Nate Engle

E-learning Platform on
Weather and Climate Services:
A Value Chain Approach to Project Design
Global Drought Information System Workshop
December 11-13, 2014 | Pasadena, California
Nathan Engle, Climate Change Specialist
Kanta Kumari, Lead Environment Specialist
Kazi Ahmed, Environment Specialist
Ana Bucher, Climate Change Specialist
E-­‐learning Pla,orm Concept Target Audience: •  Project managers of weather and climate services-­‐related investments; •  Government counterparts; and •  Other development prac>>oners interested in weather and climate services. -­‐ PPCR porBolio: 20 investments Mo4va4ons -­‐ $170m resources (PPCR and co-­‐financing) -­‐ IDA17 policy commitments -­‐ Next genera>on of climate services investments 2 E-­‐learning Pla,orm Concept •  Weather and Climate Services are necessary for planning climate resilient development –  Need improved understanding of how the climate is changing and how to respond to these changes –  Helps reduce disaster losses on account of extreme events (on average recovers costs in 7 years by a factor of 4 to 8) •  Move beyond piecemeal investments •  Contains 4 modules comprised of 1-­‐3 lessons each •  To launch in parallel with World Bank’s Open Learning Campus User PlaBorm 3 E-­‐learning Pla,orm Concept Module 1: The Climate Services Value Chain -­‐ An Introduc,on Module 2: The Climate Services Value Chain -­‐ Key Components and Inter-­‐linkages Module 3: Integra4ng Climate Services into Project Investments through the Project Cycle Module 4: Prac4cal Examples and Resources -­‐ Good Prac,ces and Interac,ve Exercises 4 Module 2: The Weather and Climate Services Value Chain GFCS-­‐Research, Modeling and Predic>on GFCS-­‐Capacity Development Embedded in Lesson 2, 3, 4 Lesson 4 User –Service Provider Engagement User Consulta>on Water, Weather and Climate Inputs Data Collec>on and Management Development of Informa>on, Products and Services Delivery of Products and Services Applica>on for Decision-­‐
Making Climate Resilient Development Outcomes Ins>tu>onal Actors Lesson 3 Lesson 1 Lesson 2 GFCS-­‐Observa>ons and Monitoring GFCS-­‐User Interface PlaBorm GFCS-­‐Climate Services Informa>on System Help with Tes4ng and Upcoming Ac4vi4es •  Interac>ve online (open) version •  Valida>on by partners and clients through prototype –  Need assistance from countries and organiza>ons to test in early 2015 through facilitated courses •  Content (case study enhancement) 6 User Needs and Benefits Pufng all the pieces together: paradigma>c examples. Click on each sector or theme to see real examples of climate services that can help decision makers, and the benefits that this provides. User Communi4es Food Agriculture
security
Weather & Climate Impact Short Term Medium and Long Term Water resource
management
Disaster risk
management
Short Term Short term Med/long term Weather & Climate Service Examples of Benefits to users Northeast Brazil Drought Monitor The role and benefits of weather and climate services with respect to drought in northeast Brazil can be clearly seen in the process of shiging from: A culture of reac4ve crisis management TO Proac4ve drought risk management Supported by the development of a “Drought Monitor”: Mechanisms to beher an>cipate drought events and guide relief measures more efficiently, objec>vely, and effec>vely, Though the implementa>on of drought preparedness measures DROUGHT MONITORING & FORECASTING
EDUARDO MARTINS Research Institute for Meteorology and Water Resources
(FUNCEME)
Federal University of Ceará (UFC) The Context Ceará State: Storage Capacity 18,7 bi m3 à 22%: 4,1 bi m3 144 monitored reservoirs 75 reservoirs below 10% 124 reservoirs below 30% Drought Monitor Monitoring and forecas4ng/
early warning Vulnerability/resiliency and impact assessment Mi4ga4on and response planning and measures 10 Drought Monitor Monitoring and forecas4ng/early warning 11 Drought Monitor Mi4ga4on and response planning and measures PERNAMBUCO:
Jucazinho Water Supply System
-  #Municipalities: 15
-  Population: 820.000 people
-  Actual capacity: 1.250 l/s
-  Pipeline system: 206 Km
-  Future capacity: 1.800 l/s
Opera4onal response for when the drought hits: 1.  Rain-­‐fed agriculture 2.  Water Management 3.  Water Supply Drought Monitor Monitoring and forecas4ng/early LESS ABOUT INDICATORS, IT IS MORE ABOUT THE PROCESS. warning JUL/2014 AUG/2014 SEP/2014 OCT/2014 NOV/2014 Drought Monitor-­‐Data Integra4on Effort Raingauges Weather Sta>ons Automa>c Weather Sta>ons Reservoir Levels FUNCEME Monitoring FUNCEME Forecast System Streamflow forecasts (Since 2005) Yield Forecasts Na4onal Superensemble CPTEC/INMET/FUNCEME FUNCEME Forecast System FMA MAM DOWNSCALING Onset/end Season Drought Indicators Forecasts: SPI-­‐3/4 Months SPEI-­‐3/4 Months S2S: Dry/wet spells indicatos FUNCEME BRAZIL + GDIS Ø  Coopera4on is a two-­‐way street: It should not mean data-­‐sharing only; Ø  What is in it for the local/regional ins4tu4ons? Ul4mately, these ins4tu4ons are the ones that will be held responsible for the provided informa4on. Ø  COOPERATION WITH BRAZIL: Ø  Data sharing Ø  Capacity Building Ø  Pilots (no planes!) and as a result à Sustainable local capacity! Examples IRI & NDMC FUNCEME CRC-­‐NSA Thank you!!! Obrigado!!! INMET/CPTEC/FUNCEME