FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide Page 1

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FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide Page 1
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 1
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FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
FANTASY FOOTBALL RULES TO FOLLOW ON DRAFT DAY (JOSH HONSES)
FakePigskin.com Top 35 Quarterbacks
2 QUARTERBACK PREVIEW (ANDREW NORDMEIER)
FakePigskin.com Running backs (PPR Scoring)
FakePigskin.com Running backs (Standard Scoring)
FakePigskin.com Wide Receivers (PPR Scoring)
FakePigskin.com Wide Receivers (Standard Scoring)
FakePigskin.com Tight Ends (PPR Scoring)
FakePigskin.com Tight Ends (Standard Scoring)
FakePigskin.com Top Rookies (Redraft Format)
FakePigskin.com Top Rookies (Dynasty Format)
FakePigskin.com Top 50 Defensive Linemen (IDP Scoring, Redraft Format) Bee Salamat
FakePigskin.com Top 50 Linebackers (IDP Scoring, Redraft Format) Bee Salamat
FakePigskin.com Top 50 Defensive Backs (IDP Scoring, Redraft Format) Bee Salamat
ANATOMY OF A DYNASTY TRADE (MATT LANE)
CHICAGO BEARS (JOSH HONSES)
DETROIT LIONS (PAUL BATTS)
GREEN BAY PACKERS (DAMIAN DOBROWSKI)
MINNESOTA VIKINGS (STEVE SCHULZ)
CIGAR REVIEW – BALMORAL ANEJO (DEVIN DITULLIO)
ATLANTA FALCONS (GRANT HARRISON)
CAROLINA PANTHERS (TYLER TOBIN)
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (JOSH HONSES)
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (JOSH HONSES)
DALLAS COWBOYS (DAVE CHERNEY)
NEW YORK GIANTS (RICHARD FINDURA)
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (JUSTIN TARTE)
WASHINGTON REDSKINS (JIM DREHER)
ARIZONA CARDINALS (FAKEPIGSKIN.COM STAFF)
BEER REVIEW – SAN TAN MOON JUICE (DEVIN DITULLIO)
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (MATT LANE)
LOS ANGELES RAMS (JACKSON SAFON)
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (MIKE GALUZKA)
BALTIMORE RAVENS (ADAM COOK)
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CINCINNATI BENGALS (BEN ROLFE)
CLEVELAND BROWNS (PAUL BATTS)
PITT“BU‘GH “TEELE‘“ LUKE O NEILL
HOUSTON TEXANS (SETH SHORT)
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (CHRISTOPHER CHEUNG)
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (GLADYS LOUSE TYLER)
TENNESSEE TITANS (NEIL DONOHOE)
BUFFALO BILLS (GLADYS LOUSE TYLER)
MIAMI DOLPHINS (AARON HERMAN)
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (BEN ROLFE)
NEW YORK JETS (PAUL BATTS)
DENVER BRONCOS (JOSH HONSES)
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (KYLE ROBERT)
OAKLAND RAIDERS (MATT LANE)
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (KYLE ROBERT)
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FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
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FANTASY FOOTBALL RULES TO FOLLOW ON DRAFT DAY
(JOSH HONSES)
This is the third time I have written this article for the Draft Guide. As frivolous as it may seem,
these rules have led me to multiple fantasy football championships and is something I bring with
me to every draft. Learn from my mistakes and I hope this serves you well for the upcoming
seaso . I wish you the est of lu k a d let’s go wi so e ha pio ships!
I would like to think that every year I play fantasy football, I learn a little bit more than I did the
previous year. Most importantly, I learn something new about how to handle being prepared
for the following season. I put in crazy amounts of hours every year doing mock drafts,
visualizing rankings and tiers, and trying to find that next big sleeper to help me, and thus you,
win a league. I know how frustrating it is to see none of your hard work pay off.
My main focus in this article is to help you prepare for the upcoming season. Everything I tell
you here has helped me in the past to win many fantasy championships, and I hope that it
se es ou ell. He e s
list of thi gs to do to help ou su eed o uildi g ou tea this
season.
Last year does not matter anymore
Everyone loved Eddie Lacy headed into last season. He was a first-round talent in a highpowered offense that was set to light the world on fire. I wanted to approach my draft going
receiver-hea i the fi st ouple ou ds e ause I as t as high o u i g a ks headed i to
the seaso . It as t like I knew such a fall-off for guys like Lacy or foresaw injuries for specific
players. I saw more value in the first 12 receivers than I did the first 12 running backs.
No I e ded up i i g
league, ut that does t ea I goi g to ha e to sa e approach
this season. I have no problem drafting Lacy this year and building my team with him. Every
ea is a e ea . Just e ause o e pla e as g eat o a e tai st ateg paid off does t
ea it t a slates o is the i i g fo ula. Do t hase last ea s statisti s.
Know your league
It a see sill , ut I a ot tell ou ho
a people I ha e talked to that do t k o
whether it is a PPR, IDP, or even how many teams are in the league.
Things to know:
- the scoring system
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- how many players on each roster
- how many starters on each roster
- how many teams are in the league.
People do t ealize ho this ha ges the a to app oa h the d aft. Fo e a ple, i a PP‘
league, guys like Adrian Peterson and Latavius Murray take a hit in value, while guys like David
Johnson and Danny Woodhead get a bump because of how many passes they catch out the
backfield. Rankings fluctuate based off of the type of league.
Gather as much data as you can
O e ou k o
hat ki d of league ou e i , ead as u h as you can about all players and
positions. It may seem trivial, but something like knowing that a guy is in a contract year is a
little tidbit to keep in your back pocket. Why is that important? Guys are going to want to get
paid, a d it s a hat ha e ou do e fo e latel league. A g eat e a ple of this f o last
year is Kirk Cousins, who both made a ton of fantasy owners happy with his production.
The good news for fantasy owners is you have so many options in doing research all over web
that you can spend an ungodly amount of time organizing and separating players into rankings.
E e ette , if ou e eadi g this, the ou e o e step ahead of the ga e e ause e he e at
FakePigskin offer our expert rankings to you FOR FREE.
Our team works tirelessly to give you in-depth analysis and advice to help you win and will be
made available in the near future. As if you needed another incentive, you will be privy to
having all of your questions answered personally by our draft gurus to help make lineup
decisions or another fantasy football needs you may have.
Assign value to each player
This is especially important for those of you in an auction draft. It is EXTREMELY helpful to know
ho
u h o e ou a t to spe d o a gu so that ou do t o e pa for him. There is
nothing worse than overpaying for a guy that ends up biting you in the ass when the value to
expect is far less than the value returned. I would highly recommend doing this regardless of
draft format because it also makes trading a lot easier.
Another thing this allows you to do is judge where you can get guys in the draft. If you think
To ‘o o is a top QB, the ou it s a o ai e to g a hi i the th round instead of
deciding between players who may not be in your lineup more than a couple weeks. It makes
drafting easier, and allows you to gauge your options to see who is the best player available.
This also leads e to
e t it of ad i e …
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Be flexible with your picks
I cannot stress enough how important it is to pay attention to your draft. If you take a RB with
your first pick and most other teams pick a WR, then you need to know the value of the
e ei e ou ould get ith ou e t pi k. Do t take a e ei e ho ou ha e a ked spots
lower than a running back just to draft someone at that position. YOU SHOULD ALWAYS DRAFT
THE BEST PLAYER AVAILABLE.
My next bit of advice is something that has served me well. Unless you really want Cam Newton
or Aaron Rodgers, wait on a QB until the later rounds. Last year Peyton Manning was drafted in
the 5th round of my 12 team league while I waited and took Eli Manning in the 9 th ou d. It s a
no brainer who the better player was last year. I would much rather surround my QBs with
ette skill pla e s so I do t ha e to el o the to ake up fo the est of
tea .
Simple math tells you that 1 point for every 10 yards yields much better results than 1 point for
every 25 or 30 yards. Guys like Matt Stafford, Philip Rivers, and Derek Carr are solid guys to play
every week and can easily produce great numbers that you can get in later rounds.
Lastly, one thing I have picked up over the years is to not worry about bye weeks. Once again,
always draft the best player available. Worry about the bye weeks later. I have tried to build
my team around not sacrificing too much during the bye weeks, and it lead me to nothing but
p o le s. It s hat ade e d aft F a k Go e o e Alle ‘o i so last seaso . Do t ake the
same mistake I did. Just worry about building the best team on draft day and worry about byes
later. There is no telling what can happen with injuries, trades, and other roster moves as the
season progress.
You cannot win your league on draft day
… ut ou a easil lose it. If ou go i to the d aft ith a solid, fle i le d aft st ateg of taki g
the best player a aila le the ou ill e set up fo su ess du i g the seaso . That does t
ea that ou do t ha e to o k the ai e i e o f ee age , ut it akes ou life so
much easier. There is nothing better than having three top 15 receivers to choose from every
week instead of scraping the bottom of the barrel for free agents because you set yourself up
with a good team on draft day.
We here at FakePigskin strive to be the best and work tirelessly to provide the best analysis for
all of our readers. Be sure to follow me, @SaidHeSaidAStory, and the rest of the @FakePigskin
football team on Twitter for any and all needs you may have.
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
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FakePigskin.com Top 35 Quarterbacks
RAN
K
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
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17
18
19
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28
29
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31
32
33
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35
PLAYER
Aaron Rodgers
Cam Newton
Andrew Luck
Russell Wilson
Carson Palmer
Drew Brees
Philip Rivers
Kirk Cousins
Eli Manning
Tony Romo
Ben Roethlisberger
Andy Dalton
Jameis Winston
Tom Brady
Matthew Stafford
Blake Bortles
Matt Ryan
Joe Flacco
Derek Carr
Alex Smith
Jay Cutler
Tyrod Taylor
Ryan Tannehill
Marcus Mariota
Ryan Fitzpatrick
Brock Osweiler
Mark Sanchez
Josh McCown
Teddy Bridgewater
Colin Kaepernick
Blaine Gabbert
Sam Bradford
Jared Goff
Geno Smith
Robert Griffin III
TEAM
GB
CAR
IND
SEA
AZ
NO
SD
WAS
NYG
DAL
PIT
CIN
TB
NE
DET
JAX
ATL
BAL
OAK
KC
CHI
BUF
MIA
TEN
NYJ
HOU
DEN
CLE
MIN
SF
SF
PHI
LA
NYJ
CLE
BYE
4
7
10
5
9
5
11
9
8
7
8
9
6
9
10
5
11
8
10
5
9
10
8
13
11
9
11
13
6
8
8
4
8
11
13
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2 QUARTERBACK PREVIEW
(ANDREW NORDMEIER)
Wel o e to the Fake Pigski Qua te a k P e ie a d D aft Guide fo the
seaso . Let s take
care of a few things before we dive in. First, we went with ranking by teams and not individual
quarterbacks. We know there is going to be a steep drop off from the starter to the backup. Other
teams are going to have position battles rage at the position as we go through training camp. We have
no way to know who will win out which is why we went by team.
We a t p edi t i ju ies. Think about Trent Green tearing his ACL in the second preseason game and
yielding to Kurt Warner in 1999. Warner runs the Rams into the Greatest Show on Turf and wins a Super
Bo l. You a also i agi e ho losi g a sta ide e ei e a i pa t a tea s standing a la Kelvin
Benjamin in Carolina.
We took the e otio out of the a ki gs a d looked at thi gs the u e s. It s sto e-cold analysis of
the stats and not much more. Just because so-and-so is ou fa o ite ua te a k it does t i pa t ou
rankings one bit. We also took out bye weeks and perceived strength of schedule. This will force you to
dete i e ho pai s ell ith ho fo the seaso . It s just like food a d i e. You a t put a fullbodied Syrah with spaghetti but it goes well with a ribeye steak. Find the pairings that work the best for
you. Are you going to take your lumps on one bye week or is a split concept going to work better?
We e st ipped the a es off the a k of the je se s a d e o ed the logos f o the hel ets. This is
what e a e a k ith. Let s sta t at the otto a d o k ou a up.
32. Los Angeles Rams Quarterbacks: Case Keenum, Jared Goff
Where do you begin on one of the worst teams in football for fantasy purposes? Once you get past Todd
Gurley at running back, the e is e little to offe fo the ua te a k positio a d it s a ig easo h
the Rams are dead last in these rankings.
Last season, the Rams were in St. Louis and finished dead last in offensive yards (4,761), passing yards
(2,805) and passing touchdowns (11). When your leading receiver is Kenny Britt with 681 yards, you are
in some rather dire straits in the modern pass-happy NFL. Britt was second on the team with three
touchdowns while Tavon Austin led the team with five scores. Austin was the only player on the team
with more than forty catches last season.
The offseaso as t that g eat fo the ‘a s as the o ed est ut fo got to add offe si e eapo s.
After Britt and Brian Quick, none of the receivers on the initial 90-man roster had more than four
seasons of experience in the league.
Tight end Jared Cook departed for Green Bay and left the Rams with nothing more than scraps at the
positio . La e Ke d i ks ould e the p esu ed sta te ut he as t utilized u h last seaso .
Despite a potential new color scheme and a splashy new stadium on the horizon, they are essentially the
same team that has been mired in mediocrity for the last decade. It used to be give-the-ball-to-Steven-
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Ja kso fo a ga e pla a d o it s the sa e thi g ith second-year running back Todd Gurley.
Additional running backs like Benny Cunningham add a little change of pace. Tre Mason ran into legal
issues (marijuana) that will hamper his playing time.
I all ho est , it does t eall atte hi h o e of the ua terbacks listed above actually takes the
snaps. They flat out have nothing to throw the ball to and that includes Gurley who recorded 21
e eptio s i
ga es last seaso . The p o e ial at is out of the ag i hi a d it o t e su p isi g
if he has a sophomore slump even if he plays in all 16 games in 2016.
Add to that pla i g i the tough NFC West a d a ho i le o e all s hedule a d the e s little hope he e.
About the only time to use a Rams quarterback this season is when they face Detroit in Week 6 as a byeweek fill in. Yes, that game has all the makings of a futility bowl and could be the only time to play them
at all this season.
31. Cleveland Browns Quarterbacks: Josh McCown, Robert Griffin III, Johnny Manziel
Cle ela d has t eall had a thing worth more than a pile of beans at the quarterback position since
Be ie Kosa o e tha
ea s ago. The u e t t io o t do a thi g to ha ge that pe eptio .
Whe e do ou egi he ou thi k a out Cle ela d s ua te a ks? Last seaso the had three of
them start. McCown was moderately effective with 2,102 passing yards and 11 touchdowns against four
interceptions in eight games. He battled injuries in the second half of the season and was never the
same. Manziel was in 10 games with six starts and only racked up 1,500 passing yards with seven
tou hdo s th ough the ai . B o s ua te a ks e e sa ked ti es last seaso hi h did t help
matters.
Robert Griffin III spent all of last season on the sidelines in Washington as Kirk Cousins emerged and led
that team to an NFC East championship. For Griffin III, this could be his only shot to reboot his career
and he has to do something in Cleveland.
Of ou se, the e s little fo help that s a aila le to a of the . The g ou d ga e as utte l i effe ti e
recording a league low four touchdowns from running backs. Isaiah Crowell had all of them and barely
cracked the 700-yard mark for rushing. Duke Johnson was more of the receiving threat with 61 catches
for 534 yards.
Tight end Gary Barnidge broke out and had a solid season with 79 catches for 1,043 yards and nine
touchdowns. Travis Benjamin added five more scores and 966 yards but he bolted to San Diego. After
that, ou e looki g at gu s like B ia Ha tli e a d A d e Ha ki s to e ou hope at e ei e . Yu k.
The e s also a o e a out Ba idge ei g a le to epeat his pe fo a e. The last B o s tight e d
to put up solid numbers was Jordan Cameron in 2013 with 80 catches for 917 yards and seven
tou hdo s. “i e the , he s posted
at hes fo
a ds a d fi e tou hdo s … i t o ea s …
across a total of 26 games with two different teams. Regression is expected for Barnidge in 2016 the
only question is whether he follow the Cameron curve and fall off the map in a couple years.
As of p ess ti e, Josh Go do s futu e as still up i the ai . He should get his fate de ided i August ut
let s ot get all uppit a out hi . We still do t k o e a tl ho his ua te a k ill e, assu i g he s
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allo ed to pla . If he o es a k, o side o i g the B o s up a spot o t o i these a ki gs ut it s
not significant enough to warrant using a Cleveland quarterback until Gordon proves it on the field.
The only value Cleveland has is their bye week that falls on Week 13. Their outing against Dallas on
Week 9 could provide potential usage for a Browns quarterback in 2016 as a bye week filler.
30. San Francisco Quarterbacks: Blaine Gabbert, Colin Kaepernick
Let s sta t ou a al sis ith the fa t “a F a is o s o ed the fe est poi ts i foot all i
ith a
meager 238 points and 92 of them came from kicker Phil Dawson. That leaves 146 points for the rest of
the team and they scored a defensive touchdown. That gives the 49er offense 140 points in 16 games.
Yikes.
Injuries played a big role in decimating the running game. Carlos Hyde had 470 yards and three
touchdowns in seven games before missing the rest of the season with a foot issue. No other rusher had
more than 275 yards and one touchdown for the team last season.
The receiving corps looks decimated to be polite. Anquan Boldin left as a free agent for Detroit. His
team-leading figures of 111 targets, 69 catches, 789 yards and four touchdowns are going to be gone.
That leaves Torrey Smith as the top threat and he posted 663 yards and four scores last season. After
Boldin, no receiver on the team had more than 35 catches. Beyond Boldin and Smith, only tight ends
Vance McDonald and Garrett Celek scored more than one touchdown in 2015. They each found the end
zone three times.
Gabbert and Kaepernick each had eight starts in 2015 so the stats are an apples-to-apples comparison.
Gabbert was better in passing yards and passing touchdowns while Kaepernick held an edge in rushing
yards by a count of 256. Ea h a fo o e tou hdo so the e s othi g eall he e to diffe e tiate
the two of them.
The schedule does them no favors since they have a bye on Week 8, which is a bigger bye week. After an
opener with Los Angeles, they are going to be crushed. They face Carolina, Seattle, Dallas and Arizona on
a Thursday night in Weeks 2- . That s ot p o isi g eithe .
There are many more question marks than answers here in San Francisco for the coming season and
they barely rank ahead of the bottom two teams on this list.
29. Detroit Quarterback: Matthew Stafford
Cal i Joh so eti ed i the offseaso a d took ost of “taffo d s fa tas alue ith hi
he he left.
There is just no replacing one of the all-ti e est pla e s at the ide e ei e positio . We ll lea e the
Hall of Fame debate to someone else while we focus on the fantasy issues in the Motor City.
The Lio s ould t u to sa e thei a es last seaso . Whe ou e th in carries (354) and 32nd in
yardage (1,335) you have a huge issue. Ameer Abdullah led the team and still finished with less than 600
rushing yards last season. He has fumbling issues, which caused him to get glued to the bench often.
Joique Bell had a team high four rushing touchdowns but is now a free agent. Stevan Ridley joined the
team in the offseason but is coming off a torn ACL.
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We know Megatron was awesome and Golden Tate played the second banana role perfectly. Tate had a
solid season with 90 catches for 813 ya ds a d si s o es. He e s the est uestio o the Lio s.
Who was third in targets, receptions, and yards in 2015?
It as t La e Moo e a d his
a ds. It as t tight e d E i E o
either with 537 yards. The answer is
running back Theo Riddick who had 99
targets, 80 catches, 697 yards and
three receiving touchdowns last
season. By comparison, Riddick ran the
ball 43 times for 133 yards and no
scores.
The Lions signed Marvin Jones from
Cincinnati but his role is going to have
to e figu ed out. He s ot the W‘
that you look for on a team and Tate
should continue to play the same role
he did last season. Detroit is lacking a
t ue u e o e e ei e a d that s a
huge flaw nowadays in the NFL. You
a t easo a l e pe t Tate to step up
and do what Steve Smith did in his
career with Carolina and Baltimore.
That is be a smaller sized receiver and
still be the WR1 for the tea . No ada s it s the igge
the little guys are speedy.
odied pla e s ho a e those top e ei e s a d
E o is goi g to e u de p essu e to pe fo a d e ll ha e to see ho the thi d-year player from
North Carolina lives up to it. His other tight ends on the roster (i.e. Brandon Pettigrew) are primarily
blockers which helps a little.
That goes to show how difficult the season will be in Detroit. This is just like the situation in Cleveland
where one back is the runner and one is the receiver and we saw how poorly that worked out. The Lions
went 6-2 in the second half of the season when Jim Bob Cooter was given the reins as offensive
oo di ato . The Lio s a t to uild o that ut ithout o e sto e Cal i Joh so , it s e diffi ult to
imagine it being done.
“taffo d used to e alled the Cost o Qua te a k e ause his su ess as tied to his high olu e of
passing attempts. We have no real idea what the Lions offense will look like this season so his value is
unpredictable. The teams that are lower in the rankings can confirm they have nothing to work with.
That possible upside is why Detroit is ranked here at 29.
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
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28. Chicago Quarterback: Jay Cutler
The Chi ago Bea s a e goi g to e a tea o a sha p de li e this seaso a d ou o t ant to run with
Ja Cutle o ou fa tas tea . He e s he e it e t o g. Matt Fo te left fo the Ne Yo k Jets a d
Martellus Bennett chose to play for New England. That also is about 100 receptions and six touchdowns
that left the team. Those were two ke pla e s o last seaso s tea a d thei a se e puts a ig
wrench in the passing game in the Windy City.
So what do they have? Alshon Jeffery is still going to be that go-to target but option number two is a real
crap shoot. Could it be Kevin White, the player with as many catches in the NFL as you have? Could it be
a less-heralded receiver like Marquess Wilson or presumed starter tight end Zach Miller?
With Forte out of the mix, it sets up for a potential running back by committee approach with Jeremy
La gfo d getti g the fi st a k. Ka Dee Ca e looks to ha e a ole as a ha ge of pa e a k ut eithe
ill e a le to full fill Fo te s shoes.
It still leaves a big question to be answered: Where is the offense going to come from? Honestly, we
do t k o . Ha i g o e good e ei e i Jeff e is h this g oup o es i at o ou a ki gs.
27. Philadelphia Quarterbacks: Sam Bradford and Carson Wentz
The Eagles ould easil e a disaste i
. The e lost DeMa o Mu a to Te essee. The spent
the second overall pick on a potential quarterback of the future but have issues at present. Bradford
does t ha e a eputatio fo ei g health a pai of to ACLs o a thi g ese li g solid pla a d
the team handcuffed itself with the amount of money they spent on this position.
The running game looks to offer little assistance. Ryan Mathews looked good at times last season as a
change of pace back, rolling up 700 total yards and six touchdowns in that role. The big question is
whether can he rise to the occasion as a presumed feature back in Philadelphia. History says maybe. If
the Eagles get a op of the
e sio
,
total a ds a d si tou hdo s the it s good. If it s the
e sio
a ds a d o e tou hdo
, the it s ot that great of a deal.
Jordan Matthews finished a hair shy of 1,000 yards and recorded eight touchdowns last year. Once you
get past tight e d )a h E tz
a ds a d t o s o es , the e s a p ett sha p d op off i tale t. The
Eagles had seven other players with at least 200 receiving yards but none of the seven had more than
. We e talki g a out ou, Nelso Agholo a d ‘ile Coope .
The Eagles have an easy front part of the season with Cleveland, Chicago, Pittsburgh and Detroit in their
first four ga es. Philadelphia has a Week
e this ea hi h does t gi e u h hope fo a late seaso
refresher for when the team falters. Weeks 11 through 14 feature four straight playoff teams in Seattle,
Green Bay, Cincinnati and Washington. Yikes.
The NFC East was a weak division last year and it could be again this year. Tangling with the AFC North
offers a potential cupcake or two in Baltimore and Cleveland. It also means they could be pounded by
the Steelers and Bengals.
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Wentz is making a jump f o No th Dakota “tate U i e sit to the NFL. It s ot a eas leap fo gu s
that played in the power conferences so it will be that much tougher for Wentz to grow into a
quarterback this season. He should only see spot duty in 2016 barring the inevitable Sam Bradford
injury.
The question marks are still looming large in Philadelphia. They barely edged out Chicago in a virtual
coin toss to take this spot in the rankings.
26. Tennessee quarterback Marcus Mariota
This will be one of the most puzzling teams from a fantasy standpoint in 2016. As in why-are-you-evenbothering-with-the ? I sho t it s Dela ie Walke . The tight e d has ee o e of the steadiest pla e s at
his position for the last few years and does so despite being on an awful team. In his three seasons with
the Tita s, Walke has put up
at hes fo ,
a ds a d tou hdo s. That s ot sha .
The rest of the team around him makes you wonder what the plan is in Nashville this season. They
picked up DeMarco Murray from the Eagles in free agency but then drafted Derrick Henry in the second
round. You can surmise the plan could be run, run and run some more for the Titans and if all else fails,
run the ball.
That ill zap Ma iota s alue i fa tas . Afte Walke s
at hes fo ,
yards, it drops off
significantly with one of the worst receiving groups in football. No other player had more than 37
receptions, which includes Dorial Green-Beckham, Harry Douglas and Kendall Wright. Yes, injuries
played a part in this but more importantl Ma iota did t ha e ti e to th o . He as sa ked o e e
ninth or tenth dropback, mathematically speaking. He also had nothing that resembled a running game.
Antonio Andrews has 523 yards and three scores to pace the team on the ground. Mariota was second
ith
a ds a d t o tou hdo s. Whe ou ua te a k is getti g e posed like that, it s a huge
p o le . Ma iota has the a ilit to ake pla s at the NFL le el ut he s usi g the too ofte .
Whe ou fa to i the e u i g a ks, e do t e pe t Mariota to run much except to scramble out
of the pocket. We think his value will be more tied into his ability as a pocket passer in 2016 and it looks
unfavorable if he throws to anyone other than Walker. The Titans are the other team with the useless
Week 13 bye so not even the schedule can save any real value for Mariota.
25. Atlanta Quarterback Matt Ryan
This is the first surprise in the rankings to see Matt Ryan this low. Ryan has consistently posted seasons
around 4,500 passing yards but his touchdown total fell to 21 last season. He also committed 21
turnovers (16 interceptions, five lost fumbles) which dampen our enthusiasm for him. Then you add in
the dependence in the passing game on Julio Jones. Jones led the league last season with 136 catches
a d ,
a ds fo eight s o es. Just fo fu , ho as the tea s second leading receiver in 2015?
If you guessed Devonta Freeman or Roddy White, you missed it. The answer is tight end Jacob Tamme
ith
a ds. F ee a had
a d White added
. The poi t he e is that Atla ta does t see to
have that dynamic second receiver that they did in years past to pull heat off Jones. White used to be
that player and was effective but gradually became less productive. He was released by the team in the
offseason and leaves a surprisingly key role open. This is going to let defenses cheat a little more when
they take on Jones and he could see a drop in production this season. It could still be 95 catches for
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1,250 yards but it would be a sizeable drop. Teams are going to get smart quickly to the idea of Ryan
dumping the ball off to Freeman after his breakout last season.
“o h a e e lo o ‘ a ? Fi st, he s issi g a eal W‘ o his oste hi h is so ethi g he s e e
ee ithout. “e o d, the di isio al i te lo k ith the NFC West is t a fa o a le at hup. Thi d, the
AFC West will also be a bitter pill to swallow for the Falcons. Fourth, Freeman looks like he is in line for a
regression this season and finally, the Falcons fell apart in the second half of the season in 2015. They
fell from 6-1 to 8-8 and need to shake off that funk before it lingers into 2016. If it does, they can drown
their sorrows in $5 beers and $3 slices of pizza when they move into their new stadium next season.
24. Denver Quarterbacks: Mark Sanchez and Paxton Lynch
The defending Super Bowl champions did it with defense last year. Peyton Manning limped through the
season before riding off into the sunset with the Lombardi Trophy. Brock Osweiler was his backup and
he was given $72 million reasons to head to Houston. That left Mark Sanchez and first-round draft pick
Paxton Lynch as the two main contenders for the job under center (Sorry, Trevor Siemian).
Let s eak do fa ts o “a hez. He has e e th o fo o e tha ,
a ds i a seaso . He has
one season with more than 18 touchdown passes (2011—26) and thrown at least 13 interceptions in
seasons where he played 15 or all 16 games.
The e s little dou t the ha e the ight ki d of ide e ei e s i De a ius Tho as a d E
a uel
Sanders. Tight end remains a bit of a question mark between Garrett Graham and Virgil Green. Denver
should be able to run the ball effectively with CJ Anderson, Ronnie Hillman and fourth-round pick
Devontae Booker factoring in.
He e s h I
ot too high o this situatio . Fi st, the AFC West defe ses keep i p o i g a d the
quarterbacks in this divisio ill e athe halle ged. “a hez s ti e last seaso as a th ee-game run
in an 11-da spa , hi h the Eagles lost all th ee of the . The Philadelphia offe se ould t e e
uste
20 points against Miami, Tampa nor Detroit, the latter of which was a 31-point stuffing on Thanksgiving
Da . He s ee
o e of a jou e a that gets late seaso o k. A tuall , he has t sta ted a ga e i
the month of September or October since 2012.
It s ot goi g to e eas fo De e as the ope ith Ca oli a a d Ci i ati i t o of the fi st th ee
games. Their last three are New England, Kansas City and Oakland so there could be some late speed
u ps fo the De e offe se. We ll a t to see hat happens in the preseason but someone needs to
emerge and seize the reins in Denver, quickly.
23. Baltimore Quarterback Joe Flacco
He is t elite. Let s get that out of the a o . Fla o a d the ‘a e s had a utal seaso last ea
thanks to injuries. It truly muddled their team identity in fantasy and made it tough to trust anyone not
named Justin Tucker and even he was shaky at times.
How bad was it?
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After Flacco was done for the season, the Ravens had three additional quarterbacks (Ryan Mallett,
Jimmy Clausen and Matt Schaub) each throw for at least 540 yards but no more than 570. The Ravens
threw as many touchdowns as interceptions last season with 21 of each.
The ground game suffered after Justin Forsett broke his arm and was done for the season. Javorius
Bu k Alle stepped i a d as oka ut did t eall ha e that sizzle at his positio . You k o it as a
bad year when the leader in rushing touchdowns for the Ravens was none other than Flacco.
The ‘a e s issues ste f o
ot ha i g a eal threat in the passing game other than Steve Smith Sr. He
was lost for the season with a torn Achilles and the Ravens were never the same. Kamar Aiken was the
only Raven with more than 50 catches last season. Breshad Perriman missed his rookie season with a
to poste io u iate liga e t PCL i his k ee. He s goi g to e o e of these ild a d pla e s like
Ke i White i Chi ago i the
seaso . You just do t k o
hat ou e goi g to get out of hi .
An even bigger question mark is tight end Dennis Pitta. If ou do t e e e hi , he pla ed i fou
games late in 2013 after fracturing his hip in training camp. He rehabbed back and played in three
games in early 2014 before fracturing his hip again. He missed the entire 2015 season so his availability
let alone productivity for the upcoming season are total unknowns. He would be a pleasant addition to
the ‘a e s e ei i g g oup ut e e ot ou ti g o hi as of p ess ti e.
Think about this when you go to your draft. Flacco has never thrown for 4,000 yards in any of his seven
NFL seasons. Last season, a dozen quarterbacks threw for more than that amount. He was 29th out of 34
ualif i g ua te a ks i a ds pe atte pt ith . . It suggests he as t th o i g the all do field
much and was relying on his receivers to make plays. The Ravens threw for 4,449 yards last season in
total. Of those yards, 2,057 came after the catch. The receivers were making the plays in 2015 and
nothing is present to show anything different in 2016. The Ravens need the receivers to make plays to
ake thei ua te a k p odu ti e e ause he is t elite.
22. New York Jets Quarterbacks: Geno Smith, Bryce Petty, Christian Hackenberg, Ryan Fitzpatrick?
The Jets did something no other team in football did last season when they won 10 games and failed to
make the playoffs. This team was scary good and could have been a problem in a wild card game had
they made it. They had the right weapons on their team a decent enough defense to make things
happen.
Last season, the Jets had a pair of 1,000 receivers who each scored at least a dozen touchdowns. Add in
Chris Ivory, one of the seven backs with more than 1,000 rushing yards last season and the Jets were
formidable on offense. That is after Geno Smith got popped in the jaw in training camp and Ryan
Fitzpatrick took over under center.
Fast forward to this season. As of press time, Fitzpatrick is still trying to negotiate a deal with the Jets.
Ivory saw dollar signs and took his dreadlocks to Jacksonville. The Jets were able to land Matt Forte from
the Bears and should be able to add a new wrinkle to the offense in 2016.
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The new wrinkle is a more reliable pass-catching back. Forte is good for about 50 receptions a year and
had a mind-blowing 102 in 2014. He can also run the ball well and has five seasons of 1,000 yards or
more under his belt. (He finished three yards short of a sixth.)
The hesita
to a k the highe is due to the u e tai t at ua te a k. “ ith s last full seaso as
in 2014 when the team went 3-10 with him under center. He threw for 2,525 yards with 13 touchdowns
and 13 interceptions. Bryce Petty is an unknown and second-round pick Christian Hackenberg is an even
igge uestio
a k. U til the e is e tai t , e e lea i g the he e e ause of the upside.
If Fitzpat i k sig s ith the Jets, e ll o e the to th on the list.)
21. Miami Quarterback Ryan Tannehill
Mia i is a lo el it ith ple t of flai . Of ou se, e e talki g a out the uildi gs a d ot the
Dolphins in fantasy football this season. Their schedule is brutal on both ends of the season. They have
road games at Seattle, New England and Cincinnati (on a short week) for three of their first four outings.
They end with hosting Arizona, visiting Buffalo and the Jets before hosting the Patriots on Week 17.
A d e ha e t e e ju ped i to the pe so el. The ig o e as u i g a k La a Mille headi g
to Houston and taking his 872 rushing yards and eight touchdowns with him. That leaves Jay Ajayi to
head up the running game. Ajayi is the player who missed the first half of the season and saw 49 carries
fo
a ds a d a tou hdo . That s the est unning back they have on the roster when you also see
Daniel Thomas, Isaiah Pead and rookie Kenyan Drake.
The good news is that Jarvis Landry is still there. Landry was a PPR stud last season with 110 catches for
1157 yards and four touchdowns. He also ran for a score and found the end zone on a kick return to add
to his e satilit . But afte La d , ou ha e … ou ha e … a sig ifi a t d op off to ‘isha d Matthe s,
Kenny Stills, DeVante Parker and a bland group of tight ends led by Jordan Cameron.
The rather pedestrian group of targets for Tannehill is why he is ranked where he is. Sure, he threw for
4,208 yards with 24 touchdowns and 12 interceptions but he feels to have a regression in store for his
owners in 2016. The questions are going to linger about where the offense will come from for this team.
If Landry was hurt, Miami would be contending for a spot in the bottom five of the rankings. Add to that
Tannehill had seven games with fewer than 250 passing yards and it makes Tannehill a risky proposition
due to his inconsistencies.
The Dolphins should have an uptick late in the regular season when they take on San Diego, Los Angeles,
San Francisco and Baltimore in Weeks 10-13. Expect Tannehill to start slowly and finish slowly if you
draft him.
Miami looks like a team that will have to pass the ball a lot to get its offense rolling. Can Tannehill be
trusted to run it well with it being almost one-di e sio al? We do t thi k it ill e effe ti e a d that s
why he almost cracks the top 20.
20. Dallas Quarterback Tony Romo
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Dallas had as many starting quarterbacks as wins last season as the Cowboys limped home to a 4-12
record. Injuries to Dez Bryant and Tony Romo took their toll on the team and led to Kellen Moore, Matt
Cassel and Brandon Weeden starting games in 2015. Gulp.
Running back Darren McFadden actually survived a full season and thrived behind the Dallas offensive
line with 1,417 total yards of offense and 10 total touchdowns. Yes, the same Darren McFadden who
would survive to about halfway through the season before getting hurt and sent to IR.
A healthy Romo would be a big boost as would a healthy Bryant. The player to be concerned about is
tight end Jason Witten who is starting to decline into the twilight of his career. He had six straight
seasons with at least 940 receiving yards from 2007-2012 but has fallen off since. In his last two seasons,
he s slid do to a out
a ds pe seaso . A out e e thi d ea , he s due fo a st o g tou hdo
showing and 2016 could be one of those years. He scored nine times in 2010 and eight times in 2013. In
between, he has 16 total touchdowns in four seasons. Witten has gone from a solid, no-brainer tight
end to the middle of the pack and we fear he might drag Romo down a bit with him.
The rest of the Dallas e ei e s do t i spi e u h o fide e. Cole Beasle
-536-5) is a low-end
optio a d Te a e Willia s o t p odu e the a he did i
. I stead look a k at his stats f o
2013-14 to get a better idea. He was good for about 40 receptions, 660 yards and four touchdowns as a
rough average for that time frame. Neither of which is stellar and dampens our enthusiasm on Dallas.
There is hope in Big D and it comes in the form of fourth-overall pick Ezekiel Elliott from Ohio State. He
averaged 300 touches, 2,000 total yards and 21 touchdowns in each of his final two years as a Buckeye.
That s all ell a d good ut he had a out
e eptio s a seaso hi h does t help out his ua te a k
u h i that ega d. The e s o dou t Elliott ill help the Dallas rush offense and it will be interesting to
see how he gets worked in with McFadden and, to a lesser extent, Alfred Morris.
‘o o s passi g a dage has d opped i ea h of his last t o full seaso s u de e te . The passi g
touchdowns are still there with 65 of them in the last two seasons but how much longer will they be
there? This might be the last chance to have Romo be a viable fantasy quarterback.
19. Cincinnati Quarterback Andy Dalton
This is going to be an interesting year for the Red Rifle. He still has two good running backs in Jeremy Hill
and Giovani Bernard but AJ Green is going to be very exposed at wide receiver. The offseason was tough
as Mohamed Sanu left for Atlanta and Marvin Jones bolted to Detroit. Then there was the bigger below.
Tyler Eifert had ankle surgery in late May and could miss games early in the season.
Eifert is the big question mark here. He is projected to be back for the season opener but you never
know how people will heal. Last season Eifert led the Bengals with 13 touchdowns and he would be a
huge loss in the passing game if he were gone for an extended period.
This is going to force Green into doing his best DeAndre Hopkins imitation. He could lead the league in
targets due to a lack of other viable downfield options in Cincinnati. Giovani Bernard (49 catches) is the
much better passing option than Jeremy Hill (15 receptions). It was Hill in close plowing in touchdowns
close to the goal line and he could do more of the same if Eifert is out for a month into the season, for
example.
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So what do the Bengals have? They have Brandon LaFell, Brandon Tate and a bunch of rookies at the
wide receiver position. At tight end, it could fall to Tyler Kroft and a rotating group of young tight ends.
We e goi g to assu e a health Eife t to sta t the seaso a d keep Dalto a ked he e. We d d op
Dalton and the Bengals four spots if Eifert starts to run into issues miss regular season games. Green is a
great receiver but defenses will likely be double-covering him most of the season. The running backs
do t add a lot i the passi g ga e a d if the ha e to a it o e, Dalto s alue ill o ti ue to
slide. He is at this spot in the rankings primarily due to the non-human things AJ Green can do. A healthy
Eife t akes hi a de e t QB othe ise he s a fle pla agai st the eake tea s i the NFC West a d
AFC North.
18. Kansas City Quarterback Alex Smith
The a e Ale “ ith is e ough to ake ost fa tas pla e s g oa i disgust. He s also the fi st of a
group of four quarterbacks that can be middle of the pack and used almost interchangeably at this spot
in the rankings. The line to separate these players was very thin.
“o h a e t e goi g to o it at the thought of pla i g hi ? Well, look at his production and see
what he has around him. He lost running back Jamaal Charles to a torn ACL, the second of his career, but
not before he rolled up 541 total yards and four total touchdowns on his shortened season. Jeremy
Maclin started slowly but still piled up 1,088 yards and eight touchdowns. Tight end Travis Kelce had 875
yards on 72 catches and five touchdowns.
He has the pieces in place to build on to be a solid quarterback in fantasy if he would ever get let out of
his cage by Andy Reid. The passing yardage was a little on the low side with 3,498 and his 20
tou hdo s a d se e i te eptio s do t eall get ou atte tio .
He e s hat does: “ ith a the all ti es fo
a ds a d t o tou hdo s. Yes, ou athe ha e
to lump Smith in the dis ussio ith the o ile ua te a ks. He is t o e i the t aditio al se se like
Cam Newton or Russell Wilson but it still has to be taken into account. Smith finished fourth in rushing
yards among quarterbacks, trailing Newton, Wilson and Tyrod Taylor.
The early buzz is that the Chiefs want to get Kelce more involved in the offense, which is a very good
idea. He had nine games with fewer than 50 yards last season and scores three touchdowns over the
final 15 games of the season. Kelce is primed to break out in 2016 and Alex Smith is going to get him
there. Add a healthy Charles to the mix with solid backs to rotate in and this could be a formula for a
o petiti e fa tas ua te a k. No if o l the Chiefs had a W‘ o thei oste ou ould ou t o …
17. Buffalo Quarterback Tyrod Taylor
Speaking of Tyrod Taylor, we run into him here at the 16th spot. He s a ou g, o ile ua te a k ith a
ight futu e ahead of hi i the league. Last seaso as a it o fusi g as the Bills ould t de ide o a
quarte a k ight a a . Was it goi g to e EJ Ma uel o Ta lo ? Ta lo o the sta ti g jo a d did t
really impress out of the gate with his arm. He had five games with fewer than 25 pass attempts and six
games with fewer than 200 passing yards.
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Thankfully, he could rely on his feet to make up for some shortcomings. It turns out Taylor was the
second- est ushi g ua te a k last seaso ith
a ds a d fou tou hdo s o
a ies. That s
impressive when the running back duo of LeSean McCoy and Karlos Williams had nearly 300 touches
o i ed i the Bills u i g atta k. Buffalo as o e of the fe tea s that a the all o e
carries) than they threw (465 pass attempts) in 2015.
The big question here is how well the Buffalo receivers will perform. Sammy Watkins had a solid season
ith
at hes fo ,
a ds a d i e tou hdo s. The p o le lies i the fa t the e s a uestio
a out his health leadi g i to a p. The e s also the uestio a out hethe the Bills ill pass o e this
season. Will Robe t Woods, Ch is Hoga o Cha les Cla
eak out this seaso ? It a t all e Watki s fo
the Bills.
The other thing that holds Taylor and the Bills back is their schedule. Weeks 2-4 are the Jets, Cardinals
and a trip to the Patriots. After games with Los Angeles, San Francisco and Miami, the schedule crunches
the Bills again. Weeks 8-14 of the season: New England, at Seattle, BYE, at Cincinnati, Jacksonville, at
Oakland and home against Pittsburgh. Yikes.
The rushing element and the prospect of three straight December home games in Buffalo helps to put
hi i the iddle of the pa k. It ould t take u h to d op hi do
ut e a t see hi isi g up
much more than where he is.
16. San Diego Quarterback Philip Rivers
The quarterback who finished second in passing yardage last season comes in at 16th o ou list. You e
probably scratching your head wondering how a quarterback with 29 touchdowns and 4,792 yards is this
lo . Well, let s e plai it this a .
Rivers had a good group of receivers but that was because he took the Matthew Stafford path to fantasy
goodness. He passed in bulk and led the league with 661 pass attempts, 34 more than second-place
Drew Brees. This helps to explain why Keenan Allen was having a killer season before suffering a kidney
injury that ended his 2015 campaign. Antonio Gates missed the first four games and wound up with 630
yards and five touchdowns. This is what happens when you throw, throw and throw some more.
Of course the Chargers did that since they were grossly one-dimensional. The Chargers were 31st on the
run last season with 1,358 yards and league-worst four rushing touchdowns. Two of those scores came
in the first game of the season against Detroit. Melvin Gordon ran the ball 184 times for 641 yards and
ould t get i to the e d zo e. E e othe pla e ith at least
ushi g atte pts last seaso s o ed
at least once. Gordon had offseason knee surgery to try and correct him medically.
Danny Woodhead tried to get the Chargers going in the passing game. He led the team with 755 yards
(688 after the catch) on 80 receptions (106 targets) and seven touchdowns. Woodhead was nothing
more than the safety valve for Rivers and seemingly, nobody figured this out last season. On the whole,
San Diego had a mind- lo i g ,
a ds afte at h last seaso . That s o e tha half of ‘i e s totals.
The offseaso
o es did t help the Cha ge s eithe . Mal o Flo d alled it uits. La da ius G ee e t
to Pittsburgh to replace the retired Heath Miller. The Chargers signed Travis Benjamin from Cleveland
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(more on that in a minute) and drafted defensive end Joey Bosa of Ohio State third overall. They drafted
a defensive end despite being near the bottom in every major rushing category. Ooooookay.
The Benjamin signing should make you stop and think twice about drafting Rivers. Last season in
Cleveland, he posted numbers of 68 catches for 966 yards and five touchdowns. Drill down in those
u e s a d ou ll see ho
u h of a f aud he is. His five touchdowns came from 4, 42, 50, 54 and 60
yards out. The longest four passes came from Johnny Manziel. If you remove those from his stats, he
calculates to 64 catches for 760 yards and one touchdown. Additionally, in his last five games of the
season he posted 14 catches for 140 yards and no scores. Which Travis Benjamin will the Chargers get—
the home run threat or the guy who goes invisible for weeks at a time?
U til the Cha ge s a get so ethi g goi g o the g ou d o siste tl , I
ot u i g into Rivers as a
QB1. He has the ability to be a plug-and-play quarterback when the matchup seems like a shootout or is
positi e Week agai st the Tita s, Week at Cle ela d ut I a t put
fa tas eggs i his asket.
A d do t e e get sta ted on the stadium drama or possible relocation after the season.
15. Oakland quarterback Derek Carr
The Oakla d ‘aide s ill i the AFC West this seaso . We e goi g out o that li
o a d the e s
good reason to do so. The Raiders have a strong defense and their offense should be quite potent which
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leads to Derek Carr being ranked where he is. We find Carr to be rather favorable this season. Last
season Carr threw for a whisker shy of 4,000 yards with 32 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Those are
solid numbers for a second-year quarterback.
His running attack has a true bell-cow in Latavius Murray, one of the handful of running backs to break
the 1,000-yard barrier in 2015. The offensive line is poised to be one of the best in football and give
Murray lanes to run. That is going to allow Carr to have some time to drop back and pass. When he
does, Carr has real talent to throw to. Amari Cooper was solid last season with 1,030 yards and six
touchdowns. Michael Crabtree resurrected his career and posted a solid 85-922-9 line in 2015. Clive
Walford and Mychal Rivera add solid options from the tight end spot.
My gut says Carr finishes with topu e s ut does t ha e the fa tas se appeal to a k that top
10 and the elite tier of fantasy quarterbacks. He should get there in the very, very near future. This could
be your last chance to get Carr on the cheap before he blows up this season. Everything is in place for
him to excel this season.
14. Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson
Before you start filli g
i o ith hate ail f o the state of Washi gto , let s e ho est a d
objective here when we think of Wilson. I find his value to be more in name than in actual talent. Last
season, everything changed for him when Jimmy Graham tore his patellar tendon in the win over
Pitts u gh. Let s go i side the u e s to p o e this poi t.
Prior to the tare (10 games): 199/295 passing for 2,378 yards with 13 touchdowns and seven
interceptions. On the ground, 73 carries for 385 yards and no touchdowns.
After the tare (6 games): 130/188 passing for 1,646 yards with 21 touchdowns and one interception. On
the ground, 30 carries for 168 yards and one touchdown.
Wilson went from ho-hum to holy cow after Graham blew out his patella. You can discount his final
game performance when he threw for 197 yards and three touchdowns in a meaningless win over
Arizona. Also, it was Week 17 when most leagues are done with and the Cardinals already wrapped up
the # seed i the NFC so it s ot like the e e t i g u h.
Wilso s u i g as o -existent last season. The fact he ran for 553 yards is still impressive but he
failed to score a touchdown on the ground until an early December win over the Vikings. Alex Smith ran
for 498 yards, only 56 less than Wilson, and scored more touchdowns. We know which one has the
lower ADP than the other.
Marshawn Lynch retired and left the backfield to Thomas Rawls with Christine Michael and CJ Prosise
joi i g hi i the a kfield. ‘a ls is t goi g to add u h i the passi g ga e as he had nine catches all
of last season. Prosise projects to be more of a third-down back and should see more attempts in the
passing game.
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The tight e ds a e of little help to Wilso s alue. G aha posted
a ds a d t o tou hdo s o
catches in 10 games. Graham had four games with six or more catches but had seven games (including
Pittsburgh) with four or fewer. Graham had less than 50 receiving yards in each game where he had
fewer than four catches and failed to score. The other tight ends (Cooper Helfet and Luke Willson)
o i ed fo
at hes fo
a ds a d o e s o e so it s ot a ia le optio fo Wilso . It also akes
o se se h the “eaha ks did t a t to get G aha
o e i ol ed last seaso . We k e he ould
regress from his numbers in 2014 with the Saints, but this was insane.
But, ait it s Doug Bald i to the es ue! Bald i had
at hes fo ,
a ds a d tou hdo
Yes, he did. But he was with Wilson in terms of low performance before Graham popped his knee
ligament and then went nuclear after the big tight end was carted off.
s.
Baldwin reminds me of Dwayne Bowe circa 2011. Bowe came from nowhere and led the NFL with 15
tou hdo s i
like Bald i did i
. Bo e s tou hdo total d opped
the follo i g
season while his yards and receptions were nearly the same. After that, his yardage dropped to about
750 a season and the touchdowns faded down to zero four years after his breakout.
Wilso ill e a ia le fa tas sta te i
ut let s ot get too az about him and his potential
output. “eattle s offe si e li e has so e uestio
a ks o it too. Wilso has to el o his s a li g a
little too often to instill confidence. The potential for a regression is there, be aware of it.
13. Minnesota Quarterback Teddy Bridgewater
I k o ou e thi ki g this poi t that I e o pletel lost it. Wh is B idge ate this high i the
rankings on this guide? It starts with Adrian Peterson. He is the one-man mauling machine in the
backfield that can and will carry this tea if he eeds to. Pete so s skill o the g ou d ope s a -onman matchups in the secondary. It will also help that wide receiver Stefon Diggs will get some help in
the form of first-round pick LaQuon Treadwell. Last season, Diggs had Mike Wallace to serve as second
banana in the receiving game and Wallace was more like a mashed banana. Wallace posted 39 catches
and 472 yards with two touchdowns—as the u e t o e ei e . It did t pass the e e test.
Tight end Kyle Rudolph will be an underrated player in 2016. Last season he racked up 495 yards and
five touchdowns despite nine games with five or fewer targets. Bridgewater should utilize his tight end
more in 2016, which leads to more chances for Rudolph.
Bridgewater quietly threw for 3,231 yards and completed 65.3 percent of his passes last season. He only
threw for 14 touchdowns which is what limited his fantasy value. Last season he had nine games with
less than 200 passing yards. This is the season where the Vikings need to see what Bridgewater can
actually do and let his arm win games, not just the running of Peterson.
Do t fo get the Viki gs ha e a e i doo stadiu this seaso a d the Viki gs o l ha e o e pote tial
cold weather game late in the season (Week 16 at Green Bay).
12. Houston quarterback Brock Osweiler
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 25
Osweiler had 72 million reasons to leave Denver and commit to the Houston Texans for the next four
seasons. He was the first of a few moves that are going to take the Texans offense from playoff joke to
legitimate point producers i
. Let s e plai ho this ill happe .
Houston has a receiving machine in DeAndre Hopkins. Last season he was targeted a mind-blowing 192
times and made 111 catches for 1,521 yards and 11 touchdowns. No other receiver had more than four
touchdowns for the Texans. Keep in mind that was with the quarterback carousel of Brian Hoyer, TJ
Yates, Ryan Mallett and Brandon Weeden spinning at full speed.
The Te a s did t ha e u h of a g ou d ga e ith a eage se e ushi g tou hdo s last seaso .
Alfred Blue was the only player with more than one score and he had two. Enter Lamar Miller, formerly
of the Dolphins and now you have a decent running back without the health issues that plagued Arian
Foster during his time with the team. Miller averaged about 930 yards and eight rushing touchdowns
each of his final two seasons in Miami on about 200 carries a season. Add to that about 40 catches for
325 yards each season and the Texans have that real feature back they want.
The tight e d positio does t see to add u h i the passi g ga e fo the Te a s ut that does t
stop the a ki g f o
ei g he e it is. The o l do side is the tea s philosoph is to pou d the all
and keep doing it repeatedly. Eventually, teams are going to stop the run and a tough schedule means
it s goi g to e o Os eile to p odu e. Just a gut feeli g, ut he ill ise to the o asio at ti es a d
can produce solid fantasy numbers. The Texans are should only get better and improve on their 21
points per game from last season.
11. Indianapolis quarterback Andrew Luck
The Colts a e tea that e k o
ill th o the all a u h this seaso . The a t plausi l ou t o
an aging Frank Gore to take 300 touches in 2016 so this team will be a throw fest. Andrew Luck is
healthy which helps immensely. Wide receiver T.Y. Hilton should see a bunch of targets and Donte
Moncrief is poised to have a solid season. Tight end Dwayne Allen benefits from the departure of Coby
Fleener to the Saints.
The Colts should be using plenty of three wide receiver sets so there is a ton of potential for the season
ahead to be filled with passing and fantasy points for Luck. The Colts spent two of their first three picks
upgrading the offensive line, which benefits Luck. They could use some help on the defensive side of the
ball, but all that really does is give Luck more chances to score.
The Colts were a strong choice to make the Super Bowl this time last season. They should be a strong
choice in fantasy when it comes to passing offense.
10. New York Giants quarterback Eli Manning
The Giants are like the Colts but with better weapons. Odell Beckham Jr. was a lights-out player despite
missing games at the start of the season. Victor Cruz could be back for this season and they spent a
second-round pick on Sterling Shepard. This all falls into place for Eli Manning to potentially have a huge
season in 2016.
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 26
The lack of a real ground game keeps Manning from being anything more than a low-end QB1. Rashad
Jennings is OK but i o siste t. “ha e Ve ee is a good a k o passi g do s ut does t do e ough
to be an every-down back. The Giants also are weak at tight end with a banged-up Larry Donnell (neck
surgery) and Will Tye leading the way there.
Look past his name and see that Manning threw for 35 touchdowns and almost 4,500 yards last season.
Production is production and Manning should do more of it this season.
9. Tampa Bay quarterback Jameis Winston
Yes, he really should be this high up. Tampa has several things going for it, which should make this a
special season for Jameis Winston. First, he has a dynamic young receiver in Mike Evans and those two
can be a solid QB-WR combo in real life and in fantasy for years to come. Veteran Vincent Jackson
provides solid but not spectacular protection as his career winds down. He might make the move into
the slot a la Larry Fitzgerald and we all saw what he did in 2015 from the slot.
Tight end Cameron Brate will battle Austin Seferian-Jenkins for playing time this season with Brate
possibly being the better choice in the red zone. Doug Martin should be the plow in the running back
stable while Charles Sims offers more value in PPR with his 51 receptions last season.
Last season, Winston started out slow but put up more than 20 fantasy points (standard format) in six of
his final games. With Josh Norman being out of the division, it opens up chances to do damage against
Carolina. Atlanta had defensive meltdowns last season and the Saints have historically been in shootout
games much more often than defensive slugfests.
The Bucs have the feel of a team that can contend for the NFC South and put up a pile of points along
the way. Winston will steer that ship and could steer your fantasy team to victory this season.
8. Jacksonville quarterback Blake Bortles is going to be one of the better players in fantasy football this
season. It seemed difficult to think of even contemplating this sentence a couple of years ago but 2016
will be the year it truly happens.
Allen Robinson was unstoppable last season and Allen Hurns played a great second wide out role. Julius
Thomas was underutilized but this could be a breakout year for him. The Jags added Chris Ivory into the
mix in the backfield and he makes for a likely goal line option.
Bo tles has all the tools a d has de eloped i to a NFL sta te . He s also a solid fa tas optio a d ould
e a ked highe if ot fo his tea s defe se. Whe ou add M les Ja k, Jale ‘a se a d a e o e ed
Dante Fowler into the mix, it can be a problem. Bortles might not have the same number of pass
attempts as last season and could be in situations to run the clock down instead of passing for yardage
late i ga es. The e ight e a little d op i stats e ause of this. Yes, i deed, it is Bo tles ti e to
shine.
7. New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees
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Page 27
So why is Brees up here? Look at the past. Brees led the league four of the last five years in passing
a dage. The ea he did t, he th e fo ,
… a d lost to Pe to Ma i g i his -touchdown
season. He s issed t o ga es i te ea s i Ne O lea s so ou k o he s du a le. He s ee a le to
master the art of the dump-off to practically anyone who plays running back. Brees has thrown the ball
at least 625 times in each of the last six seasons so the olu e is the e. He s also a e aged
o oe
yards per game over each of the last five seasons.
Of course that was with players like Jimmy Graham and Marques Colston, neither of whom are still on
the team. Brandin Cooks shows plenty of promise and Willie Snead is underrated and very productive.
Coby Fleener came to the Big Easy from Indianapolis this offseason and could be a breakout candidate at
the tight end spot in 2016. Rookie Michael Thomas will also play a big role in the offense, perhaps taking
Colsto s fo e ole.
The Saints are going to spend a lot of time throwing high percentage passes this season. They will take
their deep shots to Snead or Cooks but this is primarily a dink-and-dunk offense. The passes are safe and
the rewards are there for taking in PPR formats with the Saints.
I d i k hi i fo ,
a ds, passi g tou hdo s a d i te eptio s a d take that to the a k
right now. Brees is always a solid choice for your fantasy quarterback and 2016 is no exception.
6. Washington quarterback Kirk Cousins
Yes, I
idi g the u i o he e. The ‘edski s look like a pass happ tea
ith ple t of eapo s i
2016. DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon should man the outsides while tight end Jordan Reed, if
healthy, can be one of the best in the game. Cousins threw for nearly 4,200 yards with 29 touchdowns
last seaso . The e solid u e s a d, es, e like the . Do t fo get that Cousi s also ushed fo fi e
touchdowns last season in 26 carries and less than 50 yards on the ground in 2015.
Add Josh Doctson from TCU in the mix and this could be a very dangerous team on offense in 2016.
Defensively, Josh Norman was acquired from Carolina and that adds a big punch in the secondary.
The e s little dou t the ‘edski s ill e ette o defe se a d it s goi g to sti ulate the offe se e e
o e. Do t fo get a out the u i g a k situatio i Washi gto . Alf ed Mo is e t to Dallas a d
Matt Jones is the presumptive starter. Jones posted 490 yards and three rushing touchdowns and will be
expected to do o e i
. It s a eal u k o if he a . If ot, e e see hat Cousi s a do a d it
looks solid.
5. Arizona quarterback Carson Palmer
Palmer could turn out to be the best quarterback in fantasy football in 2016. Yes, really. Palmer has elite
options at wide receiver with Larry Fitzgerald, Michael Floyd and John Brown. David Johnson became
the bell cow at running back after injuries to Andre Ellington and Chris Johnson in 2015.
Palmer is excellent with the deep ball, it was part of the reason why Arizona was 2nd in passing offense
with 277 passing yards per game last season, and it can be easily projected to do the same this season.
Their offense should be able to move the ball and the Cardinal defense should create plenty of
opportunities for the offense.
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 28
The Cardinals are not afraid to make quick short passes to get their offense going. Having a strong
second-year running back in David Johnson gives Arizona a chance to have a legitimate ground game for
the first time in many seasons. In short, the Cardinals will be one of the four best teams in the league in
terms of points.
4. New England quarterbacks Tom Brady and Jimmy Garoppolo
The Pat iots a e goi g to e a solid tea agai i
, u h to o od s su p ise. The uestio is ho
are they going to get there. Tom Brady is likely suspended for the first four games of the season unless
the US Supreme Court decides to intervene. We can discuss Garoppolo later. Dion Lewis is coming off a
torn ACL in November and LeGarrette Blount has dealt with a hip issue for the whole offseason. Julian
Edelman fractured his foot in mid-season and Danny Amendola is seemingly always hurt.
The key to the offense is Martellus Bennett, the acquisition from Chicago. Bennett gives New England
that two tight end set they love to run their offense from. He could very well produce Aaron Hernandez
numbers (500 yards and five touchdowns) without a pesky murder conviction on his record.
“o hat a out Ji
? He s o e of a passi g fa
a d is t e o
e ded u less so eo e else gets
hurt. An opener with Arizona is going to be tough. Miami, Houston and Buffalo all at home could be
easier although JJ Watt is going to be a problem in Week 3 fo Ga oppolo. He s u p o e i the NFL a d
I do t ha e u h faith i Ga oppolo. The passes i the fi st fou ga es should e sho t, highpe e tage passes ith little isk. The do field ga e o es a k he B ad does so do t e
surprised if Edelman and Amendola start out slow.
The Patriots always find a way and this season is no exception. Brady should come back Week 5 to take
on the hapless Cleveland Browns and get himself up to speed that week.
3. Pittsburgh quarterback Ben Roethlisberger
There were two major changes in the offseason for the Steelers. Martavis Bryant was suspended for
violating the substance abuse policy. Heath Miller retired and was replaced by the less-chantable
Lardarius Green from the Chargers.
Otherwise, Pittsburgh looks like it will be an almost unstoppable juggernaut in 2016. Antonio Brown will
g a a illio passes a d Le Veo Bell should hu alo g all seaso o the g ou d. Pitts u gh led the
league in total offense last season and it should continue. Roethlisberger, despite health concerns,
should be an easy QB1 each week for the season.
2. Carolina quarterback Cam Newton
Think about this for a minute. The Carolina Panthers went 15-1 last season and made it to the Super
Bowl without its top receiver in Kelvin Benjamin who was lost in training camp with a torn ACL. We saw
Devin Funchess start to come out in his rookie season, Ted Ginn somehow scored 10 touchdowns last
season and Jonathan Stewart continued to plow over opponents. Greg Olsen did what he always does
and posted a quietly solid season, cementing his place in the top tier of tight ends.
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 29
Losing Josh Norman makes their secondary beatable but it also means Cam will have to throw a bunch
to keep up. Oh eah, the e s also the hole thing where he ran for 10 touchdowns last season. That is
so ethi g he s e e do e efo e a d ight ot do agai . Most of Ne to s tou hdo
u s ha e
come inside the 10-yard line so his only real question mark is can he consistently get his team down the
field without help from the defense?
1. Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers
So why is he the best in these rankings? Randall Cobb is solid as always. Jordy Nelson is coming back
from a torn ACL. Eddie Lacy has hopefully slimmed down and is ready to roll in a contract season. Their
tight ends of Richard Rogers and Jared Cook can both contribute. Neither will be confused for Rob
Gronkowski anytime soon but the potential is there for points to pile up.
Yeah, it s ki d of la d he ou get to the top of the list a d it s la d at the otto of the list. You
already could rattle off the top five to seven quarterbacks on this list. You could probably name most of
the bottom six right away. The middle is what separates the winners from the losers. Finding the right
second quarterback is what separates you from the rest of the pack.
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 30
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 31
FakePigskin.com Running backs
(PPR Scoring)
Ran
k
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
PLAYER
Jamaal Charles
David Johnson
Todd Gurley
Adrian Peterson
Ezekiel Elliott
Lamar Miller
Devonta Freeman
Doug Martin
Le'Veon Bell
LeSean McCoy
Eddie Lacy
C.J. Anderson
Mark Ingram
Matt Forte
Dion Lewis
Carlos Hyde
Giovani Bernard
Danny Woodhead
Duke Johnson Jr.
Thomas Rawls
DeMarco Murray
Jonathan Stewart
Ryan Mathews
Latavius Murray
Frank Gore
Jeremy Langford
Matt Jones
Jay Ajayi
Jeremy Hill
Theo Riddick
Charles Sims
TEAM
KC
ARI
LA
MIN
DAL
HOU
ATL
TB
PIT
BUF
GB
DEN
NO
NYJ
NE
SF
CIN
SD
CLE
SEA
TEN
CAR
PHI
OAK
IND
CHI
WAS
MIA
CIN
DET
TB
BYE
5
9
8
6
7
9
11
6
8
10
4
11
5
11
9
8
9
11
13
5
13
7
4
10
10
9
9
8
9
10
6
Rank
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
PLAYER
Rashad Jennings
Ameer Abdullah
Derrick Henry
Chris Johnson
Isaiah Crowell
Shane Vereen
Karlos Williams
Devontae Booker
LeGarrette Blount
Jerick McKinnon
Wendell Smallwood
DeAndre Washington
Paul Perkins
James Starks
Charcandrick West
Darren Sproles
Spencer Ware
Kenyan Drake
Jordan Howard
Chris Thompson
Shaun Draughn
Darren McFadden
James White
Alex Collins
Alfred Morris
Lance Dunbar
Tim Hightower
Andre Ellington
Josh Ferguson
Ka'Deem Carey
Keith Marshall
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 32
TEAM
NYG
DET
TEN
ARI
CLE
NYG
BUF
DEN
NE
MIN
PHI
OAK
NYG
GB
KC
PHI
KC
MIA
CHI
WAS
SF
DAL
NE
SEA
DAL
DAL
NO
ARI
IND
CHI
WAS
BYE
8
10
13
9
13
8
10
11
9
6
4
10
8
4
5
4
5
8
9
9
8
7
9
5
7
7
5
9
10
9
9
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
Arian Foster
Chris Ivory
T.J. Yeldon
Justin Forsett
DeAngelo Williams
Kenneth Dixon
Melvin Gordon
Tevin Coleman
C.J. Prosise
Bilal Powell
Javorius Allen
MIA
JAC
JAC
BAL
PIT
BAL
SD
ATL
SEA
NYJ
BAL
8
5
5
8
8
8
11
11
5
11
8
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
C.J. Spiller
Tyler Ervin
Ronnie Hillman
Christine Michael
Cameron Artis-Payne
Khiry Robinson
Zach Zenner
Tre Mason
Stevan Ridley
Orleans Darkwa
Alfred Blue
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 33
NO
HOU
DEN
SEA
CAR
NYJ
DET
LA
DET
NYG
HOU
5
9
11
5
7
11
10
8
10
8
9
FakePigskin.com Running backs
(Standard Scoring)
RANK
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
PLAYER
Todd Gurley
Adrian Peterson
David Johnson
Ezekiel Elliott
Jamaal Charles
Lamar Miller
Eddie Lacy
Doug Martin
LeSean McCoy
Mark Ingram
C.J. Anderson
Le'Veon Bell
Carlos Hyde
Devonta Freeman
Jonathan Stewart
Matt Forte
Thomas Rawls
Dion Lewis
Jeremy Hill
Frank Gore
Latavius Murray
Ryan Mathews
DeMarco Murray
Chris Ivory
Jay Ajayi
Giovani Bernard
Jeremy Langford
Matt Jones
Duke Johnson Jr.
Melvin Gordon
LeGarrette Blount
Justin Forsett
Danny Woodhead
DeAngelo Williams
TEAM
LA
MIN
ARI
DAL
KC
HOU
GB
TB
BUF
NO
DEN
PIT
SF
ATL
CAR
NYJ
SEA
NE
CIN
IND
OAK
PHI
TEN
JAC
MIA
CIN
CHI
WAS
CLE
SD
NE
BAL
SD
PIT
BYE
8
6
9
7
5
9
4
6
10
5
11
8
8
11
7
11
5
9
9
10
10
4
13
5
8
9
9
9
13
11
9
8
11
8
RANK
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
PLAYER
Isaiah Crowell
C.J. Prosise
Javorius Allen
Ameer Abdullah
Theo Riddick
Wendell Smallwood
Chris Johnson
Devontae Booker
Paul Perkins
Jordan Howard
Bilal Powell
James Starks
Spencer Ware
Charcandrick West
Shane Vereen
Jerick McKinnon
Darren McFadden
Alfred Morris
DeAndre Washington
Kenyan Drake
Tim Hightower
Alex Collins
Darren Sproles
Keith Marshall
Ka'Deem Carey
Chris Thompson
Josh Ferguson
Shaun Draughn
Ronnie Hillman
Zach Zenner
Tyler Ervin
Christine Michael
Andre Ellington
Cameron Artis-Payne
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 34
TEAM
CLE
SEA
BAL
DET
DET
PHI
ARI
DEN
NYG
CHI
NYJ
GB
KC
KC
NYG
MIN
DAL
DAL
OAK
MIA
NO
SEA
PHI
WAS
CHI
WAS
IND
SF
DEN
DET
HOU
SEA
ARI
CAR
BYE
13
5
8
10
10
4
9
11
8
9
11
4
5
5
8
6
7
7
10
8
5
5
4
9
9
9
10
8
11
10
9
5
9
7
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
Derrick Henry
Arian Foster
Tevin Coleman
T.J. Yeldon
Karlos Williams
Kenneth Dixon
Charles Sims
Rashad Jennings
TEN
MIA
ATL
JAC
BUF
BAL
TB
NYG
13
8
11
5
10
8
6
8
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
C.J. Spiller
James White
Khiry Robinson
Tre Mason
Lance Dunbar
Stevan Ridley
Orleans Darkwa
Alfred Blue
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 35
NO
NE
NYJ
LA
DAL
DET
NYG
HOU
5
9
11
8
7
10
8
9
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 36
FakePigskin.com Wide Receivers
(PPR Scoring)
RANK
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
PLAYER
Antonio Brown
Odell Beckham Jr
Julio Jones
A.J. Green
Jordy Nelson
DeAndre Hopkins
Dez Bryant
Keenan Allen
Brandin Cooks
Alshon Jeffery
T.Y. Hilton
Demaryius Thomas
Randall Cobb
Brandon Marshall
Mike Evans
Allen Robinson
Larry Fitzgerald
Jarvis Landry
Julian Edelman
Donte Moncrief
Doug Baldwin
Amari Cooper
Michael Floyd
Jordan Matthews
Sammy Watkins
Golden Tate
Jeremy Maclin
Kelvin Benjamin
Tyler Lockett
Eric Decker
John Brown
Allen Hurns
TEAM
PIT
NYG
ATL
CIN
GB
HOU
DAL
SD
NO
CHI
IND
DEN
GB
NYJ
TB
JAC
ARI
MIA
NE
IND
SEA
OAK
ARI
PHI
BUF
DET
KC
CAR
SEA
NYJ
ARI
JAC
BYE
8
8
11
9
4
9
7
11
5
9
10
11
4
11
6
5
9
8
9
10
5
10
9
4
10
10
5
7
5
11
9
5
RANK
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
PLAYER
Tyler Boyd
Vincent Jackson
Phillip Dorsett
Josh Doctson
DeSean Jackson
Dorial Green-Beckham
Torrey Smith
Pierre Garcon
Mohamed Sanu
Corey Coleman
Laquon Treadwell
DeVante Parker
Nelson Agholor
Ty Montgomery
Rishard Matthews
Sterling Shepard
Steve Smith
Darrius Heyward-Bey
Devin Funchess
Brandon Lafell
Jamison Crowder
Ted Ginn Jr
Terrance Williams
Malcolm Mitchell
Mike Wallace
Will Fuller
Sammie Coates
Kendall Wright
Markus Wheaton
Chris Hogan
Jeff Janis
Bruce Ellington
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 37
TEAM
CIN
TB
IND
WAS
WAS
TEN
SF
WAS
ATL
CLE
MIN
MIA
PHI
GB
TEN
NYG
BAL
PIT
CAR
CIN
WAS
CAR
DAL
NE
BAL
HOU
PIT
TEN
PIT
NE
GB
SF
BYE
9
6
10
9
9
13
8
9
11
13
6
8
4
4
13
8
8
8
7
9
9
7
7
9
8
9
8
13
8
9
4
8
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
Josh Gordon
Emmanuel Sanders
Kamar Aiken
Michael Crabtree
Marvin Jones
Kevin White
Travis Benjamin
Michael Thomas
Stefon Diggs
Willie Snead
Tavon Austin
CLE
DEN
BAL
OAK
DET
CHI
SD
NO
MIN
NO
LA
13
11
8
10
10
9
11
5
6
5
8
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
Albert Wilson
Jermaine Kearse
Jaelen Strong
Danny Amendola
Leonte Caroo
Reuben Randle
Tajae Sharpe
Rashad Greene
Pharoh Copper
Kenny Britt
Breshad Perriman
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 38
KC
SEA
HOU
NE
MIA
PHI
TEN
JAC
LA
LA
BAL
5
5
9
9
8
4
13
5
8
8
8
FakePigskin.com Wide Receivers
(Standard Scoring)
RANK
PLAYER
TEAM
BYE
RANK
PLAYER
TEAM
BYE
1
Antonio Brown
PIT
8
45
Dorial Green-Beckham
TEN
13
2
Odell Beckham Jr
NYG
8
46
Torrey Smith
SF
8
3
Julio Jones
ATL
11
47
Phillip Dorsett
IND
10
4
A.J. Green
CIN
9
48
DeSean Jackson
WAS
9
5
Jordy Nelson
GB
4
49
DeVante Parker
MIA
8
6
Dez Bryant
DAL
7
50
Ty Montgomery
GB
4
7
DeAndre Hopkins
HOU
9
51
Laquon Treadwell
MIN
6
8
Brandin Cooks
NO
5
52
Pierre Garcon
WAS
9
9
Demaryius Thomas
DEN
11
53
Corey Coleman
CLE
13
10
Alshon Jeffery
CHI
9
54
Mohamed Sanu
ATL
11
11
Brandon Marshall
NYJ
11
55
Nelson Agholor
PHI
4
12
Mike Evans
TB
6
56
Terrance Williams
DAL
7
13
T.Y. Hilton
IND
10
57
Steve Smith
BAL
8
14
Allen Robinson
JAC
5
58
Sterling Shepard
NYG
8
15
Keenan Allen
SD
11
59
Rishard Matthews
TEN
13
16
Randall Cobb
GB
4
60
Devin Funchess
CAR
7
17
Larry Fitzgerald
ARI
9
61
Darrius Heyward-Bey
PIT
8
18
Amari Cooper
OAK
10
62
Jamison Crowder
WAS
9
19
Michael Floyd
ARI
9
63
Stevie Johnson
SD
11
20
Doug Baldwin
SEA
5
64
Ted Ginn Jr
CAR
7
21
Donte Moncrief
IND
10
65
Tavon Austin
LA
8
22
John Brown
ARI
9
66
Tyler Boyd
CIN
9
23
Sammy Watkins
BUF
10
67
Chris Hogan
NE
9
24
Tyler Lockett
SEA
5
68
Markus Wheaton
PIT
8
25
Kelvin Benjamin
CAR
7
69
Malcolm Mitchell
NE
9
26
Jarvis Landry
MIA
8
70
Mike Wallace
BAL
8
27
Jeremy Maclin
KC
5
71
Jermaine Kearse
SEA
5
28
Eric Decker
NYJ
11
72
Kendall Wright
TEN
13
29
Julian Edelman
NE
9
73
Will Fuller
HOU
9
30
Jordan Matthews
PHI
4
74
Bruce Ellington
SF
8
31
Golden Tate
DET
10
75
Albert Wilson
KC
5
32
Allen Hurns
JAC
5
76
Jeff Janis
GB
4
33
Josh Gordon
CLE
13
77
Jaelen Strong
HOU
9
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 39
34
Kevin White
CHI
9
78
Danny Amendola
NE
9
35
Kamar Aiken
BAL
8
79
Sammie Coates
PIT
8
36
Emmanuel Sanders
DEN
11
80
Rueben Randle
PHI
4
37
Michael Thomas
NO
5
81
Leonte Caroo
MIA
8
38
Marvin Jones
DET
10
82
Rashad Greene
JAC
5
39
Michael Crabtree
OAK
10
83
Tajae Sharpe
TEN
13
40
Travis Benjamin
SD
11
84
Pharoh Cooper
LA
8
41
Willie Snead
NO
5
85
Kenny Britt
LA
8
42
Stefon Diggs
MIN
6
86
Breshad Perriman
BAL
8
43
Vincent Jackson
TB
6
87
Brandon Lafell
CIN
9
44
Josh Doctson
WAS
9
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 40
FakePigskin.com Tight Ends
(PPR Scoring)
RANK
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
PLAYER
Rob Gronkowski
Jordan Reed
Greg Olsen
Delanie Walker
Travis Kelce
Gary Barnidge
Tyler Eifert
Julius Thomas
Coby Fleener
Zach Ertz
Antonio Gates
Ladarius Green
Martellus Bennett
Zach Miller
Eric Ebron
Austin Seferian-Jenkins
Clive Walford
Dwayne Allen
Ben Watson
Jason Witten
Will Tye
Jimmy Graham
Kyle Rudolph
Charles Clay
Richard Rodgers
Vance McDonald
Jordan Cameron
Jared Cook
Austin Hooper
Maxx Williams
Hunter Henry
Jacob Tamme
Darren Fells
TEAM
NE
WAS
CAR
TEN
KC
CLE
CIN
JAC
NO
PHI
SD
SD
NE
CHI
DET
TB
OAK
IND
BAL
DAL
NYG
SEA
MIN
BUF
GB
SF
MIA
GB
ATL
BAL
SD
ATL
ARI
BYE
9
9
7
13
5
13
9
5
5
4
11
11
9
9
10
6
10
10
8
7
8
5
6
10
4
8
8
4
11
8
11
11
9
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 41
FakePigskin.com Tight Ends
(Standard Scoring)
RANK
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
PLAYER
Rob Gronkowski
Jordan Reed
Greg Olsen
Tyler Eifert
Delanie Walker
Travis Kelce
Gary Barnidge
Julius Thomas
Zach Ertz
Coby Fleener
Antonio Gates
Ladarius Green
Martellus Bennett
Eric Ebron
Dwayne Allen
Zach Miller
Austin Seferian-Jenkins
Clive Walford
Jimmy Graham
Ben Watson
Kyle Rudolph
Jason Witten
Will Tye
Richard Rodgers
Charles Clay
Austin Hooper
Vance McDonald
Jared Cook
Jordan Cameron
Maxx Williams
Hunter Henry
Darren Fells
Jacob Tamme
TEAM
NE
WAS
CAR
CIN
TEN
KC
CLE
JAC
PHI
NO
SD
SD
NE
DET
IND
CHI
TB
OAK
SEA
BAL
MIN
DAL
NYG
GB
BUF
ATL
SF
GB
MIA
BAL
SD
ARI
ATL
BYE
9
9
7
9
13
5
13
5
4
5
11
11
9
10
10
9
6
10
5
8
6
7
8
4
10
11
8
4
8
8
11
9
11
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 42
FakePigskin.com Top Rookies
(Redraft Format)
RANK
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
PLAYER
Ezekiel Elliott
Corey Coleman
Laquon Treadwell
Josh Doctson
Sterling Shepard
Michael Thomas
Derrick Henry
Kenneth Dixon
Alex Collins
DeAndre Washington
Tyler Boyd
Devontae Booker
Paul Perkins
CJ Prosise
Malcolm Mitchell
Wendell Smallwood
Will Fuller
Jared Goff
RANK
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
PLAYER
Jordan Howard
Rashard Higgins
Austin Hooper
Jonathan Williams
Jordan Payton
Paxton Lynch
Pharoh Cooper
Josh Ferguson
Chris Moore
Braxton Miller
Keyarris Garrett
Carson Wentz
Tyler Ervin
Kenyan Drake
Charone Peake
Keith Marshall
Demarcus Robinson
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FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
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FakePigskin.com Top Rookies
(Dynasty Format)
RANK
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
KYLE
Ezekiel Elliott
Corey Coleman
Laquon Treadwell
Josh Doctson
Sterling Shepard
Kenneth Dixon
Michael Thomas
Derrick Henry
Devontae Booker
CJ Prosise
Malcolm Mitchell
Leonte Carroo
Tyler Boyd
Will Fuller
Tajae Sharpe
Alex Collins
DeAndre Washington
RANK
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
KYLE
Jared Goff
Carson Wentz
Paul Perkins
Jordan Howard
Pharoh Cooper
Demarcus Robinson
Keyarris Garrett
Rashard Higgins
Jonathan Williams
Paxton Lynch
Wendell Smallwood
Tyler Ervin
Braxton Miller
Chris Moore
Austin Hooper
Kenyan Drake
Keith Marshall
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 45
FakePigskin.com Top 50 Defensive Linemen
(IDP Scoring, Redraft Format)
Bee Salamat
1. JJ Watt, DE HOU
2. Robert Quinn, DE LAR
3. Muhammad Wilkerson, DE NYJ
4. Ziggy Ansah, DE DET
5. Everson Griffen, DE MIN
6. Carlos Dunlap, DE CIN
7. Olivier Vernon, DE NYG
8. Calais Campbell, DE ARI
9. Cameron Jordan, DE NOS
10. Jabaal Sheard, DE NEP
11. Aaron Donald, DT LAR
12. Fletcher Cox, DT PHI
13. Cameron Heyward, DE PIT
14. Leonard Williams, DE NYJ
15. Michael Bennett, DE SEA
16. Jason Pierre Paul, DE NYG
17. Kony Ealy, DE CAR
18. Jurrell Casey, DE TEN
19. Malik Jackson, DE JAC
20. Danielle Hunter, DE MIN
21. DeMarcus Lawrence, DE DAL
22. Kawann Short, DT CAR
23. Stephon Tuitt, DE PIT
24. Vinny Curry, DE PHI
25. Jaye Howard, DE KCC
26. Mario Edwards, DE OAK
27. Cameron Wake, DE MIA
28. Robert Ayers, DE TBB
29. Mike Daniels, DE GBP
30. Devin Taylor, DE DET
31. Derek Wolfe, DE DEN
32. Rob Ninkovich, DE NEP
33. Henry Anderson, DE IND
34. Connor Barwin, DE PHI
35. Geno Atkins, DT CIN
36. Ndamukong Suh, DT MIA
37. Cliff Avril, DE SEA
38. Sheldon Richardson, DE NYJ
39. Corey Liuget, DE SDC
40. Jacquies Smith, DE TBB
41. Dante Fowler, DE JAC
42. Marcell Dareus, DT BUF
43. Frank Clark, DE SEA
44. Charles Johnson, DE CAR
45. Derrick Shelby, DE ATL
46. Malcom Brown, DT NEP
47. Brandon Graham, DE PHI
48. Joey Bosa, DE SDC
49. Michael Johnson,DECIN
50. Mario Williams,DEMIA
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
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FakePigskin.com Top 50 Linebackers
(IDP Scoring, Redraft Format)
Bee Salamat
1. JAMIE COLLINS, NEP
2. NAVORRO BOWMAN, SF
3. LUKE KUECHLY, CAR
4. TELVIN SMITH, JAC
5. CJ MOSLEY, BAL
6. ALEC OGLETREE, LAR
7. LAVONTE DAVID, TBB
8. DEONE BUCANNON, ARI
9. DEANDRE LEVY, DET
10. SEAN LEE, DAL
11. BOBBY WAGNER, SEA
12. DERRICK JOHNSON, KCC
13. BRANDON MARSHALL, DEN
. D QWELL JACK“ON, IND
15. KARLOS DANSBY, CIN
16. JORDAN HICKS, PHI
17. VONTAZE BURFICT, CIN*
18. MYCHAL KENDRICKS, PHI
19. THOMAS DAVIS, CAR
20. MALCOLM SMITH, OAK
21. ERIC KENDRICKS, MIN
22. KWON ALEXANDER, TBB
23. DANNY TREVATHAN, CHI
24. PRESTON BROWN, BUF
25. DENZEL PERRYMAN, SDC
26. RYAN SHAZIER, PIT
27. KJ WRIGHT, SEA
28. KHALIL MACK, OAK
29. JERRELL FREEMAN, CHI
30. ANTHONY BARR, MIN
31. LAWRENCE TIMMONS, PIT
32. STEPHONE ANTHONY, NOS
33. TAHIR WHITEHEAD, DET
34. AVERY WILLIAMSON, TEN
35. KEENAN ROBINSON, NYG
36. MARK BARRON, LAR
37. MYLES JACK, JAC
38. REGGIE RAGLAND, BUF
39. BENARDRICK MCKINNEY, HOU
40. JELANI JENKINS, MIA
41. CHRISTIAN KIRKSEY, CLE
42. BRIAN CUSHING, HOU
43. ANTHONY HITCHENS, DAL
44. CHANDLER JONES, ARI
45. DEMARIO DAVIS, CLE
46. ZACHARY ORR, BAL
47. WILL COMPTON, WAS
48. DONT'A HIGHTOWER, NEP
49. DEVONDRE CAMPBELL, ATL
50. BEN HEENEY, OAK
51. KEVIN MINTER, ARI
52. WESLEY WOODYARD, TEN
53. RYAN KERRIGAN, WAS
54. DARRON LEE, NYJ
55. PAUL POSLUSZNY, JAC
56. KIKO ALONSO, MIA
57. DAVID HARRIS, NYJ
58. SHAQ THOMPSON, CAR
59. JAKE RYAN, GBP
60. LORENZO MAULDIN, NYJ
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 47
FakePigskin.com Top 50 Defensive Backs
(IDP Scoring, Redraft Format)
Bee Salamat
1. Reshad Jones, MIA
2. Harrison Smith, MIN
3. Tyrann Mathieu, ARI
4. Landon Collins, NYG
5. Eric Weddle, BAL
6. Morgan Burnett, GBP
7. Corey Graham, BUF
8. Malcolm Jenkins, PHI
9. HaHa Clinton Dix, GBP
10. Marcus Peters, KCC
11. Trumaine Johnson, LAR
12. Reggie Nelson, OAK
13. Keanu Neal, ATL
14. Tashaun Gipson, JAC
15. Eric Berry, KCC
16. Kam Chancellor, SEA
17. Johnathan Cyprien, JAC
18. Ronald Darby, BUF
19. Ron Parker, KCC
20. Bashaud Breeland, WAS
21. Clayton Geathers, IND
22. Aaron Williams, BUF
23. Tony Jefferson, ARI
24. Calvin Pryor, NYJ
25. Barry Church, DAL
26. Kenny Vaccaro, NOS
27. Jaquiski Tartt, SF
28. Adrian Amos, CHI
29. Prince Amukamara, JAC
30. Ibraheim Campbell, CLE
31. Jason McCourty, TEN
32. Karl Joseph, OAK
33. Adam Jones, CIN
34. Janoris Jenkins, NYG
35. Shawn Williams, CIN
36. Dwight Lowery, SDC
37. Kurt Coleman, CAR
38. Isa AbdulQuddus, MIA
39. Earl Thomas, SEA
40. Chris Conte, TBB
41. Rashad Johnson, TEN
42. Jahleel Addae, SDC
43. Byron Jones, DAL
44. Logan Ryan, NEP
45. Michael Griffin, MIN
46. TJ Ward, DEN
47. David Amerson, OAK
48. Mike Adams, IND
49. Jairus Byrd, NOS
50. Jordan Poyer, CLE
51. Ricardo Allen, ATL
52. George Iloka, CIN
53. Glover Quin, DET
54. Bradley McDougald, TBB
55. Eli Apple, NYG
56. Tre Boston, CAR
57. Rafael Bush, DET
58. Darian Thompson, NYG
59. Sean Smith, OAK
60. Miles Killebrew, DET
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 48
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 49
ANATOMY OF A DYNASTY TRADE
(MATT LANE)
The Art of Dynasty Trading Pt. I – Acquiring your Target
With the NFL Draft complete, and most likely your Dynasty Rookie Draft as well, now is not the
time to snooze. You can improve your roster through trades whilst you wait for the clock to tick
down to Week 1, and there is a specific art of managing trades. This is especially for Dynasty
Leagues but of course much of it can be applied to redraft leagues as well.
I think trades are a much undervalued and underutilized way of building a winning Dynasty
Franchise. So much focus is put on the drafts and most players are very able when it comes to
draft strategy but by increasing your knowledge of trading and trade techniques you can get
that edge over fellow owners and master a winning formula.
My Offseason
I only play in one Dynasty League where I am the sole owner of the franchise, and last season I
managed to find a way to finish dead last. This was despite scoring the sixth (out of 16) most
points. Frankly this turned out to be a blessing in disguise. I managed to use my picks to grab a
host of players that would improve my weakest area (offense, as opposed to my IDPs) whilst
keeping some top picks and not mortgaging my future. I would now class my roster among the
best in my league and with a little more luck can reach the playoffs this time around.
After a veteran of so many trades, I thought it was only fair to share something I'd consider an
a t. That ei g said, I
o ea s Va Gogh, e ause I ha e oth of
ea s a d ost of
wits. This is merely a guideline that you can road test next time you want to make that big
move for your guy.
The Golden Rules
There is no perfect set of methods for dynasty trading, but follow these steps and you can give
yourself a solid foundation for future transactions when trying to acquire a player you love, and
offload a guy who stinks.
1. Stay friendly with your league mates – Do t u de esti ate the po e of g udges. If ou
pa ade a i o e a league ate a o e a d e o d the a epta le s a k-talk, the o t
fo get it, a d he ou e o peti g fo a p ized asset that is up fo g a s, so e people ill
happily accept slightly less if it means rubbing your nose in it. This can also be true for owners
who are inactive for large periods, do not respond to trade offers, or make dozens of low-ball
offers for players. Do not be that guy. You have to understand that to a large extent your league
ates a e ell i fo ed a d o t a ept, sa , a si th-round pick and Quinton Patton for
Michael Floyd, no matter which way you dress it up.
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Page 50
2. If you offer a trade, be prepared for it to be accepted – This sounds so basic, but if you offer
so eo e a deal ake su e ou ould e happ if the a epted! Do t idl offe a ha dful of
deals late at night just to see what it could potentially mean for your roster, you can work out
these theo eti all
iti g the do . You do t a t to ake up i old s eats to fi d
your drunken offers have been readily confirmed.
3. Your initial offer should never be your best – If you e illi g to pa t ith sa , a se o d ou d
pi k fo a pla e , e e go st aight i ith that offe . You should t lo -ball league mates, but
you should always give yourself more room to maneuver for future trades. Most good trades
come after lengthy discussion and counter proposals.
4. Take time to evaluate your target – whether this is a target you want to trade for, or a
oste ed pla e ou a t to get id of, ou eed to e su e if it s the ight hoi e. Ask a ou d
(but outside of the league), read articles, and make sure that the value you have in mind is both
fai a d good alue. You do t a t to spe d all offseaso hu ti g do a pla e a d the fi d
that he ou ha e hi it as t o th the effo t a d the da age.
The Trade Process – Acquiring a Target
In this example, say that you are extremely interested in a player because you believe he is
u de alued, o his situatio has just ha ged fo the ette . This pla e ould e o e off a
tough year or been hurt. Either way, you want this guy on you tea a d ou e ead to o e
pla e s a d pi ks to get hi . Fo a gu e ts sake, this pla e s a e is Ben Rogers and he plays
at Wide Receiver. Your value limit on Rogers is two 2nd round picks, or player equivalent.
Step 1 – Make first contact with the trade partner:
This should not be a message or a trade offer directly for your guy. If you immediately say you
want him you are already giving your partner an advantage. The best way to approach your
partner is tentatively. Let him know you are interested i pi ki g up a W‘, ou do t e e eed
to e tio ‘oge s a e at this poi t. The o st ase s e a io is that he tells ou he is off the
board, but more likely he is open to an offer.
Step 2 – Make your first proposal(s):
Now this should be a lower offer than you are prepared to give, without being insulting. Make
offers for a handful of WRs on his roster, preferably for some that are better than Rogers if you
can. You could offer 2 seconds for his top WR (knowing that he could well accept, but expecting
a rejection) and then a second and a third for another top WR, and finally your offer for your
real target should be 2 or 3 steps below your limit, in this case, two 3 rd round picks.
Step 3 – Barter for your target:
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 51
At this point your partner will reject all three trades, saying none are enough to tempt him – if
he a epts a
ou k o ou e got ou self a a solute steal a d a alk a a happ . But
rejections are to be expected. Now you can move in on your real target. You should begin your
next trade offer, this time just for Rogers, but state that you are concerned about 1, 2 or 3
areas. You could mention any of the following, if they apply:
●
●
●
●
●
I ju t ou les, does t eed to e e e t, a st et h a k to ollege.
He does t o k ell ith his QB, is the e a change in the WR corps or QB?
It is t a good s ste fit, does he ha e a e oa h? Is it a passi g offe se?
He has off-field t ou les, agai this does t eed to e e e t.
He s too old, o he has t p o ed hi self at a NFL le el et if he has, ou can say he
has t ee o siste t e ough .
As I said, this has to be true, or your partner will wise up. Ultimately you are lowering the value
of the player you want subtly. Never mention any positives, there is no need. In this offer you
should slightly increase your original offer, in this case from two 3rd round picks to two 3rd
round picks and a 5th. You eed to st ess that this is a isk fo ou a d ou do t a t to pa the
Ea th fo this gu . F a kl ou a e t o e l kee o the idea a
a .
Step 4 – Gradually build up to your best offer:
Assuming your second offer is not accepted, you can now continue to lower the value of your
target and gradually increase your offer to your limit. Never go beyond your limit and do not
appear too eager at this early stage. A few hours of silent consideration can go a long way. You
can even throw in some players you are hoping to get rid of anyway, even some guys who are
on your roster bubble. Make sure they are actually worth something and again talk up their
recent pe fo a es a d e e thi g a out thei situatio as a positi e ... I d lo e to keep hi ,
he s a solid pla e ut I just a t fit hi i
sta ti g li eup.
Step 5 – Make your best offer:
If you get this far, do not consider it a failure. However at this point you must stress to your
partner how far you have come from your first offer and that you really struggled to get this
high. Pla the I' doi g ou a ig fa o he e, o od ould offe this u h fo ‘oge s, ut I'
so desperate to land him, this is
fi al offe . It s fi e to e despe ate he e, assu i g ou
have exhausted all other options.
Following these steps will not guarantee you a trade, especially if your partner is an
experienced dynasty player and an active fantasy football enthusiast. But I guarantee it will
improve your chances of getting the best possible deal. Some people will overvalue their own
players so much a trade is impossible. Do not over pay and move onto a new target.
FakePigskin.com 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Guide
Page 52
Part Two I'll be back explaining how to get rid of a player you no longer need or want, and how
to maximize a player's value in a trade.
The Art of Dynasty Trading Pt. 2 – Maximizing Trade Value
In Part One I talked about how to go about grabbing your target and minimizing your spend.
No
e ll flip it o e a d talk a out ho to jettiso pla e s ou eall do t a t, a d also ho
to get the best value from a useful player.
The Trade Process – Maximizing Trade Value
In this example, you have rostered too many RBs. You can only start a maximum of 2, and you
have 3 you are very happy starting each week. The 4th player is not great, but could start on a
ouple of o e s oste s depe di g o
at hups. Fo a gu e ts sake the pla e s a e is
Noel Davidson. This example could also work if the player has come off a big season and you
are ready to dispose of him at a high price whilst the value is still there. The same steps apply.
Step 1 – Identify potential trade partners
This is easy. Look at your league mates, which is desperate at RB, who has spent a season
plugging every known RB in the NFL into his lineup and picked up and dropped seemingly every
RB you could name. This is your guy. The more potential partners the better in this situation.
You want to start a bidding war.
Step 2 – Make first contact with trade partner(s)
This should be done via a private message. Do not say that Davidson is available, tell your
partner that you are looking to pick up draft picks, or that you want to improve at a position. He
will compare rosters and see his weakness is your strength. Ask him to make you an offer, or
ask hi
hi h pla e s o positio s he is i te ested i . If at this poi t he does t e tio ‘Bs,
ou a e d the deal the e a d the . Do t get despe ate a d offe hi out di e tl .
Step 3 – Make an offer/counter
If he has t ade ou a offe , ake hi a ouple fo a ouple of diffe e t ‘Bs. It s up to ou
what you request but make sure you ask for quite a bit more than they are worth of course.
You ould e e tell hi , afte his i itial offe I so
ut i
ot interested in trading that
gu , ho e e I ight e a le to pa t ith Da idso fo the ight p i e If he offe s fo oth.
Step 4 – Talk your player up
You want to talk this guy up, everything about him that could be positive you need to mention,
any negatives can be swept under the carpet and dismissed. You need to act as though this guy
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is ou fa o ite pla e a d losi g hi
as ot pa t of the lo g te pla . If he s ou g, he s pa t
of ou futu e, if he s old the ou e elied o hi so lo g. ‘e e e , ou pa t e does t
know you are actively trading him.
Step 5 – Initiate a bidding war
Once you have grabbed interest from multiple owners, you can private message each of them,
and let them know that there are multiple parties who want Davidson. This can rush teams into
aki g pa i ked de isio s. You do t eed to let o hat has ee offe ed, a d to sa e ou
soul f o the de il, ou should t lie eithe . But it does help stoke the fi e.
Step 6 – Take the best offer
Once you have got the best offer, you can let the other parties know you are going to accept it
– unless they can beat it. Here you can get a couple of extra late picks or maybe the odd flier at
othe positio s to supple e t u e t offe s. It s all a out a i izi g alue.
In this example you will have got the best price possible for your player, as you let nobody know
he was available, allowed your partners to think they were the ones making the initial interest,
and then played them off each other to maximize the player's value.
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CHICAGO BEARS (JOSH HONSES)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Jay Cutler, Brian Hoyer, David Fales, Connor Shaw
RB: Jeremy Langford, Ka'deem Carey, Jordan
Howard, Jacquizz Rodgers, Senorise Perry
FB: Khari Lee (TE), Paul Lasike
WR: Alshon Jeffery, Kevin White, Eddie
Royal, Marquess Wilson (inj),Marc Mariani
(KR/PR), Daniel Braverman, Deonte
Thompson,Cameron Meredith, Joshua Bellamy, Darrin
Peterson, Derek Keaton,Kieren Duncan
TE: Zach Miller, Ben Braunecker, Rob Housler, Tony
Moeaki,Gannon Sinclair
K: Robbie Gould
TEAM OUTLOOK
The Chicago Bears left a lot to be desired last season last season from the offensive perspective.
This is going to be a transition period for the Bears with it being their first season without Matt
Forte. It was also evident that they need someone to fill the void for Brandon Marshall, a role
that a hodgepodge of receivers struggled with adapting to last season. But the focal point of the
offense is Jay Cutler and the success of the offense starts with him.
Cutler has the talent and arm strength to be a top 12 fantasy quarterback. He has shown flashes
before that he can make the necessary throws all over the field and be the leader of the Bears
offense. But the biggest problem with Jay Cutler has always been Jay Cutler. Can he stay
oti ated he thi gs a e t goi g ell fo the Bea s? Will he shake off that i te eptio he
just threw while under pressure? When Cutler has the time to stay in the pocket, the Bears
offense can be more than serviceable and he makes for a solid bye week replacement.
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Jeremy Langford proved he can carry some of the workload last season when Matt Forte went
down. In the weeks that he was the starter, he found the end zone in all three games. The Bears
addressed adding depth to the backfield with Jordan Howard in the draft. Ka Dee Ca e is still
the e a d a e a ha ge of pa e a k, ut the jo is La gfo d s fo o . Ho he espo ds i
the upcoming season is one of the biggest question marks for the team and fantasy football
players.
Alshon Jeffery stepped up in a big way with the departure of Brandon Marshall last season but
he ould t sta o the field ith a a iet of i ju ies. Whe he as o the field, he as
productive but the passing game suffered greatly with no true number two receiver. Kevin
White should be fully healthy after missing his entire rookie campaign, but how he adapts to
the NFL will be something fantasy owners will keep their eyes on. Eddie Royal is still there and
has Cutle s t ust ut the Bea s d afted Da iel B a e a to o pete fo that thi d receiver
slot. The receiving corps is improved and should shine with the Bears defense being as bad as it
is at defe di g the pass. The ll eed to s o e poi ts to sta o petiti e i ga es.
Lastly, Martellus Bennett is another big name that has left the Bears offense. Zach Miller
p o ed he a e p odu ti e if gi e a ha e ut it s su h a s all sa ple size that it s ha d to
completely trust him. Only time will tell how explosive the Bears offense can be and if they
worth investing for fantasy owners.
STUD - ALSHON JEFFERY
To sa Alsho Jeffe
as a disappoi t e t last seaso does t do it justi e fo fa tas o e s.
When he was on the field, he was one of the best receivers from a fantasy perspective. He only
started eight games last season but almost notched 100 targets during that span. With no
Brandon Marshall anymore, Jeffery should continue to receive the majority of the targets even
with the additions to the offense.
A healthy Ke i White gi es the Bea s a othe e ei i g optio opposite of Jeffe . He s
another big receiver that allows the Bears to move Jeffery around different formations to
produce the best matchup all over the field. The new additions to the offensive line between
free agency and the draft bodes well for Jeffrey because it should allow Cutler to stay in the
pocket and deliver the ball to him.
If ou look at Jeffe s sho t a ee , it s eas to see he s o e of the p e ie ou g e ei e s i
the league. In his two fully healthy seasons, he surpassed 1,100 yards and 7 scores in those two
seaso s. I ju ies a e the a e of fa tas foot all a d the e i possi le to p edi t. A pla e
a go do at a ti e so that does t s a e a a f o i esti g i Jeff e this fantasy
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seaso . If his past p odu tio is a
fantasy owners.
i di atio of hat to e pe t f o , it s a
ight futu e fo
SLEEPER – ZACH MILLER
I know that I spent some time downplaying Zack Miller in the Team Outlook, but I might be the
highest believer of him outside of Chicago.
In order to see Miller as a sleeper, you have to look at the landscape of the tight end position.
Rob Gronkowski is looking at missing his star QB for the first four weeks of the season. Delanie
Walke s p odu tio hi ges on the arm of Marcus Mariota and how much better their young
e ei e s a e so he is t the sole optio i the passi g ga e. Jo da ‘eed is o e hit a a
from CTE leaking out of his helmet. Travis Kelce is in a run-oriented offense and Tyler Eifert is
still banged up from last season and is set to miss some regular season games. Those are the
top five guys at the position. The tight end position is up for grabs this year that almost anyone
can be a TE1 this season.
Miller played second fiddle to Martellus Bennett last season. When Bennett went down with an
i ju , he a aged to haul i fi e s o ed o e a se e ga e st et h. While that is t a i gi g
e do se e t o e su h a s all sa ple size, it s ha d to a gue ith his p odu tio du i g that
time.
Now Bennett is gone and Miller is slated to be the guy in Chicago. The Bears offense relies
heavily on the tight end to catch balls over the middle of the field. Having big receivers Alshon
Jeffery and Kevin White means more linebackers will be covering him in the passing game.
Miller showed flashes last season of exploiting that matchup and will continue to be a red zone
threat for Jay Cutler.
I ll e ho est, Mille is t so eo e ho I a o fo ta le ith ei g
e e
eek sta te . But
he is definitely a guy that I am willing to take a chance on late in the draft or plug in because of
i ju / e eek epla e e t. If e e thi g goes Mille s a this seaso , it s ot out the eal
of possibility for him to finish in the top 10.
ROOKIE TO WATCH – JORDAN HOWARD
Howard is a big, bruising back that can absolutely run over the competition. He was projected
as a late second or early third round pick that fell to the fifth round when the Bears snatched
him up in the draft this year.
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While Howard may not have landed in a premiere position like Ezekiel Elliott, he will be given a
chance to compete for the starting job. Jeremy Langford is the de facto starter because of his
production last season but head coach John Fox has committed to giving every player an
opportunity to compete for the starting job. This is partly due to Langford falling off at the end
of last season. When the Bears needed him the most late into games, often he was stuffed at
the li e o as t a le to get the fi st do i sho t a dage situatio . This is exactly where
Howard can excel for them.
The iggest p o le that Ho a d ill fa e i Chi ago is tou hes. He s a gu that eeds +
carries a game in order to be effective. He also needs to be better in the passing game, as
catching the ball out of the backfield is not his strong suit. But when he gets his momentum
goi g fo a d, he s a load to take do . I ould t suggest taki g Ho a d ith the assu ptio
that he s goi g to e the lead a k e ause it s ea l i the seaso , ut he s a a solute ust
grab for all Jeremy Langford owners as a handcuff.
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DETROIT LIONS (PAUL BATTS)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Matthew Stafford, Dan Orlovsky, Jake Rudock
RB: Ameer Abdullah (KR), Theo Riddick (3RB), Zach
Zenner (SD),Stevan Ridley (SD), Dwayne
Washington, George Winn
FB: Michael Burton
WR: Golden Tate (PR), Marvin Jones, Anquan
Boldin, TJ Jones (KR/PR), Jeremy Kerley, Andre
Caldwell, Corey Fuller (inj), Andre Roberts, Ryan
Spadola, Jay Lee, Quinshad Davis, Jace Billingsley
TE: Eric Ebron, Brandon Pettigrew (inj), Cole
Wick, Matthew Mulligan, Adam Fuehne, Ben
McCord, Tim Wright (IR)
K: Matt Prater
TEAM OUTLOOK
It was a tale of two season for the Lions in 2015. After starting the season 1-6 the team limped
all the way across the pond to get throttled 45-10 in week 8 in Wembley Stadium, spelling the
end of the Martin Mayhew era in The Motor City. Along with General Manager Mayhew went
team president Tom Lewand and several coaches, most notably offensive coordinator Joe
Lombardi. What happened next was somewhat surprising as Quarterback Coach Jim Bob Cooter
took over offensive coordinator duties and helped lead the team to wins in 6 of its last 8 games,
along with a last second loss to Green Bay on Aaron Rodgers (in?)famous Hail Mary. The miniresurgence of that Lions team was enough for incoming GM Bob Quinn to keep Jim Bob in his
role as OC as well as retaining Head Coach Jim Caldwell and DC Teryl Austin. Time will tell if this
was a wise decision by the first time GM but in the interest of continuity it can be argued that
this will be solid move for a Lions team that is still young enough and has enough talent to
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avoid a complete rebuild.
Unfortunately for the Lions, and NFL fans as a whole, future Hall of Fame wide receiver Calvin
Johnson shocked the football world by taking an early retirement at the young age of 30.
Megatron will obviously be missed, as he was one of the best players in the entire league and
has been the focal point for the Lion's offense for the better part of a decade. To help replace
some of Calvin's production the Lions locked up ex-Bengals wideout Marvin Jones on the first
day of free agency. Nobody expects Jones to replace the production of a player of Johnson's
caliber, but I feel like Jones has underrated potential and at just 25 years old, should have his
best years ahead of him. The Lions did little else to replace Johnson in free agency or the draft
so his 156 targets will need to be distributed elsewhere. Look for Jones to get the Lion's share
(pun intended) while Golden Tate, Eric Ebron and the running backs all see bumps in
production. There's not a lot of top end potential on this team but I believe there are relative
values to be had considering where these guys are being drafted. Quinn used his first draft to
bolster the offensive line that was one of the worst in the league but features several high draft
picks who are still young and developing. If this unit gels and matures it could bring sneaky
good value for guys like Stafford, Abdullah, Riddick, Tate, Jones and Ebron.
STUD – GOLDEN TATE
O a tea de oid of a t ue stud pla e , Golde Tate is ou est et fo fa tas p odu tio .
Tate has earned the trust of his coaches and quarterback with his precise route running and
sure hands (3 dropped passes last year) so I expect Tate to pick up where he left off in 2015.
Tate was already second on the team in targets with 132 in and The Lions will need to replace
Johnson's usage. As stated above, expect most of those targets to go to Jones but Tate should
see a slight increase as well. I feel like a reasonable projection for Golden is 150 targets making
100 catches and 8-10 touchdowns well within reach; putting him squarely in WR2 territory with
WR1 upside. Not bad value at his current 5th round ADP.
SLEEPER – THEO RIDDICK
I ll ad it I e t a k a d fo th o this o e. I e pe t E i E o to fi all
eak out a d elie e
that Matthew Stafford is being overlooked in drafts this year. I ultimately decided on Riddick
while researching average draft position on myfantasyleague.com. I was absolutely floored to
see Riddick's ADP sitting at 125 To put that into perspective, Martavis Bryant is being drafted,
o a e age, pi ks late . I ealize that B a t is a f eak ut the dude s ot e e pla i g this
year (by the way, I filtered drafts that sta ted afte Ju e , so that is B a t s u e t ADP. What
you are getting in Riddick is a guy coming off an 80 catch season, was 3rd on his team in targets,
and was RB18 in PPR leagues ... in the 10th round! In additional to those numbers, the coaching
staff has hi ted at getti g ‘iddi k o e i ol ed i the u i g ga e a d it s ha d to i agi e
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he does t i p o e o his tou hdo s f o a ea ago. Ho the e a e
u i g a ks
ei g d afted ahead of ‘iddi k, I a t e plai , ut it is a situation that I plan on exploiting until
the market is corrected and I suggest you do the same. Oh, by the way, he dropped exactly zero
alls last ea , if that does 't eate t ust f o ou ua te a k the I do t k o
hat ill.
ROOKIE TO WATCH – DWAYNE WASHINGTON
In the interest of full disclosure, I think Washington is a long shot to make the team. After
Abdullah and Riddick there is a logjam at the running back position. Zach Zenner flashed
potential last year before going down with a serious injury and Stevan Ridley was brought in to
compete for early down work. Washington is a raw prospect and a converted wide receiver
who will have a hard time earning a spot. What the former Husky does bring to the table is
freakish physical attributes and he was hand-picked by the current regime. If the rookie can
show enough in camp to earn a roster spot, he has tremendous upside. My best guess is that he
la ds o the p a ti e s uad ut I ill e taki g shots late i d afts just i ase he sti ks. He s
mostly a dynasty stash for me, however.
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GREEN BAY PACKERS
(DAMIAN DOBROWSKI)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Aaron Rodgers, Brett Hundley, Joe
Callahan, Marquise Williams
RB: Eddie Lacy, James Starks, John Crockett, Brandon
Burks,Brandon Ross, Don Johnson
FB: Aaron Ripkowski, Alstevis Squirewell
WR: Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, Davante Adams, Jared
Abbrederis, Jeff Janis (KR), Ty Montgomery (inj), Trevor
Davis, Geronimo Allison, Jamel Johnson, Ed
Williams, Herb Waters, Harvey Binford
TE: Richard Rodgers, Jared Cook, Justin Perillo, Kennard
Backman, Casey Pierce, Mitchell Henry
K: Mason Crosby
TEAM OUTLOOK
Over the past several seasons the Packers have been one of the most consistent and explosive
offenses in all of football. With Aaron Rodgers, Eddie Lacy and Jordy Nelson, Green Bay has a
dominant skill position trio to pair with an opportunistic defense and reliable special teams. The
franchise has won double-digit games in four the last five years and is a perennial Super Bowl
contender.
That said from a fantasy perspective 2015 was an extremely disappointing season for this club,
both collectively and individually. The offense finished 24th in total yards, 26th in passing yards
and 29th i a ds pe pla . Nu e s like that see u i agi a le fo a u it that s led
‘odge s, pe haps the ost tale ted QB to e e pla the ga e. Ho e e , the e s a p ett logical
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explanation for how this all came to be. Nelson tore his ACL in the preseason, Lacy ate his way
out of ga e shape a d oth ‘a dall Co a d Da a te Ada s p o ed that the e fa ette
suited as role players than go-to guys.
Yet despite these developments the fantasy outlook for the 2016 Packers remains extremely
positive. Green Bay selected only one offensive skill position player among their six draft picks
this ea , a lea sig f o
a age e t that the e ie i g last seaso s st uggles as a
isolated incident. All indications are that Jordy Nelson is fully recovered from his surgery and
Eddie Lacy appears to have had a far more constructive off-season this time around. The
addition of free agent TE Jared Cook should bolster the passing attack even further and I fully
expect this offense to resemble the dominant unit we saw from 2011-2014.
Vegas has set the over/under for Green Bay wins this year at 10.5, tied for the highest of any
team. Now you may not think this has any relation to fantasy p odu tio , ut it s a p ett good
i di ato of o e all tea su ess. Fu the , it s pa ti ula l useful he d afti g o st ea i g
defe ses. You a t a u it that s goi g to e pla i g f o ahead a d that should e tai l e
the case with the Packers. Lastly, I ll sa that I
alui g gu s like ‘odge s, La , Nelso a d
Cobb virtually the same as we were this time last year.
STUD – AARON RODGERS
For me this is the top quarterback in the game right now, both in reality and fantasy. Be it by
the eye-test or advanced metrics, Rodgers is an all-time great. Prior to last season and
excluding 2013 when he only played 9 games, A-Rod has been a top-two fantasy QB every year
si e
. No I get that ou a t just ig o e
a d those ith e e
ias a e e
a gue that it has i eased ele a e, ut I just do t see it ha i g a i pa t o i g fo a d.
‘odge s st uggles last seaso e e di e tl tied to injuries and underperformance within his
suppo ti g ast, ot a de li e i his skills o a ilit . I
o fide t that the Pa ke s offe se has
resolved the issues that plagued them in 2015 and if anything maybe those concerns will be
able to get you a slight discount at the draft table.
Having said all that, my case for Rodgers is in the context of a vacuum relative to other options
at the position. In practice, his ADP currently sits at 29.5 and I would personally never take a QB
that early in a draft. Now I actually do believe that he can return third round value, but the
problem is that the gap in ADP between Rodgers and guys like Eli Manning, Andy Dalton and
Kirk Cousins is typically far greater than the expected difference in their production. And when
paired with the opportunity cost, spending a top 40 pick on a QB is simply not my preferred
strategy when building a roster.
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SLEEPER – JEFF JANIS
It s i edi le ho pola izi g of a pla e Ja is has e o e gi e that e e talki g a out
someone with fou a ee egula seaso s e eptio s. He s asi all the Ch isti e Mi hael of
ide e ei e s; a pla e ith g eat ph si al tools ho fo o e easo o a othe a t see to
get o the field. No i the past I e ee i li ed to dis iss Ja is ased o a variety of
situational factors. Neither Rodgers nor McCarthy seemed to be particularly fond of him and
the e e e ple t of u o s a out his i a ilit to g asp G ee Ba s o ple passi g offe se.
However some more recent developments have made me far mo e opti isti a out Ja is
fantasy outlook for 2016.
First, Davante Adams had one of the most inefficient seasons for a WR in NFL history in 2015.
Fo all the o plai ts a out Ja is, I ha e a ha d ti e elie i g he ould t e a i p o e e t
over that. And how could the Packers even know that without actually giving him a shot?
Anyway, there are reports that Adams is now in danger of being cut and without a clear no. 3
option behind Nelson and Cobb, it sure looks as if Janis will finally get his opportunity in 2016.
Second, following a Cobb injury, Janis almost single handedly kept Green Bay in the game
during their eventual overtime loss to the Cardinals in the NFC Divisional Playoffs. He finished
that game with 7 catches for 145 yards including a 60-yard catch on 4th and 20 and a 41-yard
Hail Ma o the last pla of egulatio . No I get that e do t a t to o e ea t to o e
ga e, ut it s lea that Ja is has the ph si al skills to su eed i this league. We e see it
every year during the preseason a d o he s e e sho it to us o the ig stage.
I ll ad it the e s a ide a ge of out o es ith Ja is a d it s e e possi le he s a o plete
ze o this ea . That said the e s also the ha e that Nelso is slo o i g out of the gates a d
Janis takes o e as the tea s p i a deep th eat. If e e thi g eaks ight I a see a -7506 season here.
ROOKIE TO WATCH – TREVOR DAVIS
As I mentioned before the Packers spent six of their seven draft picks on the defensive side of
the all so the e e e t a optio s i this a ea. A d hile I e ade
affe tio fo Ja is
e lea , the e s o de i g the fa t that the a k-end of this receiving corps is full of
questions. Neither Jared Abbrederis nor Ty Montgomery has cemented their roles yet and
there s a elief that Da is ould e the tea s lo g-te pla at the positio . He s a e plosi e
athlete .
, .
e ti al ho tested e
ell at the o i e a d offe s additio al
appeal as a etu
a .I
ot p edi ti g a ajo i pa t f o Da is i 2016, but given his QB
and offensive system he certainly has some appeal in deeper dynasty formats.
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MINNESOTA VIKINGS (STEVE SCHULZ)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Teddy Bridgewater, Shaun Hill, Taylor
Heinicke, Joel Stave
RB: Adrian Peterson, Jerick McKinnon, Matt
Asiata, Jhurell Pressley, Blake Renaud
FB: Zach Line
WR: Stefon Diggs (PR), Laquon Treadwell, Jarius
Wright, Charles Johnson, Cordarrelle Patterson
(KR), Mortiz Boehringer, Adam Thielen, Isaac
Freuchte, Terrell Sinkfield
TE: Kyle Rudolph, MyCole Pruitt, Rhett Ellison, David
Morgan, Brian Leonhardt, Kyle Carter
K: Blair Walsh
TEAM OUTLOOK
Believe it or not – a d I e e ified this th ough
multiple sources – the Minnesota Vikings were the
NFC North champions in 2015. Can they repeat in 2016? The Green Bay Packers stand in their
way, but the excitement of a new stadium, a coach who is finally getting his due respect (and a
new contract), and a young team rallying around an underrated quarterback should provide an
e te tai i g a d o petiti e seaso fo Head Coa h Mike )i
e s tea .
The purple pigskinners turned in an 11-5 regular season, capped off with a win at Lambeau
Field over Green Bay to clinch the division. Following a 7- a paig i
, ou d thi k the
team would be happy with such an improvement, right? Perhaps, but in true Vikings style, the
team blew what appeared to be a playoff win vs. Seattle when Blair Walsh missed a 27-yard
chip shot field goal – badly – sending the shocked Vikings to the showers.
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2015 saw the return of Adrian Peterson from suspension, and Peterson turned an age-defying
performance (more on him later.) The other big story in 2015 was the success of the draft class.
Although first-rounder CB Trae Waynes made only minor contributions, the down-ballot
contributions of the 2015 draft class had Vikings fans forgetting about many of GM Rick
“piel a s d aft isses. “e o d-rounder Eric Kendricks immediately became a force in the
Viki gs li e a ki g o ps, joi i g fello UCLA B ui Anthony Barr. The Vikings also got
significant contributions from other members of the draft class, such as OT T.J. Clemmings, a
fourth-rounder who was pressed into duty at right tackle after Phil Loadholt went down with
injury; Stefon Diggs, a fifth-round WR whose quick feet and ability to separate made him one of
QB Tedd B idge ate s fa o ite ta gets. Defe si e e d Da ielle Hu te also logged o e a d
more snaps as the season wore on, and made the most of his opportunities while sharing a
rotation with DE Brian Robison. In 2016, Waynes is looking to contribute more to the
se o da , as is
ookie Ma ke zie Ale a de . But
s d aft lass is all a out the ig W‘
at the top: Laquon Treadwell. For the first time, Bridgewater has a possession receiver who can
use his od to o out defe de s. While it s still a u -first offense, Teddy will enjoy having a
target with a nose for converting the 3rd-and-4 challenges.
The biggest question mark for the Vikings in 2016 is the same question mark as 2015: offensive
line. Teddy Bridgewater was often met in the backfield as he was completing his drop from
e te a fo atio that fa o ed Pete so s u i g st le, ut ot B idge ate s ua te a ki g
style.) Left tackle Matt Kalil had a better year in 2015 than 2
, ut that s ot sa i g u h. It s
a make-or-break year for him. Loadholt has already retired, replaced by free agent Andre Smith.
At left guard, a new face, Alex Boone, brings some nastiness to the Vikings offensive line.
Center John Sullivan is back from injury. There are reasons for optimism that Teddy will have
more time to throw in 2016, but the unit still has a lot to prove after a subpar year in 2015.
STUD – ADRIAN PETERSON
Running back Adrian Peterson was born March 21, 1985, making him 31 as he enters the 2016
season. Typically, running backs on the wrong side of 30 are usually close to a career cliff that
can mark a precipitous decline. Maybe that will happen to Peterson this year, but maybe not.
Whe D . Ja es A d e s fi ed Pete so s to ACL with surgery, he marveled that the running
a k s k ee did t sho a of the ea a d tea he ould e pe t f o a NFL u i g a k
ho akes his pa he k pla ti g ha d a d utti g o the k ees. A d e s said Pete so s k ee
as like a e o
a . This is why people are quick to say Peterson is some sort of
superhuman. But father time catches up to everyone in the end.
Many believed Peterson would be affected mentally or physically by a long lay-off after he was
pla ed o the Co
issio e s E e pt List due to child abuse charges filed against him. He
as t. All the all-pro running back did was win his third NFL rushing crown with 1,485 yards,
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and also led the league among running backs in attempts (327) and touchdowns (11.) People
have strong feelings about Peterson off the field, but on the field he was the same running
back.
Now that the Vikings invested a first-round pick on a wide receiver, should we expect more of a
pass-happ offe se f o Offe si e Coo di ato No Tu e ? Do t ou t o it. Turner is likely
to stick with the concept he and Zimmer installed: ride Peterson on offense, stick with low-risk
passi g pla s, let the defe se la p do o the oppo e t. “u e, the e s likel to e a little
o e life i a passi g atta k that oasted Mike Wallace and Charles Johnson as starting WRs
last year, but the Vikings are still a run-first team in 2016.
For fantasy football, Peterson is still a hyper-safe pi k. He ll get his a ies a d he s still the
number one option at the goal line. Backup Jerick McKinnon may be used more in pass
p ote tio a d to spell Pete so , ut it s still Ad ia s offe se.
SLEEPER – JERICK MCKINNON
The e a e o o ious sleepe s o the Mi esota Viki gs oste , if ou defi e sleepe as
someone who is likely to vastly outperform their expected output. Adrian Peterson is expected
to e a stud, so he does t ualif . ‘ookie W‘ La uo T ead ell is likel to a e out a ole i
the offe se a d his u lo ki g ill get hi ple t of s aps, ut it s tough to see T ead ell
wi i g people s fa tas foot all seaso s ased o his u e t ADP. “e o d-year player Stefon
Diggs might surprise with his production, especially if he gets more snaps in the slot, but his
upside is apped the s ste the Viki gs u . That s the sa e a gument that prevents Teddy
Bridgewater from getting a sleeper label. This is a run-fi st tea a d that p o a l o t
change in 2016.
That brings us to a scenario that would put running back Jerick McKinnon on the field more. If
Adrian Peterson were to suffer an injury that kept him out an extended period, McKinnon is the
hei appa e t. “u e, Matt Asiata is likel to get so e s aps, ut he s a plodde . M Ki o has
all of the tale t a d speed to see sig ifi a t a ies i a a se e of Pete so s. A othe factor
that a get M Ki o s u e alled o e ofte is pass lo ki g. It ould e ge e ous to
Pete so to all his pass lo ki g a o k i p og ess. M Ki o is ette i that a ea, a d if
the Vikings do want to take the top off defenses more often i
, it ould t e a su p ise to
see more of McKinnon protecting Bridgewater.
The e s a othe easo the Viki gs a a t to see o e of M Ki o this ea . Pete so ill
be 32 next year and is due $18 million in 2017 salary. If the Vikings part ways with Peterson in
the offseaso , ot a si gle dolla ould e lost i dead ap o e . It s ha d to see the Viki gs
paying that kind of money to any running back, and they could want an extended look at
McKinnon this year to see if he can carry the load if Peterson is gone next year.
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McKinnon is a late-round flier who could put up respectable numbers in the fantasy playoffs if
Pete so a t go. That, o i ed ith a p o ess of eli i atio of the othe pla e s, akes
McKinnon the best bet to be a sleeper on the Vikings offense.
ROOKIE TO WATCH – LAQUON TREADWELL
OK, let s ot get az a d gi e the ookie the i k a e of o e of the g eatest e ei e s the
league has ever seen, but the tongue-in-cheek moniker for the University of Mississippi
product, Megaqon, should indicate how excited many Vikings fans are to have what might be
the best possession receiver the team has had since Cris Carter.
T ead ell s .
-yard dash at the combine should indicate this is not the receiver who is
going to blow the doors off a cornerback and sprint to the pylon. However, what Treadwell
lacks in straight-line speed, he makes up for with receiving skills such as high-pointing the ball,
using his body to gain position on the defender and utilizing his great hands to move the chains.
Stefon Diggs and Jarius Wright can work the deep routes for the Vikings. Treadwell will be used
in the red zone and, hopefully along with oft-injured TE Kyle Rudolph, to work the underneath
routes to help Bridgewater convert on mid-distance third downs.
A d ith the Viki gs u -first mentality, a big-bodied WR who can block is a huge bonus to the
overall Vikings attack.
Treadwell is a rookie WR, so expectations should be tempered in the first year. However, with a
feared running attack, a rebuilt offensive line, and a quarterback who has shown surprising
poise fo the a ou t he s ee eate up, the passi g atta k ould app oa h espe ta ilit i
2016, and Treadwell figures to be a big part of that.
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CIGAR REVIEW – BALMORAL ANEJO
(DEVIN DITULLIO)
The Balmoral Añejo XO was released last year at IPCPR in New Orleans. This cigar is packed in
20 count boxes and originally came in
three sizes. At this year's IPCPR Balmoral
is offering up three additional sizes,
including a limited edition lancero.
Balmoral is a brand under the Royal Agio
Cigars umbrella based out of the
Netherlands. Their other brands include
Meha i s, Pa te , a d De Huifka . The
Balmoral line is distributed in the U.S. by
Drew Estates and is only available at
their Diplomat retailers.
Brand: Balmoral
Wrapper: Brazilian
Binder: Dominican
Filler: Dominican and Nicaraguan
Strength: Medium
Size: 5×55 Rothschild Masivo
Price: $9.90
The presentation of the cigar is spot on.
The dark brown wrapper looks tasty with
a faint chocolate and earthy scent. There
are two bands on this stick, the top one
has a large embossed gold colored B with a grey background. The top band also has an eye
catching red ribbon around the bottom. The bottom band is for more than just looks here, it
includes the name the cigar along with size.
First puffs- A smooth black pepper spice hits the back of your throat first. A couple puffs in and
a hint of cedar flavor enters the mix. The draw is noticeably light and easy to take nice long
puffs.
First Third- Cedar is the dominating flavor in this part of the stick, although there is
a subtle sweet undertone. The spice is now mostly present during retrohale. So far the burn line
is staying mostly even and construction is top notch.
Second Third- The sweetness is now transforming into a smooth creamy chocolate taste, while
the cedar flavor remains the main attraction. The cigar is becoming more complex and the
flavors are blending perfectly. The draw continues to be on the lighter side, and there is a heavy
amount of bright white smoke with each puff.
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Final Third- I sta ti g to get a s eet to a o taste o . The ea i ess has stepped up
another notch, with the chocolate flavor toning down some. Ever present is the cedar and black
pepper spice.
This is a solid cigar with some great offsetting flavors. The construction is on point, producing a
solid ash and an even burn line. The draw was enjoyable throughout the entire stick. I am
recommending all of you give this one a try.
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ATLANTA FALCONS (GRANT
HARRISON)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Matt Ryan, T.J. Yates
RB: Devonta Freeman, Tevin Coleman, Antone
Smith
FB: Patrick DiMarco
WR: Julio Jones, Roddy White, Devin Hester (PR),
Justin Hardy
TE: Jacob Tamme, Levine Toilolo
K: Matt Bryant
TEAM OUTLOOK
The fi st ea of Da Qui s Fal o s as a tale of
two halves, with the Dirty Birds starting the season
on fire, with a 6-2 record at the midpoint of the season. The second half of the season was a
completely different story, with losses to San Francisco and a Matt Hasselbeck led Colts team in
back to back weeks, proving to be a particular nadir.
The offense reflected the up and down nature of the team perfectly, with players such as Matt
Ryan and Devonta Freeman, fading badly down the stretch. Ryan in particular was singled out,
justifia l , fo iti is , as he st uggled i e Offe si e Coo di ato , K le “ha aha s e
offensive scheme. Ryan struggled to adapt to the new playbook and threw a far too high 16
interceptions, four of these coming in the red zone. These killer mistakes need to be eradicated
from the Falcons quarterback this year, or the boo boys will certainly be talking about not only
a change of coach but potentially the need for a new QB.
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The aforementioned Devonta Freeman was nothing short of a revelation in the 2015 season,
giving the Falcons a much needed focal point in the running game and a potent red zone threat.
Freeman scored 11 touchdowns on the ground and added another three scores through the air
in 2015, very impressive numbers that may take a slight dip this season. Running Backs Coach
Bo
Tu e has spoke of the eed to li it F ee a s tou hes i
so he a e ai f esh
all season and be more efficient with his touches.
The man who will be taking some of these touches from Freeman is second-year back Tevin
Coleman. Coleman had an up and down season in 2015, at times displaying the game breaking
ability he was drafted for and also making poor decisions and fumbling at inopportune
moments. Coleman struggled at the goal li e as a ookie a d his up ight u i g st le does t
lend itself to success in the red zone. Owners who pick up the former Hoosier will be hoping
that he can break some more of the long runs that made him such an exciting player in college.
Julio Jo es: good at foot all. That s p ett u h that fo the est e ei e i foot all. The est
of the Falcons receiving corps was the problem in 2015, a decrepit Roddy White, stone hands
Leonard Hankerson and a rookie Justin Hardy did not do enough to help get the Falcons passing
game going.
In steps Mohamed Sanu in 2016, in an almost universally panned move, the Falcons elected to
pay the former Bengal $32.5 million over five years. That is a lot of money for a man who has
never been a consistent player during his time in the NFL, yet the Falcons have faith that he is
the man to get this passing game firing. In his limited playing time in Cincinnati, Sanu has had
success as a gadget player and on intermediate routes, where he can be schemed open and use
his athleticism to create yards after the catch. Sanu should be in line for 100 targets minimum
i K le “ha aha s offe se a d ould p o e to e good alue at his u e t ADP of the . .
“a u s det a to s ill poi t to his st uggles to sepa ate a d his issues with drops in the past but
at that point in the draft, the sheer volume of work he should see makes him a viable target.
Justin Hardy figures to man the slot for the Falcons in 2016, the former East Carolina Pirate
struggled as rookie, failing to record over 36 yards in a game. Coming from a small school like
ECU, Hardy was always going to be slower adapting to the rigors of the pro game. The Falcons,
however, like his fit in this offense, with his ability to get open in tight spaces and exploit zones
aki g hi a g eat a didate i the slot. Ha d s a ilit to o e t at hes i to fi st do s is
another reason for his role potentially increasing in 2016, with 12 of his 21 catches being chain
movers as a rookie. Hardy is currently not being drafted a d he al ost e tai l should t e at
this point, he will however be an interesting player to monitor as the season develops and we
see how the Falcons offense will function.
The tight end position in Atlanta is a relatively interesting one this offseason, with the veteran
Jacob Tamme the incumbent and highly drafted rookie Austin Hooper looking to take his job.
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Tamme was a reliable option for Matt Ryan in 2015 but he has very limited fantasy appeal as he
is not an effective red zone option. Hooper provides that kind of upside that owners may be
looking to harvest towards the end of the season, if he is able to usurp Tamme. Hooper has the
size a d speed that NFL tea s a e looki g fo i thei Tight E d s ut as a pla e ho left
college after his redshirt sophomore season, it may take a while for him to adapt.
STUD – JULIO JONES
Julio Jones is the best wide receiver in football and he just might be the first man to break the
2,000 yard receiving mark. Julio received 203 targets in 2016 and that number should not drop
off much, if at all in 2016. If you combine that with even marginally better play from Matt Ryan
and the mythical 2,000 yard mark is not completely out of the question. At the 1.01 I want
guaranteed production and Julio Jones is that guy, I would not hesitate to pull the trigger on
hi at that spot a d I d e o
e d that ou do the sa e.
At the most stacked position in football, it takes a lot to differentiate from the pack and Jones
does this with his ability to attack a game and change it, singlehandedly for the Falcons and
fantasy owners. In half his games in 2015, Jones registered 135 yards or more and in ten games
he had 9 receptions or more, an outstanding level of consistency. This kind of a floor is a rarity
in fantasy football and it is why Julio is so valuable.
The main area for improvement for the Falcons offense and Julio in 2016 will be red zone
efficiency, as highlighted earlier, Matt Ryan threw four picks there last year and Jones was not
targeted anywhere near enough near paydirt, with marginal players such as Nick Williams,
Levine Toilolo and Justin Hardy all receiving far too many looks.
SLEEPER – MOHAMED SANU
Mohamed Sanu as noted above, is currently being drafted on average at the 11.09 spot in
fantasy drafts. The Falcons made a massive financial commitment to the former Rutgers
standout and made his acquisition the focal point of their free agency spending and teams
do t e eal the sel es a
o e tha he the ha e to e pe d apital. B spe di g that
money on Sanu, the Falcons have shown how highly they think of him and how much they will
feature him.
With the departures of Roddy White and Leonard Hankerson, there are 118 targets left over
from the 2015 Falcons offense and Sanu should take the majority of those. 100 ta gets is “a u s
floor in this offense and it could well end up closer to 120, the Falcons will surely be hoping that
Ja o Ta
e does t o
a d a othe
ta gets i
. Whe “a u as hea il ta geted
by the Bengals in 2014 as a number one receiver he registered his best season, registering 780
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yards and 5 touchdowns, largely without anyone of note drawing coverage opposite him. These
totals appea to e “a u s floo i
a d a e e tai l so ethi g I ould e tai l take at
the end of the 11th round in drafts. A solid floor with the upside for a 1,000-yard season, Sanu
could end up one of the biggest bargains in fantasy.
ROOKIE TO WATCH – AUSTIN HOOPER
The Falcons rookie crop of 2016 focused mainly on adding speed and playmaking ability to the
defence, with only two skill position players added, Stanford Tight End Austin Hooper and UCLA
Wide Receiver Devin Fuller. Hooper is the one of the two that may have some upside this year,
his ed zo e a ilit a d sepa atio skills ould e i d Matt ‘ a hat it s like to ha e a
somewhat dynamic threat at the position.
As a sophomore at Stanford, Hooper managed to create big plays on a regular basis, averaging
12. a ds pe at h. I a passi g offe se as li ited as the Ca di als, that s e elle t p odu tio
for such a young player. Hooper also caught six touchdowns in his final season in Palo Alto,
acquitting himself admirably as a red zone option for Kevin Hogan. The Falcons will be hoping
he can hone his obvious physical gifts in a professional organization and be the replacement for
To Go zalez the Fal o s thought the had i Hoope s fello “ta fo d alu i, Le i e Toilolo.
In redraft, Hooper may not make much noise but early in the third round, he is excellent value
in rookie dynasty drafts.
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CAROLINA PANTHERS (TYLER TOBIN)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Cam Newton, Derek Anderson, Joe Webb (WR)
RB: Jonathan Stewart, Cameron Artis-Payne, Fozzy
Whittaker,Brandon Wegher, Devon Johnson, Jalen
Simmons
FB: Mike Tolbert, Andrew Bonnet
WR: Kelvin Benjamin, Devin Funchess, Ted Ginn
(KR/PR), Corey Brown (KR), Brenton Bersin, Stephen
Hill, Keyarris Garrett, Kevin Norwood, Damiere
Byrd, Miles Shuler
TE: Greg Olsen, Ed Dickson, Beau Sandland, Scott
Simonson, Jake McGee, Braxton Deaver, Marcus
Lucas
K: Graham Gano
TEAM OUTLOOK
Last ea s seaso as i edi le fo the Ca oli a
Pa the s. With a al ost u defeated seaso , the Pa the s ade thei a to the “upe Bo l
to face the Denver Broncos. Unfortunately, due to an amazing defense and some mental errors
on the part of Quarte a k Ca Ne to , the Pa the s e e t a le to ash i o thei se o d
try at a Super Bowl. Under Coach Ron Rivera the Panthers have developed a strong defense
that only gave up 19.25 points a game and had an opponent turnover ratio of -20. However, the
defense was only part of the story last season, as the offense and a couple of lesser known wide
receivers put up some big scoring. The Panthers offense averaged 31.25 points per game and
receivers like Ted Ginn and Corey Brown were picked up off of a lot of waiver wires. This season
with the return of wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin the Panthers offense could be even better,
hi h should put fea i to the hea ts of opposi g defe ses. Last ea s u de dog status is go e
as the Panthers are ranked 1st in most preseason power polls and it will be interesting to see
how this season shakes out.
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STUD – CAM NEWTON
Last ea as a g eat seaso fo the Fa e of the F a hise Ca Ne to . He as hose as the
league's MVP and set a precedent for dual threat quarterbacks. The 2011 first overall pick,
finally put together a year that was great for fans and not just fantasy players. He had 35
passing touchdowns and only 10 interceptions, while producing 3,837 passing yards. His passing
stats were extremely impressive considering the injury to his number one receiver. He will also
have Kelvin Benjamin, Greg Olsen, and Tedd Ginn to throw to this season. However, fantasy
football players should be more excited about his rushing yards and his ability to run the
football. Because of his dual threat status Cam is projected as a top quarterback in many
fantasy draft projections. Last season he ran for 636 yards and registered 10 rushing
touchdowns. His ability to use his legs to produce points is huge for most fantasy football
pla e s. Ba i g i ju Ca s p oje ted u e s a e o ta get fo a si ila seaso a d he
should be a very popular pick this season.
SLEEPER – JONATHAN STEWART
You usually wouldn't consider the starting running back for a team a sleeper, but in the context
of the Panthers offense that seems to be what has happened. With most opposing defenses
focused on Cam Newton, Greg Olsen, and Kelvin Benjamin, a player like Jonathan Stewart is
forgotten. J Stew ran for 989 yards and 6 TD's last season. No matter how many receiving
weapons the Panthers have Coach Ron Rivera won't abandon the run. With Stewart healthy this
season he could be looking at a 1,000+ yard season and 10+ TDs. He makes an intriguing fantasy
play while everyone else is focused on Super Cam.
ROOKIE TO WATCH – KEYARRIS GARRETT
Most of the draft this season was spent on defensive players Vernon Bradley and Zack Sanchez.
Both players who could play a significant role on an already formidable defense. However, the
story this season could be the free agent signing of Keyarris Garrett. Garrett is out of Tulsa and
sta ds at a hoppi g
pou ds. He has the speed to eak f ee fo the lo g all, ut also
has the attributes of a possession receiver and could seriously benefit under the tutelage of
wide receiver coach Ricky Proehl. If Garrett does well in the preseason and can find some
playing time, he could establish himself as a compliment to an already deep wide receiving
corp.
IDP PLAYER SPOTLIGHT
The Carolina Panthers have one of, if not, the best linebacking corps in the NFL. Luke Kuechly
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and Thomas Davis combined for 151 total tackles last season as well as a couple of takeaways.
Both players have the ability to make turnovers and potentially score once they have the ball in
their hands. Kuechly was on the field for 767 defensive snaps last season and Davis was very
close. Both guys should be at the top of any IDP list this season.
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NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (JOSH HONSES)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Drew Brees, Luke McCown, Garrett Grayson
RB: Mark Ingram, Tim Hightower, C.J. Spiller, Travaris
Cadet, Daniel Lasco, Marcus Murphy
FB: Austin Johnson, Sione Houma
WR: Brandin Cooks, Michael Thomas, Willie
Snead, Brandon Coleman, Reggie Bell, R.J. Harris, Kyle
Prater, Jared Dangerfield, Hakeem Nicks, Jordan
Williams, Tommylee Lewis, Jake Lampman, Vince
Brown (IR)
TE: Coby Fleener, Josh Hill, Michael
Hoomanawanui, RaShaun Allen, Chris
Manhertz, Garrett Griffin
K: Kai Forbath, Connor Barth
TEAM OUTLOOK
There should only be one name to concern yourself with in New Orleans and that is none other
than Drew Brees. The Saints as a whole were nothing special, but the individual pieces on
offense made a lot of fantasy owners very happy. The New Orleans offense was the best in the
league at throwing the ball last season, so naturally Brees was one of the best fantasy
quarterbacks. He should be considered one of the top players at his position headed into the
season.
The backfield down in the Big Easy was a rollercoaster last season. Mark Ingram showed he can
be a top 10 talent in the league but his season was derailed by an injury right before playoff
time in most leagues. Before going down though, it should be noted that Ingram averaged a
hair below 12 fantasy points a game in standard leagues. That made him the fourth best RB in
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the league behind Devonta Freeman, Adrian Peterson, and Todd Gurley. Tim Hightower
stepped in immediately to contribute in a big way for the Saints down the fantasy playoff
stretch. If you combined I g a s a d Highto e s u e s, that ould ha e put the thi d i
the league overall in fantasy points. If Ingram can stay healthy, he should be a great value with
high upside. Hightower is a must grab later in the draft as a handcuff.
Everybody expected Brandin Cooks to be a top 12 talent headed into last season and he
delivered. The number two receiver spot was the talk of the town headed into the season and
Willie Snead almost topped 1,000 yards himself. Now the Saints add Michael Thomas from the
d aft to step i a d o t i ute ight a a . It s ot az to thi k that he uilds o “ ead s
numbers as his floor to make an immediate impact.
Ben Watson has moved on to join the Baltimore Ravens. Insert, in my opinion, one of the most
unde ated sig i gs of the offseaso Co Flee e . I
ot sa i g to e pe t Ji
G aha es ue u e s f o Flee e ut do t e su p ised if he fi ished so e he e a ou d the top
five at the end of the season. He has a lot of similarities to Graham in that he is t the g eatest
blocker, but he will be a big target in the end zone for Brees.
The “ai ts ha e a g eat offe se headed i to this seaso . The e s alue to e had a oss the
board on all players involved. As long as Drew Brees can stay healthy, the outlook is bright for
fantasy owners to get a piece of this offense.
STUD – DREW BREES
What a e said a out D e B ees that has t ee said efo e? He s o e of the g eatest
ua te a ks to e e pla the positio . I do t k o if it s possi le to e u derrated while being
one of five players to throw for over 5,000 yards in a season, but he is often left out of the
conversation of greatest players to play his position.
To put this in perspective for fantasy purposes, Brees has averaged over 4,850 passing yards
a d tou hdo s a seaso si e joi i g the “ai ts. That s ette tha a o e i the league
over that stretch.
Heading into this season, the Saints added some new toys to offense. Rookie receiver Michael
Thomas adds a big body and speed, which will replace the aging Marques Colston. Brandin
Cooks showed last season that he can be the possession receiver that Brees can rely on to make
the tough catches. Willie Snead rounds out the top three receivers, whom Brees found for
almost 1,000 yards as well last season. That makes for a young core of high talent guys.
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Coby Fleener is another guy that Brees has to like with big hands and athleticism. Ben Watson
pla ed g eat last seaso a d it s ot ha d to i agi e Flee e posti g si ila u e s, espe iall
i the ed zo e. Do t fo get a health Ma k I g a
ill also e ui e defe se to pla the “ai ts
honest, which means less defensive backs on the field to defend the passing game.
Everything that Brees has done until this point in his career has surpassed any expectations laid
before him. His offense is better on paper than it was last season. Sean Payton, his head coach,
signed an extension this offseason to stay in New Orleans. The backfield is stronger than it has
ee i e e t seaso s; do t fo get e ha e et to see a full health C.J. “pille i a “ai ts
u ifo . Big thi gs a e i sto e fo B ees a d this offe se this seaso . The e s a easo h he
has broken every record since he arrived. He shows no indication of slowing down and the
“ai ts ill el hea il o hi to lead this offe se. If ou e a fa tas pla e , ou a t ask fo
more than that from your starting quarterback.
SLEEPER – COBY FLEENER
When people think of the Saints offense, the first thing that pops into their mind is Drew Brees.
He s ee the est ua te a k i the league si e joi i g the “ai ts. Natu all , the iggest
benefactors of this has been the receivers for the Saints.
Now for me, a sleeper is any player that you are willing to be your ass on the line and take well
efo e a o e else i the d aft. It does t e essa il o stitute taki g a pla e o od has
heard about or some obscure 7th round rookie from the draft that benefits from an inju . I
illi g to e
e k out he e e ause I elie e i Co Flee e . I do t fi d it az to see hi
finishing as a top 5 player at his position. When you look at the numbers and other tight ends,
it s eall ot that az of a idea eithe .
Over the past five seasons, the Saints tight end has averaged over 1,000 yards and 10
touchdowns. Now everyone will point to Jimmy Graham being the biggest reason why those
numbers are so high. I do not think Coby Fleener will have Jimmy Graham numbers in this
offe se, ut do t e su p ised if he ho e s so e he e a ou d the e o e the seaso s e d.
Ben Watson, who was a fantasy darling last season, had 825 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns.
I thi k that s a i e aseli e fo Flee e a d e easo a le fo hi to obtain.
The biggest thing Fleener has going for him is the lack of skill at his position. Everyone knows
Rob Gronkowski is one the best player at his position. After that, the line is much more blurred
for who is elite at his position. Jordan Reed has a phenomenal year, but can he stay healthy
ith all of the o ussio s th oughout his ou g a ee ? G eg Olse has ee Ca Ne to s
favorite target but how do they bounce back from the Super Bowl loss? How many targets does
he lose with Kelvin Benjamin being back? Tyler Eifert is hurt from last season and Travis Kelce
a t lo k i a u fi st offe se.
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The e s so a
uestio s at the positio that the eili g fo Flee e is highe tha a othe
pla e ot a ed G o k. I
illi g to take a ha e a d draft Fleener before his 9th round
ADP. All tight ends in New Orleans have produced at a high rate of return and Fleener might be
the biggest steal in your fantasy football draft.
ROOKIE TO WATCH – MICHAEL THOMAS
Going into the NFL draft, the Saints knew that drafting defensive players were the number one
priority for the future. With the exception of the Dome Patrol, no Saints defense has ever been
do i a t. E e i thei “upe Bo l u i
, edio e a d oppo tu isti
as the est
way to describe the G egg Willia s led u it. Whe the d afted Mi hael Tho as, it s ha d ot
to assume that he will be heavily involved in the offense for the upcoming season.
Tho as is a ig, e plosi e e ei e at
a d
pou ds. Fo so e pe spe ti e, Julio Jo es is
,
. He ade his a k at Ohio “tate
eati g o e s a d e elli g at at hi g the all
away from his body. Having big hands absolutely helps and allows for him to track the ball to be
explosive in single coverage.
Brandin Cooks is a smaller, quick receiver who will garner most of the heavy coverage from
defenses. This should allow Thomas to go against single coverage and make quick cuts in his
route running for Drew Brees to get him the ball. The best asset for Thomas heading into his
rookie season is not having to step in and be the number one guy right away. He can develop
chemistry with his quarterback and learn the playbook while not having to be the number one
threat in the passing game.
The Saints desperately needed a big body opposite of Brandin Cooks. Marques Colston is a
perfect example of what a big receiver can do in this offense. Thomas may not put up the great
numbers like Colston did as a WR1, but he can absolutely be a WR2 with as much as the Saints
throw the ball, especially with a bad defense. The Saints will need to put up points and Thomas
will have ample opportunity to make fantasy owners happy. People can take chances on the
othe ig ookie e ei e s f o the d aft, ut I
e opti isti that Tho as a p odu e at a
high level in the upcoming season.
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TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
(JOSH HONSES)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Jameis Winston, Mike Glennon, Ryan Griffin, Dan
LeFevour
RB: Doug Martin, Charles Sims (3RB), Mike
James, Peyton Barber,Storm Johnson, Russell
Hansbrough
FB: Dan Vitale
WR: Mike Evans, Vincent Jackson, Adam
Humphries, Kenny Bell,Louis Murphy, Russell
Shepard, Donteea Dye, Evan Spencer, Freddie
Martino, Bernard Reedy, Andre Davis
TE: Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Cameron Brate, Luke
Stocker, Brandon Myers, Tevin Westbrook, Kivon
Cartwright, Alan Cross
K: Roberto Aguayo
TEAM OUTLOOK
Despite a 6e o d last seaso , the e s a lot to e hopeful fo i Ta pa Ba . The fou d the
face of their franchise in Jameis Winston. He was the number one overall selection and played
far better than anyone expected in his rookie campaign. How he progresses in his second
season has all eyes the former Florida State quarterback and in fantasy football leagues.
Doug Martin was sensational in his return from back-to-back injury riddled seasons. Tampa Bay
was one of the best rushing offenses in the league last season despite having a below average
offensive line. Charles Sims is a great pass catching back and really stepped up in the passing
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game. He was one of the best catching the ball out the backfield in the league on third down.
Mike James is still around but has little chance of making an impact on the team. He had one
good game against the Seahawks his rookie season but has since faded into obscurity.
The Ta pa Ba ig t o a e Mike E a s a d Vi e t Ja kso . E a s did t fi d the e d zo e like
his rookie season but still surpassed 1,200 receiving yards despite a slow start to the season.
Vi e t Ja kso ould t sta o the field due to i ju oncerns and only managed to start nine
games. With him heading into the season healthy, look for him to have a great bounce back
ea . Behi d E a s a d VJa the e s so e u e tai t . ‘ussell “heppa d, Louis Mu ph , a d
Kenny Bell are all competing for the last two receiver positions. Who wins the third receiver
spot will unfold throughout training camp.
The tight end position is a mess for the Bucs. Austin Seferian-Jenkins was slated to have a great
2015 season. He was another big body for Winston in the passing game that many people had
pegged fo a eakout seaso . U fo tu atel i ju ies a d a ad attitude de ailed A“J s seaso
a d it is et to e see if he ill e e
ake the tea . He s al ead ee ki ked out of p a ti e
multiple times because of his poor work ethic and still not knowing the playbook. Cameron
Brate has had some success in the offense but is an unknown at this point. This will be a
situation to closely monitor.
STUD – DOUG MARTIN
Martin was a guy that definitely flew under the radar headed into fantasy drafts last season.
Fantasy owners were worried how he would rebound from the previous two injury filled
seasons. All Martin did would be return the third best performance from any running back in
standard leagues.
This past offseason, the Bucs decided to part ways with Lovie Smith and promote Dirk Koetter
f o offe si e oo di ato . Koette s pla st le is a u o ie ted offe se, hi h is h Ta pa
was one of the top five rushing offenses in the league last season. Consistency is always a good
thing for a player after having a monster season.
As it sta ds ight o , Ma ti has a late se o d ou d ADP. That s a steal fo a gu ho, he
health , has ushed fo o e ,
a ds i the seaso s he he s pla ed all ga es. I ju
risk is a o e fo a pla e so that should t s a ou f o d aft Ma ti i ou league.
Last note about Martin was that he only had six games all season where he scored less than 9
fantasy points in standard leagues. Guys like Adrian Peterson and Devonta Freeman only had
fou ga es of su h atu e. Ma ti is a out as o siste t as ou a ask fo he health . He s
a th ee do
a k that e els late i ga es he pou di g the all agai st ti ed defe ses. He s
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a must own across the board and a great foundation to build your team upon with number one
running back potential.
SLEEPER – VINCENT JACKSON
Whe ou thi k of Ta pa Ba ide e ei e s, the fi st thought it Mike E a s. He s o e of the
premiere young receivers in the league and is a massive receiving target for Jameis Winston.
Vincent Jackson, on the other hand, flies under the radar and can be had in the 12 th round of 12
a leagues. He s old, he s o the de li e, a d he a t p odu e i this offe se e ause of
playing second fiddle.
Well before you completely write off Vincent Jackson, know that he is only 33 years old. When
the seaso sta ts, he ll e the sa e age as La Fitzge ald. If ou thi k La Fitzge ald a still
produce, then Jackson definitely has something left in the tank.
When you look at the la ds ape of Ja kso si e he sig ed ith Ta pa Ba fou ea s ago, he s
notched over 1,000 receiving yards and averages over six touchdowns a season with the
exception of last year when he was injured. This should tell fantasy owners that if Jackson can
stay on the field, he is going to produce.
Lastl , if ou e a elie e that the e s o l so u h of the foot all to go a ou d i the Bu s
offense, Jameis Winston surpassed over 4,000 passing yards last season. Despite a run-first
offense, Koetter will still have Jameis throwing the ball all over the field. Having Doug Martin in
the backfield is a huge benefit to the offense because the defense has to play them honestly.
Vincent Jackson will still have ample opportunity to make plays on the field and is a still for a
12th round selection.
ROOKIE TO WATCH – KENNY BELL
I te h i all heati g he e e ause Bell spe t the e ti et of last seaso o i ju ed ese e
so he has et to suit up fo the Bu s i a egula seaso ga e. He has t had a hance yet to
show his skill on the field, but people were raving about Bell according to reports from last
seaso s t ai i g a p. The e tio ed ho
ell Bell as doi g ith Ja eis Wi sto th o i g
him the ball.
Bell is a othe ig e ei e at
a d 00 pounds. He has the size and speed, he ran a 4.37 at
the o i e i
, to e a g eat deep th eat i this Ta pa Ba offe se. He o t ha e to e
the best receiver on the field because of Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson so that allows for the
nickel corner or safety to be the one guarding him when they go with three wide receivers.
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The biggest impact Bell made at Nebraska in college was his big play ability. He excelled at
catching the deep ball and plucking the ball out of the air. He still has to work on his route
u i g a d o i g out of his eaks, ut that is so ethi g oa hes a tea h hi . It s ot
clear right now whether Bell will even make the roster, but he is definitely a name to keep on
your radar throughout training camp.
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DALLAS COWBOYS (DAVE CHERNEY)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Tony Romo, Kellen Moore, Dak Prescott, Jameill
Showers
RB: Ezekiel Elliott, Darren McFadden (inj), Alfred
Morris, Lance Dunbar (inj), Darius Jackson, Rod
Smith, Ben Malena
WR: Dez Bryant, Terrance Williams, Cole
Beasley, Brice Butler,Devin Street, Lucky Whitehead
(PR), Vince Mayle, Rodney Smith,Chris Brown
TE: Jason Witten, Gavin Escobar, James Hanna, Geoff
Swaim, Rico Gathers
K: Dan Bailey
TEAM OUTLOOK
Coming off a surprising 12- seaso i
, the Dallas Co o s
do
a d spi al ega
in free agency when their record breaking tailback Demarco Murray signed with the
Philadelphia Eagles.
The Cowboys attempted to make up for the loss by signing free agent Darren McFadden to a
two-year deal alongside Joseph Randle with the belief that any running back would be
successful behind their outstanding offensive line.
Everything seemed to be back on track for another run at the playoffs. That quickly changed.
Beginning with the season opener against the New York Giants, Dez Bryant left the game in the
fourth quarter with a broken bone in his foot. This proved to be problematic for his fantasy
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owners the entire season. Forced into the top receiver position, Terrence Williams proved he
was more Robin than Batman.
In week two, more bad news would strike as Tony Romo broke his collarbone and was placed
on the eight-week injured reserve.
After three consecutive losses with Brandon Weeden, the team turned to Matt Cassel who was
obtained via trade during the offseason. Both were subpar, especially for fantasy purposes; the
skill players around them would suffer severely.
Romo would return on week 11 against Miami and end the seven game losing streak however
the uprising would be short lived as Romo would go down again the following week against the
Panthers. It was the same shoulder injury as before forcing the team to place him on season
ending injured reserve. Kellen Moore would finish the campaign marking the fourth
quarterback of the 2015 season.
In total, the passing game ranked 27th in the league averaging 220 yards per game.
The running back position which had been a strength the previous year had mixed results.
Originally expected to replace DeMarco Murray, Joseph Randle did t ake it half a th ough
the seaso efo e ei g ai ed i No e e fo eha io det i e tal to the tea . At ea s
end, he still led the Cowboys in total rushing touchdowns with four.
Darren McFadden carried the bulk of the load going forward and was slightly above average
with 1,089 rushing yards but his three touchdowns left a lot to be desired.
The team that generated 148 rushing yards per game and 16 scores in 2014 would average 118
yards per game and eight touchdowns in 2015 as fantasy owners felt the full brunt of it.
Despite poor quarterback play, tight end Jason Witten had a serviceable year: 77 receptions for
713 yards. The real problem was he only scored three touchdowns with two of them coming in
week one. All in all, he finished just inside the top 10 in PPR leagues and still has not missed a
start since 2003.
Team officials believe last season was an aberration. Projecting how the Dallas Cowboys
approach to the upcoming season, one would expect a return to the 2014 formula. Run the ball
early and often. First round pick Ezekiel Elliott should help in short yardage situations allowing
the offense to have more methodical scoring drives.
The 2015 Cowboys tied for last with 172 total offensive drives; 39 ending in three and out. They
finished 30th in red-zone touchdown scoring percentage while entering the zone 2.8 times per
game which ranked 21st.
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The defense finished 32nd in the league with 11 total takeaways which prevented the offense
from getting extra attempts.
The running game should be solid. Behind Elliott the Cowboys signed Alfred Morris and
retained Darren McFadden however McFadden broke his elbow in early June which could keep
in out until the beginning of the regular season.
Looking at the schedule, the Cowboys play the fifth easiest ased o last ea s sta di gs ith
14 of 16 games featuring opponents whose defense ranked in the lower half of the league
along with having a favorable finishing stretch.
STUD – DEZ BRYANT
The 2015 campaign for all-pro wide receiver Dez Bryant could be considered a nightmare,
especially for those fantasy owners spending a first round pick.
It began early in the offseason with Bryant holding out awaiting a long term deal. Having placed
the franchise tag on Bryant, the Cowboys were able to reach an agreement before the July 15
deadline; a five-year, $70 million contract with $45 million guaranteed. However, all of the
offseason workouts had been lost.
During the season opener, a Sunday Night matchup against the New York Giants, Bryant left the
game with a foot injury. Fantasy owners held their breath to no avail. An X-ray revealed a
fracture in his foot that required surgery with an average recovery time between four to six
weeks.
Bryant returned in Week 8 against the Seahawks and struggled, grabbing and underwhelming 2
receptions for 12 yards. The following week against the Philadelphia Eagles, Bryant caught his
first touchdown of the season and accounted for five catches for 104 yards. Fantasy owners
who held on had reason to believe.
That was quickly dashed as his performance continued to be hindered by the foot injury and
lack of competent quarterback play. The season unfortunately ended for Bryant on Dec.
30 when the Cowboys decided to place him on injured reserve. Limited to 9 games, Bryant had
401 receiving yards and three touchdowns. On Jan. 6, 2016, he underwent foot and ankle
surgeries.
For the upcoming season, the optimist will point to his career stats: 84 games; 412 receptions;
5,825 yards, 14.1 average, 59 TDs prior to this injury; the pessimist will find another way to
spend their first round pick.
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SLEEPER – TERRENCE WILLIAMS
Until the aforementioned disaster which was 2015, Williams was a classic boom-bust bye week
filler making a consistent yet unremarkable impact on the Cowboys offense since being drafted
in 2013.
His initial campaign presented him as the
number two receiver, opposite Dez Bryant
where he accounted for 44 receptions totaling
736 yards and five touchdowns. Fantasy owners
were quite pleased with their late round return.
The following season saw a slight regression in
receptions and yardage but a definite increase
in the scoring department with the stat line of
37/621/8.
However, in 2015 when Williams was forced
into the role left by Bryant, Williams struggled
against the top cornerbacks in the league.
Lost in all of these struggles was the fact
Williams is coming off a year in which he set
career highs in receptions and yards; 52/840.
His total touchdowns of three reflected the
struggles the entire offense had.
On Williams behalf, the quarterback play was
substandard for most of the year and there
were several points where he was open and
Brandon Weeden and Matt Cassel either missed
seeing him completely or badly missed the
throw.
Looking at the upcoming season there is reason
for optimism grabbing the receiver at his
generous ADP. He is in the final year of his
rookie contract and will become an unrestricted
free agent. In addition, the Cowboys did not draft a receiver this year.
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He has showed some high-end moments where he demonstrates his value, the fact he does
look like an effective compliment for an offense centered around running the ball and Dez
Bryant, and he is e t e el du a le. He has t issed a ga e du i g his -year stint.
Williams has averaged just over 2.5 receptions and 40 yards a game in his career and has yet to
hit the 1,000 yard make for a season. In total, Williams has 133 catches for 2,197 yards and 16
touchdowns.
ROOKIE TO WATCH – EZEKIEL ELLIOTT
Fantasy owners drooled when they saw the Cowboys draft Elliot with the fourth overall pick.
But history suggests two sides to this coin.
O o e ha d, the lo al histo is o Elliot s side. The p e ious t o u i g a ks d afted i the
first round for the Cowboys are now entrenched in the Hall of Fame: Emmitt Smith and Tony
Dorsett. On the other hand, recent draft history hasn't been kind to the highly drafted backs.
Zeke has the ability to be the rare three down back and many project him to be on the field
early because he checks every box: power, vision, long speed, pass blocking and receiving.
However, the 20-year-old totaled a whopping 650 touches at Ohio State, which is a lot of
mileage yet he has proven to be durable through the campaign.
Looking back on his college career beginning in 2013, Elliott worked behind the now 49er Carlos
Hyde and toted the rock only 30 times for just over 260 yards and three touchdowns.
Elliott gained a glance of NFL scouts with his performance down the stretch in 2014 beginning
with the Big Ten Championship game against Wisconsin where he totaled 220 yards on 20
carries and two touchdowns followed by his performance in the Sugar Bowl against Alabama
scampering 230 yards on yet another 20 carries and two more scores including one of 85 yards.
In his final performance of the year, the National Championship against Oregon, Elliott would
once again shine with a stat line of 36/246/4
He would eventually become the every down workhorse, carrying the ball 273 times in 15
games for 1,878 yards and 18 touchdowns. He also chipped in 28 receptions for 200 yards.
Elliott entered 2015 with huge expectations with notable performances against Indiana
(23/274/3), Illinois (27/181/2) and Michigan (30/214/2). In total, his final season Elliott rushed
289 times for 1,821 yards and 23 touchdowns. On a side note, he rushed for at least 100 yards
and scored a touchdown in all but one game.
In the NFL, Elliott will have to be more consistent as a receiver and as a pass blocker, but it's
tough to find weaknesses in his game and will likely be selected in the first round of your
upcoming fantasy draft.
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NEW YORK GIANTS
(RICHARD FINDURA)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Eli Manning, Ryan Nassib, Josh Woodrum, Logan
Thomas
RB: Rashad Jennings, Shane Vereen (3RB), Andre
Williams, Paul Perkins, Orleans Darkwa, Bobby
Rainey, Marshaun Coprich
FB: Nikita Whitlock, Will Johnson
WR: Odell Beckham Jr., Sterling Shepard, Dwayne
Harris (KR/PR),Victor Cruz, Geremy Davis, Myles
White, Roger Lewis, Tavarres King, Anthony
Dable, Darius Powe, KJ Maye
TE: Will Tye, Larry Donnell, Matt LaCosse, Jerell
Adams, Bryce Williams
K: Josh Brown
TEAM OUTLOOK
As the New York Giants enter the Ben McAdoo era, there are a few things that they carry with
them. A two-time Super Bowl MVP Quarterback coming off two of his best statistical seasons
and arguably the best Wide Receiver in the NFL. Beyond that? A lot of question marks. Eli
Manning has thrived under Ben McAdoo, at least in regard to fantasy stats. I Eli s fi st seaso
under McAdoo he threw for the second most yards and TDs in his career (4,410 and 30
respectively). Proving this was no fluke, he came out last year and topped both those numbers,
4,432 yards passing to go along with a career best 35 TDs. Entering his 13th seaso it s o th
noting that his numbers have surely been buoyed by the emergence of Odell Beckham Jr. How
much credit goes to McAdoo? Ho
u h to Be kha s tale ts? Ho
u h to Eli s ea s u de
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center? One thing is for certain, the Giants offense will need both Manning and Beckham to be
healthy and effective. Behind Beckham on the depth chart is a former Pro-Bowler who has
missed the last season and a half of football, a couple of rookies, a man who was brought in to
return kicks, and two young players who failed to make an impact last year. With Rueben
Randle out the door (thank God), the opportunity is there for someone to step up and be a
major contributor this season. My money's on Sterling Shepard, the rookie from Oklahoma (you
can read more about him below). Not that I taking much of a chance, Shepard would
basically need to fall flat on his face during training camp to lose the no. 2 job to the likes of
Myles White or Geremy Davis. The Giants hope Victor Cruz will man the slot with Dwayne
Harris backing him up. Let s see ho C uz s su gi all epai ed k ee a d alf espo d du i g
camp however. If there is one deep sleeper for dynasty leagues, Roger Lewis, an undrafted WR
from Bowling Green could be the guy. The e s a ha e he does t ake the tea , ut also a
chance depending on how the chips fall that he can have an impact. That, as they say, is why I
love fantasy football.
I d like to take a ui k se o d to e tio ho
u h the Gia ts like TE Will T e. Down the
st et h last seaso , T e e a e Eli Ma i g s se o d fa o ite target. Although muddied by the
fact the Giants brought back Larry Donnell after his season ending neck injury, Tye could be a
perfect bye week TE with a chance to have some quality weeks.
I d also like to take a ui ke se o d to e tio that the Gia ts have running backs on their
roster. Most of hi h I ould t tou h ith a te - a d pole get it? Cause it s foot all. “ha e
Vereen is a late round flier in PPR leagues for sure. The ge i he e is a ookie out of UCLA …
do t o , I ha e ple t to sa about him later on.
STUD – ODELL BECKHAM JR.
Is the e so ethi g to sa a out OBJ that has t al ead ee said? Coming off a ridiculous 12
game rookie campaign, OBJ cemented his place atop draft boards with an equally impressive
sophomore season. Setting the record for most receiving yards through two seasons in NFL
history (2,744) and coming in at a not too distant 2nd in receptions (187) and second in TDs
(25). “o asi all , Odell s a e age ga e is at hes fo
a ds a d a TD. Beckham has many
attributes that you look for in dyno: age (23), fixture at QB (Eli), and no real threat to siphon
targets. His ceiling is one that no WR or Lionel Ritchie himself could reach. There will be some
drafts where Antonio Brown comes off the board first, maybe even some homers that will take
Julio Jones or DeAndre Hopkins over OBJ. These people are basically gift wrapping your first
ou d pi k fo ou. E e Josh No a ould t let hi slide too fa do the d aft oa d.
SLEEPER – PAUL PERKINS
No
a eI
heati g he e, ut I pi ki g a othe ookie as
sleepe . Paul Perkins out of
UCLA was projected by many to be a 3rd ou d pi k, so it s o su p ise that a a e o sa i g
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the Giants got a steal in round 5. Pe ki s s allish statu e
,
pou ds is really the only
knock on his game. Pe haps the ost elusi e ‘B i this ea s d aft, Pe ki s displa s g eat
vision and an ability to put defenders in highlights for all the wrong reasons. His quickness and
size have drawn comparisons to Jamaal Charles a d that s ot su h a ad a e to e
associated with. Of course I can talk about Perkins abilities all I want, but the reason he is so
appealing in fantasy is the fact that his path to a starting role is mired by mediocre talent.
Rashad Jennings is the ofte i ju ed i u e t, a d a out as e iti g as … hell I do t k o ,
something not exciting at all. Words really cannot describe how awful Andre Williams has been
in his first two NFL seasons. And Shane Vereen is locked in as a 3rd down option. Only a couple
things need to be seen during camp to give Perkins a good shot at playing time right away. Can
he be reliable catching the ball out of the backfield? Can he protect Eli Manning on passing
downs? I would not be shocked if Paul Perkins has a similar impact to the end of your fantasy
season as David Johnson had for the Cardinals last season. All he needs is the trust of Ben
McAdoo and he may be off and running.
ROOKIE TO WATCH - STERLING SHEPARD
When the Giants drafted Shepard in round 2 of the NFL Draft, many pundits labeled it a steal.
Who am I to disagree? Ma looked to “hepa d s NFL-ready route running and hands. These
are the same things that were lauded upon Odell Beckham after the 2014 Draft. Shepard has
already turned heads at OTAs and is nearly a lock to be the second man up behind OBJ. You will
not find a bigger fan of Victor Cruz, but we need to be realistic here. A torn patellar tendon
ui ed C uz s
a d the a to
alf ui ed his
. While I hope Cruz can regain some of
his quickness and speed, it is far from a sure thing. Even if Cruz is healthy and manning the slot,
expect Shepard to slide outside and bring some ability the Giants just never got from Rueben
Randle. Randle looked to be coming into his own in 2014. He racked up 127 targets, hauling in
71 passes for 938 yards and 3 TDs. His big leap in 2015 never came. In fact, his numbers (57
receptions, 797 yards, 8 TDs) look better than his actual performance. The Giants made no
effort to re-sign Randle this offseason leaving no real threat to steal targets from the talented
rookie (Cruz, Dwayne Harris, Will Tye, Myles White, Roger Lewis, Shane Vereen). Let s take
‘ue e ‘a dle s a e age o e the past t o seaso s
e ,
a ds, TDs a d la that
do as “te li g “hepa d s floo this season.
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PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (JUSTIN
TARTE)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Sam Bradford, Carson Wentz, Chase
Daniel, McLeod Bethel-Thompson
RB: Ryan Mathews, Darren Sproles (3RB), Wendell
Smallwood,Kenjon Barner (PR), Kevin Monangai
WR: Jordan Matthews, Rueben Randle, Nelson
Agholor, Josh Huff (KR), Chris Givens, Cayleb Jones, T.J.
Graham, Jonathan Krause,Marcus Johnson, Xavier
Rush
TE: Zach Ertz, Brent Celek, Trey Burton, Chris
Pantale, M.J. McFarland
K: Caleb Sturgis, Cody Parkey
TEAM OUTLOOK
With Chip Kelly gone, the 2016 season brings a lot of unknown fantasy mystery. The once fast
paced and coveted offense is not as sexy as it was. The hiring of Doug Pederson at least gives a
sense of what will follow. He was part of the Andy Reid era and I personally expect to see a
repeat of that balanced attack of pass and run.
After a very disappointing 7-9 season in 2015 most of the same offensive players returned,
hethe that s a good thi g o ot e ill see. Ma things went wrong last year, Sam Bradford
struggled to complete passes, Demarco Murray failed to break big runs (small runs too), and
Jordan Matthews did not follow his breakout campaign with a solid 2015.
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Some bright spots were Ryan Mathews who thrived last year in Chip Kelly's quick hit offense
while on the field. After Demarco has been shipped out of town, Matthews will get his chance
to shine this year. The Eagles also traded up in the draft to tab Carson Wentz as their QB of the
future. I am undecided on Wentz long term but for redraft leagues I do not see value in Wentz
immediately. Jordan Matthews will look to rebound into that must start form he showed as a
rookie. Zach Ertz has also flashed his ability to catch and make big plays given the opportunity.
Philly brought in veteran wideout Rueben Randle and Chris Givens who may be just to motivate
Nelso Agholo . Agholo has the speed a d tale t et a t see to at h the foot all o a
consistent basis. One of these options will be the number two WR for the Eagles, though likely
it o t atte . I elie e )a h E tz ill e the u e t o pass optio fo B adfo d.
STUD – RYAN MATHEWS
Pi ki g a stud fa tas optio o this ea s oste s is a tough sele tio to ake. Last ea ‘ a
Matthews averaged 5.1 yards per rush attempt that was good enough to be the second best
such average among RBs. I know that he only had 106 attempts and was stuck watching Murray
plod to his 3.6 average, but he is ready to make that leap this year. The one thing that has held
hi
a k so fa i his a ee has ee i ju ies. “o I
illi g to et o his tale t to p opel hi
into the top 15 RBs if he remains healthy.
The offensive line was fair at best and seemed to tire easily of the ramped up pace Chip Kelly
demanded. I am hoping the slower pace in practice and in the games will help the O-line be
more dependable and hold up for the entire season. An improved O-line may make it easier
treading for Matthews to break out.
SLEEPER – SAM BRADFORD
The Eagles trading up to draft a quarterback to essentially replace Sam Bradford, followed by
Bradford demanding a trade does not seem like the best recipe for fantasy success. Bradford
needs to have a good year. In his career he has been called many things: brittle, overrated,
overpaid, draft bust, inaccurate and plain out just not a good NFL QB. If Bradford wants to
continue to be a starter in this league he will need to prove it this year as this may be his last
chance. I do not think he has the talent nor the talent around him to be great this year, but I
can certainly see fantasy relevance. I can envision him as a viable fill in for bye weeks and think
he can stay in that 10-15 point per week range all season a la Jameis Winston last year.
ROOKIE TO WATCH – WENDELL SMALLWOOD
Wendell Smallwood needs to be on your radar now. If Matthews gets hurt, which is certainly
ia le, “ all ood is the e t a up at ‘B. He is ot o e l fast o a ig uise . At
a d
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208 pounds, he is just quick enough with his 40 time of 4.47 to combine all aspects and be a
good RB. The West Virginia RB lead the Big 12 conference in rushing with 1,519 yards. Not to
mention, he did that on what was supposed to be a pass first West Virginia team. Keep an eye
on Smallwood, he could very well pay huge dividends.
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WASHINGTON REDSKINS
(JIM DREHER)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Kirk Cousins, Colt McCoy, Nate Sudfeld
RB: Matt Jones, Chris Thompson, Keith Marshall, Silas
Redd, Mack Brown
FB: Joe Kerridge
WR: DeSean Jackson, Pierre Garcon, Jamison Crowder
(PR), Josh Doctson (inj), Ryan Grant, Rashad Ross
TE: Jordan Reed, Vernon Davis, Niles Paul (inj), Logan
Paulsen,Derek Carrier (inj), Marcel Jensen
K: Dustin Hopkins
TEAM OUTLOOK
I p o a l the last gu i the o ld that thought benching RG3 would be the answer to every
‘edski fa s p a e s, ut gi e Ja G ude p ops fo taki g the leap of faith. The
Washington Redskins were the exact opposite of what they have been for the better part of a
decade, a soul crushing, talent starved wasteland that had to overpay for big name contracts
just to sell tickets to their next string of defeats. Who would have thought that a player that
was drafted to hold a clipboard would be the savior for the franchise. Who would have thought
that DeSean Jackson, although frequently injured could make it through a season without
holdi g out fo a o t a t o Pie e Ga o a ti g like he as t a assi e f ee age
ust
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si e elo ati g to Washi gto a fe ea s ago. If ou e a ‘edski fa , these are all great
thi gs, ut fo the est of us fa tas foot all pla e s, it s a out ti e e got so e usea le
pieces out of this offense.
You a t p edi t the futu e fo e e skill positio pla e o this tea
ithout a al zi g the
play of Quarterback Ki k Cousi s. He s ot se , he s ot flash . But he had the uietest ,
a d total tou hdo seaso i e e t e o . Thi k Ale “ ith, if he as t af aid to
throw the ball 12 yards or more. Kirk Cousins led the NFL in completion percentage (69.8) while
starting all 16 games. He also threw a touchdown in every game he played. Even though the
Redskins were one of the more conservative offenses in terms of throwing the football with
only 555 attempts (20th), Cousins made up for it with efficiency. He threw 11 interceptions; all
but two were in the first 8 games. After week 8, Gruden allowed Cousins to take some more
chances and he responded. None of this would have been possible without Jordan Reed. The
oft injured tight end finally realized his potential in 2015. Proving he can be one of the very best
players at his position, and Cousins peppered him time and time again. Reed accounted for 20
percent of the ENTIRE Washington Redskins target share in 2015 (114 targets).
The only legitimate question mark heading into 2016 with this team is the running game. To say
the Washington Redskins sorely lacked a consistent ground game is an understatement. Matt
Jones looked dominant at times, but also showed issues at ball handling, pass protection, and
missed holes consistently all year long, contributing to his pathetic 3.4 ypc average. However,
Washington has done nothing in free agency or the draft to add competition for him. Coach Jay
Gruden acknowledged as much by saying the team was taking a gamble on him by letting Alfred
Morris walk in free agency. Jones had 144 carries in 2015, five of which resulted in fumbles. The
Redskins were clearly concerned with this as he only received more than 11 carries 3 times in
any game he played (13 games). And outside of an explosion against St. Louis in week 2 (19
carries, 123 yards and 2 TDs) and an outburst in week 10 against New Orleans (187 total yards,
1 td) he was mediocre at best. He is only 23 and has the prototypical body type to be the bell
cow of this offense,
,
pou ds , ut el i g o hi to e a thi g o e tha ou
RB3/FLEX is playing with fire. Even though Jones is plenty capable of playing on 3 rd down and
being a good receiving option (19 rec., 304 yards, 1 td), Chris Thompson will most likely handle
the 3rd down/pass catching back role, but barring an injury/demotion with Jones, he can be
ignored in redraft.
STUD - JORDAN REED
Jordan Reed enjoyed a career year in 2015. His injury history is long and riddled with soft tissue
and concussion ailments. He is truly an enigma. He is the player on your roster that will be the
reason you win your league this year, or will very well be the reason you lost it. Finishing the
2015 season as the TE3, Reed and Quarterback Kirk Cousins developed a chemistry that few
other tandems possess in the NFL. Cousins bombards Reed with targets and Reed (usually)
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catches them. Make no mistake, Jordan Reed is a special player, he always has been. His body
has let hi do
o e ti es tha ot, ut he he s o the field, he is Gronkish (and I do not
use that term lightly.) In fact, Reed had more receptions than Gronkowski (87) and had a higher
at h ate as ell ‘eed pe e t to G o k s
. The also aught the sa e a ou t of
touchdowns (11). If the concussion injuries are behind him, Reed could very well finish the
seaso as the TE i
. That is a gia t if though. ‘eed has e e fi ished a ga e seaso
in his three-year career. And last year was the first time he has gone over 500 yards receiving.
His average draft position as of this writing (June) is 4.03 in redraft leagues, as the second tight
end off the board, only behind Gronkowski. With the tight end landscape as barren as it is, I
have no issue with that ranking. If you miss out on Gronk, but you still want the statistical
advantage of having a superior talent at a position of scarcity, look no further than Reed. But
if/ he he goes do , ou a t sa ou did t see it o i g.
SLEEPER - JAMISON CROWDER
‘ight o , it s o ded fo C o de . I
, he aught passes fo
a ds a d TDs. He
played behind Pierre Garcon and DeSean Jackson, mainly in the slot. This year, the second year
pro, has to deal with rookie Josh Doctson as well. Right now though, Crowder looks like he has
the slot ide e ei e positio lo ked do . Pe E“PN s Joh Kei , C o de has looked
decisive and explosive in his routes, and the Redskins will be reluctant to remove him from
three receiver sets because of how good he has looked. That is g eat e s o side i g of
NFL tea s a
o e pla s f o
pe so el tha a othe g oupi g i
‘B, TE,
3 WR.) And with the run game struggles they had last year, I would look for Redskins wide
receivers to be fed opportunities early and often. If Crowder can build off of the strides he
made last year, he could prove to be a major PPR asset that will very likely be overlooked in the
majority of fantasy drafts this summer.
ROOKIE TO WATCH - JOSH DOCTSON
With the 22nd pick in the 2016 draft, the Washington Redskins selected Wide Receiver Josh
Doctson out of TCU. Perhaps the best red zone/jump ball receiver in this class. Doctson has the
talent to be the top receiver of the draft, and the landing spot could not have been better. We
could be looking at an up and coming offense led by Kirk Cousins, and not much in his way to
ascend rapidly up the depth chart. With both DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon headed for
free agency in 2017, Doctson could be the de facto WR1 of the team by this time next year. In
dynasty leagues, he is a slam dunk top 5 rookie pick and should certainly be targeted late in
redraft/keeper leagues as well. The knock on Doctson is his size and fragility. This spring he has
missed considerable time because of an Achilles injury, and his lack of bulk (only 202 pounds)
is t helpi g his p og ess a d ti i g ith the offe se. ‘ookie ide e ei e s a e al a s the
penny stocks of the NFL, very rarely do they pay up, but if he hits, we are talking top 15-20 WR
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for the e t de ade. I d ast /keepe leagues, Get o the g ou d floo
This time next year, his cost will very likely double.
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o , hile it s heap.
ARIZONA CARDINALS
(FAKEPIGSKIN.COM STAFF)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Carson Palmer, Drew Stanton, Matt Barkley, Jake
Coker
RB: David Johnson, Chris Johnson, Andre
Ellington, Kerwynn Williams, Stepfan Taylor, Jared
Baker
WR: Larry Fitzgerald, Michael Floyd, John Brown
(KR), J.J. Nelson (PR), Jaron Brown, Brittan
Golden, Jaxon Shipley, Amir Carlisle,Damon
Powell, Chris Hubert, Jeff Beathard
TE: Darren Fells, Jermaine Gresham, Troy
Niklas, Gerald Christian,Ifeanyi Momah, Hakeem Valles
K: Chandler Catanzaro
TEAM OVERVIEW (ANDREW NORDMEIER)
The Arizona Cardinals know this is the ti e to get the jo do e. It s a gua l thei est ha e
to get to another Super Bowl and finish the task this time. Last season, they finished a 13-3
season with a first-round bye and win over Green Bay before getting dump trucked in Carolina
in the conference final. They have the talent on both sides of the ball to win a championship.
Let s e a i e the offe si e side of the tea fi st.
When they went to Super Bowl XLIII, they did it with passing. The 2016 Cardinals could do it
with their aerial attack as well. It all starts with quarterback Carson Palmer who is enjoying
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some of his best seasons in the NFL. Palmer has done a solid job distributing the ball around
and getting his top three receivers involved in Larry Fitzgerald, John Brown and Michael Floyd.
The tight e d positio has t ee o e that s p odu ed fo A izo a i oughl the last
ea s
so ou should t e pe t u h f o Da iel Fells o Je ai e G esha . The u i g a ks a e
one of the more talented groups in football. David Johnson looks to be the lead back for the
Cardinals. He burst on to the scene as a rookie and really took over late last season when he
was pressed into service due to injuries. Chris Johnson is still there for a change of pace and
Andre Ellington is still on the roster, for now.
The offensive line is going to be one of the best in football after the addition of Evan Mathis at
ight gua d, ut the e is a uestio
a k at ight ta kle. DJ Hu ph ies o t e ha ded the jo
but the second-year player could wind up with it.
How does this team look in fantasy? In a word, excellent. Palmer shapes up to be a QB1 that
can be started every week. David Johnson has shown his ability to be a devastating weapon in
both rushing and receiving. The talk this summer is that he is a first-round caliber player and
that a solutel t ue. He s ee desig ated as the ell o
u i g a k fo the Ca di als a d
it will happen. When he was drafted, Bruce Arians said he was a mini-Matt Forte. So far, Arians
is right and 2016 will only solidify this into fact even more. Chris Johnson makes a good
handcuff and could be a flex play in run-heavy games.
At wide receiver, you have Fitzgerald as a solid WR2, especially in PPR formats. John Brown will
be a low-end WR2/high-end WR3, especially when the matchups are favorable. Floyd is more of
a uestio
a k as he s ee i o siste t ut should e highl oti ated i a o t a t ea .
Floyd makes more of a flex play than an every-week starter.
The Cardinals tight ends are best left on the waiver wire. Kicker Chandler Catanzaro projects to
be one of the better ones in the game and is an every-week starter at that position. The
defense should also be a top-tier unit in 2016 with the additions of Chandler Jones and Robert
Nkemdiche providing more pressure.
STUD – DAVID JOHNSON
The Arizona running game was not that productive for the last few years. David Johnson
changed all that last season. The rookie from Northern Iowa burst on the scene with a
touchdown on his first NFL touch, a 55-yard reception against the Saints. He scored on his
second NFL touch, a kickoff return against Chicago and the legend was born. It took a little for
the legend to grow.
He teamed with Chris Johnson last season and started off a little slowly. Chris Johnson was the
lead back and had the bulk of the carries and rolled up four games with more than 100 rushing
a ds efo e Week . Da id Joh so as the ha ge of pa e a k a d did t ha e o e tha
seven carries in a game until Week 10. All David Johnson needed was a break and Chris Johnson
gave it to him in Week 12 at San Francisco. That was when Chris Johnson fractured his tibia and
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David Johnson got the spotlight. He had three straight games of more than 30 touches and led
the Cardinals to three wins in a row.
So why is he the stud on the team? First, Johnson has the size and durability to take the
punishment of the NFL. Chris Johnson is 31, which puts him over the hill for most running backs
and sends him to the backseat of the depth chart. Ellington offers little risk of taking touches
a a so this is t ul Da id Joh so s a kfield.
With the A izo a passi g ga e ei g as da ge ous as it is, Joh so should t e seei g too
many boxes stacked against him. Add to that an offensive line with road graders of Jared
Veldheer, Mike Iupati and Evan Mathis and this will give Johnson some amazing blocking down
the field. Holes should be there for him to run through and find solid yardage.
Johnson was able to add 457 receiving yards last season despite his limited usage early in the
season. We can only imagine the kind of numbers he will roll up as the lead back on this highly
talented team. The volume could be there for David Johnson as 300 touches may not be out of
the question for him.
He averaged 115 total yards per game over the final six games of the season and scored six
times in the final six games. He forces missed tackles and piles up the yards after contact, which
only adds to his value.
Joh so is a ‘B i fa tas ithout a dou t. He does t ha e i ju o e s of a Le Veo Bell
or Jamaal Cha les a d is p o e u like Ezekiel Elliott of the Co o s. He s u h ou ge tha
an Adrian Peterson and plays on a balanced team unlike Todd Gurley of the Rams.
E e thi g is goi g ight fo Joh so . He s a sta te i the NFL, he got a ied i the offseason
a d is e pe ti g his fi st hild i Ja ua . Whethe ou e talki g fa tas o ealit o e
i e ita le t uth sta ds out. It s Da id Joh so s o ld a d e e e el li i g i it.
SLEEPER – MICHAEL FLOYD
An Arizona wide receiver is a sleeper this yea i fa tas foot all a d it s ot ho ou ould
e pe t. It s Mi hael Flo d, ot Joh B o , a d e ll e plai h . The e s o dou t Flo d has
the tale t to e el i the NFL ut he has t pe fo ed that ell. Last seaso , he as the thi d
leading receiver on the team and the numbers support it.
Larry Fitzgerald led the way as you would expect but John Brown was second in every category.
Brown had 101 targets and 65 catches for 1,003 yards and seven touchdowns. Floyd finished
with 89 targets and 52 receptions with 849 yards and six touchdowns.
Breaking it down further, Floyd had a miserable first half of the season. In September and
O to e , Flo d had ta gets a d
at hes fo
a ds. He did t s o e u til the si th ga e
of the season. The rest of the way, he had five games with more than a hundred yards receiving
and finally started to produce what you would expect in the Arizona offense. The Cardinals
were second in points last season with 489 and only Carolina had more (500).
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It s also tough to figu e out ho Flo d is goi g to e used. The e s little o siste
a d it
shows in his stats. For example, in the win at Seattle he posted a 7-113-2 line but the next week
against San Francisco it was one catch for 14 yards. The week after against St. Louis it was 7104-0. Floyd is a rollercoaster pocked with inconsistency.
When he is getting fewer than five targets a game, he becomes practically invisible. In those
games last season, he failed to break 60 receiving yards. This trend has also followed him in his
entire career so the bigger question is why are the Cardinals not throwing his way more?
Be ause of that Flo d has t eall had a
ig ga es i his a ee . He has th ee ultipletou hdo ga es out of the has pla ed i fo his a ee a d he s o ly broken the 150-yard
mark three times. Two of those games were Week 17 contests at San Francisco, which are
meaningless for fantasy purposes as most leagues are done by then. The other was a 2013
game against Jacksonville where had a career-high 191 yards.
The motivation should be there for Floyd in 2016. This will be the final year of his rookie
contract, which is always a motivator in the NFL. Wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald might be out of
the picture next season which potentially opens the door for Floyd to step up into the top spot
at the positio . It s a little-k o fa t that Fitzge ald s o t a t is oid fi e da s afte the “upe
Bowl. Floyd needs to produce in order to cash in. The Cardinals need to start throwing it to him
more for him to have a cha e to do o e. B o is a speedste ho s good ith the deep all.
Fitzgerald is one of the best receivers to ever play the game. Floyd should have a role carved
out fo hi i et ee those t o. The Ca di als do t utilize the tight e d a hole lot a d the
presence of David Johnson in the backfield should open more 1-on-1 matchups down the field
for Floyd.
It s Flo d s ti e to shi e ut o l ti e ill tell if this Golde Do e is p ite i pads.
ROOKIE TO WATCH (BEE SALAMAT) – ROBERT NKEMDICHE
Normall e d di e i to a offe si e pla e ut the Ca di als e t a diffe e t oute i the
NFL D aft a d ea l
passed offe se as a hole the did d aft a e te so I goi g to go
ahead a d gi e ou hat s to o e ith thei e eptio al ookie the stole in the first round:
Robert Nkemdiche. He was once a top five talent heading into the draft until media destroyed
hi
e ause of his ha a te
ell, Nke di he s to la e too ut he fell i to the Ca di als lap
at pi k a d A ia s ould t e a
o e fired up than what he was at that time. He went to
the ight tea , the ight oa hi g staff that ll help hi ea h his pote tial. A o g the defe si e
e ds i the d aft, Nke di he posted the fastest a d top e ti al a d the ll defi itel take
their chances with Nkemdiche. He can disrupt the backfield, collapse the pocket with his brute
strength and move offensive linemen into the next galaxy. Nkemdiche definitely has a chip on
his shoulde a d is oti ated to dest o opposi g offe ses; he is pai ed ith great
teammates/players like Calais Campbell and Chandler Jones who will gladly teach him the ways
a d ake su e he s fo used.
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The Cardinals were blitz happy last season with a league high 45 percent of the time,
Nkemdiche can help bring that down some when he applies pressure. He gets compared to a
former Cardinal, Darnell Dockett, but Arians says Nkemdiche is a little bigger, stronger and
faste ! I the IDP o
u it , Nke di he is defi itel getti g slept o ut that ll ha ge ig
time as we approach training camp. It is a crowded line he has to deal with but I have zero
dou t he ll ha e a ha d ti e a i g out a ole f o the egi i g a d I a see Nke di he
ea i g a sta ti g ole opposite Calais
idseaso . He s goi g to help i all aspe ts hether
it s stoppi g the u o getti g afte the QB hi h poi ts to i
ediate i pa t p o ided
Nkemdiche. You can expect to see him produce 40-45 tackles and 5- sa ks a d that s
impressive because rising star Danielle Hunter of the Vikings put up 31 tackles, 5 sacks last year
in rotation and it was good for DE38.
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BEER REVIEW – SAN TAN MOON JUICE
(DEVIN DITULLIO)
Moon Juice used to be a special release for San Tan, but is so popular they now make it
all year. This beer features Galaxy
and Nelson-Sauvin hops and 4
different malt varieties. This beer is
only available in Arizona, California,
New Mexico and Texas.
Style: West Coast IPA ABV: 7.3%
IBU: 65
Appearance: The artwork on the can
is attention grabbing with its lime
green and red theme. There was no
head on either of the two pours I did
for my review. This IPA has a bright
golden yellow color, and is fairly
hazy. There is very little
carbonation.
Aroma: Moon Juice has a great citrus
and fruity fragrance. There are also
hints of pine and spice.
Palate: This is a medium bodied beer
that is easy to drink. It's a great IPA
for summer, as it drinks more like a session ale. I think this drinks smoothly due to the
low carbonation.
Taste: As with most IPAs you get a nice burst of hops to start, without it being
overwhelming. The first flavors I'm tasting are orange and lemon, with a just a bit of
pine. Also tasting pineapple and some malt. It finishes with more lemon and is just a
tad bitter.
Overall this is a great IPA. I think hard core hop heads and casual IPA drinkers will like
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this beer. It isn't too bitter and the hops don't annihilate your Palate, while still giving
you the West Coast IPA flavor. While I'm not a fan of San Tan's Hop Shock IPA, I really
enjoyed this one. In fact this is my second favorite beer from them, the first being Sex
Panther.
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LOS ANGELES RAMS (JACKSON SAFON)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Jared Goff, Case Keenum, Sean Mannion, Dylan
Thompson
RB: Todd Gurley, Benny Cunningham (3RB), Malcolm
Brown (RFA),Aaron Green, Chase Reynolds, Trey
Watts, Tre Mason (res)
FB: Corey Harkey (TE)
WR: Kenny Britt, Tavon Austin (KR/PR), Brian
Quick, Pharoh Cooper, Michael Thomas, Marquez
North, Paul McRoberts, Nelson Spruce, Bradley
Marquez, Isiah Ferguson, Deon Long, Kain Colter
TE: Lance Kendricks, Tyler Higbee, Justice
Cunningham, Temarrick Hemingway
K: Greg Zuerlein, Taylor Bertolet
TEAM OUTLOOK
Welcome to the City of Angels. The Rams had the number one pick in the NFL Draft and that
as t e e the tea s iggest sto li e this offseaso . The ‘a s a e o i g a k to Los
Angeles and are looking to rejuvenate the franchise. That might not be possible for Mr. 8-8
himself, head coach Jeff Fisher, but with an always-stifling defense and an improving offense,
the Rams will be trying to make the playoffs in its first season back in LA.
The 2015 Rams offense is comparable to the 2015 Minnesota Timberwolves season: mostly
terrible but a few really bright spots. Both teams have a future superstar and a bright future.
While the Rams finished 7-9, they won three of their last four games, and averaged 25.25
poi ts pe ga e o e that st et h, hi h ould e een good for 10th in the NFL last season,
ahead of teams like the Eagles and Packers.
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STUD – TODD GURLEY
Stud of studs. He started slow last year because of an injury, but exploded onto the scene. Take
his 11 games and pro-rate them over a 16 game season a d Gu le ould e fi ished ith
1,608 yards and 14.5 touchdowns to go along with 30 receptions and 273 receiving yards.
Gurley is vastly underrated as a receiver, and if the Rams offense as a whole is improved, he has
an outside chance to push for 2,000 total yards. One of maybe two running backs who deserves
consideration as a first round pick in PPR leagues.
SLEEPER – LANCE KENDRICKS
While Ke d i ks has t do e u h so fa i the NFL, he s e e eall gotte the ha e to
start, and definitely neve ith a a tual ua te a k. Goff a e a ookie ut he s al ead the
best QB Kendricks has had the chance to play with. Coming out of college, Kendricks was
actually a really strong prospect, being drafted in the mid-second round. Athletically and
college production-wise, he compares well to a bevy of young, successful tight ends in the NFL
like Tyler Eifert, Zach Ertz, Martellus Bennett, Eric Ebron, and Jermichael Finley. Similarly to
Cooper, his ceiling will be limited by the limitations of the Rams offense, but Kendricks can play
and he will get his shot this year.
ROOKIE TO WATCH – PHAROH COOPER
Cooper was a little bit of an odd pick for the Rams, as he is a very similar player to Tavon Austin,
but he will bring a little more polish to a receiving o ps that s la ki g it. While he does t ha e
great straight-li e speed, Coope is e t e el ui k a d a
ake gu s iss i spa e. At
he o t e a do i a t ed zo e th eat a d he does t ha e a to of elite athleti t aits, ut
simply put, Cooper is a good football player. He consistently made plays in college and did so all
over the field. While nobody is expecting the Rams offense to be truly electric, Cooper has a
ha e to e o e fello ookie Ja ed Goff s top optio f o da o e.
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SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (MATT LANE)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Blaine Gabbert, Colin Kaepernick, Jeff
Driskel, Thaddeus Lewis
RB: Carlos Hyde, Shaun Draughn, DuJuan Harris, Mike
Davis,Kelvin Taylor, Kendall Gaskins
WR: Torrey Smith, Bruce Ellington (KR/PR), Quinton
Patton, DeAndre Smelter, Eric Rogers, Jerome
Simpson, DeAndrew White (KR/PR), Aaron
Burbridge, Dres Anderson, Devon Cajuste, Bryce
Treggs, DiAndre Campbell
TE: Vance McDonald, Garrett Celek, Blake Bell, Bruce
Miller (FB), Je′‘o Hamm, Busta Anderson
K: Phil Dawson, Corey Acosta, John Lunsford
TEAM OUTLOOK
The 49ers have a change of coaching staff this season with former Eagles and Oregon man Chip
Kell taki g o e f o Ji Ha augh at Le i s “tadiu . Kell is k o fo his fast-paced style
and over the past two seasons, no team has run more offensive plays than Philadelphia. In the
draft the 49ers bolstered the defense and both sides of the line heavily, selecting three
offensive players in round 6: Jeff Driskel (QB), Aaron Burbidge (WR) and Kelvin Taylor (RB). Kelly
made a lot of additions on the other side of the ball and the 49ers once heralded defense
should be much improved on last season where they were rank awful. DeForest Buckner should
help reignite a pass rush and this should make the 49ers D/ST in fantasy a lot more appealing
a d so e hat u de alued at p ese t ADP. Do t e s a ed f o last seaso s figu es he
the team lost all heart and motivation (and Patrick Willis, Aldon Smith, Justin Smith, Chris
Borland).
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STUD – CARLOS HYDE
Hyde had his second season cut short by injury after seven games after a foot injury. His first
season saw him take reps behind Gore but last year he was given the starting job and took 62
percent of team rushing attempts whilst he was on the field over this period, though it seemed
he was getting more responsibilities up until his injury, as his last 3 games saw close to 80
percent of team carries handled by the bustling runner. Running back value is tethered to field
time and Hyde is likel to see the lio s sha e this seaso .
The e s ould e take a a k ea l i the d aft ut de li ed to take a u til the th. H de s
competitors for the top job at running back include Shaun Draughn and DuJuan Harris along
with rookie Kelvin Taylor. None of these inspire confidence whilst Hyde has proven he can
o e the all o fide tl . H de s u e s last seaso ould e e t apolated to a fi al seaso
rushing figure of 278-1141-10 (over 17 weeks). This would put him as RB7 (non-PPR) just ahead
of David Johnson and behind Todd Gurley with a total of 174.10 points.
One stumbling block for Hyde is the strength of divisional opponents Seattle, Arizona and Los
Angeles (just feels plain wrong to type that). However Hyde has managed to have success in
small doses against Seattle and L.A. albeit in his rookie season. Hyde is t a pass at hi g a k
by any means but he was under-utilized in this role last season (11 catches on 15 targets), and
has openly stated he wants to be a part of the passing game in 2016 - Kell said of H de: He
a do e e thi g, the oa h a ed. You e looki g fo a a k that a do it all. You e looki g
for a guy who can be a three-do
a k, a d that s e tai l hat Ca los is.
Hyde is being drafted at the turn of the 3rd and 4th round in 12 team leagues and I believe he
can break the top 8 at ‘B this seaso i o al s o i g. Do t hesitate to ake hi ou fi st
‘B off the oa d if ou e kee to ulk up o those ig hitti g W‘s.
SLEEPER – VANCE MCDONALD
The 49ers team is filled with (deep) sleepers, and I could just as easily have written an article on
Bruce Ellington or even Blaine Gabbert who I believe is being criminally under-drafted this year,
ut I thi k the sta dout is Va e M Do ald. E te i g his th ea , Va e has t pulled up a
trees since being selected in the second round in 2013, but with San Francisco giving up on the
Vernon Davis Project last year in a trade to the Broncos mid-season, McDonald was thrust into
the starting position. He grew into the role as the season faded for the 49ers, but from week 11
o a ds the
receiver out of Rice totted up a nice stat line of 23 catches for 281 yards and 3
TDs. These numbers were posted against the likes of Seattle, Arizona and Cincinnati with Blaine
Gabbert at QB. Even more impressive, all of his TDs came in the red zone, and with Boldin out
of the building the 49ers need a RZ weapon. With a full preseason under his belt and the
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starting job locked down (49ers next TEs are Garrett Celek and Blake Bell), I believe Mac can
thrive as he has good if not great athletic assets and he will be on a team who need to get the
all do the field. Let s fa e it, the e s a e ot goi g to e leadi g a ga es goi g i to
the fourth quarter. I believe McDonald can grab 600-900 yards this season with 4-7
tou hdo s. He s goi g u d afted i a lot of leagues so snag him toward the very end of the
draft as a TE2 stash.
ROOKIE TO WATCH – DEFOREST BUCKNER
The 49ers rookie draft was not very fantasy football friendly as they bolstered their line on both
sides of the ball and focused on their ailing defense. My pick here is that DeForest Buckner is
going to help put the 49ers defense back on the map again and considering they are going
undrafted in almost all leagues, this is a team to keep your eye on through weeks 1-4 and be
ready to pick them up on the waiver wire.
I watched every game last season and the defense was absolutely awful. With such a loss of
talent, including the leader Patrick Willis, the 49ers just never recovered. Throw in a coach who
e e a ted to e the e all seaso a d ou ve got a recipe for disaster -- that s hat the e s
season was. This season is different, the 49ers have fresh impetus and a whole new coaching
staff. Whilst I think Vic Fangio was the best defensive coordinator in the NFL a few years ago,
Chip brought i Ji O Neill ho has o e see a p oud if u spe ta ula defe se i
th i
points allowed) and a record-breaking 2013 Bills unit. By building the defense in the draft over 2
years they now have fresh faces in Arik Armstead, DeForest Buckner and Aaron Lynch and have
clearly set out to counter the divisional threat with pass rushing Quarterbacks and shutting out
Running Backs. For me NaVorro is the best linebacker in football and showed that even before
Willis retired he was a leader on the defense -- he is too proud to let his team quit like they did
last year and the renewed vigor will push the 49ers from fantasy irrelevance to a free shot at a
top 10 group at D/ST.
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SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
(MIKE GALUZKA)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Russell Wilson, Trevone Boykin, Jake Heap
RB: Thomas Rawls (inj), Christine Michael, C.J. Prosise
(3RB) (inj),Alex Collins, Zac Brooks
FB: Tre Madden, Tani Tupou
WR: Doug Baldwin, Tyler Lockett (KR/PR), Jermaine
Kearse, Paul Richardson, Kevin Smith, Kenny
Lawler, Kasen Williams, Antwan Goodley, Douglas
McNeil, Jeff Fuller, Deshon Foxx, Tanner McEvoy
TE: Jimmy Graham (inj), Luke Willson, Nick
Vannett, Cooper Helfet,Brandon Williams, Brandon
Cottom (FB)
K: Steven Hauschka
TEAM OVERVIEW
2016 begins a new era in Seattle Seahawks football, as they try to move on from the epic career
of running back Marshawn Lynch. The offense will arguably be more dynamic moving forward
from "Beast Mode," and with quarterback Russell Wilson at the helm, the future and present
state of the Seahawks is bright. With four straight playoff appearances and counting, Seattle
will rely on a host of great fantasy options at every skill position in the offense. Russell Wilson is
always a reliable option at the quarterback position, and with a consistent commitment to a
successful running game, the running back position will be extremely relevant to fantasy
owners. Seattle also employs great talent at the wide receiver position, with Doug Baldwin and
Tyler Lockett both having productive years in 2015. The team should only get better in their
offensive efficiency should All-Pro tight end Jimmy Graham return to even approaching his level
of play he showcased in New Orleans for five seasons. As a whole, a team that has been as
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successful as the Seahawks have been for the past four seasons is a team in which you should
be targeting players for your fantasy team to be successful. 2016 will be yet another year for
Seattle's players to shine on the field, and in your box scores of your leagues.
STUD – RUSSELL WILSON
The Seahawks must-own player for the 2016 fantasy season is without a doubt, quarterback
Russell Wilson. The Seattle signal-caller has finished as the third highest scoring quarterback in
standard leagues for the last two seasons, including 2015 where he had his best passing
numbers in his young career to this point. After finishing with a stat line of 3,475-20-7 through
the air in 2014, he vastly improved upon those numbers in 2015 with 4024 yards passing, 34
touchdowns, with only 8 interceptions. His rushing numbers, as expected, declined last season
from an other-worldly 2014, though he still finished with a respectable 553 yards on the
ground, good enough for third best among quarterbacks.
Wilson owners benefited from an impressive late season playoff run from the Seahawks where
Wilson tossed 24 touchdowns with only 1 interception from week 11 to week 17, averaging
better than 27 fantasy points per game. Also benefiting Wilson owners going forward into the
2016 season is Seattle's shift from a traditionally run-heavy offense towards a more balanced
attack. The Seahawks had the highest percentage of running plays in the NFL for three straight
seasons (2012-2014), before dropping to the fourth highest in 2015 at 50.56 percent.
Pete Carroll has shown the desire to let Wilson throw the ball more, with his passing attempts
increasing every year, and that trend should only continue in 2016. With Thomas Rawls' slow
recovery from ankle surgery casting a cloud of uncertainty on the running game, Wilson's arm
will be relied upon more than ever, and he will surely set a career high in attempts this season.
The receiving core for Seattle is talented, with Doug Baldwin setting career highs in every major
receiving category in 2015, as well as the speedy Tyler Lockett emerging as a future star. In
addition, tight end Jimmy Graham will be back from an injury plagued 2015 soon, and Seattle
drafted CJ Prosise, a running back who excels in the passing game. Since 2012, Wilson has also
averaged better than 600 yards rushing per season and 3 touchdowns, making him an elite
option to target for your team, given the upside he provides on the ground in addition to his
passing numbers. While he most likely won't replicate the 6 touchdowns he rushed for in 2014,
he should be able to find the end zone in 2016 more than he did in 2015, when his total fell to
just 1. With an average draft position (ADP) of 39 to this point, Wilson provides drafters
outstanding value without having to reach for a quarterback too early. Given Seattle's recent
success, his upside in the running game coupled with his steadily improving passing numbers,
drafting Wilson will surely win you your fair share of games in 2016.
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SLEEPER – JERMAINE KEARSE
In 2015, the Seahawks offense benefited from breakout performances at wide receiver by
veteran Doug Baldwin, and rookie standout Tyler Lockett. Quietly snagging 49 receptions with
685 yards and 5 touchdowns was receiver Jermaine Kearse, who could be poised to have
another good year with fantasy relevance. Kearse has been a part of the Seattle offense since
2012, signing with the team as an undrafted free agent. He has played in some incredibly
important games, and has performed well under the big lights. in 2014 against the Packers in
the NFC Championship game, Kearse caught a 35-yard touchdown pass from Russell Wilson in
overtime to send the Seahawks to their second straight Super Bowl. In that very Super Bowl,
Kearse caught a 33 yard desperation pass from Wilson late in the fourth quarter that should
have set up the game-winning score for Seattle. With all of that being said, Kearse is a very
capable receiver who could be on the verge of a breakout season for the Seahawks for a variety
of reasons.
To start, Kearse ended last season on a high note, snagging 11 receptions for 110 yards and 2
touchdowns against the Panthers in the NFC Divisional Round. He entered free agency
following that game, where Seattle made a 3-year $13.5 million commitment to the wideout.
With the team committing that much money to Kearse, he will again be an integral part of the
offense that took flight in the second half of the season.
As I previously stated, when it comes to Seattle's offense, they have been incredibly run-heavy
over the past few years. The coaching staff seems to be intent on moving the offense more and
more toward the passing game, and more passing attempts equate to more opportunities for
Kearse to break out. On top of that, the uncertainty in the running game is already going to lead
to more passing from the offense, and with defenses surely looking to contain Doug Baldwin in
the slot, Kearse will reap the benefits on the outside. I think most importantly of all, in addition
to making some of the biggest clutch catches over the last few seasons in the playoffs, Kearse
will have the trust of Wilson going forward after only dropping 8 total passes thrown to him in
the last 3 seasons combined. With all of these factors going in the right direction for Kearse,
there is no doubt that he can have a relevant season for fantasy owners in deeper leagues.
Kearse could easily set career highs in receptions, yards, and touchdowns, and he's the sleeper
for Seattle that you should be targeting.
ROOKIE TO WATCH – C.J. PROSISE
If you're looking for a rookie with the potential to impact your fantasy squad early on, look no
further than running back C.J. Prosise. Drafted by the Seahawks in the third round out of Notre
Dame, Prosise will have the opportunity to contribute right away with the uncertainty
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surrounding Thomas Rawls following an ankle injury suffered in week 14 of the 2015 season.
Even if Rawls is ready for training camp, he surely won't be pushed too hard, leaving Prosise to
garner a decent portion of the reps with the first-team offense. With a good showing in camp,
there is no doubt he could get early down work in the regular season to prevent Rawls from reinjuring the ankle. Prosise is also in a great spot from the jump, as he's already penciled in by
head coach Pete Ca oll to e the tea s thi d-down back regardless of the injury to Rawls.
At Notre Dame, he was a wide receiver before being moved to running back. As a running back
in his senior season, Prosise rushed for 1,029 yards and 11 touchdowns, and also caught 26
passes for 308 yards and a touchdown. Having played receiver at such a high level of
competition, Prosise will definitely own the "third and long" downs, as well as any passing
situations for that matter. Having excellent hands, it's also not out of the question to see him
split out wide at receiver with Rawls on the field in some packages. With his size and obvious
skill in the passing game, Prosise has earned many comparisons to Arizona Cardinals running
back David Johnson. While I don't know if Prosise can replicate the production Johnson had in
his ookie seaso , the o pa iso s defi itel the e.
Prosise can learn from Johnson's 2015 season, as he was also behind on the depth chart and
used mainly only in passing downs early in the year. Despite being given few opportunities to
produce, Johnson made the most of them, scoring on big plays and forcing fantasy owners to
make him an option on their teams. With Prosise's role essentially a lock heading into training
camp, he could very easily become a major factor for the 2016 season if he capitalizes on the
opportunities provided to him, especially if Rawls does happen to go down again. Considering
where he was drafted, his obvious talent, and opportunity to shine early in the season, C.J.
Prosise is far and away the rookie you should be targeting in Seattle.
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BALTIMORE RAVENS (ADAM COOK)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Joe Flacco, Ryan Mallett, Jerrod Johnson, Josh
Johnson
RB: Justin Forsett, Javorius Allen, Kenneth
Dixon, Lorenzo Taliaferro, Terrance West, Trent
Richardson
FB: Kyle Juszczyk
WR: Steve Smith, Kamar Aiken, Mike Wallace, Breshad
Perriman (inj), Michael Campanaro, Chris
Moore, Jeremy Butler, Keenan Reynolds (RB/KR), Chris
Matthews, Kaelin Clay, Daniel Brown
TE: Benjamin Watson, Maxx Williams, Crockett
Gillmore, Dennis Pitta, Darren Waller (susp), Nick Boyle
(susp)
K: Justin Tucker
TEAM OUTLOOK
The Ravens have not had to endure a losing season dating all the way back to 2007 before the
disaster of a season that 2015 was. The always durable Joe Flacco suffered a season-ending
injury, the ageless Steve Smith blew his Achilles, their first round pick Breshad Perriman
ould t get o the field, offe si e e te pie e Justi Fo sett oke his a , a d defe si e
leader Terrell Suggs even joined the injury party. Hey, at least they beat the rival Pittsburgh
Steelers in Week 16 to almost knock them out of the playoffs.
There are questions still unsolved heading into training camp. Steve Smith has no clue when he
will return to the field and even so recently said he wants to return just to try and eclipse 1,000
career receptions. Perriman still may not be able to be unleashed after another recent knee
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scare. The defense has not been the same since the losses of stalwarts Ray Lewis, Ed Reed, and
Haloti Ngata.
2016 brings a new year and the Ravens are ready to get back to their winning ways. Ozzie
Newsome and John Harbaugh are not known as losers, so a quick bounce back can be expected.
We will see starting on Sept. 11 against Rex Ryan and the Buffalo Bills.
STUD – JUSTIN TUCKER
No one was expecting a kicker here huh? Well looking at the Ravens positional players, Tucker
is the o l pla e ho ill sta t out the seaso as a egula sta te i
tea leagues. Let s
take a quick rundown:
Joe Flacco- My 24th ranked QB
Kenneth Dixon- My 32nd ranked PPR RB
Justin Forsett- My 35th ranked PPR RB
Kamar Aiken- My 40th ranked PPR WR
Mike Wallace- My 55th ranked WR
Steve Smith- Not in the top 60 at WR
Breshad Perriman- Not in the top 60 at WR
Benjamin Watson- 23rd ranked PPR TE
As you can see, the options for the Ravens offense are not that appealing. The Ravens are a
e t aditio al tea , so I do t e pe t Tu ke to lose out o a e t a poi t oppo tu ities.
Baltimore is content to win sloppy 19-13 games on the right leg of Justin Tucker. In 2015 Tucker
only missed one field goal 49 yards and under and did not miss a single extra point despite the
distance being extended. He only hit 4 out of 10 50+ yard field goals last year, but the fact that
he attempted 10 in total is a good sign. He was 9th in fantasy points in standard Yahoo scoring
last year and that was with uninspiring quarterback play. At least Tucker will be in fantasy
starting lineups Week 1 and you cannot say that for the rest of the Ravens offensive players.
SLEEPER – KAMAR AIKEN
Aiken was the last man standing the Baltimore receiving corps last year after Steve Smith and
Breshad Perriman suffered injuries. To his credit, Aiken took full advantage of the opportunities
granted. He was very consistent in 2015 totaling 7 plus targets in 11 out of the last 13 games
and he topped 50 plus yards in 8 out of the last 9 games. Looking back, I may have to move
Aiken up in my PPR rankings from the 40th spot. I see top 30 PPR WR potential in 2016.
Kamar looks to be the No. 1 WR for the Ravens heading into the 2016 campaign. His touchdown
production was low last year (5), but I could expect an increase with a healthy Joe Flacco
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slinging the rock instead of the likes of Ryan Mallett, Jimmy Clausen, and Matt Schaub. No. 1
ideouts i Ma T est a s offe ses ha e i ed fa tas gold. Whe T est a as the Bea s
head coach in 2013 and 2014 Alshon Jeffery totaled 80 plus catches both years and Brandon
Ma shall ea hed
i
. No Aike is t as ph si all gifted as those t o pla e s, ut the
poi t is that the ta get upside is the e. Do t sleep o Ka a Aike as I e pect him to lead the
Ravens in receiving this year.
ROOKIE TO WATCH – KENNETH DIXON
Many draft experts had Kenneth Dixon ranked as the 2nd running back behind Ezekiel Elliott
heading into the 2016 NFL Draft. He ended up lasting all the way until the 4 th round, but fell
into a perfect landing spot with the Ravens.
The depth chart climbing should not be a daunting task for Dixon as the only players he has to
beat out for meaningful touches are mega-bust Trent Richardson, JAG (Just-A-Guy) runner
Javorius Allen, and an aging Justin Forsett.
Dixon was a baller at Louisiana Tech often carrying the offense despite minimal talent around
him. What do fantasy players like to watch their players do on Sundays? Score touchdowns!
Dixon knows what a touchdown feels like as he scored 28 total touchdowns in 2014 and 26
total touchdowns in 2015.
Kenneth Dixon was widely considered one of the best pass catching running backs in the entire
draft. In Baltimore he will be playing under an offensive coordinator that loves to use the
u i g a ks i the passi g ga e. Looki g at T est a s last ea s oa hi g as fa as u i g
back receptions go: Matt Forte had 74 receptions in 2013, Matt Forte had 102 receptions in
2014, and Javorius Allen and Justin Forsett combined for 76 receptions in 2015. The potential
for Dixon to catch 60 plus passes this year is real. I will be selecting Dixon over Forsett in drafts
this August as I tend to bet on talent winning out in the long run.
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CINCINNATI BENGALS (BEN ROLFE)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Andy Dalton, A.J. McCarron, Keith Wenning, Joe
Licata
RB: Jeremy Hill (SD), Giovani Bernard (3RB), Rex
Burkhead (WR),Cedric Peerman, Bronson Hill
FB: Ryan Hewitt (HB)
WR: A.J. Green, Brandon LaFell, James Wright, Tyler
Boyd, Brandon Tate (KR), Jake Kumerow, Mario
Alford, Cody Core, Angelo Russell,Rashawn
Simonise, Alex Erickson, Michael Bennett
TE: Tyler Eifert (inj), Tyler Kroft, C.J. Uzomah, Matthew
Lengel, John Peters
K: Mike Nugent
TEAM OUTLOOK
The Cincinnati Bengals seemed well on their way to
a wild card round victory over the Pittsburgh
Steelers until a late fumble by Jeremy Hill and a poor decisions by both Vontaze Burfict and
Adam Jones put the Steelers in position for a game winning field goal. Hue Jackson left during
the offseason to become the head coach of the Cleveland Browns. All that said the Bengals
enter 2016 with a chance to have a productive offense and strong defense. Ken Zampese will
take over as offensive coordinator and should employ much of the same offensive scheme as
they had in previous seasons. He was the quarterback coach prior to the promotion and has a
good rapport with Andy Dalton. Zampese might even give Dalton more opportunities in the
passing game.
Giovani Bernard and Jeremy Hill should both see a ton of work and remain viable fantasy
optio s. HIll s
did t li e up to the late fi st o ea l se o d ADP a people took hi at
ut he as t that te i le. He should e ai a tou hdo
a hi e ith upside. He is u e tly
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coming off of the board in the 5th round and can be a low end RB1 or high end RB2 depending
on how your first four picks go. Tyler Eifert may miss some time due to an ankle injury. He has
had surgery and should be back in early August. Time will tell how quickly he can get up to
speed. Do t fo get a out A d Dalto i d afts if ou a e aiti g o ua te a k. He a e a
top 10 option coming off the board as QB15 per fantasyfootballcalculator.com. Let s take a look
at some of his targets.
STUD – AJ GREEN
Antonio Brown, Julio Jones and Odell Beckham Jr. garner a ton of talk when fantasy drafts roll
around and for good reason. All are incredible wide receivers that produce year in and year out.
The a e e eptio al tale ts that ga e the lio s sha e of the o k i thei offe ses. A a e
ofte left out of these dis ussio s is A.J. G ee . Ma e it s e ause the Be gals e e t e
good fo a hile o a e it s e ause A d Dalto is his ua te back but all the guy does is
produce elite fantasy wide receiver numbers. He has 415 catches, 6,171 yards and 45
touchdowns over his 5 years with the Bengals. That is good enough for 6th most yards and
touchdowns over that span. He has had more than 1,000 in every season he has played. Noted
Wide Receiver guru Matt Harmon pointed out that Randy Moss is the only other wide receiver
to do that in his latest column of must own wide receivers. Green has also scored double digit
touchdowns in three of his five seasons. 2016 has the potential to be the best season Green has
ever had. The opportunity is there for Green to see 180 to 200 targets and be incredibly
productive with those opportunities. He is my 4th rated wide receiver and would be very happy
to draft him in round 1 of drafts.
SLEEPER – BRANDON LAFELL
I know, I know we should be doing this again but here we are. Brandon LaFell is never going to
be someone who can be a top 20 wide receiver or someone fantasy owners will want to rely on
but this season there is going to be opportunities from someone across from A.J. Green to get
targets and LaFell can be that guy.
In his two full seasons across from Green, Marvin Jones saw 183 targets. While it is not safe to
assume that someone has to get those targets like it s a pie to di ide up the pote tial fo LaFell
to see in the range of 75- ta gets a d pote tiall o e does t see i p o a le. He has a
a ee at h ate of pe e t hi h is t g eat ut ith a a e age a ds pe at h of . he
can be productive with the catches he gets. He also sets up to have a golden opportunity early
with Eifert potentially missing time and the other options being rookie and Brandon Tate. He is
worth the gamble at the very end of drafts especially in non-PPR leagues. The best part is you
ill k o ea l if he a e a fa tas optio this seaso a d if he a t p odu e the ut hi
and move on to the hot waiver wire add that week.
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ROOKIE TO WATCH – TYLER BOYD
Like I mentioned with LaFell, there is an opportunity for a wide receiver or two to step up
opposite Green. Tyler Boyd has the skill and potential to seize that role. Boyd was an incredibly
productive receiver during his time at the University of Pittsburgh. He caught 254 balls for 3,361
yards and 21 touchdowns during his th ee seaso . Bo d ade up . pe e t of Pitt s
receptions in his final season with the Panthers. He is ahead of the curve for most rookies as he
has displa ed e eptio al oute u i g skills. He is ot the iggest
a d
pou ds o
the fastest (4.58 40 yard dash) but can get open with his route running. He also displays solid
hands and should catch a lot of what comes his way. Boyd is worth a late round add especially if
ou ha e ide e ei e s ou e fi e ith ea l a d a e looki g fo pu e upside.
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CLEVELAND BROWNS (PAUL BATTS)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Robert Griffin III, Josh McCown, Cody
Kessler, Austin Davis
RB: Isaiah Crowell (SD), Duke Johnson (3RB), Terrell
Watson,Raheem Mostert, Glenn Winston
FB: Malcolm Johnson
WR: Josh Gordon (susp), Corey Coleman, Andrew
Hawkins,Rashard Higgins, Taylor Gabriel, Jordan
Payton, Terrelle Pryor,Ricardo Louis, Darius
Jennings, Marlon Moore, Rannell Hall
TE: Gary Barnidge, E.J. Bibbs, Seth Devalve, Randall
Telfer, Connor Hamlett
K: Travis Coons (inj), Patrick Murray, Jaden Oberkrom
TEAM OUTLOOK
The Cleveland Browns are a team in disarray. After limping to a three-win season in 2015,
owner Jimmy Haslam decided a regime change was in order, ousting General Manager Ray
Farmer and head coach Mike Pettine. After years of disappointment (The Browns have not had
a winning season since 2007), Haslem decided to take a somewhat unconventional approach to
structuring his front office. Former team General Council Sashi Brown was promoted to
Executive Vice President and will have final say over the roster while former MLB exec Paul
DePodesta was brought in to help with player development and day to day operations.
While neither Brown nor DePodesta has experience in NFL player evaluations, both are analytic
e pe ts a d ill epo tedl use a Mo e all app oa h to u the tea . It s a i te esti g
move, to say the least, but a move that Browns fans hope will pay big dividends down the road.
Highly regarded offensive coordinator Hue Jackson was lured away from Cincinnati to become
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the B o s th head oa h i se e ea s. Ja kso
i gs e pe ie e to a i e pe ie ed tea
as should aid in the development of its young talent. I expect the offense to exceed
expectations under Jackson making for some nice under the radar values for your fantasy team.
STUD – DUKE JOHNSON
I k o it sou ds az to ha e a a kup u i g a k as the de fa to stud fo a tea , ut
hear me out: Johnson is THE pass catching back on this team. Vegas oddsmakers have Cleveland
slated as underdogs by 3 points or more in every single game this year. What does that mean
for us? You guessed it: a lot of playing from behind, which means a lot of passing the ball which
ill i ease the se o d ea a k s pla i g ti e hethe he is the sta te o ot.
Duke was third in targets in 2015 with 77, and the leader (Travis Benjamin) bolted to San Diego.
I e pe t Joh so s ta gets to sk o ket to ell o e
as he p o ides a i e se u it la ket
for newly acquired quarterback Robert Griffin III. One hundred targets from a running back
p o ides a i e floo ut hat akes Duke so appeali g is that ou a t dis ou t the possi ilit
of Johnson taking over lead back duties from Isaiah Crowell. Crowell has talent as a two down
thumper but offers very little in the passing game and has shown a penchant for getting himself
in trouble, a quality that the new regime will have little patience for. If Johnson were to take
over as the lead back, you would have an absolute steal at his 6th round average draft position.
SLEEPER – JOSH GORDON
I know I will get a ton of flak for choosing Gordon as my sleeper. After all,we are talking about a
guy who may not even play this season. A guy who has had every chance to succeed and has
blown every last one. However, as I write this, Josh is scheduled to apply for reinstatement Aug.
1 and I see no reason why he would be denied. The NFL has received a ton of pushback on its
drug policy, especially on marijuana, and suspending Gordon further will give them a headache
that the just do t a t. I
ot he e to gi e o
e ta o ho I feel a out the u e t
policy, I am here to tell you which player currently on the Cleveland Browns provides the most
upside relative to where he is bei g d afted, a d that pla e is Go do a d it s ot lose. It is
hard to argue that Gordon is anything but a WR1 for your fantasy team if he plays (I think he
ill a d if ou get a W‘ at pi k
u e t ADP . It s a league i e , plai a d si ple.
If Gordon makes you squeamish then I believe there are several values on this team, especially
in deeper leagues. Jordan Payton is flying way under the radar and is basically free right now.
The Browns wide receiver depth chart is wide open after 1st round draft pick Corey Coleman
and I believe that Payton will see playing time early because of his polished route running and
sure hands. Keep an eye on running back Terrell Watson as well. Hue Jackson coached Watson
in Cincinnati so he is very familiar with his skill set. Ja kso s e fi st oste o e as a ti g
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head coach was to pluck the 240 pound bruiser off of The Bengals practice squad indicating that
he likes hat Watso
i gs to the ta le. It s ot ha d to see Ja kso usi g Watso
u h like he
used Jere Hill i Ci i ith Joh so a ti g as Cle ela d s e sio of Gio Be a d.
ROOKIE TO WATCH – COREY COLEMAN
After trading away the number two overall pick in the draft, Sashi Brown made Coleman his
first draft pick as acting GM. Brown chose Coleman over receivers Laquon Treadwell and Josh
Do tso e ause he elie es that Cole a as the ost e plosi e pla e i the d aft a d he s
not alone. Draft guru and highly respected fantasy football analyst Matt Waldman called
Cole a the ost e iti g e ei e i the draft and most scintillating big play threat of any
positio i the d aft a d a NFL. o d aft gu u said Cole a is spe ial ith the all i his
ha ds.
Coleman steps in as the no. 1 wide receiver from day one on a team that is likely to be passing a
lot. A hundred targets is his floor and I expect him to approach 150 or more if he can stay
health , hi h ould e a huge oo fo his fa tas o e s. Co e s upside is t e e dous
because he is a threat to take it to the house on any play as evidenced by his 20 TDs on 74
at hes as a ju io at Ba lo . I ll do the ath fo ou: Cole a s o ed a TD ette tha out of
every 4 times he touched the ball in 2015.The outcome of the Gordon reinstatement may or
a ot affe t Cole a s a ket sha e of the Cle eland passing attack. I do expect Gordon to
e ei stated ut I ould t e su p ised if he is dealt the tea i
ediatel upo
reinstatement. I have nothing to base that on besides gut feeling but if that were to happen it
could possibly mean an uptick i oth Cole a s a d Go do s alue. It ill e i te esti g to
see how that plays out in the coming month.
As a side note, if you happen to have any Browns (or Titans) on your roster, the NFL inexplicably
made week 13 a bye for the Browns and Titans. I know that this won't affect playoffs for most
readers but I play in several leagues where the playoffs start early so be mindful of this as it
may or may not affect you.
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PITTSBURGH STEELERS (LUKE
O’NEILL)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Ben Roethlisberger, Landry Jones, Bruce
Gradkowski, Dustin Vaughn
RB: Le′Veo Bell susp , DeAngelo Williams, Fitzgerald
Toussaint,Daryl Richardson, Rajion Neal, Christian
Powell
FB: Roosevelt Nix
WR: Antonio Brown (PR), Markus Wheaton
(KR), Sammie Coates,Darrius Heyward-Bey, Eli
Rogers, Demarcus Ayers, Issac Blakeney,Levi
Norwood, Shakim Philips, Tobias Palmer, Canan
Severin,Martavis Bryant (susp)
TE: Ladarius Green (inj), Jesse James, Xavier
Grimble, David Johnson (FB), David Reeves, Jay Rome
K: Chris Boswell
TEAM OUTLOOK
Last season, the Steelers' transition from defensive powerhouse to offensive juggernaut
manifested itself absolutely. The team finished 5th in scoring, averaging 26.4 points per game.
They finished 3rd in total yards and passing yards per game (395.4 and 287.7, respectively), and
16th in rushing yards per game at 107.8 yards per game, in spite of All-World RB Le'Veon Bell
appearing in just 6 games, and Ben Roethlisberger missing 4 full games and parts of several
others with injury.
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The team finished with a 10-6 record, eventually snatching a wildcard playoff spot, where they
faced the rival AFC North champion Bengals, securing their first playoff win since 2010. They
lost to the eventual Super Bowl champion Broncos in the Divisional round, missing the offensive
firepower of Bell, Antonio Brown and DeAngelo Williams.
The offensive line was thrown into turmoil last season, with Maurkice Pouncey failing to play a
regular season snap, and starting left tackle Kelvin Beachum being lost for the season after just
6 games. Pouncey should return this season, and appears to be back at full health. Alejandro
Villanueva steadily improved as the season wore on as Beachum's replacement, and the team
quietly signed Ryan Harris in free agency, adding a Super Bowl left tackle in a move that is flying
under the radar. Ramon Foster and David DeCastro are as solid a duo at guard as any in the
league, and right tackle Marcus Gilbert is one of the best linemen in the league that nobody is
talking about. Under the continued tutelage of Mike Munchak, this should be one of the better
units in the league, and should continue to protect Roethlisberger well (in spite of the missed
games, last season was the fewest amount of sacks Big Ben has absorbed in his NFL career).
Roethlisberger's stats from last season extrapolated over the course of a 16 game season read
as follows:
625 passing attempts
5251 passing yards
28 passing TDs
21 interceptions
20 rushing attempts
39 rushing yards
Realistically, the TD total seems low considering the huge yardage, but it falls in line with
Roethlisberger's average, having never tossed more than 33 scores in any season. Provided he
can stay healthy for the whole season, he has a legitimate shot at over 5,000 yards passing
again, and a safe bet for around 30 passing TDs, with the chance for a rushing TD thrown in for
good measure. Per Fantasy Football Calculator, he's being drafted as the 5th QB off the board.
We've advocated for Big Ben as a value draft pick in the past, but this year he's going a little
earlier than we'd like. With QBs like Eli Manning and Philip Rivers lasting 3 rounds later on
average, Big Ben's capped TD upside may not be worth that high a pick.
Shortly prior to the time of writing, it emerged that Le'Veon Bell is facing a 4 game suspension
for a missed drug test. Dynasty owners may have pause over his long term value, but it presents
an interesting opportunity to acquire Bell at a discount in redraft leagues. Bell leads the league
in yards from scrimmage per game since entering the league, and if he slips in drafts he could
be a potential league winner if you can snag him in the second or third round. Bell's running
mate DeAngelo Williams was a revelation when pressed into service following Bell's injury last
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season, finishing 10th in rushing yards and joint top in TDs, in spite of starting just 10 games.
Williams holds enough value to draft as a standalone asset, but the ideal play in drafts will be to
draft Bell earlier with Williams as a handcuff. Williams' ADP is likely to spike with this news, and
depending where he starts going, he may not be worth the return on investment, as Bell is
likely to take the lion's share of work when (or indeed if) he returns. Bell's situation is one that
should be monitored, but even if he misses 4 weeks, he'll still be an RB1.
Outside of Antonio Brown, the Steelers have question marks at wide receiver. Martavis Bryant's
suspension for the season robs them of one of the most electric playmakers in the league, with
15 scores in just 21 games played. We've been bullish on Markus Wheaton for a long time and
his week 12 explosion against Seattle highlighted his potential: 9 receptions for 201 yards and a
score against the Legion of Boom is nothing to sniff at. He finished the season with 749 yards, 5
TDs and 17 yards per catch, within the top 10 in the NFL. After just 1 TD catch before the week
11 bye, Wheaton subsequently caught 4 in the last 6 games.
Roethlisberger's increased trust in and rapport with Wheaton was obvious, and that should
only benefit him in the upcoming season. Over 1000 yards and 8 TDs seem reasonable
expectations. Many are expecting 2nd year size/speed prospect Sammie Coates to take the
"Bryant" role, but Wheaton's increased familiarity with the system give him the inside track.
Coates, along with depth WR Darrius Heyward-Bey and whichever young WR(s) make the 53
(be it Eli Rodgers, Shakim Phillips, or rookie Demarcus Ayers) shouldn't crack more than 400500 yards.
The team is experiencing a transition at tight end this season, with the retirement of
Roethlisberger favorite Heath Miller and blocking specialist Matt Spaeth being released. To
combat this, the team made a splash in free agency (by their standards, at least) by signing
Ladarius Green. Green's athletic profile is staggering, with a 4.53 40 yard dash time at 6'6", 240
pounds. Green had spent his Chargers career behind one of the all time great tight ends, and in
his 5th NFL season finally gets a chance to spread his wings. Look for Green to register
somewhere between 700-800 yards and 6-8 TDs.
STUD – ANTONIO BROWN
Let's be honest: who else was it going to be?
Antonio Brown should not be as good as he is. He's not the fastest player in the league, he's far
from the biggest. He came from a small school as a 6th round pick. And since he entered the
league, he has been rewriting the record books.
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Over the last three seasons, Brown has 375 catches for 5,031 yards and 31 TDs. He has 2 of the
10 highest single season receiving yardage records and 2 of the 4 highest reception totals in NFL
history. He was the first player to record over 1,000 yards receiving and returning in the same
season.
He is, quite simply, a phenomenon.
Brown will never be a bully in the red zone like Dez Bryant, nor will he have the catch radius of
Calvin Johnson. Brown wins as a technician, selling defenders with deft route running and
preternatural short area quickness. He's also in the perfect system to maximize his talents, with
offensive coordinator Todd Haley consistently putting him in position to make plays, and a
quarterback with whom he seems to share a telepathic connection.
Brown's consistency will be key to his outlook for this season. His numbers over the last three
seasons average out to 125 catches for 1,677 yards and 10 TDs. However, his numbers took a
nosedive last season during the games that Roethlisberger missed, averaging under 6 catches
and 60 yards per game with no scores. However, in the last 16 games in which Ben has played
at least 70 percent of the snaps, Brown has 152 catches for 2,039 yards, per Evan Silva
(@EvanSilva). If, and it is obviously a huge if, the pair can stay healthy next season, Brown has a
chance to see more records tumble at his feet.
Many will argue that a complicating factor this season will be that without Bryant, and at least
temporarily without Bell, opposing defenses will be able to key in on Brown, with the Steelers
lacking other superstar threats. This line of reasoning assumes that opposing defenses have not
already been game planning for Brown.
In the 9 games Brown played with both Bryant and Roethlisberger in 2015, he averaged:
14.1 targets
10 receptions
129 yards
0.89 TDs
28.3 PPR points per game
In the (admittedly small sample size) of 3 games with Ben but without Bryant, he averaged:
11.7 targets
9.7 receptions
146 yards
0.66 TDs
28.2 PPR points per game
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Yes, without Bryant and Bell, opposing teams will know that they have to stop AB to stop the
Steelers. But opposing teams have known that for a long time. Knowing and doing
are very different things.
Draft Antonio Brown.
Draft him high.
Draft him with confidence.
ROOKIE TO WATCH – DEMARCUS AYERS
This profile was not a difficult one to choose, as Ayers is the only "skill position" player the
Steelers took on offense (in spite of many being of the opinion they could have used depth at
running back as well as wide receiver).
Ayers was the Steelers' second last selection of the draft, all the way back at pick 229 in the 7th
round. Measuring in at only 5'9" and 182 pounds, many have pegged Ayers as too small for the
NFL. He also ran a 4.7 40 yard dash in the 40, leaving many to speculate that he would also be
too slow to make it in the league. In order to stick to the roster, this late round draft pick will
have to excel on special teams.
Stop me if you've heard this before.
Obviously, it would be a huge stretch to conclude from this that Ayers can become even a
fraction of the player that Brown is, but given the similarities it also seems foolish to write him
off just yet. Ayers put together an impressive final season in college, racking up 98 catches for
1,222 yards and 6 TDs in his last season at Houston, his yardage ranking 18th in the nation.
Truthfully, Ayers was drafted more for his special teams prowess, with Kevin Colbert claiming
he evaluated Ayers as the best return man available in the draft. However, as noted above,
outside of Antonio Brown, the Steelers lack proven playmakers at the WR position. He may
have an opportunity to force a role for himself on offense.
He'll only need to look around the WR meeting room for the best inspiration to do so.
SLEEPER – SAMMIE COATES
At the time of writing, second year WR Sammie Coates has an ADP of 12.02
per www.fantasyfootballcalculator.com, as the 55th receiver off the board. He is currently
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being drafted behind players like Josh Gordon, Vincent Jackson, and the fetid corpse of Steve
Smith. While there's far from any guarantee that Coates plays a huge role in the offense (as
outlined above), his potential is tantalizing, and he could extremely easily outperform this draft
slot.
Outside of Bryant, no Steelers' WR comes close to the physical upside Coates provides. Last
year's 87th overall pick stands 6'2", weighs in at a rocked up 212 pounds, and blazed a 4.43 40
yard dash in the combine. While it's (reasonably) safe to assume that Markus Wheaton will take
up the no. 2 WR duties across from Antonio Brown, Coates could be used in a similar fashion to
Bryant was in his first season - a deep ball threat.
Per PlayerProfiler.com, Coates boasts 99th percentile athleticism, a notion reinforced by his
21.8 yard per reception average in college. If Coates can come close to replicating this sort of
figure in the NFL, he'll more than justify his selection in your draft. This shouldn't be considered
too implausible. As noted above, Wheaton averaged 17 yards per catch and his role was not
that of a designated deep ball threat.
Coates will require a leap of faith this season, as he has such limited experience - just 36 regular
season snaps played in the NFL. Prior to the Divisional game against the Broncos, Coates had
just two targets, one catch, and 11 yards. When the Steelers lost Brown before the Divisional
game, Coates by necessity became a bigger part of the game plan. He garnered 3 targets in the
game, totaling 2 catches for 61 yards. The one pass he did not catch resulted in a 12 yard
defensive pass interference call. Coates showed both yards after the catch ability and a
physicality no other Steelers WR provides, including Bryant. SteelersDepot.com did a good job
of breaking down his plays here.
But leaps of faith are exactly why we have "sleeper" articles. Coates profiles very similarly to
current breakout superstar Donte Moncrief, and was actually drafted in the NFL Draft before
both Moncrief and Bryant. Coates has immense ability and upside, and the events that have
transpired in Pittsburgh mean he may soon have the only thing he missed in his first year opportunity. It wouldn't be surprising to see Coates put up 500 yards and 3 TDs, but there's also
a very real chance he usurps Wheaton as the team's WR2 and he flirts with 1000 yards and 7-8
TDs.
As the 55th WR off the board, that's a chance you should be willing to take.
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HOUSTON TEXANS (SETH SHORT)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Brock Osweiler, Brandon Weeden, Tom Savage
RB: Lamar Miller, Alfred Blue, Jonathan Grimes, Tyler
Ervin, Akeem Hunt, Kenny Hilliard
FB: Jay Prosch
WR: DeAndre Hopkins, Jaelen Strong, Cecil Shorts, Will
Fuller,Braxton Miller, Keith Mumphery, Wendall
Williams, Josh Lenz
TE: Ryan Griffin (inj), C.J. Fiedorowicz, Anthony
Denham, Stephen Anderson, Eric Tomlinson
K: Nick Novak
TEAM OUTLOOK
The Houston Texans are a Fantasy Offense on the
ups i g. Bill O B ie likes a up te po st le that ill
help fill up the stat sheet, just last year the Texans
ran the most plays per game in the NFL. That fact added with offseason additions across the
board to complement Nuke Hopkins could lead to the Texans being one of the most fantasy
friendly teams in the league.
Last ea pla i g a ho s ho of ho s ot at ua te a k the Te a s ade a agg essi e pla
for the little used Brock Osweiler. Despite the lack of talent at QB last year the Texans up tempo
offense passed for 29 TDs and only 12 INTs (playoffs obviously not included). Is Osweiler a huge
upgrade? That is yet to be seen, it is hard to compare his stint last year in the ultra-conservative
Gary Kubiak offense to what he might be able to do in his new situation. I am not going to put
all
hips i o Os eile ut I do t thi k he ill hi de Hopki s o a o e else i this
offense. Osweiler is a QB2 in this offense for fantasy purposes.
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At running back the Texans made my favorite fantasy move of the offseason by bringing in
underused Lamar Miller. Miami refused to give him the ball consistently but when they did he
put up big numbers. Always a YPC monster, he has also increased his receptions each year since
he has joined the league. Last year Texans RBs caught 85 passes, Arian Foster had 22 in 4 games
with 7 targets per game. Now Lamar Miller gets that role in a full capacity. Lamar Miller will be
a top 5 PPR scoring running back this year.
The presence of Miller will only open up things for DeAndre Hopkins on the outside. Hopkins is
a stud a d ill e d afted as su h. But he is t alo e o the outside. The Te a s ade old
moves in the draft and bring a plethora of talent at wideout. In the 1st round they drafted Notre
Dame home run hitter Will Fuller, in the 3rd round they selected potential Swiss Army Knife
B a to Mille , to go alo g ith last ea s rd rounder Jaelen Strong and incumbent Cecil
Shorts. Any of these four could see major time this year. This is the battle to pay attention to
this summer.
Reports are that Jaelen Strong has looked motivated and much improved during OTAs. Braxton
Miller could end up as the slot receiver if he converts well in his second season playing WR (1st
at pro level). Then there is always the question of Shorts health or should I just say hamstring. If
he misses time that will open up the possibilities of 1 or 2 of these young guys taking over on a
full time basis.
The other pass catchers are not guys you will be looking at drafting. Texans tight ends offer
little upside and a low floor.
As far at the defense goes, they do have J.J. Watt so they will undoubtedly get drafted. They are
a middle of the road fantasy defense with upside, especially if Jadeveon Clowney gets healthy
and performs.
STUD – LAMAR MILLER
The i
ediate ea tio s to the stud pla e i the Te a s offe se is DeA d e Nuke Hopki s
and he is. But for this season although Nuke will be very good for your fantasy team and will
undoubtedly (barring injury) finish as a top 10 wide receiver. The guy from the Texans offense
you want most is Lamar Miller. In 2016 there are 10-15 bonafide no. 1 wide receivers with a
deep second group, on the flip side top notch running backs are much harder to find. With the
league wide approach favoring running back by committees the true three down running back
is hard to find.
The Te a s a d Bill O B ie a e a tea that a e t opposed to u i g ith o e gu . A ia
Foster when healthy over the past two seaso s u de O B ie a e aged
a ies pe ga e i
2014 with almost 5 targets and 16 carries (only eight in his first game back in a part time role, at
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least i ea h of the othe th ee ith se e ta gets. No O B ie has a u h ou ge a d
healthier guy to lean on in Miller who has proven to be a home run threat with ability to catch
the ball out of the back field. Just last year he caught 47 of his 57 targets with the Dolphins.
I additio to shea o kload, the t pe of offe se, a d O B ie s illi gness to change his
offense to best utilize his weapons creates a very fantasy friendly environment for Lamar Miller.
In 2016 the Texans up tempo style equated to the most plays per game, more plays equals
more opportunities and more touches. Miller will be the biggest beneficiary, last year the
Dolphins ran the 26th most plays at 61 per game, The Texans at 70.4 ran 150 more plays
throughout the season. Miller shared a lot of time last year with multiple backs. This year he
should be on the field more and with a la ge ole. I p oje t Mille s a ies to ju p to the
300 range and at his career YPC mark of 4.6 that would give him between 1,288-1,380 yards
rushing.
1,300 yards rushing is a fine season but where the big payoff will come is in the receiving game.
If Miller gets the seven targets a game that Foster received last year, which would total 112
targets this season and catching those at an 80 percent clip would equate to a 90 catch season.
90 catches is a real possibility and at his 7.6 yard per catch mark it would get him to 684 yards
netting Miller about 2,000 yards from scrimmage. Even if you dial back his targets back to 80,
he would end up with 64 catches or 4 per game. A very nice addition in PPR leagues.
Lastly the Texans running backs accounted for 12 touchdowns last season, Miller had 10
himself. He should easily be able to equal if not better his number from a year ago. I would
project 12 from Miller. So if Miller stays healthy you could be looking at a 1300/70/600/12
season. Those numbers a e e si ila to Le'Veo Bell s
.
SLEEPER – BROCK OSWEILER
In 2015 the Houston Texans ran a high tempo pace despite using four different quarterbacks.
Even though their QB position was constantly in flux last year the Texans were able to get
decent production from the position as they combined to throw for 29 TDs and only 12 INT.
This production was fine and won the weak AFC South putting the Texans in the playoffs. In
that playoff game Brian Hoyer and the Texans QB position showed its true talents, throwing a
miserable four interceptions in the first half. This offseason the Texans made a big play to
shore up that position and signed Brock Osweiler.
Now nothing Osweiler did last year with the Broncos would wow you. He managed the game in
a very conservative offense, letting the electric Broncos D take over and was able to go 5-2 as a
starter. Osweiler threw for 10 TDs and almost 2,000 yards in the eight games he played. Fine
numbers but nothing you would want to use in fantasy.
This season Osweiler is moving into an up tempo offense with a lot of shiny new weapons and a
chip on his shoulder after being benched for Peyton Manning going into the playoffs last year.
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Osweiler had to sit on the sidelines watching a team that he was leading go on and win a Super
Bowl. Narrative Street will be busy this season for Osweiler, with that ammunition along with
the likes of ua te a k gu u Bill O B ie , e ould see Os eile at h o slightl eat the
Texans production from last year. If Osweiler finishes the season with 4,500 yards, 29 TDs, and
12 INTs he will be a valuable late round flier.
He has the weapons to make this work with Hopkins, Shorts, and all the young wideouts added
in the past two drafts. Plus the addition of Lamar Miller will give him a talented check down
optio . If ou e i a QB league o a t to eall ait i a deepe league Os eile is o e gu to
get on your roster. I would draft him over the likes of Tannehill, Matt Ryan, Cutler, Alex Smith,
or even the ever so brittle To ‘o o. Os eile is i a ette positio to su eed a d he has t
failed o disappoi ted us as u h just et. Os eile has the pote tial to e this ea s Blake
Bortles.
ROOKIE TO WATCH – BRAXTON MILLER
Braxton Miller is the guy I am watching. Yes, Will Fuller was drafted first, but I feel he is going to
be playing on the outside competing for playing time with Jalen Strong. Fuller in his first year
will be used sparingly on deep routes, whereas Braxton Miller has a real shot to be the slot guy
in this offense.
He is essentially competing with Cecil Shorts for this position. If Miller shines and wins the job
Shorts could also matter on the outside as well. That is if Shorts can stay on the field. Shorts has
some talents but in each of his five seasons he has missed time, mostly because of recurring
hamstring issues. At some point this season smart money would be that these issues reoccur,
so even if Miller loses out in the camp battle he could find himself on the field at some point
this season.
Miller has the ideal skill set for an NFL slot receiver. At the combine last year he posted top
times in all of the agility drills, showing the ability to change direction quickly which will
translate into short routes run out of the slot. In addition, the Texans have already mentioned
using Miller in a multi-dimensional role. He could be used on bubble screens, tunnel screens,
and reverses as a receiver. Miller could also see looks as a wildcat quarterback and straight
hand-offs in the backfield. Last year in his first game in such a role with THE Ohio State
U i e sit he had a ies fo
a ds a d TD plus e eptio s fo
a ds a d a TD. He s
now had over a year to refine his skills at his new position. This is a guy that will be utilized from
day 1. How much work he will see depends on how his transition to wide receiver progresses.
He does have the advantage on other QBs switching to wideout as he made the switch while
still in college as opposed to others who are making the switch in year 1 in the NFL.
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This is t a gu ou eed to d aft -- at least not yet. I do recommend following his progress
throughout the preseason and really pay attention to how much time he is playing with the first
team. If he is to win the slot receiver role he could be very usable in PPR formats. I would
assume he would be getting three easy screens and two plus carries every week on top of the
regular production he could get in the offense. If he wins the job, I would put his ceiling at Percy
Ha i s ookie ea ith a few big games and a few where he is used more as a decoy.
O e all the Te a s ookies do t p oje t as ig fa tas p odu e s i ea o e ut oth Fulle
and Miller should be on your radar in Dynasty Leagues. Fuller is a big play threat and will only
continue to refine the rest of his game, I see him more along the lines of a Mike Wallace type
player. I project Miller to be a more consistent contributor long term as I think he will develop
i to a elite le el slot gu . ‘e e e Bill O B ie a e f o the Pat iots system that values
that slot role more than any other franchise. Long term Miller could be a much more dynamic
version of Wes Welker or Julian Edelman.
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INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
(CHRISTOPHER CHEUNG)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Andrew Luck, Scott Tolzien, Stephen Morris
RB: Frank Gore, Robert Turbin, Jordan Todman
(KR), Josh Ferguson, Trey Williams
FB: Abou Toure
WR: T.Y. Hilton, Donte Moncrief (inj), Phillip Dorsett
(KR/PR), Josh Boyce, Quan Bray, MeKale
McKay, Chester Rogers, Marcus Leak,Tavaun
Smith, Joshua Stangby, Daniel Anthrop, Andre
Dubose,Brian Tyms (IR)
TE: Dwayne Allen, Jack Doyle, Erik Swoope, Chase
Coffman, Emil Igwenagu, Darion Griswold, Nick
Truesdell, Mike McFarland (IR)
K: Adam Vinatieri
TEAM OUTLOOK
The proud franchise that has seemingly unlimited fortune in landing franchise quarterbacks at
seemingly every decade. Their future is now tied in to their 2012 first-round draft pick Andrew
Lu k. We o t e de ate hethe he has ea ed this e o t a t or not, because that would
take a whole new article. Instead, the implications of tying up an exorbitant amount of cap in
just the offensive side is setting this team to become like it always has been offense heavy &
defense light. While this may sound amazi g to the fa tas o e s ea s, I ould ha e to
caution that teams who traditionally have a bad defense put their offense in position to make
tu o e s o espe iall has a egati e o elatio to the u i g ga e. We e al ead k o
that Andrew has the propensity to throw interceptions, and with a shoddy offensive line, he
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might be actually need some luck on his retirement portfolio or become a TD Ameritrade ®
customer.
But let s get a fo us o I dia apolis outlook i the fa tas se se fo
. Could this team be
the collective post-hype sleeper offense? Last year, owners were super excited about how
e plosi e of a offe se the o s i lue ould e ee . But all that de ailed he Lu k got
smacked around like a ragdoll, and eventually had to be shut down. Led by Matt Hasselbeck
and a whole host of unnamable QBs, the offense was one of the worst. The ground game
sputte ed, as defe ses did t elie e that the ould e halle ged do field, a d e e Go e
had issues with fumbling.
The Offseason
On the verge of firing both head coach and general manager, the Irsays did something super
unconventional. He rewarded both men with an extension. Boys and girls, this is what happens
he ou do t ha e a left ta kle, thi gs just fl out of the left field. With much apprehension I
thought this team would continue on their downward spiral to become another bottom feeding
team again. Yet, the organization decided to do the right thing in the offseason (for the most
part anyways). The draft was focused on OL and defense. Both are really significant needs for
the tea . While the do t ha e i
ediate fa tas i pa t u less ou e pla i g IDP, the I
highly suggest grabbing Morrison), they are important if we want Luck to last all 16 games.
Looking forward, Coby Fleener skipped town for a little beignet and jambalaya. Andre Johnson
sho ed his age thus the Colts sho ed hi the doo . That s
ta gets that left to . While
most expect next man up to be Phillip Dorsett, I present you three other viable names as my
Stud, Sleeper, and Rookie
STUD – DONTE MONCRIEF
Motto: Feed the Mo
ief
I Fe ua he ould e falle u de the sleepe a ti le, fast fo a d
o ths a d Ha o
bump later, he is now nearly being taken as a high-end WR2. He does have everything going for
him including the size, talent, and improved route running. In year one Moncrief surprised me
with his vertical game. His ability to track deep balls was sensational. In year 2 he improved his
route running skills coming off of a rookie season where he was compared to Reggie Wayne.
Just looki g at his ollege tape though I did t see a of it. But last ea I ega seei g a little
more of the Wayne-like skills he brought to the game. Visible improvement for any NFL player
can only mean more trust by the oa hes to let pla e s sta o the field. Let s look at ho those
improvements translated to stats.
Years
Rec
Targets
Yards
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TD
2014
2015
32
64
49
105
444
733
3
6
He nearly doubled all his stats in year two. One could only speculate what may have happened
if Lu k had sta ed health i
. O fil he s ot uite the s ooth athlete that ‘eggie Wa e
is but he has time to become that. Moncrief is impressive to say the least both in the way he
attacks the zones and after the catches the football. Once the ball is in his hands, he shows off
quite the impressive wiggle and burst. You can see how easy it would be for Moncrief to
become any QBs favorite target, and he just so happens to be playing with a once-in-a-decade
type talent of a QB in Indianapolis. While I am high on him, there are certainly other owners
ho is e e highe o hi . I do t ha e a p o le pla ti g
flag o hi .
As a third year breakout candidate Moncrief just checked off the list of things to look out for.
But again, in the NFL nothi g is gua a teed. You e taki g a ha e o a pla e ho o l put up
four 100-yard or more games, two times each of the years he played. The next highest receiving
yardage total was 75-yd in a game. Every other game he has not been helpful to you. Perhaps in
PPR he is even worth considering a WR3. To ask a WR3 to jump to a consistent every week WR1
is uite a leap of faith. But that ight just hat e e asked to do, a d take a leap of faith ith
Moncrief. The best kind of breakout player, is the one that surprises unsuspecting owners who
overly rely on historical data before buying in on a player.
At this ti e Mo ief is ei g take as a top W‘. The p i e is a little steep a d it should t
surprise anyone if Moncrief start the year slow. By all accounts Ty Hilton is still the primary
targeted WR. If Moncrief starts slow, do everything in your power to buy him from the
disappointed owner. For myself, I would be quite aggressive in obtaining Moncrief from the
owner who drafted him before I have a chance to.
SLEEPER – JACK DOYLE AND ERIK SWOOPE
O e of the should e pla i g opposite D a e Alle . It ould e ee too eas to o i ate
Phillip Dorsett, but I think his time is only coming in 2017 not this year. However, the TE spot is
easy to overlook, since Allen is the clear cut starter. One guy already showed a capability to
at h passes f o Lu k hile the othe gu has t pla ed o ga ized foot all ut is k o fo his
pote tial e ause asket all a kg ou d aise ou ha d if ou e hea d that efo e . Let s
discuss each individually. Jack Doyle has some TD in his resume and has looked the part of a
Josh Hill-type of traditional TE (you know the ones that score TD one week, then disappears for
another 3-4, before coming in with another TD game? Yeah those). Here are his career stats:
Years
2013
2014
2015
Rec
5
18
12
Targets
7
22
14
Yards
19
118
72
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TD
0
2
1
These stats are as exciting as counting the hairs of a lama. Nevertheless, I tabbing him as the
better replacement for Fleener.
On the other hand, Swoope is still on the team and the coaching staff are still excited about his
upside after three years. This could be his chance to carve out a role. Pre-season and camp
battles are the best time to monitor who can find that role opposite Dwayne Allen.
Unfortunately, there is no stat for him to see any type of tangible improvement. Even his preseason stats were nothing more than pedestrian with one or two catches in each of the year. So
why exactly are players excited about him? Coaches are excited about him and now he has that
oppo tu it to o e out of o he e. If ou e i a shallo league o side putti g hi o ou
at h list. If ou e i a u h deepe fo at, o side stashi g hi at e d of oste o ta i
squad. Sneakily, if Allen does get hurt (I hope not!) I think both can be a factor, albeit eat into
ea h othe s p odu tio .
ROOKIE TO WATCH – JOSH FERGUSON
Coming into the NFL draft, Ryan Grigson decided to go the route of not touching any skill
position player.
That left the RB position extremely thin at depth. The Colts will have to bank on Frank Gore
being the workhorse back once more. Robert Turbin was brought in to be the spell back but he
is recovering from an injury that got him cut from the Seahawks and was recently arrested for
possession of marijuana. It remains to be seen if he will be suspended under substance-abuse
policy or personal player conduct. Either way we can safely expect one to four game
suspension. Behind him was another RB who tragically died from an accidental discharge of a
firearm. This leaves Josh Ferguson a rookie out of Illinois who was somewhat of a Shrine Game
standout to the scouts. He profiles closely as a scatback type, weighing in under 200 lbs. But he
is shifty. Most notable fro his ollege a ee is that he s o siste t. Fe guso has fi ished i
the 700+ rush yard range in his last three season as a fighting Illini. Add to him as a weapon as a
catcher and you might have a mini-Sproles or Woodhead type. Although, he will never be a RB1
at any range, the Colts really are quite thin at the position. He is definitely a rookie to watch,
with so few competitions. Perhaps Colts will bring in a RB through FA, but even in the FA pool,
the e is t u h. Wh ot sta t eaki g Fe guso i . Who knows, he could surprise.
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JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
(GLADYS LOUSE TYLER)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Blake Bortles, Chad Henne, Brandon Allen
RB: T.J. Yeldon (3RB), Chris Ivory (SD), Denard
Robinson (WR),Jonas Gray, Corey Grant, Joe Banyard
WR: Allen Robinson, Allen Hurns, Marqise Lee, Rashad
Greene (PR), Bryan Walters, Arrelious Benn, Shane
Wynn, Tony Washington,Rashad Lawrence, Shaq
Evans, Jamal Robinson, Rasheed Bailey,Justin
Blackmon (susp)
TE: Julius Thomas, Marcedes Lewis, Nic Jacobs, Ben
Koyack, Neal Sterling, Braedon Bowman
K: Jason Myers
TEAM OUTLOOK
The Jacksonville Jaguars finished last season 5-11. By any account the Jacksonville Jaguars won
the off-season. They were on the path to postseason play before losing their last three games.
Their defense was putrid. The offense finished last season with the third best fantasy
quarterback, and the fourth and 14th best fantasy wide receivers.
Of the seven draft picks six went to defense players. The only offensive draft pick was a
quarterback in the sixth round.
For the off-season they did acquire running back Chris Ivory to add with second year player T.J.
Yeldon.
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The Jaguars have no excuse this year. Last season no one in the AFC South was outstanding.
Jaguars finished third in the division with 5-11 record. They were in playoff contention until
losing the last three games of the season. This season the Jaguars have made improvements on
both sides of the ball. They should be solid contenders for top dog in the AFC South.
IDP REPORT
IF you were playing traditional fantasy football in 2015 the Jaguars should have never ever been
in your line-up. While there is considerable and understandable hype concerning the upgrade
of the defense. But looking at their schedule, the Jaguars play against some formidable
offenses. Traditional fantasy line-ups may look elsewhere. IDP players should look no further.
STUD – BLAKE BORTLES
Did you know that Blake Bortles was the third best fantasy quarterback last season? Yes, he
tossed a shit ton of interceptions but he was the THIRD best quarterback last season. His
offensive line was porous and his running game was disappointing. And he was still the THIRD
best quarterback last season. This season his offensive line should be better. And look at the
sleeper list. Yep, I am expecting BIG things from Bortles.
Linebacker Telvin Smith collected 128 combined tackles, 2.5 sacks and one interception last
season. Smith missed two games last season and was still a top-10 linebacker with 99 solo
tackles.
SLEEPER – CHRIS IVORY AND MYLES JACK
Last season Chris Ivory rushed 247 times for 1070 yards and seven touchdowns. He also had 30
receptions for 217 receiving yards and one receiving touchdown. Yes, it was with a different
team and a different quarterback. But this might be a better situation for Ivory and those who
draft him. Ivory needs to keep defenses honest and help keep Blake Bortles upright. He with
T.J. Yeldon should do just that.
Myles Jack is only considered an IDP sleeper because of concern about his knee, otherwise he
would be the stud. That the Jaguars acquired him in the second round could be considered a
felony. Yes, Jack has a degenerative knee condition that might require microfracture surgery in
the futu e. But a t that e said of al ost e e pla e i the NFL?
Jack has unique skills. Jack can play weak, middle or strong linebacker. He has size, speed and
elite cover ability. The Jaguars are flushed at the linebacker position, so where Jack will play
and how much he will play is questionable. Look for him to start as LB3 but could very well end
up LB2.
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ROOKIE TO WATCH – BRANDON ALLEN
There is not a ton of rookie options to choose from when it comes to the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Those in IDP leagues already know about Jalen Ramsey and Myles Jack. Both are elite talents
that should have an impact right away. They should be additions that make the Jaguars D/ST a
sneaky play this season.
On the offensive side of the ball the player that stands out is quarterback Brandon Allen. I know
hat ou e thi ki g, ho a es a out a thi d st i g ua te a k. At this poi t the e is little
reason to care about Allen. However if Bortles continues to make mistakes and be turnover
prone the former Razorback quarterback could get a serious look. Allen is worth stashing in
deep dynasty or superflex formats but beyond that is just a name to keep on your radar.
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TENNESSEE TITANS (NEIL DONOHOE)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Marcus Mariota, Matt Cassel, Alex Tanney
RB: DeMarco Murray, Derrick Henry, Dexter McCluster
(3RB),Antonio Andrews, David Cobb, Bishop
Sankey, David Fluellen
FB: Jalston Fowler, Sam Bergen
WR: Rishard Matthews, Tajae Sharpe, Kendall
Wright, Dorial Green-Beckham, Andre Johnson, Harry
Douglas, Justin Hunter, Tre McBride, Damaris
Johnson, Andrew Turzilli (susp), Nick Harwell, Ben
Roberts
TE: Delanie Walker, Anthony Fasano, Craig
Stevens, Phillip Supernaw, Jerome Cunningham
K: Ryan Succop
TEAM OUTLOOK
In this very guide last year, I feel like I prefaced every bit of advice I gave on the Titans and their
FF prospects with a warning, or a less than optimistic outlook. I'm sorry to say this, but I'm
going to have to do it again!
I'm not excited about the Titans coaching staff. Mike Mularkey wasn't my idea of a great head
coaching hire and Terry Robiskie wasn't the offensive coordinator I had in mind either. I don't
see either of them as the men I want to steer Marcus Mariota's fledgling career, but it is what it
is and as a long suffering fan of this team, I'm probably just going to close my eyes and hope for
the best.
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Without doubt the most positive aspect of the Titans offseason has been the hire of John
Robinson as general manager. A student of Bill Belichick, Robinson arrived in Nashville via
Tampa Bay, where he was the Director of player personnel. Robinson has certainly not been shy
about retooling the Titans roster. He has made several high profile trades including trading the
number one pick in the NFL draft away for a big return, and sending the late rounder which
ended DeMarco Murray's Eagles nightmare.
So what does this mean for the Titans in Fantasy Football? They have a potential Franchise QB,
they have traded for a former all pro running back, and their new coaching staff wants to
i ple e t a offe se ased a ou d e oti s ash outh. What ould possi l go o g i
Nashville?
The Titans offense will go as far as Marcus Mariota goes. Coming off an impressive rookie year,
where he threw 19 touchdowns and just 10 interceptions. He did all this behind a paper thin
offensive line, with receivers that couldn't separate. I firmly believe that he would have won
Rookie Of The Year honours had he been healthy for the entire 16 games.
Joi i g Ma iota i the Tita s a kfield ill e the thu de a d thu de o i atio of
DeMarco Murray and reigning Heisman winner Derrick Henry. I was as shocked as anyone when
the Titans selected Henry in the second round of the draft. The move immediately set alarm
bells ringing about Murray's ability to carry the load. I just don't think the two backs
complement each other at all, and of the pair of them, I'd have to say that Murray is the more
accomplished third down back. It will be extremely interesting to see how this shapes out for
Fantasy, but I'm of the opinion that Henry is insurance for the Titans, in case Murray's dead legs
from the 2015 season are not an anomaly.
The receiving core has a pair of new additions in the shape of talented free agent Rishard
Matthews and 5th round rookie Tajae Sharpe. Matthews has always impressed me as a talent.
He was criminally underused in the early stages of his career in Miami. He flashed in a bigger
role for the Phins in 2015, and I'm excited to see how he forms a connection with Marcus
Mariota.
Aside from Matthews I expect Dorial Green-Beckham and Kendall Wright to hoover up the most
targets. DGB showed some things in 2015, hauling in 4 scores on only 32 receptions, this depth
chart is wide open for him to become a true target monster at some stage, but I wouldn't be
sure that it will happen in 2016. As for Wright, I'm pretty much done with him in Fantasy. He
couldn't separate as an X receiver last season and when he moved around the formation he
was getting dinged up taking hits over the middle. I've been a big proponent of his ability since
the Titans drafted him, but last season changed all that. He had an opportunity to step up and
become Marcus Mariota's favourite target, and he wasn't up to the job. No excuses, to my eye,
he just wasn't good enough.
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Speaking of Mariota's favourite target, Delanie Walker will return in the tight end position for
the Titans and he will probably be a stud in one of the shallower position groups in Fantasy.
Moving on to the other side of the ball, the Titans promoted Dick LeBeau to the defensive
coordinator position after he oversaw some improvements as an assistant to Ray Horton in
2015. I think the Titans front seven has a sneaky chance to be really good. Derrick Morgan and
Brian Orakpo are a good pair of outside pass rushers,and will be supplemented by 2 nd round
rookie Kevin Dodd. Jurrell Casey will be his usual destructive self in the middle. Where I think
this unit falls down for Fantasy Football purposes is the secondary. Their top corner, Jason
McCourty has had a hard time getting healthy and beyond him they have a pretty unimpressive
group of guys. The safeties have a lot of upside, but I think teams will be able to pass on the
Titans this season, which is not ideal for a Fantasy D/ST unit. I see them as no more than a
streamer with upside in favourable match ups.
STUD – MARCUS MARIOTA
I feel like a compelling case can be made for Mariota being the stud fantasy player to come
from the Titans ranks in 2016. While I stated earlier in this piece that I wasn't overly happy with
the coaching hires that the Titans made, I think their philosophy married to Marcus' extremely
Fantasy friendly skill set can put up points for your squad.
The Titans have certainly tried to put Mariota in the best position to succeed. They have two
new runners in DeMarco Murray and rookie Derrick Henry, a bevy of wide receivers who could
emerge as legitimate targets and one of the best tight ends in the game in Delanie Walker. The
Titans also used their first round pick on Michigan State tackle Jack Conklin, who should book
end the offensive line with former first round pick Taylor Lewan. The Titans must keep Mariota
upright and Conklin and newly signed centre Ben Jones will go a long way to helping with that.
You probably won't be drafting Marcus Mariota as your starting QB in shallower leagues. The
position is pretty deep for Fantasy, and I could probably name ten guys that I'd be more
comfortable with. Here's the thing though...only about half of those guys have the upside of
Mariota. A lot of things have to go his way, but if they do, you could steal a top five Fantasy QB
in the later rounds of your drafts. He'll be fun to own, and fun to watch.
SLEEPER – RISHARD MATTHEWS
I believe Rishard Matthews can be a playmaker for this team. He had somewhat of a breakout
season with the Dolphins in 2015 where he parleyed 43 catches into 662 yards and 4 scores in a
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complementary role. Early buzz from OTA's has Matthews running with the first team as the X
receiver He is a great after catch receiver with strong hands and should be a massive upgrade
to a group that started Harry Douglas in most games last season.
An eight touchdown season would not surprise me in the slightest from Matthews. He is more
talented than every Titans receiver not named Green-Beckham.
He probably won't be drafted in shallower leagues, but he is certainly one to keep on your
watch list He could be a big part of an offense that could take off with Marcus Mariota at the
helm.
ROOKIE TO WATCH – DERRICK HENRY
It was a legitimate shocker when the Titans used one of their three second round draft picks to
select Derrick Henry. They had just traded for and paid DeMarco Murray making all the noises
about him carrying the load and staying on the field as he did in Dallas. Henry doesn't (in my
opinion) complement Murray at all. They are both big, between the tackles backs that need
carries to get into their stride. I believe Henry was drafted as insurance in case Murray's dead
legged 2015 season was not an anomaly. Outside of Ezekiel Elliott I don't think there is a rookie
back with as much upside as Henry! If he were to wrest the job away from Murray, he will
basically be an all ou a eat u e i a offe se that is pla i g to e s ash outh .
Henry is one of the best draft and stash away guys available in 2016. I don't see any way that he
and Murray can split carries. I think the Titans will ride the hot hand, and my money is on Henry
to win out in the end. Henry could legitimately be one of those guys that wins you a
championship down the stretch. All that's required is the patience to wait and see how this
situation shakes out.
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BUFFALO BILLS
(GLADYS LOUSE TYLER)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Tyrod Taylor, EJ Manuel, Cardale Jones
RB: LeSean McCoy, Karlos Williams (susp), Mike
Gillislee, Jonathan Williams, James Wilder Jr., Dan
Herron, Cierre Wood, Dri Archer
FB: Jerome Felton, Glenn Gronkowski
WR: Sammy Watkins, Robert Woods, Dezmin
Lewis, Greg Salas,Leonard Hankerson, Marcus
Easley, Kolby Listenbee, Marquise Goodwin, Greg
Little, Jarrett Boykin, Walter Powell
TE: Charles Clay, Jim Dray, Ni k O′Lea , Chris
Gragg, Blake Annen,Jacob Maxwell
K: Dan Carpenter
TEAM OVERVIEW
Here is what we know:
The Bills underachieved last season finishing 3rd in the division with 8-8. Quarterback Taylor
was a pleasant surprise. He finished the season with a 99.4 passer rating. He was also the
second best rusher on the team.
The defense was a surprising failure. It was the worst defensive finish by a Rex Ryan team.
Now, Rob Ryan will be trolling the defensive side of the ball, coming from a season where his
previous defense ranked 32nd out of 32nd. Mario Williams is gone will be replaced by first
round pick Shaq Lawson, who is recovering from offseason shoulder surgery. Number one wide
receiver Sammy Watkins is recovering from offseason foot surgery. Handcuff possibility
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running back Karlos Williams first showed up for OTAs 20 pounds overweight then he got
suspended by the NFL four games for violating the league s su sta e a use poli . Wait,
there is a bit more. Rookie running back Jonathan Williams got arrested for a DUI. And
cornerback Stephon Gilmore as a no-show for voluntary workouts. He is looking for a new
contract. >Whew<
The Bills have not reached the playoffs in 16 consecutive years.
They have the 10th hardest NFL schedule for 2016 and will start three new faces on the
defensive side. Their offensive line is Jekyll and Hyde. The left side is good. The right side not
so much. They possess the best rushing tandem (trio) in the league with McCoy, Williams and
Taylor. So while they are underachieving on the field, there is fantasy gold in them thar Bills.
IDP WATCH
It is unusual for a Rex Ryan team to underperform on defense as badly as the Bills did last
season. The Bills went from being fourth in the NFL in defense playing the 4-3, to 19th in total
defe se a d posti g up fe e sa ks i ‘ a s -4.
The question is, has the defense adjusted? And how much are you willing to gamble?
DL : Jerry Hughes was the best of the Bills pass rushers last season. Unfortunately, the bar was
set very low. He had five sacks last season, half of what he accumulated in 2014. But now
Williams is gone, Hughes should be set.
The upside he is in a position to get back to his 2014 form and get sacks in the double digit
a ge. The uestio is a he do it o siste tl ? Will he do it? It s a ga le. His u e t ADP
is . Do t go a ea lie .
LB: P esto B o
ill e alli g the pla s i ‘ a s defe se. He also has stated that last
season he underachieved. Knowledge is power. Consider that in a down season he finished in
respectable in IDP land. Look for Brown to be a top 15 player this season.
DB: Corey Brown finished 34th among safeties according to Pro Football Focus. But if your
league is scoring heavy on tackles, get Brown. Brown led the team with 127 tackles last season.
He missed a miserly three tackles on 104 attempts.
STUD – REGGIE RAGLAND
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Reggie Ragland fell in the draft. He was the 2015 SEC Defensive Player of the Year anchoring
the iddle of the Ala a a C i so Tide s defe se. He a assed
ta kles i
. He fell to
st
41 overall in the draft with the Bills going up to get him.
So boxes checked: chip on his shoulder, check. Talent, check.
SLEEPER – SHAQ LAWSON
The only reason Shaq Lawson is relegated to sleeper status is the shoulder surgery. The 19 th
overall pick is a stud. Last season at Clemson he accumulated 12.5 sacks. He is the consensus
replacement to Williams. But the shoulder surgery will most likely sideline him all of preseason
and a nice chunk of regular season. No matter. He has sleeper possibilities written all over
him.
STUD – TYROD TAYLOR
Last season Tyrod Taylor finished with 20 passing touchdowns and six interceptions. He also
included 568 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns. He finished the season as the ninth
best fantasy quarterback last season. Taylor is also playing out a contract, so he is betting on
hi self. The left side of the offe si e li e is golde . The ight side of the offe si e li e… eh.
It s oka . Ta lo is a dual th eat ua te a k. E pe t hi to e el past his ADP .
SLEEPER – MIKE GILLISLEE
The Bills were number one in rushing last season. It was a tandem accomplishment. Chances
are aging McCoy will perform admirably, with an equally great chance he will share duties and
get hurt. The Bills are a team you definitely want to handcuff your running back.
Hello…Gillislee el o e to the fold. Karlos Williams is bigger than expected having packed on
20 pounds. And oh yeah, he also will be suspended for four games in the season having
iolated the league s su sta e a use p og a . ‘ookie Jo atha Willia s is fa i g a DUI
arrest, ho e e he ost likel o t e fa i g suspe sio u til e t seaso . Ho e e , Gillislee
finished the 2015 season with a 5.68 YPC average. He had problems when asked to be the
featu ed a k. But e a e t looki g fo hi to e a featu e a k, just part of a league leading
rushing tandem.
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MIAMI DOLPHINS (AARON HERMAN)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Ryan Tannehill, Matt Moore, Brandon Doughty
RB: Arian Foster, Jay Ajayi, Damien Williams, Kenyan
Drake (KR),Isaiah Pead, Daniel Thomas
WR: Jarvis Landry (KR/PR), DeVante Parker, Kenny
Stills, Leonte Carroo, Jakeem Grant (PR), Rashawn
Scott, Matt Hazel, Griff Whalen, A.J. Cruz, Tyler
Murphy
TE: Jordan Cameron, Dion Sims, Thomas
Duarte, MarQuies Gray,Dominique Jones
K: Andrew Franks
TEAM OUTLOOK
Many people look at the Miami Dolphins, and the
o ds fa tas po e house does t e a tl o e to i d. This is a tea that has li ed i
mediocrity ever since the departures of Dan Marino and Don Shula years ago. This is the team
that completely underutilized Lamar Miller in 2015 as well as held back rookie DaVante Parker
until mid-way through the season. It is safe to say that many people are going to be hesitant
drafting many Miami football players this upcoming fall, but I am here to tell you that avoiding
this team may be a huge fantasy mistake. Yes, this team finished 2015 ranked 19 th in passing
yards, 23rd in rushing yards, and 27th in points for. However, the 2016 Dolphins are not going to
be the same as the 2015 Dolphins, and let me explain why.
I
the Dolphi s e e led Joe Phil i , o e of the ueasiest foot all oa hes i the
NFL. They also had an inept offensive coordi ato ho ot o l did t t ust his pla e s, ut also
held them back from taking chances and had one of the most predictable playbooks in the
league. Thankfully that coaching staff is gone, and in walks Adam Gase. Considered by many to
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be the hottest coaching candidate of the offseason, Gase is the man who helped turn Tebow
into a playoff winning NFL quarterback as well as the man who made Jay Cutler look watchable
on Sundays. He supposedly has a knack for creating offenses that anyone can succeed in, and if
true, this could be good news for many players on the Dolphins roster, most of all Ryan
Tannehill.
Tannehill is probably one of the most polarizing players on the Dolphins roster. Most fans
either want to run him out of town, or crown him the next Dan Marino in the making. The
truth of the matter is he basically falls in-between the two extremes. He is a player still
showing growth, which is understandable since he played wide receiver his first few years in
ollege. Ma also do t ealize that he finished 9th last year in passing yards, 15th in passing
touchdowns, and 12th in interceptions. All of this was accomplished by being sacked 45 times,
tied 3rd in the league. No one will deny that Tannehill has never had a good offensive line, and
until e e tl , his e ei e g oup has t ee too e iti g. Ta ehill is a ua te a k ho i
2013, only his second year in the league, threw for almost 4,000 yards with his leading receiver
being Brian Hartline. Fast forward to 2016 and replace Brian Hartline and Mike Wallace with
Jarvis Landry and DeVante Parker, add in Adam Gase, and 2016 is looking up for Ryan Tannehill.
While the passing game should be improved, the running game is more of a question mark.
Lamar Miller left for greener pastures in the offseason, but in all honestly, he was never used to
his full potential in Miami anyways. This leaves a backfield of second year Jay Ajayi, rookie
Ke a D ake, Da ia Willia s, Da iel Tho as, a d Isaiah Pead. Co fo ti g, is t it? The
truth is, little is known about the Dolphins backfield. That all being said, I would still keep an
e e o Aja i, ut I ll get i to that late .
Finally, comes the Miami Dolphins defense. Lead by one of the oldest duos of defensive ends in
the league, Cam Wake and Mario Williams may be old, but both know how to get after the
quarterback. Add in Suh coming up the middle, and this dolphins defense is in a position to
rack up lots of sacks in 2016. However, outside of Reshad Jones in the backfield, the rest of the
defense is very suspect. Unless your league gets lots of points for sacks and interceptions, I
would probably avoid this defense early until we see how the defensive backs and linebackers
perform. Add in a new defensive coordinator that we know little about, and this defense is a
very risky draft prospect, especially with early games against Seattle and New England.
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STUD – JARVIS LANDRY
How do you define a stud? When researching this article, I went to urbandictionary.com and
fa o ite defi itio of a stud as so eo e ho is a adass a d the fi st Mia i Dolphi
that o es to i d he I thi k adass is Ja is Jui e La d . Ha i g been overshadowed by
his college teammate Odell Beckham Jr., Landry has always had a small chip on his shoulder and
he ou at h hi pla foot all, he is so eti es flat out do i a t. Ma do t k o ho
dominant he has been since the Dolphins are often o e looked i the NFL, ut Jui e i his t o
years in the NFL, set the NFL record for receptions over his first two seasons with 194. Add in
almost 2,000 receiving yards and nine touchdowns. You are only starting to scratch the surface
of what he has accomplished in only 32 NFL games. He has rushed for an additional hundred
yards on the ground, adding another touchdown to his total, and more than 1,800 return yards
and even another touchdown. I can keep going but I think you are starting to see how much he
has do e fo hat has othe ise ee a u de hel i g offe se. Let s ot fo get he e e has
a
. QB ati g a d a . QB‘! While it as o l o e pass fo i e a ds, hat a t this kid
do?
This 23 year old stud has single handedly carried the offense both as a receiver and as a kick
and punt returner and he only seems to get better. Previously he was the top target on the
offense and was being covered by some of the best corners in the game. While playing against
the Jets in November, Landry caught 13 of 16 passes for 165 yards and a touchdown. Not bad
for a player many believed to be too slow to succeed in the NFL and was pegged as a slot
receiver at best. That was something he did when he was the number one target, now things
are changing in 2016. DeVante Parker is expected to be fully healthy and the Dolphins true #1
wide receiver in 2016, leaving Landry to fill the number 2 role. This means you will now have
teams 2nd and 3rd best corners covering the shifty Landry, meaning there is lots of room for this
kid to improve on his previous accomplishments. While many believe that the emergence of
Pa ke is goi g to hu t La d s alue, the t uth is it a tuall should help it. While La d has
had great stats over the past two years, you have to remember that the Dolphins total offense
was still in the bottom half of the league. With the emergence of Parker it should only open up
the offense more, allowing both Parker and Landry to have outstanding campaigns in 2016.
Throw in Adam Gase who epo tedl is i fatuated ith La d s skill set, a i p o ed offe si e
line, Jordan Cameron at tight end, and Tannehill who is expected to take another step forward
in 2016, and we could see a top five passing offense in Miami in 2016.
While Jui e ight ot e a steal i fa tas foot all, he is t e a tl ei g the fi st ide
receiver taken off the board either. In current MFL drafts, Landry has an ADP of 28, making him
the 16th wide receiver off the board. Assuming you play in a PPR league (which most are these
days), you should have no fear in taking Landry in the late 2nd, early 3rd round. This is a player
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ho is the t ue defi itio of a stud a d if d afted, he ill help a
playoffs.
ou tea
to the fa tas
ROOKIE TO WATCH – JAKEEM GRANT
There are two rookies in Miami that everyone seems to be talking about, running back Kenyan
Drake and wide receiver Leonte Carroo. Both are being drafted fairly high in rookie drafts with
Drake going in the early 20s of most drafts and Carroo going in the late 20s. However, I think
these players are both being overdrafted, and here is why.
Let s sta t ith D ake. He has a lot of pote tial to e the thi d do , ho e u th eat fo the
Dolphins in future seasons. He was a great backup in Alabama, but the point is he was a backup
there, and at least for the time being, he is probably going to be a backup here. Miami brought
Arian Foster into the mix to get the 3rd down and goal line work. Jay Ajayi is still the presumed
starter and odds are he is going to be getting the majority of first and second down work. He is
also only in his second year, so assuming he does a good job, he should have the job for a while,
making Drake his backup for many years to come. Yes, there is potential Drake could cut into
Aja i a d Foste s o kload ut that see s u likel a i g i ju to o e a d p o a l oth
players.
Next comes Carroo. A very talented wide receiver that the Dolphins traded up to get, but there
is one big problem with Carroo, where is he going to play? Wide receiver is one of the
Dolphi s deepest positio g oups. Pa ke a d La d a e the lea # a d # e ei e s. Let s
not forget about Stills who is their speed threat and third on the depth chart. Unless Stills is cut
(unlikely due to his low salary) or traded away, there is very little opportunity for Carroo. Even
if he can manage to get the #3 role, there are just too many mouths to feed in Miami for him to
get any real fantasy production unless you are playing in a 32 team league.
The question now comes who do I think is a rookie you should keep an eye on in Miami? The
answer may surprise you, as it is one of the smallest guys on the roster, recently nicknamed
ight ouse. Jakee G a t is listed at foot , ut the kid has speed like ou ha e t see
before. He made headlines when at his pro day he ran a reported 40 yard dash in 4.1 seconds,
even though the school marked it down as a 4.34. Either way, Grant will be one of the fastest
players in the NFL this upcoming season, and there is plenty of potential for him to earn playing
time. At the least he should be the Dolphins kick returner so that Landry can focus primarily on
playing offense. For deep leagues that reward special teams points, this guy can be had very
late in your rookie draft, and can contribute fantasy points from day 1.
That all ei g said, do t thi k that spe ial tea s is all G a t is goi g to do. I his fi al seaso
at Texas Tech, Grant caught 90 passes for almost 1300 yards, breaking Michael Crabtrees school
record. Grant can play wide receiver at his small size, and has the potential to become the next
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Darren Sproles or Tavon Austin. According to Tannehill, Grant is already turning heads at
p a ti e, He s aki g pla s all o e the field. He s o e of the fastest gu s I e e e see . He has
that lo e te of g a it . He s a le to e eall , eall shift o i g i a d out of his uts. He
akes a lot of pla s so fa .
Fantasy football is all about risk/reward. If you can find a Tom Brady in the 6 th round, you have
set ou tea up fo ea s to o e. No do t get e o g, I
ot sa i g G a t is goi g to
be the top scoring fantasy player in 2016, but at his current price, what do you have to lose?
SLEEPER – JAY AJAYI
Last year when writing for this draft guide, Ja Aja i as
ookie p ofile se tio . Let s ot
forget why I thought this player was someone to keep an eye on throughout the early
de elop e t of his a ee . Belo a e Aja i s ollege stats, a d the a e e tai l e e ope i g.
● 2013: 1,425 rushing yards, 22 receptions, 222 receiving yards, 19 TDs
● 2014: 1,823 rushing yards, 50 receptions, 535 receiving yards, 32 TDs
Not bad for a player who was drafted in the 5th round of the NFL draft. While at Boise State
Ajayi had more receiving yards than both Melvin Gordon and Todd Gurley combined. He also
had the same number of total TDs as Melvin Gordon in 2014. He carried the ball a whopping
347 times, 4 more carries than Gordon had, all on his supposed weak knees. Ajayi has more
than proved that he can be a productive RB at the college level, and now is his time to shine at
the NFL level.
Lamar Miller is gone, and as stated earlier there is no clear frontrunner to take the lead back
role in Miami. Ajayi is the presumed starter with Foster to be mixed in, likely on third down and
goal line situations.
No I o t sa that Aja i s stats ere record breaking last year as he only had 49 carries for
187 yards, but it is worth noting he added seven receptions for 90 yards which was an average
of 12.9 yards per reception, not bad for a backup running back. At the end of the day, the
Dolphins need a starting running back, and in fantasy football where there are only 32 starting
running backs, whoever holds this position in Miami will carry some value with them. Speaking
on WQAM, a local radio station in Miami, head coach Adam Gase came out and said Aja i, has
put so e dista e et ee hi self a d the othe u i g a ks o the oste . All sig s a e
pointing to Ajayi being the running back to start the offseason for the Miami Dolphins and that
is worth noting.
Currently Ajayi has an ADP of 87 according to MFL. He is being drafted as the 23 rd running back
off the board, coming in behind other backs such as DeMarco Murray, T.J. Yeldon, and Jeremy
Hill. What s also o th oti g is that i Ada Gase s last stop, he as a ig fa of utilizi g
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running backs, providing Matt Forte and Jeremy Langford with tons of fantasy production.
Miami also recognized their offensive line woes this offseason and drafted Laremy Tunsil, one
of the top offensive line prospects in the draft to team with perennial pro-bowlers Mike
Pouncey and Brandon Albert. With an upgraded line and a new head coach who knows how to
give the running back the rock, whoever wins the starting running back position in Miami has a
to of fa tas pote tial, a d at a ADP of , I taki g the bet that Ajayi will be that running
back.
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NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
(BEN ROLFE)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Tom Brady (susp), Jimmy Garoppolo, Jacoby
Brissett
RB: Dion Lewis (3RB), LeGarrette Blount (SD)
(inj), James White (3RB), Brandon Bolden, Donald
Brown, Tyler Gaffney, Joey Iosefa
FB: James Develin
WR: Julian Edelman (PR), Danny Amendola (inj), Chris
Hogan, Nate Washington, Aaron Dobson, Malcolm
Mitchell, Matt Slater, Keshawn Martin (KR/PR), Devin
Lucien, D.J. Foster, DeAndre Carter
TE: Rob Gronkowski, Martellus Bennett, Clay
Harbor, A.J. Derby,Bear Pascoe, Michael Williams (IR)
K: Stephen Gostkowski
TEAM OUTLOOK
Now it has been a topsy turvy off season for the Patriots but mainly for non-footballing reasons.
They have managed to retain all of their big play guys on offence and have added some
potential diamonds through free agency and the draft. The big question entering drafts this
year will be the Tom Brady conundrum and whether you can carry him for the first four weeks
of your season. We all the talent he has and that he can be a gamebreaker on any given day so
in shallow leagues where the streaming options are plentiful he is a no brainer. In deeper
leagues handcuffing your Brady selection with Jimmy G is the safe way to go as I think the
Patriots can use the strengths of the young QB and still get good numbers out of this offence. In
the running game they will once again rely heavily on LeGarrette Blount with Dion Lewis playing
his role of game breake . The uestio
a ks o e Le is e o e
ill offe uestio
a ks
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about his elusiveness but he should still be a big fantasy option in this offence. On the deeper
side James White and Brandon Bolden will at some point do something that makes them worth
an add but predicting it could be impossible. The receiving core looks very similar with just the
addition of Chris Hogan who will provide a similar threat to Julian Edelman and Danny
A e dola as a possessio gu ho a
o e the hai s. This is t going to be a big play group
but they should put up relatively consistent numbers if they can stay healthy. Going deeper we
have Keshawn Martin, Nate Washington, Aaron Dobson and the rookie Malcolm Mitchell. One
of these will likely emerge as useful and I hope it is the rookie as I think he could be the biggest
contributor in fantasy. At the tight end position they have a potential two headed monster that
could have defences scratching their head about how to shut them down. For fantasy purposes
both could finish as top five options.
On the defensive side of the ball they lost their best pass rusher in Chandler Jones in a trade but
the addition of Chris Long could reap massive fantasy rewards if they use him right. The main
talent is at the linebacker position ith Ja ie Colli s, Do t a Highto e a d “hea M Clelli all
guys I could get excited about. Devin McCourty is my only real defensive back of interest in
many leagues but still that would have to be a fairly deep IDP league. Overall I am not
convinced this defence will give you great consistency but I am sure they will be well drilled and
will likely end up a top 10 D/ST come seasons end.
STUD – ROB GRONKOWSKI
The issues still raging around Tom Brady made this a really easy selection again this year with
no one else on the Patriots team being in the same league as Gronk. The big man followed up a
g eat
ha i g a e uall as g eat
ith TD s
a ds o
ta gets. What
was impressive was that he upped his yards per reception to 16.3 in 2016, a career high. That is
the thing with Gronk, not only is he dominant at going up to get the ball but he is also dominant
with it in his hands. Some of his runs after the catch last season will leave defenders shaking in
their boots when watching film this season. Now the Tom Brady issue does have some
repercussions on Gronk because it does mean he could spend the first four weeks of the season
relying on Jimmy Garoppolo feeding him the ball. However, the talent is so great for Gronk that
there is simply o a Ji
G does t get hi the all i o e a o a othe so o atte
who is QB for the Patriots to start the season Gronkowski is a late first/early second round
option for me this season.
SLEEPER – MARTELLUS BENNETT
This was quite a tough selection because come the start of the season the hype train on
Martellus Bennett could be rolling and the value not be there. The other option here was the
Patriots free agent addition at wide receiver in Chris Hogan who could see a ton of targets this
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year. However, Bennett is the guy I can see ending the season top five at the position who is
being drafted nowhere near that range. Bennett is going to benefit from the match-up
nightmare that is Gronk as offences are going to have to pick their poison when it comes to
covering these guys this season. Bennett has been successful with Jay Cutler throwing him the
ball so I am pretty sure he can be successful when it is Tom Brady on the other end of the
passes. Bennett and Gronk are going to be the big play guys in this offence given that
Amendola, Edelman and Hogan are chain movers rather than big play guys and that is a role I
thi k the a oth e p ospe ous i . No it ight e tough ea l seaso if B ad is t QB as
Jimmy G may not be able to utilise all of the weapons early in his career but when Brady is
under centre this could resemble the Gronk/Hernandez Patriots offence from a few years ago
where both were unstoppable on a regular basis. A late round pick in Bennett as your tight end
could reap huge rewards whilst allowing you to stock up on running backs and wide receivers in
those middle rounds.
ROOKIE TO WATCH – MALCOLM MITCHELL
Ma I hate pi ki g W‘ s as
ookie pi ks fo the Pat iots. B ad a d this offe e is so hea il
based around trust and knowing the playbook that it can be tough for a rookie to come in and
have success immediately. However, Mitchell is a very talented dude who had 58 receptions for
a ds ith TD s at Geo gia last seaso . It is goi g to e all a out the oute u i g a d
the reliability of his hands if he is going to succeed this season but with Keshawn Martin as the
only other big play burner in this Patriots offence I think Mitchell could be given every chance
to grab that role in training camp and preseason. Mitchell is someone who will likely end up
being a waiver wire add after coming on strong in the second half of the season so in deeper redraft leagues he is definitely worth the stash if you have the bench spot because he could be an
explosive option.
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NEW YORK JETS (PAUL BATTS)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Ryan Fitzpatrick, Geno Smith, Christian
Hackenberg, Bryce Petty
RB: Matt Forte, Bilal Powell, Khiry Robinson, Bernard
Pierce (susp),Dominique Williams
FB: Tommy Bohanon, Julian Howsare (LB)
WR: Brandon Marshall, Eric Decker, Quincy
Enunwa, Devin Smith,Charone Peake, Kenbrell
Thompkins, Jeremy Ross, Robby Anderson, Chandler
Worthy, Titus Davis, Joseph Anderson, Kyle Williams
TE: Jace Amaro, Kellen Davis, Zach Sudfeld, Brandon
Bostick, Wes Saxton, Jason Vander Laan
K: Nick Folk, Ross Martin
TEAM OUTLOOK
The Jets looked to be a team of destiny in 2015, riding journeyman quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick
to an improbable ten win season. They found themselves heading into a week seventeen
matchup with division foe Buffalo. The scenario was simple for the Jets, beat the Bills on the
road and first year head coach Todd Bowles earns a ticket to the playoffs. Unfortunately for
Bowles and company, former Jets headman and current Bills coach Rex Ryan had slightly
different plans for his new rival and the Bills won the game 22- , ousti g Ga g G ee f o
the playoffs.
Jets faithful have plenty of reasons to be excited for what 2016 brings. Not only do the Jets
return two 1,000 yard and double digit touchdown receivers in Brandon Marshall and Eric
Decker, the team also added the top running back on the market in Matt Forte to help an
offense that exceeded expectations in 2015. Jets fans and fantasy owners alike breathed a sigh
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of relief when quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick inked his deal. Fitzmagic led the Jets to ten wins
while throwing for almost 4,000 yards and 31 touchdowns a season ago.
STUD – BRANDON MARSHALL
B a do Ma shall has al a s ee a elite e ei e . Ea l i Ma shall s a ee he as k own as
a troublemaker and would do things that could have easily derailed his career. This resulted in
him bouncing around the league for the first few years. Thankfully Marshall got the help he
needed and the resulting maturity has given us the player we have today. With all of the stories
of pla e s a ee s a ishi g e ause of t ou led pe so alities, Ma shall s tu a ou d is a t ue
success story.
At the beginning of this preview I mentioned that there is value to be exploited on the Jets and
Marshall is a prime example. Brandon finished 2015 as the 5th overall player and the 3rd
receiver in fantasy leagues behind only Antonio Brown and Julio Jones. With Marshall you are
getti g a pla e ho do i ated his tea s ta gets i
ith
a d had
a ds and 14
tou hdo s..i the d ou d! Call it old a alue o the u e tai t of the situatio ut
Marshall is a stud and is a tremendous value as the 16th wr off the board.
SLEEPER – ERIC DECKER
When Eric Decker was signed in 2014 to be the number one receiver in New York he was
itte off
a . People att i uted De ke s su ess i De e to his ua te a k Pe to
Ma i g a d dis ou ti g De ke s a ilit as a e ei e . At fi st gla e, E i s u e s i his fi st
year as a Jet (74/962/5) would seem to confirm those thoughts, but I disagree. While those
numbers are hardly eye-popping, what does stick out is that he led the team in all three
atego ies i
. What o t sho up i the stats is that that as a ‘e ‘ a tea that
clearly had decided to take the all out of Ge o “ ith s ha ds a d i ith defe se, lea i g
e little oppo tu it fo De ke to ake a a k. It s also e likel that De ke as is ast as
a number one wide receiver(his best years in Denver had Demaryius Thomas to play that role)
but in 2015 Marshall assumed that role, allowing Decker to flourish.
Decker finished 2015 as the 13th wide receiver in ppr leagues and is currently being drafted as
the 29th. Last year Eric was targeted 137 times, more than doubling the 3rd most targeted
Jet(Bilal Powell,63). Decker also led the team in red zone targets with 28, making him the
second most targeted player in the NFL behind Deandre Hopkins who had 30. As the 55th
player off the board in your draft, Decker provides great value making him my favorite sleeper
on the team.
ROOKIE TO WATCH – CHARONE PEAKE
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The Jets used their 7th round selection in the 2016 to draft wide receiver Charone Peake out of
Clemson. Peake was highly recruited out of High School but injuries cost him both his
Sophomore and Junior years. He was able to stay healthy for his Senior year in Death Valley and
performed well but his lack of overall production dropped him to the Jets late in the draft.
Peake is the type of size/speed athlete that Clemson has become known for
(Hopkins/Watkins/Bryant) which should translate well into the NFL if he can stay healthy. Peake
la ks the ollege esu e of those pla e s ut his speed .
a d height
p o ide
enough upside to take a chance on late.
Cha Gaile s offense utilizes multiple receiver sets almost exclusively and after Marshall and
De ke la ks e pe ie e. You ould do o se tha a pla e ith Peake s upside at the e d of
your fantasy bench.
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DENVER BRONCOS (JOSH HONSES)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Mark Sanchez, Paxton Lynch, Trevor Siemian
RB: C.J. Anderson, Ronnie Hillman, Devontae
Booker, Juwan Thompson, Kapri Bibbs
FB: Andy Janovich
WR: Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders
(PR), Bennie Fowler,Cody Latimer, Jordan
Norwood, DeVier Posey, Marlon Brown,Jordan
Taylor, Durron Neal, Kalif Raymond, Mose
Frazier, Bralon Addison
TE: Virgil Green, Jeff Heuerman, Garrett
Graham, Richard Gordon,John Phillips, Nick
Kasa, Manasseh Garner, Henry KriegerCoble,Anthony Norris
K: Brandon McManus
TEAM OUTLOOK
There may not be more questions surrounding a team that is coming off a Super Bowl victory in
NFL history. This is a completely different team as we sit here in 2016 as opposed to a year ago.
The e s o o e Pe to Ma i g o B o k Os eile under center. The one positive is the
defense that dominated down the stretch last season can be relied upon with Von Miller and
DeMarcus Ware leading the charge.
Mark Sanchez in not someone people want as their starting quarterback. He was a product of
the tea a ou d hi i Ne Yo k a d the utt fu le is e g ai ed i the i ds of foot all
fans all over the world. With that being said, Sanchez did manage to lead two teams to an AFC
Championship game. He may not be the guy people to build a team around and all he needs to
do is not lose the game for the Broncos to be competitive.
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C.J. Anderson leads the rushing attack for the Broncos. Inconsistency is an understatement to
describe his time in Denver. The Broncos drafted Devontae Booker to push Anderson and
‘o ie Hill a as the sta te i the offe se. The e s tale t he e fo the De e a kfield a d
only time will tell who will get the rock. Whomever emerges as the starter will be relied upon
heavily this season and should be an every week starter for fantasy purposes.
Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders are one of the best receiving combinations in the
NFL. The only problem is who is throwing them the ball. While Thomas has shown his explosive
ability, he also drops easy balls and disappears from games at times. Sanders has proven in his
t o ea s i De e that he s o e of the est slot e ei e s i the league. Jo da No ood a d
Cody Latimer round out the top four receivers, but neither one of them has produced enough
to warrant much discussion as difference makers in the offense.
As it sta ds o , Vi gil G ee is the sta te at Tight E d. O e Da iels as t etai ed f o the
previous season but he was nothing more than a spot starter/bye week filler in fantasy circles.
They did sign Garrett Graham from the Texans but Green is a great blocker, one of the best in
the league, a d has the sta ti g spot lo ked up t. Though, the tight e d positio o t e u h
of a factor in the offense with two great receivers in a run first offense.
STUD PLAYER – DEMARYIUS THOMAS
While Tho as is t a a ti g the high d aft pi k of ea s past, do t thi k this gu still is t a
top gu at his positio . If ou thi k I
az , look o fu the tha B a do Ma shall a d E i
Decker from the Jets. Ryan Fitzpatrick was overpaid and a game manager, much like Mark
Sanchez has been, but revived his career last season with two great receivers. The Jets from last
season are a perfect mold of what to expect from the Broncos this season.
Last season the Broncos quarterback position was a mess. Peyton Manning was a shell of his
former self and Brock Osweiler was getting his first experience as a quarterback at the NFL
level. Even with all of that being said, Thomas still managed to catch 105 balls for over 1300
yards. That s ot so ethi g ost people e e e f o last seaso . He as still a W‘ e e
with the inconsistent quarterback play.
This offense has a lot of questions headed into the season. Mark Sanchez does have the arm
strength to get the ball down the field and Thomas is one of the better receivers in the league
at usi g his ig f a e to i ju p alls. The othe positi e is Tho as has t issed a ga e
since getting the starting job four years ago. No matter who is throwing him the ball, he is still
going to produce at a high level. While other fantasy owners may be down on Thomas headed
into the season, he should be a steal in the third round to build your team around.
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SLEEPER – DEVONTAE BOOKER
Booker will have his work cut out for him this season. C.J. Anderson will get the majority of the
a ies as it sta ds o , ut do t ou t out Booke to eall p ess hi fo a ies a d pla i g
time.
The Broncos offense runs a zone blocking scheme. If you do t k o
hat that ea s, the
offensive line all moves in one direction and it is up to the running back to find the running lane
and cut back into it. A power run game is a lot of one on one blocking from the offensive line
that has a specific hole for the running back to run through. Head coach Gary Kubiak is one of
the few coaches that still runs the zone blocking scheme. This suits this line well because of the
lack of talent the Broncos have for the upcoming season.
C.J. A de so is t a o e ut runner. He is more of a straightforward, downhill runner that likes
to hit the running hole at full speed. Booker, on the other hand, excels in this running style and
is one of my dark horse draft picks I plan on taking in fantasy drafts. He had some of the best
vision of any running back in the draft and his ability to hit the hole after one cut makes him an
ideal fit in the Broncos offense.
The other positive for Booker headed into the season is his ability to catch balls out of the
backfield. He had 80 catches last season in Utah and has proven he can pass protect when
called upon. He has the talent to be the number one guy in the Broncos backfield. If given the
opportunity, he has the upside to be one of the top running backs in the league and could be a
steal on draft day.
ROOKIE TO WATCH – PAXTON LYNCH
Mark Sanchez is firmly planted as the starter headed into the season. But how many times have
we heard that a highly drafted rookie is set to hold the clipboard and he ends up lining under
center week one of the regular season? He was selected 26th overall by the Broncos to be their
quarterback of the future. Nothing is stopping them from letting him sink or swim when the
season opens up in September.
Lynch is a raw talent that has plenty of growing and adjusting to the NFL game. What he has
goi g fo hi is his size, he s , sup e e a st e gth, a d athleti a ilit to e a o ile
quarterback. He is a more mechanically polished Colin Kaepernick at this point as a rookie.
Much like Kaepernick, Lynch is going to a good team with a great defense to help him win
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games. All he needs to do is manage the game and make accurate throws to Demaryius Thomas
and Emmanuel Sanders.
The talent is there for the Broncos to continue to be competitive in the AFC West. Lynch could
be the best quarterback of this draft class because of the guys around him. With Mark Sanchez
only being a stop-gap fo the ti e ei g, it ould t su p ise e to see L h get his
opportunity at some point during the season. All it takes is a couple bad games from him to
open up the door for Lynch to step in and be given an opportunity. He has the most talent of
any player at the position for Denver. He could be just another body on the roster for his first
season or he could wind up being the difference maker that the Broncos need at QB.
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KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (KYLE ROBERT)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Alex Smith, Tyler Bray, Aaron Murray, Kevin Hogan
RB: Jamaal Charles, Spencer Ware, Charcandrick
West, Knile Davis (KR), Darrin Reaves
FB: Anthony Sherman, Trey Millard
WR: Jeremy Maclin, Chris Conley, Albert Wilson, Rod
Streater, De′A tho Tho as, Demarcus
Robinson, Tyreek Hill, Frankie Hammond, Seantavius
Jones, Da′‘o B o , Mitch Mathews, Kashif
Moore, Mike Williams
TE: Travis Kelce, Ja es O′“haugh ess , Demetrius
Harris, Brian Parker, Ross Travis
K: Cairo Santos
TEAM OUTLOOK
2015 was a strong bounce back season for the
Kansas City Chiefs. The had an amazing run to close out the season winning their last 10 games
to finish 11-5. The rolled the Houston Texans in the Wild Card round and lost by 7 to the
Patriots in the divisional round although it never actually felt that close. All of this winning came
with Jamaal Charles on the bench with a torn ACL, but we are here to talk about the Chiefs from
a fantasy perspective. Beyond Charles, Jeremy Maclin and Travis Kelce are the names most
owners will want to target and for good reason. Maclin can be a very solid WR2 this season and
should see plenty of work. Kelce has the upside to be an elite tight end and the safety to be in
the top
o e satio e e if he is t peppe ed ith ta gets. Qua te a k Ale “ ith is fa
f o se
ut that does t ea he is useless. He a e a st o g QB i supe fle a d t o
quarterback leagues. The best part is his very affordable price tag. He can also be a reliable fill
i optio i o e ua te a k leagues a d a e fou d o
a
ai e i es. Let s take a look
at the rest of the Chiefs you should be targeting.
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STUD – JAMAAL CHARLES
It may be hard for some to trust a 29 year old running back coming off of a second ACL injury
but Jamaal Charles is absolutely worth drafting. He is a top 5 fantasy running back for me in
both standard and PPR leagues. Charles is a massive part of the Chiefs offense. In 2014 Charles
accounted for 33% of the Chiefs offensive touches and 25% of the Chiefs yards. In 2013 Charles
made up 42% of the Chiefs total touches and 35% of the Chiefs total offense.
It may be easy to be worried about Charles missing o e ti e i
e ause he is i ju
p o e ho e e p io to last seaso Cha les issed a total of t o ga es o e a th ee ea
span. Spencer Ware and Charcandrick West proved they could be reliable replacements in
2015. Andy Reid and the coaching staff will find ways to utilize both players in 2016 to help
keep Cha les o kload do
ut do t let that dete ou. I
a d
K ile Da is had
carries. Seasons in which Charles was the number one PPR running back in 2013 and number
seven in 2014. Charles should remain a huge part part of the Chiefs offense in 2016 and be in
the top 5ish running back once again.
SLEEPER – CHRIS CONLEY
There is an opportunity for someone to step up as the wide receiver two opposite Jeremy
Maclin in the Chiefs passing game. Chris Conley has the potential to step in and fill a role in the
passing game. Jamaal Charles, Travis Kelce, and Maclin will be the primary targets for
quarterback Alex Smith. They are all short to intermediate targets that will see volume.
However Conley has the deep speed and explosive playmaking ability that can add an extra
dimension to the offense. According to Playerprofiler.com Conely has a 97th percentile height
adjusted speed score and 99th percentile catch radius. He also ran a 4.35 40 yard dash which
sho s his lazi g speed. Co le as t i edi l p odu ti e i
ut the tale t as
apparent. His best game came against the Steelers catching six balls for 63 yard and a
touchdown. As a late round flier Conley is absolutely worth a look and I would gladly draft him
over names like Jeff Janis and Breshad Perriman.
ROOKIE TO WATCH – DEMARCUS ROBINSON
De a us ‘o i so o t lo ou a a ith o i e u e s ut that does t ea he
should be ignored. The Kansas City Chiefs took him in the 4th round of the 2016 NFL draft. He is
another player that could have a role in the passing game this season, though likely not right
away. Robinson is not a pure burner but runs good enough routes that he can get separation.
He also shows a nice ability in space to make defenders miss. Something Alex Smith will
appreciate when Robinson takes a 7 yard in or a slant and turns it into a 20 plus yard gain. He
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also played in a run focused offense during his time at the University of Florida and showed an
ability to be a solid run blocker. This is something Andy Reid loves from his wide receivers and
could have him on the field sooner than most rookies. This a name dynasty owners should get
to know. His price in dynasty is basically free at the moment and absolutely worth stashing at
the end of your bench.
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OAKLAND RAIDERS (MATT LANE)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Derek Carr, Matt McGloin, Connor Cook, Garrett
Gilbert
RB: Latavius Murray, Deandre Washington, Taiwan
Jones, Jalen Richard, George Atkinson III
FB: Marcel Reece, Jamize Olawale
WR: Amari Cooper (PR), Michael Crabtree, Seth
Roberts, Andre Holmes, Johnny Holton, Max
McCaffrey, Marvin Hall, Joe Hansley,K.J. Brent
TE: Clive Walford, Mychal Rivera, Lee Smith, Gabe
Holmes
K: Sebastian Janikowski
TEAM OUTLOOK
The Raiders have ended a long period of complete
irrelevance in both NFL and fantasy terms, after a
comeback from 3-13 to 7-9 last season. Bearing in mind the Raiders were in a division with
eventual Super Bowl winners Denver (12-4) and Kansas (11-5) they put in some impressive
displays and their offence finally came alive with the Derek Carr/Amari Cooper relationship in
bloom. Add to this the defensive dominance of Khalil Mack who staked a claim to be the best
young pass rusher in the NFL with 15 QB sacks, just behind JJ Watt on 17.5.
STUD – AMARI COOPER
Coope had a t e e dous ookie seaso
a o e s sta da ds, ot hi g
a ds a d TDs
on 72 receptions. He developed a very good relationship with QB Derek Carr early on in the
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season, and had 5 games of over 100+ yards. In non-PPR Leagues Coop finished 23rd, bearing in
mind a 3 week spell on the sidelines (absorbing a bye week), he would have finished top 20 for
the year, making him a solid WR2 in 12 team formats. One thing i noticed from watching
Cooper was how polished he was, I often find WRs find great difficulty translating their
dominance from college to the pro level, it can take 2-3 years for even the best WRs to hit their
stride and reach their potential, but Cooper hit a thousand yards in his first season, in Oakland.
Among current NFL WRs that puts him in the company of Odell Beckham, Mike Evans, AJ Green
and Keenan Allen. Cooper played alongside Michael Crabtree who put up career figures after a
very average spell in San Francisco, and between them they amassed 276 targets on the
season. No other Raider claimed over 60 targets and Carr routinely hit his Receivers with
confidence. With Cooper playing a full season, and the Raiders honing a pass attack that only
really came alive last season, we can expect Cooper to get somewhere between 155 and 175
targets on the year, this would give him a stat line of 90-1360-7.5, putting him around the top
10-12 WRs on the season. That being said I think is ADP is about fair, we can expect more
targets and trust after his rookie season, and working with Carr and Crabtree for another
offseason should cement the relationship further. It was pleasing to see the Raiders did t feel
the need to bulk up their passing attack in the draft, it shows confidence in the current
personnel. Crabtree and Cooper should see a bulk of the passing targets this season, i can only
see perhaps Clive Walford handling a few more than last yea ut this should t e a ause fo
concern.
SLEEPER – CLIVE WALFORD
In the annual hunt for the next Jordan Cameron/Martellus Bennett/Gary Barnidge, we should
not overlook the Oakland Tight End who had a quietly productive rookie campaign last year.
Fighting for looks in a passing offence with Michael Crabtree and Amari Cooper limited
Walfo d s utilisatio , ut he e a e a igge pa t of the offe e as the seaso o ti ued.
Before their Bye in week 6 Walford had just 3 catches for 38 yards from 6 targets, but in the
final 4 weeks his targets grew to 5.3 per game. Walford proved to be a competent mid level
receiver, with an average reception yardage of 11.75, on par with Delanie Walker and higher
than Jordan Reed. It is certainly not beyond the realms of possibility that a Raiders team hoping
to reach the playoffs will be passing the ball even more in 2016 as I expect them to compete in
every game opening up more targets for the peripheral guys like Walford, who should expect to
see 80-90 targets. This would give him an estimated stat line of 55-600-4.5, putting him in the
TE 12-16 area. I think Walford is about right at his current ADP, but watch out for him in the
late ou ds. If ou e taki g a p e iu TE the Walfo d is o e tha apa le to e ou highupside backup in the final few rounds whilst everyone else is deliberating over which kicker to
take.
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ROOKIE TO WATCH – DEANDRE WASHINGTON
Oakla d s d aft as ot a ash ith offe si e pie es, ot a g eat su p ise o side i g thei
relative strength and balance on offence going into 2016. However one pick they made did give
me hope that we could find a good rookie that can make an impact this season for your fantasy
tea , a d that is Te as Te h
e ki g all DeA d e Washi gto . Washi gto had a solid
college career, his highlight was in his senior year where he was rushing 20x per game on
average and finished with a stat line of 233-1492-14, add to that his 30 catches for 328 yards
and you have a promising résumé. His rival for carries this season will be Latavius Murray who
had a breakout last year and lead the Raiders rushing attack, finishing as RB11 in fantasy points
(non-PPR). However Murray was patchy to say the least, scoring 9 or fewer points on 10
occasions, and he only got over 100 yards rushing twice on the whole season. and his end to
the seaso as, u h like the ‘aide s as a hole, a it of a hi pe . While I do t thi k
Washington can challenge for the starting job in Oakland, he his skills in the open field and
utilizes his elusiveness giving Oakland a totally different option to use on third downs and in
more creative plays - this is he e he a eat i to Mu a s pla i g ti e a little. Washi gto
ould also e used i the etu ga e i Oakla d gi e his size a d speed, so if ou e league
e a ds etu
a ds o TDs the e s a slight u p to his alue. Washi gto is the
d ‘B off
the oa d a d is goi g afte the likes of Ke a D ake a d We dell “ all ood ho s
value depends on injuries to teammates. Washington will be getting field time from the off and
if he can produce he could be the dynamic weapon Oakland need on offence. I think
Washington has good upside and could grow into the season and is one of the better options in
the last few rounds.
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SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (KYLE ROBERT)
DEPTH CHART
(courtesy footballguys.com)
QB: Philip Rivers, Kellen Clemens, Zach
Mettenberger, Bryn Renner,Mike Bercovici
RB: Melvin Gordon, Danny Woodhead (3RB), Branden
Oliver,Dreamius Smith, Kenneth Farrow
FB: Derek Watt, Chris Swain
WR: Keenan Allen, Travis Benjamin (PR), Stevie
Johnson, Dontrelle Inman, Javontee Herndon, Tyrell
Williams, Isaiah Burse, Torrence Allen, Jamaal
Jones, Dom Williams
TE: Antonio Gates, Hunter Henry, Jeff
Cumberland, Sean McGrath,Asante Cleveland, Tim
Semisch
K: Josh Lambo
TEAM OVERVIEW
The San Diego Chargers enter 2016 with a ton of optimism, mostly because they have nowhere
to go but up. They were dealt injuries on both sides of the ball including to Keenan Allen and
Melvin Gordon. They also started the seaso ithout A to io Gates, thei M . ‘elia le. This
season they have a healthy Allen and Gordon. They also added Travis Benjamin and James
Jones in free agency to and Danny Woodhead as the main complements to Allen. This all sets
up for quarterback Philip Rivers to have another strong season in San Diego. As for the pieces of
this offe se ou should e ta geti g? Let s take look.
STUD – KEENAN ALLEN
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Welcome back Keenan Allen. His 2015 season came to an abrupt end in 2015 when he
lacerated his kidney in Week 8. At the time Allen had 67 catches or ten less than his career high.
While he was a guy that had flashed during his time in the NFL including 1,000 receiving yards in
his ookie seaso , he as ha i g a full eakout. If ou dou le Alle s u ers to get 16 games
played, he would have had 134 catches on 178 targets tallying 1450 yards and 8 touchdowns.
The crazy part is he might even be able to best those number in 2016.
Allen has an impressive ability to get open and runs really good routes. Something that
quarterback Philip Rivers has noticed. Allen will get to the spots where Rivers can be most
successful. The Chargers will have a full compliment of weapons with Gates, Benjamin, and
Johnson. They also have Gordon and Danny Woodhead to be viable pass catchers out of the
back field.
The return of Ken Whisenhunt is a great this for Rivers and the pass attack. The fact that
Whise hu t a ts to ha e a ala ed offe se is t a ad thi g fo the Cha ge s passi g ga e.
Rivers had his best season in 2013 including getting career highs in yards (4,478) and
touchdowns (32). It was a season that saw Rivers finish as the 6th best fantasy quarterback. It
was also a season that saw the Chargers finish 6th in rush attempts and 13th in yards. Im
expecting another really good season from Rivers who I am drafting as my QB1. He gives
owners the ability to wait at that position and gain value throughout the draft.
I expect Allen to have a massive season on the receiving end of Rivers passes. He is my number
15 wide e ei e i sta da d leagues a d ju ps to u e eight i PP‘ fo ats. I d look to
draft him on the two/three turn and do backflips when it happens.
SLEEPER – DANNY WOODHEAD
The traditional sleeper is something that is all but nonexistent in fantasy football. There are too
many smart people producing excellent work to have a virtually unknown fantasy relevant
player. The term sleeper has gained new legs as a term describing an undervalued player or
someone who is being slept on. Danny Woodhead is the epitome of the new definition.
Last season Woodhead was the number 10 running back in standard leagues and number three
in PPR. In his two full seasons with the Chargers, one of which came with Coach Whisenhunt
calling plays Woodhead had 76 catches on 86 targets and 80 catches on 106 targets. There is
little doubt that Woodhead will not be a part of the passing game again this season. He likely
o t e a huge p odu e i the u ga e ut should o t i ute i the eigh o hood of
yards rushing. As I mentioned Whisenhunt likes to utilize the run game when he can and was
something he did in 2013.
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The biggest obstacle coming into 2016 for Woodhead is the return of Melvin Gordon who was a
first round pick that was expected to do big things. This was a running back that looked
impatient and not very productive during his 184 carries. He averaged 3.5 yards per carry in his
14 games and fumbled the ball 5 times. He will need to display more ball security and better
vision if he wants any serious amount of work. There are some that are touting a big season
from the second year back but I have serious doubts.
This is a player that is coming off of microfracture knee surgery. This is something that all but
ended the careers of Penny Hardaway, Amare Stoudemire, and Chris Webber. Travis Kelce,
Vontaze Burfict and Marques Colston are NFL players that returned to the field after having the
surgery and were productive. Reggie Bush, a running back with a similar speed and agility
combo was not as successful. I think Gordon can get healthy and be a factor at some point but
I
ot su e if its this seaso o ho
u h of a o kload the ou g u i g a k ill get he
he plays. The Chargers can easily let Woodhead shoulder much of the load with Gordon getting
spot carries while getting adjusted at the next level.
Woodhead is currently coming off the board as RB34, 8 spots behind his teammate Gordon.
The difference is even more astounding as Gordon is being drafted as the 73rd player overall
with Woodhead going 90th overall. In PPR the two players switch roles which makes a ton of
sense but still after Demarco Murray, Latavius Murray, and Thomas Rawls. Id gladly take
Woodhead over those players especially the cost. He also goes 20 picks overall after Matt Forte
which seems aggressive to me. Give me the value all day.
Take advantage of the draft value with Woodhead stacking up on other players along the way.
I d gladl ha e Woodhead as a ‘B i PP‘ a d ‘B i sta da d. He also akes a to of se se if
you want to employ the zero RB strategy.
ROOKIE - HUNTER HENRY
There is only one rookie for the Chargers that has a chance to be fantasy relevant and that is
Hunter Henry. The tight end out of Arkansas has the potential to make an impact in year one,
something that is not often said about rookie tight ends. Typically this position has the steepest
learning curve of the offensive skill positions and takes two to three season before any real
impact is felt. Henry is currently sitting second on the depth chart at tight end for the Chargers
behind ole reliable Antonio Gates. Gates is not the same player that he has been in previous
seaso ut o e that a still e elia le. Gates a ou ted fo just o e
pe e t of the
tea s ta gets last seaso , his lo est ta get sha e si e
per T.J. Hernandez of 4for4.com.
This should provide an opportunity to be a weapon in sub packages. Henry has the ability to
stretch the field vertically utilizing his athleticism. He can also be a physical presence in the red
zo e, so ethi g the Cha ge s do t eall ha e ith thei other pass catchers.
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His current ADP on Yahoo is TE15 which feels aggressive. He is currently going ahead of Dwayne
Allen, Ben Watson and Zach Miller, all of whom I would rather have. That said he is absolutely
worth putting on a watch list or stashing in deep leagues. An injury to Gates could vault him
into some serious snaps and garner fantasy value.
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