Driver Assistant Systems – DAS

Driver Assistant
Systems – DAS
Effectiveness study
AXA Winterthur, Accident Research
Bettina Zahnd-Sinzig, Head Accident Research
eSafety Challenge, Mai 30th 2011, Bettina Zahnd-Sinzig
From Research to Prevention
Results from Accident Research
Wildhaus 2006:
�
Demonstration of the potential of some driver assistance
systems like ABS, ESC and brake assist
�
First step by Accident Research to arise the awareness
Bachelor-Thesis of M. Wedelek 2009:
�
�
�
Literature
Research based on the national road accident statistics
Research based on AXA's claim statistics
Communication 2006-2010:
�
<<driving at work>>
‒
Article in the journal "aboutFLEET"
‒
Article in the e-newsletter <<driving at work>>
‒
Presentation at the <<driving at work>> - Event
�
ESP – Ratings 2006 and 2008
�
ABS for motorbikes
‒
Mentioned in the TV news: "10vor10"
‒
Article in the newspaper "Motor Sport Schweiz"
eSafety Challenge, Mai 30th 2011, Bettina Zahnd-Sinzig
DAS campaign
Wildhaus 2006
ABS-Braking with different
Sliding foil
eSafety Challenge, Mai 30th 2011, Bettina Zahnd-Sinzig
The effectiveness study:
driver assistant systems
� ESC-Package
‒
‒
‒
‒
ABS
ASR
ESC
BA
(Anti-Blockier-System)
(AntiSlipRegelation or traction control system)
(Electronic Stability Control)
(BrakeAssist)
� FCW-Systems (Forward Collision Warning System including CMBS
etc.)
� LDW-Systems (Lane Departure Warning System)
� LCA-Systems (Lane Change Assistant System)
� Park Pilot
eSafety Challenge, Mai 30th 2011, Bettina Zahnd-Sinzig
The effectiveness study:
Goals
� Estimate how many people would not be injured or killed if
every car was fitted with the driver assistant system (based
on the federal statistics)
� Estimate which system is the most interesting one for AXA
Winterthur in terms of accidents and in terms of costs
(based on the AXA Winterthur claims database)
eSafety Challenge, Mai 30th 2011, Bettina Zahnd-Sinzig
First part of the study
(figures from federal statistics)
Average of the years 1997 to 2007.
Single car collisions
effect of ESC already visible?
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
Spread of ESC
20
0
1997
1998
1999
2000
leichte
Verletzungen
light injuries
eSafety Challenge, Mai 30th 2011, Bettina Zahnd-Sinzig
2001
2002
2003
schwere
severeVerletzungen
injuries
2004
2005
2006
tödliche
Verletzungen
fatal injuries
2007
Potential benefits
Example: ESC Package
Total number of accidents
Single car collisions
6'164
Accidents of relevant accident type
Single car collisions (70%)
13'267
EffectivityAccident=
4'372
13'267
6'164
4'372
4'372
EffectivityWithin Acc.type=
6'164
Number of relevant accidents
eSafety Challenge, Mai 30th 2011, Bettina Zahnd-Sinzig
= 33,0%
4'372
= 70,9%
Potential benefits
(based on federal statistics)
ESC
FCW
LDW
LCA
PotentialAccident
33,0%
28,4%
37,6%
7,8%
PotentialAcc.type
70,9%
89,2%
70,0%
32,0%
eSafety Challenge, Mai 30th 2011, Bettina Zahnd-Sinzig
Second part of the study
Claims Core
� Claims Core is the name of the claims database of AXA
Winterthur
� For the study 574 subsequent cases were analysed.
Restrictions:
‒ German accident protocol
‒ third party liability cases
‒ Only cars involved
eSafety Challenge, Mai 30th 2011, Bettina Zahnd-Sinzig
0%
eSafety Challenge, Mai 30th 2011, Bettina Zahnd-Sinzig
Animals
Tierunfall
Abbiegeunfälle
turning
Überqueren der
Intersection
Fahrbahn
Fussgängerunfall
Pedestrian
Frontalkollision
Oncoming
v.
Einbiegeunfall
Turning
into str.
Spurwechsel
Lane change
Accidents
Keine Angaben
Not classified
Schleuder- oder
Single Car
Selbstunfall
parking Parkierunfall
Rear end
Auffahrunfall
Results (2nd part)
n = 574
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
Results for ESC
Number of cases
n = 574
Relevant Accident types
Single car collisions
Cases where ESC wouldn't have
any influence
85
Cases with relevant accident type c = 85
14,8%
Drivers condition
15
Road conditions
13
Cars with standard ESC
18
m=
Influence of ESC (all accidents)
Effectivity Accidents =
c -m
n
Influence of ESC within
relevant accident types
Effectivity Acc.type=
45,9%
eSafety Challenge, Mai 30th 2011, Bettina Zahnd-Sinzig
46
Comparison of all results
Pot.Accidents
[BfS]
Pot.Acc.type
[BfS]
ESC
FCW
LDW
LCA
Park Pilot
6,8%
19,7%
13,2%
4,0%
33,8%
[33,0%]
[28,4%]
[37,6%]
[7,8%]
45,9%
64,9%
71,7%
100,0%
[70,9%]
[89,2%]
[70,0%]
[32,0%]
eSafety Challenge, Mai 30th 2011, Bettina Zahnd-Sinzig
[-]
59,1%
[-]
Conclusions
For the insurance company two systems are very interesting:
� Parking sensors
� Forward collision warning systems
To reduce the number of death and heavily injured people on
the roads, there are two other systems most effective:
� ESC
� Lane departure warning systems
According to our study driver assistant systems should be
standard in every car. To raise the awareness of driver
assistant systems, AXA and bfu started a marketing campaign.
eSafety Challenge, Mai 30th 2011, Bettina Zahnd-Sinzig
DAS-Campaign: TV Spot
eSafety Challenge, Mai 30th 2011, Bettina Zahnd-Sinzig
Discussion
AXA Winterthur
Accident Research
Bettina Zahnd-Sinzig
www.axa.ch
www.accidentresearch.ch
[email protected]
eSafety Challenge, Mai 30th 2011, Bettina Zahnd-Sinzig