Merrill Lynch Investor Presentation
Transcription
Merrill Lynch Investor Presentation
Bank of America Merrill Lynch 10th Annual Oil & Gas Investor Forum 4-6 April p 2011 Disclaimer Important Notice Nothing in this presentation or in any accompanying management discussion of this presentation (the "Presentation") constitutes, nor is it intended to constit te (i) an in constitute: invitation itation or inducement ind cement to engage in any an in investment estment acti activity, it whether hether in the United Kingdom or in an any other jjurisdiction; risdiction (ii) an any recommendation or advice in respect of the ordinary shares (the "Shares") in Bowleven plc (the "Company"); or (iii) any offer for the sale, purchase or subscription of any Shares. The Shares are not registered under the US Securities Act of 1933 (as amended) (the "Securities Act") and may not be offered, sold or transferred except pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act and in compliance with any other applicable state securities laws. The Presentation may include statements that are, or may be deemed to be "forward-looking statements". These forward-looking statements can be identified by y the use of forward-looking g terminology, gy, including g the terms "believes",, "estimates",, "anticipates", p , "projects", p j , "expects", p , "intends",, "may", y , "will",, "seeks" or "should" or, in each case, their negative or other variations or comparable terminology, or by discussions of strategy, plans, objectives, goals, future events or intentions. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts. They include statements regarding the Company's intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning, amongst other things, the results of operations, financial conditions, liquidity, prospects, growth and strategies of the Company and its direct and indirect subsidiaries (the “Group”) and the industry in which the Group operates. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future future. Forward Forward-looking looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. The Group’s actual results of operations, financial conditions and liquidity, and the development of the industry in which the Group operates, may differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in the Presentation. In addition, even if the Group’s results of operations, financial conditions and liquidity, and the development of the industry in which the Group operates, are consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in the Presentation, those results or developments may not be indicative of results or developments in subsequent periods. In light of those risks, uncertainties and assumptions, the events described in the forward-looking statements in the Presentation may not occur. Other than in accordance with the Company's obligations under the AIM Rules for Companies, the Company undertakes no obligation to update or revise publicly any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. All written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to the Company or to persons acting on the Company's behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements referred to above and contained elsewhere in the Presentation. 4-6 April 2011 BOA MERRILL LYNCH O&G INVESTOR FORUM 2 oil & gas Opening Remarks Vision & Strategy Vision “It is our vision to build an African focused exploration and production company which in time becomes renowned for its ability y to consistently y create and realise material shareholder value through exploration led organic growth and niche acquisitions.” Strategy – Regional Focus on West Africa • Strategy focused on creating and realising value through material exploration success. • Seek value adding partnerships as appropriate. • Fostering strong external partnerships and in-country relationships. • Strong technical and management teams with successful track record. 4-6 April 2011 BOA MERRILL LYNCH O&G INVESTOR FORUM 4 Company Overview Two operating areas: Cameroon and Gabon Company Assets • 7 Blocks ((5 in Cameroon and 2 in Gabon). ) † • 4 offshore shallow water, 3 onshore. • 6 operated, 1 non operated. • Overall P50 contingent g resource base 213 mmboe* ((net). ) • Extensive 3D & 2D seismic database; expanded significantly during 2010 (Bomono & Etinde). • Substantial prospect inventory being developed across portfolio. portfolio • Extensive multi-well drilling campaign ongoing on Etinde. Corporate • Group cash balance $189m at 31 December 2010; additional $35m pending on EOV disposal. † • Bowleven (operator) 75% Etinde Permit (25% Vitol*). • W Wellll placed l d to t fund f d 2011 workk programme; significant i ifi t financing fi i flexibility. * Source: Interim Report – Six months to 31 December 2010. 4-6 April 2011 † Etinde Permit comprises MLHP 5,6 & 7. *Vitol option (10% of MLHP-7 only) BOA MERRILL LYNCH O&G INVESTOR FORUM 5 Company Overview Extensive multi-well drilling programme underway in Cameroon Asset Strategy • Exploring the Douala Basin in Cameroon. • Including Tertiary and Cretaceous-Turonian plays, offshore shallo shallow water. ater • To move resources to reserves on Etinde Permit. • Appraisal activity on IE and IF; targeting transfer of >100mmboe (gross). (g ) Forward Plan • Exploration/Appraisal p pp drilling g of Tertiary y fairways y on MLHP-5*. • High impact exploration drilling targeting the Douala Basin Cretaceous prospectivity. • Exploration drilling on Bomono and MLHP-6*. • Appraisal activity, including drilling, on MLHP-7*. *Etinde Permit comprises MLHP-5, MLHP-6 and MLHP-7. 4-6 April 2011 BOA MERRILL LYNCH O&G INVESTOR FORUM 6 2011 Etinde Forward Plan Sapele Forward Plan • Appraisal of Sapele-1 discoveries. • Sapele Sapele-1ST 1ST and Sapele Sapele-2 2 currently drilling (appraisal of Omicron fairways). • Preparing for testing at Sapele-1ST. Etinde Indicative 2011 Work Programme • Extensive drilling programme planned on Etinde; additional rig contracted*. 2011 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Sapele-1 well , Sapele-1ST Drilling / Testing (Noble Tommy Craighead rig) MLHP-5 Tertiary wells (2) Sapele-2 Drilling g MLHP-5 Cretaceous well (Sapphire Driller rig) MLHP-7 Appraisal well *Sapphire Driller contracted on a 2+1+1 basis. Noble Tommy Craighead rig contract has 2 slots available post recertification (completion expected Q3 2011). 4-6 April 2011 BOA MERRILL LYNCH O&G INVESTOR FORUM 7 oil & gas Cameroon Overview Cameroon Overview Relatively underexplored - an emerging oil story Rio del Rey Basin Douala Basin • MLHP 7 7. • MLHP 5 & 6 6, OLHP 1 & 2 2. • Shallow offshore area. • Onshore and shallow offshore areas. • Highly prospective acreage within a proven active hydrocarbon system. • Highly prospective acreage. • Number of onshore oil seeps. • Tertiary oil and gascondensate discoveries. • Tertiary and Cretaceous leads. • Established portfolio of additional Tertiary prospects. • Onshore early exploration phase on 2D dataset. • Maturing exploration with transition into an appraisal/development phase. • Offshore mature prospects portfolio on 3D dataset. • Multi-well Multi well drilling campaign underway successful Sapele-1 exploration well. Cretaceous Turonian plays accessible in onshore area and shallow waters. 4-6 April 2011 BOA MERRILL LYNCH O&G INVESTOR FORUM 9 Recent Douala Basin E&P Activity Seismic • Bowleven acquired ~500km 2D in OLHP-2 (Bomono) during 2010/11 2010/11. • Bowleven 658km² 3D acquired in Etinde (MLHP-5, 6, and 7) during 2010. • Glencore acquired 2D & 3D in Matanda (2010). Bomono 2D Acq. Matanda (Glencore) seismic acquired 2010. Drilling anticipated 2011. • Noble Energy 3D acquired across Yoyo & EG blocks to the south of MLHP-5 (2010). Marine 3D Acq. Exploration Drilling VOG • Bowleven Sapele-1 operations complete. • Perenco Mombe-1 operations complete. Sapele-1 (Sept 2010) Sapele-1ST(Feb 2011) • Perenco Ngata well, expected spud Q2/3 2011. • Glencore Matanda wells planned for 2011/12 2011/12. Development/Appraisal Activity Sapele-2 (March 2011) Perenco Mombe-1 P&A (2010) • Bowleven Sapele-1ST operations commenced. Alen (Belinda 2005). • Bowleven Sapele-2 operations commenced • Noble Energy Aseng oil project sanctioned; development drilling commenced. • Victoria Oil & Gas Logbaba gas field development activity underway. 915Bcf & 94mmbbl resources*. Expected start-up end 2013. Aseng (Benita 2007). 552Bcf & 128mmbbl resource*. Estimated start-up mid-2012. Perenco Ngata Spud Q2/3 2011 *Gross oil and gas volumes interpolated from Noble Energy August presentation of net volumes (Block O 45%, Block I 40%). 4-6 April 2011 BOA MERRILL LYNCH O&G INVESTOR FORUM 10 Regional Geology and Play Fairways D-1r (2007), 25mmscfd, 1400bcpd from 75ft gross Miocene deep-water sands 56bbl/mmscf condensate. Sapele-1 (2010), multiple hydrocarbon columns of gas-condensate oil and gas-condensate, dry gas. Onshore and offshore mixed Tertiary and Cretaceous sourced oil seeps seeps. Cretaceous rocks outcrop at surface within the Bomono Permit. (Sandstone lithologies). lithologies) 50m 100m NE SW Tertiary play fairway Cretaceous play fairway f 4-6 April 2011 BOA MERRILL LYNCH O&G INVESTOR FORUM 11 Tertiary Omicron Play Calibration of Sapele-1 seismic highlights fairway potential NW Sapele-1 The Omicron Fairway SE Sapele-1ST (as defined by Sapele-1) Lower Omicron Shales Upper Omicron Omicron Deep Shales • The Omicron Play recognised across MLHP-5. • Successful drilling by Noble on the Belinda target (downdip D-1r equivalent) resulted in a c.20km long gas-condensate field. 4-6 April 2011 BOA MERRILL LYNCH O&G INVESTOR FORUM 12 Omicron Play Fairway Mapping MLHP-6 Upper Omicron Gas Condensate MLHP-5 MLHP 5 Souellaba Lower Omicron Gas Condensate Sapele-1ST Omicron Deep p Oil Sapele-2 • MLHP-5 = c.778km². • Area of 3D = 577km² (74% of block). • Tertiary fairways cover majority of MLHP-5. Alen 4-6 April 2011 BOA MERRILL LYNCH O&G INVESTOR FORUM 13 Sapele-1 & Sapele-1ST Appraisal of Sapele-1 Tertiary Omicron discoveries Sapele-1 Update Sapele-2 • 2 potentially significant discoveries made (Lower and Deep Omicron). Sapele-1 • Log Log, MDT and sample data confirm hydrocarbon columns of gas, wet gas and oil in high quality sandstone reservoirs. • Initial volumetrics (appraisal drilling required and ongoing): Sapele-1 Sapele 1† P90 P50 P10 Mean WGIIP bscf* 75 211 595 290 STOIIP mmbbls 65 167 430 217 Sapele-1ST Sapele-1ST Sapele 1ST Update • Sidetrack commenced 26th February 2011. • Principal objectives to appraise and test the Deep Omicron discovery interval in Sapele-1 (2km SE of the original well). • Planned TD 3682mTVDSS (4761mMD). Sapele-2 Update • Sapele-2 well spudded 17th March 2011. • Principal objective is to appraise the Lower and Deep Omicron fairways (5km SW of Sapele-1). a ed TD 3 3724mTVDSS. SS • Planned †Volumes 4-6 April 2011 presented as gross figures. *includes NGLs, which comprise condensate and LPGs. BOA MERRILL LYNCH O&G INVESTOR FORUM 14 Cretaceous Play Sapele-1 confirms presence of oil, condensate & gas in the Cretaceous NW SE Sapele-1 The Cretaceous Play (as defined by Sapele-1) Cretaceous Amplitude Map (kick interval). Sapele-1 N Epsilon Complex Gas Condensate Cretaceous Oil Dry Gas Gas Kick • Sapele-1 located to target a variety of Cretaceous seismic responses and open the Cretacous play in the offshore Douala Basin. • Sapele-1 encountered good quality reservoir sands, with oil and gas shows. • Significant gas kick at 4733m suggests an extensive hydrocarbon column. 4-6 April 2011 BOA MERRILL LYNCH O&G INVESTOR FORUM 15 Cretaceous Play Fairway Sapele-1 (2010), multiple hydrocarbon columns reservoired in the Cretaceous stratigraphy. Gas-condensate, oil and dry gas. Regional Cretaceous Discoveries to date N’Kapa-1 p (1958) Logbaba Field (Logbaba-101 (1955)) • Previous Cretaceous exploration on margins of the Douala Basin Basin. North Matanda (North Matanda-1X (1980)) • Closest Cretaceous reservoired field to Sapele-1 is North Matanda (gas-condensate, non-producing) at c.40km. • Closest Cretaceous reservoired oil shows to Sapele-1 is N’K d (c.80km). N’Koudou ( 80k ) M’Via (M’Via-1 (1982)) • Closest producing Cretaceous reservoired oil & gas fields to Sapele-1 are on the Kribi High c.105km to the SE. N’Koudou-1 Shows (1982) Bowleven Cretaceous Exploration 2011 • Gas condensate encountered at Epsilon Complex validates Cretaceous prospectivity; extends play fairway significantly offshore. Sanaga Sud (SSA-1 (1979)) Oil Kribi High fields (KA-1 (1980)) Oil & Gas Gas & Oil shows Gas 4-6 April 2011 BOA MERRILL LYNCH O&G INVESTOR FORUM 16 MLHP-6 Initial potential on MLHP-6 revealed Onshore and offshore mixed Tertiary and Cretaceous sourced oil seeps seeps. IF-1R IF 1R (2008), oil discovery. Sapele-1 (2010), multiple hydrocarbon columns of gas-condensate, volatile oil, oil and dry gas. IM-1 (Total, 1970). Isongo gas-condensate discovery. IE-3 (2010), multiple hydrocarbon columns of gas-condensate and oil. Sapele-1ST (March 2011), to appraise Sapele-1 discoveries S V V.E. 7:1 MLHP-6. Migration focus for hydrocarbons 5 500m N 5km 4-6 April 2011 BOA MERRILL LYNCH O&G INVESTOR FORUM 17 Bomono Overview Bomono Bomono Geochemical Anomaly Mapping • 100% Bowleven. • Comprising two blocks covering an area of 2 2,328km². 328km² • 5 year first term, expiring December 2012. Existing 2D • 285km 2D acquired in Q1 2010 dry season. Further 215km 2D acquired by end January 2011. Commitments Line acquisition 2010 • 500km 2D seismic data (commitment met). • 1 well (drilling anticipated in 2012). Asset Overview • Highly prospective acreage within a proven active hydrocarbon system. y • Unique situation to access the prolific West African Turonian play onshore in a combination of structural and stratigraphic traps. • Technical evaluation ongoing with initial evaluation highlighting multiple prospects with individual sizes ranging from 10 to 250mmbbls Mean STOIIP. Douala 10km 2011 • 500km 2D seismic processing ongoing; Phase 1 completed Q4 2010. • Up to 2 wells planned for H1 2012 2012. 4-6 April 2011 Log.105 (VOG) March 2010 test rates 55mmscfd and 20bbl/mmscf Q1 Bomono Activity Q2 2012 Q3 2D Seismic processing and ongoing interpretation Q4 Drilling Preparation BOA MERRILL LYNCH O&G INVESTOR FORUM Q1 Exploration Drilling 18 oil & gas Resources to Reserves Cameroon – Etinde Etinde Resource (Mean Unrisked Gross Volumes In Place)† Resources to Reserves MHLP-7 Mean Unrisked Resource (IE & IF Only) Isongo E Field* Dry GIIP (bcf) Wet GIIP GIIP* (bcf) NGL‡ (mmbbl) STOIIP (mmbbl) 80 408 95 7 Isongo F Discovery MLHP 7 225 Total Discovered Resource† 80 408 95 MLHP 6 232 MLHP-5 Mean Unrisked Discovered Resource MLHP 5 Wet GIIP* (bcf) STOIIP (mmbbl) Sapele-1 Discovery 290 217 D-1R Discoveryy 72 Total Discovered Resource† 362 Dry GIIP (bcf) 217 • Updates are anticipated as planned appraisal activity is completed. †Volumes presented as gross figures. *includes NGLs, which comprise condensate and LPGs. • MLHP-5 resource based on initial Sapele-1 volumes. • A significant contingent resource upside remains for Etinde and Bomono. 4-6 April 2011 BOA MERRILL LYNCH O&G INVESTOR FORUM 20 MLHP 7 Appraisal Plan Update Resources to Reserves IE Activity Initial Post IE-3 Reservoir Modelling • IE-3 appraisal drilled mid July 2010 encountered 7 hydrocarbon bearing zones; tested (5 zones) August 2010 with a cumulative ma im m flo maximum flow rate of 22 22,909 909 boepd*. boepd* IE-3 ID-1 IE-2z IE-1 • High quality gas-condensate (CGR 262 bbl/mmscf) and oil (36 to 43°API) encountered on IE-3 test; discovery of oil highlights additional potential of the IE Field area and acreage. • IE static reservoir model built; dynamic model in progress. IF-1R IF Activity • 3D marine seismic has been acquired over IF field (IF MultiAzimuthal 3D 131km²) to support appraisal and development activities; processing complete with results received Q1 2011 2011. • Drilling planning will consider the new 3D seismic data interpretation. • Development 3D (4C OBC) seismic acquisition planned April 2011 ** 2011. *Measured flow rates per interval ranged from 845 to 11,778 boepd with a cumulative maximum rate of 14,576 bpd of liquids and >50 mmscfd of gas (total 22,909 boepd). **Funding 50:50, Bowleven:Vitol. 4-6 April 2011 BOA MERRILL LYNCH O&G INVESTOR FORUM 21 Concept: Combined Phased IE & IF FPSO Synergised Development IE Minimum Facilities Platform FPSO Spread S d Moored M d Dynamic Flexible Production Riser and Umbilical Flexible Multiphase Production Flowlines IF Riser Base Shuttle Tanker “Tarpon” type Wellhead structure Concept Assumptions (gross) Total Liquids Recovery Limbe Potential synergy with MLHP-5. >100 mmbbls • Concept optimisation post IE-3 appraisal well well. Total Liquids q Production >40 mbpd b d Capex $300-600 million FPSO day rate ~$100-200,000 Total Opex p.a. $50-90 million • Single FPSO for both IE and IF fields. • Potential phased development. 4-6 April 2011 • Cost reductions achieved through g development synergies. BOA MERRILL LYNCH O&G INVESTOR FORUM 22 oil & gas Asset Overview Gabon - Epaemeno Epaemeno Overview Licence Summary Dentale Basin • 50% Bowleven, 50% Addax (operator). Dentale Prospects • Second exploration term expiry February 2012 2012. • 1 well with 50% relinquishment at the end of the second term. • Optional third exploration term of three years. Omko-1 (20MMbbl) Rembo Kotto (60MMbbl) Technical Overview Onal (180MMbbl) • Sub-salt fields and discoveries to the east and south of the block. • Technical evaluation and prospect inventory complete and highlights a number of significant prospects on the margins of the Dentale Sub-basin. Assewe (18MMbbl) Topo Graben Tsiengui (145MMbbl) Koula (75MMbbl) • Prospect volumetric range 10 to 350mmbbls mean STOIIP consistent with field sizes in the region. Obangue (55MMbbl) 2P STOIIP source: IHS Energy • Operator planning for drilling early 2012. 2011 Q1 Epaemeno Activity 4-6 April 2011 Q2 2012 Q3 Technical preparation ahead of 2011 dry season. Q4 Q1 Site Prep EPA Well BOA MERRILL LYNCH O&G INVESTOR FORUM 24 oil & gas Financial Overview Funding Overview • Cash $189 million at 31 December 2010. • Vitol option over MLHP-7, for $50 million carry (gross). • Farm-out opportunities when appropriate. • Moving from resources to reserves; access to debt finance. • Proceeds pending from EOV disposal (~$35m). Significant financing flexibility. 4-6 April 2011 BOA MERRILL LYNCH O&G INVESTOR FORUM 26 Principal 2011 Work Programme Expenditure Cash Resources • Cash resources of approx $175m following Sapele-1. • Pending proceeds from EOV circa $35m. • Total cash resources of $210m. 2011 indicative Etinde drilling costs* • Tertiary side track: $20m - $22m; net cost ($15m - $17m). • Tertiary T ti well: ll $31 $31m - $34m; $34 nett costt ($23m ($23 - $26m). $26 ) • Cretaceous well: $43m - $46m; net cost ($32m - $35m). • Overall costs dependent on specific well programme. Funded for current drilling programme *Well costs inclusive of drilling costs, drilling team, site surveys and well insurance, but exclude testing. 4-6 April 2011 BOA MERRILL LYNCH O&G INVESTOR FORUM 27 oil & gas Closing Remarks Closing Remarks Objectives • Further test exploration potential of Douala Basin, Cameroon. • Move discovered hydrocarbons from resources to reserves. 2011 Outlook • Completion of Sapele-1ST and Sapele-2 wells. • Further exploration/appraisal wells targeting Douala Basin prospectivity (Tertiary and Cretaceous). • Identification of leads and prospects on MLHP-6 and Bomono post recent seismic (2012 drilling). • Further appraisal activity on block MLHP-7. • Forward programme will evolve as drilling activity progresses. 4-6 April 2011 BOA MERRILL LYNCH O&G INVESTOR FORUM 29 Principal Contact: Kerry Crawford Tel: +44 131 524 5678 oil & gas Kevin Hart – Tel: +44 131 524 5678 John Brown – Tel: +44 131 524 5678 [email protected] y @ www.bowleven.com Bowleven Plc. 1 North St Andrew Lane, Edinburgh, EH2 1HX, United Kingdom.