SKB
Transcription
SKB
The role of the Geological Survey of Sweden (SGU) in the work to find, investigate and produce 3D geological models for a site suitable for the disposal of highly radioactive, spent nuclear fuel in Sweden Michael B. Stephens, SGU Forsmark, south-central Sweden. Site finally selected by SKB SKB, SGU and SSM – their roles SKB = Swedish Nuclear Fuel and Waste Mangement Company, SGU = Geological Survey of Sweden, SSM = Swedish Radiation Safety Authority • SKB has the responsibility to propose a method and a site for the disposal of highly radioactive, spent nuclear fuel (www.skb.se). • The Geological Survey of Sweden (SGU) is the central governmental agency responsible for questions relating to bedrock, Quaternary deposits (soil) and groundwater in Sweden (www.sgu.se). • SGU is financed by an annual governmental grant (c. 80-85%) and by commissioned work from external customers (c. 15-20%), for example SKB. • SGU colleagues here today are Erika Ingvald (communications officer), Kaj Lax (newly appointed manager for the Bedrock and mineral resource division at SGU). • SSM (formerly SKi and SSI) not SGU is the governmental regulatory authority with national collective responsibility within the areas of radiation protection and nuclear safety (www.ssm.se). SGU´s general policy for commission work financed by external customers (for example, SKB) • To meet society s need of and specific request for geological information and knowledge • To provide an increased knowledge at SGU of society s needs and use of geological information • To contribute to a more effective use of SGU s competence and resources • To retain and to develop geological competence at SGU SGU´s role in connection with commission work for SKB concerned with the identification and investigation of a suitable site • To provide the necessary geological information that is required to select a site suitable for the following, more detailed step in the investigations • To identify alternative areas at the ground surface suitable for the following, more detailed step in the investigations • To provide necessary expertise, along with other geoscientists, in the investigation and modelling work at the two sites selected for detailed study SKB selected during 2000 Forsmark and Oskarshamn (Laxemar-Simpevarp) as the sites for the detailed investigation work that started 2002. Factors other than geology (e.g. infrastructure, land use, land protection) influenced this decision. SKB selected Forsmark as the site for the repository during June 2009 Governmental review of SKB work by SSM and predecessor SKi/SSI. SGU on the contact list Is there a conflict of interest? SKB hours 20000 SGU committment to commission work for SKB 2002 to 2009 18000 16000 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Total cost c. 5-6 million euros 2009 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% Remaining commission work SKB commission work 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 1977-1985. Variable amount of detailed surface and drill core investigations in type areas throughout the country • To develop methodology and to learn about rock properties and rock suitability • SGU highly active in the completion of the work on commission basis up to 1982 Source of image: SKB FUD report 2000 Type area, e.g. Stripa Äspö Stockholm 1997-1999. Systematic regional screening based on available geological and geophysical data. No new data acquisition Three critical geological factors (SKBSGU): • Homogeneous crystalline bedrock • No potential for ore deposits • Absence of regionally important (>10 km length at the ground surface) deformation zones SGU fully responsible for the completion of the work on a commission basis for SKB Source of image: SKB FUD report 2000 Green = Areas probably suitable for more detailed investigations, based on geological information Red = Areas probably not suitable for more detailed investigations, based on geological information 1992-2000. Feasibility studies in municipalities based on available geological and geophysical data. Field check Identify areas suitable for more detailed site investigations based on the same three geological criteria used in the systematic regional screening study SKB responsible for the choice of muncipality. SGU highly active in the completion of the work on a commission basis for SKB Storuman Malå Forsmark Älvkarleby Tierp Östhammar Nyköping Hultsfred Oskarshamn Oskarshamn Source of image: SKB FUD report 2000 Bedrock possibly suitable for a repository of spent nuclear fuel in the municipality of Östhammar based on geological and other factors Candidate area selected by SKB for site investigation Source of image: SKB FUD report 2000 Site investigation, 2002-2008 Forsmark and Oskarshamn (LaxemarSimpevarp) Source of map image: SKB report R-08-19 Site characterization in Sweden • • • Surface-based including several deep coredrilled holes – Started 2002 finished during 2008 – For spent fuel repository of the KBS-3 type Conducted in campaigns – five “data freezes” – Initial site investigation phase resulting in preliminary site descriptive models used to develop preliminary repository layouts and input to a full safety assessment SKB will prepare safety case and submit a permit application for a deep repository during 2010 Source of image: SKB (Anders Ström) Data evaluation and site descriptive modelling Method-specific interpretation Investigations Database Primary data (measured data, calculated values and conceptual assumptions) Interpretation of geometries and properties “Datawash”, computations Integrative, discipline specific interpretation Sitedescriptive model Geology Hydrogeology Geometry Integrative, iterative (Structural geology) Hydrogeochemistry Rockmechanics Thermal properties Source of image: SKB (Anders Ström) Ecosystem Transportation properties Site description Cross disciplinary interpretation EIA EIA = Environment impact assessment Investigations Site Modelling Design Information flow and feedback during site characterization Source of image: SKB (Anders Ström) SA SA = Safety assessment Documentation – Forsmark as an example SDM-Site Forsmark - Main report (TR-08-05) Main references (level II) Geology (R-07-45) Thermal properties (R-07-47) Rock mechanics (R-07-31) Hydrogeology (R-08-95) Hydrogeochemistry (R-08-47) Transport properties (R-08-48) Surface system (R-08-11) Evolutionary aspects (R-08-19) Confidence statement (R-08-82) Complementary stage 2.3 reports Geology (R-08-64) Thermal properties (R-08-65) Rock mechanics (R-08-66) References (level III) Geology Hydrogeology Hydrogeochemistry Transport Surface system • Fracture domain report • Hydro DFN modelling and DZ hydraulic properties • Fracture minerals and altered rock • Retardation model • Surface hydrology • Stochastic modelling of fractures and minor DZ’s • Background complementary studies • Bedrock geological map at the surface • Groundwater flow modelling • Conceptual model development and modelling Source of image: SKB (Anders Ström) • Explorative analysis of major components and isotopes • Microbes, colloids and gases • Water-rock interaction modelling • Porewater chemistry • Background complementary studies • Chemistry Rock mechanics • Forsmark in situ stress • Regolith • Ecosystems (limnic, terrestrial, marine) SGU work in the site investigations at Forsmark and Oskarshamn • Expert geologists at Forsmark and Oskarshamn (2002-2007). Investigation managers for bedrock geology (2002-2004) and Quaternary deposits (20022007) at Forsmark. • Acquisition of primarily surface geological data at both Forsmark and Oskarshamn • Responsible for the development of various 2D and 3D geological models for Forsmark and Oskarshamn (surface geological maps at both sites; rock domains in 3D space at both sites; deformation zones and fracture domains in 3D space at Forsmark; thickness of the Quaternary cover at both sites) • Writing of key background reports and specific chapters in final reports SDM-Site Forsmark and SDM-Site Laxemar. Writing of scientific papers. Supervision of two Ph.D. studies at the University of Lund, Sweden Site investigation data • Surface investigations – airborne photography, airborne and surface geophysical investigations, interpretation of lineaments and seismic reflectors – mapping of rock units and structural characteristics – investigations of Quaternary deposits – meteorological and hydrological monitoring, hydrochemical sampling of precipitation, surface waters and shallow groundwater investigations Source of image: SKB (Anders Ström) Site investigation data Drilling and drill core/borehole measurements – 14 (Forsmark site) and 20 (Laxemar site) deep (800 to1,000 m) core-drilled boreholes – several more shallow core-drilled and percussion-drilled boreholes – mapping, testing and monitoring boreholes and drill cores (geology including single hole interpretation, thermal properties, rock mechanics, hydrogeology, hydrochemistr y) – many soil/rock boreholes Geological models in the bedrock • Rock domains. Local and regional model scales. Why? Thermal and mechanical rock properties • Spatial distribution of subordinate rock types with low thermal conductivity in two critical rock domains. Statistical approach. Local model scale • Deformation zones. Local and regional model scales. Why? Need to eliminate from the volume to be used for the repository • Discrete fracture network. Orientation, size and intensity of fractures and minor deformation zones inside the parts of the rock domains NOT affected by more significant deformation zones, so-called fracture domains. Statistical approach. Local model scale. Why? Detailed planning of the repository Bedrock at Forsmark. 2D model at ground surface. Forsmark tectonic lens Work completed by SGU 3D model for rock domains (regional scale) Work completed by SGU with support from SKB Source of image: SKB reports R-07-45 and TR-08-05 3D model for deformation zones at Forsmark Work completed by SGU with support from SKB Source of image: SKB report TR-08-05 Feasibility studies Älvkarleby Hultsfred Tierp Oskarshamn Östhammar Nyköping Malå Storuman 2009-06-03 Forsmark selected by SKB Site investigations Forsmark Oskarshamn (Laxemar) Detailed underground investigations Forsmark 1992-2000 Source of image: SKB (Anders Ström) 2002-2008 2015?- SGU-SKB collaboration today, 2010…... What is happening? • Geological excursion guides for Forsmark and Oskarshamn (2009) • Contribution to ongoing safety assessment of Forsmark (20092010) • Control and review of ongoing geological modelling work in connection with the extension of the SFR facility for low- and medium-radioactive nuclear waste at Forsmark (2009-2010) • 3D geological modelling at the Äspö underground laboratory facility, Oskarshamn (2009-2010) • Writing of papers for publication in international scientific journals (2009-2010) • Update of the local geological models for Forsmark (2010) • Contribution to the planning for detailed underground investigations (2009-2015)