July 2016 NAAIM Active Manager Newsletter
Transcription
July 2016 NAAIM Active Manager Newsletter
Bimonthly Journal of the National Association of Active Investment Managers Vol. 13 Issue 2, July 2016 President’s Letter National Co-Sponsors TRADING STRATEGIES A Case Study — Dividend Growers During Market Reversals....................8 What’s Next for the Market..................................................................14 PRACTICE MANAGEMENT Who says bigger is better? Small RIA practitioners can thrive in spite of predictions to the contrary.................................................1 Excerpts from “Department Of Labor (DOL) Publishes Final Fiduciary Rule”...........................................................................9 Tricks of the Trade................................................................................13 NAAIM NEWS Looking back at Uncommon Knowledge 2016.......................................2 Meet the NAAIM 2016-2017 Officers and Board of Directors..................3 David Bush Captures NAAIM Shark Tank Top Ranking.............................4 Golf Classic and Fishing Expedition Highlights.........................................5 Thank You to the 2016 Uncommon Knowledge Sponsors.......................6 Who says bigger is better? Small RIA practitioners can thrive in spite of predictions to the contrary Joshua Pace F or years, there’s been industry and media speculation as to whether smaller financial advisory firms can survive and how the future of financial services will ultimately be dominated by only the big players. The pundits have predicted that cost pressures and competitive influences will compel small RIA practitioners into being acquired by larger firms or eventually be forced out of the market altogether. This, however, is proving to be a myth. Perhaps, if you think more darkly, these could even be scare tactics propagated by larger firms, intent on acquisitions. Enabled by technology, lower fixed costs and an ability to achieve efficiencies, smaller firms can not only survive – but continued on page 12 The views and opinions of the authors are not necessarily those of NAAIM, its officers or Board of Directors. 6732 W. Coal Mine Ave., #446 Littleton, CO 80123 888-261-0787 [email protected] www.naaim.org I t seems the poem written by poet Bob Dylan 50 years ago this year and known to most of us in a song format is as apropos today as it was the day it was penned. Though Dylan wrote this to the people of the day to help them understand life could not be static, it is a great reminder in our contemporary world. Ken Graves Life seems to be constantly changing for most or all of us. By choice or by providence, the changes do come. Recently, my own Mom turned 88 and yet as I watch my 9-month-old grandson being raised, the raising of a child today vs the world I was raised in emphasizes how the times have changed and continue to. Mom is on Facebook, she uses Instagram, and of course she has a smart phone! I nicknamed her “Dot Com Mom” many years ago. The times are a changin’ and she is changing right along with the times. In his 1995 book, “The Road Ahead”, Bill Gates said, “today we use technology to change the way we carry out certain tasks, jobs. One day technology will fully change the way we live.” That day is likely soon coming and Dylan’s poem will be ever more fitting then. The times are changing in our industry as well. As I approach the beginning of my 30th year in the financial services business, I find it interesting to look at the changes in our business and in the evolving world of investments. When I first started in the business almost 30 years ago, everyone I knew in the investment business was a “broker,” and I did not know anyone who was an investment advisor. Back then if one wanted to know the price of a stock, you could call “your broker” (on a phone with a cord which was attached to your desk) and ask the price. Otherwise, a client could just read the price in tomorrow’s paper. Yes, a newspaper-a large, gangly, noisy, ink ridden, really thin-papered daily periodical you could also use to train a dog not to “go in the house.” Today you can find any stock price at any time on your smart phone, and the dog… well, puppies still like to “go in the house” but for most of us, the times they are a changin’ nonetheless. The great thing with the world changing the focus of our industry away from answering client calls to get a price on this or that is that it allows/forces us to focus on things of much greater cranial demand and work toward delivering much more value to clients than a stock quote over a phone line. Our culture seems to be changing a great deal too, and that is beginning to impact the investment world. The “big box” retail stores seem to be slowly dying and going away. This is continued on page 10 2016 Conference Featured Exceptional Speakers, On-Target Topics U ncommon Knowledge 2016 brought over 130 attendees, sponsors and speakers to the Westin Fort Lauderdale Beach Resort, May 1-4. The presenters did an excellent job playing off the conference’s theme - Staying ahead of change: Actions to take today for building success. Keynote speakers Helene Meisler and Marcus Sheridan represented two aspects of success for active managers – market awareness and marketing smarts. Their presentations were complemented by : • Morningstar’s Hal Ratner with a new perspective on robo advisers; • Mebane Faber, Cambria Investment Management, with Last Man Standing: Trading Systems that Work in Today’s Market; • Benchmarking for Sustainable Success with Joe Lukacs, International Performance Group, Inc. • Marketing by Building Trust and Authority with Millennials presented by marketing consultant Kali Hawlk • Multivariate Regression Analysis: Considering the Relevance of Past Performance – which won Spencer 2 • • • Seggebruch, Investment Analyst with R.T. Jones, 1st place in the annual NAAIM Wagner Award John Conrath’s, Portfolio Medics, look at Index Annuities: Are They Too Good to Be True? Building Success Into Your Investment Strategies with Paul Montgomery, Scotia Partners, Ltd. And NAAIM’s ever popular Round Table Sessions. Add in excellent sponsor breakout sessions, an evening on the river wandering Fort Lauderdale’s more monied shorelines, networking opportunities to build friendships and resources and it all added up to a conference full of value and fun. The NAAIM Shark Tank added icing to the cake for those more technically minded attendees with six firms presenting their investment strategies and results. Next year’s conference moves to the West Coast April 30 through May 3, 2017 at the Hilton San Diego Resort and Spa. Mark your calendars now for more Uncommon Knowledge insights. July 2016 Luxury Riverboat Cruise a Highlight of Monday’s Activities M onday night featured a riverboat cruise along Ft. Lauderdale’s inland waterways, passing Ft. Lauderdale’s Venice with multimillion-dollar riverfront homes, business complexes and harbor views. Co-sponsored by Guggenheim and ProFunds, the evening offered excellent networking time along with great food and an open bar. The weather cooperated and a good time was had by all. Meet the NAAIM 2016-2017 Officers and Board of Directors T he 2016 Uncommon Knowledge Conference also saw a “changing of the guard” with the 2016-2017 Board of Directors and Officers composed of (back row, left to right) Michael Price, Price Capital Management; Jason Erickson, Alternative Strategies Group, Inc.; Mike Dean, DFG Advisory, LLC; Jason Wilder, CMG Capital Management Group Inc.; NAAIM Treasurer Paul Schatz, Heritage Capital; Patrick Beaudan, Belvedere Advisors, LLC; Steve Williamson, Legacy Investment Group LLC; NAAIM Secretary Jim Applegate, Financial Services Advisory. (front row, left to right) NAAIM Vice President Emily Frazier, Spectrum Financial Inc.; NAAIM President Ken Graves, Capital Research Advisors, LLC, and NAAIM Chairman Ted Lundgren, Hg Capital Advisors, LLC. Not pictured are Board Members Brian Boughner, Parallel Financial; Andrew Quinn, Quinn Stauffer Financial, and Brenda Wenning, Wenning Investments, LLC. www.naaim.org 3 David Bush Captures NAAIM Shark Tank Top Ranking D avid Bush, Founder and Managing Member of Alphatative LLC in the greater Cincinnati, Ohio area was the first-place winner of the 2016 NAAIM Shark Tank Competition for his investment strategy: STRATVERSIFY®. Find out more about NAAIM Shark Tank ALPHATATIVE LLC develops and manages several quantitative equity and ETF strategies logically driven with the goal of delivering superior absolute returns. Entered in the “Established” category, David presented information on his tactical strategy Stratversify®, a long-short equity program. The strategy is a low beta strategy of nine proprietary systems which dynamically allocate capital to mega-cap e quities – all without leverage. Developed over a survivorship bias-free dataset, Stratversify® applies capital exclusively when history shows a statistically defined positive expectation at a portfolio level. In addition to its original long/ short version, Stratversify® will soon be offered as a long-only strategy and available as stand-alone signals. The competition judges included (left to right) John Hill of Epix Capital, Paul Montgomery of Scotia Partners, Patrick Beaudan of Belvedere Advisors, LLC, and 2015 NAAIM Shark Tank Winner John McClure of ProfitScore Capital Management. David is a seasoned trader with over 20 years experience in financial markets. He is the First Place Winner of BattleFin’s “Sharpe Ratio Shootout” international quant finance tournament out of over 3200 applicants from 41 countries. Wellversed in multiple trading platforms and languages, he brings years of discretionary knowledge, creative arts background, and risk management experience to his quantitative research, systems, and portfolio strategy Stratversify®. An accomplished musician who spent his early years performing with Grammywinning and nominated artists, David credits the discipline of music for his affinity and passion for financial market patterns, as both fields manifest emotion in rhythm. A student of Manhattan’s New School and the Mannes Conservatory, David is a graduate of the New School for Social Research with a B.F.A. in Jazz and Contemporary Music. For the 2016 investment strategies competition, twelve presenters were chosen to compete in the NAAIM Shark Tank preliminaries on November 3, 2015 during the NAAIM 2015 Outlook Conference. Six finalists were chosen to present during the final session of this year’s 2016 NAAIM Uncommon Knowledge national conference. “The NAAIM Shark Tank competition has grown and taken on a life of its own,” said NAAIM 2015-2016 President Ted Lundgren, “attracting new members to the NAAIM professional association and leading to new business relationships for both asset gatherers and managers.” Outlook Conference Returns to Dallas Fort Worth N AAIM’s 2016 Outlook Conference is scheduled for November 14 & 15 at the Dallas/Fort Worth Airport Marriott, 8440 Freeport Parkway in Irving, Texas. The conference will focus on the impact of technology on marketing and trading techniques within an investment advisor’s practice. Agenda updates will be posted at: NAAIM Outlook 2016. 2016 Outlook Sponsors include Co-National Sponsors: ProFunds and Guggenheim, and Platinum Sponsors: Advisors Preferred/CEROS and Direxion. To assure yourself an on-site hotel room at the NAAIM room block price of $149 per night double/single, make your reservations now at DFW Airport Marriott. 4 July 2016 Winners of the 2016 NAAIM Golf Classic For the second year, Dave Taucher (shown with Jeannie Davis) added color and class to the tournament with his pink shark shorts. From left to right – First place team Erik Ambrose, Marty Kerns, Jerry Jacobs and David Shaw, with Will Hepburn adding bunny ears. C ongratulations to the following teams and individuals for their play at the 2016 NAAIM Golf Classic. 1st placeWallach Beth group—(left to right) Erik Ambrose, Marty Kerns, David Shaw and Jerry Jacobs - 57.8 2nd placeSkip Santori, Will Hepburn, Bo Bills and Kent Behnken -59.4 3rd placePaul Schatz, Emily Collins, Michael Kieffer and Ted Lundgren -59.9 Longest drive for men sponsored by Guggenheim winner David Shaw Longest drive for women sponsored by NAAIM winner Janet McMillian Closest to the pin for sponsors, sponsored by NAAIM winner Kristine Warner Closest to the pin sponsored by Profunds winner Mike Jones Closest to the pin sponsored by Wallach Beth winner Ed Kushma Closest to the pin sponsored by Advisors Preferred/CEROS winner Marty Kerns. Fishing Excursion Has Another Successful Year F or several years now, NAAIM member Steve Landis has organized a group of NAAIM members to head out to the open water (or lake or river) to try for “the one that got away.” At this year’s fishing outing, the group headed out to the Everglades with guide Thadeus Ragan of Gladesbassin. According to Steve, the group was off to fish for “Largemouth Bass, Peacock Bass and Panfish (and the occasional ‘gator). No gators were caught this go around but it looks like plenty of fish were caught. Steve is working on plans for next year’s fishing trip in early 2017. He would love to get a big group going and maybe www.naaim.org even a sponsor or two. Keep in mind that if you go fishing, you are back in plenty of time for the Solo Advisor meeting that is typically held late Sunday afternoon and of course, the Welcome Reception that evening. Call Steve Landis if you have any suggestions on where to go in the San Diego area or guides to use. 5 Thank You to the 2016 Uncommon Knowledge Sponsors NATIONAL CO SPONSORS Guggenheim Investors seeking to include specific market exposures in their portfolios can access dozens of Guggenheim’s Rydex strategies. Each follows a specific benchmark, and our proven expertise in benchmark replication includes sector and pure style strategies, as well as broad market benchmarks—both leveraged and inverse exposure. ProFunds Founded in 1997, ProFunds offers more than 100 broad index, sector and geared mutual funds. ProFunds and ProShares combine to serve investors as one of the country’s leading providers of mutual funds and ETFs, and we are the world’s largest provider of geared (leveraged and inverse) exchange traded products. ProFunds and ProShares provide a broad spectrum of strategic and tactical strategies that can help you go beyond the limitations of conventional investing and build better portfolios to face today’s market challenges. PLATINUM SPONSORS Direxion Investments Direxion Investments is a powerful ally for both strategic and tactical investors seeking to solve for better investment outcomes. Building on over 17 years of experience with highly liquid, tactical and strategic institutional-style ETFs and Mutual Funds, Direxion Investments provides a wide range of index-based products that offer directional options, magnified exposure, and long-term rules-based strategies. Advisors Preferred/CEROS Ceros Financial Services, Inc. is a full-service brokerage platform and outsourced trading desk to investment management firms. Ceros takes an active, consultative approach to helping advisors grow their businesses, offering direct access to trade stocks, bonds, options, ETFs, equity, commodities and futures trading. A sister company to Ceros Financial Services – Advisors Preferred, LLC acts as the named advisor 6 for mutual funds. Between Ceros and Advisors Preferred, we can help all types of advisors who manage mutual funds. GOLD SPONSORS Arrow Funds Arrow Funds, including the exchange traded product line ArrowShares, is a mutual fund company with a passion and energy for helping investors meet their financial goals. We believe in offering targeted portfolio solutions for the ever-changing capital markets. Arrow Funds and ArrowShares seek to provide mutual fund and exchange traded investment solutions for individuals and businesses, nonprofits and endowments, as well as qualified and non-qualified retirement plans. The Gemini Companies The Gemini Companies have over 30 years of experience in providing comprehensive pooled investment solutions to independent advisors and the investment community. Our services include helping clients bring their own investment vehicles to market and providing full-servicing of mutual funds, hedge funds, exchange-traded funds and other pooled investment products, including distribution services. The Gemini Companies also offer a Managed Account Platform and are a structured product platform sponsor. Putnam Investments Founded in 1937, Putnam Investments is a leading global money management firm. Putnam offers investors a world of equity, fixed-income, multi-asset, and absolute-return portfolios to suit a range of financial goals. Our portfolio managers seek superior results over time, backed by original, fundamental research on a global scale. We believe in the value of experienced financial advice, in providing exemplary service, and in putting clients first. Security Benefit Security Benefit is a 123-year-old, Kansas-based retirement company which in recent years has become one of the fastest growing retirement savings and income companies in the industry. Through a combination of innovative products, exceptional investment management and a unique distribution strategy, Security Benefit has become a leader in the full range of retirement markets and wealth segments. July 2016 Thank You to the 2016 Uncommon Knowledge Sponsors Trust Company of America ProShares Trust Company of America is the only independent RIA custodian offering fully integrated, real-time technology and personalized back-office services designed exclusively for RIAs. Trust’s unified technology, custody, and service platform gives advisors the freedom to seamlessly optimize their clients’ portfolios while building smarter, more efficient businesses. ProShares helps investors to go beyond the limitations of conventional investing and face today’s market challenges. We help investors build better portfolios by providing access to specialized strategies delivered with the liquidity and cost effectiveness of ETFs. Our funds cover the spectrum from equity strategies, like dividend growth and long/short, to fixed income strategies, like interest rate hedged bond funds. We also offer tactical options, including geared, credit, and volatility strategies. Our wide array of ETFs is designed to help you reduce volatility, manage risk and enhance returns. SILVER SPONSORS Equity Advisor Solutions Equity Advisor Solutions provides custody and back-office solutions to RIAs, Hybrids, TAMPs, BrokerDealers and more. Equity specializes in custody of all asset types, including alternative assets, on one custodial platform; back-office solutions that streamline your business and create efficiencies; technology that includes portfolio rebalancing, ability to run multiple models in the same account, customized mobile app for your firm, reporting and analytics, and technology integration (portfolio management and CRM systems). Orion Advisor Services Orion Advisor Services, LLC is the premier portfolio accounting service provider for advisors. Our firm was founded for investment advisors by an investment advisor in 1999. Orion provides the integrated and fully customizable technology solutions that advisors need to help grow their businesses over the long term. The firm’s technology solutions empower more than 500 advisory firms with total assets under administration in excess of $200 billion, from more than 780,000 individual accounts. KCG KCG is a leading independent securities firm offering investors a range of services designed to address trading needs across asset classes, product types and time zones. The firm combines advanced technology with exceptional client service. KCG has multiple access points to trade global equities, fixed income, currencies and commodities via voice or automated execution. KCG ETF Trading provides clients with access to industry-leading natural buy-and sell-side order flow—supported by capital facilitation when needed— through a full spectrum of trading solutions coupled with a consultative approach. www.naaim.org Nationwide® Mutual Funds With a rich heritage dating back over 80 years to the early days of the mutual funds industry, Nationwide® Mutual Funds is a diverse investment company with $60.5 billion in assets under management. We provide high-quality investments by working with over 30 subadvisers to offer a broad range of solutions supporting retirement plans, annuities, variable life contracts and individual investment portfolios. That diversity is our strength. INNOVATION SPONSORS Stark & Stark Since 1933, Stark & Stark has developed innovative legal solutions to meet our clients’ needs. More than 105 attorneys, 27 practice areas, and a philosophy of putting the law to work for our clients is the basis from which we build and maintain our practice. The Securities Practice Group’s Investment Adviser Regulation practice represents investment advisers throughout the United States including before the SEC, CFTC and the Department of Labor. We have experience in obtaining exemptive, no-action and interpretive relief, assisting clients in regulatory examinations and representing them in enforcement actions. Theta Research Theta Research serves the investment management community by gathering and verifying actual performance data on Investment Managers who employ active management techniques. In addition to meeting the needs of investment managers, Theta also offers subscriptions available to investors interested in active portfolio strategies. At Theta, we believe there is no substitute for performance numbers reflecting actual, real-time trading. 7 A Case Study — Dividend Growers During Market Reversals How Have Your Defensive Strategies Performed During Market Rebounds? Steep market declines can send investors running for the cover of defensive strategies. But since defensive strategies typically perform best when markets are falling, they can miss out on potential gains when markets rebound and rise again. But Dividend Growth Companies Tell a Different Story S&P 500® Dividend Aristocrats® are companies in the S&P 500 that have grown their dividends for at least 25 consecutive years. They tend to be quality companies with strong growth histories. Because of this combination, funds that focus on them, like ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (ticker: NOBL), have the potential to serve well both defensively and in rising markets. Strong first quarter 2016 performance in a market reversal… As you can see, if you compare NOBL with the S&P 500 during the first quarter of 2016, dividend growth stocks performed well both defensively during the rout and by rallying with the recovery. Source: Bloomberg, January 1, 2016–March 31, 2016. For illustrative purposes only. Click here for most recent fund performance. Dividend Aristocrats and strong risk-adjusted returns over time If we look back on the longer-term performance of the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Index, which was created over ten years ago, we can see that dividend growth companies, as a group, have delivered strong risk-adjusted returns over time. 8 The S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Index has delivered over 90% of the S&P 500 returns when the market was rising and only suffered about 70% of the decline when the market was falling. The Takeaway Dividend growth companies, and funds that focus on them, can provide evergreen investing potential—historically performing well both defensively as markets fall and outperforming when markets rise. NOBL’s gross expense ratio is 0.58% / net expense ratio is 0.35%; expenses have a contractual waiver through 9/30/2016. Performance quoted represents past performance and does not guarantee future results. Investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate so that an investor’s shares, when sold or redeemed, may be worth more or less than the original cost. Shares are bought and sold at market price (not NAV) and are not individually redeemed from the fund. Brokerage commissions will reduce returns. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance quoted. For standardized returns and performance data current to the most recent month end, see Performance. Index information does not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Indexes are unmanaged and one cannot invest directly in an index. This information is not meant to be investment advice. There is no guarantee dividends will be paid. Companies may reduce or eliminate dividends at any time, and those that do will be dropped from the indexes at reconstitution. Index performance returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Indexes are unmanaged and one cannot invest in an index. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. This ProShares ETF is diversified and entails certain risks, including imperfect benchmark correlation and market price variance, that may decrease performance. Please see summary and full prospectuses for a more complete description of risks. There is no guarantee any ProShares ETF will achieve its investment objective. Carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of ProShares before investing. This and other information can be found in their summary and full prospectuses. Read them carefully before investing. Obtain them from ProShares.com. continued on page 11 July 2016 Excerpts from… Department of Labor (DOL) Publishes Final Fiduciary Rule Stark & Stark’s Securities Compliance Group Among the materials provided by Tom Giachetti with Stark & Stark during his presentation at Uncommon Knowledge 2016 was a sixpage newsletter of the DOL’s final fiduciary rule. The piece is too long to reproduce verbatim in the Active Manager, so key points have been extracted here. The full newsletter is available on the NAAIM Community Resources Board and is a highly recommended read. T he Fiduciary Rule effectively treats all people who provide investment advice for compensation with respect to assets of a retirement plan or IRA as fiduciaries subject to ERISA’s various protections. This should not be confused with an investment adviser’s fiduciary status under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 (“Advisers Act”). Although the two have certain overlapping commonalities, ERISA contains certain transactions that are per se illegal, whereas most conflicts can be disclosed away under the Advisers Act. Prohibited Transactions ERISA requires plan fiduciaries to comply with certain fiduciary principles stemming from the law of trusts. These trust principles require that plan fiduciaries act in a prudent manner and with an undivided loyalty to the plans, plan participants and beneficiaries. In addition to these common law trust principles, fiduciaries must avoid engaging in “prohibited transactions.” Prohibited transactions are statutory prohibitions that fiduciaries cannot engage in without an applicable statutory or administrative exemption. ERISA and the Code generally prohibit fiduciaries from receiving payments from third parties and from recommending certain products that increase their own compensation in connection with investment advice rendered to participants and beneficiaries of an ERISA plan, IRA owners, and those individuals who act as fiduciaries for an IRA or ERISA plans (each, a “Retirement Investor”). There are only three enumerated prohibited transactions addressing fiduciaries, but the implications are plentiful for investment advisers and investment managers. The three specific types of prohibited transactions for fiduciaries are: 1. Dealing with the assets of the plan in the fiduciary’s own interest or for the fiduciary’s own account (referred to as “Self-Dealing Provision”), 2. In his or her individual or in any other capacity acting in any transaction involving the plan on behalf of a party (or represent a party) whose interests are adverse to the interests of the plan or the interests of its participants or beneficiaries, or, 3. Receiving any compensation for the fiduciary’s own personal account from any party dealing with the plan in connection with a transaction involving the assets of the plan (“Anti-Kickback Provision”). www.naaim.org Implications for Investment Advisers The Self-Dealing Provision and the Anti-Kickback Provision are the most problematic provisions for investment advisers and investment managers. For example, an adviser that provides investment advisory services to a retirement plan on a discretionary basis who includes a proprietary mutual fund in the plan’s lineup and who receives, directly or indirect, additional compensation from this recommendation would be in violation of the Self-Dealing provision and would also be subject to certain excise taxes under the Code. In addition under the new Fiduciary Rule, a recommendation by an investment adviser to an owner of an IRA or retirement plan account that he or she transition from a commissionable account to a fee-based account is subject to the Fiduciary Rule and the compensation received as a result of that recommendation could be a prohibited transaction. However, there are certain streamlined procedures under the Best Interest Contract Exemption to comply with this prohibited transaction. Lastly, and of most concern to even the most “plain vanilla” investment adviser, the new Fiduciary Rule subjects every rollover recommendation to ERISA and/or the Code. This is the case even if the rollover recommendation is not specifically accompanied by a recommendation by the adviser on how to invest the assets after the rollover. This is also the case if the assets will not be covered by ERISA or the Code after the recommendation. Therefore, if the adviser can increase his or her compensation as a result of the recommendation, such recommendation would be a prohibited transaction. However, Level Fee Fiduciaries (i.e., advisers that provide services only on an “asset under management basis” or “fixed fee” basis that does not vary based on an investment recommended in connection with advisory or management services to the ERISA Plan or IRA) are able to comply with the Best Interest Contract Exemption on a streamlined basis. (A more detailed discussion of the Best Interest Contract Exemption (BICE) is provided in the full newsletter.) When fiduciaries violate ERISA’s fiduciary duties or the prohibited transaction rules, they may be held personally liable for any losses to the investor resulting from the breach. In addition, prohibited transaction violations are subject to excise taxes under the Code or civil penalties under ERISA. Therefore, it is extremely important to identify these practices and prevent them. Rollovers Advisers have been relying upon the DOL’s Advisory Opinion 2005-23A (Dec. 7, 2005) when providing rollover recommendations to plan participants. However, the new continued on page 11 9 President’s Letter continued from page 1 quite interesting due to the fact that online retailer Amazon has now set its sights on retail sites! Yes, Amazon now will open real brick and mortar stores! So the best of the old breed in the retail world are slowly dying, but the new kid on the block, selling the same thing everyone else is selling, is about to launch into the big time and have “stores”! Times they are a changin’. In the middle of June I was invited by written invitation to a luxury car dealer as that brand name rolled out its all new “flagship” car. Showroom packed with food, drink, small jazz band and…………. While I took 4 of us to the launch, the entire night the dealer had a total of 16 guests. Not exactly blockbuster attendance. That brand needs to understand, “the times they are a-changin’ or their flagship rollout might be their last rollout. Now the latest….. new car showrooms which have no cars! Imagine... A driving force in the demise of the historical retailer is the demographic shift in America. The Baby Boomer segment of the population is now in or moving full force into retirement; the consumer market is in an odd transition. The Boomers have in their possession the largest amount of financial wealth accumulated by any one segment of Americans in the history of the world. However, the real issue here derives itself from an apparently innate human trait. That trait is the human tendency to hang on to what we have if we feel or sense a possible loss in our future. Fear drives humans more than greed does. Boomers will tend to hold on to the vast wealth they possess because we are aging, and we will grow more concerned as we age and therefore likely hang on tighter. We will buy fewer houses in the next 30 years, fewer cars in the next 30 years, less furniture in the next 30 years, and we are basically done paying for formal education toward degrees for the most part. Boomers will, for all practical purposes, attempt to sit on their nest eggs and hold those assets through till the (their own) end. This change impacts the world today in a big way. The world economy is struggling greatly, and the U.S. is basically the “fastest moving tortoise in the economic race.” As Boomers retire, if they sit on their assets-and they will do just that, the needed fuel for the economic engine of the U.S. economy will remain largely in the storage tanks (pockets of Boomers) where it is today. That fuel will not be burned to advance the U.S. and/or global economic engine at speeds needed to get things moving in the here and now. Markets will continue to stagger forward and will anguish when they attempt to climb the hill(s). Hopefully, each of us can use organizations like NAAIM to find new and more effective ways to bring more help to our clients as well. Sincerely, Ken Graves 2016-2017 NAAIM President Mark Your Calendars… OUTLOOK 2016 November 14 - 15, 2016 Focusing on the Impact of Technology on Marketing and Trading Techniques within your Practice Uncommon Knowledge 2017 April 30 – May 3, 2017 Hilton San Diego Resort and Spa Dallas-Fort Worth Airport Marriott Hotel 10 July 2016 DOL Publishes Final Fiduciary Rule NAAIM Welcomes Five New Members continued from page 9 Fiduciary Rule supersedes this opinion by identifying any investment adviser who provides rollover recommendations for compensation as a Fiduciary, and as such, they must avoid engaging in prohibited transactions. Therefore, if the Adviser can increase his or her compensation as a result of a rollover recommendation, such recommendation would be a prohibited transaction absent an exemption. As discussed above, the Best Interest Contract Exemption is the primary means of relief for Advisers who will be providing rollover recommendations under the new Fiduciary Rule. An Adviser relying upon the Best Interest Contract Exemption must provide: 1.) a general statement of the Best Interest Standard of Care (as defined above); and 2.) a disclosure relating to the Adviser’s material conflicts of interest and related disclosures. Model Allocation Services For Level Fee Fiduciaries who provide model asset allocation services to plan sponsors and their participants, these advisers will be subject to the new Fiduciary Rule. By analogy to the DOL’s approach to rollover recommendations or recommendations to switch from a brokerage account to an advisory account, the recommendation to a plan participant to use an adviser’s model services may be a prohibited transaction when the adviser recommends to a plan participant that he or she should use the adviser’s allocation models, where such recommendation would increase the adviser’s compensation. For these advisers, they are permitted to rely on the BICE. Sections II (a), (d), (e), (f), (g), III, and V do not apply to recommendations by Financial Institutions and Advisers that are Level Fee Fiduciaries. However, these Level Fee Fiduciaries will still need to state in writing that the firm and it’s adviser(s) act as fiduciaries under ERISA or the Code, or both, with respect to any investment advice provided by the firm or the Adviser subject to the contract or, in the case of an ERISA plan, with respect to any investment recommendations regarding the Plan or participant or beneficiary account. In addition, these Level Fee Advisers will have to affirmatively state that it and its advisers will adhere to the Best Interest Standards, not receive compensation that is unreasonable and not make any misleading statements to the plan or participants. A statutory prohibited transaction exemption at ERISA section 408(b)(14) covers computer-generated investment advice that is available for robo-advice by non-Level Fee Fiduciaries. However, those topics are outside the scope of this article. Regular Members Kenneth Kiron EdgeShares Advisors LLC 445 Park Avenue, 9th Floor New York City, NY 10022 (212) 745-1125 Kenneth Golsan Golsan Scruggs 10998 SW 68th Pkwy. Portland, OR 97223 (503) 244-0297 Mark Minnella Integrity Investors, LLC 12647 Olive Blvd., Ste. 105 Creve Coeur, MO 63141 (314) 212-1404 James Lee StratFI 1201 N. Orange Street, Ste. 742 Wilmington, DE 19801 (302) 884-6742 Associate Member John Kosar Asbury Research 1901 N. Roselle Rd., Ste. 800 Schaumburg, IL 60195 (224) 569-4112 A Case Study continued from page 8 The “S&P 500® Dividend Aristocrats®” Index is a product of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and its affiliates and has been licensed for use by ProShares. “S&P®” is a registered trademark of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC (“S&P”) and “Dow Jones®” is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC (“Dow Jones”) and have been licensed for use by S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and its affiliates. ProShares have not been passed on by S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and its affiliates as to their legality or suitability. ProShares based on the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Index are not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, Dow Jones, S&P or their respective affiliates, and they make no representation regarding the advisability of investing in ProShares. THESE ENTITIES AND THEIR AFFILIATES MAKE NO WARRANTIES AND BEAR NO LIABILITY WITH RESPECT TO PROSHARES. ProShares are distributed by SEI Investments Distribution Co., which is not affiliated with the funds’ advisor or sponsor. For more information on Stark & Stark and articles published by the firm, visit http://stark-stark.com. www.naaim.org 11 Small RIA practitioners can thrive continued from page 1 thrive – quite nicely, thank you. In fact, smaller firms are often able to offer today’s investors greater responsiveness and a more satisfying service experience. The myth of extinction is unmasked by the data. The vast majority of RIAs currently doing business are, in fact, smaller firms. According to the RIA Database, nearly 75% of RIA independent wealth managers have under $100 million in assets under management. And studies by FA Insight (“People and Pay,” 2015) and Investment News (“Compensation and Staffing,” 2015) reveal that some of the most successful and most profitable firms are solo financial advisors supported by just a few staff members. Clients may also disagree that bigger is better when it comes to choosing a financial advisor. Many clients say that they prefer to work with smaller firms. They value the personal level of service they receive and the ability to know and work with the firm’s founding partners. With the largefirm scandals of the last decade and the 2008 financial crisis, investors seem less impressed with big firms and say they are more interested in a financial advisor with whom they can truly connect on a personal level. How do the leading smaller firms thrive in an increasingly competitive industry? They employ technology as the differentiator and as a gateway to scale and profitability. Here are some common characteristics of successful small firms: • They take full advantage of technology. Today, smaller firms have access to a trove of cost-effective technology tools, and the best small firms use technology to stay competitive and profitable. Using a high tech, high touch custodian offering a wide array of solutions can help a smaller RIA reach great profitability while simultaneously weaving in best of breed specialty technologies like CRM, account aggregation and risk assessment tools. Trust Company of America is a tech savvy custodian who embodies this approach. • They control overhead and maximize operational efficiency. Leading small firms limit the size of their staffs and use technology to leverage staff efficiency. Employing the right technology to automate back office tasks enables small firms to handle more clients per staff member. We regularly see advisors running a ratio of one person to greater than $50 million of AUM. • They simplify investment management. Leading small firms use model portfolios to implement their investment strategies, which enables them to leverage technology for maximum efficiency. By managing these models on the right technology platform, they can manage hundreds of client accounts in minutes, not hours or days. They can 12 • • • develop and manage multiple models in a single account, trade all accounts at once and rebalance hundreds of accounts in minutes with just a few clicks. And they can do it from a mobile device, like a tablet, while on the go. They have a plan for smaller accounts. The best small firms develop specific strategies or models for smaller accounts and then use a model-based trading platform to make decisions at the model – not account – level. Trading at the omnibus level – where account-level trades get aggregated into one model-level block trade – and asset-based pricing (no ticket charges) also help smaller accounts from being eroded by fees. They provide a client-centric service model. Leading small firms make their clients feel valued. They build deeper relationships and form more personal connections. They set the right expectations and provide the right services based on those expectations. And as they automate back office and investment management tasks with the right technology, it frees up time to spend on a high level of client service. Many of these smaller RIAs touch their clients in one fashion or another on a monthly basis. They differentiate themselves. In the competitive marketplace, the best small firms understand the importance of building their brand and differentiating themselves. They have a carefully developed value proposition that they clearly articulate to their clients. A strong brand helps small firms keep their services from being perceived as a commodity, and helps them establish deeper bonds with clients and connect more powerfully with potential clients. To paraphrase Mark Twain, the reports of the death of the small RIA firm has been greatly exaggerated. Smaller firms are thriving and growing and serving their clients incredibly well. They do so by using technology as a game changer, a high touch service model to support and grow their client base, and they work only with partners who truly support their business model and serve the RIA the way the RIA serves their clients. Joshua Pace is President and CEO of Trust Company of America. He assumed the role of CEO in June 2015 after serving as the Chief Business Officer, leading sales and business development efforts, since 2012. Joshua has more than 20 years of experience in the growth and leadership of a diverse set of financial, service and technology companies. He holds an MBA in international finance from the University of Colorado and a bachelor of science in accounting from the University of North Carolina, and is a certified public accountant. He currently serves as the founder and president of Bicycles for Humanity – Colorado, a non-profit delivering donated bicycles to healthcare workers in rural Africa. July 2016 Tricks of the Trade – Stock Market Clichés Dewayne Hall Q uick, off the top of your head, recite your favorite cliché. Got it? “It is what it is.” I say that one at least five times a week. Some clichés are just plain silly. “There’s no such thing as a stupid question.” My wife tells me that one’s just not true, there are stupid questions, and I tend to ask them. “Give it the old college try.” I’m sure some people tried in college, but neither I nor anyone I hung out with was one of them. “Take the bull by the horns.” Have you really thought this one through? The stock market has more than its fair share of clichés. But stock market clichés are just Code words for simple truths we are trying to hide. So here is your handy guide to the Top 30 Biggest Stock Market Cliches, along with their true meanings. #30 “I’m neutral on the stock.” Rather than do my research, last night I ordered Dominos and watched Andy Griffith reruns, so now I don’t have a clue about the stock but want to sound like I do. #29 “I’m a long-term investor.” “My stock has gone from $80 to $5.” #28 “There’s a lot of macro volatility right now” I have no clue what’s going on with the stock market, but I heard it has something to do with Trump. #27 “That was a fat finger trade” I fell asleep at my computer while placing a trade and accidentally hit the “0” a couple more times than I was supposed to, and now I own more shares of Disney than my house is worth. So now I’m going to hit the hydrocodone a couple more times than I’m supposed to. #26 “Sell in May and go away.” I’ve lost enough money for one year and am ready to go on vacation. #25 “It’s the start of a new quarter.” #22 “Buy when people are fearful, and sell when people are greedy.” If I throw a Warren Buffet quote at you maybe you’ll think I’m as good as Warren Buffet. #21 “We bounced off the 50 day moving average nicely.” Rather than inform you that we had you in cash and missed some good profit, we thought we might throw some technical jargon at you hoping to intimidate you into not asking any questions. #20 “There is minimal downside risk on this stock.” I’m getting stock tips from my personal trainer. #19 “What Wall Street is missing here is…” The reason why other investors should bail me out of my horrific trade is... #18 “I like the stock right here.” I flipped a coin and it came up heads. #17 “Put a tight stop-loss on it.” I have no confidence in this trade, so I’m adding this disclaimer so when it tanks you can’t blame me. #16 “The weak hands are getting shaken out.” I’ve lost a ton of money on this stock already, but I’m going to keep holding on until it gets delisted. #15 “I cut my losses.” I lost just one of my kids’ college tuitions. #14 “I’m cautiously optimistic.” I’m bipolar. #13 “The company missed estimates, and guided down for the next quarter.” I’m thinking about applying at Denny’s. #12 “We are hoping the bulls will take control of this market.” We’ve received a margin call. #11 “This is a strong buy.” I’m putting all my money in this one stock, lighting a candle, and praying for a miracle. #10 “I’m waiting for confirmation before I jump in.” I missed this entire move the first time, and want to make it sound like I planned to miss it all along. I realize your account didn’t make any money last quarter, but I’m reading a Tony Robbins book on positive thinking and thought I’d try it out on you. #9 “The company guided lower.” #24 “We need another round of quantitative easing.” I’m tired of hearing you made a bunch of money while I didn’t. I flunked Algebra. #23 “The market likes it.” Someone a lot smarter than me is buying it. I won’t be getting any sleep tonight. #8 “You have to get defensive here.” #7 “We’re off the lows of the session.” I’ve lost a boat load of money today, but at least I’m not as far down as I was a couple of minutes ago. continued on page 14 www.naaim.org 13 What’s Next for the Market Richard Losch T he FED indicates it might raise interest rates a quarter point and Mr. Market gets depressed. We have seen these abnormally low rates for so long that investors seem to have lost perspective. Realistically, it is going to take a lot more than a quarter percent raise from here to have any impact our economy. In 2008, the FED had to raise rates to 5.50% before the economy started to cool. In 2000, rates got to 6.75% before the tech bubble popped. The 1990 recession was preceded by rates of over 10%, and the granddaddy of all bubble poppers was Volker’s 1981 peak of 22.5%. Yet now Mr. Market is saying that increase from .5% to .75% is going to tank the economy. To get back to the 2008 peak at the current rate of increase would take 8.5 years. Even if we double the current rate and move up to a quarter of a point every quarter it would still take almost five years before seeing anything that approaches tight money. Certainly there is much to worry about. With nothing in the political news likely to help the economy, a lot of conversation topics include overvaluation in the stock market. However, closer examination reveals that much of this overvaluation is concentrated in a small number of very large capitalization stocks. So, it is a bit of over simplification to attribute this overvaluation to the stock market as a whole. In fact, it is still not difficult to find reasonably priced companies even though this is not the impression given by the price/earnings ratio of the S&P 500. Surely, one of the best examples of this is Berkshire Hathaway. At its current price, it offers a very attractive balance between risk and reward. There are others, such as IBM, Fluor, Phillips 66, Core Molding Technologies, and Chicago Bridge and Iron, to name a few. Sentiment Indicators While sentiment indicators mean very little most of the time, sometimes they can be helpful as a contrary indicator by identifying what is going on in the minds of investors. (Buy when others are nervous, raise cash when the fear goes away). Investor Sentiment shows only 17% of investors are bullish as May 26, 2016, the lowest level of bullish sentiment since 2009. Short interest on NYSE stocks is currently at all-time highs. A poll of professional investors by “Barron’s” Magazine earlier this year showed institutional investors with the lowest levels on long equity positions since 2012. This is not to say that sentiment indicators should always be taken as an absolute contrary indicator, but my sense is that periods of high bearish sentiment do not coincide with periods of high risk in the market. If everyone is already bearish there is not a lot of fuel left to generate a major decline. Being no better at predicting the future than anyone else I do not know if the market is going to continue up from here, I have been adding a few positions lately based on, of all things, company fundamentals. Richard Losch is a Fee Only RIA registered in Florida for twenty years. His firm is based in Orlando and manages concentrated Equity Portfolios. Tricks of the Trade – Stock Market Clichés continued from page 13 #6 “There are big headline risks right now.” #1 “Our thesis is still intact.” I’m not quite sure how I’m going to lose money, but I should know pretty soon. We are way underwater on this trade. We may not have quite hit rock bottom on it just yet, but we can see the ocean floor. #5 “We try not to get emotional.” We haven’t stepped out on the ledge for three days now. #4 “We are looking for some safe havens here.” A ten-year note yielding only 1% is still better than we can do. #3 “I think we’re close to a turn here.” We better be close to a turn here or I may have to drop basic cable. Of course this list is not exhaustive, and if you’ve invested for very long you probably have several to add. DeWayne Hall founded Good Life Asset Strategies in 2012. Utilizing a blend of both stocks and options, Good Life specializes in active management strategies for high net worth individuals and institutions. [email protected]. #2 “Your stock is up 10% in the past three days!” I need you to forget that your stock is down over 50% in the past three months. 14 July 2016