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: S N O I T A U L A V E I K O O C D N A S X E O T B A L K P C M A E L T B R E T T U C PA, C , N I OV L . M R PHE O T S I R BY CH F, CFE F ABV, C T his article is based on an actual experience within the past year and is intended to remind my fellow CPAs and consultants that we should be wary when reviewing reports of alleged valuations. We should go beyond the simple mathematical calculations and make sure that the valuation preparer is qualified to consult with his, and our, clients. The names, of course, have been changed to protect the unqualified, my client relationships and my career. Admittedly, this is only one example, but it illustrates the perils business owners and buyers face if they don’t obtain a thorough, professionally prepared valuation prior to entering into a transaction. I share the opinion that there can be legitimate differences of opinion among professionals (even valuation professionals!) and that proper application of valuation methodology can lead to disparate results given different understandings of the underlying facts. This article is admittedly somewhat sarcastic because the preparer1 apparently did not get an understanding of the underlying facts and has little to no understanding of actual valuation methodology. Mr. Penny Pincher was responsible for obtaining a valuation on behalf of a company in which he holds a 10 percent ownership interest. Mr. Control owns 70 percent of the company, and the remaining 20 percent is owned by two other individuals. Mr. Penny Pincher is going to use the valuation to establish the amount to be inserted into a buy-sell agreement. Too often, owners of companies view this valuation clause as simply a documentation issue required by terms of the buy-sell agreement. This valuation becomes a very important piece of information when the buy-sell agreement is triggered; therefore, placing the valuation in the hands of an unqualified or inexperienced person can lead to a terrible result for one party in the buysell agreement - and a windfall to the remaining parties. Mr. Control has used our firm for many services in the past and forwarded the valuation document for my review to determine whether or not it can be relied upon to establish value pursuant to terms of the buy-sell agreement. I immediately noticed two things: 1. The report was called an “Informal Business Valuation.” 2. The preparer had five designations, but I didn’t immediately recognize any of them as financial or valuation credentials. These two initial observations immediately led me to search for the standards under which the “Informal Business Valuation” had been performed. Standards that we typically see include the following: 1. The Statement on Standards for Valuation Services (SSVS), as promulgated by the AICPA. 2. Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice, as promulgated by 24 Tennessee CPA Journal | MAY/JUNE 2015 the Appraisal Standards Board of the Appraisal Foundation. 5. Discounted Future Earnings Method (Preparer Assumes a Three-Year Life Based on Contractual Relationships). The SSVS was created, at least in part, to prohibit CPAs from preparing informal valuations upon which our clients might rely at their own peril. The preparer of this Informal Business Valuation was not a CPA. Thankfully. The preparer used these five methods to derive separate indications of values ranging from $25,000 to $2.44 million. He then weighted these five methods evenly to calculate an Informal Business Valuation of $1.58 million (Table 1). On the surface, this Informal Business Valuation falls near the values indicated by the fourth and fifth methods applied and is mathematically correct, leading a potential client to reason that the valuation makes sense. I found no mention of any standards under which the valuation was prepared. As I continued my review, this was not surprising. The report contained 16 pages, of which only two pages were actually related to the subject business. One page had a schedule of ownership and an allocation of the Informal Business Valuation among the owners. The second page had several formulas for various methods to derive the Informal Business Valuation. Apparently, this single page gave Mr. Penny Pincher the impression that the Informal Business Valuation yielded a reasonable valuation for use in the buy-sell agreement. Table 2 shows how the Discounted Future Earnings Method was calculated. Upon receiving the Informal Business Valuation, I dug just a little below the surface and found a few of the problems common to valuations prepared by unqualified individuals: - Randomly assigning weights to all methods performed whether or not they are relevant. - Randomly assigning weights to prior years’ earnings for multiple years in spite of the fact that the company is growing significantly. - Failing to gain an understanding of the valuation subject. The following table provides a quick summary of the methods used in the “Informal Business Valuation” and serves only to highlight the problems with the report obtained by Mr. Penny Pincher. This article will not address the proper application of these methods, nor is the discussion that follows intended to imply that the various methodologies were correctly or incorrectly applied. These three failures resulted in my conclusion that the preparer failed to understand valuation theory and related methodologies. My impression is that the preparer indeed had his “black box,” and he used the same methodology and weighting for all of his Informal Business Valuations. The five methodologies employed by the preparer were as follows: 1. Book Value Method, based upon net tangible book value (NTBV). 2. Straight Capitalization Method. 3. Capitalization of Earnings Method (Preparer Assumes a Going Concern). 4. Years’ Purchase Method. Weighting Randomly Assigned to Methods First, I questioned why the Book Value Method was assigned a weighting equal Informal Business Valuation Average annual earnings Capitalization rate Estimated earnings on NTBV Excess earnings Capitalization rate Capitalized excess earnings Goodwill multiplier Goodwill value Plus: NTBV Indicated value Weighting Weighted Divide by total weighting Weighted average valuation I $ 25,000 $ 25,000 1 $ 25,000 II $ 483,333 20% 2,416,667 1 2,416,667 Rounded III 483,333 IV 483,333 (386) 482,947 20% 2,414,737 (386) 482,947 25,000 2,439,737 1 2,439,737 V Valuation 3 1,448,842 25,000 1,473,842 1,562,213 1 1 1,473,842 1,562,213 $ 7,917,458 5 $ 1,583,492 $ 1,580,000 Table 1 Historical net income (growth for 2014 - 2016) 2011 $ 100,000 Average historical and forecasted net income Periods Present value factor Discounted earnings Indicated value 2012 450,000 2013 900,000 2014 10% 2015 10% 2016 10% $ 483,333 531,667 1.0 0.9434 $ 501,572 584,833 2.0 0.8900 520,500 643,317 3.0 0.8396 540,141 $ 1,562,213 6% Table 2 to the other four methods. Generally speaking, a going concern will have far more value than that indicated by its reported book value unless that going concern was recently acquired and all assets have been stepped up to fair value. In this case, the Book Value Method yields a valuation of $25,000, which is far below the values indicated by the remaining four methods used by the preparer. I talked with Mr. Control, who stated that the subject company will remain in business indefinitely and is not asset intensive. Accordingly, I suggested that no weight should be assigned to the Book Value Method. While I was not engaged to perform a valuation, the simple math would result in a revised indication of value amounting to $1.97 million, or 25 percent higher than concluded in the Informal Adjusted average annual earnings Capitalization rate Estimated earnings on NTBV Excess earnings Capitalization rate Capitalized excess earnings Goodwill multiplier Goodwill value Plus: NTBV Weighting Weighted Divide by total weighting Weighted average valuation I $ 25,000 $ 25,000 $ - out that the preparer used a straight average ($483,333) of the past three years’ earnings performance, which would indicate that there is a high likelihood that earnings will recede from the levels achieved over the past two years. As noted in the table above, earnings grew from $100,000 in 2011 to $900,000 in 2013.2 Mr. Control stated that there was a low probability that earnings would recede given that the company is adding new customer contracts. Mr. Control stated that earnings are expected to grow by 10 percent over the next three years, so I again made an adjustment to the preparer’s Informal Business Valuation by using the most recent year’s earnings performance for the basis of mathematically recalculating the indications of value derived under methods II $ 483,333 20% 2,416,667 1 2,416,667 Rounded III 483,333 IV 483,333 (386) 482,947 20% 2,414,737 (386) 482,947 25,000 2,439,737 1 2,439,737 V Valuation 3 1,448,842 25,000 1,473,842 1,562,213 1 1 1,473,842 1,562,213 $ 7,892,458 4 $ 1,973,115 $ 1,970,000 Table 3 Business Valuation. See Table 3. Upon eliminating the random weighting assigned to the Book Value Method, the revised indication of value is $1.97 million, falling in between the value of approximately $2.4 million derived under the second and third methods and the $1.5 to 1.6 million derived under the fourth and fifth methods. At least we are in the ballpark! I dug a little further. Weighting Randomly Assigned to Historical Earnings Streams I talked with Mr. Control and pointed two through four. In doing so, I replaced average annual earnings of $483,333 with the most recent year’s earnings, $900,000. The Discounted Future Earnings Method was recalculated to be $2.9 million, as seen in Table 4. Combining our two changes, eliminating the random weighting assigned to the Book Value Method and eliminating the random weighing assigned to 2011 and 2012 earnings streams that are not reflective of the company today, yielded a revised mathematical calculation of $3.7 million, or 132 percent higher than reflected in the Informal Business Valuation.3 See Table 5. Understanding of the Valuation Subject We now have a valuation range of approximately $2.7 million (methods four and five) to $4.5 million (methods two and three). The key driver behind the difference in these numbers is that the former methods assume that the company will be a going concern while the latter methods assume that the company will continue for only three years and there is no residual value due to the nature of the customer contracts in place and the business itself. The preparer did not bother to gain an understanding of the company. He had his black box with built-in formulas and defined weightings, and the arithmetic worked. However, the built-in formulas and defined weighting do not apply to every company, and certainly not to this one. Mr. Penny Pincher had his slick-looking 16page report and he was ready to insert a valuation of $1.58 million into the buy-sell agreement. That amount was a far cry from the amounts ranging from $2.7 million to $4.5 million indicated in the immediately preceding table. Impact on My Client In my discussion with Mr. Penny Pincher, he made it clear that he valued a low fee and assumed that the valuation service would be equal to the service that he would receive from a credentialed and seasoned valuation professional. He definitely saved money compared to what he would have spent with a qualified valuation professional; however, he received nothing of value in exchange for his expenditure. For the sake of discussion, let’s assume that the company is a going concern, will be in existence for more than three years and is appropriately valued using an income approach. The revised value of $4.5 million indicated by methods two and three in the preceding table are reflective of a going concern value, whereas the values indicated by methods four and five are reflective of customer contracts that will cease in three years for a company that will have no remaining value. If the true value of the company is $4.5 million and Mr. Penny Pincher is allowed to use the Informal Business Valuation of $1.58 million, then there could be dire consequences for my client, who owns 70 percent of the business. If he agreed to the buy-sell agreement and passed away within the next year, then his estate would MAY/JUNE 2015 | www.tscpa.com 25 2011 $ 100,000 Historical net income Average historical and forecasted net income Periods Present value factor Discounted earnings Indicated value 2012 450,000 2013 900,000 2014 10% 2015 10% 2016 10% $ 900,000 990,000 1.0 0.9434 $ 933,962 1,089,000 2.0 0.8900 969,206 1,197,900 3.0 0.8396 1,005,780 $ 2,908,948 6% Table 4 Endnotes 1 I refer to the person who created the “valuation” as “preparer” due to the fact that he is not a valuation professional. 2 You might be asking yourself if I am referring to a client interaction that occurred a year ago due to the fact that we are dealing with earnings from 2011 through 2013. In fact, this was a recent client interaction. In spite of the fact that this company is growing significantly, the preparer apparently did not find it important to ask for trailing 12 months data. be bought out at a price that would be understated by at least $2 million.4 This Informal Business Valuation, obtained to fill in the blank of the buy-sell agreement, is haphazard at best and is no real indication of value. As valued consultants to our clients, we should remember to go beyond the math and truly understand the value drivers for the companies and their owners, whom we serve. Adjusted average annual earnings Capitalization rate Estimated earnings on NTBV Excess earnings Capitalization rate Capitalized excess earnings Goodwill multiplier Goodwill value Plus: NTBV Weighting Weighted Divide by total weighting Weighted average valuation I $ 25,000 $ 25,000 $ - II $ 900,000 20% 4,500,000 1 4,500,000 Rounded Tennessee CPA Journal IV 900,000 (386) 899,614 20% 4,498,070 (386) 899,614 25,000 4,523,070 1 4,523,070 V Valuation 3 2,698,842 25,000 2,723,842 2,908,948 1 1 2,723,842 2,908,948 $ 14,655,860 4 $ 3,663,965 $ 3,660,000 Table 5 26 III 900,000 | MAY/JUNE 2015 In light of the possibility that someone reading this article will desire to cut the preparer some slack, I calculated a revised indication of value using an average of earnings for 2012 and 2013 (eliminating only the lowest year of earnings in 2011), and this resulted in a revised indication of value amounting to $2.75 million, or 74 percent higher than calculated by the preparer. 4 ($4.5 million - $1.58 million) times 70 percent. 3 About the Author Christopher M. Lovin, CPA, ABV, CFF, CFE, is Partner-in-Charge of LBMC’s Litigation and Valuation Services Division. He can be reached at 615/309-2264 or [email protected]. Come see Chris Lovin at the 2015 Southeastern Forensic & Valuation Services Conference on Oct. 26-28 at the TSCPA Meeting Center in Brentwood, Tenn. For more information visit www.tscpa.com/ forensic2015. Don't Forget the EBITDA Multiple: An Additional Commentary By Andrew K. Lowe, ASA, MAFF O ne of the most common metrics for buying and selling a business is an Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization (EBITDA) multiple. Phrases like, “I can get you six times” or “I wouldn’t pay more than four times for that company” are commonplace among business brokers, but to the layperson these terms can be somewhat misleading. It is customary for buyers and sellers alike to talk in terms of EBITDA multiples as a simplistic approach to derive a perceived value for a particular business.1 While an EBITDA multiple may get someone in the ballpark, it is certainly lacking a number of critical elements, which if not considered could result in a very poor transaction for the buyer or seller. The primary reason that buyers rely on an EBITDA multiple when valuing a company is that EBITDA is erroneously viewed as the “cash flow” of the business, and the multiple is “what the market is paying.” However, EBITDA fails to consider other aspects of cash flow such as expected ongoing capital expenditures and working capital required by the business, while the “market multiple” fails to capture the specific risks associated with the subject company’s cash flow. Let’s assume for a minute that Company A and Company B are both going on the market. They are both manufacturing companies that produce the same widget. Processes and procedures for the two companies are identical. Company A has revenue of $7 million and EBITDA of $1 million, while Company B has revenue of $5 million and EBITDA of $800,000. Mr. Jones, a potential buyer, has been doing some research and found that the “going rate” for a manufacturing company is five times EBITDA based on the transactions he reviewed. Therefore, Mr. Jones has used market transactions to price the companies at $5 million and $4 million respectively, with the assumption that an investment in either would result in a similar return on his investment. On the surface, this may seem reasonable. However, a number of pitfalls may be encountered. of approximately $50,000, Company A has an immediate expenditure that must be considered. Pitfall No. 3: Company A maintains only $100,000 of working capital, much less than others in the industry. Company A’s management has utilized a “timing” strategy for its payables that has allowed it to maintain a lower amount of working capital, but any hiccup could result in a liquidity problem for the company. Company B, on the other hand, maintains working capital of $400,000, which is an appropriate level of working capital based on industry ratios and the company’s annual revenue of $5 million. Based on industry ratios, Company A may have a working capital deficit of $460,000.2 An investment in Company A at an EBITDA multiple of five will result in an additional investment of $760,000 for capital expenditures and working capital, whereas no such additional investments will be required for Company B. The result: the investment in Company B at a multiple of five times EBITDA will produce a greater rate of return than an investment in Company A at the same multiple of EBITDA. Endnotes 1 EBITDA multiples are not derived when negotiating the transaction, but are rather the result of a math exercise following the completion of the transaction. Educated buyers evaluate businesses based upon comparable rates of return. 2 Assumes a 12.5 sales-to-working-capital ratio. About the Author Andrew K. Lowe, ASA, MAFF, is Manager of Valuation, Litigation & Business Transition Services for the LBMC Knoxville Group. He can be reached at 865/862-3027 or at [email protected]. Pitfall No. 1: Mr. Jones’s blanket application of a five times multiple fails to consider the risk of each specific company. While some portions of a company’s risk are truly market-related, others are very specific to the business being acquired, and a blanket application without further analysis could greatly overstate or understate the value of the target. Pitfall No. 2: Mr. Jones did not consider future capital expenditures necessary to continue the operations of each respective business. Due diligence might reveal that industry trends are leading these companies to require a $300,000 piece of equipment by June 2015. Company B made the investment in this piece of equipment in 2014, while the management of Company A decided to push this investment until the last minute. Although each expects annual maintenance capital expenditures MAY/JUNE 2015 | www.tscpa.com 27