KFS - Yapı Kredi
Transcription
KFS - Yapı Kredi
KFS & YAPI KREDİ Acquisition – Integration – Results Merrill Lynch EEMEA One on One Banks Forum London, 12-13 September 2006 AGENDA MACROECONOMIC & BANKING ENVIRONMENT KFS & THE NEW SIZE VISION & STRATEGY 2005 KEY FINANCIALS 2Q2006 RESULTS STATUS OF THE INTEGRATION ANNEX 2 TURKEY IS A BIG AND ATTRACTIVE COUNTRY, RAPIDLY AND STRUCTURALLY RECOVERING FROM RECENT FINANCIAL TURMOILS … Year 2005 Turkey Population, mln 73.5 Avg. age population 29.5 Per Capita GDP, Euro Country rating 4,032 Delta vs 2002 Turkey is one of the biggest markets in the European and Mediterranean area Population is young (avg 29.5 years) and is concentrated in top 10 cities (43.9%), Per capita GDP is on an increasing trend after ‘94, ‘00, and ’01 financial crises The 2 key anchors: - S&P (1) BB- +3 – IMF: for the first time in 2004 a program has been completed; - Fitch BB- +2 - Moody’s Ba3 +1 on track the new IMF program for 2005-2007 (Usd 10 billion) – EU: full membership negotiations started in October 2005 Political situation Single party government since December 2002 with strong Parliamentary majority (two-third) enables government to react promptly Reforms are continuing: the most important ones are (a) ongoing tax reform and (b) ongoing social security reform FDI up to USD 9 billion in 2005 and expected to be about USD 12 billion in 2006 3 Source: NE Research Network … AND NOW SUSTAINED GDP GROWTH + SHARP DECREASE OF INFLATION AND MARKET RATES CONFIRM THE ATTRACTIVENESS OF THE COUNTRY GDP Growth (%) Turkey has been enjoying high growth 8.9 7.9 rates in the aftermath of 2001 crisis, helping economy to stabilize… 7.4 5.8 5.2 5.4 …and it is expected to continue growing 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006F above 5% in 2006 and 2007. 2007F CPI Inflation end of year (%) 29.7 The impressive decline in inflation during the last 3 years paused in 2006 due to the financial turmoil in May and June, which affected all emerging markets . 18.4 9.3 7.7 8.9 6.5 Disinflation process is expected to be 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006F restored in 2007. 2007F Current Account Deficit (as % of GDP) C/A Deficit C/A Deficit FDI adj 3.3 2.8 5.2 7.4 6.4 4.5 4.0 Current account deficit remains as the 7.0 4.4 major risk in the economy… 5.0 …however, FDI inflows also increased significantly during this period, easing the concerns regarding its sustainability 0.8 0.3 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006F 2007F 4 THE TURKISH BANKING SYSTEM HAS BECOME HEALTHIER IN THE LAST THREE YEARS; AS A RESULT, COMPETITION IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE 2000 - 2001 Economic crisis led by political conflicts: 33% depreciation in TL, Short-term interest rates around 95% level, Rapid increase in inflation, Aggravated problems in the banking sector The takeover of 20 banks by the SDIF 2003 - 2004 2002 IMF reform program Restructuring in the Sale and merging process of SDIFmanaged banks banking sector: Tight regulatory and Robust capital structure Triple supervision More efficient risk supervisory rules process management systems (BASEL II) Sale or liquidation of troubled banks Strengthening of Improvement in asset Istanbul Approach Rapid change in the quality capital structure of banks structure of the sector in a declining interest rate & inflation environment Single party government 5 2005 - 2006 Privatization of stateowned banks Increase in banks’ capitals Increase in mergers and portfolio investments Foreign partnerships Increase in real sector financing in the disinflationary environment THE SECTOR IS AMONG THE MOST ATTRACTIVE IN NEW EUROPE IN TERMS OF SIZE AND GROWTH PROSPECTS... Branches per mln inhabitants (Loans+Deposits)/GDP banking sector is significantly low 513 Banks are rapidly recovering from the recent financial 224% crises that led to significant losses 68% 87 EU 2004 Today financial intermediation role of Turkish Turkey 2005 EU 2004 Turkey 2005 The crises served as filter: total number of banks in the sector declined to 47 from 81 at the end of 1999, while that of privately owned commercial banks declined to 18 from 35 2004 2005 2006F 2007F 52 51 40 24 26 27 24 17 Rate on Loans(2), % 17.5 15.4 15.0 13.5 Rate on Dep.(2), % 9.8 8.0 9.4 9.0 Spread (2), % 7.7 7.3 5.6 4.5 Loans growth(1), % Deposits growth(1),% Source: NE research network (1) (2) Strong performing loan growth expected with the restructuring of the loan portfolio starting from 2003 Deposit growth to be parallel to GDP growth Spread expected to stay around 5.5% in 2006 Nominal Growth End-of-period Banking System data; compound rates calculated on average of FX and LC Loans and Deposits 6 …AND WITH SPECIFIC AREAS WHERE A HIGH GROWTH IS EXPECTED 2005 +368% yoy, but only 2.5% of the GDP (in 2006, 192% yoy growth as of MORTGAGES CREDIT CARDS MUTUAL FUNDS July, 4% of GDP expected for the year-end) Room for further growth vs GDP ratio of CEE benchmarks: 5.5% in Poland, 7.6% in Czech Republic, 9.6% in Hungary, and 46% for EU-25 The New Law, although still expected to be approved in the parliament, introduces flexible rates, deduction of interests from individual tax base and promotion of asset backed securities business Pretty developed business comparable to those in developed countries (UK) 30 million credit cards, 0.4 cards per inhabitant (2.4 in U.K, 1.3 in Germany, 1.2 in Italy, 0.7 in France), average ROE is about 50% and it is driven by card number USD 16 billion as of July 2006, Bring stability to earnings for the banks and offer stable returns for the clients PENSION FUNDS Share in total wealth is expected to be 8% in 2006, overtaking the securities, other than stocks to be the second largest saving instrument after deposits New business rapidly growing with 965,000 plan owners (July 2006) and 72% yoy growth, Volume USD 1,371 million (July 2006) with a 66% growth (in YTL terms) since the start of the year 7 AGENDA MACROECONOMIC & BANKING ENVIRONMENT KFS & THE NEW SIZE VISION & STRATEGY 2005 KEY FINANCIALS 2Q2006 RESULTS STATUS OF THE INTEGRATION ANNEX 8 KOÇ FINANCIAL SERVICES (KFS) AN INTEGRATED AND WELL CAPITALIZED FINANCIAL SERVICES PROVIDER … € billion, Consolidated Figures as of December 2005 Total Assets 27.5 Deposits 18.0 Gross Cash Loans 14.4 Loans/Deposits, % 80 AuM (1) 4.8 Total Revenues (2) 2.0 Net Consolidated Profit (mln) 232 Credit Cards (#, mln) 5.0 Customers (#, mln) (3) 12.9 Branches (4) 638 Employees 16,189 50% 50% PARTNERS SHARE A COMMON VISION AND GOAL KFS significantly grows its financial operations, network and market share as a result of a focused commercial growth plan and a conservative risk profile approach, under the guidance of a strong local management team and with the dedicated strategic support of UniCredit Value creation will be driven by revenues growth, cost and risk control Note: IFRS - Exch. rate YTL/EUR 1.5506 9 funds, pension funds and other DPM (1) Including mutual (2) Normalized proforma (Yapi Kredi consolidated for 12 months, excluding adjustments / extraordinary gains) (3) out of which 7.2 mln is active; excluding Yapı Kredi Subsidiaries (4) Of which Koçbank 174, YapiKredi bank 416 YK Subs 46 Other KFS subs 2 … WITH THE STRONG SUPPORT OF ITS SHAREHOLDERS … Koç Holding Turkey’s largest industrial and services group with more than 100 companies in 9 different sectors UniCredit International banking group, leader in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) with presence in 20 countries 2005 2005 Market capitalisation $ 4.5(1) billion Market capitalisation Gross turnover $ 31.2 billion Total assets € 787 billion € 20.7 billion Revenues / Turkish GDP 9% Total revenues Exports / Turkish Exports 8% Number of customers Services network > 14,000 Branch network Personnel number ~ 82,000 Personnel number (2) 10 (1) (2) As of August 25th, 2006 FTE including KFS & YKB at 100% ~ € 65(1) billion > 28 million > 7,000 ~ 144,000 … AND WITH A COMPLETE RANGE OF FACTORIES - LEASING, FACTORING, ASSET MANAGEMENT, BROKERAGE, LIFE AND NON LIFE COUPLED WITH AN INTERNATIONAL PRESENCE % ownership L % 2005 revenues % 2006 bdg net profit L L 100 100 50% 50% (1) 99.8 99.9 28.7 17.4 1.5 3.9 99.9 0.8 1.4 99.0 3.2 12.5 99.9 0.8 2.0 100.0 1.1 99.8 2.5 0.2 0.3 Azerbaijan NV L (2) 67.3 L 94.3 0.2 0.4 99.9 1.6 2.9 2.1 2.6 98.4 0.8 3.0 99.9 0.3 1.0 100.0 (3) 0.9 1.0 97.5 (4) 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.4 55.9 46.6 (6) 93.9 (7) 1.5 -0.7 93.9 1. Through Koç Yatirim 2. 30% YKB, 15% YKY, 52,5% YKE 3. Through YK Holding BV (NV) fully owned by YKB 4. 62,92% YKB, 34,58% YKH BV 5. 99,8% YKB, 0.2% YKL L 6. Through Sigorta 99,927%, YKF 0,038% 7. 74,01% YKB, 7,95% YKF, 11.9% YKY 11 (5) 100 Listed MAIN STEPS OF YAPI KREDİ ACQUISITION PROCESS 16 JANUARY 2005 Exclusive negotiations 31 JANUARY 2005 Share Transfer Agreement 8 MAY 2005 28 SEPTEMBER 2005 Share Purchase Agreement Transfer of 57.4% of Yapı Kredi shares to Koçbank 23 FEB. – 9 MAR. 2006 Tender offer process for Yapı Kredi minority shares (completed with 0.0050% shareholding acceptance) APRIL 2006 Acquisition of additional 9.9% of Yapı Kredi shares by Koçbank JUNE 2006 Announcement of merger ratio of 19.73% TOTAL DIRECT OWNERSHIP OF KOÇBANK IN YAPI KREDİ 12 67.3% STRATEGIC RATIONALE OF THE TRANSACTION Dimensional growth Strategic positioning Performance improvement Significant scale increase, building one of the top three banking groups in Turkey, with Euro 27.5 billion of consolidated assets, Euro 14.4 billion of customers loans and more than 7.2 million active clients Creation of a group with strong distribution/production platforms and leadership position in most business lines Strong market coverage with 590 bank branches, 9% market share at national level – Significant concentration, with over 12% market share in top 10 cities of the country Significant value creation opportunities through revenue and cost synergies Possibility of leveraging other strategic advantages (critical mass, growth speed) coming from increased size and market presence of the combined group 13 AVERAGE NEW POSITIONING IS NUMBER 4 WITH LEADING POSITIONS IN CARDS, AUM, NON CASH LOANS AND FACTORING. AREAS OF IMPROVEMENT FOR CONSUMER LOANS AND DEPOSITS Rank KFS+YKB Mkt. Sh. % 14 6 5 9.0 Ziraat 18, İş 14 8 7 4 10.3 Ziraat 20, İş 15 Consumer Loans (2) 12 9 6 6.6 Credit Cards (3) 12 1 1 26.3 Garanti 22, Ak 14 5 4 2 20.7 İş 21, Ak 13 24 9 6 4.4 İş 6, Fin.7 ,RJ 6 Deposits (1) 8 7 4 10.3 Ziraat 20, İş 15 Cash Loans(6) 9 5 4 11.4 İş 14, Ak 14, Garanti 13 Non Cash Loans 6 1 1 19.0 Garanti 13, İş 9 Leasing 2 8 2 15.5 Garanti 17.3, Finans 9.4 Factoring 1 4 1 23.8 Garanti 9, Deniz 8 Life 7 4 3 Anadolu 23,Başak 17 1 5 1 14.6 22.2 KFS # of Branches Deposits (1) Retail KFS AuM + Brokerage Total Assets Rank nr 4 (KB 8, YKB 7) Corporate Insurance Rank YKB June 2006 Asset Management Brokerage (5) (4) (4) Pension Non-Life 9 3 14 (4) (4) (4) 1 (4) 17.4 Key Competitors - % Ak 14,Ziraat 14, İş 14 Ak 16, Anadolu 16 AxaOyak 12, Anadolu 12 (1) Total deposit since total retail deposits for all banks are not disclosed separately (2) Excluding credit card loans, (3) Outstanding balance market share, (4) Through Koc Allianz which is not a KFS subsidiary (Koç Group subsidiary), (5) Equity trading volumes (6) Cash loans excluding credit card outstanding and consumer loans ONE OF THE STRENGTHS OF THE NEW GROUP: NETWORK & Kırklareli 3 Bartın 1 Kastamonu 1 Sinop Artvin Karabük 1 Zonguldak 4 Samsun 5 Rize 1 Kocaeli 3 Düzce 1 Trabzon 3 Amasya 1 Çankırı Ordu 1 Sakarya 3 Yalova 1 Giresun 1 Gümüşhane Bolu 2 Çorum 2 Tokat 1 Bayburt Bilecik Bursa 24 Erzurum 2 Kırıkkale 1 Edirne 4 Tekirdağ 5 İstanbul 268 Çanakkale 4 Balıkesir 6 Eskişehir 4 Kütahya 1 Uşak 2 İzmir 49 Sivas 1 Kırşehir Manisa 7 Nevşehir 1 Afyon 2 Denizli 5 Isparta 2 Konya 5 Niğde 1 Antalya 27 Karaman 1 Ağrı Osmaniye 1 Mersin 9 Bingöl Muş Bitlis Diyarbakır 5 Siirt Batman 1 Şırnak Adıyaman Mardin 2 Adana 9 Muğla 16 Iğdır Antep 5 Urfa 2 Hatay 4 Nationwide service with 590 branches Yapı Kredi: 416 Koçbank: 174 As of 31 December 2005, including off-shore branches 15 Van 1 Malatya 3 Maraş 2 Burdur Tunceli Elazığ 3 Kayseri 4 Aksaray 1 Aydın 6 Kars 1 Erzincan Yozgat Ankara 65 Ardahan Hakkari KEY ISSUES & MAJOR ACCOMPLISHMENTS SO FAR Write-offs Adjustments envisaged during the due diligence process have been reflected in YKB’s post acquisition opening accounts On Turkcell 25 November 2005, shares of Turkcell Holding and Turkcell İletişim were sold with a value of YTL 1,638 million.The sale profit of YTL 1,144 million has been added into the capital of YKB On 30 December 2005, the receivable, which was determined in YTL 152 Fiskobirlik Fintur & Digiturk A-TEL million nominal value, has been collected in the form of a 3-year special type government bond based on the protocol signed with the Undersecretariat of Treasury On 5 January 2006, shares of Fintur and Digitürk, that were owned by YKB, were sold with a value of YTL 174 million On 9 August 2006, YKB sold its share in A-Tel to Turkcell with a value of USD 150 million. 16 AGENDA MACROECONOMIC & BANKING ENVIRONMENT KFS & THE NEW SIZE VISION & STRATEGY 2005 KEY FINANCIALS 2Q2006 RESULTS STATUS OF THE INTEGRATION ANNEX 17 THE NEW GROUP AIMS AT BECOMING MARKET LEADER … Become the leading player in the market Mission Key strategic objectives in terms of growth and value creation… Leader in the segment/business with higher return on capital/growth potential Leanest player in the market: Best cost/income Most effective sales force Outstanding risk management 18 2008 KEY STRATEGIC GOALS ENSURE GROWTH, EFFICIENCY AND PROFITABILITY KEY STRATEGIC GUIDELINES KEY 2008 TARGETS Focus on 5 main business targets: 9 Consolidate leadership in cards and become leader in consumer finance 9 Become leader in Asset Gathering and 1st ROE > 20% Cost / Income < 50% Group’s CAR > 12% choice for HNWI 9 Bring mass segment towards profitability 9 Selectively growth on Commercial and Corporate 9 Growth in Small Business through a profitable business model Execution of cost management measures Excellence on credit and market risk management Integration of the 2 banks and the key financial subsidiaries 19 KEY PRIORITIES FOR BUSINESS STRATEGY & INTEGRATION / REORGANIZATION ARE EXPECTED TO FINETUNE BUT WITH THE COMMON TARGET TO HAVE THE NEW BANK AT FULL SPEED STARTING FROM 2007 2005 – 4Q 3y plan approval and 1st common budget process Pricing alignment and commercial focus on key products: Cards (World card through KB) Retail / Private (AuM and mortgages), Corporate (cash loans volumes) Business strategy Treasury / Market risks: FX position on control, cost of funding decrease Cost management principles in place (1st cut) 2006 Focus on the key segments / products: Cards (consolidate leadership), Retail (upper mass, positioning in consumer lending/mortgages, decrease Mass cost to serve), Private (AuM / asset gathering), Small Business (new profitable service model to be defined), Mid-Large Corporate (selective growth + value added service) New service model: piloting / implementation Align monitoring and risk management functions to KFS standards MBO system in place 2007-2008 Bank at full speed with full deployment of new service model Expansion of product offering Reinforce presence in Small Business Further decrease cost to serve in mass Operational fine tuning in order to reach 3 years plan efficiency targets Legal Merger of the 2 banks (target 2H) Mandatory activities per legal integration IT integration (to be completed within 4Q) + training Head quarters consolidation Operational engine rationalisation (including back-office / operation centres / call centres) New branch openings (up to a total of 70) Banks’ branch reorganisation + new openings Complete the rationalisation of subsidiaries Subs integration / merger (only key financial subs) Post acquisition: tender offer, sub loan Integration / New organisation in place restructuring Re-branding & communication Definition of segmentation rules and new service model 20 AGENDA MACROECONOMIC & BANKING ENVIRONMENT KFS & THE NEW SIZE VISION & STRATEGY 2005 KEY FINANCIALS 2Q2006 RESULTS STATUS OF THE INTEGRATION ANNEX 21 2005 IFRS FINANCIAL RESULTS OF THE GROUP : THE NEW DIMENSION 2005 KFS pro-forma of which normalized ‘’old’’ KFS of which YK Group normalized (4) 2005 KFS Group (1) 2005 KFS pro-forma (2) Total Revenues (3) 1,533 3,053 3,053 1,066 1,987 Operating Expenses (873) (3,371) (1,880) (493) (1,388) Gross Operating Profit 660 (318) 1,173 574 599 Pre - tax Profit 502 (2,587) 872 490 382 Combined Profit 365 (2,410) 662 360 302 Consolidated Net Profit 360 360 YTL mln 22 1) 2) 3) 4) Yapı Kredi Group consolidated for 3 months Yapi Kredi consolidated for 12 months Including monetary gain Excluding adjustments and Turkcell gain THE NEW GROUP DIMENSION AND COMPOSITION CASH LOANS – bln YTL 22.3 9.5 13.2 KFS Yapı Kredi Group KFS Yapı Kredi BRANCHES - # 638 27.9 176 10.0 KFS Yapı Kredi Group Group 4.2 3.2 KFS Yapı Kredi EMPLOYEES - # 16,189 17.9 (1) Banks only 7.4 3.6 DEPOSITS – bln YTL Group AUM – bln YTL 13.1 9.1 Group NON-CASH LOANS (1) – bln YTL KFS Yapı Kredi 23 12,321 462 3,868 Group KFS Yapı Kredi KFS (*) FIRST 4 YEARS RESULTS ARE VERY POSITIVE... ROE NET INCOME (YTL mln) 358 231 36% 23% 2002 (1) 2003 2004 263 9 26% 2004 2005 NPL RATIO % 2005 COST / INCOME RATIO % (3) 66% 11.1 8.3 48% 47% 46% 4.9 -1pp -3.4pp 2002 (1) 2003 (1) +3pp 1% 2002 (1) 2003 11.7 24% (2) 2004 2005 Pro-forma; NPL adjusted for a transfer done in May 2003 2002 (1) 2003 2004 (2) (3) 2005 Based on normalised Equity (net of 1 bln Euro for YapiKredi acquisition) Revenues netted by monetary loss 24 (*) Old perimeter excluding Yapı Kredi acquisition (IFRS) …WHILE FOR YAPI KREDI THERE IS A CLEAR ROOM FOR IMPROVEMENT 2004- 2005 Without Adj. (%) 2004 2005 Adjustments (1) Ordinary 2005 1,798 3,144 (1,157) 1,987 + 11 (1,471) (2,879) 1,491 (1,388) -6 (430) (2,186) 1,968 (217) -49 70 307 (388) (81) n.a Net Income (31) (1,617) 1,915 298 n.a Cost / Income 82% 92% IFRS mln YTL Revenues (2) Costs Provisions Tax 25 (1) Including Turkcell gain (2) Including monetary gain 70% TOTAL ASSETS GATHERED FROM CUSTOMERS UP BY 11.6% YOY MAINLY THANKS TO INFLOW OF NEW DEPOSITS AND MUTUAL FUNDS IFRS Results KOÇ FINANCIAL SERVICES (‘’old’’) – YTL bln YAPI KREDİ GROUP + 9.3% + 15.6% AUM 3.3 +27% -1% AUC AUM 19.2 16.6 Indirect 28.9 Indirect 4.2 AUC 2.1 +50% 3.2 10.5 8.2 27% 5.0 5.1 18.6 +22% Direct 31.6 8.2 2004 10.0 -3% 17.9 Direct 2004 2005 26 2005 GROSS CUSTOMERS LOANS UP BY 33% YOY MAINLY THANKS TO CARDS, CONSUMER LENDING AND CORPORATE ACTIVITY IFRS Results KOÇ FINANCIAL SERVICES (‘’old’’) – YTL bln YAPI KREDİ GROUP 13.17 + 62% 11.06 9.11 6.57 5.93 5.63 Corporate +11% 7.42 Corporate* +65% Consumer 4.50 3.24 0.82 Consumer Cards NPL Watchlist 0.28 0.21 0.47 +193% 0.18 2004 0.74 Cards - 3% 0.21 0.45 NPL 0.88 + 16% 0.21 Watchlist 0.28 0% + 54% 3.89 + 20% + 29% 1.13 + 57% 0.44 2004 2005 1.14 27 * Adjusted for 1.8 bln YTL Çukurova Group Loan 2005 + 19% ASSET QUALITY IN A CONSTANT IMPROVING TREND WITH DECREASING NPL RATIO AND ADEQUATE PROVISIONING LEVEL KOÇ FINANCIAL SERVICES (“old”) NPL Coverage Ratio (1) 70.8% 76.3% 77.3% 8.3% 5.8% NPL Ratio YAPI KREDİ GROUP 79.6% 6.8% 80.8% 78.4% 10.0% NPL Coverage Ratio (1) 8.6% 5.0% NPL Ratio 2004 Watch Coverage Ratio (2) 25.9% 2004 Standard Coverage Ratio (3) 1.8% 2004 3Q05 2005 2004 14.3% 26.7% 18.6% 3Q05 1.5% 3Q05 3Q05 2005 1.4% 2005 2005 13.6% 0.8% 2004 3Q05 2005 2.2% 2.1% 3Q05 2005 0.6% 2004 Watch Coverage Ratio (2) 28 (1) Specific provisions for NPL / NPL (2) Specific Provisions for Watch Loans / Watch Loans (3) General Provisions / Standard Loans Standard Coverage Ratio (3) ASSET QUALITY: IMPORTANT ACTIONS TAKEN IN ORDER TO MAINTAIN CREDIT ACTIVITY UNDER EFFICIENT CONTROL Implementation of Credit Risk Policies and Credit Tableau de Board in both KB & YKB, Implementation of Credit Underwriting tools (ACE for Corporate & Commercial, SMilE for Micro & Small Business) completed in Koçbank, to be implemented in YKB in 1Q07 Implementation of Credit Monitoring tool (C-mon) completed in Koçbank (for YKB in 1Q07) Revision (and increase) of the authority levels for both banks, in accordance with new workflows and the new Banking Law Basel-II Assessment and Gap Analysis conducted, Master Plan being defined to reach alignment with the Basel-II IRB approaches Monthly monitoring and submission of the largest 25/50 exposures to the CRO and Board Group consolidation in accordance with banking regulation and S/H’s agreement, monthly monitoring of related parties’ exposure Calculation of cost of credit risk by segments, alignment of generic provisioning to the CoR Revision and monthly monitoring on classified loans and underlying provisions Centralized approvals of international large exposures 29 SECURITIES PORTFOLIO FOCUSED ON HELD-TO-MATURITY AIMING AT STABLE REVENUES GENERATION YAPI KREDİ GROUP KOÇ FINANCIAL SERVICES (‘’old’’) – bln YTL -8% + 5% Bln YTL HFT AFS 4.43 4.87 4.64 100% 3% 100% 100% 1% 3% 7% 3% 4% 8.12 100% 100% 55% 37% 3Q05 6.94 100% 23% 16% 40% 96% 90% 2004 7.52 HFT 93% HTM Bln YTL 2005 AFS 42% HTM 3% 2004 61% 23% 3Q05 2005* New Investment policy: general principles No proprietary or directional risk on the market or performing transactions with speculative intent Derivatives allowed for hedging purpose; options allowed only for client driven transactions immediately fully hedged No FX speculative open positions are allowed VaR limits, stop loss, max open position monitored on a daily basis 30 * As of June 2006, YKB’s securities portfolio consists of 88.8% HTM, 5.7% AFS and 5.5% HFT securities. CAPITAL STRUCTURE OF THE TWO BANKS IS NOW BACK WITHIN THE REGULATORY REQUIREMENTS YAPI KREDİ BANK KOÇBANK 2005 2Q06 2005 2Q06 CAR (%) 11.6 12.3 7.3 9.3 Supervisory Capital 906 1,157 1,415 2,169 Tier 1 Capital 2,721 2,886 1,525 1,492 Tier 2 Capital 191 1,533 648 1,466 (2,006) (3,262) (758) (789) 7,827 9,419 19,541 23,437 7,446 8,616 18,775 22,353 381 803 766 1,084 YTL mln Deductions Total Risks RWA Market Risk ON 31 MARCH 2006 YKB received a Euro 500 mln subordinated loan ON 28 APRIL 2006 Koçbank received a Euro 350 mln subordinated loan Thanks to those two actions CARs of both Banks have been well positioned within the regulatory requirements The CAR of the new bank at merger it is expected to be in the range of 10% 31 Source: BRSA Report AGENDA MACROECONOMIC & BANKING ENVIRONMENT KFS & THE NEW SIZE VISION & STRATEGY 2005 KEY FINANCIALS 2Q2006 RESULTS STATUS OF THE INTEGRATION ANNEX 32 POSITIVE FIRST HALF RESULTS CONFIRM INCREASED FOCUS ON SUSTAINABLE REVENUE SOURCES AND HIGH MARGIN INSTRUMENTS. ON A NORMALIZED BASIS, YAPI KREDİ HAS IMPROVED PROFITABILITY DESPITE MARKET TURMOIL % of commissions in total revenues increased to 27% from 25%in 1H05 1H 2006 IFRS RESULTS (un-audited) YTL mln % of commissions in total revenues up to 30% on a consolidated basis from 25% in 1H05 % of commissions in total revenues increased to 31% from 25%in 1H05 YKB GROUP KFS GROUP 1H06 KFS Consolidated (1) 1H06 %yoy chg. Revenues 537 +3 1,068 -1 1,582 -1 - of which commissions 145 + 10 329 + 22 474 18 (239) +6 (694) +8 (898) +3 Net Operating Income 298 +1 373 - 13 684 -6 Provisions 22 - 138 (201) + 97 (169) +6 Tax (81) + 20 (259) + 276 (332) 143 Net Profit 238 + 41 -86 - 134 210 - 51 Normalized Net Profit (3) 262 + 55 101 - 61 342 - 20 Cost / Income Ratio - % 44 + 1pp 65 +5pp 57 +2pp Costs %yoy chg.(2) 33 (1) (2) (3) Including consolidation adjustments Normalized 2005 YKB BRSA figures Adjusted for one-off tax effect 1H06 %yoy chg.(2) ASSET GROWTH PROVED STEADY DESPITE THE MARKET VOLATILITY. LOANS GREW BY 61% yoy WHILE FUNDING BASE STRENGTHENED, WITH 37% yoy GROWTH IN DEPOSITS Despite the sluggishness in demand following the market turmoil in May, loan growth continued to be healthy. At a combined level, loans-to-assets increased from 42% as of 1H05 to 48% at the end of June 06. At YKB Group, loans constituted 51% of total assets as of 1H06. 1H 2006 IFRS RESULTS (un-audited) YKB GROUP KFS GROUP 1H06 % yoy chg.(1) YTL bln 1H06 Assets 22.6 + 64 30.4 +8 Loans 10.2 + 65 15.4 Deposits 12.6 + 45 AuM 2.9 AuC Non – Cash Loans KFS + YKB % yoy chg.(1) 1H06 % yoy chg. (1) 53.0 + 27 + 33 25.6 + 44 20.7 + 32 33.3 + 37 - 22 3.2 + 30 6.1 -1 3.4 - 26 12.0 + 140 15.4 + 60 4.2 + 34 10.5 + 16 14.7 + 21 (2) 34 (1) (2) 2005 YKB Proforma + 59% and +61% respectively, if adjusted by Cukurova loan (2) AGENDA MACROECONOMIC & BANKING ENVIRONMENT KFS & THE NEW SIZE VISION & STRATEGY 2005 KEY FINANCIALS 2Q2006 RESULTS STATUS OF THE INTEGRATION ANNEX 35 STATUS OF THE INTEGRATION PROCESS Major Steps May 2005 September 2005 2 October 2006 End of Oct. 2006 Closing Legal Merger System Migration Signature of SPA January 2007 Merger of core Subs. Assessment phase 3 Year Plans preparation Around 170 projects have been launched by integration teams Integration Planning Integration of the two banks Integration Office Retail Corp. and Comm. Treasury P&C Credit Mgmt. ORM/MRM Communication Audit Accounting and Subs HR Legal International Operations Organization IT ADC and Call Center Logistics and Cost Credit Cards Teams 36 Private and WM 19 macro teams are defined in charge of integration projects Around 11 major work streams have been identified TARGET FOR THE MERGER OF TWO BANKS: OCTOBER 2nd MAJOR INTEGRATION TIMELINE 2005 Legal Merger 2006 DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT Full integration NOV Core Subs Mergers DEC JAN 2007 FEB MAR Mandatory fulfillments for legal merger Orga structure finalization Headquarter relocation Unification macro offer & pricing Common clients analysis Service model roll-out Implement common clients policies New segmentation definition Operation Modules Roll Out Run field pilot Service model set-up Virtual re-flagging of clients Major divisional process design Sales Modules Roll-out Branches rationalization and new openings Tuning ntwk coverage New Brand & Communication IT system integration - fill the gap and migration set up System migration Fine tuning Training (phase 2) Training (phase 1) Core Subs. Organization & business alignment Legal Merger Process Today 37 Fine Tuning MAJOR INTEGRATION ACCOMPLISHMENTS SO FAR New organizational structure of both banks has been established Legal merger process almost completed New service model piloting phase to increase efficiency has been completed in 7 branches Relocation plan has been defined and almost completed the implementation (Main HQ, Asset management companies have moved into the same estate, Plans for Gebze/Çamlıca are being prepared) Centralization of different activities has started (e.g. FX Outgoing transfers) and centralization of 3 regional operation center has been already finalized Launched a conversion plan of the staff from HQ – NW Macro offer and pricing alignment for the most important products and services has been completed. Cross product sales on both networks has started Control functions and policies (credit, risk, cost mgnt, etc.) have been aligned in both banks New branches opening and relocations have started IT system for the combined entity has been defined and IT projects have been launched Training process has started following the completion of Pilot task force training Koçbank cardholders’ conversion to Worldcard clients has been almost completed The integration legal path has been defined also for Core Subsidiaries 38 MAIN STEPS OF THE LEGAL MERGER YKB/Koçbank Board resolutions on merger 20 April First BRSA application 21 April Close merger financials as of end of April(1) 30 April Deliver audited merger financials and Board resolutions to call 1st G.A. 12 June Preparation of merger agreement and amendments to Articles of Association and valuation reports 21 June 1st application to CMB (which includes merger ratio) 26-29 June General Assembly meeting to approve merger financials and draft merger agreement 29 June 2nd application to BRSA 30 June √ √ √ May June √ √ √ √ √ √ Approval for 1st application to CMB received 3 August Approval for 2nd application to BRSA received 18 August Second General Assembly to approve merger and Article of Associations amendments 21 September Application to CMB and ISE and Trade Registry End September Legal Merger 2nd October 39 (1) April Merger financials are only valid for a period of 6 months before the approval in the 2nd G.A. July August Sept Oct AGENDA MACROECONOMIC & BANKING ENVIRONMENT KFS & THE NEW SIZE VISION & STRATEGY 2005 KEY FINANCIALS 2Q2006 RESULTS STATUS OF THE INTEGRATION ANNEX 40 KFS RECLASSIFIED CONSOLIDATED P&L (IFRS) mln YTL KFS PROFIT & LOSS Interests, net Monetary gain/loss Dividends and income (loss) from participations at equity Net interest income (*) Fees and commissions, net Trading gains (losses) from investment securities Foreign exhange gains (losses) Other non-interest income, net Net non-interest income TOTAL REVENUES Payroll expense Other administrative expenses Depreciation of tangible and intangible assets Operating expenses OPERATING PROFIT Goodwill amortization Provisions for loans, mlpr and credit related commitments, net Other provisions and impairments Total amortizations ad provisions NET PROFIT BEFORE TAX, MONETARY POSITION AND MINORITIES Taxation NET PROFIT BEFORE MINORITIES Minorities NET PROFIT (*) Including monetary gain/loss 41 2004 IFRS 2005 IFRS 2005 "old" KFS yoy% 1H06 726.0 -117.4 0.0 608.6 244.7 26.8 34.5 12.2 318.1 926.7 -194.5 -181.0 -46.1 -421.7 505.0 -10.7 -91.5 -22.6 -124.9 380.1 -114.8 265.4 -2.4 263.0 1,014.6 -24.6 0.0 990.0 432.1 25.3 43.1 42.4 543.0 1,533.0 -395.9 -395.4 -81.4 -872.7 660.3 0.0 -142.7 -15.9 -158.6 501.7 -137.2 364.5 -4.5 360.0 751.5 -29.9 0.0 721.6 281.5 15.8 31.3 16.0 344.6 1,066.2 -236.1 -212.3 -44.1 -492.6 573.6 0.0 -67.3 -16.0 -83.3 490.3 -130.3 360.0 -1.6 358.4 4% -75% 0% 19% 15% -41% -9% 31% 8% 15% 21% 17% -4% 17% 14% -100% -27% -29% -33% 29% 14% 36% -33% 36% 333.5 0.0 0.0 333.5 144.8 31.2 12.3 14.9 203.1 536.7 -125.4 -94.2 -19.0 -238.6 298.1 0.0 21.2 0.9 22.1 320.1 -81.4 238.7 -0.8 237.9 YAPI KREDİ GROUP RECLASSIFIED CONSOLIDATED P&L (IFRS) mln YTL YKG PROFIT & LOSS Interests, net Monetary gain/loss Dividends and income (loss) from participations at equity Net interest income (*) Fees and commissions, net Trading gains (losses) from investment securities Foreign exhange gains (losses) Other non-interest income, net Net non-interest income TOTAL REVENUES Payroll expense Other administrative expenses Depreciation of tangible and intangible assets Operating expenses OPERATING PROFIT Goodwill amortization Provisions for loans, mlpr and credit related commitments, net Other provisions and impairments Total amortizations ad provisions NET PROFIT BEFORE TAX, MONETARY POSITION AND MINORITIES Taxation NET PROFIT BEFORE MINORITIES Minorities NET PROFIT (*) Including monetary gain/loss 42 2004 IFRS 2005 IFRS 2005 Normalised yoy% 1H06 873.1 119.6 0.0 992.7 535.5 101.2 46.8 121.8 805.3 1,798.0 -498.5 -753.0 -219.2 -1,470.7 327.3 0.0 -154.6 -275.4 -430.0 -102.7 70.4 -32.3 0.9 -31.4 1,184.5 11.4 0.0 1,195.9 547.3 67.2 3.9 1,329.6 1,948.0 3,143.9 -581.1 -2,016.3 -281.2 -2,878.7 265.2 0.0 -1,167.2 -1,018.4 -2,185.6 -1,920.4 307.3 -1,613.1 -4.0 -1,617.0 1,184.5 11.4 0.0 1,195.9 547.3 67.2 3.9 172.6 790.9 1,986.8 -529.1 -668.4 -190.3 -1,387.8 599.0 0.0 -215.8 -1.6 -217.4 381.6 -80.1 301.5 -4.0 297.5 36% -90% 0% 20% 2% -34% -92% 42% -2% 11% 6% -11% -13% -6% 83% 0% 40% -99% -49% -472% -214% -1033% -534% -1048% 663.9 0.0 0.0 663.9 328.8 -19.3 11.3 83.0 403.8 1,067.7 -305.1 -323.4 -65.8 -694.3 373.3 0.0 -134.2 -66.4 -200.6 172.7 -258.7 -86.0 -0.4 -86.3 KFS & YAPI KREDİ GROUP BALANCE SHEET (IFRS) "old" KFS mln YTL YK Group ASSETS Cash and placements Securities portfolio - Held-for-trading - Available-for-sale - Held-to-maturity Loans and advances to custom Fixed assets Goodwill Other assets 2004 12,740.0 2,701.6 3,494.2 123.9 316.3 3,987.1 5,168.8 153.4 86.2 1,135.8 2005 % change 17,373.7 36% 1,766.9 -35% 4,639.1 33% 49.2 -60% 138.3 -56% 4,451.6 12% 8,600.7 66% 111.6 -27% 86.2 0% 2,169.2 91% LIABILITIES Deposits Funds borrowed (*) Other liabilities Shareholders' equity 12,740.0 8,211.0 2,422.9 677.9 1,428.2 17,373.7 9,984.7 3,225.9 778.5 3,384.7 36% 22% 33% 15% 137% (*) including bank deposits 43 1H06 22,635.2 2,717.5 6,419.3 35.5 202.1 6,181.7 10,220.0 90.8 200.0 2,987.6 2004 26,311.6 2,968.5 7,518.3 4,162.8 3,163.2 192.3 12,087.4 2,519.3 0.0 1,218.1 2005 % change 26,153.2 -1% 4,535.6 53% 6,940.4 -8% 1,567.0 -62% 1,124.7 -64% 4,248.7 2110% 11,980.1 -1% 1,306.5 -48% 0.0 0% 1,390.6 14% 1H06 30,361.7 3,557.8 8,896.6 773.5 989.4 7,133.6 15,402.3 1,254.3 0.0 1,250.6 22,635.2 12,555.7 5,344.6 1,071.7 3,663.1 26,311.6 18,549.8 1,718.1 2,653.6 3,390.2 26,153.2 17,934.5 2,658.1 3,991.1 1,569.6 30,361.7 20,731.4 3,471.5 3,767.6 1,549.3 -1% -3% 55% 50% -54% CONTACT LIST Carlo Vivaldi – Chief Financial Officer Tel. +90 212 339 7047 E-mail address: [email protected] Hüseyin İmece – Executive Vice President Tel. +90 212 339 7368 E-mail address: [email protected] Hale Tunaboylu – Head of Investor Relations Tel. +90 212 339 7647 E-mail address: [email protected] 44 DISCLAIMER This presentation contains forward-looking statements that reflect the Company management’s current views with respect to certain future events. Although it is believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, they may be affected by a variety of variables and changes in underlying assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially. Neither Koç Finansal Hizmetler nor Yapı Kredi Bankası nor any of its directors, managers or employees nor any other person shall have any liability whatsoever for any loss arising from the use of this presentation. 45