Serbia
Transcription
Serbia
Serbia EBRD country factsheet As at 1 January 2007, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) had signed 69 projects in Serbia, totalling over €1 billion. This has helped to generate an additional €1.28 billion from other sources. A total of 47 per cent of investments are in the private sector. E u r o p e Highlights The EBRD’s activities have increased significantly over recent years, reaching just over €1 billion by the end of December 2006 (in 2006 new commitments reached €327 million). Initially, energy and other infrastructure projects dominated the Bank’s portfolio, but the Bank is shifting its focus to projects in the private sector. EBRD commitments to financial institutions increased to €256 million and included loans or equity investments in Komercijalna Bank, ProCredit Bank, Volksbank, Opportunity Bank, Société Générale, Zentrallbank Östereich Raiffeisen, HVB, Metals Banka and Cacanska Banka. One exit, Eksim Bank, was successfully achieved. Several transactions in the financial sector supported local banks through mortgage financing. In 2006, the EBRD committed €110 million to infrastructure projects, including a €60 million loan to Serbian Railways for the procurement of new freight wagons in order to meet booming demand. The Bank also committed €49.6 million to the City of Belgrade for the new Sava river bridge. In the corporate sector (agribusiness, manufacturing, property/tourism and telecoms), the EBRD increased its portfolio to €209 million with a strong focus on local agribusiness. Projects included a loan to Sevojno Copper Rolling Mill, the first post-privatisation restructuring project; a second loan to Hemofarm for a new plant in Russia; and a loan to Ball Packaging for an aluminium can facility – the biggest greenfield investment in the country. Latest news EBRD supports Serbian confectionary maker €10 million to Soko Štark supports regional cooperation The EBRD is lending Soko Štark, the leading Serbian confectionery producer, up to €10 million to support its modernization programme to upgrade and renew its machinery, as well as to develop new products and further support its brand and market development. Soko Štark’s performance and sales have in the past been affected by lack of investment. In 2005 Grand Kafa, a local company majority-owned by Slovenia’s largest food and beverage company, Droga Kolinska, became the majority shareholder. Soko Štark has made, and intends to make significant additional investments to support restructuring, which, with EBRD investment, will be >>last page further extended. EBRD commitments by year € million 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 02 03 04 05 06 Projects included a loan to Sevojno Copper Rolling Mill, the first post-privatisation restructuring project. Growth remains strong and inflation has returned to singledigit levels on the back of very tight monetary policies. Background information Economic focus Basic facts Performance and prospects Population (in millions) Growth remains strong and inflation has returned to singledigit levels on the back of very tight monetary policies, but high public expenditure and the large current account deficit need to be addressed to ensure further development of the private sector. Area (‘000 sq. km) 55 per cent National currency ´ Average, transition countries n Serbia 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 0 Transition indicators, 2006 n Serbia Servicing of the external public debt will continue to be a challenge over the next few years, with debt service requirements for 2006 estimated at almost US$ 2 billion, and expected to rise further in the coming years, compared to less than US$ 1 billion two years ago. 4.5 Outlook and risks 1.5 ´ Maximum, transition countries ´ Minimum, transition countries 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.0 0.5 Infrastructure reform Non-bank financial institutions Banking reform Competition policy Trade and forex system Price liberalisation Enterprise restructuring 0.0 Large-scale privatisation The Serbian economy has strong growth potential, but the risks that this potential will not be realised are high in the short term. The main risks are that unresolved issues about the country’s future, notably concerning the status of Kosovo, will distract attention from urgent economic reforms and progress towards EU integration and, if tensions were to escalate, could deter foreign investment. A key short-term macroeconomic risk is that credit to the private sector could be squeezed by a combination of high public investment and spending and the ongoing efforts by the central bank to dampen inflation. Dinar Real GDP (1989 = 100) 1992 Strong export growth and continued high inflows of transfers have helped to keep a lid on the current account balance in 2006, although a surge in imports has led to a deficit of around 17 per cent of GDP. Flows of inward foreign investment remain very strong and are estimated to be in excess of €3 billion in 2006, about half of which is accounted for by the sale of Mobi63 to Telenor of Norway. The country’s overall debt levels are moderate, but private debt is rising rapidly. Private sector share in GDP (2006) 1991 External sector na Small-scale privatisation Several industries that have benefited in recent years from substantial foreign investment, such as tobacco and base metals, are growing particularly strongly. Service growth is particularly rapid at close to 30 per cent, while the relatively mild winter weather contributed to construction sector growth of about 35 per cent. Serbian GDP per capita in 2006 at current international US$ 1990 The Serbian economy has grown strongly over the past couple of years. Real growth in 2006 was around5.7 per cent and growth has accelerated again in the the first quarter of 2007, according to preliminary figures. 102 Official language 1989 Real economy 10 The transition indicators range from 1 to 4+, with 1 representing little or no change from a rigid centrally planned economy and 4+ representing the standards of an industrialised market economy. For more information Visit the EBRD at: www.ebrd.com/economics Particular attention will continue to be paid to the agribusiness, natural resources and property sectors. EBRD strategy Operational priorities Key dates Private corporate Latest strategy The EBRD aims to increase its operations with local private corporate clients, and promote their investments in new technology and environmental improvements. The privatisation process and post-privatisation restructuring will be supported. Next strategy 2009 Joined EBRD January 2001 Financing of greenfield investments with foreign strategic investors will continue. Particular attention will continue to be paid to the agribusiness, natural resources and property sectors. February 2007 EBRD commitments by sector As at end of 2006 Energy Natural resources, Power and energy Financial sector Banking sector, Equity funds, Trade finance, Non-bank FI Infrastructure Corporate sector The Bank will, in cooperation with the EIB, the EU and the World Bank, continue lending for key infrastructure projects where a clear transition impact can be achieved. Priority will be given to projects with a strong regional dimension. The Bank will support corporate restructuring in the electricity, gas and oil, road and railway sectors. Additional support will also be provided to developing the roads network given Serbia’s strategic location on the PanEuropean Corridor X and urgent need to alleviate transit traffic away from the centre of Belgrade, which will achieved with the completion of the bypass. The Bank will advance commercial financing to municipalities. Agribusiness, Manufacturing, Property/Tourism, Telecoms Infrastructure Municipal and environmental infrastructure, Transport Micro and small business financing Hungary Subotica Croatia Financial sector The EBRD will increasingly look for opportunities to support the rapidly emerging non-bank FI sector, in particular insurance, leasing and pension funds. It will also look for opportunities to further consolidate and increase the market share of strong commercial banks, as well as continuing its support to micro-lending institutions. The level of private sector lending in the Bank’s portfolio remains at a relatively low level because of large commitments to public sector infrastructure projects but is expected to increase significantly over the coming period. Scale (km) Novi Sad Belgrade Bosnia & Herzegovina 0 Romania Smederevo Valjevo Kragujevac Krusevac Montenegro Nis Kosovo Pristina Adriatic Sea 100 Albania FYR Macedonia n EBRD office For more information Visit the EBRD at: www.ebrd.com/serbia Bulgaria Gilles Mettetal, EBRD Director for Agribusiness, said this deal will help continue the transformation of this company that has a long tradition in the region to build on its success as a leading sweet and savoury producer in Serbia. The loan also reflects the EBRD’s strategy of supporting projects that have a regional dimension and that demonstrate the benefits of cross-border investment, said Mr Mettetal. cont.>> Contacts Belgrade Resident Office Established in 1922 as the leading confectionary producer in Serbia, Soko Štark employs 1,419 staff at its offices in Belgrade. Its main products include sweets, biscuits and savoury products. Droga Kolinska Group is a global company that sells leading brands such as Argeta, Grand Kafa, Donat, Cockta Barcaffe, Bebi, Maestro and Zlato Polje world-wide. Droga Kolinska Group has been successfully implementing a strategy to grow internationally by investing in acquired companies in Serbia, such as Grand Prom and Soko Štark, and completing investments in its Greenfield factory in Bosnia and Herzegovina. These investments, together with the EBRD’s support, are crucial to helping Droga Kolinska Group achieve its goal of becoming the largest food company in the region, said Robert Ferko, CEO of Droga Kolinska. In the first nine months of 2006 the Group’s sales reached €240 million, with a net profit of €13.5 million. The current performances of Grand Prom and Soko Štark also indicate that their sales and net profit targets in 2006 will be met, both of which are significant also for increasing the sales of other Droga Kolinska brands in Serbia. This deal is important as it supports the restructuring and immediate modernisation of the leading Serbian confectionery producer following its privatisation, said Dragica Pilipovic-Chaffey, EBRD Director for Serbia. It further demonstrates the opportunities available to other strategic investors who want to develop their business. Selected projects signed by the EBRD in 2006 Project name Description Sector Serbian Railways rolling stock Purchase of freight wagons to increase efficiency. Transport Sava river crossing Construction of a bridge to relieve traffic Municipal congestion, noise and traffic-related air infrastructure pollution. Portfolio class Total Project EBRD value finance (€ million) (€ million) Bulevar Dr Zorana Djindjica 64A, 5th Floor 11070 Novi Beograd Serbia Tel: +381 11 212 0529 +381 11 212 0530 +381 11 212 0531 Fax: +381 11 212 0534 Country Director: Hildegard Gacek (from 1 July 2007) Headquarters EBRD One Exchange Square London EC2A 2JN Tel: +44 20 7338 6000 Fax: +44 20 7338 6100 Business Group Director Peter Reiniger BGD CE, West Balkans and Telecom Tel: +44 20 7338 6668 Fax: +44 20 7338 7588 New business enquiries Business Development Unit Tel: +44 20 7338 7168 Fax: +44 20 7338 7848 E-mail: [email protected] Existing project enquiries Project Enquiries Tel: +44 20 7338 6282 Fax: +44 20 7338 7848 Email: [email protected] State 60.0 161.6 Private 49.6 161.2 Komercijalna Banka Equity investment for improving facilities Bank equity Beograd preincluding IT and staff training, leading to privatisation full privatisation. Private 70.0 70.0 JKR Resource Equity investment in a company in the Manufacturing river aggregates and roads maintenance sectors. Private 30.2 30.2 Soko Štark Loan to a leading confectionery company Agribusiness for modernisation and restructuring. Private 10.0 26.5 Tel: +44 20 7338 7356 Fax: +44 20 7338 7742 Email: [email protected] Somboled Modernisation and development of a dairy company. Agribusiness Private 10.0 25.6 Publications GTC Residential, Belgrade Construction of around 200 residential units aimed at Serbia’s growing middleclass. Property and tourism Private 8.2 22.3 Cacanska Banka Equity investment to fund continued growth and as a first step towards full privatisation. Bank equity Private 15.0 15.0 HVB Group Debt Facility Framework Credit lines provided to BACA-HVB Bank lending Banka Srbija i Crna Gora (Mortgage Loan II and III) for on-lending as long-term mortgage loans. Private 15.0 15.0 TurnAround Management and Business Advisory Services Tel: +44 20 7338 7553 Fax: +44 20 7338 6102 Email: [email protected] www.ebrd.com
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