Goodchild et al., 1999 cited in Zhang & Goodchild, 2002). Almost similar to that, spatial information usually used for the information related to any multi-dimensional frame, which suggests a more general context of geographical problems (Zhang & Goodchild, 2002). Additionally, the practical need to solve geographical problems by government agencies and various private sector companies makes remote sensing and GIS increasingly popular in gathering and processing geographical or spatial information (Zhang & Goodchild, 2002; McMaster & Usery, 2004). However, this method is not only used in the field of geography; other disciplines such as agriculture, hydrology, landscape ecology, and soil conservation also have the opportunity to gain information from geographical perspectives (Zhang & Goodchild, 2002). Zhang & Goodchild (2002) emphasis that GIS is not only a digital way to make a map, but it consists of scientific background to sustain technology developments which enhances accuracy in observations to support facts or knowledge obtained from investigation, study, or instruction about specific places on the Earth’s surface. Handling of large amounts of geographical information can lead to uncertainty in a number of forms (Longley, Goodchild, Maguire, & Rhind, 1999). This uncertainty may occur due to errors in measuring the positions and attributes of geographical entities, or in sampling distribution of geographical phenomena (Zhang & Goodchild, 2002). In fact, errors in data sources are likely to have the most profound impacts on the resultant information products and decision-making (Zhang & Goodchild, 2002). This uncertainty could be more important when it deal with the uncertainty event such as an emergency situation. How these uncertainty phenomena can be help with the uncertainty geographical information through VGI is an important aspect for emergency management. 5 Volunteered Geographic Information for Emergency Response In general, uncertainty within spatial information can be error, vagueness, or ambiguity (Longley et al., 1999). Zhang & Goodchild (2002) state that the whole process in GIScience research from geographical abstraction, data acquisition, and geo-processing to the use of data as the following next analysis cannot be pure from uncertainty. They also remark that this could happen because of lack of information for recovering the truth. Fundamental understanding about uncertainty is very crucial to all users of GIS (Longley et al., 1999). An implication of understanding uncertainty in geographical information is one significant step towards redefining GIS as science (Wright et al., 1997 cited in Zhang & Goodchild, 2002). Users of GIS should be aware of the possible complications to their analysis caused by uncertainty; in fact, they need to provide a report of uncertainty in the final results together with the plausible outcomes (Longley et al., 1999). Regarding to this, McMaster & Usery (2004) state that users of GIS can do such work since each object in a GIS database carries information describing its accuracy (Goodchild 1993 p.98 cited in McMaster & Usery, 2004); every operation or process within a GIS can track and report error; and accuracy measures is a standard feature in GIS. Moreover, using data without consideration of its intrinsic uncertainty, can lead to a high probability in inappropriate decisions (McMaster & Usery, 2004). In short, ignoring uncertainty can lead to incorrect predictions or can be completely fatal to the use of the GIS (Longley et al., 1999). Since uncertainty is very important in GISscience, University Consortium for Geographic Information Science (UCGIS) latter conducts research on uncertainty in geographical data to know how uncertainties arise, or are created and propagated in the GIS information process; and to identify the effects these uncertainties might have on the results of subsequent decision-making (Zhang & Goodchild, 2002). 2.6. Volunteered Geographic Information Goodchild (2007b) affirms that nowadays, the pattern of citizens volunteering information can be found in many Web services. He gives some examples: Wikimapia (www.wikimapia. org), a service operating on similar lines to Wikipedia, and allowing citizens to provide descriptions of places of interest to them, along with geographic coordinates; Picasa (www.picasaweb.google.com), a collection of worldwide geo-referenced photographs; OpenStreetMap (www.openstreetmap.org), a volunteer effort street map project of the entire world; Google Earth, a software that is link to the internet and provide satellite image of the globe with layers, photograph, website link, and other geography information that can be provided by public from everywhere. Figure 1. Google Mashup in Google Earth Working with Google Earth user can find a friendly tool to create geographic information which is called Google Mashup. With this tool user can make documentation about a particular place on Earth’s surface with text, image, and link to one or more website that provide detail information, and even video. The data is store in the “cloud” for free. Figure 1 shows an example of Google Mashup with several forms of media. The first one is a simple text brief description about the Sixth Floor Museum at Dealey Plaza. Secondly, a link to the museum’s website so people can get more detail information about the museum and its program from the official source. Thirdly, an image shows the building of the museum which is stored in Picasa Web Album (picasaweb.google.com) so people can see the place at glance. Finally, a short video of the place stored in Youtube (www.youtube.com) shows the museum and its surrounding area. This information originally in KML format and then can be shared using KMZ format so other can open the file in Google Earth instantly. 6 Volunteered Geographic Information for Emergency Response 3. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT Emergency management can be described as “the discipline and profession of applying science, technology, planning and management to deal with extreme events that can injure or kill large numbers of people, do extensive damage to property, and disrupt community life” (Drabek, 1991, cited in Lindell, Prater, & Perry, 2006). The person who conducts an emergency management usually called an emergency manager. He or she identify, anticipate, and respond to the risks of catastrophic events in order to reduce to more acceptable levels the probability of their occurrence or the magnitude and duration of their social impacts (Lindell et al., 2006). Moreover Lindell and his colleagues emphasis that hazards, emergencies, and disasters afflicted human societies much longer than academic disaster research has existed. There are four phases or principal functions of emergency management: hazard mitigation, emergency preparedness, emergency response, and disaster recovery (Lindell et al., 2006). Of the four phases, mitigation is the only one that is conducted before the disaster event while the other stages all occur just before or after the disaster (Godschalk, Beatley, Berke, Brower, & Kaiser, 1998). Likewise, to protect communities from environmental hazard, mitigation and preparedness are the preventive practices in emergency planning which is very important for community or organizational preparedness to reduce risk (Perry & Lindell, 2006). As a consequence, immediate protection action should be made to save life. Hazard mitigation activities are performed to eliminate the causes of a disaster, to reduce the likelihood of its occurrence, or to limit the magnitude of its impacts if it does occur (Lindell et al., 2006). It provides passive protection at the time of disaster impact (Perry & Lindell, 2006) . In addition, Godschalk et al. (1998) state that natural hazard mitigation typically carried out as part of a coordinated mitigation strategy or plan, either structural or non structural, depending on whether they affected building or land use. This includes: (a) strengthening buildings and infrastructure expose to hazard by means of building codes, engineering design, and construction practices to increase the damage resistance of the building; (b) avoiding hazard areas by directing new development far from risk area through land use plans and regulations and by relocating people to safe areas; and (c) protecting sand dunes, wetlands, forest and vegetated areas and other ecological elements that absorb and reduce hazard impacts. Disaster preparedness activities are undertaken to protect human lives and property that cannot be controlled or from which only partial protection is achieved by mitigation phase (Lindell et al., 2006) and to develop the capability to conduct an active response at the time of disaster impact (Perry & Lindell, 2006). Furthermore Lindell et al. (2006) mention some issues that are needed to be concern of by a jurisdiction’s disaster preparedness program: (a) what agencies will participate in preparedness and the process by which they will plan; (b) what emergency response and disaster recovery actions are feasible for that community; (c) how the emergency response and disaster recovery organizations will function and what resources they require; and (d) how disaster preparedness will be established and maintained. Emergency response activities are conducted since the detection of the event and ends with the stabilization of the situation following impact which is including securing the impact area, evacuating threatened areas, conducting search and rescue for the injured, providing emergency medical care, and sheltering evacuees and other victims by different group, either formally constituted or volunteers (Lindell et al., 2006). After disaster impact has been stabilized, disaster recovery activities are conducted with two objectives: (a) the immediate objective that is by restoring the physical infrastructure of the community such as water, sewer, electric power, fuel (e.g., natural gas), telecommunication, and transportation (as the immediate objective), and (b) the ultimate objective that is until the community’s quality of life back to the same level as it was before the disaster (Lindell et al., 2006). Recovery is also categorized based on time of implementation time: (a) short range (relief and rehabilitation) activities usually include clearance of debris and restoration of access to the impact area, reestablishment of economic (commercial and industrial) activities, restoration of essential government or community services,and provision of an interim system for caring for victims—especially housing, clothing, 7 Volunteered Geographic Information for Emergency Response and food, and (b) long-range (reconstruction) measures (Lindell et al., 2006). Real success in long-term reconstruction comes from both effective plan and awareness by planers and other local official in the short-term obstacles (Schwab, 2003). 3.1. Disaster Myth Many actors or stakeholders involve in emergency management. All citizens are recognized as stakeholders as all are affected by the decisions made by elected and appointed officials; however, there are different types of group who have an interest in the emergency management process (Lindell et al., 2006). Lindell et al. (2006) divide the community stakeholder groups into three different categories. First, social groups are the basic organizational unit for emergency management that involves household that adopt hazard adjustments (especially mitigation and preparedness measures), households evacuate, and households suffer economic losses. Secondly, political groups are relating to governmental stakeholders. In the US, beginning at the base is the lowest level of organization, the municipality (i.e., town or city) and the county. Each state has its own rule in granting powers to these local jurisdictions, so there are varying levels of power from one state to another. The different levels of government also have different agencies that vary widely on the dimensions of size, organizational complexity, and amount of human, financial, and technical resources. Thirdly, economic groups are relating to any kind of profit organization. Businesses are the fundamental units in the hierarchy of economic stakeholders. The news media, as one particular set of businesses, is especially important to the success of emergency management activities because they not only deliver news of an imminent disaster or of all phases of emergency management, but also educate the public about hazards that might strike the community (Lindell et al., 2006). People collect information not only from authorities, but also from the news media, peers, and environmental cues because they assumed that the news media were more knowledgeable than self or peers but less knowledgeable than local, state, or federal government (Lindell et al., 2006). Unfortunately, Perry & Lindell (2006 cited in Lindell et al., 2006) affirm that the news media can provide sensational story for those who have not had direct experience with such events. According to Lindell et al. (2006), the news media consume “hard news” about environmental incidents and the responses to those incidents by describing the course of events and reporting the views of different stakeholders. On the other hand, they state that the news media can also create “soft news” to build support for emergency management even when there is no “hard news” about disasters by describing the results of hazard/vulnerability analyses and the activities of planning organizations. In summary, the news media tends to perpetuate disaster myths rather than provide accurate information (Perry & Lindell, 2006). Classic research in the disaster field also highlighted between the realities and myths concerning disaster behavior (Tierney, Bevc, & Kuligowski, 2006). Disaster myth is misconceptions about people’s behavior in disasters and contrasts these with the findings of research (Lindell et al., 2006). Since the prevalence of disaster myths was first documented, more research has been done discussing such topics as the extent to which the public believes disaster myths (Wenger et al. 1975 cited in Tierney et al., 2006). Drabek & McEntire (2003) mention some assumptions in a disaster that is not true: (a) government is the only actor in emergency response; (b) information from outside official channels is lacking; (c) standard operating procedures will always work, (d) ad hoc emergence is not productive; and (d) citizens are passive in disaster operations. Tierney et al. (2006) warn that the wrong assumptions above could affect emergency management planning in a disaster. They also state that the belief in myths concerning disaster behavior is harmful because of their potential for influencing organizational, governmental, and public responses during disasters. Finally, they affirm that incorrect assumptions can lead to misallocations of public safety resources that could be put to better use in providing direct assistance to victims. 8 Volunteered Geographic Information for Emergency Response 4. THE UNCERTAINTY FOR THE UNCERTAINTY Geographic information could be wrong and a disaster is unpredictable. Then, the next question is how can one uncertainty help another uncertainty? The existing approach to handle uncertainty and scale in geographical information for emergency management are based on data acquisition from satellite, journalistic and citizen report. Emergency manager can use geographical data from several resources to make a better emergency planning through training and knowledge of disaster history in a particular area. Moreover, this information can help elected officials, managers, and emergency authorities define strategies and tactics used in emergency response. GIS, for example, can be used to find an appropriate location and allocation of urban resources for emergency, such as transportation planning for evacuation, fire station location, and fire truck routing. Since the reliability of the policy decisions very much depends on the quality of geographic data (McMaster & Usery, 2004) uncertainty in data collection related to unpredictable of a disaster event could be a major issue in emergency management. Beside, scope of geographical information that are needed to be collected is also important regarding to potential risk area, population density, type of disaster, and range of risk effect. An example of VGI for emergency response can be seen from the Swine Flu cases. After the news media informed about this epidemic in April 2009, several other non-government sources discuss about Swine Flu through the internet. As usual, Wikipedia marks an article about an emergency situation with “This article documents a current event. Information may change rapidly as the event progresses” (“2009 swine flu outbreak - Wikipedia,” n.d.). Visitors can get new information about this epidemic provided by volunteers. In addition, with KML file from Google, volunteers also can inform others about the distribution of Swine Flu cases around the world as shown in Figure 2. The structure of the planning process to address all the issue in a timely manner can be approached from many ways; and one of the important things is defining the roles of public and private agencies in the emergency response (Perry & Lindell, 2006). In fact, citizen as the sensor (Goodchild, 2007a) can be included in this approach to provide upto-date information that can be used by an emergency operation center (EOC). Since the EOC provide and distribute technical assistance, resources, and information to the different organizations and governments involve in the emergency response, it requires flexible and extensive telecommunications and informationprocessing equipment (Perry & Lindell, 2006). Figure 2. Google Mashup in Google Map shows the Swine Flu epidemic distribution around the world (source: “H1N1 Swine Flu - Google Maps,” n.d.) The process of emergency planning begins with a careful local hazard/vulnerability assessment (H/VA) to identify the hazards exposure, impact area, and forecast consequences (Perry & Lindell, 2006). In identifying hazards, planner and public officials usually have limitation in the knowledge about the geophysical (earthquake and volcano), meteorological (tornado and hurricane), or technological (hazardous material) hazards (Perry & Lindell, 2006). In this case, help from experts can be provided through the VGI. The mechanism for this can be arranged by registering and training the volunteers. This is not only helping decision making by collecting information from the world-wide-web, but also avoid the bad impacts of invalid information from non-government agency. Nobody can stop the dissemination information from people that use internet, but the government can poll them in one group. The EOC then verify information provided by volunteers and disseminate correct, complete and clear information for emergency agents and public, either directly or via the mass media. Hence, the EOC and the citizen can work together to help the victims based on agent- 9 Volunteered Geographic Information for Emergency Response generate and response-generate demand they found. For example, the government agency that conducts emergency management (e.g. Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) in the US; Badan Nasional Penanggulangan Bencana (BNPB) in Indonesia) can open an opportunity for citizen to register as volunteers that will provide information when an emergency occurs. In the registration process, the volunteers should provide a valid identity (e.g. driver license) so they will not provide false information about an emergency in a particular location. The agency can provide volunteers with codes and train so they know how to send information by internet. An online form should be provided so volunteers can participate easily. 5. CONCLUSION In the future, GIScience helps this world to be more open and transparent for everybody. Spatial information/geodatabase will be not exclusively own by government or military, rather it is shared across countries among communities. World becomes borderless since information technology is expanding greatly and this will also affect to GIScience. Moreover, GIScience would be a new cause of the new era of democracy, which means people become more literate in spatial knowledge and can participate in solving their problems in any sectors. Longley et al. (2005) affirm that although GIScience is not a panacea, more fields as mentioned above will use this geographical approach in mapping, measurement, monitoring, modeling, and management because GIS applications need to be based on sound science that makes it possible to incorporate diverse physical, biological, and human elements. However, they also add that interdisciplinary science with algorithms and statistical procedures can lead GIS applications to conflict with an older principle of scientific reporting; consequently, the results of analysis should always be reported in sufficient detail to allow someone else to replicate them. Finally, since science is complex, they suggest users who sometime use some tools developed by others without sufficient understanding to know as many of details of GIS analysis as is reasonable possible. Data collection is the key words for VGI. In this matter, citizen as sensor play the important role to gain geographical data and share with others (Goodchild, 2007a). Using locationaware computing, this work can be done more rapid and easier in term of data sharing and then analyzing by the expertise. Therefore, real time data for emergency management, especially in response phase can be acquired by the emergency manager to conduct an appropriate action to safe live. The cloud computing helps both data collectors and emergency manager in data sharing and storage. Data can be saved in thousand miles away from the hazard area and can be accessed by other emergency agencies from federal, state, and local authorities. This privilege can help a local EOC to seek aid from several resources out of the impact area. Consequently, more live and properties could be saved from a disaster. REFERENCES 2009 swine flu outbreak - Wikipedia. (n.d.). . Retrieved April 30, 2009, from http:// en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ 2009_swine_flu_ outbreak. Bian, L. (2007). Object-Oriented Representation of Environmental Phenomena: Is Everything Best Represented as an Object? Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 97(2), 267281. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-8306.2007.00535.x. Drabek, T. E., & McEntire, D. A. (2003). Emergent phenomena and the sociology of disaster: lessons, trends and opportunities from the research literature. Disaster Prevention and Management: An International Journal, 12(2), 97-112. Godschalk, D., Beatley, T., Berke, P., Brower, D., & Kaiser, E. J. (1998). Natural Hazard Mitigation: Recasting Disaster Policy and Planning (p. 591). Island Press. 10 Volunteered Geographic Information for Emergency Response Goodchild, M. F. (2007a). Citizens as sensors: the world of volunteered geography. GeoJournal, 69(4), 211-221. doi: 10.1007/s10708-0079111-y. Goodchild, M. F. (2007b). Citizens as sensors: web 2.0 and the volunteering of geographic information. GeoFocus (Editorial), (7), 8-10. Goodchild, M. F., Yuan, M., & Cova, T. J. (2007). Towards a general theory of geographic representation in GIS - PB - Taylor & Francis. International Journal of Geographical Information Science, 21(3), 239. doi: 10.1080/13658810600965271. H1N1 Swine Flu - Google Maps. (n.d.). . Retrieved April 30, 2009, from http://maps.google.com/ maps/ms?ie=UTF8&hl=en&t=p&msa=0&msid= 106484775090296685271.0004681a37b713f6b 5950&ll=32.639375,-110.390625&spn=15.7381 51,25.488281&z=5. History of GPS. (2006). . Retrieved January 22, 2009, from http://usinfo.state.gov/ xarchives/display.html?p=washfile-english&y= 2006&m=February&x=20060203125928lcnirell ep0.5061609. KML Documentation. (2009). KML Documentation Introduction. Retrieved April 3, 2009, from http://code.google.com/apis/kml/ documentation/. Lindell, M. K., Prater, C. S., & Perry, R. W. (2006). Fundamentals of Emergency Management. Longley, P., Goodchild, M. F., Maguire, D. J., & Rhind, D. (1999). Geographical Information Systems (p. 40). McMaster, R. B., & Usery, E. L. (2004). A Research Agenda for Geographic Information Science (p. 402). NRC. (2003). IT Roadmap to a Geospatial Future. Retrieved March 2, 2009, from http://nap.edu/ openbook.php?record_id=10661&page=1. Perry, R. W., & Lindell, M. K. (2006). Emergency Planning (p. 552). Wiley. Quattrochi, D. A., & Goodchild, M. F. (Eds.). (1997). Scale in Remote Sensing and GIS (p. 406). Schwab, J. (2003). Planning for Post-Disaster Recovery and Reconstruction (p. 348). Federal Emergency Management Agency. Sui, D. Z. (2008). The wikification of GIS and its consequences: Or Angelina Jolie's new tattoo and the future of GIS. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 32(1), 1-5. doi: 10.1016/j. compenvurbsys.2007.12.001. Tierney, K., Bevc, C., & Kuligowski, E. (2006). Metaphors Matter: Disaster Myths, Media Frames, and Their Consequences in Hurricane Katrina. The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 604(1), 57. Zhang, J., & Goodchild, M. F. (2002). Uncertainty in Geographical Information (p. 266). Longley, P., Goodchild, M. F., Maguire, D., & Rhind, D. (1999). 2 Volume Set, Geographical Information Systems: Principles, Techniques, Applications and Management, 2nd Edition (2nd ed.). Wiley. Longley, P., Goodchild, M. F., Maguire, D., & Rhind, D. (2005). Geographic Information Systems and Science (p. 536). Wiley. 11 Volunteered Geographic Information for Emergency Response FAKTA GEOLOGI DARI SIKLUS MEGA-TSUNAMI DI WILAYAH ACEH-ANDAMAN DAN KONTEKNYA DALAM SEJARAH ACEH Danny Hilman Natawidjaja 1,2 LabEarth – Puslit Geoteknologi-LIPI, Tim Independen Studi Katastropik Purba Nusantara 1 2 Disaster Mitigation and Risk Reduction Fakta Geologi Dari Siklus Mega-Tsunami Di Wilayah Aceh-Andaman Dan Konteknya Dalam Sejarah Aceh Danny Hilman Natawidjaja 1,2 LabEarth – Puslit Geoteknologi-LIPI, Tim Independen Studi Katastropik Purba Nusantara 1 2 ABSTRACT Mega-tsunami in Aceh-Andaman region in 2004 triggered a monumental changes of history from a society that used to ignore the threats of natural disasters, especially from earthquakes and tsunami, became aware of the responsible to anticipate natural disasters that may threat the existence of human civilizations in anytime. On the otherside, this natural event also acts as a major cause for changing in politics and social infrastructures in Aceh, from a period of terror and darkness to a new episode of society that reassemble and develop better life. In fact, the event like mega-tsunami in 2004 was neither the first time nor the last one. Paleoseismological studies, from coral microatolls in Simelue Islands and from stratigraphical records of soil layers along the coasts of Banda Aceh as well as Thailand, indicate that there were two similar tsunami events around the early 14 Century, in around 1390 AD and 1440 AD. These facts are also confirmed by tectonic geodesy (GPS) data that the earthquake with magnitude Mw 9.2 like in 2004 can be produced by strain accumulations on the subduction interface caused by plate relative motions in about every six hundred years. Meanwhile, in Aceh region, an ancient kingdom (pre-Islamic period) had existed at least since 600 AD as indicated by a 1400 tears old ancient stepped pyramid structure below the historical Indrapuri Mosque that was first built in 13 Century on top of that more ancient structure. A few sources indicate about the first ancient Islamic Kingdom, named Jeumpa, had appeared in 770 AD. The Jeumpa Kingdom is often misinterpreted as “Champa” (an ancient Kingdom in Cambodia). Later in 840 AD, another Islamic Kingdom, Perlak, appeared. These Islamic Kingdom were most likely co-existed with Hindu-Budha Kingdoms, including what so-called the Lamuri Kingdom or Lam-reh. In 1236 AD, the most famous and well known Islamic state, Samudra Pasai, came into play, marking a new era in Aceh. After 1450 AD, Samudra Pasai seems to be going dimmed and mysteriously disappeared. Later in 1496 AD, a new Islamic Kingdom, Aceh Darussalam, appeared and dominated the Aceh region. Aceh Darussalam achieved its golden age during the period of the King Iskandar Muda (1607-1636). It is strongly suspected that the change of power from Samudra Pasai to Aceh Darussalam was linked with the mega-tsunami events in 1390 and 1440 AD. It needs further in-deep geological and historical studies to investigate those ancient megatsunami disasters and their affects to the people of Aceh in ancient time, if possible back to the time before Samudra Pasai period. Understanding ancient natural catastrophic and the affected society is crucial in developing concept and strategy in natural-disaster mitigations, especially in developing a true local wisdom. 1. PENDAHULUAN Sejarah dan fakta geologi banyak memberikan pelajaran tentang bagaimana kejadian bencana alam di masa lalu dapat memusnahkan peradaban manusia. Boleh jadi, para leluhur nusantara juga meninggalkan berbagai catatan‐catatan yang belum tersentuh tentang pengalaman berharga, nasihat‐nasihat atau bahkan teknik‐teknik jitu dalam menghadapi berbagai bencana alam yang pernah terjadi di zaman mereka. Adalah tugas kita untuk menggali‐nya. Konsep siklus alam mengajarkan bahwa segala apa yang pernah terjadi di masa lampau pasti akan terjadi lagi di masa datang. Dalam ilmu kebumian dikenal satu konsep utama yaitu “The past is the key to the future”. Untuk mitigasi bencana alam hal ini diterjemahkan sebagai berikut: untuk 13 memahami ancaman bencana di masa datang kita harus belajar dari bencana alam yang sudah pernah terjadi di masa lampau. Bencana alam adalah interaksi dari kejadian siklus alam, seperti siklus gempabumi, siklus letusan gunung api, siklus gerakan tanah dan siklus banjir, dari skala kecil sampai dengan skala sangat besar atau katastropik. Sejarah peradaban manusia mencatat bahwa baik di wilayah nusantara ataupun dunia banyak sekali peradaban kuno yang runtuh bahkan seperti lenyap dari muka bumi karena peristiwa bencana alam katastropik. Tanpa ada manusia yang terkena dampak, maka peristiwa alam yang berbahaya tersebut tidaklah menjadi suatu bencana. Oleh karena itu penelitian bencana alam tidak terlepas dari mempelajari manusia yang terkena dampaknya. Dalam 10 tahun terakhir ini Indonesia dilanda oleh berbagai macam bencana alam yang mengakibatkan korban jiwa mencapai ratusan ribu dan kerugian material yang sangat banyak. Tragedi besar dari mega‐tsunami di Aceh‐ Andaman tahun 2004 adalah contoh konkrit masa kini tentang bagaimana suatu bencana alam dapat menghancurkan (sebagian besar) peradaban di Banda Aceh hanya dalam tempo sekejap saja. Sebelumnya masyarakat, khususnya di wilayah Aceh, hamper tidak mengenal kata tsunami sehingga sama sekali tidak siap menghadapi bencana tsunami. Padahal dalam perbendaharaan di Aceh ada kata Ieu Beuna yang artinya air bah besar (=tsunami). Di tempat lain, yaitu Pulau Simeulue, masyarakat masih 2. SEJARAH KEGEMPAAN DI WILAYAH ACEH‐ANDAMAN Mega‐tsunami yang dibangkitkan oleh gempa “megathrust’ di zona subduksi Aceh‐ Andaman Mw 9.2) tahun 2004 merupakan bencana tsunami yang terbesar sepanjang Abad 20 yang menelan korban lebih dari 200.000 jiwa. Bencana tsunami yang tidak kalah dahsyatnya juga menimpa wilayah Tohoku, Japan pada awal tahun 2011 yang menelan korban puluhan ribu jiwa dan kerugian infrastruktur dan dampak lingkungan yang luar biasa. Peristiwa bencana tsunami tahun 2004 sudah menjadi tonggak kesadaran batu dibidang mitigasi bencana alam. Sebelum 2004, banyak orang yang bahkan tidak mengenal istilah tsunami, namun setelah tragedi mengerikan tersebut, boleh ingat akan peristiwa bencana besar tsunami di masa lalu karena kejadiannya belum begitu lama, yaitu tahun 1907 (Newcomb and McCann 1987), sehingga orang Simeulue yang masih mengenal tsunami atau smong menjadi lebih siap dan banyak yang selamat ketika peristiwa tsunami Aceh tahun 2004 tersebut. Baru‐baru ini, penelitian yang dilakukan oleh Tim peneliti gempa dan tsunami dari Earth Observatory of Singapore (EOS), LIPI dan Tim (Studi) Katastropik Purba menguak fakta bahwa ternyata banyak sisa‐sisa bangunan kota kuno beberapa meter di dasar laut di lepas pantai Banda Aceh. Data geologi dari stratigrafi pantai dan penelitian koral mikroatol penentuan umur dengan radiometric dating diketahui bahwa kota kuno tersebut kemungkinan besar musnah diterjang tsunami besar pada abad 14 atau mungkin juga yang di masa yang lebih kuno lagi. Pembelajaran mengenai sejarah bencana alam di masa lalu dan upaya untuk mengurangi dampaknya menjadi hal yang penting untuk meningkatkan ketahanan masyarakat untuk menghadapi bencana pada masa yang akan datang. Jadi seharusnya kita belajar dari sejarah bencana alam di masa lalu sehingga bisa bersiap diri. Kurangnya data baik fakta geologi dari bencana alam di masa lalu dan juga impaknya terhadap masyarakat yang hidup waktu itu menyebabkan masyarakat seperti kehilangan memori akan pengalaman dan kearifan dari masa lalu. Sumber Gempa di Aceh dan Gempa Tsunami Tahun 2004 dibilang tidak ada lagi orang yang tidak tahu apa itu tsunami. Setelah 2004, sudah banyak berbagai usaha dibidang mitigasi bencana alam, khususnya tsunami dan gempa bumi, yang dilakukn, termasuk pemasangan berbagai jaringan pemantau gempa dan tsunami yang meliputi peralatan pemantau seismik, pemantau gerakan kerak bumi – GPS, alat pasang surut, dan berbagai pemantau naikturunnya muka air laut. Demikian juga penelitian dibidang gempa da tsunami menjadi meningkat dengan pesat. Gempa Tohoku tahun 2011 yang sekali lagi menyentak komunitas dunia menjadi semakin menumbuhkan kesadaran baru tentang betapa pentingnya kita memahami proses alam yang dapat sangat destruktif ini untuk dapat mengantisipasi ancaman bahayanya bagi peradaban manusia. 14 Fakta Geologi Dari Siklus Mega-Tsunami Di Wilayah Aceh-Andaman Dan Konteknya Dalam Sejarah Aceh Setelah gempa tahun 2004, wilayah Sumatra, khususnya Aceh, bagaikan terus diberondong oleh ribuan gempa‐gempa dengan skala magnitude 5, ratusan gempa dengan skala magnitude 6 dan puluhan gempa dengan skala magnitude 7 atau lebih. Salah satunya yang terbesar adalah Gempa Nias‐Simeulue berkekuatan Mw 8.6 yang terjadi pada bulan Maret tahun 2005 (Briggs, Sieh et al. 2006), hanya 3 bukan setelah Gempa Aceh bulan Desember 2004. Gempa tahun 2005 ini merontokan banyak rumah‐rumah di wilayah Nias dan juga Selatan Pulau Simeulue. Gempa lain yang cukup besar terjadi tahun 2008 di Pulau Simeulue (Mw 7.3) dan tahun 2010 di wilayah Pulau Banyak –Singkil (Mw 7.7). yang merupakan siklus. Siklus gempa besar ini terjadi karena di sepanjang zona subduksi proses akumulasi tekanan bumi karena pergerakan lempeng terus berlangsung, tidak pernah berhenti, sehingga akumulasi energi ini sewaktu‐ waktu akan dilepaskan berupa (energi) gempa tersebut. Tentu untuk memproduksi sebuah gempa besar diperlukan waktu yang sangat lama untuk mengumpulkan tenaganya secara perlahan‐lahan. Rentang waktu sejarah dan rekaman alat terlalu pendek kalau dibandingkan dengan perioda ulang gempa besar tersebut. Peristiwa seperti gempa tahun 2004 sebenarnya bukan satu hal baru yang terjadi tiba‐tiba. Bahkan sebenarnya gempa tahun 2002 di Simeulue (Mw 7.2) adalah merupakan “foreshock” atau gempa pembuka dari mega‐ gempa tahun 2004 tersebut (Gbr. 2). Di masa lalu, sudah cukup banyak gempa-gempa besar yang terjadi di wilayah Aceh‐Andaman ini. Di wilayah zona subduksi di Laut Andaman yang pecah ketika gempa tahun 2004 dulu pernah terjadi gempa besar tahun 1881 (M~7.9) dan tahun 1941 (Ms 7.7) (Gambar 2). Kemudian di zona subduksi yang pecah tahun 2005 tersebut dulu pernah terjadi gempa yang serupa tahun 1861 (M~8.5). Di wilayah Pulau Simeulue, tahun 1907 pernah diterjang oleh tsunami yang bahkan mempunyai tinggi gelombang yang dua kali lebih besar dari yang terjadi tahun 2004 walaupun sebenarnya sumber gempa penyebabnya jauh lebih kecil (M~7.6). Gempa tahun 1907 di Simeulue ini mempunyai mekanisme yang serupa dengan yang terjadi di Pulau Pagai, Mentawai pada bulan September 2010 (Hill 2011), yaitu walaupun magnitudenya tidak terlalu besar tapi sebenarnya pergerakan patahan yang terjadi sangat besar sehingga membangkitkan tsunami yang jauh diatas perkiraan. Gempa jenis ini sering disebut sebagai “tsunami earthquake” atau juga “silent earthquake” (Hill et al, 2011). Memang benar bahwa dalam catatan sejarah dan rekaman jaringan pemantau gempa–seismik tidak ada gempa dengan kekuatan setara dengan mega‐gempa tahun 2004 (Mw 9.2). Namun, hal ini bukan berarti bahwa tidak pernah ada gempa sebesar itu. Peristiwa gempa adalah proses alam 15 Fakta Geologi Dari Siklus Mega-Tsunami Di Wilayah Aceh-Andaman Dan Konteknya Dalam Sejarah Aceh Gambar 2. Peta kegempaan di wilayah Sumatra bagian utara dan Laut Andaman. Elips dengan warna adalah wilayah patahan megathrust yang pecah ketika gempa dengan keterangan tahun kejadian dan kekuatan magnitude gempa (from Meltzner dkk, 2010) Gempa Aceh tahun 2004 ini menyebabkan pergerakan kerak bumi mencapai 20 meter di bidang patahan sepanjang lebih dari 1200 km dari Pulau Simeulue sampai wilayah Thailand di Andaman utara (Gbr.3a) (Subarya, Chlieh et al. 2006). Gerakan (=slip patahan) sebesar ini pada bidang zona subduksi (=”megathrust”) yang miring sekitar 10‐20 derajat ke arah timur menyebabkan pengangkatan dasar laut mencapai 5 meter (Gbr. 3b). Itulah sebabnya tsunami yang dibangkitkannya menjadi sangat besar. Pada bidang batas lempeng di wilayah ini, dari data jaringan GPS, diketahui bahwa kecepatan relatif pergerakannya adalah sekitar 50 – 45 mm/tahun (Chlieh, Avouac et al. 2007). Bidang batas lempengnya berupa penunjaman lempeng yang miring (“oblique”) sehingga kecepatan gerak lempeng yang efektif diakomodasi oleh megathrust (=yaitu komponen yang arahnya tegak lurus) hanya sebagian saja, yaitu kurang lebih sekitar 30 mm/tahun. 16 Fakta Geologi Dari Siklus Mega-Tsunami Di Wilayah Aceh-Andaman Dan Konteknya Dalam Sejarah Aceh Jadi untuk memproduksi gempa dengan magnitude Mw 9.2 (=slip ~20 meter) maka diperlukan waktu akumulasi regangan sampai 600 tahunan. Oleh karena itu untuk melacak kejadian gempa besar di masa purba atau pra‐sejarah diperlukan studi paleoseismologi dan paleotsunami, yaitu mencari bukti‐bukti kejadian gempa dari rekaman alam. Gambar 3a,b. Slip dan Uplift ketika Gempa Aceh‐Andaman tahun 2004 dari data koral dan GPS (setelah Chlieh dkk, 2007). Dari pemodelan data GPS dan pengangkatan terumbu karang, khususnya jenis koral massif “mikroatol” Gempa tahun 2005 (Mw 8.6) menyebabkan slip pergerakan sebesar 10‐12 meter pada bidang megathrust di bawah Pulau Nias dan Selatan Simeulue (Briggs, Sieh et al. 2006). Hal ini menyebabkan wilayah pesisir barat Pulau Nias dan selatan Pulau Simeulue terangkat hingga 2.5 meter dan 1.5 meter (Gbr.4). Uniknya Pulau Simeulue ini pada waktu gempa tahun 2004 bagian utaranya juga terangkat hingga 1.5 meter (Gbr 3b). Hal ini terjadi karena bidang patahan (=”fault ruptures”) dari dua gempa raksasa ini bertemu persis ditengah‐tengah Pulau Simeulue (Gbr.5). Diantara dua pengangkatan gempa 2004 dan 2005 ini terdapat “gap kekosongan slip” atau disebut juga sebagai “seismic gap’ (Meltzner 2012). Slip gap inilah yang kemudian ‘diisi’ oleh gempa tahun 2008 (Mw 7.3) tersebut. Ini adalah contoh yang bagus bahwa dengan melakukan penelitian dan pemetaan pergerakan gempa‐ gempa besar yang terjadi kita sebenarnya dapat membuat perkiraan tentang potensi gempa besar selanjutnya di wilayah yang sama. 17 Fakta Geologi Dari Siklus Mega-Tsunami Di Wilayah Aceh-Andaman Dan Konteknya Dalam Sejarah Aceh Gambar 4. Peta kontur pengangkatan dan penurunan bumi akibat gempa tahun 2005 (Mw 8.6) berdasarkan data koral mikroatol (dari Briggs dkk, 2006) 18 Fakta Geologi Dari Siklus Mega-Tsunami Di Wilayah Aceh-Andaman Dan Konteknya Dalam Sejarah Aceh Gambar 5 (a). Peta kontur pengangkatan (dalam cm) di Pulau Simeulue akibat gempa tahun 2004 (Mw 9.2) dan 2005 (Mw 8.6). (b) “seismic‐slip gap” diantara dua pengangkatan gempa tersebut. Slip yang tersisa ini dilepaskan ketika gempa tahun 2008 (~Mw 7.5). (Meltzner 2012 3. DATA PALEOSEISMOLOGI DAN PALEOTSUNAMI Kejadian gempa megathrust di masa lalu dapat diketahui dengan meneliti unsur‐unsur alam yang terkena pengangkatan/penurunan karena gerak patahan yang terjadi ketika gempa. Koral massif “mikroatoll” dari genus Porites dan Goniastrea sangat ideal untuk digunakan sebagai alat perekam gempa alamiah karena koral ini pertumbuhannya sangat sensitif terhadap perubahan muka air laut (Natawidjaja, K.Sieh et al. 2004). Mikroatol yang tumbuh secara radial dari tengah kesamping dan ke atas pertumbuhan lapisan tahunannya yang mempunyai ketebalan rata 1‐2 cm sangat dipengaruhi oleh tinggi muka airlaut ketika tumbuh. Lapisan radial koral ini beranalogi dengan lapisan tahunan pada pohon (=”tree rings”). Apabila muka air laut berada di atas level pertumbuhan maka koral akan terus tumbuh ke samping dan ke atas ‘mengejar’ muka air laut. Kemudian kalau level pertumbuhannya sudah mencapai muka air laut (surut minimum) maka koral tersebut tidak lagi dapat tumbuh ke atas karena dia harus tetap berada di bawah air laut sehingga hanya tumbuh menyamping. Apabila ada gempa besar yang mengangkat koral tersebut sehingga muka airlaut menjadi relatif turun terhadap koral maka yang terjadi semua bada koral yang diatas muka air laut akan mati sedangkan yang masih berada di bawah air akan terus tumbuh setelah gempa (Gbr. 6) (Natawidjaja, K.Sieh et al. 2006). Namun apabila gempa tersebut mengangkat badan koral seluruhnya menjadi di atas muka air maka koral tersebut akan mati total. Dengan keunikan pertumbuhan mikroatol ini maka kita dapat merekonstruksi sejarah turun naiknya muka air laut yang dalam hal ini khususnya yang berhubungan dengan gerak‐ gerak tektonik gempa. Sebuah koral mikroatol dapat hidup sampai puluhan bahkan ratusan tahun. Sehingga dengan meneliti banyak koral‐ koral yang berumur modern sampai yang purba (fosil) maka kita dapat merekonstruksi siklus gempa selama ratusan bahkan lebih dari seribu tahun. Hebatnya lagi koral ini tidak hanya merekam besar pengangkatan yang terjadi waktu gempa tapi juga gerakan perlahan‐lahan dari pengangkatan / penurunan pada waktu perioda antar gempa (=”interseismic”) selama puluhan ratusan tahun. 19 Fakta Geologi Dari Siklus Mega-Tsunami Di Wilayah Aceh-Andaman Dan Konteknya Dalam Sejarah Aceh Gambar 6. Metoda mengukur pengangkatan gempa dari koral mikroatol. Pertumbuhan koral sangat sensitive terhadap perubahan muka air laut. Apabila ada pengangkatan karena gempa, bagian koral yang tersembul di atas muka air akan mati. Bagian yang masih di bawah air dapat terus tumbuh (inset). (Natawidjaja 2005). Dengan mengukur koral‐koral modern yang terangkat ketika gempa inilah kita dapat memetakan wilayah pengangkatan tektonik yang terjadi seperti yang diperlihatkan oleh gambar 5 di atas. Oleh karena itu untuk melacak gempa‐ gempa besar yang pernah terjadi ratusan tahun lalu kita dapat meneliti fossil koral mikroatol yang pernah terangkat ketika terjadi gempa purba tersebut. Dari penelitian koral mikroatol di Pulau Simeulue yang dilakukan secara intensif selama bertahun-tahun, dari tahun 2005 sampai 2010, kita berhasil menungkap bahwa pulau ini tidak hanya pernah terangkat pada tahun 2004 dan 2005 saja, tapi pernah juga terangkat berkali‐kali ratusan tahun sebelumnya. Di bagian selatan Pulau Simeulue dan juga di bagian utara Pulau Nias kita menemukan banyak koral‐koral tua yang sudah lama mati terangkat pada tahun 1861 oleh gempa waktu itu. Kemudian di bagian utara Pulau Simeulue; khususnya di lokasi Ujung Salang, Teluk Dalam, Langi, Lhok Pauh, Lewak, Nga, dan Ujung sangiran; ditemukan banyak sekali fossil koral mikroatol yang pernah terangkat sekitar tahun 1390‐an dan 1450‐an (Abad 14‐15 ) Masehi, 550‐600 tahun sebelum gempa 2004 (Meltzner 2010). Kemudian ada juga fosil mikroatol yang terangkat oleh gempa yang lebih tua lagi, yaitu berumur sekitar 960 M. Data koral terangkat ini juga ditunjang oleh data endapan tsunami dengan kisaran umur sama di pantai Banda Aceh dan juga di Thailand (Jankaew 2008; Monecke 2008). Gambar 7 mengilustrasikan contoh sayatan slab vertikal dari koral mikroatol yang terangkat oleh gempa tahun 1390‐an Masehi di lokasi Lhok Pauh. Koral mikroatol di lokasi LKP‐2 ini hidup selama sekitar 90 tahunan dari tahun 1300‐an Masehi sampai tahun 1390‐an Masehi. Pola pertumbuhannya memperlihatkan bahwa lokasi ini dari 1308 M sampai 1390 M mengalami penurunan terus menerus secara perlahan‐lahan dengan kecepatan rata‐rata sekitar 4 mm/tahun (=“interseismic submergence rate”). Kemudian pada sekitar tahun 1390‐an lokasi ini terangkat (karena gempa) lebih dari 40 cm sehingga koral ini mati total. 20 Fakta Geologi Dari Siklus Mega-Tsunami Di Wilayah Aceh-Andaman Dan Konteknya Dalam Sejarah Aceh Gambar 7. Tracing dari X‐Ray sayatan slab vertikal dari koral mikroatol, dipotong dari tengah ke pinggir di lokasi LKP‐2, Lhok Pauh. (Meltzner 2010). Kemudian Gambar 8 adalah salah satu contoh dari koral mikroatol yang terangkat oleh gempa purba sekitar tahun 1450‐an Masehi. Sama seperti halnya Slab dari Lhok Pauh (LKP‐2) di atas, sampel ini di potong dari tengah ke samping. Hasil U‐Th radiometric dating menunjukkan bahwa koral ini tumbuh sejak sekitar tahun 1390‐an Masehi. Jadi kemungkinannya adalah penghuni baru di Lhok Pauh setelah gempa yang membunuh para pendahulunya seperti yang di LKP‐2 tersebut. Data pola pertumbuhan dari sampel LKP‐4 ini juga mengkonfirmasi bahwa dalam perioda yang panjang diantara gempa lokasi ini mengalami penurunan sekitar 4 mm/tahun, oleh karena itu koral ini terus berkembang ke samping dan ke atas mengejar air laut yang terus naik . Pada sekitar tahun 1390‐an terlihat ada pegangkatan sekitar 15 cm yang dicirikan oleh morfologi “step‐down” dari permukaan koral. Karena gempa ini tidak mengangkat seluruh badan koral maka bagian koral yang masih dibawah air masih hidup dan terus tumbuh sampai akhirnya mati pada sekitar tahun 1450 Masehi karena sebuah gempa yang mengangkat seluruh badan koral ke atas muka air. 21 Fakta Geologi Dari Siklus Mega-Tsunami Di Wilayah Aceh-Andaman Dan Konteknya Dalam Sejarah Aceh Gambar 8. Tracing dari X‐Ray sayatan slab vertikal dari koral mikroatol, dipotong dari tengah ke pinggir di lokasi LKP‐4, Lhok Pauh. (Meltzner 2010) Rekaman data turun naiknya muka air laut, dalam hal ini yang berkaitan dengan proses gempa, dari banyak koral slab kemudian dihimpun, dikorelasikan dan diinterpretasikan secara terintegrasi untuk merekonstruksi sejarah (geologi) dari turun naiknya muka bumi di setiap lokasi dan dalam suatu wilayah seperti contoh yang diperlihatkan dalam gambar 9 untuk Lokasi Lhok Pauh. 22 Fakta Geologi Dari Siklus Mega-Tsunami Di Wilayah Aceh-Andaman Dan Konteknya Dalam Sejarah Aceh Gambar 9. Rekonstruksi siklus gempa besar di Lokasi Lhok Pauh berdasarkan data paleo-geodesi dari pertumbuhan koral mikroatol (From Meltzner dkk, 2010). Kejadian gempa purba tidak hanya terekam oleh fosil mikroatol, tapi juga dapat diteliti dari jejak endapan tsunami yang dibangkitkan. Endapan tsunami purba itu ditemukan pada stratigrafi pantai di pantai utara Banda Aceh. Pada singkapan tebing pantai di lokasi terdapat dua lapisan pasir dengan ciri‐ciri endapan tsunami (gbr.10). Hasil carbon radiometric menunjukkan bahwa dua lapisan pasir itu terjadi pada sekitar tahun 1390 AD dan 1450 AD (Tim EOS, Laporan belum dipublikasikan). Di wilayah yang sama ditemukan juga endapan tsunami dengan kisaran umur antara 1400 – 1510 (Monecke 2008). Endapan tsunami dengan kisaran umur 1300‐1450 M juga ditemukan di Pantai Phra‐Tong, Thailand (Jankaew 2008). 23 Fakta Geologi Dari Siklus Mega-Tsunami Di Wilayah Aceh-Andaman Dan Konteknya Dalam Sejarah Aceh Gambar 10. Bukti endapan tsunami dari Gempa yang terjadi di sekitar tahun 1390 dan 1450 Masehi pada singkapan stratigrafi Pantai di Lamreh, Banda Aceh. 4. ULASAN SINGKAT SEJARAH ACEH Aceh sebenarnya mempunyai masa sejarah yang cukup panjang, paling tidak sampai Abad ke‐7 Masehi sejak berdirinya Kerajaan Indrapuri. Tidak banyak data sejarah tentang kerajaan Kuno (Hindu) Indrapuri ini. Data sejarah Aceh yang ada sekarang sangat minim. Umumya sejarah hanya menceritakan dari masa kerajaan terakhir, yaitu Kesultanan Aceh Darusalam yang berdiri pada akhir Abad 15. Paling tua hanya sampai masa Kerajaan Samudra Pasai yang didirikan pada tahun 1236 M dan banyak dianggap sebagai dimulainya perioda Islam di Aceh. Namun beberapa sumber mengatakan bahwa ratusan tahun sebelumnya sudah ada Kerajaan Islam, yaitu Kerajaan Jeumpa yang didirikan pada tahun 770 Masehi oleh seorang tokoh islam legendaris, Syech Salman Al Parsi. Salman Al Parsi (atau Salman Al‐Farisi) berasal dari Campia, Persia yang menikah dengan putri dari Meurah Purba raja kerajaan Hindu Purba di Aceh. Kerajaan Jeumpa ini kemudian menjadi cikal bakal terbentuknya Kerajaan (Islam) Perlak pada tahun 840 M dan juga Kerajaan Samudra Pasai pada tahun 1236 M tersebut. Banyak tokoh‐tokoh penting yang pernah berkunjung ke Aceh pada masa Samudra Pasai. Armada Marcopolo pernah mampir ke Kerajaan Pasai pada tahun 1292 M. Ibnu Battutah, musafir Islam terkenal asal Maroko, pernah menjadi tamu Kerajaan Pasai pada tahun 1345 Masehi. Dalam buku catatan perjalananya disebutkan bahwa dia sangat terkesan saat mengunjungi sebuah kerajaan di pesisir pantai timur Sumatera (i.e. Samudra Pasai) setelah berlayar selama 25 hari dari Barhnakar (sekarang masuk wilayah Myanmar). Battutah mengilustrasikan bahwa tempat itu sangat subur. Perdagangan di daerah itu sangat maju, ditandai dengan penggunaan mata uang emas. Ia semakin takjub karena ketika turun ke kota ia mendapati sebuah kota besar yang sangat indah dengan dikelilingi dinding dan menara kayu (Gbr.11). Laksamana Cheng‐ Ho berkunjung ke Pasai, Aceh sebanyak tiga kali yaitu pada tahun 1405, 1408, 1412 (Reid 2005). 24 Fakta Geologi Dari Siklus Mega-Tsunami Di Wilayah Aceh-Andaman Dan Konteknya Dalam Sejarah Aceh Gambar 11. Lukisan Kota Banda Aceh kuno yang mirip dengan yang digambarkan oleh Ibnu Batuta di buku catatannya (from http://acehpedia.org) Bukti besar dari keberadaan Kerajaan kuno Indrapuri adalah berupa bangunan dari batu di bawah Mesjid tua Indrapuri. Bangunan batu itu mempunyai bentuk dasar bujur sangkardengan struktur ke atas menyerupai punden berundak atau “stepped pyramid”; Panjang sisi‐sisi nya sekitar 100 m dan ketinggiannya dari tanah sampai dasar mesjid sekitar 10‐12 meter (Gbr.12a,b). Seluruh struktur bangunan batu sudah dilapisi oleh tembok dan batubata dibagian luarnya sehingga yang terlihat sekarang seperti bangunan sebuah mesjid yang didirikan di atas benteng. Sebenarnya plester tembok itu tipis saja; dibeberapa bagian sudah terkelupas sehingga bagian struktur batu yang aslinya kelihatan. Mesjid tua itu sendiri pertamakali dibangun di atas struktur batu berundak tersebut pada Abad ke 13 ketika masa Kerajaan Samudra Pasai . Kemudian pada masa pemerintahan Raja Iskandar Muda, Kerajaan Aceh Darussalam, mesjid itu dipugar kembali. Sekarang Mesjid Indrapuri statusnya adalah Situs Cagar Budaya. Sewaktu meninjau ke lokasi Bulan Mei 2011, tim melakukan survey georadar pendahuluan disekeliling Mesjid Indrapuri untuk memindai struktur punden berundak purba di bawah mesjid itu. Hasil dari salah satu lintasan georadar utama yang melintas dari arah jalan raya melalui jalur masuk utama yang ke arah gerbang mesjid (Gbr.13) cukup mengejutkan. Terlihat bahwa dibawahnya sampai kedalaman sekitar 25 meter kemungkinan masih berupa struktur bangunan bahkan kelihatannya ada struktur ruangan. Jadi sebagian struktur bangunan tersebut sudah terbenam atau tertimbun di bawah permukaan tanah yang sekarang. Masih diperlukan penelitian lebih lanjut untuk mengkaji peninggalan bangunan kuno yang cukup besar ini. Pada tahun 1496 M lahirlah kerajaan baru, yaitu Kesultanan Aceh Darussalam (Reid 2005). Kemudian hanya 13 tahun setelahnya, 1509, Portugis tiba. Tahun 1511, Portugis menaklukan Malacca (=Malaysia sekarang). Tahun 1520, Aceh mulai gencar melakukan peperangan melawan Portugis. Aceh Darusallam mencapai Zaman keemasannya ketika pemerintahan Sulthan Iskandar Muda (1607‐1636). Setelah itu Aceh mulai memudar seiring dengan menguatnya Belanda di Indonesia. Perang Aceh lawan belanda (1873‐1903) – menandai berakhirnya masa Kesultanan Aceh. 25 Fakta Geologi Dari Siklus Mega-Tsunami Di Wilayah Aceh-Andaman Dan Konteknya Dalam Sejarah Aceh Gambar 12. Foto Mesjid Indrapuri yang didirikan pada Abad 13 di atas bangunan tua dari Abad 7 Gambar 13. Hasil dari survey georadar dengan Zond‐12 e dan antenna MLF 100 Mhz di lintasan jalan utama menuju gerbang mesjid 5. DISKUSI KAITAN BENCANA DAN PERKEMBANGAN SEJARAH Seperti diuraikan di atas, dari data pengangkatan koral‐koral dapat diketahui bahwa gempa‐tsunami besar yang terjadi tahun 1390 M dan 1450 M adalah sebesar gempa 2004, bahkan besar pengangkatan dari gempa 1450 M di utara Simeulue lebih besar dibandingkan dengan yang terjadi tahun 2004 (Gbr.14). Fakta geologi ini sesuai denga perhitungan studi GPS bahwa perioda gempa setara Mw 9.2 di wilayah ini adalah sekitar 550 – 600 tahunan. Beberapa koral mikroatol juga mengindikasikan terjadinya gempa besar sekitar tahun 960 M. Atas dasar dataa‐data ini maka dapat disusun rekonstruksi siklus gempa besar seperti terlihat pada gambar 14 di bawah. Yang menjadi acuan siklus gempa besar ini adalah data paleogeodetic atau turun naiknya muka bumi di wilayah Simulue utara. Siklus gempa sangat besar ini disebut juga sebagai “earthquake supercycles”. Ada indikasi bahwa satu masa pelepasan akumulasi energi dikeluarkan oleh lebih dari satu gempa besar seperti yang terjadi pada tahun 1390 dan 1450 M. Hal yang serupa juga terjadi di segmen zona subduksi di wilayah Mentawai (Sieh dkk, 2008; Natawidjaja dkk, 2006). Setelah gempa Mw 9.2 memang sudah terjadi banyak sekali gempa‐ gempa besar yang mengikutinya. Namun menurut perhitungan akumulasi energi gempa sejak gempa 1390 dan 1450 itu kemungkinan masih ada simpanan gempa yang cukup besar di wilayah Pulau Simeulue ke utara, sehingga hal ini harus diwaspadai. 26 Fakta Geologi Dari Siklus Mega-Tsunami Di Wilayah Aceh-Andaman Dan Konteknya Dalam Sejarah Aceh Yang menarik dari sejarah Aceh, Kerajaan Samudra Pasai sepertinya menghilang dari sejarah secara misterius setelah pemerintahan Sultan Abu Zaid Malik az‐Zahir (1412 – 1455). Dalam beberapa sumber diceritakan bahwa masih ada beberapa sultan setelah Abu Zaid tapi sepertinya tidak ada aktifitas berarti, terutama menyangkut hubungan ke luar negeri. Lebih menarik lagi bahwa pada tahun 1496 muncul kerajaan yang sama sekali baru, bukan terusan dari Samudra Pasai, yaitu Kesultanan Aceh Darussalam. Tidak seperti sebelumnya, di kesultanan baru ini hubungan dan pencampuran kebudayaan dengan Asia (India, Arab, Cina) kelihatannya lebih intens. Bangsa Asing (Portugis) juga mulai masuk dan berperan setelah Samudra Pasai menghilang. Oleh karena itu sangat patut dicurigai bahwa keruntuhan Samudra Pasai boleh jadi erat kaitannya dengan bencana tsunami sangat besar yang terjadi tahun sekitar tahun 1450 M tersebut. Fakta bahwa pemerintahan Sultan Zain al ‐Abidin Malik az –Zahir (1383 – 1405) sepertinya baik‐baik saja dan juga tiga kali kedatangan Laksamana Cheng‐Ho pada tahun 1405, 1408, dan 1412 pada masa Sultan Shalahuddin (1405 – 1412) tidak memberitakan ada bencana besar mengindikasikan bahwa bencana gempatsunami tahun 1390‐an tidak terlalu besar, dan ini memang cocok dengan data koral di utara Simeulue yang memperlihatkan bahwa pengangkatan gempa 1390 jauh lebih kecil dibanding dengan 1450 (Gbr. 14). Apabila benar bahwa bencana gempa‐ tsunami memisahkan Zaman Samudra Pasai dari Aceh Darussalam maka mulai terkuak kenapa jejak‐jejak sejarah sebelum Aceh Darussalam ini seolah‐olah hilang ditelan bumi, sedikit sekali yang tersisa. Ada beberapa jejak bangunan purba yang sekarang berada di bawah zona pasang surut di utara Banda Aceh, termasuk Makam Para Raja di Ujung Pancu/ Lhok Lambaro (McKinnon 1988). Sebuah makam para raja biasanya di tempat tinggi. Jadi fakta bahwa makam itu sekarang ada di bawah air menandakan bahwa lokasi ini mengalami penurunan (tektonik) yang sangat cepat. Hal ini memang cocok dengan kondisi tektoniknya karena lokasi ini berada pada zona “transtensional” besar dari Patahan Sumatra. Di zona pasang‐surut di dekat makam ini pernah juga dilaporkan ada bekas fondasi bangunan besar yang diduga bekas sebuah mesjid kuno, kemungkinan berasal dari zaman Pasai atau sebelumnya. Singkat kata, jejak-jejak peradaban Pasai dan sebelumnya kemungkinan besar memang banyak musnah dihancurkan gelombang tsunami dan sekarang banyak tertimbun di perairan dangkal atau sudah ditutupi oleh sedimen pantai yang tebal. Fakta lain yang menarik adalah catatan Ibnu Batutta yang datang tahun 1345 tentang gambaran Kota Tua di lokasi Banda Aceh sekarang yang kurang lebih seperti pada Gambar 11. Hal yang menarik untukmeneliti kenapa kota tua yang indah dan megah ini seolah‐olah hilang jejaknya ditelan bumi, termasuk benteng‐benteng yang mengitari kota itu. Apakah karena dihancur leburkan oleh Belanda atau oleh tsunami? Gempa‐Tsunami dalam konteksnya dalam Sejarah Aceh 27 Fakta Geologi Dari Siklus Mega-Tsunami Di Wilayah Aceh-Andaman Dan Konteknya Dalam Sejarah Aceh 6. KESIMPULAN Dari data tektonik dan pengukuran tektonik GPS setara dengan yang terjadi tahun 2004 (Mw9.2) dapat berulang setiap 500 ‐600 tahun. Hal ini ditunjang oleh data paleogeodesi‐koral dan endapan tsunami yang mengungkapkan bahwa gempa‐tsunami besar pernah terjadi pada Abad 10 dan dan Abad 14‐15. Sejarah Aceh mengindikasikan bahwa bencana tsunami yang terjadi sekitar tahun 1450‐an kemungkinan punya andil dalam pergantian kekuasaan dari masa Kerajaan Samudra Pasai ke masa Kesultanan Aceh Darussalam. Integrasi pengetahuan bencana alam dan sejarah sangat penting untuk dapat memahami dengan utuh tentang bencana dan dampaknya terhadap peradaban manusia. Pemahaman ini sangat penting untuk membangun strategi dan kesiapsiagaan masyarakat dalam mengantisipasi bencana yang mengancam kehidupan di masa datang seperti halnya yang sudah terjadi di masa lalu. DAFTAR PUSTAKA Briggs, R. W., K. Sieh, et al. (2006). "Deformation and slip along the Sunda megathrust in the great 2005 Nias‐Simeulue earthquake." Science 311(5769): 1897‐1901. Chlieh, M., J.‐P. Avouac, et al. (2007). "Coseismic slip and afterslip of the great Mw 9.15 Sumatran‐ Andaman earthquake of 2004." BSSA 97(No.1A): 8152‐8173. Hill, E. M., J.C.Borrero, H.Zhenhua, Qiang Qiu, P.Banerjee, D.H.Natawidjaja, P.Elosegui, H.M.Fritz, B.W.Suwargadi, I.R.Prananyo, LinLin Li, K,A.Macpherson, V.Skanavis, Costa E.Synolakis, and K.Sieh (2011). "The 2010 Mw7.8 Mentawai earthquake: Very shallow source of a rare tsunami earthquake determined from tsunami field survey and near‐field GPS data." Journal of Geophysical Research. Jankaew, K., B.F. Atwater, Y.Sawai, M.Choowong, T. Charoentiti at, M.E. Martin, dan A.Prendergast (2008). "Medieval forewarning of the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami in Thailand." Nature 455: 1228‐1231. McKinnon, E. (1988). "Beyond Serandib; A note on Lambri at the Northern Tip of Aceh." Indonesia 46: 103‐121. Meltzner, A. J., K.Sieh, H‐W Chiang,C‐C Shen,B. W.Suwargadi,D.H.Natawidjaja,.E.Philibosoian,R. W.Briggs, J.Galetzka (2010). "Coral evidence for earthquake reccurence and an A.D. 1390‐1455 cluster at the south end of the 2004 Aceh‐Andaman rupture." Journal of Geophysical Research 115(B10402). Meltzner, A. J., K.Sieh,H‐W Chiang, C‐C Shen,B. W.Suwargadi,D.H.Natawidjaja,B.Philibosian,and R.Briggs (2012). "Persistent termini of 2004 and 2005‐like ruptures of the Sunda megathrust." Journal of Geophysical Research 117(BQ4405). Monecke, K., W.Finger, D.Klarer, W.Kongko, B.G.McAdoo, A.L.Moore, and S.U.Sudrajat (2008). "A 1,000‐year sediment record of tsunami reccurence in northern Sumatra." Nature 455: 1232‐1234. Natawidjaja, D. H. (2005). The Past, recent, and future giant earthquakes of the Sumatran megathrust. JASS05 Great Earthquakes in the Plate Subduction, Nagoya,Japan, Nagoya University and the JSPS. Natawidjaja, D. H., K.Sieh, et al. (2006). "Source Parameters of the great Sumatran megathrust earthquakes of 1797 and 1833 inferred from coral microatolls." J.Geophys. Res. 111. Natawidjaja, D. H., K.Sieh, et al. (2004). "Paleogeodetic records of seismic and aseismic subduction from central Sumatran microatolls, Indonesia." J.Geophys. Res. 109(B4)(4306): 1‐34. Newcomb, K. R. and W. R. McCann (1987). "Seismic history and seismotectonics of the Sunda Arc." Journal of Geophysical Research 92: 421‐439. Reid, A. (2005). An Indonesian Frontier: Acehnese and Otehr Histories of Sumatra, Singapore Univ.Press Subarya, C., M. Chlieh, et al. (2006). "Plate‐ boundary deformation associated with the great Sumatra– Andaman earthquake." Science 440: 46‐51. 28 Fakta Geologi Dari Siklus Mega-Tsunami Di Wilayah Aceh-Andaman Dan Konteknya Dalam Sejarah Aceh HYBRID SOCIO-TECHNICAL APPROACH FOR STRATEGIC DISASTER RISK REDUCTION PROGRAM IN INDONESIA Dwikorita Karnawati1 Teuku Faisal Fathani1 Budi Andayani1 Sani Tanaka1 Eric G. Frost2 Universitas Gadjah Mada, Indonesia – Fulbright Alumni 2 San Diego State University, USA. 1 Adaptation in Disaster Management and National Strategy Hybrid Socio-Technical Approach for Strategic Disaster Risk Reduction Program in Indonesia Dwikorita Karnawati1, Teuku Faisal Fathani1, Budi Andayani1, Sani Tanaka1 and Eric G. Frost2 Universitas Gadjah Mada, Indonesia – Fulbright Alumni 2 San Diego State University, USA. 1 ABSTRACT Indonesia is frequently struck by various types of geological disasters, such as earthquake, tsunami, volcanic eruption, landslide and debris flood. Unfortunately, the communities living in the disaster prone areas are not always well-prepared to face those disasters due to various limitations, such as limited access for the community to have appropriate information and knowledge about the phenomena of disasters and how to reduce the risk of any potential disasters, as well as because of the unavailable or ineffective disaster management system in their living area. As the result, more and more socio-economical losses occurred due to those disasters, despite a lot of efforts that have been conducted to develop and implement the Science and Technology for mitigating and reducing the risk of such disasters. Accordingly, Karnawati et al (2008 and 2009) promoted the Hybrid Socio-Technical approach as a strategic and effective effort for developing the appropriate technology in disaster mitigation and risk reduction. This approach emphasized on the integration of social system into technical system, by implementing the research-based community learning and empowerment. To ensure the effectiveness of disaster mitigation and risk reduction, the technical system must be established by implementing simple and low cost technology with respect to the indigenous knowledge, for hazard monitoring as well as disaster early warning and mitigation. As a part of the technical system, the community-based hazard and risk maps need to be developed to decide the installation site of the implemented technical system, as well as to support the development of appropriate landuse management system and to facilitate the emergency plan at the village. In parallel with the development of technical system, the social system must be developed by implementing the research-based community learning process and public education program. To support the effectiveness of the social system, socio-cultural and psychological mapping and analysis are required, and thus the existing community perception and knowledge about the respective hazard and disaster phenomena in their living area can be identified, and also the community expectation on the disaster risk reduction program can be evaluated to encourage their willingness to actively participate in disaster mitigation and risk reduction program. Therefore, by implementing both social and technical systems a strategic disaster management system can be developed with the effective mitigation and risk reduction program. Keywords: socio-technical system, mitigation, risk reduction 1. INTRODUCTION Situated in such a dynamic geological region, which is occupied by high density of population, Indonesia is frequently struck by various types of geological disasters, which lead to substantial death tolls, casualties and socio-economical losses. In fact, 6,632 events of natural disasters (mainly geological disasters) have been recorded within the period of 1997 to 2009 by the Indonesian National Agency for Disaster Management (2009). Such disasters resulted in total death tolls of 151,277 people. Furthermore, the events of disasters continuously occur and numbers of socio-economical losses inevitably increase. Therefore, it is very urgent to develop systematic and effective efforts to reduce the risk of disasters. Disaster risk reduction (DRR) is the concept and practice of reducing potential socioeconomical and cultural losses due to any disaster, through systematic efforts to analyze and minimize the causal factors of disasters. It is believed that the implementation of appropriate Science and Technology is the most important key element to ensure the establishment of systematic and effective disasters risk reduction program. 30 HYBRID SOCIO-TECHNICAL APPROACH FOR STRATEGIC DISASTER RISK REDUCTION PROGRAM IN INDONESIA 2. CHALLENGES IN DISASTER RISK REDUCTION a. Systematic scale adjustments for disaster risk reduction efforts The scale approach in disaster risk reduction has to be adjusted properly, according to the level of problems and types of the disasters. The disaster risk reduction effort at national scale such as through the top-down approach is obviously required to provide the national policy and legal aspect in the disaster management. However, most of the disaster events occur at the local area and have to be tackled locally. For instance, the tsunami disaster risk reduction effort may not be effectively implemented without the empowerment of the local community to anticipate the risk of such disaster, although the tsunami early warning system has been developed at the national level by the national government. Therefore, the knowledge and technology for disaster risk reduction need to be developed by considering the needs to tackle the local problem as the complementary for the national problem solving. b. Socio technical challenges It is apparent that most of the disaster prone areas in Indonesia are unique due to the local socio economical and cultural conditions as well as because of the site-specific control. Accordingly, the implementation of Science and Technology in DRR should address the uniqueness of the local socio-economical and cultural conditions of the disaster prone area. There have been quite many evidences that the technology and engineering design are not always developed and implemented successfully to solve the real problems in the field due to various gaps, such as the complexity of the developed -technology versus the simplicity of the existing indigenous knowledge and limited local capacity, and may also because of the economical and cultural constrains. The development of any technology for disaster risk reduction must be simple enough to allow the local community to understand, operate and maintain such implemented technology by theirown resources. Another important challenge is the “appropriateness” of approach to encourage the community participation in the process of developing the technology”. This approach must be designed to build the community perception to consider that the developed technology is not a “gift” for the community, but it is a “need” requested by the community. Obviously a socioengineering approach is required in the process of introducing and implementing any developed technology in the local community. 3. HYBRID SOCIO-TECHNICAL CONCEPT IN DISASTER RISK REDUCTION With respect to the challenges above as well as to ensure the effectiveness in the implementation of any technology for disaster risk reduction, a combined (hybrid) system, which considers both social and technical conditions has been developed by Karnawati et al (2009 and 2011). A case example of the implementation of such concept is for reducing the risk of landslides. In such case, the hybrid socio-technical approach was applied to develop the technical system for providing community landslide hazard/ risk map and early warning system, and also to establish the social system for developing appropriate community empowerment program. The technical system is recommended to address the development of the existing indigenous or local knowledge and technology, by considering the simplicity of such system and technology. Moreover, the utilization of the local material is promoted, by encouraging the local knowledge (local experts and local operators) to drive the local participation program. Indeed, it is important that the hybrid system should be performed with a low cost and simple technology, approach and method, so that it can be easily understood, reproduced, operated and maintained by the local community, such as suggested by Karnawati et al (2008, 2009 and 2011). This empowerment program relies on the public education, encouraging community participation in developing and implementing action plan for disaster mitigation and risk reduction. Schematic concept of this approach is illustrated in Fig 1. All of this concept can be done only if the local community has been empowered. Therefore, process of technology development can be carried out during or as a part of the process of community empowerment. 31 HYBRID SOCIO-TECHNICAL APPROACH FOR STRATEGIC DISASTER RISK REDUCTION PROGRAM IN INDONESIA 4. LESSON LEARNED FROM THE PILOT STUDY A hybrid socio-technical system has been implemented in one pilot area in Central Java, especially in Karanganyar Regency. This Regency is situated at the western slope of Lawu Volcano, in which 30% of the region is highly risk for landslide due to the high susceptibility condition (indicated by red colour in the map of Fig. 2), which is controlled by the geology and climate conditions, and also because of the high vulnerability of the socio-economical conditions in the landslide prone area (Karnawati et al 2009 and 2011). Managing the social-conditions for reducing the socio-economical vulnerability in the landslide prone area is considered to be more feasible, instead of changing the natural conditions, such as the geology and climate. Thus, the landslide disaster risk reduction in the pilot study area was conducted by targeting the social conditions through the adaptive management as suggested by Andayani et al (2008), Karnawati et al (2009 and 2011), and also Halcombe et al (2012), which emphasized on the improvement of community resilience by implementing the hybrid socio- technical approach. a. Development of Technical System The technical system for landslide disaster risk reduction was developed by Karnawati et al (2009, 2011 and 2012), consisting of several technical components such as the instruments for landslide early warning system recommended by Fathani et al (2008) and also Fathani and Karnawati (2009), supported by the smart-grid for landslide hazard communication, monitoring and early warning developed by Karnawati et al (2012) as well as the community-based landslide hazard map suggested by Karnawati et al (2010). Early warning instruments The early warning instruments was designed by relying on the manual extensometers (5 sets) connected with the alarm generated by dry battery as illustrated in Fig. 3. Each of these instruments is facilitated with the automatically pull able wire installed across the progressive crack (Fig. 4), so that the progress of crack development due to the slope movement can be monitored. The instalment of extensometers was also supported by the rain-gauge (1 set) as illustrated in Fig. 3b and solar panel (1 set); so two different stage of warning levels can be defined. The first threshold of warning was setup by setting the ON alarm in response to the rain precipitation of 70 mm/hour or the accumulative rain precipitation of 100 mm, whilst the second threshold was defined when the extension of pull able wire reached the distance of 5 cm. The function of first alarm was used for raising the community alert, and the second alarm was set-up for starting the evacuation process in the landslide prone zone. Admittedly, the numbers of early warning instruments are limited which were not sufficient to cover the large area of prone zone. Therefore, a smart grid for landslide early warning has been developed by Karnawati et al (2012). Smart grid for landslide hazard monitoring and early warning Smart Grid is a participatory cyber-based communication and information system, developed as a system of handling networks of information nodes consisting of local experts, local surveyors, or selected members of local task force and the contact person in the local communities. The information is sent to the ‘online’ web or cyber system, with the specific functions to facilitate the participatory data reporting via the online web, mobile phone (text message), or other various social media, and also to store and analyse those participatory inputreports (related to the geological/ geotechnical conditions and process, which considered as the symptoms or early indications of landslides), for defining the landslide hazard and risk level in any particular site or zone. Results of the analyses are required to provide the emergency-decision supports, which relate to the information of the zone and level of landslide hazard/ risk, evacuation route and shelter, as well as the recommendation of method or approach for mitigation, preparedness and emergency actions. All of the information about hazard/risk and the guidance for response will be blasted/ transmitted back to the respective-reporting node as well as to the other relevant registered nodes. This participatory system can also be connected to various types of social media (mobile phone call/ text, Twitter, Facebook, Google+, Yahoo, etc.). 32 HYBRID SOCIO-TECHNICAL APPROACH FOR STRATEGIC DISASTER RISK REDUCTION PROGRAM IN INDONESIA It is also important that the multi-two way direction facilitates the communication flow in this participatory smart grid system. Such system can also be linked to the existing communitybased landslide early warning instruments developed in parallel with this smart grid system. Concept of the smart grid design is illustrated in Fig. 5, whilst the example to the web performance of smart grid is displayed in Fig. 6. Community-based hazard map The understanding and simplicity of the approach and method of mapping is the most critical part to guarantee the effectiveness of disaster risk reduction program. Unfortunately, it is apparent that most of the technical landslide hazard map was not easy to be understood by the local community. That is why a simple participatory hazard mapping method was developed by Karnawati et al 2010, to facilitate the community landslide hazard mapping, which also addressing the Landslide Risk Assessment and Mitigation Strategy suggested by Lacasse and Nadim (2008). Therefore, the standard technical method for landslide hazard mapping was simplified to prepare a simple landslide hazard map, which can be conducted by the local community on the existing village base-map (i.e. the village “situation” map), through the participatory mechanism. Such map was presented without any contour, but mainly showing the lay out of roads, rivers, houses and land farming areas which were very easy to be identified by the local community. Identification of the high susceptible zone (red zone) and low susceptible or safe zone (green zone) for landslides was carried out by the community task force through public participation, which is advised by the local expert. Fig. 7 shows the landslide hazard map, which was developed by the local community in Tengklik Village, Tawangmangu District, Karanganyar Regency, Central Java. the hybrid system was initiated by social survey and mapping, to identify the existing knowledge about the landslide hazard, which will affect the community’s perception about landslide risk and their expectation on the proposed developed-technology for landslide disaster risk reduction. Identification on all of those aspects significantly control their motivation or willingness for actively participating in any disaster risk reduction program. Results of this social survey and mapping will be crucial to formulate the appropriate and effective strategy for public education related to the effort for raising the community awareness and also for conducting community empowerment program. Various target groups were defined, and those comprise the group of women (as the key person in the family), teachers, children as well as the young and senior leaders. The local government of Karanganyar Regency also continuously and actively supported this social development program. Results of the social survey and mapping indicated that most of the community members had been quite aware with the potential occurrence of landslides at the rainy season, because the landslide disasters have quite frequently struck their living area, especially under the heavy or long continuous rainfall. Nevertheless, most of the community members preferred to remain living in their vulnerable region, instead of being relocated to the other safer areas. Obviously, the fertility of soil, the abundance of water resources, the beauty of mountainous panorama and the strong psychological engagement with their homeland or home-heritage, strongly prevented their willingness to leave their dangerous homeland. This map is also very important to decide where the early warning instruments should be installed and how the evacuation route should be decided. b. Development of Social System Development of the social component in 33 HYBRID SOCIO-TECHNICAL APPROACH FOR STRATEGIC DISASTER RISK REDUCTION PROGRAM IN INDONESIA Unfortunately, they did not have enough knowledge, skill and capacity to decide about “what should” and “what should not do” for preventing the landslide as well as for protecting their life and environment from the landslide occurrences. Eventhough, they had not yet been capable to identify the sites (slopes), which were susceptible for landsliding, and to recognize the initial symptoms of land-sliding. Therefore, the hybrid socio-technical approach for communitybased landslide early warning was applied to develop their capacity for implementing the appropriate landslide disaster risk reduction program, which will support the improvement of the community resiliency in this landslide prone area. A community task-force for disaster risk reduction at the village level was also established under the coordination with the Agency for Disaster Management at the Regency level (Fig. 8). This network is also linked to the local hospital (health centre), the local army and police, and also the Search and Rescue Team (SAR team) at the local Regency. Indeed, this task force played an important role as the driving power for the disaster risk reduction program, and also to effectively implement and sustain the technical system for landslide risk reduction. c. Evaluation It was apparent that the existence of a community task force for landslide disaster risk reduction at each village level was the most important factor to ensure the affectivity and sustainability of landslide mitigation and risk reduction program. This task force had an important role as the driving agent in the empowerment and mitigation program. In fact, since this proposed hybrid socio-technical approach implemented in several pilot areas in Karanganyar Regency, such as in Ledoksari Village in 2008, Tengklik Village in 2009, Matesih Village in 2010 and also Gempolan and Plosorejo Villages in 2011, the community resilience for landslide disasters has gradually increased, the socio-economical losses due to landslides can be minimised and the numbers of landslide victims have been dropped to zero. It seems that this approach could effectively empowered to local community to mitigate the landslides. Eventhough the key person, who is also the member of the community task force and was in charged for the mitigation program, was also invited to share their experiences in facilitating the community empowerment actions to tackle the landslide problems in another landslide disaster area in Tanjungsani Village at Agam Regency, West Sumatera. Therefore, the Hybrid Socio-Technical approach is also very applicable to be developed in several other disasters area in developing countries, although several adjustments may be required to address the social and environmental characteristics at the specific site. Moreover, the importance of commitment and leadership of the local Agency for Disaster Management at the Regency and District levels to support the effectiveness of the disaster management program at the village must be highlighted. It was also obvious that the socio-cultural and socio-economical constrains during the mitigation program can be minimized by implementing the hybrid socio-technical approach. Indeed, the introduction and implementation of a new technology for early warning and disaster management system can be conducted more effectively through the public participation actions. That is why more enthusiastic response of the local community and local authority to actively participate in the landslide disaster risk reduction program can be performed as illustrated in Fig. 8. Conclusion One of the most critical considerations on disaster risk reduction in Indonesia is the assurance for the effectiveness and sustainability of the disaster management program. It is apparent that the uniqueness of the local socio-economical and cultural conditions must be addressed to ensure the effectiveness and sustainability of the application of science and technology for disaster risk reduction. The proposed model, which is so called as the combined (hybrid) socio-technical approach has been quite effective and strategic to improve the community resilience at the landslide vulnerable village. It is also crucial that the system should be developed through community participation and the provision of simple and low cost technology for the hazard mapping and early warning. 34 HYBRID SOCIO-TECHNICAL APPROACH FOR STRATEGIC DISASTER RISK REDUCTION PROGRAM IN INDONESIA Indeed, the establishment of community task force at the village level is very important to ensure the effectiveness, continuity and sustainability of this proposed system. This approach may also be applicable to tackle similar problems for landslide risk reduction in other developing countries in Asia. Figure 1. The concept and key component of a hybrid socio-technical system for landslide mitigation and early warning system (Karnawati et al 2009 and 2011) Lawu Volcano Lawu Volcano Figure 2. Landslide susceptibility map of Karanganyar Regency, Central Java, Indonesia, developed in regional scale of 1 : 100,00 (Karnawati et al 2009 and 2011) 35 HYBRID SOCIO-TECHNICAL APPROACH FOR STRATEGIC DISASTER RISK REDUCTION PROGRAM IN INDONESIA a) b) Figure 3a. Above, the manual extensometer (generation 1 on the left and generation 2 on the right), connected with alarm system in the middle, and 3b below, the rain gauge with the alarm system (Fathani et al, 2008; Fathani and Karnawati, 2009). Automatic Extensometer Crack PVC pipe Foundation Invar wire Movement direction Stake Figure 4. The automatically pull able wire, protected inside the PVC pipe and installed across the progressive crack (Fathani et al, 2008). 36 HYBRID SOCIO-TECHNICAL APPROACH FOR STRATEGIC DISASTER RISK REDUCTION PROGRAM IN INDONESIA Web System “expert system analysis” on: Hazard Level • Low • Moderate • High Risk Level • Low • Moderate • High Figure 5. Concept of expert system in the smart grid design developed by Karnawati et al 2012. 37 HYBRID SOCIO-TECHNICAL APPROACH FOR STRATEGIC DISASTER RISK REDUCTION PROGRAM IN INDONESIA Figure 6. Web performance showing the geographical position of the reporting nodes Figure 7. Community-based landslide hazard map of Tengklik Village, Karanganyar Regency, Central Java, indicating zones of hazard level (red is high level and green is low level), recommended by Karnawati et al 2010. 38 HYBRID SOCIO-TECHNICAL APPROACH FOR STRATEGIC DISASTER RISK REDUCTION PROGRAM IN INDONESIA B 26 Figure 8. Activities to develop and empower the community task force at Tengklik Village which were facilitated by the student community service program conducted by Universitas Gadjah Mada REFERENCES Annoname, “Landslide disaster databased” Indonesian National Agency for Disaster Mitigation, 2009. Andayani B, Karnawati D and Pramumijoyo S (2008) Institutional framework for community empowerment towards landslide mitigation and risk reduction in Indonesia. Proc. of the 1st World Landslide Forum, Tokyo, Global Promotion Committee of the Int. Program on Landslide (IPL) – ISDR, pp. 57-59. Anderson MG, Halcombe E, Esquivel M, Toro J and Ghesquire F (2010) The Efficacy of a Program of Landslide Risk Reduction in Area of Unplanned Housing in the Eastern of Caribbean. Environmental Management (45): 807-821. Anderson MG, Halcombe E, Blake JR, Ghesquire F, Holm-Nielsen N and Fisseha T (2011) Reducing Landslide Risk in Communities; Evidence for the Eastern Caribbean. Applied Geography. Elsevier (31): 590-599. Fathani, T.F, Karnawati D, Sassa K, Fukuoka, H and Honda K (2008) Landslide Monitoring, Prediction and Early Warning in Banjarnegara, Indonesia. Proc. of 1st World Landslide Forum, Tokyo, pp. 195–198. Fathani TF and Karnawati D (2009) Early warning of landslide for disaster risk reduction in Central Java Indonesia. Proc. of Int’l Workshop on Early Warning for Landslide Disaster Risk Reduction in the Eastern Asian Region: Kunming, China. Halcombe E, Smith S, Wright E and Anderson MG, (2012) Integrated Approach for Evaluating the Effectiveness of Landslide Risk Reduction in Unplanned Communities in the Caribbean. Nat Hazards (61): 351-385. Karnawati D, Fathani, TF, Andayani B, Burton PW and Sudarno I (2009) Strategic program for landslide disaster risk reduction; a lesson learned from Central Java, Indonesia Disaster Management and Human Health Risk; Reducing Risk, Improving Outcomes, WIT Transactions on the Built Environment Transaction, K. Duncan and C.A. Brebbia, Ed. Southompton: WIT Press. 115-126. 39 HYBRID SOCIO-TECHNICAL APPROACH FOR STRATEGIC DISASTER RISK REDUCTION PROGRAM IN INDONESIA Karnawati D, Setianto A, Wilopo W, Andayani B and Suharto (2010) Development of Community Landslide Hazard Map for Landslide Risk Reduction. Proceeding of 11th Int. Assoc. of Engineering Geologist Congress, Auckland, 5-10 September, 2010. Auckland, New Zealand. pp. 1203 – 1208. Karnawati D, Fathani TF, Andayani B, Legono D, and Burton PW (2011) Landslide hazard and Community-based Risk Reduction Effort in Karanganyar and the Surrounding Area Central Java, Indonesia. Journal of Mountain Science, 8(2): 149-153. Karnawati D, Frost EG, Fathanni TF and Subroto (2012) Smart Grid for Landslide Monitoring and Early Warning System in Indonesia. Proceedings of the 10th Anniversary of ICL – January 2012, Kyoto, In Press. Lacasse S and Nadim F (2008) Landslide Risk Assessment and Mitigation Strategy. In Landslide Disaster Risk Reduction. (eds). Sassa K and Canuti P, Springer Verlag Berlin Heidenberg. p. 31 – 61. 40 HYBRID SOCIO-TECHNICAL APPROACH FOR STRATEGIC DISASTER RISK REDUCTION PROGRAM IN INDONESIA POLITICAL DYNAMIC AND EXTERNAL FACTORS IN A POST DISASTER REHABILITATION & RECONSTRUCTION; CASE STUDY OF NIAS ISLANDS POST THE 2004 AND 2005 EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI Faisar Jihadi Adaptation in Disaster Management and National Strategy Political Dynamic and External Factors in a Post Disaster Rehabilitation & Reconstruction; Case Study of Nias Islands Post the 2004 and 2005 Earthquake and Tsunami Faisar Jihadi Email: [email protected] Phone: 081319601537 ABSTRACT Rehabilitation and reconstruction activities in Nias Islands post the 2004 tsunami and 2005 earthquake were highly affected by 3 factors: (1) the delay in the response of the government of Indonesia in enacting laws and regulations on Disaster Risk Reduction concerns; (2 the political separation process of Nias to North Sumatra started with the proliferation of Nias Islands from 2 districts in 2005 to 5 districts/municipality; and (3) the resulting lack of access to aid for development by civil society organization, due to presence of the National Implementation Modality System (NIMS) policy implementation to control the flow of donor aid and activities for post disaster recovery. Each factor is associated one into another and shapes the impact of the rehabilitation and reconstruction activities toward the safety of Aceh and Nias Islands from future disaster risks. All of the abovementioned factors are relatively external factors which was associated with political decisions at national level, which are beyond the control of local decision makers in Nias Islands. However, those factors defined the planning, implementation and evaluation of rehabilitation, reconstruction and Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) efforts in Nias Islands. Therefore, this it is important to access on how local community and government institutions participation for Disaster Management happen under such an uncontrollable planning situation for them. More specifically, how economic, social, infrastructural and institutional resilience status of Nias Islands has significantly changed under such environment? 1. INTRODUCTION The rehabilitation and reconstruction activities in Nias Islands post the 2004 tsunami and 2005 earthquake can be classified into two periods: 1) Under the Board for Aceh and Nias Islands Rehabilitation and Reconstruction Board (BRR) coordination (2006-2009) and 2) post the BRR (2009-2012). The activities were mostly happen when the national law on disaster management still in drafting process . Therefore, when the law and its derivative regulations and guidelines were disseminated in 2008, most of aid agencies were operating in Nias Islands started scaling down or ended their physical and non-physical projects there. As response to a need for the completion of the rehabilitation and reconstruction, including the absence of Disaster Risk Reduction mainstreaming in the redevelopment of Nias and Reconstruction Completion of Nias Islands (BKRN), with a secretariat office in BAPPEDA Office of North Sumatera in Medan. The earthquake and tsunami disasters in Nias Islands were also used by local governments in Nias Islands as momentum to propose a separated province from North Sumatra, started with the proliferation of Nias Islands from 2 districts into 5 new rural districts/municipalities in 2008. The proliferation also created needs for the new local governments to agree on new administrative boundaries. The presence of Law Number 45, 46 and 47 in 2008 have split Nias District into Nias, North Nias, and West Nias Districts and also Gunungsitoli Municipality. 1 Law 24/2007 on Disaster Management. Islands previously, the Government of Indonesia (GoI) established a Board for Rehabilitation 42 POLITICAL DYNAMIC AND EXTERNAL FACTORS IN A POST DISASTER REHABILITATION & RECONSTRUCTION; CASE STUDY OF NIAS ISLANDS POST THE 2004 AND 2005 EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI The proliferation process has also generated uncertainty on new administrative boundaries. For example, Nias District is the only district in Sumatera that have 2 separated administrative areas on the same terrestrial region. National regulations made to implement the NIMS are also related to national policies on who has authority to do what and where, who has authority to manage the aid and how, and how beneficiary of the aid/grant is defined. Nias Islands was also an underdeveloped and a very marginalized islands, indicated by highest poverty rate in the province, very limited basic infrastructure (road, bridges, health and education facilities) to support social, economic and government administration activities compare to other districts in North Sumatra province. The situation became one of reasons for the district governments in Nias Islands proposing the separation from the North Sumatra province. The NIMS application, the proliferation process, and absence of Disaster Risk Reduction guided regulations are external factors for the implementation of Nias Islands Rehabilitation and Reconstruction. This paper is aimed at assessing on how local governments and civil society organizations’ participation for DRR and disaster resilience building, affected by those The continuation of Nias Islands reconstruction post the BRR was also impacted by the signature of Jakarta Commitment on January 12th, 2009 between the GoI with its development partners, aimed at improving the effectiveness of development aids . Based on the agreement, all parties committed to implement a National Implementation Modality System (NIMS) for development aid delivery. The NIMS, consequently, replace the existing Direct Implementation Modality System (DIMS) for development aids delivery. Conceptually, by using NIMS as fund channeling mechanism, all grants/development funds will be registered and synchronized with the national development priorities, to allow the GoI to have a better sense of ownership to the aid delivered by the donor partners. Practically, the aid will be registered as part of national annual development budget managed by a relevant ministry institution and delivered from the ministry’s bank account, to avoid overlapping of budget and development activities facilitated by the GoI and the development partners’ assistance. The development partners are ADB, Government of Australia, Government of Japan, the Netherland Government, Government of Republic of Poland, World Bank, Austrian Embassy, Agence FranCaise de Development, Canadian International Development Agency, Department for International Development of the United Kingdom, Delegation of European Commission, Embassy of Finland, French Embassy, Embassy of the Federal Republic of Germany, Embassy of Italy, Japan International Cooperation Agency, Korea International Cooperation Agency, Royal Norwegian Embassy, New Zealand Agency for International Development, Embassy of Sweden, United States Agency for International Development and United Nation System in Indonesia. The Jakarta Commitment is aimed at: (1) strengthening country ownership over development through (a) strengthening capacities and using stronger government system; and (b) improving the international governance of aid and strengthening southsouth cooperation; (2) building more effective and inclusive partnership for development through (a) development of a new partnership paradigm; (b) strengthening existing aid instruments and shaping new ones; and expanding dialogue to include new actors; (3) delivering and accounting development results through: (a) strengthening a focus on, and capacity to manage by, development results; and (b) working together to review progress across development partnerships. external factors. 43 POLITICAL DYNAMIC AND EXTERNAL FACTORS IN A POST DISASTER REHABILITATION & RECONSTRUCTION; CASE STUDY OF NIAS ISLANDS POST THE 2004 AND 2005 EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI This discussion is also trying to start a very preliminary mapping on how economic, social, infrastructure, and institutional resilience under such a rehabilitation and reconstruction climate? 2. METHODOLOGY This paper focus on impact of three external factors toward the rehabilitation and reconstruction of Nias Islands, referring to literature study and relevant national policies. These three factors, which were not exclusive to political dynamic are: (1) the delay in the response of the government of Indonesia in enacting laws and regulations on Disaster Risk Reduction concerns; (2) the political separation process of Nias to North Sumatra started with the proliferation of Nias Islands from 2 districts in 2005 to 5 districts/municipality; and (3) the resulting lack of access to aid for development by civil society organization, due to presence of the National Implementation Modality System (NIMS) policy implementation to control the flow of donor aid and activities for post disaster recovery. Literatures and relevant policies analysis is made to get a better understanding on how institutional resilience development in Nias Islands have happened and have included civil society organizations participation. This paper also discuss whether some or all of three external factors should or should not be allowed to affect the on-going process rehabilitation and reconstruction post a national scale disaster. This paper is also trying to raise an issue on how the existing national policies on DRR have anticipated the need for a more comprehensive community resilience building to disaster impacts. This study also sees an opportunity to reclassify the resilience categories and indicators suggested by Cutter (2010) into vulnerability and capacity components used by the National Disaster Management Board Decree 2/2012. National Disaster Management Board Decree 2/2012 was enacted started from 2012, when most of the rehabilitation and reconstruction projects funded by donor communities started to end. The guideline defines that vulnerability is a function of losses and exposure. While capacity is a function of policy, early warning, capacity building, mitigation and preparedness. The development of this paper also involved interview and discussions with relevant stakeholders, especially the Head of Regional Disaster Management Boards in Nias Islands and the Head of DRR Forum within the period of May and June 2012. This study refers to resilience definitions, category, and indicators discussed by Cutter et.al (2010), which have classified resilience into 5 categories: social, economic, institutional, infrastructure, and community capital. The categories and indicators will be compared with vulnerability and capacity categories suggested by National Disaster Management Board Decree 4/2008 on Disaster Management, National Disaster Management Board Decree 2/2012 on Guideline for Disaster Risks Assessment and National Disaster Management Board Decree No. 3/2012 on Guideline for Regional Capacity Evaluation in Disaster Management. 44 POLITICAL DYNAMIC AND EXTERNAL FACTORS IN A POST DISASTER REHABILITATION & RECONSTRUCTION; CASE STUDY OF NIAS ISLANDS POST THE 2004 AND 2005 EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI 3. STUDY AREA BPS (2010) indicates that Nias Islands is a 5320,6 kilometers square territory with population not less than 154.194 households (Table 1). The population is distributed on 799 villages in five districts / municipality. However, among the 799 village in the islands, only 6 of them classified as urban villages (Podes 2010). Gunungsitoli is the least wide region with the highest population density in Nias Islands (Table 2). Gunungsitoli also has the highest percentage of poor population (33,87%) compared to its neighboring districts. While the average poverty rate in Nias Islands is 28,02%. District/ Municipality Total Population Width (km2) Gunung sitoli 126.202 469,36 264 Nias 131.377 980,32 134 Nias Selatan 289.708 1.825,20 178 Nias Barat 81.907 544,09 150 Nias Utara 127.444 1.501,63 85 Density (individual/ sq. kilometer) Excluding the municipality of Gunungsitoli, Growth Domestic Product (GDP) of all districts in Nias Islands shows high dependency of local economy to single sector contribution, which is the agriculture sector. Average proportion of agriculture sector contribution to the GDP of West Nias, North Nias and South Nias from 2008 to 2010 is 73%, 69%, 56% and 40%. The contribution comes from plantation activities, especially rubber, cacao and coconut. The commodities are still being produced traditionally and sent to manufacturing industries outside of Nias Island through Gunungsitoli sea port. At the same time, other sector average contributions to the GDP of West Nias, Nias and South Nias are less than 7%, 8% dan 18,5%. Post the BRR, the BKRN coordinated the redevelopment of Nias Island. One of guidelines used by the BKRN was the Action Plan for Nias Islands Rehabilitation & Reconstruction Completion (RENAKSI). The RENAKSI acted as an important reference for any aid projects operating in Nias Islands, including aid project supported by the United Nations organizations or other national and international aid projects. Aid project covering DRR in Nias Islands post the BRR was very limited. UNDP Indonesia, through Nias Islands Transition Project (NITO) was the one and only project facilitated by UN organization that gave attention to this theme, which special focus on capacity building in disaster mitigation and preparedness. Previously, there were also DRR support delivered by both international and national NGOS focusing on certain villages or subdistricts in disaster preparedness. Surfaid International is also the only NGO providing support in both preparedness and mitigation, but only limited in certain, especially South Nias. However, none of that aid assistance has adequately covered an islands wide economic and infrastructure vulnerability reduction effort till now. Except West Nias, all districts/municipality in Nias Islands have already established Regional Disaster Management Board (BPBD). The BPBD of Gunungsitoli was established in 2009 based on the Decree of Gunungsitoli Mayor 8/2009. Both BPBD Nias and South Nias Selatan were established in April 2011 with support from the NITP, followed by the establishment of BPBD North Nias through a head of regency Decree 15/2011. Fortunately, those institutions are not seriously being challenged by tasks on how to improve the community awareness on how to adapt with disaster risks, or how to train their personnel to implement emergency response tasks. A relatively high frequency of natural events have made those institutions started gaining experience from emergency response task just after the institutions established. People in Nias Islands have already used to live with natural events for centuries. People living in Gido and Idanogawo sub-districts of Nias, Susua sub-district of South Nias, Afulu sub-district of North Nias, and Sirombu subdistrict of West Nias have understood that flood will happen 2 to 3 times a year during rainy seasons, especially after a 2 days continuous rainfall. Earthquake with magnitude above 5 Richter scale occurred at least once a year within the last 7 years, making the natural event as one of important considerations for housing construction there. As response to the tsunami and flood, more houses and public facilities in Nias Islands have already been constructed on higher grounds or upland area or close to higher grounds even before the BPBD established, to anticipate evacuation need if tsunami happen. 45 POLITICAL DYNAMIC AND EXTERNAL FACTORS IN A POST DISASTER REHABILITATION & RECONSTRUCTION; CASE STUDY OF NIAS ISLANDS POST THE 2004 AND 2005 EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI 4. RESULTS 4.1 External Factors and Community Participation The absence of national laws, regulations and guidelines on DRR, including inadequacy of the disaster management policies dissemination in 2005 till 2009, have made the rehabilitation and reconstruction activities in Nias Islands were not aimed at reducing economic, social, infrastructure and environmental vulnerabilities yet, and improving both local communities and governments’ institutional resilience, systematically. The absence of the regulations have also avoided the redevelopment activities to optimally make the population living on the islands more resilience from disaster impacts. The absence of linkages between the 2005 – 2009 physical reconstruction activities and needs to reduce infrastructure vulnerabilities in Nias Islands, have also contributed to todays’ uncertainty on availability and distribution of the ex-rehabilitation and reconstruction assets which were delivered to Nias Islands to improve local community preparedness and mitigation from disasters risk. There are at least 2 gaps appeared post the BRR role in Nias Islands: (1) lack of managerial capacity of the new established district/ municipality governments to accept and manage the ex-rehabilitation and reconstruction assets; and (2) absence of DRR mainstreaming into local development planning and implementation. GoI, through the National Development Planning Board (BAPPENAS) responded the gaps by facilitating the development of an Action Plan for Nias Islands Rehabilitation & Reconstruction Completion (RENAKSI). The RENAKSI was finalized in 2010 and enacted under a Decree of North Sumatra Governor 43/2010. The document also provided information on actors from national, provincial and district/municipality levels incharged for the rehabilitation and reconstruction completion. of the supports were aimed at allowing the organizations to monitor the implementation of the RENAKSI and develop effective partnerships with local governments to ensure the RENAKSI implemented accordingly. Using DIMS, CSO’s in Nias Islands could access and manage aid from aid agencies based on agreement made between both parties. However, when NIMS took place started from 2011, implementations of the DIMS were not recommended anymore. For example, Nias Islands Transition Project (NITP) supported by UNDP Indonesia and Local Economic Development Project (LEDP) funded by the Asian Development Bank started implementing NIMS called Daftar Isian Program dan Anggaran or DIPA (Budget Program Implementation Form) in 2011. Under the DIPA mechanism, ownership and responsibility to disburse and supervise the aid/ grant delivery lied at selected national ministry. Legally, the delivery of the aid/grant must follow all relevant government policies. Factually, the DIPA have indirectly limited access for CSO’s to the aid/grant to be able to perform their role as pressure groups. However, the DIPA modality was still allowing the CSO’s to access the aid/ grant to implement advocacy activities where the activities endorsed by local governments. Although, bargaining position owned by CSO’s in Nias Islands to involve in capacity building activities under DIPA was relatively weak as their role can easily be substituted by local governments’ technical agencies (dinas/badan), private companies, or individual consultants from universities. The absence of national guideline for community capital resilience strengthening till now, have also made the implementation of NIMS could only provide a limited access for civil society, religious institutions and advocacy organizations in Nias Islands to access the donor aids and perform as equal partners for local governments’ institutions/agencies. Before NIMS guided Nias Islands rehabilitation and reconstruction, foreign aid organizations strengthened local civil society organizations through capacity building assistance using DIMS mechanism. Some 46 POLITICAL DYNAMIC AND EXTERNAL FACTORS IN A POST DISASTER REHABILITATION & RECONSTRUCTION; CASE STUDY OF NIAS ISLANDS POST THE 2004 AND 2005 EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI Specifically for disaster management designated agencies, political dynamic due to the islands proliferation process, have impacted to a relatively high turnover or rotation of personnel at managerial position. For example, the BPBD of Nias and South Nias had already experience change of managerial positions for at least 3 times since the institutions established in 2011. One of the reasons for the turn-over or rotation was to reward certain personnel with opportunity to lead more than 2 different agencies, so they could be promoted to fill a higher position and be promoted to get a higher echelon positions in future. Such a political dynamic reduced the effectiveness of managerial capacity building supports for local governments which were funded by aid agencies. For the local CSO’s, this situation pushed them to allocate more resources and energy to maintain effective partnership with local government institutions. For example, a local CSO’s alliance forum called FORNIHA (Nias Islands Forum), which had already developed a strong partnership with the Social Agency of Nias District for the drafting of a local regulation (PERDA) on a DRR guided gender mainstreaming since 2010, was unable to advocate and complete the draft due to key personnel rotation in the agency in 2011. Within the period of 2006 to 2009, the following situations were happened in Nias Islands: (a) new districts/municipality governments institutions established; (b) districts/municipal government’s consolidation to recruit their executive and legislative bodies; (c) local election; and (d) turn-over or rotation of managerial positions at local governments bodies/agencies. As a result, the dynamic have reduced the focus of local government bodies/ agencies to monitor and evaluate the on-going aid projects for Nias Islands rehabilitation and reconstruction. One of the impacts is all of the rehabilitation and reconstruction assets listed from the BRR phase, must be identified and verified again. The ex-rehabilitation and reconstruction assets delivered under the BRR coordination were still being listed under Nias and South Nias districts only, due to unavailability of appointed personnel from the new established districts in 2009 to handle the work before the BRR close their operation. As a result, validity and completion of the assets data became a subject of today’s’ argumentation in Nias Islands. Using the classification of 1 for a situation where 0%-20% of the ex-rehabilitation and reconstruction assets based on a Decree from the Ministry of Finance Decree 275/MK.6/ WKN.01/2010 can be located and verified by districts governments, and 5 for 80% - 100% of the assets can be located and verified, the study found that the validity of the assets list falls under 1 classification. Therefore, the data is irrelevant to be used for physical vulnerability and infrastructure resilience change mapping. Overall, the political dynamic affecting Nias Islands, which was associated the proliferation process of Nias Islands from 2 districts into 5 districts/municipality, the establishment of executive and legislative boards/agencies, and the on-going process of Nias Islands separation process from North Sumatra province, had already disturbed local decision makers attention to ensure the implementation of the RENAKSI. In fact, some of the financial commitments for project activities listed in the RENAKSI which requires funding support from the province’s development budget are not executed, yet till now. On the other part, the role of local CSO’s in Nias Islands to guard and participate in the implementation of the RENAKSI under NIMS was also limited by lack of adequate technical guidelines from national level. 4.2 External Factors and Disaster Resilience Recently, national guidelines for institutional resilience development for DRR do not specifically provide directions for community capital resilience building. Parameters such as civil society, religious organization and advocacy institutions involvement, place of attachment, and social cohesion changes due to political dynamic in particular regions, are not accommodated yet in capacity development and vulnerability reduction for DRR. At the level of DRR implementation, the absence of the abovementioned parameters at policy level have created lack of confidence among BPBD managers to allow CSO’s managing APBD fund for DRR activities. 47 POLITICAL DYNAMIC AND EXTERNAL FACTORS IN A POST DISASTER REHABILITATION & RECONSTRUCTION; CASE STUDY OF NIAS ISLANDS POST THE 2004 AND 2005 EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI The absence of community capital parameters have made the rehabilitation and reconstruction assistance in Nias Islands were challenged by questions like: How to put local communities as first priority and main beneficiary of the recovery assistance?; Should the proliferation happened in a region where the local communities had just been impacted by a national scale disaster?; Does not the proliferation process contribute to lack of local government ability to better focus and define priorities and directions of their territories rehabilitation and reconstruction?; Is there any guarantee that unequal distribution of aid delivery between the existing and new established districts due to the proliferation will not reduce trust from the local government to the new established but unprepared local governments due to their inability to match with the existing districts in getting additional development assistance?; and how to justify that the districts, sub districts and village proliferation will not reduce social cohesion and weaken community capital resilience as those process were automatically followed by efforts made by local legislative and local leaders candidate to classify their constituents based on their political interest? Evidence showed that results of the proliferation process could not be automatically responded by aid agencies or donor organizations operating in Nias Islands to ensure that equal distribution of the rehabilitation and reconstruction assistance across the districts/municipal could happen. In fact, the proliferation process was also not a reason for many aid agencies operating in Nias Islands to slow down their activities to allow the new established districts finalize the establishment process of their executive bodies/agencies. For example, BPBD South Nias and Nias received more technical assistance from aid agencies as the institution had already been equipped with personnel and logistic started from 2010. While BPBD North Nias only has 2 definitive personnel in February 2012, or 4 months before the closure of all Multi Donor Funded (MDF) non-physical projects on the islands. reclassification of vulnerability maps into economic, social, and infrastructure/physical resilience maps. Therefore, vulnerability maps produced by Nias Islands Transition Project can be adopted for a preliminary social, economic, and physical resilience mapping. Certainly, some of the parameters used by the National Disaster Management Board Decree 2/2012 for capacity and vulnerability measurements still require improvement. The reclassification of vulnerability categories recommended by National Disaster Management Board Decree 2/2012 into Cutter’s resilience classification made resilience maps for Nias islands can be associated to particular hazards. Using the methods, the output of disaster risks mapping in Nias Islands, could still be considered as relevant reference for the development of resilience maps. For example, vulnerability maps from Nias Islands Disaster Risk Mapping could be utilized to develop an aggregate resilience map, excluding institutional resilience. The map marked the highest vulnerability zones with red color which also can be associated with low resilience, and lowest vulnerability is marked with green, which also could be interpreted as the highest resilience zones. Till the end of 2011, Indonesia did not have a national guideline for disaster risks assessment and mapping, including for vulnerability and capacity assessment and mapping. The guideline for BNPB for disaster risk assessment and mapping released in 2012 also does not By combining resilience classification suggested by Cutter et.al (2010) for resilience mapping with vulnerability mapping methods used in the National Disaster Management Board Decree 2/2012, this study suggest the 48 POLITICAL DYNAMIC AND EXTERNAL FACTORS IN A POST DISASTER REHABILITATION & RECONSTRUCTION; CASE STUDY OF NIAS ISLANDS POST THE 2004 AND 2005 EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI incorporate more specific parameters for social and infrastructure/physical vulnerability mapping, such as vehicle ownership for evacuation need, telephone/mobile phone ownership to send or receive information on crisis situation, and health insurance ownership. National Disaster Management Board Decree 2/2012 suggests the use of population density, poverty rate, vulnerability groups and proportion of male and female, for social vulnerability measurement. Evidences gathered from Nias Islands earthquake 2005 and 2012 indicated that local communities preferred to evacuate their family members, including the vulnerable groups in their families (pregnant women, children < 5 years, the elderly and family members with health problems) using their 2-wheel or 4-wheel vehicles. Another evidence found in Nias Islands from the 8,8 magnitude earthquake response in April 2012 and January 2012 landslide emergency response in South Nias was that local communities preferred to exchange any information using cellular phone for logistic collection, searching proper shelter locations, moving to the same evacuation location and gathered with family members and relatives. National Disaster Management Board Decree 2/2012 also recommends physical vulnerability mapping based on 3 indicators: house density, public facilities and critical facilities availability. However, there is no detail information on the facilities and measurement unit to classify the facilities for physical vulnerability mapping. For example, there are no directions on minimum size and line for primary arterial roads and bridges on a particular coastal region to anticipate vehicles movement during a tsunami evacuation. Taking Nias Islands for example, primary arterial roads are located on the coastal regions, and are used as main facilities for people and commodity movement. However, the longest the distance of the road segments from the districts/municipal capital, the narrower the road width (2 meters/ lane, and no lane separation bar/block). Using National Disaster Management Board Decree, result of the social, economic, and physical vulnerability of West Nias to landslide is also indicating that social, economic, and resilience status of West Nias. from landslide is relatively strong to moderate, except on the highland area of Tumori and Gunungbaru villages (see map 3). Main reason for this is limited number of population living on mapped location Map 3. Social, Economic, Physical Resilience of West Nias to Landslide Source: Nias Islands Disaster Risks Map (NITP, 2012) Using the result of hazard mapping facilitated by NITP (2012) for the same location, all highland regions of Mandrehe, North Mandrehe, Lolofitu Moi, and Ulu Moro’o are classified as landslide hazard zones. (See Map 4). Map 4. Landslide Hazard Map of West Nias Source : Nias Islands Disaster Risks Map (NITP, 2012) In South Nias, landslide hazard mapping facilitated by NITP (2012) also able to locate all upland regions affected by landslide disaster within the last 10 years. Landslide hazard are found on the upstream region of Susua Watershed, which are intersected with Susua, Mazo, Gomo and Lolomatua sub-districts. 49 POLITICAL DYNAMIC AND EXTERNAL FACTORS IN A POST DISASTER REHABILITATION & RECONSTRUCTION; CASE STUDY OF NIAS ISLANDS POST THE 2004 AND 2005 EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI Excluding institutional resilience, the social, economic, and infrastructure resilience of the same upland region of South Nias to landslide hazards are not at the lowest level. Even before red zones for landslide mapped, local community living in Susua watershed aware that those area are safer for agroforestry activities than for settlements (See Map 6). The red zone are being utilized by local communities for rubber plantation. A disaster risk mapping facilitated by UNDP Indonesia through NITP project in 2012 have also able to locate tsunami hazard zones in Nias Islands. Taking North Nias as example, hazard zones for tsunami are also found at the northern and western most of North Nias coastal area, especially at Afulu sub districts . High poverty rate, more than 2000 population exposed to the tsunami risk, high loss potential, and population density above 90 individuals/ hectares, including poor infrastructure for tsunami evacuation, made this sub-district could be classified as less resilience to tsunami (See Map 8). A unique situation found after the 2004 tsunami and 2005 earthquake in Nias Islands was that the disaster had raised a more than 2 hectares coral reefs in Lotu village of North Nias district. On the contrary, about the same size of Bozihona village on the eastern side of Nias District is now under the ocean, and makes the distance of the remaining area of the village is closer to the ocean and impacted by a higher frequency of tide floods (See Map 2). Nias Islands Risk Mapping provided a same level of governments’ institution capacity across Nias Islands, which is relatively moderate. However, institutional capacity is not merely about governments’ institutions capacity to reduce disaster risks. Indeed, institutional and community resilience mapping used by Cutter et al (2010), cannot be directly replicated or modified to change the capacity and vulnerability mapping methods recommended by National Disaster Management Board Decree No.2/2012. However, incorporating the parameters for institutional capacity development, could avoid an interpretation that subject for any capacity development supports for DRR and disaster resilience development is only governments’ ministries/bodies/agencies. 4.3 Conclusion and Recommendation 1. The rehabilitation and reconstruction activities post the 2004 tsunami and 2005 earthquake in Nias Islands did not specifically directed yet for social and community capital resilience development. 2. The activities happened in parallel with the regional proliferation process. The process has reduced local decision makers’ focus to guard the process and continue the progress of the rehabilitation and reconstruction there. Therefore, learning for Nias Islands experience, it is necessary to reconsider whether regional proliferation may take place or be endorsed when local leadership must focus on helping their community through the recovery, rehabilitation and reconstruction activities post a national scale disaster. 3. At one side, the implementation of NIMS has increased sense of ownership from government institutions to manage, integrate and synchronize the use of development aids with governments’ resources. However, NIMS is obviously still need improvement to provide more opportunities for civil society organizations to participate in the shaping process of the aid management. 50 POLITICAL DYNAMIC AND EXTERNAL FACTORS IN A POST DISASTER REHABILITATION & RECONSTRUCTION; CASE STUDY OF NIAS ISLANDS POST THE 2004 AND 2005 EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI 4. 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Regional Disaster Management Board (2008), Decree of Head of Regional Disaster Management Board Number 4 Year 2008 on Disaster Management Plan. Government of Indonesia. UNISDR (2005), Hyogo Framework for Action 2005-2015; Building the Resilience of Nations and Communities to Disasters, World Conference on Disaster Reduction 18-22 January 2005, Kobe, Hyogo, Japan, http://www.unisdr.org/2005/ wcdr/intergover/official-doc/L-docs/Hyogoframework-for-action-english.pdf Van Oudenhoven, Frederik J.W., Dunja Mijatovic, and Pablo B. Eyzaguirre (2011), Social-ecological indicators of resilience in agrarian and natural landscapes, Management of Environmental Quality; An International Journal, 22(2), pp. 154173. 52 POLITICAL DYNAMIC AND EXTERNAL FACTORS IN A POST DISASTER REHABILITATION & RECONSTRUCTION; CASE STUDY OF NIAS ISLANDS POST THE 2004 AND 2005 EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI COMMUNITY PARTICIPATION IN POST-TSUNAMI REDEVELOPMENT: THE CASE STUDIES OF FOUR VILLAGES IN ACEH Ichsan Malikussaleh University, Kampus Bukit Indah, Jln. Sumatera No 1-2, Lhokseumawe, Indonesia Adaptation in Disaster Management and National Strategy Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh Ichsan Malikussaleh University, Kampus Bukit Indah, Jln. Sumatera No 1-2, Lhokseumawe, Indonesia E-mail: [email protected] ABSTRACT The research aims were to examine the implementation of community participation in posttsunami redevelopment in Aceh. The methodological approach used in this study was case studies of Acehnese communities in the tsunami-affected areas consisting of the following villages: Lam Teungoh, Lam Hasan, Lambung, and Merduati. In this study, I employed qualitative methods consisting of document analysis and in-depth interviews. The sources of data were documents pertinent to the profiles of case study villages as well as the nature of community participation at the case study villages adopted prior to and following the tsunami. Interviews were conducted with three groups: government officials, NGO and International Agency workers, and community leaders (heads of villages and informal leaders).The four case study villages were selected based on the level of development and tsunami-affected. Key aid organizations and agencies involved in post-tsunami redevelopment were chosen in the four case study villages. Each village was represented by two aid organizations or agencies. This research finds that the occurrence of “ad hoc” participation (participatory activities mainly mobilized by community members) was related to community members’ urgent needs right after the tsunami as well as their creativity and networking. With regard to aid organization/ agency-promoted participation (participation mobilized by NGOs, international agencies, and the Indonesian Government), the findings indicates this kind of participation was associated with the willingness and capacity of aid organizations/agencies, nature of recovery projects, readiness of residents to participate, adequate time in exercising participation, and community facilitators’ approaches. Keywords: community participation, post-tsunami, redevelopment efforts. 1. INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background On December 26, 2004, an extremely strong earthquake with a magnitude of 9.1 on the Richter scale and the resulting tsunamis devastated the South Asia region. Of 12 nations hit by the tsunami, Indonesia suffered the greatest. The overall fatalities were estimated at 127,000 people, 93,285 people missing, and about 500,000 people displaced (BRR, 2009a). In Indonesia, the Province of Nanggroe Aceh Darussalam was affected the worst, while Nias Island in the Province of North Sumatra was affected to a much lesser extent. The earthquake and tsunami wave damaged most of Aceh's coastal areas, infrastructure, settlements, and public facilities such as schools, health centers, market places, and government buildings. This disaster also affected the social and economic life of the people as well as their psychological condition (Republic of Indonesia, 54 2005). It was estimated that to rebuild the areas affected by the disaster in Aceh and Nias, the government of Indonesia needed approximately USD 4.9 billion. Pledges made by aid agencies surpassed the minimum required to rebuild to pre-tsunami level by 2.3 billion. Eventually 93% of the pledges were converted in.to real funding. Funds (in total USD 6.7 billion) came from three main sources: NGOs (USD 2.4 billion), donor agencies (USD 2.2 billion), and the Government of Indonesia (USD 2.1 billion) (BRR, 2009c). The government of Indonesia anticipated the reconstruction and rehabilitation phase after the disaster by initiating a master plan and establishing a special agency to coordinate the mitigation of the disaster, i.e. the Reconstruction and Rehabilitation Agency of Aceh and Nias (in Indonesian is known as Badan Rehabilitasi dan Rekonstruksi Aceh dan Nias or called BRR for short). The government of Indonesia views community participation after the tsunami as an important component in the decision making process starting from the planning and implementation phases through to the monitoring and evaluation phases (The Republic of Indonesia, 2005; BRR, 2006). The government wants the survivors of the disaster to play an important role in the post-tsunami development activities along with the governments (central, regional, and local), the private sector, universities, professional associations, the mass media, and the community at large. In this regard, BRR is expected to lead the Aceh rehabilitation and reconstruction process. The process will be based on a participatory approach as the manifestation of good governance principles. The implementation of community participation after the tsunami in Aceh Province is important to analyze due to the scale of the disaster. The Aceh tsunami disaster is considered one of the worst natural disasters in modern times. Questions arising here are what roles did Acehnese community members play in redevelopment efforts, and what was the extent of and how effective was their involvement? Community participation refers to a situation in which community members take part in decision making, planning, implementation, and evaluation processes in the affairs they are interested in (Voth and Bonner, 1978; Whyte, 1986). According to Arstein (1969), the levels of participation vary from the “no power” (non participation) to “superficial power” (tokenism) and “real power” levels. In the non participation level, citizens have no chance to get involved in planning or conducting programs. This level has two rungs, i.e. manipulation (the officials persuade and advise the citizens) and therapy (the authorities “cure” the “diseases” suffered by the citizens, but not solve their real problems). Tokenism, which is the middle level of participation, can take the rungs of consultation and placation. In the consultation rung, communities are invited to contribute ideas or considerations; however, there is no guarantee that their input will be considered by the government officials or others in charge. The placation rung enables the involvement of communities in development through the inclusion of their representatives in planning boards, but it depends on those in charge to accommodate the representatives’ advice. Citizen power, which is the highest level of participation, has the following rungs: partnership, delegated power and ciitizen control. Partnership refers to a situation in which government officials or others in charge collaborate with citizens in planning and implementing redevelopment programs, while the final decision is made based on both parties’ agreement. Delegated power is associated with empowering citizens by fully placing Final decision-making is in the hands of citizens. Citizens control allow citizens to govern a program, to handle managerial aspects, and to negotiate to change the conditions In democratic systems, it is widely accepted that citizens have determinant power in dealing with many aspects of their lives. Democracy, in general, requires that the government be in some way selected by, guided by, and accountable to the public. Some democratic theorists view the democratic system as a mechanism for representing citizen interests as well as developing an informed citizenry consistent with the educative functions of democracy (Pateman, 1970). This so-called “participatory democracy” is considered pivotal to development of citizens. Added to the complications of representation and multiple levels and forms of government is the fact that, even in representative systems, the control individual citizens can, or should, have over government is limited by factors of numbers and widely varying levels of attentiveness and even knowledge (Dahl, 1990). Hence, typically pluralism exists (Dahl, 1961; Truman, 1951). Pluralism is a system in which there is a whole plethora of groups and organizations –now often referred to as “interest groups”— intervening between the grassroots of individual citizens and their various governments (Dahl, 1961; Truman, 1951). 55 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh This plethora of intervening groups and organizations is a large portion of what is now commonly referred to as civil society, something that is being promoted aggressively by U.S, European, United Nations, etc. organizations in their approach to the currently emerging nations in their efforts to promote their vision of democracy. In fact, the right to participate in government by voting also varies and has changed over time. Mostly, various mechanisms have emerged to extend the franchise to a broader range of citizens. One very significant, and somewhat unique, mechanism for expanding the franchise is “administrative participation.” This is the engagement of the public via “public involvement” by administrative agencies, often on a program-by-program basis, and very frequently directly engaging grassroots citizens. This is done in the form of such things as hearings, public meetings, organization of advisory committees, each focusing upon specific public agencies and/or programs (May, 1971; Voth & Bonner, 1978). There is a wide range of flexibility in the manner where citizens may participate, which allows for a considerable amount of what can best be called “ad hoc” participation (Dodge, 1974). Ad hoc participation may take a number of forms: committees, ombudsmen, citizen research and information offices, volunteer programs, and fund-raising efforts. Community participation in development benefits both communities and the government (Rukmana et. al, 1993; Voth & Bonner, 1978). First, community participation mobilizes the resources of citizenry (money, material, knowledge, skills, and leadership) which contributes to complementing the lack of government resources. Second, community participation creates a possibility for decisions to be based on the community’s needs and priorities. Third, community participation ensures community’s knowledge, creativity, and skills are recognized and used that in turn results in the enhancement of community’s capacity building. Fourth, community participation builds up the self enabling and cooperative spirit of the community. Fifth, community participation ensures a greater acceptance and appreciation of development programs. This may result in better care and maintenance. Sixth, community participation can function to reduce conflict by airing conflictual issues openly and attempting to resolve them. Constraints on community participation in policymaking can come from the government or the community. The willingness and readiness of both parties affect community participation in policymaking process (Cogan et al., 1986; Hoff & Steinberg, 1992; Snel, 1999). The roles of these groups and their cooperation determine the success of community participation in policymaking process. More successful community participation requires the political will and the skills of government bureaucrats and government agencies to stimulate the participatory process, as well as the awareness and abilities of community members to participate in the process (Hoff & Steinberg, 1992). Community participation has been widely accepted as a tool for analyzing and addressing social problems in a sustainable way (Osti, 2004). However, the exercise of community participation is surely contingent upon the settings in which it is implemented. Community participation in an emergency situation poses different challenges and constraints from those in a normal situation. The demand for quick decisions and actions in a context of complicated issues presents impediments for the implementation of community participation in post-disaster reconstruction (Moe & Pathranarakul, 2006; Waugh & Streib, 2006). Research shows that community participation plays an important role in the recovery process after disasters. In post-disaster reconstruction taking place in Maldives, India, and Nepal, for instance, the involvement of the affected communities is vital to meeting the need of communities, improving capacity building of communities and maintaining the continuum of development. In terms of maintaining the continuum of development, their involvement in post-disaster reconstruction helps preserve the continuity of development (Newport & Jawahar, 2003; Pardasani, 2006; Waugh & Streib, 2006). 56 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh Although there have been different opinions on the degree of community involvement needed in redevelopment efforts, research shows that participation of affected individuals and communities is a determining factor leading to overall success (Buckle & Marsh, 2002; Coghlan, 1998; McCamish, 1998; McDowell, 2002; Pardasani, 2006). Buckle and Marsh (2002) argue that despite the significant role of experts in assessment of planning and implementation efforts, local knowledge, strengths, and priorities affect the redevelopment success. According to Buckle and Marsh (2002), the involvement of communities in needs assessment may be fraught with risk; however, this contributes to reducing disaster vulnerability and increasing resilience. The involvement of communities in redevelopment efforts can encompass the stages of need assessment, design, and implementation of the rebuilding efforts. This involvement promotes the recognition, acquisition, maturation and connection of community assets and produces self-reliant, self-sustaining and empowered communities (Delgado, 2000; Homan, 2005, Kramer & Specht, 1983). To support participatory approaches, education, training, and awareness building within communities, related departments, and other concerned parties are an inevitable need (Newport & Jawahar, 2003). Based on his research on community participation in post-tsunami reconstruction and redevelopment in the Maldives, Pardasani (2006) proposes a participatory model to implement a comprehensive disaster management and rehabilitation program. This model suggests the establishment of councils at two main levels: a National Advisory Council and Community Councils. The National Advisory Council functions to coordinate all redevelopment efforts involving all agencies, organizations, representatives from international development programs, financial experts, construction company executives, reconstruction experts, and community councils that are involved in the process of redevelopment. It also assists in creating a blue print for reconstruction and prepares reports and briefings for the public. Community Councils are based in villages and towns and consist of representatives of the local community from various backgrounds and professions, including at-risk groups. These councils have the right to review funding proposals and redevelopment efforts and propose modifications. These councils have representatives to the national advisory council elected by each community council (Pardasani, 2006). Pardasani (2006) accentuates the important role of NGOs in the model. According to him NGOs should be advocates for the affected communities and help empower communities in terms of supporting their rights and needs, educating and informing them, helping community councils function, and guiding them in complex negotiating processes with bureaucracy and other institutions. Furthermore, he recommends that the whole process of reconstruction should be undertaken in an open, accessible, accountable, and transparent manner to build trust among all components involved. Considering its general and applicable principles, it seems that Pardasani’s participatory model for post-disaster reconstruction can be adopted in different settings with some modifications and adjustments.Although community participation in post-disaster reconstruction in other countries has been intensively studied, there is only limited research paying attention to such work in Aceh’s reconstruction after the 2004 tsunami. It is hope that by learning the implementation of community participation in post-tsunami redevelopment in Aceh, policy makers can set a more comprehensive and proper strategy for the participatory approach in post-disaster redevelopment in Indonesia in the future. 1.2 The Aim and Significance of the Research The aim of the research is to examine the implementation of community participation in post-tsunami redevelopment in Aceh. The examining of community participation after the Aceh tsunami is important for both Aceh Province and any other regions across the country as one of valuable bases for the preparation of more effective post-disaster participatory policies in the future. In post-disaster reconstruction, the involvement of the affected people and communities at large is instrumental to any long-term plans for sustainable recovery. 57 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh 2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY The affected people and communities at large’s involvement in reconstruction efforts is a crucial component in terms of building the capacity of communities, meeting the needs of the community, and maintaining the continuum of development. In terms of maintaining the continuum of development, their involvement in post-disaster reconstruction helps preserve the continuity of development (Newport & Jawahar, 2003; Pardasani, 2006; Waugh & Streib, 2006). This research will also add to the growing body of community participation literature on disaster mitigation efforts. It will provide alternative strategies and conceptual models for community participation after the disaster as well as enhance the basis for further study in community participation as part of disaster relief in global communities. This research can benefit a number of parties. It will provide agencies and institutions at the local, national, and international levels with strategies and methodologies for developing community participation in the post-disaster period. This research will also help researchers in understanding community participation in the post-disaster term in developing countries, with a specific reference to Indonesia. The methodological approach used in this study was case studies of Acehnese communities in the tsunami-affected areas. This study employed qualitative methods consisting of document analysis and in-depth interviews. Documents analyzed came from various sources pertinent to community participation in rehabilitation and reconstruction of Aceh Province after the tsunami, particaularly at the four case study villages. The documents included reports from the government, village administrations, BRR, NGOs, international agencies, BPS - Statistics (provincial and district levels) on post-tsunami redevelopment and socio-economic profiles of the four case study villages prior to and following the tsunami. Interviews were conducted with three groups: government officials (BRR) and Ministry of Public Works officials), NGO and International Agency workers, and community leaders (heads of villages and informal leaders). Selection of participants for the interviews was based on the relevance of their contribution to the understanding of the research problem. The interviews were mainly intended to gather information about the community participation process and benefits, supporting factors and constraints of partcipation. 2.1 Place and Time of the Research The case study areas chosen in this study included the following Acehnese villages: Lam Teungoh, Lam Hasan, Lambung, and Merduati. Data were collected from September 2009 through September 2010. The primary sources of data concerning the profiles of Aceh Province and case study villages prior to and following the tsunami and other relevant preliminary data were collected from September 2009 until January 2010. During this period, I also chose four case study villages based on certain criteria (presented in the sample selection With regard to education, Lam Teungoh’s condition is serious. Referring to Lam Teungoh village data in 2008 (Gampong Lam Teungoh, 2008), quite a lot of villagers had no education (39.88%). Only 22.09% had a senior high school level of education and 1.23% had an undergraduate education. The remaining villagers were in the level of education of junior high school (30.67%) and elementary school (6.13%). Table 1. Level of education of Lam Teungoh residents in 2008 Education No education Elementary Junior High Senior High University (undergraduate) Total Number 65 10 50 36 2 Percentage 39.88 6.13 30.67 22.09 1.23 163 100.00 Sources: Processed based on data from: The Five Year Development Plan (2008-2012) of the Village of Lam Teungoh, and interview with Husaini, community leader of the Village of Lam Teungoh on March 8, 2010. 58 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh Economy According to Husaini, community leader of the Village of Lam Teungoh (personal communication, March 8, 2010), the fishery sector has been a source of income for many villagers before and after the tsunami. This sector suffered severe damage because of the tsunami. Most of fisherman’s boats were carried away by the waves. In the same vein, the fish and shrimp ponds were all destroyed and covered with sludge and sand carried by the tsunami from the sea. Unfortunately, for many fishermen in the village fishing was the only skill they had. Serious damage was also experienced in the agricultural sector. The damage to farmland encompassing hectares of rice fields and plantations. Rice fields could not be sowed anymore since they contained too much mud and sand. They were also filled with debris from collapsed houses. Meanwhile, hundreds of cows, water buffalos, sheep, goats, and fowl were dead or missing. Given the damage to village’s economy above, in the months following the tsunami, as in other tsunami-hit areas, villagers relied heavily on handouts given by the government, NGOs and other aid organizations. Later, when the reconstruction process took place, villagers could earn a living again by doing their previous jobs (particularly for fishermen) and getting involved in the reconstruction effort (e.g. cash-for-work projects, building village’s infrastructure, etc). Besides working in the fishery and agricultural sectors, a number of Lam Teungoh residents make a living as poultry and cattle breeders, unorganized day laborers, construction related professionals, merchants, drivers, and government employees. Based on information from Husaini, (personal communication, March 8, 2010), monthly income/capita in the village is now about Rp 800,000 – 1 million. This income places this village as a poor village in the province. By 2009, the provincial minimum wage was Rp 1.2 million per month (Bank Indonesia & Bappeda Aceh, 2010), while the provincial income/ capita calculated per month was Rp. 1.4 million. Table 2. The livelihood of Lam Teungoh residents in 2008 Occupation Number Percentage Fisherman and fish and shrimp pond farmer 30 26.79 Farmer 25 22.32 Poultry and cattle breeder 17 15.18 Unorganized day laborer 10 8.93 Construction6 related professional 5.36 Merchant 3 2.68 Driver 2 1.79 Government employee 1 0.89 Unemployed 18 16.07 Total 112 100.00 Sources: Processed based on data from: The Five Year Development Plan (2008-2012) of the Village of Lam Teungoh, and interview with Husaini, community leader of the Village of Lam Teungoh on March 8, 2010. Infrastructure All buildings and public facilities in Lam Teungoh were destroyed by the tsunami. The tsunami swept away houses, the village office, the village clinic, the elementary school, the prayer house, sport facilities and asphalt roads. In line with the arrival of many parties from within the country and all around the globe in assisting the rescue and relief operations, Lam Teungoh began to rebuild (Husaini, personal communication, March 8, 2010). UPLINK, a consortium of Indonesian and international development groups, gave materials for the 40 temporary homes. The Prosperous Justice Party (PKS) provided a canoe and material for a small, temporary mosque. The US Agency for International Development (USAID) paid villagers to clean their fields through the cash-for-work project (later, this project was also carried out by an Indonesian relief group Pugar and a NGO Mercy Coprs). 59 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh USAID also built a community center, volleyball court and garden. Pugar and Al Amin, a Muslim aid group, provided fishing boats. The French group Secours Populaire Francais constructed an ice factory to keep the fish fresh for market, while CARE supplied rice, toiletries, cooking oil and other goods. Permanent homes were built by a German organization, GTZ. Later, the homes were also constructed by UPLINK and BRR (Husaini, personal communcation, March, 8, 2010). Presently, the condition of the village infrastructure is back to normal. In a way, the quality of many community houses, roads, and other public facilities is better than that of previous facilities. Lam Hasan Geography The Village of Lam Hasan, 5 kms from Banda Aceh, is bordered on the north by the Vilage of Payatieng, on the south by the Village of Rima Keuneruem, on the east by the Village of Ajuen and the Village of Lampoh Daya, and on the west by the Village of Payatieng and the Village of Lam Geu-eu. Located in the Peukan Bada Subdistrict, the Aceh Besar District, this village has 7 hamlets: Paya Loe, Lampoh Raya, Lamdan, Komplek Perumahan BTN, Lampoh Sukon, Pola Permai, and Darma Sakinah. Lam Hasan has a spacious area of 90 hectares, consisting of 70 hectares of settlements and public facilities and 17 hectares of agricultural and plantation areas (Gampong Lam Hasan, 2009a). Like its neighboring village of Lam Teungoh, Lam Hasan’s elevation is also very low with a flat topography. According to head of the Village of Lam Hasan, Bukhari MY (personal communication, May 9, 2010), out of 7 hamlets, 5 hamlets, namely Lamdan, Lampoh Raya, Lampoh Sukon, Darma Sakinah, and Paya Loe, were totally flattened to the ground by the tsunami. The remaining neigborhoods of Komplek Perumahan BTN and Pola Permai were partially destroyed. Socio – Demography Around 600 Lam Hasan residents were dead from the December 26, 2004 tsunami. Immediately after the tsunami, the remaining population was about 1700 (Bukhari MY, personal communication, May 9, 2010). Although located fewer than 2 killometers inland, the death toll was relatively low (approximately 26%). The location of some of its hamlets which are 200500 meters from Gle Genteng (Genteng Hill) provided enough time for a lot of Lam Hasan residents to climb the hill and runaway from the tsunami. The survivors from Lam Hasan scattered in several areas in Aceh. Most of them stayed in the MPI building in Ajun. The rest mostly lived in their relatives’ homes or stayed in host communities in the unaffected areas around Aceh Besar, Banda Aceh and other areas. In early March 2005, after UPLINK’s 36 temporary tents were erected in Lam Hasan, a number of villagers initiated to return to their home village. Later, more and more villagers went back to the village once many permanent homes were built. As of 2009, data show that Lam Hasan had a population of 2316, far higher than that in the aftermath of the tsunami (Gampong Lam Hasan, 2009). The increase in the number of population resulted from influx of new inhabitants and new births. In terms of education, data (Gampong Lam Hasan, 2009) show that in 2009 the majority of Lam Hasan residents had a senior high school education (57.53%), whilst 5.64% had an undergraduate education. Interestingly, 1.58% had master or doctoral degrees, reflecting that the village had a few number of residents with high levels of education. Those well-educated residents worked as lecturers or educators. However, education levels in the village are disparate, reflected by the high number of residents with no-education (12.28%). Table 3. Level of education of Lam Hasan residents in 2009 Education No education Elementary Junior High Senior High Undergraduate Master degree Doctoral degree Total Number 257 116 365 1204 118 31 2 2093 Percentage 12.28 5.54 17.44 57.53 5.64 1.48 0.10 100 60 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh Economy According to data in 2009 (Gampong Lam Hasan, 2009), 21.81% of Lam Hasan residents were state or private workers, 13.14% were farmers, 21.51% were government employees, the remainder being poultry and cattle breeders (6.08%), bakers (4.83%), retired goverment employees (4.38%), unorganized day laborers (3.57%), police and military (3.40%), tailors (2.23%), construction related professionals (1.79%), merchants (1.61%), midwives (1.52%), mechanics (1.34%), carpenters (1.07%), fishermen (0.71%), medical doctors (0.45%), and miscellaneous (0.80%). This occupation portrait is basically the same as that prior to the tsunami. Monthly income/capita in Lam Hasan is around Rp 1 - 1.2 million (categorized as a poor village). This is because a large number of residents are unemployed, while others still have low monthly income jobs (bricklayers, bakers, tailors, mechanics, carpenters, and fishermen) (Bukhari MY, personal communication, May 9, 2010). Table 4. The livelihood of Lam Hasan residents in 2009 Occupation Private or state company worker Farmer Government employee Poultry and cattle breeder Baker Retired (government employee and police & military) Unorganized day laborer Police and Military Tailor Construction related professional Merchant Midwife Mechanic Number 244 Percentage 21.81 147 140 13.14 12.51 68 6.08 54 49 4.83 4.38 40 3.57 38 25 20 3.40 2.23 1.79 18 17 15 1.61 1.52 1.34 Carpenter Fisherman Medical doctor Miscellaneous (police officer, lawyer, etc) Unemployed Total 12 8 5 9 1.07 0.71 0.45 0.80 210 1119 18.76 100.00 Source: The Profile of the Village of Lam Hasan, 2009 Infrastructure Based on the head of the village Bukhari’s information (personal communication, May 9, 2010), 60-70% buildings in Lam Hasan were wiped out by the tsunami. Although a number of residents’ houses and other infrastructure (prayer house, drainage, schools) were not completely destroyed, they did require reconstruction. Immediately after the tsunami, relief agencies, and local and foreign governments came to the village to provide emergency assistance. In the beginning, UPLINK dominated the reconstruction effort in the village. This organization provided materials for temporary shelters and subsequently built and renovated houses. UPLINK also rehabilitated drainage (later continued by Mercy Corps) and made route evacuation. Mercy Corps carried out the cash-for-work project, creating a source of income for the villagers. BRR, Muslim Aid and British Red Cross constructed new homes. AIPRD built a village office. Water was delivered by Care and Oxfam, whilst food was provided by Care, WFP, and Save the Children. In the next period of relief efforts, other parties such as Plan, Luis Fernandez Fund, and Turkey Red Cross also took an active part (Bukhari MY, personal communication, May 9, 2010). 61 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh Lambung The rest of the survivors not living in the shelters scattered in other cities in the province (Langsa and Sigli) or in other provinces (Medan, Jakarta). Geography Lambung is situated in the Meuraxa Subdistrict, one of 9 subdistricts in the city of Banda Aceh. During the 2004 tsunami, Lambung along with 15 other villages in the Meuraxa subdistrict experienced severe damage. Lambung is close to the Indian Ocean, bordered on the north by the Vilage of Deah Glumpang, on the south by Jalan (Street of) Sultan Iskandar Muda, on the east by the Village of Ulee Lheue, and on the west by the Village of Blang Oi. Four hamlets are part of the village: Seulanga, Mawar, Dahlia, and Melatika. As a whole, Lambung’s area covers 52 hectares; 29 hectares of settelements and public facilities, 15 hectares of mangrove areas, and 8 hectares of fish and shrimp pond areas (Gampong Lambung, 2009). Socio – Demography “The Profile of Lambung Village, the Meuraxa Subdistrict, the city of Banda Aceh” (2009) describes that Lambung lost 1037 out of 1368 or around ¾ of its population when the earthquake and tsunami struck. According to head of Lambung village, Zaidi M. Adan (personal communication, July 2, 2010), aside from fishermen who were going fishing on the boat during the disaster (15 people including himself) and those who survived from the tsunami waves in the village, survivors were also those who were travelling around the city of Banda Aceh after the earthquake (before the tsunami). In addition, some residents were also safe because of being out of the village for the purpose of studying, running a business and doing other activities in the provinces like Medan and Jakarta. According to Zaidi M. Adan (personal communication, July 2, 2010), as many as 50 survivors sought refuge in their relatives’ houses concentrating around Cot Gu, Mata Ie, near the National Television Station (Televisi Republik Indonesia, TVRI). One month later, a number of male survivors started building temporary shelters in the village. The shelters accomodated more than one hundred villagers for more than 2 years due to the long village mapping and land consolidation process among villagers for replanning and rebuilding permanent houses. In 2009, five years after the disaster, Lambung residents lived in their village comfortably and safely. The number of Lambung residents increased to 420. New residents (resulted from marriage, birth, the presence of more house renters, etc) contributed to the increased population. Renters were attracted by a more orderly and beautiful Lambung village. In the education sector, as a whole, the 2009 data (Gampong Lambung, 2009) show that Lambung residents had a relatively better portrait than two previous villages. The number of residents who had no education was very small (2.28%). The majority of residents (61.82%) had a senior high school education and 21.08% had a college education. The rest of the residents were in the education levels of junior high school (13.11%), and elementary school (1.71%). Table 5. Level of education of Lambung residents in 2009 Education No education Elementary Junior High Senior High University (undergraduate) Total Number 8 6 46 217 74 Percentage 2.28 1.71 13.11 61.82 21.08 351 100.00 Sources: The Profile of Lambung Village, the Meuraxa Subdistrict, the city of Banda Aceh, 2009, and interview with Zaidi M. Adan, head of Lambung Village on July 2, 2010 Economy Data in 2009 show that the majority of people in Lambung village were employed as workers in the private companies, government employess, construction-related professionals, and merchants. A number of inhabitants, especially male groups, produced Acehnese unique cakes which were quite famous all over Aceh (Gampong Lambung, 2009). 62 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh According to the head of Lambung Village, Zaidi M. Adan (personal communication, July 2, 2010), due to economic reasons as well as the awareness to rebuild their village, a certain number of residents participated in the income-generated cash-for-work (cleaning up the village) project sponsored by several relief agencies (International Relief and Development, Inc., etc) after the tsunami. The project was really helpful in providing community members with a regular income during the months after the disaster. As in other tsunami affected areas, most residents in Lambung could not practice their occupation for quite a long time after the tsunami. Later, as the project was over and the situation was getting normal, residents returned to their previous jobs. Based on information from the head of the village (personal communication, July 2, 2010), monthly income of each villager is currently about Rp 1.5- 1.75 million, relatively high compared to residents in other villages in Aceh. Table 6. The livelihood of Lambung residents in 2009 Occupation Private company worker Government employee Construction-related professionals Merchant Fisherman Retired gov. employee,police & military Police and Military Farmer Miscellaneous (medical doctor, lawyer, etc) Having irregular jobs Unemployed Total Number Percentage 68 27.83 28 11.67 27 11.25 18 7 7 7.50 2.92 2.92 3 2 16 1.25 0.83 6.67 30 34 240 12.50 14.17 100.00 Sources: The Profile of Lambung Village, the Meuraxa Subdistrict, the city of Banda Aceh, 2009, and interview with head of Lambung village, Zaidi M. Adan on July 2, 2010 Infrastructure Like Lam Hasan village, Lambung village was also completely destroyed by the tsunami. In contrast to the surrounding villages which were built at high speed by NGOs immediately after the tsunami, the initial redevelopment progrees in Lambung was slow. A common agreement on rearranging the village mapping among community members took a long time (Zaidi M. Adan, personal communication, July 2, 2010). This village had to wait until 2006 to start building permanent homes for its residents. The old Lambung village, which was not properly planned like most villages in Indonesia, finally turned into the block system village with wide roads. The village used to have a narrow road and small alley leading Lambung villagers to be trapped inside the village and unable to escape from the tsunami. Lambung has now often been considered a model village for spatial mapping and for the successful participative post-disaster redevelopment, particularly in Aceh (BRR, 2009b). Reconstruction in Lambung was supported by the government and various aid organizations. Through the Re-Kompak program (Rehabilitasi dan Rekonstruksi Masyarakat dan Permukiman or The Community-Based Settlement Rehabilitation and Reconstruction Project), the Multi Donor Fund (MDF) through the Community-Based Settlement Rehabilitation and Reconstruction Project (Rehabilitasi dan Rekonstruksi Masyarakat dan Permukiman or ReKompak) provided funding to build 309 houses. Japan International Cooperation System (JICS) built a three story community escape building with a helicopter pad on its roof as a safe place for communities during a tsunami or other disasters. RCTI, a private television station based in Jakarta the capital city of Indonesia, donated funds for the construction of one school complex which has the level of education of kindergarten, elementary, junior high and senior high. From its own funding, Lambung gave a contribution to build a volleyball court, Pos Kamling (Law and order of the neigborhood post) and a village office (Zaidi M. Adan, personal communication, July 2, 2010). Many other development projects have been succesfully implemented in Lambung. 63 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh Merduati Geography Having an area of 30.71 hectares, Merduati is surrounded by Lampaseh Kota village on the west side, Kampung Baru on the east and south sides, and Peulanggahan village and Keudah village on the North side. Since 2009, this area (along with other areas which were formerly kelurahans), has legally turned into a village or gampong as a consequence of the enactment of Law No 11/2006 on the Aceh Government. The elevation of Merduati is about 0.5 meter above sea level, quite low compared to other villages in the Kuta Raja subdistrict which have the elevation ranging from 0.5 to 1 meter. Like other villages in the Meuraxa Subdistrict (Lampaseh Kota, Keudah, Peulanggahan, Gampong Jawa, and Gampong Pande), Merduati has flat topography (PNPM-Mandiri, 2008). According to the head of the village, Turmizi (personal communication, August 14, 2010), the tsunami destroyed 70-75 percent of the total 5 hamlets in the village, namely Seroja, Kemuning, Sedap Malam, Mawar, and Melatika. In terms of land use, Merduati is organized as follows: 19.4 hectares of settlements, 2.21 hectares of public facilities, 8.17 hectares of trading and service areas, 0.81 hectares of office complex areas and 0.07 hectares of other areas. Its strategic location near the capital city, to some extent, makes Merduati an influential trading and service area, both in the city of Banda Aceh and in the province. The standing of this area is also associated with its proximity to 3 central markets in the province: Pasar Aceh, Kawasan Perdagangan, and Pasar Peunayong (GTZ-SLGSR, 2006). Socio – Demography Merduati is the most populous area among other 5 villages in the Kuta Raja subdistrict. Like many villages in the Kuta Raja subdistrict, Merduati is also a densely populated area. Before tsunami, it had a population of 5365 (GTZ – SLGSR, 2006). Based on information from Khair, one of community Merduati leaders (personal communication, August 14, 2010), tsunami killed a large number of residents including the head of the village, Zakaria. It was predicted that only about 1500 (28%) residents survived (Turmuzi, personal communication, August 14, 2010) . Like survivors in its neighboring villages, most survivors were safe because they were out of the village during the tsunami. Like many survivors from Lam Teungoh and other areas, survivors from Merduati also sought refuge around TVRI area on Jalan Sudirman, Mata Ie. Others scattered, living in their relatives’ homes and host communities or school and government buildings located around Banda Aceh and Aceh Besar areas like Lambaro, Ulee Kareng, Darussalam and Tungkop. One month later, a number of residents returned to their home village and lived in several spots like Arrahman Mosque and Taman Dianjung Mosque or even in the ruins of village buildings. After a base camp for Merduati residents equiped with the Indonesian soldier (TNI)-donated tents was established in Geuceu Iniem, some 100 Merduati residents then moved there (Turmuzi, personal communication, August 14, 2010). As of July 2010, most of survivors have returned home and many new residents have lived in Merduati. Data show that Merduati population currently reaches 2651 (Gampong Merduati, 2010). As a thriving business area, the population of Merduati is predicted to increase over time (Gampong Merduati, 2010). In terms of the education condition, based on the 2008 report, the majority residents had senior high school level of education (48.31%). Those who had an undergraduate or higher education level were 20.15%. Other residents had the level of education of junior high school (16.50%) and elementary school (6.15%). Meanwhile, 8.88% had no education. Table 7. Level of education of Merduati residents in 2008 Education No education Elementary Junior High Senior High University* Total Number 163 113 303 887 370 1836 Percentage 8.88 6.15 16.50 48.31 20.15 100.00 Source: PNPM-Mandiri, The participative review of the five year development plan for combating poverty 2008-2010 64 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh *Including level of education above undergraduate, but the exact number of post graduate level is unavailable. Source: PNPM-Mandiri, The participative review of the five year development plan for combating poverty 2008-2010 Economy Infrastructure Prior to the tsunami, the majority of people in Merduati village worked as private company workers, government employees, and merchants, while the remainder being national police and military, drivers, medical workers, fishermen, and fish and shrimp pond farmers. As an area close to the center of the province, Lambung had to deal with unemployement issues. Even though Merduati enjoys a relatively high income/capita compared to other case study villages (about Rp. 2.5 million per month), prosperity is not equally distributed. A large number of its resident are unemployed or still do not have regular jobs (Turmuzi, personal communication, August 14, 2010). The tsunami devastated about ¾ of Merduati’s infrastructure including settlements, social and educational facilities, roads, medical facilities, sport facilities, and religious facilities. The village was paralyzed and road access was obstructed by thousands of tons of debris and hundreds of corpses. It took about 3 months for the city of Banda Aceh and other organizations to systematically clean this area. IRD (International Relief Development, Inc.) paid each resident involving in the cleanup as much as Rp 35,000/ day (Turmuzi, personal communication, August 14, 2010). The government of Indonesia (through BRR As in other tsunami-hit villages, after the and several projects), various NGOs and aid tsunami, Merduati residents also participated agencies took part in the redevelopment process in the cash-for-work project. In their village, of Merduati. BRR and government-related this was run by IRD (International Relief and projects of P2KP (Program Penanggulangan Development, Inc.). However, many of them Kemiskinan Perkotaan or The Urban Poverty were not used to doing manual labor and did Project) and PNPM (Program Nasional not want to continue getting involved in the Pemberdayaan Masyarakat or the National project. Therefore, as the majority of cleanup Community Empowerment Project) constructed had been accomplished and as the situation was infrastructure like roads and drainage. In getting more normal, most of them returned to cooperation with a Christian Doctors' Association from Jakarta, Bayer supports a neighborhood their previous sources of employment. health clinic. The members of this Doctor’s Table 8. The livelihood of Merduati residents in association had previously gotten involved in 2008 providing medical aid right after the tsunami. The clinic was mainly directed to child and Occupation Number Percentage mother care (Turmuzi, personal communciation, August 14, 2010). Private company 169 17.70 worker Government employee Trader Police and Military Driver Medical worker Fisherman Fish and shrimp pond farmer Having irregular jobs Unemployed Total 124 12.98 122 33 12 10 7 3 12.77 3.46 1.26 1.05 0.73 0.31 431 44 955 45.13 4.61 100.00 Another organization, Unicef (the United Nations Children’s Fund) helped Muhammadiyah (the second largest Indonesian Islamic organization) rebuild schools in the village. The schools had several facilities such as a library, a multi purpose hall, a canteen, toilets, and a sport court. Unicef contracted the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) to build the schools. 65 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh Meanwhile, UN-Habitat and UNDP (the United Nations Development Program) with their Aceh-Nias Settlements Support Program (ANSSP) funded by the Government of United Arabs Emirates, built and renovated 486 houses. Besides UN-Habitat/UNDP, ADB (the Asian Development Bank), BRR, and Genesis also constructed houses as many as 300 units (Turmuzi, personal communication, August 14, 2010). Other organizations including Care, Muslim Aid, Oxfam, Unicef and Bayer also supported relief efforts by constructing numerous public facilities which were urgently needed by Merduati residents. 2.2 The Implementation of Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment in Aceh Province Various types of participation took place in the reconstruction term following the tsunami in the four case study villages of Lam Teungoh, Lam Hasan, Lambung, and Merduati. Referring to the participation theories discussed in the literature chapter, the types of participation can be asociated with the actors promoting or mobilizing the participation itself. They include “ad hoc” participation, administrative participation, and civil society participation. “Ad hoc” participation relates to voluntary actions mainly mobilized by community members themselves and plays a role in such forms as volunteer programs, information offices, and fund-raising efforts. Administrative participation is a participation mechanism in which administrative agencies take the initiative in reaching out to the citizens and involving them. Civil society participation is promoted by “interest groups” and help empower affected communities through such activities as supporting their rights and needs, educating and informing them with relevant information, providing funds, building facilities, and others. In the context of the relief efforts in Aceh following the tsunami, besides community members, administrative agencies, and interest groups, aid organizations like foreign government organizations were also involved in the participatory-based development programs. In many cases, the process of all participation types taking place on the ground mentioned above were not fully in line with the guideline of community participation embeded in the Master Plan for Rehabilitation and Reconstruction for Aceh Province. The hierarchycal participatory process through Development councils from the village to provincial levels could not be implemented in the beginning years following the tsunami, due to the demand for quick relief actions at the village level and the difficulty in reaching an agreement on land consolidation between residents related to land titling issues. What was happening was the reconstruction efforts managed by government agencies and aid organizations were mostly accentuated in the village scope (Nazarul Khairi, ex head of BRR for Aceh Besar District & Iqbal Barata, ex head of BRR for Banda Aceh District; personal communication, June 15, 2009 & August 18, 2010). In Lam Teungoh and Lam Hasan, facilitated by Mercy Corps, the Five Year Village Development Plans (comprehensive village plans) with the participatory approaches were succesfully formulated in 2008. This document was a reference used by those villages in proposing their village development plan at the upper development structure (subdistrict). Mercy Corps was also one of aid organizations which succeeded in facilitating the formulation a document on short‐term community planning in Merduati right after the tsunami (in 2005). The formulation was possible with strong support from village leaders and the community as a whole (UNDP & UN-HABITAT, 2006). It is important to note that the reconstruction effort promoted by aid organizations had some similar characteristics in terms of initial steps taken, implementation of existing community’s representative structure, and the funding sources of their projects. In general, before starting the village reconstruction effort, aid organizations made consultations with the local authorities (pertinent government agencies, heads of subdistricts, heads of villages, etc). In the consultations, there had been socialization and instruction about the organizations’ mission, vissions and other relevant aspects. After preliminary agreement was achieved between those parties, aid organizations supported by village apparatus organized village meetings to determine the needs and priorities of communities. In the beginning, village meetings were usually held in barraks/temporary tents, later on in village halls, mosques or prayer houses after they were built. 66 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh With respect to functionalization of existing community’s representive structure, The Activity Managing Team (Tim Pengelola Kegiatan or TPK) and the committee for Rehabilitation and Reconstruction (Komite Rehabilitasi dan Rekonstruksi or KERAP which later became the Community Self-help Body or Badan Keswadayaan Masyarakat/ BKM) models, for instance, were often adopted. The models had been used for already existing government development projects like the Sub-District Development Project (Program Pengembangan Kecamatan or PPK). Meanwhile, in terms of funding sources, aid organizations mainly funded their projects from their own sources, donor agencies or donor countries. Below is the implementation of community participation following the Aceh tsunami which is grouped based on the aforementioned types of participation. The second type of participation, civil society participation, is extended to be “aid organization/agencypromoted participation” since it also describes the involvement of international agencies in the participatory approaches. Data were gathered from interviews with community leaders and heads of villages of the case study villages and community facilitators of associated aid organizations working on reconstruction efforts in those villages. “Ad hoc” Participation 1. Lam Teungoh In the beginning days following the tsunami, survivors from Lam Teungoh who were scattered in Aceh Besar and Banda Aceh, individually returned to their village to find out if their family members were missing. On the next second week, survivors who mostly gathered in the evacuation area in Lamseudaya village and survivors from neighboring village of Lamtutui who sought refuge in the same area, organized themselves to continue the searching process led by the head of Lamtutui village, Baharuddin. Later Baharuddin also served as head of Lam Teungoh village at the same time, since the previous head of Lam Teungoh village, Masri, was killed by the tsunami. While searching for corpses, they started collecting rough data about death toll in the village (Husaini, personal communication, March 8, 2010). The paralized local governments and the absence of any relief agencies right after the tsunami, led the survivors to evacuate corpses of their family members, relatives, or friends by themselves. Those corpses were buried in any possible areas in their village. Within the first week after the tsunami, the men began burying corpses. In total, some 500 corpses were buried by mid-February. Later, the Indonesian Red Cross and other parties assisted with evacuation and burial process. At that time, most dead bodies were buried in the largest tsunami mass grave in Lambaro, Aceh Besar. In parallel with search for corspes, data collection on death tolls was also undertaken by the community. More than one month after the tsunami, community members of Lam Teungoh Village and Lamtutui Village, led by Baharuddin, held a meeting to make a decision with regard to survivors’ lives. In the meeting, they decided to go back to Lam Teungoh and Lamtutui because they needed to work again in the villages (mostly as fishermen). They also agreed to rebuild a temporary prayer house and some temporary houses. With limited resources, tens of male survivors started initial redevelopment of the village. In February 2005, Lam Teungoh villagers finally finished the development of the temporary prayer house and 10 temporary houses. They used wood from remaining trees and debris for wall materials. Iron sheeting donated by the Welfare Justice Party (PKS) was used for roofing. The temporary prayer house then became a community center enabling residents to organize themselves and deal with many issues such as death toll dissemination and trauma counseling (Husaini, personal communication, March 8, 2010). The return of villagers to the villages was very much influenced by the high spirit of togetherness among them to redevelop their village. Of all tsunami-affected area inhabitants in Aceh, Lam Teungoh and Lamtutui villagers were the first groups who came back to redevelop their villages following the tsunami. This phenomenon is quite amazing given the high level of damage and loss of life suffered by the village. The quick decision to return to their home village helped accelerate the redevelopment efforts in the village, reduced survivors’ traumatic feelings and helped earn a livelihood particularly for most villagers who work as fishermen. 67 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh The fact that most villagers were native inhabitants who were related to each other contributed to the strength of social ties among them (Husaini, personal communication, March 15, 2010). That spirit impressed USAID which carried out the cash-for-work project, that is, payed residents to clean the land and build a community center and other public facilities. UPLINK, Mercy Corps and other aid organization then were also attracted to provide materials or give funding for the village reconstruction process. Besides the tight bond among residents, the strong leadership of Baharuddin also played an important role in the return and initial redevelopment process in the village of Lam Teungoh. Given the low level of education among many community members, leadership played an important role in the mobilization process. This low level of condition, in many cases, prevented residents from active participation in the rebuilding process. Baharuddin succeeded in motivating villagers to return to the village and rebuild it (Husaini, personal communication, March 15, 2010). He was communicative, decisive, charismatic and close to the people – typical of Acehnese natural born leader. As a fisherman, he spent more than 30 years on the sea. Before the tsunami, he had been not only head of Lamtutui village, but also Sea Commander (Panglima Laot), leader of an association of fishermen in nine villages including Lam Teungoh village. 2. Lam Hasan Like in Lam Teungoh village, the absence of local government and other aid organizations during the first days after the tsunami forced survivors from Lam Hasan to take urgent measures in initial relief efforts in their village. Two days after the tsunami, community members who escaped to Gle Genteng (Genteng Hill) returned to Lam Hasan and started looking for their dead family members and relatives. Their return was also to find food (bread, coconut, snacks, and drinking water) from houses and food shops leftover in the neighboring village of Lampasi Engking. A couple of days later, they sought refuge in the MPI’s building in Ajun and emergency tents surrounding the building. Besides survivors from Lam Hasan, survivors from other villages around Aceh Besar and the City of Banda Aceh gathered in this area. In the beginning, survivors built the tents by using wood and plastic coming from tsunami debris. Later, emergency tents were supplied by various local and international relief organizations (Bukhari MY, personal communication, May 9, 2010). During the third and fourth week, survivors began evacuating corpses and buried them in a collective manner as well as collecting data about death tolls. Most corpses were buried in front of the village’s prayer house (about 60 corpses), while the rest were buried in community’s or village land. When the reconstruction process started taking place, the evacuation and burial processes were supported by the Indonesian Red Cross and other parties (Bukhari MY, personal communication, May 9, 2010). Like in Lam Teungoh, most dead people were then buried in the tsunami mass grave in Lambaro. The strong wish to return to their own village motivated survivors to ask for any needed assistance from several aid organizations. Among others, led by the head of the village Bukhari MY, they approaced Mercycorps, UPLINK and the Welfare Justice Party (PKS). As a result, in February 2005, villagers cleaned tsunami debris in their village supported by Mercy Corps through the cash-for-work project. One month later, Lam Hasan villagers could stay in the village temporary tents. As many as 36 tents were provided by UPLINK. They utilized wood floors contributed by PKS. The function of the tents was significant. It also supported any other necessities in an emergency situation, that is to deal with trauma healing and the need for disaster information (Bukhari MY, personal communication, May 9, 2010). 3. Lambung Like other survivors in tsunami-affected areas in Aceh, right after the tsunami, survivors from Lambung village also returned to their village to find the corpses of their family members, other relatives, and friends. Due to the flat topography of this area and surrounding areas, only ten corpses were found amid the tsunami debris (Zaidi M. Adan, personal communication, July 2, 2010). Many corspes were swept away by the tsunami waves to other areas. The corpses were then burried in the village cemetery. 68 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh To reconsolidate his village inhabitants, the head of Lambung village coordinated male survivors from the village who sought refuge in their relatives’ houses concentrating around Cot Gu, Mata Ie, to start erecting temporary shelters in their home village one month after the tsunami. They used debris from the State Junior High School 11 (SMPN 11) building located 200 meters west of the village office as well as materials donated by villagers’ relatives residing around Banda Aceh. Fortunately, many of the survivors’ relatives were building contractors who kept some building materials at their home areas. The shelters were finished within one month and immediately after that, 40 of the survivors lived in them. The number of residents living in the village temporary shelters increased, and in the fourth month, reached 120 people. Like in Lam Teungoh and Lam Hasan, the existence of these temporary shelters was really significant pertaining to access to disaster information and restrengthening social life (Zaidi M. Adan, personal communication, July 2, 2010). In supporting relief efforts of their village, Lambung residents were quite creative. Led by their head of the village, who is well educated, with a bachelor degree in social and political sciences, Lambung residents also opened a community bank account for receiving donations and announced it widely. Then they advertised village redevelopment meetings in local newspapers or on local radio. The village bureacrats’ and community leaders’ relations with ex-Lambung inhabitants who had moved to other areas, including businesspersons, government officials, and other prominent figures, made it easy for the village to collect funds donated by those people and to network. This relation also enabled the village to have information access to any development projects managed by the government and various aid organizations (Zaidi M. Adan, personal communication, July 2, 2010). From its own funding, Lambung successfuly built a volleyball court, Pos Kamling (Law and order of the neigborhood post), and a village office. Through village development meetings, which were usually attended by more than one hundred inhabitants, the proposal of a number of survivors to rebuild the village into better organized settlements was discussed. With the participation of most survivors, the village eventually arrived at a common agreement concerning a redrawing of boundaries and land-use patterns. The new land-use plan was handled by professional rural spatial planners. Approved by villagers, all the land was properly consolidated and the village was replanned and built with an open green area and a minimal width of roads of four meters. This could be realized after villagers agreed to freely give at least 1015% of their land for the construction of roads and public buildings. It is important to note that religious approaches made by the head of the village as well as cultural and religious leaders by linking the land contribution to religious services were the key factors in this process (Zaidi M. Adan, personal communication, July 2, 2010). 4. Merduati Unlike the three previous villages, Merduati’s proximity to the center of the capital city of Banda Aceh, made it a bit easy for several parties to immediately get involved in the village relief efforts. Along with volunteers from the Indonesian Red Cross and the Indonesian Mobile Brigade troops, a number of survivors from Merduati evacuated corpses in the village a few days after the tsunami. Those corspes were taken to the area around the Lambaro intersection, before being buried in the next couple of days in the mass grave near that area (Turmuzi, personal communication, August 14, 2010). One month after the tsunami, with tents donated by The Indonesian National Soldier (TNI), survivors established a base camp in Geuceu Iniem on land owned by a local inhabitant. In this base camp, some 100 survivors organized themselves to search for remaining corpses in their village, made a list of the death toll and served any emergent necesities of survivors (logistic, clothing, information, etc). It is important to note that close working relations between the head of the village and community leaders (particularly religious leaders) made it easier for survivors to tackle participation emergency activities. Later, religious leaders also took an active role in involving Merduati residents in the village recovery process (Turmuzi, personal communication, August 14, 2010). 69 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh As a thriving business area, Merduati attracts many people from different ethnic backgrounds (Chinese, Indian, Javanese, Padangnese, etc) and occupations (private sector workers, government employees, traders, etc). Many people also lease buildings and houses over time in this area to make a living as traders or to just stay at boarding houses (students, etc) because of its strategic location. It creates a low sense of belonging for the newcomers to the village and weakens social ties among community members which in turn, influence participation among community members (Turmuzi, personal communication, August 14, 2010). Unlike previous villages, survivors from Merduati did not immediately return to their village and did not build barracks/temporary homes in the village. Most survivors stayed in the evacuation areas or lived in their relatives’ homes and host communities until permanent homes were built in the village by some aid organizations. Its proximity to the capital city resulted in easy access to any relief assistance including barracks/temporary shelters. The death of the head of the village because of the tsunami also caused coordination among survivors to be difficult which, in turn, inhibited survivors from wider participation in the reconstruction process. The new village head, Zakaria, was appointed 6 months later (Turmuzi, personal communication, August 14, 2010). The status of Merduati was still as a kelurahan until 2009 where its head was appointed by the government. Summary of “Ad-hoc” Participation in the Four Case Study Villages Given data about the participatory activities mainly mobilized by the community members above, it can be concluded that residents of the four case study villages participated in (1) corpse evacuation; (2) data collection on the death toll in their own village; and (3) disseminating disaster-related information. The occurance of this kind of participation was basically related to communities’ urgent needs right after the tsunami. Communities had no choice except to participate in these activities because aid agencies were still not involved actively in the relief effort at that time. All case study villages, except for Merduati, also participated in barrack/ temporary shelter development. The non- existence of temporary shelter development in Merduati resulted from the lack of coordination among its community members due to the death of its former head of village in the tsunami and its proximity to the capital city which resulted in easy access to relief assistance. Lambung village surpassed other village interm of the variety of participatory activities. Lambung made some breakthroughs through their residences’ initiatives in village development planning, land contribution for public facilities, opening a bank account for public donations, advertising village meeting, and public facilities construction with fillage funds. Table 9 bellow summarizes the participatory activities of the four case study villages in posttsunami redevelopment. Table 9. “Ad-hoc” participation following the tsunami in the case study villages of Lam Teungoh, Lam Hasan, Lambung and Merduati Lam Teungoh Lam Lam- Merdu Hasan bung ati Corpse evacuation √ √ √ √ Initial data collection on death toll √ √ √ √ Barrack/temporary home development √ √ √ Disseminating disaster related information (in barracks/tents/ evacuation areas, community center building, etc) √ √ √ Activity Village Village development planning √ Massed land contribution for public facilities √ Opening a bank account for public donations √ Advertisement of village meeting in media √ Public facility construction with village funds √ √ 70 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh Aid Organization / Agency - promoted Participation Mercy Corps and the community by taking into account the conformity of the programs with Mercy Corps’ missions and focused work in Aceh Province. Mercy Corps (Lam Teungoh Case) 1. Relief activities Mercy Corps, a global aid organization, started operating in Aceh province right after the tsunami hit this area. Mercy Corps focused its work on community development, economic development and local government initiatives (Mercy Corps, 2009). In Lam Teungoh, Mercy Corps operated from January 2005 through March 2010. A number of relief efforts have been conducted by Mercy Corps in the village. The cash-for-work project, aimed at cleaning up the village to make it ready for reconstruction and enabling households to earn cash, was its first project in the village. This project was followed by several construction projects including construction of the ritual ablution place/bathing place, women’s group building, public cemetery fence, and drainage system. The economic development program included training on business and entrepreneurship, providing grants both for survivors to run businesses (as mechanics, cattle breeders, etc) and for the village (to establish a village shop and to provide rental wedding supplies and kichenware). The leadership and governance program consisted of village administration data base development and facilitating the formulation of Five Year Village Development Plan (2008-2012) of the Village of Lam Teungoh in cooperation with the Indonesian government. The program also included training on administration and leadership, bookkeeping, project management, and reporting, (Gampong Lam Teungoh, 2008). 2. Participatory Process • Facilitated by Mercy Corps and supported by village bureaucrats (the head of the village and his apparatus) and community leaders, Lam Teungoh residents organized a series of community meetings begun in early 2005 to discuss urgent relief efforts in the village. Twenty to thirty villagers usually participated in the meetings. • Improvements, objectives and goals were determined based on agreement between • Once projects were decided, committees were established. One committe consisted of three people (chair, secretary, and treasurer). Each project was associated with a different committee. The committee in the women group building construction project, for instance, was different from that of drainage construction. Committees were responsible for the overall implementation of their related projects. Their members were chosen by village meeting participants (the input of the head of the village was, however, considerably important). • Mercy Corps provided consultation and relevant training for committee members to support construction projects. Meanwhile, training on entrepeneurship, administratiion, leadership, etc, was conducted with participants who were selected by the head of the village and his apparatus by considering input from residents. • Construction designs (for ritual ablution place/bathing place, Women’s Group building, public cemetery fence, drainage) were prepared by the Mercy Corps Technical staff by taking into account the community’s aspirations. • Local community members were prioritized to be laborers in the construction projects. Non-local laborers were employed as minimally as possible to enable local residents to improve their incomes. The use of manual labour without a contractor was enabled because of the small scale of the construction projects. • Committees managed project funds and dealt with builders and material suppliers (community contracting model). To control the use of funds, Mercy Corps disbursed the funds in several stages, based on the progress of the construction. This helped projects meet the contract timing and quality specifications. 71 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh • Program monitoring and evaluation was formally done by village bureaucrats supported by tuha peut (an advisory council consisting of four people considered knowledgeable and resourceful within the community). Community members were also persuaded to participate in this process. Communities could direct their complaints, questions, or input to pertinent committees or Mercy Corps. • Committees made reports of program implementation and evaluation. The report of one program subsequently became a useful reference for other future programs. • In accordance with the comprehensive village plan, the Five Year Village Development Plan (2008-2012) was formulated in 2008. Its process was entrusted to the Village Planning Team (Tim Perencana Gampong or TPG). TPG members were selected by the head of the village and started working on the project in 2008 (with Mercy Coprs’ facilitation). The planning process of the document consists of several steps. First, TPG members identified village assets, potential, and problems. They also analyzed Mercy Corps’ former projects that had been implemented in their village. Subsequently, TPG came up with detailed potential projects and activities and made a presentation. After receiving feedback, the planning draft was approved by tuha peut and sent to the subdistrict. To carry out projects approved in the five year development plan, Mercy Corps gave the village $21,000 in 2008 and $25,000 in 2009. • For the economic projects in the early phase of the emergency period (right after the tsunami), Mercy Corps provided individuals or groups of residents with low incomes with grants. Those people were to make proposals regarding economic activities they wanted to undertake (development of machine shops, food shops, etc). The approval of the proposals was done through the Mercy Corps’ review process. Grants, rather than loans, were given since the majority of residents were poor and only ran small businesses. For economic projects outlined in the five year village development plan, there had been the establishment of the Village Owned Enterprise (Badan Usaha Milik Gampong). Mercy Corps proposed this project to minimize the dependence of the village on external sources of funding so that the village would be able to realize its future development projects.The enterprise was aimed at generating profit for the community. The establishment of a village shop, provision of rental wedding supplies and kichenware became the means for the village to generate funding for its economic development. (Tasir Muhammad Rizal Husein, Mercy Corps’ community facilitator, Jan 2008 – Dec 2009, personal communication, April 4, 2010; Mercy Corps, 2010). USAID/DAI (Lam Teungoh Case) 1. Relief Activities The U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) supported Aceh reconstruction with a number of recovery efforts including the cash-for-work projects (cleaning up village land), village planning facilitation, public infrastucture reconstruction, training on community empowerment and leadership (BRR, 2009d) . In implementing its programs, USAID cooperated with Development Alternatives, Inc. (DAI), a global consulting firm providing social and economic solutions in developing and transitioning countries. In Lam Teungoh USAID/DAI worked from March 2005 through December 2007. USAID/ DAI finished the following projects: debris removal, village office construction, volley ball court construction, soccer field rehabilitation, provision of kitchenware for village women’s group as well as computers and tables for the village office, rice field rehabilitation, and training for food science, vehicle repairmen, leadership, etc (Gampong Lam Teungoh, 2008). • USAID/DAI in cooperation with influential village figures (particularly the head of the village and community leaders), facilitated village meetings to absorb the community’s aspirations and needs. In the meetings residents discussed their problems, needs and expected programs. More than 20 villagers usually attended the meetings. 72 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh 2. Participatory Process Table 10. The role of residents and other actors for each phase of Mercy Corps’ projects in Lam Teungoh* Actor Activity Program initiation for village redevelopment Residents/ beneficiaries Committees/ community representatives √ Mercy Corps Hired Contractor √ 1. Construction project (bathing place, women’s group building, public cemetery fence, and drainage) Project initiation Arnstein’s level of community participation √ √ Design √ Construction √ √** Monitoring & evaluation √ √ √ 2. Small grant project for individual(s) business Project initiation √ √*** Proposal making √ √*** Running of business √ Monitoring & evaluation √ 3. The establishment of the Village Owned Enterprise Project initiation √ Proposal making √ Running of the enterprise √ Monitoring & evaluation √ √ “partnership” (joint decision making between Mercy Corps and the community, project funding management in the hands of the community) “delegated power” (decision making and project funding management in the hands of the community) “informing” (decision making in the hands of Mercy Corps, residents were informed their rights, responsibilities and options) *This table (and other similar tables in the next section of this chapter), especially the “construction project” part, is adapted from Davidson C. H., et al.’s matrix of post-disaster housing project management. * *The village committee managed the process ** *Mercy Corps facilitated the process • Technical issues of programs were discussed in Focus Group Discussions (FGDs) consisting of village bureaucrats, members of the village advisory council (tuha peut), and representatives of various groups in the community (Farmers’ group, Fishermen’s group, Women’s group, Youth’s group, etc). FGD members were chosen by community members. 73 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh • USAID/DAI’s community facilitators also communicated with villagers, especially vulnerable people like women and children, in an informal manner to better understand their situations, problems, and needs. This communication was relayed to FGDs’ members. The results of this initiative were the provision of kitchenware for the village women’s group and food science training for village women. • The FGD consisted of 8-10 members and was assigned for one project with different members. However, due to their strategic positions and the consideration of project implementation smoothness, the head and secretary of the village served as members in every FGD. • Village Office was designed by the USAID/ DAI’s technical staff, while its development mainly employed local laborers. Like in Mercy Corps’ projects, USAID/DAI did not need to hire any contractors for their projects due to simple construction of the projects. • USAID/DAI managed project funds and dealt with builders and material suppliers. According to USAID/DAI, this saved time and minimized the misuse of funds. • Program monitoring and evaluation was primarily done by USAID/DAI in cooperation with FGDs. Any complaints and consideration from both parties and communities were discussed mainly on a development stage basis. (Mulizarni, DAI’s communitcy facilitator March 2005 – Aug 2007, personal communication, June 8, 2010). Table 11. The role of residents and other actors for each phase of USAID/DAI’s construction projects (village office, volley ball court, and soccer field) in Lam Teungoh Actor Activity Program initiation for village redevelopment Residents FGDs USAID/ DAI Hired Contractor √ √ √ √ √ Project initiation Design Construction Monitoring & evaluation √ √ √ √ Arnstein’s level of community participation “partnership” (joint decision making between USAID/DAI and the community, but project funding was managed by USAID/DAI) √ UPLINK (Lam Hasan Case) 1. Relief Activities Urban Poor Linkage (UPLINK) is an urban poor community organizer focusing on urban poverty and impoverishment isues. In the reconstruction of Aceh after the tsunami, UPLINK worked in many village areas to provide homes, infrastructure reconstruction, economic development, reinforcement of social relations and cultural cohesion, and environmental regeneration (Sudirman Arif, ex UPLINK’s community organizer, personal communication, May 5, 2010). In Lam Hasan, UPLINK working with villagers constructed 236 new homes and rehabilitated 40. It also constructed roads and drainage systems and recovered village-based small scale economic activities. By adopting participatory reconstruction approaches in its development activities, UPLINK intended to increase community cohesion, resilence and reconciliation. The organization worked in Lam Hasan about four years from 2005-2008 (Gampong Lam Hasan, 2008 & Gampong Lam Hasan, 2009). 74 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh 2. Participatory Process • In cooperation with the Indian NGO Abhiyan, UPLINK established Udeep Beusaree Network (Jaringan Udeep Beusare or JUB) consisting of 25 neighboring coastal villages stretching from Ulee Lheue to Lam Pageu to enforce community involvement in post tsunami redevelopment. • JUB increased social cohesion of 25 village communities and was a medium for community workshops and empowering communities to manage their lives. It facilitated communities to discuss any issues and problems resulting from the tsunami and the possible solutions. In the early phase of relief efforts, rather than taking quick actions in carrying out construction projects in the tsunami-affected areas, UPLINK focused on facilitating JUB’s activities in light of strengthening communal spirit among community members, both intra- and intervillages. • Before starting its Community Based Housing Reconstruction Program (CBHRP), UPLINK had to settle the dispute over land ownership. Long disagreement about landtitling issues between BRR and the National Land Affairs Agency (BPN) led UPLINK to use a community land adjudication system through a community land mapping process. The results of the process were published to finalize land boundaries. This participatory process was quite effective and avoided the long delays of the housing project. Later, the agreement among communities, in turn, resulted in the issuance of a land legal certificate from BPN. • In a series of meetings, communities sat together to develop a village spatial plan (facilitated by UPLINK) as a general reference for any development activities in the village, including the housing development project. • Through CBHRP, UPLINK helped community members become involved in all aspects of the housing development process with the final decision in the hands of the communitiy. • In the first stage of housing development, residents actively participated in land surveying and mapping, data collection, and housing design. For the housing design, UPLINK adopted Community Action Planning (CAP) methodology. UPLINK technical staff helped communities prepare the housing design. • The Activity Managing Team (Tim Pengelola Kegiatan or TPK) for housing construction was established. Its members consisted of 3 people (supervisor, supplier coordinator, and head of laborers) and were chosen by villagers. • Housing beneficiaries were grouped into clusters of 5 households. Leaders and representatives of clusters were elected by the clusters’ members themselves. Each cluster had a cluster savings account, to receive funds for construction. These funds were disbursed in 3 phases, based on construction progress. • UPLINK’s facilitators motivated community members to strengthen social ties through working with group members. UPLINK also provided the community with training to enhance community spirit and to support construction projects. The training included, among other things, mass mobilization, building design, building materials and construction. • Housing beneficiaries had latitude to employ laborers (including themselves if possible) and dealt with material suppliers for their housing development. In many cases, local laborers were optimally used which helped boost village economies. In the case that reconstruction laborers and resource requirements were not available in the village, they were supplied from other places. • Housing beneficiaries with the help of TPK acted as building inspectors and evaluators for their own home construction or rehabilitation. • TPK managed funds for housing development. It also helped beneficiaries monitor, evaluate and report the development progress on a development stage basis. 75 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh • For the small scale construction of roads and drainage, UPLINK also adopted community based approaches. A particular TPK was established for this and communities got involved in provision of laborers and material supply. In the asphalting phase, due to the work complexity, UPLINK hired a contractor. Meanwhile for drainage construction, participatory approaches were used for provision of materials and laborers for the entire construction process. Table 12. The role of residents and other actors for each phase of UPLINK’s projects in Lam Hasan Actor Activity Program initiation for village redevelopment Residents/ beneficiaries TPKs √ UPLINK Hired contractor Arnstein’s level of community participation √* 1. Housing construction and renovation Project initiation √ Design √ Construction √** Monitoring & √ evaluation 2. Small scale drainage construction Project initiation √ Design Construction √ Monitoring & √ evaluation 3. Small scale road construction Project initiation Design Construction Monitoring & evaluation √* √*** √ √* √ √*** √ √* √ √*** √ √* “delegated power” (decision making and project funding management in the hands of the community) √* √ √**** √ √* √**** √ 4. Small grants project for households’ business Project initiation Proposal making Running of business Monitoring & evaluation * ** *** **** √ √ √ √*** √* √ √ √* UPLINK facilitated the process Beneficiaries could either build their houses or give the house construction to professional builders TPKs managed the process Residents did not participate in the last part of construction (asphalting) because of the work complexity; it was done by a hired contractor. 76 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh • In the village economic recovery, UPLINK provided households with small grants (Rp 3.2 – 3.5 million) that enable them to gain access to capital for income generating activities. One TPK consisting of 3 elected representatives was established to handle project administration. Households submitted their prioritized economic activities. Besides kinds of activities they planned to carry out, they had to break down budget for needed equipment. UPLINK provided households with technical assistance and finalized the proposal. The funds were disbursed by BRI through the opening of household bank accounts. Economic activities proposed by households included: composting, mushroom cultivation, rice farming, cattle and poultry breeding, mechanical working, barbering, etc. (Sudirman Arif, UPLINK’s community organizer, personal communication, May 5, 2010 & Campagnoli, 2007). AIPRD (Lam Hasan Case) 1. Relief Activities Australia Indonesia Partnership for Reconstruction and Development (AIPRD), jointly managed by the Australian and Indonesian Governments, was developed to support Indonesia’s reconstruction and development efforts both in and beyond tsunami-affected areas. In Aceh, AIPRD reconstructed public infrastructure, rebuilt people’s livelihoods, strengthened government service delivery, democracy, and peace in the province (AIPRD, 2010). AIPRD worked from January 2006- December 2007 in Lam Hasan. AIPRD successfully constructed Village Office, tsunami victims’ cemetary fence and volleyball and table tennis courts. AIPRD also provided stationery for village office and equipment for village health clinic as well as conducting training for management and leadership (for village bureaucrats and community leaders), capacity building of village development cadre, women’s empowerment, five year development plan and craftsmanship (Gampong Lam Hasan, 2008 & Gampong Lam Hasan, 2009). 2. Participatory Process • AIPRD consulted with village authorities to discuss the possible efforts to rebuild the village and the community. • The Activity Managing Teams (Tim Pengelola Kegiatan or TPK) were established for all development projects (tsunami victims’ cemetery fence construction, and volleyball court construction), except for village office construction. One TPK was assigned for one project. It consisted of 3 community representatives and was elected by the community. • AIPRD techical staff made the construction designs by taking residents’ input and consideration into account. • TPKs managed funds and laborers (except for village office construction). Local laborers were prioritized for the construction process to provide jobs and empower the community’s economy. The village office was constructed by a hired contractor and laborers from outside of the village were employed for its construction. • Program monitoring and evaluation were done by AIPRD supported by communities. Communities directed input and any comments regarding projects to AIPRD. Specifically for village office construction, it was monitored and evaluated by the hired contractor and AIPRD. (Marziani, AIPRD’s community facilitator, Jan 2006 – Dec 2007, personal communication, July 27, 2010). • Supported by village leaders, AIPRD organized village meetings to gather community’s wishes and aspirations. The decision making process concerning projects was based on agreement between the community and AIPRD. 77 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh Table 13. The role of residents and other actors for each phase of AIPRD’s construction projects (Village Office, tsunami victims’ cemetery fence, and volleyball and table tennis courts) in Lam Hasan Actor Residents TPKs AIPRD Activity Program initiation for village redevelopment Project initiation Design Construction Monitoring & evaluation Hired Contractor √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √* √* Arnstein’s level of community participation “partnership” (joint decision making between AIPRD and the community, project funding management in the hands of the community) * For the village office, construction as well as monitoring and evaluation was done by a hired contractor. For cemetery fence, and volleyball and table tennis courts, the contractor was not involved in the project management. World Vision (Lambung Case) 1. Relief Activities In response to the tsunami, World Vision, a Christian relief, development and advocay organization, carried out programs pertaining to supporting tsunami survivors, rehabilitating livelihoods and construction of public facilities. Food was distributed and equipment and supplies were provided to clinics, hospitals and schools. World Vision also built temporary shelters, permanent houses, temporary and permanent schools as well as facilitating massive training for teachers to achieve quality education (World Vision Indonesia, 2010). During its work time in Lambung, 20052010, World Vision has built temporary shelters, warehouses, and artesian wells. Work Vision has also provided knockdown buildings for a temporary clinic and a temporary kindergarten. This construction work was tackled during the emergency period soon after the tsunami through Indonesian Tsunami Response Programs. Since 2007 (until present), with its Aceh Development Program, World Vision has focused on economic activities and community health service empowerment. In the health sector, World Vision has helped the village health clinic develop its service through training for clinic workers and provision of initial medical equiment and medicine. In the economic sector, World Vision has strengthened village long-term livelihood prospects, as well as strengthening residents’ confidence, skills and expertise through the combination of training and various economic activities. The economic activities supported by World Vision include producing Acehnese cakes (doi, meusekat, etc) and other cakes, embroidering, and village fish pond development. In 2010, the latter activity is still in progress by strengthening the Village Fish Pond Farmer Association (the establishment of the association was facilitated by World Vision) (Gampong Lambung, 2009). 2. Participatory Process • In the Lambung reconstruction relief right after the tsunami until about 2 years later, World Vision mostly accomodated Lambung community’s proposal for needs and priorities in in the village reconstruction. Like many other relief organizations operationg in Aceh, World Vision used a PRA (Participatory Rapid Appraisal) method in the decision making process. In this regard, World Vision helped community members identify the problems, design and implement program activities. From its meetings with village authorities and the community, World Vision approved communities’ proposals for the following reconstruction: barracks, artesian well, temporary clinic, temporary kindergarten building and warehouse. 78 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh • Communities got involved in the artesian well reconstruction through the bidding process with the bidding participants from Lambung community. • In health sector development, community members were voluntarily involved in providing service for patients in the World Vision’s village clinic enhancement project. World Vision itself provided some needed equipment for the clinic. • In the next period of time (2007-present), World Vision has focused its work mainly on economic and education development. In Lambung, economic development has taken up a large portion of World Vision’s programs. World Vision proposed small and medium enterprise development and the establishment of the fish pond farmer cooperative. Table 14. The role of residents and other participants for each phase of World Vision’s artesian well construction project in Lambung Actor Activity Program initiation for village redevelopment Residents/ benefeciaries Committees √ World Vision Hired contractors √ 1. Artesian well construction Project initiation √ Design √ Construction √ Monitoring & evaluation √ √ √ 2. Small grant project for individual(s) business Project initiation √ √ Proposal making √ √* Running of business √ √** Monitoring & evaluation √ √ Project initiation √ Administering of the cooperative as a corporate body √ √ Monitoring & evaluation √ √*** √ “partnership” (joint decision making between World Vision and the community, project funding management in the hands of the community) “partnership” (joint decision making between World Vision and the community) √* 3. The establishment of the cooperative for fish pond farmers Managing the cooperative Arnstein’s level of community participation √ “informing” (decision making in the hands of World Vision, residents were informed their rights, responsibilities and options) * World Vision facilitated the process ** World Vision conducted training (on bookkeeping, marketting, etc) for beneficiaries *** World Vision in cooperation with microfinance institutions have been providing technical assistance 79 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh • World Vision conducted training (on bookkeeping, marketting, etc) for small business development and provided the community with the financial support for the establishment of the cooperative for fish pond farmers. The financial support was used for the process of administering the cooperative as a corporate body. World Vision came up with the idea of establishing the cooperative based on their own initiative to boost the future village economy. World Vision, in cooperation with Aceh microfinance institutions, also provided technical assistance to strengthen cooperative management and performance. So far, this cooperative has 25 members who have been participating in this economic project by making initial and monthly member contributions. (Mukhlishin, World Vision’s community development coordinator, Sept 2009 –Sept 2010, personal communication, July 23, 2010) UN-HABITAT (Merduati Case) 1. Relief Activities Immediately after the tsunami, United Nations Human Settlements Programme (UNHABITAT), the agency for human settlements in the UN system, started working to assess the damage and support survivors to rebuild their lives, their communities and economic activities. UN-HABITAT, through the Aceh-Nias Settlements Support Programme (ANSSP), which was part of the UNDP’s broader Aceh Emergency Response and Transitional Recovery (ERTR) Programme, was involved in rehabilitation and reconstruction of housing and community infrastructure, introduction of risk mitigation infrastructure, mapping of basic information at the level of the settlement, and technical assistance and policy support to the Aceh Nias Rehabilitation and Reconstruction Agency (BRR) (UNDP & UNHABITAT, 2006; UN-HABITAT, 2006). In Merduati, UN-HABITAT facilitated the formulation of short‐term community planning (Perencanaan Jangka Pendek or PJP) and reconstructed 486 houses (445 new units and 41 rehabilitated ones). The housing reconstruction project in the village and Peulanggahan Village (both part of Kuta Raja subdistrict) was funded through support from the Government of United Arabs Emirates. The project started operating in July 2005 with the establishment of the field office, recruitment of staff and staff training and ended in December 2007 (PNPM-Mandiri 2008; Turmuzi, personal communication, August 14, 2010). 2. Participatory Process • Consultations with head of Merduati, the committee for Rehabilitation and Reconstruction’ (Komite Rehabilitasi dan Rekonstruksi or KERAP) members and the community to build a common vision in the relief effort process. KERAP was part of P2KP project and was formed beforehand. • KERAP facilitated discussions on the community’s needs to rebuild their lives by using the Community Action Plan (CAP) methodology. The product of the discussions was a document on short‐term community planning (Perencanaan Jangka Pendek or PJP). This document was approved by the village community and verified in the focus group meetings attended by community representatives. PJP prioritized construction of the following infrastructure: roads, water supply, drainage, school, mosque, and community hall. • Participatory mapping of the land ownership boundaries was conducted to prepare the settlement layout plan (the community land adjudication system). This was important for the land certification process required by BPN. • After the settlement layout was approved, a series of meetings were organized to determine whether the reconstruction was still in the same location or relocation was required. The communities finally decided to rebuild in the same area. • In the first stage of house construction, UNHABITAT facilitated communities to share their ideas on house designs, construction and the terms of their participation. 80 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh • Seven to thirteen households form one cluster (Kelompok Pembangunan Rumah or KPR). Each cluster had plotted their previous land boundaries in coordination with the surviving neighbours. KPR consisted of 3 cluster representatives: chair, secretary, and treasurer. They had the authority to operate the KPR’s bank account to receive funds from UN-HABITAT as well as managing other issues related to the housing reconstruction. At the village level, beneficiaries were represented by TPK consisting of 3 representatives of all KPRs (chair, secretary, and treasurer). • Monitoring started with supervision in each KPR group (by a supervisor of each KPR). The report to the village level will be made if needed. (UNDP & UN-HABITAT, 2006; UN-HABITAT, 2006). Table 15. The role of beneficiaries and other participants for each phase of UN-HABITAT’s housing project in Merduati Actor Benificiaries Committees UN-HABITAT Hired Arnstein’s level contractors of community Activity participation Program initiation √ √ “partnership” (joint for village decision between redevelopment UN-HABITAT and the community, Project initiation √ √ project funding Design √ √* management in Construction √** the hands of the community) Monitoring & evaluation √ √ √ * UN-HABITAT facilitated the process ** Beneficiaries could either build their houses or give the house construction to professional builders Administrative Participation BRR (in 4 Case Study Village) 1. Relief Activities The Agency for the Rehabilitation and Reconstruction of Aceh and Nias (Badan Rehabilitasi dan Rekonstruksi Aceh dan Nias, BRR), established by the Government of Indonesia on April 16, 2005 through the issuance of Government Regulation in Lieu of Law (Perpu) No. 2/2005, functioned to coordinate and jointly implement a community-driven recovery program for Aceh and Nias (BRR, 2009g). BRR basically had the dual roles: coordinating domestic and international efforts to rebuild Aceh and Nias as well as implementing its own projects (BRR, 2009c). BRR ended its term on April 16, 2009. The relay of recovery work was continued by the associated ministries/agencies and regional governments. In the four case study villages, BRR carried out the following projects: house construction (in Lam Teungoh, Lam Hasan, Merduati), road construction (in all case study villages), construction of drainage, prayer house, village meeting hall, building for producing cakes and Mukim (a legal communit unit formed from several villages) Office (in Lambung), mosque rehabilitation and water supply (in Merduati) (Gampong Lambung, 2009; Gampong Lam Hasan, 2008; Gampong Lam Teungoh, 2009; PNPM-Mandiri, 2008). In addition, BRR also provided grants and loans for the tsunami victims to restart small businesses. Grants were given directly from BRR (right after the tsunami), while loans were then given through microfinance institutions and cooperatives until 2008. 81 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh 2. Participatory Process • Through the Committee for Acceleration of Housing and Settlements Development (KP4D), established by BRR’s initiative with some of its members were community representatives, BRR conducted surveys about housing needs assessment (except for Lambung which its housing project was tackled by the Ministry of Public Works in cooperation with the Multi Donor Funds). These surveys involved community members at the grassroots level coordinated by KP4D. The final decision on the overall housing development (number, beneficiaries, etc) was made by BRR. Housing design and funds were also managed by BRR, while the construction was done by contractors. These housing development approaches which enable communities to participate in the project in a less meaningful way were adopted by BRR to prevent the high risks borne by this new relief agency. The BRR housing project was the biggest housing construction project of all housing projects managed by aid organizations/agencies in the reconstruction process. • Using its own and other parties’ data and assessment (NGOs’, etc), BRR built infrastructure such as roads, bridges, etc by hiring contractors without necceseraly employing village laborers in order to achieve timely project targets (commercial contracting model), in the tsunamiaffected areas. The choice of hiring contractors was made in a situation where BRR was a new relief agency which had a lot of responsibilities in coordinating all recovery efforts and in implementing its own projects in a relatively short period of time. In terms of implementing its own project, BRR was responsible for the biggest housing development project of all aid organizations/agencies. In such a situation, BRR should carefully consider the extent to which communities would participate in its projects to avoid the delay and unsuccesfull results. community at-large. BLT funds were fixed amounts decided by BRR. BLM were given based on proposals made by individuals or parties considering the feasibility of projects offered and the eligibility of benefeciaries (economic conditions, etc). • Later, BRR provided loans instead of grants through microfinance institutions and cooperatives for tsunami victims’ businesses and other community members economic activities. This scheme also required beneficiaries to make business proposals. The microfinance institutions or cooperatives would select the beneficiaries based on the proposals. The microfinance institutions and cooperatives received technical assistance (management assistance, training, internship programs, etc) from BRR. Unfortunately, the low return on loans caused by the misconception among borrowers that the loans belong to them still remains the biggest challenges. • Program monitoring and evaluation for housing construction was done by hired contractors and BRR, while provision of loans and grants by BRR and associated microfinance institutions and cooperatives. (Nazarul Khairi & Iqbal Barata, personal communication, June 15, 2010, & August 18, 2010 respectively; BRR, 2009f). • BRR provided grants for housing renovation (BLT/Bantuan Langsung Tunai) and grants for business capital (BLM/Bantuan Langsung Masyarakat) for tsunami victims the 82 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh Table 16. The role of project participants for each phase of BRR’s projects in the four case study villages Actor Activity Residents/ beneficiaries Community’s committees Program initiation for village redevelopment BRR Hired contractors Arnstein’s level of community participation √ 1. Small scale public infrastructure and housing construction (roads, drainage, village hall, prayer house, etc) Project initiation √ Design √ √ Construction √ Monitoring & evaluation √ √ 2. Housing renovation Project initiation √ Design √ Construction √* Monitoring & evaluation √ √ √ 3. Grants and loans for supporting survivors’ economic activities Project initiation √ √ Business proposal making √ √** Running of business √ Monitoring and evaluation √*** “consultation” and “placation” (community’s input was considered through surveys and the involvement of their representatives in KP4D, but the final decision was in the hands of BRR) “partnership” (joint decision between BRR and the community, project funding management in the hands of the community) “partnership” (joint decision between BRR and the community, project funding management in the hands of the community) * Beneficiaries could either build their houses or give the house construction to professional builders ** BRR (through microfinance institutions or cooperatives) facilitated the process *** Loans were monitored and evaluated by associated microfinance institutions and cooperatives which gave the loans The Ministry of Public Works and BRR/ ReKompak (Lambung Case) 1. Relief Activities The Community-Based Settlement Rehabilitation and Reconstruction Project (Rehabilitasi dan Rekonstruksi Masyarakat dan Permukiman or ReKompak) provided grants to rebuild and repair houses and to rehabilitate infrastructure using a community-driven approach in the tsunami-affected areas in Aceh. Funds for village infrastructure development were distributed through the Urban Poverty Project (Program Penanggulangan Kemiskinan di Perkotaan or P2KP) and the Kecamatan Development Project (Program Pengembangan Kecamatan or PPK). At the beginning, ReKompak, launched in early 2006, was executed under the coordination of Ministry of Public Works. Later, going through a step by step process, the management and execution of the program was handed over to BRR (BRR, 2009e). 83 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh As a whole, the work of ReKompak following the Aceh tsunami was funded by the Multi Donor Fund (MDF), International Development Agency (IDA) and the Government of Indonesia represented by BRR in cooperation with Directorat General for Settlements, Ministry of Public Works. Meanwhile in the Lambung reconstruction, ReKompak’s funding source came from MDF. Three parties were involved in MDF: the Government of Indonesia represented by BRR, donors represented by the European Commission and the World Bank as manager of MDF. MDF’s members included donor countries and international institutions, such as the European Commission, United Kingdom, Sweden, Norway, Germany, Canada, Belgium, Finland, the United States, New Zealand, Ireland, and the Asian Development Bank (BRR, 2009d). ReKompak operated in Lambung from 20062009 focusing on the construction of 309 new homes (Dedi Setiawan, ReKompak’s housing facilitator, 2006-2009, personal communciation, September 3, 2010) . 2. Participatory Process from ReKompak. Fund disbursement was set up into 3 phases, based on the construction progress. Funds allocated for a new house were Rp 45 million and for a rehabilitated one, Rp 15 million maximum. • The community decided whether to choose the self-employed or to work with builders especially the local ones (collectively organized by each cluster group). Benefeciaries could use their own funds to build bigger houses with the help of ReKompak in building designs. • Monitoring was done by each KP and each beneficiary household leader. Both beneficiary household leaders and KPs should make progress reports on the reconstruction progress. • Housing facilitators accompanied TPK and KP in the housing development process. One facilitator was assigned to 3 KPs which consisted of about 30 households. (Dedi Setiawan, ReKompak’s housing facilitator, 2006-2009, personal communciation, September 3, 2010). • Supported by Rekompak, residents mapped and assessed the damages in the village to identify construction needs and housing benefeciaries. • At the beginning, housing designs were offered to the community. However, communities wanted the designs were prepared by the Rekompak team. In response to this request, ReKompak provided a couple of alternative designs and communities picked one. • Communities formed the Settlers Groups (Kelompok Pemukiman or KP), a group of beneficiary families consisting of about 10 household leaders. In total, there were 33 KPs on the list. Each household democratically chose three representatives to manage its own KP (chair, secretary, and treasurer). At the village level, the Activity Managing Team (TPK) was responsible for the whole rehabilitation and reconstruction of settlements in the village. • KP representatives opened and operated the KPR’s bank account to receive funds 84 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh Table 17. The role of residents and other participants for each phase of ReKompak’s housing project in Lambung Activity Actor Beneficiaries TPK ReKompak Team Program initiation for village √ redevelopment √ Project initiation √ √ Design Hired contractors “partnership” (joint decision between Rekompak team and the community, project funding management in the hands of the community √ Construction √* Monitoring & evaluation √ √ Arnstein’s level of community participation √ * Beneficiaries could either build their houses or give the house construction to professional builders The Ministry of Public Works/PNPM-Mandiri (Merduati Case) 1. Relief Activities The National Community Empowerment Program (Program Nasional Pemberdayaan Masyarakat Mandiri or PNPM-Mandiri), a government flagship program coordinated by the Ministry of Planning (Badan Perencanaan Pembangunan Nasional or Bappenas) and the Coordinating Ministry Social Welfare (Kementrian Koordinator Kesejahteraan Rakyat or Menko Kesra), aims to increase community capacity to implement a participatory development process in reducing poverty and creating jobs through the provision of investment resources to support proposals developed by communities. PNPMMandiri was launched in 2007 and implemented through the PPK and P2KP. Beginning in 2008, all community empowerment programs for poverty reduction managed by government ministries and agencies were integrated into PNPM Mandiri (PNPM-Mandiri, 2008; Ministry of Public Works, 2009). Following the tsunami, PNPM-Mandiri’s projects in Aceh, especially in the tsunamiaffected areas, were then linked to the reconstruction effort. PNPM-Mandiri’s reconstruction projects in Aceh included infrastructure reconstruction (roads, drainage, water and sanitation facilities, etc), provision of capital and financial resources through micro credit for the poor, and inreasing community and local government capacity through training and disseminating information on business skills and good governance. In Merduati, as of 2008, community block grant (Bantuan Langsung Masyarakat or BLM) managed by PNPM-Mandiri was allocated for two main activities: construction of economic and social infrastructure as well as providing microcredits through community-managed revolving fund. The former comprised, among others, construction of drainage, roads, and a warehouse. The latter included providing revolving funds for poor families who have no or limited access to other sources of credit. These funds were used to develop economic activities of, among others, cattle and poultry breeders, fishermen, notions traders, and meatball vendors (PNPM-Mandiri, 2008). 2. Participatory Process • The socialization of the program (pertaining to its objectives, participatory approaches, basic principles, etc) was conducted in the village and hamlet level meeting. • A representative body to supervise PNPM-Mandiri programs at the village level, the Community Self-help Body (Badan Keswadayaan Masyarakat or BKM), was elected by the residents. To syncronize its programs with the whole village development plan, PNPM-Mandiri coordinated with the village head. • The revolving funds were managed by the Financial Management Unit (Unit Pengelola Keuangan or UPK) set up within BKM. UPK members along with volunteers and other development teams/units for construction related activities were elected in the village meeting. 85 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh • The community mapped and identified local potential, problems and needs. The results of this process were used by the community for preparing community development plans, namely the Three Year Village Development Plan and the Annual Village Development Plan. This plan contained programs and activities designed to improve the village conditions. • Based on the community development plan, villagers selected and determined the local institution which would get involved in the activity implementation, as well as discussing funds disbursement, provision of laborers, material and logistics. • All activities were carried out by the community facilitated by community facilitators, a consultant, and local government staff. For construction related activities, local resources (laborers, skills, etc) were prioritized. • A review of the whole project performance was undertaken by UPK and reported to BKM. In particular, facilitators, the consultant, and local government officials conducted financial and performance audits. • Project implementation progress was reported on a monthly/couple of month basis. The report included detailed project implementation and problems faced on the ground. • Complaints and questions as to the projects were directed to UPK, related development teams, BKM and facilitators. These both followed up the reported complaints and questions if needed. • In providing microcredits for poor families, PNPM-Mandiri targeted residents with small businesses. However, loan was also allocated for other purposes (for instance for education in Merduati case). The microcredits were distributed through group lending (about 10 people per group) with the guarantee from the group. Group leaders were responsible for collecting loan repayments from their group members, as well as in monitoring and managing delinquent loans. Loan repayments are usually made on a monthly basis and collected by the group leaders who, in turn, repay UPK on behalf of the group. Training on bookeeping was provided to microcredit groups, while technical assistance as to revolving funds managment was provided to UPK. (Ministry of Public Works, 2009; PNPMMandiri, 2008; Raja Dalam, personal communication, August 19, 2010). Table 18. The role of residents and other participants for each phase of PNPM-Mandiri’s projects in Lambung Actor Activity Residents/ beneficiaries Community Development Team Program initiation for village redevelopment PNPM-Mandiri Team Hired contractors Arnstein’s level of community participation √ 1. Small scale construction project (drainage, roads, and warehouse) Project initiation √ Design √ Construction √ Monitoring & evaluation √ √ √* √ 2. Microcredits for poor families Project initiation √ Proposal making √ Running of business √ Monitoring & evaluation √ √* √ √* √ √ “partnership” (joint decision between PNPM-Mandiri Team and the community, project funding management in the hands of the communty) * PNPM-Mandiri team facilitated the process 86 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh Summary of Aid Organization/Agency- did not want to risk its projects and relied very promoted Participation and Administrative much on its own and contractors’ roles in project Participation in the Four Case Study Villages management. In this regard, BRR only engaged Based on aid organization/agency experience in exercising community participation in posttsunami redevelopment described above, it can be concluded that there are many ways that communities could participate in post-tsunami redevelopment both in decision making and project management. In decision making, communities in cooperation with or facilitated by aid organizations/agencies could play a role in the program and project initiation process. This process begin with the identification of the existing situation, problems and needs as well as setting priorities. Specifically, in terms of the infrastructure projects, the participation ranges from design, construction, and monitoring and evaluation. Meanwhile, in the case of grants or loans for small businesses, the participation includes proposal making for businesses, operation of businesses, and monitoring and evaluation. Of all aid organizations/agencies, UPLINK was the only party applying “delegated power” level of participation in its recovery projects in Lam Hasan, including housing construction and renovation, public infrastructure construction, and small business development. In the whole process of its infrastructure, economic, and other projects, UPLINK consistently empowered the community by facilitating the community in decision making and project management. The final decision was in the hands of the community. All aid organizations/agencies, except for the Ministry of Public Works (PNPM-Mandiri) and BRR (Indonesian government agencies), endorsed communities to participate in the development of recovery programs and projects. The absence of community participation in decision making of PNPM-Mandiri’s program was caused by the fact that PNMP-Mandiri is the continuation of the previous programs that had been designed by the central government long before the tsunami. Meanwhile, BRR with no experience in implementing community participation approaches (as a new agency) and its large scale housing and infrastructure construction projects (for housing projects, the biggest in all tsunami affected areas in Aceh compared to other aid organizations/agencies), communities in the rebuilding process by considering their input through surveys and the involvement of communities’ representatives on the related board. The final decision was in the hands of BRR. Only in housing renovation projects and small grants projects for business which had relatively low risk, BRR gave more space for the community to participate by joint decision making between BRR and the communitiy/beneficiaries (“partnership” level of participation). Except for BRR’s housing reconstruction project, most aid organization/agencies applied “partnership” Arnstein’s level of participation in implementing their construction projects. They made decisions regarding projects together with communities and involved communities in project management in a meaningful manner. In project design, they facilitated communities in the design process (UPLINK and UNHABITAT). In cases where communities were not capable of making the design (based on their or communities’ appraisal), they handled it (Rekompak, Mercy Coprs, AIPRD, USAID/ DAI, PNPM, and World Vision). Construction was handled by communities (managed by communities through self-help or appointing professional builders). The use of local laborers contributed to boosting village economies. However, the complexity of asphalting work in road construction in Lam Hasan led UPLINK to hire a contractor for finishing the work. Only village office construction (AIPRD’s project in Lam Hasan) was handled by a hired contractor. With regard to monitoring and evaluation, aid organizations/agencies and communities mostly worked together except for the few number of contractor-based projects. Two economic projects, namely the establishment of the village owned enterprise in Lam Teungoh (Mercy Corps) and the establishment of the cooperative for fish pond farmers in Lambung (World Vision) fall into the “informing” level of participation due to the absence of communities involvement in the decision making process. 87 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh However, this occured because these projects were advanced ones in which communities had no initial idea on these matters, while Mercy Corps and World Vision considered the projects important for boosting the future village economy. Meanwhile, the other economic project, i.e. small business development for low income community members supported by Mercy Corps, World Vision, and PNPMMandiri fall into the “partnership” category since the final decision was made based on the agreement from the aid organizations/agencies and communities. Consequently, it is obvious that the extent to which communities participate in the reconstruction effort is associated with the willingness and capacity of aid organizations/ agencies, the nature of recovery projects and the readiness of communities to participate. It is also important to note that adequate time in exercising participation (UPLINK case in Lam Hasan) and community facilitators’ informal approaches to engage communities in the reconstruction effort (USAID/DAI case in Lam Teungoh) are also significant for optimizing participation. Table 19. The comparison of communities and other participants’ roles for each phase of Aid Organizations/Agencies’ projects in the four case study villages (the role of communities is highlighted) Actor NGOs International Agencies Indonesian Gov’t Agencies Ministry of Pub. Works UP LINK (Lam Hasan) AIPRD (Lam Hasan) World Vision (Lambung) USAID/ DAI (Lam Teungoh) UNHA-BITAT (Mer-duati) Rekompak (Lambung) PNPMMand. (Merduati) Mercy-Comm UPLINKComm AIPRDComm WVComm USAIDComm UNHABITATComm RekComm PNPMMand. BRR Activity Program initiation for village redev’t BRR (4 case study villages) Mercy Corps (Lam Teungoh) 1. Housing construction Project initiation - Comm - - - UNHABITATComm RekComm - BRR Design - Comm - - - Comm Rek - BRR Construction - Comm - - - Comm Comm - Con Monitoring & evaluation - UPLINKComm - - - UNHABITATComm RekComm - Con-BRR Arnstein’s level of participation - Delegated power - - - Partner-ship Partnership - Consultation & placation 2. Housing renovation Project initiation - Comm - - - UNHABITATComm - - BRR-Comm Design - Comm - - - Comm - - Comm Construction - Comm - - - Comm - - Comm Monitoring & evaluation - UPLINKComm - - - UNHABITATComm - - BRR-Comm Arnstein’s level of participation - Delegated power - - - Partner-ship - - Partnership 88 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh 3. Small scale public infrastructure project Project initiation MercyComm Comm AIPRDComm WV USAIDComm - - PNPMComm BRR Design Mercy Comm AIPRD Comm USAID - - Comm BRR Construction Comm Comm & ConComm Comm & Con-Res’t Comm Comm - - Comm Con Monitoring & evaluation MercyComm UPLINKComm AIPRDCommCon WV-Comm USAIDComm - - PNPM-Comm Con-BRR Arnstein’s level of participation Partnership Dele-gated power Partnership Partnership Partnership - - Partnership Consultation & Placation 4. Small business development (grants, loan, training, etc) Project initiation MercyComm Comm - WV-Comm - - - PNPM-Comm BRR Proposal making Comm Comm - Comm - - - Comm Comm Running of business Comm Comm - Comm - - - Comm Comm Monitoring & evaluation Mercy UPLINKComm - WV-Comm - - - PNPM-Comm BRRComm Arnstein’s level of participation Partnership Dele-gated power - Partnership - - - Partnership Partnership Comm: The community; Con: Hired contractor Arstein’s level community participation: • Delegated power: decision making was in the hands of the community, the aid organization/agency only facilitates the process • Partnership: joint decision making between the aid organization/agency and the community • Consultation and placation: community’s input was considered through surveys and the involvement of its representatives on the related board, but the final decision was in the hands of the aid organization/agency 2.3 Benefits, Supporting Factors and Constraints of Community Participation Community participation in post-tsunami redevelopment in four case study villages has brought about positive impacts on tsunami survivors, villagers and villages as a whole. Particular benefits were gained by each village. Immediate survivors’return to the village coordinated by their charismatic head of village in Lam Teungoh accelerated the villagers’ economic recovery process. The majority of residents who worked as fishermen were able to go to sea to make a living again. The return also encouraged various aid organizations/agencies to take quick efforts to rebuild the village (Husaini, personal communication, March 8, 2010). The choice of qualified Activity Managing Teams’ (TPKs) members in Lam Hasan resulted in a relatively quick process of project management (Marziani, personal communication, July 27, 2010). Lambung community members’ endurance and preserverance in a long and tough village mapping and land consolidation process, as well as their willingness to give their land without any compensation resulted in more organized existing settlements (Zaidi, personal communication, July 2, 2010). The role of community leaders, particularly religious leaders, in involving residents in the reconstruction projects in Merduati influenced the increase in the number of residents involved in the participatory process (Raja Dalam, personal communication, August 19, 2010), although its number (percentage) still lagged behind the three other villages. 89 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh Aside from specific achievements, the four case study villages also gained similar benefits by exercising community participation in their village redevelopment. The major benefits included improving community capacity building in organizing community resources and project management (planning, funding, design, construction and monitoring and evaluation); meeting community’s needs; reducing traumatic feelings among survivors; and providing more income for communities from reconstruction related jobs (through the cash-for-work projects and community contracting model of housing and public infrastructure projects, etc). In terms of reducing traumatic feelings, survivors’ involvement in the village relief efforts, to some extent, shifted their attention from post-tsunami depression (due to loss of family members, etc) to reconstruction activities (Husaini, Bukhari, Turmuzi, & Zaidi, personal communication, March 8, 2010, May 9, 2010, August 14, 2010, & July 2, 2010, respectively). In terms of constraints and supporting factors of the participation process, they varied from village to village. Socio-cultural and economic conditions, leadership, communities’ endurance in participatory process, and social ties determined the success of community participation in post-tsunami redevelopment. In the case of Lam Teungoh, lack of knowledge among community members (especially vulnurable people like women and children) which was caused by low income conditions inhibited them from actively participating in decision making. In this regard, the situation was handled by the role of community USAID/DAI’s facilitators in improving their self confidence and absorbing their aspirations through informal interaction between the aid organization and the community. The facilitators also played an important role in channeling their wishes to FGDs members, which in turn, resulted in the accommodation of their needed projects such as provision of women’s group building and kitchenware (Husaini, personal communication, March 8, 2010). Meanwhile, native inhabitants tended to be more attached to their village and had strong social ties which helped the participatory process. In cases of Lam Teungoh and Lambung (the majority of their inhabitants were native), for instance, villagers were relatively easy to mobilize for collective action (Husaini & Bukhari, personal communication, March 8, 2010 & May 9, 2010 respectively). Merduati which had a lot of new inhabitants had difficulties in involving them in the participatory process (Turmuzi, personal communication, August 14, 2010). In the future it is important for Merduati to conduct any activities that can improve the sense of village ownership among new inhabitants, so that they will be willing to get involved in the village development process. Other constraints of community participation included communities’ reluctant to relocate or give their land for public facilities, low coordination between aid organizations and government, time consuming process of participation, and the negative effect of “the cash-for-work” projects. In Lam Teungoh, Lam Hasan, and Merduati, a common agreement concerning a redrawing of boundaries and land-use pattern between residents could not be achieved because post-tsunami land certification process from BPN (National Land Affairs Agency) took place slowly and/or the reluctance of residents to give their ancestorinherited land even with compensation (Husaini, Bukhari, & Turmuzi, personal communication, March 8, 2010, May 9, 2010, & August 14, 2010 respectively). On the contrary, Lambung leaders (the head of the village and religious leaders) succeded in convincing residents to give their land to build more organized settlements. The leaders stated that contributing land was part of religious service which would bring merit to residents’ ancestors (Zaidi, personal communication, July 2, 2010) Low coordination between aid organizations and government particularly in the beginning periode of reconstruction leading to unsuccesful projects in Lam Teungoh and Lam Hasan, for instance, also resulted in the decrease in community’s moral in getting involved in the participatory process. The unusable boat dock due to the mistake of development location choice (quite far from the beach line) done by BRR in Lam Teungoh and the unfunctioned tab water pipelines built in Lam Hasan by BRR because of not gaining support from Localowned Water Supply Company or PDAM) resulted in disappointment among communities. 90 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh Apart from the unproper feasibility study of the project, the former case also happened since BRR did not properly involve the community, especially fishermen, in the planning phase of the project. The fishermen then ignored the implementation of the project although they apprehended the wrong project location choice. The latter case was caused by the careless of BRR as the coordinator agency of post-tsunami redevelopment in involving the related agency in its project management (Husaini & Bukhari, personal communication, March 8, 2010, & May 9, 2010, respectively). In Lambung, a common agreement on village mapping land consolidation among community members took a long and tough process. Permanent homes for residents could be occupied around 2007. However, residents’ endurance and patience in the negotiation process as well as trust among them resulted in more organized settlements (Zaidi, personal communication, July 2 , 2010). The involvement of community members in the reconstruction effort was also distracted by the implementation of the cash-for-work (cleaning up the village) projects managed by several NGOs in the four case study villages. This project was a dilemma. One the one hand, it provided an income for survivors in the emergency period. On the other hand, it led many community members to be reluctant to work for pure voluntary relief activities after the emergency period. They would seriously consider participating in the voluntary activities (attending village meetings, being reconstruction committee members, etc) as long as there were financial incentives in return. Nowadays, after the reconstruction process is over, gotong royong kampung (a traditional community self-help at the village level) that provides no financial incentives tends to be attended by a small number of residents (Husaini, Bukhari, Turmuzi, & Zaidi, personal communication, March 8, 2010, May 9, 2010, August 14, 2010, & July 2, 2010, respectively). role in the return of survivors to their village and initial post tsunami redevelopment in Lam Teungoh (Husaini, personal communication, March 8, 2010). Decisive action shown by head of Lam Hasan village by cancelling some delayed UPLINK’s projects enabled this village to receive support from other relief organizations/agencies to maitain the continuity of the reconstruction efforts. Head of this village also contributed in giving input for capable candidates for TPKs’ members, which in turn, accelerated village relief (Marziani, personal communication, July 27, 2010). In Merduati, close relations between village bureaucrats and informal community leaders led to a relatively smooth reconstruction management at the village level (Raja Dalam, personal communication, August 19, 2010). In Lambung, the head of the village’s bravery and exact calculation in a community land adjudication decision was a starting point for the success of creating more orderly and planned village. In addition, his decision on the uniformity of house construction types (by allowing only Rekompak/MDF to manage the whole housing project in the village) strengthened togetherness and avoided jealous feelings among community members (Dedi Setiawan, personal communication, September 3, 2010). Last but not least, the community participation process also needs to be supported by networking and creativity. Lambung case shows that village’s broad networking with various parties and individuals gave the village access to financial support and reconstruction information. Lambung’s creative initiatives for opening a community bank account to receive donations (with public announcement) as well as the advertisement of village meetings in the media were also significant for creating a conducive environment for community driven development. Aside from social ties, the performance and capacity of village bureaucrats and community leaders apparently was also a major determinant of involving the community in the village rebuilding process. The charismatic head of Lam Teungoh village took a leading 91 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh Table 20. Constraints, supporting factors, and benefits of community participation in the four case study villages Village Lam Teungoh Lam Hasan Lambung Merduati (less developed, very severely affected) (less developed, moderately to severely affected) (more developed, very severely affected) (more developed, moderately to severely affected) Socio-culture -coastal rural area -education level: 40% have no education -lots of native inhabitants -coastal rural area -education level: 58% senior high, 7% undergraduate and higher -mix of native and new inhabitants -semi urban area -education level: 62% senior high, 21% undergraduate -lots of native inhabitants -urban area -education level: 48% senior high, 20% undergraduate and higher -lots of new inhabitants Economy -major occupation: fishermen and farmers -very low income (Rp 800,000 – 1 million) -major occupation: private & state company workers and farmers -low income (Rp 1 – 1.2 million) -major occupation: private company workers and civil servants -middle income (Rp 1.5 – 1.75 million) -major occupation: private company workers, civil servants, and traders -middle income (Rp 2.5 million) Supporting factors of community participation (strategies of participation) -strong leadership -strong social ties -USAID/DAI facilitators’ informal approaches to engage uneducated villagers in redevelopment -capable community’s committee members -decisive head of village’s decision on reconstruction efforts -adequate time in exercising participation -capable head of village and comunity leaders -strong social ties -creativity (public account, meeting adv’t) -broad networking -religious approach --residents willing to relocate or give their land for village redev’t -One type of house design and construction for all beneficiaries -close working relations between village bureaucrats and community leaders Constraints of community participation -reluctant to relocate or to contribute land -low coordination among aid organizations -lack of knowledge and skills among lots of community members -“income generated” cash- for-work projects (debris removal) ruin traditional volunteer program gotong royong -reluctant to relocate or to contribute land -low coordinations among aid organizations -“income generated” cash-for-work projects ruin traditional volunteer program gotong royong -time consuming process of village mapping and land consolidation (about 2 years) - many new residents were difficult to mobilized because of many of new residents - reluctant to relocate or to contribute land --“income generated” cash-for work-projects ruin traditional program gotong royong Benefits of community participation Immediate community’s return to the village after tsunami accelerated the village recovery process Qualified committee members resulted in the quickness of project management More organized settlements as a result of villagers’ endurance in the participation process & their willingness to contribute their land Improved sense of village ownership (a little) among inhabitants due to the religious leaders’ role Component -Improving community capacity building in project management -Meeting community’s needs -Providing more income for communities (from reconstruction jobs) -Reducing traumatic feelings. 92 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh 2.4 Discussion The research findings show that types of participation discussed in theory (“ad hoc” and aid organization/agency-promoted participation) have been implemented in posttsunami redevelopment in Aceh. The occurance of “ad hoc” participation (participatory activities mainly mobilized by community members) in the four case study village was basically related to communities’ urgent needs right after the tsunami as well as community members’ creativity and networking. The urgent needs of communities led the residents of the four case study villages to partipate in (1) corpse evacuation; (2) data collection on the death toll in their own village; and (3) disseminating disaster-related information. Communities had no choice except to participate in these activites because aid agencies were still not involved actively in the relief effort at that time. All case study villages, except for Merduati, also participated in barrack/temporary shelter development. The non-existence of temporary shelter development in Merduati resulted from the lack of coordination among its community members due to the death of its former head of village in the tsunami and its proximity to the capital city which resulted in easy access to relief assistance. The role of creativity and networking in exercising “ad hoc” particpation can be seen in the case of Lambung village. This village made some breakthroughs through resident initiatives in village development planning, land contribution for public facilities, opening a bank account for public donations, advertising village meetings, and public facility construction with village funds. With regard to aid organization/agencypromoted participation (participation promoted by NGOs, international agencies, and Indonesian Government Agencies), the findings indicate that the extent to which communities were involved in this kind of participation was associated with the willingness and capacity of aid organizations/ agencies, the nature of recovery projects, and the readiness of communities to participate. In addition, adequate time in exercising participation (UPLINK case in Lam Hasan), and community facilitators’ informal approaches to engage communities in the reconstruction effort (USAID/DAI case in Lam Teungoh) are also significant for optimizing participation. This findings show that besides requiring the willingnes and capacity of aid/organizations/ agencies and the readiness of communities as well as the adequate time in exercising participation as suggested by theory, the implementation (the level) of community participation in the case of post-tsunami redevelopment in Aceh also relates to the nature of recovery project. The establishment of the village owned enterprise in Lam Teungoh (Mercy Corps) and the establishment of the cooperative for fish pond farmers in Lambung (World Vision), for instance, took place with the absence of communities involvement in the decision making process because those NGOs considered these projects advanced ones in which communities had no initial idea on these matters. By exercising community participation in their village redevelopment, the four case study villages also gained benefits including improving community capacity building in project management, meeting community’s needs, providing more income for communities (from reconstruction jobs), and reducing traumatic feelings as suggested by theory. Specifically, the benefits of the implementation of community participation for communities included accelerating the village economic recovery process (Lam Teungoh case), a quick process of project management (Lam Hasan case), more organized settlements (Lambung case), and an improved sense of village ownership among inhabitants (Merduati case). Based on information from the heads of the villages, it can be concluded that constraints of community participation included low coordination among aid organizations/agencies (Lam Teungoh and Lam Hasan cases), lack of knowledge among community members (Lam Teungoh case), the long participatory process (Lambung case), and the bad influence of “income generated” cash for work projects (Lam Teungoh, Lam Hasan, and Merduati cases). approaches, and residents’ willingness to make contributions (Lambung case). 93 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh Meanwhile, supporting factors of participation included leadership (Lambung, Lam Hasan, and lambung cases), social ties (Lam Teungoh and Lambung cases), community facilitator’s approaches (Lam Teungoh case), as well as information on participatory activities, networking, religious 3. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS This research finds that the occurrence of “ad hoc” participation (participatory activities mainly mobilized by community members) was related to community members’ urgent needs right after the tsunami as well as their creativity and networking. With regard to aid organization/agency-promoted participation (participation mobilized by NGOs, international agencies, and the Indonesian Government), the findings indicates this kind of participation was associated with the willingness and capacity of aid organizations/agencies, nature of recovery projects, readiness of residents to participate, adequate time in exercising participation, and community facilitators’ approaches. This study has several limitations, many of which should be addressed in future research. The first is that community participation in the four case study villages cannot really represent community participation in Aceh. A much larger number of villages with representative districts/ cities affected by the tsunami will better reflect the portrait of community participation in the tsunami affected villages in the entire Province. Second, for the aid organization/agency, besides the addition of its number, its variety (in terms of, for instance, the scale of funding and country of origin) should also be considered so that aid organizations/agencies selected are more representative of all aid organizations. The research findings suggest that the success of community participatory approaches in postdisaster redevelopment requires the willingness and readiness of stakeholders (government, aid organizations/agencies, community leaders, and community members) and cooperation among them. Results also suggest that government should educate and train all stakeholders as to community participation approaches. The hope is that this effort help improve the awareness and capacities of the stakeholders in implementing community participation in postdisaster redevelopment. REFERENCES Arnstein, Sherry R. 1969. “A Ladder of Citizen Participation” in Journal of the American Planning Association. Vol 35 no. 2 pp. 216-224. Australia Indonesia Partnership for Reconstruction and Development. 2010. Australia Indonesia Partnership for Reconstruction and Development: Post-disaster Recovery in Aceh and Nias (2005-2008). Retrived September 7, 2010 from http://www.ausaid.gov.au/country/ aiprd.cfm Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) Kabupaten Aceh Besar (BPS – Statistics of the Aceh Besar District) 2006. Kecamatan Peukan Bada dalam Angka, 2006 (Peukan Bada Sub-District in figures, 2006. Jantho: Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) Kabupaten Aceh Besar. ------. 2003. Kecamatan Peukan Bada dalam Angka, 2003 (the Peukan Bada Sub-District in figures, 2003). Jantho: Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) Kabupaten Aceh Besar. BRR. 2009a. 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An Overview of International Development Perspective in History: Focus on Agricultural and Rural Development (Unpublished Lecture Transcript for AGEC 5163, International Agricultural And Rural Development). Fayettevile, AR: Department Of Agricultural Economics, University Of Arkansas. Voth, Donald E., & William S. Bonner. 1978. Citizen Participation in Rural Development: Concepts, Principles, and Resource Materials. Starkville, MS: Southern Rural Development Center, Rural Development Series No. 6. Waspada Daily. 2010. Jumlah Penduduk Aceh 4,486,570 Jiwa (Aceh’s Population is 4,486,570). Retrieved August 25, 2010 from Http://Www.Waspada.Co.Id/Index. Php?Option=Com_Content&View=Article&I d=137106:Jumlah-Penduduk-Aceh-4486570Jiwa&Catid=13:Aceh&Itemid=26 Selznick, Philip. 1966. TVA and the Grass Roots. New York: Harper & Row. The Republic Of Indonesia. 1999. Law No. 22/1999 on Government Regional Autonomy. ------. 2007. Law No. 24/2007 on Disaster Management. ------. 2004. Law No. 25/2004 on National Development Planning. 96 Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh IDENTIFYING LOW CARBON TECHNOLOGY FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Kardono Center of Environmental Technology, Agency for The Assessment and Application of Technology 20th Fl Building II BPPT, Jl. MH. Thamrin No. 8 Jakarta Mitigation and Adaptation of Climate Change and Sustainable Development IDENTIFYING LOW CARBON TECHNOLOGY FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Kardono Center of Environmental Technology, Agency for The Assessment and Application of Technology 20th Fl Building II BPPT, Jl. MH. Thamrin No. 8 Jakarta ABSTRACT Over the past 30 years, significant findings regarding global warming highlighted the need to curb carbon emissions. Carbon emissions are believed acting as green house gas (GHG) that heat the atmosphere. In terms of carbon emissions, both developed and developing countries have basically employed technologies at certain levels. These technologies have contributed in emitting carbon dioxide (CO2) and resulted CO2 concentration in the atmosphere to increase. From this, the idea for low carbon power was born. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), set the scientific precedence for the introduction of low carbon power or in general it can be called as a low carbon technology (LCT). In the application of LCT in developing countries such as Indonesia there are some constraints that need to be resolved. The first problem is about the imported LCT due to the human resource capability and opportunity, and the second one is the financial limitation. Actually as a developing country, Indonesia has voluntarily committed to reduce its GHG emissions by 26% by 2020 with its self financing or 41% with addition of foreign aids. This target will carry consequences for Indonesia to make an action plan and at the same time to choose which LCTs are employed in reducing GHGs to support the target. Several state documents have been launched for curbing carbon emission, particularly from energy sources. This paper will focus on discussing LCT of energy sector since the LCT is usually applied much more in the energy areas than others. From 2009 TNA study, the technology option for reducing CO2 emission (LCT) is suggested both for supply and demand sides. For supply side technology it is prioritized for clean coal technology, geothermal and renewable energy resources including biomass, hydro, wind, solar. For demand side, priority of technology is given to energy efficiency technologies for industrial, residential and commercial building. Also, soft technology such as energy audit, energy rating and labeling was proposed. Technology option for transportation sector is outlined. Those are the use of advance lightweight material, power and control system and engine technology. In terms of fuel used, the vehicles are suggested to utilize cleaner alternative fuel such as gas to substitute gasoline. Transport demand management is also proposed to improve, like using intelligent transportation system (ITS) and mass rapid transportation system (MRTS). 1. INTRODUCTION Indonesia is a nation of about 17,500 islands located between Asia and Australia continents. It is the world’s largest archipelagic state with population of more than 250 million people and the world’s fourth most populous country. More than 80% of its populations live in agriculture and fishery sectors, which is highly susceptible to climate variability. Serving as the lung of world climate, Indonesia has forest land coverage about 120.3 million hectares. High economic growth in the last decades has led to growing demand of energy supply and utilizations in the country. This growing energy demand goes in hand with increasing carbon (CO2) emissions. Climate change is a common problem at 98 global scale that needs cooperation among nations for its mitigation and adaptation. No individual country is able to solve the problem by itself because of its scale and complexity. In order to meet the principle of “common but differentiated responsibility” it is often found to be contradicted with the national interest of each country. In fact, GHG emissions and their impact do not depend on nation boundaries and therefore they need to be worked out cooperatively. Over the past 30 years, significant findings regarding global warming highlighted the need to curb carbon emissions. Carbon emissions are believed to be the cause of green house gas (GHG) effects that heat the atmosphere. Anthropogenic CO2 is the main source of GHG accumulation in the atmosphere, due to the use of fossil fuel since industrial revolution in 18th century. In many cases, the use of technology such as fossil fuel combustion results in negative impact to the environment, in addition to its benefit to the people. Carbon dioxide emission from fossil combustion technology causing global warming is an example of its negative impact to the environment. Actually, both developed and developing countries at certain levels have employed technologies that contribute to increase in CO2 emission in the atmosphere. It is therefore required a cooperation among all nations to apply all potential technologies for current global problem of climate change mitigation and adaptation. Thus, a series of negotiation and conferences under UNFCCC has been directed in the effort of applying low carbon technology (LCT) to reduce GHG emissions as well as to anticipate climate change impact. LCT comes from processes or technologies that, at the point of generation, release less carbon dioxide than traditional means of power generation. It includes zero carbon power sources, such as wind, solar, geothermal, nuclear power, as well as sources with slightly lowerlevel emissions than coal and oil, such as natural gas. Increase energy efficiency is also considered to be a LCT since it generates less CO2 emission. The primary problem in implementing those technologies is differences in technology mastery between developed and developing countries. The owners of these technologies in developed countries are private entities holding intellectual property right (IPR) for their technologies. On the other hand, developing countries are not yet ready in implementing those technologies due to financial constraint or limitation in human resource capabilities. It is important for developing countries to always assess and find low carbon technology that is appropriate for their needs. 2. CONDITION OF ENERGY GENERATION AND USE IN INDONESIA Total energy consumption in Indonesia in 2006 was about 853.8 million BOE. Its composition by sector was industry (37.14%), residential (36.65%), transportation (20.09%), commercial (2.57%), and others (3.55%) as shown in Figure 1. Figure 1. Energy consumption by Sectors in 2006 (Source: Handbook of Energy & Economic Statistics of Indonesia (2006) taken from TNA 2009). in 2020, as shown in Table 1. Its composition in 2012 by fuel is HSD (8.57%), MFO (2.38%), gas (21.09%), LNG (3.74%), coal (54.37%), hydro (5.54%), solar/hybrid (0.002%), biomass (0.03%) and geothermal (4.27%). Whereas its composition in 2020 is estimated to be HSD (0.7%), MFO (0.02%), gas (8.31%), LNG (8.49%), coal (64.20%), hydro (5.77%), solar/ hybrid (0.002%), biomass (0.02%), import (0.09%) and geothermal (12.39%). In 2010 installed capacity for Java-Bali energy generation system was 23,206 MW, consisted of hydro (10.9%), steam power from coal (39.5%), from gas/oil (4.3%) and from oil (2.2%), steam gas power from gas/oil (19.4%) and from oil (9.2%), gas power from gas/oil (1.1%) and from oil (8.5%), diesel power (0.3%), and geothermal (4.5%), as shown in Table 2 and Figure 2. Figure 3 shows the projection of CO2 emission in Indonesia if electricity production is done with fuel mix as listed in Table 1. Figure 3 indicates that CO2 emission in Indonesia will increase from Total electricity production based on fuel types in Indonesia is 202,386 GWh in 2012 and is predicted to increase to 371,373 GWh 99 IDENTIFYING LOW CARBON TECHNOLOGY FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Table 1. Electricity production based on fuel types in Indonesia (GWh) in 2012 and their predictions in 2020 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Fuel Type HSD MFO Gas LNG Coal Hydro Solar/Hybrid Biomass Import Geothermal Total 2012 17,346 4,807 42,691 7,578 110,043 11,204 4 63 8,650 202,386 (Source: RUPTL-PLN 2011-2010) % 8.57 2.38 21.09 3.74 54.37 5.54 0.002 0.03 0.00 4.27 100.00 2020 2,635 65 30,879 31,541 238,432 21,429 7 63 317 46,005 371,373 % 0.71 0.02 8.31 8.49 64.20 5.77 0.002 0.02 0.09 12.39 100.00 Table 2. Installed capacity (MW) of electricity generation system in Java-Bali, 2010 Generation type IP 1. Hydropower 1,103 2. Steam Power: • Coal 3,400 • Gas/Oil • Oil 500 3. Steam-Gas Power: • Gas/Oil 1,180 • Oil 1,496 4. Gas Power: • Gas/Oil 40 • Oil 806 5. Diesel power 76 6. Geothermal 360 Total 8,961 (Source: RUPTL 2011-2020, PLN) PJB 1,283 PLN IPP 150 System 2,536 % 10.9 800 1,000 1,920 - 3,050 - 9,170 1,000 500 39.5 4.3 2.2 2,587 640 740 - - 4,507 2,136 19.4 9.2 62 320 6,692 858 3,518 150 685 4,035 252 1,948 76 1,045 23,206 1.1 8.5 0.3 4.5 100 141 Million Tons CO2e in 2011 to 276 Million Tons CO2e in 2020. Of 276 Million Tons of CO2e emission, 245 Million Tons (89%) is generated from coal combustion. Average grid emission factor for Indonesia in 2011 was 0.763 kg CO2/ kWh. It will increase to 0.8 kg CO2/kWh in 20132014 and it will decrease to 0.745 kg CO2/kWh in 2020 due to operation of geothermal and hydro power. For Java-Bali system, CO2 emission projection will increase from 110 Million Ton in 2011 to 205 Million Ton in 2020 or almost twice as much. Grid emission factor however becomes better from 0.778 kg CO2/kWh in 2011 to 0.756 kg CO2/kWh in 2020. This better grid emission factor is due to the increase of natural gas and geothermal utilization as well as supercritical technology for coal power generation. In addition to energy generation and utilization, the use of LCT will also be discussed for transportation, industry and household. Energy use in transportation, household and industry come from petroleum (65.9%), natural gas (12.7%), coal (7.4%), electricity (12.5%) and LPG (1.6%). 100 IDENTIFYING LOW CARBON TECHNOLOGY FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Figure 2. Installed capacity of electric generation system of 23,206 MW in Java-Bali, 2010 Figure 3. CO2 emission per fuel type, compounded Indonesia (Source: RUPTL-PLN 2011-2020) Indonesian transportation, particularly road transportation consumes the biggest primary energy. About 88% of total primary energy consumption for all modes of transportation in the country is used by road transportation. The passenger cars dominate the energy consumption (38%), followed by trucks, buses, and motorcycles at 32%, 18%, and 12% respectively. Industrial sector produces GHG emissions from both its energy utilization and its production processes. The growth of industrial sector is parallel with the growth of national economy. Since national economy continues to increase, the GHG emissions from the industry will consequently increase. Energy consumption in industrial sector, including feedstock is about 53% of the total national energy consumption. 101 IDENTIFYING LOW CARBON TECHNOLOGY FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Indonesia has voluntarily declared to reduce its GHGs emissions by 26% with self financing or 41% with additional foreign aids by 2020. This target has become a reference in designing and planning all technologies needed to reduce GHG emissions in each sector. Table 3 shows target of GHG emissions reduction of five potentially identified sectors. Table 3. Emission reduction target of each sector in National Action Plan for GHG (NAP-GHGs) No 1 2 3 4 5 Sector 26% Emission Reduction (in Giga ton CO2e) 0.008 0.672 0.038 41% Emission Reduction (in Giga ton CO2e) 0.011 1.039 0.056 Agriculture Forestry and peatland Energy and Transportation Industry 0.001 0.005 Waste management 0.048 0.078 Total 0.767 1.189 (Source: Presidential Regulation No. 61 of 2011) 3. IDENTIFYING LOW CARBON TECHNOLOGIES FOR ENERGY SECTOR In addition to achieving emission reduction target, LCT can be a determining factor in next economic era leads to low carbon economy. There is currently however no clear or agreed definition on LCT. Wikipedia states that low carbon power comes from processes or technologies that, at the point of generation, release less carbon dioxide than the traditional means of power generation. In general term low carbon power can be assumed as LCT. It includes zero carbon power sources, such as wind power, solar power, geothermal power and, including fuel preparation and decommissioning, nuclear power, as well as sources with slightly lowerlevel emissions than coal, such as natural gas. For the case of Indonesia, clean coal technology is also considered as LCT. These power generation techniques emit significantly less carbon dioxide than a traditional fossil fuel power plant. Low carbon technologies for targeted sectors in terms of reducing GHG emission in Indonesia have actually been established by the Government via President Regulation No. 61 year 2011 Annex 1. This paper will identify LCTs that are outlined by the Government of Indonesia based on its commitment to reduce GHGs emissions and how they are planned by the sector especially for energy and transportation sector as well as for industrial sector. 3.1. Energy Generation and Transportation For energy and transportation sector, targeted reduction of GHG emission by 2020 based on 26% is about 0.038 G.Ton CO2e and based on 41% is about 0.056 G.Ton CO2e. They will be done through (1) increase of energy conservation, (2) clean fuel switching, (3) increase of new and renewable energy resources, (4) use of clean technology, and (5) sustainable low carbon development of national mass transportation. The following action plans, for examples, were formulated: (1) implementation of energy management for intensive energy users (10,16 MT CO2e), (2) implementation of energy conservation partnership (2,11 MT CO2e), (3) increase household appliances’ efficiency (9,82 MT CO2e), (4) accessibility and management of new and renewable energy and energy conservation such as development of microhydro, minihydro, solar, wind and biomass (4.4 MT CO2e), (5) biogas utilization (0.13 MT CO2e), (6) use of natural gas for rural transportation (3.09 MT CO2e), (7) household gas transmission (0.15 MT CO2e), development of intelligent transport system (1.77 MT CO2e), parking management (1.07 MT CO2e), reformation of bus rapid transit (0.69 MT CO2e), renewed public transportation (0.36 MT CO2e), and others. 102 IDENTIFYING LOW CARBON TECHNOLOGY FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Energy Generation In line with the government policy to utilize new and renewable energy resources as documented in the President Regulation Number 5 Year 2006 on National Energy Policy, Electric State Owned Company (PLN) has set up policy to prioritize geothermal and hydro power. PLN has also been assigned by the government to provide power to rural communities that have not yet received electricity. Based on this policy, PLN plans to develop geothermal with large capacity, hydro power with large, medium and small capacity, and small scale of new and renewable energy like solar power, wind power, biomass, biofuel and coal gasification. PLN also support research and development of other new and renewable energy sources such as thermal solar power, sea water current, ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC) and fuel cell. For solar power system, PLN plans to develop centralized PVs at large scale to electrify remote area communities, a far from the grid and underdeveloped area, and front end islands next to neighboring countries. Geothermal power is generated from geothermal energy (Wikipedia: retrieved 16-82012). Technologies in use include dry steam power plants, flash steam power plants and binary cycle power plants. Current worldwide installed capacity is 10,715 MW, with the largest capacity in the United States (3,086 MW). Philippines, and Indonesia. Geothermal power is considered to be sustainable because the heat extraction is small compared to the Earth's heat content. Carbon emission of existing geothermal electric plants is on average 122 kg of CO2 per megawatt-hour (MWh), a small fraction of that of conventional fossil fuel plants. Geothermal technology is selected by Indonesia because the resources are abundant and still low in its utilization. It is planned to enhance geothermal development around 2,875 MW in the next 10 years in Java – Bali system (see Table 2). Deployment of advanced geothermal technology such as binary cycle might be suitable for some areas of Indonesia. Hydroelectric plants have the advantage of being long-lived and many existing plants have operated for more than 100 years. Hydropower is also an extremely flexible technology from the perspective of power grid operation. Large hydropower provides one of the lowest cost options in today’s energy market, even compared to fossil fuels and there are no harmful emissions associated with plant operation. Hydroelectric power is currently the world’s largest installed renewable source of electricity, supplying about 17% of total electricity in 2005. China is the world's largest producer of hydroelectricity in the world, followed by Canada (Wikipedia: retrieved 16-8-2012). Hydroelectric power is one of renewable energy technology selected by Indonesia. Its water resources are abundant and its utilization is still very low. However, it requires a huge budget to build it in addition to social and environmental constraints. The government of Indonesia through PLN and IPP has planned to construct hydro power plant about 473 MW in the next 10 years in Java – Bali alone (see Table 2). It consists of micro and large scale of plants. Wind farm capacity worldwide was 157,900 MW, representing an increase of 31 percent during the year, and wind power supplied some 1.3% of global electricity consumption. Wind power accounts for approximately 19% of electricity use in Denmark, 9% in Spain and Portugal, and 6% in Germany and the Republic of Ireland. The United States is an important growth area and installed U.S. wind power capacity reached 25,170 MW at the end of 2008. As of November 2010, the Roscoe Wind Farm (781 MW) is the world's largest wind farm (Wikipedia: retrieved 16-8-2012). Indonesia will also initiate the use of wind power combined with the gas power to produce energy for about 6 MW in the next 10 years for Java-Bali system. Technology chosen is to improve efficiency and reliability of low-speed wind turbine, light material for blade, control system and motor and other main parts. Solar power is the conversion of sunlight into electricity, either directly using photovoltaics (PV), or indirectly using concentrated solar power. Concentrated solar power systems use lenses or mirrors and tracking systems to focus a large area of sunlight into a small beam. PV converts light into electric current using the photoelectric effect. Indonesia will build solar power system about 2,440 MW in the next 10 years in Java-Bali system. 103 IDENTIFYING LOW CARBON TECHNOLOGY FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT For year 2011- 2020, electricity generation for Java-Bali system is shown in Table 4. Total additional capacity for the next 10 years in Java-Bali system will be 32,1 MW or around 3,1 GW per year. Steam coal combustion will still dominate the generation (22,5 GW or 70%) while steam gas generation will be the second (2.8 MW or 8.8%), followed by renewable energy such as geothermal (2.9 GW or 8.9%) and hydro/ minihydro/solar power (2.9 GW or 9.1%), and finally gas power (1 GW or 3%). Table 4. Electricity generation needed for Java-Bali Year 2011 Steam 2012 2013 2014 2015 2019 2020 3,880 4,095 1,050 1,040 2,320 3,520 3,860 1,200 600 1,000 22,565 Geothermal - - 60 - 385 325 270 815 855 165 2,875 Gas-Steam 594 743 - - - - - - 750 750 2,837 Gas - - - 150 - - - 400 - 400 950 Minihydro 9 4 68 18 - - - - - - 99 Hydro - - - - 257 62 37 - - 18 374 Solar - - - - - 1,010 - - 450 950 2,440 Gas-Wind - - - 3 3 - - - - 6 Total 4,483 4,842 1,178 1,211 2,965 4,917 4,167 2,415 Biomass is another source of energy for Indonesia, namely agriculture waste, agriculture biomass, palm oil, other biofuel, and industrial waste. Several biomass conversion technologies such as direct combustion and co-firing technology can help utilization of the potential resources. In the last 15 years, several biomass plant projects such as biomass power generation using rice husk or straw have been introduced but the result was poor due to the lack of continuity of the feedstock. Therefore, in addition to the deployment of biomass conversion technology, there is a need to develop data base of potential of biomass resources in Indonesia which can be updated regularly. Study on low carbon technologies in energy generation in the purpose of technology transfer was conducted and part of the result can be seen in the following Tabel 5. Transportation LCT to reduce CO2 emission from transportation includes adoption of advanced vehicle technologies with less or no CO2 emission. Improvement of transportation management system, including advanced transportation control and development of mass rapid transit system is another option. It is also suggested to reduce the GHG’s by 2016 2017 - 2018 TOTAL 2,655 3,283 32,116 using alternative fuel technology (bio-fuel and gaseous based fuels) for the vehicles. Other less greenhouse gases emission technologies such as hybrid gasoline/diesel-electric powered and bifueled (CNG) vehicles are also suggested. The application of low GHGs emission technologies should be encouraged by the government through strategic measures and actions and involving all stakeholders (including private, public and society). Measures are needed by the government to undertake the “Zero Growth Vehicles” policy in major cities of Indonesia. The development of mass rapid transit system especially in the metropolitan cities in Indonesia should be prioritized by the Central Government and Regional Government, as it is potentially reducing the greenhouse gaseous emission. Table 6 shows the vehicle low carbon technology based upon the rate of fuel saving and Table 7 shows the vehicle LCT based upon selected alternative fuel. 3.2 Industrial Sector For industrial sector targeted reduction of GHG emission by 2020 based on 26% is about 0.001 G Ton CO2e and based on 41% is about 0.005 GTon CO2e. They will be done through optimalization of energy utilization. 104 IDENTIFYING LOW CARBON TECHNOLOGY FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT The following action plans were formulated: (1) implementation of technology and process modification (2.75 MT CO2e), (2) energy audit and conservation (4.81 MT CO2e), and (3) passing out ozone depleting substances (1.5 MT CO2e). The reduction of GHG emission from the industries is carried out by improving the process and energy utilization according to cleaner production mechanisms. These activities range from changing or retrofitting the equipment and materials that are no longer efficient to optimizing the use of the waste for energy. Figure 4 shows the grand strategy of energy conservation and CO2 emission reduction in Industrial Sector 2010 – 2020. This grand strategy shows the way to reduce CO2 emission from targetted industries in order to share about 2% of 41 % reduction decided by the Government. Identified technology Present situation Advanced thermal Pulverized Coal power technology/ clean Power Plant; Thermal coal technology efficiency: 33%, 1 ton CO2/MWh The phase 1 implementation is energy conservation and CO2 emission reduction in industrial sector in 2011. Energy audit for 35 steel industries and 15 pulp and paper industries has been done. Following technology audit, some recommendations were made with the following categories: a. No Cost and Low Cost, such as improvement of monitoring system and energy management; recuperator maintenance, heat waste utilization, insulation and coverage of steam pipe leaks. b. Medium Cost, such as recuperator installation, bank capacitor improvement, dust collector inverter installation, blow-down heat recovery installation, flash tank equipment addition. Technology input Emission reduction potential Subcritical Pulverized Coal Power Plant, 36% eff. Supercritical and Ultra Supercritical Pulverized Coal Power Plant, 40-46 % efficiency 0.70 ton CO2/MWh (w/o CO2 capture) 0.830 ton CO2/MWh (w/ CO2 capture) 0.170 ton CO2/MWh (w/o CO2 capture) 0,891 ton CO2/MWh (w/ CO2 capture) Cogeneration 0.325 ton CO2/MWh IGCC, 38 – 41% eff. 0.168 ton CO2/MWh w/ Pre-combustion 0.898 ton CO2/MWh, w/ CO2 capture Coal upgrading Vary depending on quality of coal; 5% emission reduction of conventional PC Improve efficiency. 1% increase of eff. will reduce 2-2.5% CO2 emission Fuel switching Combine Cycle Gas Turbine to Replace HSD Generator Gas to replace HSD Coal to Gas (50%) N.A 0.5 ton CO2/MWh Utilization of renewable energy technology More than 95 % of primary energy uses oil, coal and gas. Government set a target to reduce oil but increase new and renewable energy up to 15 % of total primary energy mix, Biomass Power – Cofiring Geothermal - Flash Steam Geothermal - Binary Cycle Geothermal- Hot Dry Rock 15-20 % of emission reduction depends on the main fuel Avoid CO2 emission from coal combustion. 0.9 – 1 ton CO2/MWh (depend on type of PP replaced) 105 IDENTIFYING LOW CARBON TECHNOLOGY FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Photovoltaic – Single Crystal/Mono Idem Wind turbine idem Micro and Mini Hydro idem Advanced Hydro Power idem Nuclear Power : PWR/ BWR 2nd Generation 0.85 – 0.9 ton CO2/MWh (depend on type of power plant replaced) Nuclear Power PWR/ BWR 3/3+ generation idem Table 5. Identified low carbon technology from supply side Table 6. Selected vehicle technology Technology Table 7. Selected alternative fuel technology % Fuel Saving Technology % Potential CO2 reduction to BAU 1. Gasoline direct injection 3-4 2. Six-speed automatic transmission 4-5 1. Cellulosic ethanol ≈ 90 2. Biodiesel fuel ≈ 70 3. Continuously variable transmission ≈7 3. Ethanol ≈ 60 4. No Torque converter 3-4 4. CNG ≈ 30 5. LNG ≈ 20 5. Hybrid vehicle without 30-40 Torque converter (Source: TNA 2009 Study of Indonesia) 6. LPG ≈ 20 Source: TNA 2009 Study of Indonesia) Figure 4. Grand Strategy of Energy Conservation and CO2 Emission Reduction in Industrial Sector 2010 – 2020 (Source: Pusat Pengkajian Industri Hijau Dan Lingkungan Hidup, Badan Pengkajian Kebijakan Iklim Dan Mutu Industri, Kem. Perindustrian, 2012) 106 IDENTIFYING LOW CARBON TECHNOLOGY FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT c. High Cost, such as new incinerator addition, variable speed driver addition, recuperator change with the more efficient one. Priority of LCT is given to energy efficiency and soft technologies for industrial, residential and commercial building. Implementation of these recommendation is strongly depend on capability of the industry and therefore it needs a stimulation to the industry from the government. a. Energy efficiency technologies for industry such as: In cement industry, LCT is used for energy efficiency because the big contribution on CO2 emission from cement industry is due to coal fuel and electricity. Calcination of calcium carbonate is also a source of CO2 emission. Therefore LCT for cement industry is: • To reduce fuel consumption for example through burner modification, alternative fuel, waste heat recovery, use high efficiency motor, optimize compressed air system. • To use alternative raw material such as limestone with low CaCO3, fly ash, bottom ash, etc. • To increase grinding efficiency; • Lightning system • Pump and Fan • Industrial Motor • Cogeneration • Cooling system b. Soft technology: • Energy Audit • Energy Rating and Labeling • Energy Management Table 8 shows more detailed information on energy efficiency for the demand side suggested by TNA Study (2009). • To maintain general measures such as by preventive maintenance, efficient lighting, automatic process control system and energy management. Table 8. Identified low carbon technology from demand side Technology Efficiency measure Result CFL (Compact Fluorescent Lamp) Replacement of incandescent bulb with CFL Efficient light bulb can reduced up to 80% of energy use for Household and Commercial Use of solar water heater The use of solar water heater in producing hot water. Reducing electricity consumption up to 50% for Households, commercial, and some industries Electronic Ballast Replacement of magnetic ballast with electronic ballast. 20 % reduction of energy use for Household and Comm. High Efficiency AC Replacement of standard air conditioner (AC) with high efficiency AC Standard AC’s CoP = 2,5; High efficiency AC’s CoP= 3,3 (COP: Coefficient of Performance); Reducing energy cons up to 50 %, for Households. Hydrocarbon Refrigerant Replacement of CFC with hydrocarbon refrigerant Electricity saving up to 20 % for Households , Commercial. BAS (Building Automatic The application of BAS to monitor lightning Electricity saving 10 – 20 % for Commercial. System) and energy use in building High Efficiency Chiller Replacement of normal chiller with high COP normal chiller = 4,0 efficiency chiller COP high efficiency chiller = 5,0 for Comm.& industry High Efficiency Electric Motor Replacement of normal electric motor with high efficiency electric motor High efficiency can reduce energy consumption up tp 25 % for Industry. 107 IDENTIFYING LOW CARBON TECHNOLOGY FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT 4. SUMMARY A policy for low carbon technology was established by the government through President Regulation No. 61 Year 2011 on National Action Plan on GHG reduction. The policy and strategy as well as the activities and target have been formulated. Related sectors have also made the plan to implement those action plans. This paper outlines some of low carbon technologies use to reduce green house gases for energy and transportation sector and industry sector. For example in energy sector, low carbon technology scenario is dedicated to reduce the GHG emission via pre-fossil combustion to avoid more use of fossil energy, such as efficient energy technologies (high efficiency light, efficient appliances, etc); renewable energy technologies (Geothermal, Hydro, Solar, Wind, etc.); and fossil pre-treatment (Coal Upgrading). It can also be done during fossil combustion to protect GHG emission, such as efficient Technologies (Cogeneration), low carbon electricity Generation (High Efficiency Low Emission, IGCC, etc.), and clean fuel technology (Fuel Switching). Finally, a post fossil combustion to mitigate emitted GHG from existing sources is also important to be conducted, such as through carbon capture and storage technologies and utilization of CO2. 5. REFERENCES Ministry of Environment and UNIDO. 2009. Indonesia Second National Communication Under the United Nation Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Ministry of Environment, BPPT and GTZ. 2010. Indonesia’s Technology Needs Assessment on Climate Change Mitigation of 2009. Situmeang, H. 2011. Energy Trends and Carbon Path. KNI-WEC. Presentation Material. President Regulation No. 16 Year 2011 concerning National Action Plan on Green House Gases Reduction. Center for Green Industry and Environmental Assessment, Agency for Assessment of Industrial Climate and Quality, Ministry of Industry, Program of Industrial Revitalization and the important of insentive for industries in order to implement clean and efficient energy technology, Bogor , 30 Juli 2012. http://en.wikipedia.org /wiki/Low-carbon power, Accessed on 16 August 2012. Rencana Usaha Penyediaan Tenaga Listrik (RUPTL), PT. PLN 2011-2020, Diterbitkan oleh Sekretariat PT. PLN. 108 IDENTIFYING LOW CARBON TECHNOLOGY FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Economic and Adaptation Cost of Climate Change: A Case Study of Indramayu – West Java Indonesia Perdinan1,2,3, Rizaldi Boer1,2, Kiki Kartikasari2, Bambang Dwi Dasanto1,2, Rini Hidayati1,2, and Diva Oktavariani2 Department of Geophysics and Meteorology, Bogor Agricultural University, Bogor, Indonesia 16680 2 Center for Climate Risk and Opportunity Management, Bogor, Indonesia 16680 3 Fulbright Presidential Fellow at Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan, USA 48824 1 The Economic of Climate Change and Social Participation Economic and Adaptation Cost of Climate Change: A Case Study of Indramayu – West Java Indonesia Perdinan1,2,3, Rizaldi Boer1,2, Kiki Kartikasari2, Bambang Dwi Dasanto1,2, Rini Hidayati1,2, and Diva Oktavariani2 Department of Geophysics and Meteorology, Bogor Agricultural University, Bogor, Indonesia 16680 2 Center for Climate Risk and Opportunity Management, Bogor, Indonesia 16680 3 Fulbright Presidential Fellow at Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan, USA 48824 1 ABSTRACT Climate change is already occurring. In Indonesia, many evidences such as changing rainfall patterns in many parts of the country (e.g., Sumatra and Java) indicate the impacts of global climate change on Indonesian climate. This new climate regime eventually will influence water availability in many parts of the country. This paper discusses economic loss (unit costs) incurred on major economic sectors (i.e., agriculture, fishery, drinking water, and health) of Indramayu districts – West Java Indonesia due to flood and drought as an approximation to quantify potential economic consequences of climate change. The estimation was based on discussions with the local authorities and communities (field survey) in 2008. The unit costs were estimated based on rice production loss (agriculture), milk fish and prawn production loss (fishery), additional costs for clean water supply (drinking water), and additional incidences of dengue fever (DBD) and diarrhea (health). Seven adaptation options and their estimated costs are also proposed to cope with flood and drought in the region. The options are 1) construction of a reservoir, 2) change of cropping pattern, 3) rehabilitation of irrigation canals, 4) improvement of irrigation canals (cementing the canals), 5) improvement of drainage system, 6) normalization of rivers, and 7) implementation of system rice intensification (SRI). Potential benefits from each adaptation are also discussed. Such discussion, together with estimated adaptation cost, will be useful for further evaluation to measure the net benefit from each adaptation which can be helpful to assist decision makers in choosing plausible adaptation options. Keywords: climate change, economic costs, adaptation, flood, drought, Indramayu 1. INTRODUCTION Climate change has been acknowledged as a serious global environmental problem that poses a challenge to human livelihoods. Its impacts on a wide range of economic sectors (IPCC 2007) have shifted our understanding to view climate change not only as an environmental problem but also as a social problem (Barnett 2010). In Indonesia, the existence of climate change was indicated by changing patterns of rainfall in many parts of the country such as Sumatra and Java (MoE 2007). An increase in climate related hazard such as flood and drought within the recent decades has also been observed. Boer and Subbiah (2005) reported that the frequency of massive drought increased over the last 40 years compared to the previous decades, i.e. from once in three or four years to once in two or three years. Similar observations have also been made for flood: about 530 floods, which occurred in nearly all provinces of Indonesia, 110 have been reported within the period 20012004 (MoE 2007). This increase in the frequency of flood and drought may be associated with the increasing frequency of ENSO (El-Nino-Southern Oscillation – refers to El Nino and La Nina) due to global warming (Timmermann et al. 1999). ENSO, which significantly affects regional climates in many tropical countries (Vecchi and Wittenberg 2010), has been frequently linked to cause climate extreme events such as heavy rainfall and prolong drought in Indonesia. Understanding the potential consequences of climate change, devising adaptation strategies to cope with potential impacts of future climate change is a necessity. Unfortunately, a wide array of uncertainties surrounding climate change impact assessments (Winkler et al. 2011) causes a difficulty in making the right decision to select proper adaptation strategies to climate change. Consequently, climate change adaptations should be taken as no-regret interventions (Heltberg, Siegel, and Jorgensen 2009) as implementation of adaptation strategies will incur additional costs (Tamirisa 2008). The additional costs required for climate change adaptation highlight the needs of economic estimation for climate change impacts and potential benefits from the implementation of adaptation measures. However, such estimation is rarely investigated in Indonesia. This paper discusses economic costs of climate change drawn from a field survey conducted in Indramayu regency, located in the north coastal area of West Java - Indonesia, as a case study. This region was selected because flood and drought were identified as the two main climate-related problems in the region. Tamkani and Boer (2005) stated that flood and drought contributed about 86% of rice production loss in Indramayu which was way more than pest and diseases (about 14%) during the period of 19972003. Indramayu government clarified that the topographical condition of Indramayu, which is relatively flat (0-2% slope) and close to the sea (0-18 m above sea level), is the reason why Indramayu is vulnerable to flood and drought during wet and dry season, respectively. Per unit economic loss (i.e., unit costs) was estimated by calculating unit costs of damages during flood and drought for four major economic sectors in Indramayu. The estimations were based on rice production loss (agriculture), milk fish and prawn production loss (fishery), additional cost for clean water supply (drinking water), and additional incidences of two major health problems in Indramayu, i.e., dengue fever (DBD) and Diarrhea (health). The approach assumed climate change contributed to increase the frequency of climate extreme events such as heavy rainfall and to prolong drought as described above. It is important to note this paper is not intended to calculate economic costs of the regional climate change impacts as such evaluation requires impact models to estimate the consequences of climate exposures to economic activities in the region such as the number of agricultural areas and fishery ponds affected by flood and drought. Nevertheless, the unit costs presented in this paper provide information with which climate change impacts on the regional economy can be estimated when the impact models are available. Seven adaptation options and their estimated costs were proposed to cope with flood and drought. The options are 1) construction of a reservoir, 2) change of cropping pattern, 3) rehabilitation of irrigation canals, 4) improvement of irrigation canals (cementing the canals), 5) improvement of drainage system, 6) normalization of rivers, and 7) implementation of rice system intensification. The dam construction was proposed with the understanding that Indonesian government was planning to build Jati Gede dam (Colenco and Indrakarya 2000) to control water supply in Indramayu. This government initiative was encouraging as individuals and societies might not have adequate capacity to incorporate all social costs of adaptation (Burton and Lim 2005). Additionally, responses from government to devise a policy for adaptation have been endorsed internationally (Smit and Skinner 2002). 2. METHODOLOGY 2.1. Survey Location The estimation of economic costs was drawn from a field survey conducted in Indramayu regency in 2008. Geographically, Indramayu lies on 107° 52´ - 108° 36´ E and 6° 15´ - 6° 40´ S along the north coast of Java island. This regency consists of 31 districts, 307 villages and 8 subdistricts with total area of 204,011 hectares. The dominant land use type is irrigated rice field (59.5%), followed by plantation (15.75%), settlement (8.81%), fish ponds (6.18%), rainfed rice field (6.09%), and others (3.67%) (Indramayu Government 2012). Based on Indramayu’s location, this regency has a tropical climate environment with mean daily air temperature about 22.9-30 ºC and relative humidity about 70-80%. Annual precipitation is about 1,587 mm with numbers of wet days about 91 days. The survey team, composed of climatologists, hydrologists, GIS analysts, economists, social scientists and research assistants, collected economic information related to rice production, fish production, drinking water supply and health based on interviews with the local authorities and communities. The interviews were conducted face to face with 111 Economic and Adaptation Cost of Climate Change: A Case Study of Indramayu – West Java Indonesia the local residents, focus group discussions, the local authorities and communities. There were about 63 local residents coming from 16 districts (Figure 1) who participated in the survey. Most of them were farmers (67%), and the others were local entrepreneurs, government and private employees. The team also visited eight local institutions (i.e., agencies for agriculture, fishery, water, health, public works, transportation, highway construction and maintenance, disaster management, and trade) to obtain information on economic loss due to drought and flood. This approach was part of a technique known as participatory 107°50' 107°55' 108°0' 108°5' 108°10' integrated assessment (PIA) (Salter, Robinson, and Wiek 2010) which has been employed as an alternative to explore climate change adaptation strategies. For example, Tarnoczi and Berkes (2010) interviewed farmers in Alberta and Manitoba Provinces of Canada to explore sources of information for climate change adaptations particularly those related to soil and water conservation practices. Surveys have also been applied for investigating the main problems that might inhibit implementation of climate change adaptations in the Nile Basin of Ethiopia (Deressa et al. 2009) and in the Limpopo River Basin of South Africa (Gbetibouo 2009). 108°15' 108°20' 108°25' 108°30' -6°15' -6°15' Pasekan Sukra Cantigi Sindang Patrol -6°20' Kandanghaur Anjatan Bongas Losarang Balongan Lohbener -6°25' Gabuswetan Haurgeulis -6°25' Jatibarang Sliyeg Lelea Kroya -6°40' Kedokan Bunder Krangkeng Tukdana Sukagumiwang Terisi -6°35' -6°40' 1 cm = 4 km 107°50' 107°55' -6°30' Kertasemaya Cikedung Gantar -6°35' Bangodua Jutinyuat Karangampel Widasari -6°30' -6°20' Indramayu Arahan 108°0' 108°5' 108°10' 108°15' 108°20' 108°25' 108°30' Figure 1. Location of districts within Indramayu regency. Shaded areas indicate residential areas where participants were lived at the time of the survey. 2.2. Calculation of Unit Costs Per unit economic loss was estimated separately for each sector (i.e., agriculture, fishery, water supply, and health) based on the survey results. Damaged costs associated with flood and drought were the proxy that we employed to estimate the unit costs of potential climate change impacts on the regency. Secondary data from previous study (Colenco and Indrakarya 2000) were also employed to complete the estimation. Agriculture loss was mainly approached based on rice fields damaged during flood and drought. The unit costs were estimated from the amount of financial resources that had been spent by farmers to grow rice or its production value (i.e., price multiplied by yield). The loss estimation due to flood and drought was a little bit different. For flood, it was determined based on crop growth development when they were exposed to flood. If flood streaked at the early stage of crop development, farmers would do replanting after the flood finished. In the case of drought, there was no planting as there would not be sufficient water in the fields. 112 Economic and Adaptation Cost of Climate Change: A Case Study of Indramayu – West Java Indonesia The economic loss for fishery sector was estimated based on the production costs for cultivating prawn and milk fish, two major commodities for fish industry in the region. The loss was mostly due to flood which could flush fish ponds. Based on the survey, it was found that drought could increase water salinity; however, its impact on prawn or milk fish production was not clear. Fish farmers usually would not sow fish or prawn if they had anticipated drought condition. For drinking water, the loss was equal to the total additional costs required to supply clean water during flood events. The occurrence of floods would increase the turbidity of the raw water and this would increase cost for processing water. The additional cost for processing water during flood events was estimated based on historical data from 2000 to 2007 obtained from State Owned Water Resources Company (PDAM Indramayu). The additional cost (per day of flood) was calculated by multiplying additional cost average required for processing water during flood events, which usually occurred on days in February, and volume of water sold at that time. The loss for health sector was approximated mainly from additional incidences of DBD and diarrhea which could be more severe during flood events. The additional incidences were calculated based on historical monthly data on DBD and diarrhea incidences from 2004-2008 provided by Environmental Health Division of Indramayu. The economic loss for each day of flood was approximated as follows (Murray and Lopez, 1996): 2.3. Adaptations and Their Costs Understanding the economic consequences of flood and drought in Indramayu, discussions with the stakeholders were held to identify potential adaptation options. The discussions identified that there were seven potential adaptation options to cope with flood and drought in the region, namely: 1) construction of a dam, 2) change of cropping pattern, 3) rehabilitation of irrigation canals, 4) improvement of irrigation canals (cementing the canals), 5) improvement of drainage system, 6) normalization of rivers and 7) implementation of rice system intensification. The additional cost required for implementing each option was estimated based on previous study related to an option or expert judgment on the unit cost required for implementing an adaptation at the time of analysis. The total investment for each option was calculated by multiplying the unit cost and the expected areal coverage that would be impacted when an adaptation is implemented. Detailed potential benefits from each option which could be very helpful for estimating the net benefits from implementing such adaptation were drawn from focus group discussions. 3. RESULT AND DISCUSSION 3.1. Agriculture Economic loss for death = Ratio of deaths per 100 incidence* the additional incidences per day of flood* Normal Working Years in a life time*GDP per capita per year Economic loss per hectare of rice production due to flood in Indramayu is equal to the number of financial resources that has been spent for cultivating rice. According to the survey, costs for rice production were spent on sowing, cultivating and harvesting (Table 1). Sowing costs refer to the number of financial resources required for seed preparation and planting. Cultivating costs are defined as the spending related to maintaining crop growth and development such as pesticide and fertilizer application. Harvesting costs are the financial resources required for harvesting and postharvesting process so rice is ready to be sold. Normal Working Years in a life time = Retiring Age (55 years) - Starting Age (18 years), and annual GDP per capita was assumed to be about 17,956,450 IDR or about 1,931 USD (USD rate was 9300 IDR) at the time of analysis. The survey found that usually if flood occurs, farmers would do replanting after the flood event finished. This strategy was particularly taken when flood events occurred during sowing periods. Therefore, the economic loss refers to Economic loss for illness = (Length of Illness in weeks/total weeks in a year)*the additional incidences per day of flood * GDP per capita per year 113 Economic and Adaptation Cost of Climate Change: A Case Study of Indramayu – West Java Indonesia the amount of money that has been spent for sowing, is about IDR 2,000,000. Furthermore, if flood events occurred during cultivating, but farmers are still able to do replanting; the loss is associated with the total spending for sowing and cultivating, about IDR 4,500,000 (Table 1). Table 1. Rice production in Indramayu Data and Information Price of rice (IDR/kg) Yield (Ton/ha) • Wet Season • Dry Season* Value (IDR/ha) • Wet Season • Dry Season Costs (IDR/ha) • Sowing • Maintaining • Harvesting Values 2,400 7.34 6.73 17,616,000 16,148,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 1,500,000 However, if flood events happened for relatively a long period so that farmers could not do replanting, the economic loss is equal to the production value of rice, average rice yield multiplied by rice price (Table 1). This approximation was preferred to only the total spending for rice production (i.e., total costs of sowing, maintaining and harvesting), because rice supply would be impacted due to loss of rice production, not only delayed in the case where replanting is possible. The replanting might not be possible particularly when floods damaged rice during the harvesting period as there would be not adequate time for replanting rice on that planting season. Generally, Indramayu has three planting seasons according to the irrigation scheduling. This system rules the coverage of irrigation area for each planting date with a total of irrigated area up to 60,000 hectares during the wet season and the first dry season and 30,000 hectares during the second dry season (Table 2). * Based on Colenco and Indrakarya (2000) Table 2. Total of irrigation area and planting date for each planting season Rice Planting Area / Irrigation Scheduling Planting Season Area (Ha) WS DS1 DS2 Planting Date WS DS1 DS2 I 15,000 15,000 30,000 1 Oct 1 Feb 1 May II 25,000 25,000 0 15 Oct 15 Feb NA III 20,000 20,000 0 1 Nov 1 March NA Total Area 60,000 60,000 30,000 Under drought condition, farmers would not grow rice as there would be not enough water supply for planting especially for the dry season 2 (DS2). Damaged cost due to drought is equal to rice production value, i.e., price multiplied by yield. As with the case of impossible replanting due to long flood events explained above, the rice production value is suggested rather than total production costs that have been spent by farmers as rice supply or stock in Indramayu will decrease as a consequence of the rice production loss. This loss will eventually decrease Indramayu’s income from agricultural sector (economic loss to society), and may increase the request for importing rice to meet the consumers’ demand. It is important to note, the estimation of economic loss either due to flood or drought is in IDR/hectare. This means estimation of damaged area due to flood or drought will be needed to approximate the regional economic loss. The length of flood and drought will also affect the total damage. Only flood occurred with more than 5 consecutive days can cause production loss in regions, which are vulnerable to flood. The longer the flood occurrences, the larger the damaged area will be. Based on group discussions, more than 25 days consecutive flood may inundate all vulnerable area to flood. For drought, dry spell less than 10 days does not have any effect on yield; whereas, length of dry spell more than 25 days may damage crop yield completely. This length criteria hint that assumptions or formulations are needed to evaluate the potential damage related to the length of flood or drought. 114 Economic and Adaptation Cost of Climate Change: A Case Study of Indramayu – West Java Indonesia 3.2. Fishery A little bit different from agriculture, fishery production was more influenced by flood than drought. Discussions with stakeholders during the survey identified that the critical length of flood that created loss was flood with more than 15 days length of spell. About 1,119 hectares out of 22,977 hectares of total area for fishery production in Indramayu was vulnerable to flood. As with agriculture, the fish production stages were divided into three categories: sowing, maintaining and harvesting. There were three sowing and harvesting periods of fish production in the region. Sowing periods were in March, July and November; and harvesting periods were in June, October and February. The costs of production for farming prawn and milk fish are presented in Table 3. Table 3. Prawn and milk fish production costs Components Costs (IDR/ha) Prawn Milk Fish 1,500,000 1,400,000 • Maintaining 400,000 400,000 • Harvesting 350,000 350,000 • Sowing Similar to the approach for estimating economic loss in rice production, the loss for fishery is equal to production costs that have been spent for fish production as long as farmers still have an opportunity for replanting fish. However, when flood events occur during harvesting, which cause insufficient time for replanting during that planting season, the total loss is the production value of prawn and milk fish per hectares. The production values were estimated by multiplying price for each fish commodity and yield (Table 4). Unfortunately, we could not obtain information on prawn and milk fish yields per hectares from the survey as fish farmers did not record the yields. To estimate the production value, we used secondary data from previous study conducted by Colenco and Indrakarya (2000). This study reported that production of prawn and milk fish were about 80 and 1,500 kg/ ha. This study also clarified that prawn production could be much higher for semi intensive management system with prawn yield could up to 800 kg/ha, but, the total costs would also be 5.5 times higher (about IDR 10,603,000 at the year of 2000 price) than extensive management system that produced prawn of about 80 kg/ha. Table 4.Prawn and milk fish economic value Components Values Price (IDR/kg) • Prawn 55,000 • milk fish 9,000 Yield* (kg/ha) • prawn-extensive 80 • prawn-semi intensive 800 • milk fish 1,500 Production Value (IDR/ha) • prawn-extensive • prawn-semi intensive 44,000,000 • milk Fish 13,500,000 4,400,000 * Based on Colenco and Indrakarya (2000) Information on different management system for prawn production (Colenco and Indrakarya 2000) emphasizes that production value and total cost of prawn are sensitive to the choice of cultivated management system. Under the semi intensive management system, prawn production value is about IDR 44,000,000 (prawn price of 55,000*yield of 800 kg/ha) with the total cost of about IDR 12,375,000 (the ratio cost of semi intensive to extensive management system of 5.5*total prawn production cost obtained from the survey of IDR 2,250,000 (Table 3)). This approximation of the total cost for semi intensive management system was made as the prawn production cost presented in Table 3 is much cheaper than that required for the semi intensive management system reported by the Colenco and Indrakarya study above. Thus, we assumed the total prawn production cost (Table 3) was for the extensive management system. Paying attention to the discrepancy of total costs and prawn yields for the semi intensive and the extensive management system, regional estimation of potential damaged costs for fishery production in Indramayu should carefully consider the choice of prawn production system at the time of analysis. This consideration is critical as the total economic loss will be sensitive to what management system fish farmers choose for cultivating prawn. 115 Economic and Adaptation Cost of Climate Change: A Case Study of Indramayu – West Java Indonesia 3.3. Drinking Water As can be seen from Table 5, cost average for supplying clean water during flood events, which were frequently happened in February, is more expensive about IDR 927 per volume of water than the costs for the other months. Multiplying the additional cost with the daily amount of water sold during the month when floods regularly occurred (February) gives an estimation of about IDR 32.7 million per day additional cost, which is required for processing and supplying clean water to meet the consumer demand for water in Indramayu districts. It should be understood that this estimation is for the total additional cost per day required for supplying clean water, not the total loss incurred for supplying clean water in Indramayu during flood events. To estimate the total loss, information on the length of flood is needed as the loss can be simply calculated by multiplying the additional cost per day with the flood length. For this purpose, impact models are required for modeling the flood length based on weather data as inputs. Table 5. Additional cost required for supplying clean water during flood events Components Average cost for February (when flood occurs) Average cost for the other months (excluding February) Units IDR/m3 IDR/m3 Values 3,701 2,774 Water sold for February M3/day 35,235 Water clean loss production in case of flood IDR/day 32,676,831 Table 6. Economic assessment for the health sector Additional incidences of DBD Cases 200 Average flood day Days 10 The additional incidences per day of flood case/day 20 Ratio of deaths per 100 incidence in case of DBD % 4.36 Length of Illness in case of dengue fever1 Weeks 4 Illness IDR/flood day 27,625,308 Dead IDR/flood day 578,918,412 Total IDR/flood day 606,543,720 Additional incidences of diarrhea Cases 3,999 Average flood day Days 10 The additional incidences per day of flood case/day 399.9 Length of Illness in case of diarrhea1 Weeks 1 Illness IDR/flood day 138,092,007 Total Cases 138,092,007 Total Economic loss per day of flood IDR/flood day 744,635,727 Economic loss per day of flood Economic loss per day of flood (Source: 1Murray and Lopez (1996) 3.4. Health Economic loss for health sector was estimated based on additional incidences of DBD and diarrhea. Table 6 shows that about 200 additional cases of DBD and 3,999 diarrhea occurred during flood events compared to normal condition. These additional incidences cause economic loss to the society as the patients were unable to work either due to illness or dead. Our estimation shows that daily economic loss during flood events for DBD is much higher than that for diarrhea (Table 6). This estimation hints that plans and actions are needed to minimize the negative impacts particularly the additional incidences of DBD during flood events. 116 Economic and Adaptation Cost of Climate Change: A Case Study of Indramayu – West Java Indonesia 3.5. Adaptation Costs The investments required for implementing each adaptation option are shown in Table 7. As can be seen from this table, the total costs are sensitive to the areal implementation of each adaptation option, except for the Jati Gede dam construction which had been planned by the Indonesian government (Colenco and Indrakarya 2000). The investment required for the Jati Gede dam was based on Colenco and Indrakarya (2000); meanwhile, the unit costs for the other options were based on expert judgement and stakeholder discussions at the time of survey was conducted. Consequently, information on adaptation costs presented in Table 7 should be used with caution and adjustments may be needed. Based on the total costs presented in Table 7, construction of Jati Gede dam is the most expensive adaptation option. However, the construction of dam (reservoir) will provide multiple benefits for the region. The reservoir will store water during rainy season and will release it during dry season for irrigating rice crop. Thus with the presence of the reservoir, more area can be irrigated. In addition, planting season can also be expanded from twice to three times a year. Based on the Colenco and Indrakarya study and consultation with Head of Indramayu Irrigation Office, under the absence of the reservoir, the normal cropping pattern was Rice-Rice-Fallow with the total planting area of 60,000 ha. On the other hand, under the presence of the reservoir, the normal cropping pattern would be Rice-Rice-Upland crop with the total planting area of 90,000 ha for the wet season (WS) and the dry season 1 (DS1), and about 45 thousands hectares for planting upland crops called as “Palawija” such as soybean in the dry season 2 (DS2) (Table 8). The reservoir can also mitigate flood events in Indramayu, which eventually will reduce the potential loss on drinking water and health sector. The presence of Jati Gede dam can also be utilized for electricity generation. Table 7.Cost estimation for each adaptation to cope with flood and drought in Indramayu No Climate change adaptations Impact of each option Investment costs (IDR/ha) Area (ha) Total costs (IDR) 1 Construction of Dam Water Supply NA 4,803 2,200,000,000,000 2 Change of Cropping Pattern Water Demand 2,500,000 45,000 112,500,000,000 3 Rehabilitation of irrigation Irrigation canals Maintenance 3,500,000 45,000 157,500,000,000 4 Improvement of irrigation Irrigation Efficiency canals 182,000 90,000 16,380,000,000 5 Improvement of drainage system Sediment removal from Dam 150,000 4,117 617,550,000 6 Normalization of rivers Normalization of river 300,000 4,117 1,235,100,000 7 Implementation of SRI Water Demand 600,000 90,000 54,000,000,000 Table 8. Expected planting areas to agricultural farms in case of Jatigede dam presence Rice Planting Area/ Irrigation Scheduling Planting Season Area (Ha) Planting Date WS DS1 DS2 WS DS1 DS2 I 12,798 12,798 11,820 1 Oct 1 Feb 1 May II 16,498 16,498 10,682 15 Oct 15 Feb 15 May III 60,895 60,895 22,498 1 Nov 1 Mar 1 June Total Area 90,191 90,191 45,000 117 Economic and Adaptation Cost of Climate Change: A Case Study of Indramayu – West Java Indonesia The cost for the second adaptation (change of cropping pattern) can be adjusted based on expenses spent by farmers to cultivate their land. The cost may incur due to additional planting season. For example, the construction of Jati Gede dam will offer an opportunity for farmers to have the third planting season instead of two as discussed previously. In this case, based on the survey, most farmers indicated that they would sow upland crops known as “Palawija” such as soybean with a total cost of IDR 2.5 million. The third and fourth adaptation option, i.e., rehabilitation and improvement of irrigation canal, will increase the irrigation efficiency. Further investigation is still needed to explore the feasibility of this option: for example, how much water can be reserved for other purposes when the irrigation efficiency increases. This evaluation is needed to properly measure benefits of implementing these options. The fifth and sixth options (improvement of drainage system and normalization of rivers) are among the less expensive option in terms of total costs compared to the other adaptations. Improvement of drainage system will benefit to reduce the flood risk by increasing the capacity of drainage canal to flow water to the ocean. Normalization of rivers means removing sediment from river which eventually can increase the maximum capacity of river to discharge water and reduce the volume of overflow (‘luapan’). The last adaptation option is proposed to change rice farming system in the region. System rice intensification (SRI) offers an alternative to grow rice with less water demand. Hasan and Sato (2007) reported that the implementation of SRI on farming rice in Eastern Indonesia (about 9,429 hectares) increased rice yield for about 78% with less water demand (reduced by 40%) and fertilizer application (reduced by 50%) compared to those required by the conventional system. The basic principle of SRI in water use is keeping rice field wet but not flooded or in other words applies irrigation intermittently. Please refer to Hasan and Sato (2007) for more detailed information on SRI. 4. LIMITATION AND CONCLUSION In this study, we mainly focused on calculating unit costs associated with damages due to flood and drought as an approximation of evaluating potential impacts of climate change in Indramayu regency. Per unit economic loss was approximated for rice production, milk fish and prawn production, drinking water supply, and numbers of DBD and diarrhea incidences. The calculations were based on price in 2008, which hint the need for adjustments when using the results for future evaluation. We only employed secondary data on yields of rice, prawn and milk fish, and cost ratio between semi intensive and extensive prawn production system from Colenco and Indrakarya (2000), which we assume will not have any implication to readjust price used by the Colenco and Indrakarya study to be consistent with 2008 price. We also, once again, emphasize that the loss estimation is not purposed to quantify the total loss for the regional economy. Such estimation requires reliable impact models to evaluate consequences of flood and drought temporally and spatially. The models should be able to estimate the length of flood and drought as well as areas impacted by the two events. The development of such models is also encouraged particularly to be used for future climate change assessment. Using the models, we can project the frequency of flood and drought events in the region as well as the duration and damaged areas under certain climate change scenarios. This information is necessary for estimating the potential regional economic loss under the new climate regime. For adaptation costs, it should be understood that social costs or potential conflicts incurred for certain adaptations are excluded from the discussion. For example, the dam development may request for resettlement which may take a long process. The increasing demand for water due to the expansion of planting season (DS2) may also result in potential conflicts as water demand for other sectors such as drinking water (i.e., domestic water demand) may also increase in the future. On the other hand, possible interactions between adaptations may also enhance benefits of a particular adaptation option. Consequently, further evaluation on benefits from climate change adaptations proposed in this study should also pay attention to the potential side effects of each option. 118 Economic and Adaptation Cost of Climate Change: A Case Study of Indramayu – West Java Indonesia ACKNOWLEDGEMENT The survey was conducted as a part of a project entitled an Adaptation Strategy and Action Plan for the Water Sector in Indonesia funded by GTZ and ProLH. We would like to thank Prof. Dr. Dieter Kirschke (Humboldt University of Berlin, Germany), Dr. Steffen Noleppa (agripol – network for policy advice GbR, Berlin, Germany) and Dr. Nana Künkel (GTZ) for their inputs on survey evaluation and cost assessment, Dr. Yanuar J. Purwanto (Department of Civil Engineering and Environment, Bogor Agricultural University) for his valuable inputs and comments on hydrological consequences of flood and drought. We also thank Adi Rakhman and Fitriyani (Center for Climate Risk and Opportunity Management for South East Asia and Pacific (CCROM-SEAP)) for map of Indramayu districts and data collection, and Mr. Iwan Syahril (PhD candidate at the Department of Education, Michigan State University) for his help in editing the early version of this manuscript. Special thanks to Pak Kusnomo Tamkani (Head of Indramayu Agricultural Office) for his support and guidance during the survey and all participants involved in the survey. REFERENCES Barnett, Jon. 2010. Adapting to climate change: three key challenges for research and policy–an editorial essay. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 1 (3):314-317. Boer, Rizaldi, and A.R Subbiah. 2005. Agriculture drought in Indonesia. 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Increased 120 Economic and Adaptation Cost of Climate Change: A Case Study of Indramayu – West Java Indonesia ASSESSING HAZARD MITIGATION POLICIES AND STRATEGIES IN JAVA COASTAL AREAS Rahmawati Husein Government Studies, FISIPOL, Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta Adaptation in Disaster Management and National Strategy Assessing Hazard Mitigation Policies and Strategies in Java Coastal Areas Rahmawati Husein Government Studies, FISIPOL, Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta Jl. Lingkar Selatan, Taman Tirto, Kasihan, Bantul, 55183 DIY. [email protected] ABSTRACT There has been a growing literature on the role of land use planning and development regulations can play toward hazard mitigation (Beatley, 2009; Burby, 1998; Godschalk et al., 1999). Although Indonesia is one of the longest coastal areas in the world, almost none of the research in coastal hazard mitigation has been done in Indonesia. This study investigates policy and practices of local jurisdictions, municipalities and regencies, along Java coastal areas, where they are vulnerable toward hazards. It is specifically, examines the adoption and implementation of land use planning, development regulations including building standards and information dissemination strategies at the local levels (Kabupaten and Kota). The paper provides an overall assessment of the types of land use and development regulations and policies implemented by local jurisdictions based on survey of leading planner (head of Bappeda) and leading public work officer (head of Dinas PU). In total 31 municipalities and regencies participated in the survey from the total 65 regencies and municipalities in Java coastal areas. Statistical models were developed to assess the adoption and extensiveness of using various forms of land-use regulations, hazard mitigation programs, and hazard related building standards. Results suggest wide variation in the adoption and extensiveness of usage the policies and strategies for reducing any impact of hazards in the coastal areas. Keywords: mitigation, land use planning, development regulations, Java coastal areas 1. INTRODUCTION Over recent decades, Indonesia has experienced a steady increase in the physical and social impacts as well as economic losses due to multiple hazards. The UNISDR report states that Indonesia is one of the top 10 countries with the largest number of natural disasters. (UNISDR, 2008 & 2009). This escalating toll of disaster loss occurs partly because of the increasing concentrations of population and infrastructure in areas with high exposure to natural hazard. Some scholars state that disasters occur when hazards meet vulnerability. Yet, coastal areas become hazards prone areas due to their fast growing populations. It is estimated that 1.2 billion people (23%) of the world population live within 100 km of the coastal line (Ahmed and White, 2006). In Indonesia, about 62% of its 214 million people lived on the Java Island, 65% of those live in the coastal area (Sukardjo, 2002). In addition, it has been a rapid shift from the hinterlands to coastal areas, whose population densities’ average between 500 and 2,000 people per square kilometer (Hinrichsen, 2008). These growths ratio in coastal areas increase people’s hazard vulnerability and increase 122 the calls for mitigation as part of the solution (Peacock, 2009). One of the mitigation strategies is through development regulation and land use planning, which have been seen as crucial strategies at the local government level. Hazard mitigation offers an obvious way to avoid many natural catastrophes (Hyndman & Hyndman, 2006) and an important tool for reducing losses in natural disaster (Burby, et.al, 2000). Mitigation strategies have been classified in many different ways. It is categorized as hazard source controls, (Lindell, et.al., 2006), or often divided broadly as structural and non structural strategies (Godschalk, et.al, 1999; Mileti, 1999). Yet, the mitigation strategies focus on long term and proactive steps which give passive protection (Lindell, et al., 2006) and range from engineering to land use planning as well as information dissemination. Nevertheless, in the past, structural mitigation techniques have dominated disaster management in the world, including Indonesia. The Dutch Colonial Government had built structural facilities to protect people in coastal areas and it was continued until new order regime. These engineered approaches include creating barriers to withstand wave forces such as breakwaters and seawalls, dykes and levees. In addition, structural methods also applies channel to control the flow of the water including dam, reservoir, and other methods such as deepening, widening and straightening channels. The adverse impacts of the engineering approach can be minimized by all efforts of the structural method. However, the damage and losses from natural damage has not decreased. These can be caused by: first, building codes and structures are designed to reduce the probability of loss from hazard events only up to a certain magnitude (Burby and Dalton, 1994). When the natural disasters exceed such magnitude, the damage can be catastrophic as it occurred during the 2004 Sumatra earthquake and Indian Ocean tsunami that killed hundred thousand and destroyed infrastructure in many countries. Second, structural measures are very expensive and also require enormous ongoing costs for their maintenance (Alexander 1993, Burby, 1998). Moreover, a failure to maintain will lead to a great loss. One of the example, several years ago, Jakarta and its surrounding suffered from a dam failure which was built during the colonial era. The current government failed in maintaining the structure and restricting people to live in environmental sensitive areas (Jakarta Post, 2009). Third, structural solutions can bring a false sense of security to the public (Burby and Dalton, 1994; White 1936). Although they do not give complete security (Alexander 1993), but people believe the protected areas are completely safe. Fourth, researchers found that construction of groins, seawall, bulkhead and other engineered structures which is build to prevent coastal erosion and to protect from hazard contributes to environmental degradation and ecosystem disruption such as the decline of fish and wildlife habitats and adverse impacts on aquatic ecosystems and may cause the very problem (Abel, 1999, Klee, 1999, William and Micalef, 2009). Thus, there has been growing the adoption of a non-structural approach for hazard mitigation planning. This strategy focuses on land use management which its goals is to avoiding and restricting development in hazard areas by zoning, relocation, land acquisition through purchase, gift and condemnation, residential subdivision, setback ordinance, overlay districts and building design/standard (Berke 1998; Olshansky & Kartez, 1998; Godschalk et.al 1999; Burby, 1998, Brody and Highfield, 2005; Srivastava, R., & Laurian, L. 2006). In addition, this strategy includes Incentives and other tools. Incentives policies such as voluntary retrofitting of private structure, voluntary land property acquisition, tax abatement for using mitigation, density bonus and low interest loans for retrofitting building are commonly used (Berke,1996). Other incentives are differential taxation, impact/use fee, incentive zoning, and transfer of development right from hazard areas to safer sites, reduced or below-market taxation for open space or reduced land use intensity in hazardous areas, special assessments to fund added public costs of hazard area development and also transfer of development potential (Davis, 2004; Olshansky & Kartez, 1998) as well as incentives for farm and business diversification and low-interest loans and aid programs for agriculture from local government (Srivastava & Laurian. 2006). Additionally, information dissemination and awareness strategies for mitigation are considered critical. Studies find that the educational programs introduced by local government to individuals or groups in their respective communities will increase the level of commitment of local government officials toward hazard mitigation policies (Norton, 1995; Robins 2008). Others also find that public participation in local hazard mitigation is significant and may contribute to sustainable hazard mitigation (Pierce, 2001; Deyle & Slotterback, 2006; Godschalk et.al 2003; Tanaka, 2005; Stevens et.al, 2009). Hynmand & Hyndman states that public awareness will help people in adopting mitigation policies in order to avoid potential impacts or at least “modify their behaviour or their property to minimize such impacts” (2006). Yet, in Indonesia, these non-structural mitigation policies and strategies have not been widely implemented. Some of the reasons are 123 Assessing Hazard Mitigation Policies and Strategies in Java Coastal Areas first, in the past, planning was heavily centralized and concentrated in Java Island. Only starting in 1999, when Regional Autonomy Law No. 24 was enacted, the local government has more authority to manage its jurisdictions. This Law was revised by Law No, 32/2004 and Law No. 12/2008 which remain having a basic framework from previous including the broad authority for local governments to manage their own affairs. In addition, several laws which dealing land use planning and disaster management were considerably newly passed. These include three laws that enacted in 2007 consisting Law No. 24 on Disaster Management, Law No. 26 on Spatial Planning, and Laws No. 27 on Coastal and Small Island Management. As a result of these, mitigation through land use will still be challenging as the decentralized environment caused greater complexity and highly fragmented policy and management in disaster issues (Merthayasa, 2005). However, the new series of Laws provide window opportunity for local governments to take more responsibility in using land use and development regulations for reducing any impact of disasters in coastal areas. Some provincial governments have passed regional legislation to control and supervise land use practices according to regional spatial planning to promote hazard mitigation (Wardani & Kodoatie, 2008). One of the examples is the restriction of using the land in the riverbank and beaches for residential or business (informal sector) purpose. Local government has a power to force people to move out particularly to those who settle illegally, although they have been staying for decades. Other example of land use practice is the issue of location permit. This permit is issued by the Head of the District Land Office on the basis of the Spatial Plan. This allows local governments restrict the land use, as in principle location permit will not be issued in the area designated for conservation region. Having acquired lands, the individual/groups have to apply land right, then they received statement letter of granting right with the permit stated. The right over the land can be reviewed based on the permit, which in the adverse situation their right on land can be canceled and controlled by government (Sastrowihardjo, 1997). Additionally, the Coastal and Small Islands Management Law No.27, 2007 provides guidelines for conservation and protection of sensitive areas and has discouraged development in wetland. Although the Law is relatively new, the integrated coastal management has been practices for decades. Some local governments particularly in Java, such as Cilacap, Central Java has applied zoning to preserve wetlands and marine system (Paw, J., & Chua, T. 1991). Based on these, it is important to examine the usage of land use planning and development regulations. This study aims at assessing general land use policies that can be used to enhance mitigation and to compare hazard mitigation practices by regency and municipalities in the north and south of Java Island. 2. METHODOLOGY 2.1 Area and time period The primary focus of this study is kabupaten (regencies) and kota (cities) along the Java coast which are vulnerable to a variety of coastal hazards. This study includes areas that have a large portion as well as a small portion of coastal line in the north and the south areas of Java. The study was taken during June - August 2010. 2.2 Sample selection In total a sample frame was developed to survey 65 kabupaten and kota consisting of 51 kabupaten, 14 kota and six provinces which has coastal line and considered coastal regions. The primary targets for informants included head of district/municipality planning agency (Bappeda) and the head of Public Work Agency (Dinas PU) The goal was to contact and ultimately obtain an informant who was knowledgeable about the adoption and implementation of land use and development regulations in their areas The process of developing the sample frame of key jurisdictional administrative officials, including their contact information required considerable time because the size of the areas and the address which sometime change. The survey instrument consisted of a selfadministered questionnaire, distributed from June through August of 2010, with some areas 124 Assessing Hazard Mitigation Policies and Strategies in Java Coastal Areas even participating at the end of 2010. Survey implementation followed the Dillman’s threetiered approach for mail survey (Dillman 2007). At the beginning, potential respondents, many of whom had been contacted during the development of the sampling frame itself, were contacted via phone. Then, the questionnaire was distributed through priority mail along with addressed and stamp return envelopes. It was followed with a reminder call the respondent’s contact after one week to ensure whether respondent received the survey or not. If no response was received after three weeks, another mail was resent along with addressed and stamped return envelopes. In total 41 responses were obtained although some represented double responses for a specific jurisdictions. As a result there were 31 responses for the 65 kabupaten and kota, yielding an overall response rate of 47.69%. 2.3 Variable measurement The research measured the implementation of policies and strategies using ordinal scales. Respondents were asked a series of questions of the usage of those strategies on a scale 0 to 3, where 0 is never used and 3 is used at a very great extent. Following are various policies and strategies that are collected by the survey. 1. Land use and development regulations including: a). residential subdivision ordinances, b) planned unit development, c) special overlay districts, d) agricultural or open space zoning, e) performance zoning, f) hazard setback ordinance and g) storm water retention requirements 2. Shoreline Regulations: a) limitation of shoreline development to water-dependent uses; b) restrictions on shoreline armoring; c) restrictions on dredging/ filling; d) dune protection; and e) wetland and costal vegetation protection 3. Building standard including: a) building code and types, b) standards for new building, c). retrofitting standard for existing building, d). special utility codes. 4. Information dissemination and awareness programs: a) public education for hazard mitigation; b) citizen involvement in hazard mitigation planning; c) seminar on hazard mitigation practices for developers and builders; d) hazard disclosure; and e) hazard zone signage. 5. Property acquisition programs including: a) fee simple purchases of undeveloped lands, b) acquisition of development and easements, and c) relocation of existing structures out of hazardous areas. 6. Incentives approaches including: a) transfer of development rights from environmentally sensitive/ hazardous areas, b) density bonuses in environmentally/ hazardous areas, c) clustered development in environmentally sensitive/ hazardous areas. 7. Financial tools: a) lower tax rates; b) special tax assessment; and c) impact fees or special assessments. 8. Critical public and private facilities policies: a) requirements for locating public facilities and infrastructure; b) requirements for locating critical private facilities and infrastructure; and c) using municipal service areas to limit development. 9. Public-private sector initiatives: a) Land trusts; and b) Public-private partnerships. 10. Hiring Professionals to a) Identify suitable building sites; b) Develop special building techniques; and c) Conduct windstorm/ roof inspection. 3. RESULT AND DISCUSSION On the whole, the findings clearly suggest that some policies are much more extensively employed than others, although the overall rates to which many are utilized appear to be quite low. A convenient method for quickly ascertaining the relative “popularity” assessed in terms of the relative usage of each of these planning tools and strategies can be obtained by calculating and comparing the average rating of each. Remembering that the response categories range from “0” indicating the tool/ strategy is not employed at all to “3” indicating the method is employed extensively, the closer the average is to three the more extensively the method is employed across coastal jurisdictions. Figure 1.1 presents a bar graph of the average usage ratings for each planning tool, where the size of the bar represents the average extent of usage. In addition, the planning tools have been rank ordered such that higher ranked 125 Assessing Hazard Mitigation Policies and Strategies in Java Coastal Areas and hence more extensively employed tools appear higher on the figure. environmental impact assessment/EIA (2.19), and 2) plan unit development (2.10). The top two planning tools are the only strategies that have average ranks over two, suggesting that they are on the whole employed somewhat rather extensively across coastal jurisdictions in Java. These two are: 1) It is interesting to note that environmental impact assessment has been widely enforced. The reason is this policy was commonly enforced among the business entities at the local level after the law of EIA has been in place since 1982. Figure 1. Ranking of land use and development regulations The next cluster consists of five tools that, while there significant drop in their average rating from the top two, all have averages that fall between 1.97 and 1.64, suggesting they are 126 Assessing Hazard Mitigation Policies and Strategies in Java Coastal Areas employed to a small extent but clearly approaching the “to some extent” levels across jurisdictions. This cluster from high to low include, standard subdivision ordinance (1.97), agricultural and open space zoning (1.84), building code (1.77), citizen involvement in mitigation planning (1.71) and special overlay district (1.65). These results suggest that kabupaten and kota in Java have varieties strategies adopted at the local level. When considering the top ten policies is use among coastal jurisdictions, six (6) are related with land use and development regulations and three (3) are related to information dissemination & awareness. The findings with respect to land use and development regulations show that local government are generally more focused on trying to shape development via plan unit development, residential subdivision ordinances, and to mitigate through storm water retention requirements and agricultural/open space zoning, with some limited introduction of more incentive based and flexible approaches like special taxing for environmental sensitive areas. In addition, awareness program through citizen involvement in mitigation planning and public education on hazard mitigation were also popular as these strategies less costly for local government and relatively easy to be implemented. Yet, around a half of the 41 policies/tool considered have averages of one or above, suggesting at least some usage among jurisdictions. The remaining 13 planning tools found very little use among coastal kabupaten and kota in Java. By far the least utilized of these tools include special taxing districts, taxes for environmental protection, impact fees, insurance program and density bonus. These findings indicate that local jurisdictions in coastal Java have very little affinity toward using taxes for steering development to less hazards areas and introducing insurance program for mitigating any impact of hazards in their areas. It is possible that one reason for the relatively low usage of these forms of incentives is, as Schwab et al. (2007) suggested, that they are often difficult for local governments to implement and for landowners to understand and accept. On the whole, these findings suggest a very limited tool bag of land use planning policies are being employed by kabupaten and kota along the Java coast whether directly or indirectly attempting to promote and improve hazard mitigation. When comparing policies and practices between kabupaten and kota in the north and south of Java, a t-test was computed for each of 41 specific policies and strategies. Overall, there are no significant differences between north coast and south coast. Only three have significant different consisting 1) wetland and coastal vegetation protection (t= 3.51, p≤ .05); 2) land trust (t= 2.83, p≤ .05); and 3) publicprivate partnership (t= 2.36, p≤ .05). The findings suggest that local governments in the north coast of Java tend to adopt and protect their coastal wetland and vegetation strategies compared to local government in the south coast. It can be understood as the north coast is low lying areas and its ecosystem has heavily coastal mangrove forest, meanwhile in the southern coasts tend to have more rocky coastal cliff. Thus, northern coast were suffered from coastal erosions and the loss of natural barrier because of rapid development. Meanwhile, the findings suggesting that the local government in north coast have more public private partnership could be explained by the fact that many businesses and ports are located in the north coast. These encourage the opportunity to participate in the planning process. 4. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION 4.1 Conclusion On the whole, the portfolio of hazard mitigation strategies and policies is quite limited among kabupaten and kota in Java, particularly incentives and financial tools. The findings are consistent with studies that found activities involving finances tend to be overlooked as they have bigger consequences for local government, (Beatley, 2009; Schwab et al., 2007) However, there are varieties of policies have been exercised. The results partially support Olshansky and Kartez’s (1998, p. 167168) suggesting that after the 1970s, many local governments have moved beyond zoning and subdivision regulations and have added more techniques and instruments that can work in tandem with conventional regulations, particularly in mitigating losses from natural 127 Assessing Hazard Mitigation Policies and Strategies in Java Coastal Areas hazards. As also suggested by Preuss that no single mitigation tool is responsive to all hazards or appropriate all locations, therefore hybrid approaches is needed to integrate diverse tools (2006). Second, there are no considerable differences between local jurisdiction in northern and southern Java. The major difference is the adoption of wetland and coastal vegetation protection and public-private partnership. An obvious explanation for this difference is that the northern part is low-laying areas where more population concentrated. 4.2 Recommendation Although this study provides a picture of the extent to which local jurisdictions are employing hazard mitigation policies and strategies, the response rate for this study was only moderately high (47.69%). While there is no reason to think that the study results are particularly bias, increasing response rates may have enhanced findings. Future studies should add a qualitative survey to obtain additional in-depth information on the process of how local jurisdictions employ hazard mitigation policies and strategies as well as the challenges they face in utilizing these policies. Further research may also elaborate a comparison of the usage of land use planning and development regulations between kabupaten and kota in Java and the outer island in Indonesia. It may also be interesting to study and do plan evaluation of the hazard mitigation components in the local master plan, to see the commitment of local government in reducing any impact of disaster in coastal area. Acknowledgment This article is based on research supported in part by Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta as a comparative study for the similar studies that taken in Texas coastal areas. The study in Texas was in part written as dissertation and supported in part by grants from NOAA (NA07NOS4730147) administered by the Texas General Land Office and the Coastal Coordinating Council (08-023-000). REFERENCES Alexander, D. (1993). Natural disasters. New York: Chapman & Hall. Dillman, D. 2007. Mail and Internet Surveys: The Tailored Design Method. Wiley: New York. Beatley, T. (2009). Planning for Coastal Resilience. Washington, D.C.: Island Press. Godschalk, D. R., Beatley, T., Berke, P., Brower, D. J., Kaiser, E. J., Bohl, C. C., et al. (1999). Natural Hazard Mitigation: Recasting Disaster Policy and Planning. Washington, D.C.: Island Press. Berke, P. R. (1998). Reducing natural hazard risks through state growth management. [Article]. Journal of the American Planning Association, 64(1), 76. Burby, R. J. (1998). Cooperating with nature: Confronting natural hazards with landuse planning for sustainable communities. Washington D.C.: National Academies Press. Burby, R. and L. C. Dalton (1994). "Plan can matter! The role of land use plans and state planning mandates in limiting the development of hazardous areas." Planning Administration Review 54(3): 229-238 Burby, R. J., R. E. Deyle, et al. (2000). "Creating hazard resilient communities through land-use planning." Natural Hazards Review 1: 99. Hyndman, D., & Hynmand. D. (2006). Natural hazard and Disaster, 2nd edition. California: Brooks/Cole. Mileti, D. S. (1999). Disaster by design. Washington, D.C.: Joseph Henry Press. Klee, G. (1999). The coastal environment: Toward integrated coastal and marine sanctuary management. NJ: Prentice-Hall, Inc. Lindell, M.K., Prater, C.S., and Perry, R.W. (2006). Fundamentals of Emergency Management. Washington, D.C.: FEMA. Available at http:// archone.tamu.edu/hrrc/Publications/books/ FEMA%20book/index.html 128 Assessing Hazard Mitigation Policies and Strategies in Java Coastal Areas Olshansky, R. B., & Kartez, J. D. (1998). Managing land use to build resilience. Pages 167-202 in R. J. Burby, Cooperating with nature: confronting natural hazards with land-use planning for sustainable communities. Washington, D.C.: National Academies Press. Paw, J., & Chua, T. (1991). Managing coastal resources in Cilacap, Indonesia, and Lingayen Gulf, Philippines -- an ASEAN initiative. Marine Pollution Bulletin, 23, 779-783. Peacock, W.G, Kang, J.E., Husein, R., Burn, G.R, Prater, C., Brody, S.D., and Kennedy, T. (2009) “An Assessment of Coastal Zone Hazard Mitigation Plans in Texas. Unpublished report prepared for the Texas General Land Office and The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Hazard Reduction and Recovery Center. Pearce, L. (2005). The value of public participation during a hazard, impact, risk and vulnerability (hirv) analysis. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 10(3), 411-441. Preuss, J., (2003). Coastal area planning and management Coastal protection in the aftermath of the Indian Ocean tsunami: What role for forests and trees?, 129. Retrieved from http:// www.fao.org/docrep/010/ag127e/AG127E10. htm Sastrowihardjo, M. (1997). Land use system approach to sustainable land management in Indonesia. Ministry of Agrarian Affairs. Available at http://wgbis.ces.iisc.ernet.in/energy/ HC270799/LM/ SUSLUP/ Thema3/645/645.pdf Schwab, A., Eschelbach, K., & Brower, D. (2007). Hazard mitigation and preparedness. Danvers, MA: Wiley Srivastava, R., & Laurian, L. (2006). Natural hazard mitigation in local comprehensive plans. Disaster Prevention and Management, 15(3), 461-483. Sukardjo, S. (2002). Integrated Coastal Zone Management (ICZM) in Indonesia: A View from a Mangrove Ecologist. Southeast Asian Studies, Vol. 40, No. 2. Wardani, S., & Kodoatie, R. (2008). Disaster Management In Central Java Province, Indonesia. Geotechnical Engineering for Disaster Mitigation and Rehabilitation, 254-259. Williams, A.,& Micallef, A. (2009). Beach Management Guidelines: Principles and Practice: Earthscan/James & James. 129 Assessing Hazard Mitigation Policies and Strategies in Java Coastal Areas CLIMATE CHANGE AND ECONOMIC POLICY FOR DEVELOPING COUNTRIES Rony Bishry Resource Economic Researcher The Agency for the Application and Application of Technology (BPPT) The Economic of Climate Change and Social Participation Climate Change and Economic Policy for Developing Countries Rony Bishry Resource Economic Researcher The Agency for the Application and Application of Technology (BPPT) ABSTRACT This is an analytical study of the response of developing countries for climate change visioned as incoming natural disasters globally and of the developing countries’ climate change vulnerabilities. We also discuss the extent of our knowledge about the short- and long term economic impacts of these climate change disaster, prevention, mitigation and post-disaster policies that may be implemented. As an example the case of FIP program for REDD+ wil be analyzed. Innitially REDD agreement comprised of 1) emission reduction from deforestation and 2) emission from degradation. In the REDD+, agreement was extended for the role of conservation, sustainable forest management and the increase of forest carbon reserve. FIP program analyzed is a global effort to support the REDD+, the economic impacts of this program is the main concern of this paper. In Indonesia, net benefit of FIP program is positive and the benefit will outweigh the cost. The implementation of the FIP Program is suggested. Keywords: economics of climate change, climate change economic policy, environmental economics, climate change cost and benefit 1. INTRODUCTION Climate change gives impacts economically to the developing countries. Destructive disasters caused by climate change create economic loss. Many of the most destructive disasters caused by the climate change will affect developing countries people: among others its agriculture, its water resources, weather disturbances, increased of infectious diseases, human migration and climate catastrophes. The most important countries in the global climate change are the high- emitting countries. To avoid worst scenario, high-emitting rich countries do not want developing countries to follow in their footsteps of creating emission. To give burden to the main player, developing countries want rich countries to take the initial steps in reducing emissions. However, even among the rich countries there is a tendency to ask other to act first before their own action. Therefore it is always interesting to learn the response of developing countries for climate change as they look at climate change as the global incoming natural disasters and of the developing countries’ climate change vulnerabilities. The discussion also about the extent of our knowledge about the short and long term economic impacts of these climate change disaster, prevention, mitigation and post-disaster policies that may be implemented by developing countries. As a case study, program for REDD+ in developing countries will be analyzed. Innitially REDD agrreement comprised of 1) emission reduction from deforestation and 2) emission from degradation. In the REDD+, agrreement was extended for the role of conservation, sustainable forest management and the increase of forest carbon reserve. FIP program analyzed is a global effort to support the REDD+, the economic impacts of this program is the main concern of this paper. 131 2. THE ECONOMIC VALUE OF CLIMATE CHANGE The opportunity cost of preventing disasters caused by climate change is how much the cost of the destruction caused by the climate change if it happens. It can mean the cost of reducing greenhouse gas emissions. “Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is supposed to reduce the probability and severity of climate change damages”1). It can also be valued by the cost of mitigating and adapting to climate change. For practical use the economic value of clmate change can be estimated the price of the damages caused by each additional ton of carbon dioxide (CO2) released into the atmosphere. This price can mean the price of one ton of carbon in the market or the the carbon tax The estimate is found through an economic assessment of the expected damages of climate change and the costs of avoiding them. Nordhaus (2008)2, working in this tradition, tells us that optimal climate policy would involve a carbon tax of about $17 per ton in 2005, ramping up to $270 per ton in 2100. The Stern Review provides a different perspective on the economics of climate change, claiming that the optimal carbon tax now is $311 per ton (Stern 2006)3. Nordhaus does this in order to identify economically efficient mitigation strategies, Nordhaus is working towards a global benefit–cost analysis. He takes this to be an empirical exercise and seems confident about what a competent study can hope to achieve. While Stern is more interested in evaluating pathways that avoid unacceptable atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases while identifying trade-offs. In Stern’s view, inaction on climate change would lead to damages worth at least 5% of world output per year, and, depending on how the damages are calculated, perhaps as much as 20%. Most of these damages could be prevented, according to Stern, by spending 1% of world output annually on mitigation. Other economists assume both a more substantial rate of pure time preference, and a larger growth-related component, yielding discount rates as high as 6%. The difference this makes is enormous: $100 of benefits 100 years from now would be worth $25 today at a discount rate of 1.4%,versus $0.25 at 6%. In short, economic analysis can “see” much more of the future at a discount rate as low as Stern’s, but becomes myopic at a rate as high as 6%. The main difference between Stern and Nordhaus approaches are how to value costs and benefits that occur in the future. Nordhaus uses 3 percent for the discount value, it is declining to the discount rate of 1 percent in 300 years; he considers these rates to be the people's actual discounting behavior. Stern used the discount rate which is the rate of growth of per capita consumption, plus 0.1%. Since economic growth averages 1.3% in his model, his discount rate averages 1.4%. His argument is that those in the future who will bear the costs and benefits of present policies are different people from those who bear them at present. Carbon price at International carbon trade is mostly assumed to be a constant carbon price of US$ 5/ton over the period in many carbon accounting calculation. Cost effectiveness: • FIP budget: USD 1.5/t CO2e • Leverage budget (FIP & IFC): USD 4.6/t CO2e The Magnitude of Damages to Developing Countries If we consider the rich and developed countries are the biggest carbon emitters and the developing countries are those who receive damages, “ Indeed, through disproportionate emissions of greenhouse gases alone, the rich group may have imposed climate damages on the poor group greater than the latter’s current foreign debt. “ (Srinivasan 2007)4 If their current debt is around 30% of their GDP, the damages is worth of more than 30% of their GDP. The developing countries are also the carbon emmiters. It is true in the economic development effort in the developing countries, carbon emmission is also the impact of the development. Therefore the effort to lower emmitted carbon shouls also become the effort of the developing countries along with the biggest emmitter,the developed countries. Externalities considered to be the damages to developing countries are among others: • to their agriculture, forestry, water resources, energy use impacts; • increased weather disturbances; • loss of wetlands, dry-lands, and coastal protection; • increased/decreased heat/cold stress; 132 Climate Change and Economic Policy for Developing Countries • • • • increased incidence of infectious diseases; human migration; disruption to unmanaged ecosystems; risk of climate catastrophes. These externalities will contribute to the magnitude of damages and the cost of climate change mitigation. 3. REDD+ PPROGRAM IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES Recently, however, market opportunities are emerging to support interventions that reduce deforestation and forest degradation under “Reduced Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation” (REDD) programs. The protocols and methods for developing and implementing REDD projects, however, are complex. Use of remote sensing and GIS data and analysis are important and necessary in project development and implementation tools. Linking projects to financial markets also requires a certain level of expertise. Several developing countries include Brazil and Indonesia expect that their efforts to maintain sustainable forest can be supported financially through REDD programs. The basic questions for developing countries are: 1. Are developing as well as developed countries ready for the REDD program? 2. How much is the economic benefit of the effort of decreasing carbon emission through the REDD+ program? Global concern over climate change impacts and risks has increased greatly in recent times. Mitigating climate change has been recognized as an economic challenge, not just an environmental one. REDD and its scheme has been widely discussed in the UNFCCC convention by the participating parties. It was first included by Costa Rica and Papua New Guinea in the COP11 agenda in 2005. REDD then became the main topic of deliberation at COP13, held at Bali in December 2007, and also at COP14 in December 2008 at Poznan-Poland. It was also in the agenda of the convention in Copenhagen 2009, in Cancun Mexico 2010, and in Durban South Africa last year. To limit and reduce global emissions requires action in both developed and developing countries. Large opportunities to reduce emissions through REDD exists, but most carry economic costs and so will not be implemented unless policy settings change. The international dynamics are mutually-reinforcing: one country’s action depends on other countries doing their part. The more countries that commit to significant policies, the easier it will become to draw others in. Innitially REDD agrreement comprised of 1) emission reduction from deforestation and 2) emission from degradation. In the REDD+, agrreement was extended for the role of conservation, sustainable forest management and the increase of forest carbon reserve. FIP program analyzed is a global effort to support the REDD+, the economic impacts of this program is the main concern of this paper. 4. THE ECONOMIC VALUE OF REDD+ PROGRAM A. Cost of REDD Program It is important to estimate the cost of the REDD+ program for economic analysis puposes. The cost of REDD+ is different for one area compared to others. Besides, the issue is how much the carbon reduction given certain carbon reduction cost. The cost for REDD+ program is comprised of: Opportunity costs, operating cost and the transaction cost.5) They are as follows: Opportunity Costs. Deforestation actually gives benefit to the society as the log can be sold, the empty land is for agriculture or plantation (forest land for other used). Deforestation reduction means the decrease in potential benefit. The case is similar for the forest degradation caused by logging, wood harvest and catle feeding which give benefit from forest degradation. Degradation reduction means the decrease in potential benefit. To calculate this benefit, estimate of the benefit from forest or other use of forest is needed. Operating cost. The cost includes the cost to guard forest against illegal logging, agriculture and plantation intensification to reduce the use of forest area, rerouting of the road construction, and the relocation of the hydro 133 Climate Change and Economic Policy for Developing Countries electric plant away from the natural forest and others. The cost includes the cost for the identification process of the REDD+ program, negotiation and transaction, monitoring, reporting and verification. From the research findings, Boucher’s (2008)6 who reviewed 29 forest areas found out an estimate of opportunity costs at the amount of US$2.51/tCO2, average cost for African countries is US$2.22/tCO2, for American countries is US$2.37/tCO2, and for Asian countries is US$2.90/tCO2. The estimate for the average operating and transaction costs is US$1/tCO2. B. The Benefit of REDD+ Program The benefit of REDD+ program received by developing countries is the insentive payment since it will decrease deforestation and degradation. To see the benefit, we can see the support system od the REDD+ program which is classified into 1) market 2) monetary support 3) the stages approach. The market approch means the support is based on international carbon market system with the unit payment of ton of equivalent per ton. It is assumed that the approach is the most feasible aprroach because it involved the private sectors. Monetary support/budgeting approach for the REDD+ program can be designed to suport the cost based on target and the criteria needed by a country or donor country. The support from carbon market will be based on the emission reduction. However for the budgeting approach, it can be based on emissin reduction and for supporting the capacity building in the developing countries in the framework to develop carbon market in the future. In the existing budgeting proposal it include voluntary support from the country, tax for the emission reduction for the project of joint implementation. The stages/phasing approach budget is that the budget is from different source based on the need of the developing countries, comprising of 3 (three) phases as follows : (i) Voluntary financing for “capacity building”; (ii) Binding financing instrument for policies and solution; and (iii) market system for emission reduction. C. Forest Investment Program (FIP) for REDD+ There are eight areas for FIP investment in Indonesia for agreed in the program, they are as follows: a. REDD+ in Community Forestry including the prospects for redirecting the current $300+ million fund for community forest, improved credit systems, access to REDD+ performance-based payments, forest carbon markets, and payments for ecosystem services. b. Land and Forest Tenure Reform including policy reforms to improve enabling conditions for Sustainable Forest Management (SFM) . c. Addressing illegal Logging and associated trade: addressing the remaining hot spots for illegal logging, including the introduction of policy and institutional reforms, and introducing REDD+ incentives as alternatives to illegal behavior. d. Forest Management Units (FMUs) and REDD+: supporting the development of FMUs using REDD+ as a management objective and FMUs as REDD+ monitoring units. e. Degraded Lands Development: Redirecting plantations from forests to degraded lands in conjunction with implementation of national REDD+ strategy. f. Ecosystem Restoration Concessions and REDD+: scaling-up the use of Ecosystem Restoration Concessions, with an emphasis on generating REDD+ revenues as an important source of revenues. g. Market-based REDD+ Incentives: Expanding the use of REDD+ financial incentives to reshape land and forest management practices, including the integration of REDD+ The notional funding resource envelope for FIP in Indonesia is up to $70 million, including up to $37.5 million in the form of grant assistance, and up to $32.5 million as concessional finance7). An additional complementary grant pool of about $6.5 million will be made available through the FIP Dedicated Grant Mechanism for Indigenous Peoples and Local Communities representatives of the private sector, which included upstream and downstream forestry companies and concessionaires, industry associations, international NGOs working on private sector sponsored projects, management 134 Climate Change and Economic Policy for Developing Countries consultants with sector expertise, and local banks with natural resource investments. The private sector supported by the FIP process and recognized its importance in providing transformational investments and inquired about: (i) criteria to be used to select partner enterprises for financial support, (ii) possibilities for using FIP financing for existing businesses such as industrial plantations (HPH) and natural forestry (HPH) (iii) a realistic timeline for the delivery of the FIP private sector concessional financing, citing concerns on cash flow affecting businesses, (iv)possibilities for using FIP funds as a market guarantee to fund forest carbon credits, (v) the eligibility of projects very far along in the process for funding, (vi)prospects for one district or province that supports ERCs to receive support in promoting them via the FIP funding. For the economic analysis, the focus will be for the concessional finance which is used to strengthen forest private enterprises to mitigate carbon emissions starting January 2013 at the soonest. Private sector investments will be supported and leveraged to strengthen the productive capacities and business skills of forest enterprises, including smallholder and community small businesses and cooperatives, as well as medium and large forest sector firms. The targets of the FIP for the role of the private sectors are as follows: Output (i) Timber production 200,000 ha (with impact potential to scale up another 500,000 ha in other concession areas) with direct use benefit/net rent of US$ 58/M38) and with the timber productivity maximum 20M3/ha, the use direct benefit is US$ 232 Million. Non timber benefit will increase this value. (ii) Plantation Management 100,000 ha (with impact potential to scale up another 200,000 ha in other concession areas). The benefit is already recorded in the increase in timber productivity. (iii) Ecosystem Restoration 100,000 ha (with impact potential to scale up another 200,000 ha in other concession areas). Since the value of restored ecosystem might take time, use direct value is not calculated. (iv) Community and small-holder forestry, agroforestry 20,000 ha (with impact potential to scale up another 20,000 ha in adjacent undeveloped concession areas). The benefit is already recorded in the carbon emission reduction and the productivity of timber. GHG abatement potential The carbon emission saving potential of applying these interventions is estimated to be around 2.05 Mt CO2 over five years with a monetary value of around S$10.25 million assuming a constant carbon price of $5/ton over the period. Cost and Benefit Considering the cost of FIP program in term of concessional loan of US$ 32.5 Millions, the benefit outweigh the cost, since the carbon emission saving is amounted to US$ 10.25 Millions based on the average carbon price of US$5/ton and the timber total use direct value as the total net rent is amounted to US$232 millions. The benefit will be higher if benefit is calculated based on the carbon tax estimated US$ 17/ton in 2005 up to US$ 270/ton in 2010 5. CONCLUSION AND SUGGESTION Global climate change is challenged by carbon emission due to resource utilization. The developed countries are blame to be the biggest sources and responsible for reducing the emmission. However, developing countries has also become significant source of emmission and therefore they also have to have policies for reducing the emission. One of the important policies is in the framework of REDD+ program where the policy is to reduce the emission by decreasing deforestation, degradation and other effort such as conservation. The FIP program is the implementation of the REDD+ program in developing countries. 135 Climate Change and Economic Policy for Developing Countries The economic of this policies is analysed by comparing the benefit and cost of the program. In Indonesia, the planned FIP program will have net benefit. Considering the cost of FIP program in term of concessional loan of US$ 32.5 Millions, the benefit outweighs the cost, since the carbon emission saving is amounted to US$ 10.25 Millions based on the average carbon price of US$5/ton and the timber total use direct value as the total net rent is amounted to US$232 millions. Based on the cost benefit analysis, The FIP program for the REDD+ program in Indonesia need to be implemented, hoping the benefit will outweigh the cost. REFERENCES Dale Jamieson (2011), ”The Nature of the Problem”, in Schlosberg, The Oxford Handbook of Climate Change and Society, Oxford University Press. Nordhaus (2008) , A Question of Balance, New Haven: Yale University Press. Stern, N ( 2006) The Economics of Climate Change: The Stern Review. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Srinivasan, U.T. ( 2007 ), The Debt of Nations and the Distribution of Ecological Impacts from Human Activities, at www.pnas.org_cgi_ doi_10.1073_pnas.0709562104 Level,” Forest Carbon Partnership Facility. World Bank, ENVIRONMENT WORKING PAPER No. 11 Boucher, D. C (2008). “What REDD can do: The Economics and Development of Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation.” Washington: Union of Concerned Scientists. At http://siteresources.worldbank. org/INTCC/Resources/whatREDDcando.pdf Republic of Indonesia (2012), Forest Investment Program, Indonesia FI-Plan Document, March 2012. PTISDA BPPT (2011), The Natural Resource Accounting of East Kalimantan Province. Pagiola, Stefano and Benoît Bosquet (2009), “Estimating the Costs of REDD at the Country 136 Climate Change and Economic Policy for Developing Countries BRIDGING THE GAP: KNOWLEDGE DEVELOPMENT AND MANAGEMENT IN CLIMATE CHANGE ISSUES IN ACEH Saiful Mahdi Statistics Program, Mathematics Department, College of Sciences, Syiah Kuala University; International Center for Aceh and Indian Ocean Studies (ICAIOS), Banda Aceh [email protected] The Economic of Climate Change and Social Participation Bridging the Gap: Knowledge Development and Management in Climate Change Issues in Aceh Saiful Mahdi Statistics Program, Mathematics Department, College of Sciences, Syiah Kuala University; International Center for Aceh and Indian Ocean Studies (ICAIOS), Banda Aceh [email protected] ABSTRACT This paper argues that there is a gap between high level policy and grass-root understandings on climate change issues in Aceh. ”Aceh Green Vision” introduced by local government in 2007, while being applauded by some, has not been totally grasped and celebrated by civil society and the general public in Aceh. On the other hand, Aceh’s civil society, especially those working on environmental issues, seems to be active enough in discussing and working on topics related to climate change. Technical capacities in natural sciences and technology of climate change are also adequately mastered by academicians in Aceh. From ICAIOS’ Climate Change and Poverty Project, however, it was learned that there is a need to develop a more open multidisciplinary dialog and understandings in addressing climate change issues in Aceh. Knowledge development and management in climate change can, therefore, be used to bridge the gap. 1. INTRODUCTION 1.1. Background Following Helsinki Peace Accord of 15 August 2005 between Indonesia Government and the Free Aceh Movement (GAM), partly made possible by 26 December 2004 Tsunami, Aceh exercised its right for a historical, first direct election in December 2006. Irwandi Yusuf, a former GAM leader running as an independent non-political party candidate , was democratically elected as Governor of Aceh. Within six months after his inauguration on 8 February 2007, the ex-rebel governor had introduced two major policies on environment and development in Aceh, based on understandings of “the rise of climate change as one of the most imminent threats to the security and prosperity of the Asia Pacific region.” The two policies, considered a breakthrough by many, a shock to national policy makers, are logging moratorium and Green Economic Development and Investment Strategy for Aceh, known as “Aceh Green Vision” or simply “Aceh Green”, was considered a shock to the national government because the policy was “not common” and was seen as a move to exercise Aceh “self government” based on Indonesian Law of Government of Aceh (LoGA) No. 11/2006, known as UUPA (Undang-Undang Pemerintahan Aceh), . The logging moratorium, declared by Governor Irwandi Yusuf in Aceh on 6 June 2007 , came out as a consensus from a meeting to address climate change issues with Papua’s and West Papua’s governors on 26 April 2007. The Institute Green Aceh, Editorial: Apakabar Moratorium Logging di Aceh? 13 July 2012. Available at http://www.greenaceh. o r. i d / 2 0 1 2 / 0 7 / 1 3 / e d i t o r i a l - a p a ka b a r moratorium-logging/; Accessed on July 14, 2012. LoGA is a national law resulted from Helsinki MoU. 3 The Helsinki MoU stipulated that an “independent candidate” can run for leadership position, making Aceh the first to introduce such electoral arrangement in Indonesia. 1 Concept Paper: Green Economic Development and Investment Strategy for Aceh, Indonesia: Aceh Green, July 2008. 2 138 Based on Governor Instruction (Instruksi Gubernur) No. 5/INSTR/2007 4 moratorium was expected “to provide the Governor time to a) review the current status of Aceh’s forests (including forest cover, concessions, and sustainable production capacity); b) redesign a proper and sustainable forest development and management strategy (including forestry zoning, policy framework, and institutional framework); and c) reenact stronger, more effective enforcement mechanisms to prevent violations of this policy.” The moratorium was also intended to send “a message to the international community that the province is willing to stop deforestation but not without receiving something in return, i.e., new revenues from trade, not only aid.” Logging moratorium was later on strengthened by a more comprehensive vision and holistic strategy, the Aceh Green Vision, “to rebuild the economy of Aceh in the aftermath of the December 2004 Tsunami and the three decade-long conflict for independence.” This vision was introduced on 7 December 2007 when Governor Irwandi signed a joint declaration with the Governors of Amazonas, Brazil, Papua, and West Papua, during the Conference of Parties (COP-13), United Nations Framework Conference on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in Nusa Dua, Bali, 3-14 December 2007. With this declaration, the governors agree “to a) implement policies/programs aimed at promoting forest conservation and poverty alleviation to reduce emissions from deforestation; b) share best practices in research and public policies applied to sustainable development, forest conservation and reduction of deforestation; c) exchange technical and scientific information; and d) establish mutually beneficial linkages between local communities.” The concept paper notes that “Aceh Green will integrate and expand carefully and consciously integrated themes of climate change via renewable energy and land use management, community development, commerce and conservation”. Further it states that, “The Governor recognizes that achieving environmentally sustainable outcomes is only possible with economically sustainable livelihoods for the people of Aceh, especially the dispossessed and disenfranchised.” Then the paper claims that “In anticipation of a postKyoto regime, Aceh Green is economically viable and visionary.” The bold move of Governor Irwandi Yusuf on climate change issues did not stop there. He became part, and, together with Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger of California, is one of initiating governors of Governors’ Climate and Forest Taskforce (GCF). “The GCF is a unique multi-jurisdictional collaborative effort between 17 states and provinces from Brazil, Indonesia, Mexico, Nigeria, Peru, and the U.S. focused on the development of rules and capabilities necessary to generate compliance-grade assets from Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD). It grew out of November 2008 Memoranda of Understanding (MOUs) signed at the First Governors’ Global Climate Summit in Los Angeles….” Banda Aceh was on highlights when it hosted one of the meeting for these “green governors” task force on 17–22 April 2010, attended by delegates from different countries. But the march of Aceh to become a “green province” as envisioned by Irwandi and his “Aceh Green Secretariat” in the “green concept paper” was suddenly halted by the change of leadership. Irwandi Yusuf lost his bid for the second term of governorship to Zaini Abdullah, another former GAM leader but from different faction, on 9 April 2012 local election. Since his inauguration on 25 June 2012, the new governor has not touched nor said anything about “logging moratorium” and Aceh Green. He did, however, comment on mining issues in Aceh saying that its management needs a look over. This has raised questions among concerned environmental activists, analysts, institutions, and concerned citizens alike. What will happen 5 Concet Paper…op.cit. p. i 6 Ibid 7 Ibid. p. ii 8 Ibid. p. 2 13 Ibid Ibid. p. 3 11 http://www.gcftaskforce.org/about; Accessed on August 8, 2012. 12 The election was re-scheduled for three times from its initial schedule of November 2011 on the demand of GAM leaders, a move believed to sideline Irwandi and lower his electability. 9 10 The new governor promised to issue a new instruction soon for “mining moratorium” as reported by Atjeh Post, an online media known to be closed to the new administration. http://atjehpost.com/read/2012/07/31/16470/5/5/PemerintahAceh-Segera-Berlakukan-Moratorium-Tambang. Accessed on August 16, 2012 139 Bridging the Gap: Knowledge Development and Management in Climate Change Issues in Aceh to logging moratorium policy in Aceh? What about Aceh Green Vision? Will it be cut off merely due to different leadership and leadership vision in Aceh? In a broader perspective, given its integrated and comprehensive approach at least as claimed by Aceh Green supporters, why cannot Aceh Green be carried on through the new administration? Can and will civil society organizations and general public propose to the new administration to adopt the policies once applauded by many? If not, what should be (or have been) done to make it more likely that the vision will be embraced by the new administration and general public, especially those of environment friendly development advocates. What are roles of knowledge development and management in this scenario? 1.2. Study Objective The objective of this study is two-fold. Firstly, to learn about Aceh Green Vision, its concept, milestones, and actors around the vision and its implementation. Secondly, to see whether there is knowledge development and management on climate change and how it might (have) help(ed) shape environmental and development policy in Aceh. Based on these, I would then suggest how likely such a policy like Aceh Green Vision will sustain. in Aceh. Nor has it been seen as favorable policy as such by some of environmental activists, organizations, and the general public. This is due to the fact that Governor Irwandi Yusuf and his Aceh Green Secretariat had failed to build inclusive ownership of the vision and was not able to educate enough people on the supposedly reasonable, if not great, vision so people will defend and or carry it on. That is, there is an obvious gap between high level policy and grass-root understandings on the vision, and thus, on climate change issues in Aceh. I then propose that knowledge development and management on climate change issues, both from natural and social sciences perspective, both of governmental and non-governmental actors can fill the gap and so to build multidisciplinary dialog and understandings of such myriad issues surrounding climate change. The rest of the paper is structured as follows. After briefly stating methodological approach used in this study in Section II, I provide main results and discussion in Section III. Section IV concludes and states several recommendations. 1.3. Aceh Green Vision and Knowledge Management Based on my observations, interviews, communications, reports from different organizations, documents, and several FGDs I attended, some of which I will lay out in the following sections, I find Aceh Green Vision is less likely to survive the change of administration 14 Institute Green Aceh, Editorial: Apakabar Moratorium Logging di Aceh? 13 July 2012. Available at http://www.greenaceh.or.id/2012/07/13/ editorial-apakabar-moratorium-logging/; Accessed on July 14, 2012 140 Bridging the Gap: Knowledge Development and Management in Climate Change Issues in Aceh 2. METHODOLOGY I used a combination of desk research (internet reference, previous publications, and secondary data) and personal interviews/ communications here. I also incorporated minutes from several FGDs I was part of in 20112012. 3. FINDINGS AND DISCUSSION 3.1. The Aceh Green Vision The formation of Aceh Green Vision was very much influenced by global agenda on climate change issues. In its proposal to be a REDD+ pilot demonstration, “the Government of Aceh” states that “The Government of Aceh is very serious in following up global agenda, especially those related to climate change and its implication, …” (Pemerintah Aceh, 2011:5). According to Lassa (2010), “The thirteenth Conference of Parties (COP 13) in Bali, Indonesia provided a new momentum for the provincial government to fine tune its new policy, namely the Aceh Green Vision (AVG).” He calls AVG as “The rebranded policy” that “aims to reduce emissions from deforestation and forest degradation (REDD) with planned financial support from voluntary markets.” But it does include local interests in Aceh. At least, as Lassa (2008) put it, it is “strongly characterized by global-local interconnection.” The Aceh Green Vision was started with a move by Aceh Government under then Governor Irwandi Yusuf to temporarily stop logging activities in Aceh, known as “logging moratorium”. It was declared on 6 June 2007 in Aceh. Irwandi said logging moratorium policy is needed to return forest function as balancing factor to the nature and climate. Following logging moratorium policy, the government also introduced three “grand strategies”: redesign, reforestation, and reduction of forest destruction rate, known as 3R Strategy. With this policy and strategy, the government claims to have saved 500,000 hectare of forest in Aceh from logging activities in 2008 from forest concession active permit alone. But it does not totally stop logging, both legal and illegal one, in Aceh (Pemerintah Aceh, 2011). While the problems of illegal logging and forest destruction were not resolved, Aceh had to face yet another challenge: unemployment. With about one million hectare forest already destroyed by previous illegal activities and forest concession holders, increasing unemployment was predicted to worsen situation in Aceh by mid 2009 as post-tsunami rehabilitation and reconstruction would end. Many former GAM members were still unemployed after four years of 2005 Helsinki Peace Accord. These two challenges were addressed by Aceh Government under Irwandi Yusuf with Aceh Green concept (Gumay, 2008). In its initial final concept paper titling “Concept Paper: Green Economic Development and Investment Strategy for Aceh, Indonesia: Aceh Green, July 2008” , known as “green paper” , Aceh Green consists of three priority categories with eight main components : 1. Land Use, Land Use Change and Forest (LULUCF) Management Component 1: Primary Forest Protection and Management Component 2: Reforestation and Forest Restoration Component 3: Community Forestry and Agro-forestry Development 2. Sustainable Economic Development Component 4: Smallholder Estate Crop Development in Partnership with Private “On file with government of Aceh” (Dunlop, 2009:12) This concept paper is anonymous, dated July 2008. My computer file indicated that I downloaded it from www.aceh-eye.org on 17 September 2010. The website has been turned down since mid 2012 by the management of Eye on Aceh for their personal reasons (communication with T. Samsul Bahri, Eye on Aceh, June 2012). Eye on Aceh is “an independent research organization that for several years has been publishing reports on critically important themes from Aceh’s past and present. …”. This is very likely the same concept paper “provided by the Governor of Aceh to the ESCAP secretariat on 14 December 2007” (UNESCAP, 2008). This might also be the concept paper referred by DAI (2009), a report done by Lyndal Meehan, a consultant who used to work for UNDP in Aceh, as “Originally a work of foreign consultants, this is now a much more complete and relevant Document” 15 CSIRO (2008: ii) 15 141 Bridging the Gap: Knowledge Development and Management in Climate Change Issues in Aceh Sector and Parastatal Estate Crops & Associated Infrastructure Component 5: Spatial Planning, Management, and Development of Capture Fisheries and Aquaculture Component 6: Development Public Infrastructure 3. Renewable Green Energy Component 7: Geothermal Energy Component 8: Micro Hydro Lyndal Meehan in her report to Development Alternatives, Inc (2009), however, reported that Aceh Green has four key-sector and 10 components (sub-sector): 1. Energy security through green energy Development a. Geothermal b. Hydropower 2. Environmental Conservation based on sustainable forestry management a. Developing management and protection of forest b. Reforestation and rehabilitation c. Developing agro-forestry and community forestry 3. Food and livelihood security through sustainable economic development a. Developing partnerships between small holders and private plantation sector b. Development and management of fisheries and aquaculture c. Development of public infrastructure that supports protection of the environment. 4. Waste management and renewable energy a. Management of waste materials through reducing volume, pollutants and adding value b. Management of mineral energy and mining Aceh Green is known as an initiative by Governor Irwandi Yusuf to promote “environmentally sustainable economic development in Aceh”. This is done through ‘Aceh Green Transitional Secretariat’, a team of advisors funded by several non-government agencies. The team, nevertheless, was officiated by a formal Governor’s Decision in 2008 (DAI, 2009). While key sectors and strategies were, more or less, clearly laid out, defining ‘Aceh Green’ itself was not an easy task. DAI (2009) reported, “Two years have passed since the first mooting of Aceh Green and, despite numerous gains, many parties still find defining ‘Aceh Green’ and its development agenda a difficult task. The Secretariat team describes Aceh Green as a development ‘philosophy’ or approach....” The Aceh Green Secretariat always insisted that Aceh Green is a philosophy or approach or a vision. But many saw it as a program. Some event think that it included a livelihood program as indicated by confusion around Aceh Forest and Environment Project (AFEP), a USD 17.5 million project funded by Aceh Multi Donor Fund (MDF) under the World Bank management in Aceh. Fauna Flora International (FFI) had to clarify this matter: “AFEP adalah proyek untuk hutan dan lingkungan Aceh, dan bukan merupakan proyek yang khusus menangani persoalan livelihood atau peningkatan ekonomi masyarakat di sekitar hutan, walaupun demikian, sekitar 5 hingga 7,5 persen dari total dana AFEP telah dialokasikan untuk Livelihood.” 20 The Secretariat members were drawn from the Governor’s “Assistance Team” and include: Ilarius Wibisono and M. Yacob Ishadamy, GIS/IT specialists; Nurdin M. Husin and M. Nur Rasyid, legal experts; Hasan Yudie Sastra and Idal Bahri, economic specialists (Development Alternatives Inc, 2009). Some of this members are Irwandi Yusuf colleagues when he worked at Fauna Flora International (FFI) in the 90s. 18 Yacob Ishadamy and Irwandi Yusuf are still listed respectively in “local contacts” as “representative” and “governor” on Governors’ Climate and Forest (GCF) Task Force official website: http://www. gcftaskforce-database.org/StateOverview/Aceh. Yacob is titled as “Head Aceh Green”, most probably to mean “Head of Aceh Green Secretariat”. 19 FFI – Aceh Program is one of two organizations funded under Aceh Forest and Environment Project (AFEP). The other is Leuser International Foundation (Yayasan Leuser Internasional, YLI). 17 142 Bridging the Gap: Knowledge Development and Management in Climate Change Issues in Aceh (AFEP is an Aceh forest and environmental project, and is not a project specifically deals with livelihood or forest community economic development, although about 5 - 7.5 percent from AFEP total funding is allocated for livelihood) AFEP is claimed by Government of Aceh as one of “two main cornerstones for the Governor’s Green Economic Development and Investment Strategy for Aceh” and “has successfully mapped extensive land use and conservation protection opportunities”. The other main “cornerstone” is Community Climate and Biodiversity Alliance (CCBA) which audited Aceh Avoided Deforestation Voluntary Carbon Program (AADVCP) in Ulu Masen Ecosystem, “a multi-million dollar project funded and administered by Carbon Conservation Pty Ltd., involving many parties at the forefront of forest carbon markets including SmartWood and the World Bank.” Besides AFEP, there are several progresses reported by personals representing the Aceh Green Secretariat. Yacob Ishadamy and Fadmi Ridwan , for examples, include several actions in what they call, respectively, “effort for REDD implementation” and “Actions Update”. Following logging moratorium, the Government of Aceh recruited forest rangers (Pamhut) whom were also trained to be facilitators to increase awareness on forest conservation. The Aceh Green concept paper noted that to “To help enforce the moratorium, the Governor recruited and employed 1,000 forest rangers/forest facilitators to raise awareness within Aceh’s communities to be more actively involved in forest protection and implement sustainable forest management. He will add as many as 2,000 more forest facilitators FFI-Aceh Program press release as in “Tudingan” Penyalahgunaan Dana AFEP dan Karbon in Bulletin Ulu Masen. Edisi IV, April-Juni 2008. Page 6-7. 21 Anonymous. 2008. Concept Paper: Green Economic Development and Investment Strategy for Aceh, Indonesia: Aceh Green, July 2008. 22 Op.cit 18: Yacob Ishadamy… 23 Fadmi Ridwan is REDD Aceh Task Force Coordinator (OC). He is a state employee Pegawai Negeri Sipil (PNS) at Biro Perekonomian Setda Aceh 20 over the next two years.” (Concept Paper: Green Economic Development and Investment Strategy for Aceh, Indonesia: Aceh Green, July 2008). To “Redesign Aceh Forestry”, Governor Irwandi Yusuf established Forestry Redesign Team (Tiperiksa) mandated to propose new forest spatial, governance, and authority arrangements, including forest concession review. In line with this action, a “multi stakeholder forum” was established for “community capacity building”. The Aceh Green Secretariat also had been developing Aceh Spatial Planning (RTRW) , a result of which is yet to be accepted by local parliament and districts government. Meanwhile, efforts to reforest and reduce forest destruction by the secretariat include the establishment of “Concession Task Force” to evaluate mining concessions. There was also an “Aceh Marine and Fisheries Team” which was tasked to develop fisheries strategic planning, to revitalize Aceh aquaculture sector and marine conservation, and to develop “better management practices” in capturefisheries, aquaculture, post-fishing technology, and sea resources management. There were also actions for Payment Environmental Services (PES), which include the establishment of “carbon trade (REDD) task force” and efforts to manage Krueng Peusangan river basin (DAS) in North Aceh. DAI (2009) calls those listed above and several others as “ground breaking initiatives” and “breakthroughs”. It outlines them as the following: Among the breakthroughs are: 1. The moratorium on all logging in Aceh (declared by the Governor in 2007) 2. A forestry concessions review. 3. The establishment of the TIPERIKSA and development of a draft forestry spatial plan. 4. The historic Reducing Emissions through Deforestation and Degradation (REDD) agreement that grew out of the UNFCC meeting in Bali. 5. The agreement on carbon credits signed with the Governor of California (and another long-standing agreement with Merrill Lynch that has yet to see credits flow, partly due to the financial crisis). 24 25 RTRW, Rencana Tata Ruang Wilayah DAS, Daerah Aliran Sungai 143 Bridging the Gap: Knowledge Development and Management in Climate Change Issues in Aceh 6. Establishment of the Leuser Ecosystem Regional Development Board (Badan Pengembangan Kawasan Ekosistem Leuser – BPKEL). 7. Advising on the formulation and implementation of the Aceh Forestry and Environment Program (AFEP) funded through the Multi-Donor Fund, the single largest environmental project in Asia, valued at USD17.5 million over four years. That is why there have been concerns among environmental activists and analysts alike on the environmental and development policy in Aceh. These concerns are not necessarily about the Aceh Green Vision in its format as envisioned by the former governor and his team, but more on overall policy related to sustainable economic development. For forest governance, Eye on Aceh (2009), for instance, has underlined this in its conclusion: 8. Creation of the SIM - C database that combines tracking government spending with spatial data, to enable environmental monitoring of programs. For good forest government to be implemented, Aceh requires a strengthening both of regulatory capacity and long term political will. For now, Governor Irwandi is a strong supporter of forest governance reform; however, if he is voted out, reform will stagnate or go into reverse unless better legislation is in place; implementation and monitoring capacities and commitments are improved; and resistance on the part of provincial and district level bureaucrats to what commonly perceived as the “overindulgence of the governor for policies than come from non-Acehnese” is overcome. 9. A re-drafting and re-fining of the Aceh Green document and program (in Indonesian). Originally a work of foreign consultants, this is now a much more complete and relevant document. 10. Socialization to SKPA and provincial leaders of Aceh Green and steps to leveraging programming to meet Aceh Green criteria. (DAI, 2009: 12) “Other areas in areas in which Aceh Green is progressing” are waste management and palm oil sector development (DAI, 2009: 13). But “most time and effort” of Aceh Green Secretariat “has been devoted to forestry conservation”, including, if not all about REDD and “carbon trade.” Now that the government in Aceh is changing, it is very interesting and important to see how Aceh Green Vision will proceed. Will it be put down after Governor Irwandi Yusuf, a conservationist himself loss 2012 election from Zaini Abdullah, a medical doctor who lived in Sweden for more than 20 years before coming back to Aceh after the Helsinki MoU of 15 August 2005. Some have already mentioned that at least the new governor’s living experience in Europe will help conservation efforts in Aceh. But, it requires not only a “long term political commitment”, but also “regulatory capacity” (Eye on Aceh, 2009). 26 Eye on Aceh. 2009 (Eye on Aceh (2009: 22), emphasis in italics from author) Dunlop (2009) voiced similar concerns on governance, especially on tenure security for forest community. But, the biggest drawback of Aceh Green Vision to proceed in the future might as well come from the fact of Aceh Green Secretariat ‘ad hoc’ status. As written in DAI (2009) executive summary: The secretariat has had only ‘ad hoc’ involvement to date with government departments and have exhibited almost no interest in engaging the government planning mechanisms that underpin the entire development process. As a result, it further notes, “there are currently many gaps”: 1. Poverty reduction and rural development strategies are rudimentary; civil society participation is minimal despite recent gains; 144 Bridging the Gap: Knowledge Development and Management in Climate Change Issues in Aceh 2. Supply chain development is a long way off; 3. Non-government assistance in government development planning, particularly in sectoral agencies such as agriculture, is currently non-existent; 4. ‘Disconnects’ between and within government agencies in planning and program implementation exist across the province (DAI, 2009:7) However, in its undated “Up Date from Aceh”, Taskforce REDD Aceh with the support of Fauna Flora International and Carbon Conservation claimed to have achieve the following: 1. Preparation and establishment for permanent REDD management site in Aceh 2. Vegetation and pilot survey of forest carbon in the district of Ulu Masen: a. Carbon stock assessment (DPRA). Legislation is expected to be finished in 2011 3.2 Reception to Aceh Green and REDD With such coverage, comprehensive and holistic approach, one might expect there would be open and wide reception of “Aceh Green”, be it as a vision, approach, or philosophy; especially with such a high profile coverage in the media and international engagement. And indeed, as a vision it was applauded by many in Aceh, and even more at the national and international level. The reception, however, is not without reservation. Lassa (2010), for example, notes that “New initiatives, such as the Aceh Green Vision, are seen as a set of strategic movements from a certain strategic groups with mixed motives regarding strategic resources, which are packed fashionably as the sustainable development policy, and strongly characterized by global-local interconnection.” Others see Aceh Green is understood only by a small circle around Governor Irwandi Yusuf and its drafters. As a result, it was viewed as an exclusive and not “conflict sensitive” process, as written by Marthunis Muhammad, a scholarbureaucrat at Aceh Provincial Planning Board (Bappeda) Aceh: b. Deforestation assessment c. Leakage and risk assessment. 3. Community involvement strategy: a. Information and education Inisiatif lingkungan Aceh termasuk sangat baik. Visi Aceh Green juga luar biasa, tetapi tidak dilakukan berdasarkan pendekatan "sensitif konflik"…. Aceh Green juga terkesan eksklusif. Pemahaman Aceh Green yang baik hanya berada pada Gubernur Irwandi dan para konseptornya. Tidak membumi di dinas/ badan apalagi DPRA. Konsekuensinya, bombastis di dokumen dan media, tapi tumpul di program/kegiatan APBA. Yang paling terasa adalah ketika pembahasan tata ruang Aceh yang cenderung stagnan dengan DPRA. Selain dipicu oleh political divide antara eksekutif dan legislatif saat itu, juga akibat eksklusivitas prosesnya. 27 b. Land rights and natural resources c. Complaints mechanism and feedback 4. Consultation on FPIC [Free, Prior, and Informed Consent] and benefits sharing’s scheme with local indigenous people (imum mukim) 5. Strengthening the role of community rangers (PAMHUT/POLHUT) in the forest protection 6. Optimizing the function of Conservation Response Unit (CRU) the 7. Preliminary draft of the REDD+ regional development strategy 8. Recognition process of indigenous rights (Mukim) in forest management 9. The Spatial Plan of Aceh Region (RTRW): RTRW is in prcess with Aceh Parliament Email communications with Marthunis Muhammad in Aceh Researcher Forum (Forum Peneliti Aceh, FPA) mailing list. FPA has been working to mainstream 27 145 Bridging the Gap: Knowledge Development and Management in Climate Change Issues in Aceh (Translation here) I have heard many comments on “exclusiveness” as above from Aceh bureaucrats at provincial and district level, as well as from NGO activists, academics, and analysts. This is maybe why Eye on Aceh (2009) terms it as perceived “overindulgence of the governor [Irwandi Yusuf] for policies that come from nonAcehnese.” National Executive Coordinator of WALHI Desk Aceh-Nias, Sofyan, (dalam Gumay, 2008) adds that “Aceh Green Vision concept mooted by the government has to be socialized and understood by all the people. This way, there will be public sphere for people to voice their opinions before all programs are implemented.” Lassa (2008) criticizes on how Aceh Green Vision has been conceptualized as “Building on a Donor-Driven Economy” (title of section C, page 4, final English version, in the “green paper”). He is concerned that while research has shown the importance of trust in building and maintaining Aceh’s social capital, as shown by Thorburn’s (2008) survey, the Aceh Green Vision drafter(s) has (have) “implicitly assumed that the reconstruction processes in Aceh have been donor-driven.” Citing several other examples, Lassa concludes that those examples “indicate that overall, the international donor organizations involved in the reconstruction and rehabilitation process have little understanding that sustainability of projects require local approval and support, and they have fewer regard for local public participation in order to secure these approval and support.” The challenge of governance is also voiced by Eye on Aceh (2009), particularly in forest governance, a prerequisite to a successful implementation of Aceh Green Vision. The findings of the report “suggest that most problems of forest management in Aceh are governance problem.” Eye on Aceh suggests, however, that these challenges of governance are not unique to forest sector. “evidence-based policy” in Aceh. Quoted with permission. 18 July 2012. 28 Emphasis in italics is made by the author to show that even prominent environmental activist thinks that Aceh Green Vision also constitutes program. 29 Available from indosasters.blogspot.com INDOSASTERS (Indonesian Disasters Studies Gateway). This blog is maintained by Jonatan Lassa - PhD a researcher on DRR governance). … most problems of forest management in Aceh are governance problems that affect many sectors, including forestry, rather than problems relating only to forest governance per se. In particular, the future of Aceh’s forests is profoundly complicated by the fact that an entrenched culture of opportunism and corruption is pervasive in the province. … forests in Aceh have now become an integral part of the local political economy, which is on the whole dominated by predatory and corrupt practices. Dunlop (2009) looks into more detail on this governance issues by examining local community tenure security issues. She recommends that Enhancing tenure security of forest dependent communities can help to address legal uncertainties surrounding REDD projects. This will not only empower forest dependent communities but will also benefit governments, REDD project developers and investors. Particularly on Ulu Masen REDD project, three NGOs, Forests for Peoples Programme, Pusaka, Yayasan Rumpun Bambu Indonesia writes in one of their ‘Rights, forests and climate briefing series’: Several issues could make the sustainable implementation of the Ulu Masen project challenging, particularly in terms of respecting indigenous peoples’ rights and reducing deforestation. Despite being five years into the development phase, the Ulu Masen Pilot Project does not have a strong legal basis to manage the forests within the project site. The problem with REDD implementation is of course not unique to Aceh, though. And community knowledge about this seems to be pivotal. Purnomo et al (2012), for example, observes knowledge on REDD+ in Jambi as the key factor if it is to be success fully implemented. Ratsimbazafy, Harada, Yamamura (2011) also finds the lack of knowledge on REDD among forest community members in 146 Bridging the Gap: Knowledge Development and Management in Climate Change Issues in Aceh Madagascar as a possible obstacle in its implementation. Worse is yet to come for Aceh Green Vision. When people talk about the vision, one that always comes up recently is about carbon trading and REDD project in Ulu Masen Ecosystem. This project is seem to fail because of political change in Aceh and, subsequently, the failure of private sector to bring about benefits as it promised in carbon trading. The political change in Aceh is believed to hinder carbon trading initiatives in Aceh. “Change in Aceh hinders carbon plan” reports Michael Bachelard in Sidney Morning Herald on 8 June 2012. The next day, another Bachelard’s report appears, “Credits lost in tangle of Aceh's forest” on the same paper, reporting the Ulu Masen project “to develop a carbon credit scheme has stalled, perhaps fatally, and 770,000 hectares of forest [in Ulu Masen Ecosystem] is in limbo.” In this report, Bachelard writes how Dorjee Sun, a young Australian entrepreneur who owns Carbon Conservation, an Australian carbon brokerage firm working with Irwandi’s Government of Aceh on Ulu Masen Project, has “sold out”. Sun, once Time magazine's "Heroes of the Environment", “sold half his business to a Canadian gold mining company, whose aim is to turn a forest-clad mountain-top into an opencut mine using cyanide leaching to extract the riches.” Bachelard’s reports are based on comprehensive observations, interviews, and film documentary, one of which is the basis for his statement: “[Dorjee Sun’s] partner in the effort, former Aceh governor Irwandi Yusuf, was so disillusioned with REDD he accused the global community of using his region as a "carbon toilet"”. Harada is now doing similar analysis on REDD and forest communities in Aceh. 31 http://www.smh.com.au/world/change-inaceh-hinders-carbon-plan-20120608-201jm. html (Accessed August 20). 32 http://www.smh.com.au/environment/ conservation/credits-lost-in-tangle-of-acehsforest-20120608-201gl.html (Accessed August 20). 30 Local, national and international NGOs have expressed their concern on this latest development. Forest Peoples Programme, Pusaka, Yayasan Rumpun Bambu Indonesia wrote in their briefs in October 2011: In a development that may turn many against the Ulu Masen Project and exacerbate existing concerns, in May 2011, Carbon Conservation sold half of its assets to the Canadian mining company, East Asia Minerals Corporation. To this end, I have discussed about the Aceh Green Vision and how it is received in Aceh. The vision itself is indeed a holistic one and has been applauded by many upon its introduction. But further reception, let alone engagement and implementation, has shown mixed results. Although it will need further research and analysis, I argue that there is a gap of bridging processes and actors between high level policy, that is, Aceh Green Vision, and its understandings and implementation at the grass-root level (civil society, forest communities, general public). This might be what Lassa (2008, 2010) calls “knowledge trap” in governance in general and in carbon management policy in particular. The power to define space/spatiality is practically in the hands of consultants and experts hired to do the job. Their discretionary power is prone to bias either due to pressure from certain interests, for example powerful groups such as donors and lenders, or due to the so-called "knowledge trap" where the data, information, and knowledge are implemented without any understanding of the corresponding unknowns of local context and dynamics (Evers, Gerke, and Menkhoff 2006 in Lassa 2010). Lassa further his argument while looking at the process of carbon management policy in Aceh as “…there are risks of the "knowledge trap" due to the ignorance or dismissal of factors that support sustainability, specifically, the principles of participation and legitimacy (Lassa 2010 and Adger et al. 2002 in Lassa 2010). He cites Lesley McCullough of Eye on Aceh, writing: There is anecdotal information that the circle that promotes carbon management policy is not 147 Bridging the Gap: Knowledge Development and Management in Climate Change Issues in Aceh dominated by the official local stakeholders of government officials such as Bappeda, and sectoral provincial departments but by donors and expatriate experts (Interview with Lesley McCullough, 2008 in Lassa 2010). Lassa (2010), therefore, proposed a more and better involvement of local experts, bureaucrats, and civil society such as “experts go green” and “bureaucrats go green”. I want to expand on this proposal by arguing that there should be knowledge development and management on “sustainable economic development in Aceh” if not on “Aceh Green Vision”. In particular, Aceh needs to build evidence-based policy by developing T-shape professionals in sustainable economic development. 3.3 Knowledge development and management I want to begin this section by fully quoting one paragraph from Ismid Hadad on the multidisciplinary and multisystem nature of climate change issues: Kendati disebabkan oleh dan berdampak pada kondisi sosial ekonomi, namun perubahan iklim selama ini hanya dianggap sebagai masalah geofisika dan teknis lingkungan belaka; tidak ada kaitannya dengan urusan pembangunan atau kebijakan publik. Masalah perubahan iklim seolah-olah hanya menjadi perhatian dan urusan ilmuwan fisika, ahli cuaca, dan pakar lingkungan saja. Disisi lain, upaya pengurangan emisi GRK [Gas Rumah Kaca] oleh negara maju dan berkembang masih lebih banyak mengandalkan pendekatan teknologi dan ilmu pengetahuan alam. Mereka belum menyertakan kebijakan pembangunan sosial ekonomi serta pendekatan politik dan kultural yang diperlukan untuk mengatasi masalah kompleks tersebut secara komprehensif. (Hadad, 2010) (Tranlation here) Ismid Hadad is a prominent former student activist, environmental and development activist and scholar, and philanthropist. He serves as negotiator and Indonesia Delegate secretary in COP-13 UNFCCC (2007) in Bali, delegate and negotiating member in COP-14 in Poznan, Poland (2008), and for COP 15 in Bonn. He is also the chair of Funding Mechanism Working Group in Indonesia National Council for Climate Change (DNPI). 33 Issues of climate change, as those emerging challenges in our new world such as poverty, conflict, disaster, and other environmental and development issues indeed necessitate interand multi-disciplinary approach. In another word, we need build a more inclusive approach at different levels. In term of technical capacities, Aceh seems to have fairly good human resources in natural science and engineering. This can at least be seen from the profile of state universities in Aceh, Syiah Kuala University in particular, which, until recent years, put more attention to the field of science and engineering vis a vis social and humanity sciences. As a result, knowledge in Aceh (and Indonesia in general) is very much compartmentalized in conventional department system and very rigid to foster inter- and multidisciplinary approach. For example, I can easily find among my colleagues in Aceh expertise on advance environmental modeling, but not in the socio-economic implications of such fancy models. My experience at the International Center for Aceh and Indian Ocean Studies has attested to this reality (more on this is in the next chapter). This has been exacerbated by low to no willingness among scholars from different fields to work together to address multidisciplinary challenges such as climate change. Formal regulations and reward system in Indonesian academics are also favoring highly specialized experts and scholars. A common anecdotal illustration of this is “linearity” condition for an academics to advance to professorship in Indonesia. But there is no such thing as a single term for “climate change” expert. Despite this problem, however, discourses on climate change and other environmental and development issues have been very vibrant in Aceh, thanks to mostly non-government initiatives such as from national NGOs (e.g. Walhi, Yayasan Rumpun Bambu Indonesia, Solidaritas Perempuan; International NGOs (Eye This is a complicated issue in post-colonial society like Indonesia. My contemplation on this is in Mahdi, Saiful. 2010. Melawan Paradigma Pendidikan Kolonial. Aceh Institute in Tabloid Kontras, Banda Aceh. 34 148 Bridging the Gap: Knowledge Development and Management in Climate Change Issues in Aceh on Aceh, IDLO, Transparency International). But, as Lassa (2010) indicates, there is a risk of “knowledge trap”: “where the data, information, and knowledge are implemented without any understanding of the corresponding unknowns of local context and dynamics (Evers, Gerke, and Menkhoff 2006 in Lassa 2010). To prevent “knowledge trap”, I would suggest that Aceh needs not only a comprehensive capacity building programs on climate change issues, but also an orchestrated efforts to breed more T-shape professionals in sustainable economic development as suggested by Donofrio, Spohrer, and Zadeh, 2009: “T-shape professionals have problem-solving (depth) and complex-communication (breadth) skills. The phrase originated in computer education and the spread to other areas in part to create a contrast with traditional, highly specialize I-shape professionals.” Figure 1 shows a supposedly T-shape professional skill profile. importance of evaluating not only the output and results of a research, but also on the impact of them. Looking at a closer level, Purnomo et al (2012) describes the nexus between “actors’ knowledge and power in terms of implementing REDD+” in Jambi and shows that those who have more knowledge about REDD+ do have more powers to influence policies. In addition, those who have more knowledge are more receptive to REDD+. On REDD community knowledge, Dunlop (2009) recommends: “To be effective, REDD projects need to be supported by community education and awareness-raising that target the gaps in community knowledge identified…. Such activities should be culturally appropriate and tailored to the circumstances of local communities.” Although there was a drawback in 2009 COP15 in Copenhagen, many still celebrate Bali 2007 COP-13 UNFCCC as a strategic milestone for Indonesia’s moving forward in climate change initiatives. Since then “awareness, community movement, and mass media coverage on environmental issues and climate change have been incessant and widespread, besides it has produced program and policy breakthroughs, and new organizations….” Aceh enjoys this blossoming awareness more, if not the most, compared to other places in Indonesia. There has been strong ‘knowledge production’ in this field in Aceh as indicated by Figure 1. T. Shape professionals: combining problem solving (deep) and communication (broad) skills (Donofrio, Spohrer, and Zadeh, 2009) Pending further exploration for width and depth of this knowledge, for example, by ongoing Harada’s project, it might be the case that more people in Aceh know about ‘climate change’ and ‘REDD’ than other places, no matter how vague is the understanding; as Michael Bachelard 8 June 2012 report in Sidney Morning Herald put it: “We are in the heart of the massive Ulu Masen project, where ordinary people probably know more than most about REDD.” (emphasis by author) 35 In regard to the importance of research in environmental policy, it will now be too cliché to claim one as there have been so many proofs available. Bell, Shaw and Boaz (2011), for example, states, “… Research has a central role to play in the development of environmental policy, both in shaping its overall strategic direction and also in the identification and implementation of specific objectives.” But they cautions researchers to produce a more down-to-earth results. They also underline the 149 Bridging the Gap: Knowledge Development and Management in Climate Change Issues in Aceh increasing number of reports and scientific articles, some of which are listed in this paper reference section. Thanks to Governor Irwandi’s initiative with other governors and head of states from 15 provinces/states in Brazil, Indonesia, Nigeria, Mexico, and the US, GCF website, http://gcf.wsodqa.com/ has provided a comprehensive “REDD+ knowledge database” on 13 GCF member states/provinces in Brazil, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Mexico. This is one of its kind databases with proper and timely updates. One can find fairy large number of information from individual states/provinces. It remains to be seen how Aceh is going to play its role and represented in this website with Aceh Green Secretariat had lost its patron, former Governor Irwandi Yusuf. The knowledge production, however, has not been as local as one might have expected. Other than in the issue of ‘mukim-ization of forest governance’, most consultants and researchers are foreigners hired by foreign organizations with locals playing roles as ‘resource persons’, ‘local consultants’, ‘local expert’ or merely as ‘assistants’ and ‘interviewee’. This is in fact a portrait of Aceh being ransacked by national and international researchers in Missbach (2011): “Aceh has become a 'social laboratory' for foreign researchers who study Indonesia's northern-most province from every angle.” This was the basic thesis for ICAIOS to propose and run the ‘Climate Change and Poverty’ project to train more local researchers in the field. To complicate the issue further, while ‘knowledge production’ has been strong, ‘knowledge distribution’ has been minimal. This must have been one of the causes that make Aceh Green Vision seen to be having ‘exclusive’ process. The Aceh Green Secretariat seems to be aware of the situation. There have been efforts to embrace more people and organizations into the discussion of the vision. Figure 2 shows how the consultants and drafter(s) of Aceh Green Vision map the actors and issues around the vision. UN-ESCAP and ICAIOS, for example, were mapped to play role in ‘knowledge and research management’. Figure 2. Mind Mapping of Aceh Green Development (M. Yacob Ishadamy’s presentation, Aceh Green Secretariat) Unfortunately, this is too on the ‘ad hoc’ basis without any formal agreement whatsoever. ICAIOS is willing to be involved based merely on good will for a greater purpose to strengthen Aceh’s knowledge sector development. This might be, on the Secretariat part, due to its ‘ad hoc’ status itself which prevent them from entering into any MoUs or agreements without involving the Aceh Government officially. To date, ICAIOS has never been updated on its status in the map. Alas, this map occurring in the secretariat’s presentation might have been seen by others as ICAIOS direct involvement with the Aceh Green. 3.4 ICAIOS Experience: Climate Change and Poverty Project Recognizing the enormous challenge that Indonesia is facing to address climate change, there is an urgent need to start developing the human resources that will be required the coming decades. Currently, the number of well-trained national experts is very limited and largely restricted to some universities and research agencies in West and Central Java. This is becoming a major barrier for the Government of Indonesia and development agencies who are struggling with mobilizing human resources for the rapidly expanding program on climate change. Meanwhile, the situation in the provinces is even direr. Human capacity is substantially lower in the provinces outside of Java, but because of the decentralization process, an increasing amount of responsibility and authority is given to local governments. 150 Bridging the Gap: Knowledge Development and Management in Climate Change Issues in Aceh Particularly, Aceh is in need of developing its human resources to address climate change and poverty. Due to protracted conflict and the massive infrastructural damage and humanitarian losses caused by the December 2004 earthquake and tsunami, the province generally has weakened capacity in academic expertise. This is particularly the case within the fields of social and political sciences, but also such specific disciplines as environmental studies. Despite its abundant natural resources Aceh remains one of Indonesia’s poorest provinces. Socio-economic inequalities and exploitation of natural resources by outsiders have been indicated as major factors contributing to the separatist conflict that lasted in Aceh for three decades. Since August 2005 there has been a relatively successful implementation of a peace accord between the separatist movement GAM and Indonesian Government. However, numerous problems remain to be resolved to ensure the sustainability of peace in Aceh. A major challenge is how to raise the population above the poverty level; poverty in Aceh remains higher than other Indonesian regions with some 26.5 % in 2006 (average in Indonesia being over ten percent lower), and poverty is even higher in rural areas of Aceh . The urgent need to provide food and livelihood opportunities for the population may lead to unsustainable solutions and accelerating exploitation of natural resources. Excessive logging and turning rain forests to plantations (oil palm, rubber, cocoa and coffee in Aceh case) lead to deforestation and contribute to climate change. Climate change, as has been shown by several recent reports on the issue, tends to lead to extreme weather conditions, declining crop yield and due to this growing need to acquire more forest land to agriculture. Meanwhile, the Government of Indonesia has significantly increased its commitment to address climate change since the UNFCCC conference in Bali, December 2007. The National Action Plan addressing Climate Change has been issued by the ministry of Environment, and Bappenas has clearly indicated to donors the national priorities. Of major importance is the World Bank (2008) Aceh Poverty Assessment 2008: The Impact of the Conflict, the Tsunami and Reconstruction on Poverty in Aceh 36 recent establishment of the National Council on Climate Change (DNPI), chaired by the President of the Republic of Indonesia. On the other hand, Aceh government under Governor Irwandi Yusuf has taken a proactive role in addressing deforestation and environmental protection. Signs of this include the full moratorium of logging in Aceh in June 2007, and the launching of the Green Economic Development and Investment Strategy for Aceh, or the ‘Aceh Green’-plan by Aceh Governor. The strategy illustrates the awareness of Aceh Government of linkages between climate change and poverty: the need to fight against deforestation and the need to develop economically sustainable livelihoods for people in post-conflict and post-tsunami Aceh. Aceh government has in 2008 established the Aceh Green Secretariat to implement the environmental strategy and develop sustainable policies. To ensure successful implementation of Aceh Green-plan it is necessary to train local scholars to have expertise in the areas of climate change and poverty alleviation. International Center for Aceh and Indian Ocean (ICAIOS) itself has a general goal to rebuild and strengthen the capacity of local scholars and universities and assist them in building up national and international networks. ICAIOS also aims to develop its own innovative research program that is based on Aceh’s needs. This project is a part of its efforts to reach these general goals. Researcher training is a long process, but increased research capacity of participants can be detected easily through the seminar papers and publications they will provide at the end of the project. As an Indonesia inter university training and research center with global engagement, ICAIOS is in unique position to play its role in issues such as climate change. Through its “Training Future Experts on Climate Change and Poverty in Aceh, in short Climate Change and Poverty (CCP), ICAIOS aims to train local junior researchers in Aceh to do research and provide policy advice on issues related to climate change and poverty. In the long term, the project objective is to increase research capacities of local scholars, non-academic researchers, and officials at relevant government departments. In short term, it has provided important information on the effects of climate change and poverty in 151 Bridging the Gap: Knowledge Development and Management in Climate Change Issues in Aceh Aceh’s villages, as well as on the efforts of local populations to tackle these problems. Such information is essential to strengthen local government’s capacity to implement its Green Development and Investment Strategy, the Aceh Green, and develop environmentally sound and sustainable policies. It was proposed base on the understandings that it important to increase locally produced research as it is more likely to have direct influence on policymakers than research with global focus. A third objective for this 12 months pilot project was to prepare a plan and funding proposal for a three year research training program with the same focus. This full scale program is yet to be implemented. As agreed between the International Centre for Aceh and Indian Ocean Studies (ICAIOS) and the United Nations Development Program (UNDP), ICAIOS has implemented a jointly planned Climate Change and Poverty project that has received funding from the Ford Foundation. The implementation period is from 15 July 2009 to 15 June 2010. The project’s primary objective is to train local, junior researchers in Aceh province to become experts on climate risk management and poverty. It is hoped, that these experts would in the future be in a position to provide policy advice on these issues to the local government. 3.4.1 Basic Training In September 2009 the opportunity to participate in four weeks training course on climate change and poverty was announced to the public via information boards at local campuses as well as relevant mailing lists on the Internet. Almost 100 candidates applied for the training program. ICAIOS established a team to select 20 participants for the training. The selection process included administration review, in which the team examined the candidates’ Curriculum Vitae and study history. 30 candidates were interviewed on 6 – 9 October 2009. The twenty selected candidates fulfilled the required gender balance criteria. There were fifteen local academic scholars, three NGO workers and two government officials amongst the selected candidates. A four week training program started on October 12, 2009 and ended on November 8, 2009. The training was divided in two parts, consisting of class room activity and fieldwork training. During the classroom training the participants had a chance to increase their knowledge and understanding on climate risk management and poverty issues from eleven local, national, and international experts. As part of the training, the participants also enhanced their skills on research methodology. During the classroom training the participants learned how to prepare a research proposal and present it in both written form and orally. For the field training, the participants were divided into four groups. Two groups went to the sub-district of Saree in Aceh Besar, and focused on Agriculture and Agro-forestry. The two remaining groups were assigned to Sabang as their training site, and their thematic focus was on coastal zone communities. The purpose of the field research training was to teach the participants in primary data collection. Dr. Edy Rudy, a local marine ecologist from Syiah Kuala University, was appointed as team leader/ mentor to the Saree, Aceh Besar District field training while Dr. Zahari Zen, an ecologist from North Sumatera, was appointed for the research team in Sabang Island. After the training, one full day was allocated for presentations on the field data and preliminary analyses by each group. The classroom and field training was successfully completed within the allocated timeframe. The high (almost 100%) attendance indicates that the training was perceived interesting and beneficial by the participants. The trainers were also enthusiastic about such a new training theme. The inclusion of field training was seen particularly useful. A sign on keen interest in continuing to work on climate change issue in Aceh is the website http:// acehclimatechange.org/ and the establishment of an NGO called ACCes (Aceh Climate Change Study) by the Alumni of CCP training. The members of ACCes are young scholars from two universities in Banda Aceh, the University of Malikussaleh in Lhokseumawe and University of Teuku Umar, Meulaboh. 3.4.2 ICAIOS Training through Research All twenty trainees were invited to and submitted a research proposal for the second component of the training. Four proposals were 152 Bridging the Gap: Knowledge Development and Management in Climate Change Issues in Aceh awarded a six-month research grant for the period of December 2009 to May 2010. The assessment for the twenty research proposals included, relevance of the research topic, literature review, research design, methodology, research ethic, and institutional affiliation. The following four candidates were selected: To guide the four awarded researchers, ICAIOS selected four national supervisors and one local supervisor from the Syiah Kuala University. Two supervisors are experts on climate change in CCROM, one a senior expert on poverty studies from SMERU Research Institute and one on forestry and community from Syiah Kuala. Each supervisor was responsible for guiding two researchers. In addition to this, each researcher was mentored by the CCP- Coordinator. The supervision focused on research methodology, data collection, data analysis, report writing and writing a final article. As the capacity of experts in Aceh is relatively low in this field, the researchers visited CCROM in Bogor, and SMERU Research Institute in Jakarta in January 2010, for one week to learn directly from expert peers. All four researchers successfully prepared a more detailed research plan according to comments, suggestions and instructions provided by mentors and the CCP Coordinator. The early months of 2010 were used to collect field data. Each researcher had a different district as their field site. Due to this, the project covered a large part of Aceh province, including coastal and mountainous areas. A common theme for all was water: rising and lowering water level, changes in rainfall and flooding that all have impact on poor communities in Aceh. With regular communication with supervisors, the researchers analysed the field data in the context of wider research on their respective topics. Despite limitations in time and resources these local junior researchers have managed to produce, for the first time ever in Aceh’s history, four reports that address the issues of climate change and poverty. This pilot project has assisted ICAIOS and other stakeholders to develop a better understanding of research needs in these fields, and indicated directions for future research and training programs. 3.4.3 Results and Dissemination of Results It was decided that a public seminar would be organised to discuss the preliminary results of four researchers. In addition to that the seminar that was held on 3 March 2010 involved three senior academics as speakers (John MacCarthy from the Australian National University, Impron from CCROM and Muhammad Syukri from SMERU). The seminar attracted an audience of over one hundred people. All four researchers gained from the comments and suggestions received from the audience, and had an opportunity to practice public presentation. By 31 May 2010 all researchers had submitted a draft article. They received final comments from their supervisors and resubmitted draft articles by 10 June 2010. Some budget fund was left unused and was decided to be allocated for publication purpose. It materialized in the form of training manual on climate change and poverty (Panduan Pelatihan: Perubahan Iklim dan Kemiskinan) jointly published by ICAIOS and UNDP Indonesia. The research results have also been disseminated through the Third International Conference on Aceh and Indian Ocean Studies (ICAIOS) on 25-26 May 2011 in Banda Aceh. General findings of the research are as follows. In her research ‘The impact of climate change to mosquito-born diseases in poor communities in Aceh Tamiang’ Nanda Ayu Puspita, a Medical Faculty of Syiah Kuala University finds climate elements such as rainfall and environmental conditions are closely related to characteristic and behavior of hosting vector mosquito in villages surveyed in Aceh Tamiang. Muhammad Nizar, a faculty member of Serambi Mekkah University and Walhi Aceh staff, in his research, ‘Relation between rainfall and access to clean water in the poor villages of Aceh Utara’, finds that the village communities do not understand the principles of water conservation. They do not do water storage or hold water for more than one day or create a reservoir. But they realize that one day clean water will be hard to find. Therefore, they have requested the government to provide water conservation measures. Meanwhile Evalina of Urban and Regional Planning Faculty of Syiah Kuala University finds direct and indirect impacts of flood to poor coastal community in Bireuen. The direct impacts for the community include 153 Bridging the Gap: Knowledge Development and Management in Climate Change Issues in Aceh difficulties to find daily products; the increasing price of daily product at around 2-3%; no access to clean water; increasing expenses as drinking water needs to be bought at around IRD 5,000 a day; and increasing debt. This is found under her research ‘Adaptation strategies of poor coastal communities in Bireuen towards flooding caused by climate change’. The fourth research funded by ICAIOS’ CCP Project is by Isma Arsyani, researcher with Central Aceh’s Planning Agency (Bappeda). In his research ‘How communities adapt to the falling water level of Lake Laut Tawar in Central Aceh’ finds that the falling water level of Lake Laut day; and increasing debt. This is found under her research ‘Adaptation strategies of poor coastal communities in Bireuen towards flooding caused by climate change’ Tawar is mainly caused by the decreasing land coverage and land use change around the lake. Rain and temperature variation plays somewhat less significant role in determining the water level. 4. FURTHER DISCUSSION “The challenge in environmental management is in managing human interactions on environmental issues, not in managing human interactions with environment”— Jacques Weber, an environmental economist In the end, the quote above is very relevant in understanding what has taken place in Aceh (and maybe Indonesia). Inclusive approach is imperative if a policy such as the Aceh Green Vision is to sustain and be implemented. By referring to peace process in Aceh as an analogy, Marthunis Muhammad of the Provincial Bappeda put it this way: Belajar dari pengalaman, saya kira para stakeholder lingkungan perlu beralih pada pendekatan inklusif, dengan menurunkan ego masing-masing. Ibarat proses perdamaian, perlu take and give dan momen pertemuan kesepahaman [harus] sering dilakukan. Good intention is not enough, tapi bagaimana niat baik itu menjadi operasional dan dilaksanakan dengan tidak menggerutu. (Learning from experience, I think the environmental stakeholders need to change gear to inclusive approach, by reducing their respective ego. Similar to the [Aceh] peace process, it needs ‘take and give’ and meetings to seek mutual understandings should be done frequently. Good intention is not enough, but instead how that good intention become operational and implemented without grumbling) This suggestion has been welcome by Dewa Gumay, an environmental activist from South Sumatra working for Fauna Flora International (FFI) and the Aceh Green Secretariat. Saya belum bicara operasional-nya, tapi kalau itu yang terjadi ... Jika Aceh Green masih dianggap relevan, mudah-mudahan Bappeda sebagai lembaga Mainstreaming bisa membuatnya menjadi lebih inklusif dan dipahami para stakeholder di Aceh, serta bekerja secara operational. (I have not talked about its operation, but if that happens… If Aceh Green is still considered relevant, I hope Bappeda [Aceh] as a mainstreaming organization can make it more inclusive and understood by various stakeholders on Aceh, and will be operational.) However, Gumay ended the communication by saying that it is all about “perspective”: Tapi sudahlah, seperti postingan diawal 'jangan terlalu membuang energi' ini soal perspektif masing-masing kepala, saya hanya melihatnya sebagai dinamika saja. (But let’s end this [debate], as our first post in the [mailing list], ‘don’t waste too much energy’, this is about perspective in everyone’s own head, I see it as a dynamic) I would, therefore, conclude that the stake of Aceh Green Vision in Aceh will remain mostly, if not solely, with Governor Zaini Abdullah and his Response to email communications with Marthunis Muhammad in Aceh Researcher Forum (Forum Peneliti Aceh, FPA) mailing list.. 18 July 2012. 39 Ibid 38 Email communications with Marthunis Muhammad. Quoted with permission. 18 July 2012. 37 154 Bridging the Gap: Knowledge Development and Management in Climate Change Issues in Aceh new government in Aceh. Then, let’s hope that the ‘perspective’ of the new government in Aceh as the result of 2012 election, both at the provincial and district levels, will somehow converge with holistic and comprehensive sustainable economic development from whoever and wherever it might come from. REFERENCES Adger, W. N., K. Brown, J. Fairbrass, A. Jordan, J. Paavola, S. Rosendo, and G. Seyfang. 2002. Governance for Sustainability: Towards a 'Thick' Understanding of Environmental Decision Making. Centre for Social and Economical Research on the Global Environment (CSERGE), University of East Anglia, CSERGE Working Paper, EDM. 02-04. Anonymous. 2008. Concept Paper: Green Economic Development and Investment Strategy for Aceh, Indonesia: Aceh Green, July 2008. Downloaded from www.aceh-eye.org on 17 September 2010. Anonymous. Presentation slides. Defining Baseline for REDD Ulu Masen, Aceh. Bogor, 25-26 August 2009. Available from http:// forestclimatecenter.org/files/ (Downloaded on August 2, 2012) Bell, Sarah, Ben Shaw, Annette Boaz. 2011. Realworld approaches to assessing the impact of environmental research on policy. In Research Evaluation, 20(3), September 2011, pages 227– 237. Bulletin Ulu Masen: Uteun Tajaga Rakyat Aceh Makmu Beusare. Edisi IV, April-Juni 2008. Fauna Flora International (FFI): Aceh Program, Banda Aceh. Cataldo, Marcelo, Kathleen Carley, and L. Argote. (2001). The Effect of Personnel Selection Schemes on Knowledge Transfer. CASOS Working Paper. CSIRO. 2008. Policy Note: Environmental Management for a Sustainable Economic Development Strategy for Nanggroe Aceh Darussalam. Gungahlin Homestead, Australia: CSIRO Sustainable Ecosystem Development Alternatives, Inc (DAI). 2009. The Potential for Aceh Green Development. USAID Indonesia – Enviromental Service Program. Donofrio, Nicholas, Jim Spohrer, Hossein S. Zadeh. 2009. 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Rebuilding Aceh based on the Aceh Green strategy: green growth, payments for ecosystem services and climate action: Project concept note. 156 Bridging the Gap: Knowledge Development and Management in Climate Change Issues in Aceh Day 1 Tuesday, September 4, 2012 Ruang Komisi 1 : The Economic of Climate Change and Social Participation Climate Change and Economic Policy for Developing Countries Rony Bishry Resource Economic Researcher, The Agency for the Application and Application of Technology (BPPT) ABSTRACT This is an analytical study of the response of developing countries for climate change visioned as incoming natural disasters globally and of the developing countries’ climate change vulnerabilities. We also discuss the extent of our knowledge about the short- and long term economic impacts of these climate change disaster, prevention, mitigation and post-disaster policies that may be implemented. As an example the case of FIP program for REDD+ wil be analyzed. Innitially REDD agrreement comprised of 1) emission reduction from deforestation and 2) emission from degradation. In the REDD+, agreement was extended for the role of conservation, sustainable forest management and the increase of forest carbon reserve. FIP program analyzed is a global effort to support the REDD+, the economic impacts of this program is the main concern of this paper. In Indonesia, net benefit of FIP program is positive and the benefit will outweigh the cost. The implementation of the FIP Program is suggested. Keywords: Economics of climate change, climate change economic policy, environmental economics, climate change cost and benefit. 158 Ruang Komisi 1 : The Economic of Climate Change and Social Participation Bridging the Gap: Knowledge Development and Management in Climate Change Issues in Aceh Saiful Mahdi Statistics Program, Mathematics Department, College of Sciences, Syiah Kuala University; International Center for Aceh and Indian Ocean Studies (ICAIOS), Banda Aceh [email protected] ABSTRACT This paper argues that there is a gap between high level policy and grass-root understandings on climate change issues in Aceh. ”Aceh Green Vision” introduced by local government in 2007, while being applauded by some, has not been totally grasped and celebrated by civil society and the general public in Aceh. On the other hand, Aceh’s civil society, especially those working on environmental issues, seems to be active enough in discussing and working on topics related to climate change. Technical capacities in natural sciences and technology of climate change are also adequately mastered by academicians in Aceh. From ICAIOS’ Climate Change and Poverty Project, however, it was learned that there is a need to develop a more open multidisciplinary dialog and understandings in addressing climate change issues in Aceh. Knowledge development and management in climate change can, therefore, be used to bridge the gap. 159 Ruang Komisi 1 : The Economic of Climate Change and Social Participation Economic and Adaptation Costs of Climate Change: A Case Study of Indramayu – West Java Indonesia Perdinan1,2,3, Rizaldi Boer1,2, Kiki Kartikasari2, Bambang Dwi Dasanto1,2, Rini Hidayati1,2, and Diva Oktavariani2 Department of Geophysics and Meteorology, Bogor Agricultural University, Bogor, Indonesia 16680 2 Center for Climate Risk and Opportunity Management, Bogor, Indonesia 16680 3 Fulbright Presidential Fellow at Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan, USA 48824 1 ABSTRACT Climate change is already occurring. In Indonesia, many evidences such as changing rainfall patterns in many parts of the country (e.g., Sumatra and Java) indicate the impacts of global climate change on Indonesian climate. This new climate regime eventually will influence water availability in many parts of the country. This paper discusses economic loss (unit costs) incurred on major economic sectors (i.e., agriculture, fishery, drinking water, and health) of Indramayu districts – West Java Indonesia due to flood and drought as an approximation to quantify potential economic consequences of climate change. The estimation was based on discussions with the local authorities and communities (field survey) in 2008. The unit costs were estimated based on rice production loss (agriculture), milk fish and prawn production loss (fishery), additional costs for clean water supply (drinking water), and additional incidences of dengue fever (DBD) and diarrhea (health). Seven adaptation options and their estimated costs are also proposed to cope with flood and drought in the region. The options are 1) construction of a reservoir, 2) change of cropping pattern, 3) rehabilitation of irrigation canals, 4) improvement of irrigation canals (cementing the canals), 5) improvement of drainage system, 6) normalization of rivers, and 7) implementation of system rice intensification (SRI). Potential benefits from each adaptation are also discussed. Such discussion, together with estimated adaptation costs, will be useful for further evaluation to measure the net benefits from each adaptation which can be helpful to assist decision makers in choosing plausible adaptation options. Keywords: climate change, economic costs, adaptation, flood, drought, Indramayu 160 Ruang Komisi 1 : The Economic of Climate Change and Social Participation Climate Change and Food Security: Reality and Consequence in Livestock Production, Human Nutrition and Health Suhubdy Professor in Animal (Ruminant) Nutrition and Director, Research Centre for Tropical Rangeland and Grazing Animal Production Systems (Recent Trend & Gaps), Faculty of Animal Science, University of Mataram, Mataram-NTB, Indonesia. E-mail: [email protected] ABSTRACT Climate change is natural phenomenon that is happening globally and affecting all aspect of livelihoods and possibly the existence of nature. One current significant example of the effect of climate change is the disturbance of the production, availability, and distribution of food. Till present, the total number of world population is approximately seven billions and will be increasing significantly in the future. In the developing nations, there are many people suffering from famine, illness, and died caused by limiting food consumption. While in most developed countries, people have excess production of food grain and even they serve the grain as feed for livestock production and biofuel. Limiting consumption of animal protein food will cause retardation of growth rate and reduce intelligence of humans and in the long run this will impact to a generation loss. These are dilemma and will need to be wisely solved. It is important to understand that obtaining and serving adequate quantity and quality of food are human rights. This paper reviews and elucidates about the relationship between climate change and food security with special reference to livestock production, human nutrition and health. Key words: animal protein, climate change, disaster, food production, livestock production, mitigation, human nutrition and health 161 Ruang Komisi 1 : The Economic of Climate Change and Social Participation Livestock Production, Greenhouse Gases Emission, and Global Warming: Disaster or Bliss? Sudirman1 and Sububdy2 Chief Division of Feed Evaluation and 2Professor and Director, Research Centre for Tropical Rangeland and Grazing Animal Production Systems (Recent Trend & Gaps), Faculty of Animal Science, University of Mataram, Mataram-NTB, Indonesia. E-mail: [email protected] 1 ABSTRACT Global warming cause’s climate change or vice versa. It is blamed that human being is the main actor for this disaster. Intensive livestock production is one of people activities that are blamed as a cause of global warming and/or climate change. It is believe that several types of greenhouse gases (GHG) such as methane (CH4), Carbon dioxide (CO2), nitrate (NO3), and ammonia (NH3) are produced from intensive livestock production. Meanwhile, essential food from livestock such as egg, milk, and meat are rich in protein, energy, essential mineral and vitamins content which are very important in supporting the children growth rate, brain/ intelligence development, and preventing from blindness. Since there is a trade-off between the importance of livestock in human food consumption and the GHG damage that it will exert to the environment. Out of disadvantages of the intensive livestock production, this paper reviews and discusses the importance of greenhouse gases (eg. methane) from livestock production activities to be extensively utilized as a potential, chief, clean, and useful bioenergy or biofuel that could support the livelihood of rural community. Key words: climate change, disaster, food production, livestock production, greenhouse gases, methane production, mitigation, potential energy 162 Ruang Komisi 1 : The Economic of Climate Change and Social Participation The Spatial and Economic Modeling for the Mitigation and Adaptation of Technology: A Business Plan to Address Emissions of Greenhouse Gases in Indonesia Agus Pratama Sari Chair, Working Group on Funding Instruments, Presidential Task Force on REDD+ ABSTRACT Indonesia has committed to a reduction of climate change-inducing greenhouse gas emissions by 26 percent unilaterally, extended to 41 percent when there is financial assistance made available by other countries for Indonesia, from their otherwise business as usual trajectory in 2020. This translates to a reduction of about 1.2 billion tons (gigatons, gt) by 2020. A "business plan" needs to be in place to ensure that these commitments are achieved. The business plan should include: the most appropriate and cost-effective emission reduction trajectories to 2020 that reflects both the business as usual as well as the optimum target-achieving trajectories. The business plan should also include the costs of adapting to climate change and where the costs are borne in the most vulnerable places and sectors in Indonesia. Finally, the plan should explore how Indonesia may be able to finance this plan. Technology plays a crucial role in mitigating and adapting to climate change. In fact, it is one of the four building blocks of the Bali Roadmap, the world's climate change action plan established in Bali, Indonesia. This paper will also address the role of technology in the above business plan. 163 Ruang Komisi 2 : Disaster Mitigation and Risk Reduction Geological Evidences of Mega-Tsunami Cycles in Aceh-Andaman Region and Their Context in Aceh History Danny Hilman Natawidjaja 1,2 LabEarth – Puslit Geoteknologi-LIPI, Tim Independen Studi Katastropik Purba Nusantara 1 2 ABSTRACT Mega-tsunami in Aceh-Andaman region in 2004 triggered a monumental changes of history from a society that used to ignore the threats of natural disasters, especially from earthquakes and tsunami, became aware of the responsible to anticipate natural disasters that may threat the existence of human civilizations in anytime. On the otherside, this natural event also acts as a major cause for changing in politics and social infrastructures in Aceh, from a period of terror and darkness to a new episode of society that reassemble and develop better life. In fact, the event like mega-tsunami in 2004 was neither the first time nor the last one. Paleoseismological studies, from coral microatolls in Simelue Islands and from stratigraphical records of soil layers along the coasts of Banda Aceh as well as Thailand, indicate that there were two similar tsunami events around the early 14 Century, in around 1390 AD and 1440 AD. These facts are also confirmed by tectonic geodesy (GPS) data that the earthquake with magnitude Mw 9.2 like in 2004 can be produced by strain accumulations on the subduction interface caused by plate relative motions in about every six hundred years. Meanwhile, in Aceh region, an ancient kingdom (pre-Islamic period) had existed at least since 600 AD as indicated by a 1400 tears old ancient stepped pyramid structure below the historical Indrapuri Mosque that was first built in 13 Century on top of that more ancient structure. A few sources indicate about the first ancient Islamic Kingdom, named Jeumpa, had appeared in 770 AD. The Jeumpa Kingdom is often misinterpreted as “Champa” (an ancient Kingdom in Cambodia). Later in 840 AD, another Islamic Kingdom, Perlak, appeared. These Islamic Kingdom were most likely co-existed with Hindu-Budha Kingdoms, including what so-called the Lamuri Kingdom or Lam-reh. In 1236 AD, the most famous and well known Islamic state, Samudra Pasai, came into play, marking a new era in Aceh. After 1450 AD, Samudra Pasai seems to be going dimmed and mysteriously disappeared. Later in 1496 AD, a new Islamic Kingdom, Aceh Darussalam, appeared and dominated the Aceh region. Aceh Darussalam achieved its golden age during the period of the King Iskandar Muda (1607-1636). It is strongly suspected that the change of power from Samudra Pasai to Aceh Darussalam was linked with the mega-tsunami events in 1390 and 1440 AD. It needs further in-deep geological and historical studies to investigate those ancient megatsunami disasters and their affects to the people of Aceh in ancient time, if possible back to the time before Samudra Pasai period. Understanding ancient natural catastrophic and the affected society is crucial in developing concept and strategy in natural-disaster mitigations, especially in developing a true local wisdom. 164 Ruang Komisi 2 : Disaster Mitigation and Risk Reduction Weather Modification Technology for Hydro-Meteorological Disaster Mitigation Tri Handoko Seto and Halda A. Belgaman Indonesia Weather Modification Technology Center, BPPT ABSTRACT Data acquired from the National Disaster Management Agency (BNPB) showed that the year 2000 to 2012 approximately 87% disasters in Indonesia is dominated by hydro-meteorological disasters. This hydro-meteorological disaster includes floods, flash floods, droughts, landslides and cyclones/micro tornadoes. Hydro-meteorological disaster mitigation is carried out in a multitude of ways; among them is through weather modification technology. Weather modification technology (WMT) is a man made effort conducted to change naturally occurring weather or deliberate human intervention to influence atmospheric process that constitute such weather. Triggering, intensifying or redirecting atmospheric processes by cloud seeding is one of the ways to perform weather modification. Cloud seeding is the act of adding foreign objects (like cloud condensation nuclei – CCN or Ice nuclei – IN) to change the type and amount of precipitation that a cloud will release. The objective of cloud seeding is to increase or decrease rain events. Cloud seeding can be done in cold or warm cloud environment, with silver iodide (AgI) is used as an ice nuclei (IN) to seed cold cloud in purpose to change supercooled water into ice, and hygroscopic materials (Salt particles, Ammonium nitrate, Sodium Chloride) to seed warm clouds in order to enhance the collusion and coalescence process. Many countries have performed WMT to mitigate the hydro-meteorological disasters, Indonesia being one of them. Utilization of WMT in Indonesia is carried out in order to anticipate droughts, forest and land fires, and floods. There are three kinds of WMT which are used in the world today. First, WMT for rain enhancement implemented in order to mitigate drought and shortage of water supply in hydropower plants reservoir. Secondly, rain reduction WMT that is carried out to mitigate flood disaster. The last, hail suppression is usually done to prevent the disaster caused by a hailstone. Keywords: Weather Modification Technology, Cloud seeding, hydro-meteorology, disaster mitigation 165 Ruang Komisi 2 : Disaster Mitigation and Risk Reduction Who’s Next? Accessing Vulnerability to Major Earthquakes and Tsunami in Eastern Indonesia Ron Harris and Nova Roosmawati Brigham Young University, Provo, Utah, USA ABSTRACT Using Dutch records of geophysical events in Indonesia over the past 400 years, and tsunami modeling, we have identified mega-thrust earthquake sources in eastern Indonesia that caused severe devastation in the past and are likely to reoccur in the near future. The earthquake history of Western Indonesia has received much attention since the 2004 Sumatra earthquakes and subsequent events. However, the present threat of earthquake and tsunami disaster is just as great in eastern Indonesia. The problem is that strain rates along a variety of plate boundary segments are just as high in eastern Indonesia, but the earthquake and tsunami history is poorly known. Due to the rapid population growth and urbanization in coastal regions in eastern Indonesia it is essential and urgent to access the regions vulnerability to seismic and tsunami hazards and implement protective measures. Arthur Wichmann’s Die Erdbeben Des Indischen Archipels [The Earthquakes of the Indian Archipelago] (1918) documents 30 regional earthquakes and 29 tsunami between 1629 to 1877 in eastern Indonesia. The largest and best documented are the events of 1629 and 1852 in the Banda Sea region, 1770 and 1859 in the Molucca Sea region, 1820 in Makassar, 1857 in Dili, Timor, 1815 in Bali and Lombak, and 1699, 1771, 1780, 1815, 1848 and 1852 in Java. All of these events caused damage over a broad region even with high seismic attenuation. Several tsunami were recorded with run-up heights greater than 5 meters. Two tsunami > 15 meters occurred in the Banda Sea region, which engulfed many islands and washed away several coastal cities that now have more than ten times more people. The earthquakes associated with these events were felt over a region as large as the recent Tohoku Earthquake in Japan and were followed by decades of aftershocks. The Tohoku event, and those occurring in Haiti (2010) and Chengdu (2008), all happened in regions mapped as ’low’ seismic hazard. One factor contributing to this forecasting failure is the reliance on the thin time slice of the earthquake cycle provided by instrumental records. Where paleoseismologic data is lacking, reliable historical records can help broaden the time slice and identify which active faults are nearing full-cycle. One example of using historical accounts to successfully constrain earthquake source parameters and recurrence is the historical analysis of major seismic events along the Sumatran subduction zone by Newcomb and McCann (1987). They primarily used historical accounts documented in the Wichmann catalog to reconstruct several mega-thrust earthquakes that occurred along different segments of the Sumatran subduction zone during the 19th century. Some of these events have now reoccurred, such as the 2005 northern Sumatra earthquake near Nias Island, which ruptured nearly the same area as in the 1861 accounts in the Wichmann catalog. Because no major shallow earthquakes have struck eastern Indonesia during the past century it is characterized as an area incapable of mega-thrust earthquakes (Heuret et al., 2012). However, during this time of relative quiescence enough tectonic strain energy has accumulated across several active faults in to cause major earthquake and tsunami events, like those documented in historical records. The most vulnerable areas are the Molucca and Banda Sea regions where 65-90 mm/a of strain is accumulating along various subduction zone segments. The recent recurrence of events like those listed in the Wichmann catalog, such as mega-thrust earthquakes and volcanic eruptions in Sumatra and Java, demonstrate a significant increase in the disaster potential of Indonesia. More death and destruction is happening from events that caused few, if any, losses in the past. The reasons behind the greater losses to nature are multifaceted, but one major contributing factor in Indonesia is unregulated urbanization in hazardous regions. For example, some of the most seismically active regions of Indonesia, from a historical perspective, are also the most populated. Another critical problem is that most of the urban centers in eastern Indonesia are transitioning from traditional building materials to 166 unreinforced masonary structures. With limited resources to address these issues it is imperative that mitigation efforts focus on the regions at highest risk. Historical earthquake research in Indonesia provides a way to better identify high-risk areas by extending the earthquake record back at least four centuries and capturing a broader time slice of seismic activity in the region. Parameterization of the major events documented in the Wichmann catalog is helping us identify the most active fault, estimate recurrence intervals and better forecast who’s next. 167 Ruang Komisi 2 : Disaster Mitigation and Risk Reduction Development of Landslide and Banjir Bandang Early Warning Technology Iwan G. Tejakusuma and Supriyono Agency for the Assessment and Application of Technology, Jakarta, Indonesia BPPT Building 2, 18th Floor, Jl. M.H. Thamrin No. 8, Jakarta 10340 email: [email protected], [email protected], Ph. 021-3169652, 0813 1555 2439 ABSTRACT Landslide and banjir bandang disaster event become more frequent to occur in Indonesia. Examples in the last few years are banjir bandang disasters in Wasior, Teluk Wondama Regency, West Papua Province on 4 October 2010 which resulted in 169 people died, 168 missing, 105 heavily injured, 3.374 wounded and 9.016 have been evacuated; in Pesisir Selatan Regency, West Sumatera Province banjir bandang happened in 3 November 2011, in Padang City and adjacent banjir bandang occurred on 24 July 2012 and the latest banjir bandang 25 Auguts 2012 in Parigi Moutong Regency, Central Sulawesi in which 2 people died and hundreds of houses were destroyed. Geological conditions of Indonesia which lies in a tectonic active area with earthquake and faulting, quaternary and volcanic sediments with hilly and mountainous topography as well as high rainfall rate could result in landslide and banjir bandang disaster. Climate changes with modified rainfall rate and increasing human activities which modified land surface and land cover could trigger landslide and banjir bandang disaster. Relocation of existing human settlement from the disaster prone areas often are complicated because people have been living there for a very long time as well as the livelihood and the heritage reasons. In order to reduce the landslide and banjir bandang disaster risk, the application of early warning technology is an important choice. This technology aims to minimize loss of human life and properties. Landslide and banjir bandang technology has been applied in Malalak District, Agam Regency, West Sumatera Province. In this area landslide and banjir bandang has happened several times and the last event was on 8 November 2008 where 6 people have died, causing 250 people been evacuated and destructions of buildings and bridge. Wireless Sensor Network technology has been applied for the landslide and banjir bandang warning system. Sensor installed include rain gauge to record the rainfall rate, accelererometer and soil moisture to detect land instability and geophone and wire sensors to detect banjir bandang flows. The sirine are connected to the sensor that could give warning for people. The data from the sensor are continuously transmitted to the crisis center at the Agency for Disaster Mitigation in Lubuk Basung. This technology can be applied in the other areas with high risk to landslide and banjir bandang disaster. 168 Ruang Komisi 2 : Disaster Mitigation and Risk Reduction The Evident of Subsidence and Uplifting Process in 2004 Great Sumatera Andaman Earthquake and Tsunami from Bathymetric Data Udrekh1, Yusuf Surachman2, Teguh Fayakun2, Haryadi Permana3, Digital Marine Resource Mapping Team & 2004 Sumatra - Andaman Earth quake consortium. 1 Badan Pengkajian dan Penerapan Teknologi (BPPT). 2 Badan Informasi Geospasial (BIG) 3 Pusat Geoteknologi LIPI ABSTRACT The 26th December 2004 Sumatra – Andaman giant earthquake has attracted many scientists all over the word to investigate rupture area. This earthquake triggered catastrophic tsunami, killing over 230000 people in fourteen countries. More than 15 investigations were carried out in order to understand the subduction and accretion process which cause such kind of a huge earthquake and tsunami and to observe some geological evidences. These investigations have given us better understanding about tectonic process, historical earthquake, displacement, .etc, which are supported by various data such as bathymetric data along western part of Sumatra, ROV investigation, Seismic refraction and reflection data, OBS, Heat flow, and coring data. However, those investigations could not find any significant evidences of rupture area. Only small part of subsidence area was investigated. This result could not generate a huge oceanwide tsunami with average heights of more than 20 meters. Bathymetric data could produce an interesting image of sea floor morphology. However, we cannot identify which rupture area can be claimed as the source of 2004 tsunami generation. We have digital marine resource mapping survey acquired in 1990's. This data was compared to after 2004 earthquake bathymetric data. Some questions about subsidence and uplifting location may be answered from this evidence. Keywords: 2004 Sumatra-Andaman earthquake, Tsunami generation, Bathymetric data, subsidence, uplifting. 169 Day 2 Wednesday, September 5, 2012 Ruang Komisi 1 : Mitigation and Adaptation of Climate Change and Sustainable Development Adaptation and Mitigation of Climate Change in Indonesia Edvin Aldrian Director of Center for Climate Change and Air Quality, BMKG ABSTRACT The maritime continent is located in between two large oceans and two large continents as well as over three tectonic plates. The adverse weather and climate of the region is still exacerbated by the long term adverse impact of ongoing global warming and its subsequent result of climate change. Currently the government of Indonesia pays specific attention on the climate change issue and had actively participated in the many various activities for climate change adaptation and mitigation as well as to comply with international cooperation on climate change. The climate change has been the priority on the national development planning and to be included in the national middle term development planning. Activities to establish scientific foundation on the issue as well as to identify specific local characters are still ongoing. Although global by nature, climate change has specific impact when comes to local due to specific condition of social economic and the geographic and geological conditions. The fact is that climate change in Indonesia has been, is going and will be still happening in the future. The adaptation strategy for climate change in Indonesia should be based on basic science that provides appropriate baseline and future direction of action. There are unanimously convincing and hard evidence on the occurrence of climate change in Indonesia from the melting of everlasting Papua ice glacier and the changing of temperature and rainfall patterns. That science basis should give the guideline on every adaptation and mitigation measures in Indonesia. For the adaptation measures there are ample of government document already prepared such as the National Action Plan for Adaptation of Climate Change by KLH in 2007 and Bappenas this year. For the Mitigation measures there are already the National action Plan for Mitigation of Greenhouse gasses under the government commitment to reduce the long term GHG up to 26% by 2020. In understanding the impact of climate change we also need to understand the basic climate system that drives the climate change property in Indonesia. Hence we should understand the basic limit or threshold level to the climate as the long term position of our climate in the coming century. Some of the basic features include the monsoonal system of the maritime continent, strong and coherent influence from the Pacific southern oscillation and the decadal variability of inner Indonesian Ocean. Based on the empirical relationship and several climate projection modeling studies, the southern part of Indonesia will experience the El Nino like future climate or will have strong tendency of drought years predominate, while the northern part of those will be predominantly wetter climate compare to the present climate. Of course there is a limit of such seemingly contradictory climate pattern. Whenever there is a strong El Nino, then the above case of southern region will prevail, while on the period of weak and moderate El Nino year there will be high probability that Indonesia will experience wetter climate that we known today as the “kemarau basah”. Based on those several Science facts, we need to extend our study to the locality and how local climate behave in the future and the appropriate impact to the socio economy of locality. 171 Ruang Komisi 1 : Mitigation and Adaptation of Climate Change and Sustainable Development Identifying Low Carbon Technology for Sustainable Development Kardono Center of Environmental Technology, Agency for The Assessment and Application of Technology 20th Fl Bulding II BPPT, Jl. MH Thamrin No. 8 Jakarta ABSTRACT Over the past 30 years, significant findings regarding global warming highlighted the need to curb carbon emissions. Carbon emissions are believed acting as green house gas (GHG) that heat the atmosphere. In terms of carbon emissions, both developed and developing countries have basically employed technologies at certain levels. These technologies have contributed in emitting carbon dioxide (CO2) and resulted CO2 concentration in the atmosphere to increase. From this, the idea for low carbon power was born. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), set the scientific precedence for the introduction of low carbon power or in general it can be called as a low carbon technology (LCT). In the application of LCT in developing countries such as Indonesia there are some constraints that need to be resolved. The first problem is about the imported LCT due to the human resource capability and opportunity, and the second one is the financial limitation. Actually as a developing country, Indonesia has voluntarily committed to reduce its GHG emissions by 26% by 2020 with its self financing or 41% with addition of foreign aids. This target will carry consequences for Indonesia to make an action plan and at the same time to choose which LCTs are employed in reducing GHGs to support the target. Several state documents have been launched for curbing carbon emission, particularly from energy sources. This paper will focus on discussing energy sector since the LCT is usually applied much more in the energy sector than others. From 2009 TNA study, the technology option for reducing CO2 emission (LCT) is suggested to be applied both for supply and demand sides. For supply side technology it is prioritized for clean coal technology, geothermal and renewable energy resources including biomass, hydro, wind, solar. For demand side, priority of technology is given to energy efficiency technologies for industrial, residential and commercial building. Also, soft technology such as energy audit, energy rating and labeling was proposed. Technology option for transportation sector is outlined. Those are the use of advance lightweight material, power and control system and engine technology. In terms of fuel used, the vehicles are suggested to utilize cleaner alternative fuel such as gas to substitute gasoline. Transport demand management is also proposed to improve, like using intelligent transportation system (ITS) and mass rapid transportation system (MRTS). 172 Ruang Komisi 1 : Mitigation and Adaptation of Climate Change and Sustainable Development Long-term Climate Variations in the Western Indonesian Region under the Warming Earth Iskhaq Iskandar1,2, Akmal Johan1, Muhammad Irfan1, Pradanto Poerwono1, and Fadli Syamsuddin3 Department of Physics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, University of Sriwijaya Jl. Palembang – Prabumulih Km. 32, Inderalaya, Ogan Ilir, Sumatra Selatan, 30662, Indonesia E-mail: [email protected] 2 Center for Geohazard and Climate Change Study, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, University of Sriwijaya 3 Badan Pengkajian dan Penerapan Teknologi (BPPT), Jakarta, Indonesia 1 ABSTRACT Long-term climate variations in the western Indonesian region (e.g. Sumatra and Kalimantan) are evaluated using precipitation data as a proxy. The result shows that the long-term precipitation in Sumatra and Kalimantan are seasonally dependent. The long-term precipitation in both islands indicates two distinct characteristics: a drying trend during the southeast monsoon (June – September) over most of region and a wetting trend during the northwest monsoon (December – March). The long-term precipitation in Sumatra and Kalimantan is linked to couple air-sea interactions in the Indian and Pacific oceans. The connection between the seasonal climate trends and sea surface temperature (SST) in the Indian and Pacific oceans is demonstrated by the simultaneous correlations between the climate indices (e.g. Dipole Mode Index (DMI) and the Niño3.4 index) and the precipitation in Sumatra and Kalimantan. It is shown that the patterns of SST-precipitation correlation are similar to those of precipitation trends. These features suggest a connection between the SST anomaly in the Indian and Pacific oceans and the low-frequency variations of Indonesian climate. Possible connection between the longterm climate variations in Indonesia and the global warming will be discussed. Key words: climate variations, dry season, Sumatra and Kalimantan precipitation, wet season 173 Ruang Komisi 1 : Mitigation and Adaptation of Climate Change and Sustainable Development Implications on Insect Population Dynamic Under Climate Change Arinafril1,2, Sika Yulianti1, Umi Yati1, Yunia Candra Primia Suterasari1 Pesticide Toxicology Laboratory, Department of Plant Protection, Faculty of Agriculture, Sriwijaya University Study Center for Disaster, Sriwijaya University, Indralaya Campus 30662, Ogan Ilir, South Sumatra, Indonesia E-mail: [email protected] 1 2 ABSTRACT Global warming causes climate change. During the past ten decades, surface temperature in the earth increased by circa 0.6 oC, and will increase by 1.4 – 5.8 oC by 2100. Global and regional climate changes could affect profound effects on agriculture sectors. Food production depends on climate. It is clear that temperature is the single most important environmental factor which influences insect behavior, dispersal, development, survival, range, abundance and reproduction. Relative humidity, rainfall and light intensity are the supporting factors which drive crop growth and have little evidences of any direct impacts on insect’s life. Climate change consequently influences on insect-plant interaction. Ecosystems will be got influenced due to unexpected changes in insect diversity and dynamic. Several species of insects will behave difference in feeding habit as response to changing plant growth and nutrition contents. Plant physiologist and entomologist are supposed to expect increased phenomenon with insect pests as they develop and grow very quickly in response to rising temperature and rainfall intensity, and decreasing relative humidity, where these climate conditions are more suitable for insects to develop, grow and reproduce. Climate ecosystem alters have significantly influences not only for insect population dynamic. Sustainable agricultural efforts which are based on implementation of environmental friendly insect pest management are needed to reduce the use of pesticide use. Climate changes drive insect pest behavior and reproduction. Increased temperature and decreased relative humidity will favor some agricultural pests. Insect development will be quicker. Plant damages will occur more rapidly than currently expected. Insect population outbreaks also occur in forest or boreal insect pests. Increased temperature which is occurred in forest area could lead forest fire, where not only could beneficial insects be affected, but also other biodiversity richness in forest will be threatened. Forest trees become more vulnerable to insect infestation. It is big challenge to carry out further studies to minimize the effects of climate change on insect population dynamic and to keep maintained the initial function of natural ecosystem. The need for intensive studies to set up new model in predicting the long term influences of climate change is essential. Key words: Climate change, Insect population dynamic, Sustainable 174 Ruang Komisi 1 : Mitigation and Adaptation of Climate Change and Sustainable Development Climate Change and Potential Disaster: Study the Phenology of flower of Trees in Tropical Forest as a Bioindicator of Climate Change I.G. Mertha1,2 and Suhubdy1 Researchers at Research Centre for Tropical Rangeland and Grazing Animal Production Systems (Recent Trend & Gaps), Faculty of Animal Science, University of Mataram 2 Lecturer at Department of Education Biology, Faculty of Education and Teacher Training, University of Mataram, Mataram-Indonesia, E-mail: [email protected] 1 ABSTRACT A monitoring had been conducted to the period (the time) of flowering of several kinds of trees in tropical forest aimed at reviewing and understanding the phonological status of each tree species as affecting by climatic condition. This research has been conducted during four years (2008-2012) in area of tropical forest of Indonesia. The time or period of phenology of trees was recorded and data obtained then compared with the previous recorded phenology data of each tree based on the related published literature of Indonesian flora. The results show that the phenology of several trees recorded has been charged due to local environment that are affected by climate change. Those trees identified changing in phonological status could be used as an eficative bioindicator of a change and development of flora due to time-to-time in relation to climate change perspective. Keywords: phenology, bioindicator, climate change, monitoring 175 Ruang Komisi 1 : Mitigation and Adaptation of Climate Change and Sustainable Development Edge vs Interior Habitat of Forest Plantation in Gunung Walat, Sukabumi: Response of Insectivorous Birds to Changing in Microclimate? Yeni A. Mulyani1 and Noor F. Haneda2 Departemen Konservasi Sumber Daya Hutan dan Ekowisata, Fakultas Kehutanan Institut Pertanian Bogor 1 Kampus IPB Darmaga Bogor 16680. Email: [email protected] Departemen Silvikultur, Fakultas Kehutanan Institut Pertanian Bogor, Kampus IPB Darmaga, Bogor 16680, email: [email protected] 2 ABSTRACT Forest plays an important role in providing ecosystem services, including mitigating the impact of global climate change. Habitat edges formed by fragmentation in the forest will promote changes in microclimate in the surrounding matrices. Birds are often studied to examine the effect of environmental changes. This study aims at examining the impact of differences in microclimate on bird community, especially insectivorous birds The study was conducted in a + 350 ha plantation forest surrounding by agricultural land and human settlement in Gunung Walat Education Forest (GWEF), Sukabumi West Java. A zero-cutting policy has been implemented in this forest since the last decade. Monthly observation was done from January to June 2010 to record temperature and bird diversity, while arthropod samplings were done bimonthly. Birds were counted by using point count with fixed radius of 30 m. Points were located in the interior and edges of the Schima stands. A total of 44 bird species of 19 families were identified in the study plots. Based on major diet, 24 bird species (54 %) were insectivores, while 12 were species that usually include insects in their regular diet. Positive correlation was found between total number of birds and total number of arthropods. Edge habitats had a higher temperature compared to interior habitats. A higher bird abundance and richness was recorded in edge habitats, however the number of insectivorous species tend to be lower in edge habitats. 176 Ruang Komisi 2 : Adaptation in Disaster Management and National Strategy Hybrid Socio-Technical Approach for Strategic Disaster Risk Reduction Program in Indonesia Dwikorita Karnawati1, Teuku Faisal Fathani1, Budi Andayani1, Sani Tanaka1 and Eric G. Frost2 1Universitas Gadjah Mada, Indonesia – Fulbright Alumni 2San Diego State University, USA. ABSTRACT Indonesia is frequently struck by various types of geological disasters, such as earthquake, tsunami, volcanic eruption, landslide and debris flood. Unfortunately, the communities living in the disaster prone areas are not always well-prepared to face those disasters due to various limitations, such as limited access for the community to have appropriate information and knowledge about the phenomena of disasters and how to reduce the risk of any potential disasters, as well as because of the unavailable or ineffective disaster management system in their living area. As the result, more and more socio-economical losses occurred due to those disasters, despite a lot of efforts that have been conducted to develop and implement the Science and Technology for mitigating and reducing the risk of such disasters. Accordingly, Karnawati et al (2008 and 2009) promoted the Hybrid Socio-Technical approach as a strategic and effective effort for developing the appropriate technology in disaster mitigation and risk reduction. This approach emphasized on the integration of social system into technical system, by implementing the research-based community learning and empowerment. To ensure the effectiveness of disaster mitigation and risk reduction, the technical system must be established by implementing simple and low cost technology with respect to the indigenous knowledge, for hazard monitoring as well as disaster early warning and mitigation. As a part of the technical system, the community-based hazard and risk maps need to be developed to decide the installation site of the implemented technical system, as well as to support the development of appropriate landuse management system and to facilitate the emergency plan at the village. In parallel with the development of technical system, the social system must be developed by implementing the research-based community learning process and public education program. To support the effectiveness of the social system, socio-cultural and psychological mapping and analysis are required, and thus the existing community perception and knowledge about the respective hazard and disaster phenomena in their living area can be identified, and also the community expectation on the disaster risk reduction program can be evaluated to encourage their willingness to actively participate in disaster mitigation and risk reduction program. Therefore, by implementing both social and technical systems a strategic disaster management system can be developed with the effective mitigation and risk reduction program. Keywords: socio-technical system, mitigation, risk reduction 177 Ruang Komisi 2 : Adaptation in Disaster Management and National Strategy Ocean and Atmosphere Related Disaster in the Indonesia Maritime Continent: Emerging Needs of Operational Oceanography and Meteorology Fadli Syamsudin Agency for the Assessment and Application of Technology (BPPT) ABSTRACT Indonesia Maritime Continent (IMC) with its complex topography and bathymetry surround by large scale ocean and climate systems. They are at the central importance of El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) and Asian monsoon so that could influence directly on the Pacific and Indian oceans heat and water mass transport affecting on regional and even climate changes. A small change in Sea Surface Temperature (SST) transmits from Pacific to Indian oceans through the current system so called Indonesian throughflow will affect the magnitude of monsoon and climate over the regions. In this critical perspective, the IMC in a whole system of earth, atmosphere, and ocean play important role in regulating global climate changes. Because if its position and role, they could be also very reluctant with the natural disasters come from the ocean and atmosphere, such as tsunami, drought, flood, and many others in having more local impacts such as internal waves and local cyclones. In this presentation, we are going to introduce our on-going JST/JICA SATREPS project with theme entitle: Climate Variability Study and Societal Application through Indonesia - Japan "Maritime Continent COE (center of excellent) in dealing with technological aspects to monitor and mitigate all ocean and atmosphere related disaster in the IMC. A national platform of this automonitoring system is also proposed. 178 Ruang Komisi 2 : Adaptation in Disaster Management and National Strategy Towards the Development of Sustainable Ocean Observation System for Ocean-Climate and Tsunami Monitoring in Indonesia Wahyu W. Pandoe1, Bambang Herunadi1 , Velly Asvaliantina2 and Sidarto Handoyo3 BPPT Technology Center for Marine Survey (BTSK), Jln. MH Thamrin 8, Jakarta 10340, Indonesia 2 BPPT Technology Center for Coastal Dynamics (BPDP), Jogjakarta, Indonesia 3 BPPT Technology Center for Strength of Structure, PUSPIPTEK Serpong, Tangerang, Indonesia 1 ABSTRACT The two Oceans: Pacific and Indian Oceans surrounds the Indonesia Archipelago. These two oceans plays an important role on the climate change and natural disaster issues not only for Indonesia but also for regional countries and even the entire Earth. For example, the Nino and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) indexes leads the scientists able to do climate forecast on countries connected to Pacific and Indian Oceans. Some scientists discover the connection between the physical changes in both oceans to the climate in Indonesia. Geologically both oceans are also well known as a source of subsea earthquake and geodynamic. However, the shortage of a sustained open ocean observation data in Indonesia gives less accurate estimation of the climate prediction and related ocean source natural disaster monitoring. BPPT since 2007 has initiated the deep sea tsunami buoy program through the the Indonesian Tsunami Early Warning System (InaTEWS) National Program. This BPPT’s Operational InaBuoy TEWS Program plays an active role in designing, development engineering and operations as well as the maintenance of the tsunami buoys , also known as Tsunameter, in all over the Indonesia waters. This observes and records changes in sea level out in the deep ocean. This system improves the capability of real time early warning system before the tsunami reaches coastline. All the data from the open sea buoys are received and processed in real time at InaBuoy Read Down Station (RDS) located at BPPT Building I / 20th Floor in Jakarta. This receiving station operates 24-hour and 7-day continuously. The operational data buoys are then reported directly to Indonesia Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG), in which BMKG is the National Tsunami Warning Center of InaTEWS. Challenges ahead for Indonesia tsunami buoy are optimizing the effectiveness of tsunami detection and confirmation of local / near field tsunami. Therefore, in addition to the existing operational buoys, BPPT makes a new effort to detect near field tsunami using a submarine fiber-optic cable, hence called Indonesia Cable-based tsunameter (InaCBT). This new system connects the bottom pressure sensor sitting on the deep sea floor to the receiving terminal on shore using an underwater fiber optic cable. First prototype with 3.5km submarine FO cable will be launched in September 2012 for 6-months operational test in southern coast of West Java. Premise on evaluation results of the first prototype, other four locations along western coast of Sumatra are proposed for 2013 until 2014. At the same time, in collaboration with foreign partners such as PMEL-NOAA of USA and JAMSTEC-Japan, as well as with national agencies such as Balitbang KP of Indonesia, BPPT has also actively involved in the design engineering, development and operational of ocean-climate buoys in the eastern Indian Ocean west off Sumatra. Under these collaborations, BPPT also aims capacity building for scientists, engineers and technicians. BPPT now receive all operational ocean-climate buoys all over Indian and Pacific Oceans in near real time. The joint analysis of the ocean observing data has been able to predict the occurrence of repeating La Nina season in early to mid of 2012 and some other ocean physics phenomena. BPPT engineers have also been able to design and manufacture the prototype coastal ocean-met buoy. The existence of long term and sustain ocean observing system in Indonesia shows an important role and necessary for short-term climate and natural disaster monitoring such as extreme weather , tropical cyclone, storm surge and marine safety, as well as long-term monitoring such as climate change, sea level rise and other ocean-atmosphere interactions. For long term ultimate goal, it is considerably necessary to develop the Indonesian Data Buoy Center (IDBC) to establish a complete and sustain ocean observing system in Indonesia. Keywords: InaTEWS, tsunami buoy, cable-based tsunameter, ocean-climate buoy 179 Ruang Komisi 2 : Adaptation in Disaster Management and National Strategy Volunteered Geographic Information for Emergency Response Arif Arham Department of Geography, Texas A&M University ABSTRACT The participation of large numbers of private citizens who are informal in the creation of geographic information is widespread for centuries and has been reserved to official agencies. This participation becomes a dramatic innovation that will certainly have profound impacts on geographic information systems (GIS) and more generally on the discipline of geography and its relationship to the general public. This phenomenon is called volunteered geographic information (VGI), a special case of the more general Web phenomenon of user-generated content such as Wikimapia (www.wikimapia.org), a service allowing citizens to provide descriptions of places of interest to them; Picasa (www.picasaweb.google.com), a collection of worldwide georeferenced photographs; OpenStreetMap (www.openstreetmap.org), a volunteer effort street map project of the entire world; and Google Earth, a software that is link to the internet and provide satellite image of the globe with geography information that can be provided by public from everywhere. This technology can be used to share information about the emergency situation to others. Emergency manager can use the data to further emergency management and decision making. This paper also discusses about the uncertainty of geography information for the uncertainty of an unpredicted emergency event. Keywords: Emergency, information, internet, response, volunteer. 180 Ruang Komisi 2 : Adaptation in Disaster Management and National Strategy Community Participation in Post-Tsunami Redevelopment: The Case Studies of Four Villages in Aceh Ichsan Malikussaleh University, Kampus Bukit Indah, Jln. Sumatera No 1-2, Lhokseumawe, Indonesia E-mail: [email protected] ABSTRACT The research aims were to examine the implementation of community participation in posttsunami redevelopment in Aceh. The methodological approach used in this study was case studies of Acehnese communities in the tsunami-affected areas consisting of the following villages: Lam Teungoh, Lam Hasan, Lambung, and Merduati. In this study, I employed qualitative methods consisting of document analysis and in-depth interviews. The sources of data were documents pertinent to the profiles of case study villages as well as the nature of community participation at the case study villages adopted prior to and following the tsunami. Interviews were conducted with three groups: government officials, NGO and International Agency workers, and community leaders (heads of villages and informal leaders). The four case study villages were selected based on the level of development and tsunamiaffected. Key aid organizations and agencies involved in post-tsunami redevelopment were chosen in the four case study villages. Each village was represented by two aid organizations or agencies. This research finds that the occurrence of “ad hoc” participation (participatory activities mainly mobilized by community members) was related to community members’ urgent needs right after the tsunami as well as their creativity and networking. With regard to aid organization/ agency-promoted participation (participation mobilized by NGOs, international agencies, and the Indonesian Government), the findings indicates this kind of participation was associated with the willingness and capacity of aid organizations/agencies, nature of recovery projects, readiness of residents to participate, adequate time in exercising participation, and community facilitators’ approaches. Keywords: community participation, post-tsunami, redevelopment efforts. 181 Ruang Komisi 2 : Adaptation in Disaster Management and National Strategy Political Dynamic and External Factors in a Post Disaster Rehabilitation & Reconstruction; Case Study of Nias Islands Post the 2004 and 2005 Earthquake and Tsunami Faisar Jihadi ABSTRACT Rehabilitation and reconstruction activities in Nias Islands post the 2004 tsunami and 2005 earthquake were highly affected by 3 factors: (1) the delay in the response of the government of Indonesia in enacting laws and regulations on Disaster Risk Reduction concerns; (2 the political separation process of Nias to North Sumatra started with the proliferation of Nias Islands from 2 districts in 2005 to 5 districts/municipality; and (3) the resulting lack of access to aid for development by civil society organization, due to presence of the National Implementation Modality System (NIMS) policy implementation to control the flow of donor aid and activities for post disaster recovery. Each factor is associated one into another and shapes the impact of the rehabilitation and reconstruction activities toward the safety of Aceh and Nias Islands from future disaster risks. All of the abovementioned factors are relatively external factors which was associated with political decisions at national level, which are beyond the control of local decision makers in Nias Islands. However, those factors defined the planning, implementation and evaluation of rehabilitation, reconstruction and Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) efforts in Nias Islands. Therefore, this it is important to access on how local community and government institutions participation for Disaster Management happen under such an uncontrollable planning situation for them. More specifically, how economic, social, infrastructural and institutional resilience status of Nias Islands has significantly changed under such environment? 182 Ruang Komisi 2 : Adaptation in Disaster Management and National Strategy Assessing Hazard Mitigation Policies and Strategies in Java Coastal Areas Rahmawati Husein Government Studies, FISIPOL, Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta Jl. Lingkar Selatan, Taman Tirto, Kasihan, Bantul, 55183 DIY. [email protected] ABSTRACT There has been a growing literature on the role of land use planning and development regulations can play toward hazard mitigation (Beatley, 2009; Burby, 1998; Godschalk et al., 1999). However, almost none of the research has been done in Indonesia, particularly in mitigating the coastal hazards although Indonesia has one of the longest coastal areas in the world. This study investigates policy and practices of local jurisdictions, municipalities and regencies, along Java coastal areas where they are vulnerable toward hazards. This study, specifically, examines the adoption and implementation of land use planning, development regulations including building standards and information dissemination strategies at the local levels (Kabupaten and Kota). The paper provides an overall assessment of the types of land use and development regulations and policies implemented by local jurisdictions based on survey of leading planner (head of Bappeda) and leading public work officer (head of Dinas PU). In total 31 municipalities and regencies participated in the survey from the total 65 regencies and municipalities in Java coastal areas. Statistical models were developed to assess the adoption and extensiveness of using various forms of land-use regulations, hazard mitigation programs, and hazard related building standards. Results suggest wide variation in the adoption and extensiveness of usage the policies and strategies for reducing any impact of hazards in the coastal areas. Key Words: mitigation, land use planning, development regulations, Java coastal areas 183