Energy conversion reinvented - combining
Transcription
Energy conversion reinvented - combining
Energy conversion reinvented - combining electricity, heat and fuel generation Uwe Lenk, Head of Innovations & External Relations, Power & Gas Unrestricted © Siemens AG Österreich 2015. All rights reserved. siemens.at/future-of-energy Innovation and Technology Progress – Fulfilling Increasing Requirements on Power Generation and Energy Storage Design of Power Generation Portfolio according to Regional Requirements Economic Growth Energy Consumption € Biomass Technology Trends Digitalization DIG Additive Manufacturing ADM Aero- & Structural Mechanics ASM Heat Transfer & Cooling HTC Onshore wind Combined cycle/ Simple cycle Steam power plant Offshore technology Photovoltaics Simple cycle power plant Hydropower Environmental Protection Nuclear power Resources Availability New Materials Fuel Treatment & Flue Gas Cleaning Energy Storage Unrestricted © Siemens AG Österreich 2015. All rights reserved. Page 2 2015-05-07 MAT FFT EST Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER Digitalization is Essential for Future Energy Systems – from Customer Requirements to Fleet Performance DIG Fleet Management Overall control systems From single plant area to production farm, from plant to detail Digitalization Design & Manufacturing Generative manufacturing Components & Devices "Embedded" intelligence e.g. Selective Laser Melting Vertical software Computer-aided development (CAx) Massive computation incl. simulation, e.g. of aerodynamics Unrestricted © Siemens AG Österreich 2015. All rights reserved. Page 3 2015-05-07 Feedback from operation e.g. autonomous components Real time logistics monitoring Smart local grids Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER Advanced Sensor Technologies – Essential Component of Digitalization Components & Devices Embedded Intelligence Smart Sensors for Condition Monitoring Example: GT Optimization Data Logging Example: Real-time Logistics Humidity Sensors Temperature g-force GPS Data Control Turbine Alerts ... Automated tuning Continuous fuel fraction control by off-the-shelf technologies Performance degradation Model based TIT control Part load behavior Control of VGV/IGV Data Logger Sensors Transmission Embedded intelligence Real time data logging for Autarkic long-time operation Peak firing optimization Sensor networks Control for extreme operation Wireless transmission Unrestricted © Siemens AG Österreich 2015. All rights reserved. Page 4 2015-05-07 Management incl. Alerts Cost-effectiveness, high availability Location Shipments and goods conditions Implementation for gas and wind turbine logistics Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER Advanced Aero- & Structural Mechanics – Enabler for Performance Increase and Longer Lifetime Design & Manufacturing 3D Blading in Steam Turbines 3D Blading in Wind Turbines Increase stage reaction Higher yield rate in low-wind regions Reduce blade loading near end wall Longer blade lengths Reduce radial pressure gradient Reduce noise emissions Reduce secondary flow losses Reduce turbulences Unrestricted © Siemens AG Österreich 2015. All rights reserved. Page 5 2015-05-07 Airbus A380 Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER Energy Systems Throughout the World – Undergoing Profound Changes Unconventional Fuels Energy Reform Unrestricted © Siemens AG Österreich 2015. All rights reserved. Page 6 2015-05-07 Renewable Energy Rising Power Demand Oil & Gas Exporters Up-coming Markets Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER Energy Conversion reinvented – Combining Electricity, Heat and Fuel Production Hydro power Wind power Electricity grid Solar power Electricity to grid Electricity to process Carbon-based energy conversion Coal Biomass Heat, fuels and chemicals Waste Unrestricted © Siemens AG Österreich 2015. All rights reserved. Page 7 2015-05-07 Source: Xu Shisen, GreenGen Demonstration Project in China, Thermal Power Research Institute (TPRI) Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER Germany – Technology Roadmap Reduction of energy consumption, de-carbonization of electricity sector and transformation of heat and mobility sectors by high penetration of renewable energy in focus of further actions Efficiency… improvement 2,500 TWh, total final energy consumption in Germany Thermal Electrical Mechanical Shift from thermal to electrical - 42% 1,450 TWh processes Conventional fossil fuels Synthetic fuels Heat… Recovery & use Power to heat District heating and cooling networks De-carbonization CAPEX vs. OPEX Sun fuel to power 2010 Electricity Synthetic fuels: CtG, CtL, … Conventional fossil fuels Economics vs. Ecology 2014 2020 Monovalent Energy value Unrestricted © Siemens AG Österreich 2015. All rights reserved. Page 8 2015-05-07 2030 Bivalent Insulation CHP (biogas) Heat pumps Mobility… fragmentation Sun fuels: PtG, PtL, ... 2040 Multivalent Energy and capacity value (full costs) 2050 Renewable H2, synth. bio-fuels New drives Supply patterns Market design Source: AEE, BMWi, Leitstudie BMU-FKZ 03MAP146 2012, Scenario 1B, own calculation and assessment Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER Picture of the Future – Future Energy Landscape will significantly Change Increasing share of renewable electricity production Today Grid and power generation separated Mid-term Long term Decentralization and storing of electricity Full use of digitization and linking supply systems Smart Energy System Unrestricted © Siemens AG Österreich 2015. All rights reserved. Page 9 2015-05-07 Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER Contact Page Uwe Lenk Innovations & External Relations Power & Gas Division / Germany / PG TI IER Freyeslebenstraße 1 91058 Erlangen Phone: +49 (9131) 18 77 90 Mobile: +49 (174) 15 36 08 4 E-mail: [email protected] siemens.at/future-of-energy Unrestricted © Siemens AG Österreich 2015. All rights reserved. Page 10 2015-05-07 Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER Turbo Machineries are Essential for Future Power Supply - for Conventional and for Renewable Sources Back-up Global Installed Power Plant Capacity in 2030 >9,500 GW 8,800 GW 8,500 GW 6,000 GW • e 661 Direct Conversion Fuel Cells Solar (PV) • •+ - 247 Engines <5% ~25% 1.044 Wind "Cold" Turbines 1.526 Hydro Generator Driving Turbine Driven 8.782 8.534 19Solar (CSP) Geothermic, 198 Biomass, Others 2.389 2.807 SPP ~60% "Hot" Turbines 5.965 combined with STs Thermal Power Plants 509 SCPP 1.880 CCPP 551 Unrestricted © Siemens AG Österreich 2015. All rights reserved. Page 11 2015-05-07 Gas Turbines 3.575 Steam Turbines NPP Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER Future Development of Gas Turbine and Combined Cycle Technology Back-up 85% Increasing share of renewable electricity production 65% 35% Mid-term Today Decentralization and storing of electricity Grid and power generation separated Improved gas turbine Use of aircraft engine technology, development of gas turbine platform and modularization Improved plant flexibility Highly flexible power plants with integrated storage Unrestricted © Siemens AG Österreich 2015. All rights reserved. Page 12 2015-05-07 Long term Full use of digitization and linking supply systems Launch of new hybrid gas turbines Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER Disclaimer This document contains forward-looking statements and information – that is, statements related to future, not past, events. 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Siemens does not intend or assume any obligation to update or revise these forward-looking statements in light of developments which differ from those anticipated. Trademarks mentioned in this document are the property of Siemens AG, it's affiliates or their respective owners. Unrestricted © Siemens AG Österreich 2015. All rights reserved. Page 13 2015-05-07 Uwe Lenk / PG TI IER