ERJ 145 - Embraer
Transcription
ERJ 145 - Embraer
Institutional Presentation November 2003 Forward Looking Statement This presentation includes forward-looking statements or statements about events or circumstances which have not occurred. We have based these forward-looking statements largely on our current expectations and projections about future events and financial trends affecting our business and our future financial performance. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions, including, among other things: general economic, political and business conditions, both in Brazil and in our market. The words “believes,” “may,” “will,” “estimates,” “continues,” “anticipates,” “intends,” “expects” and similar words are intended to identify forward-looking statements. We undertake no obligations to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements because of new information, future events or other factors. In light of these risks and uncertainties, the forward-looking events and circumstances discussed in this presentation might not occur. Our actual results could differ substantially from those anticipated in our forward-looking statements. Company Highlights Highlights One of the world’s major commercial aircraft manufacturers Significant market share Global customer base Renamed international partners Excellent financial performance Brazil’s largest exporter in 1999, 2000 and 2001 Global Presence Parent Company São José dos Campos Venezuela Venezuela Colombia Colombia Peru Peru BRAZIL 4 4 4 4 Located in São José dos Campos, Brazil Designs and manufactures aircraft for the commercial, defense and corporate markets and provides after-sales support Floor space: 3.05 million sq.ft Number of employees in São José dos Campos: 10,464 Pa Parag raguay uay Sã SãooPPaaul uloo Argentina Argentina Urugua Uruguayy ean Ocean Atlantic Oc Atlantic Chile Chile eann Ocea ific Oc Pacific Pac Bolivia Bolivia Global Presence Embraer Eugênio de Melo São José dos Campos Venezuela Venezuela Colombia Colombia Peru Peru BRAZIL Pa Parag raguay uay Sã SãooPPaaul uloo Argentina Argentina Urugua Uruguayy 4 Located in Eugênio de Melo, a district of São José dos Campos 4 This unit has a total area of 3.6 million sq. ft., of which 527.050 sq.ft. are industrial buildings used in the development and manufacturing of tooling equipment, piping, as well as for performing welding, milling and wire looming operations ean Ocean Atlantic Oc Atlantic Chile Chile eann Ocea ific Oc Pacific Pac Bolivia Bolivia Global Presence Embraer Gavião Peixoto Gavião Peixoto Venezuela Venezuela Colombia Colombia Peru Peru BRAZIL 4 4 4 4 4 Pa Parag raguay uay Sã SãooPPaaul uloo Argentina Argentina Located in Gavião Peixoto, Brazil Manufacturing facility that will host the final assembly activities of the company´s corporate and defense aircraft, as well as a runway for flight tests Site area: 4.12 million sq.ft. Number of employees: 329 Start-up of operations in October 2001 Urugua Uruguayy ean Ocean Atlantic Oc Atlantic Chile Chile eann Ocea ific Oc Pacific Pac Bolivia Bolivia Global Presence Operations in Brazil, USA, Europe, Asia and Austrália GB EUA Weybridge Nashville Atlanta Palm Beach Gardens Fort Lauderdale China França Beijing Harbin Le Bourget Brasil Gavião Peixoto Botucatu São José dos Campos Cingapura Cingapura Austrália Melbourne Number of Employees 12,227 12,607 11,048 6,087 94 4,319 3,849 95 96 4,494 97 6,737 98 8,302 99 10,334 00 01 02 Sept 03 April / 97: minimum of 3,200 people BRAZIL 11,779* AUSTRALIA 09 CHINA 126 USA 484 EUROPE 199 SINGAPORE 10 * ELEB employees included Business Segment Diversification Revenue Diversification Expected Sales Distribution In Five Years Current Sales Distribution FY2002 Commercial 83% Commercial 70% 30% Defense 5% Corporate Aviation 6% Customer Services 6% Corporate Jets Customer Service Defense Defense Market Defense Products Today Embraer’s Airline Customers & Orderbook ERJ 145 Family Orderbook Firm Options Total Deliveries Firm Backlog ERJ 135 121 6 127 104 17 ERJ 140 94 20 114 74 20 ERJ 145 665 465 1,130 509 156 Total 880 491 1,371 687 193 (September 2003) ERJ 145 Order Book (as of August 2003) COUNTRY CUSTOMER Austria Brazil China England RHEINTALFLUG RIO-SUL SICHUAN MANX BRITISH MIDLAND BRYMON REGIONAL FLANDRE AIR PROTEUS CIRRUS AXON AIR CARAIBES ALITALIA KLM EXEL LUXAIR LOT POLISH PORTUGALIA SKYWAYS CROSSAIR (SWISS) EXPRESS JET (COEX) AMERICAN EAGLE WEXFORD REPUBLIC (Chautauqua) TRANSTATES MESA GATX GECAS (PB Air - Thailand) US AIRWAYS France Germany Greece Guadaloupe Italy Holland Luxembourg Poland Portugal Sweden Switzerland U.S.A. TOTAL FIRM ORDERS 3 16 5 23 11 7 17 7 11 1 3 2 14 3 9 14 8 4 25 245 136 38 9 15 36 1 2 0 665 OPTIONS TOTAL DELIVERED 0 0 0 3 5 14 0 6 1 0 0 0 7 2 2 0 0 10 15 100 42 0 70 17 45 0 0 132 471 3 16 5 26 16 21 17 13 12 1 3 2 21 5 11 14 8 14 40 345 178 38 79 32 81 1 2 132 1136 3 16 5 23 9 7 14 5 8 1 3 2 13 3 9 14 8 4 25 187 56 38 7 12 32 1 2 0 507 FIRM BACKLOG 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 2 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 58 80 0 2 3 4 0 0 0 158 EMBRAER 170/190 Family Orderbook Firm Options Total EMBRAER 170 120 128 248 EMBRAER 190 110 150 260 EMBRAER 195 15 30 45 Total 245 308 553 (September 2003) Backlog In 3Q03 - US$ 27.7 billion in total orders, including US$ 10.4 billion in firm orders US$ billion 30 24.1 Options Firm Orders 25 23.4 27.1 27.7 16.8 17.3 10.3 10.4 2Q03 3Q03 22.2 19.2 20 17.7 12.7 12.7 13.2 15 11.3 11.3 10 5 0 3.0 11.4 4.1 1.2 1.2 3.0 4.1 1996 1997 1998 10.7 6.4 1999 2000 2001 9.0 7.9 2002 1Q03 Airline Market Trends and Outlook Orlando José Ferreira Neto Director of Market Intelligence Regional Airline Market Scheduled airline services (aircraft from 19 up to 120 seats): Capacity share % by region Turboprop 1244 Regional Jet 1293 Turboprop 730 Regional Jet 616 North North America America 54% 348 Regional Jet 168 Europe Europe Turboprop 12 26% Regional Jet 55 Africa Africa & & Middle Middle East East Turboprop Source: OAG (Jan/2003), Fleet PC (Dec/2002) 6262 3047 6% Turboprop 181 Regional Jet Turboprop Asia/ Asia/ Pacific Pacific 4% 9% Total Fleet China China 1% Latin Latin America America & & Caribbean Caribbean Turboprop Fleet in Service Regional Jet 66 Regional Jet 2402 2292 532 94 Market Evolution - USA Share of US Domestic Passenger Enplanements 100% 5% 3% 9% 13% 7% 80% 16% 16% 19% 60% 91% 84% 40% 71% 65% 20% 0% 1980 Majors 1990 2000 Low Cost/New Entrants Source: AvStat Associates, Inc. analysis of U.S. DOT data. 2002 Regionals Market Evolution - Europe Share of Intra-European RPKs 100% 14% 80% 1% 17% 17% 17% 18% 17% 19% 19% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 8% 8% 82% 82% 81% 79% 78% 73% 73% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 60% 40% 86% 20% 0% 1995 Majors Low Cost Low Cost: easyJet + Go + Ryanair Source: AEA, ERA, ATI 2002 Low Cost Data Estimated Regionals Airline Market - USA 32% 34% 5% 9% 13% 7% 2% 2% 15% 14% 6% 1%0% 3% 5% -3% -1% -1% -3% -2% 29% 27% -6% -13% 31% 28% 20% 18% 14% 13% 2% 2% -2% 41% 37% 23% 17% 71% Regional RAA 34% -2% -7% -7% -7% -10% -7% -11% -8% -12% -18% -21% -23% Source: Top Regionals, RAA, ATA Year 2002 Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul jun/02 May Apr Mar Feb jan/02 Year 2001 Dec/01 Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun/01 May Apr Mar Feb -33% Jan/01 RPM Growth - Yr/Yr % Change Domestic ATA Airline Market - Europe Intra European+Domestic AEA Regional ERAA 18% 13% 12% 9% 7% 4%5%4% 5% 10% 10% 9% 8% 8% 4% 5% 6% 6% 4% 4% 8% 8% 9% 8% 9% 6% 6% 4% 4% 4% 4% 2% 0,3% -1% -2% -3% -5% Source: ERAA, AEA -9% -10% Year 2002 Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun/02 May Apr Mar Feb Jan/02 Year 2001 Dec/01 -7% -12% -13%-13% Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun/01 May Apr Mar Feb -12% -5% -6% -9% -9% -9% Jan/01 RPK Growth - Yr/Yr % Change 15% 13% 13% Industry in Transition after Sep 11th Rightsizing Capacity vs. Demand: Routes Transferred to RJs Jet Replacement Turboprop Replacement Source: Back OAG (American, Continental, Delta, United, and US Airways) Industry in Transition after Sep 11th Rightsizing Capacity vs. Demand: Routes Transferred to RJs Jet Replacement Turboprop Replacement Source: Back OAG Air France, Alitalia and British Airways US Domestic Yield Evolution Yield (US¢/RPM) 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1998 Source: 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 An Industry in Transition • • Fundamental Correction – Not a Traditional Cycle • Decreasing Average Fare Values • Decreasing Capacity (USA) • Increasing Low Cost Carrier Critical Mass • Increasing Regional Jet Critical Mass Pressure on Existing Worldwide Airline Model • Major USA Airlines re-inventing themselves • Regional affiliates strongly being used as defensive tools (point-to-point X hub and spoke) • Low cost carriers being inserted in the current airline model Sustaining Regional Jet Growth 1. Turboprop Substitution • Productivity improvements • Passenger jet preference 2. Frequency, Frequency . . . 3. Optimization of Old and Inefficient Narrowbody Services • Rightsizing aircraft with demand capacity • Long & thin routes • New market opportunities • Profit potential Regional Jet Networks - USA Source: Back OAG (ERJ-145/140/135, CRJ-100/200, 328Jet routes) Jan 1995 – Jan 2003 – 1874 Routes 76 Routes Regional Jet Networks - Europe Jan 1995 – 104 Routes Jan 2003 – 1072 Routes Source: Back OAG (ERJ-145/140/135, CRJ-100/200, 328Jet routes) High Frequency Services From Manchester, UK To Edinburgh, UK Date Jan/2003 Days Airlines: BD Depart Arrive Eqp Stop Duration xSaSu 7:00a MAN 07:55a EDI ER3 0 00:55 xSaSu 8:55a MAN 09:50a EDI ER4 0 00:55 xSaSu 12:15a MAN 01:15p EDI ER4 0 01:00 xSaSu 5:00p MAN 06:00p EDI ER4 0 01:00 xSaSu 7:55p MAN 08:50p EDI ER4 0 00:55 Jet Complement From To Düsseldorf, Germany Milan, Italy Airlines: AZ Aircraft type: 50 seats Regional Jets Range Eqp (km) Days of Operation Departure Arrival January 2002 Destination DUS MXP 644 MD80 daily 07:00a 08:35a DUS MXP 644 ERJ 145 daily 11:45a 01:20a DUS MXP 644 ERJ 145 daily 04:10p 05:45p DUS MXP 644 ERJ 145 daily 08:35p 10:10p January 2003 Origin January 2003 DUS MXP 644 A319 daily 07:00a 08:30a DUS MXP 644 A319 daily 11:45a 01:15p DUS MXP 644 ERJ 145 daily 05:30p 07:05p DUS MXP 644 ERJ 145 daily 07:45p 09:20p Jet Replacement (Rightsizing) From To Birmingham, UK Europe Date Jan/2003 Orig Dest Duration Airlines: BA Range Eqp Jan 02 BHX FRA 01:40 766 BHX GLA 01:00 415 BHX AMS 01:15 443 BHX DUS 01:20 597 BHX EDI 01:00 402 A319 ER4 A319 ER4 B737 RJ B737 ER4 A319 ER4 49 56 127 54 4 95 79 26 149 32 Monthly Frequencies Aug02 Jan03 47 26 114 58 43 61 74 33 152 0 0 76 0 57 0 84 0 29 0 34 Responding to Market Needs 37 Seats 44 Seats 50 Seats Aircraft Commonality ERJ’s share 95% parts, systems and training commonality within the aircraft family • Same engine (AE 3007) hardware • Same systems and components • Same ERJ crew type rating • Common maintenance and training procedures • Common ground support equipment The ERJ 135/140/145 Family Operators have the necessary infrastructure to support ERJ 145XR operations FA 05/May/03 Interior – Cross-Section 3 abreast grants passengers their most desirable seat. ERJ 145 CRJ200 17.3 in (.44 m) 17.3 in (.44 m) 73.0in 16.1 in (.41 m) 99.5 in (2.53 m) (1.85 m) 17.0 in 72.0 in (1.82 m) (.43 m) 83.0 in (2.10 m) ERJ 145 advantages: 9 Exclusive businessman’s dream premium single seats. 9 One additional inch in aisle width allows easier passenger access. 9 11% more cabin width per seat provides more shoulder clearance. Field Performance ERJ 135: Steep Approach Capable Range from LCY 350 – 600 nm Typical OEW Typical Mission Reserves A1/3 Engine Pax @ JAR-OPS Rules ISA No wind Operating Cost Major airline industry economic analysts credit to the ERJ 145 the lowest operational costs in the 50 seats category. “Overall, the ERJ 145 has the lowest per trip costs (of all compared aircraft in its class) ...” AIRCRAFT ECONOMICS issue 47 - Jan/Feb 2000 As seen from the Aircraft Economics final comparison chart the ERJ 145 has 8.8% lower DOC per trip than the CRJ200. Operating Cost Major airline industry economic analysts credit to the ERJ 145 the lowest operational costs in the 50 seats category. The ERJ 145 offers aircraftmile costs between 9% and 11% better than the CRJ. AIRCRAFT COMMERCE issue 6 - Jul/Aug 1999 The Aircraft Commerce magazine article confirms the operating costs advantage of the ERJ 145 to be around 10% better than the CRJ200. Operating Cost Major airline industry economic analysts credit to the ERJ 145 the lowest operational costs in the 50 seats category. The ERJ 145 offers 7% better aircraft-mile costs than the CRJ200. AIRCRAFT ECONOMICS issue 61 - Jan/Feb 2002 Aircraft Economics magazine article credits again operating costs advantage to the ERJ 145 over the CRJ200. Evolution to Longer Stage Lengths Annual Flights 400.000 2002 300.000 2001 200.000 2000 1999 100.000 1998 19961997 0 100 300 500 1995 700 900 Sector Distance (Miles) 1100 1300 Introducing the ERJ 145 XR Version ERJ 145 XR 2,000 nm Range First Delivery 24th October 2002 Embraer’s answer to the market request for longer range missions FA 05/May/03 RJ Network – USA (Oct/2003) < 2 Hours 2 to 3 Hours > 3 Hours Regional Jets Growth Routes Jan - Oct 2003 < 2 Hours 9% 2 - 3 Hours 78% > 3 Hours 68% Total 23% Source: Back OAG (ERJ 145/140/135, CRJ-100/200, 328Jet routes) ERJ 145 XR Design Features Reinforced fuselage structure to allow higher design weights AE3007A1E engine Winglet Supplementary fuel tank inside wing to fuselage fairings • increased range • lower fuel consumption • better field performance • superior single engine ceiling • improved hot & high operation • VMO, MMO and VFE increases Evolution of Regional New Nonstop Market Opportunities ERJ 145 XR 2,000 nm Houston Range Capability from Denver ERJ 145 Family offers outstanding performance from Hot & High airports 1340 nm ERJ 145 XR Airp. temp. @ 28ºC (85% summer reliability) Airp. temp. @ 36ºC (99% summer reliability) FAR Reserves Taxi allowance 14 minutes Air Maneuvers 3 minutes Long Range Cruise Pax Weight & Baggage 90.7 kg (200 lb) 85% Annual Winds BOW with thrust reverser . Design Weights ERJ 145 LR is almost 6% better than CRJ200 in Structural Design Efficiency. ERJ 145XR is 19% better than CRJ200 in SDE, leading therefore to lower operating costs. ERJ 145 XR ERJ 145 LR Maximum Take Off Weight 24,100 kg 22,000 kg 24,041 kg Maximum Landing Weight 20,000 kg 19,300 kg 21,319 kg Maximum Zero Fuel Weight 18,500 kg 17,900 kg 19,958 kg Basic Operating Weight 12,838 kg ¹ 12,361 kg ¹ 13,834 kg Maximum Fuel Load 6,032 kg 5,187 kg 6,489 kg Maximum Payload 5,662 kg 5,539 kg 6,124 kg 11,262 kg 9,639 kg 10,207 kg 0.88 0.78 0.74 50 50 Maximum Useful Load Structural Design Efficiency ² Standard Single Class Seating ¹ Includes reinforced cockpit door and all typical options such as thrust reversers, navigation equipment, etc. † ² Structural Design Efficiency = Max Useful Load / Basic Operating Weight 19% better 6% better CRJ200 LR 50 Performance - Mission Block Times and Block Fuels are about the same for all models. 400 nm sector Engines Block Time ERJ 145 XR ERJ 145 LR CRJ200 LR 50 pax 50 pax 50 pax AE3007 A1E AE3007 A1 CF34-3B1 80 min 80 min 80 min 1,309 kg 1,304 kg 1,315 kg 1,460 m 1,435 m 1,455 m 1,315 m 1,315 m 1,415 m ISA enroute, max pax @ 90.7 kg 14 min taxi, FAR reserves, 100 nm alternate Block Fuel ISAenroute, max pax @ 90.7 kg 14 min taxi, FAR reserves, 100 nm alternate Take Off Field Length ISA, SL, max pax @ 90.7 kg FAR reserves, 100 nm alternate Landing Field Length ISA, SL, max pax @ 90.7 kg FAR reserves, 100 nm alternate COC per Trip ERJ 145 XR offers further advantages at no additional operating cost with regard to LR version. 800 700 742 699 710 39 40 271 281 310 155 155 155 234 234 234 ERJ 145 LR 50 seats ERJ 145 XR 50 seats CRJ200 LR 50 seats 43 COC/Trip (US$) 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Economic Assumptions (USA) Utilization 2,500 FH/year Fuel price 0.75 USD/USGal Fuel density 6.7 lb/USGal Crew Function of Block Time Landing fees Function of MLW Maintenance Period 5 years Maint, Labor 25.00 USD/MH CREW FUEL MAINTENANCE FEES 500 sm sector ERJ 145 XR Compared to CRJ 200 LR - SUMMARY List Prices (K US$ - e.c. Dec 2002) • ERJ 145 XR : 21,300 • CRJ 200 LR : 23,200 ERJ 145 XR Performance • Higher range @ 50 pax • Better Hot & High performance Range* 2,000 nm Design • Lower Basic Operating Weight • Better SDE (Structural Design Efficiency) • More integrated systems Operational Characteristics • Lower approach speeds • Better short field performance Economics • Better Operating Costs CRJ200 LR Range* 1,750 nm * @ MTOW, LRC, 50 pax @ 90.7 kg. ERJ 145 Family Positioning US Domestic Passenger Demand Passengers per Day Each Way 200 150 ERJ145LR ERJ145ER 100 ERJ145 XR 50 ERJ135 ER ERJ135 LR 0 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 Stage Length – Miles Source: US DoT O&D data, 2Q, 2002, Embraer 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 Opportunities Beyond the Current Airline Model 25 50 75 100 125 Seat Capacity 150 B757 175+ B757 A320 B757 B737 MD80 B737 110 Seats MD80 B737 A320 B737 A319 ERJ + CRJ CRJ B757 A320 B737 A319 70 to A320 A319 ERJ + CRJ ERJ + CRJ B757 B737 MD80 ERJ + CRJ B757 B737 B737 B737 ERJ Widening Seat Capacity Gap - USA No Artificial Constraints in Europe 44 44 –– 70 70 131 131 –– 283+ 283+ 50 50 –– 70 70 109 109 –– 169+ 169+ 70 to 110 Seats 37 37 –– 80 80 103 103 –– 270+ 270+ 37 37 –– 85 85 112 112 –– 206+ 206+ 50 50 -- 80 80 108 108 –– 189+ 189+ 50 – 111 110 110 –– 180+ 180+ 50 50 –– 213+ 213+ 25 50 75 100 125 Seating Capacity 150 175+ The Need for 70-110 Seat Jets 34% of flights depart with loads appropriate 27% of flights depart Percentage of Total Departure with loads appropriate for 100-110 seat aircraft 17% 17% for 70-80 seat aircraft 14% 13% 9% 8% 7% 4% 4% 2% 3% 2% <50 50 60 Source: Back (US DOT T100 Jan-Sep 2002) 70 80 90 110 100 Passengers per Departure 120 130 140 >150 Market Opportunities - Global Rightsizing and Frequency Increase Average Daily Frequency by City-pair Routes operated by Jet Aircraft from 91 – 175 seats up to 2000 nm 5150 city pairs with less than 2 average daily frequency 33% 27% City Pairs 20% 12% 7% 0 - 0,5 Source: OAG (Jan/2003) 0,5 - <2 2-<5 5 - <10 Average Daily Frequency >=10 Market Opportunities - Global Replacement of Ageing Aircraft Fleet in Service (61-120 seat segment - Dec/2002) 500 453 689 aircraft with more than 20 years Number of Aircraft 400 (34 % of total fleet in service) 372 330 304 277 300 208 200 108 100 0 0-5 6 - 10 11 - 15 16 - 20 21 - 25 Aircraft Age (Years) Source: Fleet PC (Scheduled Airlines, Active in Service and All Passenger Configuration) 26 - 30 >30 Introducing the E- Jets 70 – 78 Seats 78 – 86 Seats 98 - 106 Seats 108 – 118 Seats E-ngineering – 21 st Century Applying Technology . . . Aircraft …to create value to Customer • Virtual reality tools • Reduced time to market • On-board CMC • Reduced pilot workload • Fly-by-wire • High strutural design efficiency • Full redundant FADEC • Minimum down time (TAT, checks) • Fully digital “quiet&dark” cockpit • Easy maintenance diagnosis • Top systems/avionics integration • Low maintenance cost • World-class parterships • Reduced fuel consumption • Smart use of composite materials. • Cross crew qualification (CCQ) • Easy aircraft handling • Optimized mission performance • High schedule realiabilty. E-rgonomics – Cabin Spaciousness Two’s Company – Three’s a Crowd Everyone gets a window or aisle seat. Everything you expect… … in a First Class cabin • Single seat 9 • Seat comfort 9 • Catering 9 • Stowage 9 • Partition 9 • Exclusive lavatory 9 • Exclusive environment 9 Everything you DON’T expect… … in an Economy cabin • Middle seat X • Limited baggage space X • Single lavatory X • Narrow aisle X • Cramped seating X • Limited catering capabilities X • “Cattle” feeling X E-conomics – Profitable by Design USA Environment *Based on Total Operating Cost 500 sm for EMBRAER 170/175 BREAK-EVEN* PROFIT 600 sm for EMBRAER 190/195 EMBRAER 170 78 seat 40 PAX (51%) 38 PAX 44 PAX (51%) 42 PAX 57 PAX (54%) 49 PAX 62 PAX (53%) 56 PAX EMBRAER 175 86 seats EMBRAER 190 106 seats EMBRAER 195 118 seats *Based on Total Operating Costs; Average OW net fare 500 sm USD 90; 600 sm USD 98 EC 05/May/03 E-fficiency – Range from Dallas EMBRAER 170 EMBRAER 175 EMBRAER 190 EMBRAER 195 FAR Domestic Reserves Taxi allowance 14 minutes Air Maneuvers 3 minutes Cruise ISA Wind 85% Annual Reliability Pax Weight & Baggage 90.7 kg (200 lb) E-fficiency – Field Performance EMBRAER 170: The best field performer Range from LCY 600 nm Typical European OEW Typical Mission Reserves E5A1 Engine Pax @ 90.7 kg (200 lb) ISA No wind Embraer Market Forecast Market Forecast 2004-2023 World Deliveries by Segment - Jets Segment 2004 - 2013 2014 - 2023 2004 - 2023 30 - 60 61 – 90 91 – 120 1,150 1,300 1,250 1,450 1,600 1,700 2,600 2,900 2,950 TOTAL 3,700 4,750 8,450 World (30-120 seat segment): 8,610 jets (US$180 billion) Market Forecast 2004-2023 30 - 120 Seats: 8,450 Jets USA, USA, Canada Canada & & Caribbean Caribbean 4,740 4,740 56% Latin Latin America America 625 625 7% Europe, Europe, Middle Middle East East China China 635 635 & & Africa Africa 1,970 1,970 8% 23% Asia Asia Pacific Pacific 480 480 6% Market Forecast (Jets) World (Total Deliveries) External Sources Sources Airclaims Bombardier Rolls-Royce Snecma GE Boeing Average 30-60 1794 1677 1394 1786 1194 1337 1530 2004-2013 61-90 91-120 1135 914 1555 1113 589 805 899 797 950 562 1300 995 930 Embraer 1150 1300 1250 Total 3843 3232 3096 3490 2941 3199 3455 3700 30-60 1071 2183 1510 1867 1250 1399 1547 2014-2023 61-90 91-120 2428 1886 3152 1799 932 904 1075 898 1134 659 1554 1640 1316 Total 5385 5335 4241 3846 3282 3612 4503 2004-2023 Total 9228 8567 7337 7336 6223 6811 7958 1450 1600 4750 8450 1700 Embraer forecast is more conservative when compared to other forecast sources Embraer Market Forecast 2004-2023 30 - 60 Seats: 2,600 Jets USA, USA, Canada Canada & & Caribbean Caribbean 1,870 1,870 (840 (840 ++ 1030) 1030) 71% Latin Latin America America 95 95 4% Europe, Europe, Middle Middle East East China China 200 200 & & Africa Africa 355 355 8% 14% Asia Asia Pacific Pacific 80 80 3% ERJ 145 XR Potential Market in 10 years North America North America North America 30-60 Segment Current Market Share New Deliveries Total 30-60 Segment New Deliveries ERJ 145 XR Market Potential 5% 840 to 1100 Aircraft 25% - 30% of total ERJ 145 Family Deliveries 380 to 500 100 to 150 Aircraft 45% ERJ 145 Family 50% 210 to 300 Aircraft in 20 years Embraer Bombardier Others