S Croope 3PM - AASHTO - Special Committee on Transportation

10/28/2014
Desiree Fox, P.E. – CalTrans
Ralph Hall, PhD – Virginia Tech
Silvana V Croope, PhD, ENV SP - DelDOT
Building Blocks

Integrating Operations/Planning, and more …

From Risk to Resilience

Climate Change

Sustainability
3
Integration of Operations, Planning and more …
• 24/7/365 ITS
monitoring systems
(data collection)
• Identification of critical
and priority locations
(traffic flow)
• Response and
telecommunications
• Power
• Transportation
Weather and Flooding
Monitoring System
• Strategic planning
• Data analyses
• Technology innovation
and impacts
• Resilience, risk,
uncertainties,
sustainability
• Research
• Budget (contingency
funding)
• Communication
• Policies, governance
4
Asset Management: ESM & TAM (Risk-Based)
Emergency Service
Management
Transportation Asset Management

Strategic organizational process –
protect infrastructure from hazard
 Emergency Planning/ Management




 Active – contingency plans

(emergency mgt)
○ E.g. NIMS, evacuation

 Static – land development controls
(codes)
○ Health Safety/Welfare of general
public
○ Zoning, subdivision/land
development (design & build)
business process/decision-making
framework
covers extended time horizon
economics and engineering
considers a broad range of assets
economic assessment (trade-offs) alternative investment options
information for cost-effective investment
decisions
MAP-21 Risk-based planning:
demand forecast, investment
needs (return on-), catastrophic &
gradual failure – LOS
http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/infrastructure/asstmgmt/assetman.cfm
5
Asset Management: ESM & TAM
Emergency Services Mgt
Transportation Asset Mgt
Long Term (planning)
 Criticality/Risk-Based
Analyses/Optimiztion
 Response Plans
○ Pre formatted work request
(triggered by event)
○ Labor, materials, equipment,
contractors
 Short Term (just before storm)
 Inspect, repair/maintenance
based on criticality/risk
 Review available resources
 communication

Long Term (CIP)
 Capital Investment Planning
 Strategic Agency Investment
 E.g. Emergency Planning

Short Term (MMS)
 Maintenance Mgt Systems
 Good Asset Practices and build
shorter term operational deals

Sustainability: Climate
Change, Resilience, Budget,
Energy, Governance
Right: information, people, format, agency wide
(data + application), time & place
6
Enterprise Risk Management
and social risks
(Modified by Croope 2014)
7
8
RWIS +
Hydrologic
Sensing –
ground truth
for CC
9
SR-1 Closure
Detour
• Damage assessment
(deterioration)
• Debris removal
• Recovery
• cost-effective ??
• original design vs. adapted
conditions
• resilience included ??
Transportation Specific Hazus User Group
LinkedIn: http://tinyurl.com/transhug
Resilience – engineering
Before event (diagnosis)
•
System fulfillment of resilience
characteristics:
•
adaptive ability to restore itself to
former conditions
Resilience – network
After events
• provide/maintain an acceptable level
of service manage CI problems,
•
develop protection strategies,
•
ensure continuous system operation
(uncertain future)
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NIPP - 2013
Hazus
Rob Hyman – FHWA, Office of Natural
Environment – Delaware 11/2/2011
DelDOT (e.g.)
TERA
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Climate Change Impacts: Interdependent Systems
CHANGE
IS THE
KEY…
RAENG.ORG.UK, 2011.
“Doha Amendment to the Kyoto Protocol” (1/1/2013 to 12/31/2020)
12
Insights for
measurement and
performance
Climate DOT.GOV 2002
13
Climate Change/ TAM
European Comission, 2012
14
Volpe – 3º. National Climate Assessment – Dr. Jerry Melillo
15
Energy: Transportation & People Need
ITER - International
Thermonuclear Experimental
Reactor - target date 2023







A Star in a Bottle
An audacious plan to create a new energy
source could save the planet from
catastrophe. But time is running out.
BY RAFFI KHATCHADOURIAN

Alpine forest in the South of France
One hundred feet tall, twenty-three
thousand tons (more than twice the
weight of the Eiffel Tower)
Energy generated will be so great it
could vaporize a car in seconds
Circulating hydrogen will become
ionized, achieve temperatures
exceeding 2 hundred million degrees
Celsius (more than ten times as hot as
the sun at its blazing core)
machine will hold the superheat in a
“magnetic bottle”
35 countries invested in the project,
finance that has its own currency:
the ITER Unit of Account
ITER’s cost? conservative estimate: 20
billion dollars - the most expensive
scientific instrument on Earth
the technology could solve the world’s
energy problems for the next thirty
million years, and help save the planet
from environmental catastrophe
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Competitiveness
(effective and
efficient delivery of
goods and services)
Resource
Depletion
Employment
Biodiversity/
Ecosystems
(job creation) &
Purchasing
Power
Economic
Inequality
Toxic
Pollution
Peace and
Security
Key:
Government activity areas
Challenges confronting
sustainable development
Climate
Change
Environmental
Justice
Is Transportation Unsustainable?

The Positive (access to goods and services):
 It provides significant economic and social benefits
 It is the backbone of the economy
 It provides unprecedented freedom of mobility

The Negative (i.e., social, environmental, and
economic externalities):
 It can disrupt communities, reduce accessibility, and
isolate and limit the freedom of those unable to afford
automobility
 It is a major contributor to environmental concerns
associated with sustainable development
 Congestion can limit the efficiency of the economy
Sustainability Assessment Framework
based on Triple Bottom Line – TBL or 3BL
Social
Environmental
Economic
Source: ISI, Envision, http://www.sustainableinfrastructure.org/
“Triple Bottom Line (TBL) is an
integrated rather than a standalone concept:
TBL is not exclusive to any one
policy area or system. Given the
integrated nature of transportation
with the rest of human activity, it is
difficult to view the transportation
system in isolation.
Sustainable transportation requires
considering a broad definition of
sustainability that considers how
transportation affects overall social
sustainability and how other policy
areas need to be coordinated to
achieve sustainability.”
Published in 2014
“The U.S. overall policy system and institutional
framework today is not yet capable of making the
strategy, policy, and funding decisions that are
truly driven by TBL considerations.”
Source: NCHRP Report 750 (2014)
When and if TBL policy systems do evolve, decision models for
policy and funding will probably cross organizational and
jurisdictional lines as they are currently known

“Responsibility for supporting, planning, and executing
sustainable TBL will likely extend beyond the traditional
jurisdictional and modal organizational boundaries of
national, state, and local transportation agencies …”

“Existing agency roles and functions would necessarily
continue, but TBL management could take a matrix form,
cutting across not only internal organization units but also
across multiple external agencies. Private- and public-sector
entities could jointly occupy points in that management
matrix.”
Source: NCHRP Report 750 (2014)
Kennedy, Miller et al. (2005) The
Four
Pillars of Sustainable Urban
Transportation. Transport Reviews.
TOOLS Examples
INVEST’s modules:
1. System Planning (SP)
2. Project Development (PD)
3. Operations & Maintenance (OM)
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ASCE Policy
Statement 418
The civil engineering profession recognizes the
reality of limited natural resources, the desire for
sustainable practices …, and the need for social
equity in the consumption of resources.
Source: ISI, Envision, http://www.sustainableinfrastructure.org/
Governance: Understanding difficulties of path forward
Rule of rulers, process, mechanism to exercise authority
and manage all levels of affairs (World Bank.org)
Treasury Institute (2008)
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Acknowledgements
-
Ralph Reeb – DelDOT Assistant Director of Planning
Herby Lissade – CalTrans
Nancy Pomerleau – DHS Office of Infrastructure Protection
Eric Berman – FEMA Hazus Program Manager
Dan Ferezan – FHWA Program Manager for Transportation Security
Gene Donaldson – DelDOT TMC Operations Manager
Rob Hyman – FHWA Sustainable Transport and Climate Change Team
Michael Kirkpatrick - DelDOT
Steve Erns - FHWA
Ian Friedland – FHWA
Stephen Parker – NAS
Murphy Gummada - AASHTO