SmartGrids - fra tanke til handling
Transcription
SmartGrids - fra tanke til handling
SmartGrids - fra tanke til handling g Temadag om fremtidens elsystem 2025 November 2008 Hvorfor 'SmartGrid' ? 2 Hvad er 'SmartGrid' ? 3 Hvad er 'SmartGrid' – i internationalt perspektiv ? The 'Smart Grid' – is an electrical power system: Made up of automated transmission and distribution systems all operating in a coordinated, efficient and reliable manner • That Th t handles h dl emergencies, i is i ‘self-healing’, ‘ lf h li ’ and d is i responsive i to energy-market and utility business needs • That involves millions of customers and has a communication infrastructure enabling a timely, secure and adaptable information flow to provide reliable and economic power to the evolving digital economy "The Integrated Energy And Communication Systems Architecture",4 EPRI and Electricity Innovation Institute 2003 'SmartGrid' – dimensioner & eksempler SmartGrid Domænet Proaktivt Condition monitoring Dynamic y rating g (New DMS) Fault anticipation Network planning (SmartPIT) År Uger Autonomous MV/LV stations (SACSe) State estimation (SmartPIT) Demand Side Management (Loads, storage, EV, Gensets) Timer Protection Systems Minutter Sekunder Hændelse Automated MV/LV stations (Discos) Sekunder Minutter Timer Pre-fault Post-fault SCADA Contingency Planning Outage Planning Load shedding S h d li Scheduling OMS Field Crew Management Customer Call Centre Reaktivt 5 Aktuelle SmartGrid projekter Discos Formål Fjernovervågning og –styring af 10/0,4 kV stationer Faciliteter Skalérbarhed, anvendes på såvel nye som ældre typer anlæg Status 250 stationer installeret, 106 i drift SmartPIT Formål Kontinuert state-estimation af hele 10 kV nettet, bedre udnyttelse af nettet Faciliteter Udnyttelse af ægte og 'syntetiske' målinger, automatisk genereret netmodel Status I drift drift. Evaluering af produktionssystem produktionssystem. SACS Avancerede, autonome 10/0,4 kV stationer Formål Faciliteter Hurtig lokal fejlbortkobling og netomlægning Status Koncepttest i lab godkendt. 4 pilotstationer installeret mhp. prøvedrift Nyt DMS Formål Erstatte eksisterende DMS (Distribution Management System) Faciliteter Basis for SmartGrid: IT-integration, komm. med netstationer, målere etc. Status Analysefase. Trinvis idriftsættelse 2010 - 2011 Formål Moderne elmåler & gateway SmartRead Faciliteter Fjern- (SMS/GPRS) og lokalkommunikation (Zigbee), netovervågning, mm. Status På hold, afventer afklaring om omkostningsdækning 6 Hvad er forudsætningerne for at bygge et SmartGrid? - IUN Coalition - SmartGrid Maturity Model Intelligent Utility Network (IUN) Coalition MEMBER UPDATE A TRULY GLOBAL COALITION Seven leading utilities have joined the coalition: Serving 46 mio. Electric & Natural Gas Consumers – – – – – – – CNP………………………………………...Q1 ’07 / USA PHI ………………………………………... Q2 ’07 / USA Sempra …………………………………… Q4 ’07 / USA Country Energy ………………………….. Q4 ’07 / Australia Progress Energy ………………………….Q2 ’08 / USA DONG Energy …………………………….Q2 ’08 / Denmark NDPL ………………………………………Q3 ’08 / India DONG Energy PHI PGN Sempra CNP NDPL Country Energy Two final members will join in late 2008 / early 2009: – 1 SW Europe ……………………………… Q4 ’08 / Q1 ‘09 – 1 China/Japan/Asia Pacific ………………. Q4 ’08 / Q1 ‘09 COALITION DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS COALITION KNOWLEDGE TRANSFER Jointly developing thought leadership projects: Formal knowledge sharing sessions organized covering key topics: – – – – Business Models of the Future Embedded & Distributed Generation Messaging Smart Grid Maturity Model – – – – Deliverables and assets will likely be shared with industry as appropriate Fault Location Automated Metering Business Benefits Repository Demo Centers Advanced collaboration tools enable members to present and share their expertise - Smart Grid Maturity Model already made available to industry 8 Maturity levels / modenhedsniveauer Level 5: Innovating – Next wave of improvements p New business, operational, environmental and societal opportunities present themselves, and the capability exists to take advantage of them. Level 4: Optimizing – Enterprise Wide IUN functionality and benefits realized. Management and operational systems rely on and take full advantage of observability and integrated control across and between enterprise functions. Level 3: Integrating – Cross Functional IUN spreads. Operational linkages established between two or more functional areas. Management ensures decisions span functional interests, resulting in cross functional benefits. Perpetual Innovation Self-healing operations Autonomic business Innovators Transformation Real time corrections Broad reuse Victors Systemization Repeatable practices Shared information Cross LOB Champions Level 2: Functional investing Making decisions decisions, at least at functional level level. Business cases in place, investments being made. One or more functional deployments under way with value being realized. Strategy in place. Strategy gy Level 1: Exploring and Initiating Contemplating IUN transformation. May have vision, but no strategy yet. Exploring options. Likely evaluating business cases and technologies. Might have elements already deployed. Vision © Copyright APQC 2008. All Rights Reserved 9 Proof of Concepts Missionaries Experiments Prophets, Heroes Domæner og niveauer udgør tilsammen 'the Maturity Model' Black text = Requirements The Smart Th S t Grid G id Maturity Model 5 Innovating Next Wave Improvements 4 Optimizing Enterprise Wide 3 Integrating Cross Functional 2 Functional Investing 1 Exploring and Initiating Blue text = Descriptive characteristics or desired traits Strategy, Management & Regulatory R l Organization & Technology Structure Grid Societal & p Environmental Operations - Overall strategy expanded due to SG capabilities - Optimized rate design/regulatory policy (most beneficial regulatory treatment for investments made) - New business model opportunities present themselves and are implemented - Collaboratively engage all stakeholders in all aspects of transformed business - Organizational changes support new ventures and services that emerge - Entrepreneurial mind set, Culture of innovation - Autonomic computing, machine learning - Pervasive use and leadership on standards - Leader and influence in conferences and industry groups, etc… - Leading edge grid stability systems - Actualize the "triple bottom line“(financial, environmental and societal) - Customers enabled to manage their own usage (e.g. tools and self-adaptive networks) - Tailored analytics and advice to customers - Managing distributed generation - SG drives strategy and influences corporate direction - SG is a core competency - External stakeholders share in strategy - Willing to invest and divest, or engage in JV and IP sharing to execute strategy - Now enabled for enhanced mkt driven or innovative regulatory funding schemes - Integrated systems and control drive organizational transformation - End to end grid observability allows organizational leverage by stakeholders - Organization flattens - Significant restructuring likely occurs now (tuning to leverage new SG capabilities and processes) - Data flows end to end (e.g. customer to generation) - Enterprise business processes optimized with strategic IT architecture - Real world aware systems - complex event processing, monitoring and control - Predictive modeling and near real-time simulation, analytics drives optimization - Enterprise-wide security implemented - Collaboration with external stakeholders - Environmentally driven investments (aligned with SG strategy) - Environmental scorecard/reporting - Programs to shave peak demand - Ability to scale DG units - Available active mgmt. of end user energy uses and devices - Completed SG strategy and business case incorporated into corp. strategy governance model deployed p y - SG g - SG Leader(s) (with authority) ensure cross LOB application of SG - Mandate/consensus with regulators to make and fund SG investments - Corp. strategy expanded to leverage new SG enabled services or offerings - SG is driver for org. change (addressing aging workforce, culture issues, etc.) - SG measures on balanced scorecard - Performance and compensation linked to SG success - Consistent SG leadership cross LOBs - Org. is adopting a matrix or overlay structure - Culture of collaboration and integration - SG impacted business processes aligned with IT architecture across LOBs g - Common architectural framework e.g. standards, common data models, etc. - Use of advanced intelligence/analytics - Advanced sensor plan (e.g. PMUs) - Implementing SG technology to improve cross LOB performance - Data comms. detailed strategy/tactics - Active programs to address issue - Segmented & tailored information for customers – including g environmental and social benefits - Programs to encourage off-peak usage - Integrated reporting of sustainability and impact - Synthesize triple bottom line view across LOBs - Integrated vision & acknowledgement - Initial strategy / business plan approved - Initial alignment of investments to vision - Distinct SG set-aside set aside funding / budget - Collaboration with regulators and stakeholders - Commitment to proof of concepts - Identify initial SG leader - New vision influences change - Organizing more around operational end-to-end processes (e.g. breaking silos) - Matrix teams for p planning g and design g of SG initiatives across LOBs - Evaluating performance and compensation for Smart Grid - Tactical IT investments aligned to strategic IT architecture within a LOB - Common selection process applied - Common architectural vision and commitment to standards across LOBs - Conceptual data comms. strategy - IED connectivity and business pilots - Implementing information security - Developing first SG vision - Support for experimentation - Informal discussion with regulators - Funding likely out of existing budget - Articulated need to change - Executive commitment to change - Culture of individual initiatives and discoveries - Knowledge growing; possibly compartmentalized (i.e. in silos) - Exploring strategic IT arch. for SG - Change control process for IT for SG - Identifying uses of technology to improve functional performance - Developing processes to evaluate technologies for SG Work & Asset Management g Customer Management g & Experience Value Chain Integration - Grid employs self-healing capabilities - Automated grid decisions system wide (applying proven analytic based controls) - Optimized rate design/regulatory policy - Ubiquitous system wide dynamic control - Optimizing the use of assets between and across supply chain participants - Just in time retirement of assets - Enterprise-wide abstract representation of assets for investment decisions - Customer management of their end to end energy supply and usage level - Outage detection at residence/device - Plug-n-play customer based generation - Near real-time data on customer usage - Consumption level by device available - Mobility and CO2 programs - Coordinated energy management and generation throughout the supply chain - Coordinated control of entire energy assets - Dispatchable recourses are available for increasingly granular market options (e.g. LMP – Locational Marginal Pricing) - Integration into enterprise processes - Dynamic grid management - Tactical forecasts based on real data - Information available across enterprise through end-to-end observability - Automated decision making within protection schemes (leveraging increased analytics capabilities and context) - Enterprise view of assets: location, status, interrelationships, connectivity and proximity - Asset models reality based (real data) - Optimization across fleet of assets - CBM and predictive management on key components - Efficient inventory management utilizing real asset status and modeling - Usage analysis within pricing programs - Circuit level outage detection/notification - Net billing programs in the home - Automated response to pricing signals - Common customer experience integrated across all channels - Recent customer usage data (e.g. daily) - Behavior modeling augments customer segmentation - Energy resources dispatchable/tradable, utility realizes gain from ancillary services (e.g. power on demand) - Portfolio optimization modeling expanded for new resources and real time markets. - Ability to communicate with HAN (Home Area Network), incl. visibility and control of customer large demand appliances - Sharing data across functions/systems - Implementing control analytics to support decisions & system calculations - Move from estimation to fact-based planning - The customer meter becomes an essential grid management “sensor” - New process being defined due to increased automation and observability - Component performance and trend y analysis - Developing CBM (Condition Based Mgmt.) on key components -Integrating RAM to asset mgmt, mobile work force and work order creation - Tracking inventory, source to utilization - Modeling asset investments for key components based on SG data - High degree customer segmentation Two-way way meter meter, remote disconnect & - Two connect, and remote load control - Outage detection at substation - Common customer experience - Customer participation in DR enabled - New interactive products/services - Predictive customer experience - Integrated resource plan includes new targeted resources and technologies (e.g. DR DG DR, DG, volt/VAR) l /VAR) - Enabling market and consumption information for use by customer energy mgmt systems - New resources available as substitute for market products to meet reliability objectives - Established energy efficiency programs for customers - “Triple bottom line" view – (financial, environmental and societal) - Environmental proof of concepts underway - Consumption information provided to customers - Initial distribution to sub-station automation projects - Implementing advanced outage restoration schemes - Piloting remote monitoring on key assets (RAM) for manual decision making - Expanding and investing in extended communications networks - Developing mobile workforce strategy - Approach for tracking, inventory and event history of assets under development - Developing an integrated view of GIS and RAM with location, status and nodal interconnectivity - Piloting AMI/AMR - Modeling of reliability issues to drive investments for improvements - Piloted remote disconnect/connect - More frequent customer usage data - Assessing impact of new services and delivery processes (e.g. HAN) - Introducing support for home energy management systems - Redefine value chain to include entire eco-system (RTOs, customers, suppliers) - Pilot investments to support utilization of a diverse resource portfolio - Programs to promote customer DG - Awareness of issues and utility’s role in addressing the issues - Environmental compliance - Initiating conservation, efficiency, “green” - Renewables program - Exploring new sensors, switches, comms. devices and technologies - Proof of concepts / component testing - Exploring outage & distribution mgmt. linked to sub-station automation - Building business case at functional level - Safety & physical security - Conducting value analysis for new systems - Exploring RAM (Remote Asset Monitoring), beyond SCADA - Exploring proactive/predictive asset maintenance - Exploring using spatial view of assets - Research on how to reshape the customer experience through SG - Broad customer segmentation (e.g. geography, income) - Load management in place for C&I - Reactive customer experience - Identified assets and programs within value chain to facilitate load management programs - Identified distributed generation sources and existing capabilities to support - Develop strategy for diverse resource portfolio Includes: Vision, strategic Strategy, planning, decision making, strategy Communications, culture, Management a age e t & executionIncludes: Organization and discipline discipline, structure Includes: Information, engineering, regulatory, investment process Regulatory Technology integration of information and Includes: Conservation and green Societal and technology, standards, initiatives, sustainability, economics Includes: Advanced grid Gridoperational Environmental and business analytics tools and ability to integrate alternative Includes: Optimizing observability & advanced grid the assets The mission, vision, strategy, and Asset Work and Operations and distributed energy and l and d t l quality litd resources and dIncludes: reliability li bilit((people how it is For managed bebe fully Retail, customer care, C tcontrol, Customer Smart must Grid to successful, Management equipment) integrated order to guideSmart theManagement way and control, Grid can provide thepricing ability options theinorganizational structure must Includes: Enabling demand and Value Chain A cohesive technology strategy through a successful Smart Grid advancedsupply services and visibilitydistributed into and Experience for a utility, and society, to make promote and reward cross management, must connect andAsupport the foundation of intelligent solid core Integration transformation. utilization quality, and performance and take functional planningchoices and design and advantage of generation, load management, © Copyright APQC 2008. All Rights Reserved innumerable data sources and Operating maintaining assets grid components andand operational energy alternatives and efficiencies efficiencies, operations operations, but still allow for leveraging market opportunities users, that th t make k up a Smart S t Grid, G id based on up to and date, fact based design, using technology regarding both production and empowered decision making. today and into the automation future. performance data, enabling fused Through with enterprise Smart Grid,the the customer consumption. from preventative and processesevolution becomes a holistic Smart becomes Extending empowered to make their automation beyond reactiveown to predictive and self their use Grid. choices regarding traditional boundaries, and across healing and for more use of cost efficient of energy theenergy. entire value chain, opens resources. opportunities for innovation and efficiencies. Score inden for hvert domæne plottes ind - Eksempel p Black text = Requirements The Smart Th S t Grid G id Maturity Model 5 Innovating Next Wave Improvements 4 Optimizing Enterprise Wide 3 Integrating Cross Functional 2 Functional Investing 1 Exploring and Initiating Blue text = Descriptive characteristics or desired traits Strategy, Management & Regulatory R l Organization & Technology Structure Grid Societal & p Environmental Operations - Overall strategy expanded due to SG capabilities - Optimized rate design/regulatory policy (most beneficial regulatory treatment for investments made) - New business model opportunities present themselves and are implemented - Collaboratively engage all stakeholders in all aspects of transformed business - Organizational changes support new ventures and services that emerge - Entrepreneurial mind set, Culture of innovation - Autonomic computing, machine learning - Pervasive use and leadership on standards - Leader and influence in conferences and industry groups, etc… - Leading edge grid stability systems - Actualize the "triple bottom line“(financial, environmental and societal) - Customers enabled to manage their own usage (e.g. tools and self-adaptive networks) - Tailored analytics and advice to customers - Managing distributed generation - SG drives strategy and influences corporate direction - SG is a core competency - External stakeholders share in strategy - Willing to invest and divest, or engage in JV and IP sharing to execute strategy - Now enabled for enhanced mkt driven or innovative regulatory funding schemes - Integrated systems and control drive organizational transformation - End to end grid observability allows organizational leverage by stakeholders - Organization flattens - Significant restructuring likely occurs now (tuning to leverage new SG capabilities and processes) - Data flows end to end (e.g. customer to generation) - Enterprise business processes optimized with strategic IT architecture - Real world aware systems - complex event processing, monitoring and control - Predictive modeling and near real-time simulation, analytics drives optimization - Enterprise-wide security implemented - Collaboration with external stakeholders - Environmentally driven investments (aligned with SG strategy) - Environmental scorecard/reporting - Programs to shave peak demand - Ability to scale DG units - Available active mgmt. of end user energy uses and devices - Completed SG strategy and business case incorporated into corp. strategy governance model deployed p y - SG g - SG Leader(s) (with authority) ensure cross LOB application of SG - Mandate/consensus with regulators to make and fund SG investments - Corp. strategy expanded to leverage new SG enabled services or offerings - SG is driver for org. change (addressing aging workforce, culture issues, etc.) - SG measures on balanced scorecard - Performance and compensation linked to SG success - Consistent SG leadership cross LOBs - Org. is adopting a matrix or overlay structure - Culture of collaboration and integration - SG impacted business processes aligned with IT architecture across LOBs g - Common architectural framework e.g. standards, common data models, etc. - Use of advanced intelligence/analytics - Advanced sensor plan (e.g. PMUs) - Implementing SG technology to improve cross LOB performance - Data comms. detailed strategy/tactics - Active programs to address issue - Segmented & tailored information for g environmental and customers – including social benefits - Programs to encourage off-peak usage - Integrated reporting of sustainability and impact - Synthesize triple bottom line view across LOBs - Integrated vision & acknowledgement - Initial strategy / business plan approved - Initial alignment of investments to vision - Distinct SG set-aside set aside funding / budget - Collaboration with regulators and stakeholders - Commitment to proof of concepts - Identify initial SG leader - New vision influences change - Organizing more around operational end-to-end processes (e.g. breaking silos) - Matrix teams for p planning g and design g of SG initiatives across LOBs - Evaluating performance and compensation for Smart Grid - Tactical IT investments aligned to strategic IT architecture within a LOB - Common selection process applied - Common architectural vision and commitment to standards across LOBs - Conceptual data comms. strategy - IED connectivity and business pilots - Implementing information security - Developing first SG vision - Support for experimentation - Informal discussion with regulators - Funding likely out of existing budget - Articulated need to change - Executive commitment to change - Culture of individual initiatives and discoveries - Knowledge growing; possibly compartmentalized (i.e. in silos) - Exploring strategic IT arch. for SG - Change control process for IT for SG - Identifying uses of technology to improve functional performance - Developing processes to evaluate technologies for SG © Copyright APQC 2008. All Rights Reserved Current Score Work & Asset g Management Customer Management g & Experience Value Chain Integration - Grid employs self-healing capabilities - Automated grid decisions system wide (applying proven analytic based controls) - Optimized rate design/regulatory policy - Ubiquitous system wide dynamic control - Optimizing the use of assets between and across supply chain participants - Just in time retirement of assets - Enterprise-wide abstract representation of assets for investment decisions - Customer management of their end to end energy supply and usage level - Outage detection at residence/device - Plug-n-play customer based generation - Near real-time data on customer usage - Consumption level by device available - Mobility and CO2 programs - Coordinated energy management and generation throughout the supply chain - Coordinated control of entire energy assets - Dispatchable recourses are available for increasingly granular market options (e.g. LMP – Locational Marginal Pricing) - Integration into enterprise processes - Dynamic grid management - Tactical forecasts based on real data - Information available across enterprise through end-to-end observability - Automated decision making within protection schemes (leveraging increased analytics capabilities and context) - Enterprise view of assets: location, status, interrelationships, connectivity and proximity - Asset models reality based (real data) - Optimization across fleet of assets - CBM and predictive management on key components - Efficient inventory management utilizing real asset status and modeling - Usage analysis within pricing programs - Circuit level outage detection/notification - Net billing programs in the home - Automated response to pricing signals - Common customer experience integrated across all channels - Recent customer usage data (e.g. daily) - Behavior modeling augments customer segmentation - Energy resources dispatchable/tradable, utility realizes gain from ancillary services (e.g. power on demand) - Portfolio optimization modeling expanded for new resources and real time markets. - Ability to communicate with HAN (Home Area Network), incl. visibility and control of customer large demand appliances - Sharing data across functions/systems - Implementing control analytics to support decisions & system calculations - Move from estimation to fact-based planning - The customer meter becomes an essential grid management “sensor” - New process being defined due to increased automation and observability - Component performance and trend y analysis - Developing CBM (Condition Based Mgmt.) on key components -Integrating RAM to asset mgmt, mobile work force and work order creation - Tracking inventory, source to utilization - Modeling asset investments for key components based on SG data - High degree customer segmentation - Two Two-way way meter meter, remote disconnect & connect, and remote load control - Outage detection at substation - Common customer experience - Customer participation in DR enabled - New interactive products/services - Predictive customer experience - Integrated resource plan includes new targeted resources and technologies (e.g. DR DG DR, DG, volt/VAR) l /VAR) - Enabling market and consumption information for use by customer energy mgmt systems - New resources available as substitute for market products to meet reliability objectives - Established energy efficiency programs for customers - “Triple bottom line" view – (financial, environmental and societal) - Environmental proof of concepts underway - Consumption information provided to customers - Initial distribution to sub-station automation projects - Implementing advanced outage restoration schemes - Piloting remote monitoring on key assets (RAM) for manual decision making - Expanding and investing in extended communications networks - Developing mobile workforce strategy - Approach for tracking, inventory and event history of assets under development - Developing an integrated view of GIS and RAM with location, status and nodal interconnectivity - Piloting AMI/AMR - Modeling of reliability issues to drive investments for improvements - Piloted remote disconnect/connect - More frequent customer usage data - Assessing impact of new services and delivery processes (e.g. HAN) - Introducing support for home energy management systems - Redefine value chain to include entire eco-system (RTOs, customers, suppliers) - Pilot investments to support utilization of a diverse resource portfolio - Programs to promote customer DG - Awareness of issues and utility’s role in addressing the issues - Environmental compliance - Initiating conservation, efficiency, “green” - Renewables program - Exploring new sensors, switches, comms. devices and technologies - Proof of concepts / component testing - Exploring outage & distribution mgmt. linked to sub-station automation - Building business case at functional level - Safety & physical security - Conducting value analysis for new systems - Exploring RAM (Remote Asset Monitoring), beyond SCADA - Exploring proactive/predictive asset maintenance - Exploring using spatial view of assets - Research on how to reshape the customer experience through SG - Broad customer segmentation (e.g. geography, income) - Load management in place for C&I - Reactive customer experience - Identified assets and programs within value chain to facilitate load management programs - Identified distributed generation sources and existing capabilities to support - Develop strategy for diverse resource portfolio … og hvordan stemmer det med vores egen fornemmelse ? 9 Fleste aktiviteter ikke nødvendigvis i overensstemmelse med vision 9 Fleste aktiviteter isoleret inden for ét forretningsområde 9 Initiativer drives ofte af 'prophets & missionaires' 9 I nogle domæner ingen incitamenter til forbedring 9 Kun svag kobling mellem kundebehov og initiativer – udover leveringssikkerhed 12 SmartGrid Maturity y Model - Hvordan udvikler man sit selskab til opgaven ? Nogle bemærkninger om niveauer … Ikke alle behøver – eller ønsker – at gå til niveau 5 Aspekterne i niveau 5 ændrer sig sandsynligvis over tid 5 Innovating 4 Optimizing Niveau 2 Mål Kan være e en enkelt end-to-en nd funktion (f.eks. AM MM) 1 Exploring 1 Exploring 0 Traditional H d er JJeres S Hvad Smartt G Grid id mål ål … det idéelle slutstadie 14 Funktionel integrattion på tværs af a organisatiionen kunne være v ultima ativt mål 2 Investing Niveau 3 Mål Typisk profil i branchen i dag Muligv vis overstige er omkostninger eller risiko gevins sten ved at gå g til næste e niveau 3 Integrating Niveau 4 Mål Én mulig fremtidig profil Hvordan udvikler man sit selskab til opgaven ? Trin 1 – vælg g de mest relevante domæner Strategy, Management & Regulatory Organization Technology • Fælles SG Vision Societal and Grid Environmental Operations Work and Asset Management Customer Value Chain Management & Experience Integration • Dialog med branche og myndigheder • Større St udbredelse db d l aff automatisering • Kundernes K d iinteresser t – og udbytte? • Bedre støtteværktøjer • Ledelsesansvar for SG initiativer • DSM for kunder,, elbiler & produktionsenheder • Behov for enkle løsninger! • Fastholde - vigtig g forudsætning • Følger efter Strategy & Mgmt • Middel – ikke mål • I dag ingen incitamenter 15 • Interessant men begrænset pga. lovgivning Hvordan udvikler man sit selskab til opgaven ? Trin 2 – udforsk hvad det kræver Ønske Nuværende sdfasf asdf sadf safd sadfsadf sdfs sadfsadf sa sdfasf asdf sadf safd sd sadfsadf sdfs sadf sa dfsadfsadfsadf sadf sadfsadf sa sadf sadfsad sadf sd sad sdf sadf sadf sa dfsadfsadfsadf sadf sadf sadf sadf sadfsad sadf sadf sadfsdfsdfsdfsadf sdaf sad sdf sadf jnfgkjdf sadf sadf sdfsfsfsafd sadf sadfsdfsdfsdfsadf sdaf asdfsadfasfdasfasf jnfgkjdf sadfsadfsadfsadf sadff sdfasf asdf sadf safd sadfsadf sdfs sadfsadf sa sdfasf asdf sadf safd sd sadfsadf sdfs sadf sa dfsadfsadfsadf sadf sadfsadf sa sd sadf sa dfsadfsadfsadf sadf sdfasf asdf sadf safd sadf sadfsad sadf sadfsadf sdf sad sdf sadf sadf sadf sadf sadfsdfsdfsdfsadf sdaf F.eks. Niveau 3, domæne 'Organization': "B: B: Indgår SmartGrid initiativer i ledelsesopfølgningen (f.eks. (f eks Balanced Score card)?" card)? 16 Hvordan udvikler man sit selskab til opgaven ? Trin 3 – match kravene med ambitionerne - eksempel p ((3 – 5 års horisont)) Current Score The Smart Grid Maturity Model 5 Innovating Next Wave I Improvements t 4 Optimizing Enterprise Wide 3 Integrating Cross Functional 2 Functional Investing 1 Exploring and Initiating Strategy, gy, Management & Regulatory Organization & Technology Structure Grid Societal & Environmental Operations - Overall strategy expanded due to SG capabilities - Optimized rate design/regulatory policy (most beneficial regulatory treatment for investments made) - New business model opportunities present themselves and are implemented - Collaboratively engage all stakeholders in all aspects of transformed business - Organizational changes support new ventures and services that emerge - Entrepreneurial mind set, Culture of innovation - Autonomic computing, machine learning - Pervasive use and leadership on standards - Leader and influence in conferences and industry groups, etc… - Leading edge grid stability systems - Actualize the "triple bottom line“(financial, environmental and societal) - Customers enabled to manage their own usage (e.g. tools and self-adaptive networks) - Tailored analytics and advice to customers t - Managing distributed generation - SG drives strategy and influences corporate direction - SG is a core competency - External stakeholders share in strategy - Willing to invest and divest, or engage in JV and IP sharing to execute strategy - Now enabled for enhanced mkt driven or innovative regulatory funding schemes - Integrated systems and control drive organizational transformation - End to end grid observability allows organizational leverage by stakeholders - Organization flattens - Significant restructuring likely occurs now (tuning to leverage new SG capabilities and processes) - Data flows end to end (e.g. customer to generation) - Enterprise business processes optimized with strategic IT architecture - Real world aware systems - complex event processing, monitoring and control - Predictive modeling and near real-time simulation, analytics drives optimization - Enterprise-wide security implemented - Collaboration with external stakeholders - Environmentally driven investments (aligned with SG strategy) - Environmental scorecard/reporting - Programs to shave peak demand - Ability to scale DG units - Available active mgmt. of end user energy uses and devices - Completed SG strategy and business case incorporated into corp. strategy - SG governance model deployed - SG Leader(s) (with authority) ensure cross LOB application of SG - Mandate/consensus with regulators to make and fund SG investments - Corp. strategy expanded to leverage new SG enabled services or offerings - SG is driver for org. change (addressing aging workforce, culture issues, etc.) - SG measures on balanced scorecard - Performance and compensation linked to SG success - Consistent SG leadership cross LOBs - Org. is adopting a matrix or overlay structure - Culture of collaboration and integration - SG impacted business processes aligned with IT architecture across LOBs - Common architectural framework e.g. standards, common data models, etc. - Use of advanced intelligence/analytics - Advanced sensor plan (e.g. PMUs) - Implementing SG technology to improve cross LOB performance - Data comms. detailed strategy/tactics - Active programs to address issue - Segmented & tailored information for customers – including environmental and social benefits - Programs to encourage off-peak usage - Integrated reporting of sustainability and impact - Synthesize triple bottom line view across LOBs - Integrated g vision & acknowledgement g - Initial strategy / business plan approved - Initial alignment of investments to vision - Distinct SG set-aside funding / budget - Collaboration with regulators and stakeholders - Commitment to proof of concepts - Identify initial SG leader - New vision influences change g - Organizing more around operational end-to-end processes (e.g. breaking silos) - Matrix teams for planning and design of SG initiatives across LOBs - Evaluating performance and compensation for Smart Grid - Tactical IT investments aligned to strategic IT architecture within a LOB - Common selection process applied - Common architectural vision and commitment to standards across LOBs - Conceptual data comms. strategy - IED connectivity and business pilots - Implementing information security - Developing first SG vision - Support for experimentation g - Informal discussion with regulators - Funding likely out of existing budget - Articulated need to change - Executive commitment to change - Culture of individual initiatives and discoveries - Knowledge growing; possibly compartmentalized (i.e. in silos) - Exploring strategic IT arch. for SG - Change control process for IT for SG - Identifying uses of technology to i improve ffunctional ti l performance f - Developing processes to evaluate technologies for SG Work & Asset Management Aspiration Customer Management & Experience Value Chain Integration - Grid employs self-healing capabilities - Automated grid decisions system wide (applying proven analytic based controls) - Optimized rate design/regulatory policy - Ubiquitous system wide dynamic control - Optimizing the use of assets between and across supply chain participants - Just in time retirement of assets - Enterprise-wide abstract representation of assets for investment decisions - Customer management of their end to end energy supply and usage level - Outage detection at residence/device - Plug-n-play customer based generation - Near real-time data on customer usage - Consumption level by device available - Mobility and CO2 programs - Coordinated energy management and generation throughout the supply chain - Coordinated control of entire energy assets - Dispatchable recourses are available for increasingly granular market options (e.g. LMP – Locational Marginal Pricing) - Integration into enterprise processes - Dynamic grid management - Tactical forecasts based on real data - Information available across enterprise through end-to-end observability - Automated decision making within protection schemes (leveraging increased analytics capabilities and context) - Enterprise view of assets: location, status, interrelationships, connectivity and proximity - Asset models reality based (real data) - Optimization across fleet of assets - CBM and predictive management on key components - Efficient inventory management utilizing real asset status and modeling - Usage analysis within pricing programs - Circuit level outage detection/notification - Net billing programs in the home - Automated response to pricing signals - Common customer experience integrated across all channels - Recent customer usage data (e.g. daily) - Behavior modeling augments customer segmentation g - Energy resources dispatchable/tradable, utility realizes gain from ancillary services (e.g. power on demand) - Portfolio optimization modeling expanded for new resources and real time markets. - Ability to communicate with HAN (Home Area Network), incl. visibility and control of customer large demand appliances - Sharing data across functions/systems - Implementing control analytics to support decisions & system calculations - Move from estimation to fact-based planning - The customer meter becomes an essential grid management “sensor” - New process being defined due to increased automation and observability - Component performance and trend analysis - Developing CBM (Condition Based Mgmt.) on key components -Integrating RAM to asset mgmt, mobile work force and work order creation - Tracking inventory, source to utilization - Modeling asset investments for key components based on SG data - High degree customer segmentation - Two-way meter, remote disconnect & connect, and remote load control - Outage detection at substation - Common customer experience - Customer participation in DR enabled - New interactive products/services - Predictive customer experience - Integrated resource plan includes new targeted resources and technologies (e.g. DR, DG, volt/VAR) - Enabling market and consumption information for use by customer energy mgmt systems - New resources available as substitute for market products to meet reliability objectives - Established energy efficiency programs for customers - “Triple bottom line" view – (financial, environmental and societal) - Environmental proof of concepts underway - Consumption information provided to customers - Initial distribution to sub-station sub station automation projects - Implementing advanced outage restoration schemes - Piloting remote monitoring on key assets (RAM) for manual decision making - Expanding and investing in extended communications networks - Developing mobile workforce strategy - Approach for tracking, inventory and event history of assets under development - Developing an integrated view of GIS and RAM with location, status and nodal interconnectivity - Piloting AMI/AMR - Modeling of reliability issues to drive investments for improvements - Piloted remote disconnect/connect - More frequent customer usage data - Assessing impact of new services and delivery processes (e.g. HAN) - Introducing support for home energy management systems - Redefine value chain to include entire eco-system (RTOs, customers, suppliers) - Pilot investments to support utilization of a diverse resource portfolio - Programs to promote customer DG - Awareness of issues and utility’s role in addressing the issues - Environmental compliance - Initiating I iti ti conservation, ti efficiency, ffi i “green” - Renewables program - Exploring new sensors, switches, comms. devices and technologies - Proof of concepts / component testing - Exploring outage & distribution mgmt. linked to sub-station sub station automation - Building business case at functional level - Safety & physical security - Conducting value analysis for new systems - Exploring RAM (Remote Asset Monitoring), beyond SCADA - Exploring E l i proactive/predictive ti / di ti assett maintenance - Exploring using spatial view of assets - Research on how to reshape the customer experience through SG - Broad customer segmentation (e.g. geography, income) - Load L d managementt iin place l ffor C&I - Reactive customer experience - Identified assets and programs within value chain to facilitate load management programs - Identified distributed generation sources and existing capabilities to support - Develop strategy for diverse resource portfolio ? 17 Hvordan har vi brugt the Maturity Model strategisk – indtil nu ? Til at skabe et fælles billede af the SmartGrid forløbet Til at kommunikere vores SmartGrid vision, internt og eksternt Som strategisk beslutningsværktøj Til at tilpasse eller supplere nuværende strategier Til at tilrette forretningsmæssige mål og investeringer I planlægningen af teknologisk og organisatorisk parathed Til benchmarking og læring af andre 18 Hvordan har vi brugt the Maturity Model taktisk – indtil nu ? Til at udvikle et SmartGrid roadmap Til at lave en kommunikationsplan for SmartGrid aktiviteter, internt og eksternt Til at måle nuværende projekter og projektmuligheder Som beslutningsværktøj Til at udvikle business cases og investeringsplaner Til at opstille en konkret plan for at flytte sig fra ét niveau til et andet I målingen af fremdrift Til at vurdere krav til organisation og kompetencer 19 SGMM Contact Information For overall questions about the model, its development, content, and data collection from APQC: Jeff Varney Program Director, Energy and Utilities Initiatives, APQC jvarney@apqc org [email protected] 1 512 670-1939 If you want to participate by completing the survey and getting your reports from APQC: Rebecca Thibodeaux Smart Grid Survey Support, APQC [email protected] 1 713-685-725 For advice on taking action based upon model results, understanding the model or taking the survey, or opportunities from IBM: Cary Harmon, IBM Global Business Services, Associate Partner, Strategy & Change [email protected] h @ ib 1 703-568-1252 For questions about stewardship, the model, its development, content, plans, intent or any other issues, from IBM: Ray Jones, IBM, Energy & Utilities, Maturity Model Program Executive [email protected] 1 877-244-1086 © Copyright APQC 2008. All Rights Reserved 20 Hvordan kommer vi videre med SmartGrid ? State estimation i distributionsnettet GHO03 - 543 - Belastning g af linier og g transformere GHO03 - 5484 0% 2860 GHO03 - 1049 2306 47 % 49 % GHO04 2% 4805 2497 35 % 16 % 71 6% 3197 1356 531731 % 34 % 6160 1179 32 % 24 % 40 % 53 % 6109 395 1% 393205 % 18 % 1736 4937 16 % 14 % 2891 228 8% 5113 3 % 2243 4% GHO05 - 5573 1 19 % 1885 8% 4990 HOL17 - 3994 State estimation i distributionsnettet - Belastning g af linier og g transformere GHO03 - 5484 0 MW 2860 GHO03 - 1049 2306 1,457 MW GHO04 0,026 MW 4805 2497 71 1,212 MW 0,551 MW 1,395 MW 0,405 MW 3197 1356 1,572 1731MW 1,945 MW 6160 1179 1,825 MW 0,341 MW 2,356 MW 1,595 MW 6109 395 0,046 MW 3205MW 2,272 0,533 MW 1736 4937 0,478 MW 2891 0,426 228 MW 0 23 MW0,0842243 0,23 5113 MW 0,14 MW GHO05 - 5573 1 0,268 MW 1885 0,113 MW 4990 HOL17 - 3994 Komplet netmodel hver 10 minutter … linier,, stationer,, belastninger g og g produktion p Station 6160 Discos målinger State Estimator resultat Skabelonbelastninger og fjernaflæste målere Lokale kraftvarmeenheder Snapshot 17. October 2008 08:00 State estimation i distributionsnettet - Spændingsprofil, p g p , fordeling g af belastning g og g produktion p State estimation i distributionsnettet - Belastningshistorik g El-biler som lager for vindkraft - SmartPIT er nøglen øg til aktuel kapacitet p i distributionsnettet Dynamisk belastningsgrænse Kontinuert belastningsgrænse Kapacitet K it t ved d ukontrolleret opladning Kapacitet ved 'intelligent' opladning Eksempler på andre projekter - på vejen til fremtidens elsystem Dynamisk netdrift Mål Optimal brug af nettet med dynamiske lastgrænser og fuldt overblik over loadflow, strømme og spændinger Opgaver Fuldt bestemt net i realtid, målinger, termiske modeller Prognoseværktøjer & operatørstøtte Demand Response & Mål integration af elbiler Bedre udnyttelse af vedvarende energi og det øvrige produktionssystem og net Opgaver System tjenester, for eksempel Vehicle-to-Grid Prognoseværktøjer, kommunikation, styring & afregning ! AMI Fault anticipation Mål At udvikle elmåleren fra mål til middel Opgaver Review af funktionsomfang & kommunikationsløsning Dataintegration henover selskab og branche, 'Data Marts' Mål Identificere høj-risiko komponenter Opdage tendenser, målrette vedligehold og reinvesteringer Opgaver Statistisk modellering Større datagrundlag, herunder udnyttelse af driftdata Screening programmer, forebyggelse ! Fælles udfordringer ? Fordele p på tværs af selskaber og områder 'Gateway' til kunderne Udbrede timemarked Integration af el biler el-biler udover netområdet Ens grænseflader overfor Energinet.dk Demand response, celleprojekter EU-anbefalinger, andre initiativer 29 Bedre udnytte vedvarende energi Bedre udnytte produktionssystem og net