Nicaragua
Transcription
Nicaragua
XII CEPA MEETING UN CEPA PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS IN SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT AND FOR SOCIAL NETWORKING CASE: NICARAGUA Dr. Paul Oquist MINISTER PRIVATE SECRETARY FOR NATIONAL POLICIES PRESIDENCY OF THE REPUBLIC New York, April, 2013 THE NEED FOR PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP FOR THE HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IN NICARAGUA • Social challenges – Second poorest country of Latin America and the Caribbean – 2,440,482 poor people and 838,377 people in extreme poverty (2009) out of a total population of 6.2 million (42.5% in poverty) – Malnutrition – Unemployment • Economic challenges – GDP per capita is 27% less than Honduras, the third poorest country of Latinamerica – A minimun 8% growth required to meet the basic demands that remain unsatisfied for many Nicaraguan families – Transformation of our agriculture towards higher productivity and value added – Transformation through mega investments in infrastructure • Environmental challenges: Preservation of our natural resources forests, water, soils, biodiversity under the pressure of climate change • Climate change: Between 3.5-6oC of temperature increase in this century, hurracanes, storms, Niño/Niña rotationWorldwide economy: Challenge of a second w-shaped recession 2 EL PELIGRO DE LA W CRISIS DEL CAPITALISMO Crecimiento Económico de China e India Crecimiento Económico en EUROPA (Variación Porcentual Anual) (Variación Porcentual Anual) 16 6 14 4 12 2 10 0 8 -2 6 -4 4 -6 2 Eurozona España Italia Francia China India Alemania 0 -8 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 (p) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 (p) Fuente: FMI 3 MODEL BASED ON CHRISTIAN VALUES, SOCIALIST IDEALS AND SOLIDARITY PRACTICES CAPACITY BUILDING OVERCOMING VICIOUS CIRCLES RECOVERING VALUES KNOWLEDGE AND SKILLS FOR DEVELOPMENT TRAINING AND SKILLS DEVELOPMENT, TECHNOLOGY AND LANGUAGES CITIZEN POWER AND PUBLIC PARTICIPATION SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION POVERTY AND INEQUALITY REDUCTION MACROECONOMIC STABILITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH GRAND ALLIANCE WORKERSPRODUCERS AND ENTREPRENEURS -GOVERNMENT CHALLENGE: CLIMATE CHANGE RESTORATION OF RIGHTS JOB CREATION LOWER COST OF LIVING PUBLIC SAFETY SOCIAL COHESION AND DYNAMIC, POSITIVE INVESTMENT CLIMATE BUILDING VIRTUOUS CIRCLES CAPITALIZATION AND SUBSIDY PROGRAMS MINIMUM WAGE BY CONSENSUS; 1 DIGIT INFLATION; HIGH RESERVES, FREE EXCHANGE AND DEBTS REDUCTION PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENTS ENERGY INVESTMENTS INFRAESTRUCTURE PROTECTION OF MOTHER EARTH AND ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE CHALLENGE: WORLD ECONOMY 4 AN EDUCATION SYSTEM THAT CONTRIBUTE TO THE TRANSFORMATION OF NICARAGUA • General Baccalaureate • Technical High School Diploma • Infrastructure and equipment of training centers More technical scholarships 767,974 technical scholarships More scholarships for languages 85,647 scholarships for languages More technical graduates 1,236,735 enrolled 1,131,186 graduates 43,712 agricultural technicians TECHNICAL, TECHNOLOGICAL AND LANGUAGE EDUCATION AND TRAINING (High priority) FREE AND UNIVERSAL EDUCATION (Sixth Grade Battle 1,200,000 school lunches 1,500,000 education packs and Third year Battle in 2015) FORMATION AND TRAINING OF NICARAGUANS FOR THE TRANSFORMATIO N OF NICARAGUA HIGHER EDUCATION More Research, Science and Technology National Universities LITERACY AND POST- LITERACY (550,000 people in 2012-2016) Regional and Local Govt. People National Government 5 HEALTH STRATEGY MAIN INDICATORS 2011 Achivements in 2012 2015 % of people attended MOSAFC 50% 100% The maternal mortality rate was reduced from 93 deaths for each 100,000 births alive in 2006 to 53 in 2012. % of chronic malnutrition in children under 3 years 20% 16% Operación Milagro: 23,350 eye operations for a total of 123,350 eye operations in the period 2007-2012 Maternal mortality rate 53 40 Infant mortality rate 25 19 Vaccine applied in National Campaigns (Thousands) 1,486 1,500 11,910,506 12,499,992 Medical consultations in I and II levels of care Todos Con Voz, 254,258 visits and house care for disabled people National campaign for vaccination: 1,810,629 applied doses of different vaccines to people of all ages. Fight anti-epidemic against Dengue: 5,083,728 visits to homes to ensure abatización 6 MODEL BASED ON CHRISTIAN VALUES, SOCIALIST IDEALS AND SOLIDARITY PRACTICES CAPACITY BUILDING OVERCOMING VICIOUS CIRCLES RECOVERING VALUES KNOWLEDGE AND SKILLS FOR DEVELOPMENT TRAINING AND SKILLS DEVELOPMENT, TECHNOLOGY AND LANGUAGES CITIZEN POWER AND PUBLIC PARTICIPATION SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION POVERTY AND INEQUALITY REDUCTION MACROECONOMIC STABILITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH GRAND ALLIANCE WORKERSPRODUCERS AND ENTREPRENEURS -GOVERNMENT CHALLENGE: CLIMATE CHANGE RESTORATION OF RIGHTS JOB CREATION LOWER COST OF LIVING PUBLIC SAFETY SOCIAL COHESION AND DYNAMIC, POSITIVE INVESTMENT CLIMATE BUILDING VIRTUOUS CIRCLES PROGRAMS, CAPITALIZATION AND SUBSIDIES WAGE CONSENSUS; 1 DIGIT INFLATION; HIGH RESERVES, FREE EXCHANGE AND DEBTS REDUCTION PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENTS ENERGY INVESTMENTS INFRAESTRUCTURE PROTECTION OF MOTHER EARTH AND ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE CHALLENGE: WORLD ECONOMY 7 NATIONAL SCIENTIFIC RESEARCH PRIORITIES • Food security: Corn, bean, potato, vegetables, Arabica Coffee • Dry areas: productive alternatives, irrigation 2. Climate change adaptation • Roya (Rust) • Antracnosis • Ojo de gallo 1. Coffee diseases • Genomic of marine species • Protection and conservation of the natural heritage of the country 5. Biodiversity and Marine Genomics • Water quality • Planting and harvesting water • Watershed management 3. Water • Conservation and sustainable use of nature • Emphasis on the discovery and use of microorganisms 4. Nicaraguan Biodiversity • Solar • Wind • Biodigestores • For communities and isolated families • Educational • Agricultural • Environmental • For transforming agriculture • For Megaprojects • To improve Public Management 6.Alternative energy sources 7. Applications for NICASAT1 8. Education and training Ad hoc groups: national from all sectors and international experts MODEL BASED ON CHRISTIAN VALUES, SOCIALIST IDEALS AND SOLIDARITY PRACTICES CAPACITY BUILDING OVERCOMING VICIOUS CIRCLES RECOVERING VALUES KNOWLEDGE AND SKILLS FOR DEVELOPMENT TRAINING AND SKILLS DEVELOPMENT, TECHNOLOGY AND LANGUAGES CITIZEN POWER AND PUBLIC PARTICIPATION SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION POVERTY AND INEQUALITY REDUCTION MACROECONOMIC STABILITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH GRAND ALLIANCE WORKERSPRODUCERS AND ENTREPRENEURS -GOVERNMENT CHALLENGE: CLIMATE CHANGE RESTORATION OF RIGHTS JOB CREATION LOWER COST OF LIVING PUBLIC SAFETY SOCIAL COHESION AND DYNAMIC, POSITIVE INVESTMENT CLIMATE BUILDING VIRTUOUS CIRCLES PROGRAMS, CAPITALIZATION AND SUBSIDIES WAGE CONSENSUS; 1 DIGIT INFLATION; HIGH RESERVES, FREE EXCHANGE AND DEBTS REDUCTION PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENTS ENERGY INVESTMENTS INFRAESTRUCTURE PROTECTION OF MOTHER EARTH AND ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE CHALLENGE: WORLD ECONOMY 9 POVERTY REDUCTION General poverty by consumption Extreme poverty by consumption 48.3% 17.2% 45.8% 15.1% 14.6% INIDE 42.5% FIDEG 9.7% 9.0% 2001 2005 2009 2001 31.6 2005 2009 Urbano Less than US$2 PA* a day Rural 51.4 Less than US$1.25 20.5 11.2 5.5 EMNV 2009 EMNV 2005 EMNV 2009 Variación -10.6 Less than US$2 PA* a day 15.9 10.7 Variación -5.7 2011 35.7 21 EMNV 2005 2010 Greater reduction in rural zones By income: Comparison 2005-2009 (Percentages) Less than US$1.25 a day 8.2% 3.8 1.5 EMNV 2005 EMNV 2009 9.8 Variación -2.3 -9.8 EMNV 2005 EMNV 2009 Variación -6.1 -15.7 10 INEQUALITY REDUCTION Porcentual Variation of GINI coefficient in Latin America and the Caribbean 2005-2009 6.60 0.38 0.88 -0.34 -6.20 -6.04 -9.80 -15.10 Fuente: CEPAL GINI income in Nicaragua 2005 0.41* 2005 0.51 2009 0.37* 2009 0.46 2010 0.35** 2011 0.34** *INIDE **FIDEG -3.99 -3.04 -3.03 -2.46 -1.13 PROACTIVE REDISTRIBUTIVE POLICIES -8.60 GINI consumption in Nicaragua -5.84 • Free health and education: US$ 845.38/ayear, plus U.S. $ 625.40 in special cases (operations, chronic illness, pregnancy) • Increased minimum real wage +40.67% • Subsidies: US$ 1,110.40/year Public Transportation: US$ 321.08/year Drinking water: US$ 53.51/year House electricity: US$ 160.54/year ENABAS Food: US$ 200.68/year Christian Socialist and Solidarity Bonus: US$ 374.59/year • Capitalization of poor families: Zero Hunger: Until US$ 1,500.00, average: US$710.00 Zero Usury : US$ 250.00 11 GENDER EQUITY Inter-Parliamentary Union The percentage of women in the parliaments of the world Cuba and Nicaragua are the only Latin American countries in the top 10 in the world with greater participation of women in national parliaments. Nicaragua rose from 18.5% in 2006 to 42.3% in 2012 THE 10 FIRST COUNTRIES RWANDA ANDORRA CUBA SUECIA SEYCHELLES FINLANDIA NICARAGUA SUDÁFRICA HOLANDA ISLANDIA (56.3%) (50.0%) (45.2%) (44.7%) (43.8%) (42.5%) (42.3%) (42.3%) (40.7%) (39.7%) New Law: 50% -50% in the Parliament (Nicaragua take second in the world) and for mayors, vice mayors and councilors World Index of Gender Gap 2012 -World Economic ForumPuesto 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 País Islandia Finlandia Noruega Suecia Irlanda Nueva Zelanda Dinamarca Filipinas Nicaragua Suiza Holanda Bélgica Alemania Lesoto Letonia Sudáfrica Luxemburgo Reino Unido Cuba Austria Nicaragua: from place 90 in 2007 to number 9 in 2012 12 MODEL BASED ON CHRISTIAN VALUES, SOCIALIST IDEALS AND SOLIDARITY PRACTICES CAPACITY BUILDING OVERCOMING VICIOUS CIRCLES RECOVERING VALUES KNOWLEDGE AND SKILLS FOR DEVELOPMENT TRAINING AND SKILLS DEVELOPMENT, TECHNOLOGY AND LANGUAGES CITIZEN POWER AND PUBLIC PARTICIPATION SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION POVERTY AND INEQUALITY REDUCTION MACROECONOMIC STABILITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH GRAND ALLIANCE WORKERSPRODUCERS AND ENTREPRENEURS -GOVERNMENT CHALLENGE: CLIMATE CHANGE RESTORATION OF RIGHTS JOB CREATION LOWER COST OF LIVING PUBLIC SAFETY SOCIAL COHESION AND DYNAMIC, POSITIVE INVESTMENT CLIMATE BUILDING VIRTUOUS CIRCLES PROGRAMS, CAPITALIZATION AND SUBSIDIES WAGE CONSENSUS; 1 DIGIT INFLATION; HIGH RESERVES, FREE EXCHANGE AND DEBTS REDUCTION PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENTS ENERGY INVESTMENTS INFRAESTRUCTURE PROTECTION OF MOTHER EARTH AND ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE CHALLENGE: WORLD ECONOMY 13 THE GRAND NATIONAL ALLIANCE National Government + UNAG, UPANIC FEDEGAN COOP Others Big and small producers + Workers PROSPERITY-PEACE - STABILITY - SECURITY–COMPLEMENTARITY-JOBS - VOLUNTEERING + Regional Governments + + Local Governments People organized 14 MACROECONOMIC STABILITY AND GROWTH Economic growth in Central America in 2012 (Percent variation) Economic growth in Nicaragua 2007-2012 (Percent Variation) 6.0 5.0 5.0 5.2 5.4 4.0 4.0 3.6 3.0 2.0 1.0 - 2007 (1.0) 2008 2009 (2.0) (3.0) 2010 2011 2012 (2.2) Fuente: BCN National CPI in January 2010 – December 2012 (Cumulative percentage change) 10 2012 2010 2011 8 6 4.90 4 2.85 1.36 2 1.77 0.13 0 2.19 2.46 2.72 2,400 2224.3 2,200 2,000 1887.2 1,800 2047.8 1949.62005.9 2130.1 1799.0 1,600 1573.1 1,400 1,200 -2 -4 2.53 3.39 3.90 9 . 7. 2 6.62 95 3 Gross International Reserves (U.S. $ Millions) 1103.3 1140.8 1,000 Fuente: BCN 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Fuente: BCN & PEF 15 Déficits Fiscal en Nicaragua 2000-2012 2.0 (Porcentaje del PIB) 1.0 0.0 (1.0) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 (2.0) (3.0) (4.0) (5.0) (6.0) (7.0) Fuente: BCN 7,000 Total Exports (US$ Million) EXPORT DYNAMISM GRUN II GRUN I 5,989.50 5,618.00 5,210.40 4,827.80 4,474.50 4,057.0 3,157.5 2,531.3 2,390.5 2,186.2 1,932.1 1,654.1 2,000 1,369.0 1,056.0 895.3914.4 880.6 1,000 3,000 0 86.2 Total 66.7 62.3 19.5 61.8 58.0 45.5 2006 FUENTE: BCN & proyecciones PEF 4,000 Before GRUN Public Debt Balance (Percentage of GDP) Fuente: BCN 6,000 5,000 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 16.9 2007 42.7 15.3 2008 61.0 45.4 16.4 2009 Externa 56.3 46.0 15.0 2010 43.7 12.6 2011 MODEL BASED ON CHRISTIAN VALUES, SOCIALIST IDEALS AND SOLIDARITY PRACTICES CAPACITY BUILDING OVERCOMING VICIOUS CIRCLES RECOVERING VALUES KNOWLEDGE AND SKILLS FOR DEVELOPMENT TRAINING AND SKILLS DEVELOPMENT, TECHNOLOGY AND LANGUAGES CITIZEN POWER AND PUBLIC PARTICIPATION SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION POVERTY AND INEQUALITY REDUCTION MACROECONOMIC STABILITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH GRAND ALLIANCE WORKERSPRODUCERS AND ENTREPRENEURS -GOVERNMENT CHALLENGE: CLIMATE CHANGE RESTORATION OF RIGHTS JOB CREATION LOWER COST OF LIVING PUBLIC SAFETY SOCIAL COHESION AND DYNAMIC, POSITIVE INVESTMENT CLIMATE BUILDING VIRTUOUS CIRCLES PROGRAMS, CAPITALIZATION AND SUBSIDIES WAGE CONSENSUS; 1 DIGIT INFLATION; HIGH RESERVES, FREE EXCHANGE AND DEBTS REDUCTION PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENTS ENERGY INVESTMENTS INFRAESTRUCTURE PROTECTION OF MOTHER EARTH AND ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE CHALLENGE: WORLD ECONOMY 17 INCREASED WORK Employed Population (thousands of people) 3,500.0 2,500.0 2,089.8 1,000.0 2012/2006: 222,1359 people, +52.8% 3,096.0 650,000 2,435.0 2012/2011: 161.8 thousand people, +5.5% 2,000.0 1,500.0 750,000 2,934.1 2,739.0 3,000.0 Employees registered at INSS 550,000 2012/2006: 1,006.2 thousand people, +48.2% 450,000 471,856 495,585 642,451 596,328 516,376 547,693 2012/2011: 46,123 people, +7.7% 420,316 350,000 500.0 250,000 - 2006 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 nov-12 Open Unemployment Rate (percentage change by mobile Quarter) 10 10 Reduction of the open unemployment rate 2006 2012 9 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 5 18 Oct-12 Aug-12 Jun-12 Apr-12 Feb-12 Dec-11 Oct-11 Aug-11 Jun-11 Apr-11 Feb-11 Dec-10 Oct-10 Aug-10 Jun-10 Apr-10 Feb-10 Dec-09 Oct-09 Aug-09 Jun-09 Apr-09 Source: based on ECH SURVEY OF COST OF LIVING IN LATIN AMERICA: MANAGUA IN NICARAGUA (POSITION 213) ONE OF THE CITIES WITH LOW COST OF LIVING 19 PUBLIC SAFETY 2010 Daily Homicides HOMICIDES IN CENTRAL AMERICA Guatemala: Honduras: El Salvador: Nicaragua: Costa Rica: Total región: 8.8 (Global Rates-WHO) 26 (Latin American Rates – UNDP) 18 17 12 2.1 1.3 48.4 Homicide Rates in Central America (per 100,000 inhabitants) 2010 86.0 77.0 66.9 2011 72.0 Vehicular theft in Central America 41.0 39.0 8,095 2010 7,334 13.0 12.5 2011 12.0 12.0 5,475 5,222 Honduras El Salvador Guatemala Nicaragua 3,800 Costa Rica 3,130 Homicide rates in Nicaragua, 2012: 11 per 100 000 inhabitants 2,811 1,035 366 720 Guatemala Honduras Costa Rica El Salvador Panamá 387 272 Nicaragua 20 INVESTMENT PORTAFOLIO US$ 11.5 BILLION IN 2012-2016 ELECTRONICS MANUFACTURING MINING EXPLORATION US$ 600 MILLION US$ 359.4 MILLION TOURISM OIL EXPLORATION US$ 353.6 MILLION US$ 555 MILLION TELECOMUNICATIONS PORTS US$ 281 MILLION US$ 2,018.3 MILLONES AGROINDUSTRY REFINERY “SUPREME DREAM OF BOLÍVAR” US$ 3,880.4 MILLION EXPANSION AND TRANSFORMATION OF THE ENERGY MATRIX US$ 1,999.1 MILLION US$ 334.3 MILLION HIGHER ECONOMIC GROWTH THAT CONTRIBUTES TO ERADICATE EXTREME POVERTY FREE ZONES US$ 644.6 MILLION OTHERS US$ 121 MILLION THE GRAND INTEROCEANIC CANAL OF NICARAGUA US$ 40 MIL MILLONES: Wet and dry Canal, Airport, Railway, Free Zones in the Caribbean and Pacific, and Pipeline 21 PRODUCTION STRATEGY: HIGHER PRODUCTIVITY AND FOOD SECURITY 49% of the employed are in Family Economy Agricultura Familiar 21% more in the Micro, Small and Medium rural and urban production 70% of employment and 40% of GDP Asociatividad Family, Community, Cooperative and Associative Economy Ministry for Family, Community, Cooperatives and Asociativity economy Pequeña y mediana Agroindustria MIPYMES Universities: Research, Innovation, and Technology Asociativity and Cooperativism Agroindustry promotion to greater value-added Public-private Alliances Improved practices, technology, irrigation, loans, technical assisstance, marketing support Protection for Mother Earth; Mitigation and adaptation to Climate Change22 FROM PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP TO SOCIAL COHESION IN NICARAGUA 1/2 • Consensual style of government (from 2007) – Councils and Citizen Power Cabinets at community, municipal, departmental and national – Production Cabinets involving private producers – Social responsibilities shared between the national government, local governments and all sectors of society for the care of the commons • Grand Alliance: workers-private sector-government – The minimum wage negotiation by consensus in the past 3 years, even for a horizon of four years in the future in the case of the Free Zone – It also promotes and accompanying national and international investments in the country – Tax reform by consensus in 2012 • Massive participation of the people: 1.1 million volunteers in social programs, specially women and young Social cohesion: economic, social, political and cultural factors creating virtuous circles for the transformation of Nicaragua for the benefit of 23 Nicaraguan families. FROM SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC ALLIANCES TO SOCIAL COHESION IN NICARAGUA 2/2 • A greater participation of women in politics – In 2006: 18% of the sent in the National Assembly were held by women – In 2012: 43% – In 2016: 50% (New law already applied in Municipalities) • A greater economic participation of poor women – Zero Hunger and Zero Usury Programs • A communitarian public security model • Social programs + economic growth and macroeconomic stability + jobs + export growth + investment boom generate optimism and even enthusiasm, especially with youth that has confidence in the future. Social cohesion: economic, social, political and cultural factors creating virtuous circles for the transformation of Nicaragua for the benefit of 24 Nicaraguan families. MODEL BASED ON CHRISTIAN VALUES, SOCIALIST IDEALS AND SOLIDARITY PRACTICES CAPACITY BUILDING OVERCOMING VICIOUS CIRCLES RECOVERING VALUES KNOWLEDGE AND SKILLS FOR DEVELOPMENT TRAINING AND SKILLS DEVELOPMENT, TECHNOLOGY AND LANGUAGES CITIZEN POWER AND PUBLIC PARTICIPATION SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION POVERTY AND INEQUALITY REDUCTION MACROECONOMIC STABILITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH GRAND ALLIANCE WORKERSPRODUCERS AND ENTREPRENEURS -GOVERNMENT CHALLENGE: CLIMATE CHANGE RESTORATION OF RIGHTS JOB CREATION LOWER COST OF LIVING PUBLIC SAFETY SOCIAL COHESION AND DYNAMIC, POSITIVE INVESTMENT CLIMATE BUILDING VIRTUOUS CIRCLES PROGRAMS, CAPITALIZATION AND SUBSIDIES WAGE CONSENSUS; 1 DIGIT INFLATION; HIGH RESERVES, FREE EXCHANGE AND DEBTS REDUCTION PRODUCTIVE INVESTMENTS ENERGY INVESTMENTS INFRAESTRUCTURE PROTECTION OF MOTHER EARTH AND ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE CHALLENGE: WORLD ECONOMY 25