2010 - SSEC - University of Wisconsin–Madison
Transcription
2010 - SSEC - University of Wisconsin–Madison
14 September 2010 State of SSEC 2010 Hank Revercomb, Director University of Wisconsin - Madison Space Science and Engineering Center (SSEC) 9 December 2010 Topics A. “Big Picture” Items B. SSEC, the Center C. Education & Public Outreach D. Our Science & Engineering 2 A. “Big Picture” Items Satellite Meteorology: Commercial venture offers a new way of doing business! (?) NASA Budget: Promise for 2011 International Connections: Strengthening UW-Madison: Chancellor proposes a new way of doing business to the State! (?) Summary: Outlook for SSEC/CIMSS 3 Space News, 25 October 2010 Go to GeoMetWatch.com 4 Privately owned commercial data provider leveraging GIFTS technology development Licensed for hyperspectral data collection under the Remote Sensing Act of 2003 (NASA & NOAA cannot compete) Will restore critical data for severe weather forecasting cancelled from GOES-R at a fraction of the cost, in record time! Customers: US, top sovereign governments world-wide, and & commercial enterprises SSEC has entered into a partnership to be the prime contractor for all work related to processing of Hyperspectral data collected from GeoMetWatch‘s constellation 5 AMS 2010 This marks the end of our long effort to get NOAA and NASA to fly an Advanced Sounder, but hopefully the beginning of a new success story 6 This agreement could revive all of our original GIFTS Program activities under a new name: “STORM” with 2014 launch! Utah State, Space Dynamics Lab, GIFTS instrument builder, prime for 1st instrument This endeavor could become a really new way of doing business for satellite meteorology: $4-5 B benefit, costing NOAA $0.1 B/year It does still depend on GeoMetWatch being able to raise the required resources!!! But, it is already happening in the Spy Satellite world via GeoEye and DigitalGlobe 7 Hopefully STORM will help solve this problem This turkey is like the satellite system vendors, whose huge costs for new systems are eating up our future advances 8 NASA Presidential Budget Request: Looks good for Earth and Planetary Science in 2011 NASA Adm. Bolton, 1 Feb 2010 9 Million $ Annual increase +27% +8% +8% +6% +3% CLARREO, ACE HS3 Consistent with NASA Authorization Act of 2010, 11 October 2010 10 Million $ Annual increase +11% +4% +3% +2% +1% But what will the recent elections mean for NASA Science?? 11 China Zhenglong Li, Hong Zhang, Elisabeth Weisz, Allen Huang, Paul Menzel attend conference and give talks China launches FY 3B with a suite of imager and sounders successfully into leo orbit on 4 Nov 2010 Interferometer sounders planned for both leo and geo orbits for 2014 Jun Li is providing sounding expertise to NSMC (National Satellite Meteorological Center) CIMSS continues strong collaborations with China Meteorological Administration 12 India SSEC–ISRO–IMD joint efforts in preparing for INSAT 3D begin in earnest in 2010 Ten Indian Scientists come to Madison for 4 to 6 months working on navigation, winds, soundings, data visualization Ghansham Sangar (ISRO), R. K. Giri (IMD), Ashim Kumar Mitra (IMD), Munn Shukla (ISRO), Puviarasan Narayanasamy (IMD), Nitesh Kaushik (ISRO), Sanjib Deb (ISRO), Narayan Padmanabhan (ISRO), Mata Mahakur (Pune), Indira Ranipillai (IMD) Training courses planned for next year in Delhi 13 Europe Artist Impression, Phase A EUMETSAT/ESA plan for advanced IR Sounder (IRS) to fly on Meteosat 3rd Generation (MTG) in 2019 2008 Stephen Tjemkes,2 December 1 Dec 2010 Slide: 14 EUM/PPS/08/VWG/0152 - 14 "The New Badger Partnership“: Martin has been lobbying for a dramatic change in the way the State does business with the university A new business model would distinguish UW–Madison from other state agencies, acknowledging that it operates in a very different environment—one that is increasingly market-driven. Martin envisions a new system that will offer the university the freedom to do its business more efficiently. That means greater flexibility in how the university pays and rewards faculty and staff, purchases goods and materials, spends private and corporate donations and oversees campus construction projects. "The state stands to benefit with a different arrangement with the university. It is the university (that is) the driver of a knowledge-based economy in a world that is increasingly globally connected, not only by the education we provide but the research," Reminder: UW Research needs operational freedom too 15 SSEC/CIMSS Outlook Positive Revived Negative Geo Sounder hopes Pres. NASA budget International Connections CIMSS renewal! Currently healthy Stimulus $ ending Economy Continuing Resolution State/UW politics ?? 16 B. SSEC, the Center General Health Tributes Administrative Support & Facilities 17 SSEC General Your commitment to excellence, innovation & adaptation is working well Our scientific, technological, and support capabilities all remain sound We are deeply involved in important continuing efforts and in exciting new programs too The diversity of our endeavors and our growing number of leaders give us strength in an ever changing world Our financial picture is strong (Healthy spending growth; positive cash balance) 18 SSEC spending: Growth Continues (and we are not running a deficit!) Dollars (M$) SSEC Annual Spending (SFY) 30 28 26 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1985 8.6% up, compared to 7.5% average increase/year, over last 11 years 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Year Your contribution to our continuing successes is very much appreciated! SSEC is healthy 19 2010 Spending by Source: ~ $27.7 M DOD WARF DOE 1.9% 3.9% Other 1.4% 10% NASA 27.9% NSF 22.7% DOD 1.9% DOE 3.9% NASA 27.9 NOAA 32.3 NSF 22.7% OTHER 10 WARF1.4% NOAA 32.2% 20 Steve Ack: an exceptional year NASA's Exceptional Public Service Medal for contributions to NASA’s mission CIMSS Re-compete Successful New Textbook Edition NASA Deputy Administrator, Lori Garver Presents award in Washington 21 Satellites See Wisconsin An exhibit for the Dane County Airport January 2011 through Summer Opening February 4, 2011 22 Jeff Key Cryosphere and satellites get High level attention Met with President of Iceland at residence: Briefed him on WMO Global Cryosphere Watch initiative and the Arctic Council’s Snow, Water, Ice, and Permafrost in the Arctic (SWIPA) project Developed cryoshere gap analysis thread: for Committee on Earth Observation Satellites (CEOS) Strategic Implementation Team Interviewed for WisconsinEye about weather satellites & CIMSS re-compete with Steve 23 Many ASPB Accomplishments… (Advanced Systems Products Branch) e.g. GOES 12 Imagery & Products for South America Supports GEOSS 24 Donald R. Johnson receives prestigious AGU Excellence in Geophysical Education Award The award acknowledges a sustained commitment to excellence in geophysical education and goes to educators who have had a major impact on geophysical education at any level, who have been outstanding teachers and trainers for a number of years, or who have made a long-lasting, positive impact on geophysical education through professional service.” To be awarded at Fall Meeting 15 December 25 Earth Systems Science Education • Involving Colleges/Universities, NASA & USRA • From 1993–2008, enabled 63 teams to develop >130 courses • Reached >100,000 undergraduates Don wants to thank a lot of people in SSEC who made this happen The Interdisciplinary Dimensions of Earth System Science Education 26 Tributes Hal Woolf Chuck Stearns Jim Hedrick 27 Memorial Sessions held in honor of Hal Woolf ATOVS Conference in Monterey in Apr 2010 and AMS Sat Met Conference in Annapolis Sep 2010 He is thanked for his significant contributions here & elsewhere Harold M. Woolf 1940 – 15 December 2009 Hal was our science data steward; he monitored the calibration, provided the RT coefficients, and transitioned each new sensor into operations B(vm,T) = FK1/[exp(FK2/(tc1+tc2*T)-1] 28 Antarctic Times: UW-Madison professor was polar pioneer in meteorology… (and) the father of the U.S. Antarctic Program’s Automatic Weather Station system His association with the University of Wisconsin spanned 64 years Including Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, Professor, Space Science and Engineering Center, Senior Scientist. 29 Chuck Stearns, a friend and source of sage wisdom Matthew: I checked with George on this too – Upon hearing you might be named director, He first informed you that: "SSEC was losing (destroying?) a good scientist" ... and then he noted: "They made me platoon leader because all of the good guys were dead!” (U.S. Army infantryman in World War II, 1943-1946, during which he participated in the invasions of Leyte and Okinawa) Classic Chuck.... Thanks to Matthew & George for remembering this one 30 Jim Hedrick 31 SSEC Administrative Services and Facilities Thanks! We get such great support for all of our projects! 32 Infrastructure: The people Personnel Update through Nov: 42 New Hires (incl 18 Students) 27 Left (21 graduating students) 13 New Honorary Fellows (extended visitors) 18 Academic Position Vacancy Listings 54 Mods (Title change, Pay increase…) 13 Visas (J1 and H1B) 2 Retirements [Dave Allen and Tom Achtor (stealth)] 33 Jenny, Denny & Teddy: Yesterday! Equity & Diversity Committee E&D Members: Eva Borbas Tom Demke (Chair) Mat Gunshor Linda Hedges Jay Heinzelman Mark Mulligan (outgoing) Claire Pettersen Pat O’Connell Eric Thompson (rep to Grad School Committee) E&D Initiatives Rev. -, 11/23/10, TAD • Promoted yearly employee reviews • Updates to monthly SSEC newsletter • Climate survey • Conducted in Oct. • Results planned for Jan. • SSEC mentoring program • New staff orientation 35 McIDAS Users’ Group 2010 Highlights Software & Documentation McIDAS-V • Version 1.0 released in September!!! • 743 downloads so far • 3,000+ start-ups weekly (up from 800+ last year) New Methods for McIDAS-V Support • Support Forums Allow users to communicate with each other Give users access to the help desk Very successful - currently 632 members • Video Tutorials now online • New McIDAS-V website with auto-updating content McIDAS-X & -XCD releases • New radar products available via NOAAPORT • Server updates for GVAR, netCDF, MSG, and radar SDI GVAR and MTSAT releases for GOES-15 and MTSAT-2 Becky Schaffer 36 McIDAS Users’ Group 2010 Highlights Training and Outreach Demonstrations • AMS Meeting, Atlanta GA (January) • ITOVS, Monterey CA (April) Jessica Staude • EUMETSAT Meteorological Satellite Conference, Córdoba Spain (September) • McIDAS Users’ Group Meeting (October) Training Workshop • McIDAS Users’ Group Meeting (October) Attended by 50 MUG members from 15 sites McIDAS-V being used in AOS classes & in the CAVE …plus countless demonstrations, talks, and training sessions conducted at SSEC, at various professional conferences, and at other research institutions 37 McIDAS Users’ Group 2010 Highlights MUG Membership Three new members: • Bandan Meteorologi Klimatologi dan Geofisika (Jakarta Indonesia) • Clean Power Research, LLC (Napa CA) • Harris Corporation (Melbourne FL) MUG membership stable at 41 sites from 10 countries • their MUG Membership fees (not overhead) provide the majority of MUG funding New • • • MUG Staff – Bob Carp: Joined the MUG Staff in November Recent graduate of Millersville University Primarily will be working with McIDAS-V 38 McIDAS Users’ Group 2010 Highlights 2010 MUG Meeting, 25 October THANK YOU to everyone at SSEC for using & promoting the McIDAS software packages to colleagues around the world. We really appreciate it! 39 New Heated Antenna Upgraded Cooling First GOES-15 image 2 new hawks Jerry Robaidek 40 New 6.3 meter c-band antenna installed March 2010. Heated to provide data even when we get heavy wet snow. Photo provided by Fred Best Photo provided by Fred Best 41 Photo provided by Fred Best 42 Heaters Work! 6 December 43 Photo provided by Fred Best 44 First GOES-15 Visible Image NASA press release uses data pulled in by SSEC Data Center. http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GOES-P/news/first-image.html 45 Upgraded Infrastructure Continuing to upgrade Data Center Infrastructure Added 4 APC inline coolers to double inline cooling capabilities to ~140 KW. 46 NOAA Supercomputer at SSEC 2011 1. $1M in funding from NOAA STAR 2. System to be used for demonstrating impact of new data assimilation sources and techniques on NCEP operational model forecasts 3. SSEC will procure, install, and operate the system for NOAA 4. SSEC receives 10% of system resources, plus shares 90% of resources with researchers designated by NOAA STAR 3072 CPU cores, 8 Terabytes RAM 320 Terabytes disk serenity: 32 CPU cores, 192 GB RAM zara: 120 CPU cores, 240 GB RAM peate: 250 CPU cores, 500 GB RAM 47 2 new hawks! Photo provided by Douglas Ratcliff 48 16 March A 4-Month Story of the Red-tailed Hawks family 49 Female Male 16 March 50 Beginnings of Nest on Weeks Hall 16 March 51 5 days later, non-stop sitting has begun 21 March 52 Male, showing off 22 March 53 Two Eggs Visible: after 2 weeks sitting 3 April 54 Caught by the Webcam 15 April 55 Caught by the Webcam, again 17 April 56 2 Busy Adults 2 Hatched after 4 weeks 29 April 57 1 May Growing Fast 4 May 58 3 Weeks Old And already thinking about escape 18 May 59 Protection from Memorial Weekend Heat 29 May 60 You first, 12 June 61 Test Flight, 17 June 62 Practice on a flat roof, 18 June 63 Fred’s Masterpiece 19 June 64 Fred’s Masterpiece 19 June 65 Camp Randall, On its own 20 July 66 Birds adapting to man’s climate 67 2010 Schwerdtfeger Library Highlights Jean Phillips 68 Chancellor Biddy Martin and staff from Wisconsin’s Federal Congressional offices attended briefings at SSEC in August to learn about our research and history 69 Suomi Science Museum Congressional Staffers and Chancellor Martin briefed on UW pioneering role in Sat Met History New funding opportunities are being explored 70 New library blog released http://libcomm.blogspot.com/ 71 Remembering Verner Edward Suomi The Father of Satellite Meteorology: an Oral History Final edited and transcribed oral history is available on the Library’s web site. Developed by Jean Phillips and Paul Menzel, filmed by WPR and transcribed by Linda Hedges. Featuring Suomi’s colleagues : Larry Sromovsky, Don Johnson, Tom Haig, Bob Fox, Chuck Stearns, Tom Vonder Haar, and Bill Smith 72 First SSEC Photo Contest 73 Your questions, and there were more than 3500 of them in 2010, ranged from: • How do I begin to find scholarly resources about the California current? • Will you translate a chapter of this dissertation from French to English? • How come I can't access this article online? • Can you track ASPB and AMRC publications the same way you track those of CIMSS? • I'm submitting a proposal and need to find this obscure reference asap. Can you get it? • Are daily climactic data for northern France and the Alsace-Lorraine in the period August 1944 to March 1945 available anywhere? • Can you develop a history of spending on polar orbiting satellites? • Can I get a PDF of this article? • I need the original data tables from the British Antarctic Expedition of 1910-13. Can you get them? • An editor of a journal wants me to change the units throughout my paper to an SI unit that no one in my field actually uses. Can you help me gather some usage data ? 74 To all AOS students: Attend the AMS Student Conference in Seattle and join the Quest • Our team is planning exciting events around the conference theme of “Communicating Weather and Science” • Quest Team Members: Steve Ackerman (UW) Jean Phillips (UW) Matt Sitkowski (UW) Anita Colby (UCLA) Kark Kozak (U-Iowa) Stephanie Wright (U-Wash) Heather Dinon (NCSU) 75 SSEC QA & Safety Program • Staff: Tom Demke, Krissy Dahnert & Laila Borokhim w/ Fred Best, Mark Mulligan, Paul Nipko & Will Robus • New Quality & Safety Coordinator: Laila Borokhim Projects Supported • IDDO (Ice Drilling Design and Ops) • General • Blue Ice Drill • Replicate Coring System • DISC/WAIS Divide • WISSARD • Near Infrared Spectrograph • LiDARs • GV HSRL • DOE HSRL • Bago HSRL • GOES-R • • CLARREO AERI Rev. -, 11/23/10, TAD Safety & Planning • Continuation Of Operations Plan • Describes how we restore functionality to SSEC after an emergency has occurred • Plan to be complete by end of Dec. Regulatory • Registered UW-Madison w/ U.S.State Dept. for export licensing • Submitted/received 4 ITAR licenses • Demke - 40% assignment to develop campus export control plan, including: • Project assessment • Training • Monitoring 76 Technical Computing Highlights Things you may have noticed • About 3200 resolved requests in our tracking system • Center FTP server upgrade from 10TB to 30TB • New forum product (forums.ssec.wisc.edu) • Windows 7 Migration (75% complete) • RedHat 3 Retirement • New Atempo backup system for Windows and Mac (and power saving) • > 1 Gbps for all: Wiring upgrade ongoing, currently on 10th floor and working down. • Will add or replace approximately 470 network ports in 88 out of 158 rooms. • TC plus Nancy Troxel-Hoehn, Dave Jones, Jim Sinclair, Paul Schnettler, JoAnn Banks • Have had a request in to campus since 2007 - this summer we surveyed every room and made detailed plan for completing with or without campus help. Identified a campus upgrade project via DoIT and were able to be added to it. • Our planning allowed us to easily get into this project and move to the head of the line for the upgrades. We received positive feedback from the project planners on our preparation. 77 Technical Computing Highlights Work Behind the Scenes • New Archive Servers for the Datacenter - geoarc06-09, 440 TB of raw disk space • Continued migrating center servers to virtual machines (DNS server and license server migrated in 2010). Developed custom snapshot scripts • Many new linux servers purchased and installed this year – for example, we have about 27 Dell R510’s installed (and ~4 on order). We started ordering those in April. • IPv6 Preparations – SSEC has address block, firewall upgraded to support, name service infrastructure programs rewritten for ipv6, and basic testing done. • Name Service infrastructure also extended to support 802.1x vlan assignment • Datacenter Network Wiring – Lots of work rewiring and moving patch panels in 649 (with Jim Sinclair and others) • Datacenter Cooling work with Mark Werner • Work on centralized authentication with the Windows Active Directory Domain 78 Bricks and Mortar New Digs For TC 79 Bricks and Mortar No Free Lunch, but New Options! Coming Soon: South Union & Discovery Inst. New SSEC Break Room (448) New Picnic Table 80 Thanks JoAnn & Dave Jones -JoAnnWe all hope you are fully recovered soon 81 • • • • • • • • • • • • • UW-GAMIS: Ground-based Atmospheric Meteorological Instrument Suite Atmospheric Emitted Radiance Interferometer (AERI) High-spectral-resolution lidar (HSRL) 14-channel microwave radiometer (22-30 and 50-60 GHz) 2-channel microwave radiometer (90 and 150 GHz) Vaisala Ceilometer Total sky imager (TSI) Multi-filter rotating shadowband radiometer (MFRSR) Vaisala radiosonde ground station GPS antenna (for precipitable water vapor) Basic meteorology on tower (P/T/U/wind/precip) Broadband shortwave radiometer Broadband radiometers (Engineering) Rooftop cameras 82 83 Website accomplishments AMRC website redesign SSEC Registration System developed JSani: lightweight, simple, mobile-friendly animation tool Coming soon: online timesheets and more 84 Getting the Word Out Mark Hobson Spotlight Topics Covered in 2010: Volcano ash clouds New satellite dish GOES images Meteor burst Gulf Oil slick CIMSS re-compete McIDAS-V 1.0 release Hurricanes Through the Atmosphere 3D Globe goes to Experimental Aircraft Association Museum in Oshkosh for the 2010 AirVenture and to the Grand Opening of the WID. Through the Atmosphere covers McIDAS-V release, LIDAR, Hazardous Weather Testbed, and Blue Ice drilling. Media Exposure: • ABC World News with Diane Sawyer and the Weather Channel featured GOES-15 animated imagery of Hurricane Igor compiled by Scott Bachmeier. • NBC-15 Weekend Live interviewed Matthew Lazzara. • WGN-TV/Tom Skilling interviewed Tom Achtor, Jessica Staude, Chris Velden, Tim Olander, Justin Sieglaff, Jordan Gerth, Tim Schmit, and Steve Ackerman. • Fox News covered meteor sky-burst and broadcast an interview with Mark Hobson. • UW Public Television new program Wisconsin Research Profiles covered Steve Ackerman. • Wisconsin Eye interviewed Steve Ackerman and Jeff Key. • New York's National Public Radio station WNYC interviewed Jim Kossin. • Wall Street Journal covered WAIS Divide project. • Weatherwise magazine interviewed Matthew Lazzara. • UW Press Release on Pavolonis and Iceland ash cloud. • UW Press Release on Climate Literacy Ambassadors. Over 600 students and VIPs (including Chancellor Martin and Staff for Senators Kohl and Feingold and Representative Baldwin) tour the building. 85 C. Education and Public Outreach (EPO) Office of Space Science Education (OSSE) Outreach Earth Science EPO VISITview TeleTraining CIMSS Satellite Blog 86 OSSE: International Venus Workshop • STEM Careers Workshop for Girls 2010 • Attended by over 100(!!) educators from upper Midwest • Jointly sponsored by NASA, WI DPI & Nat’l Girls’ Collaborative (NSF) • Free Public Program Sponsored by NASA • Jan Smit, David Grinspoon & Bill Nye gave public talks to over 500!! 87 STEM Careers Workshop for Girls 2010 • STEM = Science, Technology Engineering, Mathematics • Featured “Women of Venus” • • Venus Cloud Tracking Workshop: • • • Panel discussion with women scientists Hands-on curriculum using VEX data (Hsuan-Yun Pi) Venus Science Presentations • Kevin Baines • Sanjay Limaye Featured Keynote Speaker • Bill Nye “The Science Guy” 88 Next with OSSE: Summer of Innovation NASA (Education Directorate) Managed Program to sustain STEM learning for middle school students in summer using NASA resources with earth and space science content themes • 16 seed proposals funded to develop full Implementation Plan for Summers of 2011 through 2013 – Wisconsin “Gateway to Space” Proposal Partners: • Engineers & Scientists of Milwaukee (Van Walling, PI) • SSEC’s Office of Space Science Education (Rose Pertzborn, Co-PI) • UW Extension’s 4-H Summer Academy (Joanna Skluzacek, Co-I) •“Gateway to Space” Program will: – Introduce GLOBE & Venus Cloud Tracking activities – Six WI regions (workshops) Summer 2011 – Twelve WI workshops Summer 2012 – Expand to other Midwest States (2013) 89 2010 Outreach Highlights First, the usual suspects: • AMS WeatherFest • AOSS Open House (Science Expeditions) • CIMSS student workshop (18th one!) • Teacher workshops • School tours (thanks Mark!) • Grandparents University Margaret Mooney re-elected Chair of the ESIP Education committee Traveling 3D GLOBE ! for 2010 Atlanta for WeatherFest (Federation of Earth Science EAA AirVenture Museum Exhibit Edgewater for MUG Meeting Partners) WisconsinInformation Institutes for Discovery Grand Opening! NOAA-CIMSS-ESIP Teacher Workshop in Tennessee For 2011: The SSEC Globe will be on display at the Dane County Regional Airport in a 6 month “Satellites See Wisconsin” exhibit, but not to worry, NOAA is lending us a similar (yet smaller) spherical display system. Additionally, CIMSS/SSEC will be providing daily briefings to all NOAA Science on a Sphere (SOS) sites thanks to Steve Ackerman's successful 4-year NOAA OED proposal! 90 2010 Outreach Highlights First, the usual suspects: • AMS WeatherFest • AOSS Open House (Science Expeditions) • CIMSS student workshop (18th one!) • Teacher workshops • School tours (thanks Mark!) • Grandparents University NOAA-CIMSS-ESIP Teacher Workshop in Tennessee Traveling 3D GLOBE ! Atlanta for WeatherFest EAA AirVenture Museum Exhibit Edgewater for MUG Meeting Wisconsin Institutes for Discovery Grand Opening! For 2011: The SSEC Globe will be on display at the Dane County Regional Airport in a 6 month “Satellites See Wisconsin” exhibit, but not to worry, NOAA is lending us a similar (yet smaller) spherical display system. Additionally, CIMSS/SSEC will be providing daily briefings to all NOAA Science on a Sphere (SOS) sites thanks to Steve Ackerman's successful 4-year NOAA OED proposal! 91 3D Globe at AMS SSEC Booth Rick Kohrs Education Lecture 92 VISITview Teletraining 2010 TM SCOTT LINDSTROM AND SCOTT BACHMEIER • Live sessions given to NWS Forecasters and Management – 8 different modules offered (UW CONVECTIVE INITIATION PRODUCT, TROWAL IDENTIFICATION, CRAS FORECAST IMAGERY, BEGINNING SATELLITE PRINCIPLES, INTERPRETING SATELLITE SIGNATURES, MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE VORTICES, NEARCASTING CONVECTION, POES/AVHRR DATA) – 28 training sessions offered – 40 different NWS Forecast Offices participated – ~150 forecasters participated • Recorded versions available via the National Weather Service Learning Management System (LMS, an on-line learning tool) 93 New VISITview Teletraining Lessons TM 94 CIMSS Satellite Blog Scott Bachmeier NESDIS Team Member of the Month (October) for his efforts to improve public awareness of NOAA satellite applications, both for the general public and for NOAA 95 CIMSS Satellite Blog (Scott Bachmeier) Hurricane Danielle imaged by GOES-15 at 1-minute intervals (vis, 1 km) 96 CIMSS Satellite Blog (Scott Bachmeier) Hurricane Igor imaged by GOES-15 at 1-minute intervals (vis, 1 km) 97 D. Our Science & Engineering Again, I’m following the SSEC Booklet What we do is divided into: Observe Analyze Apply 98 To Observe 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) CLimate Absolute Radiance and REfractivity Observatory (CLARREO) Antarctic Meteorology Research Ice Coring & Drilling NIR Instrument for SALT Telescope High Spectral Resolution Lidar Commercial AERI Certification Preparations for NPP Launch, Oct 2011 PREDICT: Hurricane Field experiment New Venture Class hurricane mission 99 CLARREO at UW-SSEC: Absolute Radiance Interferometer (ARI) Test Bed-1 ABB Bomem Interferometer AERI Front-End With Blackbodies First Sky 8 Dec. 10 CLARREO at UW-SSEC: Absolute Radiance Interferometer (ARI) Test Bed-2 New Fore Optics provide interface to small GIFTS-like Blackbodies 10 On-orbit Absolute Radiance Standard (OARS): Design Based on GIFTS Blackbody with Additions Outer Enclosure (MLI not shown) Phase Change Cells (Ga, H2O, & Hg) Temperature Controlled Shroud (MLI not shown) Cold Plate Conductive Bridge Thermal Isolator Thermistors Temperature Controlled Cavity Heated Halo (see next section) 10 Heated Halo: Fred’s new plant warmer 103 CLARREO UW-SSEC: Summary of Phase Change Material Status ISS Original IIP Material Melt Point Liq. >>Solid LME Possible [°C] Signatures (TEC) A ccelerated A ccelerated Signatures Life Test Life Test (Blackbody) Unsealed Welded Gallium 29.7 Expa nds Yes X X X X Water 0.0 Expa nds No X X X X Mercury -38.9 Co ntracts Yes X X X X Gallium-Indium 16.5 Expa nds Yes X Gallium-Tin 20.5 Expa nds Yes X Blackbody Configuration TEC Configuration Accelerated Life Configuration 104 Conducted Full Accelerated Life Test For Ga, H2O, and Hg Packaged in Welded Housings Pre and Post Signatures Are within ±2mK of Characteristic Curve for Ga & Hg (±5mK for H2O). 10 mK 105 UW-SSEC Phase Change Cell Demo on ISS Demonstration in Micro-gravity (2011) Heated Case Phase Change Cell Aluminum Shield Cap Melt Block Tuned Insulation Top TEC Plate TECs Bottom TEC Plate Heat Sink SDL Experiment Support Package for ISS UW-SSEC Multiple Phase Change Experiment • Three phase change materials to be used: Gallium, Gallium Eutectic, and Water • Demonstration will use the Utah State SDL Experiment Support Package • Signatures of different durations will be obtained and compared with those obtained in one-G 106 New AMRC – AWS Web Site! 107 Composite Atmospheric Motion Vectors Arctic & Antarctic Improved composites for making AMVs Identifying vectors from multiple satellites RMSE on par with LEO and GEO AMVs 108 Recognizing the early years with Chuck in the field 109 2009-2010 AWS Field Team Dr. Charlie Bentley Dr. Matthew Lazzara Nicole Schroeder Lee Welhouse ~17 AWS sites visited! 110 IDDO Ice Drilling & Operations • 2nd Year of 5-Year NSF Co-operative Agreement ($3.2M FFY 2011) ICDS Ice Coring & Drilling Services • Non-CA activities ($0.5M FFY 2010) 111 2010 IDDO Projects • WAIS Divide Project (DISC Drill) – Cored 1050 meters through brittle ice to 2564 meter depth – Outstanding quality core! – Total days at WAIS - 65 – Modified drill for 2010-2011 season 112 2010 IDDO Projects (cont’d) • • • • • Completed 1st season – Allan Hills Cores Completed 1st season – WAIS Shallow Cores Completed seismic work in Amundsen Basin Completed Beacon Valley Cores Began: - Lake Vida Access - Taylor Glacier Cores 113 2010 IDDO Projects (cont’d) • Replicate Coring System to allow additional cores to be retrieved from existing borehole - Finished Mechanical Design - Started Electrical/Electronic Design 114 2010 ICDS ARRA Project • Blue Ice Drill – Designed, built, tested – 9.5-inch diameter core – Transportable by helicopter – Funded by NSF through University of California at San Diego – Deployed to Taylor Glacier 115 Robert S. Stobie – Near Infrared Spectrograph, NIR for the South African Large Telescope (SALT) Major part of 1 ton instrument package mounted at the focus of 11 m telescope (15 m up) that moves to scan elevation Fabry-Perot Etalon Pre-dewar Enclosure -40ºC Grating Polarizing Beamsplitter F-P Order Blocking Filter Fold Mirror RSS-NIR Doublet Dichroic Balancing the Baryon Budget: Star formation, Gas accretion, & Feedback Dewar 120K SALT Detector & Field Flattener L6: Dewar Window Slit Camera: L1 to L5 Ambient T Collimator Polarizing Optics RSS-VIS Doublet Field Lens PI: Andrew Sheinis, Dept of Astronomy SSEC lead: Mark Mulligan 116 Near Infrared Spectrograph, NIR PI: Andrew Sheinis, Dept of Astronomy • Complementary instrument to a visible instrument developed by Dept of Astro / SAL for the Southern African Large Telescope (SALT). • Partners include – Inter-University Centre for Astronomy and Astrophysics in India – Rutgers University – SSEC • SSEC is providing systems engineering, quality assurance & safety, electrical engineering, business services, and project management support. • Secured funding support from WARF, NSF, and SALT: ~$6.2M • In early year 3 of a 4+ year project. • Passed Critical Design Review in October 2010 and are now in a fabrication phase. 117 Near Infrared Spectrograph, NIR PI: Andrew Sheinis, Dept of Astronomy • • • Designed and assembled a functioning test bed with two of the system mechanisms. Provided a fit and functional test of the mechanical, electrical and software systems. Worked flawlessly during the CDR panel tour. Have conducted 500 cycles at room temperature. Planning additional cycles at room temperature followed by testing at operating temperature, -40C. 118 New HSRL’s (High Spectral Resolution Lidar) •Two new HSR LIDARS for DOE ARM Program, 1 for SSEC •Simpler and more efficient package. •1st system assigned to the AMF program (mobile) and will be installed in Steamboat, Colorado later this month. •2nd system will be installed in Barrow, Alaska in January 2011. •HSRL for AERI-BAGO will be installed in Spring 2011. ARM AMF, CO ARM Barrow, AK AERI-Bago HSRL Team and contributors: Ed Eloranta (PI), Igor Razenkov, Joe Garcia, Marty Lawson, Jim Hedrick, Don Thielman, Illya Razenkov, Nick Ciganovich, Mark Werner, Paul Sendelbach, Scott Ellington, Paul Schnettler, Tom Demke, Will Robus, Mark Mulligan, Bit 7 (Istavan Bocsi, Dave Smith, Al Rogers, Greg Falendyez). 119 Slide by Igor Razenkov NCAR 120 Next Generation AERI: Licensing of UW Technology to ABB/Bomem of Quebec, Canada is a success in 2010 ! UW-SSEC Certification Denny Hackel has led the certification and testing of 10 E-AERI systems! Many thanks to all who contributed to this effort!!! 121 AERI Blackbody FAB 122 Orbit: 1:30 pm Altitude: 824 km Polar Sun-Synch Launch: Fall 2011 • • • NPP VIIRS F1 NASA climate follow-on mission to MODIS Changes from MODIS Participants: Moeller, LaPorte, Menzel UW Goals: Assess SDR performance based upon prelaunch testing. Support postlaunch Cal/Val. Funding agents: NASA, IPO (morphing into JPSS) VIIRS Data Products Name of Product Group Type Imagery * Precipitable Water Suspended Matter Aerosol Optical Thickness Aerosol Particle Size Cloud Base Height Cloud Cover/Layers Cloud Effective Particle Size Cloud Optical Thickness/Transmittance Cloud Top Height Cloud Top Pressure Cloud Top Temperature Active Fires Albedo (Surface) Land Surface Temperature Soil Moisture Surface Type Vegetation Index Sea Surface Temperature * Ocean Color and Chlorophyll Net Heat Flux Sea Ice Characterization Ice Surface Temperature Snow Cover and Depth Imagery Atmosphere Atmosphere Aerosol Aerosol Cloud Cloud Cloud Cloud Cloud Cloud Cloud Land Land Land Land Land Land Ocean Ocean Ocean Snow and Ice Snow and Ice Snow and Ice EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR Application EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR EDR * Key Product Performance attribute • Rotating telescope instead of rotating mirror • Use of dual gain bands • Removed CO2 and H2O bands • Deleted Spectro-Radiometric Assembly • Added pixel aggregation • Guaranteed End-Of-Life Performance Spec • Solar Diffuser Screen with Earthshine shade F1 Status • • VIIRS integrated on spacecraft at Ball Aerospace Spacecraft (S/C) level testing underway. F1 Accomplishments in 2010 • • • LUTs being finalized for F1 calibration algorithm. SRFs released into the public domain. Special spectral response test completed at Ball Activities Planned for 2011 • • • Post Launch Cal/Val program planning and implementation (incl. ER-2 activity in fall 2011) Complete S/C level tests and final preparations for launch of NPP 123 F2 test program ramping up Eagerly Planning for Cal/Val NASA climate follow-on to AIRS CrIS In-flight Radiometric Uncertainty: versus scene temperature for all FOVs for ~mid-band spectral channels Final inflight uncertainty will be < 0.2K brightness T ! (3-sigma, for all scene temperatures, after inflight non-linearity refinement) 124 October 2011: current date for NPP launch. July 2010: McIDAS-V becomes the first major scientific data visualization package to support this complicated data format. Tommy Jasmin CIMSS PREDICT Support Pre-Depression Investigation of Cloud-systems in the Tropics (PREDICT) August - September 2010 • • • • Why do some disturbances develop while others do not ? 51 disturbances, 26 missions with the NSF G-V Coincident with NASA GRIP and NOAA IFEX PI Chris Velden. Forecast support provided by Derrick Herndon, John Sears and Sarah Monette (AOS) CIMSS TC group developed special web page and products for the campaign Theory tested: Marsupial Paradigm where the “Pouch” of incipient disturbances represents protected regions that are more likely to undergo cyclone genesis 126 CIMSS PREDICT Support “Pouch” analyses over MIMIC TPW CIMSS IR image with overshooting tops in pouch 127 CIMSS PREDICT Support Predict Web Page Overshooting Tops “pouch” overlayed on winds/clouds/… Inertial Available Kinetic Energy Chris contemplates pouch dynamics Derrick, John and Sarah aboard the GV Hurricane Earl passes by 129 The St Croix OPS Center 130 Venture Class: Hurricane and Severe Storms Sentinel (HS3) S-HIS, Global Hawk, & Hurricanes S-HIS Objectives: •Environment impact on Hurricane formation & intensification (e.g. SAL). •Vertical profiling of air temperature and humidity above cloud. •Campaigns in 2012, 2013, and 2014. S-HIS Time-Height Cross-section T RH Slide 131 131 To Analyze 1) Cryosphere 2) Clouds, clouds, clouds 3) GOES-R Product Algorithms (AWG) 4) WRF Model Simulation Validation 5) GOSAT Validation 6) Outer Planets 7) Venus 132 ABI North American Xwanji Wang Jeff Key ABI 133133 133 Pure ice Ice concentration Reflectance Pure water Temperature Ice Motion Lake Erie, Cleveland from Cnes Spot 134 Ice Age Classification: 1: Free of ice (white) 2: New ice 3: Grey ice 4: Grey-white ice 5: Thin first-year ice 6: Median first-year ice 7: Thick first-year ice , APP-x Seasonal Change 8: Old ice , APP-x 135 Ice thickness -5 %/decade Ice concentration -1.4 %/decade Ice extent -8 %/decade Ice volume -15 %/ decade Latitude > 60 N 136 Arctic Sea Ice: Even more dramatic AVHRR trends for 2005-2010 portended • ICESat lidar altimetry • Especially note dramatic multiyear ice effect • But, beware of conclusions from short records! Physics Today, Sept 2009 Ron Kwok, JPL Total Multi-year 1st Year 137 73% Multi-year ice 58% 42% 27% First-year ice Open water 138 Blog: AVHRR shows Unusual polynva in Candian Arctic, 25 February 2009 • Open area surrounded by sea ice • Entire length of Nares Strait region 139 Errors in Cloud Detection over the Arctic for Observing Feedback Mechanisms Winter Spring Summer Autumn Frequency distributions of daily mean cloud amount difference from MODIS and GEOPROF-lidar (%) vs AMSR-E sea ice concentration (%). Median values are overlaid as thick black line. Anomalous cloud radiative forcing decadal trend caused by anomalous cloud amount trend associated with trends in SIC, that lead to low bias in cloud amount over ice surface. 140 El Nino years Stratus Cloud Trend from HIRS ITCZ compared with Nino 3.4 SSTs Decreasing strat clouds align with warmer SSTs Kolat and Menzel 141 Hourly Diurnal Cloud Climatology June 2009 June 2010 Monthly Means from GOES Sounder 25% 50% All Clouds 75% 100% High Clouds Some Background: • “June 2009” consists of GOES Sounder data from 9 – 30 June (GOES-11 & -12). • “June 2010” consists of GOES Sounder data from 1 – 30 June (GOES-11 & -13). • Resolution of the Images is 1° lat/lon (Sounder pixel is 12 km). • Each “lat/lon” box contains about 40 (extreme N) to 100 (extreme S) obs/hr/day Tony Schreiner 142 CrIS will help VIIRS place cirrus clouds at night – Borbas and Weisz Getting ready for JPSS 143 AIRS cloud-top height retrieval improved with physical algorithm (PHY) (Zhigang Yao, Jun Li, Elisabeth Weisz and Chian-Yi Liu) 144 MODIS, HIRS, & AVHRR cloud data sets delivered to GEWEX for 1980s-2009 Maddux, Olson, Heidinger 145 Observation Error Characterization for Radiance Assimilation of Clouds and Precipitation Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation (JCSDA) Research Ralf Bennartz Tom Greenwald Mark Kulie Andy Heidinger • UW SOI forward/adjoint RT solvers were integrated into CRTM (to become part of V2.1 release) • Collaborative study with JCSDA scientists to quantify uncertainties in microwave ice single-scattering properties (Kulie et al. 2010; JAS) ― Combined active/passive modeling system (includes CloudSat CPR) ― Uncertainties smallest for nonspherical calculations (DDA) ― Error covariances depend strongly on precipitation type, ice mass amount, and channel frequency CloudSat CPR reflectivity (Microwave Humidity Sounder) DDA produces realistic results DDA: Discrete Dipole Approximation Unrealistic results for spheres 146 Nighttime Cloud Optical & Microphysical Properties (NCOMP) for GOES-R In support of the GOES-R Cloud Algorithm Working Group, Pat Heck @ CIMSS has adapted NASA Langley’s nighttime retrieval algorithm for GOES-R usage (GEOCAT or NOAA AIT frameworks). Cloud Optical Depth 1 Oct 2007 00:00 UTC Validation of NCOMP Comparison of NCOMP to independent sources • LWP: AMSR-E provides excellent validation opportunities • Cloud Optical Depth (COD): CALIPSO is best source NCOMP Product Examples Using SEVIRI as ABI Proxy Data For single layer water clouds, nighttime accuracy and precision specifications are met. NCOMP is responsible for low optical depth depth clouds, hence only for low LWP. Cloud Effective Particle Size 1 Oct 2007 00:00 UTC For GOES-R Cloud Type = cirrus (purple), COD specs are also met. 2010 Highlights • delivered 100% version (v5.0) of algorithm to AIT • 100% algorithm passed CUTR, ARR and ADEB review • delivered 100% ATBD (v2.0) • products with validation sources meet or exceed spec Many thanks to the rest of the CIMSS GOES-R Cloud Group Again, NCOMP is used only for optically thin clouds, also CALIPSO’s strength. Findings •LWP & COD specifications are met •IWP & Cloud Particle Size (CPS) validation datasets at night are limited, but the search continues. NCOMP applied to MODIS and GOES will help. 147 CIMSS Participation in the GOES-R Algorithm Working Group (AWG) Allen Huang (PI), Wayne Feltz (PM) Task Leads: Tom G., Allen H., Ray G., Graeme M., Bob H., Jinlong L., Corey C., Chris S., Jun L., Chris V., Tony W., Justin S., Kris B., Wayne F., Xuanji W., Tom R., Todd S. Jason O., Mat G., and David T. NOAA Collaborators: Jeff K., Andy H., Tim S., Michael P., and Brad P. 2011 Tasks: 1) Proxy 2) GRAFIIR 3) AIT/GEOCAT 4) Ozone 5) Clouds 6) FIRE 7) Sounding 8) Winds 9) Hurricane Intensity 10) Aviation 11) Snow and Ice 12) Imagery/Visualization 13) Air Quality 148 Validation of Simulated Proxy Data Sets for GOES-R AWG activities Tom Greenwald Yong-Keun Lee Three-fold strategy: Jason Otkin Eva Borbas Jim Davies Allen Huang Validate simulated IR radiances (Otkin et al. 2009) Evaluate vertical characteristics of WRF modelsimulated clouds (Greenwald et al. 2010) Verify components of forward RT model Thicker cirrus Evaluation of simulated clouds •Cluster analysis used to objectively classify midlatitude clouds for collocated CloudSat data and large-scale high-resolution WRF model simulation (MSG domain; 16 Aug 2006) •4 unique cloud regimes identified in both observations and simulation Thin cirrus & low clouds Less organized systems Frontal precipitation •Ice Water Content shows very good Agreement - WRF to Cloudsat 149 Validation of Simulated Proxy Data Sets for GOES-R AWG activities Verify Components of Forward RT Model IR surface emissivity: Cirrus scattering properties: •Validation of latest UW Global IR Land Surface Emissivity Database using SEVIRI data at 00 UTC 15 July 2008 •Results (below) show improvement over assuming a constant emissivity of 0.98 (black curve) for all 8 SEVIRI IR bands •1-yr of collocated CloudSat IWC profiles and MODIS observations •Limited to single-layer cirrus with < 5 •Early results for CRTM V2.0.2 (below) show a bias against observations 150 GOSAT: UW & JAXA On-orbit Validation GOSAT TANSO FTS – CO2 measurements from space UW Objectives: • Inter-calibration with AIRS & IASI 2010 • IR Calibration algorithm improvements (Nonlinearity, polarization, spectral calibration) • Retrieval of CO2 from Thermal Infrared Band4 CO2 Slide 151 151 Research on Outer-Planet Atmospheres at SSEC Science Team: Larry Sromovsky, Pat Fry, Joo Hyeon Kim, Kevin Baines Planets: Jupiter, Saturn, Neptune, Uranus Research: Atmospheric circulation Seasonal response Dynamics of circulation features Vertical cloud structure and composition Techniques: Data Sources: Spectroscopy, Imaging, in situ observations, cloud tracking, radiation transfer modeling Hubble Space Telescope, Cassini, New Horizons Ground based telescopes (Keck, IRTF, Gemini). Archived data from Voyager & Galileo missions. 152 SSEC 2010 Outer Planet Peer-Reviewed Publications: Sromovsky, L.A., and P.M. Fry. 2010. The source of 3-um absorption in Jupiter’s clouds: Reanalysis of ISO observations using new NH3 absorption models. Icarus 210, 211-229. Sromovsky, L.A., and P.M. Fry. 2010. The source of widespread 3-um absorption in Jupiter’s clouds: Constraints from 2000 Cassini VIMS observations. Icarus 210, 230-257. SSEC 2009 Outer Planet DPS Presentations: Baines, K.H., T. W. Momary, L.N. Fletcher, B.J. Buratti, R. H. Brown, R. N. Clark, P. D. Nicholson. 2010. Saturn’s “String of Pearls” After Five Years: Still There, Moving Backwards Faster in the Voyager System. . Bull. Am. Astron. Soc. 42, 1039. Fry, P.M., and Sromovsky, L.A., 2010. Detection and Tracking of Subtle Cloud Features on Uranus. Bull. Am. Astron. Soc. 42, 1022. Kim, J.H., L.A. Sromovsky and P.M. Fry. 2010. Radiative Transfer Modeling on the Atmosphere of Uranus. Bull. Am. Astron. Soc. 42, 1022. Sromovsky, L.A., and Fry, P. M. 2010. Evidence for NH4SH as the primary 3-micron absorber in Jupiter’s clouds. Bull. Am. Astron. Soc. 42, 1010. de Pater, I., D. Dunn, H. Hammel, M. Showalter, S. Gibbard, K. Matthews, M. van Dam, L. Sromovsky, and P. Fry. 2010, Progress on Analysis of Keck AO Observations of the Uranian Rings around the Time of the 2007 Ring Plane Crossings. 153 New Observations in 2010: 18 Sept Gemini, Mauna Kea, 8 m iPhone NASA IRTF Spectra HST (Snaps) New Analysis Capabilities: Implemented Levenberg-Marquardt non-linear algorithm for automated fitting of cloud structure models to observed spectra. Implemented thermal source function in polarized multiple scattering calculations to handle simultaneous effects of reflected sunlight and thermal emission (used for Jupiter and Saturn). Adapted radiation transfer modeling to Saturn’s atmosphere, including thermal source function and correlated-k models for overlapping absorption by methane, ammonia, and phosphine. 154 Saturn’s Sooty Clouds The Thunderstorm-Related Clouds of Saturn Observed with Cassini/VIMS Spectral Imagery Dark Clouds: Carbon is the only Material Identified That is Consistently Dark Across all Spectral Continua 0.6- 4.1 mm Carbon-Impregnated Ice - Provides more uniform darkening, as observed - H2O: No. Too dark at 1.5, 2.7-3 mm (Clark et al., 2008) - NH3: Possibly - NH4SH: Possibly Double-Bubble Model Bright Clouds: - Upwelled, First - Possible Fresh NH3 Cloud Dark Clouds: - Formed Second - Shows Possible Processed Materials Upwelled from Depth Soot Produced by Lightning in Thunderstorms K. H. Baines, J. H. Kim, M. L. Delitsky, T. W. Momary, and the Cassini/VIMS Science Team - T > 8000 K - CH4 pyrolysis - Carbon is a major product of CH4 photolysis in a H2-laden atmosphere 155 156 Venus Leadership!: Sanjay Limaye Japan’s AKATSUKI (JAXA) Mission – NASA Senior Participating Scientist-in-Residence for Venus Climate Orbiter mission launched by JAXA – OSSE to lead NASA EPO Effort Other Venus Research Activities (Sanjay) • Co-Chair of Venus Exploration Analysis Group (VEXAG) • Member, NASA Planetary Science Subcommittee of the NASA Advisory Council • Completed two terms as the DPS Press Officer • Lead US Investigator for European Venus Explorer Mission Proposal to ESA Cosmic Vision • Guest Editor, ICARUS Special Issue on Venus Science • Ongoing ISRO Collaborations • ISSI Book Chapter • 2011 Internat. Conference on Venus Atmosphere in Madison • Venus Express Extended thru 2014 (NASA participating Scientist) 157 Akatsuki: Venus Climate Orbiter ” Daybreak” • Great promise, but failed to acquire Venus Orbit on Monday. • Might have another opportunity, but 6-7 years from now! 158 To Apply 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) 10) 11) 12) 13) 14) Gulf Oil Spill AIRS Retrieval Impacts Surface Emissivity Data Base Chemical Model Assimilation Aviation Hazard Warnings from Satellite Data Hurricane Model transitioned to NHC Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones Nearcasting Severe Storms from GEO Sounder Direct Broadcast Processing & App. System GOES 15 Testing-Last before GOES-R Animated Radar Display for NWS America View Geospatial Scientists meet in Madison Wider Data Access with Geospatial Web Services Benefits of Ground-based Networks 159 MODIS helps assess Deep Water Horizon Oil Spill in Gulf 29 April, 9 days after explosion 160 MODIS helps assess Deep Water Horizon Oil Spill in Gulf Praying Mantis on Indiana BP Pump BP Enlisted help anywhere it could get it 161 Tracks of 96 h forecasts on Hurricane IKE (2008) (WRF/DART assimilation and forecast system is used) AIRS Without AIRS With AIRS AIRS full spatial resolution soundings (CIMSS research products) improve hurricane forecast (Jun Li, Hui Liu, Tim Schmit, Jinlong Li) (Red is observation, green is forecast) Forecasts start at 00 UTC 8 September 2008 162 A collaboration between CIMSS (Jun Li) and Institute of Atmospheric Physics (Beijing) 24-hour precipitation (00 UTC 22 – 00 UTC 23 July 2009) No data AIRS clear sky soundings used Precipitation forecast is improved when the AIRS full spatial resolution water vapor soundings are assimilated. Jun Li 163 SSEC AIRS Temperature Retrieval Assimilation Experiments Proposed FY11 GOES-R Risk Reduction effort to improve the first guess used for ABI legacy sounder retrievals by assimilating advanced LEO IR soundings. •Forecast system: NCEP Operational Global Forecast System (GFS) •Analysis system: NCEP Operational Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI) •Retrieval: Operational AIRS V5 AIRX2SUP (100level AIRS & AMSU) Preliminary experiments run on Jet and NOAA Earth Systems Research Laboratory (ESRL) •“Control” (Operational GSI with current observations) GFS 6hr forecast vs Radiosonde •“AIRS” (Control+AIRS retrieval) GFS 6hr forecast vs Radiosonde CONUS Control Radiosonde Validation December , 2009 CONUS AIRS •Significant reduction in mean high biases between 200850mb over CONUS. •Increased positive biases near the surface The strength of boundary layer inversions is underestimated in both the control and AIRS retrieval assimilation experiments. Allen Lenzen, Brad Pierce, Bill Smith, Ralph Petersen 164 At ECMWF, High Resolution IR contribution equals Microwave now, Even though current approaches use only small % of total IR data Slide 165 A-Train Symposium, New Orleans 165 Current status of the UW Global Infrared Land Surface Emissivity Database (UWiremis) • • • • • Time coverage: Monthly: Oct 2002 - Dec 2006 - 4.2 years (based on MYD11 V4.0) Jan 2007 – Jul 2010 - 3.5 years (based on MYD11 V4.1) Spatial Resolution: 0.05 degree ~ 5 km; 10 hinge points (3.7 and 14.3 mm) Available: http:/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/iremis Users: more than 140 ; UW HSR Algorithm: more than 20 + RTTOV Many Users! (now including RTTOV 10) 166 The UWiremis module for RTTOV 10.0 EUMETSAT NWP-SAF AS mission •Objective: To provide an improved estimate and associated error of land surface emissivity for infrared radiometers for input to RTTOV (v9.3 and later) •Place: SSEC, and NRL, California •Participants: Eva Borbas (SSEC) , Ben Ruston (NRL, USA), Roger Saunders (Met Office, UK •Support personals: Robert Knuteson (SSEC) Andrew Collard (NCEP), James Hocking (Met Office, UK) •Technical support (SSEC): TC, Ray Garcia, Graeme Martin, William Straka • Reference: Borbas & Ruston, 2010, EUM-NWPSAF-MO-VS-042 Very large error reduction over Sahara Desert (up to 12 C) 8.3 μm ---- Emis=0.98 ---- Emis=UW Statistics of IASI dBTs (Calc –Obs) over Sahara on July 15 2008 at night time 167 The RTTOV Uwiremis module The variances of the UW IR emissivity DB •The mean and the variance for each month has also been created on 0.5x0.5 degree resolution between 2003 and 2006 data. Standard deviation of the UW HSR emissivity data base on 0.5 degree resolution For August (2003-2006) 8.6 μm 4 μm Standard Deviations: Green 1% , Red 1.5-2% Ignoring Emissivity Variability will often give large errors over land 168 Evaluation of UW emissivity database (Zhenglong Li et al, 2010, JGR) • SEVIRI observations used to objectively evaluate precision of 6 data sets • UW-HSR is best UW-HSR AIRS-D L2 IASI LaRC MODIS/Terra AIRS-A L2 MODIS/ Aqua 1 August 2006 6 UTC Zhenglong Li, J. Li, X. Jin, T.J. Schmit, E. Borbas and M. Goldberg 169 Participation in the 2010 NOAA CalNex field mission Collaboration with scientists from the California Air Resources Board (ARB) and NOAA/ESRL Chemical Sciences Division (CSD) on utilization and validation of real-time satellite retrievals during the field phase of the 2010 CalNex field mission. In situ Aircraft Flights Test of assimilation into RAQMS (Real-time Air Quality Monitoring System) CalNex Chemical Data Assimilation O3 CO NO2 SO4 BC OC CalNex flights and RAQMS vs P3 O3, NO2 (Tom Ryerson), CO (John Holloway), and SO4, Organic Carbon (Anne Middlebrook), Black Carbon (Ryan Spackman) aerosols Brad Pierce 170 Satellite-based Aviation University of Wisconsin Convective Initiation (UWCI) J. Sieglaff, L. Cronce, W. Feltz, K. Bedka, M. Pavolonois, A. Heidinger • UWCI algorithm uses box-averaged cloud-top cooling rate and GOES-R Cloud mask/type products to make convective initiation decisions UWCI Lead-time for First CG Lightning Strike •Processing GOES-EAST and GOES-WEST • GOES-EAST evaluated at NWS Milwaukee-Sullivan and SPC Hazardous Weather Testbed as part of GOES-R Proving Ground • GOES-WEST will be supplied to western US NWSFOs and Hawaii • Object based radar/satellite validation toolkit nearing completion Validation Journal Article Accepted to JAMC: Sieglaff et al., Nowcasting Convective Storm Initiation Using Satellite Based Box-Averaged Cloud Top Cooling and Cloud Type Trends 171 Overshooting Top Detection CloudSat Validation Example CloudSat Radar Reflectivity Cross Section True OT Location • The CloudSat-observed overshooting top has a diameter of 11 km and has a peak height 1.5 km above the GDAS tropopause GDAS Tropopause Height Co-Located MODIS Data: 20080509 at 2315 UTC True OT Location True OT Location Detected By ABI Algorithm MODIS 250 m Visible With OT Detections CloudSat Overpass • The ABI detection algorithm accurately identifies this feature (lowerleft panel) in addition to several other probable overshooting tops not directly observed by CloudSat True OT Location Proxy ABI 2 km IR Window BT 172 Overshoot Detection Research Probability of Detection 81% of all OT detections have maximum composite reflectivity of >= 50 dBZ Severe Weather Type # Matching Overshooting Tops Number of Occurrences Match Percentage Tornado 2,633 4,684 56.21% Severe Wind 30,804 52,743 58.40% Large Hail 28,787 56,114 51.30% 62,224 113,541 54.80% ANY Type Parkersburg Tornado OT OT Hook Echo 173 The Tropopause Folds Turbulence Algorithm goes global Tony Wimmers, Wayne Feltz GOES-R Algorithm working group GOES-10 WV Full Disk Derived specific humidity (Blue = dry, red = wet) Tropopause folding turbulence product - Colored areas indicate tropopause folds that lead to aviation hazards - Latest algorithm can operate on GOES-R and all geostationary WV imagery - Accuracy of 50% compared to aircraft obs 174 GOES-R Fog/Low Cloud Detection Algorithm Corey Calvert and Michael Pavolonis • The GOES-R fog/low cloud algorithm utilizes a probabilistic approach during both day and night • The algorithm has been ingested into AWIPS (image below) and will be evaluated by the NWS in Alaska during the GOES-R Proving Ground • In collaboration with Environment Canada, the fog/low cloud product will also be used to support the FRAM-ICE field project located in Yellowknife, Northwest Territories in Northern Canada this winter. 175 Tracking Iceland’s Eyjafjallajökull Volcanic Ash Iceland Detection Height Loading The GOES-R volcanic ash products were provided to the UK Met Office in real-time to assist with decision making Particle Size Pavolonis and Sieglaff 176 Volcanic Ash Over Europe Height Loading Pavolonis and Sieglaff Detection Particle Size 177 Understanding Dangerous “Volcanic Thunderstorms” Volcanically forced convection from Santa Ana Severe Thunderstorm Volcanic Eruptions The cloud tops of volcanically forced convection cool far more rapidly than meteorological convection, even if the volcanic eruption is weak. Mike Pavolonis and Justin Sieglaff Cloud Top Cooling Time Series 178 New Model Transitioned to National Hurricane Center Predicting eyewall replacement cycles is crucial for minimizing loss of life and property, but no objective guidance was available to forecasters. In response, we developed a new probabilistic forecast model. Jim Kossin and Matt Sitkowski 179 Hurricane Wind Structure and Secondary Eyewall Formation Chris Rozoff (CIMSS), Jim Kossin (NOAA/CIMSS), Dave Nolan (U-Miami), Fuqing Zhang (PSU), Juan Fang WRF modeling has been used to examine mechanisms initiating eyewall replacement in hurricanes, a process that temporarily weakens a storm but spreads out hurricane-force winds Outer eyewall begins to form Inner eyewall weakens as outer eyewall solidifies Outer eyewall contracts/intensifies inward and takes over as primary eyewall. Synthetic ABI IR imagery from the WRF simulation (Thanks to Jason Otkin and Justin Sieglaff for running the forward radiative transfer model to produce this imagery.) Synthetic radar reflectivity at z = 0.5 km (zoomed In) 180 Hurricane size, structure, & intensity changes caused by eyewall replacement cycles Concentric Eyewalls Primary eyewall Secondary eyewall Hurricane Gilbert from airborne Radar Typhoon Chaba from Microwave Hurricane Charley made landfall as a small Category 4: Hurricane Katrina made landfall as a large Category 3: Compact, but strong-Comparatively benign Huge and weaker-Devastating Cat4 Jim Kossin and Matt Sitkowski Howard 24-hour eyewall replacement from IR Cat3 181 Tropical cyclone Rapid Intensification: ImproveD Forecast Models developed Chris Rozoff (CIMSS) and Jim Kossin (NOAA/CIMSS) Logistic regression-based and naïve Bayes classifier-based probabilistic models trained on environmental and GOES-IR data near Atlantic and eastern Pacific tropical cyclones (1995-2009) have been developed to forecast rapid intensification in tropical cyclones. Forecasting when intensification rates of 25 kt per 24 h or greater may occur in tropical cyclones has been an major challenge. Results: The logistic and Bayesian probabilistic models produce competitive skill with, if not better forecast skill (Brier skill score) than the operational “SHIPS-RI” probabilistic scheme used at the NHC. A consensus (“ensemble”) of all three models produces superior forecast skill. Skill is shown below for rapid intensification thresholds defined as 25, 30, or 35 kt per 24 h or greater. Publication: Rozoff, C. M., and J. P. Kossin, 2010: New probabilistic forecast models for the prediction of tropical cyclone rapid intensification. Wea. Forecasting. 182 Microwave Data Added AS PredictOR of Rapid Intensification Chris Rozoff (CIMSS), Chris Velden (CIMSS), Anthony Wimmers, Margie Kieper, John Kaplan (HRD), John Knaff (CIRA), Mark DeMaria (CIRA), and Jim Kossin (NOAA/CIMSS) Forecasting when intensification rates of 25 kt per 24 h or greater (i.e., “rapid intensification”) may occur in tropical cyclones has been a major challenge. We have developed probabilistic models that use environmental reanalysis data and GOES-IR features (1995-2008) to forecast RI (in the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific). We show here the impacts of adding additional predictors we have developed from passive, 37-GHz microwave data sensed from low-earth orbiting satellites (i.e., SSMI, AMSR-E, TMI, and WINDSAT). These data can see through overlying cirrus outflow to describe the latent heating structure. The Predictors: Based on tropical cyclone-centered microwave imagery. Automated center fixing, eye, and eyewall detection (see ring in figure below for eyewall) is accomplished through an objective algorithm known as “ARCHER” (Wimmers and Velden 2010). The optimal predictors used are shown below (right). Feature Description Preference for RI Eye/Eyewall Average Tb Higher Eye Radius Smaller Eyewall Width Smaller Eyewall Average Tb Higher Radius of minimum Average Tb (r = 30 – 130 km) Smaller Standard Deviation of Average Tb (r = 0 – 100 km) Lower 183 Microwave Data Improves Skill For the Prediction of Rapid Intensification Chris Rozoff (CIMSS), Chris Velden (CIMSS), Anthony Wimmers, Margie Kieper, John Kaplan (HRD), John Knaff (CIRA), Mark DeMaria (CIRA), and Jim Kossin (NOAA/CIMSS) Improvements of adding microwave predictors to a logistic regression-based probabilistic scheme for forecasting RI are shown below using both Brier skill score and probability of detection as skill metrics. A logistic scheme that incorporates microwave data, GOES-IR data, and environmental data performs better than the same scheme using only GOES and environmental data. Results are shown for tropical cyclones of at least 25 kts intensity and then again for storms at least 45 kts in intensity. (a) Brier skill score and (b) probability of detection (based on probability of RI of at least 50 %) values for RI thresholds of 25-, 30-, and 35-kt (24 h)-1 for the logistic scheme using no MW predictors (light blue for all TCs; orange for TCs with vmax of at least 45 kt) and including MW predictors (dark blue for all TCs; red for TCs with vmax of at least 45 kt). 184 Using Simulated Hyperspectral Environmental Soundings (HES) in the CIMSS NearCasting model to Predict Severe Storms Weak gradients of low-level theta-E are indicated by ABI which has only two water vapor channels. Simulated ABI A WRF model simulation of the June 12, 2002 IHOP case was used to generate simulated radiances from an Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI), a geostationary Hyper-spectral Environmental Sounder (HES), and simulated radar reflectivity. Strong low-level theta-E gradients are indicated by HES which has the ability to detect low-level moisture. Simulated HES Potential temperature (theta-E) profiles were retrieved from the simulated radiances and used to initialize the CIMSS NearCasting Model. 5-hour nearcasts of theta-E lapse rates were generated. 5-hour NearCast of low level theta-E valid 2000 UTC Simulated ABI 5-hour NearCast of theta-E lapse rates valid 2000 UTC Simulated composite reflectivity from nature run indicates the formation of convection. Rapid Development of Convection over Texas and Nebraska between 2000 and 2100 UTC 12 June 2002 Bob Aune 5-hour NearCast of low level theta-E valid 2000 UTC Simulated HES 5-hour NearCast of theta-E lapse rates valid 2000 UTC 185 Direct Broadcast Processing and Application System (DBPAS): A Real-Time Operational End-To-End System in ECNU Liam Gumley, Kathy Strabala, Allen Huang; Elisabeth Weisz, Brad Pierce; and Bob Aune East China Normal University System: All data & products available online: http://dbps.ecnu.e du.cn/data/ An End-To-End DB Satellite Data Acquisition and Processing and Application System was installed on 24 of May 2010 and was operational 24 hours later and operating seamlessly since then: Autonomously tracking Terra/Aqua and producing MODIS atmosphere, land, ocean, AIRS soundings, AMSR-E products 186 Producing real-time Short-term regional weather and air quality forecast International MODIS and AIRS Processing Package (IMAPP) Supporting more than 900 registered users in 61 countries Supporting 11 Real-Time government and academic institutes Providing more than 50 NWS offices Real-Time MODIS images and products Conducted 8 DB training workshops at 5 different continents so far Providing 1st Real-Time DB Data Assimilation System (DBCRAS) and Air Quality forecast system (IDEA-I) to users Received more than 10 years of funding from NASA Allen Huang, PI; Kathy Strabala, PM Liam Gumley; Elisabeth Weisz, Brad Pierce; Bob Aune IMAPP provides L1 & L2 algorithms that can produce MODIS; AIRS; AMUS; & AMSR-E radiances and >18 MODIS; 3 AMSR-E; & 2 AIRS/AMSU products. IMAPP also provides tools & utilities such as MODIS in Google Earth & virtual appliance 187 Last GOES Post-launch Science Test before GOES-R! Scott Bachmeier, Mat Gunshor, James P. Nelson III, Tim Schmit, Tony Schreiner, Gary Wade • The Science Test part of Post Launch Testing for GOES-15 occurred in the summer of 2010. • Comparisons with AIRS and IASI have found a bias in Imager bands 3 and 6. • Unique 1-minute rapid scan imagery acquired • GOES-15 data analysis will continue. All the GVAR data archived at SSEC’s Data Center. • Many products generated in near realtime. • A NOAA Technical Report will be GOES-15 Imager Super Rapid Scan Visible data from the CIMSS Satellite blog forthcoming. 188 NWS Animated Radar Display Changed from Java applet to Flash Both developed at SSEC under the VISIT project Being used by NCEP, NSSL, NESDIS Also in use world-wide Tom Whitaker 189 SSEC / WisconsinView Hosts 2010 AmericaView Fall Technical Meeting • 70 Geospatial Scientists and Educators from around the country. • Oct 11-13: Three days of meetings and fieldtrips. • Best attended and most highly praised AV meeting to date. • Special Thanks to: • • • • • • • • • SSEC Directors • Maria Vasys • Dan Pasowicz • Ben Spaier • Mark Hobson • Gary Wade • Liam Gumley Steve Ackerman Margaret Mooney Jordan Gerth Tim Schmit Bob Aune Jerry Robaidek Bob Holz Debbie Schroeder 190 Sam Batzli, Dave Parker, Russ Dengle, Nick Bearson, Tim Olander, Dave Santek, Bill Bellon iPad Geospatial Web Services: SSEC Center Project to Facilitate Wider Data Access iPhone Goals: • Develop extensible map server and tools. • Allow SSEC scientists to upload and easily share their data in web-based geospatial formats. Browser Features: • Standards-based (WMS, WFS, WCS). • Visualization of same data for multiple clients (GIS, web browsers, Google Earth, Bing, mobile devices, and more). 191 Observing Weather and Climate from the Ground Up: A Nationwide ‘Network of Networks’ (NRC 2009) Atmospheric Emitted Radiance Interferometer (AERI) Microwave Radiometer (MWR) Doppler Wind Lidar (DWL) SSEC was tasked to write cost benefit Analysis the for NRC of optimal mix of boundary layer temperature/moisture/wind profiling at >200 sites outfitted across US 192 A Nationwide ‘Network of Networks’: Case Study Truth Conv+DWL Conventional Conv+MWR+AERI+DWL Substantial Precip pattern improvement from adding T, WV, and Wind using AERI, Microwave and Doppler wind profiler Wisconsin Meteorite caught on SSEC Webcam 14 April 22:06 local 22:06:01 local time (corrected) 194 22:06:11 local time (corrected) 195 196 Fireball and Sonic Boom Reports Maps of fireball sightings (yellow) and sonic boom reports (red) for the April 15 Wisconsin fireball. The blue square denotes most likely point of meteorite landings. Credit: Carl Hergenrother 197 This picture was taken by Ace Waters in Lake Geneva, WI. 198 Howard County, Elma, Iowa Sheriff’s Department Dash Cam Video-Frame 14 199 Video-Frame 15 200 Video-Frame 16 201 Video-Frame 17 202 Sheriff’s Video Summary E Frame 14 Frame 15 Frame 16 Frame 17 AZ at intersection of horizon = 59° Frame Azimuth Elevation 14 23.7° 40.4° 15 30.1° 33.1° 16 34.7° 27.6° 17 39.0° 23.0° Video-Frame 14-17 203 Lacrosse NWS Radar Showed Debris Field Map vector for aligning to Google Map 204 Fred & Hank’s Field Trip 1 mi Mineral Point Meteorite found here, but not by us (Iron from the Sky) 205 Eye Witness Account …I was planting prairie grass seed last night at 10 pm when the meteor come over. It was the most amazing sight. It past right over my farm. Huge white bright ball with a huge long reddish orange tail. Moved incredibly slow and seemed incredibly close. The whole sky was lit up. 15 seconds later the most enormous boom and vibration. I called Wade and they did not see it – they were in the shop. They thought they saw lightning and then heard hail hit the steel roof. I told Wade, Dude that was not hail, that was a piece of meteor. Sure enough we found a piece this morning!!! We drove it into UW Geology Museum and they confirmed… Tom Gower Wade’s Farm 8320 W Mineral Point Rd. Cross Plains, WI 53528-8808 Wade Tom 206 Strewn Field Map – UW Geoscience 207 Suggestion of an interesting Mystery: An inconsistent Radar Sighting Doppler Radar from Davenport, Iowa 208 Image Name Day Nominal Time Scan Time Band--------------- ------- ------------ --------- ----A.9996 15 Apr 10105 03:00:00 03:03:46 1 File Nominal Im age RAW ALB BRIT MODB Lat/Lon Line/Element Line/Element R 43:16:44 / 90:52:01 % METEO 474/ 430 3881/20477 1184 1.1 27 224IMGPROBE: Done Image Name Day Nominal Time Scan Time Band---------------- ------- ------------ --------- ---A.9996 15 Apr 10105 03:00:00 03:03:49 1 File Nominal Im age RAW ALB BRIT MODB Lat/Lon Line/Element Line/Element R43:05:23 / 90:40:24 488/ 464 3895/20511 1056 0.7 % METEO 21 113 Amazingly, it was also detected by GOES identified and studied by Scott Bachmeier, Chris Schmidt, Matt Gunshor 209 The Puzzle: What geological information can be gleaned from our meteorological instruments? e.g. entrance altitude, velocity, and subsequent trajectory or trajectories Conceptual implication of our analyses to date Elma SSEC flash Davenport Doppler Radar Wisconsin Illinois Think main mass actually went somewhere in IL Fred & Hank 210 Roses in our Future 20 November 2010! 211 A Very Exciting Year! Thanks for That Now let’s enjoy our holiday party 212