evolution of the insurance market in the 1st quarter of 2016
Transcription
evolution of the insurance market in the 1st quarter of 2016
EVOLUTION OF THE INSURANCE MARKET IN THE 1ST QUARTER OF 2016 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS EVOLUTION OF THE INSURANCE MARKET IN Q1 2016................................................................ 3 I. INSURANCE COMPANIES........................................................................................................ 3 I.1. Gross premiums written (GI and LI) .............................................................................................. 3 Gross premiums written for general insurance .............................................................................. 8 Gross premiums written for life insurance ................................................................................... 10 I.2. Gross claims paid by insurers (GCP) ............................................................................................ 12 Gross claims paid related to general insurance ............................................................................ 13 Situation of amounts paid for gross claims, maturities and redemptions related to life insurance ...................................................................................................................................................... 16 I.3. Claims and expense ratio ............................................................................................................ 17 I.4. Technical reserves ....................................................................................................................... 19 Technical reserves established for general insurance .................................................................. 20 Technical reserves established for life insurance ......................................................................... 20 I.6. Liquidity of insurance companies ............................................................................................... 21 I.7. Reinsurance................................................................................................................................. 22 For the general insurance category .............................................................................................. 22 For the life insurance category ..................................................................................................... 23 I.8. Statistical data under the new solvency regime ......................................................................... 24 I.9. The evolution of the motor vehicle liability insurance market (MTPL) in 2016 ......................... 29 Market share ................................................................................................................................. 32 Evolution of damages.................................................................................................................... 34 Monitoring of MTPL insurance premiums for vans and passenger vehicles January - June 201640 I.10. Home insurance ........................................................................................................................ 43 II. INSURANCE AND/OR REINSURANCE BROKERS..................................................................... 47 II.1. Insurance intermediation business ............................................................................................ 47 II.2. Revenues obtained from the insurance intermediation business ............................................. 50 List of figures ..................................................................................................................................... 52 List of tables ...................................................................................................................................... 53 2 THE INSURANCE MARKET The insurance market in Romania last year reversed the downward trend from the period 2013 - 2014 and ended 2015 with a volume of gross premiums written of RON 8.75 billion, up 8.2% compared to the previous year. This trend continued in the first quarter of 2016, insurers accumulating in the first quarter of 2016 gross premiums written of RON 2,430,297,723, up 9.16% over the same period last year. The positive development in 2016 was influenced by the contribution of general insurance segment, which recorded an increase of 9.74% over the same period last year, while the life insurance segment registered a growth of 6.61%. The insurance sector remains dependent on auto insurance, gross premiums written for class A3 (Insurance of land vehicles other than railway) and class A10 (Motor vehicle liability insurance) representing 76.34% of total gross premiums written related to the general insurance category in Q1 2016, increasing compared to the same period last year. The underwritings for the two classes of general insurance increased in 2016, particularly for Class A10, which registered an advance of about 27% over the same period last year. This report is based on the accounting reports submitted by insurance companies, except the chapter on the transition to Solvency II, which is based on the reports submitted by insurance companies falling under this regime. I. INSURANCE COMPANIES On 31 March 2016 there were active in the insurance market 35 insurance companies of which 20 have only practiced general insurance activity ("GI"), 8 practiced only life insurance activity ("LI") and 7 practiced composite activity. In January 2016 the Board of the Financial Supervisory Authority (ASF) decided to apply the measures of resolution in the case of Carpatica Asig S.A. On 27 July 2016 ASF decided to withdraw the authorization of Carpatica Asig and trigger the bankruptcy proceedings. This does not affect data on 31 March 2016, which include the accounting reports of Carpatica Asig. I.1. Gross premiums written (GI and LI) Insurers have accumulated in the first quarter (Q1) of 2016 gross premiums written worth RON 2,430,297,723, up 9.16% compared to Q1 2015: - gross premiums written (GPW) related to general insurance (GI) amounting to RON 1,992,030,603, up compared to first quarter of the previous year by 9.74%; - gross premiums written related to life insurance (LI) amounting to RON 438,267,120, up compared to the similar period of the previous year by 6.61%. 3 mil. lei Figure 1 The evolution of gross premiums written in 2012 – 2016 3.000 2.500 438 2.000 432 420 382 411 AV 1.500 AG 1.000 1.734 1.707 1.699 1.815 TI 2012 T1 2013 TI 2014 T1 2015 1.992 500 0 T1 2016 Unlike the European insurance market, which is dominated by life insurance segment (about 61% according to Insurance Europe1 for 2014), in Romania it accounted for only about 18% of gross premiums written, the market being dominated by life insurance or auto insurance. Table 1 Dynamics of allocation on insurance segments during 2012 - 2016 GI Q1 2012 1,733,727,436 Q1 2013 1,707,087,760 Q1 2014 1,698,546,602 Q1 2015 1,815,170,223 Q1 2016 1,992,030,603 LI 431,871,167 419,662,147 382,283,829 411,103,369 438,267,120 2,165,598,603 2,126,749,907 2,080,830,431 2,226,273,592 2,430,297,723 GI Share (%) 80.06% 80.27% 81.63% 81.53% 81.97% LI Share (%) 19.94% 19.73% 18.37% 18.47% 18.03% TOTAL Table 2 Dynamics of gross premiums written on insurance classes in the period 2012 - 2016 Category GI 1 Insurance Class A1 A2 A3 A4 A5 A6 A7 A8 A9 Q1 2012 17,598,444 16,653,951 453,490,765 434,819 1,909,677 4,558,213 13,980,833 260,211,348 25,533,510 Q1 2013 47,916,906 20,310,848 422,824,877 610,781 2,998,097 8,158,378 10,950,591 270,104,694 24,399,973 GPW (RON) Q1 2014 23,478,583 11,176,085 432,850,965 267,493 1,595,751 8,644,513 10,380,251 248,561,260 25,880,842 Q1 2015 31,617,673 13,695,281 401,837,072 939,988 3,355,232 11,815,498 10,074,131 262,123,350 27,369,201 Q1 2016 19,798,605 18,516,038 404,817,878 1,048,271 6,136,720 5,729,841 10,485,193 250,904,550 25,158,719 www.insuranceeurope.eu 4 Category LI Insurance Class A10 A11 A12 A13 A14 A15 A16 A17 A18 TOTAL C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C6 C7 A1 A2 TOTAL Q1 2012 618,068,014 2,687,389 3,511,232 216,814,889 25,494,747 55,802,277 4,255,019 61,886 12,660,421 1,733,727,436 257,057,991 412,568 156,342,701 711,699 7,585,761 9,760,447 431,871,167 Q1 2013 676,508,834 2,624,215 4,477,237 131,332,757 10,228,243 54,779,055 5,352,773 5,317 13,504,184 1,707,087,760 271,624,314 363,620 134,459,348 681,820 8,019,100 4,513,945 419,662,147 TOTAL 2,165,598,603 2,126,749,907 GPW (RON) Q1 2014 738,580,212 3,277,724 3,282,501 130,029,952 7,037,615 30,686,067 6,964,619 4,425 15,847,744 1,698,546,602 254,835,232 310,210 112,103,245 918,253 8,461,688 5,655,201 382,283,829 Q1 2015 879,117,632 2,865,581 3,606,202 102,735,588 1,382,938 35,847,303 8,586,255 59,310 18,141,988 1,815,170,223 265,637,618 296,242 127,641,991 688,187 8,520,286 8,319,045 411,103,369 Q1 2016 1,115,884,713 1,801,112 1,124,443 71,856,285 1,701,061 33,858,814 4,689,089 6,920 18,512,351 1,992,030,603 298,911,233 261,014 116,446,901 0 0 0 0 11,295,280 11,352,692 438,267,120 2,080,830,431 2,226,273,592 2,430,297,723 Regarding geographical distribution of underwritings, it is noticed that in the case of both general insurance and life insurance, contracts with the most important aggregate value are concluded in Bucharest and Ilfov, followed at a significant distance by North-West and Center regions. In the case of life insurance, the discrepancy between the region of Bucharest and Ilfov and other regions of the country is much more pronounced. 5 Figure 2 GPW distribution for general insurance in the 8 regions of development of Romania 7.94% 12.18% 9.61% 6.26% 8.11% 5.30% 9.42% 41.17% Figure 3 GPW distribution for life insurance in the 8 regions of development of Romania 2.98% 2.54% 3.18% 2.66% 2.84% 1.87% 1.77% 82.16% 6 The insurance market in Romania is characterized by a high degree of concentration. In 2015, 79.25% of the total volume of gross premiums written was covered by 10 insurance companies out of 35 companies that carried out on 31 December 2015 insurance/reinsurance activity, situation similar to previous years and the first quarter of 2016. Table 3 The companies with the largest volumes of gross premiums written and their share in total market (general and life insurance) No. Company ASIROM VIENNA INSURANCE GROUP ALLIANZ - TIRIAC ASIGURARI OMNIASIG VIG CARPATICA ASIG EUROINS ROMANIA ASIGURARE REASIGURARE Total (1-5) 6 GROUPAMA ASIGURARI 7 CITY INSURANCE 8 NN ASIGURARI DE VIATA 9 GENERALI ROMANIA ASIGURARE REASIGURARE 10 UNIQA ASIGURARI Total (1-10) Other companies TOTAL 1 2 3 4 5 Total premiums written Total market (general and life insurance) share (%) (RON) 374,771,392 297,247,063 225,736,834 224,679,657 209,586,753 1,332,021,699 199,842,136 165,297,552 157,431,265 131,100,249 115,413,610 2,101,106,511 329,191,212 2,430,297,723 15.42 12.23 9.29 9.25 8.62 54.81 8.22 6.80 6.48 5.39 4.75 86.45 13.55 100.00 7 Gross premiums written for general insurance The total volume of gross premiums written for general insurance, in Q1 2016, was RON 1,992,030,603, recording a growth of 9.74% compared to the same period of the previous year. The top 10 insurance companies that underwrote general insurance premiums accumulated a value of RON 1,897,813,206, which accounts for 95.27% of this business segment. Table 4 Ranking of insurance companies based on gross premiums written for general insurance in the first quarter of 2016 No. Company ASIROM VIENNA INSURANCE GROUP S.A. ALLIANZ - TIRIAC ASIGURARI S.A. OMNIASIG VIG (former BCR ASIGURARI VIG) CARPATICA ASIG S.A. EUROINS ROMANIA ASIGURARE REASIGURARE S.A. Total (1-5) 6 GROUPAMA ASIGURARI S.A. 7 CITY INSURANCE S.A. 8 UNIQA ASIGURARI S.A. 9 GENERALI ROMANIA ASIGURARE REASIGURARE S.A. 10 P.A.I.D. INSURANCE POOL Total (1-10) Other companies TOTAL 1 2 3 4 5 Total premiums written Total market (general and life insurance) share (%) (RON) 345,217,678 270,238,907 225,736,834 224,679,657 209,586,753 1,275,459,829 189,354,781 165,297,552 115,413,610 112,033,416 40,254,018 1,897,813,206 94,217,397 1,992,030,603 17.33 13.57 11.33 11.28 10.52 64.03 9.51 8.30 5.79 5.62 2.02 95.27 4.73 100.00 Of the total gross premiums written for general insurance, the largest shares are held by classes A3 Insurance of land vehicles other than railway, A8 Insurance against fire and other natural disasters and A10 Motor vehicle liability insurance, the share of these three classes being 88.95% of total gross premiums written for the general insurance activity: Class A10. Motor vehicle liability insurance (MTPL + CLI), with a volume of gross premiums written of RON 1,115,884,713, accounting for 56.02% of total underwritings for general insurance, recorded in the first quarter of 2016 an increase by 26.93% compared to the same period of 2015; Class A3. Insurance of land vehicles (CASCO), with a volume of gross premiums written of RON 404,817,878, representing 20.32% of total general insurance, recorded in the analyzed period a nominal growth of 0.74% compared to the same period of 2015; Class A8. Insurance against fire and other natural disasters, with a volume of gross premiums written of RON 250,904,550, accounting for 12.60% of total underwritings for general insurance, recorded in the first quarter of 2016 a nominal growth of 4.28% compared to the same period of 2015. 8 Table 5 Structure on general insurance classes GPW (RON) 422,824,877 432,850,965 401,837,072 404,817,878 Percentage change 2016/2015 (%) 20.32% 0.74 A8 270,104,694 248,561,260 262,123,350 250,904,550 12.60% -4.28 A10 Other classes 676,508,834 738,580,212 879,117,632 1,115,884,713 56.01% 26.93 278,554,165 272,092,169 220,423,462 11.07% -18.99 1,698,546,602 1,815,170,223 1,992,030,603 100.00% 9.74 Class A3 TOTAL Q1 2013 Q1 2014 337,649,355 1,707,087,760 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 Share 2016 Figure 4 Evolution of the volume of gross premiums written on general insurance classes (million RON) 1200,0 1.116 1000,0 879 800,0 739 677 600,0 433 423 400,0 270 405 402 338 279 249 262 272 251 220 200,0 T1 2013 T1 2014 T1 2015 T1 2016 PBS (lei) A3 A8 A10 Alte clase In dynamics it is noticed that in the last 4 years the share of gross premiums written for class X has grown consistently from year to year, to the detriment of other important classes of general insurance, which shows that the dependence of the overall market on MTPL insurance has increased (MTPL risk being predominantly in class X). 9 Figure 5 Structure dynamics on general insurance classes 100% 90% 19,789% 16,412% 14,986% 11,044% 39,637% 43,471% 48,430% 56,024% 15,808% 14,647% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 14,435% 12,600% 20% 10% 24,766% 25,471% 22,149% 20,331% T1 2013 T1 2014 T1 2015 T1 2016 0% A3 A8 A10 Alte clase Gross premiums written for life insurance The life insurance segment recorded an increase by 6.61% in the first quarter of 2016 compared to the same period of the last year. Also, a high degree of concentration was maintained in 2016, so 10 companies held a share of 92.63% of the total volume of premiums written in this segment, with total underwritings of RON 438,267,120. Table 6 Ranking of insurance companies based on gross premiums written for life insurance in 2016 No. Company 1 NN ASIGURARI DE VIATA SA 2 METROPOLTAN TOTAL (1-2) 3 BCR ASIGURARI DE VIATA VIENNA INSURANCE GROUP S.A. 4 ASIROM VIENNA INSURANCE GROUP S.A. 5 ALLIANZ - TIRIAC ASIGURARI S.A. 6 BRD ASIGURARI DE VIATA S.A. 7 GENERALI ROMANIA ASIGURARE REASIGURARE S.A. 8 ERGO ASIGURARI DE VIATA S.A. 9 UNIQA ASIGURARI DE VIATA SA 10 GRAWE ROMANIA ASIGURARE S.A. TOTAL (1-10) Other companies*) TOTAL GPW LI (RON) 157,431,265 62,910,173 220,341,438 43,628,529 29,553,714 27,008,156 25,431,957 19,066,833 17,344,173 12,595,968 11,005,845 405,976,613 32,290,507 438,267,120 Market share (%) 35.92 14.36 50.28 9.96 6.74 6.16 5.80 4.35 3.96 2.87 2.51 92.63 7.37 100.00 10 Of total gross premiums written for life insurance, the highest shares are held by classes C1 life insurance, annuities and supplemental life insurance and, respectively, C3 Life insurance and annuities related to investment funds, which together accumulate 94.77% of total gross premiums written for the life insurance business. Figure 6 Structure dynamics on life insurance classes 100% 3,236% 4,014% 4,336% 5,227% 32,040% 29,325% 31,049% 26,570% 64,725% 66,661% 64,616% 68,203% T1 2013 T1 2014 T1 2015 T1 2016 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% C1 C3 Alte clase Dynamics analysis leads to the following conclusions: - Class C1 “Life insurance, annuities and supplemental life insurance” increased in absolute size by RON 33,273,615 in Q1 2016, respectively by 12.53% compared to the first quarter of 2015; - Class C3 “Life insurance and annuities related to investment funds” increased in absolute size by RON 11,195,090 in Q1 2016, respectively by 8.77% compared to the first quarter of 2015; The category "other classes" had a growth pace of 28.53% compared to Q1 2015, which, in absolute size, mean an increase in the volume of gross premiums written by RON 5,085,226. This category mainly includes the following classes: o class A1 Accidents with gross premiums written of RON 11,295,280, up 32.57% compared to the first quarter of 2015; o class A2 Health insurance with gross premiums written of RON 11,352,692, up 19.36% compared to the first quarter of 2015; 11 Table 7 Structure on life insurance classes GPW life (RON) Class C1 C3 Other classes TOTAL Q1 2013 Q1 2014 Q1 2015 271,624,314 134,459,348 13,578,485 419,662,147 254,835,232 112,103,245 15,345,352 382,283,829 Q1 2016 265,637,618 127,641,991 17,823,760 411,103,369 Class share in Q1 2016 298,911,233 116,446,901 22,908,986 438,267,120 68.20% 26.57% 5.23% 100.00% Pace of change (%) 12.53% -8.77% 28.53% 6.61% Figure 7 Evolution of the volume of gross premiums written on life insurance classes (million RON) 350 299 300 272 266 255 250 200 150 134 128 112 116 100 50 23 18 15 14 0 T1 2013 T1 2014 T1 2015 T1 2016 PBS (lei) C1 C3 Alte clase I.2. Gross claims paid by insurers (GCP) At the end of the first quarter of 2016, insurance companies reported gross claims paid (excluding partial and total maturities and redemptions), aggregate for the two insurance categories, amounting to RON 955,798,493, as follows: - RON 913,410,298 related to general insurance contracts (95.57%), down 12.59% compared to the similar period of 2015 (RON 1,044,934,928); - RON 42,388,195 are amounts paid for gross claims, related to life insurance, down 2.97% compared to the similar period of 2015 (RON 43,685,843). Gross claims for life insurance are added to partial or total maturities and redemptions worth a total of RON 185,984,741, value increasing by 2.65% compared to the same period of the previous year. Gross claims paid by insurers in the general insurance segment fell in the first quarter of 2016 mainly due to bankruptcy in the second half of 2015 of Astra, one of the most important players in the general insurance market. Astra paid in Q1 2015 gross claims of RON 127,306,850. In 2016, the Policyholders Guarantee Fund paid damages related to insurance contracts of the company in force 12 at the time of bankruptcy. Eliminating Astra's impact, gross claims paid by insurers in the general insurance segment remained approximately constant (down 0.46%). mil. lei Figure 8 The evolution of the gross claims paid including maturities and redemptions for general and life insurance (million RON) 1.400 175 1.200 196 183 181 186 1.000 800 600 1.091 1.109 1.135 1.045 913 400 200 0 TI 2012 TI 2013 TI 2014 TI 2015 TI 2016 Indemnizații brute plătite pentru asigurări de viata, Maturitati, Rascumparari totale si partiale (lei) Indemnizații brute plătite pentru asigurări generale (lei) Table 8 The dynamics of the gross claims paid, including maturities and redemptions for general and life insurance, during 2012-2016 Period Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Q1 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 GI + LI (RON) 1,265,310,041 1,304,686,631 1,317,736,628 1,226,117,960 1,099,395,039 Pace of change compared to the previous period (%) 3.11% 1.00% -6.95% -10.34% GCP GI (RON) 1,090,692,799 1,108,771,758 1,134,608,598 1,044,934,928 913,410,298 Pace of change compared to the previous period (%) 1.66% 2.33% -7.90% -12.59% GCP LI, Maturities, Pace of change Total and partial compared to the redemptions (RON) previous period (%) 174,617,242 195,914,873 12.20% 183,128,030 -6.53% 181,183,032 -1.06% 185,984,741 2.65% Gross claims paid related to general insurance Of total gross claims paid in Q1 2016 for general insurance, the value related to damages in previous years was RON 747,467,789, representing 81.83% of the total (84.70% in the same period last year). This share decreases towards the end of the year, as claim files are instrumented and liquidated for damages happened in the current year. In total, gross claims paid by 10 insurance companies accounted for 97.63% of total claims paid at the level of the general insurance segment. 13 Table 9 Insurance companies with the largest volume of gross claims paid for general insurance No. Company 1 OMNIASIG VIG 2 CARPATICA ASIG 3 EUROINS ROMANIA ASIGURARE REASIGURARE 4 ALLIANZ - TIRIAC ASIGURĂRI TOTAL (1-4) 5 GROUPAMA ASIGURARI 6 ASIROM VIENNA INSURANCE GROUP 7 CITY INSURANCE 8 UNIQA ASIGURARI 9 GENERALI ROMANIA 10 GOTHAER ASIGURARI - REASIGURARI TOTAL (1-10) Other companies TOTAL GCP GI (RON) Market share (%) 144,894,850 15.86 126,048,279 13.80 120,376,078 13.18 107,526,969 11.77 498,846,176 54.61 105,180,881 11.52 92,083,638 10.08 69,555,876 7.62 66,491,843 7.28 51,274,363 5.61 8,341,462 0.91 891,774,239 97.63 21,636,059 2.37 913,410,298 100.00 Significant shares of gross claims paid by insurance companies were recorded in the following insurance classes (94.38% of the total): - Class A10. Motor vehicle liability insurance with a volume of gross claims paid of RON 521,550,867, accounting for 57.10% of total gross claims paid for general insurance, decreasing by 12.51% compared to the first quarter of 2015; - Class A3. Land vehicles insurance (Casco), with a volume of gross claims paid of RON 299,076,137, accounting for 32.74% of total gross claims paid for general insurance, decreasing by 8.16% compared to the first quarter of 2015; - Class A8. Insurance against fire and other natural disasters, with a volume of gross claims paid of RON 41,421,117, accounting for 4.54% of total gross claims paid for general insurance, decreasing by 14.06% compared to the first quarter of 2015. Gross claims paid for the other classes account for 5.62% of total payments related to general insurance, which in absolute size meant an amount of RON 51,362,177. 14 Figure 9 Structure dynamics on classes of gross claims paid for the general insurance category 100% 5,779% 7,186% 5,623% 57,038% 57,099% 4,613% 4,535% 33,620% 31,163% 32,743% T1 2014 T1 2015 T1 2016 14,373% 90% 80% 46,186% 70% 47,121% 60% 50% 4,589% 40% 4,886% 30% 43,446% 20% 10% 0% T1 2013 A3 A8 A10 Alte clase Figure 10 Evolution of the volume of GI gross claims paid (million RON) 700 596 600 535 522 500 400 381 326 299 300 200 100 163 55 48 75 41 51 0 TI 2014 TI 2015 A3 A8 A10 TI 2016 alte clase 15 Situation of amounts paid for gross claims, maturities and redemptions related to life insurance The value of gross claims, maturities and redemptions related to life insurance was, in Q1 2016, RON 185,984,741, recording a nominal growth of 2.65% over the same period last year. Cumulative gross payments (indemnities, maturities and redemptions) of 10 insurance companies accounted for 96.10% of total gross amounts paid at the level of the life insurance segment. Table 10 Insurance companies with the largest amount of gross claims paid, maturities and redemptions for life insurance No. Company 1 NN ASIGURARI DE VIATA SA 2 METROPOLITAN LIFE ASIGURARI S.A. (FORMER AVIVA ASIGURARI DE VIATA S.A.) TOTAL (1-2) 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 ALLIANZ - TIRIAC ASIGURARI S.A. ASIROM VIENNA INSURANCE GROUP S.A. BCR ASIGURARI DE VIATA VIENNA INSURANCE GROUP S.A. GENERALI ROMANIA ASIGURARE REASIGURARE S.A. GRAWE ROMANIA ASIGURARE S.A. SIGNAL IDUNA ASIGURARE REASIGURARE S.A. GROUPAMA ASIGURARI S.A. ERGO ASIGURARI DE VIATA S.A. TOTAL (1-10) Other companies TOTAL GCP, Maturities, Total Share in redemptions, Partial total redemptions 77,723,293 41.79 29,551,773 15.89 107,275,066 18,097,993 15,635,345 11,787,626 9,647,041 5,092,631 4,245,173 3,531,974 3,412,844 178,725,693 7,259,048 185,984,741 57.68 9.73 8.41 6.34 5.19 2.74 2.28 1.90 1.83 96.10 3.90 100.00 In 2016, the most significant shares in gross claims paid were held by the following insurance classes: - class C1 Life insurance, annuities and supplemental life insurance, accounting for 63.20% (RON 30,531,415) of total payments made (RON 31,945,808 in Q1 2015); - class C3 Life insurance and annuities related to investment funds, accounting for 10.34% (RON 4,620,592) of the total (RON 3,597,425 in Q1 2015); - Payments for the other classes were in the amount of RON 7,236,188 and accounted for 14.42% of total payments related to life insurance (RON 8,172,610 in Q1 2015). 16 I.3. Claims and expense ratio Figure 11 Quarterly evolution of claims ratio and combined claims ratio for the main general insurance classes during 2014-2016 (Q1 of each year) 140 120 100 80 60 T1 2014 T1 2015 40 T1 2016 20 clasa A3 clasa A8 Rata combinata Rata cheltuielilor Rata daunei Rata combinata Rata cheltuielilor Rata daunei Rata combinata Rata cheltuielilor Rata daunei 0 clasa A10 In Q1 2016 the claims ratio combined at the level of the entire market improved for insurance classes with significant share, continuing the trend of the previous year. For CASCO and MTPL+CLI insurances, the combined claims ratio is for the first time around 100%. However, it is likely that this situation is intermediary, given that an important factor of the claims ratio is the variation of technical reserves for claims that happened but haven't been approved yet, which is estimated in general annually. Consequently, the impact of this variation is not included entirely in analyzes for the quarter depending on policies of establishing technical reserves related to each insurance company. For a more thorough analysis of the claims ratio, we included in the table below the quarterly ratios calculated on aggregate data. It is noticed that in the last quarter of 2015, especially for the class A10, the combined claims ratio had a significant growth compared to the quarterly values. It was due to adjustments made on technical reserves, especially following the audit of the annual financial statements. 17 Table 11 Quarterly evolution of claims ratio and combined claims ratio for the main general insurance classes Claims ratio Period Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 80.65 79.22 79.89 79.78 75.98 76.59 75.63 74.95 66.18 Class A3 Class A8 Class A10 The rate of The rate of The rate of acquisition acquisition acquisition Combined Combined Combined and Claims ratio and Claims ratio and claims ratio claims ratio claims ratio administration administration administration expenses expenses expenses 33.21 113.86 18.28 40.90 59.18 86.8 40.69 127.49 34.86 114.08 23.05 42.41 65.46 82.98 40.86 123.83 35.82 115.72 32.10 42.86 74.96 80.71 39.52 120.23 36.36 116.14 26.41 42.33 68.74 87.05 39.33 126.38 32.62 108.60 10.78 40.35 51.13 82.02 39.31 121.33 35.12 111.72 14.15 37.82 51.97 89.08 38.00 127.08 35.74 111.37 16.06 37.27 53.34 82.67 35.35 118.02 36.67 111.62 21.27 37.66 58.93 101.76 37.37 139.12 31.37 97.55 22.85 34.23 57.08 69.79 31.87 101.66 Table 12 Quarterly evolution of the value of acquisition and administration expenses and expenses with commissions during 2014 - 2016 (first quarter) Period Indicator acquisition and administration expenses of which expenses with commissions acquisition and administration expenses of which expenses with commissions acquisition and administration expenses of which expenses with commissions Q1 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 class A3 154,622,705 class A8 101,053,843 class A10 250,774,764 53,928,457 52,342,366 127,570,192 140,607,612 97,773,962 283,104,986 49,909,060 52,282,828 143,950,388 133,523,005 81,011,155 268,679,448 42,508,018 32,652,031 157,722,786 Figure 12 Quarterly evolution of the value of acquisition and administration expenses and expenses with commissions during 2014 - 2016 (first quarter) 300.000.000 250.000.000 200.000.000 150.000.000 100.000.000 50.000.000 0 cheltuieli de achizitie si din care cheltuieli cu cheltuieli de achizitie si din care cheltuieli cu cheltuieli de achizitie si din care cheltuieli cu administrare comisioanele administrare T1 2014 comisioanele T1 2015 clasa A3 clasa A8 administrare comisioanele T1 2016 clasa A10 18 Table 13 Evolution of expenses with commissions in gross premiums written in the period 2014 - 2016 (first quarter) Period Q1 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 class A3 (%) class A8 (%) 12.46 12.42 10.50 class A10 (%) 21.06 19.95 13.01 17.27 16.37 14.13 Figure 13 Evolution of expenses with commissions in gross premiums written 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 clasa A3 clasa A8 T1 2014 T1 2015 clasa A10 T1 2016 It is noticed that the share of expenses with commissions in gross premiums written fell following the efforts of insurance companies to reduce the combined claims ratio and thus improve the profitability and financial stability indicators. The average at market level on all general insurance classes fell from 16.67% in Q1 2014 to 13.49% in Q1 2016 (Q1/2015: 16.57%). I.4. Technical reserves On 31 March 2016, insurance companies had established gross technical reserves for the general and life insurance business worth a total of RON 14,772,738,663, up compared to the end of 2015 (RON 14,477,264,812). Gross technical reserves established for general insurance recorded a volume of RON 8,155,815,078 (31 December 2015: RON 7,867,467), thus holding a share of 55.21% of the total. For life insurance, companies established reserves worth RON 6,616,923,585 (31 December 2015: RON 6,609,799,708), level related to a share of 44.79% of the total. 19 Technical reserves established for general insurance For the general insurance business, on 31 March 2016, insurance companies had established gross technical reserves worth RON 8,155,815,078, increasing compared to 31 December 2015, which can also be correlated with the decrease in gross claims paid. Corroborating the two indicators, basically the value and/or number of claims incurred but not yet settled increased. This growth is generated mainly by the increase in technical reserves for class A10, which is mainly MTPL. The structure of gross technical reserves for the general insurance category, the share of significant classes of the total, on 31 December 2016, was the following: premium reserves, in gross value of RON 3,322,543,527, represents 40.74% of the total value of gross technical reserves relating to general insurance. claims reserves approved, worth RON 3,137,973,069, represented 38.48% of the value of gross technical reserves established for general insurance. gross claims reserves unapproved, worth RON 1,375,361,115, represented 16.86% of the value of gross technical reserves established for general insurance. Table 14 Structure of gross technical reserves for general insurance on 31 March 2016 compared to 31 December 2015 Share in 31 March 2016 total Premium reserve Claim reserve approved Claim reserve unapproved Other technical reserves Total reserves RON 3,322,543,527 3,137,973,069 1,375,367,750 319,930,732 8,155,815,078 31 December 2015 Premium reserve Claim reserve approved Claim reserve unapproved Other technical reserves Total reserves RON 3,062,384,525 3,090,414,463 1,345,973,851 368,692,265 7,867,465,104 Class A3 (%) RON 40.74% 856,203,707 38.48% 360,386,601 16.86% 111,524,867 3.92% 94,901,818 100.00% 1,423,016,993 Share in total Class A3 (%) RON 38.92% 876,989,042 39.28% 383,125,730 17.11% 106,213,188 4.69% 94,693,415 100.00% 1,461,021,375 Class A8 RON 475,489,549 279,316,178 48,860,903 127,898,593 931,565,223 Class A8 RON 461,242,448 275,213,626 40,309,623 132,049,123 908,814,820 Class A10 RON 1,508,080,972 2,000,470,267 1,113,155,667 44,539,325 4,666,246,231 Class A10 RON 1,235,337,609 1,944,754,600 1,101,957,433 44,616,307 4,326,665,949 Share of significant classes (%) 85.47% 84.14% 92.60% 83.56% 86.08% Share of significant classes (%) 84.04% 84.23% 92.76% 73.60% 85.12% Technical reserves established for life insurance For life insurance, the technical reserves maintained relatively constant compared to the end of 2015, reaching the level of RON 6,616,923,585. 20 Of these, reserves related to class C1 Life insurance, annuities and supplemental life insurance, and those related to class C3 Life insurance and annuities account together for approximately 99% of the total. The increase in the value of technical reserves in life insurance is both the effect of underwriting new risks and fluctuation of the calculated value of reserves following the change in the parameters included in the technical base (e.g. risk-free yield used to calculate the present value of future flows of receipts and payments, the rate of annual bonuses included in the insured amount etc.). Unlike general insurance, where insurance policies have in general a duration of 1 year or less (reserves established following to be released either upon claim payment or at the end of the contract), life insurance contracts have a long time horizon, which makes reserves be kept for long periods of time and accumulate gradually. In the two tables below, this particularity of the life insurance business is noticed, in the current context of evolution of the insurance market in Romania, respectively the fact that most of the increase in gross technical reserves was determined by the increase in the value of the mathematical reserve. Table 15 Structure of gross technical reserves for the life insurance category, on 31 March 2016 Premium reserve Mathematical reserves Reserve of benefits and rebates Other technical reserves Total technical reserves related to life insurance 31 March 2016 (RON) Share in total (%) 460,642,758 5,873,680,524 124,859,110 157,741,193 6,616,923,585 6.96% 88.77% 1.89% 2.38% 100.00% Table 16 Structure of gross technical reserves for the life insurance category, on 31 December 2015 Premium reserve Mathematical reserves Reserve of benefits and rebates Other technical reserves Total technical reserves related to life insurance 31 December 2015 (RON) Share in total (%) 473,673,990 5,842,371,891 133,360,953 160,392,874 6,609,799,708 7.17% 88.39% 2.02% 2.42% 100.00% I.6. Liquidity of insurance companies The liquidity ratio is determined as ratio between liquid assets provided by rules and short-term liabilities of insurers to policyholders and, according to prudential requirements, has to be above par. On 31 March 2016, the liquidity ratio for each of the insurance categories, as well as elements contributing to its formation recorded the following sizes: Table 17 Liquidity ratio for each of the insurance categories on 31 March 2016 Government Bonds (mln RON) GI 4.089 Current Deposits Securities traded account and (mln (mln RON) Cash (mln RON) RON) 47 234 539 214 Municipal bonds (mln RON) Short-term bonds (mln RON) 2.504 Liquidity ratio 2.05 21 LI 3.287 64 1.244 346 60 908 5.51 Table 18 Liquidity ratio for each of the insurance categories on 31 December 2015 Governmen t Bonds (mln RON) GI LI Municipal bonds (mln RON) 3.564 3.124 Current Deposits account and (mln Cash (mln RON) RON) 246 667 323 1.257 360 55 Securities traded (mln RON) 47 64 Short-term bonds (mln RON) Liquidity ratio 2.438 881 2.00 5.46 Compared to 2015, it is noticed a slight increase in the level of the liquidity ratio for both general insurance and life insurance. I.7. Reinsurance The rate of transfer for reinsurance has increased significantly over recent years for life insurance activities and for the first time for life insurance activities a significant increase in gross premiums written is noticed here. For the general insurance category Approximately 34% of gross premiums written in the 1st quarter of 2016 in the general insurance segment were transferred for reinsurance, the level being the highest in the last 5 years and also in significant increase compared to the same period of 2015, when it amounted to only about 31%. Table 19 The evolution of GPW and net reinsurance premiums during 2012-2016 (first quarter) for GI Period Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Q1 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 GPW (RON) 1,733,727,436 1,707,087,760 1,698,546,602 1,815,170,223 1,992,030,603 Net reinsurance premiums Rate of retention (%) (RON) 1,287,774,923 74.28 1,182,445,754 69.27 1,157,417,152 68.14 1,257,509,794 69.28 1,386,304,452 66.53 Rate of transfer for reinsurance (%) 25.72 30.73 31.86 30.72 33.47 Related to gross claims paid in the first quarter of 2016, about 75% was represented by the financial effort of insurance companies, the remaining being amounts recovered from reinsurers, share declining compared to the same period of 2015. Table 20 The evolution of GCP and net reinsurance GCP during 2012-2016 (first quarter) for GI Period Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Q1 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 GCP (RON) 1,090,692,799 1,108,771,758 1,134,608,598 1,044,934,928 913,410,298 Net reinsurance GCP (RON) 949,457,721 874,692,456 659,896,255 737,261,798 696,731,534 Rate of retention (%) 87.05 78.89 58.16 70.56 76.28 Rate of transfer for reinsurance (%) 12.95 21.11 41.84 29.44 23.72 22 From the gross technical reserves existing at the end of the first quarter of 2016, about 34% were related to transfers for reinsurance, the share being the highest in the last 5 years and being corroborated with the highest share of transfers for reinsurance related to gross premiums written in this quarter (the table above). Table 21 The evolution of gross technical reserves and net technical reserves in reinsurance during 20122016 (first quarter) for GI Period Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Q1 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 Gross technical reserves (RON) 7,307,368,338 6,957,220,269 7,297,736,309 7,794,436,538 8,155,815,078 Net technical reserves in Rate of retention Rate of transfer for reinsurance (%) (%) reinsurance (%) 5,276,908,100 72.21 27.79 4,905,250,497 70.51 29.49 5,450,238,078 74.68 25.32 5,598,323,126 71.82 28.18 66.52 33.48 5,425,406,011 Traditionally, there are important differences in terms of reinsurance policy between the life insurance business and the general insurance business. For an important part of the general insurance products (e.g. catastrophe insurance, liability insurance), as part of the own risk management strategy, insurers often resort to various forms of contracts of transfer for reinsurance, thus limiting the maximum damage incurred in case of insured evens with significant financial impact. For the life insurance category In the case of life insurance, in general insurance companies take a much larger share of the underwritten risk. Due to the fact that insurance premiums are in general expected and compensation in case of occurrence of the insured event is set under contract for each event, so more predictable, life insurance companies don't resort as frequently as general insurance companies to the transfer for reinsurance. In the last 5 years, the rate of transfer for reinsurance was below 4% of gross premiums written and no more 2% of gross technical reserves, fluctuations from year to another not being significant, except for the first quarter of 2016. Table 22 The evolution of GPW and net reinsurance premiums during 2012-2016 (first quarter) for LI Period Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Q1 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 Gross premiums Rate of retention Rate of transfer Net reinsurance premiums (RON) written (RON) (%) for reinsurance (%) 431,871,167 418,134,645 96.82 3.18 419,662,147 404,663,812 96.43 3.57 382,283,829 368,791,710 96.47 3.53 411,103,369 395,395,018 96.18 3.82 438,267,120 388,565,961 88.66 11.34 23 Table 23 The evolution of GCP and net reinsurance GCP during 2012-2016 (first quarter) for LI Period Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Q1 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 32,801,363 31,946,430 36,683,740 43,685,843 28,616,564 29,455,080 32,772,931 37,387,050 87.24% 92.20% 89.34% 85.58% Rate of transfer for reinsurance (%) 12.76% 7.80% 10.66% 14.42% 42,388,195 37,794,323 89.16% 11.34% GCP (RON) Net reinsurance GCP (RON) Rate of retention (%) Table 24 The evolution of gross technical reserves and net technical reserves in reinsurance during 20122016 (first quarter) for LI Period Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Q1 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 4,991,821,240 5,584,699,095 5,943,881,236 6,290,008,894 4,901,654,068 5,491,700,234 5,869,018,309 6,250,732,255 98.19% 98.33% 98.74% 99.38% Rate of transfer for reinsurance (%) 1.81% 1.67% 1.26% 0.62% 6,616,923,585 6,586,679,218 99.54% 0.46% Gross technical reserves (RON) Net technical reserves in reinsurance (%) Rate of retention (%) I.8. Statistical data under the new solvency regime Entry into force of Solvency II Directive as of 1 January 2016 required insurance companies to align with new rules and standards. The Directive enhances consumer protection by introducing prudential financial requirements (Pillar I) suitable for securing the guarantee of payments to owners and/or beneficiaries of insurance policies. 32 insurance companies became subject to this regime on 1 January 2016. Prudential financial requirements according to Solvency II Solveny capital requirement (SCR) Technical reserves Total liabilities = Other obligations Total Assets Minimum capital requirement (MCR) Being a prudential regime based on risks, Solvency II uses specific models of evaluation of assets, liabilities and capital requirement for insurance activities. By applying them, significant differences 24 result compared to the values calculated according to statutory regulations (Solvency I regime), especially in terms of reserves and prudential financial requirements (capital requirement). Figure 14 Additional requirement of capitalization following the move to SII 3,00 003 2,500 Miliarde lei 2,00 001 1,500 001 1,00 ,500 ,00 Cerință de capital SII Cerință de capital SI Cerință suplimentară ca urmare a trecerii la SII According to Solvency II, capital requirements for insurance companies are higher, being based on risks actually taken by them (both from an investment perspective and in terms of underwritings). A comparative analysis between capital requirements imposed by Solvency II and Solvency I indicates for the insurance sector in Romania an additional requirement of capitalization worth RON 1.26bn at market level, which accounts for approximately 16% of the volume of gross premiums written in 2015. The additional requirement of financing appeared with the move to the Solvency II regime is partially covered by the surplus of own funds resulting from the change of the asset and reserve evaluation method (especially for life insurance). Thus, on 1 January 2016 companies had eligible own funds to cover capital requirements increasing by RON 1.14bn (about 40%) compared to the available solvency margin on 31 December 2015, according to the previous prudential regime. Figure 15 Additional capitalization resulting from the move to Solvency II 4,5 3,97 4 Miliarde lei 3,5 2,83 3 2,5 2 1,5 1,14 1 0,5 0 Fonduri proprii eligibile Marja disponibilă Diferență fonduri proprii During Q1 2016, both the value of assets and that of liabilities of insurance companies (measured according to the principles of Solvency II regime) increased marginally. Thus, total assets of 25 insurance companies increased by 3.5% in the first quarter of 2016 compared to the value posted on 1 January 2016. Figure 16 The evolution of total assets and liabilities of insurance companies Miliarde lei 18 017 016 16 14 013 013 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Day 1 Trim. I 2016 Total active Total datorii During the first quarter, assets of insurance companies increased faster than liabilities (according to evaluations based on Solvency II), which is the expression of a viable activity in the market as a whole. Thus, the surplus of assets compared to liabilities was RON 3.92bn on 31 March 2016, up compared to RON 3.78bn on 1 January 2016. Milioane lei Figure 17 The evolution of Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR) and Minimum Capital Requirement (MCR) 3000,0 2.626 2.599 2500,0 2000,0 1500,0 1.134 1.104 1000,0 500,0 ,0 Day 1 SCR Trim. I 2016 MCR Following the increase in the underwriting activity, the level of prudential financial requirements (expressed in the Solvency II regime by SCR and MCR) also increased during Q1 2016. A comparative analysis between the situation recorded on Day 1 and that existing at the end of the first quarter of 2016 indicates an increase in the solvency capital requirement (SCR) by RON 27mln, i.e. a nominal increase by over 1%. This indicator has a meaning equivalent to the maximum between the safety fund and the minimum solvency margin that was calculated in the Solvency I regime. 26 Regarding the minimum capital requirement, which replaces with the entry into force of Solvency II regime the safety fund, an increase is noticed during Q1, by 2.7% (about RON 30mln). Eligible own funds to cover the solvency capital requirement was at the end of Q1 2016 RON 4.02bn, up 1.5% compared to Day 1. Figure 18 The evolution of eligible own funds to cover the solvency capital requirement 005 004 004 004 004 Miliarde lei 003 003 002 002 001 001 000 Day 1 Trim. I 2016 The aggregate value of eligible own funds to cover SCR is formed by totaling the own funds of the company classified on the 3 tiers defined by the Solvency 2 regime depending on quality criteria. Figure 19 The structure of eligible own funds to cover SCR (D1) Rang 1 cu restricții 1% Rang 1 fără restricții 93% Altele 7% Rang 2 5% Rang 3 1% On 1 January 2016 (the first day of applicability of the Solvency II regime), eligible own funds were worth RON 3.9bn at the level of the entire system, consisting mainly of Tier 1 items without restrictions (93.11%) and Tier 2 items (4.77%). During the first quarter, eligible own funds had an upward evolution, reaching the value of RON 4bn. In terms of components, there were no significant changes, Tier 1 items without restrictions still having the largest share (93.51%). 27 Figure 20 The structure of eligible own funds to cover SCR (31 March 2016) Rang 1 cu restricții 0% Rang 1 fără restricții 94% Altele 6% Rang 2 5% Rang 3 1% The significant share of Tier 1 items in total eligible own funds indicates that, at market level, the capital held by insurance companies in Romania is of very good quality (mainly equity). SCR and MCR rates represent the ratio between the eligible own funds to cover capital requirements and their actual value. In the first quarter of 2016, there are 6 companies that fail to fulfill the Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR), of 32 that report in the Solvency 2 regime, and 4 that fail to fulfill the Minimum Capital Requirement (MCR), of which 3 don't fulfill the Solvency Capital Requirement either. Figure 21 The distribution of insurance companies depending on SCR/MCR rate on 31 March 2016 28 It can be noticed that for most companies the value of eligible own funds increased marginally during Q1 2016. Also, the degree of coverage of SCR improved both for the entire market (as it result from data presented above) and at individual level, for most of the companies. Also, it is noticed that on 31 March 2016 for most companies the level of eligible own funds was positive and the SCR rate was above par. I.9. The evolution of the motor vehicle liability insurance market (MTPL) in 2016 In early 2016, the following nine insurers authorized by ASF for MTPL activities were active in the insurance market: Allianz-Ţiriac Asigurări S.A., Asigurarea Românească - Asirom Vienna Insurance Group S.A., Societatea de Asigurare - Reasigurare City Insurance S.A., Carpatica SA, Euroins România Asigurare - Reasigurare S.A., Generali Romania Asigurare Reasigurare S.A., Groupama Asigurări S.A., Omniasig Vienna Insurance Group S.A. and Uniqa S.A. On 27 July 2016, the operating authorization was withdrawn for Carpatica SA, the bankruptcy proceedings being triggered in its case. Table 25 The evolution of gross premiums written for class A10 (MTPL+CLI) Period Q 1 2011 Q 1 2012 Q 1 2013 Q 1 2014 Q 1 2015 Q 1 2016 GPW class A10 (MTPL + CLI) (RON) 667,874,341 618,068,014 676,508,834 738,580,212 879,117,632 1,115,884,713 Pace of change GPW (%) 7.46% 9.46% 9.18% 19.03% 26.93% The total amount of insurance premiums underwritten for MTPL during the first quarter of 2016 amounted to RON 1,078,284,954, the remainder to the total of the A10 class representing the carrier liability insurance. The MTPL segment was one of the most dynamic during 2015, with an increase in gross premiums written much more extensive compared to the market average. Thus, the total amount of insurance premiums written for MTPL at the end of 2015 reached the value of RON 3,115 thousand, compared to 2014 recording an increase by 16.6%. This growth continued in the first quarter of 2016, with an increase in gross premiums written by 31.6% compared to the same period of the previous year. 29 Figure 22 The evolution of gross premiums written for MTPL during 2010-2015 3.500.000 3.000.000 2.500.000 2.000.000 1.500.000 1.000.000 500.000 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 PBS (mii lei) 2.464.451 1.874.886 2.055.110 2.367.108 2.671.700 3.115.092 Nr contracte încheiate 6.539.783 6.400.066 6.779.620 6.901.857 7.141.794 7.314.551 Nr contracte (unități anuale) 4.064.523 4.184.632 4.325.404 4.399.068 4.602.825 4.743.093 PBS (mii lei) Nr contracte încheiate 8.000.000 7.000.000 6.000.000 5.000.000 4.000.000 3.000.000 2.000.000 1.000.000 0 Nr contracte (unități anuale) Figure 23 The evolution of gross premiums written for MTPL quarterly during 2015-2016 1.200.000 2.500.000 1.000.000 2.000.000 800.000 1.500.000 600.000 1.000.000 400.000 500.000 200.000 0 Q12015 Q22015 Q32015 Q42015 Q12016 819.416 745.994 638.534 911.149 1.078.285 1.986.031 1.877.921 1.554.967 1.895.632 2.050.417 Nr contracte (unități anuale) 1.384.486 1.186.430 941.515 1.230.662 1.444.059 PBS (mii lei) Nr contracte încheiate PBS (mii lei) Nr contracte încheiate 0 Nr contracte (unități anuale) Table 26 The pace of change of MTPL market indicators from quarter to quarter during 2015-2016 Period Q1/2015 Q2/2015 Q3/2015 Q4/2015 Q1/2016 GPW MTPL Pace of change (thousand (%) RON) 819,416 745,994 -8.96% 638,534 -14.40% 911,149 42.69% 1,078,285 18.34% Average No. of Pace of change Pace of change premium contracts (%) (%) (RON) (annual units) 592 1,384,486 629 6.24% 1,186,430 -14.31% 678 7.86% 941,515 -20.64% 740 9.17% 1,230,662 30.71% 747 0.86% 1,444,059 17.34% Expressed in annual units (to take into account the various duration of policies), the number of contracts concluded for MTPL in the first quarter of 2016 was 1,444,059, which means an increase by 4.30% compared to the similar period of the previous year and by 17.34% compared to the fourth quarter of 2015. 30 This increase in the number of MTPL contracts (both as a total and especially expressed in annual units) was accompanied by an improvement in the contracts' structure on maturities. Thus, compared to Q1 2015 it is noticed a significant growth of the number of MTPL contracts concluded with a duration of 12 months (+7.7%) and a decrease in the number of contracts for 6 months (1.92%), while the number of contracts for 1 month was maintained very low (only 6.46% of the total). At the same time, data below show that the total number of MTPL policies in force at the end of Q1 2016 was 4,652,631, up approximately 3% compared to the same period of the previous year. Table 27 Number of contracts on natural and legal persons Name of the indicator Number of contracts in force at the end of the reporting quarter (1), of which With validity for 6 months or 12 months 3/31/2016 Legal persons Natural persons Total Natural persons 3/31/2015 Legal persons Total 3,527,480 1,125,151 4,652,631 3,425,001 1,093,427 4,518,428 3,488,306 1,115,961 4,604,267 3,389,518 1,087,648 4,477,166 39,174 9,190 48,364 35,483 5,779 41,262 Number of contracts concluded in the reporting financial year (2), of which: 1,586,031 464,386 2,050,417 1,544,028 442,003 1,986,031 With validity for 12 months 701,433 246,602 948,035 641,931 238,339 880,270 With validity for 6 months 767,322 202,659 969,981 800,110 188,857 988,967 With validity for 1 month 117,276 15,125 132,401 101,987 14,807 116,794 502,199,585 452,538,026 954,737,611 429,817,523 352,447,911 782,265,434 521,879,258 556,405,696 1,078,284,954 431,323,004 388,092,613 819,415,617 With validity for 12 months 269,507,457 324,457,579 593,965,036 222,212,417 255,157,009 477,369,426 With validity for 6 months 243,737,647 229,973,771 473,711,418 202,946,997 131,405,055 334,352,052 8,634,154 1,974,346 10,608,500 6,163,590 1,530,549 7,694,139 With validity for 1 month Gross premiums collected (3): RON Gross premiums written (4), of which: - RON - With validity for 1 month Table 28 The share of the number of contracts concluded in the period in total contracts depending on the contracted period - quarterly 2015-2016 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 For a period of 12 months 44.32% 32.62% 29.64% 36.90% 46.24% For a period of 6 months 49.80% 59.87% 60.11% 54.63% 47.31% For a period of 1 month 5.88% 7.52% 10.25% 8.47% 6.46% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% Total In terms of distribution of contracts depending on the contracted period of the policy (12 months/6 months/1 month), the evolution in the last 5 years indicates a slight trend of consolidation of the market, in the sense of increase in the share of MTPL policies concluded for a period of 1 year. 31 Table 29 The share of the number of contracts concluded in total contracts depending on the contractor (natural or legal person) -quarterly 2015-2016 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Natural persons 77.74% 79.45% 79.13% 78.99% 77.35% Legal persons 22.26% 20.55% 20.87% 21.01% 22.65% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% Total In the last year, there were no significant changes in the structure of customer portfolios, so at the level of the entire market the share of contracts concluded with natural persons remained constant, around 78-79%. Market share After Asirom bankruptcy (exit from the market of a top 3 competitor), it was noticed that market redistribution was made among a small group of companies, respectively Asirom, Carpatica, Euroins and City, noticing the strong growth of Asirom, to approximately 26% of the MTPL market (Asirom has basically doubled its market share in the first 3 months of 2016). Table 30 Ranking of insurance companies based on gross premiums written for MTPL in the first quarter of 2016: No. Company GPW MTPL (RON) Share (%) 1 ASIROM VIG 278,608,851 25.84 2 CARPATICA ASIG 206,971,941 19.19 3 EUROINS ROMANIA 200,533,238 18.60 4 CITY INSURANCE 125,162,012 11.61 5 ALLIANZ - TIRIAC ASIGURĂRI 74,810,033 6.94 886,086,075 82.18 Total (1-5) 6 OMNIASIG VIG 60,797,198 5.64 7 GROUPAMA ASIGURĂRI 55,322,671 5.13 8 UNIQA ASIGURĂRI 49,321,297 4.57 9 GENERALI ROMANIA 26,757,713 2.48 1,078,284,954 100.00 TOTAL Also, a significant concentration is noticed to the first insurers of the top, reaching the situation where the top 4 insurers hold over 75% of the MTPL portfolio in Romania. Regarding the history of competition in the MTPL market and the battle for winning higher market share, statistics for 2011-2015 indicate that traditionally the MTPL market in Romania has been dominated by 3-4 large insurers, while the shares of the other players were much lower or even insignificant. For example, at the end of 2015 the companies with the largest share in the MTPL market were Euroins, Carpatica and Asirom, which held together over half the market (51.18%). 32 Table 31 Evolution of market shares recorded on MTPL for 2011-2015: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Year 2011 Year 2012 Year 2013 Year 2014 Year 2015 Euroins 12.8% 18.8% 19.5% 16.6% 22.0% Carpatica Asig 9.2% 12.7% 17.3% 18.0% 16.4% Asirom VIG 15.6% 10.8% 8.6% 9.4% 12.7% City Insurance 0.3% 2.3% 7.5% 10.7% 10.4% Omniasig VIG*) 20.4% 10.2% 7.9% 9.9% 10.2% ASTRA***) 20.3% 16.7% 15.1% 15.4% 8.7% Allianz Țiriac 8.0% 8.3% 8.7% 8.3% 8.2% Groupama 4.3% 9.3% 5.2% 4.3% 5.6% Uniqa 4.3% 7.1% 8.2% 5.5% 3.8% Generali**) 4.6% 3.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.9% ABC 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% *) For the years before the merger, Omniasig and BCR Asigurari Generale figures were compiled **) For the years before the merger, Generali and Ardaf figures were compiled ***) Data on 30 June 2015 for 2015 ASIROM VIG ranks the first in terms of the volume of gross premiums written for MTPL, holding a market share of approximately 26%. Insurance companies Carpatica, Euroins, City Insurance and Allianz Țiriac hold significant shares in the MTPL market, being in the top 5 companies in this segment by gross premiums written. According to the main indicators used by the Competition Council, the concentration risk in the MTPL market is medium to high, the top 5 players holding a total market share of over 82%. The Herfindahl-Hirschman index (HH) is calculated by summing the squares of the individual market shares of all firms in the market. Thresholds used in this analysis consider a high concentration for an index higher than 0.2, a moderate concentration for HH between 0.1 and 0.2 and a low concentration for HH less than 0.1. 33 Figure 24 Degree of concentration of the MTPL market 100% ,180,000 ,164,997 090% ,160,000 080% ,140,000 070% ,120,000 060% ,100,000 050% ,080,000 040% ,060,000 030% ,040,000 093% 010% 082% 064% 020% ,020,000 000% CR3 CR5 CR7 HHI Evolution of damages At the level of the entire market, the value of gross damage paid was RON 513,798,063, down 12% from the same quarter of 2015. The number of claim files paid recorded a decrease by approximately 15%, from 85,209 to 74,743 files. Thus, the average claim paid for the market as a whole was approximately RON 6.874. This decrease is mainly generated by the exit in 2015 of an important player from the market (Astra), claims for MTPL contracts related to this company currently being paid by the Policyholders Guarantee Fund. The number of claim files for bodily injuries for the entire market in Q1 2016 was 2,510 files, up 0.5%, the value of gross compensation paid amounting to RON 98,060,033, down over 9% compared to the same period of the previous year. It results an average compensation for bodily injuries of RON 39,068. While during 2010-2015 there was an increase by 4 times in the volume of compensation paid for bodily injuries, in the first quarter of 2016 the trend seems to have reversed. Figure 25 The quarterly evolution of MTPL claims paid on bodily injuries (in thousand RON) 140.000 3.000 120.000 2.500 100.000 2.000 80.000 1.500 60.000 1.000 40.000 500 20.000 0 Vatamari corporale Numar dosare Q12015 Q22015 Q32015 Q42015 Q12016 108.104 118.588 91.396 121.091 98.060 2.498 1.601 1.288 1.406 2.510 0 34 For material damages, gross compensations of RON 415,738,030 were paid, resulting an average of RON 5,756, up around 2.9% compared to Q1 2015. Figure 26 The quarterly evolution of MTPL material damages (in thousand RON) 600.000 500.000 400.000 300.000 200.000 100.000 0 Q12015 Q22015 Q32015 Q42015 Q12016 Daune materiale 476.812 363.548 312.206 358.044 415.738 Numar dosare 85.209 66.331 55.973 60.267 72.233 90.000 80.000 70.000 60.000 50.000 40.000 30.000 20.000 10.000 0 Table 32 The evolution of technical reserves quarterly during 2015 - Q1 2016 (thousand RON) 7.000.000 6.000.000 5.000.000 4.000.000 3.000.000 2.000.000 1.000.000 0 Total Q12015 Q22015 Q32015 Q42015 Q12016 2.649.845 2.752.071 2.324.281 2.756.322 2.987.479 IBNR 877.460 854.233 747.750 941.051 1.059.143 RBNS 1.772.385 1.897.838 1.576.531 1.815.271 1.928.336 Table 33 The situation on companies of claim files paid in Q I 2016 (the current year and the previous years) COMPANY 1 2 3 ABC2 ALLIANZ ASIROM Number of claim files paid (pieces) VC DM Total 2 136 625 13 5,274 8,309 15 5,410 8,934 Share in total % 0.02% 7.24% 11.95% Gross compensation paid (RON) VC DM Total 54,000 4,320,852 10,386,802 31,181 23,863,331 55,247,536 85,181 28,184,183 65,634,338 Share in total % 0.02% 5.49% 12.77% 2 the MTPL authorization of ABC Asigurări was withdrawn upon demand in 2015 35 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 CARPATICA CITY EUROINS GENERALI GROUPAMA OMNIASIG UNIQA TOTAL 476 85 358 110 190 382 146 2,510 14,837 8,762 19,951 1,395 3,331 6,634 3,727 72,233 15,313 8,847 20,309 1,505 3,521 7,016 3,873 74,743 20.49% 11.84% 27.17% 2.01% 4.71% 9.39% 5.18% 100.00% 26,163,535 3,036,544 19,523,230 3,788,480 4,061,932 19,395,848 7,328,810 98,060,033 93,830,651 52,148,208 98,657,237 6,037,328 17,698,704 43,600,190 24,623,664 415,738,030 119,994,186 55,184,752 118,180,467 9,825,808 21,760,636 62,996,038 31,952,474 513,798,063 23.35% 10.74% 23.00% 1.91% 4.24% 12.26% 6.22% 100.00% Figure 27 The evolution of the average premium and average claim during 2010-2015 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Prima medie RCA 606 448 475 538 580 657 Dauna medie RCA 4.854 5.311 6.010 6.284 6.901 7.101 Prima medie RCA 8.000 7.000 6.000 5.000 4.000 3.000 2.000 1.000 0 Dauna medie RCA The comparative analysis between the evolution of the average MTPL premium and the volume of the average claim paid by insurers indicates a similar evolution in 2010-2015, respectively a constant increase in the value of the average claim, which was inherently felt in the MTPL premium. Figure 28 The evolution of the average premium and average claim during 2015-2016 - quarterly 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Q12015 Q22015 Q32015 Q42015 Q12016 Prima medie RCA 592 629 678 740 747 Dauna medie RCA 6.669 7.097 7.048 7.769 6.874 8.000 7.800 7.600 7.400 7.200 7.000 6.800 6.600 6.400 6.200 6.000 For the entire market, the average annualized MTPL premium increased in the first quarter of 2016 by only 0.86% compared to the last quarter of 2015, respectively by 26.16% compared to the same period of the previous year. 36 Table 34 The average premium annualized in RON at market level in the last consecutive 5 quarters The average premium annualized in RON at market level 2015 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2016 Q1 Total market 592 629 678 740 747 Natural persons 411 439 476 502 477 Legal persons 1,162 1,267 1,319 1,517 1,593 - For contracts for 12 months 542 597 663 704 627 - For contracts for 6 months 676 660 689 784 977 - For contracts for 1 month 791 829 832 954 961 The average MTPL damage paid in the first quarter of 2016 fell compared to the fourth quarter of 2015, but increased compared to the first quarter of 2015. Given that technical reserves increased significantly in the first quarter of 2016, this decrease in the average claim depending on claims paid may be overestimated. However, if the decrease in the level of the average claim in Q1 2016 is confirmed by the evolution of this indicator in the following quarters, it creates prerequisites for capping the growth of MTPL tariffs in the coming period, given that the claim is the main cost influencing the MTPL price. Table 35 Detailing the method of calculation of the average premium for Q1 2016 Total Natural Persons Legal Persons 2,050,417 1,586,031 464,386 For a period of 12 months 948,035 701,433 246,602 For a period of 6 months 969,981 767,322 202,659 For a period of 1 month 132,401 117,276 15,125 1,078,284,954 521,879,258 556,405,696 With validity for 12 months 593,965,036 269,507,457 324,457,579 With validity for 6 months 473,711,418 243,737,647 229,973,771 10,608,500 8,634,154 1,974,346 626.52 384.22 1,315.71 976.74 635.29 2,269.56 961.49 883.47 1,566.42 1,444,059 1,094,867 349,192 746.70 476.66 1,593.41 Number of contracts concluded for the period, of which MTPL premiums written - RON of which: With validity for 1 month The average MTPL premium for 12-month contracts (calculated as ratio between the volume of premiums written for contracts with a validity of 12 months and the number of MTPL contracts with a validity of 12 months) RON The average annualized MTPL premium for 6-month contracts (calculated as ratio between the volume of premiums written for contracts with a validity of 6 months and the number of MTPL contracts with a validity of 6 months multiplied by 2) - RON The average annualized MTPL premium for 1-month contracts (calculated as ratio between the volume of premiums written for contracts with a validity of 1 month and the number of MTPL contracts with a validity of 1 month multiplied by 12) - RON Annual exposure units (number of 12-month contracts + number of 6-month contracts divided by 2 + number of 1-month contracts divided by 12) Average annualized MTPL premium - RON (Weighted average of average annualized premiums for each category with the number of annual exposure units in each category) 37 Table 36 The evolution of average claim for natural persons during 2015-2016 Quarter Q1/2015 Q2/2015 Q3/2015 Q4/2015 Q1/2016 Number of claim files paid: Gross claims paid: - RON Average claim Number of claim files paid: Gross claims paid: - RON Average claim Number of claim files paid: Gross claims paid: - RON Average claim Number of claim files paid: Gross claims paid: - RON Average claim Number of claim files paid: Gross claims paid: - RON Average claim Bodily injuries 1,632 68,589,662 42,028 1,009 65,989,681 65,401 793 52,041,183 65,626 837 69,954,986 83,578 1,544 56,216,290 36,410 Individuals Material damages 52,484 271,143,740 5,166 39,323 194,198,539 4,939 33,086 178,884,723 5,407 35,778 182,708,411 5,107 44,835 231,004,383 5,152 Total 54,116 339,733,402 6,278 40,332 260,188,220 6,451 33,879 230,925,906 6,816 36,615 252,663,397 6,901 46,379 287,220,673 6,193 Table 37 The evolution of average claim during 2015-2016 Quarter Q1/2015 Q2/2015 Q3/2015 Q4/2015 Q1/2016 Bodily injuries Number of claim files paid: Gross claims paid: - RON Average claim Number of claim files paid: Gross claims paid: - RON Average claim Number of claim files paid: Gross claims paid: - RON Average claim Number of claim files paid: Gross claims paid: - RON Average claim Number of claim files paid: Gross claims paid: - RON Average claim 866 39,514,694 45,629 592 52,598,756 88,849 495 39,354,345 79,504 569 51,135,764 89,870 966 41,843,743 43,317 Legal entities Material damages 32,725 205,668,176 6,285 27,008 169,349,729 6,270 22,887 133,321,646 5,825 24,489 175,336,059 7,160 27,398 184,733,647 6,743 Total 33,591 245,182,870 7,299 27,600 221,948,485 8,042 23,382 172,675,991 7,385 25,058 226,471,823 9,038 28,364 226,577,390 7,988 38 Table 38 The evolution of average claim per total during 2015-2016 Quarter Q1/2015 Q2/2015 Q3/2015 Q4/2015 Q1/2016 Number of claim files paid: Gross claims paid: - RON Average claim Number of claim files paid: Gross claims paid: - RON Average claim Number of claim files paid: Gross claims paid: - RON Average claim Number of claim files paid: Gross claims paid: - RON Average claim Number of claim files paid: Gross claims paid: - RON Average claim Bodily injuries 2,498 108,104,356 43,276 1,601 118,588,437 74,071 1,288 91,395,528 70,959 1,406 121,090,750 86,124 2,510 98,060,033 39,068 Total Material damages 85,209 476,811,916 5,596 66,331 363,548,268 5,481 55,973 312,206,369 5,578 60,267 358,044,470 5,941 72,233 415,738,030 5,756 Total 87,707 584,916,272 6,669 67,932 482,136,705 7,097 57,261 403,601,897 7,048 61,673 479,135,220 7,769 74,743 513,798,063 6,874 39 Monitoring of MTPL insurance premiums for vans and passenger vehicles January - June 2016 ASF has constantly monitored the evolution of MTPL tariffs in the segment of vans/trucks and passenger vehicles, requesting aggregate information from each insurer on the number of MTPL policies and the actual value of gross premiums written in these categories of vehicles. Starting with the month of January 2016, the monitoring and statistical analyzes on the evolution of MTPL tariffs for vans/trucks and passenger vehicles were made systematically, on a monthly basis, by ASF. The aggregate results at the level of the entire market were made public by press releases, the statistical data being still available on the website of the institution (http://asfromania.ro/informatii-publice/statistici/statistici-asigurari). Thus, according to reports sent by insurance companies within the monitoring process of MTPL tariff evolution handled by ASF, in January 2016 (the moment of initiating the comparative analyzes on MTPL tariffs), the average premium for policies concluded for 12 months, calculated cumulatively for the vans/trucks and passenger transport segments, recorded an increase of 42% compared to June 2015. Separately, in the vans/trucks segment, the average premium climbed by 46%, while for passenger transport vehicles the increase was 61%. In particular, if only the group of vehicles falling with B0 bonus class is analyzed, the reports of insurers show that the average premium increased by 43% for the two segments cumulatively, respectively by 47% for the vans/trucks segment and by 36% for passenger transport vehicles. Moreover, statistical data centralized in the following months have not indicated significant increases in the MTPL tariffs, usually recording only slight adjustments upwards or downwards, depending on the evolution of the type and/or volume of contracts concluded, respectively on the categories of policyholders and insured vehicles in the respective period. According to the latest statistics available at ASF, at the level of both categories of vehicles included in monitoring (vans/trucks and means of passenger transport), on all bonus-malus classes, the average increase in MTPL premiums in the period of June 2015 - June 2016 was 52.73%, within the 50% ceiling set under the Protocol concluded by ASF with carriers in December 2015. In June 2016, the average premium for the two categories decreased by 4.3% compared to May, registering a correction after the 6.1% rise in May compared to April. The average premium related to Compulsory Civil Liability Insurance for Motor Vehicles (MTPL) concluded for vehicles in the category of means of passenger transport, on all bonus-malus classes, for 12 months, fell in June 2016 by 26% compared to the level recorded in the previous month, after in May it had recorded a decrease by 10.8% vs. April. Thus, for the first time since ASF started the monthly monitoring of MTPL tariffs evolution on the main segments of vehicles, the average MTPL premium for the group of carriers of passengers marks two consecutive months of decline, indicating a significant move for regulating the market and reshaping the portfolio structure. The data are even more relevant as in June 2016 2,218 policies were concluded for this group of vehicles, up 40% compared to sales in April and May. Thus, the average premium for means of passenger transport in June was RON 3,458, by 14.24% higher than in June 2015. Evolution of premiums differs from one vehicle segment to another, depending on risk data, but reports to ASF show, for example, a decrease of over 10% of the average MTPL premium for means of passenger 40 transport with up to 18 seats in June 2016 vs. June 2015. For the segment with 18-40 seats, the average MTPL premium increased in the last year by 11.16%. The MTPL market remained tense in the category of vans/trucks, where the average premium related to policies for twelve months fell by 2.4% in June compared to May, while in May it had climbed by 8% compared to April. Compared to June 2015, the average premium for this category of vehicles registered a growth of 61.55%, amounting to RON 3,016. For the segment between 7.5 and 16 tons, the average MTPL premium was in June RON 2,207, 11.85% higher than in June 2015, while for commercial vehicles weighing up to 3.5 tons the annual average premium increase was 15.4%. ASF will continue the process of monitoring of actual tariffs charged for both categories of vehicles included in monitoring (vans/trucks and means of passenger transport), the results following to be made public each time. Figure 29 The evolution of the average monthly premium (RON) for vans/trucks for the bonus/malus category B0 11.000 10.000 9.000 8.000 7.000 6.000 5.000 4.000 3.000 2.000 1.000 Iunie 2015 Ianuarie 2016 Februarie 2016 Martie 2016 Aprilie 2016 Mai 2016 Iunie 2016 pana la 3500 1.343 1.526 1.550 1.554 1.582 1.610 1.713 intre 3500 si 7500 2.285 2.048 1.871 1.767 2.375 2.391 2.376 intre 7500 si 16000 2.804 2.624 2.604 2.519 2.823 4.224 2.913 >16000 6.058 9.965 10.002 10.426 10.699 10.679 10.790 pana la 3500 intre 3500 si 7500 intre 7500 si 16000 >16000 41 Figure 30 The evolution of the average monthly premium (RON) for vans/trucks for the bonus/malus category BM 11.000 10.000 9.000 8.000 7.000 6.000 5.000 4.000 3.000 2.000 1.000 Iunie 2015 Ianuarie 2016 Februarie 2016 Martie 2016 Aprilie 2016 Mai 2016 Iunie 2016 968 1.050 1.123 1.096 1.127 1.073 1.117 intre 3500 si 7500 1.700 1.625 1.567 1.276 1.764 1.947 1.966 intre 7500 si 16000 1.973 2.354 1.826 2.417 2.161 2.735 2.207 >16000 4.701 7.856 8.356 8.095 8.391 8.704 8.489 pana la 3500 pana la 3500 intre 3500 si 7500 intre 7500 si 16000 >16000 Figure 31 The evolution of the average monthly premium (RON) for passenger transport vehicles for the bonus/malus category B0 11.000 10.000 9.000 8.000 7.000 6.000 5.000 4.000 3.000 2.000 1.000 Iunie 2015 Ianuarie 2016 Februarie 2016 Martie 2016 Aprilie 2016 Mai 2016 Iunie 2016 Total 4.240 5.785 5.824 6.537 6.234 6.155 6.229 pana la 18 locuri 3.256 4.161 4.318 3.896 4.023 4.354 4.135 intre 18 si 40 locuri 4.590 5.831 5.071 6.777 8.061 5.639 5.933 >40 locuri 5.798 6.953 6.817 7.465 5.257 7.344 7.806 Total pana la 18 locuri intre 18 si 40 locuri >40 locuri 42 Figure 32 The evolution of the average monthly premium (RON) for passenger transport vehicles for the bonus/malus category BM 11.000 10.000 9.000 8.000 7.000 6.000 5.000 4.000 3.000 2.000 1.000 Iunie 2015 Ianuarie 2016 Februarie 2016 Martie 2016 Aprilie 2016 Mai 2016 Iunie 2016 Total 3.027 4.638 4.614 4.848 5.237 4.671 3.458 pana la 18 locuri 2.648 5.424 5.552 5.930 5.981 5.409 3.017 intre 18 si 40 locuri 3.927 6.013 5.417 5.686 6.496 5.060 4.366 >40 locuri 3.571 3.112 2.972 3.162 3.123 3.066 3.210 Total pana la 18 locuri intre 18 si 40 locuri >40 locuri I.10. Home insurance For voluntary home insurance, 2016 continued the downward trend. This reflects a lower activity in terms of underwriting risks, the number of contracts newly concluded and gross premiums written, recording in the first quarter of 2016 significant declines compared to the same period last year, while gross claims paid have not fallen at the same pace. Table 39 The dynamics of contracts and the volume of gross premiums written for voluntary home insurance during 2012-2016 (quarterly) Period Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Q1 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 Number of Number of contracts concluded Gross premiums Gross claims paid contracts in force in the reporting period (pieces) written (RON) (RON) (pieces) 4,061,395 629,138 119,088,708 14,580,222 3,352,152 630,311 131,306,239 16,980,317 2,285,812 468,916 87,733,256 12,987,067 1,824,118 853,066 120,411,927 13,618,911 1,304,663 319,397 72,591,841 11,871,399 43 Figure 33 Evolution of the number of contracts and the volume of gross premiums written for Voluntary home insurance during 2012-2016 (quarterly) 4.500.000 140.000.000 4.000.000 120.000.000 3.500.000 100.000.000 3.000.000 2.500.000 80.000.000 2.000.000 60.000.000 1.500.000 40.000.000 1.000.000 20.000.000 500.000 0 0 T1 2012 T1 2013 T1 2014 T1 2015 T1 2016 Prime brute subscrise (lei) Indemnizatii brute platite (lei) Numar contracte in vigoare (buc.) Numar contracte incheiate in perioada raportare (buc.) Compulsory home insurance is illustrated by the activity results of the Insurance Pool Against Disasters PAID. They show a slight improvement for most indicators: the number of contracts in force at the end of the period increased by about 7.6% and gross premiums written grew by 16.34%. Table 40 Evolution of compulsory home insurance Period Q1 2012 Number of contracts in force at the end of the reporting period (pieces) 496,270 Number of new contracts, concluded in the reporting period (pieces) 34,298 Gross premiums written (RON) Gross claims paid (RON) 2,237,967 73,827 Q1 2013 333,860 37,042 2,493,767 36,904 Q1 2014 1,085,078 386,408 32,822,850 234,934 Q1 2015 1,524,491 419,937 34,599,272 1,324,975 Q1 2016 1,640,783 469,927 40,254,018 326,490 44 Figure 34 Evolution of compulsory home insurance 1.800.000 45.000.000 1.600.000 40.000.000 1.400.000 35.000.000 1.200.000 30.000.000 1.000.000 25.000.000 800.000 20.000.000 600.000 15.000.000 400.000 10.000.000 200.000 5.000.000 0 0 T1 2012 T1 2013 T1 2014 T1 2015 T1 2016 Prime brute subscrise (lei) Indemnizatii brute platite (lei) Numar contracte in vigoare (buc.) Numar contracte incheiate in perioada raportare (buc.) For the home insurance market as a whole (compulsory and voluntary), the first quarter of 2016 saw a decline in gross premiums written (approximately -27.20%) and in the number of new contracts, while the number of contracts in force decreased by about 38%. Table 41 Evolution of home insurance (compulsory and voluntary) Period Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Q1 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 Number of contracts in force at Number of new contracts, the end of the reporting period concluded in the reporting (pieces) period (pieces) 4,557,665 3,686,012 3,370,890 3,348,609 2,945,446 663,436 667,353 855,324 1,273,003 789,324 Gross premiums written (RON) 121,326,675 133,800,006 120,556,106 155,011,199 112,845,859 Gross claims paid (RON) 14,654,049 17,017,221 13,222,001 14,943,886 12,197,889 45 Figure 35 Evolution of home insurance (compulsory and voluntary) 5.000.000 180.000.000 4.500.000 160.000.000 4.000.000 140.000.000 3.500.000 120.000.000 3.000.000 100.000.000 2.500.000 80.000.000 2.000.000 60.000.000 1.500.000 1.000.000 40.000.000 500.000 20.000.000 0 0 T1 2012 T1 2013 T1 2014 T1 2015 T1 2016 Prime brute subscrise (lei) Indemnizatii brute platite (lei) Numar contracte in vigoare (buc.) Numar contracte incheiate in perioada raportare (buc.) 46 II. INSURANCE AND/OR REINSURANCE BROKERS According to data centralized on 31 March 2016, a total of 331 insurance and/or reinsurance brokers conducted the activity of intermediation in insurance and/or damage settlement. II.1. Insurance intermediation business In the first three months of 2016, the premiums intermediated by insurance brokers (RON 1,539,935,313) accounted for 65.05% of gross premiums written by insurers. Compared to the similar period of 2015, there was an increase by 19.26% in premiums intermediated for both categories of insurance. Premiums intermediated for general insurance amounted to RON 1,501,201,350, accounted for 97.48% of total premiums intermediated and the intermediation degree was 75.36%. Premiums intermediated for life insurance, in the amount of RON 38,733,963, had an intermediation degree of 10.32%. Table 42 Insurance intermediation degree Period Intermediated premiums (RON) Total GI Intermediation degree (%) LI Total GI LI 31.03.2012 829,147,579 802,588,157 26,559,422 38.29 46.29 6.150 31.03.2013 965,271,666 934,164,565 31,107,101 45.39 54.72 7.41 31.03.2014 1,120,775,625 1,092,584,190 28,191,435 53.86 64.32 7.37 31.03.2015 1,287,316,779 1,255,418,013 31,898,766 57.82 69.16 7.76 31.03.2016 1,539,935,313 1,501,201,350 38,733,963 65.05 75.36 10.32 Analyzing the structure of premiums intermediated by insurance brokers on classes of general insurance, it is noticed that, in the first quarter of 2016, a significant share in total premiums intermediated for general insurance (RON 1,539,935,313), was held by the following classes: 1. class A10. Motor vehicle liability insurance (MTPL+CLI) accounts for 58.95% (RON 884,953,283); 2. class A3. Land vehicles insurance (Casco) accounts for 19.45% (RON 291,988,986); 3. class A8. Insurance against fire and other natural disasters accounts for 9.12% (RON 136,873,343); 4. other classes held a share of 12.48% (RON 187,385,738) of total general insurance premiums intermediated. 47 Figure 36 Structure on general insurance classes of premiums intermediated on 31 March 2016 (%) Figure 37 Structure on general insurance classes of premiums intermediated on 31 March 2015 (%) Analyzing the structure of premiums intermediated by insurance brokers on classes of life insurance, it is noticed that, in the first quarter of 2016, the largest share is held by the following classes: 1. class C1 "Life insurance, annuities and supplemental life insurance", amounting to RON 32,881,975, respectively 84.89% of total premiums intermediated for the life insurance category; 2. class C3 "Life insurance and annuities related to investment funds (unit-linked): RON 3,488,846, respectively 9.01% of total premiums intermediated for the life insurance category; The other life insurance classes accounted for 6.01% of total premiums intermediated. 48 Figure 38 Structure on life insurance classes of premiums intermediated on 31 March 2016 (%) Figure 39 Structure on life insurance classes of premiums intermediated on 31 March 2015 (%) 006 007 087 Clasa C1 Clasa C3 Altele 49 Table 43 Top 10 insurance brokers, depending on premiums intermediated No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Broker name SAFETY BROKER DE ASIGURARE S.R.L. MARSH - BROKER DE ASIGURARE-REASIGURARE S.R.L. TRANSILVANIA BROKER DE ASIGURARE S.R.L. DESTINE BROKER DE ASIGURARE-REASIGURARE S.R.L. INTER BROKER DE ASIGURARE S.R.L. DAW MANAGEMENT - BROKER DE ASIGURARE S.R.L. CAMPION BROKER DE ASIGURARE S.R.L. UNICREDIT INSURANCE BROKER S.R.L. AON ROMANIA BROKER DE ASIGURARE - REASIGURARE S.R.L PORSCHE BROKER DE ASIGURARE S.R.L. Total (1-10) Total TOTAL LI TOTAL GI 266,629 3,188,758 143,355 1,042,478 130,801 8,782 1,387,937 228,775 123,333,729 109,793,823 91,467,652 72,034,020 70,172,641 62,222,585 50,154,056 40,785,897 709,497 33,490,703 7,107,012 38,733,963 TOTAL Market LI + GI share (%) 123,600,358 8.03% 112,982,581 7.34% 91,611,007 5.95% 73,076,498 4.75% 70,303,442 4.57% 62,231,367 4.04% 51,541,993 3.35% 41,014,672 2.66% 34,200,200 2.22% 33,871,868 33,871,868 2.20% 687,326,974 694,433,986 45.10% 1,501,201,350 1,539,935,313 100.00% II.2. Revenues obtained from the insurance intermediation business Revenues obtained from the insurance intermediation business, according to quarterly reports sent by 350 insurance brokers for 31 March 2016, recorded a value of RON 262,554,773, in nominal growth by 9.37% compared to the same period of 2015 (RON 240,063,726). Table 44 The evolution of intermediation revenues Period 31.03.2015 GP W (R ON ) 2,2 26, 27 3,5 92 Re ve nu es Int fro er m me the dia int ted er pre me mi dia um tio s n (R bus ON ine ) ss (R ON ) 1,2 24 87, 0,0 31 63, 6,7 72 79 6 Int er me dia ted pre miu ms /GP W (%) 57. 82 % 50 31.03.2016 2,3 67, 38 7,5 50 1,5 39, 93 5,3 13 26 2,5 65. 54, 05 77 % 3 The structure of revenues obtained from the insurance intermediation business, according to reports sent by insurance brokers, for 31 March 2016: a) revenues from the negotiation of insurance contracts, recorded a value of RON 257,095,843, increasing compared to the similar period of 2015 by 9.55%; b) revenues from risk inspections, amounting to RON 5,028, up 100% compared to the previous period of 2015; c) revenues from damage settlement, amounting to RON 3,918,646, down 0.08% compared to the similar period of 2015; d) revenues from damage inspections, amounting to RON 47,019, down 77.33%, compared to the same period of 2015; e) revenues from other activities in relation to the line of business, amounting to RON 1,493,265, up 19.97% compared to the same period of 2015. 51 List of figures Figure 1 The evolution of gross premiums written in 2012 – 2016 ................................................................... 4 Figure 2 GPW distribution for general insurance in the 8 regions of development of Romania ........................ 6 Figure 3 GPW distribution for life insurance in the 8 regions of development of Romania .............................. 6 Figure 4 Evolution of the volume of gross premiums written on general insurance classes (million RON) ....... 9 Figure 5 Structure dynamics on general insurance classes ............................................................................. 10 Figure 6 Structure dynamics on life insurance classes .................................................................................... 11 Figure 7 Evolution of the volume of gross premiums written on life insurance classes (million RON) ............ 12 Figure 8 The evolution of the gross claims paid including maturities and redemptions for general and life insurance (million RON) ......................................................................................................................... 13 Figure 9 Structure dynamics on classes of gross claims paid for the general insurance category ................... 15 Figure 10 Evolution of the volume of GI gross claims paid (million RON) ....................................................... 15 Figure 11 Quarterly evolution of claims ratio and combined claims ratio for the main general insurance classes during 2014-2016 (Q1 of each year) ........................................................................................... 17 Figure 12 Quarterly evolution of the value of acquisition and administration expenses and expenses with commissions during 2014 - 2016 (first quarter) ..................................................................................... 18 Figure 13 Evolution of expenses with commissions in gross premiums written ............................................. 19 Figure 14 Additional requirement of capitalization following the move to SII ............................................... 25 Figure 15 Additional capitalization resulting from the move to Solvency II .................................................... 25 Figure 16 The evolution of total assets and liabilities of insurance companies .............................................. 26 Figure 17 The evolution of Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR) and Minimum Capital Requirement (MCR) . 26 Figure 18 The evolution of eligible own funds to cover the solvency capital requirement ............................. 27 Figure 19 The structure of eligible own funds to cover SCR (D1) .................................................................... 27 Figure 20 The structure of eligible own funds to cover SCR (31 March 2016) ................................................. 28 Figure 21 The distribution of insurance companies depending on SCR/MCR rate on 31 March 2016 ............. 28 Figure 22 The evolution of gross premiums written for MTPL during 2010-2015 ........................................... 30 Figure 23 The evolution of gross premiums written for MTPL quarterly during 2015-2016 ............................ 30 Figure 24 Degree of concentration of the MTPL market ................................................................................. 34 Figure 25 The quarterly evolution of MTPL claims paid on bodily injuries (in thousand RON) ........................ 34 Figure 26 The quarterly evolution of MTPL material damages (in thousand RON) ......................................... 35 Figure 27 The evolution of the average premium and average claim during 2010-2015 ................................. 36 Figure 28 The evolution of the average premium and average claim during 2015-2016 - quarterly ............... 36 Figure 29 The evolution of the average monthly premium (RON) for vans/trucks for the bonus/malus category B0 ........................................................................................................................................... 41 Figure 30 The evolution of the average monthly premium (RON) for vans/trucks for the bonus/malus category BM .......................................................................................................................................... 42 Figure 31 The evolution of the average monthly premium (RON) for passenger transport vehicles for the bonus/malus category B0 ...................................................................................................................... 42 Figure 32 The evolution of the average monthly premium (RON) for passenger transport vehicles for the bonus/malus category BM .................................................................................................................... 43 Figure 33 Evolution of the number of contracts and the volume of gross premiums written for voluntary home insurance during 2012-2016 (quarterly)....................................................................................... 44 Figure 34 Evolution of compulsory home insurance ....................................................................................... 45 Figure 35 Evolution of home insurance (compulsory and voluntary) ............................................................. 46 Figure 36 Structure on general insurance classes of premiums intermediated on 31 March 2016 (%) ........... 48 Figure 37 Structure on general insurance classes of premiums intermediated on 31 March 2015 (%) ........... 48 Figure 38 Structure on life insurance classes of premiums intermediated on 31 March 2016 (%) .................. 49 Figure 39 Structure on life insurance classes of premiums intermediated on 31 March 2015 (%) .................. 49 52 List of tables Table 1 Dynamics of allocation on insurance segments during 2012 - 2016 ..................................................... 4 Table 2 Dynamics of gross premiums written on insurance classes in the period 2012 - 2016 ......................... 4 Table 3 The companies with the largest volumes of gross premiums written and their share in total market (general and life insurance) ..................................................................................................................... 7 Table 4 Ranking of insurance companies based on gross premiums written for general insurance in the first quarter of 2016 ....................................................................................................................................... 8 Table 5 Structure on general insurance classes ................................................................................................ 9 Table 6 Ranking of insurance companies based on gross premiums written for life insurance in 2016 .......... 10 Table 7 Structure on life insurance classes ..................................................................................................... 12 Table 8 The dynamics of the gross claims paid, including maturities and redemptions for general and life insurance, during 2012-2016 ................................................................................................................. 13 Table 9 Insurance companies with the largest volume of gross claims paid for general insurance ................. 14 Table 10 Insurance companies with the largest amount of gross claims paid, maturities and redemptions for life insurance ......................................................................................................................................... 16 Table 11 Quarterly evolution of claims ratio and combined claims ratio for the main general insurance classes ................................................................................................................................................... 18 Table 12 Quarterly evolution of the value of acquisition and administration expenses and expenses with commissions during 2014 - 2016 (first quarter) ..................................................................................... 18 Table 13 Evolution of expenses with commissions in gross premiums written in the period 2014 - 2016 (first quarter) ................................................................................................................................................. 19 Table 14 Structure of gross technical reserves for general insurance on 31 March 2016 compared to 31 December 2015 ..................................................................................................................................... 20 Table 15 Structure of gross technical reserves for the life insurance category, on 31 March 2016 ................. 21 Table 16 Structure of gross technical reserves for the life insurance category, on 31 December 2015 ........... 21 Table 17 Liquidity ratio for each of the insurance categories on 31 March 2016 ............................................ 21 Table 18 Liquidity ratio for each of the insurance categories on 31 December 2015 ...................................... 22 Table 19 The evolution of GPW and net reinsurance premiums during 2012-2016 (first quarter) for GI ........ 22 Table 20 The evolution of GCP and net reinsurance GCP during 2012-2016 (first quarter) for GI ................... 22 Table 21 The evolution of gross technical reserves and net technical reserves in reinsurance during 20122016 (first quarter) for GI ...................................................................................................................... 23 Table 22 The evolution of GPW and net reinsurance premiums during 2012-2016 (first quarter) for LI ......... 23 Table 23 The evolution of GCP and net reinsurance GCP during 2012-2016 (first quarter) for LI .................... 24 Table 24 The evolution of gross technical reserves and net technical reserves in reinsurance during 20122016 (first quarter) for LI ....................................................................................................................... 24 Table 25 The evolution of gross premiums written for class A10 (MTPL+CLI) ................................................. 29 Table 26 The pace of change of MTPL market indicators from quarter to quarter during 2015-2016 ............. 30 Table 27 Number of contracts on natural and legal persons .......................................................................... 31 Table 28 The share of the number of contracts concluded in the period in total contracts depending on the contracted period - quarterly 2015-2016 ............................................................................................... 31 Table 29 The share of the number of contracts concluded in total contracts depending on the contractor (natural or legal person) -quarterly 2015-2016 ...................................................................................... 32 Table 30 Ranking of insurance companies based on gross premiums written for MTPL in the first quarter of 2016: ..................................................................................................................................................... 32 Table 31 Evolution of market shares recorded on MTPL for 2011-2015: ........................................................ 33 Table 32 The evolution of technical reserves quarterly during 2015 - Q1 2016 (thousand RON) ................... 35 53 Table 33 The situation on companies of claim files paid in Q I 2016 (the current year and the previous years) .............................................................................................................................................................. 35 Table 34 The average premium annualized in RON at market level in the last consecutive 5 quarters .......... 37 Table 35 Detailing the method of calculation of the average premium for Q1 2016 ...................................... 37 Table 36 The evolution of average claim for natural persons during 2015-2016 ............................................ 38 Table 37 The evolution of average claim during 2015-2016 ........................................................................... 38 Table 38 The evolution of average claim per total during 2015-2016 ............................................................. 39 Table 39 The dynamics of contracts and the volume of gross premiums written for voluntary home insurance during 2012-2016 (quarterly) ................................................................................................................. 43 Table 40 Evolution of compulsory home insurance ........................................................................................ 44 Table 41 Evolution of home insurance (compulsory and voluntary) ............................................................... 45 Table 42 Insurance intermediation degree .................................................................................................... 47 Table 43 Top 10 insurance brokers, depending on premiums intermediated ................................................. 50 Table 44 The evolution of intermediation revenues ...................................................................................... 50 54